Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
Is Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B a Top Scorer Stock based on the Dividend, High-Growth-Investing or Leverman Strategy?
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = $688.22m | Revenue (TTM) = $2.82b
Market Cap = $688.22m | Estimated Revenue = $2.86b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = $1.31b | Revenue (TTM) = $2.82b
Enterprise Value = $1.31b | Forward Revenue = $2.86b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
8 Analysts have issued a Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B forecast:
Analyst Opinions
8 Analysts have issued a Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B forecast:
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B Events
Past Events
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AUG
20
Q3 2026 Earnings Call
about one month ago
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MAY
21
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
4 months ago
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MAR
2
J.P. Morgan 2026 Global Leveraged Finance Conference
7 months ago
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FEB
25
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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DEC
4
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
10 months ago
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StocksGuide Free
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for the Hovnanian Enterprises Fiscal 2026 Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. An archive of the webcast will be available after the completion of the call and run for 12 months. This conference is being recorded for rebroadcast. [Operator Instructions] Management will make some opening remarks about the third quarter results and then open the lines for questions. We're broadcasting a slide presentation along with the opening comments from management. The slides are available on the investors page of the company's website at www.khov.com. Those listeners who would like to follow along should now log into the website. I will now turn the call over to Jeffrey O'Keefe, Vice President, Investor Relations. Jeff, please go ahead.
Thank you, Lisa, and thank you all for participating in this morning's call to review the results for our third quarter. All statements on this conference call that are not historical facts should be considered as forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties, and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to the company's goals and expectations with respect to its financial results for future financial periods.
Although we believe that our plans, intentions, and expectations reflected in or suggested by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that such plans, intentions, or expectations will be achieved. By their nature, forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made, are not guarantees of future performance results, and are subject to risks, uncertainties, and assumptions that are difficult to predict or quantify. Therefore, actual results could differ materially and adversely from those forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors.
Such risks, uncertainties, and other factors are described in detail in the sections entitled Risk Factors and Management's Discussion and Analysis, particularly the portion of MD&A entitled Safe Harbor Statement in our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as otherwise required by applicable security laws, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances, or any other reason. Joining me today are Ara Hovnanian, Chairman and CEO; Brad O'Connor, CFO; David Mattson, Vice President, Corporate Controller; and Paul Eberle, Vice President, Finance and Treasurer. I'll now turn the call over to Ara.
Thanks, Jeff. I'll begin with a review of our third quarter results and discuss how we continue to execute our strategy in a housing market that remains challenging. Brad will then review the quarter in more detail and discuss our guidance for next quarter before we open the call for questions. To begin, it's clear that the macro environment has been challenging. World events as well as high mortgage rates, high gas prices, inflation and other factors have caused potential home buyers to hesitate. While website traffic has remained strong indicating long-term homebuying interests, buyers remain slow to make the final decision to move forward.
If you turn to Slide 5, you can see that total revenues were $706 million, slightly above the midpoint of our guidance range that we provided for the quarter. Honestly, we are hoping for a little more. But with almost a third of our deliveries for the quarter coming from new sales in the [indiscernible], it's harder to predict. Gross margin was 14.6%, also above the midpoint of our guidance range. We believe gross margin troughed in the first quarter and we've now seen improvement in the second and third quarters and are guided to continued and more significant improvement in the fourth quarter, and we'll describe that more in a moment.
Our SG&A ratio was 12.3%, which was better than our guidance range. Income from unconsolidated joint ventures was $3 million, which was within the guidance range but below the midpoint and certainly below our expectations. Adjusted EBITDA was $32 million, also within our guidance range. And finally, adjusted pre-tax was a loss of $2 million, slightly below the bottom of our guidance range of zero. The shortfall was primarily driven by income from unconsolidated joint ventures, which was the one area that came in below the midpoint of our guidance. It was substantially driven by delays at our newest joint venture deliveries. If JV income had been at the midpoint or if new QMI sales were just a little bit stronger, we certainly would have been within the guidance range.
We're disappointed that our adjusted pre-tax income came in slightly below the guidance. Since the fourth quarter of 2020, we consistently provided guidance one quarter in advance, and this was the first time in 23 quarters that adjusted pre-tax income finished below the guidance range. As we discussed for the past several quarters, our strategy has been to maintain sales pace while carefully working through older land inventory that was acquired before today's higher incentive environment became the norm. At the same time, we're bringing on newer communities where the underwriting economics already reflect today's market conditions. Despite the weaker than anticipated level of profitability for the third quarter, the transition from old inventory to new continues to make progress.
Now turning to Slide 6, compared with last year's third quarter, our results continue to reflect the reality of a housing market operating under substantially higher mortgage rates, elevated incentives, and concern about global instability, which has affected our top line as well. Although the metrics on this slide are below last year's level, we are continuing to manage through the cycle to position ourselves for long-term returns. Our inventory position is healthier today, our land portfolio is significantly better aligned with the market conditions, and our balance sheet remains substantially stronger than it was a few years ago.
Slide 7 shows our quarterly contracts declined slightly by 57 homes to 1,359 homes. The decline reflected the impact of political and financial volatility during the quarter, which contributed to more cautious buyer behavior, as I mentioned just a moment ago. We continue to believe that there is meaningful underlying demand for housing. Consumers are visiting communities and shopping for new homes. The challenge remains converting that interest into contracts in an environment where buyers continue to react to the latest news they read. Even with that modest decline, we believe our sales pace remained resilient relative to the broader market backdrop.
Looking at our monthly contracts on Slide 8, the choppiness we experienced early in the year continued throughout the third quarter. Since hostilities began with Iran in March, periods of heightened geopolitical uncertainty, the presence of or absence of a ceasefire and concerns about access to two different straits have generally appeared to move in the same direction as our sales pace. As of yesterday, interestingly, month-to-date contracts in August were up 3% versus last year. Consumers are still researching communities as evidenced by the strong website traffic. In July of '26, website visits were higher than in all but one year since 2019. The last two weeks were higher than any year since 2019.
However, the home buyer decision making process remains uneven as we've been discussing with consumers highly sensitive to changes in affordability and overall news and confidence. When affordability improves or confidence strengthens, we believe this greater website traffic should lead to increased foot traffic. In turn, a larger portion of that foot traffic should convert to sales, but recent monthly sales clearly show buyers are remaining cautious at the moment. Turning to Slide 9, our sales pace remained healthy by historical standards despite the difficult market backdrop. With 9.4 contracts per community, we're just above the historical averages.
When you look at contracts per community on a monthly basis, as we do on Slide 10, you can see that same uneven pattern we've been discussing. We started the quarter with a stronger year-over-year comparison in May, but the pace softened as the quarter progressed, with June roughly in line with last year and July below last year's level. So far, as we mentioned, August is just a little stronger than last year. This pattern of ups and downs is consistent with what we said earlier. Our strategy remains relatively straightforward. Maintain a healthy sales pace, keep moving inventory, burning through older vintage land, and make certain standing inventory does not build unnecessarily. We believe that approach supports stronger long-term returns than attempting to maximize near-term pricing at the expense of absorption.
One area we continue to monitor is incentive activity. As you can see on Slide 11, incentives remain elevated relative to historic levels. However, after increasing for several years, incentive levels have decreased from the first quarter to the second quarter to the third quarter. And this happened even though mortgage rates increased during the quarter. Importantly, today's incentive environment is already incorporated into our new underwriting assumptions for the more recent land acquisitions. That distinction definitely matters. When we're delivering homes from land purchased several years ago, the higher incentives greatly compress margins. When we're delivering homes from communities that were acquired or underwritten with high incentives already assumed, those communities should generate better gross margins.
That transition remains one of the most important drivers of our future margin recovery. As incentives have come down over the past couple of quarters, our gross margin has improved. On Slide 12, you can see that gross margins have increased sequentially since reaching a low point in the first quarter. This is now two quarters of sequential improvement and at the midpoint of our guidance, we expect a larger sequential increase in the fourth quarter to 15.8%. Another indicator that we continue to monitor closely is the percentage of communities where we're able to raise prices or reduce incentives. As you can see on Slide 13, we were able to do so in 31% of our communities during the third quarter. We view this as a balanced signal. It shows that affordability and confidence continue to limit broad-based pricing power, but it also demonstrates that a meaningful portion of our communities can still support improved net pricing where inventory is well controlled and the local competitive environment is more balanced.
If you turn to Slide 14, one of our objectives over the last 18 months has been to bring QMI inventory to a more balanced level given sales and we're making substantial progress. Although QMI inventory increased slightly to 6.7 QMIs per community, we're very comfortable with our position today and we believe our inventory is well aligned with current demand. On Slide 15, you can see total QMI inventory has fallen meaningfully by 29% from the levels we experienced in early '25. This improvement gives us greater flexibility, allows us to be more selective with incentives, better manage plans pricing and increase the percentage of sales that are generated from to-be-built homes, which generally carry stronger margins.
Our teams have done an outstanding job matching starts to demand and maintaining inventory across the portfolio. In the third quarter of '26, 33% of the homes we delivered were both sold and closed within the same quarter. It makes it difficult to predict next quarter's results, as we said. Overall, our backlog conversion ratio was 74%, still much higher than our historical average of 57% since the third quarter of 1998. So to summarize, while the housing market remains challenging and affordability continues to weigh on customers, we delivered results that were generally within guidance and maintained sales momentum during the quarter. We're making meaningful progress as newer communities underwritten for today's market becomes a larger part of our business. With that, I'll turn the call over to Brad to discuss our liquidity, land position, and outlook in more detail.
Thank you, Ara. Turning to Slide 16, we finished the third quarter with liquidity well above our target range. The strength of our liquidity continues to provide significant flexibility as we evaluate new land opportunities, support community count growth, and maintain a disciplined approach to capital allocation. While we'd certainly like to deploy additional capital into attractive opportunities, we remain committed to maintaining our underwriting discipline and will not pursue growth at returns that fail to meet our standards.
Turning to Slide 17, our debt maturity profile remains well laddered with no significant near-term maturities. This provides us with continued flexibility as we manage through the current market environment. The refinancing transaction we completed last fall was an important step in extending our maturity runway and further strengthening the balance sheet. On Slide 18, we show that over the last several years, we've meaningfully reduced debt while simultaneously increasing book equity. As a result, our net debt to cap ratio has improved dramatically from where it stood just a few years ago. Today, we remain firmly focused on further strengthening the balance sheet while maintaining the flexibility necessary to capitalize on future growth opportunities.
Turning to Slide 19, we ended the quarter with 147 communities, relatively unchanged from 146 communities at the same time last year. Although our total community count was essentially flat year-over-year, there was meaningful movement within the portfolio. We opened 62 new communities and closed 61 others, underscoring the continued refresh of our community base. We continue to expect our community count to increase sequentially in the fourth quarter as newer communities come online. While we have talked about growing community count in the past, it has not grown as quickly as we had anticipated due in part to our decision to walk away from certain land contracts during due diligence when they did not meet our underwriting standards. At the same time, we remain committed to our land-light approach.
As you can see on Slide 20, our owned lot position continues to decrease while our option lot position grew sequentially for the first time in six quarters as we replaced delivered lots with higher margin new lot positions. Turning to Slide 21, option lots represent the vast majority of our controlled lot portfolio allowing us to maintain flexibility while limiting invested capital. So you can see that the percentage of option lots has grown from 46% in the third quarter of 2015 to 87% in the third quarter of 2026, which is our highest percentage of option lots ever.
Slide 22 shows the age of our lot position, both owned and optioned, broken down by the year each lot was controlled. The number in each bar represents the total lots controlled in that year and the number below each bar indicates the percentage of incentives used on homes delivered during that year. Our controlled lot position remains substantial, but more importantly, the quality of that lot position continues to improve. At the end of the third quarter, 82% of our lots were controlled in fiscal year 2023 or later, after incentives had moved substantially above historical levels. As a significant shift in the portfolio, it means the vast majority of our current lot position was underwritten with today's incentive environment already reflected in the economics rather than based on assumptions from a time when incentives were much lower.
The increasing percentage of our deliveries are expected to come from lots acquired under today's market assumptions. As those communities become a larger part of our mix, we believe they will provide stronger margins and stronger returns than many of the communities they are replacing. The land market continues to present select opportunities that meet our underwriting hurdles, and we remain patient and disciplined in our land evaluation. Given the continued variability in the sales environment and the timing effects associated with QMI deliveries, we are providing financial guidance for the next quarter only. Our outlook assumes market conditions remain broadly stable with no major increases in mortgage rates, tariffs, inflation, cancellation rates, or construction cycle time.
As a greater portion of our deliveries come from QMIs, quarterly results can be more sensitive to closing timing and mix. Our forecast includes ongoing use of mortgage rate buydowns and similar incentives, and it does not include any changes to SG&A from phantom stock expense tied to stock price movements from the $123.90 closing price at the end of the third quarter of fiscal '26. On Slide 23, we show our guidance for the fourth quarter. We expect continued progress as more homes are delivered from our newer communities. We expect total revenues between $800 million and $900 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to be in the range of 15% to 16.5%. We expect SG&A as a percentage of total revenues to be between 10.5% and 11.5%, which remains above our long-term objective. We expect income from joint ventures to be between $10 million and $20 million, and our guidance for adjusted EBITDA is between $50 million and $65 million. Adjusted pre-tax income for the fourth quarter is between $15 million and $30 million. We remain focused on execution and believe our positioning today supports continued improvement moving forward. I will now turn it back over to Ara for some closing remarks.
Thanks, Brad. When we look at this housing cycle, we're focused less on the results of a single quarter and more on how we're positioning ourselves for the years ahead. Turning to Slide 24, these five priorities on the slide, which I'll describe more in detail in a moment, reflect the strategic framework that we're using to guide our operating decisions. Slide 25, sales pace leadership. Here we show that we're maintaining one of the stronger sales paces in the industry. It's not happening by accident. We're keeping communities actively selling, aligning prices, incentives, and production with local demand, and staying focused on converting consistent sales velocity. In a market where affordability remains challenging and buyer confidence can shift quickly, sustaining this level of absorption is an important part of our strategy.
We want to burn through the older land as we've said many times and perform for our land sellers as well. You can see on this slide how our contracts per community would stack up against our peers who report on a June quarterly basis. Our contracts per community of 10.2 ranks us third out of these peers. On Slide 26, we show that our sales pace increased year-over-year while many builders were flat or down, again ranking us third if we had a June quarter end. In our view, that demonstrates we're getting more than our fair share of the market, even in a difficult selling environment. By staying disciplined on pricing incentives and production, we're keeping buyers engaged in converting demand into contracts at a rate that compares favorably with the industry even as it's going through a difficult time.
On Slide 27, we show another important element of our strategy, capital efficiency. At 87% option lots, we control more of our lots through options than the majority of our peers. That allows us to secure future community growth while limiting the amount of capital tied up in land. By using options with sellers and strategic land partners, we can minimize the investment in long-duration communities and maintain the flexibility to align our land pipeline with actual market demand. On Slide 28, we show that we have the second highest inventory turn rate in the industry, and this is a relative position that we've maintained consistently over time. This reflects disciplined execution across the business, keeping our build cycles efficient, converting starts into deliveries quickly, and limiting standing inventory. Faster inventory turns help preserve our pricing power, reduce carrying costs, and allows us to recycle capital more efficiently into new communities and other growth opportunities.
On Slide 29, you can see how our higher percentage of option lots combined with higher inventory turns translates into one of the highest EBIT ROIs among our small to mid-sized peers. This is the result of evaluating decisions through the lens of inventory efficiency and return on capital, allocating capital to communities and opportunities where we see the best returns, balancing growth, margins, and cash flows to maximize long-term value creation. On Slide 30, we highlight the continued shift in our portfolio toward higher price points and higher value buyer segments. As we make this shift, we're reducing our exposure to the most competitive entry-level price points and placing a greater emphasis on move-up buyers and active adult housing. And to support the veteran active adult lifestyle expert to bring additional focus to our Four Seasons brand and communities where we can differentiate through elevated design, quality, and included features.
We believe this portfolio shift can help broaden our appeal to buyers who have greater financial flexibility while supporting stronger margins and returns over time. Taken together, these slides show how a strategy focused on generating sales pace, capital efficiencies, and returns can be better for the long term than just simply growing for growth's sake or chasing margin. We're maintaining one of the strongest sales paces in the industry, capturing more than our fair share of demand, and using our land-light model and faster inventory turns to drive one of the strongest EBIT ROI return profiles among our small and mid-sized peers. As we shift more of our portfolio to higher value buyer segments, including move-up and active adult communities, we believe we're positioning the company for stronger margins, better capital returns, and long-term shareholder value creation.
The housing market undoubtedly remains challenging, and we don't pretend otherwise, but we like where we're positioned. We have great people, strong liquidity, a disciplined land strategy, and a clear focus on returns. We believe those advantages position us well to create value for shareholders over the longer term. With that operator, we'll be glad to open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is coming from the line of [ Natalie Colascri ] of Zelman. Please go ahead.
2. Question Answer
I see here on your presentation that construction cost per square foot kicked higher this quarter. So I know it's a fractional increase, but could you talk a little bit about what drove that? And if it's fuel or lumber related, what sort of success have you had in negotiating this cost lower for the coming quarters?
Yes, the primary, yes, there's, I mean, it's not a very large increase. There's been minor increases in a few areas, and we are seeing lumber start to increase, as you point out. We do continue to look for ways and push back on both material and labor supply in all of our communities, looking for opportunities to drive those costs down. As you'll see on that same slide, we brought costs down quite a bit since the beginning of 2025, troughed in the last quarter and now it's just gone back up slightly. So it isn't a significant change and we do continue to look for ways to bring down our costs.
Okay, thank you. And we've been hearing more chatter about ICE raids over the past month. Have you experienced any disruptions to your operations in any of the markets because of this?
I have not heard of any ICE raids lately. It's been a while actually, since I've heard about that in any of our communities. I think the last one I heard about was probably three or four months ago.
Yes, it's been relatively quiet. I mean, the overwhelming majority of our trades obviously use all legal workers. So we don't expect problems. And frankly, with demand a little on the low side, labor has not been an issue right now.
Thank you. One moment for the next question. Our next question is coming from the line of Alex Barron of Housing Research Center. Please go ahead.
I just wanted to see if you guys could discuss a bit your outlook on what incentives you believe are likely to do at the moment or how your strategy has been shifting. And also, can you discuss a bit more bringing the Saudi Arabia stuff on balance sheet?
I will tackle it and Brad you can fill in a little bit more. As we mentioned, even though mortgage rates increased during this quarter, more than we weren't anticipating any increase, it did increase quite a bit, but incentives managed to go down. Obviously you know today mortgage rates crept up again so you know it's difficult to try to project what's going to happen with incentives. Our crystal ball and what's going to happen with long-term rates is just not super clear but what is clear is that we're getting a greater percentage of our deliveries from newer properties where we've already anticipated higher incentives during underwriting. That will help even if they creep up just a little bit. I forgot the second part of your question.
The second question was...
[indiscernible]. So I don't know exactly Alex what you're asking, but in the first quarter, we consolidated what was a joint venture and you can see if you look at the balance sheet, the change from year end to July, a lot of the changes in inventory, customer deposits, sales, deposits, and notes are a result of that consolidation. We talk about that some in the Q, so you can certainly take a look there, even last Q we talk about it. That we really haven't seen any, that business is kind of in between communities at the moment. We're not really seeing, we don't really have any deliveries coming in this year so far, but we are expecting some deliveries to begin to happen in the fourth quarter and then into 2027. So we'll start to talk about it a little bit more when that starts to happen. At the moment, it's really a non-event in our income statement because there's really no delivery activity yet. And I think the same is true for the balance sheet. We have very little invested there. It's just not a, so far it hasn't been a capital intensive market, especially as most of our buyers are doing stage payments which really reduces the amount of capital we need to invest there.
So how should we think about the backlog and when that's likely to start to get delivered or what the first year delivery is likely to look like?
Well, I think as I mentioned, you'll start to see some deliveries in the fourth quarter. And then once that starts to happen as we're giving next year's projections, we'll probably start to be able to give you more guidance about that.
Okay, thank you.
Yes, overall I wouldn't be overly focused on Saudi. It's a minor investment and minor activity, relatively speaking. We're hoping over the long term to make it a greater and more meaningful part of our business. At the moment we're really keeping it on the lower side.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question is coming from the line of [ Jay Mechanist ] of Citizens Bank.
When I look at the total revenue guide of $800 million to $900 million, is there any land sales contemplated in that number or is that all increase in housing sales?
No land sales are assumed in that number.
Did you talk about what you guys are expecting for an ASP this quarter?
I would say if you looked at our most recent quarter actuals, it shouldn't be that significantly different than that. I think you're going to just gradually see our ASP go up quarter-over-quarter as we're bringing in new communities and moving away from the first-time Aspire products we talked about. It's going to take time for that to happen. So you'll just see very gradual increase in ASP quarter-to-quarter.
That was actually going to be my next question, Brad, is what are you guys thinking for next year? So just mix of more move-up buyers is going to bring that ASP up, you think?
Yes, it's going to take time, but yes, that's right. You're going to see that over the coming years. I think our ASP will continue to move up as we move away from Aspire.
Got you. And then the next question on community count. Any idea as to when that's going to inflect and start to move higher? This is the third quarter in a row where community count's been down sequentially.
Yes, we did mention that the fourth quarter we do expect it to be up and then we do expect growth in 2027. As I mentioned, unfortunately we've been saying that and it hasn't been coming to fruition and it's because we've had a number of communities that we've walked away from in various stages, primarily during due diligence or before the land is purchased, but that's hurt our ability to get growth. As we talked about, we have a lot of new communities that we've done, 62 in the last 12 months, but not getting growth yet. But we do anticipate, you know, barring any significant changes in the market that, you know, force us to consider walking away from additional deals, we expect growth to happen in the fourth quarter and then into 2027.
Got you. And then really good news on the gross margin front. I guess, how sustainable is that from going from 4Q to 1Q? I think, you know, you're going to lose some volume sequentially, but do you think, without giving guidance, do you think there's a possibility you could be close to that gross margin number? Or if not, what has been the historical degradation from 4Q to 1Q, just given the lack of volume?
Or the lower volume between 1Q versus 4Q? I think you're basically stating it correctly. I mean, we should continue to see a trend of improvement from where we are today. There would likely be maybe a little degradation from the fourth quarter to the first, as we typically see from the volume, as you point out. But, you know, that's probably typically 30 to 50 basis points, something in that range. So I think you'd still see improvement from the third quarter to the first quarter, you know, if the market doesn't change, if that helps answer your question.
That's great, thank you. And then the last one I had with all the M&A this year, and I know a lot of these deals are recently closed or soon to be closed, I guess, are you seeing any opportunities on the land side, either from like, you know, full packages or one-off communities, anything that's coming to market that might help you guys grow the community count a little faster?
We are seeing land opportunities from a variety of sources. This quarter, as we mentioned during the call, we had positive position in our lots controlled, optioned and controlled more lots during the quarter than we delivered homes. Some of it can be coming from the M&A activity. Some of it is coming from other of our peers that are walking from communities, just like we're doing, that don't make economic sense for them and then sometimes that same land seller can keep the previous deposit and reduce prices to make it enticing to resell it. So, we're definitely seeing that, including some that are finished lots, which is particularly helpful. So, we're optimistic and we're actually really gearing up in our land acquisition teams across the country. We know we need scale. We really need scale, and we're trying to make a concerted effort to grow, if not through M&A opportunities, then by being more aggressive in searching for land that meets our underwriting criteria.
Okay, that's great. Thank you guys. I appreciate it.
Thank you. And that concludes the Q&A session. I would like to turn the call back over to Ara for closing remarks. Please go ahead.
Great, thank you very much. Considering the environment, we're not overly surprised by the results, but we very much look forward to producing better results and reporting better results next quarter and certainly next year as well.
Thanks so much. Thank you for participating in today's program. You may now disconnect.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q3 2026 Earnings Call
Near-guidance Q3: revenue $706M, margins improving as newer, higher‑underwritten communities grow; strong liquidity but near-term sensitivity remains.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: $706 million, slightly above the midpoint of guidance.
- Gross margin: 14.6% (sequential improvement; gross margin = revenue minus cost of goods sold).
- Adj. EBITDA: $32 million (within guidance).
- Adj. pre-tax: loss of $2 million, slightly below guidance due to lower JV income.
- Contracts: 1,359 homes, down 57 homes versus prior period; sales pace remains resilient.
🎯 What Management Says
- Inventory shift: Transitioning deliveries from older, low‑underwritten land to newer communities priced with today’s higher incentive assumptions to restore margins.
- Capital discipline: Land‑light model with option lots (87% of controlled lots) to limit invested capital and preserve flexibility.
- Portfolio mix: Moving upmarket toward move‑up and active‑adult segments to improve ASPs (average selling prices) and margins over time.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Revenue guide: Q4 expected $800M–$900M; guidance is for the next quarter only.
- Margins & profit: Adj. gross margin 15.0%–16.5%; SG&A 10.5%–11.5% of revenue; adj. EBITDA $50M–$65M; adj. pre‑tax $15M–$30M.
- JV income: $10M–$20M assumed; guidance assumes stable market, ongoing use of mortgage buydowns, and excludes phantom stock expense.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Costs: Minor uptick in construction cost per sq ft (lumber and select materials); management pushing suppliers and expects limited impact.
- JV / Saudi exposure: Consolidated a small JV (Saudi) on balance sheet but deliveries are minimal this year; material revenue impact expected to begin in Q4/2027.
- Community growth & timing: Opened many new communities but walked from some land deals in diligence; expect community count to rise in Q4 and into 2027 if underwriting holds.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Conclusion: Hovnanian reported stable sales momentum and sequential margin improvement driven by newer communities and a land‑light model; strong liquidity and a cleaner lot mix support recovery, but earnings remain sensitive to mortgage rates, incentive levels, JV timing, and closing‑timing variability.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for Hovnanian Enterprises Fiscal 2026 Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. An archive of the webcast will be available after the completion of the call and run for 12 months. This conference is being recorded for rebroadcast. [Operator Instructions] Management will make some opening remarks about the second quarter results and then open the line for questions. The company will also be webcasting a slide presentation along with the opening comments from management. The slides are available on the Investors page of the company's website at www.khov.com. Those listeners who would like to follow along should now log on to the website.
I would like to turn the call over to Jeffrey O'Keefe, Vice President, Investor Relations.
Jeff, please go ahead.
Thank you, Didi. And thank you all for participating in this morning's call to review the results for our second quarter. All statements in this conference call that are not historical facts should be considered as forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements. Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to the company's goals and expectations with respect to financial results for future financial periods. Although we believe that our plans, intentions and expectations reflected in or suggested by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that such plans, intentions or expectations will be achieved.
By their nature, forward-looking statements speak only as of date they are made, are not guarantees of future performance or results and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict or quantify. Therefore, actual results could differ materially and adversely from those forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors are described in detail in the sections entitled Risk Factors and Management's Discussion and Analysis, particularly the portion of MD&A entitled Safe Harbor Statement in our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as otherwise required by applicable securities laws, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or any other reasons.
Joining me today are Ara Hovnanian, Chairman and CEO; Brad O'Connor, CFO; David Mitrisin, Vice President and Corporate Controller; Paul Eberly, Vice President, Finance and Treasurer.
I'll now turn the call over to Ara.
Thanks, Jeff. Before we begin, I'd like to take a moment to remember Ed Kangas, who passed this week. As our longest-serving Independent Director, Chair of our Audit Committee and Lead Independent Director, Ed brought valued judgment, integrity and steady guidance to our Board and our management team. His leadership and his dedication to Hovnanian spanned many years as he joined our Board shortly after retiring as Chairman of Deloitte.
Beyond his many professional contributions, he was also a trusted friend, who will be deeply missed by everyone that knew him. The Board of Directors and everyone at the company extends our heartfelt condolences for his family. I'll also apologize in advance if my voice sounds raspy. I'm on the tail end of a nasty virus that hopefully will be gone soon.
Moving on to our results for the quarter. I'll begin with a quick overview of our second quarter results and the progress we're making against our strategy in today's housing environment. Brad will then follow me with more details on our financial performance, capital position and outlook before we open the floor for questions. Turning to Slide 5. This slide highlights our second quarter performance relative to the guidance we provided at the start of the period. Despite a continued choppy demand environment, we delivered solid execution coming in at or above nearly all of our targeted metrics, including a meaningful outperformance in our adjusted gross margin.
Starting on the top line, we generated total revenues of $668 million, close to the midpoint of our projected range. Notably, our adjusted gross margin was 14.3% for the quarter, exceeding the upper end of our forecast and improving sequentially from 13.4% in the first quarter, which we believe marked the trough. We projected a trough in the first quarter with a rebound beginning in the second quarter, and that scenario has come to fruition. Our SG&A came in at 12.6%, right at the lower end and thus better end of what we expected. Our unconsolidated joint ventures contributed a $1 million loss this quarter, modestly below our expectations. This reflects start-up costs ahead of our first deliveries in several joint venture communities, which is typical in the early stages of these projects.
For the quarter, our adjusted EBITDA reached $41 million, coming in above our projected range. And our adjusted pretax income totaled $9 million, landing at the top end of our forecasted range. Stepping back, the results this quarter reflect the core of our current approach, supporting affordability with targeted mortgage rate buydowns to maintain sales pace while we work through older, lower-margin lots and quick move-in inventory. At the same time, we are transitioning toward newer communities where today's incentive environment is already built into the land underwriting, which we believe supports a path to better margins and returns over time.
On Slide 6, you'll see this year's second quarter results along last year's second quarter. These comparisons are more challenging given the lower delivery volume, slower housing market and higher incentives in the current market. But it also helps illustrate the progress we're making as the business transitions to a better margin profile. Total revenues declined 3% year-over-year, primarily because we delivered 12% fewer homes amid a more competitive selling environment. A land sale completed during the second quarter partially offset the impact of lower deliveries.
Adjusted gross margin was lower than a year ago, largely due to the higher incentives used to support affordability and sustained sales pace. Importantly, these incentives are deliberate targeted levers in our current strategy and again, as we efficiently work through older, lower-margin lots and quick move-in inventory. Despite the year-over-year decline, gross margin improved sequentially in the second quarter. As I mentioned earlier, we believe the first quarter represented a trough. Looking ahead, we expect margins to benefit as we continue to open and deliver from newer communities where today's incentive environment was already incorporated in land underwriting.
Assuming the market doesn't require meaningfully higher incentives, we believe this mix shift supports a continued gradual improvement trend. During the second quarter, incentives represented 11.9% of our average sales price with the majority tied to mortgage rate buydowns. Compared to the first quarter of '26, this represented a 70 basis point decline and marks the first time in nearly two years that incentive levels have decreased sequentially. We'll show more detail on the incentive trends in a few slides. Offsetting the year-over-year incentives, our construction costs decreased 2% year-over-year in the second quarter. Additionally, cycle times for single-family homes improved by 6 days to 138 calendar days versus the same quarter last year.
SG&A increased modestly year-over-year, largely reflecting lower revenue. Even so, profitability for the quarter came in at the upper end of our guidance range. We continue to prioritize disciplined inventory management and a steady sales pace, positioning ourselves to capitalize on attractive land opportunities that we're finding in the marketplace. I'll repeat myself again, but we believe these new land purchases can drive stronger margins and improve returns given that we're underwriting with heavy incentives today.
Looking at the sales environment on Slide 7, we had a slight year-over-year increase of 38 contracts in a home selling environment that was impacted by decreasing consumer confidence. Without the incentives we're offering, we believe that our contracts would have decreased dramatically compared to year ago levels due to ongoing market challenges and low consumer confidence. If you look at Slide 8, you'll notice that the monthly community traffic through November and April mostly trended up with 4 of the 6 months showing strong year-over-year gains.
While the last two months showed some softening among increased macro uncertainty related to the Iran war, April's rate of decline moderated versus March, which we view as a constructive signal. Our takeaway from this chart is that underlying demand and interest from consumers remains present. And as uncertainty eases, we believe the demand can translate to improved sales activity. As shown on Slide 9, contracts over the past 12 months have fluctuated month-to-month, reflecting a volatile housing market and shifts in consumer confidence. February's gain was the strongest year-over-year increase on the slide, followed by an 8% year-over-year decline in March, impacted by the start of the Iran war and then a 3% increase in April.
As of yesterday, our month-to-date contracts in May were up 12% versus the prior year, which would represent an increased trend if it holds through the end of the month. On Slide 10, despite the impact of the war, you can see that second quarter contracts per community increased ever so slightly compared to last year. This year's 11.3 contracts per community was close to the average second quarter absorption pace since '97. On Slide 11, we provide a closer look at monthly contracts per community comparing each month to the second -- in the second quarter to the same month last year. For February, the first month of the quarter, the sales pace was significantly higher than the same month last year, but the March sales pace was worse than a year ago. And then April was flat year-over-year.
Summing up the slide in one word, the environment is choppy. If you refer to Slide 12, we present contracts per community as if our quarter ended on March 31, which allows for a direct comparison with all of our peers that report contracts per community on a calendar quarter basis, which is most of them. Our 11.2 contracts per community sales pace ranks as the second highest among publicly traded homebuilders on this slide. As illustrated on Slide 13, our contracts per community increased 4% year-over-year. We are one of only two builders on this slide with year-over-year increases for this metric.
Again, our performance for these comparisons was based on an adjusted quarter ending in March for us, which allows us to have a direct comparison to our peers. Takeaway from these two slides is clear. Our focus on sales pace over price is delivering above-average sales results and helping us work through older, less profitable communities more quickly. You turn to Slide 14, you can see -- which tracks incentives. And if you look to the blue bar on the right, you can see what I mentioned earlier that incentives have finally begun to decline after three years of increases. The most dramatic jump happened at the start of '23 when incentives climbed from 3.9% in the fourth quarter of '22 to 7.4% in the first quarter of '23. Incentives have steadily increased over the past 3 years. While these higher incentives have put short-term pressure on our margins, they've been essential for maintaining a steady sales pace and allowing us to move our inventory.
Even though we saw incentives decrease in the second quarter from the first quarter, it's still up 140 basis points compared to a year ago and higher by 890 basis points versus the full year in '22, which was the last full year of normal incentives before mortgage rates spiked and it began to affect our margins and our deliveries. To make homeownership more accessible for homebuyers and again, moving through our inventory, we provided a variety of quick move-in homes through -- across our communities. It gives buyers an opportunity to benefit from the incentives, lock their mortgage rate and purchase a home faster and at a more affordable monthly cost. It's important to note that our recent land acquisitions, again, are underwritten to include these incentives while still meeting our return targets.
As our new communities come online, again, I'll keep repeating this, we do expect to see stronger margins going forward. On Slide 15, you'll see that at the end of the second quarter, we had 5.8 quick move-ins per community. This pretty much matches the previous quarter and highlights our progress in streamlining our quarter -- our inventory, excuse me. By closely coordinating starts with our sales pace, we've reduced our QMI count and kept inventory levels balanced.
QMIs are homes that are under construction at the moment they begin or have completed that haven't yet been sold. Looking at Slide 16, our number of QMIs have dropped from 1,163 at the end of January of '25 to 731 at the end of April of '26, a 37% reduction in just over a year. In the second quarter, QMIs accounted for 68% of total sales. While this is down from the previous high of 79%, it's significantly higher than our historical average of about 40%. Meanwhile, sales of to-be-built homes, those constructed based on customers' orders rose from 21% to 32%. If these patterns hold, we expect to see more to-be-built deliveries in the second half of '26 and into fiscal '27.
As is typical, to-be-built margins in the second quarter were higher than our QMI margins. Having more to-be-built deliveries going forward will be beneficial to our gross margin and our overall profitability. With our current inventory of 731 quick move-in homes, we're well positioned to satisfy existing homebuyer demand. We'll continue to adjust our starts as needed, making sure we maintain the right balance, enough QMIs to meet demand without overshooting. This strategy allows us to sign contracts and close on homes more quickly within the same quarter, leading to fewer homes left in backlog and a higher conversion rate from backlog to deliveries.
In the second quarter of '26, 41% of the homes we delivered were both sold and closed in the same quarter. That's the highest percentage we've recorded since we began tracking this metric in '23. While this makes it a bit harder to predict next quarter results, it led to a backlog conversion rate of 85%, much higher than our historical average of 61% for the second quarter since '98. We continue to closely manage our QMIs for each quarter, making sure that the rate at which we start homes matches the rate at which we sell them. We try to sell the QMIs before they are finished.
Over the past year, our finished QMIs decreased 55% from 304 at the end of last year's second quarter to 137 finished QMIs at the end of the second quarter of '26. If you look at Slide 17, you'll see that despite higher mortgage rates and slower sales pace nationwide, we managed to increase prices -- net prices in 44% of our communities during the second quarter. This quarter, we raised prices or decreased incentives in a larger percentage of our communities than we have over the last two years. As the number of communities with price increases has increased, so has the geographic dispersion of those communities.
To wrap up, we're actively managing our inventory to speed up sales of quick move-in homes, steadily clearing our lower-margin land and keeping our sales pace consistent. At the same time, we're positioning ourselves on new land to capitalize on new land opportunities that promise better margins and higher returns. I'll now turn it over to Brad O'Connor, with hopefully a less raspy voice than mine, our Chief Financial Officer.
Take it away, Brad.
Thank you, Ara. Turning to Slide 18. We ended the second quarter with $442 million in liquidity, well above our target range even after spending $232 million on land and land development and $10 million on stock repurchases. This is the third quarter in a row that our liquidity was above $400 million, reflecting our disciplined approach to capital and land management. Turning to Slide 19. As of April 30, 2026, our maturity ladder reflects the refinancing completed last fall. Today, except for our revolving credit facility, all outstanding debt is unsecured. This provides greater financial flexibility, further reduces risk and supports our long-term plans. On Slide 20, we highlight the progress we've made over the past few years in increasing equity and reducing debt.
Over that time, equity has grown by $1.3 billion and debt has been reduced by $749 million. Net debt to capital is now 43.1%, a substantial improvement from 146.2% at the start of fiscal 2020. While we still have work to do, we remain on track toward our 30% net debt to capital target. With $222 million in deferred tax assets, we do not expect to pay federal income taxes on approximately $700 million of future pretax earnings, which supports cash flow and capital flexibility. Turning to Slide 21. This quarter, we had 148 communities open for sale, unchanged from last year. While the total count is steady, there's been meaningful activity over the past year as we opened 75 new communities and closed 75 others.
The flat count reflects the balance of those actions, not a lack of portfolio refresh. Looking forward, our newer communities are positioned to outperform older ones, and we believe they will increasingly support improved margins and returns as they become a larger part of our delivery mix. Slide 22 details our land position. We ended the second quarter with 33,632 domestic controlled lots, equivalent to a 6.5-year supply. Including joint ventures, we now control 36,621 lots. This excludes lots in our Saudi operation. Our total domestic lot count declined 21% year-over-year, reflecting our intentional approach to land acquisitions and our willingness to step away from opportunities that do not meet our underwriting standards.
Our inventory of owned lots has also trended down, consistent with our continued shift toward a more land-light model. Slide 23 shows the age of our lot position, both owned and optioned, broken down by the year each lot was controlled. The number in each bar represents the total lots controlled in that year, and the number below each bar indicates the percentage of incentives used on homes delivered during that year. This slide illustrates that by the second quarter of '26, slightly more than 22,000 or 66% of our owned and option lots were initially controlled after fiscal 2023 when we began underwriting land acquisitions assuming a meaningfully higher incentive environment.
In the second quarter, 45% of our deliveries came from lots acquired in 2023 or earlier, which creates margin pressure because those lots were purchased assuming materially lower incentives, but less so than we experienced in previous quarters when more than 50% of our deliveries were from similarly aged lots. We're making a measured transition from older, lower-margin lots to newer land opportunities that better fit today's incentive landscape. To help navigate current market conditions, we are also working constructively with certain land sellers where we have option agreements with the goal of appropriately sharing the pain and aligning on outcomes that work for both parties. Encouragingly, even with today's incentive environment, we continue to see attractive opportunities that meet our margin and IRR thresholds.
On Slide 24, you can see our land and development spending trends over the past 6 quarters, along with the quarterly average for 2024. We scaled back land and development investment as we responded to changing market dynamics with a modest uptick in the second quarter, reflecting development activity to bring new communities online. Each acquisition is carefully evaluated, factoring in current pricing, incentives, construction costs and sales velocity, so we can allocate capital thoughtfully and remain responsive to market conditions. Our focus remains on sustainable growth in both revenue and profitability, supported by disciplined underwriting, a land-light approach and active capital management.
As part of the updated strategy we discussed last quarter, we are concentrating on acquiring land for move-up homes in desirable A and B locations. We are also expanding our pursuit of active adult communities while reducing investment in lower-margin entry-level developments on the outskirts. Given the continued variability in the sales environment and the timing effects associated with quick move home deliveries, we are providing financial guidance for the next quarter only. Our outlook assumes market conditions remain broadly stable with no major increases in mortgage rates, tariffs, inflation, cancellation rates or construction cycle times.
As a greater portion of our deliveries come from QMIs, quarterly results can be more sensitive to closing timing and mix. Our forecast includes ongoing use of mortgage rate buydowns and similar incentives, and it does not include any changes to SG&A from phantom stock expense tied to stock price movements from the $112.44 closing price at the end of the second quarter of fiscal '26. Slide 25 shows our guidance for the third quarter of fiscal '26. We expect total revenues between $650 million and $750 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to be in the range of 14% to 15%. We expect SG&A as a percentage of total revenues to be between 12.5% and 13.5%, which remains above our long-term objective. We expect income from joint ventures to be between breakeven and $10 million, and our guidance for adjusted EBITDA is between $30 million and $40 million.
Our expectation for adjusted pretax income for the third quarter is between breakeven and $10 million. While our third quarter profit outlook remains modest, we anticipate a rebound in adjusted pretax income during the fourth quarter of fiscal '26. The upcoming delivery of homes from our newer higher-margin communities should further enhance results primarily in the fourth quarter and beyond. On Slide 26, we show that 86% of our lots are controlled via options, up from 45% in the second quarter of fiscal 2015, reflecting our strategic focus on land light. Looking at Slide 27, we compare well to our peers in controlling land through options. In fact, we have the fourth highest percentage of option lots, placing us well above the industry median.
On Slide 28, we have the second highest inventory turnover rate among our peers. This is an important part of our strategy because it means we sell and replace our inventory more quickly than most competitors, demonstrating a more efficient use of our capital. Our strong inventory turnover is driven not just by our land-light approach, but also by our ongoing efforts to streamline operations by increasing our use of land options and shortening the time from lot purchase to construction start as well as speeding up construction completion, we're able to turn our inventory more efficiently.
On Slide 29, we show that compared to our midsized peers, we have the highest adjusted EBIT return on investment at 15.9%. On Slide 30, we show our price to book value compared to our peers. We are trading at about 20% below book value and below the median for all the peers shown on this slide. Given our high return on investment, combined with our rapidly improving balance sheet, we believe our stock continues to be undervalued.
I will now turn it back to Ara for some brief closing remarks.
Thanks, Brad. We're realistic about the environment we're operating in as mortgage rates moved higher, incentives increased, margins compressed and land values decreased accordingly, including land that we have. That's the reality of this part of the cycle. What matters is how you respond, and we are finding and underwriting new land that meets our IRR hurdles even with today's higher incentive levels. We're being disciplined, selective and patient without losing sight of our long-term returns. We're also respectful of the landholders that have optioned lots to us, sharing in the pain as we burn through older land at lower margins.
Unfortunately, in the near term, that means accepting lower margins while the market works through this uncertainty. We're not sacrificing the future or making short-term decisions that compromise long-term value even as the housing market slows amid broader geopolitical and macro pressures. I think about airlines in periods of elevated jet fuel prices like they are seeing today, they don't stop flying planes, but they manage through it, control what they can and position themselves for stronger profitability when fuel prices normalize. And that's exactly what we're doing as a homebuilder, working through higher land and incentive costs while deliberately replacing older land with better underwritten land that supports materially higher margins over time.
In today's environment, it's difficult to provide meaningful visibility beyond the next quarter. However, we believe we are well positioned for meaningful improvement in the fourth quarter, particularly in volume and gross margins as newer communities begin to deliver. And although demand may continue to fluctuate in the near term, as we've shown in some of our slides, we remain focused on execution and believe that focus can help us finish the year with solid momentum. We have a strong franchise and outstanding people and great liquidity.
We focused on execution, managing inventory tightly, monetizing our QMIs and accelerating the transition to newer, more profitable communities. We believe this disciplined approach positions us to emerge from this period stronger, more efficient and better positioned to create value from our -- for our shareholders when conditions improve. That concludes our formal comments, and I'll be happy to turn it over for questions.
[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from [ Stephen Carlson of Cottonwood Capital. ]
2. Question Answer
Just curious on your comments for an improved Q4, if you could elaborate on what you mean by that? Are you talking about year-over-year EBITDA improvement? Or is that something that might be delayed a little bit longer?
I'll try to elaborate. And again, as I'll preface my comments with repeating the fact that it's very difficult to forecast beyond the current quarter and the next quarter. But having said that, we -- as I mentioned, we anticipate higher volume sequentially that means higher delivery volume and higher revenues, and hopefully, if this trend continues and the market stays steady, we expect continued improvement in gross margins.
So I don't want to get more specific than that, given the volatility that I've demonstrated through the slides earlier, but we're feeling optimistic that the lower margins and lower profit returns that we reported this quarter, and we're projecting the third quarter will improve quite a bit in the fourth quarter.
Yes. But -- and the improvement is, as Ara mentioned, sequential. We're not commenting on improvement over last year. We're commenting on improvement sequentially.
Okay. Great. And then just on the cash balance, I noticed a slight dip. I assume that was just from working capital use consistent with the working capital use I see last year, but there wasn't a cash flow statement. So...
Yes. No, it's actually typical for us to have our highest cash balance at year-end. We tend to have our highest delivery volume in the fourth quarter. And then normally, you actually see us frankly, lower than this in the first and second quarter than where we've been running this year because the current environment, we've not done as much land acquisition. There hasn't been as many deals that you can underwrite in the current environment. So we actually have more liquidity and more cash than we typically would in the second quarter with liquidity over $400 million at the end of the second quarter...
Yes, I'll just elaborate just even further. It's not only higher than what is typical, as Brad mentioned, but it's way above our cash and liquidity targets. We'd love to have less cash actually, which would mean that we would have invested more in new land opportunities. Thankfully, we are finding good land opportunities, but just not quite enough to absorb all of our excess cash right now.
And just last question for me. On that point, any thoughts about other than land opportunities, plans to use the cash? Or I guess the only prepayable debt you have is really the preferreds, but any thoughts on uses of cash out of the ordinary?
No. I mean you saw us opportunistically take -- spend some cash in the quarter on stock repurchases. We still have available capacity under the Board approval for additional stock repurchases if we thought that was a good use of the cash. We'd like to also continue to maintain this excess liquidity while waiting for better land deals to come along. We'd like to have some dry powder available to invest when the right time comes. But you might see us opportunistically take some stock repurchases. Debt would be difficult, as you point out. It's not really callable other than very expensive. So...
And our next question comes from Alan Ratner of Zelman.
First, on the land comments you guys made, I think you kind of alluded to having some renegotiations with land sellers and land bankers, and you kind of alluded to sharing the pain a little bit. I'm just curious if you can kind of quantify what percentage of your land book at this point have you gone back and renegotiated and actually gotten better pricing on? Is this something that's kind of still in the early innings? Or have you actually made significant headway as far as your current portfolio of land? I'm just curious.
So Alan, I'll make a couple of comments to try to help -- answer the question. We have about, I think, 19% of our option lots are actually optioned with land bankers. A lot of the options are still with the original seller until they're going through the approval process. And therefore, we wouldn't renegotiate those until it was time to take them down and potentially either not move forward.
So to your point, of the land banking volume, I couldn't give you a percentage in terms of how many we've gone back and renegotiated. But we've had -- we go community by community where we're struggling with an individual community. And for the most part, I would say land bankers have been helpful in deferrals, primarily deferrals, but there's been some assistance on price on some more struggling communities. Both sides really want to work it out and not have to exit. And so we so far have had pretty good success with that.
Great. I appreciate that extra color. Second question, just on the pricing environment. I'm curious, we've heard from some others that perhaps maybe mortgage rate buydowns aren't having quite the impact that they were having a couple of years ago when rates initially surged in terms of traffic and even getting buyers off the sidelines. We've seen some other builders kind of pivot more towards base price adjustments. So first is more of a housekeeping question. When you give those incentive numbers, is that an all-in kind of price adjustment number, incentives plus base price? Or is that only incentives? And then the follow-up to that is, have you also begun to maybe pivot more towards base price adjustments versus incentives?
I'd say it's really situational. At this point, I mean, you heard a comment from other builders that mortgage rates are not necessarily driving customers. The reality is the lack of confidence with everything that's going on globally is really the driving factor. So whether it's incentives, buydowns, base price reductions, customers are just a little more hesitant at the moment. So we deal with every single community individually. In some cases, mortgage rate buydowns are important, depending on what our competitors are doing and how customers are reacting. In some cases, a little mortgage rate buydown may be appropriate, in other cases, base price reductions. You name it, we will customize it to the situation at hand.
But I think, Alan, we have -- to my knowledge, we haven't seen a significant change in the usage of mortgage rate buydowns. And when I say that, I mean any level of mortgage rate buydowns. So some customers may only take a smaller buydown along with a different incentive. So they might just buy it down to 5.5% or something like that. But there's still a significant number of customers that are doing some form of rate buydown in their use of our incentives.
Got it. And just the other part of my question, I just wanted to confirm, the incentive numbers that you gave percentage of, I guess, original price, would that also include if you were to reduce base price? Is that embedded within that percentage?
I don't think it is. But frankly, we haven't seen widespread base price reductions. It has been very, very isolated.
Yes, I agree there. It's not in the number, but it would not be meaningful because there hasn't been very many places we've done that.
Okay. Got it. So I shouldn't interpret then that sequential decline that you saw in incentives as a shift towards more coming out of base price. Is that...
No.
And our next question comes from Alex Barron of Housing Research Center.
As far as the improvement in incentives, is that because your competitors are less aggressive at this time than they used to be, and therefore, you don't have to try to match what they're doing? Or is it just buyers are -- where you don't have to offer as much because buyers are feeling just more confident regardless of what competitors are doing?
Alex, I'd say it's multipronged. A lot of it is driven by the fact that we've got a reduced amount of QMIs. We felt like we got a little ahead of ourselves with QMIs, and we were getting more aggressive to move through those. As we brought that -- the level of QMIs down, we actually have about less than one finished QMI per community right now. We feel like we can be less aggressive in our incentives that -- and mortgage rates and the buydown cost varies week-to-week and competitors' promotions vary week-to-week. So there are many reasons. But I'd say a big chunk of it is that we have less -- fewer QMIs and feel less motivated to increase incentives to move through them.
Okay. Yes, that was going to be my next question. For perspective, what was your level of finished unsold specs maybe two quarters ago or a year ago versus where you are today?
We had it on the slide. We were at 9.3 -- was our peak, 9.3 QMIs per community in January of '25, and we're at 5.8 today. So not quite half, but quite a bit less. And it was 8.6 exactly one year ago. So significant reductions from 8.6 a year ago to 5.8 now.
And Alex, if you were focusing on finished QMIs, we peaked in the fourth quarter at about 2.5 per community. And as Ara mentioned, we're close to about 1 right now. So significant improvement in our finished -- reduction in our finished QMIs, which is really where the heavier incentives would be, which further demonstrates this point.
Yes, that's great to hear. Also, as far as your joint ventures in the Saudi Arabia operation, it seems you guys had a slight loss in the joint venture. So I was wondering what drove that and also saw zero activity in Saudi Arabia. So is that done? Or are you guys going to start something in the future there?
Yes, two comments. The JV income loss for the quarter, the loss for the quarter is not related to Saudi at all. It's no longer a joint venture, just to be clear. And the reason there was a small loss is we've just ramped up a couple of new joint ventures and had finished out some of our older ones over the last previous couple of quarters. So you're seeing a start-up phase of a couple of the new ones. They'll start to deliver in later on this year. And as we mentioned, we expect to have a small amount of income in the third quarter from JVs, and then it should grow from there.
With respect to the Saudi operation, we do have activity. We have a couple of communities that are selling but not yet delivering. So we're expecting deliveries from Saudi operations in the second half, primarily starting -- you'll start to really see it in the fourth quarter of this year.
Overall, as you might -- first of all, our Saudi operation is really minute in the overall scope. I mean it's a very small investment and relatively small number of deliveries. But having said that, as you might imagine, given the world situation in the Middle East right now, there is a lot more hesitancy there on the part of consumers than there is here. But fortunately, we're in a pretty good position with minimal investment, and we're confident that market will improve as soon as the current crisis settles down a bit.
And our next question comes from Jay McCanless of Citizens Bank.
So my first question, you all threw out a stat about dirt starts being 32% this quarter, I think, versus 21%. Was that 32% of orders or closings? And I guess, what's the max you think you could get dirt starts with the current community base?
It was 32% of sales for the quarter, Jay, just to be clear. And we're not targeting a number, so to speak. But obviously, we like to sell to-be-built homes when we can in the right communities. Margins tend to be better as we commented on, and we have seen it gradually going up over the last couple of quarters. Historically, we would have about 60% of our sales be to-be built prior to the mortgage rate increase that occurred. That really pushed us toward QMIs.
So I think over the long run, I would expect us to continue to migrate back towards that kind of number, but how long that will take remains to be seen as long as customers still value quick move-in homes, we're going to have to still offer that in some basis.
I will add that most of our communities offer both QMIs and to be built. So it's not necessarily something that we are driving. Customers often have the option in the overwhelming majority of our communities. So it just so happens that we had more to-be-built interest than QMI interest. The impact is significant. It's -- the QMIs that can deliver typically within 60 or 90 days where customers are looking for mortgage rate incentives. Obviously, to-be-built, we don't offer anything like that in the mortgage incentives.
So it is helpful to our margins, and we'll see where the market goes. In general, we are shifting away from the most affordable entry-level housing. So that would typically -- and those are the buyers, by the way, that are most dependent on buydowns in order to qualify for the mortgages. So we'd expect, but we'll see that as we continue to shift away from that segment of customer, the tertiary markets that it would be natural that we'd shift to a little less incentive with mortgage rate buydowns.
Okay. The second question I had on land sales. You have had pretty good sales and profits from that in the last two quarters. Is that a run rate we should expect going forward? Or how should we think about land sales for the rest of the year?
No. I'd say it's not -- it's really an opportunistic thing when we see an opportunity to make as much profit flipping a piece of property as building a piece of property depending on a division's capacity or need for deliveries and volume for their overhead, we'll take advantage of that. So it's not something that's planned or regular. It just comes up from time to time, and we don't have anything specific planned for the next quarter.
Okay. And then the next question I had kind of -- if you look at Slide 23, and you look at the lots that are '23 and '24 vintage, that's almost 45% of your controlled lots, but those are also the ones that I would assume are probably one of the largest drag on gross margins. I mean how quickly can you work through -- I think it's almost 16,000 lots. How quickly do you think you guys can work through that? And is that the driver for community count right now? Is it -- I guess my question is, can you not get rid of those lots because those are the communities about to come online, even though they're the ones that are still a margin drag?
I think the first thing, Jay, to keep in mind because you're grabbing '23 and '24 together. And if you look at the below the bars, you'll see that in '23, we averaged for the year, 7.9% in incentive and '24 was 8.1% and in '23, when we did -- my suspicion I don't have it off the top of my head, but we probably started the year much lower and finished the year much higher and average 7.9%. And then it kind of was more stable in '24 at 8%. My point being that those lots are actually have -- were underwritten at 8-ish percent incentives.
Now we're now running around 12%, but we're still much closer with those vintage lots than we are if you go back and look at the lots from '21 and '22. So the point that we're trying to make is it's a good thing as we get into the '23 and especially '24 vintage lots because we were underwriting it with higher incentives and therefore, expect that to -- all else being equal, expect that to improve our margins from where they are today as those communities begin to deliver.
The other thing we'll mention is lot vintage certainly has a lot to do with margins, but geographic mix has even more to do with margins, and that's really critical. The Smile states that have typically done -- performed very well are certainly having a more challenging time today, Florida, Texas, the West Coast and our East Coast markets are certainly doing far, far better. So the geographic mix is probably more important than the vintage.
Okay. Great. And then just last question for me. Any idea or outlook on community count for the rest of the year and into '27?
I think what we would say on that is we've been relatively flat year-over-year. But we have -- we do expect community count to grow later this year or early into '27. We have continued to have challenges with getting communities open timely for various reasons. It's been -- that's definitely been a challenge. But we do have some communities coming online. We would expect growth towards the end of this year.
To be -- I'm sure you've heard the same thing from our peers. The whole industry is having a challenging time with land development timing and new community openings but it's also challenging because we do a re-underwriting of properties that were under contract before we close on them. So there may be communities we're planning to open. But as we get very close to taking down the land, if the economics don't work, there are times when we either renegotiate with the seller or don't move forward, as you see from impairments that -- and walkaways that we've had and all of our industry have had. But on the whole, we try to be good partners and work through some of the difficult land transactions with our partners. We value relationships. We're long-term players, and we don't want to be bad partners with everyone.
I show no further questions at this time. I'd like to turn it back to Ara Hovnanian for closing remarks.
Thanks very much. We, like all of our peers, and I'm sure like all of you that invest in our space are looking forward to stability worldwide and in the U.S. And we know there's demand out there. Our website interest and traffic at our communities is very high. Communities are -- I mean, customers are engaged. They're just hesitant to pull the trigger at volumes that we'd consider normal and at margins that we consider normal. But this too shall pass. It's part of the quintessential cyclicality of housing, and we look forward to a bright future, particularly as we bring some of our newer land parcels to market. Thank you very much.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Beat guidance on margins and adjusted EBITDA while cutting quick move-ins and shifting toward newer, underwritten land to improve margins later in FY26.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: $668M, near midpoint of guidance, down ~3% YoY on 12% fewer home deliveries.
- Adj. gross margin: 14.3% (improved q/q from 13.4%, exceeded upper end of forecast).
- Adj. EBITDA: $41M, above guided range.
- Pretax income: $9M, at top end of guidance.
- Incentives: 11.9% of average sales price, down 70 bps q/q but +140 bps YoY; mortgage buydowns are the primary tool.
🎯 What Management Says
- Affordability focus: Targeted mortgage-rate buydowns to sustain sales pace and move inventory without sacrificing long-term underwriting.
- Land strategy: Transition to newer communities underwritten with higher incentive assumptions and a land‑light approach (86% option lots) to improve future margins.
- Capital discipline: $442M liquidity after $232M land spend and $10M buybacks; prioritizing selective land buys and optional repurchases.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Q3 guidance: Revenues $650M–$750M; adj. gross margin 14%–15%; SG&A 12.5%–13.5% of sales; JV income breakeven–$10M; adj. EBITDA $30M–$40M; adj. pretax income breakeven–$10M.
- Forward view: Expect sequential improvement into Q4 as newer, higher‑margin communities deliver; guidance assumes stable rates and no major macro shocks.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Land renegotiations: Working community-by-community; many land bankers offering deferrals and some price relief; ~19% of option lots tied to land bankers.
- Incentives vs price: Mortgage buydowns remain primary; base‑price cuts uncommon and not a material driver of the q/q incentive decline.
- Inventory mix: Finished quick move‑ins (QMIs) dropped sharply (finished QMIs down ~55% YoY, ~1 finished QMI per community); to‑be‑built share rose to 32%, supporting better margins; small JV startup costs drove a $1M JV loss.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investor takeaway: Execution-focused quarter: strong liquidity, better-than-expected margins and EBITDA, and deliberate mix shifts should support sequential margin and volume recovery into Q4, but near-term results remain sensitive to mortgage rates, geopolitical risk and closing timing.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — J.P. Morgan 2026 Global Leveraged Finance Conference
1. Question Answer
All right. Good morning, everyone. Our next presentation will be in a fireside chat format with Hovnanian Enterprises and CFO, Brad O'Connor. I'm going to kick off with a few questions and then I would highly encourage any of you to add on as you see fit. Brad, I wanted to start off with just everyone's favorite conversation topic in the space, affordability. A lot of headlines kind of back and forth between the administration and the homebuilding sector around ways to make affordability better for all stakeholders in housing. What are you hearing from your seat? And do you think there's any momentum in Washington with regards to policy reform that could help the space?
Sure. So I mean, our CEO, Ara, has been part of those conversations with some of the other CEOs in the industry. Any regulatory changes that would improve affordability and make the opportunity for people to buy homes better would be -- we would certainly support and would love to see that. Whether there is some -- I don't think, and I don't think Ara thinks there's some silver bullet out there that's going to solve this problem.
There's been a few ideas floated the idea of limiting investors' ability to buy single-family rentals, for example, I don't think that's going to have a real meaningful impact. It's a relatively small portion of the market. There was the concept of rent to-own that was talked about a few weeks ago as well. Maybe that's a way to get some people in on first-time buying. So that could be possible. One of the things that I haven't heard talk about this time around, at least not as much is something that was used previously, which is first-time buyer tax credit. That did have some impact the last time that was used. So maybe there's an opportunity there.
But I think, unfortunately, I don't think that there's going to be a significant way to make that change happen. I think that what happens in our cycles in this industry typically takes time for land values to adjust according to what the current market is saying homes sales happen for with current incentives, et cetera. We only underwrite brand-new land deals at today's net pricing, net of incentives, current cost, current absorption basis. And we're finding some land deals that pencil it at today's prices. And so as more and more land sellers come to that reality, there'll be more land supply at better pricing and be able to continue to sell at lower prices.
It's a land supply at right price issue, I think, as much as anything, the problem is that takes time. And so unfortunately, I don't think there is a rapid change coming from government change. But anything they can do to assist would be helpful. One of the other challenges as this question has come up is that there are a lot of local costs that are driven by municipalities and local government states, development fees, specifically what I'm talking about.
And in some markets, those are very expensive. There are markets that's over $100,000. The federal government, I don't think has any way to reduce that. But if there were ways to get those kind of costs down, that would also help affordability as an input cost to the home. So unfortunately, I don't have a great answer, and it remains to be seen what comes of any of these changes, but I don't foresee it being a significant impact, at least not yet.
To your point on land prices, kind of trailing home prices, net of incentives, how far away do you think we are in terms of the effects of the last year, the elevated incentives, the effective price of a home flowing through into land valuation?
Yes. So I would say, on average, for us, it's about 2 years to 3 years on average from the time we control -- initially control a lot to getting to kind of first deliveries. And so -- and we are always underwriting our land deals at whatever the current market absorption pace, costs, sales incentives, net pricing is. So if you look back over the last few years, in 2024, our average incentive level was around 8%.
And we're now at around 12%, 12.5% in the most recent quarter, and it grew in between in steps. Prior to that 8% rate, we were closer -- we went from 3% to 8% in like a 1-year time frame. So for us, as we work through the land we controlled back in 2023 or earlier at those lower incentive levels with all the pressure on margin, we should, if nothing else changes, start to see improvement in our margins because we were underwriting those more recent deals with higher incentives.
But even the deals in 2024, we're underwriting at 8% incentives. So that's still 400 basis points worse than -- or 400 basis points worse than that now. So it's just going to take time for our margins to get back to normal for us, which is around 20%. But what I would say is it's about 2 years on average from control to kind of first delivery.
And then sticking with the incentives. So you mentioned 400 basis points worse than 8% to 12% roughly today. Are we at a ceiling in terms of incentives and buydowns? Can yourselves and the industry collectively provide more without coming underwater? And at some point, is it just more of a price versus piece?
Yes. I mean, so certainly, we are -- and we've stated this publicly, we continue to believe in high inventory return and maintaining sales pace as best we can. We think that's the most efficient way to run our business. And so we will, at each community, do what's necessary to try to maintain an appropriate pace for that community. What happens is if the incentives you need to make that happen become too significant, our land-light strategy allows us to potentially choose to leave that community.
Now we would forfeit a deposit and there's other costs that occur with that, but we don't have to continue to operate if it's a sub margin, it doesn't make any sense to continue. And so what you will -- what I think you would see from us and potentially others is ultimately, if there was more and more pressure, you might see our walkaway costs increase as a result. Good news is that hasn't happened to date. We're still managing even at these lower margins to want to continue that it's not worth it for us to walk away.
We also have not had any significant impairments of note. So we haven't gotten to the point where we're triggering land values that need to be written down. And the people we're partnering with on the land light side, whether they're developers or even land bankers are working with us on deferring takedowns and other ways to try to make sure we can work through the community and not have to walk away. But ultimately, we want to continue to drive pace. And if you can't make at least an acceptable margin and it's a lot takedown situation, you just wouldn't keep taking lots down.
So you mentioned, at least for now, the environment around developers and land bankers, you're still taking down options. How close are we to a point where you are walking away from more deals? Are we talking about, let's say, this environment persisting for another 6 to 12 months? Or can the industry absorb 6% mortgage rates for another 1.5 years to 2 years?
I mean if incentive levels stay like they are, I don't think you would see us change much of anything. The communities we're in are -- we haven't walked away to date, and these are the incentives we have. So it would take continued deterioration for that to happen. And it's hard for me to answer that question globally because every community is different.
And as you can imagine, and you'll probably ask me later what markets are better, but we have some markets that are better than others. So those communities aren't anywhere near close to having an issue where there's other communities that are in some of our more challenging markets that might be closer to having an issue. And so you're looking at each of those situations individually. Every community stands on its own.
And then just maybe drilling down a little bit more on impairment testing and what it would take to start writing down land assets. I've heard in the past some builders that gross margins are an indicator if you're underwriting a deal sub-15% gross margin, unlikely that you're going to continue moving forward with that parcel. Is there a hard and fast rule around that? Or again, is it community-specific and also determined by your outlook kind of...
So it's definitely community specific and just take an accounting lesson for just a second. What happens is you look at the remaining community life on an undiscounted cash flow basis. So what are you estimating in the revenues that are going to come in against future costs? And does the net of those things cover the current inventory value on an undiscounted basis. If it does not, and that's a negative calculation, then you have an impairment at which point you actually discount the cash flows to try to come up with the fair value that you need to write the land down to.
So long story short, where we are today, and we do that assessment every quarter. So we've had -- we had no impairments in the most recent quarter, very low -- relatively low level of impairments last fiscal year. So we haven't reached a point where there's -- I have a significant concern about any of these massive impairments coming. If for some reason, our margins went from 13% to 10%, we're probably going to have some inventory impairments, right? So -- but again, it's every community that we look at all along and look to see where that community stands. Makes sense.
Yes. Outside of incentives and price pressure, are there other levers you can pull on the cost side to maintain gross margins?
Well, we haven't been able to maintain them, unfortunately, but we can help them...
Mitigate...
I know what your question. There has been some help on the cost side. I mean, as when industry cycles like this, labor supply, we rebid our communities constantly to make sure that we're getting competitive pricing for all our materials and our labor. The labor side has been helpful. You've been able to claw back some costs there, just like the opposite happened during COVID, and we had to pay them a little more because the market got so hot.
The same is true with materials. We are seeing some give and take on the material side. There have been some challenges with some materials with tariffs. But for the most part, we've been able to keep our materials in check. Lumber has been down a little that helps. So big picture in the last year, a year ago this time, we were at a little around about $98 a square foot for construction costs, and we're right now around $96, high $95. So we've been able to bring cost per foot down given the current environment because of the pressure that's on -- just on the suppliers and labor just like it's on us.
Now I'm going to transition into markets. So can you give us kind of the lay of the land across your footprint, what MSAs are outperforming or underperforming and where you're seeing kind of the most opportunity?
Sure. So for us, our East, primarily Northeast segment has been the strongest, and that includes New Jersey, Delaware and Virginia and Maryland. And as you continue down the East Coast for us, the Carolina business, which is South Carolina and Georgia is kind of, I would say, in the middle in terms of strength. So a little worse than those other markets, but not our weakest. Our weakest markets are Dallas and Southeast Florida, which for us is kind of Palm Beach north towards Stuart, Port St. Lucie that way and Dallas.
And then I would -- the others, Houston, Orlando, Arizona and California are kind of in the middle. They're not as strong as our Northeast segment, but they're okay. And in every one of the markets, we've actually got communities that are performing quite well. But when you roll them up, those are the more challenged markets versus the better ones.
And can we walk through kind of the differentiation in product type as well kind of what you're seeing in demand?
Yes. So we operate in and have a diverse product portfolio. We have everything from first-time, move-up, luxury and our active adult portfolio. And I would say that on the whole, the first time, maybe to no one's surprise, the first-time product has been the most challenged. It's most -- with an affordability issue that tends to be what happens. So that's been our most challenging market. And I would say the opposite, active adult has probably been our strongest in the current market, and that's -- they need less or no mortgage, and they've had the advantage of a pretty strong equity market. So that certainly helped that customer base.
So from a product perspective, that's how I would say. And the market rate stuff has kind of been in between. I would -- in most cases, I would say closer to the active adult than the first time, but it really depends on where it is. I mean one of the decisions we made in the last maybe 6 months or so is it's time, we're going to start to focus less on the periphery markets where you see more of the first-time stuff and move more towards A and B locations and focus more on market rate, what I call non-first-time buyer and active adult and kind of get away from that first-time buyer product.
It tends to be in markets that are more challenged in the downturn. It also has 2 of the biggest homebuilders in play in almost every one of our markets that we compete within that space, and that's challenging to do. So I think you're going to see us shift away from first time. It's going to take time for that to happen, but you're going to see that over time shift away from first-time buyer product and go more towards the normal move up kind of market rate product and active adult.
That's helpful. You mentioned Northeast is your strongest market. Was weather a factor in January, February impacting any sort of traffic?
I mean it would have had an impact. Interestingly, it had an impact on the day of or the next day. But for the most part, it really didn't. And January and February were both stronger months for us year-over-year. So the good news, at least from our perspective is that while November and December were down year-over-year, January and February both picked up and picked up as you would normally see from a spring selling season perspective, like starting to see the improvement.
Traffic actually started doing that back in August. So from August through January, 5 of those 6 months traffic was up year-over-year. And then we started to see that come through in the contracts year-over-year from an absorption pace perspective in January and February. And we're hopeful that, that will continue into March and the rest of the spring selling season. But at least there was some optimism around what we saw in January and February from a sales perspective.
Do you keep stats around kind of traffic versus contract, like how kind of...
Conversion?
Conversion, yes.
We do keep conversion for traffic. And sometimes it's actually opposite of what you would think in other words. Sometimes conversion is actually higher than you might think because there's just nobody -- the only people that are showing up are people that really want to buy versus tire kickers. So you have to take conversion with a grain of salt. In the macro, I don't think our conversion has changed that significantly. And again, we look at it division by division and community by community. But -- and it tends to be, for whatever reason, a little different in different divisions or different markets.
That's helpful. Any early insights into the spring selling season outside of what you just said around January and February?
No. I mean, like I said, we're really hopeful that March continues the trend we saw in January and February. It remains to be seen what happens as a result of this weekend's events and going forward and what that does to sentiment. But hopefully, that's a short blip, and we're back on track with the improvement we've been seeing in January and February.
And has that January and February improvement been driven by any particular product or market? Has the entry-level buyer base started to slowly reemerge with headline mortgage rates at least below 6%?
I think that's helping. I think it's helping. I mean, as most of you would know, we've been offering incentives for mortgage rate buydowns well below 6% for a long time. But there's definitely, I think, you typically do see a psychological change in buyers as rates move down, you get a little bump from that. So that could be a little bit of what's helped us in January and February. But we will see.
I don't -- it has been across the board. It isn't like we only saw the improvement coming from one of the product segments. And it's actually been in almost all the markets as well. I would say Southeast Florida, Dallas still -- they've actually improved, but they're still weaker compared to others. But it's been across the whole company where we've seen that improvement in January and February.
Great. I'll pause there and see if there are any questions in the audience.
You mentioned, the desire to move into more [ move-up ] buyers. Do you have -- is there a stated mix that you would like to get to? Also, can you talk about the margin differential within the 2 different buyer segments?
Yes. So from a stated mix percentage, I don't -- we don't have targets like that. What I can tell you is today, active adult 20-ish percent, Jeff, right? Definitely would like to see that grow. And the first-time buyer was 42% in terms of the product. And the reason I'm focusing on the product is it's not just first-time buyers that buy that product. In fact, we know that it's actually quite a bit of second time or third-time buyers that are actually buying our first-time product because first-time product has actually gotten that much more expensive than it used to be that first-time buyers can't afford it.
But what I would expect to see is that 42% gradually goes down as we move away from that product portfolio and you see active lifestyle or active adult move into the 30s, something like that and then the market rate or move-up buyer, luxury buyer makes up the delta. But with respect to your margin question, the answer is on a -- there is a delta for us currently and has been for the last few years that's pretty meaningful in that, I would say, on average, the first-time product, our Aspire product is 600 to 700 basis points lower than what the kind of move-up in active lifestyle are.
So for us, it's been meaningful. I mean the other part of the challenge for us with the Aspire product in terms of being on the periphery, it's also competing with Lennar and Horton who dominate that market. And so you're competing with them on cost and price. It's just shown to be very challenging for us.
You had some helpful comments on margin as far as material costs. You said that lumber has been down. Just on the flip of that, like what is still giving you some pricing power or some pricing challenges as far as like what's not coming down right now given the backdrop? Because most of the building products companies are struggling quite a bit right now.
Yes. I would say just -- I mean, lumber is such a significant component. It really drives a lot of our construction costs overall. So on the rest of the material side, I don't think there's anything of note either direction, frankly. There's some that are up a little and some that are down a little, but it isn't -- there's not something that sticks out as a meaningful mover one way or the other.
Other questions, I'll continue. We've seen a little bit of M&A in the space recently with the Risewell Landsea transaction last year. You guys have also done a consolidation transaction in KSA. How do you see the homebuilding -- the U.S. homebuilding industry continuing to evolve as gross margins continue to be strained and large-scale builders tend to be able to withstand that a bit more?
Yes. I mean, I guess it wouldn't surprise me if consolidation of some form continue for all the reasons you say. I mean there's definitely efficiencies potentially to be had in size. For us specifically, we believe that we need to continue to grow in the markets that we're in. We're only in the top 5 builders and maybe 2 of the 14 divisions that we have. And therefore, we would like to use our capital and find growth in those markets that would be more efficient to us.
We already have the overhead. We already have the division offices and the President and the controller, et cetera. So for us, any acquisition, I think, would just -- would more likely be like a regional local builder and a way to acquire lots and get bigger in that particular market, and you get more efficient in that division by doing so. In the grander scheme, though, you could see other larger builders acquire just like what you saw with Tri Pointe, et cetera.
For us specifically, I don't think that's really in the cards. We still have a way to go in terms of -- we're going to get to it probably, but we're debt to cap is 42%. Our target is 30%. I don't really want to take on significantly more debt to do any kind of acquisition. So I don't think you'll see us do anything like that. And I don't think we are really in play from being an acquirer because the Hovnanian family still controls and wants to operate the business.
What are you seeing in terms of land spend? Obviously, just given some of the uncertainty around the market right now and existing land supply, do you expect land spend to continue moderating over the course of the year?
Yes, I do unless the market changes dramatically. We definitely have -- if you look at our statistics, our land spend is down, I think what are we averaging, Jeff, like $150 million a quarter when it was about $250 million in 2024, just to give you an order of magnitude. So it's definitely down, and that's just because we're not finding land deals that underwrite that makes sense to use our capital on.
And so the corollary is we now have significant liquidity. We typically have a target range around $200 million of liquidity, and we ended the first quarter at the end of January with $470 million of liquidity. We'd rather have that invested in inventory that was earning a 20% return. We're just not buying enough deals that can do that at the moment. And so we're going to wait and be disciplined in our land acquisition approach and look for deals that can hit those hurdle rates.
And then on that topic of liquidity and being above your target, how do you think about capital allocation outside of land spend, debt buybacks, stock buybacks, other forms of investment returns?
Sure. So we recently did our refinancing in September, which was great to get done. We moved from all secured debt to unsecured other than the revolver we have today. and pushed out our maturities. So to take out that debt, it's trading above par, has significant call premiums, et cetera. So not likely to spend any money on that at the moment.
And we've done some stock buybacks over the last couple of years when price seemed appropriate to do so. And we have authority to continue to do some of that, but it hasn't been anything of significance compared to some of our peers. So we're just going to keep the powder dry, so to speak, if that's what it takes and look for the land deals that pencil.
And you alluded to this earlier, debt to cap 42% going down to 30%. What could keep you away from focusing on that trajectory? Obviously, you mentioned M&A is not a priority right now in inorganic growth, but is there something out there that would keep you away from.
I mean I think it's just -- if the market continues to be challenging, it slows our profit and equity growth that -- to me, that's the one driver that would keep us from being able to continue to move in that direction or just takes longer than we currently think it will. I mean even today, we're probably, I don't know, 2 or 3 years away from being able to hit that kind of a target unless the market improves and we can get there more rapidly. And obviously, if it gets worse, it would take us a little bit longer.
Can you expand a little bit more on the land underwriting challenges? How -- can you expand a little bit more on the land underwriting challenges? How much of that is maybe you guys underwriting to a conservative future kind of housing market in terms of what you could realize on the underwrite versus maybe the inventory that you have? Like what is the benchmark that you guys are using to decide this is not penciling and how much of it is conservatism around kind of future home price growth or otherwise?
So the way that we underwrite is we don't believe we have a good crystal -- any better crystal ball than anybody else. So we underwrite using today's costs, today's absorption paces, today's net pricing, so inclusive of incentives and underwrite to basically a 20% or higher IRR. And we have a profit requirement, it has to be operating profit of 6%. So that -- those are the -- and we just -- we don't try to guess at what's going to happen in the future for all the -- you can guess one way and be wrong.
So I wouldn't say we're more conservative. I'd just say we use what today is. And the way we do that, we look at our own communities if we're in that market already, but we also look at our competitor communities and what they're selling for and what their paces are, and that's how we set the underwriting and look at those projects. So if ultimately, paces end up being stronger than we thought or we get a little less incentives, we should outperform the underwriting. And obviously, the opposite occurs if it goes the other way.
But that's how we do it. We don't try to guess at those future dates, future things. And by the way, I think that -- I think the other builders are mostly doing the same thing. And the reason I think that is I think many builders are seeing the same thing we are, which is reducing their lots control because they're not finding deals that pencil. And that's the kind of pressure that you need so that land sellers start to expect less on the land price.
So I asked a lot of builders this question last year in terms of magic number or crystal ball in terms of mortgage rates. Obviously, given the buydown environment that we're in, you're already effectively offering 5% or below to a lot of your homebuyers. If mortgage rates were to get to 5%, is -- does anything change? Or how does...
It's hard to -- I think so. And the reason I think so, I think there's a psychological aspect of rates and what people think is an acceptable rate. And therefore, you -- just by the nature of rate reductions, you get more people that come out. So I do think there's some benefit there. I also think -- and I think we talked about this last year that if rates come down, there are people that currently will not move from their existing home because they have a 3% rate and there may be a point where they don't have to get all the way to 3, but it is 5 enough for them to be comfortable that they want to move because they need a bigger house now or whatever the case may be, and they've been holding off.
Now that obviously creates an additional supply unit, but the person that's selling has to have some where to go, and we're a choice for that. So I think what happens in that instance is you just have more activity in general and perhaps that helps us.
So you believe that activity net -- would be a net positive in terms of that supply...
I think I certainly think it's an opportunity. Yes.
Any other questions? If not, I think we'll leave it there. Thanks a lot, Brandon.
Thank you.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — J.P. Morgan 2026 Global Leveraged Finance Conference
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — J.P. Morgan 2026 Global Leveraged Finance Conference
Fireside chat: Hovnanian emphasizes land discipline, shifting away from entry-level homes, and keeping liquidity high while waiting for margin recovery.
📣 Key Message
- Central: Management's core narrative is disciplined land underwriting (using today's costs and absorption) and shifting portfolio mix away from lower‑margin first‑time homes toward move‑up and active‑adult product to protect margins and cash returns.
🎯 Strategic Highlights
- Product mix: First‑time/Aspire product is ~42% of mix and yields ~600–700 basis points less gross margin than move‑up/active‑adult; active‑adult is ~20% and management intends to grow it.
- Land discipline: Underwrite to current pricing, target Internal Rate of Return (IRR) ~20% and operating profit ≥6%; employ land‑light approach and will walk away if community economics are sub‑par.
- Capital: Land spend reduced (≈$150M/quarter vs ~$250M in 2024), liquidity $470M vs target ~$200M, debt‑to‑capital ~42% with a goal near 30%—no big M&A planned.
🔎 New Information
- Color: Incentives rose from ~8% (2024 avg) to ~12–12.5% most recently; construction cost per sq ft eased to ~$95–96 from ~$98; no material impairments in the latest quarter.
- Timing: Management cites ~2–3 years from land control to first deliveries, so past incentive moves will take time to flow into margins.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Affordability: Management skeptical of near‑term federal fixes; local development fees and land prices are primary drivers and take time to adjust.
- Incentives vs walkaway: Company will maintain pace via buydowns but will forfeit deposits/leave communities if economics worsen; so far no widespread write‑downs.
- Market & product: Northeast strongest; Dallas and Southeast Florida weakest; first‑time buyers most challenged, active‑adult strongest; converting traffic remains stable.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Conclusion: Hovnanian is playing defense: strict underwriting, lower land acquisition, and a deliberate product shift to protect margins and liquidity. Investors should expect disciplined, slower growth near term with upside if rates/improving demand restore pricing and absorption.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and thank you for joining us today for Hovnanian Enterprise's Fiscal 2026 First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. An archive of the webcast will be available after the completion of the call and run for 12 months. This conference is being recorded for rebroadcast [Operator Instructions].
Management will make some opening remarks about the first quarter results and then open the line for questions. The company will also be webcasting a slide presentation along with the opening comments from management. The slides are available on the Investors page of the company's website at www.khov.com. Those listeners who would like to follow along should now log on to the website.
I would like to turn the call over to Jeff O'Keefe, Vice President, Investor Relations. Jeff, please go ahead.
Thank you, Michelle, and thank you all for participating in this morning's call to review the results for our first quarter. All statements on this conference call that are not historical facts should be considered as forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to the company's goals and expectations related to its financial results for future financial periods. Although we believe that our plans, intentions and expectations reflected and are suggested by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that such plans, intentions or expectations will be achieved.
By their nature, forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made are not guarantees of future performance or results and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict or quantify. Therefore, actual results could differ materially and adversely from those forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors. Such risks, uncertainties and other factors are described in detail in the sections entitled Risk Factors and Management's Discussion and Analysis, particularly the portion of MD&A entitled Safe Harbor Statement in our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2025, and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required by applicable securities laws, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or any other reason.
Joining me today are Ara Hovnanian, Chairman and CEO; Brad O'Connor, CFO; David Mitrisin, Vice President, Corporate Controller; and Paul Eberly, Vice President, Finance and Treasurer. I'll now turn the call over to Ara. Ara, go ahead.
Thanks, Jeff. I'll start by highlighting our first quarter performance and sharing insights into how we're navigating the current housing market. Brad will then dive deeper into our results and our strategy and followed by an opportunity for your questions. Let me begin with Slide 5. Here, we share our first quarter results alongside the guidance we provided earlier. Even with ongoing challenges both in the U.S. and around the world, our team consistently delivered, meeting or exceeding guidance across all the metrics for the quarter.
Beginning at the top of the slide, total revenues reached $632 million, approaching the high end of our guidance range. Adjusted gross margin came in at 13.4% in the quarter, which was just shy of the midpoint of our expectations. Our SG&A came in at 13.3% better than the low end of our guidance. Income from unconsolidated joint ventures totaled $3 million, this was slightly below the midpoint of our expectations, although income from consolidation of certain joint ventures exceeded our expectations as we'll discuss in a moment. We're satisfied to report that both of the profit figures we guided to beat expectations. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $63 million, which was significantly higher than our guidance range. Adjusted pretax income was $31 million, also significantly above the range we forecasted. We'll discuss this more later in our presentation.
On Slide 6, we show the first quarter results compared to last year's first quarter. The comparison is difficult mainly because we've offered even greater incentives this year to maintain sales pace which has driven much of the year-over-year decline in profit. In addition, deliveries were lower due to slower market conditions. In the upper left-hand section of the slide, you can see that our total revenues fell by 6% compared to last year. We delivered 12% fewer homes, which was the main reason for the decrease but the land sale in the first quarter helped offset some of that decline. Turning to adjusted gross margin, we saw a year-over-year decline, primarily due to the additional incentives provided to help buyers manage affordability and challenges, a theme you'll hear throughout our presentation.
Our current approach emphasizes maintaining steady sales and clearing older lower-margin lots and older QMIs. Looking ahead, as we open new communities where these incentive costs are already factored in during land acquisition, we anticipate stronger gross margins provided the market doesn't require further increases in incentives. But based on our recent sales, which we'll share in a moment, we don't anticipate that to happen. In this year's first quarter, incentives accounted for 12.6% of the average sales price. The majority of this cost was attributed to mortgage rate buydowns and essential tool for unlocking affordability and driving demand. This represents an increase of 40 basis points from the fourth quarter of '25.
The quarter-to-quarter increases are beginning to level off, although it's still up 290 basis points compared to the same quarter a year ago and higher by 960 basis points versus the full fiscal year in '22, which was before the mortgage rates spiked began affecting margins on our deliveries. Offsetting the year-over-year increases in incentives, our base construction and option costs per square foot on delivered homes decreased 2% year-over-year in the first quarter.
Additionally, our cycle times for single-family detached homes decreased 17 days to 133 calendar days in the first quarter of '26 compared to the same quarter a year ago. Looking at the bottom left section you'll see that our total SG&A expenses as a percentage of total revenue went up a bit in the first quarter. This was due to our revenue decreasing more than our SG&A costs even though we managed to reduce absolute SG&A expenses compared to last year. At the corporate level, we're investing more heavily in technology and processes for the future. While this should yield savings in the future, it is adding to SG&A in the current periods.
Moving to the bottom right-hand section of the slide, while our profit exceeded our guidance, it declined 24% year-over-year primarily due to higher levels of incentives used this year. Our approach remains focused on efficiently turning over existing inventory advancing sales of quick moving homes and emphasizing a steady sales pace. At the same time, we're positioning ourselves to capitalize on new land opportunities that are expected to deliver improved margins and returns.
Now looking at the sales environment on Slide 7. We're still using mortgage rate incentives to help boost sales, we had a reduction of only 35 contracts in a significantly slower delivery home environment. We think the drop would have been larger without the incentives we're offering. The decline mainly reflects ongoing market challenges and low consumer confidence by offering incentives, we're able to ease some of these difficulties and especially affordability and keep sales activity steady.
On the encouraging side, if you turn to Slide 8, you'll see monthly traffic per community from August through January. Compared to last year, traffic increased significantly in 5 of the 6 months shown. The percentage increases grew steadily over the last 4 months with January showing the largest jump on the slide, an impressive 40% increase compared to the same month last year. The trend of increased traffic has continued in February. We're seeing encouraging sign of increased buyer engagement compared to last year. That said, continued economic and global uncertainties are causing some prospective buyers to remain cautious about committing to a purchase.
As shown on Slide 9, a contracts over the past 12 months have fluctuated from month to month, reflecting ongoing shifts in a volatile housing market and consumer confidence and sentiment. January's 11% gain stands out as the highest year-over-year increase on the slide. And while 1 month does not make a trend, it's a promising sign. As of yesterday, our month-to-date contracts in February of '26, which is almost over, are up 13% over the prior year, gaining a little momentum.
On Slide 10, you can see that the first quarter contracts per community have held fairly steady at about 9.5 contracts per community for the past 3 years. Notably, this year's first quarter was higher than the '97 through '02 levels that we consider a normal sales environment.
On Slide 11, a we provide a closer look at monthly contracts per community comparing each month in the first quarter to the same month last year. For the first 2 months of the quarter, the sales pace was lower than the same month last year. But the January '26 sales pace was better than a year ago, so we're off to a better start than a year ago. This was the third metric for the month of January that showed significant improvements year-over-year, giving us hope that the spring selling season this year could be better than last year. Further, our contracts per community for February of '26 are on track to be higher than the same month a year ago.
As shown on Slide 12, the value of incentives and mortgage rate buydowns has increased significantly over the past 4 years. The most notable surge occurred in early '23 when incentives rose sharply from 3.9% in the fourth quarter of '22 to 7.4% in the very next quarter, the first quarter of '23. Since then, incentives have continued to climb almost every quarter to the current level of 12.6% in this year's first quarter. While these higher incentives have put short-term pressure on our margins, they've been essential for maintaining steady sales and moving inventory.
As I said earlier, happily, the amount of incentives seems to be reducing from quarter-to-quarter in the recent months. To further support buyers, we continue to offer a strong selection of quick move in homes or QMIs, as we call them. This approach allows buyers to take advantage of available incentives and purchase homes quickly and affordably. It's important to note that our new land acquisitions build in these levels of incentives and still meet our return requirements. This should lead to much better margins in the future as these new communities begin delivering.
On Slide 13, we show that at the end of the first quarter, we had 5.7 QMIs per quarter. This marks the fourth quarter in a row where the number of QMIs per community has gone down, reflecting our ability to align starts with sales pace and optimize inventory levels. QMIs are homes that we've started framing but have not yet sold.
As shown on Slide 14, the number of QMIs fell from 1,163 at the end of January '25 and to 742 at the end of January '26, that represents a 30% decrease in 1 year. In the first quarter, QMI sales comprised 71% of our total sales down from a record 79% in prior quarters, but still well above our historical norms of above 40%. The corollary is that our to-be-built home sales homes that are built to customers orders increased from 21% to 29%. Assuming these trends continue, our percentage of to-be-built deliveries will be higher in the second half of '26.
To-be-built margins in communities that had both to-be-built and QMI deliveries in the first quarter were 780 basis points higher than QMI margins. Having more to-be-built deliveries in the second half of the year will be beneficial to our gross margins and overall profitability. We feel we can meet the current level of demand with the 742 QMIs that we have. We'll make appropriate adjustments up or down to our starts to ensure that we have enough QMIs to satisfy demand and not get ahead of ourselves at the same time.
By focusing on QMIs, we sign and deliver more contracts within the same quarter. This approach means that we have fewer homes in backlog at the end of each quarter but a higher rate of converting backlog to deliveries. In the first quarter of '26, 41% of the homes we delivered were both sold and closed within the same quarter, the highest percentage we've recorded since we began tracking this metric in '23. While this makes it a bit harder to predict next quarter's results, it led to a backlog conversion ratio of 88%, much higher than our historical average of 56% for the first quarter since '98. We continue to closely manage our QMIs for each community, making sure the rate at which we start these homes matches the rate at which we sell them. Try to sell the QMIs before they are finished. Over the past year, our finished QMIs decreased 22% from 319 at the end of last year's first quarter to 248 finished QMIs at the end of the first quarter of '26.
If you look at Slide 15, you'll see that despite higher mortgage rates and a slower sales pace nationwide, we managed to increase net prices in 32% of our communities during the first quarter. More than half of these price increases happened in Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, South Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia, some of our stronger markets.
In summary, our strategy continues to prioritize the swift turnover of inventory, maintaining robust sales of quick move-in homes ensuring a consistent sales pace and burning through our lower-margin land. At the same time, we're preparing to take advantage of emerging land opportunities that should result in stronger margins and returns. In addition, we've shifted our focus on new land acquisitions away from lower-margin entry-level homes on the periphery to more move-up homes in the A and B locations as well as focusing on more active adult communities. By staying disciplined in these areas, we're well positioned to adapt to market shifts and drive substantial growth in the future.
I'll now turn it over to Brad O’Connor, our Chief Financial Officer.
Thank you, Ara. Before I get to the next slide, I want to comment on the other income line on our income statement. In the first quarter of fiscal '26, we took full control of 2 joint ventures that were previously not consolidated. For one of these joint ventures, this happened after our partners received their final cash distributions, which met their preferred return goals slightly earlier than anticipated because of the solid performance of the communities. For the other, it happened when we acquired a controlling interest in a previously unconsolidated joint venture in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia. We then added the remaining assets and liabilities of both of these joint ventures to our balance sheet at fair value resulting in a gain of $27 million recorded as other income.
Importantly, the individual communities from these joint ventures continue to meet our standard return metrics even after the step-up to fair value and after current incentives. As a reminder, this has become a normal part of the life cycle of our joint ventures as we have had other income from JV-related transactions 5x in the past 11 quarters.
Before commenting further on our U.S. results, I want to briefly touch on our international operations. Although our operations in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia are not expected to contribute materially in the near term, the country's growing need for housing and the scale of the opportunity reinforces our confidence in the long-term prospects of this market. For fiscal '26, we only expect about 300 deliveries from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia demonstrating the minor impact it will have on operations this year.
Turning to Slide 16. We finished the quarter with 151 communities open for sale, up slightly compared to a year ago. We continue to see steady progress in increasing our community count as we focus on growing revenue. While challenging market conditions remain a hurdle, our expanding number of communities is helping us maintain overall home delivery levels. Looking ahead, we believe our newer communities are well positioned to deliver stronger results than older ones, supporting our ongoing growth plans.
Slide 17 details our land position. We ended the first quarter with 35,560 domestic controlled lots, equivalent to a 6.7-year supply. Including joint ventures, we now control 38,764 lots. Our consolidated domestic lot count decreased 18% year-over-year, reflecting disciplined land acquisition and a willingness to walk away from or postpone less attractive opportunities. You can see our land control position has begun to stop the steep decline and flatten as land sellers are getting more realistic on values in many markets, and we were able to replace our deliveries and walkaways with new acquisitions that meet our return criteria, even with today's incentives. Also of note on this slide is the steady decline in owned lots. It has decreased sequentially in almost all of the quarters shown in alignment with our land-light strategy.
Slide 18 shows the age of our lot position, both owned and optioned, broken down by the year each lot was controlled. The number in each bar represents the total lots that were controlled in that year, the number below each bar indicates the percentage of incentives used on homes delivered during that year. This slide illustrates that by the first quarter of '26 almost 23,000 of our owned or option lots were initially controlled in either fiscal '24, '25 or '26, by which time we are assuming more significant incentives in our underwriting of land acquisitions. In the first quarter, a majority of our home deliveries came from lots acquired in 2023 or earlier. These older lots present more margin challenges since they were originally purchased with much lower incentives than we're currently offering.
As we move forward, we're steadily transitioning away from these less profitable lots to newer land that aligns better with the day's incentive environment, though the shift is gradual. At the same time, we're collaborating with some land sellers under option agreements to find solutions that help us share the market challenges and ease the impact. Our strategy remains clear. We're intentionally selling through lower-margin lots to free up capacity for new acquisitions that support our margin and IRR goals. The good news is we're still finding new land opportunities that meet our underwriting criteria even with current high incentives and the current sales pace.
On Slide 19, we show our land and land development spend for each of the past 5 quarters and the quarterly average for all of 2024. Land and development spend has decreased in response to market conditions reflecting disciplined capital allocation and rigorous evaluation of every acquisition, factoring in current prices, incentive levels, construction cost and sales pace. We continue to identify compelling opportunities in our markets and remain laser-focused on revenue and profit growth for the long term. Our commitment to disciplined underwriting and strategic investment will drive continued success. In line with our evolving strategy, we're prioritizing the acquisition of land for move-up homes and prime A and B locations and expanding our focus on active adult communities, moving away from lower-margin entry-level developments on the outskirts.
Turning to Slide 20. We ended the first quarter with $471 million in liquidity, well above our target range even after spending $181 million on land and land development and $9 million on stock repurchases. Usually, our liquidity decreases sequentially during the first quarter. However, thanks to our disciplined approach to land management, we saw the opposite, liquidity actually increased in the first quarter of '26 compared to the fourth quarter of '25, as a matter of fact, it is the second highest liquidity for any quarter on the slide.
Slide 21 shows our current maturity ladder as of January 31, 2026. This reflects the refinancing we completed last fall. For the first time since 2008, all of our debt, aside from our revolving credit facility is now unsecured. This shift enhances our overall financial strength by increasing our flexibility, lowering our risk profile and positioning us well for long-term expansion. This refinancing is the most recent step in a decade-long process that illustrates our disciplined financial management and reinforces our ongoing commitment to a robust stable capital structure.
On Slide 22, we highlight how we've successfully increased our equity and reduced our debt over the past few years. Over that time, equity has grown by $1.3 billion and the debt has been reduced by $754 million. Net debt to capital is now 41.4%, a substantial improvement from 146.2% at the start of fiscal 2020. While we still have work to do, we remain on track toward our 30% net debt to cap target. With $223 million in deferred tax assets, we will not pay federal income taxes on approximately $700 million of future pretax earnings, enhancing cash flow and supporting growth.
Given the current volatility and challenges with predicting margins, we are only providing financial guidance for the next quarter. Our outlook assumes that marketing conditions remain stable with no major increases in mortgage rates, tariffs, inflation, cancellation rates or construction cycle times. As we rely more on QMI sales forecasting profit is tougher, while we performed at the top of our guidance for many quarters. Our goal is to provide realistic guidance that we can meet or beat if conditions are favorable. Our forecast includes ongoing use of mortgage rate buydowns and similar incentives but it does not include any changes to SG&A expense from phantom stock cost tied to stock price changes from the $112.65 closing price at the end of the first quarter of fiscal '26.
Slide 23 shows our guidance for the second quarter of fiscal '26. Our expectation for total revenues for the second quarter is between $625 million and $725 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to be in the range of 13% to 14%. We expect the range of our SG&A as a percentage of total revenues to be between 12.5% and 13.5%, which is still higher than usual. One of the reasons the SG&A ratio is running a little high is that we are making significant investments to improve processes and technology in many areas to significantly increase our efficiency in future years.
We expect income from joint ventures to be between breakeven and $10 million, and our guidance for adjusted EBITDA is between $30 million and $40 million. Our expectation for adjusted pretax income for the second quarter is between breakeven and $10 million. Our second quarter guidance includes proceeds from a land sale that has already closed in the second quarter. While our second quarter profit outlook remains modest, we anticipate a rebound in adjusted pretax income during the latter half of fiscal 2026. Historically, our earnings have shown a tendency to strengthen as the year progresses and recent trends, including improved contract activity in January and February support this expectation. Additionally, the upcoming delivery of homes from our newer, higher-margin communities should further enhance results primarily in the fourth quarter.
On Slide 24, we show 86% of our lots controlled via option up from 44% in fiscal 2015, reflecting our strategic focus on land light. Looking at Slide 25. we remain strong compared to our peers in controlling land through options. In fact, we have the fourth highest percentage of option lots, placing us well above the industry median of 57%. On Slide 26, we have the second highest inventory turnover rate among our peers. This is an important part of our strategy because it means we sell and replace our inventory more quickly than most competitors, demonstrating a more efficient use of our capital. This reflects many other factors in addition to land light. We see more opportunities to use land options as well as reduced lot purchase to construction start and construction start to completion cycle times, which would further help us improve our inventory turnover.
On Slide 27, we show that compared to our midsize peers, we have the second highest adjusted EBIT return on investment at 17.2%. On Slide 28, we show our price to book value compared to our peers. We are trading slightly above book value and right at the median for all the peers shown on this slide. Given our high return on investment, combined with our rapidly improving balance sheet, we believe our stock continues to be undervalued.
I'll now turn it back to Ara for some brief closing comments.
Thanks, Brad. Despite a challenging housing environment, marked by affordability pressures and continued economic uncertainty, we delivered a first quarter that met or exceeded our guidance. While profitability declined year-over-year primarily due to higher incentives to support our sales in a very tough market, our focus on steady sales pace and efficient inventory turnover is paying off. We continue to prioritize sales pace over price, utilizing mortgage rate buydowns and other incentives to help drive demand and help more buyers overcome affordability challenges. Although, our recently -- our recent to-be-built contracts are yielding higher margins and they've begun to increase as a percentage of our total sales.
On the topic of affordability, we appreciate any support from the federal government that could make homes more affordable and encourage more buyers to enter the market. Our strategy, while pressuring near-term margins enables us to clear older lower margin loss and position us for improved profitability as newer margin -- newer communities come online, communities that were already underwritten with today's higher incentive environment in mind.
As we look ahead, we expect adjusted pretax income to improve in the latter half of '26 supported by stronger contract activity in the early months of the year, more higher-margin to-be-built homes and the anticipated contribution from our newer communities. While second quarter profits may be muted, we remain confident in our trajectory. We believe the delivery of higher-margin homes will bolster results as we transition to the back half of the year and grow our home deliveries and revenues. Operationally, we've made significant progress in aligning our inventory with current demand. The number of quick move in homes per community has declined for 4 straight quarters demonstrating our ability and agility and strong execution.
Our backlog conversion ratio hit 88%, well above historical averages for the first quarter and we remain confident in our ability to meet homebuyer demand going forward. We feel like we're making great progress in burning through some of our lower-margin land and older QMIs, setting us up for a solid future. On the land side, we exercised discipline by walking away from less attractive properties, primarily during the entitlement process and reducing our lot count by 18% year-over-year. We continue to secure new opportunities that meet our margin and return targets. Our land light strategy with 86% of our lots controlled via options combined with one of the highest inventory turnover rates in the industry ensures that we remain nimble and capital efficient. We remain confident that we have sufficient land control to produce solid growth as the housing market returns to normal.
Financially, our balance sheet and liquidity are strong, we ended the quarter with $471 million in liquidity, increased equity and further reduced net debt. With a net debt-to-capital ratio that has improved dramatically over the past few years, we're well positioned for long-term growth. Our recent refinancing moves have enhanced our flexibility and lowered our risk profile. Looking ahead, we expect that gross margins in the second half of '26 will gradually improve as we transition to newer, higher-margin communities. Our guidance for the second quarter assumes a steady market and continued focus on sales pace with prudent expense management and ongoing investment in process and technology improvements.
Finally, as we've seen in the past, we expect significant volume in the latter half of the year. In summary, we're navigating a tough market with discipline and agility and a strategic focus on sales pace, inventory efficiency and land-light operations that should deliver tangible results. We remain committed to sustainable growth and value for our shareholders as the market conditions evolve.
That concludes our formal comments, and I'll be happy to turn it over to any questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question is going to come from Alex Barron with Housing Research Center.
2. Question Answer
Yes, I guess on the topic of incentives and their pressure on margins. I'm kind of wondering if you guys feel there's going to be an opportunity this year to -- or is it worth the trade-off to maybe offer less incentives and maybe get slightly high -- lower sales pace but higher margins. How are you guys thinking or navigating through that right now?
Well, Alex, that's a good question, and it's certainly one that all homebuilders are looking at. Some of our peers have clearly made the decision to offer less incentives, seek higher gross margins even with the slower volume that it usually translates to. In our case, we'd rather focus on pace versus price, so we'll keep up the incentives. We really want to burn through some of our lower-margin land. And you can't do that if you're trying to squeeze every last dollar of profit. The market has shifted since we contracted for some of the land parcels years ago. So we just want to burn through those, clear our balance sheet as we've been doing drive liquidity. We're at the second highest we've been in many, many years, most of it just sitting in cash and prepare ourselves for the land opportunities that are clearly showing up now as land sellers are becoming a little more realistic given the incentives that most are offering.
Got it. And in terms of your percentage of specs QMI versus built-to-order, I know in the last few years, you guys have shifted more towards specs. What percentage are you doing of each? And are you thinking of doing something more balanced?
Well, as we mentioned in the call, QMI sales actually dropped from 79% to 71% and that wasn't actually part of a conscious strategy to do that. It just so happens that some of our offerings really drove -- we often offer both QMIs and to-be-built, and it just so happens that the demand for to-be-built in our markets has been growing recently, again, not through a specific strategy, but it's just the markets of the reality. And the good news is they have significantly higher profit margins and less incentives. Customers that want what they want are willing to pay for what they want. So that's been a beneficial trend.
[Operator Instructions] I am showing no further questions at this time. I would now like to turn the call back to Ara for closing remarks.
Thanks so much. We're satisfied with our results exceeding. Meeting and exceeding our guidance is not easy in this environment. So we look forward to giving better results yet in the following quarters in the remainder of the year. Thank you so much.
This concludes our conference call for today. Thank you all for participating, and have a nice day. All parties may now disconnect.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Hovnanian beat Q1 guidance but margins pressured by record incentives; strong liquidity and land-light strategy aim to improve results later in FY26.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: $632M (-6% YoY), near high end of guidance.
- Deliveries: Down 12% YoY, driving lower revenue.
- Adj. gross margin: 13.4%, hit by incentives that were 12.6% of average sales price.
- Adj. EBITDA: $63M, significantly above guidance.
- Liquidity: $471M, second-highest quarterly level shown.
🗣️ What Management Says
- Pace over price: Management is deliberately using mortgage-rate buydowns and incentives to maintain sales velocity and burn lower-margin, older land positions.
- Land-light focus: 86% of lots controlled via options; disciplined land buying and walking away from unattractive deals to protect returns.
- Portfolio shift: Prioritizing move-up and active-adult communities and newer communities underwritten to current incentive levels to drive better future margins.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Q2 guidance: Revenue $625M–$725M; adj. gross margin 13%–14%; SG&A (selling, general & administrative) 12.5%–13.5% of revenue.
- Profit targets: Adj. EBITDA $30M–$40M; adjusted pretax income breakeven to $10M; JV income breakeven to $10M.
- Key risks: Guidance assumes stable mortgage rates, no material rise in cancellations, tariffs, inflation or construction cycle times.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Incentives vs margins: Analysts pressed on trade-offs; management reiterated preference for incentives to clear low-margin lots and sustain liquidity rather than tighten pricing.
- QMI mix: Quick move-in homes (QMIs) fell to 71% of sales (from 79%); to-be-built sales rose and showed ~780 bps higher margins.
- Execution scrutiny: Questions focused on how quickly margins will recover as newer communities deliver; management expects improvement in back half of FY26.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investment take: Hovnanian delivered a guidance-beating quarter but faces near-term margin pressure from elevated incentives; strong liquidity, reduced net debt and a land-light approach lower downside and set up potential upside if sales momentum and higher-margin new community deliveries continue in H2 FY26.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, and thank you for joining us for today's Hovnanian Enterprises Fiscal 2025 Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call. An archive of the webcast will be available after the completion of the call and run for 12 months. This conference is being recorded for rebroadcast and all participants are currently in a listen-only mode.
Management will make some opening remarks about the fourth quarter results and then open the line for questions. The company will also be webcasting the slide presentation, along with the opening remarks from management. The slides are available on the Investor page of the company's website at www.khov.com. Those listeners who would like to follow along should now log into the website.
I would now like to turn the call over to Jeff O'Keefe, Vice President, Investor Relations. Jeff, please go ahead.
Thank you, Michelle, and thank you all for participating in this morning's call to review the results for our fourth quarter. All statements on this conference call that are not historical facts should be considered as forward-looking statements within the meaning of the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Such statements involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause actual results, performance or achievements of the company to be materially different from any future results, performance or achievements expressed or implied by the forward-looking statements.
Such forward-looking statements include, but are not limited to, statements related to the company's goals and expectations with respect to its financial results for future financial periods. Although we believe that our plans, intentions and expectations reflected in/or suggested by such forward-looking statements are reasonable, we can give no assurance that such plans, intentions or expectations will be achieved. By their nature, forward-looking statements speak only as of the date they are made are not guarantees of future performance or results and are subject to risks, uncertainties and assumptions that are difficult to predict or quantify. Therefore, actual results could differ materially and adversely from those forward-looking statements as a result of a variety of factors.
Such risks, uncertainties and other factors are described in detail in the section entitled Risk Factors and Management's Discussion and Analysis, particularly the portion of MD&A entitled Safe Harbor Statement in our annual report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended October 31, 2024, and subsequent filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Except as required by applicable security laws, we undertake no obligation to publicly update or revise any forward-looking statements, whether as a result of new information, future events, changed circumstances or any other reason.
Joining me today are Ara Hovnanian, Chairman and CEO; Brad O’Connor, CFO; and David Mitrisin, Vice President, Corporate Controller; and Paul Eberly, Vice President, Finance and Treasurer.
I'll now turn the call over to Ara.
Thanks, Jeff. I'll begin by reviewing our fourth quarter results, and I'll discuss our strategic positioning in the current housing market. After my remarks, Brad will follow with additional details, and we'll open up the floor for your questions.
Let me begin with Slide 5. Here, we present our fourth quarter guidance alongside of our actual results. Despite persistent political and economic uncertainty at home and abroad, our team delivered results meeting or beating our guidance across each of these key metrics.
Beginning at the top of the slide, our revenues reached $818 million, surpassing the midpoint of our guidance. Adjusted gross margin came in at 16.3% for the quarter, near the high end of our guidance. SG&A was 11.2%, near the lower end of our guidance. Income from unconsolidated joint ventures totaled $13 million, slightly above our expectations. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $89 million, also exceeding our guidance range, and adjusted pretax income was $49 million, close to the midpoint of our guidance.
On Slide 6, we showed the fourth quarter results compared to last year. The year-over-year comparisons are challenging to say the least, in almost all metrics given that '24 was an excellent year for us and the environment became much, much more challenging in '25. In the upper left-hand portion of the slide, our total revenues declined by 17% year-over-year, primarily driven by a 13% reduction in deliveries and the absence of a significant land sale that occurred in the fourth quarter of last year.
Moving to the adjusted gross margin. We saw a year-over-year decline primarily driven by higher incentives offered to support affordability. Our focus on pace over price and our short-term strategy to move through lower margin loss are laying the foundation for stronger performance when the market stabilizes and as we open communities with our newer land acquisitions that factored in higher incentives while still achieving normal return metrics.
In the fourth quarter of this year, incentives accounted for 12.2% of the average sales price. The majority of this cost was attributed to mortgage rate buydowns an essential tool for unlocking affordability at the moment and driving demand. This represents an increase of 60 basis points from the third quarter of '25 up 370 basis points compared to a year ago and higher by 920 basis points versus fiscal '22 before the mortgage rate spike began affecting margins on our deliveries. [ Whereas ] not for the considerable cost of making homes affordable through mortgage rate buydowns, our gross margins would actually be quite robust.
Moving to the bottom left, you'll notice that our total interest expense ratio increased compared to last year. This is mainly due to other interest related to a few large communities in planning where interest is expensed immediately rather than capitalized. These communities were on our balance sheet before land banking, hence, the increased interest.
Moving to the bottom right-hand section of the slide. Importantly, while our profitability stayed within guidance, it was certainly a big reduction from last year's strong performance. These results are consistent with our strategy of moving through older vintage lots, selling our QMI's, prioritizing sales pace over price and clearing our balance sheet to make way for new land contracts, which are projected to carry significantly higher margins and returns.
Turning to the sales environment on Slide 7. We continue to use mortgage rate incentives to support our sales. Although the number of contracts in the fourth quarter fell by 8% compared to last year, it basically reflects the overall market conditions. Last year's fourth quarter was a particularly strong quarter for sales, making a difficult comparison for this year. Our use of incentives has helped soften some of the challenges and maintain steady activity.
Turning to Slide 8. This slide displays traffic per community for each month in the fourth quarter as well as the month of November. Compared to last year, traffic increased significantly in 3 of the 4 months. These results clearly highlight a positive trend, buyer interest has grown compared to last year. However, many potential buyers are still hesitant to move forward and enter contracts given a lot of economic and world uncertainty. You can see that contracts during the year on Slide 9 show that it was quite choppy every month.
Looking at Slide 10, you'll notice that quarterly contracts per community declined this year compared to the fourth quarter of last year. Similar to our year-over-year monthly results, our quarterly year-over-year results were also volatile. These comparisons demonstrate how challenging the current environment is. The contracts per community in the fourth quarter of '25 were 16% below the level seen during the '97 to '02 period, one of the few that we consider a normal sales environment.
On Slide 11, we provide a closer look at monthly contracts per community comparing each month in the fourth quarter to the same month last year. This year, sales pace for each month in the fourth quarter was lower than the same month last year and below our normal levels.
If you refer to Slide 12, we present contracts per community as if our quarter ended on September 30, allowing for a direct comparison with all of our peers that report contracts per community on a calendar quarter basis, which is most of them. With 9.6 contracts per community, our sales pace ranks as the fourth highest among all the publicly traded homebuilders.
As illustrated on Slide 13, contracts per community declined year-over-year for a vast majority of the homebuilders reporting this metric. Although any decrease is less than ideal. Our performance surpassed all but 2 of our peers. These comparisons are based on an adjusted quarter ending in September for us, which allows us to have a direct evaluation and comparison compared to our peers. The takeaway from these last 2 slides is clear. Our focus on sales pace over price is delivering above-average sales results and strengthening our margin position. I recognize, however, that it's sad to point out that we are one of the least bad in a difficult market, but that will eventually change. For the past 2 years, about 70% of our buyers have used mortgage rate buydowns.
As shown on Slide 14, the total value of incentives and buydowns has grown considerably over the last 4 years. Incentives began to rise sharply in early '23, jumping from 3.9% in the fourth quarter of '22 to 7.4% in the first quarter of '23. While these higher incentives have put short-term pressure on our margins, they've helped us keep our sales steady and move through loss with lower margin potential. To further support homebuyers, we are maintaining a robust inventory of Quick Move In Homes or QMIs, as we call them, enabling customers to benefit from incentive programs and secure homes quickly and cost effectively.
On Slide 15, a we show that at the end of the fourth quarter, we had 6.5 QMIs per community. This marks the third quarter in a row where the number of QMI per community has gone down, reflecting our ability to align starts with sales pace and optimize inventory levels. QMI's are homes that we have started framing but have not yet sold.
As shown on Slide 16, the number of QMIs fell from 1,163 at the end of January of '25 to 907 at the end of October of '25. This represents a 22% decrease over that period. It demonstrates our flexibility in aligning supply with current demand and optimizing our approach to meet buyers' needs while maintaining operational efficiency. In the fourth quarter, QMI sales comprised 73% of our total sales down from the record of 79% in prior quarters, but still well above our historical norms of about 40%. By focusing on QMI we sign and deliver more contracts within the same quarter. This approach means we have fewer homes in backlog at the end of each quarter, but a higher rate of converting backlog to deliveries.
In the fourth quarter of '25, 36% of our homes delivered were both contracted and delivered in the same quarter. While this makes it a bit harder to predict next quarter's results, has led to a backlog conversion ratio of 102%, much higher than the historical average of 66% for fourth quarter since '98. That also was the first time we've ever been above 100% in any quarter. We continue to closely manage our QMIs for each community, making sure the rate at which we start these homes matches the rate at which we sell them.
If you look at Slide 17, you'll see that despite higher mortgage rates and a slower sales pace nationwide we managed to increase net prices and 36% of our communities during the fourth quarter. More than half of these price increases happened in Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, South Carolina, Virginia and West Virginia, some of our strongest markets. However, we've also been successful and have communities in some of our most challenging markets, typically in A and B locations that have great returns. Our approach remains to prioritize sales pace, but when the market strength is evident, we capitalize on opportunities to raise prices and reduce incentives.
I'll now turn it over to Brad O’Connor, our Chief Financial Officer.
Thank you, Ara. Before I get to the next slide, I want to comment on the other income line on our income statement. During the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, we assume control of 2 previously unconsolidated joint ventures after our partners receive their final cash distributions achieving their preferred return requirements. As a result, we consolidated the remaining assets and liabilities of these successful joint ventures at fair value, recording a gain of $18.9 million in other income. This type of consolidation has become more common and we anticipate another similar event in the first quarter of fiscal '26. Importantly, these communities continue to meet our standard return metrics even after the step-up to fair value and after current incentives.
Turning to Slide 18. We finished the quarter with 156 communities open for sale, reflecting steady growth as we focus on expanding our top line. We expect newer communities to outperform older vintages supporting our growth strategy. Unfortunately, the difficult market is currently a headwind to our growth. But the larger higher community count is allowing us to generally maintain our volume.
Slide 19 details our land position. We ended the fourth quarter with 35,883 controlled lots, equivalent to a 6.5 year supply. Including joint ventures, we now control 38,742 lots. Our lot count decreased 14% year-over-year, reflecting disciplined land acquisition and a willingness to walk away from or postpone less attractive opportunities. Even with fewer lots, we remain well positioned to increase our home deliveries in the coming years.
On the far right side of the slide, you can see that our lot count decreased sequentially for the third quarter in a row. These recent declines are reflective of the operating environment. We walked away from almost 15,000 lots during fiscal '25, including almost 6,000 lots in the fourth quarter. Having said that, our land teams remain active, securing 9,600 lots under contract in the last 3 quarters, 3,100 in the fourth quarter, all meeting or exceeding our margin and IRR hurdles even after factoring in current high incentives.
Slide 20 shows the age of our lot position, both owned and option broken down by year -- by the year each lot was controlled. The number above each bar represents the percentage of total lots that were controlled in that year. The number below each bar indicates the percentage of incentives used on homes delivered during the year. This slide illustrates that by the fourth quarter of this year, 62% of our land was initially controlled in either 2024 or 2025, by which time we were assuming more significant incentives in our underwriting of land acquisitions. However, 87% of our deliveries in the fourth quarter were from lots of vintages from 2023 or earlier. Those vintages are more challenging from a margin perspective because we were assuming much lower incentives when they were underwritten. We are working through those lots, as you can see on this slide, but it is a gradual transition.
The process of shifting our land position towards lots that were purchased with greater incentives is slow and ongoing. We are working through the older, less profitable lots and replacing them with newer land acquisitions that offer better returns. In today's challenging market, we're also working with some land sellers who we have option agreements with mutually beneficial solutions where we bolster a little bit of the pain in a difficult market.
Strategically, we decided to sell through lower margin lots to make room for new land acquisitions that meet our IRR targets. The good news is we are still finding new land opportunities that meet our underwriting criteria even with current high incentives and the current sales pace. Given our recent land acquisitions that begin delivering in 2026 we expect our gross margin percentage to bottom in the first quarter of fiscal '26 and to gradually improve in the following quarters.
On Slide 21, we show our land and land development spend each quarter of fiscal '25 and the quarterly average for all of 2024. Land and development spend has decreased in response to market conditions, reflecting disciplined capital allocation and rigorous evaluation of every acquisition, factoring in current prices, incentive levels, construction costs and sales base to ensure IRRs above 20%. We continue to identify compelling opportunities in our markets and remain laser-focused on revenue and profit growth for the long term. Our commitment to disciplined underwriting and strategic investment will drive continued success.
Turning to Slide 22. We ended Q4 with $404 million in liquidity, well above our targeted range even after spending $199 million on land and land development. We completed a significant refinancing during the fourth quarter, which is highlighted on Slide 23. The top of the slide shows our maturity ladder as of July 31, 2025. This refinancing shown on the bottom portion of the slide marks a major milestone for us. For the first time since 2008, all of our debt, except for our revolving credit facility is now unsecured. This change strengthens our balance sheet going forward, providing us with greater financial flexibility, reducing risk and positioning us for future growth. The successful refinancing underscores our disciplined approach to managing debt and emphasizes our commitment to maintaining a strong and stable financial foundation.
On Slide 24, we highlight how we've successfully increased our equity and reduced our debt over the past few years. Over that time, equity has grown by $1.3 billion and the debt has been reduced by $754 million. Net debt to capital is now 44.2%, a substantial improvement from 146.2% at the start of fiscal 2020. While we still have work to do, we remain on track toward our 30% net debt target.
With $230 million in deferred tax assets, we will not pay federal income taxes on approximately $700 million of future pretax earnings, enhancing cash flow and supporting growth. Given the current volatility and challenges with predicting margins, we are only providing financial guidance for the next quarter. Our outlook assumes that market conditions remain stable with no major increases in mortgage rates, tariffs inflation, cancellation rates or construction cycle times. As we rely more on QMI sales forecasting profits is tougher, while we performed at the top of our guidance for many quarters, our goal is to provide realistic guidance that we can meet or beat, if conditions are favorable. Our forecast includes ongoing use of mortgage rate buydowns at similar incentives and it does not include any changes to SG&A expenses from [ Fantom ] stock cost tied to stock price changes from the $120.23 closing price at the end of Q4 fiscal 2025.
Slide 25 shows our guidance for the first quarter of fiscal '26. Our expectation for total revenues for the first quarter is between $550 million and $650 million. Adjusted gross margin is expected to be in the range of 13% to 14%. This is lower than our typical gross margin, particularly because of increased cost of mortgage rate buydowns and our focus on pace versus price. Assuming no further deterioration in the market, we expect our gross margin to bottom in the first quarter of '26 with margins gradually increasing each quarter and the remainder of '26. We expect the range of SG&A as a percentage of total revenues to be between 13.5% and 14.5%, which is still higher than usual. One of the reasons the SG&A ratio is running a little high is that we are expecting community count growth, and we have to make new hires in advance of those communities.
In addition, we are making significant investments to improve processes and technology in many areas to significantly increase our efficiency in future years. We expect income from joint ventures to be between breakeven and $10 million and our guidance for adjusted EBITDA is between $35 million and $45 million. Our expectation for adjusted pretax income for the first quarter is between $10 million and $20 million. This includes the expectation of other income from the consolidation of the joint venture in the first quarter when the partner is expected to reach their full returnable capital as prescribed in the JV agreement. As a reminder, this has become a normal part of the life cycle of our joint ventures is that we have had other income from JV-related transactions 4x in the past 10 quarters. Our first quarter guidance also includes proceeds from a land sale we expect to close in the first quarter.
On Slide 26, we show 85% of our lots controlled via option, up from 46% in fiscal 2015 reflecting our strategic focus on [ landline ].
Looking at Slide 27, we remain strong compared to our peers in controlling land through options. In fact, we have the fourth highest percentage of option lots placing us well above the industry median of 58%.
On Slide 28, we have the second highest inventory turnover rate among our peers. This is an important part of our strategy because it means we sell and replace our inventory more quickly than most competitors demonstrating a more efficient use of our capital. This reflects many other factors in addition to land light. We see more opportunities to use land options as well as reduce lot purchased a construction start and construction start to completion cycle times, which would further help us improve our inventory turnover.
On Slide 29, we show that compared to our midsized peers. We have the second highest adjusted EBIT returns on investment at 17.7%.
On Slide 30, we had the 5 larger builders and we still ranked fifth highest overall. Our adjusted EBIT return on investment is a true measure of pure homebuilding operating performance. Over the last several years, we've consistently had one of the highest ROIs among our peers.
On Slide 31, we show our price to book value compared to our peers. We are trading slightly above book value and just below the median for all the peers shown on the slide. These last 2 slides emphasize the point but given our high return on investment, combined with our rapidly improving balance sheet, we believe our stock continues to be undervalued.
I'll now turn it back to Ara for some brief closing comments.
Thanks, Brad. Five years ago, we were above median compared to our midsized peers in EBIT ROI, which we believe is the true key operating metric for homebuilders from our perspective. Four years ago, we were also above median and ROI. For the past 3 years, we have been #1 or the #2 performer in ROI. Our operating model is yielding industry-leading results. It's true that we have a high debt-to-cap ratio and higher interest rates than many of our peers, which means that we have been more sensitive to margin compression. However, as we've shown you, we have been steadily increasing our equity and decreasing the amount of debt. With our recent refinancing, we've decreased the cost of our debt.
Our fourth quarter pretax was significantly impacted by the heavy fees to pay off our debt early during the refinancing, but the interest savings would quickly bring back the benefits and the longer maturities give us the flexibility to deal with market uncertainties. We have plenty of work ahead of us. But the key is that we have the right operating model that is producing top results on an ROI basis. As Brad mentioned, we're making heavy investments in business process redesign, technology and in searching for new opportunities and cost reductions that will make us even more competitive in the future.
Our land position, as shown on Slide 32, is heavily weighted to the Northeast which is over 53% of our lots controlled, and that's important because the Northeast is one of our most profitable segments. It is lowest in the Southeast, a more challenging market at the moment, where we only control 17% of our total lots. Finally, the West has 30% of our lots. While our short-term sales have been below last year, as I mentioned earlier, traffic per community is up fairly significantly over the last year in recent months. Buyers are definitely out there looking, but with all the world and economic uncertainty, they are hesitating at the moment, but that will eventually pass. Our new land acquisitions, particularly the land and lot contracts in the last year have been underwritten with significant incentives that should yield dramatically better gross margins and returns.
In addition, on Monday morning, I can look back and say we were too heavily invested in the more affordable tertiary markets with entry-level homes. This has been the more challenging segment of the housing market, and we have been staying clear of these locations in our new land acquisitions. Conversely, our active adult segment has been performing quite well, and we are focusing more on this segment, which is currently only about 19% of our deliveries. Regarding our move-up product, clearly, the A and B locations are performing the best all over the country, and that's where we're concentrating our efforts on new land acquisitions.
By focusing on pace over price, maintaining a higher inventory of Quick Move In homes, we're able to sign and deliver more contracts each quarter, convert backlog at a higher rate and keep our communities active and burn through our older land that has lower embedded margins. This clears our balance sheet for newer land acquisitions underwritten to provide solid returns even with the current high incentives. As Brad mentioned, our internal guidance suggests that margin should bottom out in the first quarter and begin to steadily increase in subsequent quarters if the market conditions remain similar to current conditions.
That concludes our formal comments, and we're happy to turn it over for Q&A now.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Natalie Kulasekere with Zelman.
2. Question Answer
Are you doing anything to offset some of the pressure from gross margins? Have you seen any cost improvements, maybe direct cost improvements, have you been able to negotiate anything lower with your vendors? Yes. Just any color on that would be great.
I mean we have consistently gone back in existing communities and certainly for new communities to rebid with suppliers, trade partners, et cetera. We've had some success controlling costs and reducing costs in some places. We're down pretty significantly in costs on a per square foot basis from 2 years ago. Over the last -- over this year, we're basically holding steady so any increases being caused by tariffs or other things have been offset by savings elsewhere. So we've been able to manage costs flat, and we'll continue to pursue ways to reduce costs either with trades or changing material suppliers, et cetera.
I'll mention one additional thing. We have -- we've seen several of our peers have success with buying down a 7-year arm versus a 30-year fixed. That has 2 benefits, one, you can qualify buyers at a lower rate and at the same time, actually save cost, which helps margins. So we're going to begin advertising and promoting that program more aggressively starting this weekend. And if it's as successful as we're seeing, that incremental portion of our buyers that use a 7-year arm will help our margins.
Okay. That's helpful. And when you expect gross margin to take higher through the year next year, is that driven by a mix impact? Or is it because you think you will be done selling through underperforming assets at that point?
It's a mix because you're working through the older stuff. So yes, as we continue to work through the older, more challenging property and bring on deals we identified in 2024 and 2025 that mix shift to newer land will help our margins improve.
[Operator Instructions] I am showing no further questions at this time. And I would like to hand the conference back to Ara Hovnanian for closing remarks.
Thank you very much. Well, needless to say, we're pleased that we met or beat all of our guidance metrics. Disappointed in the absolute results but we look forward to our performance bottoming out in this upcoming quarter and then beginning our improvement from there.
Thanks so much, and we look forward to reporting better and better results in future quarters.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for participating, and you may now disconnect. Everyone, have a great day.
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Hovnanian met or beat Q4 guidance but saw year‑over‑year revenue and margin pressure driven by incentives and older land vintages.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: $818M (–17% YoY; decline driven by 13% fewer deliveries and no large land sale versus prior year)
- Adjusted gross margin: 16.3% (near high end of guidance; down YoY due to higher incentives)
- Incentives: 12.2% of average sales price (mostly mortgage rate buydowns; major drag on margins)
- Adjusted EBITDA: $89M (adjusted EBITDA = earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization)
- Pretax income: $49M (close to guidance midpoint)
🎯 What Management Says
- Sales vs price: Prioritizing sales pace over price using mortgage‑rate buydowns to keep communities active and convert backlog faster.
- Land strategy: Selling through older, lower‑margin lots to clear balance sheet and replace with 2024–25 acquisitions underwritten with higher incentives but better returns.
- Balance sheet: Completed refinancing to largely unsecured debt, boosting liquidity and lowering interest cost while investing in processes and technology.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Q1 guidance: Revenues $550–650M; adjusted gross margin 13–14%; SG&A 13.5–14.5% of sales; adjusted EBITDA $35–45M; adjusted pretax $10–20M.
- Timing: Management expects gross margin to bottom in Q1 FY‑26 and then gradually improve as newer lot vintages ramp.
- Assumptions & risks: Guidance assumes stable mortgage rates and no major inflation, tariff, cancellation or construction disruptions; continued use of buydowns.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Cost control: Management says they rebid suppliers, held per‑sqft costs roughly flat year‑over‑year and will pursue further vendor savings.
- Product financing: Will more aggressively promote a 7‑year adjustable mortgage buydown (lower cost than 30‑yr fixed) to improve buyer qualification and margins.
- Margin recovery: Improvement tied mainly to mix shift as newer land (2024–25 vintages) replaces older underwritten lots; not a near‑term price recovery story.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Conclusion: Execution matched guidance and liquidity/refinancing materially improved the balance sheet, but near‑term margins are pressured by heavy incentives and legacy lot vintages; shareholders should expect a trough in Q1 with a gradual recovery contingent on mix shift and stable rates.
Financial data from Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jul '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 2,823 2,823 |
26%
26%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 2,355 2,355 |
24%
24%
83%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 468 468 |
35%
35%
17%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 346 346 |
20%
20%
12%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 162 162 |
48%
48%
6%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 16 16 |
50%
50%
1%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 146 146 |
52%
52%
5%
|
|
| Net Profit | 6.92 6.92 |
96%
96%
0%
|
|
In millions USD.
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Hovnanian Enterprises-cl B Stock News
Company Profile
Hovnanian Enterprises, Inc. is a homebuilding company, which engages in the design, construction, and marketing of single-family detached homes, attached townhomes and condominiums, urban infill, and active lifestyle homes in planned residential developments. The company is headquartered in Matawan, New Jersey and currently employs 1,891 full-time employees. The firm has two distinct operations: homebuilding and financial services. The Homebuilding segment consists of three segments: Northeast (Delaware, Maryland, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia and West Virginia); Southeast (Florida, Georgia and South Carolina), and West (Arizona, California and Texas). The Homebuilding segment is engaged in the sale and construction of single-family attached and detached homes, attached town homes and condominiums, urban infill and active lifestyle homes in planned residential developments. The company also includes sales of land. The Financial services segment provides mortgage banking and title services to homebuilding operations customers. Its residential development activities include site planning and engineering, obtaining environmental and other regulatory approvals and constructing roads, drainage facilities and others.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | United States |
| CEO | Mr. Hovnanian |
| Employees | 1,891 |
| Website | www.khov.com |


