HKD79.95
0.00% today
Hong Kong, Jan 15, 09:08 am CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988
Sector
Industry

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
81%
Hold
19%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HKD116.76
Price HKD79.95
Potential
Number of Estimates 45
45 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HKD116.76. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HKD143.00 78.86%
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, the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 57 analysts: 46 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 11 to hold and 0 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,026.91 1,072.08
3.40% 4.40%
EBITDA Margin 17.94% 18.91%
9.45% 5.43%
Net Margin 7.81% 11.62%
5.53% 48.69%

51 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2025 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HKD1.1t
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. This is
2.81% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.1t 5.35%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.0t 1.78%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 HKD1.0t 3.40%
2025
HKD1.1t 4.40%
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2026
HKD1.2t 8.02%
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2027
HKD1.3t 8.21%
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2028
HKD1.3t 6.95%
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35 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HKD203b
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. This is
14.99% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD230b 30.42%
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, the lowest is
HKD148b 15.95%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 HKD184b 13.16%
2025
HKD203b 10.08%
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2026
HKD221b 9.10%
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2027
HKD240b 8.39%
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2028
HKD272b 13.32%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 17.94% 9.45%
2025
18.91% 5.43%
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2026
19.10% 1.00%
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2027
19.13% 0.16%
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2028
20.27% 5.96%
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23 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HKD125b
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. This is
37.94% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD141b 56.49%
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, the lowest is
HKD93.1b 3.13%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 HKD80.3b 9.11%
2025
HKD125b 55.22%
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2026
HKD141b 13.15%
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2027
HKD159b 12.53%
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2028
HKD172b 8.48%
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Net Margin

2024 7.81% 5.53%
2025
11.62% 48.69%
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2026
12.17% 4.73%
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2027
12.66% 4.03%
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2028
12.84% 1.42%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 4.31 6.69
9.11% 55.22%
P/E 11.95
EV/Sales 1.30

23 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/eps-simply-explained>EPS is

HKD6.69
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. This is
37.94% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/eps-simply-explained>EPS forecast is
HKD7.59 56.49%
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, the lowest is
HKD5.00 3.09%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 HKD4.31 9.11%
2025
HKD6.69 55.22%
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2026
HKD7.57 13.15%
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2027
HKD8.52 12.55%
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2028
HKD9.24 8.45%
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P/E ratio

Current 16.47 66.20%
2025
11.95 27.44%
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2026
10.56 11.63%
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2027
9.39 11.08%
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2028
8.65 7.88%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/enterprise-value-sales-simply-explained>EV/Sales of

and an <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/price-sales-ratio-simply-explained>P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 1.33 33.00%
2025
1.30 2.54%
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2026
1.20 7.42%
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2027
1.11 7.59%
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2028
1.04 6.49%
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P/S ratio

Current 1.47 10.29%
2025
1.43 2.74%
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2026
1.32 7.43%
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2027
1.22 7.58%
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2028
1.14 6.51%
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