HKD138.50
14.56% day before yesterday
Hong Kong, Feb 21, 09:08 am CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988
Sector
Industry

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
86%
Hold
12%
Sell
2%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HKD143.93
Price HKD138.50
Potential
Number of Estimates 45
45 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HKD143.93. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HKD185.06 33.61%
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, the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 58 analysts: 50 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 7 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,026.91 1,071.56
3.40% 4.35%
EBITDA Margin 17.94% 19.22%
9.45% 7.16%
Net Margin 7.77% 12.68%
5.53% 63.16%

51 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2025 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HKD1.1t
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. This is
0.68% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.1t 3.18%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.0t 2.40%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 HKD1.0t 3.40%
2025
HKD1.1t 4.35%
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2026
HKD1.2t 7.95%
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2027
HKD1.3t 8.26%
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2028
HKD1.3t 5.28%
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35 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HKD206b
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. This is
13.79% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD235b 29.62%
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, the lowest is
HKD168b 7.14%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 HKD184b 13.16%
2025
HKD206b 11.83%
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2026
HKD235b 14.15%
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2027
HKD258b 9.65%
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2028
HKD290b 12.45%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 17.94% 9.45%
2025
19.22% 7.16%
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2026
20.32% 5.72%
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2027
20.58% 1.28%
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2028
21.99% 6.85%
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21 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HKD136b
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. This is
5.88% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD150b 17.20%
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, the lowest is
HKD79.3b 38.21%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 HKD79.8b 9.11%
2025
HKD136b 70.25%
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2026
HKD152b 12.02%
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2027
HKD168b 10.45%
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2028
HKD185b 9.84%
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Net Margin

2024 7.77% 5.53%
2025
12.68% 63.16%
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2026
13.16% 3.79%
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2027
13.42% 1.98%
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2028
14.01% 4.40%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 4.31 7.34
9.11% 70.30%
P/E 18.88
EV/Sales 2.31

21 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/eps-simply-explained>EPS is

HKD7.34
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. This is
5.92% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/eps-simply-explained>EPS forecast is
HKD8.12 17.17%
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, the lowest is
HKD4.28 38.24%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 HKD4.31 9.11%
2025
HKD7.34 70.30%
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2026
HKD8.22 11.99%
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2027
HKD9.08 10.46%
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2028
HKD9.97 9.80%
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P/E ratio

Current 19.99 48.40%
2025
18.88 5.55%
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2026
16.85 10.75%
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2027
15.26 9.44%
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2028
13.89 8.98%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/enterprise-value-sales-simply-explained>EV/Sales of

and an <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/price-sales-ratio-simply-explained>P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 2.32 136.73%
2025
2.31 0.62%
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2026
2.14 7.36%
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2027
1.97 7.63%
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2028
1.87 5.01%
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P/S ratio

Current 2.49 82.56%
2025
2.48 0.68%
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2026
2.29 7.37%
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2027
2.12 7.63%
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2028
2.01 5.01%
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Current Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Upgrades & Downgrades Beta

Analyst Rating Action Date
B of A Securities Buy ➜ Buy Unchanged Feb 21 2025
Benchmark Buy ➜ Buy Unchanged Feb 21 2025
Barclays Overweight ➜ Overweight Unchanged Feb 21 2025
JP Morgan Overweight ➜ Overweight Unchanged Feb 21 2025
Baird Outperform ➜ Outperform Unchanged Feb 19 2025
Citigroup Buy ➜ Buy Unchanged Jan 10 2025
Barclays Overweight ➜ Overweight Unchanged Nov 19 2024
Analyst Rating Date
Unchanged
B of A Securities: Buy ➜ Buy
Feb 21 2025
Unchanged
Benchmark: Buy ➜ Buy
Feb 21 2025
Unchanged
Barclays: Overweight ➜ Overweight
Feb 21 2025
Unchanged
JP Morgan: Overweight ➜ Overweight
Feb 21 2025
Unchanged
Baird: Outperform ➜ Outperform
Feb 19 2025
Unchanged
Citigroup: Buy ➜ Buy
Jan 10 2025
Unchanged
Barclays: Overweight ➜ Overweight
Nov 19 2024

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