Avidity Biosciences Inc Stock price
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = $162.50m | Revenue (TTM) = $41.26m
Market Cap = $162.50m | Estimated Revenue = $34.70m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = $-101.40m | Revenue (TTM) = $41.26m
Enterprise Value = $-101.40m | Forward Revenue = $34.70m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Avidity Biosciences Inc Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
8 Analysts have issued a Avidity Biosciences Inc forecast:
Analyst Opinions
8 Analysts have issued a Avidity Biosciences Inc forecast:
Avidity Biosciences Inc Events
Past Events
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SEP
10
Shareholder/Analyst Call - Avidity Biosciences, Inc.
about one year ago
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SEP
8
Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
about one year ago
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SEP
4
Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
about one year ago
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SEP
3
Cantor Global Healthcare Conference 2025
about one year ago
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StocksGuide Free
Avidity Biosciences Inc — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Avidity Biosciences, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and thank you so much for joining us today. I'm Kat Lange, Chief Business Officer at Avidity Biosciences. Today, we are excited to share the first functional data from the EXPLORE44 open-label extension study of Del-zota for boys and young men living with DMD44.
Before we get started, I would like to share that this presentation contains forward-looking statements as defined under applicable law. Forward-looking statements involve risks and uncertainties, both known and unknown, which may cause actual results to differ from the forward-looking statements contained in this presentation. You are cautioned to not place undue reliance on these forward-looking statements and to refer to the more detailed cautionary language in this slide and in the Risk Factors sections of our recent reports filed with the SEC.
And with that, I would like to hand it over to our CEO and President, Sarah Boyce.
Thank you, Kat. Our vision at Avidity, as you know, is to profoundly improve people's lives by revolutionizing the delivery of RNA therapeutics. This morning, we're going to focus on DMD. And this morning, we're going to share with you how we're actually redefining what is possible in DMD. Joining me on the call today is my colleague, Steve Hughes, our Chief Medical Officer, and I will have other colleagues join us for the Q&A portion of the meeting.
At Avidity, we're now gearing up to launch 3 drugs, all in the same therapeutic space in the neuromuscular space, Del-brax and Del-desiran. Del-brax is for the treatment of FSHD. FSHD is a large rare disease, was estimated to be about 45,000 to 87,000 patients, people living with FSHD in the U.S. and Europe. And we are on track to be the first ever globally approved drug for this disease.
Del-desiran is for the treatment of myotonic dystrophy. Myotonic dystrophy is also a large rare disease with estimated about 80,000 people living with myotonic dystrophy in U.S. and Europe. And again, we're also on track to be the first ever globally approved drug for this disease and a drug which clearly has a best-in-class profile for myotonic dystrophy.
Now moving to focusing specifically on DMD. As we all know, DMD is a devastating disease that affects young boys and young men and results in loss of ambulation typically by the teenage years and a significantly reduced life expectancy. It's estimated that for boys and young men amenable to exon 44 skipping, there's about 900 in the U.S. and about the same in Europe.
What we're going to share with you today is unprecedented data. What we're actually seeing is functional improvements, and that's improvements across all key measures demonstrated at 1 year. So this is for boys and young men who had enrolled in the EXPLORE44 study and gone on to the open-label extension study and are now out at 12 months of treatment. We're also going to share with you the compelling biomarker data of muscle health. And this is looking at creatinine kinase. What you have seen before is the rapid, significant and sustained reductions in creatinine kinase. We're going to show you what this looks like out past 16 months.
And this is the aspect of really when you can protect muscle fibers over the long term, what's possible? You can get improvements. We're also going to share with you the continued favorable and safety tolerability profile with most TAEs being mild or moderate. We are, as a team, extraordinarily focused on making sure that we can get Del-zota to boys and young men living with DMD amenable to exon 4 (sic) [ 44 ] skipping as quickly as possible. That route is through our BLA submission. We are on track to file our first BLA as a company. So this is the first of 3 in a 12-month period, but our first BLA as a company year-end of this year and launching in 2026.
With that, I am now going to hand over to Steve, who's going to take you through the data. Steve, over to you.
Thank you, Sarah. Okay. If we can move to the next slide, please.
Today, I'm extremely excited and privileged to be sharing the functional endpoint data from Del-zota in the EXPLORE44 program in DMD amenable to Exon 44 skipping. But first, I'd like to take a few moments to remind you of the study design and the biomarker data and then as always, the safety data from the EXPLORE-OLE study.
The first study, EXPLORE44 is on the left of the slide. It was randomized, double-blinded and placebo-controlled and involved 26 boys and young men with DMD44, 19 on Del-zota and 7 on placebo. All participants received 3 doses of either placebo or Del-zota at 5 mg per kg or 10 mg per kg. Muscle biopsy was performed 1 month after the last dose and participants then had the opportunity to roll into the open-label extension, which is in the center of the slide.
And here, they all received Del-zota. Participants initially rolled over on either 5 mg per kg or 10 mg per kg, depending on what dose they were on in the parent study. But you'll recall that at the end of last year, we agreed with FDA that 5 mg per kg every 6 weeks would be our go-forward dose for potential accelerated approval. So since then, all participants in the OLE have moved to the dose regimen. We've also enrolled an additional 16 participants with DMD44 in the open-label extension to bring the overall safety database up to 39, but these new participants are purely contributing to safety. They're not having muscle biopsies because we've already aligned with FDA that the dystrophin data we have is sufficient for BLA filing.
So in total, we have 39 boys and young men with DMD 44 that received Del-zota. These span a broad age range from 7 to 27, both ambulatory and non-ambulatory and also a range of different mutations and most were receiving corticosteroids. Functional data we'll be sharing today comes from the 1-year time point in participants that have had at least 1 year of continuous treatment with Del-zota at either 5 or 10 mg per kg. So they've completed the EXPLORE44 study and had several months of follow-up in the open-label extension study. Safety data, as always, comes from all participants, including the 16 new participants.
Next slide, please. You will recall that we shared the top line safety data from EXPLORE44 earlier this year. At that time, all of the boys had already finished EXPLORE44 enrolled into the OLE. So there's no new data from the EXPLORE44 to share today. So the data we are sharing is an update from the OLE with a very recent data cut of June of this year. The long-term safety of Del-zota continues to be extremely fairly favorable. 39 patients enrolled in the OLE, including 23 that rolled over from EXPLORE44 and the 16 new participants. Most adverse events have been mild or moderate. The most common AEs, i.e., those occurring in greater than 3 participants are those that are frequently seen in any clinical trial, even in placebo arms.
There have only been 3 participants that experienced a serious adverse event and only one of these, which was a moderate hypersensitivity was deemed to be related. Two unrelated serious adverse events were a fractured femur and a suicide attempt. The hypersensitivity was not atypical in any way and was not associated with changes in vital signs or oxygen saturation, but did result in the patient being withdrawn from the study.
Next slide, please. Before moving to dystrophin expression, I'd like to just remind you of a couple of important nuances. Not all dystrophins are created equal. The dystrophin gene shown at the top of the slide is one of the largest in the genome with 79 exons, and it codes for a large protein with many different domains, which have important functions in terms of muscle health and function. The dystrophin that we make by skipping EXPLORE44, as you can see in the middle of the slide, is a near full-length dystrophin and as such, retains the functionality of the protein. In contrast, and as we can see at the bottom, the microdystrophin made by gene therapies is only about 30% of full-length dystrophin protein and therefore, sacrifices several of dystrophin's functional domains.
Next slide, please. On the left is the dystrophin data that we shared with you back in March, and it's very clear that Del-zota is producing unprecedented levels of near full-length dystrophin. At both the 5 and 10 mg per kg doses, we get around a 25% increase in dystrophin levels, which takes these boys on average to dystrophin levels of over 30% of normal. And to put this into context, female carriers of DMD have about 50% of normal dystrophin and typically are asymptomatic. So with Del-zota treatment, we're approaching levels of dystrophin that are associated with a normal phenotype. And of note, we have not adjusted this data for muscle content. These are just the values from the western blot and normalized to myosin heavy chain.
The right side is showing new data. Here, we see the percent positive dystrophin fibers on muscle before and 1 month after 3 doses of Del-zota for a representative patient. Not surprisingly, given the very large increases in dystrophin on the western block, the increases in dystrophin positive fibers is very clear to see. Also, you'll notice that the fluorescent is around the muscle cell membrane, indicating that the dystrophin is correctly localized within the muscle.
We've already seen earlier this year that this high level of dystrophin production resulted in near normalization of multiple markers of muscle health, including CK, myoglobin, ALT and AST, showing for the first time in DMD that Del-zota is protecting muscle fibers and damage. In the next slide, we'll see how the large reductions in CK that we observed are holding up over the long term.
Next slide, please. I think the conclusion is that they're holding up very well. Here, we see that out through 16 months of treatment, we're maintaining near normal CK levels. And because CK is a biomarker for muscle damage, this confirms that Del-zota continues to provide long-term protection from further muscle damage. Notably, at the 1-year time point, about 50% of participants had CK levels within the normal range. In a moment, I'm going to show you how this long-term protection is translating into improvements in functional measures. And in order to put these improvements into context, we've compared with match patients from the PRO-DMD-01 natural history study. Next slide, please.
I would like to draw your attention to the right of the slide. PROTEC-DMD01 is a prospective natural history study following 269 boys and young men with genetically confirmed DMD. In order to ensure as much of an apples-to-apples comparison as possible, we selected participants from natural history to match as closely as we could for those in the EXPLORE44 OLE, and we were able to match 22 natural history participants based on being DMD44 skip amenable, aged 7 to 27, on steroid treatment for -- and a stable dose for at least a month and body weight greater than 23 kilograms.
On the left of the slide are the baseline characteristics for the key assessments and these tell us a few things. Firstly, when time to rise from floor reaches about 5 to 7 seconds, ambulation declines meaningfully over a 1-year period. So based on the high value of the time to rise and other ambulatory measures at baseline, these boys will be expected to decline significantly over the 1-year period.
Secondly, although generally well matched, the participants in the EXPLORE44 arm are worse on all measures at baseline and therefore, be expected to decline more quickly than the natural history group. This is important because it makes the data I'm about to show you even more remarkable.
Finally, the assessments on this slide are all measures of ambulation. So these assessments are all in ambulatory patients only. Out of the 17 participants in EXPLORE44 that had reached a 1-year time point, 12 were ambulatory, but one had a fractured femur and another had sprained his ankle. And therefore, 10 participants in total are included in these assessments of ambulation.
We've also looked at the pool in both ambulatory and nonambulatory patients to assess upper limb function, and I'll show you this a little bit later. And remember, we've pulled the 5 and 10 mg per kg patients for all of these analyses since the amount of dystrophin restoration and CK reduction was essentially the same at both doses.
And now what you've all been waiting for. I'm extremely excited to show you how this long-term protection for muscle fiber damage is translating into improvements in functional endpoints. Next slide, please.
On all of the functional endpoint slides I'll show you, the 0 on the figure represents baseline. Moving to the left is a reduction from baseline or worsening of disease and movements to the right are improvement. Here, we see [indiscernible]. And I think it's very clear to see that Del-zota patients are showing an absolute improvement of greater than 2 seconds, whereas natural history, as expected, are declining quite a bit by greater than 2 seconds. So relative to the natural history, Del-zota is leading to close to 5-second improvement. This has never been seen before. And remember that to do this test, boys not only need to be able to walk, they need enough strength to be able to climb upstairs. Next slide, please.
Now the 10-meter walk run test. And here again, we see absolute improvement in the Del-zota-treated boys compared to declines in natural history. And compared to natural history, the Del-zota-treated boys are improving by around 2 seconds. Next slide, please.
And here, the time to rise from floor. Note the time to rise from floor is a complex test. So although the boys are still ambulatory, not all boys were able to get up from the floor. So we only have data on 6 for Del-zota and 19 for natural history on this assessment. Consistent with the other measures of ambulation, substantial absolute improvements in the Del-zota-treated boys are seen compared to a decline in natural history with an overall nearly 5-second improvement with Del-zota compared to natural history. Again, improvements that have never been seen before. Next slide, please.
The North Star Ambulatory Assessment is the last of the ambulatory measures. Here, we only had data on 20 boys from natural history. Again, we see improvements relative to natural history with an overall improvement of about 2.5 seconds. So we're seeing very consistent and quite honestly, quite unprecedented improvements in all of these functional measures. Now we'll look at upper limb function. Next slide, please.
So here, we're looking at the performance of upper limb 2 test and the results shown for the pooled ambulatory and non-ambulatory patients. When we look at them individually, there's no difference between the non-ambulatory and the ambulatory for the improvements. The pool is not included in the PRO-DMD or 01 natural history study. So for this comparison, we've used the published literature for a comparison and the citation is at the bottom of the slide.
There are 27 EXPLORE44 skip amenable boys from natural history and 17 treated with Del-zota. And we can see that consistent with the ambulatory measures, upper limb function is also improved for Del-zota boys. And in comparison with natural history, this improvement is over 2 points. Next slide, please.
And finally, an overall summary of what we shared today. As you can see on the right of the slide, we see consistent and clinically meaningful improvements across multiple functional endpoints, assessing both upper limb and lower limb function at 1 year. We've seen large and statistically significant dystrophin increases, delivering sustained improvement in CK and long-term protection of muscle from contraction-induced muscle damage. We've also seen very favorable long-term safety and tolerability.
So for the first time, we've been able to show that large improvements in near full-length functional dystrophin are associated with sustained long-term muscle protection with subsequent reversal of disease progression as compared to natural history.
I will now hand back to Sarah for closing remarks.
Thank you, Steve. Go to the next slide, please. What we've shown you today is really part of this ongoing revolution that we're leading in what's possible in RNA delivery, redefining what can be possible for boys and young men living with DMD. What we've seen is unprecedented functional improvements, which is essentially reversal of disease progression for boys and young men amenable to EXPLORE44 skipping. That's a big statement to be able to say for DMD.
You also see the compelling biomarker data of muscle health when you can get those unprecedented levels of dystrophin that we were able to achieve creatinine kinase and the other markers of muscle health go down, stay down. And when they do that, you can actually get people doing more. All of this is with a favorable safety and long-term tolerability profile. We are 100% focused on the importance of the jobs that we need to do in getting Del-zota to this community as quickly as possible. That's part of our commercial readiness.
And also, we're finalizing our confirmatory Phase III study design with regards to bringing to Del-zota to boys and young men around the world. We are on track to submit our first BLA as a company by year-end. The functional data clearly further reinforces the potential for accelerated approval as well as also the work that we're doing to prepare the global development pathway. Essentially, part of this is often boys living with DMD and men living with DMD are referred to as DMD boys. Our goal is where they just become boys. And that's doing things like jumping on surface, skipping, being able to reach up and get stuff, being able to gain and really looking at redefining what's possible for DMD.
We're now going to move into the Q&A portion. And I'm going to have Steve join us back on screen; Mike Flanagan, our Chief Scientific Officer, I know you all know well; as well as Kat Lange, our Chief Business Officer, who you all know, also join us back on screen, and we'll move to questions.
All right. Thank you, everyone. We've got a number of questions coming in here on the portal. I'm go ahead and take through a few of those. Our first question comes from Eric Schmidt at Cantor.
Great to see patients on Del-zota gaining function as opposed to a reduction in rate of decline. So we have a 2-part question here. The first part for Mike, how do you think about the biology underlying this observation?
Yes. So I think once again, we've connected the dots, right, from delivery where we see unprecedented delivery to production of dystrophin, that dystrophin being nearly full length is really important, and that leads to the sustained and significant decreases in CK, which gives you that muscle protection. And then what you saw today was from Steve looking at the long-term functional improvements that we're seeing. So again, it's that connection from the delivery, our ability to now deliver RNA to muscle, and we've shown that across 3 different programs to that effect on the target to the effect of the downstream biology and then that biology turning into functional improvement. So it's really -- I mean, you don't see this that often. It's pretty exciting.
Excellent. And then the second part of the question for Steve. Should we expect gains to continue over time?
Yes, we're not seeing any reason why these gains can't continue to improve. I mean the real thing here is just providing the long-term protection from further contraction-induced muscle fiber damage. And we're seeing already that through 16 months. These boys are down near or within the normal range, reflecting that long-term protection. So as the protection stays out through the long term, we would anticipate that we would see further improvements in muscle strength and function going out over time.
And then our second question comes from Joe Schwartz at Leerink. Joe said, congratulations on the data. Thank you, Joe. The question goes to Steve. Is the methodology for the natural history control arm consistent with how the FDA would like it done in a propensity matched or weighted manner?
Yes. So as you can imagine, we extracted 22 participants that we were able to match for the comparison. DMD44 is only about 6% to 7% of the total. So within that natural history study, there are actually only about 27 or 28 DMD44 participants. So really hard to do things like propensity matching. We just have to work with the tools that we got.
But they were well matched at baseline for important characteristics from our eligibility criteria. We saw on the baseline characteristics slide that they were pretty much similar in age and that on all of the functional measures at baseline, actually the Del-zota-treated participants were worse at baseline than the natural history patients, which means that the Del-zota patients would be anticipated to progress even more than the natural history over that 1-year period in the absence of treatment. So any biases that are inherent and the results actually biased in favor of the natural history, not in favor of Del-zota.
And then our next question comes from Geoff Meacham at Citi. This one goes to Sarah. Sarah, you're planning to file 3 BLAs over the next 12 months, beginning with Del-zota by year-end 2025. Could you comment on how these successive launches could build upon each other in terms of awareness of Avidity AOC products and the commercial infrastructure of a rare disease launch?
Yes. Thanks, Jeff. And good to see you covering us again. So in terms of -- from an aspect, one of the most important elements to understand here is that each launch is synergistic with the other because this is in the same therapeutic space, so in the neuromuscular space. In the case of FSHD and myotonic dystrophy, essentially, there is 100% overlap in the potential prescribing physicians.
So what we're able to build is a very efficient commercial organization, obviously, starting with Del-zota and DMD, where there's also the pediatric neuromuscular specialists. We are very far along on that. We have our MSL team in place. We have our patient services organization now building all of the infrastructure that will be required. We have a site of care team in place. We have a payer team that is already on the ground in the U.S. as well as also having a marketing team and a market access team also in place.
So a big part of all the infrastructure of the commercial organization is already up and running. And a big element of this, when you look at what we're doing is really unprecedented. From an aspect of these are 3 successive launches, all with the same commercial organization and all in the same therapeutic space. So it's all in the neuromuscular space. So I think suffice to say, in the neuromuscular world, people are going to know us pretty darn well from an aspect of being able to deliver 3 drugs to this community to really make a profound impact on people's lives.
Thank you. And then our next question comes from Ritu Bal at Cowen, and this one goes to you as well, Sarah. Has there been any meaningful review of turnover in your Cedar neuro division at FDA?
Great question, Ritu. And the answer to that is no. So one of the other aspects of the synergy from one program to another is they're all reviewed within neuro division I. There's a lot of the same people across the different review teams. We've worked with them for a long time now across all 3 of our programs and speak as you would expect, very often.
The team has remained -- is in place. It's all consistent. They are very thoughtful with and helpful with their input. They're timely with their feedback and really are focused on doing their job around also getting drugs to patients. So we are very grateful for the collaboration that we have with the division and with all the work that we're doing with them.
We have a second part to the same question from Ritu. So Sarah, given the strength of the functional data, will you approach Europe about approval?
It's a great question, Ritu. As we've known with regards to -- for dystrophin and there is not an accelerated approval pathway in Europe. We did actually -- on the data that we've already seen back last year with dystrophin, we don't have a conversation with EMA about the possibility for some sort of conditional approval in Europe just based on the dystrophin. The answer was no and that we would need to show functional data. So that's where we're now in the process of locking down our global confirmatory study design. And it would be our expectation that, that would be required.
We are also a team that always believe in going back and having another conversation, and we will also -- we do also plan to do that with EMA based on the data that we've seen. But I would say our expectation is that the global confirmatory study will be required.
Our next question comes from Yanan Zhu at Wells Fargo. Steve, we have a 2-part here for you. I'll start with part 1. Congrats on the data. Could you describe the bar of a clinically meaningful difference for each of the functional endpoints reported?
Yes. So the clinically meaningful and important differences for this disease as we look through the literature have really been calculated based upon standard deviation or standard error or fractions of those. So we didn't include the NCIDs on the slide because the regulators really like for these differences to be calculated using anchor-based methods. In other words, by showing correlations with patient-reported outcomes where the differences are known.
For time to rise based on the literature, around 3.5 seconds; 4-stair climb around 2 seconds, 10-meter walk/run around 2 seconds are what we found in the literature for the NCID studies. So we've exceeded on all of the measures, the NCID as compared to natural history. North Star 2 points change is taken to be a clinically meaningful change. So there, we also were beyond the clinically meaningful difference that we could find in the literature.
Great. And then the second part of the question, do you expect the MSAA endpoint to show improvement from baseline with longer-term follow-up?
Yes. Certainly, we anticipate that the ambulatory measures and upper limb function will continue to improve over time. The problem with the North Star Ambulatory Assessment, and this has been reported widely in the literature is sensitivity. So at baseline, the average North Star score for the Del-zota-treated patients was 19. Now it's -- the maximum score you can get is 34. It's a 17-point scale and patients score from 0, i.e., they can't perform the test or either a 1 or a 2. And the 2 is essentially normal.
So with a score at baseline of 19, it means that on pretty much every single assessment, the Del-zota-treated participants were scoring a 1. So in order to show improvement on that test, they have to basically go back to normal. Now that may well be possible over time, and we certainly hope that they can do that. But in a 1-year time frame, that's just really difficult to see on the North Star. And we're not the only sponsor that's up against this lack of sensitivity for that test in these shorter duration studies.
Next question comes from Gena Wang at Barclays. So Steve, this is one for you. Can you elaborate on the FAE of hypersensitivity related to study drug? When was the onset? How long did it last? And how was it resolved?
Yes. So this was a classical infusion type reaction. So it occurred during the infusion. It was actually the third infusion for this participant. It occurred a few minutes into the infusion. It was moderate in severity. There were no atypical features. There was no difficulty breathing. There was no tissue swelling. There were no changes in blood pressure. There were no changes in oxygen saturation.
The infusion was stopped and the patient made a full recovery within a few minutes of stopping the infusion. They were treated with some Benadryl. They didn't require any admission to hospital. They went home, and there were no long-term sequelae. So it's unfortunate that the participant was discontinued from the study, but really, this was just a typical reaction that you can see with biologic drugs sometimes.
And then our next question comes from Keay Nakae at Chardan. Mike, this one is for you. What is the read across this data to your other DMD programs such as DMD45?
Yes. So for DMD45, as you know, is our next -- is an IND enabling. So that will be coming towards the clinic in the near future. The other exons, we're working on in the lab currently. We have really good sequences, the PMOs we've selected, and those will be moving forward. We're really looking at also platform designation to look at those moving forward.
And just to give you a sense of what we're anticipating for these is that given what we've seen to date for 44, we anticipate that the other exons will also perform really well. And when asked about this, we don't know exactly what it is. But even if we saw 1/3 as much dystrophin production, that would be still well north of 10% expression of dystrophin, which I think puts you in that category where it's maybe not a normalization like we're seeing for 44, but it clearly puts you in the Becker's range.
So for our exons that we're moving forward in the future, we're really looking to make that profound improvement in patients' lives. And we believe that, that is producing dystrophin at a 10% level or above and that's what we've done today.
And then our next question comes from Corinne Johnson at Goldman Sachs. Steve, can you provide more detail on the process and time lines for receiving platform designation and how that could enable faster development time lines across a broader DMD population?
Yes, that's a great question. So in order to get platform designation, one of the drugs in the platform has to be approved by FDA. So the timing for us applying for the platform designation is after we actually get the BLA for Del-zota. We will be spending that application around as soon as possible because, as you know, it is incredibly important for the development of our subsequent exons.
Once you have platform designation, there are a number of potential ways in which it can accelerate the development path. First on the CMC side, you can leverage your prior CMC work with your other exon skippers to reduce the regulatory burden as submission for your IND and also subsequent regulatory submissions. On the tox side, you can leverage your prior toxicology studies to start your clinical trials. So that allows you to move to start clinical trials more quickly.
And then within the clinical trial itself, you can start certainly at higher doses than you have to for your very first drug and ideally start even at your target dose. So that really reduces the burden on the clinical trial. And then at the time of application for BLA, then you can leverage your prior safety database. So that potentially reduces the number of participants that you need to have in your clinical trials for subsequent drugs in order to file for BLA. So multiple, multiple different efficiencies there that we would be looking to exploit as we move the exons forward.
Great. Thank you, Steve. And then we're actually coming up to our last question here. This one goes to Mike. Can you discuss the impact of Del-zota on CK levels in non-ambulatory DMD44 patients?
Yes. As you can see from the data, and again, it kind of comes back to that connecting the dots. It's that you see rapid and sustained improvements in CK, and that's across ambulatory as well as non-ambulatory. And you can see that the error bars are really small. And 50% of patients, and that includes both ambulatory as well as non-ambulatory are in the normal range. That's unprecedented. That's really muscle protection occurring because we're making so much dystrophin, and that's leading to those functional improvements.
And for the ambulatory boys, like a 10-year-old boy, once they're starting to feel better, you are not keeping them down, right? They're going to be running around. So that is a sustained level. It's not that you're seeing like, "Oh, they're running around and starting to use their muscles more, then you see a bump in CK." It actually stays down. And that really leads back to the delivery, the expression of dystrophin, the effect on CK and the functional benefit. And you're just seeing a completely different story than you've ever heard before of the effect of dystrophin and the long-term effect on muscle protection leading to this dramatic improvement. I think it's just -- you don't get to see this very often. So it's exciting.
Thank you, Mike. And that concludes the Q&A portion of our webcast. I will turn it back over to Sarah for closing remarks.
Thank you, Kat, and thank you, Mike and Steve, for joining us for Q&A. Thank you, everyone, for joining us this morning. And I hope we once again have shown you how we're delivering on our vision to profoundly improve people's lives by revolutionizing the delivery of RNA therapeutics. And today, we have essentially redefined what is possible in DMD. Thank you.
Avidity Biosciences Inc — Morgan Stanley 23rd Annual Global Healthcare Conference
1. Question Answer
Good afternoon. Thank you for coming to the Morgan Stanley Healthcare Conference. My name is Rock [indiscernible]. I'm a Managing Director in the Investment Banking division at Morgan Stanley. I just have a brief disclosure to read. For important disclosures, please see the Morgan Stanley Research Disclosure website at www.morganstanley.com/researchdisclosures. If you have any questions, please reach out to your Morgan Stanley sales representatives.
So today, we have the pleasure of hosting the management team from Avidity. Thank you so much for coming. I know this is a busy conference, so I appreciate you coming. Perhaps before we get started, would you mind doing a quick round of introductions, please?
Sure. Hi, I'm Kath Gallagher. I'm the Chief Program Officer at Avidity.
And I'm Mike MacLean, I'm the Chief Financial Officer.
And I'm Kat Lange, Chief Business Officer.
Great. Before we jump into your various programs, could you remind us where your pipeline currently stands? And the most important catalysts you're looking forward to in the next 6 to 12 months?
Yes. First of all, thank you very much for having us here at the Morgan Stanley Conference. This is our inaugural Morgan Stanley conference, and we're very happy to be here. So as we sit here today, I kind of just remember back like 5 short years ago, we went public and we were a preclinical company. And now I'm about to walk you through what our next 12 months look like. And we actually sit here with 3 late-stage clinical trials. And we're looking forward to 3 BLA filings in a 12-month period starting this year. At the end of the year, we'll file a BLA for our first product, del-zota for patients with DMD44. And this will be eventually our first launch product. We expect to launch that product in 2026.
And then we'll have 2 other BLAs for our del-desiran product and myotonic dystrophy and our FSHD product, which is del-brax. And those will both be filing BLAs in the second half of 2026. So it's really amazing to be sitting here 5 years later looking to 3 potential launches by the end of 2027.
More near term, what we're looking for is what we're going to execute on is data readout from our del-zota trial this month. And this data readout will be for functional data, and our EXPLORE44 LLE, it will look at participants that have been on drug for 12 months, 6 months in the EXPLORE44 trial and another 6 months in the LLE. And that adds to really unprecedented dystrophin data that we showed earlier as well as bringing down CK to near normal levels and sustaining it there.
Also in the fourth quarter, we'll be disclosing our data from our MARINA-OLE, and this will be for participants who have been on the drug for 24 or more months. And what we're looking to show there is consistency in terms of our ability to reverse disease progression and sustain it. Also in the first half of 2026, particularly Q2, we will be showing the 30-week cutoff data for the efficacy in our HARBOR trial. So our HARBOR trial is in for myotonic dystrophy, it's for our drug del-desiran.
And it's a 54-week trial, but at 30 weeks, we will have completed all of the efficacy testing or measurements. And so we expect to disclose that we have met our primary endpoint and the p-value of that. Of course, the trial continues since it's -- there would only be week 30 and it continues till 54. So it will still be a blinded study, and we will be able to disclose more once that study is completed.
And then also in Q2 of 2026, we'll have completed our FORTITUDE biomarker cohort. So this is for our FSHD program with the product del-brax and this is going to be a completed study for a biomarker accelerated approval program. So in Q2 of 2026, we will show all of the data from that study. And as we do all that, we continue to progress forward with other neuromuscular programs, precision cardiology franchise and bring forward our next-generation products.
Great. So over -- since long before going public 5 years ago, what have you learned across your muscle programs about their product design, long-term safety and dosing?
Kath, would you like to answer that?
Sure. I'm happy to. It's always fun. Thank you for the question on the AOC platform. We don't get it all that often. For people who are not as familiar with Avidity, AOC stands for antibody-oligonucleotide conjugate. And for all of our programs that are currently in the clinic today that Mike was just going through, they all utilize the same monoclonal antibody and the same linker and what changes for each is the actual therapeutic. So for 2 of those programs in FSHD and DM1, we're using an siRNA and for DMD, we're actually using a PMO for exon skipping.
In terms of what we've learned, it's been a pretty incredible amount. And I guess we're both wax and philosophical today because I'm also looking back on being here 4.5 years. And almost like to the day, 4 years ago is when we started to dose our first patient in the del-desiran trial of MARINA, and we went into that with this incredible set of information, but we also went into it knowing nobody has ever done this before. We were the first AOC ever to enter the clinic. And so there were a lot of lessons that we did have to learn in order to kind of keep the platform going and also to learn from so that as we think about our next generation of technologies, we'll build upon that.
Some of the key things that 4 years later, we are now dosing -- and this is a really important statistic. I don't think people fully appreciate this, but we are now dosing about 30 patients a week on average across our platform. So that is a tremendous amount. And we have also over 250 years of -- 250 patient years. And so we've learned a lot in terms of safety.
I think one of the other big learnings that we have taken in is our understanding of how siRNAs work slightly differently when they're going with delivery to muscle. And so when we went into the clinic, we anticipated, for example, that we'd be doing every 3-month dosing. That was kind of based off of what we saw in nonhuman primates, what we knew about siRNA therapies beforehand. And what we learned through the MARINA program, but we've also now seen with the del-brax and del-zota programs is that we're dosing more frequently. And thanks to the safety profile that we have all this data on, we're able to do that.
So for HARBOR, for example, in our DM1 program, we're dosing 4 mg per kg every 8 weeks; for del-brax 2 mg per kg every 6 weeks and for del-zota 5 mg per kg every 6 weeks. So we've really been able to learn a lot and kind of leverage that knowledge across the program. And just last year, we started talking about our next-gen as well. And the data we have collectively across the 3 programs is really helping us to figure out now that we've had this like kind of leading the field pace with our first 3 programs, what are the things we want to do and insert into our later-stage programs as well.
Got it. Maybe now starting to get into some of your programs. And I know we just touched on a lot of it. For -- maybe starting with DM1, vHOT is the primary in HARBOR and handgrip QMT and DM1 active as secondary. What is the right composite to capture the disease change and progression and what magnitude would you consider clinically meaningful based on your MARINA-OLE learnings?
So first, before we get into answering the question directly, I just want to kind of point out that this was our first program that we launched. Of course, I talked about del-zota and DMD being our first product, but DM1 and what we're going to talk about here in terms of influences where we've been blazing the trail into an area where although there's been some understanding of the biology of the disease, we've been part of figuring out that out and figuring the biology out and how to treat the disease and really dealing with the ambiguity of the biology, the regulatory pathway. And now we're starting to think about how to bring it to market. So with that, I'd ask Kath to answer the question.
Sure. So, we designed the HARBOR program so that we are really looking at the key aspects. I love that you call it a composite because not to be confused with the composite endpoint. But we really have always looked at this as a totality of data. Now the HARBOR trial is the first-ever global Phase III study in myotonic dystrophy. And so to some degree, there is a fair amount of responsibility in that, right? When you're leading the field, you want to make sure that you're really testing the right endpoints and that you're getting the right patients in that trial. And so we've spent a tremendous amount of time with the patient community, with the physician community -- the global physician community.
And how we came to these end points was really an understanding from the DM1 community itself, that myotonia is, of course, important. And I think a key point in thinking about vHOT is that vHOT is not just measuring hand function, right? So myotonia is throughout the entire body. People have it in their tongue. It makes it difficult to swallow. They have it in their legs and makes it difficult to walk. They have an impact from sleeping. I mean it is a truly systemic challenge.
The easiest way to really measure that is through video hand opening time. So vHOT while it is measuring the hand, is really giving you a lot more information because it's also helping us understand systemically, are we targeting the splicing changes required for to make an impact on myotonia. So that we put is our primary endpoint. We got a tremendous amount of input on it, and it's really a key hallmark of the disease. But in addition to that, and it being a really great functional endpoint, we also wanted to look at strength, which is another really important piece of this disease, and that's where we have our handgrip coming in as well as QMT, and of course, there's a big deal in all of this, which is how do the patients feel on drug.
And so our other endpoint is the DM1 active which is a PRO that's in the study as well. And when you kind of look at these together, collectively, it's a total package for the DM1 community. And we believe and we designed it this way that it's not only going to help us with our regulatory path, but it's also a reimbursement path too. And key to all of this was getting regulatory input, and we have done that across the U.S., Europe and Japan. and have gotten full alignment around this design and vHOT as the primary.
Got it. And I guess from your perspective, what secondary endpoints are you most confident in hitting stat stig and least likely to hit stat stig?
I'm confident in hitting all of them. I really do feel strongly about that, was in full disclosure, I was the global program head for this program. So it is near and dear to my heart. But when you really look at the MARINA data, which is our Phase I/II data, we saw something that you just don't expect to see in the muscular dystrophy, which is reversal of disease progression. And we saw that across all of these endpoints. And so we do have -- we're pretty bullish going into our Phase III top line based on the data we've seen and also based on -- we have a tremendous amount of natural history data that we've been able to use to help us look at that and also to power it properly. So the study is really well powered for all of these endpoints.
Okay. With DM1 cardiac burden, how are you tracking all the cardiac endpoints or biomarkers as part of the HARBOR trial?
So somebody asked me earlier today if there's one thing I wish I could do differently. And my answer was, I would love to be able to track cardiac, but the HARBOR trial is not the place for us to do that. And we had a lot of discussion around this. The reason is that cardiac is a huge piece of the disease for these patients. And part of why I'd love to track it is because we know we deliver to the heart. So we know del-desiran actually can get there and can have an impact. But this is a rare disease. These patients have nothing today. And so as we designed this trial, it was about getting to the market as fast as possible. But I do look forward to actually studying some of those things in the post-marketing setting, for sure.
Got it. And can you talk a little bit around your decision to use an siRNA in this indication as well as your choice of dose and the dosing interval?
Yes. Actually, Kat, do you like to talk?
Yes. So this is something that we actually have a lot of experience that this team has a lot of experience from prior companies. siRNAs are just really good at knocking down genetic targets. And one of the things I was really missing from the field and one thing that Avidity has really been the leader in is taking the siRNA into tissues outside the liver. So we had a very strong hypothesis that if you get sufficient concentration into the muscle tissue, that these siRNAs would work incredibly well in these types of diseases. So in this case, DM1, it's all about the DMPK knockdown, which then leads to the freeing up of the muscle bind protein that has all of these downstream effects on splicing and really [indiscernible] a hallmark of the disease.
So what we're seeing with the AOC deliveries is a very nice increase in the muscle concentrations of the siRNAs, and that was really the choice that we made. And then as Kath touched on in the preclinical models, we thought we could really get to a quarterly dosing schedule for every 13 weeks. And one thing that we noticed in the MARINA Phase I/II study is that, that was not quite frequent enough to really get the benefit to these patients on a consistent basis and really sustain that benefit.
And it's something that we even heard anecdotally from patients that a couple of weeks before the next dose, they would feel a waning of effect. So it's really important for us that we took the anecdotal evidence together with some of the biomarkers that we've seen into account to really optimize the dosing and evolve. So that's how we've ended up at an every 8-week dosing interval here for the del-desiran program.
And I would just add that siRNAs are extremely safe. And they're also potent and durable. They are the right oligo to pick for this disease.
Got it. We've touched on some of the upcoming milestone events already. So maybe we can just talk a little bit around the disease prevalence. So you've framed the opportunity as 80,000 individuals across U.S. and Europe. Now -- but they are much higher estimates. Now -- at the same time, there's an argument that some of these individuals may not be motivated to seek treatment. So how will you segment the population while addressing awareness -- building -- addressing awareness, building awareness and also the diagnosis rates?
So I'll take that one. Look, this is a very large rare disease, right? 40,000 patients in the U.S. as rare diseases go is pretty significant. And what we're finding in terms of -- is that number appropriate? Is the size believable? And everything that we've seen is that, yes, this is approximately the size of things that we look to is the major medical centers where these people end up. There's an NDM1 study that has enrolled over 500 patients into a natural history study. And as we conduct our clinical trials, MARINA and HARBOR, the level of interest in the engagement in this patient community to be part of these trials is pretty healthy, like we are not finding apathy in terms of trying to come into the trial.
You can see our HARBOR trial was enrolled on target and on time in a 12-month period. And so everything we've seen is that that's the right patient size. This is an engaged patient population. Is there a symptomatic apathy for the patient? Yes, we understand that's part of the disease, but it's really not part of their behavior towards treatment. And that may not be solely related to the patient. These patients are part of families that have this disease in their family. So that is -- it's a community that helps this patient deal with the disease through their lifetime.
And when we talk to the patient advocacy group so passionate about getting treatment. And they deserve treatments, ours and others. And so as we kind of go forward on that basis, we see this as a patient population that's actively engaged. The uptake as we look at commercialization and the opportunity here, we're really pleased with the fact that we're going to be launching this drug globally, right? And by globally, initially, what I mean is the U.S., Europe and Japan. And all of those markets, we found great enthusiasm for the uptake.
So this will be our first global launch. And so we're preparing for that. And del-zota is our first U.S. launch, but we'll be launching del-desiran in the EU and Japan first, right, as a company. And so we're setting up everything for that. The supply chain, the commercial organization, the patient services function. So we're really excited about not just the 40,000 patients in the U.S., 80,000 includes Europe, but I don't believe that anything brings in Japan. And these -- that's a market that we've started the clinical trials there a year ago. And the KOLs there are thrilled that we've launched our global first full approval clinical trial in Japan simultaneously.
Great. Most companies would be done with the presentation now, but we've got to get through the rest of your program. So maybe shifting to del-brax in FSHD. Can you talk about your biomarker approach?
Kath, do you want to talk about that?
Sure. Of course. So we -- just this past June, we announced that we have a circulating biomarker, which we refer to as cDUX. cDUX is targeting a gene -- gosh, KHDCL1 close. So we named it cDUX because it is quite challenging to remember the actual name of the gene. But it is a very well-known gene in the FSHD space. And it is something that people have been studying for quite some time. We had been looking at it in our muscle biopsies as well. The thing that Avidity really discovered is that you can also measure it in blood. And that really is a very exciting thing for the community. The real insight around cDUX is that when patients have high levels of cDUX, they actually have a more severe version of the disease. And so we're kind of looking for an inverse correlation here.
We want to decrease cDUX so that we can see more improvement with del-brax. And so what we did last year is we kind of wanted to look at FSHD as a whole. And we got our first data set back in June of 2024 looked at that and said, we need to move this drug forward as quickly as we can. And so what we did, as we kind of call it at risk, as we initiated the FORTITUDE biomarkers trial, which is about 50 patients. And that one is our accelerated approval trial. That one we initiated in last November, and we fully enrolled it this past March. And that is what we are looking to have readout next year. A lot of the questions we've been getting around what functional data do you really need to show?
The functional data is not necessary, right? This is an accelerated approval path. So it's not that we don't have to hit statistical significance on our functional measures here. What is important is that we're able to correlate cDUX with function. And so that is the work that our team is doing right now and kind of again paving the path for FSHD to really bring to this treatment to patients. At the same time, we have launched our global Phase III study called FORTITUDE3, and that has just opened and started enrolling this year, and that will be our functional trial that we would go for a global approval with.
Got it. While we're on the point about cDUX and function improvement, what -- can you elaborate on what additional work you still need to do to prove or show that correlation work by the time you go for a BLA submission?
Of course, sure. So we've already done a fair amount of work using the FORTITUDE data that we have, which is the dose escalation cohort that we presented earlier this year. And we've also utilized our natural history data, which we have a tremendous amount of -- I mean, in FSHD and DM1, the investigators have just been an incredible source of -- they were really strategic in setting up these natural history studies. So there is a tremendous amount of data we can utilize from RESOLVE, MOVE, MOVE PLUS. So now what we are really waiting for is the data from the actual biomarker cohort, which will allow us to really kind of fulfill the work that we're trying to do.
The other things that we have to do between now and BLA are things like that you just need for an accelerated approval, like what CMC do we need to have, things like that to make sure that our submission is fulsome and ready to go.
Got it. in case you didn't bump into Commissioner Makary, what feedback did you receive from the FDA when you learned that the accelerated approval pathway was opened and announced that you had achieved significant -- you had achieved alignment with the agency around the regulatory strategy?
How about -- maybe I'll take that one and then -- so I think one thing that people haven't focused on is Kath just talked about how we were already doing the biomarker cohort. So the way that we set up our conversation with the FDA was we actually went and got approval of the confirmatory study design. And I guess one other thing that's important is that the part of the agency that we deal with, Neuro Division1 and CDER works with us across all of our programs. And so we had a conversation with the team at the FDA on confirmatory trial design. And then when that was approved, we went back, and we had a conversation with them on the biomarker accelerated approval design and process.
And so a lot of the questions that you would typically have been answered as part of our confirmatory study. And -- so there, we were able to spend time on really the 2 pressing issues, which is how do you prove that the surrogate can be linked or correlated to benefit? And as Kath just said, how do you show that you're going to be ready to produce commercial level inventories in time. So most of our discussions were deep in those areas, which is really what we call alignment with the FDA.
Got it. What are the planned disclosures around the FORTITUDE biomarker cohort in the second quarter of '26?
Kat, can you talk to that?
Yes, absolutely. So in the second quarter of 2026, this trial would have been completed. So if you recall, we completed the enrollment in March of 2025. So by the time we get to the Q2 readout, all of those participants would have rolled over into the OLE if they so choose. So at that time point, we can actually disclose all of the primary and secondary end points, including the p-values and then, of course, also the safety profile. So that is really the totality of the data package that will go into the BLA submission in the second half of next year.
Yes. Maybe one more on FSHD. So you've provided a wide range for the prevalence in the U.S. and Europe. Now what sort of data support both the low end and the high end of the range? And can you speak to the interest in del-brax from the FSHD community, both here and abroad?
Absolutely. So this is, I think, out of the 3 indications that we're pursuing probably the least well elucidated prevalence figures, as you can imagine. The ICD code has been around for about 5 years. So it was launched right about the time of COVID, which is very unfortunate just in terms of gaining data from the ICD-10 databases. But we believe in the U.S., there are about 5000 patients that have already been identified and diagnosed with FSHD. So that is actually a pretty good number for the total size of the indication that we're looking at, which we believe to be at least similar to DM1, if not slightly larger. If you look at the genetic studies, there are a lot that would tell you at least 40,000 in the U.S., if not higher. And we're doing a lot of that work at the moment in order to prepare for the launch that we're anticipating here relatively soon.
The interest has been just tremendous. We're getting multiple e-mails per day, not just for FSHD but also for the other programs, but I think FSHD really has been notable in just the motivation and the excitement from the patient community. And the big part of that is also the patient advocacy group, the FSHD society has been very active as well. So they're very good at getting the patients overnight, educated about potential clinical trials, treatments that will be available soon, but they're also driving a really big diagnosis effort that we think is going to really help us here. But overall, just as you would expect with a lot of rare diseases, as treatments become available, you will start finding even more patients.
Got it. Now shifting to del-zota and DMD. The EXPLORE44 showed an increase of 25% of normal in dystrophin at 4 months and almost near normalization of CK. How are you thinking about how to translate this into functional signals?
Interesting, you should ask. We have guided, as I said at the top of this meeting that we've guided that we're going to be giving functional data this month. And we think that that's really important for the community to really understand how this therapy could benefit them in their how they can live their lives. And so with the strong dystrophin, a 25% increase from 7% to 32% that we demonstrated and bringing down and sustaining to normal levels, we should see functional benefit. The original trial went 6 months, and we didn't think that we would see functional benefit that soon. So back last December, we said, why don't we look at it at 1 year. And so we guided to the fact we would be looking to functional and are presenting sharing functional data around this time for participants who have been on del-zota for 1 year.
So here we sit at the eve of that disclosure. And we're really hopeful that we can actually connect the dots. That dystrophin leads to near -- like near normal CK levels and near normal CK levels so that you can see functional benefit at that point in time. Now importantly, we're applying to the FDA for accelerated approval based on a dystrophin biomarker as we're submitting the BLA at the end of this year. The functional benefit is not part of the requirement to submit that BLA. But we do think showing that functional benefit will be -- could be important to the patient community to understand the power that the therapy could have.
Thank you. Now shifting to your commercial strategy. When it comes to your prelaunch commercial preparations, what elements are del-zota or DMD specific? And what are anticipated to support all 3 programs? Now can you maybe discuss the top priorities between now and the del-zota approval?
Yes. So literally, Rock, we started building our commercial organization quite a while ago. We've actually built the patient services organization. We have MSLs in the field. We have payer reimbursement specialists who've been talking to those parties, and we're in the process of building the site of care team. And so that's all either built or underway. And then the next thing is the sales force in the field. And we have done the market research to understand that 75% of these patients are seen by 100 doctors, 100 specialists in the U.S. So we know where to go. We know what size team we need to get there. And so we are ready to go on del-zota. It's a bit of a gift to be able to launch your first drug in your smallest indication.
And remember, del-zota will be U.S.-only right, because it's an accelerated approval here in the U.S. But what it allows us to do is build that center hub with things like patient services, build the field team, get them to develop the relationships and understanding of the patients, the doctors, where these people go for their treatments. And then when we're ready to hopefully in relatively short order, launch our next 2 drugs for FSHD and DM1, these sales reps and others have developed relationships with the caregivers. And so they're going to just be adding into the conversation these other diseases that they treat.
Because these caregivers, these docs actually, there's pretty much 100% overlap between FSHD and DM1 in terms of their patients they treat and both DMD44 patients are treated by these docs, too. Some DMD44 patients are treated by pediatrics, right? So they're not necessarily an overlap there. So this is really powerful in terms of helping us build the infrastructure, helping us test the infrastructure, that it's sound, that people are doing the right things, developing the right relationships and then to leverage that for really incremental investment. Even though FSHD and DM1 are much larger populations, those potential drugs are going to be blockbuster in nature. the investment on top of the infrastructure is going to be relatively modest.
Okay. Maybe that's a good place to get to the last question. Now with $1.4 billion with the [indiscernible] of cash and a stated runway through mid-2027. Could you talk about some sensitivities in your assumptions. Just, I guess, conceptually, what is the shape of your financing trajectory once these products launch?
Kat, would you like to take that?
Yes. So Rock, you're correct. It's a very strong cash position to be sitting on today, runways to mid-2027. So that means we do not get all the way to profitability. However, once we launch these drugs with the market opportunities that we see we do believe we're going to reach profitability relatively quickly. So there's really a lot of things you can test in the sensitivity, but all of it means you get to profitability very quickly post those 2 big launches, and I'm talking about del-desiran and del-brax, specifically.
So with that being said, we are in a very strong position today, but we do also emphasize all the time that we just want to maintain a strong balance sheet, be able to execute on all of these drugs in the clinical trials as well as the commercialization globally. So we will be continuing to assess additional pools of capital that we can tap into and we're very blessed in the sense that we are going towards 3 commercial launches and a lot of different pools of capital will be available to us.
Great. Well. Thank you so much for your time today. I hope you enjoy the rest of the conference. Thank you.
Thank you, Rock.
Avidity Biosciences Inc — Wells Fargo 20th Annual Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Great. Thanks, everyone, for being here. It's -- my name is Yanan Zhu. I'm one of the biotech analysts here at Wells Fargo. It is our great privilege to have the Avidity Therapeutics management team here for a fireside chat. And with me on stage, CFO, Mike McLean; and Kath Gallagher, Program Manager for the muscle disease programs. Thank you for being here.
Thank you, Yan.
Thank you.
Great. So I was wondering if, Mike, could you provide an overview for the company's platform and key programs and talk about the achievement so far and your vision for the future.
Absolutely. Happy to do that. And first of all, thank you for having us at the conference. It's always wonderful to kind of start out the fall here at the Wells Fargo Conference in Boston. And so look, first, I'd just start with the fact that our vision is to profoundly improve people's lives through the delivery of RNA therapy. And as I look back on the 5 years since we IPO-ed at a time where we had no programs in the clinic. And as we sit here today, we have 3 programs in late-stage development. And it just is so profound to me that we can be sitting here having this conversation today. So really look forward to the conversation and talk about these programs.
We have over this 5-year period of time, shown consistent and reproducible data across our programs in the neuromuscular space. We've shown delivery to muscle, knockdown of the target, the favorable safety and tolerability and functional data -- or functional data that proves that there's a benefit to these drugs for FSHD and myotonic dystrophy. And soon, we'll be showing our functional data for the DMD program coming up here in the very near future. So that sets us up to be on track to file 3 BLAs in a 12-month period, starting this year with the DMD -- del-zota program for accelerated approval in the U.S. and then in the second half of 2026 to file BLAs for our FSHD and myotonic dystrophy programs. And so that will be the second half of 2026.
FSHD, the del-brax program will be for accelerated approval in the U.S. And for myotonic dystrophy, our Harbor program, that is a global full approval study, right, in U.S., Europe and Japan. So that's really what we are focused on in the near future and as we head to commercialization. We look at all of these drugs as first-in-class, best-in-class. And just quickly to touch on the data catalysts that we see coming up. The first will be functional data for our del-zota drug in DMD44. And as I said, that's coming soon.
Then we will be presenting OLE data for the participants who are in the MARINA trial in the fourth quarter of this year. And in the second quarter of 2026, we're going to have 2 data readouts. One is going to be at the 30-week mark for our HARBOR trial. So that is going to be pretty much midway through the study. We will be disclosing what we're seeing on a top line basis there. And then also in the second quarter of 2026, we'll be showing the data from our FORTITUDE biomarker trial.
Right. Yes, that's a lot of very exciting data catalysts and also regulatory -- on the regulatory front, also a very busy calendar. So congrats on all the achievements. I do want to ask you about your thoughts on, a, commercial strategy; and b, business development strategy, including thoughts around partnership or even M&A.
Okay. That's a pretty meaty question. And I'm just going to assume that maybe on the M&A front, it may allude to some rumors that have been out there in the marketplace. So I'll tackle that first. As we look at where we sit in the cycle of our company's development going into the commercial phase, with 3 potential launches by the end of 2027 and 2 of those drugs being potential blockbuster indications in terms of financial opportunity. It's not surprising to us that we're in the spotlight of what people might perceive to be an M&A target.
So we have had different flavors and types of rumors. And as we looked at this and we've dealt with it from the internal point of view, the 2 things we're focused on is to make sure our team has their heads down and are in the game. And then we're known for our execution, so we need to continue to execute. And that's what you're going to see us do. I just told you a lot of things that we have in front of us that we have to focus our time and attention to. And we're really excited as we head to these approvals and eventual launches. This is something this team is able to do, has done in the past, and we're really excited to do that.
So now moving on to the commercial opportunity. We are well along. We have really a great situation where del-zota is our first drug indication. And as we move into accelerated approval and launch in the U.S., it gives us the opportunity to build a foundational commercial infrastructure that we can easily leverage across all 3 of our drugs. So as we sit here today, we have a patient services organization stood up. We have MSLs and patient -- I'm sorry, payer reimbursement folks in the field. We're working on site of care. And the last piece we'll put in place is a field force. And so those are right where we want them to be. We've built the hub. We will start to kind of build the field next. And we can leverage that foundation across all 3 of our product opportunities. And we're feeling really good about where we stand from the commercial perspective.
Got it. Thank you. So let's delve into del-zota, the DMD44 program. So you previously reported very impressive exon skipping and dystrophin expression data from the EXPLLORE44 study. And you will be presenting functional data in the fourth quarter of '25. So can you review the previous data and talk about what new data might be presented?
Sure. I can take that one, Yan. So we have previously presented data before -- one little spoiler alert. We have said this week that this data is going to come sooner than Q4. So it will be really by the end of this month that we'll be sharing the del-zota data. And if you look back at what we have presented before, we have shown unprecedented levels of dystrophin increases as well as decreases in creatine kinase. And so the key data that was important -- and of course, we've also had a great safety profile, and we presented all that data as well. But the key thing that was important was that we had a 25% increase in dystrophin in these patients on average. And what that is, is really an increase from a baseline of 7% to 32%.
So it's a really significant jump. And on the CK side, what we have seen is a decrease to near normal levels. And so what we're really excited about, Yanan, for this upcoming data readout is that we're going to, for the first time, be able to show what does functional improvement look like when you've actually had these significant impacts on the biomarkers that are really so significant for DMD.
That -- yes, that's very intriguing because for the first-generation exon skippers, we all know they struggle to show any functional benefit. What insights or learning do you hope to contribute to the field?
Oh gosh, of course, I mean that's a responsibility we think of actually every day in terms of how we present this data. And we know that the patient community is listening as well as, of course, the investment community, the health care community. So as we look to the exon skippers, they pave the path, right? They pave the path for this accelerated approval pathway. And what -- the major difference for our programs in these next-gen exon skippers is delivery to muscle. And I think at the very core of what we are doing is we are delivering the PMOs directly where they need to go. And so that again comes down to why we saw this increase in dystrophin and this decrease in CK. And it's an exciting piece now to see that while the exon skippers have shown some increases, they're much lower percentages, right?
So we're looking really at 1% increase in some cases in dystrophin. And so this is kind of uncharted waters to see what actually happens in functional data when you are really having a significant impact on the biomarkers. So we're kind of looking forward to seeing all of this with everyone else.
Okay. I was wondering what drove the decision to report the data ahead of schedule?
Ahead of schedule. One, you know how we are, and we do like to beat expectations. But I think, two, when we set out these milestones, Mike reminds me this morning, that was December of last year. So some of this is just a timing thing. We are still pretty close to Q4, but it's just coming in a little earlier than we anticipated.
Got it. Got it. Would it be a company release, typical question or medical meeting?
So it's going to be a company release. You should probably expect that we'll do a webcast. The way we think about this is it's not normal in this disease indication for companies to report functional data. So we think it's appropriate to do a webcast.
Got it. Well, can you also give us a sense of patient number, follow-up time and perhaps what functional endpoints because there are a few, right, you could report on.
Sure. So what we're going to be looking at is the -- I think it's 17 patients that have been on the EXPLORE44 trial that were on drug. So remember, we had placebo patients. They will not be included in this because we wanted to look pretty far out so that we could actually get a sense of what this functional data looks like at around a year. So it's going to be those 17 patients, and they'll have been on both the 5 mg per kg and on the 10 mg per kg. And then as you may remember, when we moved everybody to the open-label extension, they've all now shifted to the 5 mg per kg every 6 weeks. making sure I got that right. But yes, 5 mg per kg every 6 weeks. In terms of the functional measures, so we have quite a number of them actually in the EXPLORE44 program and then carrying over into the EXPLORE44-OLE.
So you should expect to see time to rise, 10-meter walk run. The pull is one that is important for the non-ambulatory patients, so that's performance of upper limb. And we'll also be looking at the 4-stair climb. We are, of course, looking at the NSA as well, but the North Star is one that we're planning to show, but it hasn't been our major area of focus in terms of looking at functional.
Great. Yes. One interesting observation is that the median age of your patients is much -- I think it's much older compared with other trials. I think the median age is 16 years in your 5 mg group and 10 or 11 years in your 10 mg group. Could you talk about the reason for that difference? And what implication might that have on the data?
Yes, of course. So we did very purposefully design this trial to be a broad age range. We wanted to get a sense. I mean, this is our first AOC that's PMO delivery. And so we did really want to get an understanding of what that looks like across the broad age range because our goal from the very beginning was that if this was a good proof of concept, we want to move into additional exons down the road. So we were intentional on that age gap there.
In terms of what it means for the data, I mean, what we've seen so far is that, that age range has not impacted our biomarker data. And so we'll have to see how that impacts functional. But one thing we will know is, for example, not everyone will be able to do the ambulatory assessments because we have patients that are non-ambulatory, for example. But beyond that, we're kind of seeing this dystrophin and CK impact across all of these patients. And so it will -- it remains to be seen, but it's not something that we're anticipating having a massive impact on our functional outcomes.
Okay. I feel it's fair to say that older patients, it's harder to show improvement. At least on NSAA, we saw that the gene therapy is more difficult, even adding 1 year of age. So certainly, it will be very interesting to see your data on these patients. So maybe moving into the regulatory realm, you plan to file a BLA by the end of this year. Is that still the timing? And can you remind us of -- this is -- will be an accelerated approval pathway according to what you discussed with FDA. Can you talk about the main filing requirement and give us a sense of your progress towards meeting those requirements?
Sure. So I'm going to kind of take us back to the end of last year, we had a meeting with FDA where we aligned with them that the dystrophin data that we had at the time was sufficient for us to move forward for an accelerated approval. So what we actually did was remove biopsies. So since that data, what we have done is also decide we needed more patients to really increase our safety database, but we did not need more patients to prove the dystrophin that we have shown.
So all of the new participants that have enrolled in EXPLORE44 did not have to have biopsies, for example. And so what we -- really, the major checkmarks here are dystrophin. And from -- for our perspective, CK remains incredibly important for this data package and safety. And we have got -- we've kind of got the box checked on all of those things. And what we are very much on track to file at the end of this year.
Sorry, did you say CK is also important in those trials.
Yes. CK has become -- I mean, for us, it's become something that is really a critical marker in terms of how we're looking at this because it really is looking at muscle preservation as well.
Remind me, was CK present in any of the other labels for approved dystrophin?
I don't think so. I'm not aware of it being there.
Yes. Yes. Certainly, when we talk to some of the KOLs, they were very impressed by the CK findings from your previous data.
I guess what I'd say is I think it's less important. I'm not necessarily speaking about the label per se on CK, but really the fulsome data package that they could get. Those are the 2 pieces that we really see as incredibly compelling.
Right, right. Got it. Got it. I have a curious question. There is this new FDA Commissioner's National Priority voucher. I was wondering, do you have any thoughts on del-zota could be a candidate?
Sure. So I'm happy to answer that one because Yanan, in my -- when I'm not working on the programs, I also cover all of corporate affairs. So I've been doing all of our government affairs work as well. So I pay close attention to all of this. We have been advocating for things like examples like this accelerated pathway for a couple of years now. We've been really involved in the government affairs side and on the policy piece as well. So we are thrilled to see some of these things coming up. When you kind of look at the things that are important for this voucher, we actually believe that not only del-zota, but any one of our programs really kind of fit the bill for this. And as is typical for Avidity, we are going to go forward and explore any of these options to really deliver these drugs to patients as soon as we can.
Got it. Got it. Perhaps let's talk about the market opportunity for Exon 44 and your go-to-market strategy.
Yes. So basically, the way that we're thinking about this is there's about 900 boys and young men in the U.S. that are DMD44 patients. And so those -- of that population, we see about 50% of them go to the same 40 treatment centers or centers of excellence as they would call them. And so we think that with the infrastructure that we've built up and that I described earlier with patient services that central infrastructure added with the field force of probably about 50 people, we can really be able to go after this patient population.
Remember, in the DMD space, these people know they have DMD, they are identified. There's a process that they go through to figure out which exon variant they have. But people who have DMD pretty much know it and are getting seen by the doctors that we see both in the DMD space and also in the myotonic dystrophy and FSHD space. We expect DMD44 will be first-in-class, best-in-class. And as Kath has kind of laid out, we see a reduction of CK to near normal levels, and we can connect the dots because we think that CK level as Cas said is a preservation of muscle. So as we go to the market, we think we'll be the first therapy available to these patients as well as the best therapy available.
Right, right. Maybe thinking on a broader level, but still within DMD, to what degree do you think the results achieved with the DMD44 program could be translated to other exon targets? What strategy do you see as most effective for leveraging from the del-zota to other programs?
Within DMD?
Within DMD.
So look, I mean, we've already -- there's going to be definite leverage, right? We are -- our drug creates near normal length dystrophin and we think that, that's really important for the chronic treatment of the disease. And so we have identified and disclosed that DMD45 is our next target. That program is in pre-IND-enabling studies. And we have done work to identify other sequences that -- for PMOs that would be meaningful to other exon skipping variants. So we look at DMD as a franchise. We look at it as one patient population as they do themselves. And so it will be important to kind of build out this technology for all the patients that could benefit from our treatment.
Got it. Got it. Given that del-zota will be the first antibody conjugated oligonucleotide to reach market, could you give us a sense on COGS? How might it differ from traditional siRNA?
So the way that I would think about COGS, and we've spent a fair amount of time on this across all of our programs because remember, it's important to know that the del-zota drug conjugation is different than the other 2. So with del-desiran and del-brax, it is an siRNA, single siRNA conjugated to a full-length monoclonal antibody. With del-zota, it's approximately 4 PMOs conjugated to a single monoclonal antibody. And so as we move from clinical manufacture to commercial manufacture, we will scale up from 2,000 liters to 10,000 liters to 15,000 liters to 20,000 liters to 25,000 liters. So these -- as we kind of go to commercial COGS, if you will, we are going to experience the benefit of larger scale batches. And so as we hit run rate across all of them, even with the complexity introduced with the del-zota 4 PMO conjugation, our COGS is going to be 10% to 15%.
Got it. Maybe pivoting to the del-brax program for FSHD. There, you had recently announced exciting accelerated approval pathway on a novel biomarker endpoint. Could you remind us of that arrangement? And have you had any additional interactions with the FDA on this AA path since the last announcement? And what might be the update?
Sure. So importantly, I think people have to remember that we actually had 2 conversations with the FDA and our first conversation was about the confirmatory pathway, so a full approval pathway for the approval of del-brax. And that was really important to us to make sure that we were kind of off and running on the full approval strategy. We had in late 2024, already started the biomarker study, right? And we actually fully enrolled the biomarker study in March of 2025. So that was the second conversation. What's the accelerated approval pathway in the United States based on a biomarker.
And so the same people that were in the room on both sides of the table were reconvened, if you will, after the confirmatory study to talk about the accelerated approval path. So the regulators knew that there was a confirmatory study. In fact, at the same time we announced the accelerated approval pathway, we had already begun the confirmatory study. So it was a deep conversation with the regulators on what the accelerated approval pathway would be. And so what we've announced on that is that the primary marker is cDUX which is a circulating biomarker that we discovered that is -- we can prove to be highly present when somebody is exhibiting DUX4, which is an aberrant expression of a gene and is not so present for people who are not expressing DUX4.
We were able to kind of show that if you reduce this biomarker, functional benefits could accrue. And those are the things that we're working on now in the accelerated approval pathway. So this is the -- so the accelerated approval study is the one that I talked about at the beginning, where we'll announce the data from that in the second quarter of 2026, and we expect to be filing a BLA in the second half of 2026 for that study.
Got it. Got it. So let's talk about the data that you plan to share in the second quarter. Can you give us a sense of patient number, the follow-up and the endpoints there?
Yes. It's just over 50 patients, right? It's a 2:1 randomized trial. It's a 1-year follow-up. And so we expect to be showing the impact that we've had on the biomarker, which we call cDUX because it's really hard to say all the letters of the actual one, but it is in our corporate deck. And secondarily, we'll be measuring CK. And Kath just talked about in DMD, what an important marker CK is in our minds in terms of muscle preservation. Remember also in the biomarker study, because we started it before the conversation with the FDA, we actually are tracking everything. So that study did have a biopsy, and we are measuring, obviously, cDUX and CK, and we're actually also measuring the functional benefits, which would be 10-meter walk run, timed up and go and QMT. So it will be a fulsome data readout when we get there.
Got it. Got it. Speaking of your filing in second half of '26, will there be a pre-BLA meeting? What will be the focus for that meeting?
So yes, we would typically have a pre-BLA meeting for really any of these. And the major goal for that, Yanan, is the FDA really -- they gave us very fulsome feedback when we talked with them earlier this year. The pre-BLA meeting is basically an ability for us to go back to them and say, okay, here's kind of what we've pulled together based on what you've told us to do, and let's make sure that the package we give you is actually what you're asking for. So it's an important step in the process. But pre-BLA meetings are not -- they're also not gating in any way to actually filing your BLA. They're important and helpful along the path.
Got it. Got it. Do you have a sense of -- for the secondary endpoints for the accelerated approval path? Do you need to hit a certain trend or statistic or in one or more of the endpoints? Any sense on that front?
The accelerated approval is really based on the cDUX and really, that is the key thing. The secondary endpoint is actually CK. So all of the functional tests are actually more exploratory endpoints. I do not think that they are required. And with this disease, we're kind of paving the path here. And as you can see from the design of our FORTITUDE trial, we also are paving the path on what it means for FSHD to see progression and to see a change in that based on a drug like del-brax. So you'll see in that trial design is 18 months. This one is 12 months. And so I think we are hopeful, as we've already shown some very interesting data, right, on the functional improvement side, but I do not believe it is required for the filing.
Got it. And the confirmatory study that we were -- that you were alluding to earlier has started -- has been initiated recently, right? I'm not sure -- can you give a sense of patient physician interest or enrollment timing and momentum? Any color there?
Well, you've worked with us long enough to know Yanan, we do not go slowly on things. So we will enroll that program. The one thing that we're being very thoughtful about, and we did this also with the HARBOR study is these are the first phase -- like -- well, actually, in FSHD, that's not the case, but this is the first disease-modifying therapy. We really want this to be a global trial. And so we are -- one of the things that's going to drive that time line in terms of when we actually get to our last patient in for that trial will be when we are able to get Europe up and Japan as well. But we are actively working on doing that now. And that trial is open and ongoing. And as far as the patient community, I mean, FSHD is an incredible -- all the ones we work with are really incredible. FSHD is incredibly organized. And when I tell you there really isn't a day that goes by that we don't hear from patients about the excitement behind this, that is true. I mean this community is very excited and waiting for something.
Great. Definitely looking forward to further update. In the remainder of the time, let's definitely talk about del-desiran for DM1. You have completed enrollment back in July for the 159-patient study. Congrats on that. Top line from the study are expected in the second quarter of next year. Primary and secondary endpoints are measured at week 30, which will be around March 2026, if I do the math correctly. But the study will continue towards week 54 for safety follow-up. So the question we get from investors is that do you need to unblind the study when you do the week 30 analysis? And if that's the case, how you handle that?
We do not need to unblind the study. Patients and investigators will remain blind to the study. We'll have an internal process that keeps that true internally, too. But -- so the reason for this is we can -- we are powered to meet all of our primary and secondary endpoints by week 30. And we do need more safety data than 30 weeks. So this is the reason we go from 30 to 54 weeks. Of course, we'll maintain the trial with all the measures during that time. But what's going to be important is the 120-day safety data beyond the week 30. And so what we'll be doing is working on the efficacy data from week 30 on and then update with the safety data at week 54 when we do the filing for the BLA.
So it is still a blinded study. At week 30, we do intend -- we would expect that we will be announcing whether or not we've met the primary endpoint and what the p-value is. Obviously, that would be important.
Got it. Got it. And on the vHOT primary endpoint, what would be your expectation for the data? And what is the bar for approval?
Sure. So I think if you take the high-level view for HARBOR, Yanan, so of course, video hand opening time as a measure of myotonia is our primary endpoint. But we are looking at this study in its totality. So we are looking to measure all of the different endpoints that go from myotonia to strength to patient-reported outcomes as well. We have to hit the primary endpoint. I think there's no question, right? We -- of course, that's the goal. We're very confident in that. And in terms of how we need to do that, we've just ensured that we've really powered the study quite well that we really feel confident going into this data readout.
Got it. And for the secondary endpoints of hand grip and QMT, is there any requirement there for the approval?
Obviously, the primary is the most important one. We do view the secondaries as important as well. I'm not sure that there's a regulatory requirement for that so much, but we have designed this study for reimbursement as well. And so we are looking to have a really fulsome package that covers a number of the challenges for patients living with myotonic dystrophy with the study.
Great. I have one last question. You plan to report the MARINA-OLE data in the fourth quarter, as you mentioned. What would be the incremental learning from that readout?
So what we are planning to present is you've seen our 4 mg per kg patients. So these are the patients that started on 4 mg per kg in MARINA. We've shown the 1-year data. What we're looking to show this time is our 24-month data and the package that we're putting together or that the team is putting together will focus really around safety, but also around consistency, really trying to see that consistency from what we saw in year 1 following through that these patients are still having a good experience on del-desiran.
Got it. Got it. With that, I think we're out of time. Really thank the team for this very wholesome update and all the insights.
Thank you, Yanan.
Thank you.
Thanks, everyone.
Avidity Biosciences Inc — Cantor Global Healthcare Conference 2025
1. Question Answer
Okay. Good morning once again, everyone. My name is Eric Schmidt. I'm one of the cancer analysts. I am delighted to host our next session with Avidity Biosciences. I'm also delighted to welcome 2 of the company's senior executives. We have with us today Sarah Boyce, who's the company's President and CEO; and also Steve Hughes, the company's Chief Medical Officer. I think somewhere in the audience, Kat Lange may be here as well. She's the Chief Business Officer. There she is.
So pretty much the whole team and lots and lots to cover. An exciting period of time for Avidity coming off what's been a tremendous run in terms of executing along 3 muscle disease programs.
So Sarah, maybe you could just orient all of us to the highlights of the company right now.
Yes. So maybe I'll start with vision because that really is our guiding star. We're looking to do 2 things: revolutionize the RNA space and make a profound impact in people's lives. It's a very bold vision, we laid it out 6 years ago. This is our guiding star, and that sets us to where we are today, where we have 3 programs in the late stages of development.
The first being del-zota for boys and young men amenable to exon 44 skipping. And we are on track and on schedule to file our first BLA as a company at the end of this year and that will be the BLA for del-zota. We then have del-brax for the treatment of FSHD; and del-desiran for the treatment of myotonic dystrophy.
The HARBOR study, which is our global Phase III pivotal study in myotonic dystrophy, we completed enrollment on schedule, on track in July. And we're now guiding to data readout in Q2 of next year, first-in-class, best-in-class drug.
And for FSHD, we completed enrollment on the FORTITUDE biomarker study in March of this year. And we have also reached alignment with the FDA around cDUX as being the primary endpoint for an accelerated approval. And that study is also reading out in the second quarter of next year.
So 3 drugs, 2 of them first-in-class, best-in-class in areas where there is such a high medical need. And then with del-zota, we're looking to really reset the bar as to what is possible in DMD and really looking forward to that data as well. And we're gearing up to globally commercialize our drugs ourselves. They are all synergistic with each other, same core point for myotonic dystrophy and FSHD as well as having a really exciting platform and set of preclinical assets behind it that also will be synergistic with each other.
Okay. And before we get too deep in the weeds, I don't want to lose sight of where all these drugs came from. They all came from the same platform, which enables muscle delivery. Steve, why is it important to deliver nucleotide therapy to the muscle? And how does the platform maybe compare to others in the field?
Great question. So for many years, RNA therapeutics really could only target the liver with systemic delivery. You needed to deliver directly into the cerebrospinal fluid for CNS delivery, for example, and delivery to muscle, cardiac tissue, they were really known to be very poor tissues for delivery of RNA therapeutics.
So in order -- but there's a number of neuromuscular diseases that really lend themselves to treatment with RNA-type therapeutics, toxic gain of function diseases, diseases where really exon skipping can make a profound difference to the underlying course of disease.
So getting into the muscle was exceedingly important. We've really led the field in doing that and have continued to lead the field over the years in targeting muscle with our antibody oligonucleotide conjugates or AOCs for short. And there, we use a monoclonal antibody that targets the transferrin receptor.
Transferrin receptor is very highly expressed on muscles. And we use that antibody and the transferrin receptor to essentially pull the RNA target inside the cell where it can do its work. We now have 3 programs utilizing the same platform, as Sarah said.
We get extremely high delivery to muscle. In fact, in comparison with the other targeted delivery mechanisms, we get about a three to fivefold higher delivery to muscle than those platforms. And we've seen that delivery to muscle translate into exceedingly good pharmacodynamic and clinical effects. And we've seen the clinical effects over 2 of our programs, and we're very excited to be sharing the clinical endpoints for the DMD program very shortly.
And then maybe one last macro question. Sarah, I'm going to ask you to comment on the latest rumors, not Taylor Swift, we spoke about that earlier. But there has been rumors of acquisition interest in your company. What, if anything, do you want to share about that?
Yes. Look, I would say we're now entering into an era, not the Taylor Swift pun, we're now entering into an era where we're probably going to have a lot of rumors about us and around interest in Avidity. But we have 3 drugs that we're looking to launch in a 12-month period.
Two of those drugs, we believe are multibillion dollar indications. So extremely valuable. And I expect, yes, there's going to be lots of rumors about us. What I will say is for us as a team, we're 100% focused on delivering to patients and getting our drugs to patients as quickly as possible because we believe as does the patient community, the clinical community, and I think starting the investor community now as well, and I know you're a big supporter of, that we have the potential to make a profound impact in tens of thousands of people's lives, and that's what we're focused on.
Okay. The execution has indeed been very crisp over the last couple of years. Of course, we're all about what have you done for us lately. Let's go through each of the programs. And maybe, Steve, you can just briefly recap del-zota, which is, I think, for DMD44, the next updated dataset that we'll be seeing. What have we already learned about del-zota and what do you think we have remaining to learn in the next update?
Okay. Thanks, Eric. So the data that we've shared so far has been really, really exciting and actually groundbreaking in DMD treatment. So we deliver PMO that skips exon 44. So obviously, treatment of exon 44 skip-amenable patients. We shared data from -- the top line data from our EXPLORE44 study earlier this year, where we showed unprecedented levels of dystrophin production.
So put that into context, the current generation of exon skippers are really producing 1%, 2%, 3% levels of dystrophin. We saw a 25% increase in dystrophin levels. So that took patients and in DMD44, the kids do produce a little bit of dystrophin. So from a baseline of around 7% to over 30% dystrophin.
And putting it again in further context, female carriers of Duchenne have about 50% dystrophin and they have a normal phenotype. So we're getting dystrophin levels that are very close to those that are associated with a normal phenotype.
The other thing that we saw, and we looked at markers of muscle damage, so creatine kinase, myoglobin, ALT, AST, those are all extremely elevated in kids with DMD, reflecting the ongoing and severe muscle damage they have whenever they contract their muscle. Those came down to near normal very, very quickly within just a couple of doses.
And they stayed down at near-normal levels through the entire duration of follow-up. And at our last update, we had patients that have gone through the 1-year time point, and saw those levels staying down. And what that tells us is that we're protecting the muscles from further damage with the levels of near full-length dystrophin that we're making.
Very shortly, we're going to be providing clinical updates. So we're going to be looking at clinical endpoint data in these kids, and we're going to focus on the kids that have gone through at least 1 year of continuous treatment with del-zota. So we're really, really excited to look at what happens when you protect these muscles from damage over a long period of time, exactly the potential that they have to regenerate and for kids to improve on these measures of function.
So you mentioned the genetics of females with DMD44 mutations being near-normal. Should we expect functional gains? Is improvement possible here?
I really believe that improvement is possible. So we -- our hope is that we can see meaningful improvements, not just in one area, but across multiple different functional endpoints in these kids to really give them the fullest potential that they can have.
And what's remaining to be determined in terms of filing for an FDA approval?
So we're on track to file for BLA submission for the accelerated approval by the end of the year, so Q4. There's nothing that's gating to that. Really, we've done everything that we need to do. We need -- the one thing that's left is really just continuing to follow up all of the patients in the studies for a long enough period of time that the safety database is large enough for FDA approval. That's coming up very, very soon. And so we have everything that we need very shortly to file by the end of the year.
Sarah, a lot of turnover at the FDA, maybe even some turmoil at the FDA, put that in perspective with regard to your regulatory discussions, maybe even more broadly than del-zota.
Yes. So -- and it is very much more broadly than del-zota. One of the areas of synergy that we have from 3 programs is that they are all 3 programs in the same division at the agency, which is [indiscernible]. We speak to the same people all the time, similar reviewers across the program.
We have seen the division to really do a tremendous job. They are on time with their feedback. They are collaborative, helpful, detailed. And we haven't seen any impact at a division level. Obviously, we all understand sort of the elements of turmoil at a leadership level within the agency, but we haven't seen anything like that from a division level.
And I would also say one of the aspects of having multiple programs with the same division is the reviewers also see the consistency from one program to another. And also, we've seen really understand these diseases that we're in and the importance of being able to get drug to patients as quickly as possible. So we found them to be very helpful across every single program.
Okay. So del-zota is going to be your first commercial launch. You also have synergies across the commercial platform. But what are you doing to prepare for that launch? And maybe briefly, could you help us sort of thumbnail size this opportunity?
Yes. So from a commercial launch perspective, we're really very well along. We have our patient services team in place, MSLs in field, our payer engagement team in field, site of care team is being built and some of them are in field as well. So all of that preparation aspect and infrastructure is already in place.
If you look from a supply chain perspective, we have that dialed in. We have selected our specialty pharmacy and then working with the site of care team to make sure the boys can get their infusions. So all of that is dialed in also. And this is a platform that will then scale for del-desiran and also del-brax.
So our plan is we do this all with the same team. The sales force organization is obviously not in place. Pretty small team. For DMD, it's about 50 specialist centers, and it's super concentrated. It's about 80% of patients are being seen under those specialist centers, although a lot of their care is also outside.
So that's a pretty small field force organization. We'll probably increase it a little bit for FSHD in myotonic dystrophy, but not that much. It will be the same. From a physician perspective, they'll speak to the same person at Avidity across all 3 programs. Our patient advocacy team, we've had -- actually, we had someone in patient advocacy before the IPO.
We have an outstanding patient advocacy team. We're also building our ex-U.S. team as well. We have a small team, a really small team in Europe. Actually, our Head of Europe just started, her first day was on Monday, thrilled to have her on board. We're currently looking for a GM for Japan as well because it's all the same infrastructure that we'll use, which gives you these incredible economies of scale.
What I would say with regards to del-zota around sizing of the opportunity, there's about 900 boys and young men amenable to exon 44 skipping in the U.S., a bit larger in Europe, obviously, a bigger population. And we view that del-zota will be the treatment of choice for families who have boys with DMD44, even based on the data that we've already seen from dystrophin near normalization of creatine kinase, favorable safety and tolerability profile and also we'll build on that further with the functional data that we're looking forward to share. So from that aspect, we would anticipate a pretty quick uptake for del-zota.
Great. Maybe we'll transition del-desiran for...
[indiscernible] the functional data that you mentioned is that going to be coming out with the year end update or is that coming later?
So just for those who are listening to the webcast, there was a question around the timing for the functional data from the EXPLORE open-label extension study. So this is at a 12-month time point. We have been guiding for Q4 for that. We also like to overachieve. So that's actually coming in the next couple of weeks. That is not needed for filing.
The filing and the basis of the accelerated approval is on the increase in dystrophin. Obviously, it would be part of the overall filing package, but it's not part of the filing, and we're really looking forward to sharing that data soon.
Okay. Maybe we'll now move to del-desiran and see back to you. Again, remind us of what we've already seen with this program. And this is the second of the 2 clinical updates that you still have yet to deliver in 2025. So benchmark for us what we might be seeing there?
Yes. So we've already shared data over 1 year of follow-up. So 1 year is the duration of our Phase III study. And at the last update, we showed that we saw very rapid improvements in our primary endpoint and our 3 key secondary endpoints that we have in the HARBOR Phase III study. So those improved the measure of myotonia, which is the video hand opening time, that actually was statistically significant in the MARINA study by the 6-week time point.
And then the other 3 endpoints really saw meaningful changes within the 3- to 6-month time frame. Those changes were maintained and actually continue to improve a little bit through the follow-up of 12 months compared -- and we compared to the NDM1 natural history data set where we match patients for that 1-year follow-up, and we saw that as compared with natural history, we are actually reversing disease progression in these patients.
So that's really encouraging to see. We also had really favorable long-term safety as well. So in the coming update, which is going to come in Q4, we're looking to now look at the 2-year time point for these participants. So these are the participants in the study that have been on continuous treatment at 4 mg per kg ever since the beginning of the MARINA study.
They're now out for over 2 years of continuous treatment. And again, we're going to be comparing those patients with natural history. We're getting extremely good feedback from the sites. So we get anecdotal feedback from patients all of the time from the sites, and we also have the exit interviews that we've done from the MARINA-OLE study to guide us as well. And so our expectation is that we're again going to see very consistent data through that 2-year time point, and again, very favorable safety.
And I think most investors are convinced of the impact that you have on myotonia given video hand opening is just a black and white measure. There's probably more debate or discussion about whether this drug is also impacting muscle function. What would you say to that debate to provide us with evidence that there is an impact.
Yes. So I mean, myotonia, of course, is the cardinal symptom of the disease. It's in the name, myotonic dystrophy. But what we aim to do with our other endpoints is to capture the other important elements of the disease, and we also have patient-reported outcomes in the Phase III study as well.
Muscle strength is one of our key secondary endpoints. We're looking at multiple muscles in the upper limb and the lower limb there. Overall, that tells us how body strength is improving with the disease. But also, we can look at the individual muscles as well to look for consistency of response.
We're looking at hand grip strength as a secondary outcome measure. Hand obviously extremely important in activities of daily living. We all use our hands throughout the day. But hand grip strength is a measure of hand closure, together with the video hand opening time, which looks at hand opening, gives us a gross assessment of hand motor function.
And then we're looking at a patient-reported outcome measure, which is the DM1 active which looks at activities of daily living. So that tells us how the improvements that we're seeing in myotonia, how the improvements that we're seeing in muscle strength in hand function are translating into benefits in the ability of the patients to care for themselves and go about their daily activities.
So really, we believe that we've captured many of the important elements of the disease with the endpoints that we're looking at. We've already seen very convincing changes that occur in the short term and are maintained and improve a little bit more over the 12-month time frame.
Within the HARBOR study, we're cutting the primary endpoint at week 30. All of the endpoints have improved substantially by week 30. And then we have additional follow-up through week 54 primarily for safety. So we believe that we derisked the Phase III study from an endpoint perspective because we've already seen the endpoints improve and be maintained over the duration of time that we conduct in Phase III.
We already have safety data through well beyond 1 year of follow-up is extremely favorable. So we believe we're derisked from a safety perspective. And we've got alignment with global regulators, so FDA, EMA, PMDA, other global regulators as well, and the design of the Phase III study supports global full approval.
And how would you argue that your therapy is not just first-in-class, but best-in-class?
Okay. Obviously, we've been leading the field in delivery to muscle for quite some time now. So I don't think there's any debate about us being first-in-class here.
On best-in-class, as I already mentioned, we get extremely good delivery to muscle, three to fivefold higher than the other targeted delivery mechanisms. With RNA therapeutics, it's all about delivery. Everything is about delivery. The more RNA you can get in, the more improvement that you can see.
But also specific to DM1, where del-desiran is the first drug to show improvements in splicing, not just across the 22 gene panel, but across hundreds of different genes. In fact, well over 1,000 different genes we've shown improvements in splicing. That's important because myotonic dystrophy is a global splicing dysregulation. There's not just a narrow subset of genes that are misspliced, just about every gene is misspliced.
So showing across such a wide range of genes that we're improving splicing is incredibly important. We're also the -- del-desiran is the only drug to have also shown dose-dependent increases in muscle blind. And remember, it's sequestration of muscleblind-like mutant DMPK that causes this global missplicing.
So by freeing up muscle blind in a dose-dependent fashion, that translates into the very convincing clinical endpoints that I just mentioned as well. And of course, we now have long-term safety out through more than 2.5 years, in fact, of patients continuously on drug that's looking incredibly favorable as well. So we really have the industry-leading safety database. So many, many, many different things...
We'll give you a break and come on to the commercial opportunity in DM1 and Lucera. Just to frame this opportunity for us, how many of these patients in the U.S. are identified and maybe who's most or which type of patients are most appropriate for therapy?
Yes. Thank you. So myotonic dystrophy is a pretty big orphan disease. So estimated at the lower end, 40,000 patients living with myotonic dystrophy in the U.S. If you do an ICD-10 database search, which, of course, we have in a lot of detail, you'll find at a surface level about 15,000 people already diagnosed genetically concerned with myotonic dystrophy in the U.S.
you do cleanup for duplications and it's actually that number is around about 10,000. So these are people already identified. Of the ones who are already identified, the majority are under the curve of a specialist center, although people are not seeing their specialists that often. So typically would be once a year, if not once every 3 years.
I say and this is important because it's also part of that commercial setup to get people back into the specialist centers so they can start to get appropriate treatment. From a label perspective, the HARBOR study is designed to support an indication for the treatment of myotonic dystrophy.
We're 16 and above in the study. And also when we design our studies, we actually do our payer research first in making sure that we have a study design that also supports rapid pricing and reimbursement at our target price. So that's something that we put a lot of prework in there.
And it's this aspect of we believe our lead has really only expanded in the U.S. And obviously, we're the only company that has a study designed for global reimbursement and approval, and we'll look to file for approval in Europe and Japan in pretty short order after the U.S. approval as well.
Very -- there is a very high level of unmet need in myotonic dystrophy. People who are living with myotonic dystrophy have simply had absolutely nothing. And it's a disease that impacts families. You'll see it go through generations and you'll meet who talk about this is our family thing, and it's like cousins, it's uncles, it's brothers, it's sisters, it's kids.
And from that aspect around for us, the importance of getting out the gate really strong from when it comes to launch. One of the things we've also done is -- actually filed an 8-K around it is, we have secured and signed a global commercial supply agreement with Lonza, who is the primary -- our primary manufacturer and manufactures the antibody and does the conjugation.
And we're also in the process right now of building our inventory from that aspect to make sure that we have sufficient drug with regards to potential demand. So really far along from that aspect. And del-desiran first-in-class, best-in-class. And best-in-class is about 2 things. It's about efficacy and it's about safety.
And you've already seen the remarkable consistency in the data that we've shown on a broad range of functional measures literally every way we looked at it. At one point, we looked at 16 different measures and then also a very favorable and consistent safety and tolerability profile as well.
Okay. Let's transition to FSHD and del-brax, where, again, you're first-in-class really only in class for the time being. Steve, just tell us a little bit about what gives you confidence that we're having an impact on this disease with del-brax.
Great question. Thanks, Eric. We did a disclosure related to del-brax very, very recently from the dose escalation cohorts in the FORTITUDE study. And in that data set, we saw very, very clear improvements in our circulating biomarker's data, and that's really game-changing for the field because it allows us to look at DUX4 suppression over time and also integrates what's going on in all of the muscles in the body so we can move away from muscle biopsies.
We saw reductions in creatine kinase as well that correlated very highly with the changes in cDUX, that tells us that we're improving muscle health and preventing muscle damage. And we looked at a number of different clinical endpoints. So we looked at 10-meter walk run, QMT, timed up and go. We looked at reachable workspace on the clinical side and compared with placebo over a 12-month period.
We saw very clear improvements across all of those measures. And then we also looked at a number of different patient-reported outcomes where we also saw very clear improvements in the patients as compared with placebo as well. So across whichever way you looked at it on the clinical side, we saw improvements relative to placebo for the del-brax-treated participants.
And on the biomarker side, we've really joined up all of the dots from giving the drug to the patient through target pathway engagement all the way through to clinical outcome measures and patient-reported outcomes.
In terms of the accelerated approval, we've got full alignment with FDA now about exactly what we need to use our circulating biomarker as the primary endpoint for accelerated approval and CK as a key secondary endpoint, and we're executing on that now. Some of the things that we've already done.
So we know that cDUX is DUX4 regulated, it has DUX4 binding sites in the promoter region. We've shown that it's elevated in patients, both in the FORTITUDE study and in the ReSolve natural history study. It's about six to ninefold elevated over normal people. In normal people, it's barely detectable or detected only at low abundance.
We've shown in natural history that high levels of cDUXs correlate both with more severe disease and with more rapid progression on multiple different measures. And within the FORTITUDE study, we've shown that improvements in cDUXs correlate with improvements in quantitative muscle testing, so improvements in muscle strength.
So we've already built a very, very strong database to support the burden that you need to show for getting an accelerated approval, which is that changes in the biomarker are reasonably be likely to predict clinical benefit. So now we're just building on that.
But the biomarker cohort will have an additional 49 patients worth of data that we can look at to do the correlations. And also, we're exploring these correlations in other natural history data sets as well to strengthen the overall package.
I think you anticipated all my clinical questions with one swoop. Maybe quickly, Sarah, in just the last few minutes here, the opportunity in FSHD, size that for us? And how do you go after it without having maybe functional data at launch, but just an accelerated approval?
So at a very simple level because we're tight on time. FSHD looks very much like myotonic dystrophy from a patient population size, diagnosed patients, patient distribution, level of unmet need. I'd say the FSHD community is extraordinarily well organized from that aspect.
And very much -- these are 2 launches that we'll be looking to execute pretty much back to back. Both of the Phase II -- both of the data is reading out in Q2 next year, and we're guiding for planned regulatory filings for a BLA for FSHD and myotonic dystrophy in the second half of next year. So I would look at FSHD as being similar to, if not bigger, than myotonic dystrophy from a potential opportunity size.
Sarah, Steve, thank you very much for a wonderful session, and good luck with the upcoming readouts.
Thanks, Eric.
Thank you.
Financial data from Avidity Biosciences Inc
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
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%
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| Revenue | 41 41 |
285%
285%
100%
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| - Direct Costs | - - |
-
-
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|
| Gross Profit | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 55 55 |
55%
55%
132%
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| - Research and Development Expense | 76 76 |
81%
81%
185%
|
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| EBITDA | -89 -89 |
83%
83%
-215%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 0.82 0.82 |
73%
73%
2%
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| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | -90 -90 |
83%
83%
-217%
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| Net Profit | -86 -86 |
81%
81%
-209%
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In millions USD.
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Company Profile
Avidity Biosciences, Inc., a biopharmaceutical company, engages in the development of oligonucleotide-based therapies. It develops antibody oligonucleotide conjugates (AOC) designed to treat a range of serious diseases. The company's lead product candidate is AOC 1001 for treatment of myotonic dystrophy type 1; and four other muscle programs, which focus on the treatment of muscle atrophy, duchenne muscular dystrophy, facioscapulohumeral muscular dystrophy, and Pompe disease. It utilizes its proprietary AOC platform to design, engineer, and develop therapeutics that combine tissue selectivity of monoclonal antibodies and precision of oligonucleotide therapies to access previously undruggable tissue and cell types, and target underlying genetic drivers of diseases. The company also has development programs that focuses on immune and other cell types. Avidity Biosciences, Inc. was founded in 2012 and is based in La Jolla, California.


