Elmos Semiconductor Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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Invest better with AI
StocksGuide Unlimited – full access to AI analyses
👉 More detailed insights
👉 Exclusive perspectives on opportunities & risks
👉 Clear answers to your questions
Invest better with AI
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👉 More detailed insights
👉 Exclusive perspectives on opportunities & risks
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Is Elmos Semiconductor a Top Scorer Stock based on the Dividend, High-Growth-Investing or Leverman Strategy?
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = €2.32b | Revenue (TTM) = €624.52m
Market Cap = €2.32b | Estimated Revenue = €670.34m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = €2.31b | Revenue (TTM) = €624.52m
Enterprise Value = €2.31b | Forward Revenue = €670.34m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
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Elmos Semiconductor Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
10 Analysts have issued a Elmos Semiconductor forecast:
Analyst Opinions
10 Analysts have issued a Elmos Semiconductor forecast:
Elmos Semiconductor Events
Past Events
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AUG
4
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
about 2 months ago
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MAY
5
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
5 months ago
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FEB
24
Analyst/Investor Day - Elmos Semiconductor SE
7 months ago
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FEB
24
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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NOV
4
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
11 months ago
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Elmos Semiconductor — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Gentlemen, and welcome to the Elmos Semiconductor SE Conference Call regarding the results of Q2 2026. The conference will be recorded. [Operator Instructions] Let me now turn the floor over to your host, Dr. Arne Schneider, CEO.
Ladies and gentlemen, good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Elmos conference call covering our results for the second quarter and first half of 2026. Thank you very much for joining us today and for your continued interest in Elmos. Following an outstanding start to the year, we continued our strong operational execution in the second quarter.
We again delivered profitable growth, further improved our operating profitability and generated significantly higher cash flows compared with the previous year. These ongoing positive achievements are the results of the strength of our business model, our excellent strategic positioning and our disciplined execution.
And with a very successful first half behind us, we fully confirm our ambitious guidance for the full year 2026. Our consistent operational execution continues to be recognized by the capital markets. Despite elevated AI-related volatility across the semiconductor sector in recent weeks, the Elmos share price has increased by around 50% year-to-date, resulting in our inclusion in the German Mid-Cap Index, MDAX in June.
This marks another important milestone in the company's development and will further increase our visibility among international institutional investors. So let me start with an update about the current semiconductor market.
Demand for our innovative analog mixed signal semiconductor solution continues at a high level. China remains a growth driver, while product ramps in Japan, Korea and a slightly better demand across Europe and America further support our business. Importantly, our growth continues to be driven by structural trends rather than short-term fluctuations in global vehicle production.
Electrification, ADAS, software-defined vehicles and increasingly intelligent vehicle architectures continue to increase semiconductor content per vehicle. These trends create an attractive long-term growth environment for us. At the same time, we continue to monitor foundry capacity and the evolving semiconductor supply chain very closely.
While demand for our analog mixed signal automotive semiconductors continues to be robust, we see clear signs of tighter 8-inch wafer capacity. AI-driven power semiconductors for data centers are also processed at least partly on the same wafer size as our Elmos products. And as foundries and OSATs increasingly prioritize fast-growing AI applications, automotive capacity is expected to become more constrained, resulting in higher wafer and assembly costs. We have successfully managed similar situations before.
As in the past, we expect that allocation-related cost increases will be passed to customers in a disciplined and balanced way. Recent pricing actions announced across the semiconductor industry reinforce our view that pricing may strengthen in the second half of the year. Based on our experience during the 2021 to '23 allocation cycle, we believe Elmos is very well-positioned.
Our fabless business model, diversified manufacturing partnerships and long-standing foundry as well as customer relationships position Elmos well to navigate this environment. Therefore, we see limited downside risk and potential upside from selective pricing actions as well as opportunities to further strengthen our market position. Our product pipeline remains very encouraging, and we continue to win excellent new business across regions and applications.
Year-to-date, we have successfully acquired new projects with a lifetime volume of more than EUR 400 million, around 6% of our annual target. As these design wins convert into serial production programs over the coming years, they provide excellent visibility for future growth. In addition, robotics is developing into an increasingly attractive opportunity for Elmos. We continue to expand our customer base, deepen relationships with leading robotics players globally.
Although the business, of course, as you all know, is still at an early stage, the progress we have made in the recent quarters reinforces our confidence that robotics can become an attractive additional growth pillar for Elmos over time. Let me now continue with the financial highlights of the first half and the second quarter of 2026. Sales increased by more than 15% year-on-year to EUR 314.5 million during the first half, reflecting continued strong customer demand and successful product launches.
Sales in the second quarter continued to increase as planned by more than 6% sequentially or 11% year-on-year to EUR 162 million. We are also confident about the second half of the year. Based on the midpoint of our full year guidance, we expect H2 sales of approximately EUR 338 million. In addition, selective pricing action driven by the current allocation environment could provide some upside.
While it is still too early to quantify the potential impact, this represents for sure an opportunity for the second half. Gross margin in the first half was 45.2%, improving by 3 percentage points year-over-year. The increase is mainly due to the higher volume and cost improvements. Like in the previous quarters, gross profit was impacted by higher gold prices in assembly as well as higher foundry and OSAT costs.
At 27.5% of sales, OpEx in H1 was higher due to the onetime expense in G&A of around EUR 12 million, resulting from the fair value revaluation of the share-based compensation. As we have already announced in May, the stock-based compensation will be settled in cash for the time being instead of equity, meaning transfer of shares due to the almost complete cancellation of the company's treasury shares.
The underlying incentive plans or the number of shares that may be granted, of course, remain unchanged. The only change is the settlement mechanism. Under IFRS, the change from equity to cash settled triggers a different accounting treatment. So please note that the EUR 12.1 million P&L onetime impact in Q2 are also based on a share price of EUR 180. If I look today, this is not the case. But if we look at the end of the quarter, this was the case.
So at a share price of, say, around EUR 150, the P&L impact would be a lot lower. It would be half or less of the EUR 12 million. So going forward, these noncash accounting effects will move up or down with the share price each quarter. Since they are purely valuation-driven and unrelated to the underlying operating performance of the business, they are excluded from our financial guidance, which shows the operational performance of our company.
We think this is reasonable, and this is, by the way, also what almost all other companies that run such programs do. Since 2020, share-based incentive plans have been granted to approximately 20 senior executives, including members of the Management Board. At the time of grant, these plans had a total value of EUR 5.4 million, and are linked to the share price performance until the end of 2035. So this is when the longest running program actually runs out.
So since the first LTI programs were granted in October 2020, the company's value has increased by almost tenfold as of the valuation date end of the quarter 2. So this higher share price, of course, benefits shareholders while naturally also increases the value of the long-term incentive programs. Returning to the business. Operating EBIT increased to EUR 75.8 million, corresponding to an operating margin of 24.1%.
This is an improvement of nearly 4 percentage points year-over-year. This outstanding development highlights the strength of our business model and our continued focus on profitable growth and operational excellence. Including the mentioned IFRS accounting effect, the reported EBIT reached EUR 63.7 million in the first half of the year. So even including the nonoperational effects, the EBIT is well above the prior year level.
Capital expenditures remained very disciplined at only 2.8% of sales in H1 despite continued growth. Our previous investments in manufacturing efficiency and test optimization enable us to support higher volumes while maintaining a lean capital base. One of the most encouraging developments is our ongoing improvement in cash generation.
Operating adjusted free cash flow reached EUR 55 million or 17.7% of sales during the first 6 months, an increase of around 150% compared to last year. This underlines the successful transformation of Elmos towards a business with significantly stronger cash conversion and higher capital returns.
Ladies and gentlemen, let me finish my presentation with the market outlook and our guidance for the fiscal year 2026. S&P projects in its latest July forecast a global production volume of 91.1 million new vehicles. This is down around 2% versus 2025. As we have, however, highlighted consistently, growth in the automotive semiconductor market is not only driven by the underlying vehicle production.
Instead, it is fueled by powerful trends that continue to drive semiconductor content per vehicle higher. On top of these structural tailwinds, Elmos is benefiting from the many design wins secured in recent years. Together, these factors position us to continue outperforming both the automotive semiconductor market and our peers while providing a solid foundation for achieving our long-term growth objectives.
Based on the strong first half execution performance, the continued high demand for our product and the visibility provided by our product pipeline, we fully confirm our ambitious guidance for the fiscal year 2026. We had upgraded in May a little bit. So we continue to expect sales growth of 12%, plus or minus 2 percentage points, supported by an operating EBIT margin of 23% to 26%.
Despite our strong growth trajectory, capital expenditures are expected to remain low at around 5% of sales, underscoring the attractive scalability of our business model. We also continue to expect excellent cash generation with an operating adjusted free cash flow margin of 19%, plus or minus 2 percentage points, and our guidance assumes a euro to U.S. exchange rate of $1.15.
Ladies and gentlemen, the first half of '26 confirms that Elmos has entered into a new phase of profitable growth and sustainably improved cash generation. We combine structural market growth with innovation, operational excellence and disciplined capital allocation. As a result, we are creating increasing shareholder value while maintaining an attractive financial [indiscernible].
Looking ahead, we remain excited about the opportunities created by automotive megatrends and increasingly intelligent automotive electronics. Supported by a strong pipeline of design wins and efficient fabless business model and a highly committed global team, we believe Elmos is exceptionally well-positioned for sustainable long-term success.
Also looking beyond automotive, we are excited by the opportunities emerging in humanoid robotics. Leveraging our proven mixed signal semiconductor expertise, we are building a strong position in what we believe could become one of the most attractive growth opportunities for the semiconductor industry over the coming decade.
Thank you very much for your continued trust and support. I would now like to open the floor for your questions.
[Operator Instructions] First question comes from Veysel Taze from Metzler.
2. Question Answer
Just on your full year outlook, can you give a little bit more details how you think about the quarters for the second half in terms of revenue and margin development? You stated also during your prepared remarks that pricing could be an upside to this.
What is your -- I mean, we are now in August. So what is happening on the pricing front at Elmos? Some bigger peers already announced this year 2x price increases. And yes, so what are your expectations there for your company?
Maybe I was -- so first of all, thank you for your question. Maybe I was a little bit too timid in commenting on the pricing. Of course, prices go up. This is the reality of allocation. This is on a very good way with our customers.
Most customers accept that, of course, you have to adjust to the market situation. And as chips are becoming a little bit tighter and shorter again, it may actually be a good idea to go through that together and to put a focus on securing supply, which I think is key in this situation.
Yes, consensus, I believe, is already a little bit above the midpoint of the guidance. You can -- I mean, the good thing about the guidance range is that you only have to adjust your guidance when you are over the upper end of the guidance range. So if we look at H2, we are pretty confident that we've got very good times ahead.
Got it. And regarding the allocation topic, I mean, entering 2026, the situation was, yes, inventory is not a headwind anymore, but then we got the Iran war auto cycle improving, et cetera. Now it looks like increasingly a situation where your customers have need to think about securing maybe their allocations in advance the volumes they need.
So my question is, are you already seeing customers refilling their inventories, willing to take higher inventory levels or accept the higher inventory levels than 2, 3 quarters ago where they really placed orders on short notice. What is the customer thinking right now? Are we shifting to really building inventories again and strategically maybe a bit more than historically seen?
For the time being, I don't think so. But there -- we're in the process of reacting to allocation so that we would actually see a rising inventory level. I don't think so for now. But if we look at, say, the end of the year or maybe the first half of next year, I'm not so sure what the reaction is.
I mean we have a pretty good track record of what the run rates at the different customers is, which is good because then you can assess what they should need. For now, I think it's -- we're still in adjustment mode.
And the next questioner is Johannes Ries from Apus Capital.
First, congratulations to the strong performance compared to your direct competitors. Maybe let's start with this. What product groups has maybe been the strongest driver, which gives you compared to most other players in the automotive space, the stronger performance?
Well, we see that ADAS is actually a thing that gets more and more real. I mean that is real in China, that gets even more real in China, and that gets more real in other parts of the world increasingly as well. We also ramp airbag products this year, which are just -- you put so much R&D effort into them over the years.
And now they finally ramped. So this is also nice. And if you see the illumination on the outside of cars, think of us, we like to help to make these things possible. So we think we've got very kind of positive segments that are really part of the automotive future.
If I see illuminated cars, I think on Elmos. Maybe -- can you repeat, maybe I didn't get it right about the design wins in the first, how much you catch it. Maybe I didn't -- maybe one other maybe they don't get it, maybe can you repeat it? Maybe how the design?
So it's EUR 400 million lifetime value. This is about 60%. This is maybe the more intuitive number. It's about 60% of what we should have done for the year. Now we're kind of at half year, and we're 60% done. So one reaction would be, let's lean back. The sales bonuses are all secured. Yes. But the thing is we don't cap them when it comes to design wins. So don't lean back. It could be a very good year.
Okay. No, I think the pipeline for the second half for design wins looks also good.
There is no structural change whatsoever. This is running at an excellent speed.
Okay. Maybe a little bit more on robotics. It's a hot topic, although your direct competitor from Belgium said, yes, it's an interesting part. But even next year, it's not a very strong contribution to sales. Is it also the case for Elmos -- or could we also see maybe a meaningful contribution to sales starting next year?
No. This will not have a meaningful contribution next year. I mean, any change in a big segment that goes from EUR 150 million kind of 10% or 20% up will have a much higher magnitude in terms of growth contribution than the robotics. And this is the nature of the small emerging things that first, they seem small, but then they compound.
And only with this compounding, but it's not that robotics is a growth driver for next year. This -- I mean, it will for sure grow, but it's not a growth driver. Next year, we ramp ADAS as a big U.S. OEM, which will be a growth driver. We have an eFuse ramp. So it's more of the very advanced car things that make us, we think, grow next year if we look into our books.
But if we got it right, in your 2030 ambition of EUR 1 billion, there have been no robotics in at this time you made this figure.
No. This is just because we are -- I mean, if something doubles every year, it also means that kind of the statistical estimation range that you would have to give is that's why we wanted to be clean. We just give nothing and everything comes on top.
It's clear. So if it comes and maybe it gets really meaningful towards the end of the decade, its ice on the top.
Yes. Exactly.
Was also my takeaway. On cash flow, if I'm looking in the past, the second half was most times stronger at the cash flow side than the first half. Could it be the same this year or is it -- there's no rule on this maybe that the second half is normally better on the cash flow side?
No, no. This is exactly right. I mean Q2 is always burdened by seasonal effects. So I mean, all bonus payments, for instance, happen after the AGM. Some other things happened in Q2. So Q2 is always -- and then Q3 with rising revenue, usually a little bit rising profitability. Then I mean we -- you observed rightly. There is this little seasonality in this cash flow thing, and it's nice in the second half.
Last question, you mentioned with maybe some, I guess, maybe the problem set is you compete with AI on 8-inch wafer that maybe there is some shortness and you think you could win market shares. You did it in the past. Is it that you maybe secured more delivery on the wafer side already. So you think because you are more ready to deliver and fulfill the requirements of your customers that you could win market shares like in the past?
Let me postpone that question a little bit. It's a little sensitive at this time. I think we are very well-positioned in this allocation. We got good relationships with the foundries. We have reasonable discussions what our customers need and where we can help the industry in general. I think we all don't want to push senseless inventories.
We want to secure the ongoing demand, and we're having very, very positive discussions at this point in time and very responsible discussions overall. However, there is tightness, and we'll have to manage through that. But if you do it for the second time, it's a lot less scary than if you do it for the first time. And last time, we hugely benefited. So we are in a positive mood.
Hopefully, that was my follow-on in the last.
No, we're in very positive mood, but it's not all finished.
And the next question comes from Malte Schaumann from Warburg Research.
Can you hear me?
Yes, we can, Mr. Schaumann.
First question is on actual wafer volumes due to the mentioned shortages. Do you -- how confident are you that you receive sufficient wafer volumes to support the expected growth until the end of the year and then going into 2027?
Well, for this year, this is mostly done. Everything that's not in production right now is not going to have that much impact on the yearly revenue. We have some -- I mean, we are generally, as I said, it's a little sensitive, but I believe we are having very reasonable discussions.
We're having very good discussions. In the end, the car should get the wafers. And this is where this thing, I think, in the end comes down to. Yes, there will be price increases to a certain degree, which is necessary to show the commitment of the car industry towards getting those wafers.
But I do not think that there will be a negative impact on our growth next year. It could rather be the other way around. Don't press me, please, for too much detail. Some things are in the making, and we are in very good mood. But some things are in the making, and I can't completely comment on that.
Okay. Any comment on the gross margin that will decline slightly. I mean, typically, it's -- I [ want it ] flat to slightly up in the second quarter. Anything that comes up to your mind?
This is Ralf. I can jump in. You remember the first quarter with the 46.4% profit margin, that was a little bit higher. We had some inventory revaluation things in the first quarter. So 44% for the second quarter and year-to-date, 45%, I think, exactly in line with our expectations. So nothing out of the ordinary to report here, I would say.
And any pricing effects are not in there, right, because they only start now.
Yes, this was exactly pricing effect more or less started at the end of Q3, right?
Exactly. So -- or some weeks earlier, but it's kind of -- you won't find a gross margin pricing effect. Also, I mean, generally, we pass on cost. So then you would see no effect at all. But when you say, yes, with the growth that you see over the course of 1 year, usually, the second half financially is a very good time of the year.
And the next question comes from Lukas Spang from Tigris Capital.
I have 2 questions. The first one is related to the stock options. Is now everything done with Q2 or will we see further effects on the cash and the earnings side in Q3 and Q4?
Well, the effect on cash is as we continue to cash settle, there will be effects on cash, but the effect on earnings is, of course, can be positive and negative. I mean, if I look at the share price, where is it currently? Well, somewhere between EUR 140 and EUR 150, maybe EUR 145 or so, then you would see a gain of probably something in the high single digits in Q3 if the share price now stayed exactly flat.
I mean -- so the IFRS 2 standard is a little complex one and the valuation that takes place is an actual sheet that doesn't fit on the toenail. But generally, you will see when you go down from EUR 180 to, say, EUR 145, you'll see pretty significant gains, book gains. But it's all extraordinary.
So we included from operations because we think these fluctuations have -- they more or less cloud the picture of what is happening in the real business. So that's -- while we will always report that, but we think we should also provide the number and guide the number that is not impacted by such effects.
As long -- this is Ralf. As long as we stay on the cash settled mechanism for the time being, you will see some extraordinary earnings volatility every quarter because after you remeasure at the current share price every quarter. So that's the thing going forward. But again, that's extraordinary, not in our operational performance.
And what should we expect on the cash side for Q3 and Q4?
This is excessively hard to predict because it depends on the share price and a lot of other things. Honestly, I can't say. Basically, it's the same mechanism, right? If some threshold will be shared. Don't know. You don't know because like it really depends on the development of the share price that and the reaction of people to it.
So this is -- sorry, this is also -- it's so hard to predict. Even if you knew the share price, then you would also have to know the volatility and a lot of other things that go into these models that we just say we need to execute that. It's not so easy.
Okay. And then the second question is related to the visibility of your customer. In the past, you also mentioned that especially from Chinese customers, there's a very short-term behavior. So did that change anything or in general, how is customer behavior and your visibility on that?
No, I think the general nature of the different regions has not at all changed. This has been the same over the past 10 years or so. And I kind of -- at least in my lifetime, I don't expect any changes. Generally, I believe what customers recognize is that you have to be a little more disciplined in putting your orders in.
A year ago, some customers that have been not so disciplined in putting orders in because they operated under the assumption that chips would always be there in the quantity you desired even at very short notice.
I believe now we are through the adjustment period that most people know, chips are not there at very short notice in every quantity that you could potentially desire. So people try to put in their orders kind of in line. However, the logistical challenges in a fast-moving economy remain. That means short-term ordering still remains to be a substantial topic in certain regions.
Okay. And is this now more on the real demand or still dependent also on inventory levels on the customer side?
Yes. Generally, we are, I believe, in a pretty balanced situation. People have reached the inventory levels they desire. Sometimes we think they are too low, but there you go, if that is their desire or their need for cash.
I mean we also have parts of the automotive value chain that is really cash strapped and you can advise them to have more inventory. However, they may advise you that they don't have the cash for more inventory. So we think part of it is nevertheless too low, but unlikely to change in the short term to an adequate level. So I think we are in a balanced inventory situation, not much buildup, not much drain.
At the moment, there seem to be no further questions. [Operator Instructions] That seems not to be the case. And I would hand back to Dr. Arne Schneider for some closing words.
So ladies and gentlemen, this is the end of our conference call on the H1. Thank you very much for your participation and your questions. I hope to meet some of you in our upcoming roadshows in London and in Brussels and during the investor conferences in September, I guess I meet almost all of you. So thank you very much for your support and your interest in Elmos. Enjoy the summer, the rest of the summer. Goodbye for now. Take care. Stay confident. Thank you.
Elmos Semiconductor — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Elmos Semiconductor — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Profitable Q2: revenue and margins rose, cash generation jumped, and management confirmed full‑year guidance while flagging 8‑inch wafer allocation risks.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- H1 Sales: €314.5m (+>15% YoY)
- Q2 Sales: €162m (+11% YoY; +6% sequential)
- Gross margin: 45.2% (+3pp YoY)
- Operating EBIT: €75.8m (24.1% margin, ≈+4pp YoY)
- Free cash flow: Operating adjusted FCF €55m (17.7% of sales, +~150% YoY); CapEx 2.8% of sales
🎯 What Management Says
- Market position: Elmos emphasizes structural demand drivers—electrification, ADAS, software‑defined vehicles—boosting semiconductor content per car.
- Manufacturing strategy: Fabless model with diversified foundry/OSAT partners and long customer ties seen as key to navigate 8‑inch wafer allocation.
- Growth pipeline: >€400m lifetime design wins YTD; robotics flagged as an early but promising adjacent market.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Full year: Guidance fully confirmed: sales growth 12% ±2pp; operating EBIT margin 23–26%.
- Cash & CapEx: Target operating adjusted FCF margin 19% ±2pp; CapEx ~5% of sales.
- Drivers & risks: Potential pricing upside from allocation; risks include tighter 8‑inch wafer capacity and higher foundry/assembly costs—management expects to pass through costs selectively. Guidance excludes IFRS valuation effects from cash‑settled stock awards.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Pricing & allocation: Management says pricing is rising as customers accept adjustments to secure supply; pricing upside likely in H2 but timing/size uncertain.
- Inventory behavior: No broad customer inventory rebuild yet; still in adjustment mode—possible changes later in year.
- Wafer supply: Confident for 2026 production; discussions with foundries are ongoing and sensitive, but company feels well‑positioned based on past experience.
- Stock awards: Switch to cash settlement creates quarterly IFRS‑driven P&L and cash volatility (one‑off ~€12.1m in Q2 valuation); management excludes these from operational guidance.
⚡ Bottom Line
Elmos reported strong profitable growth, notably higher cash conversion, and reiterated full‑year targets; selective pricing and design wins offer upside, while 8‑inch wafer allocation and accounting volatility from cash‑settled awards are the main near‑term risks. Overall the company appears well‑positioned to sustain margin and cash improvements.
Elmos Semiconductor — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Elmos Semiconductor SE conference call regarding the Q1 2026 results. [Operator Instructions].
Let me now turn the floor over to your host, Dr. Arne Schneider, CEO.
Ladies and gentlemen, good morning, everyone, and welcome to the Elmos Conference Call for the First Quarter 2026. Thank you very much for your participation and your interest in our company.
Ladies and gentlemen, Elmos had an impressive start into the new year with strong sales, improved profitability and significantly higher free cash flow. In fact, as reflected in last night's ad hoc announcement, we have raised our full year 2026 guidance, driven by strong first quarter performance and sustained high demand for Elmos products. The impact that may come from the allocation are not yet fully reflected. We will incorporate that piece of good news as it materializes step by step.
Our strong operational execution since many quarters significantly improved cash generation and enhanced capital allocation. Combined with more transparency at our successful Capital Markets Day in February this year, has driven a sustained increase of the Elmos share price in recent months. Year-to-date, the share price is up around 90%, bringing the company's market capitalization to nearly EUR 3.3 billion.
Based on this strong momentum, Elmos could potentially even qualify for inclusion in the MDAX, Germany's mid-cap index, potentially even at the next review in early June. If we were to make it, this would be a great achievement given that only free float market cap counts for the index ranking. And as all of you know, free float is something we can always have more of. This is a great success story, and it is especially rewarding to know that many of you have been supporting us on this exciting journey for such a long time.
Let me come to the market update. I would like to briefly comment on the last threat by the U.S. government to impose 25% tariffs on all EU cars exported to the United States. So if a consumer -- a U.S. consumer chooses a U.S.-made car, for example, a GM or a Ford, instead of an imported car, say, from Europe, this decision would actually have no major impact on Elmos, as our ICs are included in almost all brands and models globally. And that, of course, includes U.S. models manufactured locally in the U.S. So as long as the Americans continue to buy new cars, we will be okay.
More generally, destocking effects have more or less subsided. Inventory levels have largely normalized and in certain areas are now even below optimal levels. Customers have returned to order patterns that closely reflect the underlying structural demand, signaling a healthy end market. While some customers continue to order with shorter lead times, and it is our distinct advice not to do that, the overall visibility has improved and the demand environment remains solid. So our business is gaining further traction with improving momentum.
Also important, the long-term growth trajectory for Elmos is firmly intact and highly attractive. We have highlighted these trends in detail at our Capital Markets Day end of February. The semiconductor content per vehicle continues to increase at a strong pace, underpinned by powerful megatrends, including electrification, increasing ADAS penetration up to autonomous driving and the transition to software-defined vehicles.
In this favorable environment, the analog mixed-signal semiconductor market offers attractive and sustained growth opportunities. With its strong positioning, innovation capabilities and agility as a leading fabless player, Elmos is very well positioned to capture this upside and deliver attractive long-term value.
We are progressing also very well with the adoption of our China organization towards a full function entity. We have transitioned to a buy and sell model starting this year with China revenues being invoiced and shipped through our China organization. Our new local footprint strengthens customer proximity, enhances resilience and creates strategic optionality in China.
The acquisition of new projects continues to develop very positively with promising new design wins in all regions and across all segments. Year-to-date, we already have captured around 40% of new businesses as targets for the full year.
While we see an ongoing strong demand for analog mixed-signal automotive semiconductors, we anticipate a potential shortage in 8-inch wafer capacity. Power chips for AI data centers are manufactured mainly on 8-inch wafers, so are all of the Elmos products. Due to the ongoing AI boom, foundries and also OSATs are prioritizing more and more these AI applications.
This may very likely constrain automotive capacities and would lead to higher wafer and higher OSAT costs. We will closely monitor this situation, and we will pass on allocation-related cost increases to our customers in a fair way, as we did in the past.
We think it is not unlikely that prices may go up in the second half of the year. You have seen the recent announcement by various semi players to raise prices in 2026, some as early as April. Based on our experience in the last allocation cycle 2021 to 2023, we see limited risk for Elmos and view this as a potential upside from selective pricing actions and maybe even further share gain.
Let me now continue with the financial highlights of the first quarter of 2026. Sales reached EUR 152.5 million in the first quarter, growing by 20% year-over-year. Compared to the first quarter of last year, the weaker U.S. dollar had a negative impact on our Q1 sales by around 7 percentage points. So FX adjusted Q1 sales in 2026 would have been 27% higher than last year. Gross margin was 46.4% in Q1 2026, improving by 3 percentage points year-over-year. The increase is mainly due to the higher volume and cost improvement.
Like in the previous quarters, gross profit was impacted by higher gold prices in assembly. However, despite the further price hike in 2026 compared to the average price of last year, we do not expect incremental cost impacts in 2026, as the higher price is compensated by our mitigation measures and selective hedging activities for both.
At 24.7% of sales, Q1 OpEx were on par with Q1 2025, but somewhat higher than the full year 2025 ratio, mainly due to higher personnel costs. Furthermore, in Q1 2026, we got no material R&D grants, while we ramped our new Brno and Shanghai R&D locations, which added some extra OpEx burden. EBIT improved to EUR 36.2 million in Q1 2026 compared to EUR 25.6 million in Q1 of last year, mainly due to the higher gross profits, net of higher OpEx. As a result, the EBIT margin reached 23.8% in Q1 2026, almost 4 percentage points higher than last year.
After 3 months, CapEx amounted to only EUR 2.7 million or 1.8% of sales. Despite the higher volume, we still have sufficient testing capacity available after our successful efficiency optimization and test time reduction programs. Due to low investments and the reduction in working capital, adjusted free cash flow climbed to a strong EUR 40.7 million in the first quarter or 26.7% of sales. Another significant improvement, reinforcing our confidence that we are well on track to deliver even stronger cash performance than originally planned for 2026.
Ladies and gentlemen, let me finish my presentation with the market outlook and our guidance for the fiscal year 2026. S&P projects in its April forecast, a global production volume of 91.4 million new vehicles, down around 2% versus 2025. However, as we have highlighted many times in the past, growth in the automotive semiconductor market is largely decoupled from the underlying vehicle products. Instead, it is driven by powerful structural megatrends that continue to increase semiconductor content per vehicle in new cars. And in addition to these secular tailwinds, Elmos is also benefiting from a strong track record of design wins in recent years, which is supporting our continued outperformance relative to peers and securing our ambitious growth targets.
As reported in the ad hoc announcement last night, we have raised our guidance for the 2026 fiscal year based on the very strong performance in the first 3 months and the continued high demand for Elmos products. With order momentum further improving, we now expect sales growth of 12%, plus or minus 2 percentage points. So we have narrowed our guidance range, as you see, and raised the midpoint of our sales expectations.
Based on the higher sales as well as further optimization measures, an improved operating EBIT margin of 23% to 26% of sales is now anticipated. In line with our updated sales guidance, we have tightened the range by raising the lower end and increasing the midpoint of our operating EBIT margin guidance.
Despite the growth, capital expenditures less capitalized development expenses remain at a low level and are expected to amount to around 5% of sales, just as we said before. In addition, an even stronger cash performance is now expected with an operating adjusted free cash flow of 19% of sales, plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Let me also briefly explain why we now base our EBIT and free cash flow guidance on operating performance indicators. We announced early April that we will cancel most of our treasury shares to have maximum flexibility regarding potential future share buybacks. As you may know, under German law, companies are limited to hold, this is the first thing, or to buy back only up to 10% of their share capital. So it's not having more than 10% and not buying back more than 10%. It's a double threshold concerning treasury shares. So following the cancellation of our existing treasury shares, 3% about, after the AGM end of May, we will regain full flexibility within this 10% limit.
As a result, the stock-based compensation must now be settled in cash until further notice. And the resulting accounting effects will not be recognized in operating results. We want to present a clear view of our underlying operating performance. Accordingly, our guidance for EBIT margin and adjusted free cash flow will be based on operational performance.
So let me summarize. As promised on our Capital Markets Day in February, the year 2026 marks a turning point for Elmos. The headwinds from destocking are fading, and we are returning to normal structural growth rates with improved profitability and higher cash flows. Elmos has delivered an outstanding start to the year with strong growth across sales and EBIT and a particularly impressive improvement of the free cash flow, significantly above prior year level. Based on this excellent first quarter performance and continued robust demand for our semiconductor solutions, we were able to further raise our already very positive outlook for this year.
Ladies and gentlemen, electrification, ADAS, zonal architectures and software-defined vehicles are, of course, not just short-term effect, this is a long-term structural growth phase with significant opportunities ahead based on a strong market position and innovative mixed-signal solutions. As we continue to execute, convert design wins into profitable revenue and deliver consistent strong cash, we are confident that our shareholders will also acknowledge the strength of our underlying fundamentals.
So thank you very much for listening and your interest. I would like to open now the floor for questions.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Malte Schaumann from Warburg Research.
2. Question Answer
First question is on the potential 8-inch wafer shortage. Could you provide a timing perspective? When do you expect the potential shortage to kick in? And what that means for potential price impacts that you might pass on to customers? Will that affect already this quarter or the second half of the year? And is such a move already baked into your new guidance? Or would that provide kind of additional upside?
Yes. So we see a gradually increasing tightness throughout the value chain at the wafer foundries and also at the OSATs. We have seen some competitors react to that tightness and also to raising prices. Some started as early as April. Some started at the end of April or beginning of May. I think, usually, the practice is adhered to that to give kind of a month notice before the prices really go up. So I think for Elmos, there won't be a lot of impact in Q2. But, of course, we now have to look at the second half.
As far as our guidance is concerned, we haven't baked too much into that guidance. Also, the guidance increase, we still think we should gain a little bit more clarity on the amount. You've seen kind of a little step. I mean, we don't want to hold back, but we will gain a lot more clarity and then kind of the other part of the good news. Once we are clear, we will also report on it.
Okay. Understood. Then on some P&L items. On the gross margin, R&D, there has been no reclassification, say, development expenses covered by customers so that have been reclassified from cost of goods sold to R&D. So will that could be that gross margin...
Well, it's still very insignificant. You see R&D actually jumping a little bit in Q1. I think this is what you are asking, why is R&D so high? Yes. Well, 2 major things where we actually invest in. We invest in the Brno site, which is a great team of very accomplished engineers that joined us from a direct competitor. And, of course, this is now coming in the Q1 into the first quarter of kind of full personnel and also other cost effects.
The other thing is that we are building our China R&D center. The effect is even a little bit larger than the Brno effect. And then the third thing is that we have no material contribution of any government or state money in R&D. And usually, we have with all these European programs, the IPCEI, for instance, we have significant contributions. So all that taken together, R&D is a little up. That is true. However, this will not be the run rate for the year.
Okay. Good. And then on G&A, maybe a comment that was also a bit of the -- could be a bit on the high side, EUR 11 million in G&A costs, in the first quarter of the year, anything extraordinarily included here?
No, there's nothing too much extraordinary. Also, the run rate, I think, if I look at kind of the Q1 versus our internal projection for the year, our year projection is below. Yes. So basically, when you combine SG&A and R&D for the full year run rate, it will be in line with our general, let's say, guidance of around 20% total OpEx below gross profit. So, yes, nothing spectacular going forward for the full year ratios.
Okay. Good. And back to the shortage in the supply chain, is there any part of the supply chain that cause -- could cause trouble for you because of limited production?
Could cause trouble is kind of a -- that's trouble good or trouble bad. So let's see what comes out of that. No, I mean, trouble, of course, but we think that usually automotive in the end has a high priority and other parts of the semiconductor and electronics world should be cut off first because autos, of course, are very high-value products and semiconductors are, of course, key. And in a lot of places, we are, of course, single source. So up to now, there are no major issues, but we will work ourselves through any shortages. And if the time '21 to '23 is any guide or any example, things can be very excellent for us.
Next question is from Abed Jarad, mwb research.
I have just one question regarding the gross margin in Q1. Can we take this as a run rate? And how much was of this 3 percentage point effect from the cost optimization and efficiency program?
Yes. It's an interesting question. I think it's a little bit above the run rate, as I would expect it. However, with allocation coming, it -- this would not be included in my run rate considerations. So kind of -- it's above the baseline run rate. But who knows what happens in a more and more allocation scenario where usually also gross margins not explode, but kind of edge up a little bit. So we had higher volume. That, of course, helps the gross margin. We also had cost improvements. We ran a cost program last year. We shed some staff. And this is, of course, reflected in that situation.
But also here, if I can add to that, for the full year, I think we will be also -- will be back to our general, let's say, operating model, 45%, give or take, gross profit.
But why is this? Can you quantify the moving parts here? Because you also reported like cost inflation, but still came in with like really impressive gross margins. So I -- just trying to understand the moving parts here.
Yes. I mean, we had our cost program. And, of course, that helps, and it helps particularly when you get into your full year effect and everything is kind of done. Over last year, we first -- I mean, once you decide for a cost program, it has quite a time lag to actually get people off your payroll. And that takes basically a year. And in Q4, we finally got people off our payroll such that you now see results that are not too bad.
[Operator Instructions] Next in line is Johannes Ries from Apus Capital GmbH.
Big surprise that I'm on the line. Maybe 3 short questions from my side. I had to dial in, therefore, maybe I have not everything with the discussion, which you might have; therefore, if I maybe ask a question which was already answered, I apologize. Maybe first on the cash flow, how -- what development we can expect for CapEx and working capital, especially going forward? Is there a further reduction in working capital possible? Or was it a big step in the first quarter?
Yes. I mean, the first quarter is in 2 respects, a little kind of off center in terms of what we expect for the year. I mean, we expect 19% free cash flow as a percent of revenue. Now, we are at 26% and a little bit, 2 effects. You see very low CapEx. We expect CapEx to be at around 5%. So we're kind of 3 points below that full year expectation. So of course, that helps a little bit in the cash flow.
The other thing is that we also see a working capital decrease versus the end of the year 2025. I think working capital is going to be interesting this year. We manage it down. We want to manage it down further. But I can't really tell you what happens, say, in Q4, which is, of course, also an interesting part of the year given this allocation potential constraints. So we may see a more drastic drop in working capital if some wafers are so constrained that we go below desired inventory. We may see a little bit more if we somehow get some wafers and decide to take them regardless whether we need them now or only in 2 months' time.
So I think in Q4, it's particularly hard to predict this year. I mean, cash will turn out brilliantly this year. That is clear already. But the working capital part could still go either way or it could be rational and positive for us either way. We have -- we cannot really say how the second half and particularly Q4 working capital will develop.
Very clear answer and explains the guidance you have done on cash flows. Very helpful.
Second question, only a clarification question. You said you have 40% of what you are targeting on design wins, if I got it right in. And if I remember right, you said you have -- the majority of the design wins had -- you had already in at the end of last year for your 2030 target. How much of the -- maybe the part which was left at the beginning of the year, it's now already came in, and how much you need on additional design wins to have maybe everything in your books with all maybe cautious regarding especially Chinese orders to achieve this 2030 target?
Yes, we have kind of 15% that's left for '27 following. We wanted to win 10% of what's left. So 25% is left in total, 15% will be left for the next years if we kind of follow our plans. 10%, we need to win this year. Of that 10%, we won 40%. So I think we are on a reasonable track to get that 10% in this year.
And this is also -- if maybe more comes in, especially in '27, which could partly get even revenues maybe in '29 or 2030, is that this is maybe icing on the cake?
That is, of course, upside. That is true, then maybe we will reach our target a little earlier. I don't think we'll reach it some years earlier, then it's just a little earlier. But that is, of course, true. There's potentially more to be had.
That's clear. On the pricing component, in other areas, the pricing is going like crazy. I saw semiconductors, the growth was 79% year-over-year for the whole. Definitely, the memory is the biggest driver on the pricing, but could be more pronounced upside? Or is it a little bit different in automotive players, as we are partners, and we don't -- maybe are unfair in both directions.
Well, I think that for this year, most people are still single digits, some may go into double digits, but mostly with all the incomplete information there is, I would read a single digit into the market, but potentially adding something next year, which would then be very, very likely. Things like the numbers you mentioned, kind of 80% or doubling or so, I don't think so. I mean, we've seen in the past allocation if that can be any guide to the future that companies behave differently. And some -- actually, Elmos chose a very partnership-informed approach that you pass on cost that you kind of made a lot of effort to make things possible for customers.
And yes, this does not lead to you taking a financial hit, but you were also not kind of taking real advantage of your customers. There were a few exceptions. And maybe this time, there will also be a few exceptions. I think, however, that the general market will maybe, again, follow that partnership approach where you don't take advantage, but you'd rather see that the world goes on in a positive manner for everyone.
That's clear. Finally, on new end markets and new products, how have the things developed maybe in the recent weeks on the topic of robotics? We hear from the one other also very positive maybe expectations from customers like you also told with your customer.
And the second is on the crypto chip. It's very small crypto -- quantum-based crypto chip. Any maybe update you have won an innovation price? How is the interest of customers on this product?
Yes. Well, this is -- so on the robotics, actually, there's nothing in terms of big news to report since the CMD. It's a dynamic field, but it's not that dynamic that we have news kind of every month that are worth reporting. But we like where this thing is going.
Yes, on the QRNG, so the quantum number generator, we won that innovation price. We actually won 3 innovation prices, I believe, in total over the last week. This is a beautiful little device. Of course, quantum computing is not big today, right? But it's kind of up and coming. So there's a lot of interest to discuss that device and to see where it could add layers of security that is actually quantum safe. However, there's no big serious ramp, so I think we are at the forefront of innovation. We are not in kind of these ramps this year. These things are, of course, quick because cryptography is a dynamic field. However, I cannot report any quick revenue or design win right now. It's a developing field.
But again, it's not in the 2030 target...
No, no, none of it. None of it. We won't know, of course, not because it's not running in series and it's no design win. So by definition, it can't be in, and we would always be conservative. If we win something that is on top, and I mean, we -- since doing something on top is kind of allowed we think, we are very much running to customers and explaining why this is the best chip ever. But we wouldn't include it in our targets yet.
And finally, you are at least showing this product not only to your traditional customers because it could be also very interesting and valuable for other sectors.
We are very open to -- with whom we speak.
[Operator Instructions] There are a few more questions incoming. The first one is from Robert Sanders, Deutsche Bank.
This is Rob. Can you hear me?
Rob, we can hear you well. We are looking forward to your questions.
Great. Yes, that was just on the foundry tightness. There have been some reports about lagging edge foundries raising prices by 10% starting in June. Is that what you see? And is the idea then that into next year, you could see corresponding price rises as you saw in 2022 and 2021? Or is this -- is the dynamic a little bit different to when we were in '21, '22?
No. We can debate the details now on different months or exact numbers, but this is the general direction that we see. We've already seen some competitors raising prices. April was, I believe, the first incident. And then, there were quite some others. So -- I believe it's not exactly the way it was in '21. I mean, in '21, we had this huge swing into consumer first, and then, we had this V-shaped recovery in the car industry. So I personally feel that '21 was a lot more brutal in the swing, and it was a lot more unexpected.
Now that AI demand just creeps up, and it's tight, and it's really tight, and everyone kind of already learned something, I believe, from the '21 to '23 period, we slide into allocation and tightness. But I think, overall, the industry will better manage, and at least, let's knock on wood, this is likely to happen.
Yes, I believe the price increases should somehow reflect the increased cost throughout the value chain. We already discussed whether some people go in a less or more partnership-like way on that, but I think it's a good rule of thumb.
And back in '22, you saw your competitors doing LTAs. I think you were a bit more reluctant to lock yourself into a certain price because then you would end up taking on some risk, whether it's foundry costs or other kinds of cost. What is your thought process this time around regarding LTAs?
Yes. We are always a little bit opportunistic, and there's no clear right or wrong on an LTA. In certain business situation, it does make sense. In others, it's actually not needed. I mean, if you win over a complete new business and you are the new sole source, and everything, yes, maybe you want to be that for some years such that all the efforts and all the prioritization makes sense. Today, at this stage, I can't tell you whether there will be a lot of LTAs. Given where we are now in this cycle, I would doubt it. But honestly, whether that is still true in 3 months or 6 months, I can't tell you.
Next question is from Alexander Lippert from GS&P KAG S.A.
I have a follow-up question on your share buyback potential. So during Capital Markets Day, you've stated that you do not want to intend -- or do not want to build up a large cash pile, and now, you are considering buying back 10% of the share capital. Would this mean that you would also like to relever the company?
Yes, this is one option that, that would go in with such a step. However, it would still be very moderate leverage, of course.
And in the past, you've been quite opportunistic and price sensitive when it comes to share buybacks. Do you still apply some kind of a valuation framework?
Yes, of course, we do. But I think one change -- one thing really changed versus the past. I mean, in the past, we had a very moderate cash flow generation. So we had to be a lot more kind of opportunistic in buying back shares. Yes, there was money, but mostly from transactions like selling SMI or selling the fab. And this situation is, of course, a little different from a capital allocation strategy that is a lot more structural.
If you're structurally generating quite interesting amounts of cash, you have to -- and you don't want to build a cash pile, and you have to think about buybacks a little bit in a different way if you don't want to shift 100% to dividends, but I think this is kind of also a little bit off center to shift 100% to dividends. So if you want to combine buybacks and dividends in a much more structural way, you are in a little different situation given the new ability to generate cash.
Okay. And given that you also mentioned that MDAX inclusion is a topic, and -- how do you think about the balance between free float and share buyback?
Yes. Of course, we would love more free float. This helps for MDAX. I believe it helps the stock itself. There is no structural reasons why 56% or 58% is a great number. I believe stability and long-term orientation is in line with much lower numbers of anchor shareholding. This is all debatable. For now, if we look at smaller buybacks, like the buybacks we've done at the beginning of this year, this does not change the structural kind of shareholder pie chart so much. So there's -- I mean, we can continue doing buybacks with 0.5% or so for quite some time until something really structurally changes. I mean, more free float is, in essence, a decision of the anchor shareholder family.
So they could also sell via share buyback, for example.
Well, I mean, if you own shares, you can sell whenever you like, I think. I mean, if you're in the Supervisory Board, potentially not in a closed period or so. But -- I mean, this is the benefit of ownership. You can essentially do what you want.
Dear ladies and gentlemen, as there are no more questions in the queue, with that, I'm closing the Q&A session and handing the floor back over to the host.
So this is then the end of our Q1 conference call. Thank you very much for your participation and all your great questions. I hope to meet many of you in our upcoming roadshows and investment conferences in London, Germany and the U.S. So for now, thank you very much for your support and your interest in Elmos. Goodbye. Take care and stay confident.
Elmos Semiconductor — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Elmos Semiconductor — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Elmos starts 2026 strong with a robust Q1 and raised full-year guidance.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Sales: EUR 152.5m (+20% YoY; FX impact -7pp; FX-adjusted +27% YoY)
- Gross margin: 46.4% (+3pp YoY)
- EBIT: EUR 36.2m (+41% YoY)
- EBIT margin: 23.8% (+4pp)
- Free cash flow: EUR 40.7m (26.7% of sales)
🎯 What Management Says
- Guidance uplift: Raised 2026 guidance: sales +12% ±2pp, EBIT margin 23–26% of sales, operating adjusted free cash flow ~19% ±2pp.
- Long-term drivers: Electrification, ADAS, zonal architectures and software-defined vehicles underpin a favorable growth path; Elmos is well positioned to capture it.
- China expansion: Transition to a full-function China buy-and-sell model strengthens customer proximity and resilience.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Guidance: 2026 sales +12% ±2pp; EBIT margin 23–26% of sales; capex around 5% of sales; operating adjusted free cash flow ~19% ±2pp.
- Risks: Potential 8‑inch wafer tightness could affect supply and costs; price actions likely in H2; tariff dynamics remain background considerations.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Wafer constraints: Gradual tightening expected; minimal Q2 impact; more clarity in H2; guidance not fully baked, potential upside from allocations and pricing.
- 2030 design-wins: About 40% of YTD target captured; 10% still needed this year; upside if more wins materialize in 2027–2030.
- Capital allocation: MDAX inclusion and free float; buybacks considered; leverage remains moderate; anchor shareholder dynamics influence decisions.
⚡ Bottom Line
Elmos delivered a strong Q1, raised guidance and improved cash flow, underpinned by long-term auto megatrends. Key risks are 8‑inch wafer constraints and potential H2 pricing, but the company is well positioned to grow and enhance returns through disciplined capital allocation.
Elmos Semiconductor — Analyst/Investor Day - Elmos Semiconductor SE
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to the Elmos Capital Markets Day 2026, and welcome back to all of you who followed our earnings call this morning. My name is Ralf Hoppe, and I'm responsible at Elmos for Corporate Investor Relations and Corporate Communications. Today is all about Elmos. Following the presentation of our financial results and our optimistic outlook for 2026 this morning, we have prepared an exciting program for this afternoon. Over the next couple of hours, we'll give you a clear view of the cornerstones of our strategy, our great market opportunities and growth potential, our chances in China, leadership in innovation, our operational excellence and, of course, our financial ambitions.
Let me briefly walk you through today's agenda. Our CEO, Dr. Arne Schneider, will kick off the Capital Markets Day with the big picture, outlining our strategic priorities and how we see Elmos evolving in a rapidly changing global environment. Dr. Jan Dienstuhl, our Chief Sales Officer, will then discuss market opportunities and our right to win new business, explaining why we are confident in our competitive positioning and in our ability to capture structural growth towards our 2030 sales target.
Dr. Burkhard von Spreckelsen, Chief Development Officer, will provide a detailed update on our China strategy. As you know, a key pillar of our growth plans and strategic agenda. After a short break, Jochen Vaihinger, CTO, will take you deep into innovation and technology, the core engine behind our long-term success.
Dr. Patrick Schmitt, COO, will present our supply chain strategy and operational excellence, ensuring scalability, resilience and performance as a fabless company. And finally, our CFO, Margarita Mamberger, will walk you through our financial performance and our targets, outlining how growth translates into profitability into cash and, of course, into shareholder value.
We will conclude with an open Q&A session. We encourage you to ask questions and interact with our Executive Committee.
Ladies and gentlemen, we are convinced that today's presentation will reinforce your understanding why Elmos is uniquely positioned in an evolving automotive semiconductor landscape and why we are so confident about our next phase of growth and value creation. Before we begin, of course, a short legal disclaimer. As usual, please note that today's presentation includes forward-looking statements. These statements reflect current expectations and, of course, are subject to risks and uncertainties that could cause actual results to differ from these expectations. Thank you very much for being with us today. I would say let's get started. Please join me in welcoming our CEO, Dr. Arne Schneider.
Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. It is a great pleasure to welcome you to our Capital Markets Day 2026. When we met at our last CMD in November 2024, we made clear commitments to all of you. Today, I can say with confidence we have delivered. We executed our strategy exactly as planned. We outperformed our peers. We gained market share and strengthened our competitive position. We started successfully on our new journey, and we created substantial shareholder value. And I think the best news to all of us to you, we are only just getting started. The best is yet to come. Let's see where we are. Amos is a real global high-tech leader, enabling intelligent mobility around the globe. On average, there are 10 Elmos ICs installed in every new car globally. Our innovative solutions are used by virtually every major OEM worldwide from Europe to the U.S. to China, Japan or Korea. From premium models with a lot of Elmos chips to entry-level vehicles with some fewer Elmos content. From combustion engine to fully electric platforms. Our chips are not just components. They are the intelligent layer of a modern vehicle. Our ICs measure, control and enable electronic intelligence at the edge of the vehicle architecture, where real-time data is generated, processed and translated into safe, reliable, high-performance functionality. If you drive a car or you plan to buy a new one, we are part of your daily life. You will most probably not see the Elmos logo anywhere in your car.
Of course, unless you grab a screw driver and take things apart, I can recommend that just for knowing what's in sight. We are working behind the scenes under the hood, in the dashboard in the airbag, in the HVAC system or at the edge of the vehicle. We are everywhere to make your journey safer, more efficient and more comfortable. Since 1984, so for more than 40 years, we have transformed from a visionary startup into a real global leader. When we look back at the early days of our company, we see the courage, vision and determination it took to turn a bold idea into a global leader in analog mixed signal semiconductors.
Our passion for innovation, our deep understanding of customer needs, our strong execution discipline and above all, our tilers commitment have shaped Elmos into what it is today. And these qualities are firmly embedded in the DNA of our people, and we continue to drive our success every single day. Today, we are stronger and better positioned than ever before to lead the structural growth of intelligent vehicle electronics.
Let me give you some examples. Our success is the direct result of the innovative and visionary spirit of our 500 engineers worldwide. Their passion, creativity and technical excellence form the foundation of our competitive strength. Based on our best-in-class IP performance, Elmos has been recognized as the most innovative German midsized tech company in 2025. Elmos is part of the tech docs, as you know, and 1 of Germany's largest listed technology companies. At the same time, we are among the fastest-growing members of the index with only 3 out of 30 TecDAX companies achieving a comparable sales CAGR between 2021 and '25. We are the global #1 or #2 in our key application segments.
You see leadership is not optional. It is a key element of our strategy and essential for our ongoing successful development. From our early beginnings to our position today, and the significant potential that lies ahead, our journey has always been driven by relentless innovation, disciplined execution and a highly committed team.
I've already mentioned our strong performance in the last years. Between 2021 and '25, Elmos delivered 16% sales CAGR, a very strong EBIT margin improvement improving free cash flow margins and solid EPS growth. We have clearly outperformed our direct peers, all global high-tech companies. Most of them really bigger, a lot bigger than Elmos.
In this 5-year period of chip allocation and destocking, we have grown faster, improve profitability more and generated substantial free cash flows. But at the same time, Elmos share still has a valuation upside. So despite our strong share price performance, our current valuation may not fully reflect the strength of our positioning we feel. So there may be potential. We believe the market still underestimates the structural opportunity ahead of us. We see upside potential. We see that the trends are going in the right way, and we will see them materialize as we continue to execute our strategic agenda, grow profitably and generate more cash.
So looking at what happened to the share price, since January '21, the Elmos share price has increased by 350%. Our performance actually crushed the average of our peers and the German tech dogs, where Elmos is a member since June 2024. And our performance was also significantly better than the SOX, comprising of the 30 largest U.S.-listed semi companies, including the very big ones, like NVIDIA, Intel, Qualcomm, GSMC or ASML and of course, many of our direct peers as well.
Including dividends, we have delivered 9x higher shareholder returns than the average of our peer group. We delivered structural outperformance based on disciplined execution, technological leadership and a clear strategic road map. So we think we are a great company and we don't deserve any sort of [indiscernible]
Ladies and gentlemen, we have delivered on our commitment -- now let us turn our focus to the opportunities ahead. The automotive semiconductor market is expected to grow at around 13% CAGR until 2030 with a moderate annual growth of the underlying car volumes by around 2%. Correspondingly, the semiconductor content per vehicle is expected to increase by around 11% per year until 2030. This is structural growth. It's based on an acceleration of EVs, higher ADAS and autonomous driving functions in all vehicle segments and the shift to new zonal architectures and software-defined vehicles.
These mega trends play directly to our strengths and Elmos is uniquely positioned to serve them with innovative high-value IC solutions. Our midterm growth target is market aligned, and we have chosen a conservative approach. The annual growth rate of around 12% is largely secured by existing serial business and design wins. And we still see upside potential in our key segments as well as in adjacencies.
Let me give you a few examples by exceeding our growth target is not unrealistic. More and more U.S. and European OEMs are going to follow the Chinese pace in rolling out Level 2++ ADAS across their full model range, e-Mobility penetration in Europe is accelerating again, supported by stronger government incentives and an ever-increasing charging infrastructure. An increasing number of car platforms will be shifted to zonal architectures, enabling true software-defined vehicles and structurally increasing semiconductor content per car. And importantly, our current plan does not include any meaningful contribution from robotics.
Already today, we supply sensor and motor control ICs to robotics manufacturers in China and the U.S. But honestly, given the early stage of this market, we have delivered not built an assumption into our forecast. However, even if we take conservative market expectations and we say they materialize, robotics could become an additional structural growth driver for Elmos. And if that happens, we may have to revise and of course, potentially upgrade our growth targets.
So maybe at the next Capital Markets Day when we can start counting robots. Today, we just love the robots. They are technically super exciting. We love them, but today, we do not count them. My colleague, Dienstuhl, will provide much more detail on how we plan to deliver our growth ambitions in our core business and where additional upsides from new technologies could emerge. All I can say, we feel very confident about our 2030 sales target of around EUR 1 billion.
A substantial part of it is already underpinned by the design wins we have secured in recent years. Let me briefly remind you of the 6 priorities we defined at our Capital Markets Day in November 2024. These strategic and operational pillars form the foundation of our successful development and underpin our ambitious 2030 financial targets. Today, I can say this very clearly. We have delivered on all 6 priorities. And we have proven that execution excellence across the entire Elmos organization is 1 of our most powerful competitive advantages. In the following presentations by my AC colleagues, you will hear much more about the progress we have made, the achievements to date and our future ambitions in all of these strategic pillars.
Over the past decade, we have doubled our annual patent filings, a truly outstanding achievement. Our disciplined IP portfolio management and proactive filing strategy exceeds industry-leading standards by a substantial multiple. A highly experienced and talented R&D team generate more than EUR 1.2 million revenue per engineer. I think a very impressive level even exceeding players with multitudes of our sites.
Our passion for innovation and our drive to create the next generation of intelligent microelectronics, translates direct to into new business and strengthens our market leadership in our core applications. Since 2021, we have acquired more than 1,200 design wins, representing more than EUR 3.3 billion in lifetime value. These design wins secure our future growth in all major regions and in all of our key applications. All major mega trends are working in our favor, and all of our key applications will benefit from structural IC content growth in modern cars.
A modern premium battery electric vehicle based on a zonal architecture can contain up to 200 Elmos ICs. But also in premium combustion engine or hybrid vehicles, the number of Elmos chips is growing significantly. Because safety, autonomous driving, efficiency and comfort are becoming more important in all engine types. Our EUR 1 billion sales target for 2030 is largely backed by already secured design wins. Our sales growth is not based on speculative forecasts, but on booked business already in hand. Between 2021 and '25, Elmos delivered a strong 16% sales CAGR, clearly outperforming our direct peers, which grew by only 2% on average in the same period. Our track record, I think, speaks for itself. We know how to grow, and we are fully committed to continuing this trajectory.
China is the largest automotive market in the world, setting new innovation standards in the industry constantly. It's also a very dynamic market, which requires a very flexible, very local team and organization. Because of these market dynamics and the geopolitical environment, China is often perceived as a risk. We do not agree -- we see big opportunities in China. And of course, nothing is guaranteed or secured forever. But based on our China strategy, we see a lot more opportunities than risks in this region. We've been very successful in China, dominating the market in some of our product segments. We are present at almost every car OEM in China with our products. Between 2021 and '25, we achieved more than 30% annual revenue growth in China.
However, of course, we are not leaning back or taking the success for granted. We're actively improving our position and executing our China strategy, which will be presented to you by our Chief Development Officer later today in more detail. We are deeply embedded in the local ecosystem in China. We doubled our head count in the last year and hired many highly talented people to manage our business in China.
Our local senior management team combines over 100 years of semiconductor experience. And let me highlight another interesting fact. Stock listed Chinese analog mixed signal peers trade at a 7x premium valuation compared to Elmos. Our priority is to build strategic optionality and ensure resilience under any future political or geopolitical scenario. Our carve-out and fully functioned Chinese entity provides the structural basis to achieve this strategic flexibility. Maybe engage in new partnerships and align business success with geopolitics. I think of future paths might be a very exciting one.
Innovation is not only about creativity. It is also about speed and efficiency. It is important to find the right balance between R&D funding and profitability. We made significant progress in our R&D efficiency program over the past 12 months, and we improved R&D run times between 15% to 30% year-over-year. Time to market is a critical success factor these days, and it will become even more important as innovation cycles continue to shorten, particularly driven by the rapid pace of development in China.
Our global R&D teams are a core competitive advantage of Elmos. We operate in 7 R&D centers with almost 500 highly skilled and experienced engineers. More than 40% of our total workforce is dedicated to research and development, mostly development, of course. And this is a clear reflection of how deeply innovation is embedded in our organization.
Innovation is in our DNA, and it is our passion. We file roughly 1 patent for every 3 engineers each year. This is a benchmark level that exceeds industry benchmarks and it's way above many peers. Even those several times our sites. Our research and development activities are fully aligned with our strategy to deliver the next generation of IC solutions that add value to our customers and strengthen our leadership in our key application areas. Over the last years, we have transformed Elmos into an agile and highly scalable fabless semiconductor company.
Our new operational focus and the benefits of being fabless are already starting to materialize. And the results, I think, speak for themselves. Our CapEx ratio is around 70% lower compared to our 5-year average. Our supply chain is resilient as we have entered into more than 10 strong partnerships with leading foundries and others across 6 countries. Our investment in the latest generation of testing machines combined with our efforts to optimize the uptime of our testing machines and our test program to reduce test times -- we're extremely successful.
Overall, we could more than triple the testing capacity per machine. This is, of course, a key achievement to permanently lowering the capital intensity going forward and to burn significantly less cash for our growth. All of our activities are geared at generating significantly more cash than in the past. Historically, cash generation was not 1 of Alma's key strength -- but we have fundamentally changed that. We have transitioned from cash consumption to substantial cash generation.
Last year, we improved the adjusted free cash flow by more than EUR 100 million versus the operating adjusted free cash flow in 2024. The adjusted free cash flow to sales ratio was 11.4% in 2025, and we expect another strong improvement in the free cash flow margin to more than 17% for the fiscal year 2026. Our new cash journey is a major milestone and gives us more room to allocate excess cash to our shareholders. Of course, you may have already read that we will double the total payout for the financial year 2025 compared to 2024 and returned EUR 36 million via the dividend and the share buyback program. And speaking of returns, since January 2021, we have delivered 9x the shareholder return of our average peer group.
I think a direct reflection of our outstanding performance. Ladies and gentlemen, our cash generation is accelerating, providing additional momentum for sustained and attractive shareholder returns. The targets we have published in our Capital Markets Day 2024 are fully in line and we can confirm today around EUR 1 billion sales in 2030 with an EBIT margin of around 25%.
In addition, we have upgraded our CapEx ratio target from below 10% to now around 6%. We have defined a clear and ambitious free cash flow margin target at around 17% of sales. To further enhance the attractiveness of our capital allocation, we have refined our dividend policy. We do not want to build large cash power. So we plan to distribute excess cash via a combination of dividends and share buybacks.
Going forward, share buybacks will become a structural element of our capital allocation work rather than the opportunistic element you've seen before. Of course, capital allocation decisions will continue to reflect our current and future business development as well as the prevailing market environment. The objective of the new Elmos dividend policy is clear. to ensure that our shareholders participate appropriately in the company's success.
Ladies and gentlemen, behind all of these achievements, stands a highly committed workforce and a very strong leadership team. Our senior leadership team represents a powerful combination of experience, diversity and execution strength. It brings together proven Elmo's expertise with fresh external leadership, creating a forward-looking, a performance-driven management culture. This combination enables us to think boldly, act decisively and drive continuous improvement across the whole organization.
With the new EEC structure, so the Elmos Executive Committee structure in place for 1 year now, we are strengthening accountability, accelerating decision-making and sharpening our strategic focus. I'm very confident that this leadership setup will play a pivotal role in shaping the next phase of Elmos growth and long-term success.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes my presentation. I hope I have sparked your interest here and there and excitement for what comes next. In the following presentations, we will outline our strategic agenda, our growth road map and our financial ambitions in much greater detail. For now, thank you very much for your attention. I now hand over to Jan, who will take a deeper dive into our market opportunities and our right to win.
So Jan, the stage is yours.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining us today.
It is a pleasure to speak to investors who truly understand technology, growth and long-term value creation. My name is Jan Dienstuhl. I am the Chief Sales Officer and member of the Management Board of Elmos Semiconductor SE.
Today, I would like to focus on 3 key topics: First, the strong market opportunity ahead of us, driven by the structural growth of the automotive semiconductor sector. Second, where Elmos plays in this market and why we win in these segments. And third, why everyone at Elmos is confident that we will achieve and potentially exceed our EUR 1 billion sales target by 2030.
Let me start with the top-down view of the market. Automotive is our core business, and it is entering a new phase of structural semiconductor growth. This growth is now largely decoupled from global vehicle production. It is driven by the steadily rising IC content in modern cars. Therefore, the long-term development of the automotive semiconductor market is not cyclical. It is a structural and a sustainable growth story. Global light vehicle production will grow only slightly in the coming years from about 90 million vehicles today to around 97 million by 2030. That equals roughly 1% CAGR. At the same time, semiconductor content per vehicle will almost double from around USD 720 per car in 2024 to nearly USD 1,400 by 2030. This represents roughly 11% CAGR per vehicle. This represents roughly 11% CAGR per vehicle. As a result, the total automotive semiconductor market is set to grow by around 12% to 13% annually through 2030. This gives us long-term visibility and strong confidence in our growth trajectory for the years ahead. The growth drivers behind higher IC content are clear. Five powerful megatrends are shaping the modern car, and they are fueling the Elmos growth engine. First, advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous driving, enabled by high-performance sensing at the edge.
Second, electric and hybrid vehicles. They significantly increased the need for control, power management and thermal management, boosting the range and reducing CO2 emissions. Third, comfort and premium features that enhance the well-being of drivers and passengers. Fourth, higher safety standards driven by consumer expectations and by stricter regulations. And fifth, software-defined vehicles and also new [ boardnet ] architectures with more intelligent and capable edge devices. This shift increases demand for intelligent edge components, system-based chips, communication interfaces and power management.
All these trends are firmly embedded in the production plans of every major OEM. They define modern mobility across all vehicle segments. Let me briefly walk you through them and show why Elmos is ideally positioned to benefit from these mega trends. First, advanced driver assistance systems and autonomous driving. In 2020, only about 20% of global vehicles had Level 2 or higher ADAS functions. By 2025, this number has increased to 46%, and it will reach nearly 65% by 2030 across almost all vehicle segments.
Level 2++ others is already being rolled out today, led by Chinese OEMs, which are equipping every vehicle from entry level to premium with intelligence, driver assistance features. Ultrasonic ranging sensors built with Elmos chips capture the 360-degree environment around the car precisely and reliably. They provide essential input for assisted and autonomous driving in city environments and also at low speed. Elmos Ultrasonic ICs enable blind spot detection, emergency braking, collision avoidance and of course, assisted our fully autonomous parking.
Our next-generation ultrasonic ICs set new benchmarks, much faster data rates, higher sensor performance, lower system costs and lower power consumption. With our latest solutions, the distance to obstacles can be measured as close as 3 centimeters, supported by smart AI algorithms, our sensors classify object height and they reliably separate real hazards from noncritical interference such as ACOs from [ Corbistones ], for example. The winning formula here is simple, rising autonomy levels drive rising sensing content at the edge. The higher the ADAS level, the more sensor ICs each vehicle requires.
The long-term trend is clear. By 2030, around 68% of all new cars worldwide will be electric or hybrid, with more than half of them produced in China. But electrification is far more than replacing just the combustion engine with a battery. Electrification multiplies control, power and thermal complexity across the entire vehicle. Modern electric and hybrid vehicles. They rely on intelligent thermal management, precise battery monitoring, advanced Boardnet and power management systems. All of these functions depend on sensors and compact electric motors to monitor, control and power key operations. At the same time, today's combustion engine vehicles also require increasingly sophisticated electronics to meet efficiency and emission standards.
In short, electrification increases semiconductor content across all drivetrain types: combustion engine, hybrid and battery electric platforms all alike in of new lighting applications, both inside and outside the car, efficiently and comfortably illuminated by LEDs. Elmos lighting control ICs enable illuminated front grills with multi-pixel LED surfaces as well as glass roofs with colored mood adaptive dynamic ambient lighting.
Airvents are another good example. In the past, they were purely mechanical and required manual adjustment. Today, our motor control ICs for air conditioning flaps, support narrow, almost hidden air outlets in the dashboard. AirFlow is no longer controlled mechanically. It is managed electronically and automatically. This ensures maximum comfort for occupants and also optimal energy use for heating or cooling the cabin.
Each of these upgrades in user experience and in premium comfort increases IC content per vehicle by a significant factor, multi-zone ambient and light sky systems require 5 to 10x more ICs than basic interior lighting.
I think [indiscernible] similar factor also [indiscernible] This enables automatic affordable climate zones inside the car. And last securing our position with a continuous pipeline of innovative IC solutions that deliver real value for our customers and for the end user. The board met architecture of modern vehicles is also undergoing a fundamental shift. We are moving from distributed ECUs to a domain-based and zonal architecture.
By 2030, nearly 70% of all vehicles will follow this approach. A few powerful central computers will replace more than 100 traditional ECUs. This makes the edge increasingly important, where Elmos ICs must deliver higher performance, safety and security. Whenever there is no compelling reason to shift a function to a centralized updatable high-performance controller, it will remain at the edge to keep system complexity and the integrity of the system under control. In these cases, Elmos HICs and dedicated application gateways are becoming more feature-rich, better connected and more intelligent, replacing today's ECU based components. Zonal designs also accelerate the transition from mechanical fuses to smart electronic fuses. These so-called eFuses operate faster, can be switched on and off, reduced wiring rate, minimize interference and allow advanced power monitoring. As vehicles further adopt Ethernet-based networking, we will introduce our first smart Ethernet-enabled application gateways. These gateways will support functions such as mastering the ultrasonic sensor network or enabling zone light controllers. They deliver intelligent, high-speed connectivity for the new vehicle architecture.
Elmos bridges the physical and the digital layers of the car. We engineer the intelligent nervous system at the edge. Exactly there, where semiconductor content is growing fastest. When we combine all of these mega trends, the outlook for Elmos becomes very positive. The modern car is autonomous and safe, it is electrified and highly efficient, affordable and it's intuitive. It is connected and increasingly software defined. Electrification of vehicle platforms remains a strong and a continuous growth driver for our products. Many of tomorrow's premium battery electric and hybrid vehicles, will integrate significantly more mixed signal ICs from Elmos.
At the same time, many of our applications are completely independent of the drivetrain itself, whether it is an internal combustion engine, a plug-in hybrid or a fully battery electric vehicle. In a premium ice vehicle today, we already see up to 70 Elmos ICs installed. In a premium electric vehicle or hybrid vehicle of tomorrow, this number could rise to as many as 200 Elmos ICs per car, nearly tripling potential content. And this is not theoretical. These applications are already designed into OEM platforms, and we are successfully winning the corresponding design wins to capture this growth across the short, the medium and the long term.
The automotive semiconductor market is expected to grow by around 12% to 13% annually through 2030. This is mainly fueled by high-performance SOC chips, high-power semiconductors, ADAS content and various intelligent IC solutions. Our own growth target of roughly 12% CAGR is deliberately conservative. It is fully aligned with structural growth drivers, but it still offers upside. Faster-than-expected EV penetration, broader adoption of ADAS Level 2++, more platforms moving to software-defined architectures or a stronger underlying [indiscernible] and each of them is supported by our innovative portfolio. Battery electric and hybrid vehicle penetration will rise from 42% to 68% by 2030. ADAS adoption increases from roughly 46% to 65% and zonal architecture adoption grows from around 35% to 68%. With all -- and make no -- take this adjacent area roughly 20% and Sensing & Safety together at about 25%.
In 2025, our ranging segment outperformed other applications, driven by the strong demand for our ultrasonic ICs, especially in China. By 2030, we target approximately EUR 1 billion in sales, and our portfolio will remain well balanced. You clearly see the rising importance of sensor ICs and the growing momentum of software-defined vehicle applications. Our portfolio and our design wins ensure a diversified profitable growth across all of our core product segments.
Let me please summarize the first part of my presentation. The automotive semiconductor market is on a structural, not a cyclical growth path. I see content per vehicle remains a dominant long-term driver of this expansion. Multiple megatrends such as electrification, safety, ADAS, autonomous driving, comfort and software, they reinforce each other. These developments are not isolated. They accumulate and each of them increases semiconductor content per car functionality, complexity and electronics content are rising across all vehicle segments. Automotive semiconductor growth is no longer driven by premium models only. We are positioned at the center of this IC content expansion. Elmos focuses exactly on those application areas where I see density is increasing fastest at the intelligent edge of the vehicle and our 12% annual growth target is based on conservative assumptions, leaving some room for upside potential.
Now let me explain why we have a clear right to win in our markets. And what truly differentiates Elmos from other IC suppliers. Elmos is not a generic semiconductor company. We are the leading specialist for analog and mixed signal ICs with more than 40 years of experience in that field. We understand our technologies and applications in depth and we combine this with outstanding product and system-level expertise. This holistic understanding of the full system context gives us strong and defensible market positions in our core segments.
Our decades-long relationship with Tier 1 suppliers and OEMs are built on trust and on consistent performance. As a global market and innovation leader in our core application fields, we engage with our customers at high level, helping them to make their electronic systems smarter, safer and more efficient. Innovation has always been a part of our DNA. Since our foundation in 1984. We have continuously driven performance and technology improvements across multiple generations of vehicle platforms. further strengthening our position as a true automotive IC specialist.
During the semiconductor crisis of 21 to 23 no direct customer or OEM had to stop production because of Elmos. To my knowledge, we were the only automotive IC supplier that achieved this. It significantly reinforced our reputation as an agile flexible and highly reliable partner. Finally, our global footprint with regional R&D, sales and application engineering teams ensures proximity to our customers. With R&D centers across Europe and Asia, we can provide fast response times, strong local support and cultural alignment, always close to where our customers innovate.
To be a successful and highly relevant supplier of automotive chips, we must be among the market leaders in all of our high-volume focused applications. Only then we can truly understand market trends early enough and invest in the innovations that will shape tomorrow's platforms. That is why it is our explicit ambition to achieve segment leadership in all of our focus applications.
Today, we are #1 in ultrasonic parking and 360-degree ranging. In motor control ICs for smart HVAC actuators in LED real lighting ICs and in pressure sensing ICs for brake systems. In other segments such as RGB interior lighting, and airbag ICs, we are run up or rapidly catching up to become the #1 or #2 player. These strong positions result from deep focus and from a long-standing track record of adding tangible value with every new generation of Elmos ICs.
We also invest in new product families, such as our eFuse ICs or the smart Ethernet gateways. But as a specialized niche player, we do not chase every opportunity. We focus on high-value mixed-signal domains where we can scale across multiple platforms. This is our core DNA. delivering outstanding products to customers worldwide and unlocking significant growth potential through highly differentiated automotive mixed-signal leadership.
We are a trusted partner for both our tier customers and for the OEMs. They value Elmos as a flexible, reliable and highly committed IC development partner, one that consistently supports their needs with a strong focus on innovation, on quality and on dependable execution. This trust is a major achievement, and it is only possible because of the outstanding commitment, the passion and the close collaboration of the entire Elmos team around the world.
Every single colleague contributes to the reputation we have built. As a partner, our customers can rely on today and also in the future. Our outstanding performance is not only recognized by our customers. Thanks to our great products and the exceptional work of our employees day after day, Elmos is regularly honored by leading industry organizations.
In 2025, we were recognized as the most innovative German midsized company in Electrical Engineering. And we were ranked #2 across 31 industries and 500 companies. In 2024, we received the prestigious TWAN Award for best lighting technology. And in the same year, the Innovation Enterprise Award in China. These awards, they really make us proud and they motivate us to raise the bar even higher as we continue our successful journey. Innovation and great products, they are essential. But without high quality and reliability, you cannot succeed in the automotive semiconductor industry. I am proud that that Elmos stands for excellence in free of crucial dimensions: quality, reliability and supply security. We maintain consistently low field return rates measured in parts per billion. These very low failure levels, they show how robust our products are across the entire automotive portfolio.
For our customers, this is more than just the KPI. It is a key trust factor. Our secure and adaptable edge solutions, they support both internal combustion engine vehicles and battery electric platforms. We design for long-term system stability so that our ICs perform reliably even under the toughest operating conditions. And finally, supply security has become even more important since the ship crisis from 2021 to '23. In today's environment, shaped by global disruptions and geopolitical uncertainty, dependable supply is a decisive competitive advantage. The local proximity of our engineering experts to our customers allows us to engage early in new projects.
In Europe, Japan, Korea and the United States we are already deeply embedded. In China, we have also been present now for many years, and now we are expanding our footprint and building a fully functional local entity, including our new China product center. And in India, we established a new application engineering site in Pune last year. As you can see, our global footprint helps us to engage with virtually every major automotive player in the world. With a well-known established grants and also with the many new players in Europe, the United States and especially in China. Our end customer footprint is, in many ways, a true reflection of the global automotive market.
Ladies and gentlemen, this slide captures the essence of our growth story. In 2025, we have achieved around EUR 583 million in sales. By 2030, our goal is EUR 1 billion. That is more than 70% growth or about 12% per year. This target is built on strength. We are not changing who we are. we are building on what already works. First, we have a strong system level understanding. We do not design ships in isolation. We understand the full application. And this is a major advantage.
Second, we provide dedicated engineering assistance. We work closely with our Tier 1 customers and with OEM engineering teams. This creates deep platform integration and also long-term visibility. Third, we are highly focused on analog mixed signal innovation. This is our core DNA. And in a digital world, the intelligent interface between the physical and digital domain, it becomes even more important. Fourth, we offer a compelling value proposition, performance, easy integration, reliability and cost efficiency, all in one. That is the reason why customers repeatedly award us new design wins. Fifth, we operate with a worldwide regional setup. We are close to our customers in Europe, Asia and the United States. This leads to faster development, more successful products and stronger relationships.
Together, these strengths form the foundation for our EUR 1 billion target. This target is driven by the execution of our automotive business pipeline. It is mainly based on design wins that we have already secured and on programs that are now ramping up. We also see additional upside from adjacent markets, such as robotics, these opportunities are not included in the EUR 1 billion target, which makes our plan even more robust. So when we speak about EUR 1 billion by 2030 we speak about disciplined execution of the business already in our hands, strengthened by structural market growth and rising semiconductor content per vehicle. This is why we are confident -- this is why the target is achievable, and this is why we are excited about the Design wins are the foundation of our growth ambition. Between '21 and '25. We have secured more than 1,200 design wins across all major automotive applications. This shows strong customer traction and broad relevance across our entire portfolio from others to electrification, comfort and safety systems. These wins represent more than EUR 3.3 billion in lifetime revenue. This number shows very clearly that our solutions meet real market needs and they generate long-term demand. And that is the key point. This business is already awarded and provides good revenue visibility.
Among these design wins, we achieved 7 major platform programs each worth more than EUR 100 million in lifetime revenue. These large wins prove that we can compete at the highest level and win global platforms. Our pipeline is also fully aligned with structural growth trends, 33% in others, 32% in electrification and 28% in comfort and premium. In other words, our awarded business matches the megatrends of the automotive industry. Our design win performance is exactly on track. What follows now is execution, supply ramps and product ramps that turn these wins into profitable cereal business. If you look at our annual development of design wins since 2020, you see consistently strong and improving performance.
We grew from around EUR 300 million in lifetime revenue in 2020 to a peak of nearly EUR 1 billion in '22, between '23 and '25, we continued to increase our annual new business acquisition every year. The peak in '22 was partly driven by short-term opportunities during the chip crisis. when some of our competitors could not deliver, but we could, and we were glad to support our customers. After '22, we increased our new design win volume every single year. As a result, we achieved a compound annual growth rate of 19% between 2020 and '25.
This development shows 3 things clearly. First, our technology and innovation road map is highly relevant to our customers. Second, our sales and engineering teams, they execute with great discipline and consistency. Third, we are aligned with the structural growth drivers of the automotive industry. Compared to 5 years ago, we have more than doubled our annual design win achievement. These more than EUR 3.3 billion in new lifetime revenue gives us strong visibility for our growth trajectory towards 2030.
Ladies and gentlemen, this slide delivers one of the most important messages of today. The majority of our top line growth towards 2030 is already awarded. If you look at the composition of our revenue bridge, around 50% comes from running business and follow-up wins that we have secured before and since '21. Another roughly 25% comes from design wins in new business and platforms we have achieved since 2021. These programs are now starting to ramp into serial production. Around 10% related to the remaining design in target for this year for 2 and we have already achieved more than 20% of the target year-to-date.
Only about 15% still need to be won through new business from 2027 onwards. Based on our strong design win performance in recent years, we are very confident that we can exceed this target. This breakdown is important. It shows that we are not building our future uncertainty. We are converting awarded business into revenue with disciplined execution, and we will continue our strong design win performance. Let me make our growth story a little bit more tangible by sharing a few recent design win highlights. These are strategic platform wins with leading global OEMs across regions, applications and also technologies. Example one, high-end front lighting. We have secured a next-generation front grill lighting win for top-selling premium SUV of a leading German OEM.
This program represents more than EUR 15 million in lifetime revenue with SOP in 2026. This platform integrates dozens of our ICs per vehicle, driving hundreds of LEDs for dynamic light animations. It enables synchronized software control lighting architectures that create a distinctive brand signature. Example 2, Avant motor control, Here, we won a next-generation Avant control solution for premium platforms of a leading German luxury OEM, more than EUR 25 million lifetime revenue, SOP in '27. This solution enables a fully electronic airflow control with seamless HVAC integration. It enhances user experience and interior differentiation through software-controlled climate features. What used to be a simple mechanical component becomes an intelligent electronically controlled comfort feature.
Example #3, ultrasonic ranging platform -- this is a particularly strong one, a global OEM platform in the United States, representing more than EUR 125 million in lifetime revenue with SOP in early '27. Our ultrasonic signal processing platform supports multiple vehicle tiers within the OEM's global architecture. It delivers robust, cost-efficient and very precise proximity sensing, enabling parking and safety functions across all vehicle segments. Example 4, an EV system basis chip in Asia. We were selected as a system-based chip so-called SBC supplier for next-generation luxury SUV platform of a leading Korean OEM group, more than EUR 15 million lifetime revenue.
SOP '26 this year. This SBC enables the transition toward software-defined vehicles with better integration, enhanced safety and optimize power management. It becomes a core building block for upcoming EV and extended range EV platforms. These examples illustrate what our product pipeline looks like. It is diversified. It is global and it is technology-driven India. India is not just another emerging market. India is becoming the world's next major automotive growth and we are very well positioned to participate in that growth.
If you look at vehicles per 1,000 inhabitants, the gap becomes clear. Europe and China already have a high penetration rate. India in contrast still has very low vehicle density. While mature markets grow only at low single digits, India's vehicle penetration and automotive demand are expected to rise sharply over the coming decades. This translates directly into the semiconductor growth. The Indian automotive semiconductor market is expected to grow from about USD 2.3 billion in '25 to roughly USD 4.8 billion in 2030, a compound annual growth rate of more than 15%.
Where does Elmos stand in India. First, we have direct access to top OEM decision makers. We are not only supplying for Tier 1 and Tier 2 customers. We are directly influencing architecture decisions on platform level. Second, we are recognized as a strategic semiconductor partner. Several of our flagship products are already in serial production. Third, we bring deep system integration capabilities across lighting, motor control and also others. OEMs engage with us directly because we understand not only the chip but the full application. And fourth, we have a local presence in Pune, one of India's major high-tech centers.
This proximity allows us to support customers effectively and to leverage the rapid growth of domestic OEMs. Let's now look beyond automotive. Robots are one of the hottest topics in the tech industry right now, very similar to the current AI wave. But the real question is, how can Amos benefit from this trend? And this slide shows why robotics is a logical extension of what we already do.
Cars and robots share fundamental architectural principles. Modern vehicles increasingly rely on 48-volt board nets. Humanoid and industrial robots operate in a very similar voltage range, typically 40 to 60 volts. Many semiconductor solutions can therefore be transferred almost directly. In vehicles, we are moving towards centralized high-performance computers with zonal -- in robots, we see central compute units that control distributed body zones. It is the same architectural logic, a central brain combined with distributed intelligence at the edge.
Vehicles are transitioning to automotive Ethernet backbones. Robots also rely on ethernet-based internal networks. They need reliable communication between many distributed notes. This is exactly the environment our mixed signal and interface ICs are designed for. Consider sensors and actuators. In a vehicle, we control motors, fans, wells, lighting systems and safety sensors at the edge. In robots, motor control and sensing are present at every joint and the extremities. This is exactly our home turf, and then there is autonomy and safety. Both autonomous vehicles and autonomous robots require functional safety, redundancy and fail safe concepts. The safety philosophy and robustness requirements are very similar.
The technological DNA of modern vehicles and of advanced robots is converging. Elmos has spent decades mastering automotive-grade mixed signal solutions at the intelligence edge. That is why we are naturally positioned to serve robotic applications as well. And importantly, this is not about entering a completely new industry with massive R&D investments. It is about leveraging our proven core strengths and products in a structurally adjacent market. And I want to repeat this clearly, robotics is a pure upside for us.
Our EUR 1 billion target is based entirely on automotive business. Robotics represents additional potential beyond that. If cars are becoming software-defined machines on wheels, humanoid robots are becoming intelligent machines on legs. This slide shows how Elmos ICs can enable what you might call the nervous system of humanoid robots. Robots like modern vehicles, they rely on centralized compute with a high-speed Ethernet backbone. Around the central brain, you have distributed edge gateways in the head, the hands, the legs. You need [indiscernible] and Ethernet connectivity across upzone.
Humanoid robots require a high number of BLDC motor drivers across joints, shoulders, elbows, hips, knees and fingers. Every movement depends on motor and sensor control including precise positioning and force sensing. Robots require high-density capacitive touch sensing across hands, fingers, body. They need proximity, optical passive infrared and ultrasonic sensing to interact safely with humans and their environment. Robots run on batteries and power distribution in the 48-volt range electronic protection. Wake up and sleep malls, thermal monitoring, safety critical control, everything very similar. When you add it all together, a single humanoid robot can easily integrate more than 120 potential Elmos ICs across power, motion, sensing and control. This is a significant semiconductor opportunity. and it is well connected to our core. It is a natural extension of our strengths in mixed signal edge intelligence, sensing, safety, motor control and power management.
While the shipment volumes of humanoid robots are still small today, all major research houses expect exponential growth beyond 2030. Depending on the scenario estimates for 2035, they range up from roughly 1 million up to 10 million units per year. Even the conservative scenarios show a massive step up from today's levels.
On average, the market is expected to grow from about 0.6 million units in 2030 to around 4.5 million units in 2035, a compound annual growth rate of almost 50%. We are not entering robotics as new companies. We are already engaged with multiple robot manufacturers. We are aligning the product requirements, and we are in active design in discussions. Four of our products are already designed into delivery robots and humanoid robot platforms. These include applications such as extremity motor control, for sensing and also ultrasonic sensor ICs that allow robotic hands to detect distances to objects. This is still the early stage of a potential new large market.
Our cereal revenue today is small, but it is real. And if even a fraction of the bullish scenario becomes reality, robotics could evolve into a meaningful additional growth driver in the next decade. Let me close with the key takeaways of my presentation. Our growth is built on true global market leadership in our focus applications. We have secured #1 or #2 positions in core automotive IC markets. Innovation is in our DNA. We are not simply following platforms. We are shaping future mobility.
Our technology leadership is recognized not only by industry awards, but even more importantly, through repeated design wins from our customers. Our global customer relationships are a major competitive advantage. Strong partnerships with automotive tier customers and close engagements with OEM engineering teams. They allow us to be involved early and to secure a long-term platform integration.
Our 2030 target of EUR 1 billion is well anchored, more than EUR 3.3 billion in lifetime revenue from design wins over the past 5 years already secured most of our future growth. This gives us visibility and it gives us confidence, and we are not stopping at 2030. Long-term growth fields such as robotics and emerging intelligent applications they build directly on our core strength. They offer additional potential beyond our current target.
Ladies and gentlemen, we have delivered in the past, we are executing today and we are clearly positioned to continue growing profitably in the years ahead. Thank you very much for your participation.
Let's continue with Burkhard, our CEO.
Thank you, Jan, for providing this overview of our market, our right to win and our plan to achieve further profitable growth. Hello, and welcome, ladies and gentlemen. As Chief Development Officer, my responsibilities include strategy, M&A, IT and AI, and China is very relevant for all those topics. I'm looking forward to providing you with an update on our China strategy and the status of its implementation.
I will split my presentation into 3 parts. At first, I will share with you our perspective on the Chinese automotive market. Secondly, I will review our China strategy as presented in 2024 and show selected highlights we could achieve since the last Capital Markets Day. Thirdly, and this will be the main part of my presentation, I will share with you our strategy moving forward.
In essence, we at Elmos see much more opportunities than risks in China. Let me walk you through our way of thinking about China. I would like to start with an update on our assessment of the attractiveness of the Chinese automotive market. Our assessment is very similar to what we showed 15 months ago. We are very positive about the potential of the Chinese automotive market. As is very well known, China is by far the largest automotive market globally, and that is true for both production as well as for sales. Around 1/3 of all cars being built globally are being built in China.
Since a few years, China is also the largest exporter of cars globally and the country exported around 8 million vehicles in 2025, an increase of around 30% as compared to 2024. This impressive figure highlights that export markets and hence, meeting standards of export markets are becoming increasingly important for the Chinese automotive industry. We continue to believe that domestic demand will remain very strong.
Since the number of cars per 1,000 habitants is still comparatively low in China at 250. If you compare that to the EU at around 600 or to the U.S. at around 800. As more and more people globally have an opportunity to experience Chinese cars -- it is becoming more and more visible that Chinese cars are highly innovative, as we have already spoken about 15 months ago. International experts acknowledge the technology of Chinese OEMs in areas like ADAS, EE architecture, software-defined vehicles new energy vehicles or user interface.
Furthermore, we experienced very fast innovation cycles. Last but not least, we see a strong price competitiveness of the Chinese automotive industry due to economies of scale, efficient manufacturing and other factors. This comparatively low cost basis to support further growth of the automotive industry in China. Based on this assessment of the Chinese automotive market, let me move on to the second chapter with a review of our China strategy from 2024, highlighting also selected achievements.
During the Capital Markets Day 2024, we shared with you our China strategy. When reviewing this from today's perspective, the development since 2024 confirm our expectations and our positioning. At first, we continue to experience significant geopolitical dynamics as well as intensifying and unpredictable trade tensions. Secondly, the trend evolving customer expectations towards more local Chinese products and more local Chinese integrated circuits is intact as well.
Statistics show that Chinese customers by more and more costs from China-based OEMs, which is adversely impacting non-Chinese OEMs. Due to our strong presence, innovative products and customer proximity. We were able to strengthen our position in China and achieve very strong growth. From 2021, until 2025, we were able to expand our revenues at a CAGR of more than 30%.
All in all, our China strategy from 2024 has been validated. Let me show you selected key achievements since the last Capital Markets Day. We told you that we had introduced the second brand, [indiscernible] in China. I'm happy to report that we have already shipped millions of ICs to customers in China, customers which are both China-based and western-based. Just a few weeks ago, we inaugurated our new office in Shanghai Pudong and we co-located all colleagues in Shanghai into 1 place.
This new office includes our R&D activity, which is being called China Product Center or in short, CPC. Our CTO, John will share more insights about this in a few moments. I'm very happy about the next highlight. Elmos received its first 12-inch wafer. The fab out took place at the Chinese foundry [indiscernible]. We also opened a new warehouse in Pudong to serve our customers with more local stock. And last but not least, we see Elmos chips as just explained by an being used in the evolving market of humor robots, a market segment, which promises high growth in the medium to long term. Based on our market assessment and our achievements, I would like to move on and present to you our strategy moving forward. It is an evolution of our existing China strategy, and we call it all weather set up.
The all-weather setup consists of 2 aspects: operational performance across all functions; and secondly, generating strategic optionalities -- let me start to walk you through the 9 elements of operational performance across all functions, across all functions, which you can see on the left side of the slide. For selected elements, there will be a backup slide with more details. In the top row, you see the 3 elements, 6 offices strategically located across China, scaling towards 100 employees with deep local expertise and senior local leaders with proven track record in the semiconductor industry.
In the middle row, there are the elements top OEMs use Elmos ICs, local and joint ventures, strong relationships with Tier 1s and key distributors and the dual brand strategy. as mentioned, Elmos and for [indiscernible] reach and optionality. At the bottom, you can see the remaining 3 elements: local-for-local approach across the value chain, localization of core functions and fully localized support functions. These 9 elements of operational performance across all functions are being complemented by the creation of strategic optionalities. And I will provide you with more details on this in a second. Before going there, let us look at our geographic positioning in China.
As you know, our China headquarters is located in Shanghai, and that's also the place where we have set up our China product center. In addition to our presence in Shanghai, we have offices in 5 regions, Changzhou, Chongqing, Shenzhen, Tianjin and Taiwan. Our offices cover the most important automotive hubs in China. Obviously, our locations serve a sales and application engineering hubs in order to serve our customers.
So how do we manage those locations? Our sales application engineering, R&D and support functions. We have established a strong Chinese senior leadership team with the functions, General Manager, sales, operations, CPC, quality, finance, HR and IT. Taken together, the senior leadership team has a background of around 100 years of semiconductor experience. Our head count in China is growing strongly, and we roughly tripled our team in 2025. We expand the team in all functions with a special focus on R&D sales, operations and support functions.
On the right side of the slide, you can see a few [indiscernible] from the recent office opening in Shanghai Pudong and at the bottom, a meeting with public officials. Moving on to the next element, strong customer access. On the right part of the slide, you can see examples of companies which use our products. As you will notice, the examples cover all market segments from China-based OEMs to joint venture OEMs, established companies and newcomers.
Besides OEMs, we have also very strong inroads into Tier 1s and Tier 2s and again, China-based as well as international companies. In order to strengthen our customer coverage, we collaborate with China-based and international distributors. For our market success, it is of crucial importance to be close to our customers, understand their needs and in particularly to notice emerging trends instantly. We are not resting on our laurels, but -- as mentioned before, we are expanding our sales and application engineering teams to continue the success with our customers. That brings me to the topic of stringent localization. In the past, Western companies could be very successful by exporting to China or by setting up subsidiaries to build products for the Chinese market, which were designed in the West. These days seem to come to an end, at least in the automotive industry. We are in the middle of converting our business from a German headquarter-centric approach to a fully localized setup in China.
On this slide, you can see the implications for the 5 functional areas: R&D, operations, supply chain, sales, logistics and delivery and support functions. Historically, Elmos has been very successful in designing integrated circuits and developing software at its main sites in Germany and Europe. As mentioned before, we have started to set up a dedicated R&D team in China to serve the Chinese customers. We were able to hire an industry veteran for this important role. Again, in the past, we built very successful operations by managing our supply chain from Germany.
However, due to more operational partners in China, and our COO, Patrick will tell you more about this in a few moments, customer expectations and other factors, we are in the process of starting to manage operations and the supply chain from China. This is a highly complex task since business processes, IT systems, legal contracts and many other things are affected by this transition, which is, by the way, well underway. Our sales and application engineering teams have been operating very successfully in the past, and we intend to increase the team size furthermore. Shipments to our customers have historically taken place from our warehouse in Germany.
Meanwhile, we have started operations at our new warehouse in Shanghai Pudong and ship to our customers, our Chinese customers directly from that local warehouse. Last but not least, and this is frequently not being talked about. We are also in the middle of the transition to localize our processes and IT systems for support functions. All of the above mentioned will support our objective of being closer to the customer and serving them even better. I'm confident I was able to provide you with an overview of our activities on strengthening our setup in China and creating an entity which is enabled and that is important to act independently from the headquarters.
However, there is an important aspect missing when talking about our all-weather setup, strategic optionalities. So what do we mean by this term? For us, it is of utmost importance that we are prepared for different external developments. Strategic optionalities shall help us in those situations. Let me share with you some data about Chinese semiconductor companies.
On this slide, on the left, you can see examples of stock listed, analog mixed signal and RF companies in China. Some of the company's names shown will be known to you. In total, we identified around 14 of these stock listed companies in China, each with a market cap of more than EUR 1 billion. A few things are noteworthy. At first, all of these companies had lower revenues than Elmos group in total in 2025. Secondly, their sales multiple defined as enterprise value over sales expected for 2026 is on average at '23. Comparing this figure to the ratio of Elmos semiconductor, so Elmos Group in total, which is at around 3.3%. This highlights the significantly higher multiples for stock-listed companies in China.
A simple calculation would show that our China business alone could be worth more than Elmos Group in its entire team. On the right side of the slide, you can see a few examples of Western companies which have or are in the process of reshaping their China operating model. I think you're all aware of in the semiconductor having agreed to sell their remaining share in its Chinese operations in the micro. And we have probably all heard of Starbucks being in the process of transferring 60% of their China business to a Chinese private equity company. The message is clear. There are Western companies who are looking for Chinese co-ownership of their China activities as part of their strategy. This can support the development of the local business as well as generate significant amounts of cash. I do not want to walk you through all the figures on the next slide, but I believe this data is back up in the presentation. The table consists of public information about financials of analog mixed signal and RF companies, which are stock listed in China.
Allow me to conclude my chapter, and let me reiterate the key takeaways of our China strategy and execution. At first, we strongly believe in the attractiveness of the Chinese automotive market. And due to its high level of innovativeness, we expect continued demand for integrated circuits for cars. Secondly, we have built a very strong local 8-person senior leadership team to lead our China activities. This team has around 100 years of combined semiconductor experience. Thirdly, we are serving the Chinese automotive industry across all segments. We have strong relationships to China-based and international OEMs, suppliers and distributors. We maintain a network of offices across China, in the most important hubs of the Chinese automotive industry. And then fourth, we execute a clear plan to enable our China business to be run independently from the headquarters and we are constantly tracking the market for emerging strategic opportunities.
In a sense, we almost see much more opportunities than risks in China. And that's how I started my presentation. I hope I was able to inspire you about our plans for this very interesting market. Thank you very much for your attention. And with that, let me hand over back to Ralph.
Yes. Thank you, Burkhard. And thanks to Ana and Jan for the fantastic presentations. Great stuff, super exciting. Yes, this concludes the first part of our CMD. We will now take a short 5-minute break and they'll come back with the second half of our program.
By the way, our Q&A system is already open. So if you want to ask a question, please enter your question and your text field on your screen. We will answer the questions in the Q&A session after the end of our presentations. Yes. So please stay with us. We have a lot more prepared for you. The second half holds many more exciting highlights.
Yes, thank you very much so far. See you in a couple of minutes. Bye-bye.
[Presentation]
Welcome back, everyone. Very short break. We don't want to waste your time. We have a lot of exciting stuff ahead of us. So let's continue with this Capital Markets Day and with Jochen Vaihinger, our CTO, Jochen the stage is yours.
Thank you, Ralf. Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and a very warm welcome from my side as well. I am Jochen Vaihinger. I'm the Chief Technology Officer of Elmos. Today, I would like to give you an in-depth view on technology and R&D at Elmos. More specifically, I will explain how our technology strategy our innovation capability and our scalable R&D platform translate automotive mega trends into customer value, profitable growth and long-term differentiation.
At Elmos, R&D is not an isolated function. It's a core value driver. It connects market trends, customer requirements and manufacturing realities into robust and scalable system solutions that perform over the full automotive product life cycle. Let me start with a high-level view. Our R&D and technology organization is built around 1 clear objective to enable sustained and profitable growth through technology leadership and execution excellence.
On the value creation, we focus on compelling product value for our customers, enabled by a focused product road map, a proven innovation track record. Execution is supported by a great and extraordinary engineering team, a state-of-the-art technology road map, a robust global R&D setup and a strong emphasis on continuously improving R&D efficiency. We improved our R&D execution times by around 30% last year. And finally, on acceleration and differentiation, we leverage a strong partner ecosystem and increasingly AI-enabled development and product differentiation and an industry-leading patent portfolio with about 1 patent per working day.
Together, these elements from an excellent and scalable R&D platform that allows Elmos to grow faster than the market while maintaining quality, predictability and margin discipline. Now let us look at the value is shifting in the vehicle. This defines the technology leadership matters most. The automotive industry is undergoing a profound architectural transformation towards software-defined vehicles and solar architectures. This shift is driven by 3 structural changes. First, computing is being centralized into powerful central computers, Second, networks are being simplified and standardized moving towards high-speed Ethernet. And third, power distribution is becoming decentralized with a clear transition from a traditional 12-fold architecture to smart 48-volt board nets. Together, these changes move complexity and value creation to the edge of the vehicle. Distributed ECUs are replaced by solar controllers. Complexity, weight and cost of the wiring harness in a car are reduced. And at the same time, edge nodes become more intelligent, more connected and more soft federal. This has important consequences.
Edge Systems must be safe because they directly control actuators and power. They must be adaptable because functionality evolves over the eagle lifetime. And they must be secure because connectivity and OTA updates increase risk of attacks. This is exactly the sweet spot for Elmos. This is our home turf. We deliver safe, adaptable and secure edge system solutions, especially designed for sonar and software-defined vehicle architectures. We enable this architectural shift with eFuse protected for the 8 walk board nets, Ethernet Baget communication and system-level solutions that combine high-voltage signals associated software and seamless software integration. And at the same time, we increase our IC content per vehicle, as shown before [indiscernible] This strategic positioning is directly reflected in our R&D pipeline. Across all Elmos application segments, sensing, software fund vehicle, lightning and motor control, our pipeline is well filled for the years to come. In Sensing, we continuously expand our sensor and master IC families, firmware and system architectures.
In braking system and pressure sensing, we extend our portfolio with additional interfaces and integrated solutions. In Lightning, we move from discrete solutions towards scalable, multichannel and high-performance systems. In motor control, we address both low current activators and high power for the advert applications. And in SDV, smart EFuse controllers and edge gateway solutions are becoming central building blocks. This pipeline ensures that Elmos remains technologically relevant, cost competitive and highly attractive for OEMs and Tier 1s, not just today, but our multiple hit generations. Innovation at Elmos does not happen in isolation at circuit level. It happens holistically at system level, architecture level and circuit land.
Our edge focused innovation in SDVN solar architecture underpins our path towards 1 building revenue in sales by 2030. Let me illustrate this with 4 concrete examples. The first example is ultrasonic system innovation an area where Elmos holds a global leadership position. We are the #1 supplier of ultrasonicaworldwide, serving applications from entry-level parking assistance to near-field others. Our leadership requires continuous innovation. Our latest ultrasonic system solutions deliver a step change in efficiency with up to 75% lower power consumption. This directly supports EV range and sustainability targets. At the same time, advanced interfaces and scalable architectures allow a seamless migration from entry to premium vehicles protecting customer investments. We also extend ultrasonic relevance beyond classical parking functions.
With the e-enabled perception such as object disclassification and had detection, ultrasonic sensing becomes relevant for additional safety and automation use cases. And importantly, our spare system solution has been selected for the NVIDIA platform with a start of production in 2026. We also integrate our ranging solution into other platforms, for instance, from TI, Horizon Robotics and Qualcomm. This vol dates our STV readiness and system competence at the highest level. Security is fully embedded across our ranging systems from sensing authentication to encrypted communication and secure firm updates. We have already deployed more than 2 billion ultrasonic ICs in the field. The second example addresses a topic that is becoming increasingly critical. Security, with our Quantum random number generator, -- we established a hardware route of trust for future vehicles suited to withstand anti computer-based attacks. True randomness at silicon level is fundamentally different from side random or software-based approaches used today.
It strengthens cryptography, authentication secure communication and OTA updates. Why is this important now? Cybersecurity regulation is tightening globally and software-defined vehicles are permanently connected. Hardware trust anchors are not longer optional. They are becoming mandatory. Our RMG solution is compact and highly reusable across platforms and technologies. Our light measurements exceed our expectations already. For instance, with respect to power consumption, the total count rate of the entropy source of 2.5 megahertz and passing of list random tests. This enables capable value creation with low incremental cost and increasing relevance as vehicle connectivity and autonomy growth.p
The third example is our smart iFuse control innovation. Smart if users are a key enabler of solar architectures. They replace mechanical fuses with intelligent software-controlled protection. A modern STV architecture requires more than 20 eFuse controller per vehicle. Smart Ivus controller enables faster and more precise fall detection and isolation. This allows partially Boardnet operation instead of full system shutdown, what we call fill operational behavior. Electronic protection also allows smaller cable cross sections, reducing wiring harness weight and improving EV range. by integrating protection, sensing and communication into a scalable mixed signal platform, we create high value per node and strong content growth per vehicle.
Our fuse controller solutions support flexible designs from 300 to 500 MPI with external MOSFETs. The fourth example builds on our system-level expertise in ranging and goes 1 step further, our next-generation ultrasonic architecture. Here, we fundamentally rearchitecture the system. By repartitioning analog and digital functions between Master and tenders, we unlock a new cost performance curve. Proprietary ultrasonic data compression minimize data loss by enabling advanced signal processing at the highest effective resolution. A unified power and data concept simplifies wiring and interfaces, reducing system complexity and cost. At the same time, we enable multisensor setups with similar years measurements without crosstalk. This architecture also improves short-range performance smaller than 10 centimeters upto 3 centimeters even, simplified sensor handling and configuration and is fully cybersecurity-ready. We've already demonstrated stable operation in our web with 6 parallel sensors using a fully functional to wire interface for data over power. This is a system-level innovation, not an incremental improvement and it clearly differentiates Elmos in the market.
All these innovations are supported by a broad and competitive BCD technology portfolio. Elmos operates as a true fabless semiconductor company providing full strategic and operational flexibility across leading global silicon foundry technologies. By collaborating closely with best-in-class silicon foundry partners, Elmo secures access to highly competitive and automotive quality qualified BCV processes that combine performance excellence with cost efficiency. We actively manage our technology portfolio to ensure an optimal match between product requirements, technical performance, scalability and long-term economics. As part of this approach, we also enabled 12-inch wafer capabilities across wafer test and assembly, strengthening supply chain resilience and cost competitiveness.
Today, 130-nanometer BCD technology forms the proven backbone of Elmo's product development. It is optimized for analog and mixed-signal performance, offers a robust automotive reliability and delivers the right balance between performance, cost and scalability for high-volume application. This note supports a wide range of current product platform and remains a key enabler of profitable growth. Looking ahead, we are systematically extending our technology road map to next-generation BCD nodes. With 90-nanometer and 55-nanometer BCD identified as the next strategic step. These advanced nodes enable higher functional integration improve power efficiency and enhanced scalability, supporting evolving automotive architectures and software-defined vehicles.
Our clear technology requirements are driven by automotive use cases. such as high-voltage capability up to 150 volt, competitive RDS on, compact nonvolatile memory footprints and solid digital performance ensure Elmos is well positioned for future platforms and sustainable long-term growth. Let me now turn to our R&D setup. Elmos R&D has evolved into a global network, enabling innovation without borders. We move from regional expertise to global excellence.
Our German core remains the center of system expertise architecture leadership and quality culture. At the same time, we have significantly strengthened our global footprint. We have the full acquisition of our legal entity Demos GmbH in [indiscernible] we opened a new R&D site in Bruneau Czech, and we rent the China product center in Shanghai. This setup combines deep expertise with scalability, increasing efficiency, resilience and speed. Our global R&D excellence is a core competitive advantage of Elmos. With highly skilled experts across all disciplines, strong partnerships with key suppliers to scale capacity in close cooperation with leading universities, we continuously translate innovation into safe, secure, and competitive automotive products. And very importantly, we also invest in the next generation of engineering talent. R&D efficiency is a strategic priority.
Our R&D platform is built to scale, supporting up to 1.5x revenue growth every 2 years with a disciplined and flexible cost base. Speed is a competitive advantage. We must consistently move faster without compromising automotive quality. Predictable execution is nonnegotiable. Our R&D projects are delivered on time, within budget and with tightly controlled deviations. Over the past 12 months, we have made significant progress in our R&D efficiency program. The time from an idea to product start has been reduced by 30%. 25% improvement of the duration to deliver samples to our customers supports fast time to market. Industrialization cycles are shorter and more predictable. I'm extremely delighted about the performance our engineers bring to the table every day. We continuously improve and enhance the way we work. Methodology and process optimizations are key to cope with the increasing complexity of our products and fast innovation cycles in the industry. And we do not innovate alone.
Our partner-led R&D ecosystem spends the entire semiconductor value chain. Long-standing partnerships gives us access to best-in-class tools, methodologies and scalable capacity. Last but not least, close and early engagement with our customers for the definition of superior products and reduce risks. Very important, innovation must be protected. Intellectual properties at the core of Elmo strategy and it is key to ensure freedom to operate. We filed roughly 4 patents every week and almost doubled the number of annual filed patents over the last decade. Our industry-leading patent filing rate of 1 filing per 3 engineers underlines our strong relation of intellectual property. We adopt our focus for patent application based on Alma's strategy and towards the new application segments such as eFuse and security. Consequently, -- we file percentage wise more patents on system and application level compared to 10 years ago. This IP base protects differentiation ensures freedom to operate and support long-term value creation. Artificial intelligence in the meantime, is an integral part of how we work. We see AI as a strategic enabler deployed with full transparency traceability and control to earn lasting trust. By embedding AI copilots across our development domains like software and coding software coding and testing, verification in the bagging we are redefining speed shortening cycles by preserving uncommising quality and safety.
AI-powered design automation is transforming today how we innovate. For instance, enabling much faster analog migration or accelerating our path from idea to silicon. With AI-driven test optimization, we simultaneously unlock higher performance and structurally lower cost and integrating AI into our products, for instance, giving access to unfiltered ultrasonic data allows us to move beyond traditional limits and creates a new level of real-time perception. Our AI perception kit turns innovation into experience, lower barriers, accelerating customer evaluation and speeding time to decisions.
Let me conclude. Technology and R&D are not just a function at Elmos. They are the engine of our future. With our global innovation network, deep systems expertise, strong partnerships and AI-driven productivity, we are transforming complexity into competitive advantage. We innovate faster, execute with discipline and protect what makes us unique. This is how we create sustainable value for our customers, shape the future of mobility and build long-term growth for our shareholders. At Elmos, we are not just keeping pace with change, we are engineering what comes next.
Thank you very much for your attention. Let me now hand over to our CEO, Patrick.
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and a very warm welcome from my side. My name is Patrick Schmitt, and I'm the Chief Operating Officer, responsible for Elmos Global Operations and Supply Chain. Today, I will update you on how our fabless transformation is translating into measurable operational progress and how operations are positioned to support the next growth phase of Elmos.
Operations at Elmos are not just about execution. They are a structural enabler of value creation. They ensure that innovation becomes reliable delivery, that growth remains scalable and that quality is maintained even as volume increase materially. One year after completing the fabless transition, we are now seeing the operational and financial benefits clearly materialize.
The wafer fab transaction was successfully closed in December 2024 for a net purchase price of approximately EUR 93 million. This marked the completion of our structural transition. Importantly, we retained our testing and other critical facilities. At the same time, we redirected our focus toward managing the global supply chain and strengthening our partner ecosystem.
Operationally, we onboarded and ramped a new OSAT for final test in Taiwan and qualified a new OSAT in China covering assembly, final test and tape and reel. From a technology perspective, newer volume products are now mainly based on 130-nanometer technology, improving scalability and cost efficiency. In addition, our 12-inch wafer prober is under evaluation and is moving towards serial release, enabling further efficiency and technology readiness. This was a year of disciplined execution. The foundation is firmly in place.
The benefits of a fabless model are now clearly visible, both operationally and financially. Our setup enables approximately 15% annual volume growth until 2030. We have built more than 10 strategic partnerships with leading foundries and OSATs across the global semiconductor value chain.
Our CapEx ratio has structurally declined by roughly 70% compared to the IDM model. For 2026, we are targeting a CapEx intensity of below 5% of sales. Operational efficiencies are delivering measurable improvements across our organization. We have reduced test time by around 25%, increasing throughput while simultaneously expanding available capacity without the need for additional capital investment in equipment. At the same time, we have shortened time to market for new product developments by approximately 25%. This significantly enhances our competitiveness and strengthens our ability to capture growth opportunities in an increasing dynamic market environment.
We have also realized roughly 50% efficiency gains in tape and reel output, significantly increasing productivity in our back-end processes. At the same time, we reduced inventory intensity by around 20%, enhancing capital efficiency and supporting stronger cash generation. By driving these operational improvements, we remain fully focused on our core competencies, design excellence, innovation leadership and close customer intimacy. Taken together, this is a structurally stronger operating model.
Looking ahead, strong demand is expected to drive a material increase in volumes. From 2026 to 2030, we expect volume growth of approximately 15% CAGR. Delivering this requires 3 operational pillars: scalability, resilience and uncompromising quality. Scalability is ensured through our fabless capacity model, standardization, reuse and back-end-driven scaling. Resilience is embedded by design, multi-sourcing, built-in capacity buffers, regional execution capabilities in our newly set up regional operations hub in Singapore and our organization in China and end-to-end risk management. And quality remains nonnegotiable. Automotive grade standard, scalable quality systems and disciplined ramp-up processes ensure growth without compromise. This is how we support a step change in volume while maintaining operational stability.
Our fabless model is powered by partnerships across wafer processing, wafer test, assembly, final test and tape and reel. At the same time, Elmos retains strong in-house focus on chip design, innovation and customer focus, the core value-driving capabilities. We are in advanced discussions with additional external partners to further strengthen scalability, especially regarding our external tape and reel capabilities. This capital-light structure allows us to expand capacity without proportional CapEx while maintaining full control over quality, delivery performance and customer outcomes.
Our partner network is both global and diversified. We work with leading global foundries and OSATs complemented by strong local players, including long-standing relationships of more than 30 years and more than 15 years in some cases. This diversified setup enhances supply resilience and reduces geopolitical exposure. At the same time, it strengthens our position in China and worldwide, acting as a differentiator in customer discussions. Resilience is not only defensive, it is commercially relevant.
As we grow, the outsourced value-add share will continue to increase, but in a structured and controlled manner. Historically, a significant portion of value creation has been already driven by our external partners across Asia. Our [ Dortmund ] site has primarily focused on serial production while also playing a key role in engineering, ramp-up activities and tape and reel processes. Today, Singapore has been established as our new regional operations hub. The external manufacturing function has been relocated from Dortmund to Singapore. Additionally, short-term planning responsibilities from the supply chain team in Dortmund have also been transferred to Singapore. We have established a dedicated China operations function and further expanded our partner network across Asia.
For our customers in China, the supply chain will be managed entirely within the country, ensuring that all processes and operations are locally administered. Warehousing and logistics will be handled from our facility in the Shanghai free trade zone. We have implemented our first turnkey solution for the Chinese market under our [indiscernible] brand, integrating assembly, testing and tape and reel services.
Looking ahead, we are building full operational capabilities in Asia and expanding regional tape and reel capacity. This approach provides several distinct advantages for our organization. First, it allows us to scale our operational capacity efficiently without the need for significant capital expenditures on our own facilities. As a result, we can respond more quickly to shift in demand while maintaining financial flexibility.
Second, by leveraging external partners and a structured outsourcing model, we can reduce customer lead times. This means our clients receive their products faster, strengthening our competitiveness in the market.
Third, this model enables us to lower our working capital requirements. By minimizing the need to invest heavily in inventory and infrastructure, we can allocate resources more strategically and efficiently.
Finally, we will establish a robust end-to-end supply chain within China that is managed entirely in country. This China for China setup ensures that all processes from assembly to logistics are locally administered, further enhancing our responsiveness and resilience in one of the world's most important markets. This structure brings us closer to partners and customers operationally and geographically.
Execution excellence and capital discipline go hand-in-hand. We expanded test capacity ahead of demand to enable future growth. Importantly, capacity expansion has been largely upgrade led with limited new tester purchases. Efficiency gains are delivering around 25% test time reduction and stronger OEE performance. Our hybrid test footprint across Asia allows flexible scaling.
OSATs provide scale while internal operations focus on engineering, yield and ramp agility. Proximity to fabs and customers improves responsiveness and resilience, higher capacity, faster cycles, better outcomes. Our long-term test strategy combines internal efficiency with OSAT scale. In wafer test, the mix gradually shifts toward external partners from a balanced split in 2024 to approximately 80% OSAT share by 2030. In final test, we see a similar trend moving towards around 85% external share by 2030. This transition allows us to leverage scale effects externally while maintaining engineering and ramp-up competence internally. It is deliberate and economic sound allocation model.
2025 was deliberately used to accelerate inventory normalization. We consciously operated at demand levels that allowed us to reduce buffers and structurally lower working capital. Inventories as a percentage of revenue declined to approximately 32%, a clear step toward a leaner capital structure. This improvement is operationally driven and sustainable.
First, OSAT cycle and throughput have been optimized, supported by measurable improvements in overall equipment effectiveness. This increases velocity across the supply chain and reduces capital tied up in work in progress.
Second, we tightened our SIOP discipline. More rigorous demand planning and cross-functional alignment reduced inventory coverage and safety stock structurally. Third, SAP S/4HANA, combined with AI-supported forecasting now enables real-time inventory steering. This significantly enhances transparency and allows proactive adjustments instead of reactive corrections.
And finally, our regional Asia operations hub further streamlines material flows, shortens lead times and lower structural buffers. Looking ahead to 2030, we see additional optimization potential, particularly when benchmarked against peers. This is not a temporary correction. It is a structural shift towards stronger cash conversion and a sustainably higher free cash flow profile. Together, these measures make our supply chain faster, more disciplined and more resilient, and they directly support our financial ambition.
What you see here is not just a hardware upgrade story. It is fundamentally a test effort reduction story. If we look at the numbers, old systems delivered around 3.5 million units per system. Current systems already increased that to 11.5 million units. And the new generation will reach roughly 23 million units per system. That is more than a sixfold productivity improvement across generations. And the key driver behind the step change is reduced test time per device. Every second we remove from the test time directly increases throughput. And in high-volume automotive applications, even small reductions translate into massive structural capacity gains. Of course, next-generation platforms contribute with higher base performance. And we have delivered sustainable OEE improvements across internal and external sites. But the real structural lever is this. We test faster with the same or even better quality standards, and that changes the economics.
During the allocation phase, we invested heavily in expanding capacity. Now with significantly reduced test time and higher system productivity, we can grow output without proportionally increasing equipment. That is why future output growth is achievable with limited incremental CapEx. In practical terms, lower test effort per unit, higher throughput per asset, better asset utilization and structurally lower capital intensity. This is a key enabler for margin stability, stronger cash conversion and our disciplined CapEx ratio to around 6% on the path towards EUR 1 billion revenue.
Let me be very clear. Quality remains nonnegotiable. Quality delivers the 0 defect performance automotive customers demand. It builds long-term trust and repeat design wins. It protects premium positioning and creates pricing power. It reduces operational and supply chain risks. It accelerates time to market and is essential for fabless scalability. Most importantly, it is embedded in our DNA, built into processes, governance and daily discipline. The customer feedback shown on this slide speaks for itself. Quality is not only compliance, it is a competitive advantage.
Let me close with 5 key messages. First, the fabless transformation has unlocked agility, scalability and structural capital efficiency. Second, strategic partnerships provide technology access and scale while strengthening resilience. Third, significant efficiency gains, lower working capital, lower CapEx intensity and operational improvements, enhanced profitability and cash generation. Fourth, our testing strategy combines internal engineering excellence with OSAT scale and strong operating leverage. And finally, relentless focus on quality and operational excellence remains the foundation of long-term customer trust and sustainable growth.
Operations at Elmos are ready to support the next step change in volumes. Thank you very much for your attention. Let me now hand over to Rita, our CFO.
Good afternoon, everyone, and also a very warm welcome from my side. My name is Rita Mamberger. I have been with Elmos since 2015 and have been CFO since 2022. My clear focus as the CFO of the company is to secure financial stability, disciplined growth and sustainable cash generation. Today, I will walk you through our strong financial performance and outline how we will achieve our ambitious financial targets for 2030. The key message of my presentation is straightforward. Elmos delivers profitable growth and strong cash flows even in volatile market environments, creating very attractive shareholder returns.
This chart shows the financial development of Elmos from 2021 to 2025 and deliberately covers 2 very different cycles of the automotive semiconductor market. The first phase was characterized by the global semiconductor shortage, while the second phase was dominated by slower momentum due to customer inventory destocking. These conditions required very different management actions, especially with respect to capacities, working capital and cost control. The key is to be flexible and agile so we can react quickly to demand changes and use short-term opportunities.
Despite these very different market phases, Elmos increased sales from EUR 322 million in 2021 to around EUR 583 million in 2025. This corresponds to a compounded annual growth rate of 16% and clearly demonstrates the structural growth of our business based on our innovative [indiscernible] solutions. EBIT grew even faster than sales with a CAGR of 21%. This reflects strong operating leverage, stable gross margins and disciplined management of operating expenses. Importantly, this profitability improvement was not driven by aggressive pricing, but by volume growth, scale effects and efficiency gains in all of our processes.
Capital expenditures were elevated during the expansion phase, mainly due to investments in back-end and test capacity to support our strong growth, new product ramps and secure delivery capability. During the cheap allocation, we focused all of our activities purely on growth, and we wanted to be able to deliver as many ICs as possible. With the completion of our capacity expansion plan, capital expenditures declined again in 2024 and 2025. Free cash flow margin improved significantly in 2025. This improvement was mainly driven by lower CapEx the normalization of working capital and lower taxes. As you all know, cash generation is a core focus of our new strategy and Elmos will be much more cash attractive in the future. The key takeaway from this slide is straightforward, Elmos can grow profitably and improve cash generation across the cycle.
Our financial performance also compares favorably with a selected peer group of global automotive semiconductor companies, our core competitors in the different application fields. During the chip shortage, all automotive semiconductor companies were able to grow significantly. However, with an annual growth rate of 33.6%, Elmos grew twice as fast as its core competitors. Our great products and excellent delivery performance turned Elmos in the real growth engine. Between 2023 and 2025, despite 2 years of inventory destocking, we also achieved slight growth, while competitors declined by nearly 20% on average with some down by more than 30%.
At the same time, our EBIT margin is more resilient. Even in the stagnation phase of 2024 and 2025, we managed to maintain a higher EBIT margin than most of our core competitors. This underlines the stability of our operating model and strength of our execution capabilities.
Finally, we were able to improve our free cash flow performance despite economic headwinds and temporary working capital effects. Our focus on cash generation creates further upside as Elmos moves into a cash harvesting phase. This very clear outperformance reflects our excellent position, consistent financial discipline and the great commitment of the entire Elmos team.
Our strong financial performance resulted also in a superior share price development and total shareholder return. Our share price increased 350% since 2021, well above peers and the TecDAX Index, which Elmos is a member of since June 2024. The total shareholder return is 384%, also well above peers. And despite this outstanding performance, Elmos' relative valuation is still well below most peers, offering further upside potential.
Let me now turn to our midterm financial targets for 2030. As you can see, we confirm our ambitious growth and profitability targets published at the CMD in November 2024, and we even have upgraded our targets for CapEx and free cash flow margin. As explained by our CSO, Jan Dienstuhl, earlier, we target sales of around EUR 1 billion by 2030, supported by many design wins in our core application fields and an innovative product road map for automotive and non-automotive technologies. At the same time, we expect a solid gross margin of around 45%, reflecting our transition to a fabless business model and the continued shift in the product portfolio towards higher-value applications. It is essential to find the right balance between growth and profitability.
As we have demonstrated in the past, an OpEx level of around 20% below gross profit, covering R&D as well as SG&A provides us with sufficient resources to drive growth while still maintaining a high level of profitability. Our EBIT margin target of around 25% of sales is supported by broadly [indiscernible] gross margins and strict cost discipline. As a fabless company, we benefit from a flexible cost structure and good scalability. We now target a CapEx ratio of around 6% based on our average annual growth rate. This improvement by 4 percentage points compared to our former target of less than 10% is a result of better-than-anticipated improvements in operational efficiency in the back end, as highlighted by Patrick Schmitt.
Following our transition to a fabless model on the front-end side and the substantially improved utilization of our testing equipment, we anticipate lower investment requirements to support our future growth. Finally, we target a free cash flow ratio of around 17% of sales. This positive development will be driven by a combination of higher profitability, lower CapEx optimized working capital and a lower tax burden as we target a tax rate of around 21% in the coming years.
Ladies and gentlemen, while some of our peers have recently lowered their financial ambitions, we remain committed to our midterm targets, once again, a clear testament to the resilience of our business model, the attractiveness of our product portfolio and the dedication and commitment of the Elmos team.
As just mentioned, we plan to increase our EBIT margin to around 25% by 2030. The main driver is volume growth across all product segments, supported by higher margins from new product generations and scale effects as volumes ramp up. We expect typical annual price declines in the low to mid-single-digit range, which we plan to offset through ongoing compensation measures.
Cost inflation, particularly for materials and labor, is actively managed through cost discipline, supplier negotiations and efficiency programs. The higher gold price impacted costs in 2025, but mitigation measures such as copper via transitions and customer should largely offset this from 2027 onwards. In addition to the higher gold price, consulting costs for the SAP transition and the implementation of our China strategy, impacted profitability by around 3 percentage points in fiscal year 2025.
We are confident in achieving sustainable margin expansion through operational excellence, continuous process improvements and scalable structures, supported by SAP S/4HANA and AI-based tools. Historically, Elmos has a tax rate of 33% to 34%, a clear disadvantage to our competitors who had a tax rate below 20% in the past. However, we must be competitive across all cost positions. And in this context, the tax environment is a key building block. That's why we have defined a clear path to significantly lower our tax rate.
As you all know, we have realigned Elmos Semiconductor SE into a holding company and relocated the registered office from Dortmund to Leverkusen, which has allowed us to cut our local business tax, the so-called Gewerbesteuer, in half and lowered our combined tax rate by around 7 percentage points effective January 1, 2025.
Looking ahead, we expect the effective tax rate to normalize at an even lower level at around 21%. This is driven by a more balanced geographic profit distribution with the establishment of an Asia sales hub in Singapore and the full functional entity in China with optimized transfer pricing structures. In addition, the gradual reduction of the German corporate income tax rate as enacted by the German government in July last year will support this development in the next years. A lower and more stable tax rate directly supports net income growth and free cash flow generation. It is, therefore, an important pillar in achieving our 2030 free cash flow targets.
The increase in working capital in 2022 and 2023 was mainly driven by a deliberate inventory buildup during the global chip shortage. At that time, securing wafer supply and back-end capacity was critical to ensure delivery capability for our customers. This decision supported growth and customer trust, but it also led to temporarily higher cash absorption. With the normalization of supply and demand, inventory levels have started to come down gradually. It is important to be able to react quickly to customer demand, especially when you have limited visibility and most customers order well below the normal lead times. This is the reason why we have started optimizing our inventory levels at the end of 2025, not aggressively, but rather in a prudent and targeted manner.
Looking forward, we target a structurally lower working capital ratio by 2030. Our goal is a net working capital level of around 25% of sales. That means we are targeting a reduction in absolute net working capital even as the business grows by around 70% until 2030. This will be achieved through tighter inventory management, improved demand forecasting and real-time tracking of inventory across the supply chain, also with the help of SAP S/4HANA and AI support.
In addition, faster and more automated invoicing processes support quicker cash collection. And we also will be even stricter on monitoring the payment behavior of our customers, especially on the distribution side in China. Working capital discipline is a key lever for improving cash conversion and free cash flow generation at Elmos.
Our COO, Patrick Schmitt, has previously presented all of our important projects to lower CapEx needs. So I will be very brief here. After elevated CapEx levels during the peak growth phase to expand back-end and test capacities, CapEx has declined significantly since 2023. This reflects completed capacity expansions, higher test efficiency, the transition to fabless model and lower IT investments after the SAP S/4HANA rollout. Our new cutting-edge testing equipment, combined with the operational efficiency optimization as well as test time reduction programs resulted in a significant capacity expansion. This increases the output for each testing cell by a factor of more than 3x. And based on these great results, we expect CapEx to remain at around 6% of sales in the future, supporting growth while improving cash flow and capital efficiency.
A core element of our new strategy is to improve free cash flow. In 2025, we already achieved a significant step-up of the free cash flow to sales ratio of 11.4%. However, we see further upside potential and are targeting a free cash flow margin of around 17% in 2030. Let me first give you a high-level overview of the key elements of how we plan to achieve this target. The first step is our higher operating profitability, which will translate directly into stronger operating cash flows. One important lever is to further optimize our effective tax rate, resulting in structurally lower cash taxes. The tax savings due to the transfer to our registered office to Leverkusen were significant, but only the first step in our road map.
We also plan to further improve working capital efficiency. After the exceptional buildup during the global chip shortage and the subsequent destocking phase, we expect more normalized inventory levels. In addition, we will continue to work together with our customers and suppliers to further improve working capital. Last but not least, capital expenditures will structurally decline due to fabless operating model, higher operational efficiency and shorter test times. All these measures combined give us a confidence in reaching a free cash flow margin of around 17% of sales.
Ladies and gentlemen, Elmos has structurally closed the gap between profitability and cash generation, and we are going to harvest a lot of cash in the future. In light of our higher free cash flow generation, we have also updated our capital allocation framework to ensure attractive returns for our shareholders. Our first priority for capital allocation remains organic growth. We invest consistently in R&D, product development and operational capabilities to support our long-term growth strategy. These investments are fully embedded and well balanced in our financial targets and planning assumptions.
Beyond organic growth, we will place a stronger focus on returning capital to shareholders. We do not want to build large cash piles, so we plan to distribute excess cash via a combination of dividends and share buybacks. For fiscal year 2025, we propose a dividend increase by 50% to EUR 1.50 per share to be paid out after Annual General Meeting in May 2026 and return additional EUR 10 million to the capital markets via a safe harbor share buyback program. The total payout in 2026 will be around EUR 36 million, more than doubling the payout of the previous year. This total payout translates into EUR 2.08 per share. This is a payout ratio of 35% of consolidated net income or 54% of free cash flow in 2025.
Stable or increasing dividends remain a key priority for us. Our new capital return policy is sustainable and flexible across the cycle, balancing capital returns with investments in future growth. At the same time, it allows shareholders to participate appropriately in the company's success and provides for attractive returns.
This slide illustrates 2 important messages: strong cash generation and a clear commitment to increasing shareholder returns. Starting on the left-hand side, we expect to end 2026 with an estimated net cash position of around EUR 95 million, even after dividend payments and share buybacks. This reflects the strength of our free cash flow generation with a projected contribution of around EUR 110 million in 2026 at the midpoint of our guidance.
In the center chart, you see the development of our total payout from EUR 17 million in 2024 with a strong increase to EUR 36 million in 2025. For 2026, we are outlining an illustrative payout of EUR 95 million, which would represent a year-over-year increase of more than 160%. Based on this potential payout amount, we have different options to distribute the excess cash to our shareholders via a mix of dividends and share buybacks. On the right-hand side, we present different payout scenarios. The key message is clear. Based on our strong cash generation, shareholders can expect a significant step-up in shareholder returns.
Ladies and gentlemen, let me summarize. Elmos has demonstrated a strong track record of profitable growth and outperformance versus industry benchmarks, even in challenging market cycles. Our ambitious 2030 financial targets are confirmed and partially upgraded, supported by a resilient operating model, strong product positioning and disciplined cost management. We see further potential for margin upside driven by operating leverage, product mix improvements and continued operational excellence. Efficient capital management, lower recurring CapEx and optimized working capital will further strengthen free cash flow generation. Finally, bringing all these elements together, our capital allocation strategy is clearly focused on sustainable shareholder value creation through a progressive dividend and share buybacks.
Thank you for your attention, and back to Arne for his final remarks before the Q&A session.
So ladies and gentlemen, thank you for spending this day with us. Today, we have shared a comprehensive view of Elmos. We discussed our markets and our structural growth drivers; our innovative product and technology road map; our strategic initiatives in China and the operational optimization of our supply chain. And finally, we outlined our financial ambitions and introduced our refined capital allocation principles.
2026 marks a turning point for Elmos. The headwinds from destocking are fading. We expect to return to normal structural growth rates in 2026, growth that is driven by one powerful trend: the continuous increase of semiconductor content per vehicle. Electrification, ADAS, zonal architecture and software-defined vehicles are not short-term effects, they are very structural transformations and Elmos is positioned right at the core of these developments.
Our ambition of around EUR 1 billion in sales by 2030 is anchored in awarded design wins. These design wins provide long-term visibility and confidence that our growth path towards 2030 is firmly established. Of course, with some additional upside beyond what is already secured.
China remains a complex environment, but complexity for us creates opportunity. With our localized structure and expanding development capabilities, we are well positioned to capture structural growth in China while maintaining strategic flexibility and prudent risk management.
At the same time, growth alone, of course, is not enough. What differentiates Elmos today is the quality of that growth. We operate a scalable fabless model. We prioritize high-margin strategically attractive projects. We are targeting an EBIT margin of around 25% in the midterm with further optimization potential as volume, scale and efficiencies increase.
Most importantly, cash generation has fundamentally improved. Free cash flow is no longer a weak point. Today, cash flow is a management priority. Through disciplined capital expenditure, strict working capital management and ongoing tax optimization, we are building a business model that converts innovation into cash and cash into shareholder value.
Capital allocation has therefore entered also a new phase. The increase in 2026 will just be the start of an attractive journey. If you step back and look at the overall picture, you see a company that is market-leading in attractive niches, structurally exposed to rising semiconductor content per vehicle, increasingly cash generative and guided by disciplined and highly attractive capital allocation principles. And yet, we believe this powerful combination may not be fully reflected in our valuation. So as execution continues, as design wins convert into visible revenue, and as cash generation becomes consistently strong, we are confident that the valuation will, of course, follow the fundamentals.
Ladies and gentlemen, Elmos has transformed in the last years. We are stronger, more agile and financially more resilient than ever before. And we have a great executive leadership team that you have seen here today. We're entering a structural growth phase with significant opportunities ahead based on our strong position and based on an outstanding global Elmos team. We are totally convinced the best is still ahead of us. So thank you for your trust. Thank you for your continued support.
And now, Ralf, please open the Q&A session.
Yes. Thank you, Arne, and thanks to all [ ECC ] members for the excellent presentations. [Operator Instructions] Okay. Yes, all set? We're okay. Let's get started.
Good. So first question, let me see. It comes from Belgium, and not from our [ biller of ] friends, but from federal insurance. The first question is how do you see the competitive environment? Some European peers are underperforming in terms of top line growth, Elmos is strongly outperforming. Could that be seen as market share gains in some of your segments?
Yes, of course, it's partly market share gains, partly it's exposure to subsegments that grow quicker. But particularly if you look at the last 5 years, this is also share gains. That is correctly noted.
Okay. Thank you. Next question. A couple of questions. They come from [indiscernible] Good to have you with us. First question, compared to the last Capital Markets Day, the average semiconductor content per vehicle, so the total market by 2030 was downgraded roughly 9%. So when you look at the '24 numbers we've shown, I think it was USD 1,500 per vehicle. Now it's a little bit more than USD 1,300 yet our sales target has been confirmed. So also, does it mean we are -- yes, expect market share gains here?
So the numbers -- the content growth numbers from the last CMD, they also contain like also [ this indeed ], they contain HPC, so SoC. So this high-performance computers, they contain power [indiscernible] and they also contain memory chips. So -- and all these categories, they develop differently in this year's figures.
If we look on what we do, the edge ICs, the analog mix cycle ICs, interface management and so on, control ICs. So they still develop similarly like we have seen in the last CMD. So yes, it's true. The numbers are different, but our outlook, the forecast of our volume growth and value growth is very similar.
Okay. Thank you, Jan. Next question from [ Malte ]. Can you give us more details on what type of chips will drive the growth in our STV and safety business?
Yes, sure. So actually, these are the [ epic ICs ]. These are the issues controller ICs, where we see many of them in the new vehicles. We will see, first, gateway ICs starting on the Ethernet-based controllers that do lighting and ultrasonic applications. And we also see a lot of SSP, so-called sensor signal processors here for pressure, strain, force and torque measurement everywhere in the car.
Another question from [ Malte ]. I think this one is a question for our CTO, Jochen, how much Elmos design capabilities are moving to China as part of your China-for-China strategy?
So yes, we are not moving the signed capabilities but build up newly in China, and this will be approximately 10% of our total capacity. But very important, it's not a move, it's a buildup.
Excellent. Now we have some questions from Johannes Ries from Apus Capital. It's good to have you with us. We missed you today, we missed your input this morning in our earnings call. So let's start with your question.
The first question is about India. Two questions actually, how many revenue has been achieved in India in '25 to last year? And how many revenue are we expecting in 2030?
So actually, the revenue achieved in '25 was less than EUR 10 million. And in the growth plan for 2030, it's actually less than 3% that are planned for revenue in India.
Okay. Another question from Johannes Ries, is AI a challenge or a chance for Elmos, meaning a robot, but also physical AI agents?
Let me take this. And it's clearly a chance, not a challenge. I mean, as outlined in the way we work and how we work AI is part of our daily work already, and it's really supportive to be more efficient, to be faster, to handle [ that ] in a better way of complex tasks. Nevertheless, of course, the engineering brain is always very important in parallel to that.
The other topic, of course, is and this goes to robots as well to [ Stratas ], AI and AI features in our products getting more relevant as more data has to be calculated in these applications and using AI algorithms or hardware accelerators associated with is a very important topic.
Thank you, Jochen. Our hardware-based cybersecurity for SDV, so software-defined vehicle cybersecurity is included in our EUR 1 billion revenue target?
No, it is absolutely not. So we did not include any product revenues from this kind of categories.
So it's an upside similar to robotics?
Exactly, yes.
Okay. This is one from Mr. Ries. Our Smart Home or other IoT in a lot of things, areas are future opportunities for Elmos as well.
So we still have -- and I think you saw it in the presentation today, around 6% of our revenue is coming out of non-automotive application. This includes the two named here. So Smart Home is specifically one of our product areas here. And for the growth plan looking forward, they are still included. We will still have low single digit percentage revenue coming out of such kind of applications, but it will not overproportionately add to our growth. It will be on a similar level or a little bit less.
Okay. Next one also from Mr. Ries about our China competitors. How much are local Chinese competitors are a midterm risk for the Elmos China business?
Let me take this question. So number one, we are highly competitive in the Chinese market, and we already see the competitors. Some would say they imitate or they copy us. So we see this, the pressure is there. But based on our extreme specialization or niches, our system understanding our innovativeness and more and more our speed, I'm quite confident another aspect is, and you have seen it in our numbers. China is exporting more and more cars. And of course, these cars, which are being exported, they have to comply with global standards or the sense of the global markets. So I think quality and working according to standards and established standards is very important. So we're watching them, but I'm quite confident for us.
Okay. Thank you, Burkhard. Another question from Johannes Ries. How important is advanced packaging to improve efficiency of our products in the future?
Yes, there will be -- let's take this question. And there are two aspects. One of course is, yes, it's getting important in the terms that we have, of course, dual guy solutions where we have a wire by-wire interface in the advanced package. So for instance, a high-performance digital part, which will keep very stable because we have a certain standard architecture for computation. But on the other hand, of course, having an analog mixed-signal, high-voltage part, which is more flexible, which is more dedicated to the specific application here. But keep in mind, it's not the advantaged packaging. We are talking on high-performance computing, for instance. It's not 3D stack integration or chiplet. It's really, I would call it, it's more simple dual-die solutions where you either put the dice on top with a substrate ball or you have a wire by wire interface.
in the coming years.
So the -- if we look at the growth plan, our average growth rate is around 12%. So the growth that will be actually coming from revenue sourced in the U.S. will be lower than this 12%. It will be a few percentage lower. Also maybe as a side information, if we look at the business that is fulfilled today to the U.S. So partially, it's also being sent to Asia, but that is fulfilled through the -- as our exposure is only 2% in revenue. So it's quite a low exposure. Okay.
Is the sound quality, okay? Yes. Okay. Good. So let's continue. Another question by Johannes Ries. If we achieve at least the same volume in euros of design wins, what we did in the past, when we continue to do that in the 5 coming years, will you exceed -- or can we exceed our 2030 target?
So actually assuming that the design wins will come in a similar annually distribution because it's always business spread over some years. Then in the last 5 years, the clear answer is yes. This would give us the opportunity to grow beyond that.
Okay. Thank you. And of course, a margin question as well. If we achieve or beat our 2030 sales target, why is there no real margin leverage?
Well, so there may be margin leverage. But keep in mind, these Capital Markets Day, they come along every year. So what should we tell you next year. In 2024, we haven't told you the full set of KPIs on cash flow, and we are telling you today. So I wonder what we have to tell you next year.
Okay. Thank you. Next question comes from Peter from London. It's is a question, I guess, for our -- for Patrick, our COO, what is the value of keeping part of the testing in-house? And why don't we outsource it completely?
Yes. Our in-house testing gives us great flexibility. We have the chance to basically prepare our [ REMS ] flawlessly in-house first. We have short proximity to do engineering tests and as well to support us while developing new test programs. However, as said in my showed in my presentation as well, if there are capacity increases needed because of volume growth, these will be definitely happening at our partners in Asia and not in-house.
Okay. Thank you. Now we have some questions by Malte Schaumann. Good to have you with us. Let's start with the Chinese one. Will the Chinese organization also be responsible for business with Chinese robot customers?
Yes. That is the short answer, right?
Yes. Okay. And another robot one by Malte. What is approximately the Elmos revenue potential opportunity for each robot?
So if we look at the maximum equipment, we see a potential for around 120 ICs, similar like the analogy in the car. So that means you would have a revenue potential between $50 and $80, something like that. So -- but we think we can achieve per robot take rate like in the cars today is 10 ICs per car today, we think we can achieve a similar rate in the robot market. But again, it's not in our current growth plan until 2030. We see it more a little bit in the 20, 30-plus years as per today's knowledge.
Okay. Thank you, [ Ian ]. The question regarding capitalized development expenses [indiscernible]. What is the net effect of capitalized R&D, so meaning capitalization less the depreciation in '25, '26 and what is this figure to be expected by 2030? So what's the net impact in terms of EBIT margin?
So the net effect for 2025 was EUR 14 million or 2.5% of EBIT margin, and we expect for 2026 going forward more or less same level.
Okay. Thank you, Rita. Another financial question by multi. What are the expected growth rates for R&D and SG&A expenses in relative to top line growth?
Okay. We maintain OpEx level at 20% of revenue. It means 11% to 12% for R&D and 8% to 9% SG&A, and they expect the same level also going forward.
Okay. The next question, I think Arne already answered this question. What are your thoughts potentially exceeding the 25% EBIT margin? I guess we have already answered that there's definitely potential there. Let's wait and see.
Okay. Next one, also by Malte. Could you please provide some color on the emerging competitors as a potential local headwind? So who are our main competitors currently in China [indiscernible]
Yes, let me start and then [indiscernible], maybe you can chime in. So number one, when you look at the Chinese semiconductor industry, it's important to understand there's a long -- there was a very strong focus on senior conductors for the consumer and industrial markets, mostly consumer but also industrial markets. And step by step, we also see more and more companies expanding into automotive. So we see that. That's number one.
Number two, as you have seen on my chart, the companies we are observing, which are potential competitors for us are relatively small as we speak right now.
And number three, that's also what I mentioned before. It's very important meeting global standards, global quality standards because once you export the cost to the world, you need to have those [ trip in the cars ]. So we watch them. We look out for them. We're always happy when we see somebody is imitating us, but I'm not too concerned.
Next question or last question by Malte. Are there any nonautomotive technology, which could open up new applications, which might be realized by M&A. So non organic, non automotive opportunities.
Yes. Thank you for that question. So as was pointed out, we have a very strong focused niche strategy and our M&A strategy is how can we get stronger in our niches or in very adjacent fields. We are also now venture capitalists. We are also no gambler let's say. So if there's a target which fits extremely well to our core capacities or our core markets, that's fine, but we don't intend to expand with M&A outside.
Okay. Next question now from Lukas Spang. In which markets or segments do we see potential upside until 2030 in terms of revenue, which are not included in the business, but if we see a real chance to realize this upside.
Where we are currently conservative in our growth plan is, as we have explained on robotics. So some competitors see the robotic market picking up earlier. So if that holds true, we are in position, and we can utilize today's products for that. That is one thing. The other thing is we are also a little bit careful on the home automation application and also on industrial sensors. So our sensor signal processors are also used in industrial applications. And if that market is developing a little bit better, that also gives us some upside potential.
Okay. Another one by Lukas Spang, where could potential upside on the EBIT margin side could come from? So what are specific potential effects?
Well, of course, you would expect, as you scale to EUR 1 billion, that there is more to come in terms of OpEx scale, and this may well be possible. If you look at the gross margin, we will get our hands around gold. We will get our hands around a number of operational improvements. So maybe [ 45 ] is not the right number for 2030. So we do have quite some ideas how to improve profitability and -- of course, we keep you posted how we would commit to a higher profitability number. For today, we leave it at the targets, but as I mentioned, we'll have a Capital Markets Day, I think, almost every year. So there are some more to come until 2030.
Thank you, Arne. Another question by Malte Schaumann. What is the share of U.S. competitors in our target applications at Chinese customer? And how do we judge the opportunity to gain shares from our U.S. friends due to geopolitical environment? Yes. So exactly in the last, let's say, 12 months, we had a lot of discussions with our customers in China in this geopolitically dynamic times about the supply chains. And indeed, especially in our strongest application segments in China, which are ultrasonic and lighting. There are direct U.S. competitors. What exactly the share is I could not tell now. There is quite some share, and it gives maybe additional opportunities because some of these Chinese customers may rethink utilizing this U.S.-based supply. That is true. We see it in the market every day. But at least until today, no major platform has been moved over. That remains an opportunity.
Our next question comes from [indiscernible] is there an expected effect for Elmos in case of consolidation of Chinese car brands? Do we have a concentrated exposure on special brands? Or do we have a broad exposure in terms of customer penetration in China?
No, we have a super broad exposure. So you can argue that if we had a super concentrated Chinese market, which may take some time in terms of OEMs, they may gain more buying power. On the other hand, you would take out a pretty kind of diversified supply chain. We would have a lot more direct customers, which would be a great benefit to us. So we do not fear consolidation of the Chinese OEMs. We would probably like it but there's nothing we can do about it. So on balance, it's a plus for us if that were to happen.
Okay. Thank you. Next question by Edwin. What would be the most likely driver of free margin or free cash flow margin above 17% working capital, EBIT expansion or something else? I think this question is valid for '26 and maybe also beyond that.
Yes. I mean, we plan to reduce our tax rate from 25% to 21%, that's [ 4 ] percentage points, which is quite material, material for our numbers. But operational results. So the increase of EBIT margin and also the efficient working capital management will help to increase free cash flow margin above 17%. So all the 3 effects will help [indiscernible].
Okay. So now we have a question or a couple of questions from Veysel from Metzler. Yes, you have a bunch of questions. I'll try to start with the first one. Design win conversion and timing. What is the typical time frame from securing a design win going into the first initial volume ramp?
So that very much depends. There are some design wins that are very short term, and they only live for one or two years, especially for some Chinese design wins that could be the case because we all know the platforms changed rapidly in China. Other big design platform wins, they go over many, many years. So we typically only count them over 7 years. If you look on the total distribution of all design wins in the year that we typically win it looks a little bit like a normal distribution that is a little bit front loaded. So that is how you can think about how typically they distribute over the years to come. But they also start quite early. So we do not have too many design wins that start only in many years. There are some but very few. That's typically the case for ASICs where you have a 3-year development or something like that. There, that is the case. For other things, it's winning business with existing products and then they are very short term, they generate business already in the ongoing year or in the year after.
Okay. Next question regarding design win. Historically, what has been your conversion ratio basically your success ratio from design win to realize sales?
So typically, it's significantly on top of 90%. So in some years, it's 92%. In some years, it's 96%. Some major platforms. Sometimes they change their volume. They push it out by one or two years, and then you need to adapt the revenues a little bit. We do a very detailed bookkeeping on that. So short answer significantly on top of 90%.
Okay. Another question regarding volume and revenue. So Patrick showed in his presentation, volume growth of 15% CAGR per year. Our sales CAGR is 12%. So the difference, 3 percentage points or 300 basis points, is this price erosion? So lower sales price.
Yes, that is the assumption between the volume and the revenue. Of course, in any given year, there can also be a mix effect. Chips being bigger, being smaller, being thus more expensive or less expensive. But in the most part, this projection, this 3 points is pricing.
So another question from Veysel regarding -- yes, risk and downside production. Looking at the 2015 targets, what are the main execution risks specifically in the rent of severe cyclical downturn in the automotive business before 2030? What would be your stress test scenario look like for revenue and margin, obviously?
What I think we've just been through a stress test scenario in the last 2 years, '24 and '25, we've just seen kind of market-wide minus 20% in revenue. And you've seen how we've fared. This would be pretty much two stress test years, which are current, and I think interesting to look at how we fared.
Thank you, Arne. Last question. strategic capital allocation question. So regarding our footprint in China is presented with a highly attractive exit multiple for our Chinese operation, would management consider divesting to unlock that immediate kind of opportunity?
Yes. We would look at all strategic options, and that continues to take on Chinese capital, which then, on the other side, would mean that we would reduce our equity participation. But let's see where we go. This is a little bit the cliff hanger question, right? Because we do not have a clear answer. A lot depends on where the market goes, where geopolitics go where valuations go. And since you framed it as, there's a super attractive or financially super attractive offer on the table would be considered, yes, we would.
Okay. A question from Martin again. How are your competitors in China, Taiwan, Korea and the U.S.? How would you assess their market position? So basically, our most important competitors in these regions.
Well, I mean, China are pretty young companies, and they are trying to break into the market to start with. Taiwan, there's not so many notable competitors, to be honest. Taiwan, for us is a country of fabs, it's a country of testing. So a little bit different position in the value chain. South Korea is a little bit emerging, but also no kind of big mixed signal competitors that we would face head on in our segments. The U.S., obviously, there are some big companies that have been competitors for years and years. I think we gained some share over the recent years, which encourages us to believe that we have a very strong product portfolio. and a strong attractiveness. However, there are very good U.S. companies and very formidable competitors.
Thanks, Arne. Next question from [ Edwin Young ], Are there any effects from the Nexperia situation for Elmos?
Well, what do we learn from Nexperia? I mean we see government intervention on all continents, but this is nothing new. What we learned, I believe, on the supply chain was that a lot of people have really little stock. When things are approaching a crash scenario after such a short amount of time, I think this is an unhealthily low stock level. So Nexperia kind of put that to a test, and this is what we, for sure, learned out of that.
But no -- let's say, no immediate chances for us to grab some experience?
No. This is -- these are different products. There's -- it's not that we could gobble up the Nexperia business because they may have certain challenges. This is not the case.
Okay. Another question from Veysel. How do we make sure that we have enough R&D and the right product that we can scale across platforms, meaning not missing out what customers expect in terms of innovation.
Yes. I mean the key topic here is, as Jan also showed in his presentation, the close interaction and customer intimacy we have with our Tier 1s and OEMs. We have continuously discussions and alignments with our customers. Is it Tier 1, is it OEMs to understand what they need? What can we benefit for a better system solution on their side that we've solved three little problems the customer have. For example, also looking on China by intention, we didn't call it an R&D center. We call it CPC, China product center. It means we also have to understand locally the market in China. We have to, on the local language, talk with our customers, with a understand what is their needs, what are their requirements and with that one, turning this into competitive products. So customer intimacy is key here.
Okay. Thanks, Jochen. Next question from [indiscernible]. Concerning cash payout, how do you weigh up the dividends versus share buybacks? Is there a minimum dividend versus share buybacks? Or are we flexible or want to be flexible?
Well, there's not a lot of rules there, right? First, we don't want to build cash parts, obviously. So then if we look at the dividend, we think that somehow organic behavior of the dividend is good. So stable or increasing. This holds still true. So we Don't think of it as a share of the one or the other, but we think of it as kind of a good development that is sustainable such that the dividends can be stable or increasing and that we do the rest, which may be a very substantial rest by share buybacks. But there's no rule like this must be 50-50 or it must be 70-30. It should be most of what we have in cash such that there is no [ pile burning ]. This is important.
Okay. Last question for the time being at least, again from Lukas Spang. In the presentation, it was mentioned that our revenue target, EUR 1 billion is largely covered by existing business or secured design wins. How do you see the chance to increase your market share further by 2030?
So part of the growth is coming actually from market share gains. So it's a smaller part, but there is a part. And it's especially for lighting, for motor control applications and for sensing applications. and also for the whole SDV part. Because, for example, the issues control [ seized ] today, they are already -- they have started already on low level, low volumes. But in 2027, they will ramp significantly. That is quite a high-volume application. So there's one part where we will gain a significant market share in that niche. So in our niches, our market share is growing.
Okay. Thank you, Jan. So ladies and gentlemen, currently, we have no more question pending. Here's one more question. Another one by Veysel, are distributors are still part of your sales strategy?
Yes, they are. So for distributors, there are two types of distribution business. One is fulfillment business. A lot of the business that we have today, especially in Asia, is going in fulfillment, we are distributors. But the other part of it is creation of the business demand creation. So that is the smaller part. And today, for us, that is still growth potential. So we are working closely with two of the biggest distributors in the world to make our products, especially even more visible in very fragmented markets. So our wholesale team is not set up to address very fragmented markets. But with strong distribution partners we think we can sell our products even in that part of the market more successfully. Yes, we are working on that. Today, the share is very low of that revenue, but we think we can improve it. We will update you on that.
And there's no big shift, big change in the future?
No, absolutely not. That is currently not planned.
Okay. Thank you, Jan. So again, no more questions are pending in our Q&A system. Okay. I think we had a lot of questions. We answered and covered a lot of [ turf ]. So thank you very much. First of all, of course, to you out there for sharing your questions interact with us, and being part of our Capital Markets Day. Thanks to, of course, all of our [ EEC ] members for presenting really a powerful message about our next phase of growth and value generation, of course, thanks to all personnel, all of my team members, corporate development teams, mark-on teams, IR teams and all persons behind the stage, making that capital market event possible. It's a team event as usual. Yes, thank you very much. We're looking forward to seeing many of you in the next, yes, investor meetings or investment conferences. And as our CEO, Arne Schneider, likes to say, "The best is yet to come." Thank you very much. Goodbye from [ Leverkusen ]. Take care. Bye-bye.
Elmos Semiconductor — Analyst/Investor Day - Elmos Semiconductor SE
Elmos Semiconductor — Analyst/Investor Day - Elmos Semiconductor SE
🎯 Key Message
- Core Elmos is entering a structural growth phase in automotive semiconductors, driven by rising semiconductor content per vehicle, ADAS and software-defined architectures. The company targets ~EUR 1 billion in sales by 2030, backed by awarded design wins, a fabless model and disciplined capital allocation that improves cash generation and shareholder value.
🚀 Strategic Highlights
- Market growth Automotive semiconductors are expected to expand ~12–13% annually to 2030, aligning with Elmos’ roughly 12% CAGR target and content-driven expansion.
- Execution leadership 1,200+ design wins since 2021, EUR 3.3B lifetime value, and 7 platform programs each worth >EUR 100M—covering ultrasonic, motor control, lighting and sensing.
- China strategy All-weather setup: 9 functional elements, 6 offices, China Product Center, 12-inch wafer capability, Pudong warehouse, and a China-for-China localization plan (~10% of total capacity in China) with Singapore as a regional hub.
🆕 New Information
- China organization Enhanced all-weather setup with local R&D and full localization to better serve the Chinese market and manage geopolitical risk.
- Technology & operations AI-enabled development, improved R&D efficiency (faster ideas-to-silicon, faster sample delivery) and SAP S/4HANA-driven real-time inventory management; 12-inch wafer capability advances.
- Capital allocation & targets Confirmed midterm targets; upgraded CapEx efficiency (~6% of sales), free cash flow margin target ≈17% of sales; dividend policy refined with higher payouts; 2030 sales target ~EUR 1B with ~25% EBIT margin.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Design wins Conversion remains strong (well over 90% in many years); cadence of wins supports the EUR 1B 2030 target, with upside from additional platforms and SDV-related opportunities not yet fully included.
- India & robotics India revenue under EUR 10 million in 2025; robotics could be an upside in the 2030s but is not in the base plan; AI-enabled developments and local product center support expansion.
- China competition Localized China-allocation + strong IP/quality moat; no immediate divestment plan but strategic optionality exists; ~10% of capacity in China and strict adherence to global standards mitigate risk.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Takeaway Elmos’ Capital Markets Day reinforces a structurally driven automotive growth story with awarded design wins underpinning a EUR 1 billion target by 2030, and a fabless, cash-generating model supporting meaningful shareholder returns. Key catalysts include the all-weather China strategy, AI-enabled R&D, and a refined capital-allocation framework, though execution and geopolitics remain watchpoints.
Elmos Semiconductor — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Elmos Semiconductor SE Analyst Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Let me now turn the floor over to your host, Dr. Arne Schneider, CEO.
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen. Welcome to our virtual Analyst Conference and Earnings Webcast for the fiscal year 2025. This earnings call marks the first part of an exciting day dedicated to you, our investors and analysts. This morning, I will walk you through the key highlights and our preliminary financial results for 2025 and share our positive outlook for 2026.
Together with my colleagues from the Elmos Executive Committee, we will then outline the next phase of our growth and strategic agenda at our virtual Capital Markets Day, starting at 2:30 p.m. CET today. We have prepared an exciting program for you this afternoon. So if you do not have yet registered for the CMD, please send a short e-mail to [email protected], so [email protected] and our IR team will provide you with the details.
Let us begin with the highlights of the fiscal year 2025. Of course, as always, we will open the line for your questions at the end of my presentation. Since our foundation in 1984 in Dortmund, Elmos has evolved from a small start-up into a global leader in automotive mixed-signal semiconductors. Our ICs measure, control and enable electronic intelligence at the edge of the vehicle. They power key automotive megatrends electrification, ADAS and autonomous driving, safety, comfort and software-defined vehicles.
In short, Elmos makes mobility safer, smarter, more comfortable and more sustainable. As a focused fabless analog mixed-signal specialist, we hold leading positions in all of our core application fields. And we continuously deliver next-generation ICs that create measurable value for our customers.
On average, around 10 Elmos ICs were installed in every new car produced worldwide in 2025 and a significantly higher content up to 200 ICs is possible in premium modern EV platforms. More than 90% of our revenues are generated in the automotive market. This is our core DNA. We have sourced numerous attractive design wins that will drive future demand for our innovative ICs solutions.
But at the same time, our technology goes beyond automotive. Many of our proven automotive applications are being redesigned and adapted for high-growth adjacent markets, such as smart home, smart factories and particularly robotics. In other words, automotive, is our core and proven growth platform. [indiscernible] semiconductor intelligence in new technologies is an additional growth opportunity.
With more than 1,100 employees across 20 locations worldwide, including almost 500 R&D engineers, we combine deep customer intimacy with global scale. We serve the world's leading Tier 1 suppliers. Around 60% of our sales are generated in Asia, reflecting the center of gravity of global automotive production. Our chips are designed into vehicles and platforms across all major OEMs in Europe, in America, in Japan, Korea and China and also, of course, in emerging markets like India.
In fact, our OEM footprint closely mirrors the global automotive market itself. Let me give you a snapshot of our innovative product portfolio, a preview of the technologies that are driving our growth and that we will present in much greater detail at our Capital Markets Day this afternoon.
Again, let me do a little advertisement, right to our IR staff or look on the website, and it will be a great thing this afternoon. So semiconductors are not just components. They are the intelligent layer of a modern vehicle, and this is exactly where Elmos operates. At the intelligent edge of the vehicle architecture, the point where real-time data is generated, processed and translated into safe, reliable and high-performance functionality.
Our ultrasonic ICs enable precise 360-degree environmental mapping around the vehicle, a fundamental building block of the sensor fusion for assisted and autonomous driving. Our next Ultrasonic IC generation has integrated AI capability and can detect objects as close as 7 centimeters, differentiate heights and significantly enhance the quality and performance for modern ADAS systems.
Lighting is another example of how semiconductors redefined vehicle experience. Ambient lighting has evolved from a premium feature into a brand-defining design element across all segments. Our LED driver ICs enable dynamic multipixel front grills, illuminated services and intelligent interior life concepts that transform cars into emotional spaces.
Electrification is accelerating this transition even further. Modern EV platforms rely on dozens of intelligence, actuators, pumps, valves and thermal management system, all powered by small electric motors, which are, of course, controlled by integrated mixed-signal ICs. Efficient battery conditioning, optimized range and advanced comfort features are impossible without semiconductor intelligence.
In many of these motor control and thermal applications, Elmos already holds leading market position. And at the same time, we are driving the next-generation botnet architectures with eFuses and gateway IC drivers. These applications are intelligent system solutions for software-defined vehicle.
Elmos sensor signal ICs are the bridge between the real world and the digital brain of the car. Fast, robust and safe sensor data from the edge is, of course, crucial for modern vehicles. Without the intelligence on the edge, there is no need for central compute. You can drive autonomously or have an efficient electrical drivetrain. With more than 4 decades of expertise, a powerful innovation road map and a global R&D organization, Elmos is ideally positioned to capture the structural trend for more semiconductor content per vehicle.
Let us also have a brief look at some economic market and strategic highlights of 2025. According to the latest IMF estimate, global economic output is expected to have grown by 3.3% in 2025. Growth remains uneven. Europe is forecasted at 1.4% with Germany at just 0.2%, the U.S. at 2.1%, while China continues to expand at a robust 5%. In automotive production, S&P projects global light vehicle output to increase by 4% to around 93 million vehicles in 2025. A significant improvement since early last year when SAP forecasted a decline at that time.
Growth will continue to be regionally different. China is expected to grow by a very strong 10%, reinforcing its leading position in the global automotive market. Due to the weaker automotive industry and the U.S. tariffs, Europe and North America are forecasted slightly below last year's level.
Just a short comment, by the way, on the U.S. tariffs. So there is currently no direct impact on Elmos from the U.S. tariff regime on semiconductors as our ICs are not subject to it. But even in a scenario, and I haven't looked now for 20 minutes on how the tariff might have changed in the last 20 minutes. So maybe I'm not up to date. So even in the scenario where we have tariffs on our analog mixed signal chips, the direct exposure would be very limited as we have only 2% of our products shipped directly to the U.S.
So returning to the automotive semis market. The destocking activities have almost completely ended. Inventory levels have normalized and are from our perspective, even too low in some parts. Customers are gradually returning to normal order levels that better reflect underlying structural demand.
Currently, we do not see and therefore, we do not forecast the noticeable restocking by our customers. However, the headwind of destocking estimates with around 6 negative percentage points in growth is gone. That said, some customers continue to order below the normal lead time which keeps short-term visibility somewhat limited. But also in terms of the short-term ordering behavior, I feel there is some improvement, gradual improvement but improvement to be seen.
The structural picture remains bright and very promising. Semiconductor content per vehicle continues to rise significantly, driven by electrification, higher ADAS levels, autonomous driving and the shift to software-defined vehicles.
So let me now highlight some key strategic milestones. 2025 was the first year of Elmos as a fabless company after the wafer fab transaction was closed end of 2024. This marked the completion of our structural transition and the benefits of the fabless model are now clearly visible. We successfully completed our SAP transformation to S/4HANA, including the hypercare phase. This major operational achievement and a critical foundation for scalability, transparency and efficiency.
We also achieved the second highest level of new design wins in our history with promising wins across all segments and regions. This is a strong indicator of future revenue growth and highlights the competitiveness and attractiveness of our innovative product portfolio. Our OEE optimization and test time reduction programs delivered very positive results, directly contributing to a substantial capacity increase and corresponding lower CapEx intensity going forward. And we have successfully executed our labor and material cost optimization initiatives introduced at the beginning of last year. The savings strengthen our cost base and improve operational leverage.
And as all of you know, already as of January 1, 2025, we have relocated the registered office of Elmos Semiconductor SE from Dortmund to Leverkusen in order to reduce our tax book. In China, we are building a full function entity with an increasingly localized value chain. This strengthens customer proximity enhances resilience and create strategic optionality in its changing geopolitical environment.
And finally, our ESG performance continues to gain recognition. We achieved ISS Prime status with a C+ rating and the management level B rating from CDP. For us, a clear confirmation that sustainability and governance are embedded in how we operate. So in summary, the macro environment remains mixed, and geopolitics are challenging. The destocking headwind from the last 2 years is gone, that's very good, and we are returning to structural growth in 2026. We made great progress in our strategic agenda, further strengthening our global position and competitiveness.
So let me now present the key financial highlights of 2025 shown on Pages 5 to 8 of the presentation. As expected, sales in Q4 reached EUR 169.3 million, an absolute record level, 20% higher sequentially and 16% higher year-on-year. Q4 sales were impacted by around EUR 10 million by the postponement from Q3. However, even if we adjust that Q4 sales we would have reached a new quarterly record with then around EUR 160 million or 10% year-on-year growth.
The Elmos Group generated revenue of EUR 582.6 million in fiscal year 2025, representing a new record level also and a slight increase compared to the previous year. While the market environment, especially in the first half was characterized by subdued orders from customers, order patterns increasingly normalized over the course of the year, reflecting underlying structural demand.
Sales were also impacted by currency effects. Actually, on a currency-adjusted basis, group revenue would have increased by 2.5% year-on-year. Our sales development outperformed our direct peers, who on average reported an 8% decline in 2025. Over the past 2 years combined, we have outgrown our direct peers by nearly 20 percentage points. For us, this is clear evidence of the strong and sustained demand for our products.
And if you look at the past 5 years, from 2021 to '25, Elmos has increased its top line by more than 80%, while our direct peers achieved average growth of only 11%. The gross margin in fiscal year 2025 reached 42.3%, more or less on the level expected. Gross profit throughout the year was impacted by fixed cost effects and higher material costs, including higher gold prices in assembly. We could compensate some of the cost increases with positive effects of our cost optimization program launched at the beginning of the year.
The full year impact is expected in the course of 2026. Full year EBIT reached EUR 127.1 million or 21.8% of sales, in line with our guidance. In addition to the lower gross profit, EBIT was impacted by special costs for the SAP transfer, consulting costs for the expanded China strategy and negative FX effects. Again, despite the somewhat lower profitability versus the operational EBIT of the fiscal year 2024, so operational meaning, excluding the special gain of the sales of the wafer fab, our EBIT margin reduction of 3.3 percentage points was much lower than the profitability decline of our peers who lost on average 6.6 points.
I think again a true statement of our resilient operating model. Also, no one wants to do another SAP transfer again, at least not anytime soon. The China setup is more or less done, and we are working on the gold issue. And with growth and less scale, comps margin expansion as we will see this year.
The structural CapEx reduction is a result of our successful program to boost operational efficiency and to lower test types. The lower investment intensity is clearly visible in 2025. CapEx in the fiscal year 2025 totaled EUR 33.6 million or only 5.8% of sales and came in at the lower end of our guidance. Excluding the acquisition of a building at our Dortmund campus investments would have been even lower at 4.7% sales. With EUR 62.3 million R&D expenses were slightly higher than previous year due to higher personnel costs, lower capitalized development costs and lower R&D grants, partially compensated by strong improvements in our R&D efficiency.
In 2025, we have further expanded our R&D network with the opening of a brand-new China product center in Shanghai and our new R&D site in Brno in the Czech Republic. As promised, we have started to build a track record of strong cash generation. Our focus on sustainable cash generation through consequent execution of efficiency and optimization measures to reduce capital expenditures and working capital and supported by a lower tax burden is delivering, I think, quite impressive results.
The adjusted free cash flow totaled EUR 66.3 million in 2025. This is an increase of almost EUR 120 million versus the operating adjusted free cash flow of the previous year. The free cash flow margin of 11.4% of sales is clearly exceeding our original expectations. Based on the positive business performance and the substantially improved free cash flow, Elmos has further refined its capital allocation strategy.
The management and the Supervisory Board will propose to the AGM a 50% increase in the dividend for the fiscal year 2025, from EUR 1 previously to EUR 1.50 per share. In addition, Elmos has launched a share buyback program by the stock exchange with a volume of EUR 10 million starting today until March 31.
Ladies and gentlemen, let me finish my presentation with the market outlook and our guidance for the fiscal year 2026. S&P increased its latest global production forecast to 92.9 million new vehicles in 2025, up 3.3 million vehicles or plus 4% versus 2024. Production volumes are expected to stay at this higher level of more than 92 million cars in '26. The outlook remains shaped by Three key topics. U.S. trade and tariff policies, pretty volatile element, I think, the domestic development and export ambitions of the Chinese automotive industry and evolving demand for battery electric vehicles, particularly in Europe and North America.
So, at the end of my presentation, we are on Page 11 now. I would like to present our outlook for 2026. We are optimistic for the new year and expect to return to our structural growth level after 2 years of destocking headwinds. In addition, we expect a higher profitability and a further increase of free cash flow. For the current fiscal year 2026, Elmos expects sales growth of 11% plus or minus 3 points. And based on this positive revenue outlook and further optimization measures, Elmos expects an EBIT margin above the previous year's level of 24%, plus or minus 2 points. Despite the anticipated growth, capital expenditures will remain at a comparatively lower level amounting to approximately 5% of sales.
And in addition, Elmos expect positive cash development to continue and forecast an adjusted free cash flow of more than 70% of sales. Ladies and gentlemen, in 2025, Elmos once again demonstrated its resilience and its operational strength, significantly outperforming its direct competitors. As an agile fabless company with innovative products, substantially improved cash generation and an attractive capital allocation framework, Elmos exceptionally well positioned to benefit from the structural growth trends in our markets and to continue driving sustainable value creation. So we've come to the end of my presentation, I would like to ask the host to open the line for questions now.
Thank you very much for your attention.
[Operator Instructions]
The first question from Malte Schaumann from Warburg Research.
2. Question Answer
The question is on the gross margin that appear to be a bit on the low side in the fourth quarter with just 41.4%. Is that relating to the surge in gold prices? Or did you encounter some other facts that impacted the margin?
Yes. I wouldn't look too much on the Q4, but rather on the whole year. And of course, the whole year is below what we had originally. On the other hand, if you look at the gold price development, which took away a point or 2. Then if you adjust for that, the structural level is not too bad and with optimizations coming, we don't have a bad feeling on structural profitability.
Okay. So nothing that worries you in the end. And then going into '26, can you confirm that the gold issue should not worsen in comparison to '25 and then -- but just a full relief from that then going into '27?
Yes. I mean, Gold, 3 main things will happen. And yes, Mr. Schaumann, you're right, the overall situation will not worsen this year. So first, we use less gold since our first gold-to-copper projects are coming into play then. So this is the first effect we use less gold. For the remaining goals we use, the prices have versus the average of 2025 are up. I believe the average was around [ EUR 3,500 ]. Now we're beyond [ EUR 5,000 ]. So the first is, of course, a positive fact. The second is a negative effect. And the third is that we charge gold adders now, which is, of course, also a positive effect. And on balance, we have this thing now under control.
Okay. How much of the portfolio is already -- has already transferred to copper?
All the new things are copper, anyway and as a standard. It's only old product that still run on gold. And when gold was at a more reasonable price level, we kind of shied away from transferring it because it does make effort and it also creates effort on our customer sites to requalify things and everything. But at this gold price level that we are seeing now the effort is more than justified. So that is why we kind of reacted to this gold price and now just have to take the effort on transferring even old products to copper that may only run for a few years. But still it's worthwhile at these gold prices.
Yes. Okay. And then finally, quickly on the design wins. Maybe a quick comment on how you would rate the year and maybe get some more insight on that this afternoon. So yes, I'll leave it up to you.
Yes. I mean last year was a very good year. And yes, this afternoon, we'll have -- I believe some of the charts -- that some of you in the call have been waiting for and pushing us for so long. We will share this afternoon. So I can't share now because if I share everything kind of it's a big spoiler and no one comes this afternoon. But please do join it. It was an excellent design win in 2025. I mean for 2026, what should I say? We had a good few weeks. So we are very happy, but of course, too early to be clear on what 2026 brings.
There are no further questions, back to Dr. Schneider.
Yes, don't worry. There's enough room to ask questions at our CMD, and I promise this is the last advertisement for this call. But I still would like to remind you that we host our virtual Capital Markets Day this afternoon at 2:30 CET. So many of you, of course, have already registered, but write an e-mail to [email protected], and the IR team will quickly send you all the registration details. It's going to be a great event, and we have an exciting program. So don't miss it. For now, thank you very much for your participation and your interest in Elmos. Goodbye from Leverkusen. Take care, stay confident and see you this afternoon at our CMD.
Elmos Semiconductor — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Elmos Semiconductor — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Elmos Semiconductor SE Conference Call regarding the results of Q3 2025. [Operator Instructions]
Let me now turn the floor over to your host, Dr. Arne Schneider, CEO.
Ladies and gentlemen, good morning from Leverkusen, and welcome to the Elmos conference call for the third quarter 2025. Thank you very much for your participation and your interest in our company.
Ladies and gentlemen, Elmos showed a very robust performance in the third quarter of 2025 with improving profitability and strong cash flows, while the top line development was somewhat impacted by revenue shifts from Q3 into Q4 due to the SAP transition. In parallel, we are driving forward our operational and strategic agenda to even better position the company for future profitable growth and higher cash flows.
Let me start with an update about the current market environment. The destocking activities in the automotive semiconductor market are gradually decreasing, more and more customers return to normal order levels, and our Q3 book-to-bill ratio was well above 1. Nevertheless, visibility remains somehow low, and our customers still order at least some of them on a very short notice. Actually, especially in China, which is kind of the global headquarter of short-term ordering. This order pattern requires a high degree of flexibility and reaction speed from chip suppliers. But as an agile tables player, you have a clear advantage here.
Please allow a short comment on the Nexperia situation at this point. Nexperia primarily manufactures simple discrete components like diodes and MOSFETs. Elmos specializes in more complex analog mixed signal semiconductors. So actually, there's little overlap with Nexperia's product portfolio, and we cannot expect any significant volumes we could take over from Nexperia. However, this situation is, at least, I believe, another sign that the current inventory level by Tier 1s and OEMs are clearly too low to secure delivery and avoid line shutdowns when there is any kind of major disruption.
The geopolitical environment remains challenging. I can report today that we are progressing very well with the adoption of our China footprint towards a fully functional organization. As of today, we have hired more than 20 additional engineers and IT experts in our new entity in Shanghai. The goal is to establish all relevant business processes and to manage most of our China business locally during the course of next year. China is indeed very dynamic, and that's why we are executing our localization strategy at China speed.
I have already informed you that the successful go-live of the new SAP system took place at the beginning of July. We expect that the so-called hypercare phase of the new system will be completed in Q4. Due to the system freeze before the go-live, we had to postpone some orders from Q3 into Q4, which I will explain later. The acquisition of new projects continues to develop very positively, with promising new design wins in all regions and across all segments. The performance year-to-date indicates actually a significantly better result last year. So we are very happy about that.
Finally, I can report great news from our ESG team. Elmos has been awarded prime status for the first time in the ESG rating of the internationally renowned rating agency ISS. As part of the regular review, Elmos improved its ESG corporate rating to C+, and that's then the prime status. This wonderful recognition reinforces our strategy of achieving long-term profitable growth while making a positive contribution to environment and society.
Let me continue with the financial highlights of the third quarter 2025. Order intake in the third quarter developed very positively with a book-to-bill ratio well above 1. The transition to the new SAP system in July has led to some orders being postponed from the third to the fourth quarter. The approximately 2-week system shutdown at the end of June 2025 due to the conversion of the new SAP S/4HANA led to a production backlog that could actually not be completely cleared by the end of September.
This resulted in orders equivalent to approximately 1 week of production being postponed to the fourth quarter. For this reason, revenue in the third quarter was somewhat lower at EUR 140.8 million. However, despite this revenue shift, Q3 sales were above the quarterly average of the last 12 months. And I mean, kind of looking on a longer horizon, it's actually not a bad quarter at all. The order backlog will be caught up in Q4, which will then most likely result in a new quarterly sales record, and we confirm the midpoint of our full-year sales guidance of EUR 580 million.
In terms of regional dynamics, we once again saw very positive momentum in China and a more muted development in Europe and the U.S. The weaker U.S. dollar had a negative impact on our Q3 sales by around 3 percentage points. So if you do the granted theoretical FX-adjusted Q3 sales, it would have actually been about EUR 145 million. Gross margin was 43.6% in Q3, improving 2.5 percentage points versus Q2. Like in the previous quarters, gross profit was impacted by fixed cost effects and higher material costs, including higher gold prices in assembly. I mean those of you who regularly look at the gold price, it's really eye-watering. But you can also see the positive effects of our cost optimization program, which will lead to further reductions in personnel and material costs in the coming quarters.
EBIT improved to EUR 31.7 million in Q3 2025 compared to EUR 30.1 million in Q2. The EBIT continued to be impacted by special costs for the SAP transfer, consulting costs for the expanded China strategy, and, albeit somewhat less pronounced, by negative FX effect. As a result, the EBIT margin reached 22.5% in Q3 2025, which is around 2 percentage points above Q2. At EUR 5.9 million or 4.2% of sales, the Q3 CapEx was at a low level as it was planned. At EUR 24 million or 5.8% of sales after 9 months, we are at the lower end of our full-year CapEx expectation.
Adjusted free cash flow developed very positively in the third quarter. At EUR 32.5 million or 23.1% of revenue, it was significantly higher than in the second quarter. The activities to improve our cash performance show positive results, and we are confident to build a very solid track record going forward. After 9 months, we exceed our full-year expectation with a free cash flow ratio of 13.2% of sales. Due to the positive development, we have increased the full-year free cash flow guidance. So our initial comments that our free cash flow guidance for the full year 2025, if all works out, may prove to be conservative, this is actually true.
Ladies and gentlemen, let me finish my presentation with the market outlook and our guidance for fiscal year 2025. S&P increased its latest global production forecast to 91.1 million new vehicles, up 1.2 million from its July forecast. This new forecast corresponds to a year-over-year increase of almost 2%. The positive trend of recent months continues. Still in April, S&P was forecasting a decline of minus 2% in 2025. The momentum is clearly driven by China, where S&P now expects 6% growth to almost 32 million new vehicles. For Europe, minus 2% and North America also minus 2%, there's a somewhat lower production volume, mainly a result of the ongoing weaknesses of the European automotive industry and new tariffs in the U.S.
Speaking of tariffs, as usual, I have to remind you that our outlook for the year does not include potential impacts of any new tariffs or potential indirect effects of this tariff situation and trade war beyond the level we actually see today. So for the full year 2025, we expect sales of EUR 580 million, plus or minus EUR 20 million, despite negative FX effects. As highlighted in August, we continue to expect an EBIT margin somewhere in the lower half of the guidance range of 23% plus or minus 3 percentage points of sales.
Overall, our full-year guidance, both in terms of top-line development and profitability, would actually be a much better performance of Elmos than most of our closest peers. Investments in new machinery will be limited due to the lower growth, our successful OEE optimization, as well as the test time reductions we've been talking about for some time now. And we now expect CapEx in 2025 to be in the lower half of the guidance range of 7% plus or minus 2 percentage points of sales. Based on a solid cash performance in the first 9 months, we have increased our guidance for the adjusted free cash flow in the fiscal year 2025 from 7% to now 10%, plus or minus 2 percentage points of sales.
Let me summarize. Order intake continues to develop positively. There are clear signs that inventory reductions by our customers are coming to an end, and order volumes are returning to normal levels. Ladies and gentlemen, thanks to our innovative product portfolio and excellent positioning as a fabless company, we expect a strong final quarter and are also very confident about our growth opportunities in the coming year and beyond. We are continuing to work consistently on implementing our operational and strategic agenda for profitable growth and higher cash generation. We are convinced that this approach will continue to increase the valuation of our company and also create attractive opportunities for capital allocation.
Thank you very much. I'm now opening the floor for questions.
[Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from Johannes Ries, Apus Capital.
2. Question Answer
A couple of questions, like always. And in some regard, congratulations for a good job in difficult time. First one, the gold effect and the cost effect. Can you explain a little bit how important gold is in your total costs? And secondly, on the cost -- on the measures you have started, when they really -- we will see it in the figures? Will it already be in Q4? Will it start in Q1? And remind us, what was the impact of the cost reduction program you talked -- you expected or you are targeting?
Mr. Ries, thank you for your question. We have gold, and this is -- can be a low double-digit million euro effect. I mean, as we currently stand, we look at something around $4,000 per ounce. So this is really a high level. That's why there is quite a strong difference towards the levels we had seen before. I mean, at the beginning of the year, we were substantially lower, and same is true for last year. So gold has a significant effect. We are gradually shifting more and more products from gold to copper wiring. These are generally kind of legacy products that have been with us for quite a long time. That's why they still have gold.
All the modern IC developments, they are based on copper. Some customers also need to compensate for gold. But the gold price is a significant effect these days. And once we shifted these things to copper, which takes some time, but is underway, and we kind of plow our way through the portfolio, there's progress to be made.
On the general cost optimization program, this is also an effect, if I talk in terms of total EBIT to be gained, which is a low double-digit. million effect. We already see some of it in Q3. There's a little bit more to come also in the next quarters.
Maybe another question on the margins. You mentioned also a negative currency effect. How important was this effect? Maybe what is the impact of the weak dollar on your EBIT margin?
So generally, we make very good progress with our natural hedging strategy. However, when the currency changes, our dollar receivables, for instance, are valued differently. So you see one-time effect of currency changes. Kind of as a run rate, we make very good progress with natural hedging. I mean, basically, we buy a lot of wafers in U.S. dollar. We buy some machines in U.S. dollar, and then we have U.S. dollar revenue that stands against that. So you still have a receivables effect. We have an FX effect of minus EUR 8 million year-to-date.
However, if we would just stay at this level of dollar, this would -- this is a one-time. This would not reoccur. So I believe, generally, we have a good currency position, being pretty close to being naturally hedged. However, of course, every -- even if you're naturally hedged, every change in dollar has an impact on your balance sheet position. This is something you cannot hedge. And of course, it also has an impact on our revenue. We have -- we now show lower revenue than we would if the dollar would still be a little bit stronger. So keeping the EUR 580 million is a good achievement. It's about EUR 25 million that we just kind of breathe away, that's a negative currency effect, and we can still keep the EUR 580 million.
Another topic, working capital, you have this slight increase in the quarter, partly based on the SAP transformation. Should we expect that working capital will decline in Q4 and further on in the following quarters?
That is the trend that we also foresee. I mean it's always hard to comment on individual quarters. However, in Q4, I mean, you can imply that we plan significant revenues, which generally weighs a little bit on inventories. So I believe you're right in Q4. And then the general trend is, of course, that we think our inventory level is higher than exactly needed. So we will see that coming down in the next quarters and the next year, of course.
So if I look to this and that you achieved already in the first 9 months, free cash flow margin of 13%. The new guidance is even in some regard, not over aggressive.
No. Yes, Mr. Ries, you're right. It's not overaggressive. However, there's a next year that is also coming after 2025. And I believe we show that we make significant progress. Please, I mean, generally allow us some conservatism concerning free cash flow because after kind of 15 or 20 years, having an average below 1% of cash flow, you need to find your new -- and get comfortable in your new home. And the sheet tells you one thing, and we tend to believe that. However, building a track record is not only good for your expectations and your confidence. It's also good for management expectation and confidence that you see that you actually make it work. And I believe we, again, this quarter made very good progress, and we are very happy that the year 2025 is the first really good cash year. That is quite an achievement.
I'm 100% sure of your opinion because it was always a huge or maybe the most important negative point, especially for foreign investors that have no real free cash flow point [indiscernible], maybe finally, what are the real drivers of your business from your activities? What products are maybe showing the strongest growth? And my general question every quarter is, how was the development at the design win side?
Yes, design wins year-to-date are actually substantially above the year-to-date figure of last year. So it looks like it's going to be a very good design win year. If we don't screw it up in the last kind of what -- is it weeks or so. If we exclude Christmas, maybe only less weeks. So it looks very good. We are very confident. We have a new ultrasonic generation that's currently ramping. We have an airbag that's ramping mostly next year. We have motor products that are ramping nicely this year and continue into next year. China is developing really well on a kind of broad portfolio basis. Rail Light has great -- so this is not only one thing, but there are good developments in a lot of segments that kind of carry us in terms of growth for next year.
So you feel very well looking for next year, especially for your midterm ambitions?
Yes, we do not feel bad at all. We actually feel pretty well.
And the next question is from Malte Schaumann, Warburg Research.
First question is on the Q4 sales level. Did you already catch up with the delayed delivery? So what's the risk that eventually, at the end of the year, revenues might spill over into next year? Or do you have pretty solid visibility that you will be fully catching up with the delayed shipments due to the SAP transition?
Yes. I believe 50%, yes, 50% no. I mean it's -- operations happens day-to-day. So you can never be completely sure what happens the next day. But I think we are making good progress in getting rid of backlogs and delivering to everyone's expectations. Our plan is clearly to be around the EUR 580 million. And currently, there's no indication that that's impossible.
And in terms of gross margin, I mean, Q3 gross margin hasn't been too bad with the almost 44% after the weak -- rather weak margin we have seen in the second quarter. Typically, the year-end margins are even stronger or often the strongest margin in the year. So is that a trend you would also expect for this year? So would be very high volume in the fourth quarter? The gross margin should expand a little bit further in comparison to Q3?
Yes. I mean there's not kind of a real 200-page analysis I can now rely on. But generally, there are, of course, some scale effects. So a very good quarterly revenue typically always, if you do not have some other huge one-offs, this typically leads to a nice gross margin. So that would be the case of the coming Q4.
And then on the gold impact and mitigation effects, you indicated the magnitude of the potential impact for this year and what you are doing to mitigate that. Looking into next year, what do you expect? Can you share a number how much of the effect we are seeing this year might disappear because customer compensates for the use of gold or transferred to copper wire bonding? Is it 50-50 that you would expect maybe 50% to stay with you next year? Is it more? Is it less?
Well, I think on the pricing, it's hard to answer because negotiations are underway. The transitioning of products from gold to copper is easier to answer. There it's a few million that we will actually get in savings. But then this builds because more products are added. So next year, I would expect kind of a few million in savings already.
And then the year further out, maybe '27, probably you should have solved that issue.
You probably have right, then you're getting into solving it more. I mean there are actually 2 effects. One is that older products tend to decline while newer products ramp up. So we focus on the older products that have the longest life and the biggest volume in the switching from gold to copper. So we get out of these problems more and more, but it's not going to be all finished in 2026. If the gold price stays at the current level, of course, I mean, we've seen the gold price wildly fluctuating. I believe losing 10% or so from the peak. So let's see where we are next year. Honestly, I don't know.
Another question on pricing. Any comments you might already make regarding pricing environment going into '26, more or less the same we have seen in '25, or more material change what to expect?
I mean it's a little bit early to comment, but the general environment is not much different from what we've seen in the past. I mean, in the normal past, the non-allocation past.
And the next question is from Robert Sanders, Deutsche Bank.
Maybe a first question on China. I was just wondering when you thought that part of the world would be out of the worst of its kind of inventory correction that seems to be happening, particularly in electric cars. Also interested in just what you're seeing in terms of anti-American sentiment in China and how that might benefit you as well? And I have a follow-up.
Yes. For us, we see more kind of the value chain up to the car, which is kind of critical for us. As long as the car is produced, it's kind of pushing revenue. For us, we see that generally, inventories are really reduced. Some people are getting to inventory levels that are unhealthily low, so that any disruption whatsoever leads to a crisis mode, and then this mostly can be resolved. But still, it's unnecessarily low at some customers. So I believe going into 2026, there will not be anything, or if so, only very, very little of inventory topic be left, and maybe we even see a little restocking if some people learn from the past.
On the sentiment towards North America, I believe this is somehow mixed. There are some companies that are very much associated with the administration, and they may fare a little bit not so great. And there are some companies that got a huge China footprint and are kind of positive within the set of American companies. I mean, overall, I believe it's no surprise that as an American in China, you have certain -- you kind of have a carryover effect from your administration back home to your company. And while there may be kind of a ceasefire of a year or so, I believe everyone is aware that this is a dynamic situation and stays a dynamic situation. And I believe Europe is a lot more friendly towards China, a lot more reliable and some of our customers actually cherish that and kind of are positive on changing to a European supplier.
And on the Nexperia thing, one of the things I think surprised some investors was how much of their chips were packaged in China, I think 70%. I personally wasn't that surprised because a lot of the OSATs are in China. But are you feeling pressure from your Western customers to move your packaging out of China because of what Nexperia has illustrated, which is a very heavy dependency on China for packaging?
Yes. Well, we always have no package. I mean, there's very, very little, but you would need to find magnifying glasses to really get a good look of what we do in terms of OSAT use in China. We will rather for the China for China strategy, build OSAT use in China. So this is then on business that goes to our Chinese customers. And I believe they would love to see more China for China, and we are developing in that situation. Currently, we have too little China OSAT exposure to make our China for China work. So we will build for the Chinese business a little bit more Chinese OSAT exposure. I mean we have really next to nothing. So this is currently the situation we are in.
So in terms of the problem that there may be pacing in China, this is not a problem that we face.
And last question would just be on the Dortmund fab. Obviously, you've sold it now. You're probably on some kind of cost-plus wafer supply agreement or something with [indiscernible]. How quickly can you wiggle your way out of that and then move over to market pricing? I would assume market pricing today is lower than cost plus, but interested if there's when you can see that margin and capture that margin.
Well, we will use the fab. I mean, this is looking like a triangle, right? It goes down every year over 4 or 5 years, I believe, up to '29. Then we may produce a long tail. So certain small volume products, we may produce even longer, which is good for the customers. It's not that important in the overall scheme of things, but it's important for some customers. We have a very fair pricing arrangement with Littelfuse. So there is actually not that much potential in shifting things elsewhere. There may be a little effect, but our cost-plus arrangement is a very fair one for both sides. And some margin also the foundries want to make on their costs. So this is quite comparable.
At the moment, there are no further questions. [Operator Instructions] And we have one more question coming from [indiscernible].
Just one on the working capital. Obviously, the year is not over, so we don't really know how much of an improvement we will see in Q4. But I remember you put out this guidance that you want to be at around 25% net working capital to sales in 2027. So if we assume that '26 and '27 will be growth years, and we will obviously have sales probably more towards EUR 700 million than EUR 600 million. That would imply a number of maybe EUR 170 million, EUR 180 million of net working capital, which would actually be a decline to what I would expect for 2025. I mean is this really realistic that you can, in absolute terms, improve working capital in the next 2 years, even if the top line grows by, I don't know, what you were saying, 9%, 10%?
Yes, we do think so. I mean in Germany, you would say [Foreign Language]. So I mean, if you look at our peers, you can do better in working capital than we have been doing. There have been reasons why we have not been focusing on working capital so much. And these were good reasons. But now that we shift a little bit more towards cash and leaner operations, there's a lot of potential to reduce working capital more to the level of our peers.
There's nothing structurally different with Elmos than with our broader set of peers, and they achieve a 25% or even lower number.
This is Ralf Hoppe speaking, [ Mr. Muller ]. We're currently running around EUR 200 million of net working capital currently. And when you look at around 25% at EUR 700 million, the number you gave us is exactly right. That's around EUR 175 million of net working capital. So there is potential for reduction in absolute terms as well, but we have to do our homework, and we're doing it. And it's a bunch of activities we already started, and we will see the benefits in the coming quarters.
No, very happy to hear. And on the CapEx in the following years, I mean, given the investments you did in the last 3, 4 years, and you're now guiding for kind of a CapEx ratio closer to 5% in percentage of sales. Is this a number we should also use in the years to come? Or do you expect an upcoming CapEx cycle again?
Well, I believe for 2026 and most likely part of 2027, this is a very reasonable run rate. If we then -- also with growth, because we can use the CapEx we have for now. Then probably at some point in '27, we will switch to having to invest a little bit more. However, it should not return to the levels that we've seen in the past, but rather be well below 10%. We may give a more concrete guidance actually, at our next Capital Markets Day, I believe. Let's see. We are in the preparation. Let's put it that way.
And there are no further questions from the audience. So I hand back for closing remarks.
So ladies and gentlemen, this is the end of our Q3 conference call.
Thank you very much for your participation and your questions. I hope to meet many of you in the upcoming investment conferences in Germany and also quite some abroad. A detailed overview of our IR activities can actually be found in the financial calendar on our website. So thank you very much for your support and your interest in Elmos. Goodbye from Leverkusen. Take care and stay confident.
Elmos Semiconductor — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Financial data from Elmos Semiconductor
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 625 625 |
9%
9%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 351 351 |
6%
6%
56%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 273 273 |
13%
13%
44%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 79 79 |
39%
39%
13%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | 68 68 |
11%
11%
11%
|
|
| EBITDA | 177 177 |
11%
11%
28%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 42 42 |
17%
17%
7%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 135 135 |
18%
18%
22%
|
|
| Net Profit | 102 102 |
19%
19%
16%
|
|
In millions EUR.
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Elmos Semiconductor Stock News
Company Profile
Elmos Semiconductor AG engages in the development and manufacture of semiconductor based system solutions. It operates through the Semiconductor and Micromechanics segments. The Semiconductor segment offers solutions for the automotive, industrial, and consumer goods sectors with applications in household appliances, digital cameras, building technology, and machine control systems. The Micromechanics segment provides micro-mechanical technologies in bulk and thin film engineering used for the production of sensor elements and sensor systems. The company was founded by Guenter Zimmer and Klaus Weyer in 1984 and is headquartered in Dortmund, Germany.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | Germany |
| CEO | Dr. Schneider |
| Employees | 1,271 |
| Founded | 1984 |
| Website | www.elmos.com |


