Granite Ridge Resources Inc Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = $589.59m | Revenue (TTM) = $495.69m
Market Cap = $589.59m | Estimated Revenue = $604.04m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = $1.01b | Revenue (TTM) = $495.69m
Enterprise Value = $1.01b | Forward Revenue = $604.04m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF compares a company’s enterprise value with its free cash flow. The metric therefore shows the multiple of current free cash flow at which a company is valued. EV/FCF ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted version.
🧮 How is it calculated?
EV/FCF ex SBC = Enterprise Value ÷ (Free Cash Flow (TTM) − SBC)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV/FCF provides a valuation based on free cash flow and therefore complements earnings-based valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and provides a more conservative view from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF means that enterprise value is low relative to current free cash flow. The reasons should always be considered in the context of the company and its industry.
- A high EV/FCF means that enterprise value is high relative to current free cash flow. This can, for example, reflect high growth expectations or temporarily weak cash generation.
- When SBC is positive and adjusted free cash flow remains positive, EV/FCF ex SBC is generally higher than the standard EV/FCF.
- The metric is particularly useful for companies with relatively stable and predictable cash flows.
- If free cash flow is negative or very low, EV/FCF has limited usefulness and should not be interpreted like a standard valuation multiple.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow shows how much cash remains after a company has covered its operating and capital expenditures. FCF ex SBC additionally deducts stock-based compensation (SBC) to adjust the cash flow for the effect of non-cash SBC.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow ex SBC = Operating Cash Flow − SBC − Capital Expenditures (CAPEX)
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s actual financial strength – independent of reported accounting earnings. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction. FCF ex SBC also deducts stock-based compensation and shows how much cash generation remains after SBC.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow indicates that a company has strong financial strength – independent of reported earnings.
- It is often a solid basis for sustainable dividends and share buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be a warning sign, even if reported earnings remain stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net Margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free Cash Flow Margin | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how much free cash flow a company generates relative to its revenue. In simplified terms, free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted metric.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC = (Free Cash Flow − SBC) ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how efficiently a company converts its revenue into free cash flow. Strong free cash flow can provide financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or further investments. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and therefore provides a more conservative view of cash generation from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high Free Cash Flow Margin shows that a company converts a high proportion of its revenue into free cash flow.
- This can provide greater financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or investments.
- The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for potential shareholder dilution from stock-based compensation.
- The long-term trend is particularly important. Declining margins can, for example, result from higher investments, changes in working capital, or weaker operating performance.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 SBC | in % Revenue
📈 What is it?
SBC (Stock-Based Compensation) refers to equity-based compensation granted by a company to its employees and executives. The percentage shows SBC relative to revenue.
🧮 How is it calculated?
SBC as % of Revenue = (SBC ÷ Revenue) × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Stock-based compensation is a real cost factor for shareholders. It can increase the number of shares outstanding and therefore dilute existing shareholders. The percentage of revenue shows how heavily a company relies on equity-based compensation and how significant this form of compensation is relative to the size of the business.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A lower figure is generally positive: Stock-based compensation is relatively small compared with the company's revenue.
- A high figure can indicate greater reliance on stock-based compensation and a higher potential risk of dilution. However, it is also important to consider whether the company offsets dilution through share buybacks.
- The trend over time should also be considered. A high but declining percentage presents a different picture from a persistently high or increasing percentage.
- A single-digit SBC-to-revenue ratio is not unusual among many growth-oriented and technology companies.
📘 SBC as % of FCF
📈 What is it?
SBC (Stock-Based Compensation) refers to equity-based compensation granted by a company to its employees and executives. The percentage shows SBC relative to free cash flow (FCF).
🧮 How is it calculated?
SBC as % of FCF = (SBC ÷ Free Cash Flow) × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Stock-based compensation is a real cost factor for shareholders. It can increase the number of shares outstanding and therefore dilute existing shareholders. The percentage of free cash flow shows how significant SBC is relative to the cash generated by the company. Since SBC is non-cash compensation, it is typically not deducted as a cash outflow when calculating FCF.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A lower value is generally favorable. Stock-based compensation is relatively small compared with the company's cash generation.
- A high value means that SBC represents a significant portion of the company's reported free cash flow, even though SBC itself is non-cash.
- The higher the value, the more significant SBC can be as an economic cost to shareholders, particularly when it results in share dilution.
📘 SBC Growth 1Y
📈 What is it?
SBC Growth 1Y shows how much a company's stock-based compensation has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
SBC Growth shows whether stock-based compensation is becoming more or less significant for shareholders. If SBC increases significantly, it can lead to greater shareholder dilution over time. At the same time, SBC is a non-cash expense that reduces earnings on the income statement but is added back in the cash flow statement.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high positive value is generally negative, as rising SBC can increase the burden on shareholders, particularly through potential dilution.
- What matters is whether the development of SBC is sustainable over the long term. Some level of SBC is common among many growth and technology companies.
📘 Share Count Growth 1Y
📈 What is it?
Share Count Growth 1Y shows how much the number of shares outstanding has increased or decreased over a one-year period.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The number of shares determines how many shares the company's earnings and assets are distributed across. If the share count decreases, existing shareholders' relative ownership increases. If it increases, existing shareholders are diluted. The metric therefore makes dilution and share buybacks directly visible.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A negative value is generally positive, as the number of shares outstanding is decreasing.
- A positive value indicates dilution of existing shareholders.
- A declining share count is not automatically positive: It also matters at what price the shares are repurchased and how the buybacks are financed.
📘 Shareholder Yield
📈 What is it?
Shareholder Yield measures how much capital a company returns to shareholders or uses to reduce debt relative to its market capitalization. It goes beyond dividend yield by also including share buybacks and debt reduction.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Dividend yield only tells part of the story. Companies can also return capital through share buybacks, while reducing debt can strengthen the balance sheet. Shareholder Yield combines all three components into one metric, giving investors a broader view of how a company uses its capital.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A higher Shareholder Yield generally indicates more capital being returned to shareholders or used to reduce debt.
- The mix matters: dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction can affect shareholders in different ways.
- Share buybacks are most beneficial when shares are repurchased at attractive valuations.
- Investors should also consider whether dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction are sustainable over time.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Revenue per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
12 Analysts have issued a Granite Ridge Resources Inc forecast:
Analyst Opinions
12 Analysts have issued a Granite Ridge Resources Inc forecast:
Granite Ridge Resources Inc Events
Past Events
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AUG
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Q2 2026 Earnings Call
about 2 months ago
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Shareholder/Analyst Call - Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
2 months ago
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MAY
8
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
5 months ago
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MAR
6
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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NOV
7
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
11 months ago
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StocksGuide Free
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good day, and welcome to the Granite Ridge Resources second quarter 2026 earnings conference call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this call is being recorded. I would now like to turn the call over to James Masters, Vice President, Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate your interest in Granite Ridge Resources. We will begin our call with comments from Tyler Farquharson, our President and Chief Executive Officer, who will review the quarter's results and company strategy. We'll then turn the call over to Kyle Kettler, our Chief Financial Officer, to review our financial results in greater detail. Kyle will then return to provide closing comments before we open the call for questions.
Today's conference call contains certain projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. Statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied. We ask that you review the cautionary statement in our earnings release. Granite Ridge disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these statements.
These and other risks are described in our press release and our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This call also includes references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information reconciling these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available in our earnings release on our website. Finally, this call is being recorded and a replay and transcript will be available on our website following today's call. With that, I'll turn the call over to Tyler.
Thank you, James, and good morning, everyone. Let me start with the most important takeaway. 2026 is the last year we plan to invest ahead of our free cash flow, and every dollar we are putting to work is building towards the free cash flow inflection we have laid out for 2027. This quarter advanced that plan on the fronts that matter most. We brought new wells online. We added high-return inventory to feed our growth. We kept our balance sheet strong while maintaining our dividend. The quarter's numbers reflect that progress.
Production was 32,044 barrels of oil equivalent per day, 51% oil, and we generated $79.6 million of Adjusted EBITDAX with strong early results from the 7.2 net wells we turned in line late in the quarter. But the real story is not the quarter, it's the trajectory. We are getting closer to that inflection, and we are executing the plan to get there. Our Operated Partnership platform continues to be the standout. The advantage starts with how the deals are sourced. Through Admiral Permian Resources and our other operating partners, we fund development on acreage that is captured through our partners' own leasing, ground game, and operator relationships, rather than competing for it in broadly marketed packages where prices get bid up.
Because we bring the capital and our partners bring the operational footprint and the local deal flow, we see opportunities that never reach an auction, and we underwrite each one directly to our return threshold before we ever commit a dollar. That is what lets us add inventory at entry costs well below what marketed deals command. And unlike a traditional non-operator, we control the pace and the capital. We're not simply along for the ride on someone else's drilling schedule. We capture operator level economics and inventory without carrying a full standalone operating cost structure. That combination, proprietary sourcing plus real control, is what separates us from a passive non-op and is difficult for others to replicate.
During the quarter, we closed 27 transactions, primarily across the Permian and Utica, for $28 million, including future carry obligations. We added 21.9 net undeveloped locations to our inventory. We ended the period with 175 gross or 14 net wells in process. Let me put one of those deals in context because it really shows what our flagship operating partner Admiral actually does. Large public producers in the Permian regularly end up with development work that must get done well and on a firm timeline, but that does not fit neatly into their own rig schedule or capital plans. Rather than pull their rigs and crews off other priorities, they hand the work to a partner who can execute it for them. Admiral is that partner, and we provide the capital behind it.
In the first half of the year, Admiral took on a project for a large Permian operator that called for 9 long lateral wells, each stretching 10,000 to 15,000 feet or roughly 2 to 3 miles, all of which had to be drilled, completed, and producing by the end of 2026. That's a very aggressive schedule. Using 2 rigs Admiral already had running, they folded the project into their existing program, built the facility and infrastructure plan to hit the deadline. We believe that ability, taking on a large, complex development and delivering it quickly and reliably, is what makes operators want to work with Admiral, and it is a differentiated strength of the partnership. This is exactly the repeatable high-graded deal flow the platform was built to generate.
Our sourcing funnel did exactly what it was built to do in the first half of 2026. We reviewed 363 opportunities, advanced 84 to underwriting, and closed 44, a conversion of about 12% that shows we are holding our screening discipline in the face of abundant deal flow. Our operator partnerships did the heavy lifting, driving about 78% of our first half deal capital, led by Admiral in the Delaware, alongside a steady non-operated ground game that layered in smaller, high-return interest in the Utica. This is the low-cost inventory replacement we have built this company around. We are adding high-quality locations faster than we drill them at entry costs that support returns above our 25% threshold at the strip.
2 items worth addressing directly, and both are ones we understand and are actively managing. First, lease operating expense. For the second quarter in a row, LOE ran above plan, driven primarily by water handling in the Permian and by higher early life costs on our newer pads. We are resetting our full year LOE guidance higher. Kyle will take you through the new range and the path we see toward lower per unit costs as second half volumes come online and our newer areas mature. Second, natural gas. Permian realization stayed soft this quarter on continued Waha Basis weakness we expected.
The more important point is what is happening underneath. New takeaway is finally catching up to Permian gas supply. The Hugh Brinson pipeline began moving gas mid-year and continues to ramp towards full service, with additional large-scale capacity falling behind it. And Waha prices have already firmed off their lows as these projects have come online. Supply also keeps growing, so we're not calling the problem solved, but Permian takeaway is clearly improving, and as that basis firms, we expect our natural gas revenue to strengthen throughout the back half of the year. We have hedged our basis through the first quarter of 2028, protecting our downside risk. Neither item changes our trajectory, and both are moving in the right direction.
Let me also give you our read on the macro because it frames how we are built to compete. Public markets are largely pricing oil to revert to a lower long-term level, and energy equities broadly reflect that skepticism. We do not need to win that debate to win. We underwrite every acquisition and every operator partnership well at the strip to a full cycle return above 25%. So if prices simply hold near current levels longer than the market expects, that is upside embedded in our portfolio that we did not pay for. And if prices fall, our hedge book protects our cash flow, our balance sheet, and our dividend. Beyond our hedges, the program itself is built to flex in both directions.
And given the macro uncertainty, we believe this flexibility is critically important. If oil were to weaken and hold below roughly $65, we could pull back an estimated 40% to 50% of our development budget while protecting our base business and our dividend. And if conditions warranted leaning in, we have the ability to accelerate. Every incremental well still has to clear our full cycle return hurdle at the strip before we fund it. That discipline is what lets us stay on offense through a volatile tape instead of reacting to it.
Stepping back, our strategy is working. Our traditional non-operated business continues to generate steady cash flow from an asset base that affords diversification and optionality, while our operator partnerships are compounding our inventory and our growth. We are in a position of strength, and every dollar we are deploying is building that base that carries us towards our 2027 framework of durable growth, double-digit free cash flow yield, and a sustainable dividend. Let me be specific about why 2027 is the term. The capital we are investing this year builds a production base that steps up meaningfully next year.
As those volumes come online, recovering gas realizations and lower per unit costs widen our cash margins. Our free cash flow grows faster than our capital program. That combination, more production at wider margins against a roughly steady level of investment is what converts this year's outspend into sustainable free cash flow in 2027. That is the inflection. Everything we did this quarter advanced it. As our free cash flow builds, we expect to keep our balance sheet strong with leverage trending lower as our cash flow grows while continuing to deploy capital into high-return acquisitions. And with that, I'll turn it over to Kyle.
Thank you, Tyler, and good morning, everyone. We had a solid quarter financially, with strong cash generation and a balance sheet that gives us real flexibility. Oil and natural gas sales were $149.3 million. On a GAAP basis, net income was $30 million, or $0.23 per diluted share, up from $0.19 a year ago. Adjusted net income was $11.1 million, or $0.09 per diluted share. Adjusted EBITDAX was $79.6 million, up from $75.4 million a year ago, and we generated $55.6 million of cash flow from operations, or $69.5 million before working capital changes.
Our unhedged realized price was $51.19 per BOE and $43.39 per BOE, including hedged settled derivatives. LOE was $30 million, or $10.27 per BOE. This compares with $9.57 per BOE during the first quarter. Combined for the first half of 2026, LOE was $9.91 per BOE. We're focused on our operating cost structure and working closely with our operating partners on the details. We're seeing operating costs decline on wells that were turned to production during the end of the quarter, and as a result, we expect per unit costs to trend lower over the second half. However, based on what we've seen so far, we're increasing our LOE guidance for the year to $8.25 to $9.25 per BOE.
Looking further out, we expect lower per unit costs as we scale into 2027, which is a contributing factor to the free cash flow inflection Tyler mentioned. Production and ad valorem taxes were $9.3 million, or 6% of sales, in line with guidance, and G&A was $9.2 million, or $3.14 per BOE, including $1.3 million of non-cash stock-based compensation. We invested $78.5 million in drilling and completions capital and $16.7 million of acquisition capital during the quarter. That $16.7 million reflects the cash we deployed to close 27 transactions, primarily in the Permian and Utica.
Including roughly $11 million of associated carry we expect to fund as these wells are developed, our total committed capital is about $28 million, which added 21.9 net undeveloped locations to our inventory. All of it sourced through our operating partners and our ongoing ground game, and underwritten to our full cycle return threshold at the strip. Simply put, we're replacing and extending high-quality inventory as we develop it, which is how we sustain growth without paying up and warehousing long-dated drilling inventory. We ended the quarter with $44.1 million of cash, $125 million drawn on our revolving credit facility, and $350 million of principal debt outstanding on our 8.875% senior unsecured notes. For net debt of $418 million, leverage remains conservative at approximately 1.4x.
Before I hand it back, let me offer some color on the second half. On volumes, we expect production to step up modestly in the third quarter and more meaningfully in the fourth, as the wells from our first half of the program come online, with oil rounding out at about 52% of the mix. For the year, we expect volumes within the guidance range, but trending towards the lower end due to shifts in timing, providing a large positive impact to the first quarter of 2027 than initially expected. On costs, we expect per unit LOE to improve sequentially as new volumes dilute our fixed base. Finally, the third quarter will be the heaviest spending quarter of the year, reflecting the pace of our operating development and continued inventory additions before moderating in the fourth quarter.
As it relates to pricing, Waha Basis was the weakest we've seen it on record. And that is what you see in our $1.12 per Mcf realization. We believe the second quarter is a low point. And all things being equal, we expect gas will be a big swing factor in the second half. Gas sales were $9.6 million in the second quarter. If Basis holds where it is today, we expect to be north of $30 million in the third quarter before hedged settlements. The fourth quarter is even better. Our Basis hedges improved materially, and we have less volume hedged than in the third quarter. Altogether, ramping production and healthy price realizations set the stage for a compelling 2027. With that, I'll turn it back to you, Tyler.
Thanks, Kyle. Let me close with 3 points. First, our Operated Partnership platform is delivering. It is giving us proprietary access to high-return inventory and executing it well and is the engine of our growth. Second, we are well positioned to execute the remainder of our 2026 plan. Our leverage remains within our target range. Our liquidity is ample. We have paid a dividend every quarter since becoming a public company. Everything we are doing this year is building towards our 2027 framework of attractive growth, a double-digit free cash flow yield, and sustainable dividend coverage.
We expect strong exit production approaching 40,000 BOE per day, continued improvement in our per unit costs, and steady progress toward the point where this platform funds itself. We are confident in where we are headed and we are looking forward to delivering. Third, Grey Rock has advised us that it intends to distribute a portion of its Granite Ridge shares to its limited partners in the third quarter. If that distribution is completed, Grey Rock's ownership will fall below 50% and Granite Ridge will no longer be a controlled company. We view that as a positive development. It broadens our shareholder base, increases our public float and trading liquidity, and completes our transition to a fully independent governance structure. We will provide additional details on size and timing as those are finalized. With that, operator, we'll open the line for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from John Annis with Texas Capital.
2. Question Answer
For my first one, you've reaffirmed that 2026 should be the final outspend year before a free cash flow inflection in 2027. I wanted to ask, what are the most important assumptions underlying that outlook and what commodity prices do you need to generate that double-digit free cash flow yield outlined in the presentation?
Yes. Morning, John. Thanks for the question. So, '27, the way we're thinking about '27 from a commodity perspective is $65 oil. So, we're north of that now. 2027 is in the low $70s right now. So we've got some cushion there. So $65 oil to be able to deliver what we've laid out, which is a 10% free cash flow yield, 1.25 coverage on our dividend, leverage in the 1.25x range, and production growth in the high single digits.
I'll add in, the high single-digit production growth couples with -- we have substantial hedge losses in 2026. We expect those to go away in 2027. So that should be a pickup there. And then as you probably saw in the results, the Waha Basis differential has been pretty rough in the first half of the year. That's subsiding and it looks like that's going to stay about the same through 2027, expanding gas revenues.
I appreciate the color. Maybe for my follow-up. Digging more into your prepared remarks, one of the advantages you've highlighted with the operated partnership strategy is greater control of capital allocation and development timing. If commodity prices were to move materially higher or lower, how quickly and maybe to what extent could you flex activity levels up or down within the operated portfolio?
Yes, I think very quickly. So we have additional inventory on the upside. There's additional inventory that we have scheduled out for out years that we can pull forward, add a rig, pull forward some inventory. I think that's an exercise that could happen very quickly. It's obviously harder to slow down activity, but what we've looked at so far, at least for 2027, we have plenty of capacity to be able to pull down our inventory and our spend rate below our maintenance capital level of $250 million. So I think there's flexibility on both sides, and it's something we keep an eye on, especially with all the volatility right now on the commodity price.
Our next question comes from Jeff Grampp with Northland Capital Markets.
With the transition to free cash flow expected next year, how do you anticipate that affecting the inventory capture strategy that you guys have been so successful at? Does that kind of artificially put a ceiling on the amount of capital you guys would be willing to put to work in that market? Or should we view that as kind of a secondary discretionary bucket of capital allocation outside of the free cash flow that's maybe more tied to development-oriented CapEx?
Yes, no, I mean, it's certainly -- there's somewhat of a ceiling that gets put on it. But right now, we've been very successful on that front. We've added inventory at about a 2:1 rate versus what we're developing. So it's been very successful. I'd continue to expect that we'd be spending on extending our inventory. We probably have 5 to 6 years of inventory right now. That's a pretty good level for us. I don't really want to get too long inventory and have to warehouse that on the balance sheet. But if we did add another couple of years of inventory, I think that would be great for the business.
So I do -- we had a big spend on acquisition activity in 2025. We spent over $125 million in '25. This year we'll probably spend about $50 million. Next year I'd probably expect to spend on a similar level.
Got it. That's really helpful. I appreciate that. And I guess sticking on the acreage capture opportunity, it seems like you guys continue to be really active in the Utica kind of backstopping the operated partnership model. Can you talk about the runway there in terms of, I guess, continued opportunities at prices that make sense for you guys? Is that an area we should continue to expect to be a focus?
Yes, absolutely. So that's our #1 spot for our traditional non-op spending. So 90% of our business capital spending-wise has been going into operative partnerships over the past few quarters. The rest of that has almost been exclusively going to Utica. That's been tremendous for us over the past 18 months. I think we're close to 6,000 net acres now in that basin across that 18-month build. And it's a spot where we're continuing to see lots of deal flow.
We closed -- we kind of look at them in groups of closings. We had 4 separate closings in the second quarter that included multiple transactions in each one of those closings. We're still seeing tons of deal flow in Utica. We added a couple net wells, a few hundred net acres. Those economics look great. The well performance has been great. We now have, I think, over 80 wells online in our portfolio up there with at least a year and a half of data. And everything is looking good from the productivity standpoint. So yes, it's an area where we'd like to continue to spend dollars in the non-op business and where we expect to have continuing success.
Our next question comes from Phillips Johnston with Capital One.
Appreciate the details on slide 9 about your lower entry prices in the Permian. It's pretty compelling. Just 1 question for me as a follow-up on the uptick in LOE that Kyle went through. The updated guidance implies the run rate should tick down to around $7.50 to $8.50 per BOE in the back half of the year from around $10 or so in the first half. You've obviously cited a few factors for the uptake, and you've referenced that production is expected to ramp in the second half, which should obviously help on the fixed cost component. But what gives you the confidence that those unit costs should moderate for the remainder of the year? And then can you also maybe talk about which regions specifically drove the elevated costs in the first half of the year?
Sure, of course. We're seeing a few things. I think, first of all, just to be open with you, we are seeing elevated costs. So we've increased guidance over the course of the year by $1.50 per BOE, which is about 20%, a little over 20%. So we are seeing some increased costs on the lease operating expense front. But we're seeing a couple of other things which give us confidence that, that run rate we saw in the first half will come off. We've been working pretty close with our operating partners to understand the intricacies of the cost structure there. And we're already seeing lease operating costs on a barrel equivalent coming down.
On top of that, there's a denominator issue in the first half of the year. Waha went significantly negative. We saw some shut-ins for high GOR areas and some gas-oriented areas. And so that's created a bit of a denominator effect, which we've seen and we're pulling that out and thinking about what it looks like for the second half of the year. So those 2 items give us comfort that we'll see it coming off sequentially.
Okay, great. That makes sense. And I think last quarter you guys referenced some non-recurring recognition of MVC delinquencies. How big of a factor was that?
That is in our first quarter numbers, yes. There was a write-off of an MVC that impacted LOE. It flowed through LOE.
Okay, so that was the first quarter of that and it didn't affect Q2?
That's correct.
Our next question comes from Michael Scialla with Stephens.
There is a lot of really good detail on Admiral in the slide deck. I wanted to see if you could talk to whatever extent you could on the third and fourth partnerships, where those are, and when we might learn a little bit more about them.
Yes, I think probably later this year we'll be in a position to share a lot more information on those partners. We've generally talked about what they're doing, so I can kind of walk you through the strategy at least for each one of them. So they're both Permian based or Permian focused. One of the teams is an emerging play, geo-led team, looking at things in the Permian Basin, emerging [indiscernible] in the basin. So they've put together a pretty nice acreage block. They're doing some appraisal work on that acreage block now. So we hope to have some results for you later this year on that team.
Team 4, we added in Q4 of 2025. So they're brand new, roughly 6 to 9 months in. They are an inventory aggregation development play team very similar to what Admiral is. They're focused mainly on the Midland Basin, but they are looking across the Permian, but should be mainly Midland-based activity. I'd say they're actually ahead of where we expected from an inventory capture standpoint. Some of the deals that we closed this quarter were actually with that Team 4. We typically like to see a year to 18 months' worth of inventory ahead of the team, before we want to really talk about them in the public domain.
And also, that's kind of the minimum threshold that we'd need to see in order to think about picking up a rig with a team so that they can keep it continuously running for a year. So I think that typically, depending on the teams, can take up to a year. But our Team 4 seems to be ahead of that schedule. So hopefully we'll have some information on them later this year and what we have potentially planned for them from a development standpoint in 2027.
I appreciate that detail. I want to ask on, Tyler, if the free cash flow inflection plays out next year as you expect, how you're thinking you would prioritize that free cash flow for next year?
Yes. So continue to pay our dividend. So we paid our dividend every quarter since we've been public, so 14 quarters now. Then balance sheet, we're going to maintain the balance sheet at roughly 1.25. That's our long-term target range. And then beyond that, we'd look to either expand the business through additional inventory acquisitions. That's opportunistic. That's market-based. So depending on what the market looks like at the time, some could go to asset expansion, and then, depending on the commodity price, development activity to either accelerate the business or continue at the current pace.
Our next question comes from Chris Baker with Evercore ISI.
Tyler, just another follow-up question on '27. I guess just as you guys think about that CapEx envelope, I'm curious, as you all have progressed these operated partnerships, how much of that spend is for third-party versus the controlled piece?
So how much is inside of Operator Partnerships do we expect next year?
Yes, what's the rough split? I'm just curious in terms of what you can control.
It'll probably be north of 75%. So right now it's been, I think this most recent quarter, we were something like 93% of our development capital went into operator partners. The balance of it was traditional non-op and Utica. I expect it to maybe not be that high, but certainly higher than 75% would be going into Operated Partnerships next year.
Okay, so the vast majority. Okay, that's great. As a follow-up, I would love to get any thoughts you're able to share on the Grey Rock distribution in kind. Anything you can share in terms of cost basis, ability to support the stock? I mean, it looks like, just on some simple math, that the amount of shares being distributed would be upwards of 40% of value traded between now and the end of April. So just any color there would be helpful. Thanks.
Yes, you bet. I can share what I can. This is obviously a Grey Rock decision, Grey Rock partnership decision. So we don't control that here at the company, but from what we understand, their fund life is up in the next 6 to 9 months. So this will be a methodical distribution of shares over that 6 to 9 months. We're excited about it from a Granite perspective. It increases daily trading volume. Liquidity removes the overhang. So we're excited to get these shares into the public's hands.
Grey Rock has distributed shares before. They made a large distribution in 2023 to these same LPs that will be getting shares over the next 6 to 9 months. So the LPs are used to getting these shares, have received these shares in the past. I think something like 40% of the fund, this remaining fund, has already been distributed. So yes, we're excited to get started and get these shares moving into the market. And we think this will be done in a methodical manner, multi-distributions over the next 6 to 9 months.
Okay, and just any sense on cost basis, is it above where the stock's trading today?
No, I don't know exactly. I know these have been very successful funds, so their cost basis, I know, is low. I don't know exactly where it is, if it's above or below where we're trading now, but it is a low number.
Thank you. I'm showing no further questions at this time. This concludes the question-and-answer session, and you may now disconnect. Thank you for your participation. Good day.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Granite Ridge delivered production growth and strong cash generation while raising LOE guidance; management targets a 2027 free‑cash‑flow inflection.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Production: 32,044 BOE/d (barrels of oil equivalent), 51% oil.
- Sales: $149.3M of oil and gas revenue.
- Adjusted EBITDAX: $79.6M (earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, amortization and exploration expenses).
- Net income: $30M GAAP, $0.23/diluted share; adjusted net income $11.1M, $0.09/share.
- Cash flow: $55.6M from operations ($69.5M before working capital).
🎯 What Management Says
- Operated Partnerships: Core growth engine—capital + local operators (e.g., Admiral) gives proprietary access to lower‑cost inventory and operator‑level economics without full operating overhead.
- 2027 Inflection: 2026 is the final outspend year; investments this year are intended to drive a free cash flow inflection in 2027 with double‑digit free cash flow yield and sustainable dividend coverage.
- Flexibility & Hedges: Company can cut 40–50% of development spend if oil < ~$65 and has basis hedges through Q1 2028 to protect downside on Permian gas pricing.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- LOE guidance: Raised to $8.25–$9.25 per BOE (LOE = lease operating expense) for full year 2026; expect per‑unit LOE to decline in H2 as new volumes dilute fixed costs.
- Production trajectory: Modest Q3 increase, meaningful Q4 step-up; management expects exit production approaching ~40,000 BOE/d and high single‑digit growth in 2027.
- 2027 assumptions: Targets assume roughly $65/BBL oil to achieve ~10% free cash flow yield, ~1.25x leverage, and ~1.25x dividend coverage.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- 2027 sensitivity: Management reiterated $65 oil as the key commodity assumption and highlighted removal of 2026 hedge losses as a tailwind in 2027.
- Operational flexibility: Operated partnerships can scale activity up quickly (pull forward inventory) or pull back spend; maintenance CapEx cited near $250M.
- Inventory & Utica: Non‑op/Utica remains an active, high‑return source (≈6,000 net acres, >80 wells online); acquisition spend expected to moderate vs. 2025.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investor takeaway: Execution on operator partnerships and inventory capture keeps Granite Ridge on track for a 2027 cash‑flow inflection, but nearer‑term risks include elevated LOE and weak Permian (Waha) gas basis—both are being managed and hedged; Grey Rock share distributions should boost liquidity.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
The Special Meeting of Stockholders of Granite Ridge Resources, Inc. is now called to order. I'm Matt Miller, Co-Chairman of the Board of Directors of Granite Ridge, and I cordially welcome you to today's meeting. This special meeting is being conducted online via live webcast. You may submit any questions at any time during the meeting using the field provided for questions in the web portal.
Emily Fuquay will act as Secretary of this meeting and Erica Young will act as Inspector of Elections. Emily, will you present the list of stockholders entitled to vote at this meeting as well as evidence that the notice of this meeting was given to stockholders?
I present a complete list of stockholders of the company entitled to vote at this meeting, being the stockholders of record at the close of business on June 15, 2026. This list has been kept on file at the company's offices at 5217 McKinney Avenue Suite 400, Dallas, Texas, 75205, for a period of 50 days prior to this meeting, and has been open to inspection of any stockholder for any purpose germane to the meeting at any time during ordinary business hours. During this meeting, the list may be inspected by any stockholder who is present.
Further, I present the following documents related to the calling and convening of this meeting. First, a notice, proxy statement and proxy, and second, an affidavit from Continental Stock Transfer & Trust Company that such notice, proxy statement and proxy were mailed on June 25, 2026, to the stockholders of record at the close of business on June 15, 2026, that were entitled to notice of the meeting.
Thank you, Emily. I accept these documents as tendered and order that they be filed with the minutes of the meeting. The company has appointed Erica Young to act as Inspector of Elections at this meeting. As inspector, Erica will ascertain the number of shares outstanding and the voting power of each, determine the shares represented at the meeting and the validity of proxies and ballots, count all votes and ballots and certify and declare to this meeting her determination of the number of shares represented at this meeting and her count of all votes and ballots. Will any attendees who have not yet registered their attendance with Continental please register now?
Erica, would you please present the attendance report?
Certainly. As election inspector, I report that there are present at this meeting in person and by proxy the holders of at least 109,716,289 shares of the company's common stock out of a total of 131,895,990 shares of common stock outstanding and entitled to vote as of the record date of June 15, 2026. Thus, the holders of approximately 83.18% of the outstanding shares entitled to be voted are present in person or by proxy at this meeting.
On the basis of the report of the Inspector of Election, I declare that a quorum is present and that this meeting is now open for business.
Emily, were there any stockholder nominations or proposals for business for this meeting properly filed in advance of this meeting as provided by the bylaws?
No, there were no stockholder nominations or proposals for business for this meeting.
Since no stockholder nominations were properly filed, the business of this special meeting is limited to the previously announced matter in accordance with the provisions of the bylaws.
The polls will now be open for the next few minutes with respect to voting on the matter discussed in the proxy statement. Those stockholders who wish to vote during the meeting may vote using the special meeting website and following the instructions found there.
As originally set forth in the notice, the first and only scheduled item of business to be conducted is the approval of the reincorporation of the company from the state of Delaware to the state of Texas by conversion, including the plan of conversion and the Texas Reincorporation resolutions. The Board recommends the stockholders vote for approval of the reincorporation of the company from the state of Delaware to the state of Texas.
At this time, please proceed to submit your votes pursuant to the online meeting website.
[Voting]
Is there anyone still trying to submit votes? If yes, please say so using the field provided for questions in the web portal.
The polls for voting on the matters before this special meeting are hereby closed at this time. It now appears that the election inspector is ready to report the results of voting.
Having counted and determined the number of shares voting upon the items before the stockholders, as Inspector of Elections, I find and report that the reincorporation of the company from the state of Delaware to the state of Texas by conversion, including the plan of conversion and the Texas Reincorporation resolution, has received the affirmative vote of at least the majority of the voting power of the votes cast at the special meeting and has been approved.
The report of the inspector of election as presented is accepted. Emily, please safeguard the ballots, proxies, and the oath and report and certificate of the Inspector of Election, and maintain them among the records of the company.
This completes the only scheduled items of business to be conducted at this meeting. I declare that there is no further business to be brought before this meeting.
I want to take this opportunity to thank the stockholders for their continued support and also to thank everyone for coming to the meeting.
At this time, I will entertain a motion that the meeting be adjourned. Do I have such a motion?
I so move.
May I have a second?
Seconded.
All in favor?
Aye.
The motion carries. This special meeting of stockholders of the company is hereby adjourned. Thank you for coming.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Granite Ridge Resources, Inc.
Stockholders approved Granite Ridge's conversion of its legal domicile from Delaware to Texas at a special meeting.
📊 Key Message
- Vote result: The reincorporation from Delaware to Texas was approved by a majority of votes cast at the special meeting.
- Quorum: Holders of ~83.18% of outstanding shares were present in person or by proxy (record date June 15, 2026).
- Board stance: The Board recommended approval and limited the meeting to the previously announced reincorporation proposal.
🎯 Strategic Highlights
- Legal domicile change: The company will convert its state of incorporation to Texas, altering the state law that governs corporate matters.
- No other business: No stockholder nominations or other proposals were filed; this meeting addressed only the conversion and related Texas Reincorporation resolutions.
- Recordkeeping: Inspector of Elections certified the vote; ballots, proxies and certificates will be retained among company records.
🔭 New Information
- Operational impact: Management provided no new financial guidance or operational updates at the meeting; the action is procedural rather than an operational change.
- Next steps: The meeting approved the conversion; an effective date and post-conversion charter or filing details were not specified in the transcript.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investor takeaway: Shareholders authorized a legal re-domiciliation that may change governing law and related corporate governance or litigation venues but does not by itself alter business operations, management, or the share count; expect follow-up filings and an effective date from the company.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Granite Ridge Resources First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
I will now hand the conference over to James Masters, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your interest in Granite Ridge Resources. We will begin our call with comments from Tyler Farquharson, our President and Chief Executive Officer, who will review the quarter's results and company strategy. He will then turn the call over to Kyle Kettler, our Chief Financial Officer, to review our financial results in greater detail. Tyler will then return to provide closing comments before we open the call for questions.
Today's conference call contains certain projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied. We ask that you review the cautionary statement in our earnings release. Granite Ridge disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these statements. These and other risks are described in our press release and our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
This call also includes references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information reconciling these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available in our earnings release on our website.
Finally, this call is being recorded, and a replay and transcript will be available on our website following today's call. With that, I'll turn the call over to Tyler.
Thank you, James, and good morning, everyone. We delivered strong operational execution in the first quarter, 18% production growth year-over-year to 34,500 barrels of oil equivalent per day and adjusted EBITDAX of $71 million and are positioned well for continued growth in the back half of 2026, with a trajectory to free cash flow in 2027.
Two items in the quarter require additional discussion, lease operating expense and continued Waha weakness, which I will address both before turning to what is, in my view, the more important story. The opportunity set in front of us has improved materially since we set guidance in March, and we are positioning the platform to capture it.
Starting with the financials. Oil and natural gas sales totaled $128.3 million, a $5.3 million increase over the first quarter of 2025. Oil revenues drove the improvement with an 11% production increase and essentially flat realized pricing of $69.94 per barrel. Natural gas revenues declined by $6.3 million year-over-year, driven by a 36% decline in realized gas prices to $2.55 per Mcf, reflecting the ongoing impact of negative Waha pricing in the Permian.
We've addressed this through an active basis hedging program. From February through April, we layered in Waha basis swaps across the fourth quarter of 2026 through the first quarter of 2028 at a weighted average basis of approximately negative $1.50 covering roughly 45% of total Permian gas in the fourth quarter and stepping into 2027 with coverage rising to nearly 70% on a PDP basis when our conduit volumes are included.
Turning to lease operating expense. LOE came in at $9.57 per BOE, above our prior guide and was largely the result of a combination of increased early life flowback expense from an elevated level of wells turned to sales in Q4 2025, saltwater disposal costs and a onetime charge tied to an asset impairment. A smaller structural piece comes from the DJ at Bakken, where production is naturally declining and fixed costs were spread over fewer barrels. We view the quarter as a near-term outlier rather than a change in our cost trajectory. As 2026 volumes come online, per unit LOE should trend lower and Kyle will walk through our updated full year range.
Let me now turn to the important part of the story. As capital allocators invest through cycles, our full cycle 25% underwriting threshold is always anchored to the elongated strip. Spot prices have increased dramatically and the forward curve has come up meaningfully as well, which has bolstered economics on near-term development opportunities. On the non-op side of the portfolio, we have seen some acceleration in AFEs, particularly in the Utica, adding to an already attractive set of opportunities in that basin.
Additionally, on the operator partnership side, we are actively evaluating additions to the 2026 capital program that will reflect our ability to access high-quality inventory that would otherwise be inaccessible to companies of our size. The most significant of these is a Permian Basin opportunity with a major operator who is seeking to grow near-term production, but is budget constrained. This operator needed someone who can quickly secure a rig, build the Bone Springs targets, complete the wells and bring them online before year-end. Our Admiral Permian team is the right fit for this project. At a 55% IRR and 2.4 [ MOI ] at strip, this is another opportunity that demonstrates the structural advantages of the operator partnership model, where relationships and local connections are not easily replicated and where a proven, reliable operator like Admiral and secure highly attractive projects in the heart of the Delaware Basin.
On capital, we invested $68.4 million during the first quarter, $58.3 million of development capital and $10.1 million in acquisitions, closing 17 transactions in the Delaware and Utica basins that added 3 net undeveloped locations to our inventory. Total capital was below the pace implied by our full year guidance, reflecting the timing of projects. And as a result, first half development capital is weighted towards the second quarter, likely exceeding $100 million with another $40 million slated for acquisitions.
On guidance, we are making two changes today. We are raising the full year LOE guidance range to $7.75 to $8.75 per BOE and we are increasing acquisition capital by $25 million at the midpoint, reflecting transactions we have completed and deals we have clear line of sight to close. Importantly, the majority of these acquisitions were agreed to before the significant shift in oil prices. A reflection of our deal flow and underwriting process rather than a response to the current price environment and they look even more attractive today. Development capital guidance is unchanged at $300 million to $330 million, resulting in total capital guidance of $345 million to $385 million. Production guidance remains 34,000 to 36,000 BOE per day, and we believe we are on track to meet or exceed the midpoint.
The capital we are deploying in 2026 including the incremental opportunities in front of us is building the production base that will drive the 2027 inflection. This is the last year we expect to outspend operating cash flow, and we have clear line of sight to that destination in a framework that delivers durable growth, a double-digit free cash flow yield and a sustainable dividend.
I'll now turn the call over to Kyle for a deeper look into the quarter's results.
Thank you, Tyler, and good morning, everyone. Tyler covered the strategic picture and operational context. So I'll focus on the financial details of the first quarter, our balance sheet and capital position.
For the first quarter, oil and natural gas sales totaled $128.3 million, a $5.3 million increase over the prior year period. Oil revenues were $103.4 million, up from $91.8 million in Q1 2025, driven by an 11% increase in oil production to 16,433 barrels per day at an average realized price of $69.94 per barrel compared to $69.18 per barrel in Q1 in 2025. Natural gas revenues were $24.8 million, down from $31.1 million in the prior period, reflecting a 36% decline in realized prices to $2.55 per Mcf partially offset by a 24% increase in production. The gas price deterioration, specifically the ongoing impact of negative Waha basis differentials in the Permian was a primary headwind on revenue and cash flow for this quarter.
On an equivalent basis, our average realized price was $41.35 per BOE, excluding settled hedge commodity derivatives compared to $46.71 per BOE in Q1 2025. Including scheduled derivatives, realizations were $37.53 per BOE for the quarter. Adjusted EBITDAX for the quarter was $71 million, and net cash provided by operating activities was $58.3 million. On a GAAP basis, we recorded a net loss of $47 million or $0.36 per diluted share. The net loss is almost entirely attributed to a $72 million loss on derivatives during the quarter, of which $60.2 million was an unrealized mark-to-market loss driven by an increase in oil prices during the period. Adjusted net income for the quarter was $3.1 million or $0.02 per adjusted diluted share.
I want to spend a moment on lease operating expenses. As Tyler indicated, this warrants additional context. LOE was $29.7 million in the quarter or $9.57 per BOE compared to $16 million or $6.17 per BOE in Q1 2025. That's a 55% increase on a per unit basis. The increase reflects first, higher saltwater disposal costs in the Permian Basin, which are largely due to higher water cuts and flowback operations.
Second, higher miscellaneous supplies and contract labor, particularly in newer Admiral operating areas that have been online for 6 to 12 months and are still in the higher cost phase of operation, partly due to compression rental.
And third, we wrote off minimum volume commitment obligations totaling $2.2 million in the quarter that was associated with our asset impairment charge.
And fourth, the DJ and Bakken where we have no new development, continue to see fixed costs spread over declining production, creating upward pressure on per unit LOE. We believe this number will improve as new wells that come online throughout 2026 add to production volumes and dilute these fixed cost elements. But as Tyler mentioned, we're increasing our full year LOE guidance to $7.75 to $8.75 per BOE.
Production ad valorem taxes were $8.2 million for the quarter or 6.4% of oil and natural gas sales, which is in line with our guidance of 6% to 7% of revenue. Total G&A was $9.1 million for the quarter, inclusive of $1.4 million of noncash stock compensation. Cash G&A was $7.7 million reflecting an increase from prior year, primarily driven by an amendment to our management services agreement. On a per unit basis, G&A was $2.93 per BOE, modestly higher than $2.84 per BOE in 1Q 2025, reflecting an increase in stock compensation.
Turning to capital. We invested $68.4 million during the quarter, comprised of $58.3 million of development capital and $10.1 million of property acquisition costs. We closed 17 acquisitions in the Delaware and Utica basins, adding 3 net undeveloped locations to our inventory. Development capital is below the run rate implied by our full year guidance range, primarily driven by project timing rather than any reduction in planned activity. We placed 1.4 net wells online during the quarter.
As Tyler mentioned, we are actively evaluating additional development opportunities that could increase our development capital spending in the back half of the year. We may raise our D&C guidance range when we report Q2 results in August when we have better visibility into the timing and certainty of those incremental projects. Today, we're revising our acquisition capital guidance upward by $25 million at the midpoint to reflect transactions completed in near-term line of sight deals, resulting in total capital guidance of $345 million to $385 million.
On the balance sheet, as of March 31, we had $400 million of long-term total debt outstanding, comprising of our 2029 senior notes and drawn amounts on our credit facility. We also had a current portion of $26.3 million and cash on hand of $30.1 million. Total debt to trailing 12 months adjusted EBITDAX was 1.3x at quarter end. Subsequent to quarter end, we reaffirmed our borrowing base in aggregate elected commitments to $375 million. As of March 31, 2026, our total liquidity was $314.8 million, consisting of $248.7 million of committed borrowing base availability and $30.1 million of cash. We believe this improved liquidity position provides ample flexibility to pursue our capital program and the incremental opportunities in front of us.
On hedging, during the first quarter, we recorded a $72 million loss on derivatives, of which $11.8 million was realized and $60.2 million was unrealized. The unrealized portion reflects the mark-to-market impact of rising oil prices on our hedge book during the period. We view our hedge program as a risk management tool, consistent with our balanced capital allocation framework. Please see the derivatives table in our press release for our current hedge position which extends through 2028.
To summarize, production growth is strong. The balance sheet and liquidity are in good shape. We're maintaining our full year guidance with targeted revisions to acquisition guidance and LOE guidance. LOE is the near-term challenge, and we are focused on improving it. The 2027 free cash flow inflection story remains intact.
With that I'll turn it over back to you, Tyler.
Thanks, Kyle. Let me close with a few high-level points. First and most important, this is the year we transition out of outspend, and we are looking ahead to 2027 committed to a capital allocation framework that achieves high single-digit production growth, more than 10% free cash flow yield and approximately 1.25x dividend coverage. This is the framework the business has been built to deliver.
Second, our 18% year-over-year production growth in the first quarter further demonstrates that our deployed capital has translated into meaningful scale, one that supports our 2027 free cash flow inflection.
Third, two items weighed on the quarter, LOE and Waha pricing. We believe per unit LOE will moderate as the Q4 completions mature and 2026 volume scale and our Waha basis hedges from the fourth quarter of 2026 through the first quarter of 2028, will add protection against the weakness we saw this quarter. Neither item disturbs our trajectory towards 2027 free cash flow.
Fourth, the opportunity set in front of us is better than expected. The operator partnership model is delivering proprietary deal flow that validates the underwriting assumptions we made when we entered into these partnerships. Admiral's deep local relationships with large independents and majors, active in the Delaware Basin are creating high return development opportunities that are a direct result of the structural advantages we have built as a partner of choice. We underwrote all of these projects at strip pricing at the time of underwriting, and at more than 25% full cycle IRR. Higher prices make them even more attractive.
Finally, the dividend remains a core component of our shareholder return framework. As we approach free cash flow generation, we expect to have increasing optionality around capital allocation and returns to shareholders.
We appreciate the continued support of our shareholders, partners and employees, and we look forward to continuing this dialogue at our upcoming investor meetings and in August when we report second quarter results. Operator, we're ready to take questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Michael Scialla with Stephens.
2. Question Answer
Just wanted to ask about your plans to increase the acquisition CapEx. Is that all for the opportunity that Tyler, you described with Admiral in the large operator in the Delaware? Or is there some incremental spending beyond that? I want to just get more detail there.
Yes. Thanks for the question. Yes, there's actually incremental spending beyond that. That's really what I described was really additional D&C capital that we're evaluating right now really on the acquisition front, that's spread across a bunch of transactions that we expect to close in the second quarter. Most of these transactions we agreed to before the increase in commodity prices. So returns on these things are great. We underwrite everything to a [ 25 ], but with the improvement in commodity prices, these look a lot better. So it's probably spread across half a dozen to a dozen transactions. It's mainly Permian based. There's actually quite a bit of activity from our newest partner that we signed up in October of last year. They have a number of transactions that are scheduled to close during the quarter. Admiral has a few. And then the balance of the transaction is probably maybe 15% or so of the transactions are additional leasing in the Utica Shale in Ohio, where we continue to see pretty good success up there.
And then one last -- just -- yes. Remember, we guide to -- on the acquisition front, we guide to everything that we've closed plus transactions that are in process of closing that we believe have a better than 50% chance of closing. So that doesn't include any additional A&D that we may do in the back half of the year. So the $25 million increase in the acquisition CapEx is for transactions that we believe will close in the second quarter.
Okay. I just wanted to clarify on -- so you said the opportunity with Admiral, you've got the acreage in hand already. Kyle mentioned that you could have some upward pressure on your D&C CapEx. So is that where that would come from if that opportunity come to fruition or is that already built into the...
Yes. No, but that's exactly right. That's where it would come from. So we have a couple of opportunities that look like this with Admiral that we're evaluating now that I think will be back half of the year CapEx spend. It's something that we're working through finalizing right now. So to the extent that, that comes to fruition, we'll have -- obviously have an update for you in August when we have second quarter earnings on that.
Got it. Okay. And then I wanted to ask on your plans for the free cash flow inflection next year. When I look at your Slide 14, you lay out a plan there that shows CapEx going down relative to 2026. I guess I'm wondering how you managed to do that while you're ramping up these partnerships? And if I heard you right, too, Tyler, you said you would still anticipate double-digit growth next year. Is that right?
Yes. So high single digit, low double-digit production growth is where we see the business moving to starting in 2027. One thing that's helping us in '27 is on the Admiral front where a bulk of the startup CapEx has been invested. So if you actually look at our J-curve, on our Admiral operator partnership, we've troughed on that. So the Admiral team, if you just look at that investment, that operator partnership is actually self-sustaining pretty much starting back half of this year moving forward. So that helps us tremendously in 2027 with our free cash flow inflection. So we have the capacity to then also ramp up some of the other teams that we've signed up in the past year.
Your next question comes from the line of Derrick Whitfield with Texas Capital.
I wanted to start first on the Permian opportunity you referenced with Admiral. Could you further elaborate on the scale and potential duration of these opportunities?
Yes, you bet. So this is something that we see more -- it's not all the time, but we see, and in the past handful of years, have seen this more and more where a lot of the large independents and large majors in the Permian Basin are seeking to find more partners to basically expand the capability of their capital budgets. So they're hesitant to increase their capital budgets is the observation that we've seen over the past handful of years. And so because of that, they still want to show some form of production growth or more efficient capital spending. They look to teams like the Admiral team who has the capability to come in farm out some of their acreage from them in exchange for a carry. So it's neutral to their -- to the large independents capital budget and capital spend, but it provides them with some incremental production to help with efficiency, et cetera.
So this is something that the Admiral team has been very successful on transacting on over the past handful of years. We've seen a little bit of acceleration here on this particular style of transaction since the beginning of the Hormuz conflict just given that it still looks like a majority of the operators are not ready to increase capital spend yet, but would like to capitalize on some of the higher prices. So we've seen some recent inbounds on this. This is an example of one that we talked about earlier on the call. I would expect that we'd probably see some more of these.
And Tyler, just in terms of scale, I mean, should we think about this as $25 million, $50 million, $100 million, just order of magnitude, what -- how would you characterize it?
It's going to be -- it depends on what it is. On this particular one, I would think that it would be on the smaller end of that kind of range that you mentioned just a second ago.
Great. And then just thinking beyond Admiral, are there other operational levers you could pull to accelerate oil production in the current environment?
Yes, absolutely. So we have other operator partners that do have inventory. We do have some development schedule with them this year. I mentioned a moment ago that 2Q, we expect one of our newest partners to close on a number of transactions. Those are drill-ready transactions to the extent those get closed up in the second quarter. Those are drill-ready transactions that if we chose to, we could slot them in later in 2026. So there's definitely opportunity within the operated portfolio.
On the non-op portfolio, we've actually seen an increase in the Utica Shale in Ohio. We've seen a number of operators with -- or a number of AFEs come in with -- from operators where we had those scheduled for '28, '29 turned to sales, those have accelerated now into this year. In the Permian, in our non-op portfolio, we haven't seen a material change to what our historical average is on that front on the AFEs. I guess if we continue to see high prices, elevated prices, I would expect at some point for us to see an increase in AFEs off the traditional non-op in the Permian as well.
And Tyler, just to clarify on the other operating partners. Safe to assume that the higher prices we're seeing right now are not negatively impacting their ability to source opportunities? I imagine quite a few opportunities in the market.
Yes. No, it's not impacting them because, again, we're underwriting near-term development drilling mainly. And when I say near term, I mean turning online in the next kind of 18 months-ish. So if you look at the forward strip, most of all of this volatility, nearly all of this volatility that we've seen is contained within 2026. So if you look out to 2027, which is where most of the stuff that we're underwriting would be turning on to sales. You have a script that looks not a whole lot different than where we were before the Hormuz conflict. So no, we haven't seen in the style of transactions that we're underwriting. We haven't seen a slowdown in that type of activity.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Production growth and attractive bolt-on deals contrast with higher per‑unit operating costs and Permian gas (Waha) weakness this quarter.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: $128.3M (+$5.3M YoY)
- Production: 34,500 BOE/d (+18% YoY; BOE = barrels of oil equivalent)
- Adjusted EBITDAX: $71M (non‑GAAP cash‑profit proxy)
- LOE: $9.57/BOE (Lease Operating Expense), ~55% higher per unit vs Q1 2025
- Net Loss: $(47)M driven by $72M derivative loss (unrealized $60.2M); realized price $41.35/BOE excl. settled hedges
🎯 What Management Says
- Operator model: Admiral partnership delivers proprietary Permian (Delaware Basin) access; cited deal at ~55% IRR and 2.4x money‑on‑invested (MOI) at strip pricing.
- Hedging: Layered Waha basis swaps (Waha = Permian gas price differential at the Waha hub) to cover ~45% of 4Q26 gas rising to ~70% of 2027 PDP volumes, reducing basis risk.
- Capital plan: Targeting free cash flow in 2027, high single‑digit production growth, >10% free cash flow yield and ~1.25x dividend coverage.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Guidance changes: LOE raised to $7.75–$8.75/BOE; acquisition capital increased +$25M at midpoint; development (D&C) unchanged $300–330M.
- Full year: Total capital $345–385M; production 34,000–36,000 BOE/d; management expects to meet/exceed midpoint.
- Risks: Near‑term headwinds are elevated LOE and negative Waha pricing; mark‑to‑market hedges can produce GAAP volatility.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Acquisition CapEx: The $25M bump covers multiple near‑term, mostly Permian transactions (some Utica); many were agreed pre‑price rally and should close in Q2.
- Admiral scale: The highlighted Admiral Permian deal is on the smaller end of the $25–100M order‑of‑magnitude range; more similar bolt‑ons expected.
- 2027 FCF path: Management says Admiral’s start‑up CapEx largely spent (J‑curve trough), supporting a sustainable 2027 free cash flow inflection while still funding selective high‑return projects.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investor take: Granite Ridge shows clear operational growth, strong liquidity and proprietary deal flow that improve 2027 free‑cash‑flow prospects; near‑term execution hinges on reducing per‑unit LOE, closing the advertised acquisitions and the effectiveness of Waha basis hedges.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome, everyone, to Granite Ridge Resources' Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
I will now turn the call over to James Masters, Vice President, Investor Relations.
Thank you, operator. Good morning, everyone. We appreciate your interest in Granite Ridge Resources. We will begin our call with comments from Tyler Farquharson, our President and Chief Executive Officer, who will review the quarter's results and company strategy, along with an overview of 2026 financial and operating guidance and introduce our newly announced Chief Financial Officer, Kyle Kettler. He will then turn the call over to Kyle to review our financial results in greater detail. Tyler will then return to provide closing comments before we open the call for questions.
Today's conference call contains certain projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied. We ask that you review the cautionary statement in our earnings release. Granite Ridge disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these statements. These and other risks are described in yesterday's press release and our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. This call also includes measures. Information reconciling these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available in our earnings release on our website.
Finally, this call is being recorded, and a replay will be available on our website following today's call. With that, I'll turn the call over to Tyler.
Thank you, James, and good morning, everyone. We are proud to report results for our third full year as a public company. While much has changed since the company went public in 2022, our commitment to pursuing the highest risk-adjusted rate of return projects and creating durable shareholder value remains the same. It is that commitment that drove our evolution from a traditional nonoperated company pursuing a diversified investment strategy to a capital allocator focused on the Permian Basin, backing proven management teams to acquire and develop high-quality assets, a strategy shift that is driving force behind our results.
For the fourth quarter and full year 2025, average daily production increased 27% year-over-year to 35,100 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Total production for the year increased similarly to 32,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Adjusted EBITDAX for the quarter was approximately $70 million and $315 million for the full year. Capital expenditures for the fourth quarter were $127.5 million, split approximately half to development and half to inventory acquisitions. Our full year CapEx was $401 million.
Finally, we maintained our quarterly dividend of $0.11 per share which continues to demonstrate our commitment to return meaningful capital to shareholders. Since going public, we have significantly increased production while maintaining a conservative balance sheet. That capital efficient growth is a result of consistently hitting our underwriting targets and increasing our capital allocation to operator projects, thanks to a structural opportunity we identified in the market. Over the past decade, private capital retreated from the natural resources sector in a major way, fundamentally changing the landscape for energy development. Private equity fundraising declined dramatically and the remaining capital focused on fewer teams chasing larger opportunities. This left the scarcity of capital and competition in the unit-by-unit operated segment. At the same time, proven operating teams who have built and sold successful companies increasingly lacked access to Aligned Capital Partners.
Granite Ridge recognized the opportunity and stepped into the gap by developing our operated partnership model. We first partnered with Atmel Permian Resources, a Midland-based operator with multiple successful exits and deep ties in the community. Central to our strategy was at the Delaware Basin containing some of the highest quality shale resource in the world is now controlled by a small number of large asset managers overseeing vast overlapping land positions. These land positions come with a variety of complications, like lease expirations, fragmented working interest -- and inventory management issues that can turn into high-return drilling opportunities for the right partner, Granite Ridge through Admiral has become that partner.
Over the past 3 years, we have executed over 50 transactions across the Permian Basin and have grown net production to nearly 10,000 BOE per day. Granite Ridge and Admiral have become preferred counterparties and inventory additions continue to outpace our 2-rig development program. We've also signed up 3 additional operator partners, each pursuing a different strategy in the Permian. We've been deliberate about limiting public disclosure of these partners to preserve their competitive positioning. Each team has successfully built and exited private equity-backed companies in the Permian and have significant personal capital invested alongside us, creating meaningful alignment. We look forward to sharing their progress and demonstrating the scalability of the operator partnership strategy.
These partnerships greatly expanded our proprietary deal flow, which was already a competitive strength. Last year, we reviewed nearly 700 opportunities with a capture rate of just 15%. In 2025, we invested $122 million across 107 transactions, securing approximately 20,500 net acres and 331 gross or 77.2 net locations almost exclusively split between 2 buckets: non-operated in the Utica Shale and operated partnerships in the Permian. Because we focus on short-cycle opportunities under written at strip pricing, our entry costs remain notably low relative to large format transaction comps. In the Permian, our average acquisition cost per net location was just $1.4 million, far below recent public market transactions. This is a through-cycle strategy. We target 25% full cycle returns at strip pricing, compound production and cash flow growth and protect downside through disciplined leverage.
Since our first operator partnership investment with Athol, we have fundamentally transformed our business from passive non-op to controlled capital at scale, growing production and high-quality near-term inventory. The results of which are becoming clear in our financials and outlook. Granite Ridge came public with cash on the balance sheet and no debt, but subscale. In the year since, we deliberately used leverage to achieve sufficient scale to support our next evolution, sustainable free cash flow. We're getting close. We see 2026 as a year of transition. Production growth is moderating and development capital expenditures are aligning more closely with expected cash flow. At current strip prices, we expect to achieve free cash flow from operations in 2027. The midpoint of guidance for production and capital for this year are as follows: we expect annual production to average 35,000 barrels of oil equivalent per day, representing a 9% increase over 2025, and we expect our exit in 2026 to be essentially flat or modestly up from exit in 2025.
We forecast oil volumes to be approximately 51% of total production. Development capital expenditures are projected at $315 million, with an additional $20 million to $30 million for acquisitions that we currently have in the pipeline. Approximately 90% of the capital invested in 2026 will be focused on operated projects. To summarize, we will spend roughly 15% less than last year to achieve production growth of approximately 9%. At current strip pricing, we anticipate a modest outspend in 2026.
One of our expressed goals for the business is to generate alpha through the expansion of cash flow above maintenance capital. We currently estimate maintenance capital of proximately $250 million, which provides room for disciplined growth above that level. We've built our business for capital-efficient growth and free cash flow visibility at $60 oil. In response to the geopolitical shocks of the past week, we have added oil hedges and we'll continue to closely monitor the market. Recent events aside, we have been encouraged by the market resilience shown to date and remain bullish on the medium-term outlook. Should prices fall below $60 per barrel for a sustained period we retain flexibility with our partners to adjust the development schedule and moderate capital deployment.
Finally, let me expand on 2 recent announcements. Alongside Diamondback Energy, we partnered with Conduit Power to support the development of 200 megawatts of natural gas-fired power generation in ERCOT scheduled to come online fully in 2027. This transaction will effectively provide a synthetic hedge to our Permian gas realizations and is expected to enhance value by approximately $1 to $2 per Mcf on our gas exposed to this contract. We think similar opportunities may exist to further improve our gas realizations and we'll be diligent in pursuing them.
Second, we recently announced the appointment of Kyle Kettler as our Chief Financial Officer after a 6-month search. We went through a thoughtful, diligent process to find the right person that can help guide us through this next season of growth. Our business has matured and the challenges and opportunities are much different than they were a few years ago. We were looking for an oil and gas professional with tremendous experience in capital markets, but also someone with creativity and a track record of creating value, somebody that could be a thought partner as we grow the business. We couldn't be happier that Kyle decided to join us. He brings significant capital markets expertise and extensive network and a keen strategic perspective, that will be critical as we transition towards sustainable free cash flow in the next phase of Granite Ridge development. I'm thrilled to welcome him to the team in his first earnings conference call. Kyle?
Thank you, Tyler, and good morning, everyone. It's my pleasure to join my first Granite Ridge earnings call and look forward to spending time with our analysts and investors in the months ahead.
Granite Ridge is building something truly different, allocating capital and creating value from a platform that's unique in public and private E&P. I'm excited to be here. Tyler covered the strategic highlights in 2026 outlook. So I'll focus on the fourth quarter and full year financial results and our capital position. For the fourth quarter, oil and natural gas sales totaled $105.5 million. Revenue was essentially flat compared to the prior year quarter because of commodity pricing. However, production grew an impressive 27% year-over-year. In the fourth quarter, our average realized oil price was $55.49 per barrel compared to $65.53 per barrel in the same period last year. Natural gas averaged $1.81 per Mcf in the quarter or 48% of Henry Hub. These weak realizations, particularly in the Permian Basin had a meaningful impact on revenue and by extension EBITDAX and operating cash flow. As a result, adjusted EBITDAX for the quarter was $69.5 million, and operating cash flow totaled $64.5 million.
For the full year, oil and natural gas sales totaled $450.3 million with production increasing 28% year-over-year to 31,984 barrels equivalent a day. Full year adjusted EBITDAX was $315 million, and operating cash flow was $296.4 million. The takeaway straightforward. Our asset base is scaling oil remains roughly half of the mix and volume growth is industry-leading. Pricing, especially Permian Basin was a swing factor in the fourth quarter revenue and cash flow. That dynamic reinforces the importance of our initiatives like the Conduit Power transaction, Tyler mentioned, which we expect will help improve Permian gas realizations over time.
On the cost side, lease operating expense in the fourth quarter was $7.72 per barrel equivalent. That's higher than last year, driven primarily by our increasing focus on the Permian Basin. Service costs, primarily saltwater disposal increased, a dynamic that's structural in the basin. For the full year, LOE averaged $7.27 a barrel equivalent our 2026 guidance for LOE is $6.75 to $7.75 per barrel equivalent. Production in Abalorem taxes ran just under 6% of revenue in the quarter and G&A was $8 million, including $1.4 million of noncash stock compensation. On a full year basis, cash G&A was what we expected. Annual guidance for these metrics are the same as last year. Production taxes of 6% to 7% of revenue and cash G&A of $25 million to $27 million.
Turning to capital. This is where the strategic shift Tyler described really starts to show up in the numbers. We invested $127.5 million in the fourth quarter, roughly half into development and half into acquisitions. For the full year, total capital was $401 million, including $279 million of drilling and completion capital and $122 million of property acquisitions. That acquisition capital was not large format M&A. It was nimble, repetitive unit-by-unit inventory capture, high-graded and underwritten at strip. Our acquisition strategy gives us control over timing and capital intensity. We're not locking in multiyear development programs irrespective of commodity price.
Operationally, we placed 67 gross wells online during the quarter and 322 gross wells for the year. That activity underpins the 28% annual production growth we delivered in 2025.
Now on to the balance sheet. We exited the year with $350 million outstanding on the 2029 senior notes and $50 million drawn on the revolver. Liquidity totaled $339 million at year-end. Net debt to adjusted EBITDAX was 1.2x inside of our long-term range. Looking ahead to 2026, we're deliberately shifting gears. The plan is to grow production while reducing capital spending. 2026 production is expected to average 34,000 to 36,000 barrels equivalent per day with oil just under half the mix. Development capital is projected at $300 million to $330 million with total capital of $320 million to $360 million, including acquisitions.
The key point is this, growth is moderating, capital intensity is coming down and development spending is aligning much more closely with expected cash flow. That transition from scale building to cash flow durability is the financial inflection point for the company. And through the transition, we're maintaining our $0.11 per share quarterly dividend. So stepping back, the last 3 years have been about scaling the platform and capturing inventory. While 2026 is about capital efficiency, balance sheet discipline and positioning Granite Ridge to generate sustainable free cash flow.
With that, I'll turn it back to you, Tyler.
Thanks, Kyle. Let me close with a few high-level points. First, 2025 was a transformational year for Granite Ridge. We scaled the operator partnership model, expanded our controlled inventory in the Permian and grew production 28% year-over-year. We leaned into an opportunity set that is structurally advantaged and difficult to replicate.
Second, we're now shifting from outside growth to durability. Our 2026 plan reflects a moderation in growth, tighter alignment of development capital with cash flow and a clear path towards sustainable free cash flow generation in 2027.
Third, our competitive advantage is our structure and business development engine. By underwriting unit by unit at strip pricing, partnering with proven operators and maintaining capital flexibility we've consistently hit our investment underwriting targets, which has resulted in significant growth in production and asset value.
Finally, we remain committed to balance shareholder returns. The dividend remains a core component of our framework as we cross into free cash flow, we'll have increasing optionality around capital allocation. We appreciate the continued support of our shareholders, partners and employees and look forward to the year ahead.
Operator, we're ready to take questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Phillips Johnston with Capital One.
2. Question Answer
First, a question for Kyle. Your fourth quarter realized oil and gas prices as a percentage of NYMEX were a little bit lower than usual in the fourth quarter, especially on the gas side. I think in your comments, you sort of alluded to weak Waha prices as we drive on the gas side. So that makes sense. That's not surprising, but is there anything to call out on the oil cagAndalso a follow-up, what should we be thinking about for our models in 2026 in terms of both oil and gas differentials.
Yes, thanks. Yes, the fourth quarter was weak on natural gas realization, and that was driven by Waha pricing. We've got a substantial portion of natural gas coming from the Permian Basin. And that Waha basis widened out during the quarter too on us. Going forward, we've modeled that. You can see the last trip. We're utilizing that as a way to predict well how prices will be over the next year. And those prices are pretty low early in the year, and they tighten up a little bit towards the back end of the year and then 27% going forward, the strip is much better, but still negative around $1 or so.
On the oil side of the equation, there's really not anything particularly that sticks out. There's a bit of a negative difference between realized and benchmark prices, but we've got that in our model going forward as well.
Okay. Sounds good. And then can you maybe give us a sense of how many net wells are planned for 26 relative to the 38 that you brought online last year? And -- would you expect any significant change in the mix for this year? I think last year's mix was close to 85% of the Permian with most of the balance. And at Pansend DJ. So I just kind of wanted to get some color there.
You bet. So last year, it was 38 net wells turned online towards the end of the year, got a little gassier with some Haynesville wells coming on. So we see 2026 being about 29 net wells coming online and the relative mix of gas and oil should tilt back towards oil as the year goes on with more Permian Basin activity.
Philips on that point on the oil point, we're actually if you look at oil production growth from 25% to 26%, we actually see 12% growth there. So a little more oil growth from 25% to 26% versus gas.
Yes. And I guess that implies kind of your oil mix picks back up to 51% from 49% in Q4 here. All right. Great.
Your next question comes from the line of Derrick Whitfield with Texas Capital.
Congrats on the acquisition success you had in 2025? I want wanted to start on Slide 14. As you think about the business' transition to sustainable free cash flow are you outlining that this morning as a business objective for 2027 based on your desire to lower leverage? Or is this based on your current view of the opportunities ahead of you? And not trying to pin you guys got to be live in a dynamic environment. I'm just trying to understand the driver and how firm the message is.
Yes. No, it's not an opportunity set driver. It is a leverage driver. We've spoken -- we've been very consistent about we want to run the business to 1 to 1.25 or so leverage just to execute the base business plan. We've said that we would go north of that for something more strategic. But to operate the base business plan, think of that as quarter -- and again, we've planned -- there's a lot going on in the world, as we all know right now, we've planned this year, next year more in a $60 oil environment. So that's the lens we're looking through when we're thinking about 2027 free cash flow. Obviously, with higher prices, there's going to be some additional capacity that we could take in 2026 and '27 to continue to prosecute additional inventory capture or additional development drilling and still be able to deliver some free cash flow.
Great. And as my follow-up, I wanted to focus on your outside partnerships we certainly appreciate what you're highlighting with Admiral in today's presentation. But could you maybe offer some color on general activity and inventory levels across your other operated partnerships?
Sure. Yes. Yes, I'd love to fill in some blanks there. So we've spoken publicly about our first 2 Admiral has the benefit of getting a head start on our other 3 partners. So they're the most secure and steady state of the 4 partners. So I think the story is pretty clear to everyone in the public domain. They're focused on Delaware Basin, unit-by-unit inventory capture from some of the larger asset managers in the basin. So that story has been successful. We're running a couple of rigs there. We're adding inventory faster than the development base there. So we hope to be able to replicate this evolution with the other 3 partners. PARTNER II is actually Petro legacy. We've mentioned that before, former in back. That team is focused on the Northern Midland Basin Dean play. They've captured a position there in the Dean play will probably get started on some selective development of that position this year. That market has gotten extremely competitive as everyone knows.
So I'm not sure how much additional running room will have there. So we're actually looking -- the petro legacy team is looking at some other opportunities in the basin and also potentially outside of the basin. So I hope to have some drilling results from them this year. Our third team, we haven't disclosed who that is, but I can tell you kind of what they're doing. They are, again, another successful team that's exited private equity -- they are focused on some of the emerging plays in the Permian Basin. I think it for Barnett -- and those transactions will probably look a little more blocky from an acreage perspective, larger chunks of acreage will come with some appraisal to figure out what exactly we have. But if that's successful, that will add a lot of medium-term inventory for us and start to fill in some of the development drilling in 2018 and beyond.
Team 4s, our newest team, they are also a Midland-based team a successful exit from private equity. They look a lot like the Admiral team -- it's up to mainly focused on Midland Basin opportunities, but I think there'll be sourcing opportunity from the larger asset managers out there kind of on a unit-by-unit basis. We've -- we're probably about 6 months into that one. So that 1 is very new, but they've already started to capture inventory. Typically, it takes us maybe 18 months or so, 12 months to get enough inventory to have about 18 months to 2 years of inventory in front of the team in order for us to justify picking up a rig. So I probably wouldn't expect a whole lot of development activity from that team this year. But as we move into '27, I think we'll see them start to fill in development.
Your next question comes from the line of Jared Guru with Stephens.
So my first question is in regards to move to generating free cash flow in 2027, First, continuing to -- at the same growth rate you've been doing the last couple of years. Yes. So first part of the question is, -- how do you decide to generate free cash flow versus growing? And the second part is, if you're -- I know it's early, but if this free cash flow will be returned to shareholders? And if so, in what form are you guys thinking? Or will this just be cash that goes on the balance sheet for maybe a good opportunity?
Yes. Yes, probably TBD on the second part. Obviously, we've got a lot of options there. So we'll kind of -- when we get there, we'll see kind of what the best option is at that time. I guess on the first part, I mean, we're wanting to transition the business into something that's more durable and long term. We think we've done a good job of gaining some scale over the past handful of years, maturing the business, maturing strategy -- we still see a ton of opportunity in front of us from an inventory capture standpoint. But I think being able to show some free cash flow and keep our leverage around our target, which is still very conservative at 1.25x. That will still give us a ton of opportunity to pursue additional inventory capture we wanted to accelerate some.
Yes. I'd just add, the growth rate has been pretty significant over the last couple of years, and it will still be high single digits going into next year. So there'll still be a feel like pretty good growth. A lot of the capital spending is through operated partnerships, and that's based on a development plan we've coordinated with them. So that's that puts us in this modeling position where we think we can see into '26 and '27 and turn into free cash flow in the '27 time period.
That's perfect. And then 1 more question, just about Slide 9. Could you just give a little more color on that slide. Yes, you talked about Granite retained 92% of the 10-year projected cash flows -- and then also at the hamburger well or pad that achieved the hurdle revision. Can you just give a little more details on this case study.
You bet. So what we did here was just to give you an example of what the economics are between us and our operating partners. We had some questions from investors over time on this one. And so the real thrust of it is to show that while we do have some reversions in the reserve database, they're effectively not very not very punitive at all. They're very -- relatively very small on a multiple capital basis, and that's really what we're trying to achieve with this in the slide.
Your next question comes from the line of Noah Hughes with Bank of America.
For my first question here, just hoping you guys to touch on the opportunity set and the competitiveness you're seeing ad inventory in 2025 that you guys were able to add locations well below, I think, what we saw from going market price. So how do you see those dynamics today?
Yes. Good question. So that opportunity still exists for us. Our operator teams are still executing on transactions that look exactly like that. We have roughly $25 million of acquisition CapEx scheduled right now. That's basically what we have captured or what we have run sight to now. If we wanted to continue to add inventory and increase that budget, that opportunity is still available to us. I think, again, like I said in the remarks, that's been a very good opportunity for us over the past couple of years, and we see the operating partnership inventory captures having a number of years out sort of us on that front.
As far as like the rest of deal flow, we've seen still very strong deal flow. I think we had a record last year on deal flow that we screened. That's continuing. The distributed wellbore market is still very strong. We don't participate in that market very much returns there something that we'd underwrite to, but that's a very strong market. The larger kind of marketed packages, those are still out there with lots of divestiture targets from a lot of the consolidation. Again, we don't really participate in that market either.
And lastly, on some of the smaller -- I'd say where we're seeing probably the least amount of deal flow and kind of trending down has been in some of the smaller market processes for non-op. That's been a little bit weak. But again, that's not an area that we typically source opportunity from. And I guess, finally, in the Appalachia Utica Shale Basin, we're still seeing a ton of opportunity there. That's a traditional non-off play for us. So we've been very successful over the past year leasing there. We actually added probably about another couple of thousand net acres in the Utica play in Q4. We're continuing to see lots of opportunity there.
That's helpful color. And then for my second question, Tyler, could you just talk about how we can think about the oil cadence through '26 and then what is exit to exit production growth look like for oil.
Yes. Sure. So exit-to-exit oil production growth is 12%. That's Q4 25 to Q4 26. And then oil growth over the year -- it will be down a little bit in the first half, single-digit, low single-digit decline kind of Q1 and Q2 and then increasing in the second half. But again, from Q4 to Q4, we expect 12% growth.
There are no further questions at this time. That concludes the conference call for today.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Scaled Permian operator-partnership model drove strong volume growth; management is shifting to capital discipline and targeting free cash flow in 2027.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Production (Q4): 35,100 barrels of oil equivalent per day (BOE/d) (+27% YoY); full-year average ~31,984 BOE/d (+28% YoY)
- Sales: $105.5M in Q4; $450.3M for full year 2025
- Adjusted EBITDAX: $69.5M in Q4; $315M full year (EBITDAX = EBITDA before exploration and certain adjustments)
- CapEx: $127.5M in Q4; $401M full year (development + acquisitions)
- Dividend: $0.11 per share quarterly, maintained
🎯 What Management Says
- Strategic shift: moved from passive non-operated investments to a capital-allocating, operated-partnership model focused on the Permian to capture unit-by-unit inventory and control development timing.
- Return focus: underwriting targets aimed at ~25% full-cycle returns at strip pricing, emphasizing capital efficiency and downside protection via disciplined leverage.
- Value drivers: Conduit Power contract to improve Permian gas realizations and new CFO Kyle Kettler to manage the transition toward durable free cash flow.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- 2026 production: guidance 34,000–36,000 BOE/d (midpoint ~35,000; ~9% growth vs 2025); oil ~51% of mix.
- Capital plan: development CapEx $300–330M (total capital $320–360M including acquisitions); maintenance capital ~ $250M; expect modest outspend at current strip, with free cash flow targeted in 2027.
- Balance & risk: net debt/EBITDAX ~1.2x exiting 2025; dividend preserved and commodity hedges added (gas/Power contract) with flexibility to slow development if oil < $60 sustained.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Gas differentials: weak Waha (Permian) basis drove low realized gas (~$1.81/Mcf, ~48% of Henry Hub); management modeled continued weakness early 2026 with tightening later in year.
- Drilling cadence: ~29 net wells expected online in 2026 vs 38 last year; exit-to-exit oil growth ~12% (Q4'25 → Q4'26) with oil mix rising through the year.
- FCF allocation: management reiterated leverage target ~1.0–1.25x Net debt/EBITDAX; allocation of future free cash flow to dividends, buybacks or reinvestment remains to be decided.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Conclusion: Granite Ridge has scaled production rapidly via Permian operator partnerships and is now dialing capital intensity down to pursue sustainable free cash flow by 2027 while maintaining the $0.11 dividend; primary near-term risks are commodity pricing and Permian gas differentials, but inventory capture and the Conduit Power deal provide upside to gas realizations.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and welcome, everyone, to Granite Ridge Resources' Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call.
[Operator Instructions] I will now turn the call over to James Masters, Investor Relations representative for Granite Ridge.
Thank you, operator, and good morning, everyone. We appreciate your interest in Granite Ridge Resources. We will begin our call with comments from Tyler Farquharson, our President and Chief Executive Officer, who will review the quarter's results and company strategy. We will then turn the call over to Kim Weimer, our Interim Chief Financial Officer and Chief Accounting Officer, who will review our financial results in greater detail. Tyler will then return to provide closing comments before we open the call for questions.
Today's conference call contains certain projections and other forward-looking statements within the meaning of federal securities laws. These statements are subject to risks and uncertainties that may cause actual results to differ from those expressed or implied. We ask that you review the cautionary statement in our earnings release. Granite Ridge disclaims any intention or obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events or otherwise. Accordingly, you should not place undue reliance on these statements. These and other risks are described in yesterday's press release and our filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission.
This call also includes references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Information reconciling these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measures is available on our earnings release on our website.
Finally, this call is being recorded, and a replay and transcript will be available on our website following today's call.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Tyler.
Thank you, James, and good morning, everyone. I appreciate everyone joining us today for our third quarter 2025 earnings call. Our results this quarter once again highlight the strength of our business model, grounded in disciplined capital allocation, operational excellence and strong execution across our platform and operating partners.
In the third quarter, average daily production increased 27% year-over-year to 31,900 barrels of oil equivalent per day. Adjusted EBITDAX rose 4% from the prior year period to $78.6 million. Capital expenditures totaled $80.5 million, consisting of $64 million in development and $16.5 million in acquisitions. We ended the quarter with a leverage ratio of 0.9x, well below our long-term target range of less than 1.25x.
In addition, we continued our quarterly dividend of $0.11 per share, underscoring our commitment to a reliable, competitive return to our shareholders. Subsequent to quarter end, we enhanced our capital structure and liquidity position. Earlier this week, our lending group reaffirmed the $375 million borrowing base on our revolving credit facility, and we successfully issued $350 million of senior unsecured notes due 2029 with an 8.875% annual coupon.
Together, these actions increased our pro forma liquidity to $422 million and further enhanced our flexibility to execute our business plan while preserving balance sheet strength. 2025 marks an important inflection point for Granite Ridge as we scale our operator partnership platform and further define our model as publicly traded private equity. Through these partnerships, we combine the control of an operator with the capital discipline of an investment firm, a framework that supports deliberate, cycle-resilient decisions around capital allocation and inventory selection.
Year-to-date, approximately 50% of our capital spending has been deployed from these partnerships. We are particularly pleased with the success of Admiral Permian Resources, our largest and longest-standing operator partnership, which continues to set the benchmark for performance. Admiral now controls 30 distinct drilling units across the Permian Basin and as of quarter end, had 63 producing wells with 14 more in progress.
Admiral's multi-horizon portfolio has consistently delivered results in line with our underwriting expectations while advancing technologies such as U-turn well design, further enhancing efficiency and cost control while also making them a preferred partner for larger asset managers.
So far in 2025, Admiral has added 61 gross, 17.2 net locations for an average of $1.9 million per net location, representing over $200 million of future development capital. In less than 3 years, the partnership has captured 198 wells, 94 net to Granite, representing nearly $1 billion of development capital. Admiral now produces 7,400 BOE per day net to Granite or 23% of Granite Ridge's total production.
Admiral's success illustrates why we believe the operator partnership model is our most capital-efficient path to scale. Unlike many E&Ps that make large point-in-time acreage acquisitions exposed to multiyear commodity cycle risk, Granite Ridge executes drilling unit level acquisitions, narrowly underwritten at current strip pricing for near-term development. We believe this approach provides superior risk-adjusted returns and flexibility.
While each partnership is unique, Admiral's success has become a blueprint for our other partnerships, including Petrolegacy and 2 recently formed partnerships focused on the Midland and Delaware Basins. Collectively, these partnerships now encompass 28.1 net producing wells and approximately 30.1 net undeveloped locations with an additional 37.7 net locations expected to close before the end of the year. Each partnership is structured to generate operated deal flow, strong full cycle returns and control over capital deployment and development timing.
Petrolegacy initiated its drilling program in the Midland Basin at the end of the third quarter, with production contributions expected early next year. Meanwhile, our 2 newer operated partnerships are actively advancing business development initiatives expected to add meaningful high-quality inventory ahead of transitioning to development mode. Our traditional non-op business continues to deliver stable cash flow and diversification.
During the third quarter, we participated in 59 gross or 9.3 net wells turned to sales, primarily across the Permian and Appalachian Basins. We remain particularly encouraged by our results in the Appalachian Basin, where we've added over 1,500 net acres this year and consistently outperformed our underwriting expectations. Earlier this year, we increased our acquisition capital guidance by $100 million to capture attractive opportunities across both our operated and traditional non-operated strategies.
As of quarter end, we invested $43 million through our operator partnerships, adding 27 net wells and $20 million through non-operated acquisitions, adding 6.7 net wells, primarily in the Delaware Basin and in Appalachia. Before year-end, we expect to invest an additional $47 million to secure 38 net locations, along with additional acreage in the Utica play. Collectively, these additions will add nearly 3 years of drilling inventory at an average cost of $1.7 million per net location.
Turning to the macro environment. Oil and gas prices have remained relatively stable over the past 12 months, providing a constructive backdrop for continued disciplined growth. We remain focused on opportunities that clear our 25% full cycle return hurdle and exceed our cost of capital even as we modestly outspend cash flow. As always, our spending and leverage remain guided by our leverage target range of 1 to 1.25x, and we're committed to staying within those bounds.
Looking ahead to 2026, we are constructive on the long-term oil outlook but cautious near term given uncertainty in global supply growth. We'll provide detailed guidance with our Q4 release but our strategic framework remains clear. Above $60 oil, we plan on pursuing measured growth with modest outspend. If we see sustained oil prices below $55 per barrel, we plan on pivoting to a maintenance mode targeting roughly $225 million in CapEx while maintaining flexibility for opportunistic acquisitions.
Our strategy is designed for agility, supported by a just-in-time inventory model, diversified asset base and minimal drilling commitments, allowing us to remain nimble through varying market conditions. We also continue to actively hedge around 75% of production each quarter with nearly 50% of expected 2026 volumes already hedged.
Combined with a strong balance sheet, this ensures we can operate and invest through cycles. Commodity markets will remain volatile, but our platform is built for it. We're confident Granite Ridge is well positioned for another year of disciplined growth, consistent returns and sustainable shareholder value in 2026.
With that, I'll turn it over to Kim for a detailed financial review.
Thank you, Tyler, and good morning, everyone. I'll start with a brief overview of our financial results. Revenue for the third quarter was $112.7 million compared to $94.1 million in the prior year period. Adjusted EBITDAX was $78.6 million, up 4% year-over-year. Net income was $14.5 million or $0.11 per diluted share, while adjusted net income was $11.8 million or $0.09 per diluted share.
Operating cash flow before working capital changes totaled $73.1 million. On the cost side, LOE came in at $8.03 per BOE, higher than expected, primarily due to an increase in saltwater disposal, contract labor and other service costs in the Permian Basin. Production and ad valorem taxes were 6% of sales and G&A was $2.38 per BOE, consistent with our guidance range.
Our disciplined capital allocation approach remains unchanged. For the quarter, total capital spending was $80.5 million, including $64 million of drilling and completion and $16.5 million of acquisitions. We continue to expect full year 2025 capital expenditures of $400 million to $420 million, of which $120 million is expected to be invested in 50 transactions that will add 75 net locations to Granite Ridge's inventory. Our development capital spend is allocated approximately 51% to operated partnerships and the balance to traditional non-op.
As we look ahead to the fourth quarter and into 2026, we expect continued production growth from our operated partnerships as new wells come online. We are maintaining our full year production guidance of 31,000 to 33,000 BOE per day with oil expected to represent roughly 50% of the mix. Our balance sheet remains a source of strength, ending the quarter with net debt to EBITDAX of 0.9x, comfortably below our long-term target of 1.25x.
We ended the quarter with $11.8 million of cash and $300 million drawn on our $375 million credit facility, resulting in liquidity of $86.5 million. As Tyler mentioned, we completed a $350 million issuance of senior unsecured notes due 2029 at an 8.875% coupon. This transaction strengthens our capital structure as we head into 2026 with net proceeds used to pay down the revolver and bolster cash on hand.
On a pro forma basis at quarter end, our liquidity increased to $422 million. We continue to return meaningful cash to shareholders. Our $0.11 per share quarterly dividend remains a central component of our total return framework, equating to an annualized yield of approximately 8.3% at recent prices.
With that, I'll hand it back to Tyler for closing comments.
Thank you, Kim. To wrap up, the third quarter was another strong quarter for Granite Ridge, marked by continued operational outperformance, excellent execution across our operator partnerships led by Admiral Permian, robust cash generation and disciplined capital management and steady shareholder returns. We've built a model that combines growth, yield and flexibility, and it's working, delivering durable value for our shareholders through the cycle.
Our business offers exposure to some of the best assets and operators in the country with downside protection through diversification, a robust hedge book and low leverage. Thank you to our employees, partners and investors for your continued support.
With that, we're happy to take your questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Michael Scialla with Stephens.
2. Question Answer
I want to see if you could talk a little bit more about your third and fourth partnerships. You said they're both moving strategic plans forward. Anything else you can tell us there in terms of what those plans might look like and where they are in terms of potentially drilling or adding acreage?
Yes. So both of those partnerships are in aggregation mode right now. They're both Permian focused. One of the partnerships is focused on some of the emerging plays within the Permian and the other partnership is focused on the Midland Basin. I think that it will take them 6 or so months in order to aggregate what we like to see is about 18 months' worth of development in front of each one of those partnerships before we commit to running a rig full time on each one.
So I'd expect for us to have a little bit of activity, development activity in 2026, if they continue to be successful on aggregating inventory here over the next handful of months. During the fourth quarter, we actually have some of the first transactions with one of those partnerships closing in the fourth quarter. So we'll get some inventory via one of those partners in the fourth quarter. And then the last partnership that we signed up isn't too far behind. So I wouldn't expect a ton of development activity from them in 2026 but it just depends on how successful they are in aggregating inventory.
I appreciate that detail. And Tyler, you mentioned you would in a $55 or lower oil price environment, cut CapEx back to $225 million next year. Can you provide a little bit more detail on that? I assume most of the production would come out of the partnerships. Maybe how much flexibility you have there in lay down rigs and crews? And how would the mix change going forward in that scenario versus your traditional non-op position versus the partnerships?
Yes. Yes, we'd expect to see coming out of the non-op portfolio, operators act rationally. So we'd expect to see a lot less inbound AFEs on the non-op piece. Then on the operated side, on the operated partnership side, we have full control over the timing and the development pace of those partnerships. And as we're starting to construct our '26 plan, we're building in tremendous flexibility there to be able to push some of that activity out if we do see a quarter or 2 worth of oil price in the low 50s. That's why we like the operated partnership so much is we do maintain that control over those partnerships to be able to construct a capital plan that kind of fits our needs as we -- if we end up experiencing some lower prices.
In addition to the drilling side, I think what you'd probably see from us in that low price scenario, we pulled back on some drilling. And I think we'd actually probably reallocate those dollars to not only inventory acquisitions, but also potentially maybe some PDP style transactions as well.
Okay. So not -- it sounds like not really a change in the mix between the traditional non-op and the partnerships but just both would be lower and less focus on drilling, more focus on acquisitions.
Yes. I think we'd love to be more opportunistic on acquisitions in that price environment.
Your next question comes from the line of John Annis with Texas Capital.
For my first one, understanding that there's lumpiness quarter-to-quarter and you haven't published guidance for next year, how should we think about the growth trajectory in the fourth quarter and into 2026 with Admiral running at full steam and Petro legacy ramping? And then is it fair to assume PLE's production shows up more towards the second quarter or midyear?
Yes. I think on that last point on PLE, I think, yes, that is a midyear production contribution expectation for PLE. They're getting started drilling now. That will probably show up starting kind of late second quarter. On Admiral, they're running 2 rigs now. We expect that to continue through 2026. I think on the production cadence, you're right, we haven't guided to '26 yet. So we can't really speak a whole lot to '26. But on Q4 of '25, we do expect to see somewhere in the high single digits production growth from the third quarter to the fourth quarter.
Terrific. For my follow-up, can you talk about what you see as the ideal length of inventory that you would like to get to? And how do you weigh that with the commodity underwriting risk that comes with that longer-dated inventory?
Yes. We actually love where we're at right now. Three to 5 years of inventory feels like the right amount of inventory for us. We're not interested in buying long-term inventory and having to warehouse that on the balance sheet for years 5 and beyond. I think having control over the operator partnerships gives us a lot more comfort in having 3 to 5 years' worth of inventory because it's actually controllable inventory now versus having to rely on non-op partners.
So we're actually quite pleased with where we are on our inventory. I think if anything, maybe we could get some more durability on some inventory outside of the Permian Basin. But we're pleased with where we are overall, particularly with what we've established in the Permian.
Your next question comes from the line of Noah Hungness with Bank of America.
For my first question here, I wanted to touch on LOE. It was a little higher than we thought for the third quarter. Can you maybe just talk about how we should expect that to trend in 4Q and also for '26?
Sure. As our production has increased within the Permian Basin, roughly in Q3, about 77% of our oil production was from the Permian. Our saltwater disposal costs have increased. So on total have increased our LOE per BOE. So we would expect that we will be towards the higher end of guidance for 2025 on a full year basis.
And I guess, how can you think about it for '26, if you can?
Yes. Yes. We haven't guided towards '26 yet. We'll continue to look at our production expectations as we move into 2026 and working with our operated partners, what we can expect for that LOE per BOE going forward, and we'll guide to that at that time.
Great. And then for my second question here, it's really on Waha. I mean natural gas prices in Waha continue to be really weak. They look like they'll be weak basically until a lot of those pipes come on in second half '26. And then it looks like Waha basis gets really strong at or below basically transport costs out of basin. Do you guys have Waha hedges on today for second half '26 and beyond? And would you consider adding them or adding more to basically eliminate your Waha exposure given how strong the forward curve?
With regards to the first question, we do not currently have any basis hedges in place for our Waha exposure and going forward, have considered adding those, as you mentioned, for the strength of the curve going forward. So we will continue to look at that and evaluate that going forward.
Yes. Noah, there's -- we're also looking at other alternatives for our Permian gas. There's lots of gas to power projects out there that you've seen some other operators in the basin signing up or evaluating and that's also something that's on the table for us. We're looking at a few of those options now. We think that, that could also be a good solution for some of our Waha gas in addition to hedging some of the Waha exposure as well. So we're kind of looking at a solution for Waha gas a couple of different ways as we kind of move into next year.
I really appreciate that color. Just to kind of build off of that, if I could, how should we -- how could we think about the pricing for that? Is it power exposure? Is it a premium to Waha? Is it flat price?
It would be some power exposure that we'd realize as a premium to Waha.
Your next question comes from the line of Phillips Johnston with Capital One.
Thanks for the color on how production volumes could trend into Q4. I wanted to ask the same question on how CapEx should trend into Q4. If we look at what's implied for Q4 based on your unchanged guidance range, the potential range for Q4 is pretty wide at around $125 million to $150 million. So just wanted to know if we should be steering towards kind of the midpoint of that range or towards the low end or the high end.
Yes. Yes. So we had some timing adjustments on the acquisitions. Our development capital actually came in where we thought it would be for the quarter. So we're not changing guidance for the full year. We still expect to close all the acquisitions that we outlined on our last call. for the year. So we just see that timing shifting into the fourth quarter. If I had to guess, I think that fourth quarter would be somewhere in the $125 million range with a big chunk of that being the remaining acquisitions that we're closing for the year.
Okay. Perfect. And then I appreciate the color on '26, and it's obviously early. But if we do assume current strip prices hold, how should we think about capital allocation for next year in terms of oil versus gas? Would you be inclined to kind of keep your investment mix roughly the same? Or would you sort of lean into gas a little bit more than you have?
It's all returns driven, right? Where we're seeing the best opportunity now continues to be in the Permian. So I'd expect a very significant oil weighting. That being said, outside of the Permian, we are via the traditional non-op strategy, having a lot of success in Appalachia, and that's more rich condensate phase. We're -- we've been very successful this year on picking up a lot of inventory and acreage in that part of the play in Ohio. And we're starting to see AFEs come in. We actually have a handful of pads already online in Ohio, and I would expect to see additional capital being spent up there on both acquisition front and drilling and development as we go into '26.
There are no further questions at this time. Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Granite Ridge Resources Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Q3 2025: production +27% YoY, adjusted EBITDAX modestly up, liquidity bolstered by $350M note issuance and strong operator partnerships.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Production: 31,900 BOE/d (+27% YoY)
- Revenue: $112.7M (vs. $94.1M YoY)
- EBITDAX: $78.6M (+4% YoY) — Adjusted EBITDAX (adjusted EBITDA before exploration and non‑cash items)
- CapEx: $80.5M total (Development $64M; Acquisitions $16.5M)
- Balance sheet: Net debt/EBITDAX 0.9x; pro forma liquidity $422M after $350M 2029 notes
🎯 What Management Says
- Operator partnerships: Company is scaling a "publicly traded private equity" model — drilling‑unit acquisitions and operator control aim for capital efficiency and lower cycle exposure.
- Admiral blueprint: Admiral Permian drives scale (94 net wells captured, ~7,400 BOE/d net) and is used as the template for new Midland/Delaware partnerships.
- Capital discipline: Focus on deals that clear a 25% full‑cycle return hurdle and maintaining leverage target below ~1.25x.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- 2025 guidance: Full‑year production maintained at 31,000–33,000 BOE/d; full‑year CapEx expected $400–420M.
- 2026 framework: Above $60/bbl pursue measured growth; sustained <$55/bbl pivot to maintenance ~$225M CapEx; ~75% of quarterly volumes hedged with ~50% of 2026 volumes already hedged.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Partnership timing: Two new Permian partnerships are in aggregation; some transactions closing in Q4; meaningful development expected mid‑2026 as inventory accumulates.
- Costs & LOE: LOE rose to $8.03/BOE from higher saltwater disposal and service costs in the Permian; management expects full‑year LOE toward the high end of guidance.
- Waha gas exposure: No current Waha basis hedges; management is evaluating basis hedges and gas‑to‑power offtake as complementary solutions.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Takeaway: Granite Ridge delivered production growth, modest adjusted EBITDA improvement and materially strengthened liquidity; the operator‑partnership model is the company's lever for capital‑efficient, controlled growth but near‑term risks include Permian LOE pressure and Waha gas pricing sensitivity.
Financial data from Granite Ridge Resources Inc
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 496 496 |
15%
15%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 30 30 |
7%
7%
6%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 465 465 |
15%
15%
94%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 141 141 |
53%
53%
29%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 324 324 |
4%
4%
65%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 221 221 |
13%
13%
45%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 102 102 |
12%
12%
21%
|
|
| Net Profit | -28 -28 |
187%
187%
-6%
|
|
In millions USD.
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Granite Ridge Resources Inc Stock News
Company Profile
The company is headquartered in Dallas, Texas and currently employs 6 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2020-11-06.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | United States |
| CEO | Mr. Farquharson |
| Employees | 6 |
| Website | www.graniteridge.com |


