HKD113.90
3.56% day before yesterday
Hong Kong, May 30, 10:08 am CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988
Sector
Industry

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
91%
Hold
7%
Sell
2%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HKD158.13
Price HKD113.90
Potential
Number of Estimates 46
46 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HKD158.13. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HKD185.10 62.51%
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, the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 58 analysts: 53 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 4 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2026, 2027 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Mar '25 2026
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,085.09 1,155.21
5.86% 6.46%
EBITDA Margin 15.32% 20.92%
0.87% 36.54%
Net Margin 12.99% 13.28%
53.37% 2.20%

53 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HKD1.2t
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. This is
6.46% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.2t 14.19%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.0t 3.71%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2025 HKD1.1t 5.86%
2026
HKD1.2t 6.46%
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2027
HKD1.2t 8.17%
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2028
HKD1.4t 8.20%
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2029
HKD1.4t 0.63%
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35 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2026. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HKD242b
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. This is
45.35% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD303b 82.00%
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, the lowest is
HKD184b 10.50%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2025 HKD166b 4.94%
2026
HKD242b 45.35%
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2027
HKD271b 12.31%
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2028
HKD304b 11.89%
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2029
HKD360b 18.55%
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EBITDA Margin

2025 15.32% 0.87%
2026
20.92% 36.54%
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2027
21.72% 3.82%
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2028
22.46% 3.41%
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2029
26.46% 17.81%
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26 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2026. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HKD153b
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. This is
8.82% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD184b 30.17%
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, the lowest is
HKD116b 17.78%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2025 HKD141b 62.36%
2026
HKD153b 8.82%
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2027
HKD175b 14.22%
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2028
HKD200b 14.06%
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2029
HKD226b 13.17%
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Net Margin

2025 12.99% 53.37%
2026
13.28% 2.20%
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2027
14.03% 5.65%
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2028
14.79% 5.42%
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2029
16.63% 12.44%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2026, 2027 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Mar '25 2026
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 7.30 8.08
70.96% 10.68%
P/E 14.10
EV/Sales 1.76

26 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EPS is

HKD8.08
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. This is
9.93% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2025. The highest EPS forecast is
HKD9.66 31.43%
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, the lowest is
HKD6.10 17.01%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2025 HKD7.30 70.96%
2026
HKD8.08 10.68%
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2027
HKD9.22 14.11%
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2028
HKD10.52 14.10%
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2029
HKD11.91 13.21%
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P/E ratio

Current 15.50 13.03%
2026
14.10 9.01%
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2027
12.35 12.41%
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2028
10.82 12.39%
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2029
9.56 11.65%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2026, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 1.88 75.70%
2026
1.76 6.14%
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2027
1.63 7.55%
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2028
1.51 7.58%
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2029
1.50 0.63%
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P/S ratio

Current 2.08 38.85%
2026
1.95 6.07%
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2027
1.80 7.55%
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2028
1.67 7.58%
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2029
1.66 0.63%
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Current Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Upgrades & Downgrades

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Analyst Rating Action Date
Mizuho
Locked
Locked
Locked May 16 2025
Baird
Locked
Locked
Locked May 16 2025
Benchmark
Locked
Locked
Locked May 16 2025
Citigroup
Locked
Locked
Locked Apr 08 2025
Mizuho
Locked
Locked
Locked Mar 28 2025
Benchmark
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 26 2025
Bernstein
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 25 2025
Analyst Rating Date
Locked
Mizuho:
Locked
Locked
May 16 2025
Locked
Baird:
Locked
Locked
May 16 2025
Locked
Benchmark:
Locked
Locked
May 16 2025
Locked
Citigroup:
Locked
Locked
Apr 08 2025
Locked
Mizuho:
Locked
Locked
Mar 28 2025
Locked
Benchmark:
Locked
Locked
Feb 26 2025
Locked
Bernstein:
Locked
Locked
Feb 25 2025

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