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HK$106.20
0.93%
Hong Kong, Sep 16, 04:08 pm HKT. Closed.
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2026 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation

Buy
91%
Hold
6%
Sell
2%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HK$184.44
Price HK$106.20
Potential
Number of Estimates 42
42 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2027 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HK$184.44. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HK$222.23 109.25%
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, the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 47 analysts: 43 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 3 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2027 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2027, 2028 to 2033

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Quarter Annually
Mar '26 2027
Estimates
Revenue Billion HK$ 1,195.59 1,347.11
2.74% 12.67%
EBITDA Margin 6.14% 14.79%
59.90% 140.72%
Net Margin 10.35% 74.70%
20.39% 622.05%

45 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2027 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HK$1.3t
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. This is
10.38% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HK$1.5t 25.00%
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, the lowest is
HK$1.3t 3.60%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2026 HK$1.2t 2.74%
2027
HK$1.3t 12.67%
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2028
HK$1.5t 13.36%
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2029
HK$1.7t 13.49%
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2030
HK$1.9t 10.62%
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2031
HK$2.1t 10.95%
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2032
HK$2.3t 7.44%
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2033
HK$2.5t 9.97%
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36 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2027. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HK$199b
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. This is
261.11% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HK$230b 316.90%
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, the lowest is
HK$161b 191.84%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2026 HK$73.5b 58.80%
2027
HK$199b 171.25%
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2028
HK$270b 35.30%
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2029
HK$346b 28.34%
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2030
HK$388b 12.04%
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EBITDA Margin

2026 6.14% 59.90%
2027
14.79% 140.72%
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2028
17.65% 19.34%
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2029
19.96% 13.09%
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42 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2027. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HK$1.0t
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. This is
1,075.00% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HK$1.4t 1,513.72%
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, the lowest is
HK$849b 891.12%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2026 HK$124b 18.20%
2027
HK$1.0t 713.54%
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2028
HK$1.4t 41.15%
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2029
HK$1.8t 25.20%
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Net Margin

2026 10.35% 20.39%
2027
74.70% 622.05%
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2028
93.01% 24.51%
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2029
102.62% 10.33%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2027, 2028 to 2033

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Quarter Annually
Mar '26 2027
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HK$ 6.44 53.90
17.75% 736.96%
P/E 1.99
EV/Sales 1.46

42 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EPS is

HK$53.90
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. This is
1,116.70% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2026. The highest EPS forecast is
HK$74.02 1,570.88%
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, the lowest is
HK$45.46 926.19%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2026 HK$6.44 17.75%
2027
HK$53.90 736.96%
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2028
HK$76.08 41.15%
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2029
HK$95.25 25.20%
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P/E ratio

Current 24.20 35.33%
2027
1.99 91.78%
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2028
1.41 29.15%
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2029
1.13 19.86%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2027, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 1.61 30.30%
2027
1.46 9.34%
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2028
1.29 11.78%
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2029
1.13 11.88%
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2030
1.03 9.61%
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2031
0.92 9.87%
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2032
0.86 6.93%
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2033
0.78 9.07%
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P/S ratio

Current 1.73 30.92%
2027
1.56 9.40%
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2028
1.38 11.79%
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2029
1.22 11.88%
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2030
1.10 9.60%
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2031
0.99 9.87%
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2032
0.92 6.93%
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2033
0.84 9.06%
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Current Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Upgrades & Downgrades

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Analyst Rating Action Date
Susquehanna
Locked
Locked
Locked Aug 28 2026
Baird
Locked
Locked
Locked Aug 21 2026
Barclays
Locked
Locked
Locked Aug 21 2026
JP Morgan
Locked
Locked
Locked Aug 21 2026
Susquehanna
Locked
Locked
Locked May 15 2026
Barclays
Locked
Locked
Locked May 14 2026
JP Morgan
Locked
Locked
Locked May 14 2026
Analyst Rating Date
Locked
Susquehanna:
Locked
Locked
Aug 28 2026
Locked
Baird:
Locked
Locked
Aug 21 2026
Locked
Barclays:
Locked
Locked
Aug 21 2026
Locked
JP Morgan:
Locked
Locked
Aug 21 2026
Locked
Susquehanna:
Locked
Locked
May 15 2026
Locked
Barclays:
Locked
Locked
May 14 2026
Locked
JP Morgan:
Locked
Locked
May 14 2026

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