Hochtief Stock price
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = €30.11b | Revenue (TTM) = €40.00b
Market Cap = €30.11b | Estimated Revenue = €44.01b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = €31.07b | Revenue (TTM) = €40.00b
Enterprise Value = €31.07b | Forward Revenue = €44.01b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net Margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Revenue per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
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Hochtief Stock Analysis
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FEB
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Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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NOV
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Q3 2025 Earnings Call
11 months ago
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Hochtief — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the HOCHTIEF Full Year 2025 Results Conference Call. I'm Morris, the chorus call operator. [Operator Instructions] The conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast.
At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Mike Pinkney. Please go ahead, sir.
Thanks, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thanks for joining the HOCHTIEF Full Year Results Call for 2025. I'm Mike Pinkney, Head of Capital Markets Strategy, and I'm here with our CEO, Juan Santamaria; and our CFO, Christa Andresky; as well as the Head of IR, Tobias Loskamp and other colleagues from the senior management team of HOCHTIEF.
We're looking forward to your questions, but to start with our CEO is going to run us through the details of another very strong set of numbers and provide you with an update on the group strategy.
Juan, all yours.
Thank you, Mike and team, and welcome to everyone joining us for this results call. I'm delighted to present to you HOCHTIEF's results for 2025 a year in which we achieved an outstanding operational and financial performance as well as major advances in our strategic delivery.
Let's kick off with the numbers and then I'll give you an update on the important progress we're making with our growth strategy. HOCHTIEF's operational net profit increased by 26% to EUR 789 million, which rises to 35% on an FX-adjusted basis. This result significantly exceeds the guidance we provided to the market 12 months ago of EUR 680 million to EUR 730 million and is even slightly above the updated 2025 target we indicated in November of EUR 750 million to EUR 780 million. Nominal net profit is also higher at EUR 902 million, up 16% year-on-year. The excellent profit trend was driven by strong sales growth of 15% to over EUR 38 billion, 21% adjusting for FX as well as higher margins. The quality of HOCHTIEF's profit delivery is underlined by the strong cash conversion achieved.
Operating cash flow in 2025 of EUR 2.1 billion was EUR 248 million higher year-on-year pre-factoring, supported by strong working capital performance. As a result, the group ended the year with a slight reduction in net debt despite significant net strategic M&A investments in dividends. If we adjust for capital allocation effects, we would have finished the year with a net cash position of over EUR 1 billion.
A further highlight of 225 was the acceleration in the growth of our project wins. New orders were sharply higher at EUR 52.6 billion, up 32% FX adjusted year-on-year with a strong fourth quarter momentum in key wins across our strategic growth verticals. New work secured during the year represents a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3x and highlights HOCHTIEF's positive growth trajectory. As a result, we ended last year with our order backlog at an all-time high of EUR 72.5 billion, up 18% on a comparable basis and providing a strong and diversified foundation for continued growth.
Furthermore, we continue advancing in our derisking drive with around 90% of our project portfolio of a lower risk nature. Reflecting HOCHTIEF very strong performance and taking into account the solid growth prospects we envisage 2026 and beyond, the proposed dividend for last year is EUR 6.6 per share. This represents a 26% increase year-on-year, consistent with the group's operational net profit growth and is in line with our 65% dividend payout policy. The group's operational net profit guidance for 2026 of EUR 950 million to EUR 1,025 million, envisages another year of a strong growth of HOCHTIEF and corresponds to an increase of 20% to 30% year-on-year.
Let's take a quick look at our performance at the second level. Turner delivered a standout performance in 2025. Sales increased by 34% year-on-year to EUR 25.8 billion or 40% FX adjusted driven by the very strong growth in our data center business. The acquisition of Dornan Engineering, the rapidly growing advanced mechanical and electrical business further enhanced growth. In other areas such as health care, education, sports and airports were also strong with solid double-digit revenue growth. Turner delivered every strong operational PBT, reaching EUR 921 million, an increase of 62% and above the top end of the recently raised guidance of EUR 850 million to EUR 900 million.
And I think it is worth underlying that the original indication we provided to you a year ago of up to EUR 750 million was exceeded by a striking 23%. This profit growth was supported by a further increase in the operational PBT margin 60 basis points year-on-year to 3.6%, meaning that we have already surpassed the 3.5% target we had for 2026, a year ahead of schedule.
And Turner's outlook remains extremely positive. New orders rose a very significant 38% to EUR 33.6 billion, with particularly strong growth in data center contracts, which more than doubled as well as increases in areas such as biopharma, aviation and commercial. As a result, the record year-end order backlog of EUR 37.7 billion was up 34% in USD terms. Due to Turner's sustained growth trajectory, we expect an operational PBT increase of 25% to 30% to between USD 1.3 billion and USD 1.35 billion in 2026.
Moving on, CIMIC delivered a steady performance in 2025. On a comparable basis, sales were stable year-on-year with solid increases in the key growth verticals, offsetting the completion of large transport projects. I would highlight that data center revenues almost doubled year-on-year. Operational PBT of EUR 473 million was up 5% with a solid margin in line with 2024 and supported by improved operating cash flow development pre-factoring. CIMIC's solid order backlog of EUR 21.8 billion, was up by 6% year-on-year adjusted for the UGL Transport stake divestment and FX. Over half of the year-end work in hand relates to high-growth areas, including digital and advanced tech, defense and further diversification of the group's commodity mix. We expect CIMIC to achieve an operational profit before tax for '26 in the range of approximately EUR 780 million to EUR 830 million, a 4% to 10% comparable rate, adjusting for the UGL transport sale.
Next, we have our Engineering Construction segment, which is on a very solid growth path. Sales of EUR 1.7 billion increased by 9% year-on-year, and operational PBT grew by 28% to EUR 98 million, both on a comparable basis and just ahead of our EUR 85 million to EUR 95 million profit guidance range. The business delivered a strong cash conversion with net operating cash flow of EUR 156 million in the period. During the year, Engineering Construction securing the orders of over EUR 6 billion, up a very notable 38%. As a consequence of this strong development, the EUR 13 billion order backlog is 18% higher on an FX-adjusted basis. For 2026, we see our Engineering Construction segment accelerating its growth with an operational profit before tax of between EUR 125 million and EUR 140 million, which implies an increase of up to 42% year-on-year.
Let's take a brief look now at Abertis, which achieved a solid operational performance in 2025. Average daily traffic at the toll road company increased by 2% year-on-year with revenues and EBITDA on a comparable basis, up 4% and 6%, respectively, reflecting a solid underlying business performance. The operational net profit pre-PPA amounted to just over EUR 700 million with a year-on-year variation, including adverse tax effects in France. The profit contribution from our 20% stake in Abertis after PPA amounted to EUR 58 million, and we expect Abertis to deliver a similar operational contribution in 2026.
Now allow me to update you on the group's strategic delivery and long-term growth opportunities. Active strategy has positioned the group as a uniquely well-placed global provider of engineering-led end-to-end infrastructure solutions. During the last 3 years, we have advanced to become a leader in rapidly expanding strategic growth verticals, including the AI digital and tech sector, energy including nuclear, critical minerals and defense, where infrastructure investments continue to accelerate. This momentum builds on our long-established locally embedded presence in core infrastructure markets in North America, Australia and Europe, which remains the foundation for our competitive strength and our ability to scale into these next-generation markets as a life cycle partner.
We command a strong competitive position in the AI, digital tech sector, and we have solidified our global leadership in data center engineering and construction with EUR 16.8 billion of new orders in '25, representing 21% of the group's total backlog. Just last week, Turner was selected as a construction manager for the USD 10 billion 1-gigawatt data center campus from Meta in Indiana. And we have solid medium-term visibility via our order book and our expanding private pipeline in North America, Europe and Asia Pac.
Growth in the global data center market remained is strong, showing demand for cloud services and artificial intelligence is expected to quadruple [indiscernible] and compute CapEx by 2035, boosted by the growth of generative AI and further cloud migration. The group has the capacity and capabilities as a firmly established global end-to-end solution provider to address rising demand supported by its ability to attract talent and by number one, leveraging scale and relationships with hyperscalers and subcontractors; two, applying our global sourcing expertise three, by our increasing adoption of modularization and offsite manufacturing to deliver projects faster, safer and with higher quality.
As part of the strategy to expand the group's presence in the entire ecosystem, HOCHTIEF is developing a pan-European network of sustainable edge data centers. A few months ago, we inaugurated our first edge data center developed own and operated by HOCHTIEF, a major milestone for the group's data center strategy. Three further data center sites will go live by the end of '27. Our ambition is to have over 30% of them in Europe by the end of the decade. HOCHTIEF will operate this edge data center network with innovative cloud computing solutions that offer digital sovereignty and enormous growth potential.
Overall, we're increasing our participation for the full AI stack, including not just data centers, but also semiconductors, cloud infrastructure services and applications as well as moving into longer-term opportunities in areas such as agents and robotics. Energy is a strategic growth market for HOCHTIEF. Rising investment in energy security and the global transition to low-carbon systems underpin sustained demand for energy projects. HOCHTIEF is deeply engaged in these segments, delivering projects spanning electricity generation with scale storage, high-voltage transmission and regional grid fortification. We have several decades of experience designing and building nuclear power plants and facilities across the world, delivering end-to-end services in an industry which could see over EUR 500 billion in investment in Europe by 2050.
During the final quarter of '25, we secured a EUR 685 million 50-year framework contract in the U.K. for civil infrastructure work at the Sellafield nuclear site. By the beginning of '26, an important strategic milestone was reached where HOCHTIEF was selected as part of Amentum's global product delivery team for the Rolls-Royce's SMR nuclear program.
In renewables, we continue to strengthen our market presence, particularly in Australia, where companies have delivered more than 20 million renewable and storage projects. We're also capitalizing on the accelerating requirement for critical minerals, driven by clean energy technologies, digital infrastructure and defense organization. HOCHTIEF through the combined capabilities of Sedgman and Thiess has built a global position in minerals processing and sustainable mining services with projects across key commodities, including lithium, copper, rare earth, nickel, vanadium, uranium and zinc.
In December, the group expanded its partnership with Vulcan Energy with a significant cornerstone equity investment as well as securing an end-to-end role in developing sleeping production and processing infrastructure here in Germany. As part of the agreement, the group has been appointed as the engineering, procurement and construction management contractor and named as preferred supplier for the projects, civil construction works.
We have also won a contract to provide a feasibility study in front-end engineering this framework for a major lithium project in France. Defense is in our key growth vertical for the group with investment in related infrastructure expected to substantially increase globally for several years. In Europe, major multiyear defense investment plans, including Germany, present substantial opportunities in defense-related capital works and potentially via the PAP model. And in the U.S. and Australia, governments plan major ramp-ups in defense spending over the next decade.
At the end of 2025, the group had a defense order book of over EUR 2 billion, which included the construction of major dry dock at Pearl Harbor for the U.S. Navy, work for the Royal Australian Air Force based in Queensland and defense infrastructure upgrades in South Australia. Furthermore, a North American civil works business, Flatiron has been selected as one of the group of companies for a potential USD 15 billion worth of contract opportunities for the U.S. Air Force Civil Engineering Center. And Yesterday, we announced that HOCHTIEF has secured a major 10-year collaborative contract for the German Armed Forces in Hamburg worth several hundred million euros. Our core infrastructure capabilities are key for the group's ability to fully harness the growth opportunities we have identified.
On average, around 85% of infrastructure investment in our growth verticals relates to our core construction know-how. As you know, we're hold leading positions across several core segments, including health care, biopharma, sports stadiums and education. And we have been a global leader in transport infrastructure and sustainable mobility for several decades where the outlook is very positive due to several infrastructure stimulus packages in our key geographies in North America, Asia Pac and Europe.
In Germany, for example, the EUR 500 billion infrastructure fund was its first full year deployment in '26. HOCHTIEF is very well positioned to benefit due to the scalability of its business model and its core expertise in bridges, rail and transmission lines with the group's German order book doubling over the last 3 years to over EUR 5 billion.
Let me take a moment now to outline our dynamic and disciplined capital allocation approach, which is a key objective for management. 2025 was a very active year for strategic M&A. In January, we closed a EUR 400 million acquisition of Dornan, a major milestone in Turner's European expansion strategy, and we also finalized the FlatironDragados combination, creating the second largest civil engineering construction player in North America. During the year, we strengthened our position in high-quality concessions through an EUR 80 million participation in Abertis, EUR 400 million capital raise to support its acquisition of the A-63 toll road in France, expanding its portfolio duration and enhancing our exposure to stable infrastructure assets.
As part of the expanded agreement mentioned earlier with Vulcan Energy, HOCHTIEF agreed in December to an EUR 130 million cornerstone investment in Vulcan shares to become its largest shareholder. The move is aligned with HOCHTIEF's strategy to expand for critical minerals and energy transition value chain, building an integrated presence in investment, extraction, processing and infrastructure. In CIMIC announced the formation of a strategic partnership with Sojitz Corporation under which the Japanese company will acquire a 50% equity interest in UGL's transport business. Our capital deployment remains focused on scalable, high return equity investment opportunities to increase our presence in the value chain for strategic growth markets and [PPPs]. Group-wide cooperation and synergies are critical delivering on this strategy.
Over the last 3 years, we have committed EUR 600 million of equity investment in strategic growth markets, including initial investment in our edge data center platform based in Germany as well as the acquisition of the remaining 50% of cloud services provider, Yorizon. Internally, we're optimizing our core tech platform and systems as well as supporting our talent, management, AI and digital systems, transforming how we work and enabling the group to deliver innovative, efficient and smarter solutions for clients.
Our third expertise, talent mobility as a collaborative culture, enable HOCHTIEF to operate as one unified global organization, strengthening the quality, consistency and impact of its work. Talent management is critical to create the teams which drive the business forward, and we're proud to have had a 2025 intake of 4,500 engineers in technical employees.
Moving to ESG. Our focus on environmental, social and governance initiatives remains on track. On this front, it is notable that HOCHTIEF has been accreted to premise status during the 2025 for its ESG performance and achievements by ISS BSG rating agency.
So let me conclude with a few closing remarks. Our strategic agenda is focused on positioning HOCHTIEF for sustained high-quality growth while reinforcing resilient long-term value for the group. Our key priorities are: first, driving top line growth by expanding our value proposition and capturing megatrend demand; two, expanding margins through the delivery of higher value services, engineering capabilities, supply chain and integrated systems, advancing operational integration by simplifying corporate structure and transitioning into a more high-tech enabled efficient organization with a lower cost base, enhancing cash flow stability and sustainability through further derisking the group's business model, generating long-term value creation and sustainable dividend growth drive shareholder remuneration.
HOCHTIEF has entered 2026 with a strong financial foundation and with a unique position as a global end-to-end provider of infrastructure solutions across our high-growth verticals, supported by our leadership position in core markets. The group's operational net profit guidance for 2026 was EUR 950 million to EUR 1,025 million target in our year of accelerating growth, implying an increase of 20% to 30% year-on-year.
Based on our guidance in 2026, we will have double HOCHTIEF's profit in the space of just 4 years. Looking forward, HOCHTIEF is embracing the future by developing a strategic presence in its growth markets. Our strong and expanding presence in these interconnected sectors is a key competitive advantage and underpins our long-term growth strategy. Combined with our strong balance sheet backed by disciplined cash management, we have created the necessary conditions to pursue further significant growth opportunities and continue delivering substantial value for all stakeholders.
Thank you for listening. We're ready now to take your questions.
We're ready for questions now, operator. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from Graham Hunt from Jefferies.
2. Question Answer
I've got 3, if that's okay. First, just on the guidance that you provided at your CMD last year. I just wanted to confirm that's still intact for Turner, so the 3.9% EBITDA margin, I think, and the 30% EBITDA growth. That's the first question.
Second question, just trying to reconcile what's been extremely strong order intake in the Turner business. I think up doubling in Q4 and very, very strong outlook from some of your hyperscaler customers with relative to that, maybe growth, which is not as strong as maybe some are expecting or just not reflecting that sort of extremely strong outlook from your customers. And I was just wondering, are you reaching some capacity limits in the Turner business? Is there a reason why maybe that doubling of order intake isn't translating to faster growth in 2026? And then third question, just on operational synergies across the business. Just an update there in terms of how you're progressing with some of those projects.
Thank you, Graham. So let me start with the first one. Let me start with a reflection that pretty much talks about guidance in general. I mean, when it comes to Turner, you're right. I mean, 2025 order book of around EUR 17 million, it's represents a 144% growth and the new orders of EUR 18.1 billion, it's 170% and we had a very strong Q4. Furthermore, there's around EUR 10 billion to EUR 12 billion of work that is not reflected in the backlog for Turner because as we always say, the way we engage into this contract is always through a negotiation, working in design once we are preferred, but before we can really put it in the backlog. So the growth of Turner is [indiscernible].
Now in terms of guidance, we -- there's always at the beginning of the year, a lot of unknowns and uncertainties, geopolitically speaking, et cetera. So we prefer to be conservative as we were last year, and we were the previous year, and we prefer to update throughout the year, right? So Turner is not reaching capacity not at all. We continue seeing very strong growth. We'll continue seeing very strong growth. We're very comfortable with that. We just want to make sure that we secure all that into the balance sheet, that there's no surprises, that there's no geopolitical changes before we provide further updates. And that applies to Turner and that applies to the rest of the business.
In terms of operational synergies, we -- I mean, we expect -- I believe that we're going to make progress in 2026. We do have a high target. We're expecting to reach -- I mean, cost reduction first as we streamline the process, release bureaucracy, we upgrade our systems and we're going to be simplifying and decreasing cost. How much we would like to get that update throughout the year, right, especially because we want to make sure that we achieve all those synergies during 2026. And our intention is, by the end of 2026, to update through our Capital Markets Day as we did back in '24 for the following next 3 years. So we want to make sure that we secure we consolidate in all the high-growth areas. We incorporate all these projects. We put all the synergies in place, and then we provide the update.
The next question comes from Marcin Wojtal from Bank of America.
Yes. My first question is on cash flow generation, you had a strong inflow of working capital in 2025. To what extent do you believe this is something that is structural and should continue in 2026 you have strong order backlog. So presumably, we could expect another wave of prepayment. Is that the right way to think about cash flow for 2026?
My question number 2, this is just a bit detail on the numbers, if you allow me. I wanted to ask you about your -- in your segmental reporting, you have a line, which is basically referring to Abertis and headquarters expenses and this line remains very negative. So I'm just wondering why such a negative item in that line? And is there any change in that line for 2026? So maybe -- yes, maybe those 2 questions.
Yes. Okay. So starting with the cash flow. We -- I mean, as we continue to grow, we expect to see an improvement in cash flow. So we -- I mean, we are looking to a positive 2026 from a case perspective as well and net operating cash flow has been the last 3 years. The -- I mean a lot of the cash conversion, positive development that we're seeing, it's also a consequence of the change in our strategy, getting into a lot of these high-growth areas, securing all these projects. So we hope that, will continue. When you're asking about holding. That was an Abertis level or at HOCHTIEF level? Just to clarify.
No, no. So that is for segmental reporting of HOCHTIEF, there is a slide, Abertis and headquarters. So that's more at HOCHTIEF level, let's say?
Yes. So what we did was we introduced noncash provisions and some deferred taxes. So the underlying is stable. But I mean we had noncash profits during the year. And typically, we don't want to reflect that in the P&L.
And the next question comes from Dario Maglione from BNB Paribas.
First of all, congratulations for the results. I mean these are the amazing results stepping back. Yes, I'll start with 2 questions. First, on partner as you said, the margin -- the profit before tax margin, 3.6% already in 2025. Where can margins go for Turner, let's say, in the medium term as the mix of data center increases? The second question is more -- some more details about Turner data centers. And if you could provide us the new order intake in data centers for the full year '25, the backlog and the revenue from data centers in USD terms, please?
So let me start with the first one. So a couple of things. First, on the profit before tax margin, that was 3.6% in 2025. In the capital -- in the last Capital Markets Day in 2024, we anticipated that 3.5% will be reached in '26. So we achieved that 1 year. Now what's going to happen? First, that will continue growing at least at the same pace and has been growing the years, right, as we do more high-tech projects. But two, there's going to be another component, which is we will continue to increase our sales performance capabilities and a portion of the projects through supply chain, but also through modularization. So that's going to increase margins. And that's a big part of our strategy that we did announce last year, and we will want to consolidate during this year.
So with Turner, as I said before, we had a strong intake. We're seeing big prospects coming to Turner and the areas of the business. If you go through data center specific question, the backlog right now in data center is EUR 16.4 billion. Just in data centers, there's another EUR 10 billion to EUR 12 billion that is not included in this number, but we've been preferred, but we're going through the design, so therefore, we cannot reflect, right? And that it's a year-on-year increase of 144%. The order intake of data centers during the year has been EUR 18.1 billion, and that's an increase of EUR 170 million. And again, that does include EUR 12 billion that I mentioned, right?
If we move to the rest of the areas, we are seeing very much increase in biopharma, in aviation, including aerospace, some increase in -- a significant increase, but it's coming from a much lower base in commercial. And then the rest of the business is stable, except probably other areas like I mean, like hotels or some more traditional that is coming down, okay?
But in the rest of the segment, there's another EUR 10 billion that is not reflected in their backlog in the same way that a EUR 12 billion data centers that we are preferred, but it's not in the backlog. So in a sense, there's a total backlog of USD 44.3 billion of Turner, out of which USD 16.4 billion is data centers, and you would need to add an amount of USD 22 billion to that USD 44.3 billion that we are preferred, but it's not in the backlog.
Then the next question comes from Luis Prieto from Kepler Cheuvreux.
I had 3, if I can. The first one is, if my numbers are correct, there's been a sharp acceleration in the E&C margin in Q4. I don't know if you can shed some light on why that has been. The second question, and apologies if you have mentioned it, there's so much detail and information that I might have missed it. But the operational result contribution was guided -- from Abertis was guided at EUR 81 million for the full year, but it was EUR 58 million in the end. Could you please explain the reasons behind this, behind the miss, if I may call it?
And then the third question, there have been press reports in Spain on your potential interest to spend as much as EUR 1 billion in defense technology players, the military driven players, not construction related or anything like that. Should we expect you to be active on this particular M&A front?
Excellent. So let me start with the first one on E&C in Q4. E&C, especially Germany and Europe is going to see a big increase moving forward. And we're expecting a big increase in '26. In '26 certainly, the profit of HOCHTIEF in Europe will start going up and you saw the guidance that we're giving. But more importantly, the order intake and the backlog. And why? Because there's a lot of work coming from Deutsche Bank, there's a lot of work coming from Autobahn, and there's a lot of work coming from defense. And that's going to start coming to the company.
Now when it comes to Abertis, I mean, in general, the performance, there's a positive operational performance in '25, right, when you look at the target developments and the traffic. So that continue. There's an impact on the profit because of the corporate tax in France, right? And that's probably what you're looking at when you see the difference. And then the other part could be the foreign exchange rate movement on OBBBA.
And then when it comes to the press report in defense, I mean, we don't know where the article came from. Certainly, when it comes to M&A, we're going to continue being selective and making sure that it incorporates additional capabilities to us. We -- I mean, I know that there's a lot of focus on our growth in data centers in the last years and the next years for the right reasons and that will continue to grow significantly. But we would like to grow in the different verticals, right? There's growth in the critical metal sector. There's a lot of growth in the energy sector. We see a lot of growth in the nuclear sector, and we see a lot of growth in defense.
Now where do -- how we use our capital allocation among all those verticals to incorporate engineering capabilities and additional capabilities is something that we're deeply analyzing and we will be very selective. But we haven't announced anything. And if we do, you will all be the first ones to know.
Then we have a follow-up question from Graham Hunt from Jefferies.
Yes. Just one on your nuclear capabilities actually. I don't know if you could provide a little bit more color around the Rolls-Royce SMR program just in terms of the time lines there in terms of when we might see impact on the order book and maybe just scale and just what your thoughts are there on the outlook for that win or that partnership?
So let me start with the main numbers on the project, right, that you saw. So the contract -- the Rolls-Royce contract is in reality a program, right? This is pretty much to deploy the SMR plant from Rolls-Royce across Europe and potentially beyond. We won that incorporation with Amentum to become the program delivery partner and maybe is to start the first ones will be implemented in United Kingdom and other places in [indiscernible].
Now in terms of the contract, the -- right now, they are looking at the deployment of the first 3 to 4, but there's an initial plan of like 15 that will be deployed. The initial ones have a cost of around EUR 6 billion, and this is just an estimate, and the idea is to decrease that over time. We're still working on the different components of that CapEx and how we'll be distributed, et cetera. The initial part is mainly engineering. And our objective, our work will be to help on -- as part of the traction to try to modularize as much as possible to optimize those SMRs and make sure that they can build, I mean, at scale with the right supply chain, right mineralization and standardizing the contact. So for us, it's a very important project.
As you know, HOCHTIEF built 13 out of 20 large plants in the past. Since then, we've been basically maintaining and dismantling. You saw that, well, we continue doing all of that work in Germany, and we won't sell a field in eastern countries, but now we wanted to go taking advantage of the new wave of nuclear moving from dismantling and maintaining to building large plants. And there's a big plan that we are deploying with the first contract being this one, but we continue working to enhance our capabilities because we see a lot of potential in Europe, in the U.K., in eastern countries, other places, but then it won't come in the U.S. So we're building our capabilities, and we're creating alliances. We will announce as we evolve in our strategy, we will provide further updates during 2026.
And we have another follow-up question from Dario Maglione from BNP Paribas.
Yes, maybe 3 more from my side. On the data center revenue, in Turner. I don't know if you provided that detail before. It would be helpful to know the revenue from the percent in Turner in USD terms in 2025.
Then second question around the order backlog for data centers. You mentioned before -- sorry, the intake was EUR 16.4 billion. I think, for Turner, that implies another USD 3 billion of intake in data center somewhere else in the business. Is that mainly Asia Pacific? Maybe can you tell us more about these projects?
And the last question, strategically, why are you investing in the in the digital cloud infrastructure for the edge data center in Germany and Europe? Like why not just keeping the edge data center, why also investing in the digital part of the infrastructure?
Okay. So starting with revenues of Turner. In 2025, I think that it was USD 10 billion, just in data centers, okay? And we're expecting that figure to continue increasing all the way up to EUR 25 billion to be achieved '29, '30, in conservative. In the case of the -- I mean, let me jump to the last one because I will ask some clarity around the EUR 16.4 billion question.
On the digital cloud, I mean the difference between the big ones and the small ones is that the small ones have 2 main purposes. The first one is it's mainly inference processing capability, but also from a data storage perspective is pure colo. So we commercialize among a lot of different clients. The big ones, typically between 1 or 2 clients. And that type of business with the big ones is more kind of a lease of the facility versus the other business that will provide the full package, right? The cloud services, the cyber, et cetera. That's why we -- as we deliver the full service, we are enhancing our capabilities in this area.
Now around the second question, can you repeat the question about the EUR 16.4 billion, please?
Yes. So in Slide 8 of the presentation, at the very top left, it says total order for data centers is EUR 16.8 billion in 2025. So I guess most of it is in Turner, but there is a portion of that orders that is somewhere else in the business. So I was curious to learn more about these projects outside of the U.S. outside Turner let's say.
So I don't have -- I mean the Turner 1 is the figure that I gave before. That was the order intake of EUR 18.1 billion and the backlog EUR 16.4 billion. The difference is mainly [indiscernible] towards the rest of the numbers. But we can provide you with the figures in a follow-up call.
So it looks like there are currently no more questions. So I would like to turn the conference back over to Mike Pinkney for any closing remarks.
Yes. Thanks very much, operator. So thanks to everyone for calling in. And obviously, we're delighted to follow up with any further detail offline. Thank you, everyone. Thank you for your time.
Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. Thank you for choosing Chorus Call, and thank you for participating in the conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.
Hochtief — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the HOCHTIEF 9 Months 2025 Results Conference Call. I'm Serge, the Chorus Call operator. [Operator Instructions] The conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions] The conference must not be recorded for publication or broadcast. At this time, it's my pleasure to hand over to Mike Pinkney. Please go ahead.
Thanks very much, operator. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for joining this HOCHTIEF 9 Months 2025 Results Call. I'm Mike Pinkney, Head of Capital Markets Strategy. I'm here with our CEO, Juan Santamaria; and our CFO, Christa Andresky; as well as our Head of IR, Tobias Loskamp; and other colleagues from our senior management team. We're looking forward to taking your questions. But to start with, our CEO is going to run us through the details of another strong set of HOCHTIEF numbers, our guidance increase and provide you with an update on the group's strategy. Juan, all yours.
Thank you, Mike, and thank you, everyone, and welcome to everyone joining us for this results call. HOCHTIEF has achieved an outstanding performance during the first 9 months of 2025. The successful implementation of our growth strategy is reflected in the group's strong and sustainable financial performance. We are delivering significant sales growth, rising margins and a positive evolution of the group's derisked operational profile as the proportion of advanced tech projects continues to increase.
Due to our expectations of a Q4 acceleration, we are raising HOCHTIEF's operational net profit guidance for 2025 to EUR 750 million to EUR 780 million versus the EUR 680 million to EUR 730 million previously. The new range implies a year-on-year increase of 20% to 25% compared with EUR 625 million in 2024 and versus the previous indication of an increase of up to 17% year-on-year.
The higher net profit expectation for the group are driven mainly by the outperformance of Turner, where we now anticipate an operational PBT of EUR 850 million to EUR 900 million in 2025 compared with the previous guidance of EUR 660 million to EUR 750 million. In addition to achieving a strong financial performance during the first 9 months of the year, we have made further important advances on the strategic front.
We are increasingly harnessing our geographic footprint and engineering know-how on a group-wide basis to access additional growth and value creation opportunities. Before providing you with an update on the strategic front, let me give you an overview of the key numbers. Group sales during the first 9 months of the year increased by 24% FX adjusted to EUR 28.1 billion, driven in particular by the group's focus on its strategic growth markets.
HOCHTIEF's operational net profit rose by 19% to EUR 537 million or plus 26% FX adjusted, above the top end of the 2025 guidance range we provided at the start of the year. Nominal net profit stood at EUR 656 million. Operating cash flow last 12 months of EUR 2.1 billion shows a strong performance, up EUR 400 million year-on-year pre-factoring, driven by a sustained high level of cash conversion and supported by firm revenue growth and margin expansion.
The first 9 months of the year incorporate the characteristic impact of seasonality during the first quarter, but show a $163 million increase in net operating cash flow year-on-year adjusted for factoring. Adjusting for capital allocation effects, net cash would show a strong EUR 1 billion plus year-on-year increase.
The movement in the group's net debt position since December 2024 has been driven by strategic investment decisions and their consolidation effects as well as seasonal factors. The new orders level of EUR 36.6 billion represents a significant rise of 19% year-on-year, adjusted for FX effects with all operating segments reporting increases.
New work includes important project wins in our strategic growth markets such as advanced technology, critical metals, energy and sustainable infrastructure. On a last 12 months basis, new orders represented 1.2x work done, giving you a sense of the continued growth trajectory. At the end of September 2025, the group's order book stood at EUR 70 billion, up by 12% year-on-year, FX adjusted.
Now let's take a brief look at our performance at the segment level. Turner delivered an outstanding performance during the first 9 months of 2025. Sales increased by 38% year-on-year to EUR 18.8 billion, driven by very strong growth in data centers as well as high revenues in health care and education. The acquisition of Dornan Engineering, a rapidly growing advanced tech mechanical and electrical business included in the consolidated figures since January '25, further enhanced growth.
Turner delivered very strong operational PBT, reaching EUR 629 million, an increase of 60%, supported by a further increase in the operational PBT margin to 3.4%, up 50 basis points year-on-year and driven by Turner's successful advanced tech-focused strategy. Turner's new orders in the period of EUR 23.4 billion showed a very significant increase of 21% year-on-year with particularly strong growth in data center contracts as well as increases in areas such as biopharma, aviation and commercial.
As a consequence, the period-end order backlog of EUR 34.3 billion was 20% higher in local currency terms compared to September '24. Due to Turner's strong growth momentum, we now expect an operational PBT of EUR 850 million to EUR 900 million '25 compared with the previous guidance of EUR 660 million to EUR 750 million. The new profit range represents a year-on-year increase of between 49% and 58% compared with 2024.
Moving on to CIMIC. CIMIC delivered a steady performance in the 9 months period. On a comparable basis, sales were stable year-on-year with operational PBT of EUR 351 million, up 3% or 10% FX adjusted. CIMIC's solid order backlog of EUR 23 billion was up by 3% FX adjusted with growth across several segments, including data centers, defense and sustainable mobility with a 4% increase of new orders in Aussie dollars.
We expect CIMIC to achieve an operational profit before tax for '25 in the range of approximately EUR 480 million to EUR 510 million. Let's take a look at our engineering and construction activities, which continued their positive momentum during the first 9 months of the year. Sales of EUR 1.2 billion increased by 13% year-on-year, and operational PBT grew by 14% to EUR 61 million, both on a comparable basis.
In the January to September '25 period, Engineering and Construction secured new orders of EUR 3.9 billion, 21% higher year-on-year, and this strong development supported a further increase in the order backlog, which showed a solid rise of 10% to EUR 12.2 billion. For '25, we continue to expect an operational profit before tax of EUR 85 million to EUR 95 million from the business.
Next, we have Abertis, which achieved a solid operational performance in the first 9 months of '25. Average daily traffic at the Toll Road company increased by 2% year-on-year with revenues and EBITDA on a comparable basis, up 6% and 7%, respectively, reflecting a solid underlying business performance. The operational net profit pre PPA amounted to EUR 543 million, with the year-on-year variation, including adverse tax effects in France.
The profit contribution from our 20% stake in Abertis after PPA amounted to EUR 48 million. Let me now give you an update on HOCHTIEF's strategic development. As a global leader in end-to-end advanced tech infrastructure projects, HOCHTIEF is in a unique position to benefit from multiyear demand for infrastructure investments driven by the megatrends of digitalization, demographics, defense, deglobalization and demand for energy.
HOCHTIEF's strategy is focused on capitalizing on the very attractive opportunities in its strategic growth markets as well as increasing its share in the value chain by investing equity, applying its O&M capabilities and enhancing its engineering value proposition to drive margins and at risk financial profile.
Furthermore, the group is combining its global footprint with its local presence and technological know-how to maximize its delivery capability. By leveraging shared digital platforms, procurement networks and design engineering capabilities across Turner, CIMIC and HOCHTIEF Europe, the group is delivering global scale with local excellence.
Turning to our strategic growth markets. HOCHTIEF has taken important strides to further strengthen and expand its leading presence. We command a strong competitive position in the digital infrastructure and advanced tech sector. After the exponential surge we've seen over the last 2 years, growth in the global data center market remains very strong driven by soaring demand for cloud services and artificial intelligence.
Data centers and compute CapEx in '25 is expected to reach USD 600 billion, double the 2023 level. Industry observers suggest annualized global AI infrastructure spend could reach USD 3 trillion to USD 4 trillion by the end of the decade. North America remains the largest data center CapEx market in the world, and we expect it to continue expanding at a 15% to 20% annual rate over the next several years.
Turner's strong position with the leading hyperscalers give us outstanding visibility with major contracts identified for '26 and '27, driving revenue growth through at least '28. Europe is entering a period of acceleration. We're seeing opportunities that will convert into new orders in '26, fueling revenue growth in the following years.
Asia Pacific is poised to be the fastest-growing region. We're seeing a sharp rise in investment driven by the rapid adoption of AI-powered technologies and the continued expansion of digital infrastructure across Southern and Southeast Asia. Across all regions, the story is the same. Demand remains high. Schedules are tightening and clients are turning to us because we can deliver more complex projects rapidly and at scale.
HOCHTIEF has the capacity to address the strong sector demand growth through our global scale and ability to mobilize resources. This is complemented by our global sourcing capability through Source Blue and the use of modularization to deliver construction products more quickly, safely and with enhanced quality.
The group has been awarded several new large-scale data center projects in the period, more than doubling the value of new orders secured in the first 9 months of '25, underscoring the group's leading presence in these strategically critical markets.
In July, for example, the artificial intelligence hyperscaler CoreWeave announced its intent to commit more than $6 billion to create a new state-of-the-art data center in Pennsylvania, purpose-built to power the most cutting-edge AI use cases. The initial 100-megawatt data center with potential to expand to 300 megawatts will be delivered by a Turner JV.
Earlier this week, OpenAI, Oracle and Vantage as part of the USD 500 billion Stargate program announced a USD 15 billion data center CapEx in Wisconsin, where Turner is one of the selected construction managers. And in Asia Pacific, we have been awarded projects in Malaysia and Singapore, adding to Leighton's Asia expanding portfolio of data center developments in the region where it is also working on or has completed work in Hong Kong, Indonesia, Thailand, the Philippines and India.
The group is also advancing in the semiconductors area as a strong demand for AI and increasing digitalization drive investment levels with double-digit growth expectations going forward. Together with the reshoring trend, this is producing a rapid increase in semiconductor-related opportunities. As part of the strategy to expand the group's presence in the entire AI ecosystem, HOCHTIEF aims to establish a pan-European network of sustainable edge data centers.
In September, we announced the integration near Essen of the first YEXIO branded edge data center developed, owned and operated by HOCHTIEF, a major milestone for the group's data center strategy. The previously created joint venture Yorizon will operate HOCHTIEF's edge data center network with innovative cloud computing solutions that support digital sovereign net.
Another 4 edge data centers are currently being developed in Germany with several further sites identified. Furthermore, HOCHTIEF is looking to expand the business into other European countries, including Austria, Switzerland and the U.K. Energy-related infrastructure is another strategic growth market for HOCHTIEF with substantially rising demand driven by the global energy and supply security needs.
HOCHTIEF is strategically focused on building the infrastructure that underpins a low-carbon future from electricity generation and storage to transmission and advanced technology. The company is embarked in projects as a high-voltage transmission upgrades, regional electricity fortification and the delivery of firming assets that strengthen the grid.
In October, HOCHTIEF secured a major nuclear and civil works framework contract worth up to EUR 685 million as part of the infrastructure delivery partnership at the U.K. Sellafield site. The alliance style contract lasting up to 15 years involved design engineering and delivery of civil infrastructure works in support of nuclear operations and decommissioning in collaboration with Sellafield and its partners. This strategic long-term partnership reinforces HOCHTIEF's unbroken legacy in the nuclear sector since the 1950s as a trusted partner in engineering and construction for some of the world's most critical nuclear programs.
HOCHTIEF has several decades of experience designing and building nuclear power plants and facilities across the world for renowned global energy companies like RWE. We deliver end-to-end services across nuclear market, and we are well positioned to support the deployment of best-in-class small modular reactor technologies. As these technologies evolve and emerge, we're leveraging our global project and engineering capabilities for new build, SMRs, storage and dismantling in an industry, which could see over $500 billion in investments in Europe by 2050.
If we turn to renewables, we represent an ever more important energy source. Battery energy storage systems are becoming a crucial element to balance electricity networks. Global BESS capacity is expected to rise by 67% in '25 to 617 gigawatt hours and to tenfold by 2035. In Australia, for example, CIMIC subsidiary UGL was again selected by Neoen, a world-leading producer of exclusively renewable energy and Tesla, a global leader in battery storage and sustainable energy solutions to construct another battery project of 164 megawatts near Perth.
The battery is Neoen's first 6-hour long-duration storage asset and will be equipped to support the region's energy reliability and a greater penetration of renewables into the energy mix. Investment in transmission and distribution networks is set to grow strongly in coming years as renewable power supplies an increasing proportion of electricity generation.
Overall energy demand is being boosted by the exponential growth in data centers, electric vehicle usage and other megatrends. The group is strongly positioned in Australia, where CIMIC JV is delivering the 148-kilometer HumeLink West project, which will form the backbone of the power transmission network from South Australia through to Northern Queensland.
In the U.K., the HOCHTIEF JV is currently completing a 32-kilometer power supply tunnel for the energy supply of London as well as a power supply project in Wales, and we are also very well placed in other markets such as Germany, which is seeing substantially higher grid investment.
Global demand for critical minerals and mineral resources is set to increase significantly as a consequence of the exponential growth of clean energy technologies, digital infrastructure and defense investments. HOCHTIEF has developed a unique position in critical minerals globally, primarily through Sedgman, integrated minerals processing solutions and Thiess global mining services, and is growing its geographical footprint and scale.
During the period, Sedgman, which has over 100 critical minerals engineering projects globally started work on an innovative critical minerals processing project in Queensland for vanadium and other rare earth metals as well as a 5-year gold project contract extension in Western Australia.
Last month, Leighton Asia secured a 3-year extension to an asset integrity contract in Indonesia for critical production assets to extract nickel, a key component in battery technologies and high-performance alloys. Furthermore, we're also carrying out a process design and project implementation for a copper zinc plant in Western Australia, a 3-year nickel and copper's full-service mining project in Ontario and a 4-year contract to deliver on the ground services at a copper mine in Queensland.
HOCHTIEF through Sedgman is also expanding its European footprint in critical minerals. We've been working in Germany with Vulcan Energy on the EPCM validation of what will be the Europe's largest lithium extraction plant. The company's integrated lithium renewable energy project will allow it to deliver a local source of sustainable lithium for the European EV battery industry enough for an initial 500,000 electric vehicles per annum. The awarding of European Union strategic project status under the Critical Raw Materials Act highlights its transformative potential for Europe's clean energy future and lithium independence.
And Sedgman has also won a contract to provide a feasibility study and front-end engineering design work for a major lithium project in France, and we're also currently working on or have worked on a number of other lithium projects and studies this year in Portugal, Brazil, Australia and Canada.
Global lithium demand growth is expected to fivefold by the end of the decade, pushing the market into deficit by the 2030s, and our natural resources company, Thiess has been awarded a contract extension for mining and asset management works at a magnetite mine in Western Australia. The project is a key part of Australia's iron ore export profile, introducing magnetite, a premium product line with lower inherent emissions and which supports our ongoing strategy to diversify our commodities portfolio.
Investment in defense infrastructure is expected to substantially increase globally. HOCHTIEF sees this sector as strategically attractive due to the synergies with the group's leading position in civil works, its engineering capabilities and its sector presence in Europe, the U.S. and Australia.
Furthermore, and supported by our key security credentials, the visibility afforded by multiyear public investment plans supports the group's long-term strategy of sustainable value creation. We delivered projects for ministries of defense, police agencies and border authorities across our geographical footprint.
At the end of the third quarter, the group had a defense order book of around AED 2 billion. In September, for example, civil company CPB contractors began building works for a Royal Australian Air Force base in Queensland and defense infrastructure upgrades in South Australia. These contracts continue the long-standing partnership between the groups and the Australian Department of Defense and support the objectives of the country's defense strategic review. Australia plans AUD 765 billion in defense spending over the next decade, increasing by AUD 70 billion in the upcoming years. In the U.S., the FlatironDragados joint venture is leading the construction of the dry dock at Pearl Harbor, this project is part of the U.S. Navy's Shipyard Infrastructure Optimization Program, which is modernizing government owned and operated public shipyards.
Furthermore, Turner's offered Air Force base flood recovery program in Nebraska is progressing strongly. In Europe, major multiyear defense investment plans, including in Germany, present substantial opportunities in defense-related capital works and potentially via the PPP model.
In October, for example, the German Defense Minister announced plans to quickly construct 270 new barracks for the Armed Force starting in '27 based on a modular construction concept in order to accommodate a significantly growing active force in reserve. HOCHTIEF's more mature core infrastructure business remains a solid foundation underpinning the group's growth strategy.
Turner was again named ENR's top U.S. general contractor, holding leading position across 13 segments, including health care, aviation and data centers. During the quarter, Turner began work on the 46-story 343 Madison Avenue Tower in New York and was selected alongside AECOM Hunt to deliver the USD 2.4 billion Cleveland Browns Stadium. Other major projects for the group include the Metropolitan Museum of Art expansion and aviation upgrades at L.A. and Memphis airports, underscoring our continued leadership in high complexity sustainable projects.
The group has been a global leader in transport infrastructure and sustainable mobility for several decades. The outlook for the sector is very positive due to several infrastructure stimulus packages in key geographies. In Germany for instance, in Germany, the EUR 500 billion infrastructure fund approved by the Bundestag Parliament this year will see its first full year deployment in '26 when federal investments are budgeted to rise to a record level of EUR 127 billion, steep increase compared to the around EUR 75 billion level in '24.
Furthermore, the current coalition has provided visibility for this record investment level to be sustainable over the coming years. HOCHTIEF is well positioned to benefit due to the scalability of its business model and its core expertise in bridges, tunnels and rail as illustrated by the EUR 170 million rail infrastructure contract win to modernize a section for Deutsche Bank as part of the integrated plan to upgrade the country's rail network.
The HOCHTIEF joint venture was also recently awarded a major contract for the construction of the second main line of the S-Bahn rail network in Munich. Overall, during the last 3 years, our order book for German projects has almost doubled to EUR 5.2 billion, and we expect it to continue to rise.
Let me turn now briefly to capital allocation, where shareholder remuneration continues to be a key priority for HOCHTIEF. We regularly assess strategic M&A opportunities with our capital deployment focused on growth markets such as digital infrastructure, energy transition assets and concessions. HOCHTIEF's solid balance sheet, strong cash flow generation and increasing revenue profile supports the group's strategic expansion in these high-return areas.
Earlier this year, HOCHTIEF closed approximately EUR 400 million for the acquisition of Dornan, marking a major milestone, which will enable the group to accelerate Turner's European expansion strategy. The start of the year also saw the completion of the FlatironDragados transaction, creating the second largest civil engineering and construction play in North America with an unparalleled track record in delivery of large infrastructure projects. HOCHTIEF holds a 38.2% equity consolidated stake in the new business.
In October, a EUR 400 million capital injection was approved for Abertis with HOCHTIEF subscribing its EUR 80 million contribution to support the growth of the international toll road operator. In addition to M&A, we also continue to develop and invest equity in greenfield infrastructure projects in strategic growth areas where we see significant value creation opportunities.
In Australia, for example, we're further leveraging the group's capability and leadership position in data centers after the acquisition last year of a site to develop a facility with a 200-megawatt capacity. CIMIC also is investing in and developing renewable assets, transmission lines, grid enabling infrastructure and battery energy storage systems.
In Europe, we're investing in a network of edge data centers, as I mentioned earlier, and we continue investing in other core infrastructure via PPPs. Another increasingly important pillar of the group's strategy is the adoption of AI at scale across the group, which is allowing us to enhance the value we offer for our clients whilst also improving productivity and safety. Focus on optimizing our core tech platforms and systems as well as supporting our talent management, AI and digital systems are transforming how we work.
For example, autonomous drones and AI-powered image analysis now enhance site safety and planning. Digital tracking platforms streamline workflows and provide real-time transparency into progress and resources. And custom GPTs are simplifying daily operations, while our production control system standardizes delivery and reduces operational risk.
The group's focus on environmental, social and governance priorities remain on track. On this front, it is notable that HOCHTIEF was awarded prime status for its ESG performance and achievements by ISS, the International ESG Consultant and rating agency.
So let me wrap up. The HOCHTIEF numbers published today show an outstanding performance with a 19% increase in operational net profit to EUR 538 million backed by strong cash conversion. New orders have strongly increased, up 19% FX adjusted to over EUR 36 billion with a period-end order book of EUR 70 billion, which is 12% higher year-on-year and with over 85% of this backlog lower risk in nature.
HOCHTIEF's growth trajectory is a consequence of our strategy to first reinforce and expand our presence in key growth markets such as digital and advanced energy, defense and critical minerals, which will provide long-term cash flow visibility for the group; two, harness our geographic footprint and engineering know-how group-wide; and third, further leverage our competitive strength.
We will continue to deliver on our strategy underpinned by our solid balance sheet and derisked order book. And as indicated earlier, we're raising HOCHTIEF's operational net profit guidance for '25 to EUR 750 million to EUR 780 million, implying a year-on-year increase of 20% to 25% versus the previous indication of an increase of up to 17% year-on-year. Thanks, everyone, for listening and happy now to take questions.
We're ready for questions, operator.
[Operator Instructions]
And we have the first question coming from Luis Prieto from Kepler Cheuvreux.
2. Question Answer
I had 3 questions. The first one is you have raised the guidance for Q4 for the full year on an accelerated rate of growth for Turner in Q4 that I would assume should continue next year and potentially much longer.
Could you help us quantify Turner's actual earnings potential in the medium, long term? You talked about all the opportunities, and that's extremely useful. But can you quantify over the longer term? And in this context, what do you think is the right multiple to use for the valuation of Turner?
The second question is that I would expect you to cover this in next week's Investor Day, but let me squeeze in this cheeky question now. How should Turner benefit from ACS' data center development activities? Should I assume that everything will be built by Turner for ACS?
And the final question and even cheekier than the previous one. Would it make any sense now that things are going pretty well and the momentum has accelerated, would it make any sense to list Turner in the U.S. market as an independent company?
Thank you so much, Luis. So let me start with the first one. So yes, we have increased guidance. Turner is overperforming. Certainly, they are increasing margins. They increased -- they achieved 3.4% in the first 9 months period. We expect Q4 to get to around 3.7%. So basically, the 3.5% margin average that we announced for '26, it's happening in '25, and we expect further growth in '26.
So again, we expect further growth in '26 and '27. I mean, as much as we have visibility, we see growth in both revenues and margins. And also, and I link to your second question, they will get the benefit on top of this of the ACS data center platform.
So in general, that is very positive. Turner is helping significantly the development in data centers of the rest of the company, FlatironDragados, HOCHTIEF and CIMIC. So Turner is contributing to that, not just through knowledge, supply chain, but also client relationships. So that also is going to help.
Now giving a guidance of how much is hard right now, and probably I shouldn't. Are we talking about double digits, for sure, right? Now how much? I don't dare to provide a guidance. I prefer to follow the right milestones at the right time to be providing guidance. But certainly, we're optimistic about Turner performance, and that will continue. There's no doubt looking at the market and the visibility we have right now at Turner.
Listing Turner in the U.S., so at this stage, we -- I mean, we are not -- I mean, we are considering all options. We don't have a plan, but we are not rejecting any possibility, but not much I can say at this point.
The next question comes from Marcin Wojtal from BofA.
Firstly, regarding your, let's say, strategic update, you mentioned that you're open to strategic M&A and bolt-on M&A. Is there actually something new in that message? Are you more actively looking for opportunities? That would be my first question.
Second, can you indicate what percentage of the backlog of that EUR 68 billion, I believe, or EUR 69 billion that is actually in data centers? And do you have data center exposure and anything meaningful as well outside of the U.S. in terms of backlog?
And maybe my question number three, in terms of cash flow, Q4 last year was pretty strong, right? But should we expect a repeat? Should we expect a similar performance in terms of cash flow in Q4? Or it was a bit exceptional in Q4 last year?
Thank you, Marcin. So let me start with the M&A. No, it's not a new message. It's not a change in strategy. Let me go again through the same strategy when it comes to capital allocation and M&A for the last 3 years, right? Two types of investments. The first one is everything that is infrastructure. greenfield, especially and brownfield, specifically in Abertis that give us sustainable EBITDA and dividends, right? That's where we put anything that is a PPP, and in North America, that's where we put our data centers or specific industrial opportunities at dock, right? Nothing changes. This is the, call it, development infrastructure, what we've been doing for the last 50 years.
The second one is the bolt-on acquisitions, right? When you look at all what we've been doing in the critical minerals space this year, and I provided a lot of examples, right? All of that has been possible because of the acquisition of Prudentia, MinSol, Novopro, PYBAR, Mintrex, all of that. And we've been announcing a lot of different acquisitions, very small in nature, but very, very relevant in terms of knowledge, right?
All of that is what allow us to be going through all these projects with lithium, rare earth, vanadium, nickel, gold, copper, mineral sands, and some of these projects are becoming EPCM opportunities. One example that we believe could become an EPCM opportunity is the Vulcan project in Germany, where we've been working 3 years on the engineering and now it could potentially become a big EPCM, right? So that's -- at the end of the day, that's the end game.
And when you look at critical minerals, we have more than 100 projects of engineering developed by us as we speak that could potentially turn into EPCMs or not, right? So this is why it's so important the bolt-on acquisitions. Now this is the example in critical minerals, but in data center, Dornan was another example. And potentially, we will need to continue seeing other opportunities. That on the engineering space.
On the metal and minerals capabilities that is also needed for some of these balance of plants, you look that we have been also making some progress. I mentioned Mintrex was one example, but you've seen other, so we're not talking about very big opportunities. We're not talking about anything crazy, but it's very, very strategic, and little things can provide big multipliers for us, and if you analyze individually every bolt-on acquisition that we've been doing in the last 3 years, you take a look at them individually, we have multiplied from 2 to 3x EBITDA almost each month, right? So this is key.
Now asking about backlog data centers, it's USD 12 billion in the U.S., USD 2 billion out of the U.S., more around CIMIC, mainly a little bit in Europe. But we are going to see -- well, first in the U.S. will continue to grow. I do not dare to say for how much, but significantly. But we expect a lot of growth in Europe and in Asia Pacific, right?
So we do not see a limit to the data center strategy as much as visibility we have in front of us. And then when it comes to the cash flow, I mean, we are quite comfortable with the full year 2025. We expect strong delivery in cash conversion and the fourth quarter cash flow providing the characteristic strong seasonal performance. So yes, we are very comfortable in that sense. We're not expecting anything different.
The next question comes from Dario Maglione from BNP.
Congratulation for the great momentum. First question, actually, you mentioned the order backlog in data centers for 9 months. Could you actually repeat that number and confirm whether it is USD or euros?
Second question kind of related to what was the order intake in data centers Turner in Q3? And maybe last question, looking medium term, so '26, '27, still remains quite impressive, the growth in data centers that Turner is achieving. Do you see any shortage in skills and labor or anything, any other bottleneck that we should consider that could be -- that could limit the growth rate in the medium term?
Good question, Dario. Can you repeat the second question? I didn't get it.
Yes. The order intake for data centers in Turner in Q3.
Okay. So let me start with the first one. I think that you were asking -- I mean, the figures that I gave you before are in euros, the EUR 12 billion and the EUR 2 billion in euros, okay? Then we get into the order intake in Q3. I don't have in front of me. Let me see if we have it. If not, I'll send it to you, right?
But I mean, certainly, we are -- I think that it was more than doubling what we had, but we can provide that figure exactly to you. So now any short-term skills or bottleneck? We're not seeing that at the moment. At the end of the day, the key for a lot of what we do is, first, our -- I mean, availability -- I mean, there are a few things that I believe give us an opportunity or gives Turner or gives us globally an opportunity, right?
At the end of the day, the potential constraints in any market, it's always availability of skilled labor, the availability of material equipment and the speed to market, right? These are typically the 3 things that could jeopardize the growth of any sector. Why we believe that we are very uniquely positioned to navigate those 3, right?
So let's start with the first one, right? Availability of skilled labor. The beauty of our 150 years managing civil works and general building that's exactly our specialty. That doesn't say that it's easy to get people. But certainly, that's one of our biggest advantages, right?
A lot of the big projects we're getting, let me give you the example of Louisiana, but also the latest one awarded as part of the target program in Wisconsin or the one in Ohio or some of the big projects we're doing in Australia is because we have the ability to provide lots of people in a very short period of time in remote locations, right?
And that's as important as having the engineering knowledge and as important as having a supply chain. So it is very important. The other thing that is key is what we've been doing with Source Blue on the global sourcing expertise, which has a lot of different components.
The first one is hundreds of dedicated supply chain experts that are always stabilizing and accelerating the supply chains, but also access to very -- to manufacturing of specific components to make sure that they are -- I mean, that they are delivered on time at any given time and do not rely on international global supply chains.
But also, a big part of what is coming is not just supply chain engineering and mobilization is the ability to start modularizing and manufacturing of site a lot of these things. And that's where we are putting a lot of strategy globally, right, not just in the U.S., but we are I mean, I will advance at some stage what we're doing in that sense, but that's also allowing to build more faster and attract more revenues and larger margins, and that's an important part of the strategy.
Most of those workshops are being reconverted. It's not new workshops. We have those workshops. They used to be for precast facilities. They used to be for girders. They used to be for rings in tunnels, and now we're going to be using them for advanced technology building manufacturing, whether it's data centers or semiconductor fabs or we're talking about battery fabs, defense barracks.
I mean there's a lot of different things that we can apply those, and we are putting a lot of effort into that sense. So overall, I would say that we are in a good position, and I think that I did answer the 3 questions.
The next question comes from Filipe Leite from CaixaBank BPI.
I have 2 questions, if I may. First one, if you can give us an update on sale process of the Transportation division of UGL in Australia? And when do you expect to have it completed? And second question on CIMIC and because sales and EBITDA drop in this quarter, how do you see CIMIC business evolving in the next quarter and during next year?
Okay. So starting with UGL transaction, that continues evolving, I think, in a good way, nothing we can announce at this stage, but we're comfortable the way it's going. And CIMIC, how do we see that evolving?
So let me talk a little bit about CIMIC. So when you look at CIMIC, growth, if you just look at the reported PBT, FX adjusted CIMIC would have grown 20%. If you don't look at the FX comparison, then it's about 12%. If you look at the comparable, which is the one we should look, FX-adjusted growth would have gone from 3% to 10%, right?
So this is relevant because it's true that you cannot compare with the growth of Turner or the growth that we're expecting potentially for '26 in Germany, right, that we are doubling work in hand, and that's going to continue to increase.
But we are seeing in CIMIC 2 offsetting market trends. The first one is -- and that explains part of this slow growth. One is the transportation infrastructure in Australia that is coming off, and -- number one. But number two, we are not pursuing a lot of the projects because we are focusing on lower risk product opportunities, and you see that in the slower growth when it comes to civil and transport, and you see that in the unwinding of our net working capital in Australia, coming 100% from that, right?
The Leighton Asia is performing, increasing growth income of new orders, cash flow, same thing UGL, Sedgman, but CPB is consuming a lot for all the reasons that I explained. On the other side, the big increase that is going to be bringing the region will come from Leighton Asia and will come from UGL, and it's not at peak, right?
I mean, Leighton Asia sales have increased 66%. So we're comparing with the same level of Turner. The only thing is that the volume is still low. We are expecting that to grow. And UGL that is working a lot of the energy projects that there has been some delay. But I believe that, that will come back.
So overall, I would say that the big next thing in terms of growth could potentially be Germany, but I do think that Australia is next. Now I'm comfortable that this will start happening soon. But again, we are making sure we -- we're making sure that we derisk the balance sheet.
The next -- we have a follow-up question coming from Dario Maglione from BNP.
Okay. Actually, two, if I may. First one is on margin for the data centers. How do they differ compared to a typical margin on nonresidential construction in the U.S. like very ballpark figure will be helpful to understand the opportunity for margin expansion at Turner. And second question regarding Germany. You mentioned a doubling working end. What do you think -- is this coming -- I mean, do you already see a positive impact from the German infrastructure fund? Or do you think that this will come later on top of the growth in the market?
Thank you. So let's start with data centers. I mean, unfortunately, it's very difficult for us to give specific margins on projects and sectors, basically because it could jeopardize a lot of our day-to-day commercial activities, right? And also it changes a lot.
It's not the same -- every sector or even data centers, it depends a lot on the risk profile of the project. It depends on the relationship with the client. Some clients, they give you permanent orders for their expansion to secure their time to market, and there's a relationship.
So typically, I mean, there's a trust relationship with lower margins because it fits you with a lot of work. In other cases, there's a unique one-off opportunities, which probably are considered in a different way, and there's as many -- I mean, prices are complex, different complexities, et cetera.
Overall what I can say and putting aside data centers, but in general, that a big part of the increase of Turner's margin is being the delivery of high-tech projects. That's a change. That's what has gone from the type of margins that Turner had a few years ago with the ones we have right now, have come from in the extreme 1-point something or even 2-something 3 years ago to where we are right now of finishing the year of 3.7% and growing next year, right? So all of that is the composition.
Now if you look at Turner, right now, backlog, 32% -- sorry, 32% of the backlog is data centers with another 4% in biopharma and another 5% in our high tech. So we're still low in the most advanced technology projects, and that's going to continue changing, right? So that percentage will continue growing.
Source Blue as a supplier of services that has high margins will continue growing, and all of that is what is driving the overall margin of Turner. And then when it comes to Germany, so the EUR 500 billion infrastructure fund will see the first full year deployment in '26.
So the federal investment is budgeted to rise to a record level of EUR 127 billion, and that compares with the EUR 75 billion level in '24. All of that is going to be driven mainly on rail through Deutsche Bahn, on highways through Autobahn and defense, right? So transport infrastructure is a major contributor or will be getting a lot of these investments.
And the coalition government has recently reinforced their willingness to accelerate transport infrastructure spending by creating an extra EUR 3 billion funding on top of what it was already -- what I already mentioned, right? So there's a strong pipeline of opportunities, and I do think that, that will start getting reflected in the HOCHTIEF P&L in the coming years, right?
Now also in that budget for '26, there's a significant spending by NATO, and that is also, I mean, as I said before, going through defense, but potentially other nondefense projects, but anyway, we'll be looking at that. But Germany, I mean, I believe, I'm optimistic and especially to HOCHTIEF infrastructure, that we will see the effects of all what I just mentioned through its books very, very soon.
Next question comes from Nicolas Mora from Morgan Stanley.
Just a couple. So starting with -- maybe with the guidance upgrade. So I think at the midpoint, you're increasing your operating net income by around EUR 60 million, 6-0. But you basically upgraded Turner's guidance by EUR 120 million. So I was just wondering where the delta, the EUR 60 million have gone. It seems there's been quite a lot of rise in overhead costs. Is that down to new projects or especially in the data center space? So that's question number one.
Question number two, outside of advanced tech in the U.S. at Turner, how do you see the rest of the, let's say, more plain vanilla market going? I mean, you've booked a few large tower projects, more in sports and leisure. I mean what's doing well? What's struggling? I would be interested to get a little bit more color on the non-tech side of the business.
Thanks, Nicolas. So let me start with Turner guidance versus the overall guidance. So well, I mean, I'm sure you realize, but the Turner guidance is an operational activity guidance from which taxes need to be deducted. But at the end, the difference between -- in addition to what I just said, there's the FX impact from CIMIC Asia Pacific and Australia region, which obviously comes to play.
We had an increase in Turner, offset by some FX impact, but we had a deterioration in some of our business from an FX perspective, and there's other consolidation. So there's around EUR 20 million just from CIMIC Flatiron that you have to take into account just from an FX perspective, and then we have provided an overall assessment, right? At the end, guidance are guidance, so we always need to be careful with what we say.
Now when we get into the other, what else besides data center? So let me give some figures specifically for the U.S. market. I think you're referring to the U.S. market. If not, let me know. But yes, the data center market in the last 9 months has grown the order book, 111%. So that's like EUR 14.2 billion. New orders have grown 141%.
But if you go to biopharma, and yes, we were talking about lower figures, but new orders in biopharma have reached 400% increase and an order backlog of 234%. Now we're talking about much lower figures, but that shows that there is a big increase and it's going to continue ramping up.
The other areas where we are seeing growth in the U.S. is the commercial market. So 12% order book increase. The aviation market with 17% in the order book or 28% in new orders. Sports have increased by 25%. So we saw -- sorry, hotels, plus 21% in order book.
What are we seeing going down? So the battery market, we continue seeing that absolutely stopped, right? We -- I think that is minus 58%. But this is a timing effect. Eventually, the battery fabs and the battery projects, and I'm talking about battery fabs, will need to come back, right?
It's a matter -- there were a lot of investments in EV vehicles. Demand is not there. All of that is driving all of that supply/demand have to adjust before all of that continues. But if you add all the future plans of all the EV vehicle producers, there's significant spend. The question is that they will continue delaying until demand supply stabilizes.
Then we get to semiconductor market. There's -- that has stopped significantly or slowed down, but we are waiting. We're waiting on 5 projects. We're waiting on 5 projects for the clients to get financing, and that there's geopolitical discussions around it, and obviously, there's funding allocation. So we are waiting.
Manufacturing is more or less stable, more or less. Health care, not the biopharma part, but the hospitals, we're seeing it at least in the first 9 months going down by 18%, first time that we see that going down. So probably that will change. Education, our new orders were minus 4%. I mean, not a big number, but went down minus 4% and Public/Justice market, a little bit down, minus 18% on the order book. And so yes, that's more or less one by one.
The next question comes from Alvaro Lenze from Alantra Equities.
Just one. I was just thinking on -- you mentioned scalability and flexibility, and I think there is some concern from investors that there is right now a big investment cycle, especially in data centers. I know that right now, it seems like those should continue to increase over the coming years.
But I just wanted to know how flexible is your workforce to change activity, imagine if in the future, the investment in data centers goes through a downturn, can it be shifted to other sectors? Or is the capabilities you have are very sector specific to data centers? I wanted to know how scalable and flexible are you both on the way up as you are demonstrating now or on the potential way down in the data center space in the future?
So let me -- well, first of all, thank you so much, Alvaro. Let me answer the question in 3 different ways, right? The first one, a very straight answer. We do have flexibility. At the end of the day, the same flexibility that we've shown moving people from certain projects into our projects. So it will work in the other way, right? So a lot of our people right now working in data centers, we are getting from other sectors and other fields. That's one of the reasons, there's multiple reasons why we put together the ACS University.
But one of the reasons is has a very well structured plan of training people from different jurisdictions, different companies, different parts of the world from one sector to different sectors. So we have accelerated training programs for people, if you are going to jump into a semiconductor fab or you're going to jump into a big data center or you are going to jump into a battery, into nickel, so we have special programs that will move people around with special visas with a lot of investment. So this was one of the few reasons why we put the university, right? The university is -- it has a lot of different angles, right?
Now let's talk about the investment cycle. I'm going to give my personal reflection on the cycle because, yes, we're talking about trillions and from every day, people say, well, it's going to be more trillions or less trillions or 20% more, 20% less, 50% more, 50% less. For us, 10% of infinite, it's infinite, 20% of infinite is infinite, right?
I mean they are talking about so many trillions that it doesn't matter for how much you divide that. It's still trillions, especially because the bottleneck is not the demand, it's the supply of projects. You can argue all the different things that are going to contribute to demand, and there's a lot of literature writing about the demand, right?
What's going to influence the demand. But there's no -- there's nothing talking about the restriction on the supply. And that's where the bottleneck is. No matter what figure you take from the demand, the problem is the supply, how you are going to build all those projects.
And that's where in my opinion, the few engineering construction companies that are positioned in building a lot of the large programs, I mean, that's where we can provide value, and that's where we can provide our input. And that's why -- I mean, I'm not going to repeat myself all the things we're doing to try to be flexible and to try to move things. But certainly, we have a lot to say and to help.
So in other words, as much as we have visibility of the next years, I don't see any reduction in the growth, right? And again, no matter what worst-case scenario you get, still trillions. I mean, how you build all of that, I don't know, right? But if that happened for whatever reason, because there was, I don't know, something a black swan somewhere, we would show the same flexibility that we've been addressing up to now.
Ladies and gentlemen, that was the last question. I would now like to turn the conference back over to the company for any closing remarks.
Just wanted to say thank you to everyone again for following us for -- I mean, following our figures, our strategy. I look forward to seeing all of you very soon. And anyway, Mike, do you want to add anything?
No. Thanks to everyone. And if you need to follow up on any detailed questions, obviously, just contact us here at the Investor Relations department. Thanks.
Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, the conference is now over. Thank you for choosing Chorus Call, and thank you for participating in the conference. You may now disconnect your lines. Goodbye.
Financial data from Hochtief
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Free
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 40,003 40,003 |
13%
13%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 30,068 30,068 |
14%
14%
75%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 9,935 9,935 |
11%
11%
25%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 6,071 6,071 |
5%
5%
15%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 2,287 2,287 |
25%
25%
6%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 652 652 |
9%
9%
2%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 1,635 1,635 |
33%
33%
4%
|
|
| Net Profit | 889 889 |
12%
12%
2%
|
|
In millions EUR.
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Company Profile
Hochtief AG operates as a holding company, which engages in the real estate business. It operates through the following segments: HOCHTIEF Americas, HOCHTIEF Asia Pacific and HOCHTIEF Europe. The HOCHTIEF Americas segment refers to the construction activities in Canada and the United States of America. The HOCHTIEF Asia Pacific segment deals with contract mining operations in the Asia Pacific region. The HOCHTIEF Europe segment develops and manages infrastructure and real estate projects in Europe. The company was founded by Balthasar Helfmann and Philipp Helfmann in 1873 and is headquartered in Essen, Germany.
StocksGuide Free
| Head office | Germany |
| CEO | Mr. Cases |
| Employees | 61,923 |
| Founded | 1873 |
| Website | www.hochtief.com |


