HKD85.75
2.56%
Hong Kong, Dec 13, 09:08 am CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988
Sector
Industry

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2024 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
82%
Hold
18%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HKD117.79
Price HKD85.75
Potential
Number of Estimates 49
49 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2025 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HKD117.79. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HKD143.62 67.49%
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, the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 57 analysts: 47 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 10 to hold and 0 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2025 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,026.91 1,078.51
3.40% 5.02%
EBITDA Margin 17.94% 18.83%
9.45% 4.98%
Net Margin 7.81% 11.31%
5.53% 44.72%

52 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2025 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HKD1.1t
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. This is
3.43% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.1t 9.01%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.1t 1.58%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 HKD1.0t 3.40%
2025
HKD1.1t 5.02%
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2026
HKD1.2t 8.36%
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2027
HKD1.3t 8.26%
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2028
HKD1.4t 8.54%
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36 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HKD203b
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. This is
15.20% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD227b 28.90%
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, the lowest is
HKD148b 15.81%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 HKD184b 13.16%
2025
HKD203b 10.28%
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2026
HKD223b 9.85%
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2027
HKD245b 9.63%
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2028
HKD278b 13.52%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 17.94% 9.45%
2025
18.83% 4.98%
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2026
19.09% 1.38%
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2027
19.33% 1.26%
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2028
20.22% 4.60%
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24 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HKD122b
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. This is
35.11% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD142b 56.87%
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, the lowest is
HKD93.8b 3.89%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 HKD80.3b 9.11%
2025
HKD122b 52.04%
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2026
HKD138b 13.42%
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2027
HKD157b 13.33%
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2028
HKD174b 10.95%
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Net Margin

2024 7.81% 5.53%
2025
11.31% 44.72%
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2026
11.84% 4.69%
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2027
12.40% 4.73%
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2028
12.67% 2.18%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2028

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Quarter Annually
Mar '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 4.31 6.55
9.11% 51.97%
P/E 13.09
EV/Sales 1.39

24 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/eps-simply-explained>EPS is

HKD6.55
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. This is
35.05% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/eps-simply-explained>EPS forecast is
HKD7.61 56.91%
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, the lowest is
HKD5.04 3.92%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 HKD4.31 9.11%
2025
HKD6.55 51.97%
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2026
HKD7.43 13.44%
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2027
HKD8.42 13.32%
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2028
HKD9.35 11.05%
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P/E ratio

Current 17.66 78.38%
2025
13.09 25.88%
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2026
11.54 11.84%
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2027
10.18 11.79%
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2028
9.18 9.82%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/enterprise-value-sales-simply-explained>EV/Sales of

and an <a href=https://blog.stocksguide.com/knowledge/price-sales-ratio-simply-explained>P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 1.44 42.57%
2025
1.39 3.37%
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2026
1.28 7.71%
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2027
1.19 7.63%
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2028
1.09 7.87%
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P/S ratio

Current 1.58 17.46%
2025
1.52 3.31%
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2026
1.41 7.72%
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2027
1.30 7.63%
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2028
1.20 7.86%
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