€8.65
0.22% yesterday
L&S, Jul 05, 10:54 pm CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988
Sector
Industry

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2024 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
84%
Hold
14%
Sell
2%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HKD102.90
Price HKD72.90
Potential
Number of Estimates 47
47 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2025 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HKD102.90. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HKD131.78 80.76%
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, the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 58 analysts: 49 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 8 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2025 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,026.91 1,098.44
3.40% 6.97%
EBITDA Margin 17.94% 18.14%
9.45% 1.14%
Net Margin 8.17% 10.11%
5.53% 23.73%

54 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2025 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HKD1.1t
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. This is
6.96% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.1t 9.69%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.0t 1.93%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 HKD1.0t 3.40%
2025
HKD1.1t 6.97%
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2026
HKD1.2t 8.04%
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2027
HKD1.3t 7.69%
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2028
HKD1.4t 8.78%
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2029
HKD1.4t 0.22%
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36 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HKD199b
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. This is
5.93% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD241b 28.23%
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, the lowest is
HKD163b 13.19%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 HKD184b 13.16%
2025
HKD199b 8.16%
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2026
HKD218b 9.56%
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2027
HKD232b 6.47%
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2028
HKD272b 17.05%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 17.94% 9.45%
2025
18.14% 1.14%
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2026
18.39% 1.38%
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2027
18.18% 1.14%
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2028
19.56% 7.59%
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29 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HKD111b
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. This is
32.71% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD151b 80.48%
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, the lowest is
HKD88.1b 5.18%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 HKD83.9b 9.11%
2025
HKD111b 32.41%
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2026
HKD126b 13.39%
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2027
HKD144b 14.19%
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2028
HKD142b 1.49%
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2029
HKD138b 2.96%
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Net Margin

2024 8.17% 5.53%
2025
10.11% 23.73%
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2026
10.62% 5.04%
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2027
11.26% 6.03%
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2028
10.19% 9.50%
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2029
9.87% 3.14%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 4.31 5.71
9.11% 32.48%
P/E 12.77
EV/Sales 0.93

29 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd <a href=/blog/eps>EPS is

HKD5.71
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. This is
32.79% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest <a href=/blog/eps>EPS forecast is
HKD7.76 80.47%
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, the lowest is
HKD4.52 5.12%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 HKD4.31 9.11%
2025
HKD5.71 32.48%
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2026
HKD6.47 13.31%
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2027
HKD7.39 14.22%
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2028
HKD7.28 1.49%
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2029
HKD7.06 3.02%
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P/E ratio

Current 16.97 29.88%
2025
12.77 24.75%
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2026
11.27 11.75%
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2027
9.87 12.42%
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2028
10.02 1.52%
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2029
10.32 2.99%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an <a href=/blog/ev-sales-einfach-erklaert>EV/Sales of

and an <a href=/blog/kurs-umsatz-verhaeltnis-kuv-einfach-erklaert>P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 1.00 28.57%
2025
0.93 6.55%
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2026
0.87 7.44%
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2027
0.80 7.14%
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2028
0.74 8.07%
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2029
0.74 0.23%
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P/S ratio

Current 1.28 24.62%
2025
1.20 6.50%
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2026
1.11 7.44%
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2027
1.03 7.14%
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2028
0.95 8.07%
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2029
0.95 0.22%
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