HKD123.50
5.00% yesterday
Hong Kong, Apr 03, 10:08 am CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988
Sector
Industry

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
93%
Hold
5%
Sell
2%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HKD160.67
Price HKD123.50
Potential
Number of Estimates 44
44 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HKD160.67. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HKD190.40 54.17%
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, the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 57 analysts: 53 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 3 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,026.91 1,071.39
3.40% 4.33%
EBITDA Margin 17.94% 19.38%
9.45% 8.05%
Net Margin 7.77% 13.00%
5.53% 67.27%

49 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2025 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HKD1.1t
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. This is
0.67% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.1t 3.18%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.0t 2.27%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 HKD1.0t 3.40%
2025
HKD1.1t 4.33%
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2026
HKD1.2t 7.60%
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2027
HKD1.3t 8.64%
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2028
HKD1.3t 2.77%
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34 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HKD208b
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. This is
14.69% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD235b 29.88%
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, the lowest is
HKD168b 7.14%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 HKD184b 13.16%
2025
HKD208b 12.70%
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2026
HKD240b 15.62%
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2027
HKD266b 10.71%
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2028
HKD298b 12.33%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 17.94% 9.45%
2025
19.38% 8.05%
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2026
20.82% 7.43%
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2027
21.22% 1.92%
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2028
23.19% 9.28%
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21 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HKD139b
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. This is
8.57% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD151b 17.81%
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, the lowest is
HKD79.3b 38.21%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 HKD79.8b 9.11%
2025
HKD139b 74.56%
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2026
HKD155b 11.36%
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2027
HKD172b 10.76%
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2028
HKD189b 9.90%
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Net Margin

2024 7.77% 5.53%
2025
13.00% 67.27%
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2026
13.46% 3.54%
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2027
13.72% 1.93%
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2028
14.67% 6.92%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 4.31 7.52
9.11% 74.48%
P/E 16.41
EV/Sales 2.04

21 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EPS is

HKD7.52
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. This is
8.51% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is
HKD8.16 17.75%
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, the lowest is
HKD4.28 38.24%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 HKD4.31 9.11%
2025
HKD7.52 74.48%
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2026
HKD8.38 11.44%
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2027
HKD9.28 10.74%
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2028
HKD10.20 9.91%
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P/E ratio

Current 17.83 37.58%
2025
16.41 7.96%
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2026
14.74 10.18%
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2027
13.31 9.70%
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2028
12.11 9.02%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 2.05 120.43%
2025
2.04 0.59%
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2026
1.89 7.06%
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2027
1.74 7.95%
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2028
1.70 2.70%
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P/S ratio

Current 2.22 69.15%
2025
2.21 0.67%
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2026
2.05 7.06%
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2027
1.89 7.95%
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2028
1.84 2.69%
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Current Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Upgrades & Downgrades

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Analyst Rating Action Date
Mizuho
Locked
Locked
Locked Mar 28 2025
Benchmark
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 26 2025
Bernstein
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 25 2025
Morgan Stanley
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 24 2025
Benchmark
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 21 2025
B of A Securities
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 21 2025
JP Morgan
Locked
Locked
Locked Feb 21 2025
Analyst Rating Date
Locked
Mizuho:
Locked
Locked
Mar 28 2025
Locked
Benchmark:
Locked
Locked
Feb 26 2025
Locked
Bernstein:
Locked
Locked
Feb 25 2025
Locked
Morgan Stanley:
Locked
Locked
Feb 24 2025
Locked
Benchmark:
Locked
Locked
Feb 21 2025
Locked
B of A Securities:
Locked
Locked
Feb 21 2025
Locked
JP Morgan:
Locked
Locked
Feb 21 2025

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