Hafnia Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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StocksGuide Unlimited – full access to AI analyses
👉 More detailed insights
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Invest better with AI
StocksGuide Unlimited – full access to AI analyses
👉 More detailed insights
👉 Exclusive perspectives on opportunities & risks
👉 Clear answers to your questions
Invest better with AI
StocksGuide Unlimited – full access to AI analyses
👉 More detailed insights
👉 Exclusive perspectives on opportunities & risks
👉 Clear answers to your questions
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = kr42.85b | Revenue (TTM) = kr22.87b
Market Cap = kr42.85b | Estimated Revenue = kr13.08b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = kr50.36b | Revenue (TTM) = kr22.87b
Enterprise Value = kr50.36b | Forward Revenue = kr13.08b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
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Hafnia Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
16 Analysts have issued a Hafnia forecast:
Analyst Opinions
16 Analysts have issued a Hafnia forecast:
Hafnia Events
Past Events
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AUG
28
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
28 days ago
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MAY
27
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
4 months ago
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FEB
26
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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DEC
1
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
10 months ago
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AUG
27
Q2 2025 Earnings Call
about one year ago
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Hafnia — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, everyone. Welcome to Hafnia's Second Quarter 2026 Financial Results Presentation. We will begin shortly. You will be brought through today's presentation by Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov; CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; Soren Winther, VP, Commercial; and Thomas Andersen, EVP, Head of Investor Relations. They will be pleased to address any questions after the presentation, which will be moderated by myself, Sheena Williamson-Holt, Head of Communications at Hafnia. [Operator Instructions]
During this conference call, some statements may be considered forward-looking, reflecting management's current expectations. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Hafnia's control that could cause actual results, performance or plans to differ significantly from those expressed or implied. Additionally, this conference call does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov.
Thank you, and hello, everyone. We appreciate you joining us for Hafnia's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. I'm Mikael Skov, CEO of Hafnia. With me today are our CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; our VP of Commercial, Soren Winther; and our EVP, Head of Investor Relations, Thomas Andersen. Our second quarter 2026 results were published earlier today and are available on Hafnia's website. On today's earnings call, I will first cover the main developments in the quarter before Soren walks through the market and Perry reviews the financials. I will then touch on our strategic initiatives before concluding the call for questions.
Let's move to the next slide. Before we proceed, I would like to go through our safe harbor statement. The information discussed on this call is based on information we have today, which may include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these statements. Nothing presented in this call should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities. Next slide. I will start with the key highlights from the quarter.
And now we go to Slide #5. The second quarter was another very strong quarter for Hafnia. The market has not yet normalized 6 months after the start of the conflict in the Persian Gulf. We are still experiencing disruptions to Gulf flows and rising tensions have reestablished the Red Sea chokepoints, dislocating oil flows across the world. Against this backdrop, we delivered a net profit of $277.8 million, the strongest quarterly results since the third quarter of 2022. We also continued to optimize the fleet by divesting older vessels. During the second quarter, we sold 1 LR1, 2 MRs and 3 Handy vessels, recording a gain on sale of $39.3 million. In the third quarter, we completed the sale of our 50% interest in 2 MRs held through the joint venture with Andromeda, resulting in a $13.3 million gain for Hafnia.
Let's go to the next slide. Hafnia's platform remains highly integrated with ship owning, commercial pool management, technical management, bunkering and adjacent businesses all aligned. At quarter end, we owned 103 vessels and had 9 vessels time chartered in with an average owned fleet age of 9.7 years. Our net asset value at quarter end was approximately $4.4 billion or around $8.89 per share, corresponding to approximately NOK 88.47 per share. Alongside our own fleet, we commercially manage around 60 third-party vessels. Seascale Energy, our bunkering joint venture with Cargill, also continues to develop as an increasingly relevant platform in a volatile fuel and freight environment.
Let's move to the next slide. Now moving to shareholder returns. Our net loan-to-value at end of Q2 stood at 13%, decreasing from 20.2% in the previous quarter, primarily due to strong cash flow generation from both operations and vessel sales. With leverage now below the lowest threshold in our dividend framework, we will declare dividend based on the maximum payout ratio of 90% of net profit. That translates into a dividend of $250 million or $0.5003 per share. Together with the first quarter dividend, total dividends for the first half of 2026 amount to $0.788 per share, which represents an annualized yield of around 21% based on a share price of $7.5. This is the 18th quarter in a row in which Hafnia has paid dividends, underscoring both the cash-generating quality of our platform and our commitment to returning capital.
I will now hand over to Soren to take us through the industry review and outlook.
Thank you, Mikael. Let's move on to the first slide, which is Slide 9. It has been 6 months since the conflict in the Persian Gulf began and the market remains fragmented with volumes east of Suez constrained. While the memorandum signed between the U.S. and Iran in mid-June briefly facilitated a partial reopening of the Hormuz Strait, the agreement quickly broke down, reestablishing the Middle East chokepoint. Alternative routes have also come under pressure as renewed tensions involving the Yemen and Houthis have prompted vessels to avoid the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, redirecting Red Sea exports northward through the Suez Canal and SUMED pipeline.
Despite these disruptions, market fundamentals remain sound. The underlying support comes from several sources, depleted inventories that will eventually have to be replenished, longer and less efficient trade flows, increased ballast passages, continued migration of LR2s into dirty trades and the clean tanker fleet that is effectively smaller than it was at the end of last year.
Let me walk you through these dynamics in more detail. Next slide, please. Let us first look at world oil demand and crude flat price and inventories. The demand recovery is following a familiar pattern to COVID-19 in 2020, which took roughly 4 quarters to normalize. The IEA believes that demand bottomed out in Q2 2026 at 99.3 million barrels per day, but is expected to move back to 106 million barrels per day by Q4 this year as crude flat price eases from the highs. The inventory picture is equally important. Inventory levels have depleted over the past months, and we expect the eventual restocking to support ton-mile when looking ahead. The expected restocking is front-loaded. Around 260 million barrels worth of OECD stocks are expected to be rebuilt by mid-2027, with more than 100 million barrels in Q1 2027 alone. This signals stronger tanker demand.
Let's move on to Slide 11. The same conclusion appears when we look at the implied global inventory draws based on lost transport volumes. In the past 180 days since the start of the conflict, seaborne volumes fell by about 7.1 million barrels per day, whereas demand only fell by 3.4 million barrels per day. The remaining 3.7 million barrels per day gap was effectively supplied from inventories. In essence, the supply crunch was partially met by reduced demand and partially by stock draws. In return of Middle East volume and the recovery of world oil demand, reversing seaborne trade volumes and drive transportation demand. This is why the inventory rebuild is central to our outlook.
Let's move on to Slide 12. The correlation between the supply-demand balance and earnings does not follow a historical pattern. Normally, an oil supply deficit means fewer barrels moving, causing tanker earnings to soften. This time, we saw the deepest deficit of about 5 million barrels per day in Q2, while Aframax earnings remained strong. That deficit is narrowing and the supply deficit in Q3 stands at 2.2 million barrels per day with a forward curve moving into surplus by Q4 and through 2027. Against that backdrop, tanker earnings are better described as easing, supported by Middle East refining activity, which is expected to return in 2027, depending on the geopolitical landscape.
And we move to Slide 13. Looking at daily loadings. The global clean departures have recovered meaningfully from the low point in May to 18.4 million barrels per day by the end of July, still about 10% lower than pre-crisis levels. The main pressure point has been East of Suez, where clean loadings bottomed out 40% below normal averages. Since then, the region has improved, how quickly further eastern recovery continues will be one of the key variables for the clean tanker market. Meanwhile, dirty loadings followed the same trend, but with a much steeper decline. East of Suez dirty volumes fell from around 24 million barrels per day in February to 12.6 million barrels per day in May. And by July, volumes were still roughly 30% below precrisis levels. Further recovery depends on Arabian Gulf exports returning, including Iranian crude. An additional 2 million to 3 million barrels worth of exports would create significant demand for Suez and Aframax vessels.
Let's move on to Slide 14. Oil on water follows a similar trend. Clean products on water have recovered slightly from the May lows, but remains 12% below pre-conflict levels. [indiscernible] tonnage enabled increased cargo evacuation from inside the Arabian Gulf to ship-to-ship locations of the Omanian and Indian coastlines, servicing increases in total transport volumes. The decrease in clean products on water is equivalent to 180 MRs, highlighting the scale of demand and volumes displaced during the disruption. Dirty products have recovered strongly, underlining the fundamental strength within this segment.
And we move on to Slide 15. Refinery margins are also at record levels, with margins across all 3 major regions increasing multifold since the beginning of the conflict. U.S. Gulf has benefited the most. It has captured and replaced a significant share of the displaced refining demand with margins up ninefold. China's lower margins are likely related to reduced government-controlled export quotas, forcing product prices to rely largely on upstream markets only. We believe that Chinese margins are set to rise due to the immediate legalization of cheaper sanctioned barrels in Q2 and the gradual increase in export quotas to the international market in Q3. We expect global margins to moderate but remain healthy as forward curves supports continued refinery utilization and product trade flows.
And we move on to Slide 16. Turning into the key exporting regions. China's anticipated 2026 export quota of about 330 million barrels has a remaining balance of about 225 million barrels. Following the removal of export restrictions on transportation fuels, actual exports have reached around 0.9 million barrels per day in August, up from 0.6 million barrels per day at the start of 2026. In essence, the foundation for increased Chinese exports is supported. However, the question mark remains if the total 2026 export volumes will meet the 2025 averages. Funding constraints remain domestic demand and inventory requirements. Russian clean products exports remain constrained by ongoing refinery disruptions caused by Ukrainian drone strikes, removing exports of about 0.8 million barrels per day. Western freight markets increasingly rely on U.S. Gulf and Nigerian export volumes, supporting Atlantic ton miles in general.
Slide 17, please. Turning to tanker supply. Over the past year, the tanker market has faced 5 major shocks: COVID-19, the Russia-Ukraine war, the Panama drought, the Houthi Red Sea disruption and now the Hormuz blockade. Each shock has rerouted trade through flows and added ton miles where replacement capacity has consistently lagged. The fleet age 20 years and above has grown from 48 million deadweight tons in 2020 to 187 million deadweight today with 251 million deadweight projected by 2028. Ageing vessels are likely to provide structural freight support as scrapping sanctions and stricter vetting requirements imply the removal of older tonnage from the mainstream trade. Overall, this paint a resilient picture for the upcoming years.
And we move to Slide 18. The LR2 to Aframax migration continues to be one of the most important structural supply shifts in our market. Despite newbuild deliveries, global clean LR2 availability today sits about 27% below normal averages. And we move to Slide 19. Looking at the current global clean trading fleet from Handy to LR2 counted in MR equivalents, our estimate is that the effective fleet supply has decreased by 3% since the beginning of the year. This is mainly driven by clean to dirty trading migration. This is one of the key reasons for the clean tanker freight market remaining robust amid lower export volumes.
And we move to Slide 20. Looking at the order book and the scrap landscape and the no newbuild program 2026 to 2029, the Handysize to LR2 order book consists of approximately 60 million deadweight tons with LR2s accounting for a large proportion. Against that, potential scrapping of vessels older than 25 years and sanctioned tonnage roughly total 72 million deadweight tons from 2026 to 2029. We assume that the sanctioned fleet above 20 years is unlikely to reenter mainstream trading, which we estimate to 21 million deadweight tons, suggesting limited coated tanker fleet supply growth.
And we move into Slide 21 in the last slide. In summary, let me end with a simple balance sheet of what is holding the market up and what could take it down. On the anchor side, inventories, rebounding exports, demand recovery and the tightened clean fleet remain the key pillars. And on the risk side, the picture is mostly further out. The order book could have a stronger net impact from 2028 onwards, while the unwinding of LR2 migration could add to the clean fleet supply. If or when Hormuz and the Red Sea reopen for normal traffic, markets are likely to lose inefficiency effects such as ship-to-ship shuttle services, longer ballast legs and other factors currently absorbing tonnage supply.
And with those words, I'm now handing over to Perry, our CFO, who will bring you through the financial development.
Thanks, Soren, and good day, everyone. If you go to the next slide. In Q2, rates reached record high, and we delivered our strongest quarter since the third quarter of 2022. TCE income was $372.9 million, while adjusted EBITDA reached $287.3 million. Our fee-based businesses contributed $8.8 million for the quarter. And in addition, we received $9.9 million in dividend income from our investment in TORM.
Net profit was $277.8 million compared with $75.3 million a year ago. This includes the $39.3 million gain on disposal from the vessel sales completed during the quarter, bringing our half year net profit to $457.5 million. Return on equity for the second quarter reached 44.6% on an annualized basis and return on invested capital was 35.2%. Next slide, please. Turning to the balance sheet. The balance sheet also improved during the quarter on the back of strong cash flow generation from both operations and the proceeds from sale of vessels. The cash balance increased to $271 million, while gross debt reduced to $798 million. Net debt, therefore, declined to $527 million at the end of Q2. The net LTV moved substantially down to 13% from 20.2% at the end of the first quarter. This was mainly due to lower debt and supported by the increased vessel values. Total liquidity remains strong at approximately $631 million, which includes $360 million of undrawn facilities.
We also remain well protected on interest rates with around 67.6% of our exposure hedged at a weighted average rate of 2.85%. Announced last quarter, our newbuild program now consists of 10 MRs with CapEx payments beginning from the third quarter of 2026. With this, we believe our net LTV ratio would also understate our true committed position. From 2027 onwards, we will calculate net LTV on a fully committed basis. We will include remaining newbuild capital commitments such as unpaid yard installments in the numerator, while adding the broker assessed market value of the corresponding newbuilds to the denominator. We believe this provides a more comprehensive representation of our underlying leverage.
Next slide, please, where we can move to the operating summary. Q2 TCE rates for the year continued to show significant improvement across all segments. Our fleet-wide average TCE reached $44,093 per day, while our average spot rates were close to $50,000 per day. Dry dock and off-hire days totaled 392 in Q2. We expect this to fall to around 225 days in Q3 and approximately 110 days in the last quarter of the year, which should increase available earning days through the second half.
Let's move to the next slide. As of August 17, 80% of our Q3 earning days were covered at $30,716 per day, which, although below the exceptionally high levels in Q2, remains a very strong environment considering lower seaborne volumes. For the second half of 2026, coverage stood at 53% at $28,917 per day. These rates are well above our operational cash flow breakeven and set the stage for another strong year of earnings. For Q3, estimated earning days are around 9,376 after taking into account 50% for the joint venture fleet, scheduled dry docking, the impact of divestments, vessel deliveries and vessels chartered in during the quarter.
Mikael, I will hand it back to you now.
Thank you. And moving on to the next slide, please. Let me briefly touch on our sustainability priorities. As one of the leading owners and operators in the product tanker segment, we view sustainability as an integrated part of the business. Safety, environmental performance, governance and responsible partnerships have and will always remain core to the way Hafnia operates. Our commitments remain unchanged: Zero harm across operations, a 40% reduction in fleet carbon intensity by 2028 compared with 2008, net zero Scope 1 emissions by 2050 and continued progress towards 40% women in our offices by 2030. Next slide, please.
The strategic projects shown here are intended to strengthen Hafnia over the long term, whether through improving our overall shipping platform or advancing our technological capabilities. Seascale Energy continues to strengthen our bunker procurement capabilities together with Cargill, particularly in an environment where fuel availability, pricing and alternative fuel pathways are becoming more complex. Complexio is also moving from concept into practical deployment with early use cases already helping to improve response times in commercial and finance workflows. Next slide, please.
Before we close, I want to say a few words about the CEO transition announced on the 30th of June. This will be my final earnings call as CEO of Hafnia. As announced from the 1st of September 2026, Søren Steenberg Jensen will take over as CEO. Subject to shareholder approval at the Extraordinary General Meeting held later this quarter, I'm expected to join Hafnia's Board of Directors and look forward to continuing to contribute to Hafnia in this new capacity. This transition has been planned carefully and with continuity in mind. Søren has been part of Hafnia since the beginning in 2010. And as Head of Asset Management, he has been deeply involved in shaping our fleet, our asset strategy, capital allocation and many of the decisions that have brought Hafnia to where it is today. It has been a real privilege to lead Hafnia and to work with an exceptional team across sea and shore.
I would like to take this opportunity to thank our seafarers, shore-based teams, customers, partners and shareholders for their trust and support throughout this journey. What will not change is Hafnia's direction. The focus remains disciplined commercial execution, operational excellence and prudent balance sheet management. That brings us to the end of the prepared remarks. Thank you for joining us today, and we will now move to questions.
Thank you, Mikael and Perry and Soren for taking us through the results today. So, to those here, we will begin our Q&A session now. [Operator Instructions]
So I'm going to start with Frode. Please can you unmute yourself, please, to ask your questions.
2. Question Answer
Yes. Yes. First question is for Soren, I guess. I guess on the topic of Panama Canal. Last time, Panama was a big issue. We didn't really have Red Sea and Hormuz disruption at the same time. So when you look ahead and assuming Panama tightens further, how much more disruptive and supportive would this be for products, do you think?
Okay. Thank you for the question. I think you're right in the sense that when the Panama Canal again comes on top of many other things ongoing, it probably has an even larger effect. And now it's tying up with China also increasing exports, whereby you would expect with a further diminished Panama Canal transit where you are now paying up to about $1 million for an auction over there. You're likely to see export from the Far East coming into the U.S. West Coast, adding ton miles to the region, which in the first phase have displacement of tonnage.
So it is a strong driver. Whether or not this time around, it will be a halving of transits to the tune of 2024 is still a question mark, but you've probably seen the news that 2 ships left by the end of this week and then another 2 a little bit further out. So the trend is there and the combination of the factors that we have ongoing is not insignificant.
Yes, right. So you discussed a lot of good points here. So if you were to, let's say, summarize it and look ahead just for the next 6 to 9 months, how would you think this market will develop?
Well, on a general note, disruption is the driver here, right? I think we are now in a scenario that is probably a little bit worse than the beginning of the Middle East crisis, especially with the news of the flag-lifting of ships evacuate in the Middle East, at least a more closed Red Sea passage than it was when we spoke last with a partial opening there as well. And China exports ramping up U.S. and China that is really gravitating the world towards it, which can only mean longer ton mile on a general note to supply the world.
So I'm constructive for the balance of Q3 and through Q4, obviously, with the caveat that we are sitting in a very political-driven environment and changes could still be coming at us like they have been more or less on a weekly basis over the past months really. So positive and constructive, always with the -- being mindful that it's all good and fine that we have a lot of ton mile and we have disruption all over the place, but oil also have to be available to increase transport demand. So it also depends how much the release on SPR volume will be on a further basis and how much stock draws we can actually do as a world. But yes, did that answer the question?
Yes, very well. So it looks like a good and interesting winter period ahead of us, right?
I think that's probably also one of the points that we didn't touch upon, but an El Niño year and whether or not that's going to give the usual cold winter that, that brings with it, but depleted inventories coming into a winter season could, in our mind, also kickstart an earlier Q4 transportation spike and probably also market spike that you would be used to as you would likely see Europe trying to restock at least where possible before the winter really comes up.
Yes. Fantastic. My final question is for Mikael. Since this is your last call, I guess, as a CEO. I just wanted to ask you, if you had to leave the investor with one thing, you think the market is still underappreciated with Hafnia. What would that be?
Yes, that's a really good question. I don't know if there's anything that's, kind of, specifically underappreciated. But I think at least what comes to my first mind, I don't -- as I said, I don't know if it's underappreciated is that I think our strong focus on capital allocation and particularly discipline through the cycles. I think that has been and will continue to be one of the strength part of Hafnia that we have a major shareholder that has a long-term perspective, which means that we can time our investments and the capital allocation for the right timing rather than being forced by other conditions to make decisions through the cycle. So I think at least to me, that's one of the strong parameters for us is that we have the ability to think long term and not be forced to make any panic decisions short term.
Yes. Yes, it's been a fantastic journey, I guess. So thanks, Mikael. And this is your last call. As an analyst, I would just thank you for all the good insights over the past few years. So all the best what comes next. Thank you.
Thank you so much for that.
Thank you, Frode, for your kind words. I don't actually see any more raise hand functions, but I do see a question in the chat, which is from [ Foster ]. So I'm just going to read it out here. First of all, congratulations on your retirement, Mikael, and thank you for your leadership and contribution to Hafnia over the years. Hafnia performed particularly well in the LR1 and MR segments during the quarter compared with most of its peers. Can you explain the main drivers behind this outperformance? Was it partly related to a higher number of product tankers trading dirty? Or were there other factors at play? Do you believe these are structural or repeatable factors that allow Hafnia to continue outperforming in Q3 and beyond? Soren, I will ask you to unmute yourself and maybe you want to also look at the question in the chats to answer kind of the 3 different parts of it.
Yes. Thank you, Sheena. I think we divide it in segments and start with the MRs from the bottom up. So we are not super exposed to dirty spreading on the MRs, and it's literally not very big in the MR segment. But we had a strategy from already the end of 2025 to be exposed in the U.S. Gulf market. That was driven by a belief that the turnaround season for the U.S. Gulf would not be as big this year, driven on the back of high refinery margins on a general note.
That so transpired that the AG or Middle East prices came on top of it. So we already had a big position in terms of tonnage spread from a Hafnia perspective in the Gulf, and it was just amplified in terms of return for taking that strategic decision by the Middle East crisis. So it's really a positioning thing where we have been leaning very much towards the Gulf PADD 3 and the Far Eastern area, which has been the second best performing area. On the LR1s, it's to the tune of the same story. We migrated tonnage from the East to the West early in the year. And they have -- we have capitalized on that because the -- even the Europe market and the Mediterranean and the Red Sea market spiked on the back of the AG crisis. We also have an exposure in the Panamax market, which have quite clearly through that quarter, in particular, been overachieving, if you like, our percentage exposure in the Panamax segment is not that significant, but it has elevated the earnings to a certain extent.
Whether or not we are benefiting from the exact same factors in Q3. It still remains to be seen for the rest of the quarter. But for the beginning of the quarter, it has not been too bad to be exposed to the U.S. Gulf. We did actually migrate some tonnage towards the Far East at an early stage. So from a strategic perspective, we are sound and well and sitting with a tonnage but east-west that we are satisfied with. So I would certainly hope that we are up there with the best.
Okay. Thank you, Soren. For that, [ Foster ], I'm assuming I trust that, that covers everything you needed to know. In case not, feel free to send a follow-up in the chat. I'm at the moment going back to the raise hand function, I do not see anything there. Great. And [ Foster ] confirms Soren, you covered everything. So I think given that there are no more raised hands, then I'm just going to thank the speakers for the presentation and then thank those for their questions.
So yes, we have come to the end of today's presentation. So thank you to everyone who joined for attending our second quarter 2026 financial results conference call. You can find more information on our website after this call where this recording will be uploaded. Thank you, everyone, and have a great day and a great weekend when you get there.
Hafnia — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Hafnia — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Strong Q2: record-like earnings, big dividend, low leverage, but outlook depends on geopolitics and inventory restocking.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Net profit: $277.8m in Q2 2026 (vs $75.3m a year ago); H1 net profit $457.5m.
- TCE income: $372.9m; fleet-average Time Charter Equivalent (TCE) $44,093/day, average spot ~ $50,000/day.
- EBITDA & fees: Adjusted EBITDA $287.3m; fee-based income $8.8m; TORM dividend $9.9m.
- Balance sheet: Net loan-to-value (LTV) 13% (from 20.2%); cash $271m; total liquidity ~$631m.
- Returns: NAV ~$4.4bn (~$8.89/share); dividend $250m ($0.5003/share), 90% payout ratio.
🎯 What Management Says
- Fleet strategy: Continued optimization—sold older vessels in Q2, realized $39.3m gain; divestments and active asset management to preserve returns.
- Integrated platform: Ship owning, commercial pools, technical management and Seascale Energy bunkering JV with Cargill are core to capturing disrupted trade routes and fuel complexity.
- Capital discipline: Leverage target drives a high payout (90%) while keeping capacity for newbuild commitments; planned CEO transition emphasises continuity.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Coverage: As of Aug 17, Q3 ~80% covered at $30,716/day; H2 coverage 53% at $28,917/day—both well above cash-flow breakeven.
- Operational cadence: Q3 estimated earning days ~9,376; drydock days expected to fall, increasing available earning days H2.
- Risks: Outlook hinges on geopolitics (Hormuz/Red Sea, Panama) and inventory rebuild timing; new disclosure: net LTV will include full newbuild commitments from 2027.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Panama impact: Further Panama constraints would add ton-miles and support product tankers; combined disruptions amplify effects versus prior years.
- Near-term view: Management constructive for Q3–Q4 given disruptions and inventory draws, but repeatedly flagged political volatility as a key downside.
- Outperformance explained: Hafnia’s relative strength in LR1/MR came from early positioning in the U.S. Gulf and deliberate east–west tonnage moves, not solely from dirty/clean spread trends.
⚡ Bottom Line
Hafnia delivered a very strong quarter with heavy cash generation, a large 90%‑payout dividend and low net LTV, supported by high spot rates and strategic fleet positioning. Shareholders benefit now, but future performance depends on geopolitics, inventory restocking and the impact of committed newbuilds on leverage from 2027. CEO succession is planned to preserve continuity.
Hafnia — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Hafnia's First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Presentation. We will begin shortly. You will be brought through today's presentation by Hafnia's CEO, Michael Skov; CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; Soren Winter, VP, Commercial; and Thomas Anderson, EVP, Head of Investor Relations. They will be pleased to address any questions after the presentation. [Operator Instructions]
During this conference call, some statements may be considered forward-looking, reflecting management's current expectations. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Hafnia's control that could cause actual results, performance or plans to differ significantly from those expressed or implied. Additionally, this conference call does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Hat and CEO, Michael Scott.
Thank you, and hello, everyone and thanks for joining Hafner's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. I'm Michael Skol, CEO of Haffner. With me today are our CFO, Perianaktelt, our VP of Commercial, SonWinter, and our Head of Investor Relations, Thomas Anderson.
We released our first quarter 2026 results earlier today, and you can find them on our website. On today's call, we will cover our Q1 highlights the latest market developments, including the significant geopolitical disruptions that have shaped the quarter and then give an update on our financial position. We will also talk on our sustainability initiatives before concluding the presentation.
Let's move to the next slide. Before we proceed, I would like to go through our safe harbor statement. The information discussed on this call is based on information we have today, which may include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these statements. Nothing presented in this call should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities.
Next slide. We now move to Slide #4, and let's begin with a review of our results for the quarter. The first quarter was a transformative quarter for the tanker industry largely defined by geopolitical disruption without modern precedent. The closure of the Strait of Hormuz has fundamentally reshaped global oil trade flows during the quarter. Against this backdrop, we delivered a net profit of $179.7 million, nearly 3x our first quarter 2025 result supported by higher freight rates, which tightened tanker supply and disruptions of trading routes around the world.
On our forward coverage, 73% of Q2 earnings days has been covered at $46,600 per day, supporting our expectation of a stronger second quarter. On the fleet activity side, we continue to divest older vessels during the quarter as per our fleet renewal strategy in maintaining a low average age modern fleet. Importantly, we have also announced the signing of a contract for 8 new MR newbuilds with Hundai Heavy Industries, with delivery is expected between Q3 2028 and second quarter 2029. Further to that, we recently exercised 2 additional options with the same yard for delivery in 2029.
This is a meaningful step in our fleet renewal strategy, locking in modern, efficient tonnage at an attractive point in the cycle, continuing our focus on modernizing the fleet and reducing average fleet age as well as strengthening our long-term earnings capacity.
Let's move to the next slide. Hafnia remains the global leader in product and chemical tankers. At the end of the quarter, we owned and chartered in 118 vessels with an average fleet age of 9.6 years. Our net asset value at the end of this quarter has increased to approximately $4 billion, equivalent to $8.09 per share or about NOK 78.81. That's up from the $3.5 billion at the end of fourth quarter, driven by higher valuations across all segments and strong earnings.
We continue to operate around 60 third-party vessels across 8 pools. While our c-scale energy bunkering joint venture with Cargill continues to progress steadily and even more so with recent geopolitical events. Looking ahead in 2026, we intend to wind down our Handy and LR2 pool operations. As our handy vessels are sold, we expect to exit the Handy segment entirely, while the majority of our fleet will transition to employment under time charter arrangements.
Let's move to the next slide. Turning to shareholder returns. We have now paid dividends for 17 consecutive quarters. Our net loan-to-value improved to 20.2% at the end of the first quarter, down from 24.9% at the end of 2025 and primarily driven by strong cash flow generation from both operations and vessel sales. In line with our transparent dividend policy, we are declaring an 80% payout ratio. That translates to a total cash dividend of $143.8 million or $ 0.2877 per share. This represents an annualized yield of 14%.
For shareholders receiving dividends in Norwegian kroner, the exchange rate will be based on the value date which is 2 business days before payment. Over the last 4 quarters, our cumulative dividends totaled $365.3 million or $0.79 per share. Our total shareholder return over the last 12 months now exceeds 100%, which is a result of strong earnings, consistent dividends and meaningful share price appreciation.
San Vinda, our VP of Commercial, will now take you through the industry review and market outlook.
Thanks, Michael. The next slide, please. Let me set the scene for the market environment we are navigating. This quarter has been unlike anything we have seen in modern shipping history. So I want to walk through the key dynamics shaping the market. The headline numbers tell the story. Global observed inventories has drawn down roughly 200 million barrels between February and April 2026. The with OECD on land stocks punching 146 million barrels in April alone. The IEA A cumulative deficit is projected to reach approximately 900 million barrels by September, requiring roughly 1 million barrels per day of incremental supply over a 3-year period to fully be built.
On the fleet side, year-to-date, around 72 LR2 vessels have migrated into Aframax DD trading, reducing the clean LR2 fleet by about 28%. This has effectively absorbed the bulk of 2026 newbuild deliveries. Meanwhile, and since the closure of the homes trade, U.S. clean product exports have surged approximately 40% and from February to May, partly filling the supply gap left by the Middle East disruption. The market remains backed by fundamentals supporting continued market resilience. Most important drivers are elevated ton miles, structural fleet tightness and a multi-quarter inventory rebuild ahead.
Let me take you through the deeper detail. Next slide, please. Starting with global oil demand. In the face of global oil shortages, government and companies are working to constrain the crisis by implementing demand-saving measures. As a result, the IEA is now projecting the first annual decline in global oil demand since 2020, with the sharpest dip coming in Q2 2026. However, projections for demand are to recover towards the year-end to approximately 106 million barrels per day, averaging around 104 million barrels per day for the full year.
On the inventory levels, as mentioned, the IEA's cumulative drawdown could reach 900 million barrels by September 2026, which includes the 400 million barrels of coordinated SPR stock releases, of which only 164 million barrels have been released as of May 8.
Next slide, please. Importantly, the inventory drawdown is uneven across regions withdraws heavily focused in the East. The U.S. and China inventories remain balanced as the U.S. is supported by strong refinery runs for exports, while China adds to commercial stocks. The draws are concentrated in the Middle East, Asia and Europe. The Middle East is drawing heavily under direct Iranian impact, such as refinery damage and product diversion. The rest of Asia is growing as eastbound arbitrage flows pulled from regional stockpiles and Europe is growing as Atlantic supplies mobilized esports, tightening regional balance.
Next slide, please. This slide puts the current situation into historical context and further shows the unique situation we are facing. And you can observe historically, oil supply deficits have coincided with weaker freight rates due to lower cargo volumes. However, current conditions break that pattern. We have recorded supply deficits occurring alongside VLCC earnings near cycle highs.
We see 2 possible outcomes, either freight rates correct sharply or supply rebound strongly to validate current freight levels. We expect the latter to happen. Supply recovery and continued freight resilience into 2027, supported by the Middle East refinery normalization, demand recovery and structural tanker market tightness from LR2 migration and sanctioned fleet attrition.
The next slide, please. Apart from the closure of the home of trade, another key factor behind the market disruption is the extensive damage to regional refinery capacity. Around 2 million barrels per day of Middle East on refining capacity is currently offline due to war-related infrastructure damage. This includes major facilities like Cato and Jubail, BAPCO in Citra and ADNOC. While Eastern refiners have indicated that even without further hostilities, full capacity won't return before Q1 2027.
While consensus expect shipping to weaken post conflict, we see continued strength if demand rebounds as forecasted. With ongoing refinery disruptions supporting elevated product flows and ton mile demand into late 2026.
The next slide, please. Looking at daily loadings. Global clean petroleum product departures are down approximately 15% heavily concentrated in the East of Suez, driven by the homes disruption and export restrictions and Far Eastern hubs. This has partly been offset by a search investor exports, mainly from the U.S., but not enough to fully replace the lost Eastern volumes. On the dirt side, we see a similar pattern. Global dirty petroleum product departures are down about 17%, mainly due to the collapse in Arabian Gulf crude exports.
And the next slide, please. We typically observed to mile data as a proxy for product tanker demand. However, reliable data is delayed due to prolonged voyage links. Instead, products on water serve as the most reliable proxy for transportation demand. It's important to note that while clean vetoleum product loadings are down by roughly 15%, floating cargo volume are only down about 6%. This tells us that the actual impact on global transportation demand is milder than the headline figures suggest, meaning that vessels are spending more time on the water, effectively absorbing tonnage supply.
Next slide, please. On ton miles, the reported data shows a decline of about 10% from February to April. But as mentioned, this may not paint the most accurate picture as it's distorted by data lag and ongoing voyages not yet fully captured. Once in transit, latent voyages are reflected, and we expect the gap to narrow. What is much more telling is the ballast voyage links hitting record highs of approximately 1,900 nautical miles in April. This means vessels are sailing further to secure their next cargo a clear sign of repositioning inefficiency that support a tighter supply-demand balance.
And the next slide, please. Turning to key exporting regions. China's anticipated 2026 export quota of 332 million barrels has had a remaining balance of about 1 million barrels per day through an year representing sustained refinery export capacity. U.S. export volumes increased roughly 40% from February to May, stepping in to fill the left gap by disrupted Eastern supply. Although elevated prices have since narrowed arbitrage spreads, export flows remain resilient and continue to sustain ton mile demand. Russian clean product exports remain constrained by ongoing refinery disruptions from Ukrainian drone strikes.
And the next slide, please. In the Arabian Gulf, exports have been partially offset by increased loadings via the reds, particularly proband supported by a greater utilization of the Saudi Gulf to Red Sea pipeline. However, this remains only a partial offset overall regional export capacity is still materially below historical levels. Clean petroleum product exports from the Red Sea remain resilient.
And on to the next slide. Turning to Tanker Supply. Over the past years, the Taker Markets has faced 5 major shocks. COVID-19, the Russia-Ukraine war the Panama dot, the HuitiRedsea disruption and now the Hormuz blockade. Each chug has rerouted trade flows and added ton miles, while replacement capacity has consistently lagged. The fleet aids 20 years and above has grown from 48 million deadweight tons in 2020 to 187 million deadweight today with DKK 251 million projected by 2028. The scrap potential, sanctions and operational restrictions on this expanding age cohort for a durable supply anchor through the end of the decade.
And the next slide, please. The LR2 to Aframax migration continues to be 1 of the most important structural shifts in our markets. Global clean LR2 availability is now down approximately 28% year-to-date, with 72 vessels having migrated to dirty trading. This has effectively absorbed both 2026 newbuild deliveries and part of the existing clean trading tonnage. A reversal is unlikely while Aframax economics remain this strong. This migration is materially tightening clean tanker supply and reinforcing the overall tonnage constraint.
Next slide, please. On the order book and square landscape, the known newbuild program through 2029 for handy to LR2 consists of approximately 54 million deadweight tons with LR2s accounting for a large proportion. Against that, potential scrapping of older vessels and sanction tonnage totaled 79 million deadweight tonnes over 2026 to 2029. Here, we assume that the sanctioned fleet above 20 years is unlikely to reenter mainstream trading. Despite available yard slots for 2029 and 2030, any new order would arrive late in the cycle, structurally capping the net fleet growth.
And on to the next slide. When preparing this material, the home was trade remained closed and leaving 124 laden and 33 ballast tankers carrying approximately 96 million barrels worth of dirty petroleum products and 18 million barrels worth of clean petroleum products trapped within the region. Stranded tonnage is materially tighten global supply conditions and underscore the constrained state of the market.
Moving on to the last slide. In summary, while the timing and trajectory of geopolitical developments in the Middle East remain difficult to predict, we remain constructive on the strength of the underlying market fundamentals. As countries continue to draw down on inventories, the eventual reopening of the home was trade and recovery in Eastern refinery operations could trigger a meaningful multi-quarter inventory rebuilding cycle, providing strong underlying support for the tanker demand and resilient freight rates.
I'm now handing over to Perry, our CFO, who will bring you through our financial developments.
Thanks, Karen. Next slide, please. Q1 2026 was our strongest quarter since the end TCE income reached $282.5 million, up from $218.8 million in the first quarter of '25. Adjusted EBITDA came in at $198.6 million compared to $125.1 million again for Q1 2025. Fee-based business contributed $7.1 million and we've also earned $9.9 million in dividend income from our investment in Tor. Therefore, net profit was $179.7 million, nearly triple Q1 2025, and this quarter also included $32.5 million in gains on the vessels that we sold in the quarter. .
Return on equity for Q1 reached 29.5% on an annualized basis. And return on invested capital was 22.7%, both the highest levels we've recorded in the trailing 5 quarters. If we move to the balance sheet on the next page. Our net debt decreased from $932 million to $797 million driven by strong operational cash flow and the vessel sales, the proceeds from those vessel sales. Our net LTV ratio improved meaningfully from 24.9% at the end of last Q4 to 20.2% as vessel valuations continue to rise. Cash flow was steady, and we received proceeds from these vessel sales.
We continue to maintain a strong liquidity profile with total liquidity standing at approximately $660 million, comprising of $146 million in cash and $550 million in undrawn credit facilities. With our newbuild program consisting of 10 MRs, the chart on the bottom right reflects our expected CapEx commitments for these newbuilds. We expect to incur approximately $80 million in Q2 2026 on progress payments and most of the CapEx of the remaining CapEx is concentrated in 2028.
We then move to the operating summary on the next page. The first quarter TCE rates showed significant improvement across most segments. Our fleet-wide average TCE reached $30,327 per day, while our average spot rates were $31,543 per day. The dry docking side, Q1 had 214 off-hire days, significantly less than those that we had experienced in 2025 overall. And we still expect some dry docking in 2026, but the number of off-hire days will decrease meaningfully in the second half of this year.
The strength of the current market is clearly visible in our forward coverage -- as you can see from the graph, our covered rates for Q2 are significant improvements from the previous quarters, supporting our expectation that Q2 will be significantly stronger than Q1.
Then with that, let's move to the next slide. So as of May 13, we have secured 73% of Q2 earning days at an average rate of 46,600 per day. For Q2 through Q4 2026, we have 39% of earning days covered at $38,281 per day. These rates are well above our operational cash flow breakeven and reflect the extraordinary rate environment that we're in. Based on these coverage levels, looking at the current earnings scenarios, as you can see on this page, for full year 2026, the range from $700 million to $1 billion in net income, depending on the scenario.
Michael, over to you for the next slides.
Thank you for that. Move on to the next slide. Let me now turn to Hafner's sustainability strategy and targets. As a global leader in the product tanker segment, we take our role in shaping the maritime ecosystem seriously. We maintained the highest operational and environmental standards and are committed to making a positive impact. Our targets remain unchanged, a 40% reduction in fleet carbon intensity by 2028, and net sales growth on missions by 2050 and CeroHarm across our operations. We continue to invest in our people with a target of 40% women in our offices by 2030.
Next slide, please. Here, we showcased some of our strategic initiatives. On complex So, we have recently commenced the deployment of an enterprise AI platform that integrates conversational AI, workflow analytics, and automation to transform operational data into faster and more informed decision-making. Initial applications are very encouraging, having already improved response time across commercial and finance workflows. We believe the platform has significant potential to scale across Hafnia as adoption accelerates to 2026 and 2027.
Next slide. Looking ahead, we remain encouraged by the fundamentals of the product tanker market. While periods of disruption and volatility often translate into stronger earnings for tanker companies, it is important that we do not lose sight of the human impact of these events. At the end of the quarter, nearly 200 tankers and thousands of sea fares remain unable to transit the straight. The safety and well-being of our own crews as well as those across the industry remain our foremost priority.
The outlook nevertheless remains highly uncertain and depends largely on the duration of the Hormuz disruption and the time required for oil production and global refinery operations to recover. Despite this backdrop, I remain highly confident in Hafner's commercial expertise and operational agility to respond to evolving market dynamics and capture opportunities as they arise.
With that, our presentation concludes. I'd now like to open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] I see Friday, you have your hand up. Can I ask you to unmet yourself, please?
2. Question Answer
My first question is to Michael, I guess, on the 10 MR newbuilds, I think this is the first time we've made a major newbuild investments. I can't recall at least 1 in a few years. So I guess in the prior discussions, we discussed newbuild investments. And in the past, of course, it was more about uncertainty about future fuels, long lead times at the yards. So the question is really about what's changed now? And what makes you feel this is the right time to take an order for new builds.
Thank you for that, Pat. And yes, it is true that we have previously said that we wanted to to wait for more opportune timing when it came to new builds. But I think our conclusion on this has been that we've sold quite a lot of secondhand ships, older vessels. We sold them at very strong prices, which basically reflect the depreciated value of a new build today. So in other words, we have been selling older tonnage, and now we are taking on these 10 MR newbuilds. So we see this as kind of to say normal normal modernization of the fleet.
And the other issue that we've kind of noticed is that the shipyards order book seems to be full very, very far ahead. 29 is almost full. So we're looking at 2030. So we also wanted to make sure we didn't get caught up in a situation where your fleet gets older and older and older every year, and you still have 3 or 4 years until you can get a new ship. So it's really a combination of those. I mean, we would have loved to see prices being lower. But I think what justifies it, as I said, is that we sold a lot more of older vessels before we order the new ones at similar price levels.
Yes. makes total sense, and this shouldn't affect the dividends, right, anyway. So yes, no course of actions. The second question I had is on the -- you mentioned that you're winding down the handy and moving some of the LR2s into time charter. Maybe you could elaborate about that. Is that about scale or risk reduction? Or what's the reason behind that.
Thank you for that. Well, the reason really when it comes to the hands is that -- we've seen a market that over the years actually have been shrinking rather than growing. That goes both from the demand side for handies but also on the supply side of vessels. We had a tremendous proposal for selling the handy ships that we had and the pricing was extremely interesting. I mean, we basically got the same price of the vessels as we bought them for is new builds back in 2015. And they were making a lot of money in between. So that was like a constant decision that made sense because of the price of the assets.
And then by selling that, we basically were coming down to a small amount that we decided to dissolve the pool because the whole idea of the pool is to have scale and to utilize scale to optimize on your earnings, that wasn't the case anymore. So it's a segment that's been shrinking, hence, again, why we also sold out of it. On the LR2 side, it's really a function of that Haftar doesn't have that many other 2 ships. And we decided to charter out a few of those. And because, again, we charted them out. It suddenly became a different scenario. It didn't make any sense to have a pool when you don't have any vessels yourself in the spot market.
So the fuel at we have become more of a hedging sector for us, and that's why we put them out on time charter. That, of course, contains in the future, but that's kind of the reason for the alerts and the fact that we were winding down the pool as well.
Thank you for here. May I ask you to meet yourself?
Maybe sticking with the charter coverage. As you say, Handys and LR2 is a bit smaller part of your fleet. But when I look at your charter coverage on Slide 23, has it been a very significant increase compared to your Q4 report. So I'm just wondering what you're hearing from charters. Obviously, spot rates are very compelling at the moment. But just curious for your thoughts there.
Well, you can say we have actually increased our coverage to some extent, you are sitting somewhere between 25% and 30% coverage for half year now. And well, yes, spot charter rates are compelling. But this is -- for us, is a hedge against geopolitical unrest really and a future that is very hard to predict or at least to set a timing on my [indiscernible
Got it. And then zooming out a bit -- you mentioned migration of LR2s into the dirty trade. Do you see this state of Hermos putting pressure on LR2s to clean up or perhaps trade dirty on the 1 hand I'm thinking you have increased competition from larger tankers for some Atlantic routes, right? And then on the other, there's less export-oriented refining capacity, which you called out in the presentation.
I think primarily the driver for the switch over has been the super strong Aframax market on a general note in the Western Hemisphere. You could say, combined -- that combined with the almost closure for now, meant that you have to balance very long on your alien to pick up next cargo where the natural home for Aframax is pretty much tested to us. So that has probably driven a large part of it. But I think, first and foremost, the aging part of the 2 Aframax combination segment is the Aframaxes getting owned.
And I don't know if you saw -- I can't remember the slide number. But looking at sanction tonnage and aging Aframax fleet, it looks like we will be able to build somewhere around 140 and 150 additional LR2s before you sort of catch up to the aging of the same segment. So in combination, to all seem natural that you will have Ms. Tan for that the LR1 segment go from 250 early '25 to 230 late '25 and now down to I think the last time we have is 179 clean trading LR2, which is a significant dent the deadweight available on the clean product segments that is probably market disruption and the scenarios that we are in now in a reopening of almost will that change things?
Well, to the extent that clean frame supersedes Aframax trade, then you are likely to see ships at least opportunistic trainers shutting back into team. The only caveat to that is that at the same time, right, it will take 1 or 2 quarters to do that meaningful.
I don't actually see any more raised hands. So I am going to move into a question in the chat that we have from Fausto regarding S&P. So the company has been doing a great job on the fleet renewal front. Should we expect divestitures to continue in the coming months? What is management's view of the current S&P markets. Recently, the company has expanded the fleet with new builds. Could management comment on the reasons for favoring new builds over secondhand tonnage. Does management currently see new builds as more attractive? Or are there a few opportunities in the secondhand market?
Yes. Thank you for that question. Well, I think the fleet renewal strategy that we have is kind of an ongoing thing. So we still have a couple of vessels in our fleet that at the right price, we'd consider to divest but we have done most of the cleanup, I would say, of the older tonne it has been done already. So we're kind of getting close to a point where what we have left is what we would like to have left. .
The newbuild versus secondhand, yes, I mean, I think there's 2 things in it. One is that we do believe that the secondhand vessels here and now are very highly priced for obvious reasons because you have a very strong spot market. We're not convinced maybe that, that is the right time to pay up for modern ships here and on the water with all the uncertainty. So the fleet renewal and the new build is first also about a new generation of vessels. So the vessels that we get in '29 is a new design, which will have a lot more fuel savings than the older designs.
So it's also kind of a way of making sure that we continue to be on the trajectory of having modern ships with less fuel consumption and less emissions. On top of that, they deliver in 2029. And if you look at the slide of the 2 slides that we have in the presentation, you can see how the aging fleet is coming under severe price already now. The current order book is nowhere near to cover the vessels that have to be scrapped within the next 4 to 5 years.
So we're kind of also feeling that the timing of getting something in '29 could actually be at a time where there is a massive shortfall again of tonnage. So that's another thing that we have kind of taken in or factored in when we made that decision.
Okay. Thank you, Michael, for that. And thank you, Faster for the question. I don't actually see any more questions in the chat, all the Q&A and I don't see any more raised hands. So which then means that we have come to the end of today's presentation. Thank you so much for attending apneas First Quarter 2020 financial results conference call. You can find more information available online at www.afnia.com. See you next time.
Hafnia — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Hafnia — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Q1 2026: net profit nearly tripled as geopolitical disruption tightened tanker supply; strong cash, big dividend and planned newbuilds.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Net profit: $179.7M (≈3x Q1 2025)
- TCE (time charter equivalent): $282.5M (up from $218.8M)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $198.6M vs $125.1M YoY
- NAV: ≈$4.0B or $8.09/share (up from $3.5B)
- Liquidity & leverage: Net LTV 20.2% (down from 24.9%); total liquidity ≈$660M
🎯 What Management Says
- Fleet renewal: Ordered 8 MR newbuilds plus exercised 2 options (deliveries 2028–H1 2029) to lower average age and improve fuel efficiency.
- Asset recycling: Continued divestment of older vessels and plan to wind down Handy pool; shift some LR2s to time charters.
- Shareholder returns: Declared an 80% payout ratio: $143.8M total ($0.2877/share); cumulative 4-quarter dividends $365.3M.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Forward cover: 73% of Q2 earning days locked at $46,600/day; Q2–Q4 coverage 39% at $38,281/day.
- FY2026 range: Management scenarios imply net income between $700M and $1.0B depending on market path.
- Risks & capex: Key risks are duration of Strait of Hormuz disruption and refinery outages; expected Q2 newbuild progress payments ≈$80M with bulk of CapEx in 2028.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Newbuilds vs secondhand: Management said secondhand prices are high; newbuilds lock modern, more fuel-efficient designs and secure yard slots for 2029 delivery.
- Pool exits & time charters: Handy pool wound down due to shrinking scale and attractive sale prices; LR2s chartered out as hedging/earnings stability.
- Coverage strategy: Increased charter coverage as a hedge against geopolitical uncertainty; management remains opportunistic on further divestitures.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Conclusion: Q1 confirms Hafnia is a near-term beneficiary of market disruption—strong earnings, healthier balance sheet and hefty dividend—while committing to long-term fleet modernization; shareholders gain income and exposure to a tighter tanker market but remain exposed to the timing of geopolitical and refinery recoveries.
Hafnia — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Hafnia's Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results Presentation. We will begin shortly. You will be brought through today's presentation by Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov; CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; Soren Winther, VP, Commercial; and Thomas Andersen, EVP, Head of Investor Relations. They will be pleased to address any questions after the presentation. [Operator Instructions] During this conference call, some statements may be considered forward-looking, reflecting management's current expectations. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Hafnia's control that could cause actual results, performance or plans to differ significantly from those expressed or implied. Additionally, this conference call does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov.
Thank you, and hello, everyone. Thanks for joining Hafnia's fourth quarter earnings call. I'm Mikael Skov, the CEO of Hafnia. With me today are our CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; our VP of Commercial, Soren Winther; and our Head of Investor Relations, Thomas Andersen. We released our fourth quarter and full year 2025 results earlier today, and you can find them on our website. On today's call, we'll walk you through our Q4 highlights, the latest market developments and our outlook and then give an update on our financial position. We'll also touch on our sustainability initiatives before opening for questions. Let's move to the next slide.
Before we proceed, I would like to go through our safe harbor statement. The information discussed on this call is based on the information we have today, which may include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these statements. Nothing presented on this call should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities. Thank you for your attention. With that, let's begin with a review of our results for the quarter. Next slide, please. So we are now on Slide #4. The product tanker market started 2025 on a softer note, but strengthened through the second half and remained seasonally firm in the fourth quarter. This helped us close the year on a strong footing. In Q4, we delivered our strongest quarter of 2025 with a net profit of $109.7 million. For the full year, that brings us to a net profit of $339.7 million, another year of solid performance.
As part of our fleet renewal strategy, we continued divesting older vessels at attractive prices. So far in Q1, we've sold 2 MR vessels and committed to sell 2 more MRs, 4 LR1s and 4 Handys. During the quarter, we also took delivery of the Ecomar Gironde, the fourth and final dual-fuel IMO II MR in our Ecomar joint venture. In December, we acquired 13.97% of Torm's shares from Oaktree. Since then, we've engaged with Torm's stakeholders, including its Board to explore the merits of a potential combination. We see a strong strategic rationale with commercial, operational and financial benefits for shareholders as well as enhanced market presence and trading liquidity. In our view, our combined platform would create a clear market leader in scale and performance within the shipping industry. Let's move to the next slide.
Next, I'd like to highlight Hafnia's key investment attributes. We are a global leader in the product and chemical tanker space, operating one of the largest and most diversified fleets in the industry. At the end of Q4, we owned or chartered in 123 vessels with an average age of 9.7 years, well below the industry average of 14.1 years. As we continue to sell older tonnage, our fleet will become even younger, more efficient and better positioned for stronger earnings as well as significant savings on global carbon taxes in the future, which are aimed at penalizing older vessels with large fuel oil consumption. At quarter end, our net asset value was about $3.5 billion, which translates to $7.04 per share or NOK 70.79. Beyond our own fleet, we also operate around 65 third-party vessels across 8 pools. These contributed roughly $30 million in earnings for the full year of 2025.
Let's move to the next slide. Another key investment attribute for Hafnia is our transparent dividend policy. We've now paid dividends for 16 consecutive quarters, and our goal is to keep them sustainable and predictable through the cycle. At the end of the fourth quarter, our net LTV stood at 24.9%. And in line with our policy, this means we are declaring an 80% payout ratio for Q4. That results in a total cash dividend of $87.7 million or $0.1762 per share. For shareholders receiving dividends in Norwegian kroner, the exchange rate will be based on the value date 2 business days before payment. For the full year 2025, that brings total dividends to $271.7 million or $0.5557 per share, representing a yield at about 10%.
When we include the share buybacks completed in 2025, we returned 88.1% of our net profit to shareholders. We're now on Slide #7. Our strong performance is further demonstrated across different time periods, our total shareholder return shows that we have consistently delivered superior returns. At the same time, when we benchmark our cost base against our closest peers, we are pleased with our positioning, which allows us to operate at highly competitive levels while supporting sustainable value creation and also one of the main reasons why we see substantial value in consolidation in our sector. Next slide, please. Soren Winther, our VP of Commercial, will now share the industry review and market outlook.
Thank you, Mikael. Let me start with a quick review of the product tanker market in Q4 2025. And then I will walk through our outlook for the months ahead. Overall, 2025 was supported by continued growth in refined oil exports and higher crude oil exports. This drove a significant shift of coated LR2 vessels into dirty trading, tightening supply within the clean segment. The product tanker market stayed seasonally firm through the fourth quarter into 2026. We have seen a surge in both dirty and clean product volumes on the water. Dirty volumes have largely been driven by sanctioned barrels awaiting buyers, while clean volumes reflect strong export flows out of the U.S. Gulf, the Middle East and China. These flows have benefited from reduced demand for Russian refined products, which has increased demand for non-sanctioned supply and supported tonne miles.
Here, we can see the relationship between product tanker tonne days and earnings. Historically, clean petroleum product volumes on the water have shown a strong correlation with tonne days and tonne days in turn correlate well with earnings. That said, the earnings recovery for the fourth quarter was more moderate. The main reason is the large number of newbuild deliveries in 2025, combined with very limited scrapping to offset the fleet growth. Together, these factors have capped the upside in freight rates. Even so, area-specific tightness has remained an important market driver. In particular, the U.S. Gulf continues to see sustained historically high earnings in the Clean Products segment. This slide shows the improvement in demand fundamentals. If we look at year-on-year tonne-mile development for clean products, we can see a clear growth trend going back to 2020. This trend is also reflected in cargo volumes, which are now at their highest levels in 9 years.
This reinforces the resilience in global oil demand and shows how ongoing geopolitical disruptions continue to reshape trade flows. On the dirty side, cargo volumes have been relatively stable, but dirty petroleum product tonne miles have rebounded sharply, up by around 2 billion tonne miles in 2026. This reflects the impact of trade route dislocations linked to sanctioned vessels and fuels, which have lengthened voice distances and pushed tonne miles higher. Moving on to the supply side. And even though we saw a large number of newbuild deliveries in 2025, the overall net fleet growth for product tankers has stayed limited. A major reason for this is the continued impact of crude tanker sanctions, which have pushed a significant share of LR2 vessels into Aframax dirty trading. In fact, in 2025, around 80% of coated LR2 newbuild capacity or the equivalent thereof moved into the dirty market.
And now more than half of the coated LR2 Aframax fleet is operating in dirty petroleum products trade. Specific to the clean LR2 segment, it is worth noting that the competing fleet count is at its lowest in 3 years. Beyond the LR2 migration we just discussed, sanctioned vessels also play a major role in tightening fleet supply. In 2025, the U.K., UN and OFAC collectively sanctioned more than 500 tankers, most of them crude vessels. The EU's 20th sanctions package is expected to add another 43 vessels to the count. The class and names of these vessels are yet to be identified. Further sanctioning of the shadow fleet throughout 2026 can be anticipated. This is supportive for both crude and product tankers as sanctioning effectively reduces available fleet supply and limited crude to clean cannibalization, keeping overall supply versus demand balanced.
Importantly, there's a broad consensus amongst insurers, major flag states and government advisory bodies that sanctioned tonnage is unlikely to return to the mainstream trade even if sanctions are eventually lifted. Despite the already large number of sanctioned vessels, data from Lloyd's list shows that around 1,000 additional non-sanctioned shadow fleet vessels will -- are still trading within sanctioned regions. Flag hopping remains a common practice within the shadow fleet as evidenced by the high share of fraudulent or rapidly changing flags. A significant proportion of both the sanctioned fleet and the broader shadow fleet is more than 20 years old. That points to a higher scrapping potential. Beyond the factors we have already discussed, the continued aging of the fleet and the potential for scrapping further support the supply outlook.
Between 2026 and 2028, we expect about 43 million deadweight tonnes of newbuild deliveries across the Handy to LR2 Aframax segments. Over the same period, potential scrapping could reach roughly 38 million deadweight tons based on typical scrapping ages of 25 years. Looking a bit further ahead, another 29 million deadweight tons could leave the fleet between 2029 and 2030. Another important point is that 65% of the newbuild program consists of coated LR2s. If we apply the historical crude migration factor of about 72.5% to these future LR2 deliveries, a large part of the apparent supply will be absorbed into the dirty market. The right-hand graph illustrates the current newbuild program is more than manageable, provided the scrapping of scrap age non-sanctioned vessels and sanctioned tonnage above 20 years of age.
Slide #15. Bringing together the impacts of LR2 migration and vessel sanctions, we can see that overall clean petroleum product capacity growth in 2025 was limited. For the full year, around 12 million coated deadweight tonnes have been delivered, yet only about 1.4 million deadweight have effectively entered clean trading. This translates to approximately 0.6% net growth in clean product tanker supply for the year. We noticed the trend of broker reports increasingly using a 20-year age cutoff when assessing the competitive fleet. Our models instead apply a 25-plus year threshold, reflecting the rising scrap ages. This shift is largely driven by recent political unrest. Since 2022, transportation demand across the Handy to VLCC segments has increased by 4 million barrels per day. Over the same period, tankers aged 20 to 24 years have seen a demand rise by 4 million barrels, while vessels over 25 years have seen a 1 million barrel increase.
These trends demonstrate that older tonnage remains commercially relevant and should be considered when evaluating the effective supply-demand balance. Inventory levels remain an important indicator for the product tanker market. In Europe, diesel inventories drew down sharply through most of 2025 before rising again in the fourth quarter to meet seasonal winter demand. Refinery margins have softened since Q4 2025, especially in Europe, while U.S. refiners have benefited from access to newly discounted Venezuelan sour crude. The forward curve is trending upward, largely driven by crude backwardation, which supports near-term fundamentals. Looking ahead, we remain optimistic for Q2 2026. Moving on to next slide, where Perry, our CFO, will now bring you through our financial developments.
Thanks for that, Soren. If we move to the next slide, please. We delivered our strongest quarterly results of 2025, supported by the seasonally firm market conditions in Q4, driven by growth in oil production and export volumes. For the fourth quarter, we reported an adjusted EBITDA of $149.7 million and a net profit of $109.7 million, which includes $9.5 million from gains on vessel sales. Our fee-based businesses contributed $6.9 million in fee income. So for the full year 2025, we recorded a net profit of $339.7 million with a return on equity of 14.8% and a return on invested capital of 11.2%. If we then move to the next page to the balance sheet. Our net LTV ratio increased from 20.5% at the end of the third quarter to 24.9% at the end of Q4. This increase was primarily due to our investment in Torm, which raised the debt level and was included at market value in the calculation.
This was partially offset by higher vessel valuations and a strong operational cash flow generation. We continue to maintain a strong liquidity profile with $104 million in cash on hand and an additional $324 million in undrawn capacity for a total of around $430 million of availability. We move to the next page on to the operating summary. We continue to generate strong operating cash flows and TCE rates have improved for the fourth consecutive quarter since Q4 2024 with a strong momentum continuing into the first quarter of 2026. For Q4, TCE income stood at $259 million with an average TCE of $27,346 per day. As in the previous quarters throughout 2025, our Q4 results were impacted by scheduled dry dockings, which accounted for approximately 550 off-hire days. This was around 120 days higher than expected due to unscheduled repairs for 3 vessels. We expect dry docking activity to continue into 2026, but the number of off-hire days will decline significantly compared to 2025.
Across '25, we dry docked around 40 vessels and expect to complete around another 20 vessels in 2026. So with most of the dry dockings behind us and freight markets recovering, we're well positioned for improved utilization and stronger earnings momentum throughout 2026. Then let's move on to the next slide. The recovery in freight market is further evident here. As of the 11th of February, we have secured 76% of our Q1 earning days at an average rate of $29,979 per day, well above our operational cash flow breakeven for '26 of below $13,000 per day, highlighting the strong earnings leverage in the current market. For the entire year of 2026, we already have 33% of earning days covered at an average rate of $27,972 per day as most of our LR2s have secured long-term time charter contracts. So based on Q1 and full year covered rates as well as looking at analyst consensus, 2026 points towards another year of strong earnings. Then Mikael, over to you for the next few slides.
Thank you. We're on Slide 25. Let me now turn on Hafnia's sustainability strategy and goals. As a global leader in the product tanker segment, we take our role in shaping the maritime ecosystem seriously. We maintain the highest operational and environmental standards and are committed to making a positive impact. Across the supply chain, we work closely with strategic partners, regulators and international bodies to co-develop solutions to the industry's challenges. Moving on to the next slide. Here, we showcase some of the strategic initiatives we've been working on to strengthen our competitive edge. For example, we are advancing our technological capabilities through our strategic investment in Complexio. Complexio acts as an enterprise intelligence layer that automatically understands how an organization operates by mapping human behavior across its system, enabling proactive decision support and intelligent automation across the enterprise.
Next slide. Looking ahead, we remain encouraged by the fundamentals of the product tanker market. Although 2026 will see a significant number of newbuild deliveries, the impact of sanctioned vessels and the ongoing LR2 transition will help ease effective market supply. I'm confident in the strength of the underlying demand fundamentals and proud that we have continued to deliver solid results while maintaining our 80% dividend payout ratio, recording a total shareholder return of 33% over the past year. We will continue to exercise disciplined financial management and pursue strategic opportunities that enhance our competitive position. With that, our presentation concludes. I'd now like to open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Okay. Great. So let's get started. Frode can I ask you to unmute yourself, please?
2. Question Answer
Yes. I wanted to first discuss the LR2/crude Aframax spread we're seeing today. Are you surprised that given the switching we have seen that there's still $25,000 per day premium to crude Aframaxes. And does that mean that we should expect even more LR2s to move into dirty trades?
Well, it is really happening as we speak in any case. So the spread between the LR2s and the Aframaxes and the larger segments in reality already now causes more ships to enter into Aframax trade for sure. From a spot market perspective, it's more or less to the tune of an open up from the Middle East at the moment with the middle distillate coming over. You hardly see any of the ships coming back from the Western Hemisphere where once they get to the other side, they actually enter into the Aframax trade. So the transition is still going on. And as some of the earlier slides showed, we're actually having the lowest count of clean trading LR2s for a number of years, which makes the market for the immediate month ahead super, super tight in the Middle East.
Yes, right. So I wanted to -- I'm curious about your view on the seasonality here because Q1 and Q4 is traditionally viewed as like the highest points. But given what's happening in the crude market, super strong crude rates, Aframax is very strong. And as you said, LR2 is still moving into dirty trades, do you -- could we see like shifts in the seasonality that maybe Q2 would be better than normal or et cetera?
I think there's a lot of political or geopolitical unrest that is linked to this and nonetheless, the crisis ongoing in Iran versus the U.S. So I think there is a risk premium that relates to some of the hype that you're seeing at the moment. Having said that, I mean, we are in the quarter where most delays are appearing, bad weather and really reflected on the earnings for sure. On a fundamental basis, I think the Aframaxes, if we just focus on those, Venezuela coming into play, which is a Suezmax, Aframax place, gives an elevation to the market and more ton mile really on the Aframaxes. You have the Trans Mountain pipeline from Vancouver over to the Eastern Hemisphere. That has been another addition that really happened last year, but it still has its effect. And then you have the export out of South America coming into PADD 3 also related to the Aframaxes. So on a general note, I think there's a lot of good things, including sanctioning speaking for the Aframaxes. And yes, on the basis of geopolitics, you could have a second quarter that just looks stronger than normal historical averages, I would say.
Yes. Interesting. On the MRs, are we seeing any effects from this EU regulations that came in January 1, I guess, of this -- that the refineries can't use Russian crude. So maybe the Turkish refined products are shifting away from Europe. Are you seeing that impacting the MRs?
I think it's more a global perspective on a general note where you're seeing more legit barrels having to travel on the mainstream fleet on a general note. Looking at the Europe and Mediterranean for the MRs, that's probably the weakest area, and it has been for a long time, one because of the lag in volume coming out of Russia that we used to have years back. And second of all, because of the export flows maybe out of Turkey as well. I don't think it means that much in the space. But lagging in Europe, then again, massive supply out of the U.S. Gulf that is really driving the entire Western Hemisphere.
Do we have any more questions via the raise hand function I'm not actually seeing anything there. So I will then move on to check the chat. So we have a question from Tony. So any sign currently of increased scrapping of sanctioned vessels? Perhaps, Soren, you could take that one.
Yes, I can do that. I think we have seen a couple of ships that has been actually allowed to be scrapped in India. But to my knowledge, it's only a couple so far. I think the important bit here is that the Indian seems to have made it clear that they will be able to accept scrapping of sanctioned tonnage. And that's the first step rather than having taking bombs sitting idle in base around the world. So I don't think we can say that there is a lot of ongoing scrapping yet, but at least the potential to have them has been opened.
Okay. Thank you, Soren. Do we have any more questions coming through in either the chat or the Q&A function? Thank you, [ Tony ], for your comment. We have another question coming through on any reason why Hafnia isn't moving more LR2 into the Aframax trade. Perhaps Soren, maybe back to you.
Yes. There's one fundamental reason for that. We have decided to charter out on a long-term charter or LR2s rather than moving into the spot trade, which is really a part of our housekeeping hedge strategy for Hafnia as a general, and the value really lies on the bigger ships. So that's why we have done that rather than going into dirty trade.
Okay. Great. Thank you, Soren. I actually, I'll give it a few more seconds to see if there's anything coming through in either the chat or the Q&A. Actually, we have another question coming through from [ Paul ] on the raise hand function. Can you please unmute yourself?
Yes. I just -- I guess you have the same dynamics on the LR1s, right? So there's a large portion of the LR1s that trade dirty as well. Isn't that correct?
Yes. The Panamax market has been moving from literally $20,000 to $60,000, maybe even $70,000 levels with very, very strong earnings. So we are benefiting from that with our pool together with Mercuria in the U.S. Gulf. And it's only an 85 ship market. It's not really a big market. So when you have stuff like Venezuela coming into play with Diluent and Naphtha going into getting the crude out and you take 10% of the fleet and dedicated for that, you see a market that moves quite rapidly. So yes, it has been a very good move.
Yes. So that's important. I mean, the Q1 guidance or bookings, I guess, is quite strong on LR1s, and there's no reason why the same let's say, crude switching, if that's the right word, is not benefiting you, right? The LR1s will also benefit. And by sequence, when LR1s go up, then that impacts MRs, right? Isn't that the dynamic?
Yes. And that's what we are seeing at the moment. The lack of LR2s in the Middle East is going to spill down to the LR1s and actually, the effect is already happening on the MRs as well. So for sure, when you draw everything short, market is bound to pop, right?
We have another question coming through -- I'm moving on to the Q&A section. So we have one. Can you please comment on your commercial performance versus peers like Torm and MRs during Q4 '25 and Q1 2026? Soren, is that one for you, yes?
I don't know if it's for me or Mikael. I think it's for me. I had a quick review of the Torm numbers coming out today. And comparably, if you try and make apples-to-apples fleet and so on, I see that as a close run-up. We outperform on 1 or 2 segments and very close on all the others. So I think it's a tie, to be honest.
Okay. Thank you, Soren. We have another question, which I think is for Mikael. Can you elaborate on the status of Torm shareholding? What can we expect?
Yes. So I mean, I think we try to say as much as we can basically in the material we sent out already. Well, first of all, you can say that the shareholding on an isolated basis, of course, now has turned out to be a good investment. So at least when we look at the share price today versus what we paid and invested, it's obviously -- it looks great on paper. I think when it comes to any other issues, all I can say is that when we look at consolidation in general, what we are looking at is really trying to make 1 plus 1 becoming 3. So in other words, the reason why we've been advocating consolidation actually for years is that when we look at valuations and multiple expansions on companies, it's pretty clear that when you're a $5 billion or $6 billion shipping company versus $2 billion to $3 billion isolated, there's a significant difference through the cycles on the value -- net asset value versus pricing and also on a multiple basis.
So we think there's immediate uplift that way, but there's also a lot of synergies around to be harvested. And our view hasn't really changed that when you look into the future and you look into an energy complex that will change and for companies that are purely tankers alone, there's also a new element in terms of how do you position yourself, both in terms of investments in dual fuel engines, but also in terms of potentially running different types of ships that are burning different types of potentially oil or carrying different types of cargoes. And for that, you need scale. And I think you need both scale and you also need a capital market track record that is good. So I think for all these purposes, we see a lot of synergies on cost side. We see a lot of synergies on revenue side for sure. But we also, as I said, see a lot on immediately value uptick on valuations in general, which again would increase dividend capacity for shareholders.
Okay. Thank you, Mikael. And I believe you've also covered a similar question in the chat on our TOM investment and future M&A strategy. So I'll give it a few more seconds to see if anything else comes through in either the Q&A or the chat. And there's nothing in the raise hand function either. Okay. So then we have come to the end of today's presentation. Thank you for attending Hafnia's Fourth Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. You can find more information available on our website, www.hafnia.com. Thank you, everyone, for coming.
Hafnia — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Hafnia — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Hafnia's Third Quarter 2025 Financial Results Presentation. We will begin shortly. We will be brought through today's presentation by Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov; CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; Soren Winther, VP, Commercial; and Thomas Andersen, EVP, Head of Investor Relations. They will be pleased to address any questions after the presentation. [Operator Instructions]
During this conference call, some statements may be considered forward-looking, reflecting management's current expectations. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Hafnia's control that could cause actual results, performance or plans to differ significantly from those expressed or implied. Additionally, this conference call does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov.
Thank you, and hello, everyone. We appreciate you joining in Hafnia's third quarter 2025 earnings call. My name is Mikael Skov, CEO of Hafnia. And with me today is our CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; our VP of Commercial, Soren Winther; and our EVP and Head of Investor Relations, Thomas Andersen.
Earlier today, we released our Q3 2025 results, which are now available on our website. During this call, we will walk you through our quarterly performance, discuss key market developments and share updates on our financial position. We will also present our sustainability initiatives before opening the call for questions.
Let's move to the next slide. Slide #2. Before we proceed, I would like to go through our safe harbor statement. The information discussed on this call is based on information we have today, which may include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these statements. Nothing presented on this call should be construed as an offer to buy or sell securities. Thank you for your attention.
With that, let's begin with a review of our results for the quarter. Next slide, Slide #4. The product tanker market started out this year on a softer note, but it strengthened significantly through the third quarter. Higher trading volumes and strong refinery margins drove this. Much of the growth came from increased export flows out of the Middle East and Asia with clean petroleum products on water continuing to rise throughout the quarter. This strong backdrop supported the spot market, and I'm pleased to share that Hafnia delivered another excellent quarter.
For Q3, we achieved $150.5 million in adjusted EBITDA and a net profit of $91.5 million, our best quarter so far this year. As part of our fleet renewal strategy, we also sold four older vessels, all built between 2010 and 2012.
Finally, in September, we announced a preliminary agreement to acquire 14.45% of TORM shares from Oaktree. This was followed by a binding share purchase agreement, and we are now waiting for the appointment of a new independent board chair at TORM before we can complete the acquisition.
Moving on to Slide #5. Next, I'd like to give you a brief overview of Hafnia and highlight our key investment attributes. Hafnia is a global leader in the product and chemical tanker space. We operate one of the largest and most diversified fleets in the industry. As of the third quarter, we own and chartered in 126 vessels with an average fleet age of 9.6 years, significantly younger than the industry average. At the end of the quarter, our net asset value was approximately $3.4 billion, translating to $6.76 per share or NOK 67.55.
Beyond our core fleet operations, we continue to give strength through our complementary business platforms. We commercially manage about 80 third-party vessels across 8 pools, and our bunkering procurement platform supports both Hafnia's vessels and external partners, creating additional scale and efficiency benefits.
Let's move to the next slide, which is Slide #6. Another key investment attribute of Hafnia is our transparent and consistent dividend policy. We have delivered dividend consistently over the past several years, and our goal has always been to make them sustainable and predictable across the market cycle. Our net loan-to-value ratio improved from 24.1% in the second quarter to 20.5%, supported by strong operational cash flows. Approximately $100 million was used to repurchase vessels on the sale and leaseback financings. In addition, vessel market values have also recorded a slight uptick compared to the previous quarter. In line with our dividend policy, we are declaring a payout ratio of 80% for the quarter. This corresponds to a total cash dividend of $73.2 million or $0.1470 per share. For shareholders receiving dividends in Norwegian kroner, the exchange rate will be based on the value date, which is two business days before the payment date.
With this quarter, we now mark 15 consecutive quarters of dividend payments, underscoring our commitment to consistent shareholder returns and long-term value creation. Soren Winther, our VP of Commercial, will now share the industry review and market outlook.
Thank you, Mikael. Let me begin with a review of third quarter market conditions within the product tanker market segment, where Hafnia primarily operates and then share our outlook for the months ahead.
The product tanker market started 2025 on a softer note, but showed countercyclical strength throughout the third quarter, supported by higher trading activity and tonne-miles. Clean petroleum product volumes on water for 2025, continue to track above the 4-year average, with Q3 showing an unseasonal increase compared to previous years. Importantly, the corresponding rise in daily loaded volumes suggest that total oil and water is being driven by higher export demand rather than longer voice distances.
Moving on to Slide 9. While high clean petroleum product volumes usually correlate with stronger earnings, the earnings recovery this quarter was more modest, yet 18% stronger for [indiscernible].
We also saw a strong rebound and ton-days during the third quarter, supported by tight gasoline and distillate supply in Europe, stemming from ongoing refinery closures. This dynamic has driven tonne-miles and supported strong trading margins out of the U.S. and the Eastern basin.
Moving on to Slide 10. On the supply side, despite continued newbuild deliveries in 2025, overall fleet growth has remained limited. This primarily is driven by continued vessel sanctions, and the migration of LR2s into Aframax dirty trading. Year-to-date, roughly 88% of the coated LR2 newbuilds have migrated into the dirty market, supported by a stronger crude earnings environment. In effect, the Crude segment has absorbed about 45% of the 2025 coated newbuild program, significantly minimizing increases in clean trading deadweight.
Moving on to Slide 11. Beyond the LR2 migration, sanctioned vessels also play a significant role in tightening fleet supply in 2025. The U.K., UN and OFAC have collectively sanctioned more than 400 tankers this year, with roughly 25% of them operate in product segments. This is supportive for product tankers. As it effectively reduces available supply and also limits crude cannibalization, contributing to a tighter overall supply-demand balance.
EUs 19th sanctions package, adds another 19 vessels to this list with the new addition split evenly between dirty and clean trading. We estimate that approximately 280 additional vessels have engaged in trade with sanctioned regions, signaling the potential for further sanctions. The dark fleet refers to targets with questionable ownership and an older age profile, while the grey fleet is associated with more reputable ownership.
Moving on to Slide 12. Bringing together the topics of LR2 migration and vessel sanctions detailed in the previous two slides, overall, clean petroleum product capacity growth in 2025 has been unlimited. Year-to-date, around 12 million coated deadweight has been delivered. We had only about 1.1 million deadweight has effectively entered clean trading. This translates to approximately 0.5% net growth in clean product tanker supply.
Moving on to Slide 13. Looking ahead, the supply outlook is less concerning than initially feared or reported. If we apply a 72.5% crude migration factor to future coated LR2 deliveries over the next 3 years, this implies roughly 11% fleet growth based on the current order book. However, nearly half of that growth is concentrated in 2026 driven by a heavier delivery schedule in the first quarter.
Slide 14. Clean product cannibalization remained a real threat in Q3 with cannibalization volumes exceeding the 3-year average. Despite this, clean product earnings proved resilient throughout the quarter. On a positive note and looking ahead, the current strong earnings environment in the VLCC and Suezmax segments has reduced cannibalization volumes for November to nearly zero. This sets the stage for a robust outlook for the remainder of 2025 into Q1 2026.
Moving on to Slide 15. Apart from the factors we have discussed, the continued aging of vessels and potential scrapping also supports a positive supply outlook. Between 2025 and 2028, we expect around 114 million deadweight of newbuilds across Handy to VLCC segments. Over the same period, potential scrapping could approximately be around 167 million deadweight based on typical scrapping ages. Looking further ahead, an additional 87 million deadweight could exit the fleet between 2029 and '30-'31. It is important to note that these estimates do not account for differences in utilization between newbuilds and older vessels.
Slide 16. Inventory levels are an important indicator within the product tanker market. European diesel inventories have seen significant draws in 2025. With the winter season approaching, Europe will look to replenish inventory. The end of refinery turnarounds in the U.S. Gulf, Far East and Middle East during November will free up additional export capacity to support the supply. As I'll explain in later slides, it's also worth noting that South America will rely on increased North American supply over the next two quarters, leaving the Eastern Hemisphere to cover the European import shortfall. This dynamic is expected to drive higher volumes and longer tonne-miles.
Slide 17. With continued drawdowns and refinery turnarounds, refinery margins have been on the rise in 2025. This typically correlates with higher earnings, further supporting the underlying market strength over the first quarter of 2026.
Slide 18. The longevity of strong refining margins and resulting transportation demand is set to continue in Q1 2026. Fundamentally, European supply and rising transportation volumes depends on sufficient oil availability and the pricing structure that supports underlying arbitrages. Forward arbitrage from the U.S. Gulf and the East to Europe, is trending high for the remainder of 2025 into 2026. This supports forward trading volumes and underscores the real and sustained demand from Europe to cover for the winter season and replenish low inventories.
Slide 19. Geopolitical tensions continue to influence the product tanker market. Following Ukraine's drone strikes on Russian refineries, clean petroleum product exports from Russia have declined significantly, while crude exports have correspondingly increased. This leads Russia's ability to supply clean petroleum products to South America and West Africa, prompting substitute barrels from the U.S. Gulf and Europe. These shifts drive higher tonne-miles on the non-sanctioned fleet, pushing the overall utilization. We're already seeing a decline in South American imports from Russia, accompanied by corresponding increases in imports from the U.S. Gulf.
Moving on to Slide 20. Further on geopolitical tensions. In early Q4, the Trump administration facilitated a piece plan between Israel and Hamas, aimed at ending hostilities. While this could eventually lead to a gradual reopening of the Red Sea, we expect the process to take time. Our analysis suggests that the potential impact of a Red Sea reopening may be less than initially anticipated. If Red Sea transits return to normal, Suez canal traffic could regain the equivalent of roughly 180 MRs in transportation demand. While tonnage demand loss via the Cape of Good Hope are projected at around 230 MRs. The net effect on total arbitrage transportation volumes, while the Suez canal is about 43 MR equivalents. This implies a minimal negative market impact of approximately 6 MR units.
Moving on to the next slide, where Perry, our CFO, now will bring you through the financial developments.
Thanks, Soren. If we move to next page, 22. We indeed had another strong quarter as market conditions strengthened, fueled by higher trading activity and firm refinery margins. For Q3, we reported adjusted EBITDA of $150.5 million and a net profit of $91.5 million, which is our best quarterly results of 2025 so far. Our Fee-based business in the pools remained steady, contributing $7.1 million in fee income. And we maintained strong profitability metrics with an annualized return on equity of 15.9% and a return on invested capital of 12.8%.
Moving on to the operating summary. We continue to generate strong operating cash flows, supported by a boost balance sheet and further declining breakeven levels. For the quarter, TCE income stood at $247 million with an average TCE of $26,040 per day. A meaningful portion of our fleet was built in 2015 and 2016, leading to a relatively high number of drydockings. And this quarter's performance also reflected the impact of several vessels undergoing drydocking. We recorded approximately 740 off-hire days in Q3, which is about 230 days above our initial expectations, primarily due to drydock glass and two vessels undergoing special cargo tank recoating. Across the first three quarters of '25, we have drydocked 32 vessels and expect to complete another 14 in the fourth quarter. While we still have several vessels scheduled for drydocking in the coming quarters, we do expect off-hire days to decline and taper down to around 440 in the fourth quarter. This positions us well for stronger utilization and earnings momentum heading into 2016.
And turning to the balance sheet. We made significant progress this quarter. Our net LTV ratio based on our 100% owned fleet improved from 24.1% at the end of Q2 to 20.5%, supported by strong operational cash flows. Across 2025, we have also reduced our weighted average debt margins by more than 50 basis points, further strengthening our financial position by securing very attractive pricing on new financings. During the quarter, we have used $100 million of our excess liquidity alongside debt refinancing to repurchase 14 vessels that are under -- that were under sale and leasebacks. Vessel market values remained stable, showing a slight uptick from the previous quarter.
On the right, you can see our liquidity position. Following the signing of our $750 million revolving credit facility, we ended the quarter with over $630 million in total available liquidity, consisting of around $130 million in cash and $500 million in undrawn financing capacity. As mentioned earlier, we recently announced the agreement to acquire 14.45% of TORM shares. And let me clarify how this will be reflected in our net LTV calculation upon effectiveness of that transaction. In addition to broker valuations for our wholly owned vessels, we will incorporate the lower of the investments market value or its purchase price. This ensures that the investment is reflected in our leverage metric, while also maintaining the integrity of our dividend policy, which is designed to balance our capital structure and our asset strength.
Looking ahead, our solid financial position and effective cost structure supports an operational cash flow breakeven of below $13,000 per day for 2026. Given the current market environment, this positions us very well for another year of strong earnings.
If we look for that on the next page. So we look towards conclusion of Q4, as of the 14th of November, we have secured 71% of our Q4 earnings days at an average rate of $25,610 per day. For 2026, we already have 15% of our earning days covered at an average rate of $24,506 per day, giving us a strong head start to the year ahead. If you look at that based on the Q4 covered rates and also the analyst consensus, 2025 points toward net profits for the full year in the range of $300 million to $350 million. This positions us exceptionally well as we also move into 2026.
And Mikael, over to you for the next few slides.
Thank you for this. And let me now turn to Hafnia sustainability strategy and goals, and we are on Slide 27. As a global leader in the product tanker segment, we do recognize the critical role we play in shaping the maritime ecosystem. We hold ourselves to the highest operational and environmental standards with a clear commitment to creating a positive difference. Across the value chain, we are deepening collaboration with strategic partners, regulators and key international bodies to codevelop solutions to the challenges our industry faces. These efforts ensure that Hafnia remains firmly positioned at the forefront of the energy transition, not just adapting, but leading the way forward.
Moving to Slide 28. Here, we showcased some of the strategic initiatives we've been working on to strengthen our competitive edge. Take Seascale Energy, for example, this joint venture creates powerful synergies with our existing operations and enables us to deliver reliable, scalable solutions across the maritime sector. In parallel, we're advancing our technological capabilities through our strategic investment in Complexio. Complexio leverages both structured and unstructured data to create a detailed operational landscape, enabling automation of recurring processes such as chartering, ship clearance, finance management and contract negotiation. These initiatives reinforce Hafnia's position at the forefront of innovation in the maritime sector, ensuring we remain agile, efficient and future-ready.
Slide 29. Looking ahead, Hafnia remains well positioned for the remainder of the year. With winter approaching, seasonal demand is expected to support the oil market, driving higher earnings through increased tonnes-miles activity and strong operational dynamics. I'm encouraged by the underlying market strength and proud that we've delivered solid results while maintaining our 80% dividend payout ratio. We will continue to exercise disciplined financial management and pursue strategic opportunities that enhance our competitive position.
Before concluding, I want to stress an important concern. As Ukrainian ceasefire discussions progress, policymakers and the shipping industry must ensure the vessels from the dark fleet often operating with poor safety standards are not allowed back into mainstream trade. Doing so would undermine regulatory trust and create serious risks to people and the environment.
With that, this concludes our presentation. I'd now like to open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Frode, I see you're having hand up? Can you please unmute yourself?
2. Question Answer
So the first question is on this coverage slide you had, I noticed you had booked 67% of the LR2 fleet in 2026. So maybe you can shed some color on that? Have you booked -- what type of contracts are you booked and the duration, I see the rate there, like $30,000 a day basically.
Hi, Frode, Soren here. Yes, that's correct that we, during Q3 and into Q4, have covered more of our LR2 fleet for three years. You're talking four ships, where three with 3-year deals and one is a 2-year deal, about the numbers you're talking about.
Okay. That's good. I guess coming back to Mikael's point in his final remarks. I want to ask about this Russian, see the key export decline we've seen, right? So you showed it in the slides, exports are down, probably been good for U.S. more liftings, right? Have you also seen like an offsetting effect from, let's say, shadow fleet coming back, let's say, drifting back into the conventional fleet. What's your data showing?
Maybe more on the DPP side than on the actual CPP side. So probably on this DPP, I'd say that the supply into South America has gone back to the conventional tonnage, adding a little bit more tonne-mile there, whereby on the DPP trading side, especially on Aframax', you have seen some more influx of not sanction tonnage, of course, but the grey fleet entering into an already busy Aframax market on the dirty trade.
For CPP, it's a positive result.
Yes, you can say it certainly feels like a positive for now, and we don't seem to find a lot of competition from the dark fleet yet, at least.
Omar, I can see you have your hand up? Can you unmute yourself, please?
Thanks for the update. I did have just maybe a couple of questions and perhaps maybe first, just on the -- do you mind revisiting that Red Sea slide? I thought that was quite interesting. You mentioned the opening would perhaps not be as significant to fleet supply as initially thought. And just want to get a sense of if you wouldn't mind just explaining a bit more how you got to those figures, especially that part about the 43 cross hemisphere regains.
Yes. Soren again, here. So the analysis we have done is based on historic data on a general note. So if you take pre-battle [indiscernible] closing volumes and anticipate that those volumes would come back the market if Suez reopened in the sense that Middle East will then be the more competitive supplier into Northwest Europe and Mediterranean again in the event of a reopening. So what you're looking at is that it's taking the volumes that you would regain out of Suez or trading by Suez again, and we have offset the full gains that we have had for trading via the Cape of Good Hope and added the volume to come back to normal averages of East to West volumes, which then boils down to a limited impact on the market. What you can see on that slide is what is that going to do to trade flows on a general note. Is that going to be a positive for the U.S. Gulf, which has been a big driver over Q3 for sure. And if you have more supply out of the Middle East, that's probably positive for the LR1s and LR2s, whereby there will be other trade flows out of the U.S. gold for the MRs and probably more tuned towards the South American region.
Okay. That's quite helpful. And maybe just touching on that point in terms of just transiting and what compels that you or maybe the industry do want to return. Obviously, I think a big part of it is perhaps insurance premiums. Have you seen any kind of shift or change in insurance costs, what's being quoted to transit in the region?
Not really yet, the big -- well, the big, I mean, at least the well-known owners on the clean side is not yet transiting. So there's not a lot of movement there. You have seen other parts of the lead, for instance, some Middle Eastern traders, that is sending their tonnage through the Red Sea. So I think you would see a mild increase in the volume that actually goes through the Red Sea today. But on an insurance and on a general willingness to try it out, not so much, to be honest.
So Clement, can you unmute yourself, please?
I wanted to start by asking about the exercise of purchase options you pursued on vessels under sale and lease back. Could you talk a bit about the effect you expect this to have on your all-in cash breakeven for the vessels involved?
Hi, Clement. Good question. It's Perry here. I don't have the effect on the specific vessels. We purchased -- we had quite good and regular frequent purchase options on those leases. So as part of our refinancing, we took them out across the board with all the refinancings that we've done since the summer, that has improved our cash flow breakeven quite significantly. I think for next year, that will bring us somewhere below the $13,000 a day. But we don't have anything for on a per vessel basis. It's also less relevant.
Makes sense. The color is still helpful. And you've continued divesting the older end of the fleet in recent months. How are you thinking about potential fleet renewal growth at current pricing? And secondly, should we consider the acquisition of TORM shares, likes that kind of fleet expansion, or how do you view it?
Hi, it's Soren, again. You can say that our strategy over the past couple of years on the newbuild purchase side has always been linked to bigger projects, will cover somewhat forward. Perry -- and looking at newbuild prices now, that will probably be our strategy still. But -- well, yes, it's I guess, it all boils down to a better market than this, I think we are probably not in a situation now where we would look at a big newbuild program at current levels.
And I'm actually not seeing any more raise hands, actually, so Omar -- so Clement, if you can take your hands down if you finished, and then Omar, can you unmute yourself?
Yes, can you hear me?
Yes.
Yes.
Just wanted a follow-up on just a net LTV for half year at 3Q, obviously, a very nice drop from 24% to 20%. Obviously, precise like quarter over quarter. It seems that you're pace to perhaps get below 20% at the end of the fourth quarter, which, I guess, presumably triggers you back into that 90% payout threshold. Do you forecast that happening, or do you take into account the pro forma acquisition of the TORM stake at that point?
Yes. Hi, Omar, it's Perry. Good question. Net LTV at the end of Q3 is 20.5%. As we always do, we are consistent with our dividend policy and our dividend payout ratio. So of course, that would depend on where values are in the quarter. As we've also announced earlier in September that when we include -- once that deal closes, we include TORM stake at market value and purchase price, low of the both and then also including the debt. So that obviously will bring the net LTV all in all some -- probably somewhere in the middle of that range.
I don't see any more raised hands. So I'm actually going to move on to the chats and the Q&A. So we have a question in our chat, which I will direct to Perry, regarding whether we plan on purchasing further shares in TORM?
Yes, that's not so much to come down. We've mentioned also in the earnings release that there's one more condition outstanding for the close of the stake that we've announced for 40.45%, and can't really comment or add on questions or suggestion of further purchases.
Moving on to the next question. So we have someone asking that we mentioned in our detailed release the pool earnings for the week beginning 17th of November 2025. Is it only the week's earnings, or is it from the first of October to the 17th of November 2025?
Thank you for the question. That's for the week of -- starting November 17, so that week's earnings only.
Thank you, Thomas. I'm just giving it a few more seconds to see if we receive anymore raise hands or any more questions in the Q&A or the chat.
All right. Well, thank you, everyone. So today, we've come to the end of today's presentation. So thank you for attending Hafnia's third quarter to 2025 financial results conference call. You can find more information available on our website at www.hafnia.com. Thank you, everyone.
Hafnia — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Hafnia — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Hafnia's Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Presentation. We will begin shortly.
You will be brought through today's presentation by Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov; CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; Soren Winther, VP Commercial; and Thomas Andersen, EVP, Head of Investor Relations. They will be pleased to address any questions after the presentation. [Operator Instructions]
During this conference call, some statements may be considered forward-looking, reflecting management's current expectations. These statements involve risks, uncertainties and other factors, many of which are beyond Hafnia's control, that could cause actual results, performance or plans to differ significantly from those expressed or implied. Additionally, this conference call does not constitute an offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities.
With that, I'm pleased to turn the call over to Hafnia's CEO, Mikael Skov.
Thank you. And hello, everyone, and thank you for joining Hafnia's second quarter 2025 earnings call. My name is Mikael Skov, CEO of Hafnia. And with me today are our CFO, Perry Van Echtelt; our VP of Commercial, Soren Winther; and our EVP and Head of Investor Relations, Thomas Andersen.
We have earlier today issued our second quarter earnings, which are now available on our website. Over the course of the call, we will take you through Hafnia's second quarter performance and provide an update of the current market outlook. We will also share our recent financial developments, and conclude with an update on our sustainability initiatives.
Let's move to the next slide, which is Slide #2. Before proceeding, I would like to go through our safe harbor statement. The information discussed on this call is based on information we have today, which may include forward-looking statements that involve risks and uncertainties. Actual results may differ materially from these statements.
This call does not constitute an offer to buy or sell securities. Thank you for your attention, and let's begin with a look at our results for the quarter.
Going to Slide #4. The second quarter has experienced an improvement in trade volume and tonne-miles driven by strong underlying demand and improved refinery margins. This has supported the spot market, and I'm pleased to announce another quarter of strong results for Hafnia.
For the second quarter, we achieved $134.2 million in adjusted EBITDA and generated a net profit of $75.3 million, reflecting the strength of our operational execution and underlying market. Our performance was further supported by our adjacent fee-generating business, including our commercial pool and bunkering operations, which together contributed $7.9 million to our overall results. Seascale Energy, our bunker joint venture with Cargill, commenced operations in mid-May.
On the fleet development side, our dual-fuel methanol MR IMO II newbuild program in partnership with Socatra has proceeded as planned. In May, we took delivery of the Ecomar Guyenne, the second vessel in the fleet; and in July, the Ecomar Garonne, the third vessel in the joint venture.
Moving to Slide #5. Next, I would like to highlight Hafnia's key investment attributes. Hafnia is a global leader in the product and chemical tanker market, operating one of the largest and most diversified fleets in the industry. We own and have chartered in a total of 126 vessels with a lower-than-industry average age of 9.4 years.
At the end of the second quarter, our net asset value stood at approximately $3.3 billion, equating to an NAV of USD 6.55 or NOK 66.07 per share.
We operate our own in-house technical management and global commercial platform with chartering teams across Asia, Europe, the Middle East and the U.S.A. Our technical team upholds the highest safety and environmental standards, while our chartering team manages approximately 80 third-party vessels across our 8 different pools.
At Hafnia, we take a proactive approach to market evaluation, continuously seeking opportunities as part of our active management strategy. Our diversified business model including the pool platform and Seascale energy, our bunkering procurement platform, complement operations and provide steady, reliable revenue.
Finally, Hafnia maintains a transparent and consistent dividend policy having paid consistent dividends across the past years. For the full year 2024, we paid out 82.8% of net profit through dividends and share buybacks, with total dividends in 2024 reaching $1.16 per share.
Let's move on to the next slide, which is Slide #6. At the end of the second quarter, our net LTV ratio remained unchanged from the first quarter at 24.1%, reflecting a balance of both a decrease in vessel market values and a further debt reduction.
In line with our dividend policy, we declared a payout ratio of 80% for the quarter. This equates to a total cash dividend of $60.3 million or $0.1210 per share. For shareholders receiving dividends in Norwegian kroner, the exchange rate will be based on the value date which is 2 business days before the payment date. This marks 14 consecutive quarters of dividends, underlying consistent shareholder returns and a commitment to delivering long-term value.
Soren Winther, our VP in Commercial, will now be sharing the industry review and market outlook.
Thanks, Mikael. Let me start with an update on the current market conditions in the product tanker and clean product segments where Hafnia primarily operates, and then share our outlook for the months ahead.
Looking at clean products on water, we see volumes in 2025 sitting above the last 4-year average, supporting the year-to-date market resilience. Q3 represents an uncommon seasonal rise in clean products on water and volumes loaded. Despite about 140 additional product tankers being sanctioned this year, clean product volumes transported on sanctioned vessels have decreased by 17%.
On the right, we zoom in on the unseasonal change in clean product volumes. Q2 to Q3 volumes on water this year exceeded average movements observed in prior years by over 30%, underlining the fundamental strength of current achievable earnings for the quarter.
Moving on to Slide 9. Improvement in demand fundamentals is further illustrated here. Looking at the year-on-year tonne-mile comparison for clean products in July, we can see a clear trend of continuous growth since 2020. This is further supported by cargo volumes loaded reaching their highest levels in the past 8 years, reinforcing the view that oil demand remains resilient with limited signs of downside risk in the medium term.
On the other hand, dirty petroleum cargo volumes and tonne-miles have been on a decline since 2023, reflecting weaker fundamentals compared to clean products. However, the recent OPEC+ decision to boost production in September is expected to support crude tanker rates in the short term and also benefit the product tanker market through higher refinery throughput and exports.
Moving on to Slide 10. We have seen a strong recovery in accumulated ton-days for the clean segment since the end of 2024, significantly surpassing the 3-year average by Q3. This has also led to a recovery in earnings in early 2025. In Q2, earnings reached the lowest levels of 2025, mainly due to the Western Hemisphere drawing down on accumulated inventory overhang.
In Q3, earnings and ton-days have shown a strong countercyclical recovery driven by tight European gasoline and distillate supply as a result of continued refinery closures and an August incident in the Nigerian Dangote refinery resulting in a 15 to 20-day production stop, forcing a demand in Nigeria for European gasoline, which further tightens the product space in the Atlantic Basin.
These factors drive tonne-mile increases and strong trading margins from the U.S. and the eastern basin for Q3 to date. The graph on the right provides further evidence that distillate flows east to west were countercyclical high for the month of July and expected to stay strong for August and September, benefiting from high trading margins between the regions.
Moving on to Slide 11. The increased western product demand for Q3 is reinforced by 2 main factors and is expected to carry into Q4. Firstly, global refinery margins remain strong with the 3-month forward curve staying healthy. Secondly, global refinery outage for the remainder of the year appear very limited and are projected to reach a 3-year low. This will support higher volumes and longer haul trading with average voyage length and ton-days to potentially improve further.
The combination of lower-than-usual turnarounds in the Eastern Hemisphere and refinery closures in the Western Hemisphere, plus planned maintenance of the Nigerian Dangote refinery in Q4, forms the foundation for further tonne-mile improvement towards the end of the year.
Moving on to Slide 12. Inventory levels is a fundamental driver of the product tanker market. Data for both dirty and clean trades point to significant draws in 2025. These low inventory levels will help amplify the impact of strong refinery margins and low outages, reinforcing the market effects highlighted on the previous slides to replenish inventories.
Moving on to Slide 13. Crude tanker cannibalization has been a key topic at the end of 2024. This has gradually returned in 2025 with its largest impact in February, June and July of this year. However, the key driver of this has shifted, with 2024 primarily being from large tankers cleaning up and repositioning west of Suez, where 2025's cannibalization largely originates from newbuild tonnage. We expect the cannibalization for the remainder of the year to be minimal, with limited newbuild deliveries expected and also keeping in mind that Q4 deliveries could likely defer to achieve a 2026 nameplate.
The year-to-date impact on tanker supply has also been minimal. Despite a sizable number of newbuild deliveries, the net additional competing deadweight in 2025 remains limited, at only 0.3% for the clean trade and 1.2% for the dirty trade. This is mainly being offset by vessels turning 20 years of age as well as increasing number of sanctioned tonnage reducing effective supply. Importantly, 28 out of 37 newbuild LR IIs have shifted into the Aframax trade, further tightening supply within clean product tanker markets.
Slide 14. The supply outlook remains positive. From 2025 to 2028, we expect about 114 million deadweight worth of newbuild tankers across Handys to VLCCs. Over the same period, potential scrapping could reach 167 million deadweight based on typical scrapping ages of 23 years for larger segments and 25 years for MRs and Handys. Beyond that, another 87 million deadweight tons could leave the market between 2029 and 3031. It's also worth noting that we did not account for any differences in utilization between newbuilds and older vessels.
Slide 15. Sanctioned vessels continue to have a large impact on the fleet supply. The U.K., U.N. and OFAC sanctioned another 409 tankers during 2025, bringing the total to around 800 tankers trading outside normal market competition rules. We estimate approximately that another 335 vessels have engaged in sanctioned trade regions, sailing -- signaling the potential for additional sanctioning. The dark fleet is identified as tonnage with questionable ownership and predominantly older age profile, while the gray fleet is associated with reputable ownership.
Now Perry, our CFO, will bring you through the financial development. Over to you, Perry.
Thanks, Soren, and good morning and afternoon, everyone. Hafnia posted another strong financial performance in the second quarter, driven by an improving spot market and a disciplined operating platform. For the second quarter, we posted an adjusted EBITDA of $134.2 million, resulting into a net profit of $75.3 million or $0.15 per share.
Our commercial pool management and bunkering businesses contributed $7.9 million in operating income. And with the launch of Seascale Energy in mid-May, our bunker procurement business has been transferred to the joint venture and will now be accounted for using the equity method moving forward in the coming quarters.
We continued to deliver strong returns with a 13.2% return on equity and a 10.6% return on invested capital this quarter. On the balance sheet, net LTV stayed unchanged at 24.1% compared to the last quarter as further debt reduction balanced out a decrease in vessel values.
The chart on the top-right displays our liquidity profile. We have access to over $450 million in liquidity at the end of Q2. This includes $194 million in cash and around $260 million in drawdown capacity under our credit facilities. Additionally, early July, we secured a $715 million revolving credit facility, which I will discuss shortly.
We also remain well protected against interest rate volatility. At the end of Q2, 55% of our interest rate exposure was hedged at a weighted average base rate of 1.95%.
If we then move on to the operating summary. You'll see we continue to produce strong operating cash flows, thanks to our solid balance sheet and low breakeven levels. For the quarter, we earned a TCE income of $231.2 million, averaging $24,452 per day across our vessel segments.
Then with many of our own vessels built in the years of 2015 and 2016, several will undergo their second drydock this year and next. As a result, our Q2 results were affected by numerous vessels being in drydock or undergoing repairs, leading to about 630 off-hire days during the quarter. We expect fewer drydockings and repairs in Q3, resulting in roughly 510 off-hire days. And starting from the last quarter, we anticipate our drydocking schedule to ease and off-hire days to decrease.
If we move to the next page. Our delevering efforts over the past 2 years have enabled us to significantly reduce our net debt, to the tune of $500 million, compared to the same period in 2023. While current market conditions led to an approximately 5% decline in vessel values quarter-on-quarter, we maintained our net LTV at 24.1%, supported by a reduction in our net debt.
In July, we concluded a new $715 million amortizing revolving credit facility with a syndicate of 11 banks. This facility has a very competitive margin, a tenor of 7 years and an age-adjusted amortization profile of 20 years. It also includes an uncommitted accordion tranche of up to $417 million exercisable within 2 years.
Since the closing of that facility, we've drawn approximately $290 million under this RCF to refinance existing debt that this facility is replacing. And Hafnia currently maintains around $600 million in undrawn capacity with a highly competitive margin and, as I said, a very attractive structure. This facility not only reduces our overall funding costs, but also lowers our cash flow breakeven levels and further strengthening our balance sheet resilience.
And if we move on to the next page. As demonstrated here on the slide, our earnings have strengthened quarter-on-quarter, positioning us for a robust performance in 2025. As of August 15, we had secured 75% of the earning days for the third quarter at an average rate of $25,395 per day across the segments. For the remainder of the year, 48% of earning days are covered at an average rate of $23,623 per day. And if we look at the scenarios for covered rates and analyst consensus, they indicate robust net profits in the range of $305 million to $310 million for the full year.
And Mikael, over to you for the next few slides.
Thank you for this. We now go to Slide #22. And let me now turn to Hafnia's sustainability strategy and goals.
As a leading company in our industry, we understand the responsibility we have in building a more sustainable maritime future. We set high standards and work to meet them, aiming to make a positive difference for communities and stakeholders. We're also consistently collaborating with industry partners and international organizations to develop long-term solutions for the challenges shipping faces. This keeps us at the forefront of change, ensuring Hafnia actively participates in this transition.
Going to Slide #23. Here we showcase some of the strategic initiatives we have been working on. Take Seascale Energy, for example. It has recently started operations and aims to provide more reliable, efficient and sustainable solutions for customers worldwide. Through smart investments and strong partnerships, Hafnia is positioning itself at the forefront of maritime innovation.
Slide 24. Looking ahead to the rest of the year, Hafnia remains strong. The positive momentum from the first quarter continued into the second and third quarters driven by growth in trade volumes and tonne-miles. We achieved solid earnings while keeping our 80% dividend payout ratio.
Market fundamentals remain robust with limited fleet supply and improved spot rates. Our proven operational excellence along with recent refinancing boost both our resilience to market changes and our ability to pursue new opportunities.
This concludes our presentation. With that, I would now like to open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] So Frode, I believe you had raised your hand first. May I ask you to unmute yourself?
2. Question Answer
Yes. First off, congrats on the good trading performance, the Q3 guidance. My first question is on the refinancing you announced. I assume that you'll draw that fully and refinance the existing debt. Can you perhaps quantify the improvement to cash breakeven rates and how that will be after you have refinanced?
Thanks for that question. Yes. So we're very happy with that refinancing. First of all, it brings down our funding costs further. I think on the elements that we have refinanced now, you would see a margin improvement of 50 to 60 basis points overall. The structure in itself also gives a longer profile and more flexibility in terms of paying down. Looking towards our cash flow breakeven, I think that would go towards roughly $13,000 if the whole refinancing takes into effect later on in the year.
Okay. So that's roughly a $1,000 improvement or something like that.
Yes, depending on whether you're looking at averages or quarter-on-quarter.
Okay. So 50, 60 basis points, that's, I guess, that's a positive effect on EPS and, therefore, dividend capacity? And then, of course, there's a longer amortization profile, it sounds like, right, as well?
Yes. But -- yes, exactly.
Okay. I had a question on the market. I guess, I think on Slide 9 you showed July tonne-mile figures. So seaborne trade appeared to be up quite healthy, like 4% year-on-year. And then tonne-miles were up like 1%. So that indicates that the average miles were still down year-on-year in July. But then you said you expected the long-haul movements on LR IIs to improve going into Q4. Maybe you can elaborate on that, please?
Soren here. I think we, on a general note, we have seen an improvement in tonne-mile over years over years. What we are alluding to on the improving tonne-mile right now is more related to here-and-now factors, the fact that Europe has drawn quite heavily on inventories in Q2 and Prax and Immingham going Chapter 11, together with a few other planned refinery shutdowns or stops in reality causes Europe to draw really tight on middle distillate and following that on gasoline more because there was a refinery outage in Dangote, Nigeria, which has called upon European gasoline products to service demand in principle, which basically drives an east to west up that has been present but not at the volumes that you have seen to the latter part of Q2 and weigh into Q3 now. And that drives a significant amount of tonne-mile on a general note.
China has had to step in on some product supply as well, which is obviously even longer tonne-miles. So the comment originates from there and really drives the abnormality that you're seeing in Q3 now. You would typically see a pretty steep draw in tonne-miles and also volumes of cargo and water, which you are not seeing in [ brackets freak year ] like this and achievable earnings now that is superseding many other quarters of Q3 over years. Did that answer your question?
Yes. Perfect.
I am moving on to Omar Nokta. Omar, can you please unmute yourself?
Thanks for the update. Yes, just maybe a follow-up question perhaps to Frode's on the market. As we've been looking at the spot market and your bookings so far here in the third quarter, there seems to be a noticeable shift where it's the MRs and the Handys that are driving higher and they're outpacing the LRs. Are you maybe able to explain what's driving that, maybe that divergence where it's the smaller ships that are really improving and it's the LRs that have been somewhat stagnant? Is that normal? Or what could you say is really behind the shift in vessel classes?
Yes. Soren here again. I actually think I'll turn the question a little bit around. The fact is that the LR Is and the LR IIs, in particular, have been very resilient through Q2 and have produced quite significant numbers and significantly above the MRs. So if it looks on paper like the MRs have improved and the others have not, the chosen ones have remained on very high levels in the above 30% for the LR Is and in the very high 30s for the LR IIs. So it's merely the MRs catching up rather than the IIs and the Is getting more wind in the sales, if you like.
Okay. So yes, MRs just sort of playing catch-up. And then maybe just a follow-up, and I know you probably answered this several times in the past, but you were just discussing earlier in the presentation the cannibalization and whatnot. Have you -- does Hafnia as a platform, do you sort of reverse-cannibalize if the opportunities make sense to go into the dirty trade? Or does that maybe disrupt too much the clean trading platform?
No. In principle, not. You can say that where the value is and where you can do some swapping is between -- for the LR I segment is into the Panamaxes. But keeping in mind that the Panamax segment is somewhere between 90 and 100 ships only and a very confined trade. You've got to be very careful in how many ships you move into that sort of segment before you kill yourself sort of thing.
On the LR IIs, it's much more evident to switch between Aframax and clean trade. And there's actually opportunities to go dirty and then clean up again if you had the right swing. So that we will look at.
Obviously, we are not players on the Suezmax VLCC game, and you can't really cannibalize that. It's really the bigger ships. We do have some dirty presence both in the Panamax segment and also on the MR side. But again, dirty MR is also, in the Eastern Hemisphere at least, very confined and limited to about 45, 50 ships. So you got to be careful a little bit how you cannibalize your own market if you go that way around before you sort of kill your own earnings.
I am going to move on to [ Peta Haugen ]. Can you please unmute yourself?
A quick question on the sanctions. My impression is that the OFAC sanctions are sort of harder to work around and more effectful than U.K., EU sanctioning. Is that correct? And to what extent would you say that sanctions now on the margin is having a real impact in terms of removing tonnage from the markets?
Soren here again. Yes, you can say that the OFAC sanctions is probably the ones that have existed the longest time and where you had the early Iran and Venezuela sanctions coming on. So as a market pool, it may be like they have more effect. But actual fact is if you have a ship sanctioned by EU or by U.K. even, I mean, you have to be a relatively confident charter to go out or take even that sort of ship because many of the companies that we deal with will have EU and U.K. presence of some sort.
You can say maybe the OFAC sanctions get a little bit closer to the dollar. But our experience in the market is that no matter where you are sanctioned, you're not really welcomed in the world that we are trading in at least to a large extent for sure. You will find that if you go through ship by ship, you will find many of the OFAC sanctioned ships be double listed in EU. And obviously, in our material, we have gone by IMO number. So there's one sanction per ship and no double-counting in that.
Understood. And I suppose the next question would be to some extent related, because on your Page #14 you look upon the scrapping potential here. And if I understood you correctly, you have simply just used the age brackets to point to what would be sort of relevant to look at. But given the strength of the market, but also these sanctionings, or sanctioning of -- well, in predominantly older ships, how do you think about the more realistic scrapping scenario going sort of through the next, say, 6 to 12 months?
Well, I think it's all interlinked somehow. I think as long as the now almost 800 sanctioned ships have a home to play in, which is outside the more -- all these adjacent trades, if you like, the Indian cabotage trade and Indonesia and other places. I guess if you remove the Russian playground for sanction tonnage now, you would have to put a lot of tonnage over 20 years into an adjacent trade that is a nongrowing trade that is sort of pretty static, and I would assume you would see accelerated scrapping.
And maybe I can take -- there's a question in the chat as well. The deadweight that we specify here is exactly, I should say, it's age group, and it's on average previously scrap vessels, i.e., over time, it's scrap age for LR Is to VLCC is about 23 years, and it's 25 years for Handys and MRs. So it's scrap potential that we are talking about here.
To add a little bit of flavor, when you look at ships over 20 years, it's not like you're super-welcome in an overall trading market. On general note, there's a lot of big trading houses, including oil majors, that do not take ships over 20 years simply, which means that the utilization of the fleet goes down. And as you say, you would find a lot of tonnage over 20 years being part of the sanctioned fleet for sure.
[ Clemont Morlans ], may I ask you to unmute yourself?
The U.S. has been vocal regarding the proposition to the IMO's net-zero framework. There is a lot of uncertainty, but could you talk a bit about your expectations regarding the October meeting and whether you think the new regulation will still be approved? And if it's not, what could be the next steps regarding the potential decarbonization for shipping?
Thank you for that question. It's Mikael here. Well, as you clearly point out, when it comes to these kind of political major decision points, there's always an element of uncertainty, I guess, overall. But I do think that from where we are sitting, we do believe that the IMO will vote this through and that it will come into effect.
And when it comes to Hafnia's strategy about how we see the future decarbonization, etc., we are working on the assumption that IMO will vote through what has been proposed even without the U.S. being supportive of it. So that's kind of how we see it. But I guess it's fair to say that the world we live in today is obviously influenced by a lot of geopolitical events that keeps on changing the agenda. But that's, for now at least, is our working assumption and that's how we believe it's going to play out.
Gregory, may I ask you to unmute yourself? Gregory, we don't seem to hear you. I can see you're off mute. Okay. Gregory, maybe you would like to put your question in the chat. We're unable to hear you. So there is actually -- I will actually head into the chat questions for now and I'll come back to you, Gregory.
So we have one from Tony, who asks, looking ahead, do you anticipate returning value to shareholders via dividend, share buybacks or a combination?
Thank you for that question. So basically, the way that we view that part of our business is that we have a dividend policy, which has been clearly described. So that's what we are focusing on. When it comes to share buybacks, we do, of course, debate that every quarter, and we'll continue to do it. But for the time being, the dividend policy is what stands. And if there's any share buybacks, it will be in addition to the existing dividend policy. That's the way we look at it at the moment.
Okay. And then leading on to the next question coming from [ Hans Henrik ]. So also again, regarding share buybacks. So regarding the share buyback, back in December, given the limited positive impact on share price, what is your position on this now? Will refrain from further buybacks despite strong cash position? I guess will you refrain from further...
Yes, I think that was a little bit of what I said earlier. So I said basically that the dividend policies that we are paying, out of the net profit percentage that is linked to the net LTV. And if there are any share buybacks, that would be in addition to that.
Okay. Thank you. I'm actually not seeing any more questions in the chat or the Q and A, I actually do see Gregory's hand is still raised. Maybe we'll just give Gregory a couple of seconds in case he'd like to -- okay, now his hand is not raised anymore.
Okay. So I'm not seeing anything else more. So then we have come to the end of today's presentation. Thank you, everyone, for attending Hafnia's Second Quarter 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. You can find more information plus the recording of this meeting available online at www.hafnia.com.
Sorry, is there one more question? So we have another question, sorry. So coming back to the Q&A now. Would it -- so this is also from [ Hans Henrik ]. Would it not make more sense to use cash to reduce debt and increase dividends?
Yes. It's Perry here. I think it is, as Mikael alluded to, is that we have a very clear dividend policy. We pay out our dividends in cash. Once we see more opportunities to distribute either by buybacks or anything, that will be coming on top of that.
I think we're quite comfortable with the stable and high payout ratio that we have at the moment and look at it on a quarter-by-quarter basis. But otherwise not so much to add to that for the moment.
Thank you, Perry. I'm going to wait a couple more seconds in case anything else is coming through in the chat or the Q&A. But then, otherwise, we're at the end of today's presentation. And if you'd like to relisten to this presentation later, you can find it on our website in the Investor Relations section.
Thank you, everyone, for attending and thank you for the great questions, and speak next time.
Hafnia — Q2 2025 Earnings Call
Financial data from Hafnia
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Mar '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 22,872 22,872 |
9%
9%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | - - |
-
-
|
|
| Gross Profit | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 807 807 |
2%
2%
4%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 6,019 6,019 |
26%
26%
26%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 1,907 1,907 |
5%
5%
8%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 4,112 4,112 |
33%
33%
18%
|
|
| Net Profit | 4,338 4,338 |
26%
26%
19%
|
|
In millions NOK.
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Hafnia Stock News
Company Profile
Hafnia Ltd. provides offshore oil and gas transportation services. It operates through the following segments: Long Range II (LR2), Long Range I (LR1), Medium Range (MR), Handy Size (Handy), Chemical Handy Size (Chemical-Handy), Chemical Medium Range (Chemical-MR), and Chemical Stainless (Chemical-Stainless). The LR2 segment consists of vessels between 85,000 DWT and 124,999 DWT in size and provides transportation of clean petroleum oil products. The LR1 segment refers to the vessels between 55,000 DWT and 84,999 DWT in size and provides transportation of clean and dirty petroleum products. The MR and Chemical-MR segment is involved in the vessels between 40,000 DWT and 54,999 DWT in size and provides transportation of clean and dirty oil products, vegetable oil and easy chemicals. The Handy and Chemical-Handy segment focuses on the vessels between 25,000 DWT and 39,999 DWT in size and provides transportation of clean and dirty oil products, vegetable oil and easy chemicals. The company was founded by Søren Steenberg Jensen on April 29, 2014 and is headquartered in Singapore.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | Bermuda |
| CEO | Mr. Skov |
| Employees | 4,000 |
| Founded | 2014 |
| Website | hafnia.com |


