HKD116.90
1.04% today
Hong Kong, Aug 01, 10:08 am CET
ISIN
KYG017191142
Symbol
9988

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
91%
Hold
9%

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Price Target

Target Price HKD148.85
Price HKD115.70
Potential
Number of Estimates 43
43 Analysts have issued a price target Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd target price is HKD148.85. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
HKD179.79 55.39%
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, the lowest is
HKD100.41 13.22%
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.
A rating was issued by 47 analysts: 43 Analysts recommend Alibaba Group Holding Ltd to buy, 4 to hold and 0 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2026, 2027 to 2032

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Quarter Annually
Mar '25 2026
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,086.21 1,177.66
5.86% 8.08%
EBITDA Margin 15.32% 21.97%
0.87% 43.40%
Net Margin 12.99% 123.81%
53.37% 852.79%

44 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alibaba Group Holding Ltd 2026 . The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd sales estimate is

HKD1.2t
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. This is
8.08% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.3t 17.50%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.0t 3.69%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2025 HKD1.1t 5.86%
2026
HKD1.2t 8.08%
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2027
HKD1.3t 8.53%
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2028
HKD1.4t 8.39%
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2029
HKD1.4t 0.45%
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2030
HKD1.4t 5.11%
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2031
HKD1.6t 7.46%
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2032
HKD1.7t 9.00%
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35 Analysts have issued an Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA forecast 2026. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EBITDA estimate is

HKD259b
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. This is
54.96% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD301b 81.00%
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, the lowest is
HKD234b 40.65%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2025 HKD166b 4.94%
2026
HKD259b 54.96%
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2027
HKD290b 12.02%
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2028
HKD316b 9.07%
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2029
HKD360b 13.89%
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EBITDA Margin

2025 15.32% 0.87%
2026
21.97% 43.40%
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2027
22.67% 3.19%
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39 Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2026. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd net profit estimate is

HKD1.5t
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. This is
929.75% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD1.7t 1,096.31%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.2t 729.05%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2025 HKD141b 62.36%
2026
HKD1.5t 929.75%
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2027
HKD1.7t 15.19%
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2028
HKD1.9t 10.65%
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Net Margin

2025 12.99% 53.37%
2026
123.81% 852.79%
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2027
131.41% 6.14%
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2028
134.16% 2.09%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2026, 2027 to 2032

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Quarter Annually
Mar '25 2026
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 7.31 76.75
71.19% 947.07%
P/E 1.53
EV/Sales 1.77

39 Analysts have issued a Alibaba Group Holding Ltd forecast for earnings per share. The average Alibaba Group Holding Ltd EPS is

HKD76.75
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. This is
939.97% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2025. The highest EPS forecast is
HKD88.88 1,107.61%
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, the lowest is
HKD61.59 736.82%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2025 HKD7.31 71.19%
2026
HKD76.75 947.07%
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2027
HKD88.40 15.18%
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2028
HKD97.82 10.66%
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2029
HKD11.91 87.82%
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P/E ratio

Current 15.87 16.43%
2026
1.53 90.36%
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2027
1.32 13.73%
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2028
1.20 9.09%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2026, the Alibaba Group Holding Ltd stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 1.91 67.54%
2026
1.77 7.24%
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2027
1.63 7.86%
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2028
1.51 7.74%
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2029
1.51 0.44%
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2030
1.44 4.86%
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2031
1.34 6.94%
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2032
1.23 8.26%
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P/S ratio

Current 2.11 51.55%
2026
1.96 7.47%
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2027
1.80 7.86%
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2028
1.66 7.74%
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2029
1.67 0.45%
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2030
1.59 4.86%
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2031
1.48 6.94%
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2032
1.36 8.25%
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Current Alibaba Group Holding Ltd Upgrades & Downgrades

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Analyst Rating Action Date
Barclays
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 15 2025
B of A Securities
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 11 2025
Mizuho
Locked
Locked
Locked May 16 2025
Benchmark
Locked
Locked
Locked May 16 2025
Baird
Locked
Locked
Locked May 16 2025
Citigroup
Locked
Locked
Locked Apr 08 2025
Mizuho
Locked
Locked
Locked Mar 28 2025
Analyst Rating Date
Locked
Barclays:
Locked
Locked
Jul 15 2025
Locked
B of A Securities:
Locked
Locked
Jul 11 2025
Locked
Mizuho:
Locked
Locked
May 16 2025
Locked
Benchmark:
Locked
Locked
May 16 2025
Locked
Baird:
Locked
Locked
May 16 2025
Locked
Citigroup:
Locked
Locked
Apr 08 2025
Locked
Mizuho:
Locked
Locked
Mar 28 2025

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