HK$180.50
2.49% day before yesterday
Hong Kong, Oct 06, 10:08 am CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
90%
Hold
8%
Sell
2%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HK$177.33
Price HK$180.50
Deviation
Number of Estimates 43
43 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HK$177.33. This is lower than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HK$239.60 32.74%
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, the lowest is
HK$117.39 34.97%
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.
A rating was issued by 48 analysts: 43 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 4 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2026, 2027 to 2032

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Quarter Annually
Mar '25 2026
Estimates
Revenue Billion HK$ 1,089.20 1,155.77
5.86% 6.11%
EBITDA Margin 15.32% 16.89%
0.87% 10.24%
Net Margin 12.99% 99.48%
53.37% 665.56%

45 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HK$1.2t
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. This is
5.65% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HK$1.2t 12.85%
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, the lowest is
HK$1.1t 1.68%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2025 HK$1.1t 5.86%
2026
HK$1.2t 6.11%
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2027
HK$1.3t 10.95%
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2028
HK$1.4t 8.98%
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2029
HK$1.4t 3.13%
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2030
HK$1.5t 7.45%
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2031
HK$1.7t 6.59%
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2032
HK$1.8t 7.06%
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36 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2026. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HK$195b
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. This is
18.62% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HK$244b 48.12%
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, the lowest is
HK$146b 11.28%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2025 HK$167b 4.94%
2026
HK$195b 16.96%
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2027
HK$261b 33.50%
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2028
HK$309b 18.51%
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2029
HK$339b 9.78%
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2030
HK$389b 14.80%
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EBITDA Margin

2025 15.32% 0.87%
2026
16.89% 10.24%
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2027
20.32% 20.31%
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2028
22.10% 8.76%
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2029
23.52% 6.43%
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2030
25.13% 6.85%
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42 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2026. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HK$1.1t
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. This is
609.14% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HK$1.5t 840.50%
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, the lowest is
HK$928b 472.50%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2025 HK$142b 62.36%
2026
HK$1.1t 712.36%
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2027
HK$1.5t 32.77%
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2028
HK$1.8t 17.65%
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Net Margin

2025 12.99% 53.37%
2026
99.48% 665.56%
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2027
119.04% 19.66%
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2028
128.51% 7.96%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2026, 2027 to 2032

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Quarter Annually
Mar '25 2026
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HK$ 7.33 61.97
70.86% 745.43%
P/E 2.91
EV/Sales 2.88

42 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EPS is

HK$61.97
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. This is
632.51% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2025. The highest EPS forecast is
HK$82.19 871.51%
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, the lowest is
HK$50.03 491.37%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2025 HK$7.33 70.86%
2026
HK$61.97 745.43%
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2027
HK$82.28 32.77%
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2028
HK$96.80 17.65%
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P/E ratio

Current 21.34 9.90%
2026
2.91 86.36%
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2027
2.19 24.74%
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2028
1.86 15.07%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2026, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 3.04 65.22%
2026
2.88 5.26%
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2027
2.60 9.87%
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2028
2.38 8.24%
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2029
2.31 3.04%
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2030
2.15 6.93%
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2031
2.02 6.18%
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2032
1.88 6.60%
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P/S ratio

Current 3.23 58.88%
2026
3.05 5.34%
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2027
2.75 9.87%
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2028
2.53 8.24%
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2029
2.45 3.04%
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2030
2.28 6.93%
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2031
2.14 6.18%
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2032
2.00 6.60%
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Current Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Upgrades & Downgrades

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Analyst Rating Action Date
JP Morgan
Locked
Locked
Locked Oct 01 2025
Jefferies
Locked
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Locked Sep 29 2025
B of A Securities
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Locked Sep 24 2025
Baird
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Locked Sep 24 2025
Susquehanna
Locked
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Locked Sep 18 2025
Jefferies
Locked
Locked
Locked Sep 10 2025
Barclays
Locked
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Locked Sep 09 2025
Analyst Rating Date
Locked
JP Morgan:
Locked
Locked
Oct 01 2025
Locked
Jefferies:
Locked
Locked
Sep 29 2025
Locked
B of A Securities:
Locked
Locked
Sep 24 2025
Locked
Baird:
Locked
Locked
Sep 24 2025
Locked
Susquehanna:
Locked
Locked
Sep 18 2025
Locked
Jefferies:
Locked
Locked
Sep 10 2025
Locked
Barclays:
Locked
Locked
Sep 09 2025

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