Risk is the probability of a negative event in the future. An abstract concept that is not measurable; otherwise it would not be risk. Ascertaining value is the first step in controlling risk, that is, in reducing the possibility of incurring losses that cannot be predicted in advance. My choice to invest in securities with positive NAV performance over time is a way to try to control risk.
Investing for high yields and for income growth requires different strategies. Yet, sometimes it is possible to find a middle ground by locking in decent yields and growing distributions. In the article I share my three favorite picks for capturing income growth in 2025.
BDCs are currently exposed to multiple structural headwinds. It is very difficult to substantiate a bullish case for the BDC sector. In my view, to achieve alpha, one would have to go far out on the risk curve.
Fidus Investment offers an attractive 8.4% forward yield with supplemental dividends, making it a solid choice for income-focused investors despite lacking upside catalysts. The BDC's portfolio value crossed $1 billion, showing impressive growth and strong first-lien debt exposure, ensuring portfolio quality and safety. FDUS has maintained dividend safety with lower leverage, ample liquidity, a...
The financial outlook for many BDCs is not promising. Already lower base rates will continue to depress results in Q4 reports. The trajectory for SOFR is not great either.
BDCs offer attractive opportunities for income investors to enhance their portfolio yields. Yet, since the yields are so enticing, the chances are high for getting caught in value traps. In the article I elaborate on two BDCs that are very close to cutting their dividends with a high probability of making the announcements in 2025.
Private credit/BDC investments offer exposure to structural growth and a significant portfolio yield enhancement. Yet, we have to be extra careful of not falling into value traps and investing in unsustainable yields, which are abundant in the inherently risky sector. In this article, I share a BDC portfolio that has ~10.5% yield, healthier fundamentals than the average in the space, and, impor...
Main Street Capital and Fidus Investment have been my top BDC picks since late 2023. So far, both have outperformed the index, which might raise the question of potential overvaluation. I compare FDUS and MAIN side by side to determine whether they still present an attractive case, and if so, then which one offers a more enticing entry point.
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