Is Energean a Top Scorer Stock based on the Dividend, High-Growth-Investing or Leverman Strategy?
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = £1.35b | Revenue (TTM) = £1.26b
Market Cap = £1.35b | Estimated Revenue = £1.39b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = £3.92b | Revenue (TTM) = £1.26b
Enterprise Value = £3.92b | Forward Revenue = £1.39b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF compares a company’s enterprise value with its free cash flow. The metric therefore shows the multiple of current free cash flow at which a company is valued. EV/FCF ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted version.
🧮 How is it calculated?
EV/FCF ex SBC = Enterprise Value ÷ (Free Cash Flow (TTM) − SBC)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV/FCF provides a valuation based on free cash flow and therefore complements earnings-based valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and provides a more conservative view from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF means that enterprise value is low relative to current free cash flow. The reasons should always be considered in the context of the company and its industry.
- A high EV/FCF means that enterprise value is high relative to current free cash flow. This can, for example, reflect high growth expectations or temporarily weak cash generation.
- When SBC is positive and adjusted free cash flow remains positive, EV/FCF ex SBC is generally higher than the standard EV/FCF.
- The metric is particularly useful for companies with relatively stable and predictable cash flows.
- If free cash flow is negative or very low, EV/FCF has limited usefulness and should not be interpreted like a standard valuation multiple.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 SBC | in % Revenue
📈 What is it?
SBC (Stock-Based Compensation) refers to equity-based compensation granted by a company to its employees and executives. The percentage shows SBC relative to revenue.
🧮 How is it calculated?
SBC as % of Revenue = (SBC ÷ Revenue) × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Stock-based compensation is a real cost factor for shareholders. It can increase the number of shares outstanding and therefore dilute existing shareholders. The percentage of revenue shows how heavily a company relies on equity-based compensation and how significant this form of compensation is relative to the size of the business.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A lower figure is generally positive: Stock-based compensation is relatively small compared with the company's revenue.
- A high figure can indicate greater reliance on stock-based compensation and a higher potential risk of dilution. However, it is also important to consider whether the company offsets dilution through share buybacks.
- The trend over time should also be considered. A high but declining percentage presents a different picture from a persistently high or increasing percentage.
- A single-digit SBC-to-revenue ratio is not unusual among many growth-oriented and technology companies.
📘 SBC as % of FCF
📈 What is it?
SBC (Stock-Based Compensation) refers to equity-based compensation granted by a company to its employees and executives. The percentage shows SBC relative to free cash flow (FCF).
🧮 How is it calculated?
SBC as % of FCF = (SBC ÷ Free Cash Flow) × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Stock-based compensation is a real cost factor for shareholders. It can increase the number of shares outstanding and therefore dilute existing shareholders. The percentage of free cash flow shows how significant SBC is relative to the cash generated by the company. Since SBC is non-cash compensation, it is typically not deducted as a cash outflow when calculating FCF.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A lower value is generally favorable. Stock-based compensation is relatively small compared with the company's cash generation.
- A high value means that SBC represents a significant portion of the company's reported free cash flow, even though SBC itself is non-cash.
- The higher the value, the more significant SBC can be as an economic cost to shareholders, particularly when it results in share dilution.
📘 SBC Growth 1Y
📈 What is it?
SBC Growth 1Y shows how much a company's stock-based compensation has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
SBC Growth shows whether stock-based compensation is becoming more or less significant for shareholders. If SBC increases significantly, it can lead to greater shareholder dilution over time. At the same time, SBC is a non-cash expense that reduces earnings on the income statement but is added back in the cash flow statement.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high positive value is generally negative, as rising SBC can increase the burden on shareholders, particularly through potential dilution.
- What matters is whether the development of SBC is sustainable over the long term. Some level of SBC is common among many growth and technology companies.
📘 Share Count Growth 1Y
📈 What is it?
Share Count Growth 1Y shows how much the number of shares outstanding has increased or decreased over a one-year period.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The number of shares determines how many shares the company's earnings and assets are distributed across. If the share count decreases, existing shareholders' relative ownership increases. If it increases, existing shareholders are diluted. The metric therefore makes dilution and share buybacks directly visible.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A negative value is generally positive, as the number of shares outstanding is decreasing.
- A positive value indicates dilution of existing shareholders.
- A declining share count is not automatically positive: It also matters at what price the shares are repurchased and how the buybacks are financed.
📘 Shareholder Yield
📈 What is it?
Shareholder Yield measures how much capital a company returns to shareholders or uses to reduce debt relative to its market capitalization. It goes beyond dividend yield by also including share buybacks and debt reduction.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Dividend yield only tells part of the story. Companies can also return capital through share buybacks, while reducing debt can strengthen the balance sheet. Shareholder Yield combines all three components into one metric, giving investors a broader view of how a company uses its capital.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A higher Shareholder Yield generally indicates more capital being returned to shareholders or used to reduce debt.
- The mix matters: dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction can affect shareholders in different ways.
- Share buybacks are most beneficial when shares are repurchased at attractive valuations.
- Investors should also consider whether dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction are sustainable over time.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow shows how much cash remains after a company has covered its operating and capital expenditures. FCF ex SBC additionally deducts stock-based compensation (SBC) to adjust the cash flow for the effect of non-cash SBC.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow ex SBC = Operating Cash Flow − SBC − Capital Expenditures (CAPEX)
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s actual financial strength – independent of reported accounting earnings. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction. FCF ex SBC also deducts stock-based compensation and shows how much cash generation remains after SBC.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow indicates that a company has strong financial strength – independent of reported earnings.
- It is often a solid basis for sustainable dividends and share buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be a warning sign, even if reported earnings remain stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net Margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free Cash Flow Margin | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how much free cash flow a company generates relative to its revenue. In simplified terms, free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted metric.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC = (Free Cash Flow − SBC) ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how efficiently a company converts its revenue into free cash flow. Strong free cash flow can provide financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or further investments. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and therefore provides a more conservative view of cash generation from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high Free Cash Flow Margin shows that a company converts a high proportion of its revenue into free cash flow.
- This can provide greater financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or investments.
- The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for potential shareholder dilution from stock-based compensation.
- The long-term trend is particularly important. Declining margins can, for example, result from higher investments, changes in working capital, or weaker operating performance.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
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Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
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This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
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- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Energean Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
11 Analysts have issued a Energean forecast:
Analyst Opinions
11 Analysts have issued a Energean forecast:
Energean Events
Past Events
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SEP
9
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
about one month ago
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MAR
19
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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StocksGuide Free
Energean — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to the Energean Half Year 2026 Results Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand over to Energean's CEO, Mathaios Rigas. Please go ahead.
Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining our half year results call today. If we may start with the first slide of the presentation, please. So I would like to start with some introductory remarks. I will hand over to Panos to go through our financial results, and then I'll pick up again to go through our operations and business outlook.
First half was a very strong half for Energean. We're entering the second half of '26 from a position of real strength. Free cash flow is up 36%. Profits after tax up, net debt down and all while we're in the peak of our investment program of Katlan. The first half, obviously, we saw the shutdown due to the security issues in Israel, but that's behind us. We're already exceeding 180,000 barrels of oil equivalent production in August. All our operations are doing extremely well.
Israel, we're seeing strong gas demand. Oil production is up following the second oil train that we completed and all our business units are performing at or above expectations. Egypt that I will focus on a lot more today. We have a new investment program that I will outline later, and that is the next phase of our organic growth. Beyond that, we are focused on our exploration activities in Greece and the other parts of the portfolio and the inorganic opportunities that will form a core part of our growth strategy going forward.
So overall, a very strong first half with the second half being even stronger, leading us to the very positive results that we are announcing today. With that, let me hand over to Panos to take you through the numbers, and then I'll come back to go through the business. Thank you.
Thank you, Mathaios. Good morning, everyone. Moving to the next slide, please. And as per Mathaios's introduction, the company recorded a solid first half of the year despite the highly volatile geopolitical environment, our assets are located and the 41 days of shutdown of production in our largest producer. More specifically, our production was down 12% compared to last year, mainly driven by that shutdown in our Karish asset.
But our total top line was down by only 8% as the production impact was partially offset by the higher oil prices. You will see, however, the gas price in the first half were lower compared to the same period in 2025. But with the current strength of European gas prices, we expect 2026 gas revenues to catch up, if not surpass the equivalents of 2025.
Moving to the next slide and to our cost line analysis, we have managed to keep our cost base well under control and within budgets and guidance despite the high inflationary environment in all countries of operation. That resulted in a 6-month EBITDAX of just 5% off the 2025 results and combined with some favorable movements in FX with the strengthening of the dollar and lower taxation, we recorded a 45% increase to our profit after tax at $160 million.
Another important metric is the increased operating cash flow to over $0.5 billion, $550 million, driven by the reduction in EGPC receivables from $215 million in the start of the year down to only $75 million. We're now seeing an impressive normalization of EGPC receivables, and we are now more confident than ever on the strength of our assets in the country. As expected, CapEx has been at $350 million, well within our 2026 guidance and reflecting progress to our Katlan project with OpEx continues to be both deferred and managed in the most cost-effective way, recording only $4 million spent in the first half of the year.
Finally, another metric of free cash flow, which includes both cash flow from operations and cash flows from investing recorded an impressive number of over $350 million (sic) [ $250 million ] in the first half of the year, which is 35% higher than the same period last year. Next page, please.
Moving to Page 7. A little bit more details of our net cash flow performance for the period. Again, highlighting that this $88 million of net cash flow was delivered in a period that our largest producer was down for more than 40 days, the Katlan project in full capital-intensive mode and European gas prices relatively softer than the same period last year. But of course, the $0.5 billion of cash flow from operation gave us the chance to fully fund all our projects, interest and coupons and dividends as well as reduce our debt by almost $50 million.
Next page, 8, a very repetitive slide for those that follow us the last few years, but extremely important to explain our differentiated debt capital structure. As we're currently in a capital-intensive period with our Katlan project, we expect our leverage ratio to stay around the 2.5x to 3x range, but with a relatively long weighted average life of debt of our target being consistently more than 5, ideally more than 6 years and a competitive, given both the sector and the country risk, weighted cost of debt of circa 7%.
But what gives us the ability to have this favorable debt profile? Clearly, the ownership of more than $1 billion worth of floater, the only one fully operational in the Med, the 18-year reserve life, one of the longest compared with our peers and more than $20 billion contracted top line through long-term gas contracts in Israel and Egypt with floor price and take-or-pay provisions running well into the late 30s.
But I want to clarify something for the avoidance of any doubt and despite the obvious strength of our assets and contracts, our medium-term leverage target is not to stay at 3x, but it is to bring it down to 2x. And we expect that after the completion of the Katlan project, this is the target of our company.
Finally, Page 9. Our guidance for the full year 2026 shouldn't surprise anyone. If we can move to next slide, please. Thank you. Those figures shouldn't surprise anyone as we're still aiming for a production of more than 130,000 barrels a day. Our cost base to stay at around $300 million with $200 million of royalties and our G&A at the usual $35 million range that hasn't really changed the last few years. On development CapEx, we expect progress to Katlan to continue as planned. So we keep our guidance at around $800 million, $850 million mark, but we revised both our exploration and decommissioning expenditure where we do see scope for even further reductions by the end of 2026.
Finally, we keep our net debt guidance at around the $3.3 billion mark, where given our ongoing projects, we are at peak net debt expected to soften as we progress and as the Katlan start-up and the Katlan project is completed in the beginning of 2027. Thank you all. Mathaios, back to you.
Thank you, Panos, and thank you for a great financial performance this year and beyond. Let me go through our operations. Next slide, please. I will start with HSE, which has been, as always, a very key focus for us, a very solid performance of our teams despite multiple operations and something that makes me extremely proud is to see Energean an independent that is able to do offshore operations even in war zones, deepwater in parallel drilling with a deepwater drilling rig, heavy lift operations, bringing in second oil train modules, all with exceptional HSE statistics. That gives everyone confidence to continue and invest more in Israel and, of course, in the other countries of operation.
Next, please. Group production, as we said before, is peaking at the moment at 182,000 barrels a day. When we listed the company back in 2018, we had set a target that we would be at 200,000 barrel a day business when all our projects were on stream. We are pretty close with the exception of the projects that have not performed so far like Cassiopea in Italy, but we're very close to the goal that we had set. 182,000 barrels a day consisting mostly from gas from our operations in Israel and Egypt, but oil plays a very big role also in our operations and especially with the oil prices as today being $100 a barrel, that plays a major role in our cash flow and operations.
Our outlook for 2026 remains stable. We reiterate our guidance that we will be around the 130,000 to 140,000 barrels a day mark, giving us solid financial results, as Panos alluded to earlier. Next one, please. I will focus on the second oil train because I think this was a very important operation for us, and this was a key target that we had discussed in previous results and investor calls. We have increased our oil production capacity to 31,000 barrels of oil a day.
We have already tested the system to 25,000 barrels a day, and we are gradually opening the wells -- the oil-rich wells that we have in Karish to test as much oil as we can or produce as much oil as we can. 32% of Israel revenues comes from liquids. And this is something that investors need to be aware because obviously, our focus is gas. But as I said earlier, oil plays a major role, and we are benefiting from the higher oil prices today, and we've averaged $88.4 a barrel in Q2 in Israel because of the strength of the oil price.
And another important statistic is that we are by far the largest oil producer in Israel with Karish producing more than 3x the oil production of Leviathan and Tamar combined. And we believe that there is a lot more that we can do and a lot more we can produce, and our technical team is totally focused on unlocking the oil potential of our assets offshore in Israel. We are the only ones that have the infrastructure to produce it, both from our existing licenses, but also from new licenses that we're targeting from the upcoming bid rounds.
And the infrastructure that we have built, the second oil train is a great example, gives us the opportunity to unlock value even from smaller accumulations that could be around our infrastructure. Next, please. But it's not only oil. Of course, our focus remains gas. We have announced a new gas sales and purchase agreement with Sorek, another $1.4 billion of secured revenue that brings our total contracted revenue to $22 billion over the next 2 decades.
It demonstrates the strength of the gas demand in Israel, which we see increasing. We see an incremental 10 bcm gas demand growth over the next 2 decades in the country. And we feel very comfortable to continue selling gas to our Israeli buyers. Of course, we are developing the Nitzana pipeline to take advantage of export opportunities, but Israel remains a very strong market for us and a very key focus for our operations and gas sales.
It is important to note that we have now all major new power stations contracted with us. Sorek, Kesem and Dalia II are all expected to be online around the end of the next decade. And we are looking to do a lot more in a country that despite the geopolitical challenges, remains a fantastic place to do business. Next, please. How will we fuel the growth and the future? Our Katlan development, a major development that we started and is getting very close to completion, has seen all the major milestones complete.
We have completed 2 subsea campaigns. We have installed 2 modules on the FPSO already, 2 heavy lift operations, very complex in parallel with live gas production and drilling next to these operations. We have now completed the 2 development wells, Athena and Zeus. We are remaining to finish the subsea campaign in the second half of '26. And we're targeting first gas from Athena and Zeus in the first half of '27, as we have indicated before.
Project remains on budget and on schedule. But as you can see from the map on this slide, we are working gradually from east to west. We started with Karish, Karish North. We're moving now to Athena and Zeus. We have Apollo and Hera, and we still have the remaining gas accumulations of Tanin to be developed in the future to continue selling gas to the Israeli and domestic markets and the international markets of the region.
Beyond this gas that we have already discovered and is already either developed, producing or remains undeveloped, ready to be produced. If I go to the next slide, please. There is the next phase of growth for us in Israel. Israel has a new exploration bid round that has been announced. You can see on this slide, the zones that are being offered. We are very keen to get new acreage. We know the geology very well, and we have the benefit of owning the infrastructure that allows us to develop oil and gas accumulations that will exist next to our FPSO, next to our pipelines. And this is a key focus for us for 2026 and '27, obviously.
Israel is an election period, but it is continuing a long-term energy strategy of being energy independent and an exporter of gas and energy to the region and being 1 of 2 operators in the country, Chevron being the other one, we are very keen to expand our production and exploration potential in the country. We believe that there's a lot more to be discovered in Israel and a lot more to be developed. And in the previous bid round, we were effectively excluded from getting any licenses given our position in the country.
Now that most of our gas has been sold, we are back into a proper competitive environment, and we look to get more licenses and expand our business in Israel. Next, I want to focus on -- next slide, please. I want to focus on Egypt. Egypt, as Panos said, has given us the highest ever year of collections. Our net receivables are down to about $75 million, the lowest ever. And this is a strategy that the country has followed and a strategy that has increased the confidence of us and other investors to invest in Egypt.
We are focused on our existing assets. And if I can go to the next slide, please, which as of today, have reached an agreement to merge the 3 concessions. This is something we've talked about over the past year. Abu Qir, Northeast El Amriya and Northeast Idku are being merged into one concession. Terms have now been agreed with EGPC. We are improving fiscal terms and gas prices. And on the back of these improved fiscal terms and the improved collections, we are committing $150 million to a new investment program in Egypt, a program that unlocks development projects that allow us to be confident that production can be doubled from the existing areas.
But beyond that, we're adding exploration acreage from the deep horizon of Abu Qir that was not part of our concession until now, where we see 4 Tcf of exploration potential, probably more than 4 Tcf of exploration potential. And this is sitting right next or under our existing platforms and pipelines and infrastructure, so very low development cost and very fast time to market. Egypt is a core country for Energean, a country that we look to invest more in our existing concessions and in new opportunities that we are evaluating.
Next, please. Beyond Egypt, obviously, the big exploration target for 2027 is Block 2 in Greece. It's a very big prospect, 1,000 square kilometers. I repeat what I've said in previous presentations. Together with Exxon and HELLENiQ, but with Energean and as the operator, we are planning to drill the well. The rig has been contracted.
We are targeting to spud the well in the second quarter, early second quarter of 2027. We're waiting for Stena to give us the final timetable, but we are very confident that we will be drilling a very high-impact well, obviously, with the risks of a deepwater frontier exploration well, but with a massive potential that we see over 9 Tcf of prospective gas resource that could bring a substantial new area of operation for us and our partners.
Next, I will focus very briefly on the remaining business operations. Can I have the next slide, please? Italy, operated production remained stable, about 8,000 to 9,000 barrels a day. We are looking to optimize production and increase cash flow and profitability, taking advantage, obviously, of high oil and European gas prices. In Greece, we will be focusing just on the Epsilon development. Prinos is reaching the end of its life, but Epsilon remains a key focus for us, 27 million barrels of 2P reserves in an OECD country with fantastic fiscal terms remains a very nice project for us.
Croatia, the Irena project development is continuously progressing. First half expected -- sorry, first gas expected in H1 '27. And we're adding now an additional exploration well in Izabela 9, small but extremely profitable operation in Croatia. And U.K. decommissioning, Garrow and Kilmar platforms have been safely removed. I repeat and I remind everyone, we are -- we've become the operators of our decommissioning projects to control costs.
And we are carrying tax losses of over GBP 700 million, which obviously we would look to monetize and use in the business environment of the U.K. North Sea. Next slide, please. I will finish with a couple of slides of the next one, the outlook and M&A. And I know that many of you have possibly seen leaks that have been in the market. I will not comment on leaks. So I would preempt any question about things that may or may not happen. But I will outline what our strategy is.
We remain focused on our core areas, which is the Mediterranean and West Africa. These are the countries that we know, we understand, we know how to operate. And given our deepwater operating capabilities, which I consider to be unique for a company of our size. We are targeting assets that either majors consider noncore or too small for them, but are too big for the independents and countries that are looking for new investors, companies that have the technical and financial capability to work in the deepwaters of those core countries.
Our goal is very clear. We want to diversify production. We want to have 3 pillars of production: Israel, Egypt and one in West Africa, all of a similar or equal weighting. We want to build at least a new core hub in the near future and increase our cash flow, which allows us, obviously, to increase our returns to shareholders. We remain totally focused on strict capital allocation. We want leverage, as Panos said, to be reduced, although I have to comment on leverage that with $22 billion of secured revenue in Israel, I feel pretty good about the strength of the balance sheet and our ability to service all our debt obligations.
And that, I think, is very obvious from the support we get, both from the bond markets and our banks and other private credit markets. Finally, and can I have the last slide, please, wrapping it all up. 2026 is a very strong year despite the geopolitical challenges. Full year production of 130,000 to 140,000 barrels a day with August over 180,000 barrels a day gives us the momentum we want to get into the last quarter of this year and achieve all our stated objectives.
Egypt, this for me, is extremely important. The signing of the 3 concessions into one. The new investment program unlocks a significant potential to double our Egyptian production and target substantial gas upside in a country that needs gas desperately. There's gas imports today in Egypt, both from Israel and from LNG FSRUs. And the focus of the Egyptian government is to increase domestic production, and that remains our focus as well.
In Israel, our Katlan project remains on target. That will be a step change in our EBITDAX given that Katlan doesn't have any royalties as Karish and -- has also the export rights that allow us to target higher-priced gas molecules that we can sell either locally or internationally. Block 2, as I said earlier, remains a big, I would call it, dream for Greece, but also a key target for us given the strength of the relationship with Exxon and the size of the prize, this remains a very big focus for us for 2027.
Deleveraging, strengthening the balance sheet, increasing cash flow, allowing us to return money to shareholders and being one of the biggest ones that is a very strong message to everyone that we remain focused on returns to our shareholders and strength of our business going forward. Last but not least, we're targeting transformational M&A opportunities in our existing core countries and West Africa. And as everybody remembers, for those that have followed us from day 1 when we started with the Greek asset, then with the Edison acquisition, then with the Karish acquisition, we have built this business from what was a 1,000 barrel a day business in Greece to what is today 180,000 barrels a day business, a business that we listed at GBP 4 in 2018, trading at over GBP 8 today and returning substantial amounts of dividends to shareholders.
Energean is entering the next cycle of growth from a position of strength with a very strong core business, delivering on the business plan, as you heard from Panos with our numbers, which are very strong, giving us the base to go into our next phase of growth. With that, I want to thank everybody for participating and open the floor to questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Werner Riding with Peel Hunt.
2. Question Answer
I have a question on capital allocation as peak CapEx rolls off next year when you move into a stronger phase of cash generation, what balance sheet or free cash flow milestones would you need to see before your thoughts move back to higher shareholder returns, which you've talked about are important. And related to that, just based on what you see your expectations, can you both reduce debt and pay a higher dividend in 2027?
Let me -- Mathaios, let me take that. Look, of course, the situation as it stands today makes us cautiously optimistic that we will be able to do that. We have a very solid operating cash flow starting from the top line and keeping the costs down in all our operations, and that applies in all our assets from the smallest in Italy down to the biggest in Israel. So with a little bit help and the tailwind from the very strong commodity prices, we're confident we're going to get there.
As you may have seen, and I think in our presentation, we have made the point, we are chasing and looking for a couple of transformational M&A opportunities. Those will have to get into the mix. We do like nonrecourse asset-based leverage to do that. Again, staying within and not breaching that 3x leverage position we are today. But within the bigger frame of a wider business, we will need to reevaluate anything.
Our commitment to returns credible returns, repetitive returns through dividends to our shareholders stays intact. I cannot right now tell you the specific timing that we will be getting those returns back to what we had used as shareholders. But given the continued geopolitical volatility, the capital intensity of Katlan currently and of course, our lookout for big M&A transactions, I think it will be premature to give you a specific date.
What I want to give you factually is that our existing assets will start getting into a much more solid free cash flow position from Q2 next year when Katlan will be behind us. And ceteris paribus, effectively the same assets right now would be providing enough cash flows for us to consider increasing both dividends and reducing the leverage.
Our next question comes from David Round with Stifel.
Firstly, on the power station contract, I mean, good to see that come in. My understanding was that the security situation in Israel over the last couple of years had slowed down a number of these awards. So is this something we can read into? Is this a sign that things are returning to normal and we might see a few more of these?
The second question, please, interested in Israel again, just how you intend to balance production from Karish and Katlan next year, i.e., before Nitzana comes on stream. Just wondering, I guess, is there a way to balance or to benefit from the higher liquids at Karish and then the better terms at Katlan at the same time? And is that how you're thinking about it?
Thanks for the questions, David. I travel to Israel very often. I'm there pretty much every month. The security situation that you mentioned is or has been a challenge, but life in Israel continues. Economy grows. The strength of the economy, you can see it from the results and the shekel. The demand for electricity continues to grow. There is a lot of additional electricity demand coming from data centers. And Israel is effectively an energy island, not connected to any other country. So it needs its own energy supply.
So the answer to your question is I don't see any slowdown in award of licenses for power stations. I do see, in fact, the opposite. I do see new licenses being awarded. I do see new demand coming, as I mentioned earlier, the 10 bcm demand growth in Israel that we forecast or others forecast for us as well is there, driven primarily from electricity demand. At the same time, Egypt has incremental demand, 120 million people and growing with existing production in Egypt declining needs gas coming from Israel and from other sources.
So overall, I don't see any signs of slowdown of gas demand in the region. And we haven't even started talking about exports of gas to Europe through the LNG terminals of Egypt. So the demand is not the issue. It's the resource, and that's why I focused a lot today on the new bid round and unlocking new potential. How do we plan to manage production? We plan to maximize sales of gas and obviously, through proper management of the reservoirs optimize the recovery from our wells.
We don't want to be pulling wells too hard. We don't want to see water coming into our wells. We've seen other projects in the region in Egypt that pulled wells very hard and ended up with gas decline rates because of water influx. So reservoir management is a top priority. Diversification of number of wells producing the gas we need is extremely important. We have 4 today. We are adding 2 more. These are big wells. Our wells are doing 300 million scfs a day each. These are world-class wells. We will be managing the reservoirs.
Our priority, obviously, is to maximize cash flow and returns, but beyond that, we want to optimize reservoir management because with the wrong management of the reservoir, there's going to be no cash flow. So that is our top priority. How we continue to produce the FPSO at the maximum capacity, fill the shoulder months because that is the only weakness of the market there. We have the slow months of the spring and the fall where we don't have the same demand that we have in the summer.
In the summer, even if we had double the gas capacity in the FPSO, we could sell it to the region. So the constraint in the summer is the capacity of the FPSO and the target is to maximize sales in the slow months.
Our next question comes from Alice Winograd with Morgan Stanley.
Congratulations on results. First on the Egypt concession merger, there's a couple of things I was hoping you might be able to elaborate on, please. First, what do you expect can be the immediate improvement to the existing business in the region after this becomes effective? You alluded to better fiscal terms, higher gas price. So is there anything you can guide us on that?
And second, there is also a reference of potential to be unlocked there in terms of future growth and resources in the region. So how would you frame this underpins either growth or longevity for the Energean production more generally. So for instance, under what time line can this be unlocked? And will this support more near-term growth or longer-term potential, if I can put it like that?
And second, just on your comments about M&A. You apparently have continued interest in West Africa even after the Angola deal fell through. And I guess you alluded to this potentially having a similar weighting in the mix over time as there is for Israel and Egypt. So what is your view with regards to increasing commodity exposure, right, in the business because, of course, Israel and Egypt today have different dynamics there in terms of pricing.
Thank you, Alice. Great questions. Egypt terms, unfortunately, I can't give details of the gas prices which are substantially higher than the ones we have today. I remind you, we are selling all our gas to EGAS and EGPC, so it's all government contracts. Improved fiscal terms come from combining the cost pool of Abu Qir with NEA/NI, which means that we can offset the $250 million investment that was made in NEA/NI from our Abu Qir production, which is a very old and mature production. And that improves the level of the cost pool that we have to depreciate.
We will guide the market when we are ready and we're able to announce those terms. I have to make sure that everybody is clear. These are terms that have been agreed, but they remain subject to the approval by the Egyptian parliament, and that should take a couple of months until they become effective from, I hope, 1st of January 2027.
The time line and what it unlocks. First of all, it extends the life of Abu Qir, which otherwise would be ending its life around the beginning of the next decade. And that gives us more reserves because we have a longer tail from Abu Qir. We stated that we are targeting to double production from Abu Qir, and this is from very well-defined targets that the team has identified, which are either sidetracks from existing wells or new wells, which would be classified as exploration wells, but with a very high probability of success next to infrastructure.
So very easy to monetize. The investment program of $150 million, to answer your question, is committed over the next 5 years, and that's the horizon where we see gradually the production increasing. But the big prize is not just the production increase. The big prize is the exploration potential. It's a deep horizon of Abu Qir, where I mentioned earlier, we see more than 3 Tcf of potential. We will be shooting new seismic and we will be planning to drill a well.
That is more risky, obviously, we will be looking for partners there and that would give the equivalent of another Karish if it comes in. I remind you, Karish and Tanin was 3.5 Tcf. So we're talking about another Israel potentially sitting under our existing infrastructure without the need to invest billions of dollars to unlock it. So big focus on the exploration and Egypt upside. Abu Qir will increase its production. But if we are looking for the transformational organic growth opportunities, this potential sitting next to infrastructure is a very big focus for us going forward.
The M&A in West Africa, which was your last question, obviously, yes, you're right, the Angola deal fell through. I think that this is a sign of the times where with the high commodity prices, we do see a lot more local players wanting to play a role. But deepwater is not an easy place to operate. You need to know what you're doing, you need to have capabilities. You need to have the ability to finance because these projects are requiring a lot of money and a lot of technical capabilities.
So the mistake that should be avoided by the West African countries, in my view, is to end with operators that don't have the capabilities to drill wells or fund new developments because then they will end up with stranded gas and oil and a dream to produce more. So deepwater operating capabilities and funding capabilities are extremely important, and that's what we bring to the table.
So we do see opportunities in West Africa. We do see opportunities from producing assets. We do see opportunities also from discovered undeveloped resources, which is, if you want, our specialty. This is exactly what we did in Israel. So if you take the Israel model, where we took over in 2016, Karish. Karish was -- Karish and Tanin 3.5 Tcf undeveloped. Nobody was -- very few people were interested because it was too small for the majors, but it was too big for the independents.
Similar models we are chasing in West Africa. And we do see a lot of opportunities there with obviously the challenges of each country that we need to navigate. But on this, I think if we are able to navigate production development, drilling, deepwater complex operations in the middle of a war zone, I think we're pretty well positioned to navigate the complexities of the West African country.
Our next question comes from James Carmichael with Berenberg.
Just a couple of quick ones. I think you answered some of this when speaking today. But I guess I was just looking at the read-through sort of gas price in the Sorek agreement, and it looks a little bit higher than maybe we would have expected based on the previous sort of average value. Just wondering if there's anything fundamental that's sort of changed in the Israeli market since you last signed a contract and how you expect pricing to evolve?
I guess you sort of touched on the higher demand outlook. And then just looking at the 2028 notes refinancing, just wondering whether the expectation should be roll that through with conventional bonds or if there are any other structures that you're thinking about bringing on to the balance sheet.
I'll take the gas price, Panos will answer the refinancing. Gas price in Israel is gradually increasing. Obviously, not as much as in Europe. And the benefit that Israel has is that through the long-term contracts that we brought to the market, there's a lot of stability in the energy prices. There's no energy price inflation. They don't suffer from the peaks of gas prices that we see in Europe or in the U.S. or other places. And that allows the economy to be strong and resilient.
We have a very different model when we agree to sign long-term contracts. Obviously, we lock ourselves into nearly fixed price contracts, but that gives us the stability of cash flow that I mentioned earlier, the $22 billion of secured revenue that allow us to have a solid base business. We do see prices ticking higher. But obviously, this is linked to inflation. This is linked to the general environment in the competitive environment in Israel. But I don't see prices shooting up through the roof because of the nature of those contracts.
But we do see higher prices. And the target in the next phase of contracts is to bring our contract prices closer to the export markets that everybody else is enjoying given that our next phase of production does not have the export limits that we talked about earlier and allow us to get even higher gas prices. But for us, this is a long-term game. This is not a spot take advantage of gas prices today. Prices will go up, will go down. We are long-term focused, and I'll let Panos talk about the refinancing of the bonds.
Yes. Thank you, Mathaios. Look, on the refinance, this is now getting into our radars. We have never ambushed or surprised when it comes to our debt management. So now we're getting to that 18-month mark. Our bondholders and our banks, we're talking to them on a regular basis. We don't want to effectively ambush anyone with what we do with our debt profile. There is a make-whole in those notes that is dropping a lot from the start of 2027. We have a lot of options. The secondary -- the current bonds in the secondary market are trading very well despite the volatility in the market.
We have a good presence to the bond markets, both for the Israeli bonds and the PLC bonds. So we don't expect any drama and we don't expect any excitement around that for us is a regular tapping of the markets. We will explore other avenues if those are more cost competitive. I think that will benefit everyone, even the existing bondholders if there is another route. But yes, this is key for us, and we expect anywhere between the next 3 to 6 months, those bonds to be refinanced again with a usual type of 7- to 10-year tenure, pushing that out to the late 2030s.
We do have the capacity, the new gas contracts that carry the same provisions, the same protections allow us to continue printing long-term debt that fits our assets and, of course, our balance sheet profile.
Our next question comes from Mark Wilson from Jefferies. [Operator Instructions]
Excellent results, considering everything is going on, very impressive. My first question was going to be on Israel pricing, but you've answered that. And so let me just end with regarding M&A opportunities and the manner of execution of them. It does seem to me that the big one big change in the sector in the past 1, maybe 2 years is the availability of credit for such opportunities. And just a few years ago, for example, reserve-based lending facilities almost disappeared from the market.
So I just wonder if you could expand on your commentary regarding that side of things for some of these opportunities that may be available out there, some of which are obviously quite large size.
If I heard you correctly because the line wasn't clear. But if the question was about funding sources, about those type of M&A opportunities, yes, you're right. The market and the debt capital markets and the credit capacity seems to be pretty enhanced and favorable currently. Of course, all the projects that we are looking have this similar long-term profile that we have and we like and we prefer to manage. Currently, we will focus mostly on nonrecourse debt and try to max this out when it comes to specific target. That is always a priority.
And then we will see if and at what cost we can fund the rest. The current environment is not only the credit availability, but it provides a very positive cash flow for any asset you agree to buy. That means the current price environment allows for a nice positive carry in whatever M&A transaction you do. So it seems that whatever price you assume as a lock box date of X by the time you close, if -- especially if it is a producing asset, ultimately, the final money that you need to pay is less than the headline price.
So the combination of those makes us pretty confident that we will not ambush anyone, meaning specifically the shareholders with any surprise tap, but -- and that's the priority. And the other metric that we will always comply with is that we will not disturb the current leverage position of the company as well as the medium targets when it comes to dropping that leverage.
So we will definitely not do something to increase the current leverage ratios even at the group level. And it won't disturb the medium-term targets to reduce that to the 2x we explained. But yes, the credit availability is good. That makes M&A more executable. And most importantly, the current price environment allows us to factor in a better closing price to the one -- to the headline one agreed.
Our next question is a written question from Thomas Streeter with Straits Research. With oil and gas supply uncertainty from the Middle East, are you seeing more exploration and development activity in the Greater Mediterranean region? If so, is this impacting pricing for equipment and service providers for Energean?
The straight answer is no. What we do see is increased level of activity in the Mediterranean. And indeed, we are drilling a well in Greece. There is developments being discussed in Cyprus. We have our big projects in Israel. Egypt has increased demand. But the prices that we see from service providers, and I'm talking about drilling rigs, heavy lift vessels and related service and equipment is more related to the global demand for oil and gas services. And that is what is affecting the availability of drilling rigs and the pricing.
The pricing that we've seen for the drilling rig in Greece coming up in 2027 is similar to what we saw last year. So we haven't seen a substantial or a material increase in the levels of activity. These are deepwater projects and not everybody can go and drill deepwater wells in 2,000 meters of water depth. So the projects are in the hands of very few companies, the majors and us. We are the only ones that have drilled wells in Israel in the last, I think, 5 years now.
So there isn't that much activity to drive prices, specifically in the Mediterranean. The global situation is a different story, but not because of activity in the Mediterranean.
And a follow-up from Thomas Streeter with Straits Research. As you see it, what is driving the long-term electricity growth in Israel? The country is a technology hub. Are we seeing data centers construction there as part of the electricity demand growth? Does this impact your marketing strategy in any way? Or are you limited to selling gas into Israel's grid?
Yes, the demand is increasing primarily because of the growth of the economy, because of what is happening in the tech sector and because of the new drive for demand centers in country, which, of course, Israel wants data centers to be stationed in Israel also for security reasons. So the combination of all 3, and if you add on top of that, the lack of wind because Israel is a country that doesn't have wind. So there's very limited renewable potential from wind.
Solar is increasing, but that cannot be a replacement for the gas. It does -- we do see incremental -- in the mix, we see incremental electricity supply from solar, but that's it. So does it change our marketing strategy? As I said earlier, we have been selling to Israel, and we are very confident and happy to continue selling to Israeli buyers as long as the prices that we see in the next phase of our contracts are in line with the regional gas prices that we see in Egypt and elsewhere.
So we want to sell gas to the best buyers. We don't discriminate against buyers. We don't want to be taking unnecessary credit risk. So credit quality is very important. We like to be paid on time, and we like to know our customers. And this is something that is very comfortable for us in Israel.
So the next phase of our marketing is to cover the Israeli needs because obviously, that remains a priority, but also take advantage of the regional higher gas prices that we see in Egypt and potentially also from the Southeast European market.
And a final written question from Rohan Vohra from Aegon AM. How are you structuring the Egypt concession merger to avoid the repeat buildup of receivables? And will the new arrangement include any payment security mechanisms? Can you confirm the current drilling status of the Athena and Zeus wells? And what are the key milestones between now and first gas in H1 2027?
There's no security if the question is about a potential LC or something like that. It is the confidence in the Egyptian market. We are -- we've been operating in Egypt for over 15 years. We've seen all the cycles. Cycles go up and down, and you have to be confident and you have to be supportive of the country that you do business regardless of the challenges. This is our DNA. We are committed to Israel. We're committed to Egypt. We are committed to Greece. We are committed to the core countries that give us the opportunity to develop our assets.
And even in the tough times, even when receivables were at peaks, we always stayed committed to Egypt and in good faith, negotiated with the government and EGPC and EGAS ways to mitigate the challenges. So I don't have a magic solution, but I have a lot of confidence, especially in the new administration, the new minister and the policy of the President to maintain this record of no overdues to the industry.
This is not just an Energean phenomenon. This is also -- this is covering the rest of the market. So we remain confident without any specific safety mechanism. Could you repeat the second question, please?
Yes. Can you confirm the current drilling status of the Athena and Zeus wells? Yes, and what are the key milestones between now and first gas?
Thank you. Zeus and Athena have been completed. And in the next, I would say, days, if not weeks, the rig will be released. So everything has gone according to plan, and the wells will be hooked up with the remaining production platforms -- production facilities. There are obviously more milestones. We have other units that will allow us to continue the project. Nothing related to the subsurface. It's all facilities and equipment that are being developed in various parts of the world by Technip, our major contractor.
As I said earlier, first half 2027, we will see gas flowing from Athena and Zeus, and then we will move to the other wells in the next phase of development of Katlan. I can give a lot of technical details or I can have a separate call, but I don't think anybody is interested in specific details of the technical session of Katlan, but happy to take the question offline in more details.
Thank you. That is all the questions that we have for now. This concludes today's call. Thank you, everyone, for joining. You may now disconnect.
Energean — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Energean's Full Year 2025 Results Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand over to Energean's CEO, Mathaios Rigas. Please go ahead.
Good morning, and thank you all for joining us for our full year results call. I want to begin, as I always do, by acknowledging the context in which this call is being taking place and the situation that is evolving around us. The broader Middle East conflict and the regional escalation that we're watching is obviously very serious. And the first thing that I want to say is that our thoughts are with the people of the region, our colleagues, our partners and all the communities where we operate. Safety remains and will always remain the first priority for Energean.
Against this, I want to be clear today about 3 things before we get into the numbers and before we get into the results, which is the main purpose of the presentation. I will talk about where we stand operationally. I will talk about how financially resilient we are and why the long-term case of Energean remains intact in my view. As you all know, when this war started about 20 days ago, we were instructed by the Ministry of Energy and Infrastructure of Israel to suspend production and all the activities of the Energean Power FPSO until further notice. And we acted immediately as we all do. And as I said earlier, the safety of our people is our highest priority, and we fully supported the decision of the Ministry because that is keeping everybody safe.
For those of you that have followed us and know our story from last year, you know that we've been there before. So we're managing a situation that we've managed before. In June of last year, as you remember, the Ministry ordered us to shut down and 12 days later, they gave us the green light to restart. It took us 24 to 48 hours to get back up to full production and ended up the year at the higher end of our 2025 guidance. Our operational team, the people that run the FPSO, run onshore and offshore operations are in the best position to restart our production and get us back online as soon as we get the green light. We've done it before. We know how to do it, and we are standing by ready to restart as soon as we get back the green light to restart.
The one thing I can't tell you because I will not speculate about how long this is going to take is that we're in constant communication with both the Ministry of Defense and the Ministry of Energy, and we are all aligned about the importance of restarting this operation, and we will restart very soon is my expectation.
The second point is the obvious question, how is this affecting us as a business and how resilient we are. Let me be very specific. I'll give you a very simple number that frames the discussion. Our monthly running costs in Israel are $10 million. That's the cost of operating the FPSO, our people, our staff. And of course, on top of that, we have the financial costs. But we are sitting on more than $300 million of liquidity. All our debt service reserve accounts are filled. And most importantly, our finance team did a phenomenal job to refinance all our debt facilities, so we have no debt maturities ahead of us. So there's no financial pressure. Of course, it hurts not to produce from Israel. But in the bigger scheme of things and with oil and gas in the ground, we will produce this oil and gas as soon as we get the green light.
Panos will obviously give you the details, but beyond Israel, all other production facilities in Egypt, in Italy, Greece, which is back online at the moment. We are benefiting from the higher commodity prices, and that is strengthening significantly the cash flow of what I call the international business outside of Israel. Another obvious question that people are asking us and are worried about is what's happening with our contracts and our buyers. I refer to the exact same situation that we went through before. We were in a situation like this last year and force majeure applies. We have no take-or-pay provisions, and our buyers are serving the market with alternative sources. And as soon as we get online, we will start selling gas to them without any financial burden.
Next important point and question that people are asking is what is happening with our growth and our projects. We find ourselves in a very fortunate situation that Katlan, our major investment is that all the key activities are happening outside of Israel for the time being. So we see no impact so far on the schedule. We remain confident that Katlan will be on stream in the first half of '27. Again, the caveat that this conflict ends in the near future, and we will be able to get back on track to drill the wells that we planned in May, bring the construction vessels in May and keep the project going. If I can have the first slide, please.
Now despite the challenges that we faced in 2025, we maintained group production at 154,000 barrels a day, which is the upper end of our guidance. We were able to recover from the shutdown we had last year and get back up to an average of 154,000. Our EBITDAX of $1.1 billion, our operating cash flow of similar levels and the strength of our contracts, I remind everyone, we have $20 billion worth of gas contracts signed for the next 15 years, gives us a very strong base to work from and be confident about the resilience of this business for the future. I mentioned earlier about our balance sheet. Panos will give you more details. But I repeat, no pressure at the moment from any front on Energean. So we're very confident that as soon as this is over, we go back into normal operations.
Last, before we turn the floor to Panos to go to take you through the numbers, I want to talk about our investment thesis and growth because that is a key focus for us for the year to come. Two very important points. One -- or three very important points. One, in our existing business in Egypt, we are working very closely with the government to complete the merger of the three concessions that will allow us to invest more in the country. We believe in Egypt. We believe it's a great place to produce oil and gas. The country needs every drop of oil and gas it can produce, and we have an excellent relationship with the government that is making every effort they can to support us on all fronts, and we'll go into details later.
Two, in Greece, we are -- we completed in March, the farmout of the Exxon -- to Exxon of our wells in Block 2, and this is a fantastic prospect. It's an exploration well that we will drill in February of '27 that has great prospectivity and very limited financial impact on us in a no success case. And last but not least, and I'll close with this. We are continuing to grow. We said we will go to West Africa, and we delivered on what we said as we always do. You all know we signed a deal to buy Block 14, the operated position of Chevron in Angola, our first project in West Africa. We needed and we said we would diversify and add a third production leg for our business, and we did it. We're working now to get to closing. It's a great asset that allows us to start from a very nice base in Angola, our expansion in West Africa. So overall, as I said in the beginning, I feel that we are in the best position to manage this crisis. We've done it before. We know how to manage a crisis like this. The team -- the operating team is in a great position to shut down, but most importantly, to restart as soon as possible. We are financially strong, and we're totally focused on growth and managing all our balance sheet and liabilities in the future. So I remain confident and optimistic, obviously, in a very challenging situation, but this is what this management is built to do, manage challenges and continue the growth of the business as we've always done.
With this, let me hand over to Panos to take us through the results of 2025.
Thank you, Mathaios. Good morning from me as well. Moving to Slide 5, please. 2025 was a mixed year with a challenging first 6 months until June when our Karish field was shut in for a few weeks, but followed by a record second half of the year when the company recorded average production of more than 170,000 barrels a day, with August being a record month with 180,000 barrels a day. As a result, the total production came in just a bit higher of 2024 at 51.5 million barrels of oil equivalent, with higher gas production offsetting the lower oil production, which was affected by the Rospo oil field in Italy, shutdown. Total revenue came in flat compared to 2024, just below $1.8 billion with higher gas production and prices achieved as well as insurance proceeds we had linked to the Rospo oil incident, offsetting the lower oil production and prices compared to 2024.
Moving to Slide 6. I would like to highlight a couple more KPIs that we always record and guide. Cash cost of production and G&A flat, which is actually, I have to say, a modest reduction if adjusted for the weakness of the dollar versus our sterling, euro and shekel OpEx in 2025. Adjusted EBITDAX came in just below 2024 figure at $1.117 billion. The final P&L result, however, as flagged in our January trading update, came in at $250 million loss, effectively being the impact of our Cassiopea gas field impairment, which including the annual depreciation on the field plus the adjustment of the deferred tax asset had an impact of circa $550 million. So if adjusted with that, the profitability of the business would have been almost double than last year.
CapEx, development CapEx specifically came in 20% lower than 2024, but still pretty high, and we want it to be high because that means that the Katlan project is going as planned. And our OpEx came in at $60 million at the lower end of the guidance, reflecting better performance of decommissioning costs and the ability of the teams, respective teams to keep on deferring decommissioning.
Moving to Slide 7, please. A familiar slide for people that follow our presentations, but always an important one to highlight the commercial structure of our revenues, where the long-term gas contracts in Israel and Egypt have a hard floor price mechanism, protecting our base revenues and profitability when oil and gas prices are low but then are complemented by circa 20% of our total production being priced off Brent and PSV, representing 40% of our revenue stream in 2024 and 30% in 2025. We expect if prices remain as they are now during the 2026, and I'm not talking about $110 barrels. We have adjusted our profiles at around $80 to $85 for the full year. We do expect these open market barrels of our total production to make more than 50% of the total revenue of the year.
Slide 8, please. So in a very challenging and volatile environment, as Mathaios mentioned, for our sector and especially in the region we operate, our capital structure provides us enough flexibility and time to manage both our liquidity and capital allocation at the most optimal way. On the back of our 18-year reserve life and more than $20 billion of gas contracts expanding well into the late 2030s, we have a weighted average maturity of other loans of around 6 years and a weighted average cost of debt of 7%. But most importantly, no debt maturity until 2028. Our net debt position for the year came in $50 million higher than guided at $3.25 billion but that was the result of effectively a slower recoverability of our EGPC receivables in the year versus what we were expecting. However, I have to flag here that the progress has been very good since January, and we are getting those receivables down. And of course, our euro and shekel-denominated credit lines and notes that given the dollar weakness, we had an impact of around $40 million linked to that effect. But I have to flag this is unrealized since maturity have not happened yet.
Closing with next slide, Slide 9, please. The guidance for the year, where we will need to spend our guidance for Israeli linked figures. The rest of the numbers are pretty much in line with what we had guided earlier in the year in January with the rest of the portfolio of the company still guided at mid-30s, 32,000 to 36,000 barrels a day. Our OpEx, we expect it to stay at around the $190 million or the $200 million mark for the rest of the portfolio. Our cash G&A, as you have seen years now, we are pretty much consistent around the $35 million mark. On the capital expenditure, we don't expect investment to go more than $100 million and our decommissioning to continue as always guided at around $60 million per annum and a very light exploration expenditure, especially given that we are carried to the big wells that Mathaios mentioned. Our net debt, again, this is a very provisional number at around $3.2 billion to $3.3 billion as guided initially. This is a very odd position to be as a CFO, not provide guidance on some figures. Obviously, we have run a number of sensitivities, and I would like to share those let's call it, a soft guidance to our investors and analysts.
So roughly for each month of starting production, you can assume roughly 10,000 -- 9,000 to 10,000 barrels a day reduction in the initial guidance. The OpEx line for the time being, you should consider to be similar because we're keeping the facilities ready to turn on within 24 to 48 hours, reflecting what Mathaios said that our expectation is that this is a short-term event. And the same applies to the Katlan CapEx. For the time being, all projects are on time and they haven't been affected. Of course, we do have the flexibility to postpone that, and we're keeping a close eye. Technical operations and HSE, of course, have the first -- they will need to advise us on that. But for the time being, we are on track on all our projects.
Mathaios, back to you.
Thank you. Let's move to the next slide, please. Very quickly, a high-level comment on HSE, which is extremely important and even more important these days. All our ratios and all our KPIs have improved in '25. Even our emissions came down by 11%. I know this is not the priority clearly when we have a war going on, but we remain committed to our sustainability, the sustainability of this business.
Next one, please. Production shows -- I think this slide shows the resilience of our production, 154,000 barrels of average production in '25, a very strong start of the year with 155,000 and it was going to get higher. Third and fourth quarter, strongest ever, third and fourth quarter production in 2025, reflecting the strong operational performance of the FPSO and all the other assets, but also the better understanding of the market and stronger sales in the shoulder months to fill in the gaps of the lower demand months in Israel.
Next one, please. This is, for me, probably one of the most important slides, and I'm talking about reserves because this is what this business is about. We're sitting on 1 billion barrels of 2P reserves across all our fields and 18-year reserve life, which is obviously matched with the gas contracts we have in Israel. On top of that, close to 200 million barrels of 2C resources that we're working with our technical team and our commercial teams to convert to 2P. And most importantly, in this existing portfolio, close to 2.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent of STOIIP or gas in place of prospective resources that we are targeting to move through the drill bit into 2C and 2P. So this is a great portfolio to be handling.
And a lot of people ask me if I'm happy that we have kept the portfolio following the Carlisle fallout. And the answer is absolutely yes because there is huge upside in our existing business, regardless of M&A, regardless of any new transactions. We have gas to discover in Egypt under our platforms, gas to discover in Greece with Block 2, more gas to discover in our existing other assets in Israel, oil to be produced and discovered or developed in Italy. So it's a portfolio full of opportunities without the need for any additional M&A, and all of them are next to existing infrastructure. And that's what makes it a very exciting portfolio to be managing. Next, please.
A bit of a deeper dive in Israel. I will not repeat what I said before on the highlights. But in 2025, we added another $4 billion of new long-term gas contracts, getting our total to over $20 billion of contracted revenue. Katlan is, as we mentioned earlier, on track. I repeat that all the works at the moment are being done outside of Israel. May is the critical month for our operations. But as Panos said, we have the flexibility to push things back, and this is the benefit of being an operator. I remind everyone that we are in this unique situation of being an independent with a deepwater operating capability. That's what we intend to continue to do because that gives us total control over our projects, over how we want to spend our CapEx, how we deal with our contractors and how we manage financial liabilities on our balance sheet. And this has been our strategy from day 1. This is what we did in Angola. I'll come to Angola in a minute. But this is what gives us the control of our destiny in our life. Next, please.
Egypt is a country that, as I said earlier, I really like and I really trust despite the challenges, and there are challenges there that are increasing because of the energy crisis that we're going through at the moment. But the relationship with the government is excellent. We're working very closely with EGAS, EGPC, the Ministry and all our stakeholders there to complete the merger of the 3 concessions. This unlocks significant value, and this reduces our G&A and admin costs, giving us the opportunity to invest more. We see a lot of potential sitting under the Abu Qir platform, and this is probably the fastest gas to market that Egypt can get in a period where Egypt needs a lot of gas, as you can imagine, especially with what's going on with the LNG bases around the world. Beyond Abu Qir, which has showed a very stable production and continues to produce above expectations.
We have the other project that we will ask -- go to the next slide, please. Ebn, we're drilling our first wells in 2026, a partnership with INA from Croatia. Wells will be drilled. We are targeting close to 270 million barrels of STOIIP volumes onshore, low-cost wells, very fast to develop, a very great -- a very nice project to add to our Egyptian team's production in 2026. Obviously exploration, obviously with the risks of exploration, but one that if it works, it can turn into cash flow very quickly.
Next, please. By group, Italy, Greece, Croatia and the U.K., I still consider the U.K., Europe. A production base of 12,000 barrels a day from all the assets, obviously benefiting from the higher commodity prices today, strong cash flow. The Irena project in Croatia is expected to come on stream first half of '27 that will produce gas in Europe. And with the gas prices we're seeing today, this is a fantastic opportunity to invest, not a huge one like Karish, obviously, but a very nice addition to our European production.
The big one, of course, that we're expecting, and this is one that we're looking forward to, next slide, please, is Block 2 in Greece, where we have formed a very strong alliance with Exxon that farmed into our well, took a 60% working interest. Energean remains the operator, and we're very proud that Exxon trusts Energean to be the operator of this exploration well, which is a testament to our operating capabilities in the deepwaters of the East Mediterranean. We will drill the well in early '27. As Panos said, it's a well that will be carried, and we have already received all our past costs, targeting close to 10 Tcf of gas in the middle of 2 countries that need a lot of gas, both Italy and Greece and especially with what's going on now, these are even more important projects. We got the approvals from the Greek government in record time. In November, we signed the deal. Deal that was witnessed by Secretary Wright and Secretary Burgam of the United States, showing the support that this project has from the U.S. administration.
Next, please. And I will close with the new area, the strategic entry offshore Angola. In Block 14, we signed an agreement with Chevron to take over the 31% operated position they had in the block, a block that has today about 28 million barrels is producing net working interest, 13,000 barrels for the percentage that we're buying. Cash flowing close to $90 million. These are all based on old prices, obviously. And most importantly, it gives us the strong base to create and start our expansion into Africa, diversifying from the Med and getting a new a new area of operation that we believe has huge potential because we start always with the rocks. We start with the subsurface. We believe there is a lot of upside in the PKBB project in Angola in Block 14. We will be working on that.
And this is in line with our strategy that I've outlined many times, which is to go after projects that are immaterial or below the radar screen of the majors, look for opportunities to cut costs, look for opportunities to develop assets next to existing infrastructure. This is exactly what we did in Israel. We took over Karish, developed it and started to add assets next to it like Katlan and later Tanin. This is exactly what we did with Egypt. We took over Abu Qir and then added NEA/NI with a subsea tieback to increase and stabilize production. This is exactly what we will do in Angola. So we have the unique position of being a deepwater operator, independent with deepwater operating capabilities, targeting projects that are below the radar screen of the majors. It's very complementary for the country. It's very complementary for our relationships with the majors like Chevron and Exxon in Greece. And I believe that this gives us a great base to add more into our portfolio going forward in West Africa.
Next one, I will hand back to Panos because this is a deal that has been led by him and the M&A team to walk you through next steps and what we plan to do with the asset.
All right. Thank you, Mathaios. On Block 14, the transaction highlights are $260 million base consideration with a lockbox date of 1st January 2026. Transaction is subject to the usual government regulatory approval and waiver of the preemption rights. The target closing is within 2026. We hope that we will be able to achieve that as soon as possible. And fundraise, the funding of this transaction expected to be a combination of the nonrecourse reserve-based loan and the available group liquidity.
As Mathaios said, we are very excited about the potential of both our new country entry and specifically Block 14 as in addition to the roughly 30 million barrels we're acquiring an asset that is currently doing around 13,000 barrels a day. The $120 million of EBITDAX for 2025 at an average oil price of just above $60 and around $90 million of operating cash flow. We have the PKBB development, near infrastructure development where we would like or we're aiming to start subject, of course, to the approval and alignment with our new partners, a 5-well initial development where we can see a 6,000 barrels a day additional production and further material upside.
The whole area of that PKBB area is around 30 million barrels of 2P reserves with 1 well drilled so far and producing 72 million barrels of 2C resources and 600 million barrels of gross STOIIP. So the potential are great. We can't wait to get our hands on the asset and make that development a little bit more ambitious. Of course, there are additional opportunities around Block 14 and the existing infrastructure is what makes those very economic. And as Mathaios said, we will try to apply what we've learned or what we are doing currently in Israel, where we do have the base infrastructure in place, and that allows us to monetize different accumulations around our FPSO very quickly and very profitably.
We expect to do the same in Block 14, where we have 2 appraised fields, the Malanze and Lucapa within Block 14, and this is a very simple subsea tieback development. And of course, two additional discoveries, which we would like to appraise as soon as possible with our partners. Energean is well qualified to apply its experience and track record as a deepwater operator in East Med now into West Africa. And this acquisition, as we have mentioned in the past, provides a foothold for further inorganic growth in the region. We continue seeking for opportunities. And we hope and trust you will hear from us very soon for further exciting new transactions, but always within the discipline and the capital allocation priorities we have already communicated to our shareholders. Mathaios, back to you.
Thank you. And let's get to the final slide, what to look for. Obviously, you -- we all want a safe restart of production operations in Israel, and that's our top focus and continuing to produce from the rest of the portfolio. We focus on value, value created through the deal that we are negotiating with the Egyptian authorities that will allow us to invest more in the country that we really like and trust.
We look to complete the Katlan project during 2026 and be able to start in the first half of 2027 without any interruption. We look for exploration growth in our existing portfolio. I mentioned earlier the wells that are planned to be drilled in the next 18 months, both in Egypt and Greece. We look for the completion of our entry into Angola, adding another 12 to 13 barrels of existing production, increasing production in West Africa and building our presence there in the same way we build it in the Mediterranean. All of that, as Panos said, with a very strict capital discipline. We recognize that the oil price is where it is today and any deal has to be very value accretive to our shareholders. So we will do only deals that add value to us and to our shareholders that are in line with our trajectory of growth, but also deleveraging, which is very firmly focused in our minds to bring our leverage ratios down to where we have communicated before that our targets are going to be.
Closing and before I open for questions, I want to say just a personal note. Energean was built for this exact environment that we're going through right now. We've chosen to operate in challenging geopolitical environments, not because we like to be involved in wars, but that's where oil and gas exists. And that is what we know very well how to handle. We know how to handle above surface issues. We know how to navigate these challenging times. We've done it before, and we will continue to operate safely and making sure that all our people are safe, our facilities are safe, and we maximize value for all our shareholders as we've done from the day of our IPO all the way today.
With that, I want to thank you for being with us today and open the floor to questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from Dave Round with Stifel.
2. Question Answer
A couple of questions from me, please. Firstly, you mentioned a couple of times that Karish could be a short-term event. I'm just wondering if there are any discussions ongoing in the background that give you confidence that will be the case or whether it's just the fact you've been in this situation before and you've sort of seen the situation and that kind of gives you confidence that with that situation that things will open up.
The second one was on Katlan, please. I mean, comments that it remains on track, which is great. I suppose I'm just slightly taking the other side, and I appreciate it's not your base case. But under what circumstances might you choose to slow that down? And to what extent would you be able to slow it down if you wanted to?
Thank you for the question, David. Why am I confident? You're right. We've been there before. We've seen it, and we've seen how situations like this, one day you get a green light that says we are now safe to restart. So this is not just about the wider geopolitics and what is going on is about the confidence that the IDF and the security services have in Israel that they can protect this very strategic asset for the country. So I'm not going to speculate. I don't think anybody in this planet can predict when this escalation and this war is going to be over. But what I do know is that the region needs so much gas. So the moment that people feel that it is safe to restart, we will restart immediately. And this is the message that we're getting from the government of Israel because simply everybody needs the gas.
On your second question about Katlan, we are in a very fortunate situation that, as I said earlier, all the work streams at the moment are happening outside of Israel. The critical month, as I said, is May because that is when we are scheduled to have drilling rigs and construction vessels in Israel. We're working very closely with all the contractors that have those rigs and construction vessels to make sure that they are comfortable also to operate in this environment. Today, there is activity going on in Israel, tankers and ships go in and out of the Port of Haifa every day to bring fuel, supplies and all the rest. So operations keep going.
And this is something that, again, that we will work very closely with the ministers, the ministries in Israel to make sure that everything is done safely for people and assets. If this war continues beyond May, then we have the choice to delay things, push things back. And of course, that will have an impact on the schedule of Katlan. So we were very careful to state that as of today and based on the scenario that we go back to a more normal situation in the next 3 to 4 weeks, then we see no schedule impact on Katlan. If this extends, then obviously, we will advise the market and give proper guidance as soon as we know.
[Operator Instructions] At this point, there are no more questions. I will now hand back over to Mathaios Rigas for closing remarks.
Thank you. It's surprising not to have any further questions. I assume we covered all your questions and everything that everybody needed to ask. We remain available for everyone, analysts, investors, colleagues 24/7 to provide any answers or support that you may need. As I said earlier, and I will repeat it again, Energean is made to handle this situation and grow out of it stronger. We're resilient. We have the balance sheet. We have the operating capability. We have the growth potential. So despite the challenges, we see great opportunities ahead.
Thank you very much, and I look forward to seeing you all, especially my colleagues in Israel very soon.
This concludes today's call. Thank you, everyone, for joining. You may now disconnect.
Financial data from Energean
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 1,262 1,262 |
3%
3%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 836 836 |
11%
11%
66%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 426 426 |
22%
22%
34%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 22 22 |
48%
48%
2%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | 14 14 |
138%
138%
1%
|
|
| EBITDA | 182 182 |
64%
64%
14%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 7.64 7.64 |
68%
68%
1%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 174 174 |
65%
65%
14%
|
|
| Net Profit | -158 -158 |
240%
240%
-13%
|
|
In millions GBP.
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Company Profile
Energean Plc engages in the exploration and production of natural gas resources. The firm has a portfolio of production, development, and exploration assets throughout the Greater Mediterranean region. Its segments include Europe (including Greece, Italy, United Kingdom, Croatia), Israel, Egypt, and New Ventures. Its Greece portfolio includes Prinos Concession, Prinos CO2, South Kavala, Katakolo, and Block 2. Its Italy portfolio includes Cassiopea, Vega, Rospo Mare, Clara Complex, and Sarago Mare. The company operates Scott & Telford oil and gas assets in the United Kingdom. In Croatia, it operates Izabela and Irena fields. In Israel, it operates Karish; Karish North; Tanin; Blocks 12, 21, 23 and 31; Blocks 55,56,61,62 and Katlan. Its Egypt portfolio includes Abu Qir, North El Amriya and North Idku, East Bir El Nus and North East Hap’y. Its flagship development assets are the Karish, Karish North and Tanin fields, offshore Israel.
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| Head office | United Kingdom |
| CEO | Mr. Rigas |
| Employees | 583 |
| Website | www.energean.com |


