Intercos Stock price
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = €1.23b | Revenue (TTM) = €1.03b
Market Cap = €1.23b | Estimated Revenue = €1.12b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = €1.33b | Revenue (TTM) = €1.03b
Enterprise Value = €1.33b | Forward Revenue = €1.12b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Intercos Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
16 Analysts have issued a Intercos forecast:
Analyst Opinions
16 Analysts have issued a Intercos forecast:
Intercos Events
Past Events
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AUG
4
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
about 2 months ago
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MAY
7
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
5 months ago
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MAR
4
2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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NOV
6
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
11 months ago
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StocksGuide Free
Intercos — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good evening. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Intercos First Half 2026 Financial Results.
[Operator Instructions] At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Renato Semerari, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you very much. Good evening, everybody. In a global context still marked by geopolitical tensions, currency headwinds and the beauty market slowly recovering its historical growth pace of 4% to 5%, Intercos came back to growth, registering a quarter 2 with solid results, both at top and bottom line level.
Summarizing the key highlights. Regarding top line, Q2 was the best-ever second quarter of our history at EUR 285 million, a 5% growth at constant rate. This result allowed us to close the gap versus 2025 accumulated in Q1. The first semester was only 0.5% below a year ago. Important to note that such a result was achieved despite the decline of the Packaging component of our revenues. As such, our value-added sales, i.e., net sales minus Pack, resulted in first semester down by 0.9% at reported rates, which means low single digit up at constant rates. This was done without depleting our order portfolio, which remained up mid-teens versus a year ago, thanks to continued strong order intake.
As for EBITDA, Q2 was our best-ever quarterly result at EUR 47.5 million with a margin of 16.7%, which was 16 basis points better than a year ago. First half was, therefore, at EUR 72.6 million, with flat margin at 14.2% on net sales or 17.9% on value-added sales. EBITDA was helped by Prestige segment, which was up 4 percentage points over a year ago, and the Pack component reduction, which was down by over 1 percentage point. As for net debt, we also were down by over EUR 10 million, actually EUR 12 million, after having covered for the buyback, share buyback expenses. Our strong cash generation led leverage to go down to 0.80x EBITDA versus last year 0.87x.
So summarizing our financial results that you will see in greater details with Vittorio in a few minutes. Second quarter saw sales up by plus 4.9% on constant FX, plus 4% at reported rates, with an EBITDA of EUR 47.5 million, up plus 5%. Margin was at 16.7%, an improvement of 16 basis points versus a year ago.
First half reported sales at EUR 512 million, minus 0.5% versus a year ago or minus 2.4% at reported rates. Value-added sales were minus 1% at current ForEx and low single digit up at constant rates. EBITDA at EUR 72.6 million with 14.2% margin, in line with a year ago or 17.9% on value-added sales. Net income was up by 33%, thanks to reductions in financial costs and tax rates. Net debt down by EUR 12 million despite share buyback equivalent to EUR 16 million.
Moving to sales details now and starting by revenues by business unit at reported ForEx. Make-up second quarter was down by minus 1.4% over a high base of a year ago of plus 13%. So this means it was basically flat at constant rates. There are a couple of important points to underline to fully understand the underlying trend of this business unit. First, the Pack component was sharply down. As such, value-added sales were up at mid-single digit rates at constant rates. Second, the performance accelerated throughout the second quarter, exiting the quarter at a very fast pace.
First semester closed at minus 3%, again, on tough comps. Last year, we grew 18%. Again, value-added sales were up low single digit. Prestige clients were clearly up, while Mass suffered. EMEA region was the best performer, followed by Americas. Asia was down after years of double-digit expansion, driven by market dynamics that I'll elaborate in a moment.
As for Skincare, second quarter was down by 3.4%. Also in this case, on top of the currency headwinds, Pack component went down, so value-added sales were low single digit up. First half was down by 9.5%, with Asia growing, but Western countries offsetting this growth. Hair & Body reported an exceptional plus 27% in the second quarter, driven by European clients, especially in fragrance. As such, first half closed at plus 5%, in this case, also helped by the Packaging component.
Moving to revenues by region. EMEA was up plus 10% in the second quarter, driven by Prestige clients in both Make-up and Hair & Body. Emerging brands took back their growth driver role after 1 year of multinational lead. First semester, therefore, ended at plus 1% after the difficult first quarter. Americas closed the second quarter slightly positive, plus 1%, overall in line with the beauty market volume dynamics.
Prestige multinational clients were the best performers. First half resulted as such, down by 4%, also paying the weak dollar toll. Asia was the most challenging region. Here, we witnessed a comeback of the Western brands who gained shares back from Chinese brands. Hence, in our numbers where we post only our sales to local clients, you see a decline in reorders. As such, after years of double-digit growth and against tough base, we recorded a minus 5% in second quarter and minus 8% in the first half. Also, this region was impacted by currency headwinds, especially in Korea.
Moving to client clusters. In general, this year, we see the reverse picture of 2025. Multinationals, which were growing at double-digit pace last year and that, therefore, had tough comparables this year, closed the second quarter at minus 2% with American Make-up clients performing well, but Asian Skin and Hair clients declining.
The first half ended at minus 8% versus last year when we had recorded a plus 18% growth. Emerging brands conversely took back their historic driver's seat. In the second quarter, they grew by plus 13%, driven by Asian Skincare and European Hair & Body. In the first half, they registered a plus 6% growth. Retailers also went back to a negative trend after an extremely high 2025. Specifically in second quarter, they posted minus 14% versus last year plus 20% and the first year closed at minus 19%, offsetting last year equivalent growth.
I now pass the mic to Vittorio, our Chief Operating Officer, who is acting as CFO at interim, to take you through the financials.
Thank you, Renato. Good evening, everybody. Going to the economics of the first half. As we saw in the first part of this presentation, the top line went down 2.5% at reported rate and 0.9% on the value-added sales, going at the constant rate in the positive territories, which is a good sign of our value-added sales.
Going to the gross margin. We have been able to increase the gross margin percentage of 36 bps, thanks to the mix and the execution of the operational efficiencies -- we are executing our plan. And thank you to the lower packaging rate, which is 1 point lower than comparable to last year. This drove to an EBITDA of EUR 72.6 million, which is 2.6% lower of the last year or EUR 2 million, but we recorded the highest quarterly adjusted EBITDA on the Q2 at EUR 47.5 million or plus 5% compared to last year. So 16 bps increase year-over-year at 16.7%.
If you go at the net income, we have a very positive progression at 33.3%, driven by a positive impact of the financial items that last year was driven by the headwinds of the ForEx and a lower tax rate that is from 45.5% last year to 34.7% this year, thanks to the -- influenced by the intercompany dividend that has not been yet distributed and the mix of the different countries profit.
Going to the business unit EBITDA, we see a progression of the Make-up of 9%, with an increase of 180 bps, and this is thanks to the Prestige part of our business that is growing and a positive impact in the EBITDA of this category, so increasing 180 bps at EUR 53.2 million.
Going to the Skincare -- the opposite. The decline in top line and the underabsorption driven by the fixed cost drove the 24% drop or 300 bps lower EBITDA margin compared to last year despite in the second quarter, the client mix is rising towards the Prestige sales.
Going to Hair & Body. We saw a 25% reduced EBITDA compared to the last year or 280 bps. This is mainly driven by the contract manufacturing weight within the category that historically has a lower marginality and a higher weight of packaging within the business unit.
Going to the operating cash flow and the net debt evolution. As anticipated, we had a strong cash generation, thanks to the level of the working capital management. And so we posted an EUR 18.6 million progression compared to the last year. So H1 EUR 26.2 million operating cash flow. If I take out the CapEx, so the conversion rate is 75%, which is a good sign of the cash generation. The reduced financial expenses and the reduced tax drove to a cash flow before dividend distribution and buybacks at EUR 13.3 million, that is a progression of net EUR 32.4 million compared to the same period of last year.
We then go to the buyback that absorbed EUR 17 million cash and the dividend distribution, EUR 18 million. And then we had a EUR 22.2 million cash absorption in the first half compared to EUR 36.8 million of the last year. This is driving our net debt at EUR 122.7 million, including IFRS 16, compared to EUR 134.4 million of the last year with an improvement of EUR 12 million -- roughly EUR 12 million that is driving our leverage ratio down to 0.80, compared to the 0.87 of last year with this generation. Thank you.
Thank you, Vittorio. Moving forward. So overall, as you know, the geopolitical scenario is quite complex and very volatile. Despite this, Beauty is overall well-oriented and realigning to the historical trends of 4% to 5% growth. Now this being said, which is obviously good news, not everything is perfectly aligned, I would say, with what we would like to see, we would love to see.
First of all, in Europe, the trends are pretty positive in both volume and price. But Make-up, which is our strongest business unit, is performing below Skin and Fragrances in general. So we would like to see Make-up getting a bit faster. U.S. is up high single digit, but it's mostly price-driven. So we would like to see more volume contribution to the growth of the market.
In China, in spite of a softer-than-expected 618 e-commerce festival, it's performing in positive territory. Obviously, this market share shift from local brands to multinationals -- Western multinationals -- helps us in the other regions of the world, but it doesn't on the Asian entities. In this context, which we think is going to be confirmed in the second half of the year, so we expect the market to end in between 4% and 5% of growth.
We have achieved in the first half results that are in line with our original expectation. Q2 saw an acceleration throughout the quarter. The order book is in the mid-teens up versus a year ago despite this Q2 revenues acceleration, and orders inflow remains strong. Actually, if I look at last month, it's more than strong. It's a record month. And on top of this, the Hair & Body forecast from clients is stronger than our original expectations.
All in all, we -- all this bodes for a strong acceleration of sales in the second half, which was already forecasted and communicated as a backloaded year, and this is confirming and everything is aligning to that. Based on this, we confirm our forecast, which is in line with the current net sales consensus, which is in line and is in the range we had communicated at the beginning of the year in terms of guidance for 2026. So everything is moving along expectations.
I thank you for your attention, and we are ready to take your questions. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Andrei Condrea from UBS.
2. Question Answer
Two from me, please, if you don't mind. Firstly, you've reiterated the guidance on net sales. However, if we think in terms of EBITDA, how should we look at it given that Packaging has declined as a percent of your sales? And what are your expectations for that part going into year-end?
Secondly, just on Skincare, obviously, operating leverage played quite a sizable role in the 300 basis point margin decline. But could you help us breaking it down a bit further? Just trying to understand why margins were so soft in the division.
Thank you, Andrei. I will answer to your first question, and then Vittorio will answer to your second question. Yes, I mean, in the EBITDA, in first half, you see 2 movements. On one side, you had a positive coming from Prestige sales going up and Pack going down. The two are, as you well know, well-related because usually Prestige brands deliver us their packaging. They don't ask us to buy packaging. On the other hand, the growth of Hair & Body, as you know, is dilutive. This is the business unit that has the lowest margin. So the 2 components kind of offset one another.
Going forward, we had forecasted the Pack component, which had gone down significantly last year to remain overall stable in the course of the year.
Now looking at -- especially looking at the Hair & Body forecast from clients for the second half, I think that we will see in the second half either stability versus a year ago and a slight increase versus the first semester in terms of percentage weight.
Okay. If I look at the Skincare question, Andrei, so the main drop in EBITDA compared to last year is driven, as anticipated before, by the fixed cost absorption on the legal entities where we sell -- where we produce Skincare, particularly the portfolio has been -- the execution has been soft due to the level of the orders. And so the level of underabsorption drove -- principally drove the drop on the EBITDA in the H1.
The next question is from Tilly Eno from Morgan Stanley.
I have 3, if I may. The first is on Make-up, where you saw an increase in the Prestige SKU helping profitability. Would you expect that mix towards Prestige to persist? A.k.a., are you still seeing that in your order intake?
My second question is on Skincare. You saw the order book for Make-up and Skincare progressively accelerate even further. Could you give us any kind of color between -- in terms of the dynamics between Make-up and Skincare within that? A.k.a., you've previously spoken about expecting a pickup in Skincare in H2. Are you still confident in that? Or is it more about the other business units driving the full year?
And then my third -- final question, please, on China. You mentioned in the outlook that you would expect a progressive comeback of the local Chinese brands. Have you seen any early signs of those comebacks? Or is this more just something that you think will naturally happen as a course of business?
Thank you very much for your questions. First, you talked about Prestige clients for Prestige orders for Make-up. When we look at the portfolio on hand, Prestige remains very strong. So we do expect Prestige to stay high in the second half of the year as well.
The second point you mentioned is the order book between Make-up and Skincare. Well, Make-up is, as I said, in the first semester has been led mostly by growth in the Western Hemisphere. This is still the case in the second half. For Skincare, it is the opposite. It's Asia driving. Asia is positive and Western is below.
Now what we expect is to see a comeback, as you said, of China clients, especially in Skincare in the second half, so a further acceleration there. As you know, the lead times, order lead times in China, especially in Asia in general, but in China, especially, is a lot shorter than in the Western world. So in Make-up, we see -- we have a richer order book than in Skincare, and that could simply be related to the fact that the transformation time is longer than what you see in Asia and China. So typically, a brand that needs goods for October, November has already placed orders in the Western Hemisphere is not yet in Asia and in China.
Now coming to your last question, early signs of local brands accelerating in the second half, we do not have anything tangible. When I say anything tangible, are firm orders. What we hear though is their will to gain shares back during the Double 11 event. So everybody has been quite surprised after a couple of years where they were winning to see the comeback of the Western brands. They all declare their desire and their eagerness to come back and react to this escalation of Western brands. So it's not only our assumption, it's what we get qualitatively talking to the local clients.
Now obviously, we need to see orders inflowing at an accelerated pace to, let's say, solidify this intention, and this is going to come towards end of this month, early September. I hope I've answered your questions.
The next question is from Molly Wylenzek of Jefferies.
I just want to push you a bit more on Make-up and the order book. As you just mentioned, the order book is mostly Make-up. You've been talking about record levels since, I think, November of last year. Good to hear that Make-up is now ex-FX, ex-Packaging back into mid-single digit growth. But can you talk us through sort of the acceleration you expect into the second half? And I'm not sure if I missed it, but just your expectations around Packaging in the second half as well to get towards maybe a net sales number.
Okay. So for Make-up, we spoke about an acceleration happening at the end of last year. I must say that this acceleration is further accelerating, especially in Make-up. Actually, it's mostly focused on Make-up during this early summer month. So we really see traction coming in Make-up and mostly driven by the Western Hemisphere, mostly coming from Prestige. Prestige was up significantly in the second quarter for Make-up, also for Skincare, but especially for Make-up.
When we look at the order book we have on hand, we see similar dynamics. So let's say, the weight of Prestige versus Mass is very similar. So we cannot predict what is going to be exactly at the end of the year, but the indications we have in our hands point to the same direction. So all in all, we expect to go in that direction.
On the other hand, let's not forget that what is more of a "surprise" is the fact that the forecast we are getting on the Hair & Body business unit is ahead of our expectations. So that is good news in terms of top line, as you will know. But you also know that that is a bit dilutive in terms of EBITDA margins going forward.
Sorry, just to complete, this Hair & Body part that I just mentioned will drive up a bit the percentage of Packaging component on the total net sales. It will not be driven by Make-up, I think. It will be driven by Hair & Body.
The next question is from Aron Adamski of Goldman Sachs.
I have 3 questions. First, a follow-up on Skincare. How would you expect the Prestige Skincare performance to evolve into the second half of the year? I think you commented on Make-up. And how -- also, how should we think about the performance from multinationals in the U.S. and Europe in Skincare, as that appears to have been weaker?
Second question is on China. I just wanted to follow up on the comments regarding the fightback of the Chinese local brands and their willingness to regain market share. How would you expect that to play out in practice? Would you expect them to become more promotional? Or would you rather see a pace of innovation to accelerate? And just to finish on China, it would also be great to hear your perspective on the trends we've seen so far in July, if you have the read already.
And then the last quick question is just a technical one. Can you remind us of your expectations for this year for finance costs and the effective tax rate?
Aron, thank you for your question. Sorry, I'm writing them down because otherwise, we forget them. Skincare, Prestige for the second half, we are seeing them moving in a good direction, not a great direction. So we clearly see a difference so far between Make-up and Skincare in terms of Prestige clients and multinationals. I think that Skincare -- well, I think, I know Skincare has been mostly driven by Asian clients. And I think this will continue to be the case in the second half. As you know, there are a few brands in Prestige territory from the local brands.
Now one example is, for instance, in China, Maogeping. Maogeping is one of the few Chinese brands that performed well during the 618 festival. So we keep thinking this brand will continue to go well also in the second half of the year, but there aren't that many. So I think that there will be a shift in the total panel of Skincare sales, there will be a shift towards masstige and a bit of mass simply because it will be more driven by Asia than the Western world.
From the China fightback, I think that it will be -- most probably, there will be an escalation in promotional. Innovation, yes, but they always had innovation. It requires a push to get the trial going. And when the Western brands are pushing hard to gain share back, they have an inherent advantage that is driven by their brand image. So getting a great offer from YSL or another luxury brand from the Western is tough for them to compensate. So they need to sharpen their pencils to do better in that respect. So yes, I would expect them to go up, to answer your questions.
July read, we don't have yet, sorry. We have seen data from the -- up to the end of June. We have seen a read up to the end of July for U.S. market, but not from China. For the finance and tax question, I delegate to someone who's better equipped than me.
Thank you, Renato. So I start from the tax rate to the ETR. So we expect to have the ETR normalizing at 30%, 31% as per consensus because we know that the effect of the dividends is temporary. So in the H1, we anticipated before. On the finance cost also here is depending, of course, how the ForEx will move in the second half. But we do expect here to stay in the range of EUR 12.5 million, aligned to the consensus.
[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Paola Carboni of Equita.
Sorry, just a quick one from me. How do you see the inventory level in the system, in the market? And so to what extent can this, say, ensure a consistency of the fast growth you are expecting in the next few months? If you can comment on it, please?
Paola, thank you for your question. Inventory level, to be honest, we do not see any particular point to raise. I think it's pretty normalized. The market -- the consumer demand is going in a very steady manner. So we think retailers have had time to normalize their stock level. So sell-out, sell-in should be very much aligned. And we do not hear any particular concern from clients. Obviously, you will always have the exception, one client declaring to be a bit overstocked and therefore, reducing orders. And on the other side, you will always have the exception of someone who is a bit short in inventory and wants to accelerate orders. But all in all, I do not see any warning sign.
And when I look at the reorders trend, as you know, we have -- a large part of our sales every year is based on reorders. They are coming in in a more regular and more consistent way than a year ago. So that is, generally speaking, a sign that the inventory level in the market is pretty normalized.
And this is -- let's say, this applies also to the Hair & Body segment, which is apparently surprising also your own expectations?
Well, in Hair & Body, the reality is that on one side, we have won some new projects we were not expecting in the year, to be honest, but also established clients have done a bit of a yo-yo. They were ordering a lot in 2024. They adjusted their inventories in 2025, and now they're running at a more regular pace. So over, let's say, a depressed base, they are now looking better. But when I look at the millions aside from the indexes, I do not see anything really surprising.
The good news is that the decline of last year was not a sellout decline. It was an inventory adjustment. So now they're normalizing. And in our forecast, maybe we've been a bit conservative, we were expecting them to stay down at the level of 2025. And in reality, they're going up versus that level.
The next question is from Mikheil Omanadze of BNP Paribas.
I have one follow-up, please, on profitability. Now you gave us some pointers how to think about H2. But if I look at full year consensus right now, I can see EBITDA of EUR 164 million with margins stable year-on-year. Are you comfortable with where consensus is?
Yes, I am. I think it's pretty accurate actually. I wouldn't be able to do it better than that. I'm joking, sorry. No, but jokes apart, no, I think it's pretty accurate. It's what we expect for the time being.
The next question is a follow-up of Aron Adamski of Goldman Sachs.
I had 2 quick questions. First on Fragrances. Could you give us some more color on what's driving the strong performance in Europe? Is it a specific client or specific innovation that's driving that? And then second, just on the innovation appetite. Are you seeing any divergence in terms of demand for innovations between emerging brands and multinationals? Or is it broadly similar?
Thank you for your questions.
[Audio Gap] to move ahead to come up with innovation. There is also a lot of activity going into reformulations of existing franchises. They are driven by regulatory needs, either short-term or midterm regulatory needs. So there is a lot of renewals going on, both for emerging brands and for multinationals. I don't see any slowdown at all.
The next question is a follow-up of Andrei Condrea of UBS.
Just one for me, please. Would you mind updating us on the search for a permanent CFO, how that's going along?
Yes. I mean, we are scanning the market a lot. As you can imagine, we do not want to make any mistake. We want to be bulletproof on this one.
I must say that aside from Vittorio, that is probably complaining about his workload, he's doing a super job as a CFO. So I'm almost -- I kind of don't feel the pressure to rush into a new hiring, but we have scanned about 70 resumes. We have gone through a round of interviews of about, I would say, 20 candidates more or less. We are going through the funnel and shrinking the candidate list. So I think that between September, October, we should come to a conclusion on that.
In the meantime, we have recruited the new IR manager, who is going to join us on August 24. So that is going forward. We've done some other additions in the finance team. So we are beefing up and having stronger shoulders. But on the CFO side, we want to be very sure about what we do. So we're going to take our time.
The next question is a follow-up of Paola Carboni of Equita.
I was wondering if you can share with us some first thoughts about your view on the market for 2027, and in particular, your view for what concerns the strong acceleration we are going to see in your revenues and from your order backlog in the second part of this year. So to what extent do you think we can have still a tail or to what extent can this be sustainable also entering into 2027? Or do you see any temporary element that should fade in the short-term?
Thank you, Paola. Well, it is a bit early, frankly speaking, to have a view on 2027. I personally believe the market will realign as it is already, as expected, is doing this year, is realigning to its historical growth trends. I think that that is there to stay also next year. I would expect or at least I hope that the currency will be a bit more favorable next year. But in terms of behavior, in general, I wouldn't expect any big news, to be honest.
So I expect the market to stay in the 4% to 5% growth rate. I expect brands to continue to be very -- to have a very high appetite for innovation, especially because there are some regulatory changes that are going to get closer in terms of timing. So that rates will continue to be up there. And in terms of backlog or anything like that, it will depend a lot on how we'll perform at the end of the year and what is going to be the order flow in the second half of the year, especially from October onwards. So it's a bit early. I have no, let's say, anxiety about 2027 for the time being.
Gentlemen, there are no more questions registered at this time.
So if there are no more questions, I thank everybody and wish everybody a good summer. Thank you very much.
Thank you very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining. The conference is now over. You may disconnect your telephones.
Intercos — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Intercos — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Q2 was the best-ever second quarter with record EBITDA and improving order book; H1 revenues near-flat, guidance confirmed amid packaging and China headwinds.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: Q2 €285m (+4.9% constant FX, +4% reported); H1 €512m (‑0.5% YoY)
- EBITDA: Q2 €47.5m (+5% YoY) margin 16.7% (+16bps); H1 €72.6m, margin 14.2%
- Profit & cash: Net income +33%; operating cash flow €26.2m; buyback €17m and dividend €18m paid
- Balance sheet: Net debt €122.7m (improved ~€12m); leverage 0.80x EBITDA
🎯 What Management Says
- H2 tempo: Company says year is backloaded, with a mid‑teens higher order book and record recent inflows supporting a strong H2 acceleration.
- Mix over volume: Growth driven by Prestige clients (especially Make‑up in Western markets); management emphasises value‑added sales while Packaging revenue declined.
- Capital allocation: Strong cash generation used for buybacks/dividends and debt reduction; a permanent CFO search is underway while interim CFO covers the role.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Guidance: Full‑year net sales guidance confirmed and described as aligned with consensus; industry growth assumed at 4–5%.
- Key assumptions: Packaging share expected to remain broadly stable H2; stronger-than-expected Hair & Body orders boost sales but dilute margins.
- Risks & rates: Currency headwinds and potential promotional comeback of Chinese local brands; effective tax rate expected to normalize ~30–31% and finance costs ~€12.5m.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Packaging impact: Analysts probed EBITDA sensitivity to lower Packaging; management says Prestige mix offsets some decline but Hair & Body growth is margin‑dilutive.
- Skincare margins: Margin weakness traced to fixed‑cost underabsorption in production entities from weaker volumes; recovery tied to order pick‑up.
- China outlook: Management flags qualitative signs local brands want to regain share (likely via promotions); no material firm orders yet—clarity expected around Sept/Double 11.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investment view: Q2 momentum, record quarterly EBITDA, healthier order book and lower leverage support the confirmed guidance; execution risks from regional mix, Packaging and Skincare operating leverage keep near‑term uncertainty but the setup for H2 is constructive for shareholders.
Intercos — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good evening. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining Intercos First Quarter 2026 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Renato Semerari, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you very much. Good evening, everyone, and thanks for connecting to our earnings call. We'll present you our Q1, which as expected and communicated was difficult due to a convergence of negative factors. First of all, the currency headwinds; second, the continued reduction of packaging component in our top line; third, the softer reorder trend post summer 2025, which impacted Q1 invoicing, which was ahead of the orders peak at the end of the year, which will impact Q2 onwards. All this on a high comp basis. In fact, last year, in quarter 1, we grew 13%. going to the specific results, sales were down minus 6% at constant rates.
Adjusted EBITDA margin stood at 11%, which was 66 basis points below a year ago. And this drop of marginality was entirely due to fixed cost absorption. Conversely, the quarter was extremely positive in terms of cash which was positive by EUR 7 million despite EUR 25 million of shares buyback and EUR 19 million of dividends distributed. Last but not least, it's very important to note that in the past 6 months, we had an order entry in double-digit growth. So very, very solid for the order entry. Looking in more details at our sales development at current rates, Make-up and starting with BUs, Make-up, which represented 65% of sales, was the segment that held the best, as already seen in 2025.
Sales were down 5% on a very high base of last year, which grew 23%, considering the headwinds in currencies and the pack sales reduction, we were effectively flat. Emerging brands performed well, but offset by multinationals, whose order entry has recently accelerated in a very visible manner. Prestige brands performed well, while mass declined. Moving to Skincare, which represented 13% of total sales. We continued to suffer. We posted minus 17% and mainly due to the Western emerging brands, while Asia continued to perform well in this segment. We expect a comeback in the second half of 2026.
Hair & Body, which was 21% of our total sales, also posted a double-digit decline, minus 16%, mostly due to fragrances, which, as you know, did not have the benefit of significant launches in the past months. Despite we remain focused on innovation as witnessed by the recent Hair Care Award for innovation, which we got during Cosmoprof this year. We also see a forecast for fragrances that is very solid for the remaining part of the year. So we expect to come back very strongly in this segment as well.
Moving to the results by geographic regions. EMEA, which was 52% of total sales, was down 8.5%. I'm always referring to current rates. Make-up, positive growth in the region, but this was offset by the negative trend of Hair & Body and Skincare. We expect an immediate rebound of the region as the order intake from November onwards was extremely strong for the region, and we now have an order book, which is the strongest ever for this region. As for Americas, representing 28% of our sales. Quarter 1 posted a decline of 8.8%. The region was obviously very much impacted by the dollar devaluation in the region, Make-up was broadly flat, but results were affected by Skincare where our lack of manufacturing sites is penalizing in the current tariff environment. Also for this region, order entry has been extremely strong in the past 6 months.
Asia, which was 20% of our sales, was down 12% on a very high base of last year. Last year, we were at plus 18%. And also in this case, ForEx accounted for more than 50% of the decline and we saw Skincare doing well in the first quarter, but this was offset by Make-up.
Moving to the customer type. Multinationals, representing 50% of our sales posted a 13% decline on last year, very high base. Last year, we grew 28% in quarter 1. All the views suffered in this cluster of clients. However, the order entry trend highlights the comeback of multinationals in the rest of the year. Emerging brands, which were 45% of our total sales remained overall stable at current rates and quite positive at constant rates. Important to note that we registered a recovery of U.S. brands after the soft 2025. Retailers, which only weigh at 5% on our total sales also posted a double-digit decline closing first quarter at minus 25%. The results was entirely driven by the Western retailers while the Asian ones were positive.
Now looking forward, let's talk about the months ahead of us. First of all, we remain optimistic about the beauty market trend overall. The signs of a progressive comeback to the historical trends of beauty are getting confirmations in the first months of 2026. Both U.S. and China are coming back and Europe is holding quite well. So we expect the market to grow between 4% and 5% in the year. So far Make-up is the less dynamic segment, but we think it will progressively accelerate in the rest of the year. Obviously, the darkest cloud in the coming months is the Middle East crisis with the connected energy impacts should the crisis continue on a longer period. For what concerns Intercos, we remain confident to beat market trend despite our slow start in the year, and there are three factors that are backing our confidence.
First of all, the past 6 months order entry is a double-digit growth versus a year ago. And the order book we have in our hands is also double-digit up versus year ago. Second, last year launches are getting strong consumer response in the market, and this should sustain reorders going forward. Third, the new collection of innovation presented at Cosmoprof in over 300 meetings got enthusiastic response from clients, including Hair Care, where we won, as I just said, the Cosmoprof Innovation Award. As such, we confirm our guidance for the year expecting net revenues to grow by about 5%, 6% versus fiscal year 2025.
Thank you very much. I'm ready to get your questions.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Andrei Condrea of UBS.
2. Question Answer
Two for me, please. On your 2026 outlook, you talked about sales increasing 5% to 6%. But looking at your EBITDA expectations for the year, what are you seeing in terms of input costs currently? And what tools do you have at your disposal to mitigate these effects? And tied to this, what does this mean for pricing looking for the -- looking at the remainder of the year? And secondly, you mentioned in Q1 was held back by increased lead times in your orders. Could you perhaps quantify this impact? And how -- what benefits will this have on your Q2 numbers?
Thank you, Andrei, for your questions. Yes, our outlook is 5% to 6%. Now as you know, we do not give guidance on EBITDA terms, although we give a general guidance that if normal conditions are around, we expect leverage from volume, leading to about 50 basis points of improvement year-on-year. But this is an average of what can happen. Now in terms of cost and pricing, for the time being, we are seeing increases in terms of logistic costs, and we have communicated to clients that we are passing energy surcharges to them at the end of each month based on the actual cost increase of this logistic costs.
So we are doing everything to neutralize cost related to logistics, which I remind you are pretty limited in our P&L because it's about 2.5% of our sales because we work mostly in a next work environment. So this means that we do not have effectively outbound logistic costs while we have an inbound costs. Sorry, I said 2.5% of sales, I'm wrong, it's 2.5% of COGS which is a bit different.
So logistics is the #1 factor for the time being. In terms of utilities that are even lower than logistic cost in terms of impact in our P&L. In reality, we work with fixed rates for 2026. So we will have an impact of higher energy costs only if the current crisis goes on to 2027, we will not get an effect in 2026. I hope I've answered to your first question.
Second one was about lead times increasing. For the time being, we are not seeing anything significant in terms of lead times of productions and deliveries. This may come if the crisis goes on for a long period. But for the time being, we're not seeing that very much. Now the rebound, the peak of order increase started in November, December. So it's quite normal based on the current lead times, especially in the western part of the world that this impacts Q2 onwards. So if we are confirming the guidance as we are, it means that we expect in the quarters to come a pretty solid growth, high single digit to double digit going forward. And this is, as I said, backed by a very, very rich order portfolio that we have in our hands.
The next question is from Anna Frontani of Berenberg.
I have two questions. One relates to the order intake. If you can please give us a little bit more color, maybe on the composition of the strong order intake that you are seeing? And maybe the split between reorders and new project launches. And then the second one, I've seen the announcement of the CFO changing. If you can please give us some more context around that.
So Anna, thanks a lot for your questions. compositions of order intake. Well, first of all, keep seeing Make-up being the main lead of this order intake. So we see a lot of traction in Make-up. We see it in Europe, we see it in U.S. We are seeing also movements in the positive direction from Asia, but Western prestige brands in Make-up are the, let's say, the leading factor so far and what we are getting in terms of orders. I also want to -- as I said, I think I said it, but I will repeat it in case. Also, the forecast for Hair & Body and especially fragrances, which is not part, as you well know, of our order entry because it goes in a rolling forecast model. But the forecast we are seeing is very strong also for that part of the business.
So I really see Make-up and Hair & Body picking up the fastest. Skincare, I think, is going to be more of a second-semester game. In terms of the orders versus new initiatives, we see more new initiatives than reorders at the moment. You know that in general, we are about 70-30. Reorder, 70%, and new initiatives, 30%. We are now at 65-35, which I always take it as a good sign for the time being for the simple reason that with beauty market and so, and consumption increasing progressively in the course of the year, we will see -- we should see progressively reorders being up as well.
And also second point is, obviously, whenever we see a lot of new initiatives, that is a good sign for the year but also for the years to come. So I'm always very happy when I see orders being led by new projects.
I think I've answered to your first question. Second question is the CFO change. Yes, that is, unfortunately, we are again back to square one, not something we are happy about. I can obviously not disclose the reasons because they are mainly personal. So I don't think it's appropriate for me to speak about that. The only thing I can say is that we have a very strong team under the CFO. Our team is very well structured. So I don't see -- I'm not -- I'm sleeping well at night despite this -- again, this change in the role. That's all I can say about it.
The next question is from Molly Wylenzek of Jefferies.
I'm hearing the Intercos results this evening. I just want to take a step back and bigger picture on the acceleration, particularly that we're seeing in Make-up. A lot of the brands that are ordering from you started to talk about massive pushes on innovation nearly 2 years ago. Is this just a sort of a delayed proof of that happening? And why has it taken so long? Or do you think it's another reason?
Molly, nice to see you back. Well, in general, as you know, because I've said it several times, brands tend to accelerate on innovation when the market conditions get tougher. So last year, everybody got very much into it, I would say, in the past 18 months, everybody got more active into new projects. The lead times, though, from the moment you start working on a new project to the moment it gets to market remains, especially for multinationals rather long. So it's -- you're talking 18 months on average, then there are initiatives that are a bit faster than that, but there are also that are longer than that. So it's -- I would say, it's quite a normal lag that is leading to the situation we are seeing today. I don't see anything unusual in that front.
Asia is faster usually. We've seen a lot of growth coming from the local Chinese brands, very much led by almost a frenetic, frantic attention and activity in terms of innovation. We are now in a phase where Western brands and Prestige is regaining a bit of weight. You're certainly seeing that in L'Oréal and Lauder as well, and that is what we are seeing in the market. So I expect that there will be new waves of innovation coming also from the Chinese brands. Obviously, we need to see what happens mid-June with the 618 event to see how bold are they going to be or not. So we'll see. But nothing unusual in terms of initiatives, lead times, I would say.
The next question is from Tilly Eno of Morgan Stanley.
My first question, I think you may have sort of already answered given you said the orders are skewing towards new orders. But just on your comment in terms of multinationals and Make-up with a recent sharp increase in order intake, is that a very recent comment, perhaps to ensure supply security, or is that -- as you said, over the last 6 months, you've just been seeing that improvement in pickup.
And then just my second question on Hair & Body. You mentioned some new innovative products doing very well at Cosmoprof. At the time of full year results, you were saying that division was probably flat or maybe slightly up on the full year. Have your expectations for that division actually improved since then, would you say?
Okay. Thank you, Tilly, for your questions. First of all, no. Honestly, I don't think we are seeing any orders intake increase, which is related to supply security, not seen that happening. I'm obviously talking on a broader scale. You may have one that is building up a bit of inventory to be safer for the months to come. But generally speaking, this is not a trend we've seen. Otherwise, I would have given you different percentages in terms of order intake, you would have seen higher reorders and lower new initiatives in percentages than what we're seeing.
I think that what you're seeing is the, let's say, the funnel of innovation started by multinationals taking longer to get to fruition, gives a peak in new initiatives for multinationals coming now.
So in reality, I think that going forward, we could expect a pickup in reorders that in general, because of consumption going up. For the time being, I don't think that we are yet in a position where you need to build inventories to build safety in your supply chain. I mean, the situation is too volatile for the time being. There is still a good chunk of expectation that this will not last for too long. The messages from the suppliers in terms of supply, it's quite reassuring. So there isn't a race to build up, there is no forecast of scarcity for the time being. So I don't think that the majority of clients are reacting to any of that for the time being.
Hair & Body, well, Hair & Body results are going to be influenced mostly from contract manufacturing. So we are super happy about the award we won in Hair Care at Cosmoprof, more than for the numbers it generates in the short term because it's a sign that we are learning. Our R&D is learning, and we are doing well in terms of innovation process. So that is a good sign for the future and for the direction we have taken with our innovation teams. It will still be quite marginal, the innovation part in Hair & Body is going to be maximum 10% so far, I would say. So the contract manufacturing still has the lion's share of that division. Fragrance is an important chunk of it, and the forecast that we're seeing from different clients in fragrances being very robust for the rest of the year. And as you've certainly seen, and you've seen L'Oréal talking about that and the other players and Puig about that.
Fragrance market continues to do well. So forecast in terms of products, demand remains solid. So I'm pretty confident that we will do better than what I -- that I had anticipated at the beginning of the year in Hair & Body, I think that we could be in the region of mid-single digit going forward.
The next question is from Francesco Brilli of Intermonte.
A couple of questions from my side. The first one is on the U.S. market. If you can provide us some additional color on the current behavior of brands and retailers in terms of innovation launches, replenishment activities and the situation of inventory there. And if you think the current environment can accelerate in the next quarter? And I was wondering the -- following up on the -- what you mentioned that you can serve local for local, if this can be a factor that could accelerate in the coming quarters, the M&A scouting there?
The second one is on margin progression this year. I mean, we appreciate that you have under-absorption in first quarter, but should we expect margins to progressively normalize already from second quarter? Or is it more skewed to the second half of the year?
And the last one, if I may, if you can provide some color on the cash generation you have in mind for the full year for this year.
Sorry, I'm noting down. Otherwise, I forget that. I'm an old guy. I'm sorry. I don't want to forget any of the questions you're making. So U.S. market, in general, we are seeing U.S. market progressively improving. As you know, we have gone through 18 months more or less of a quite soft market. It's not booming yet or actually is doing very well in terms of retail sales but because there is a quite important pricing component, which I think is the direct consequence of the tariffs. So from a volume standpoint, we are seeing growth that is in the region of 3% growth for the market, which is good, it's way better than what it was a year ago. So I don't see a situation where brands are having a high level of inventory.
I think that what retailers will do is what they always do, which is they keep a coverage in weeks terms. So the higher the consumption they see, the higher the stock they will build because they will want to keep their 4 weeks, 5 weeks, 6 weeks of stock depending on the retailer and depending on the category and the brand. So I do not see -- actually, I see progressive benefit from the end demand we are seeing at the moment. Brands are active in terms of innovation. They've been active all along 2025, not visible to you, not visible to the market because they were working on that with us and not only with us, unfortunately. They are coming to market now.
So when you hear L'Oréal or Lauder talking about very strong innovations coming in now is because they started, as I said, 18 months ago on average. So the activity is going to be -- to the benefit of the whole category, usually a high innovation pace, it's instrumental to boost the consumption in the market because, again, it's an impulse-driven category, so new things means more people attention -- paying attention to these new products, more movement in terms of end consumption. So all this is going in the right direction going forward.
M&A, yes, the local for local in Skincare is very important. We spoke about that last year. This year, we are confirming that. It's very important. We keep on being very close to the market and to the different opportunities that are there. Unfortunately, the results, globally speaking, for the potential targets in 2025, especially those that are private equity owned were not in line with the expectations they had. So they are taking longer to get to an exit.
We keep monitoring. We keep staying very close we keep chasing certain targets that are not on the market. We'll see. Again, I will repeat myself, I'm sorry for that. I think that the -- my anxiety is related to the multiples, that, as you know, in U.S. are way higher than the ones we are seeing for listed companies in Europe. So I hope that when we will get to work on something tangible, there won't be too much of a gap between our multiple and the one of the targets we're looking at. So we'll see. We -- the one thing I can grant to you is that we are very on this -- very much on this, then it happens or not, I don't know. It's not only on us, as you well know.
Margin progression, okay, margin progression for the rest of the year. Well, as I said, in Q1, there's nothing worrying in terms of marginality. There is only a mathematical consequence of a lower volume, lower net sales and therefore, absorption of fixed cost that has had the 66 basis points impact on marginality. Since we are expecting, as you can easily do the math on a much better top line in the quarters to come, you will see a much better absorption of fixed cost going forward. So yes, I do expect margins to go up in the remainder of the year. Aside from the fact that Q1 is always the lowest in every single year from a seasonality standpoint, it's the lower sales and the lower EBITDA of the year. But also in terms of year-on-year improvement, we will see a benefit going forward from a much richer top line. Cash generation, I'll leave it to my expert on the left side of my...
Francesco, we don't guide on the net debt. But all in all, if you look at the consensus, there is a net debt, which is pretty much stable compared to the 31st December 2025, which is a number that makes sense in our view, and that includes, of course, dividend distribution for EUR 19 million and approximately EUR 30 million of buyback that we want to close by the end of this year.
The next question is from Paola Carboni of Equita.
I have a few questions. The first one is a bit of a high-level question about your top line growth. So just to understand how do you look at the current phase of reacceleration, especially in Make-up to understand whether -- I mean what kind of, let's say, sustainable growth base is behind that? And to what extent is, let's say, revival of innovation, which is the consequence of the last few years, very difficult for the sector? I don't know if it's something we can discuss at the moment.
Second point is still about profitability. Just if you can recap with us the several moving parts, especially in terms of mix. So you mentioned good prestige component in your order backlog. I wanted to be sure whether I got it right. But also if you comment -- if you can comment still about the order backlog in terms of how we should look at the packaging component incidents going forward? And to what extent, let's say, what you are seeing with a better top line overall, but also possibly greater contribution of Hair & Body and in terms of efficiencies, if you are possibly delivering more than you expect. So without the guidance but still compared to your initial ambitions for the year. What are you seeing at this point?
Sure. Paola, thanks for your questions. First of all, innovation, I think there is a mix of elements in terms of innovation. Number one is certainly the need of brands in a difficult market conditions to grab consumers' attention with new products, new ideas and all that. That is a process that started, as I said, months back coming to market now, but it's something that we are still seeing. So a lot of activity going on as we speak. So I think that, that will be sustainable. And then maybe not always visible in percentages term because then they will generate reorders and all that. So one is structural. The second is an extra add-on to that, which is related to reformulations that are linked to either regulatory needs or public opinion requirements.
Let me try to explain that. Let me do it in a simple way. Talc, as you know, talc has become like poison for everybody. So there are a number of important brands, important companies, especially for U.S. that are running away from powders with talc, and this generates a lot of innovation to relaunch brands and products without talc. So this comes on top of what a brand would normally do to gain market share. It's more of a defensive move that they're trying to play at their advantage by selling it as a total relaunch of product lines so there are these 2 factors that are coming into play.
The second one will likely come to end, but this will take a while because it's not only talc, there are a number of moving parts, silicones, microplastics. There is a lot going on. I always said that this is a devil but also an angel for us because it brings a lot of complexity, but it puts under the spotlight, our superiority in innovation because we -- it's difficult to formulate well without these ingredients and it's difficult for the smaller competitors to be good at that. So it gives us a competitive advantage that I think is sustainable. So I think there is a big chunk of this innovation spring that is sustainable.
There is another part, which is, let's say, more short term. But when I say short term, it's not your short term, is at least a couple of years. I know that whenever I say short term to you, you take the quarter. I take 2 years. So that is probably going to calm down in 3, 4 years' time. I hope I've answered your questions. Can you confirm?
Yes. The first one, yes, absolutely. And then the second one was...
I know, that's why I wrote it down. I just wanted to make sure that I understood well your first question. Second question was about the profitability, the mix and all that. So what we see in our order book is, as I said, a very rich order book that is especially rich in Make-up. So we expect Make-up to be strong. This usually is a good mix. We also see Prestige being better than mass market. And this is also usually a good sign in terms of mix for marginality.
Then on the other side, I think that quarter 1 of this year saw the lowest level of PAC as part of our top line. We said that we were expecting 2026 on average to be in line with 2025 in terms of PAC percentage on total sales. This means that in the following quarters, we will see a little bit of rebalancing of what we've seen in quarter 1. Nothing dramatic, but a little bit of rebalancing, we will see.
Also because, as I said, we're seeing Hair & Body and especially Fragrances forecast being strong for the remainder of the year, and that will bring a little bit more of packaging components into it. So sorry, in terms of mix on the other side, what I just said of Hair & Body being a bit stronger will be a bit of an offsetting element versus what I just said about Make-up. All in all, I don't expect mix to be a factor. We expect after the very strong gains of last year to have more of a stability of marginality in the course of 2026 which is basically what we told you when we closed 2025.
And what about your efficiencies? If you can comment on that. I mean...
Yes. No, the projects on efficiencies are going well. Everything is tracking exactly in line with what we were expecting. Obviously, we are at the very beginning of the year. So we need to make sure that when the ramp-up of volumes will happen, we will be cashing in exactly what we are targeting. We have no negative signs so far, but we are not seeing either further benefits on top of what we had budgeted for. So all in all, we are tracking well, and we will see in the coming quarters if this gets confirmed. No flags at the moment.
[Operator Instructions] Mr. Semerari, there are no more questions registered at this time.
Thank you very much. Thank you, everybody. Thank you. Bye.
Thank you.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining. The conference is now over. You may disconnect your telephones.
Intercos — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Intercos — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Q1 weighed by currency, packaging decline and seasonality, but a strong order book and innovation pipeline support management's 5–6% revenue target for 2026.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Sales: Net sales down 6% at constant rates versus Q1 2025 (high comparison base).
- Adj. EBITDA: Adjusted EBITDA margin 11% (-66 basis points year‑on‑year; EBITDA = earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization).
- Cash: Net cash inflow EUR 7m in Q1 despite EUR 25m buyback and EUR 19m dividends paid.
- Order Intake: Order entry grew double‑digit over the past six months; order book described as "strongest ever" for EMEA.
- Segments: Make‑up resilient (-5%), Skincare weak (-17%), Hair & Body down (-16%), fragrances noted as set to rebound.
🎯 What Management Says
- Demand drivers: Management cites a rebound led by make‑up and new launches, with Prestige and emerging brands improving order flows.
- Innovation focus: New collection presented at Cosmoprof received strong client interest; won a Hair Care innovation award, supporting medium‑term growth.
- Cost handling: Logistics surcharges are being passed to clients monthly to neutralize rising transport costs; energy locked for 2026 so limited 2026 impact unless crisis persists into 2027.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Revenue guide: Confirmed full‑year net revenue growth target of about +5–6% versus FY2025.
- Market view: Company expects beauty market growth ~4–5% in 2026; Intercos expects to outperform.
- Risks: Currency headwinds, packaging mix headwind, and potential prolonged Middle East/energy disruption could pressure costs and timing.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Margins: Management reiterated no formal EBITDA guidance but expects volume leverage to drive ~50 bps improvement if conditions normalize; Q1 margin hit by fixed‑cost under‑absorption.
- Order mix: Orders skewing toward new projects (approx. 65% reorders / 35% new vs. a typical 70/30), signalling innovation‑led growth and future reorders.
- Other points: CFO departure described as personal; company declined to disclose reasons and did not provide net‑debt guidance beyond consensus expectations.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Investment view: Q1 softness reflects FX, packaging and seasonality but strong cash generation, a thick order book and validated innovation give credibility to management's mid‑single‑digit revenue target and expect margin recovery as volumes ramp; key risks remain FX and prolonged energy disruption.
Intercos — 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Intercos Group Full Year 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. As a reminder, all participants are in listen-only mode. [Operator Instructions]
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Renato Semerari, Chief Executive Officer of Intercos Group. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you very much. Good afternoon, everyone. Thanks for attending our fiscal year '25 earnings call. In a year, once more marked by severe geopolitical tensions, which have created significant uncertainties and a visible softness in global beauty consumption, Intercos has decided to focus its efforts on the recovery of the profitability loss during the last 3 years of strong top line growth. This called for an overall reduction of sales with packaging component and the focalization on the BUs centered around innovation. I'm glad to note that our efforts were successful and paid the expected dividends. However, top line was further hampered by currencies headwinds on top of the overall market softness.
Let's see an overview of our results. Top line ended the year at EUR 1.047 billion, overall flat at constant rates and slightly down at current rates. To note, the value-added sales, which I remind you are net sales minus packaging expenses grew by 1.5% at constant rates, reflecting the mentioned reduction in pack sales. Gross profit conversely increased by 151 basis points, thanks to better mix and productivity gains as well as procurement efficiencies. Adjusted EBITDA grew by plus 9% to EUR 156 million, with margin at 14.9% and 143 basis points over last year. EBITDA on value-added sales reached 19.2%, marking a plus 165 basis points of gain over a year ago. Adjusted net income was also up and net debt improved this ratio on EBITDA at 0.64x EBITDA with a cash conversion rate of 47%. This in a year of high CapEx expenditure due to plants expansion plans and shares buyback program. We will propose to the assembly of shareholders a dividend distribution of EUR 19 million, in line with our dividend distribution policy.
Moving to see the key components of our performance versus a year ago at top and bottom line level. I will start from the top line. So last year, we closed fiscal '24 at EUR 1.065 billion. From this level, we had a negative 2% drop due to currencies. Another 1% drop was linked to lower pack sales and this was more than offset by the value-added sales gains leading up to the EUR 1.047 billion, I mentioned earlier. On EBITDA, we started from EUR 143 million last year. We had a EUR 2.5 million negative impact from currencies and then margin improvement brought EUR 13 million more and another EUR 2 million came from higher sales at constant rates.
So relooking at our key numbers, top line was at plus 0.3% at constant foreign exchange and minus 1.7% at current rates. Value-added sales were up 1.5% at constant rates and minus 0.5% at current rates. EBITDA grew by 8.8% with 14.9% margin, up 143 basis points. As said before, EBITDA margin on value-added sales at 19.2% was our best-ever results and 165 basis points gain versus year ago. Net income at 5.5% of sales was up 20 basis points versus a year ago and net debt was up by only EUR 3 million despite EUR 4 million of CapEx more than a year ago, EUR 13 million of shares bought back and EUR 19 million of dividends.
We go to these results through Q4, which was difficult from a top line standpoint due to the high base of 2024 when we grew in quarter 4 by plus 15%. The peak of currency headwinds in the quarter, pack sales contraction and low reorders, reflecting the long-lasting market softness we had experienced throughout the year.
Looking at top line results in more details and starting -- looking at the results by business units, Make-up closed the fiscal with a plus 6% growth at current rates despite a slightly negative Q4. Growth was well above the market trend thus allowing us to consolidate our global leadership in the category. All regions posted growth with Asia and EMEA, particularly strong. Multinationals were the key engine of growth, particularly thanks to Prestige brands.
Skincare conversely marked a mid-single-digit decline after 2 years of strong growth. I remind you that the CAGR of the 3 years was a plus 13%. The unit paid a toll not only to ForEx exchange headwinds, but also to U.S. tariffs that made us suffer in U.S. In fact, we posted growth in both Asia and EMEA, but decline in U.S. was more than offsetting those gains. And this is due to the fact that we lack local manufacturing for Skincare, as you certainly know.
Hair & Body registered a double-digit decline following 2 exceptional years, which had a CAGR of 30% and the results were impacted by the lower sales with packaging, but more than anything else, the far less important fragrance launches of 2025 versus 2024. Q4 was particularly difficult since last year we had registered a plus 40% growth in the quarter. In terms of sales weight, we saw a shift of 4 percentage points from Hair & Body to Make-up, which obviously helped the mix and helped the profitability of the company.
Looking at the geographical trends, Asia confirmed its role of growth engine of the group posting a plus 6% despite very negative currency effects in both China and Korea. Both countries delivered high single-digit growth at constant rates after years of double-digit results. Make-up and Skincare were both growing with Make-up at a faster pace. Also, Q4 was positive at constant rates. As for America, America was overall flat at current rates, but positive at constant rates. FX impacted was particularly heavy on Q4. The region performance traced to strong Make-up results offset by Skincare, as already mentioned. EMEA overall results were instead impacted by Hair & Body decline. The growth registered by Make-up and Skincare could not completely offset the Hair & Body decline, especially in quarter 4.
Looking at the results by client clusters. After years of growth led by emerging brands, 2025 saw the comeback of multinationals getting back to a bit less than 50% of our total sales. So multinationals posted a double-digit growth at constant rates or plus 9% at current rates with both Make-up and Skincare on a growing trend, although the growth was more pronounced in Make-up. All regions were up for this cluster of clients with Q4 broadly flat. Emerging brands posted a double-digit decline after several years of accelerated growth. Performance was still positive in Asia, but the cluster paid a heavy toll from the Hair & Body in EMEA. As for retailers that represent a limited weight on our total sales, we saw a comeback to a low single-digit growth, mainly thanks to European retailers.
I now pass the stage to Paola, our CFO, to go deeper into the financial results.
Thank you, Renato. Good evening, everybody. Let me walk you through our fiscal year '25 results. As mentioned, in 2025, net sales reached EUR 1.047 billion. On a constant currency basis, sales were slightly up by 0.3%, while on a reported basis, they declined by 1.7%, mainly due to the significant appreciation of the euro against the U.S. dollar, the Chinese Renminbi and the Korean won. More importantly, we materially improved the quality of our revenues. The higher mix of Prestige and free-issue sales resulted in lower reported revenues, but significantly stronger profitability.
Gross margin increased to 21%, up plus 151 basis points versus last year. Adjusted EBITDA reached EUR 156 million up plus 8.8% year-on-year or plus EUR 12.6 million. EBITDA margin improved to 14.9% of net sales, up plus 143 basis points. On value-added sales, EBITDA reached 19.2%, up 165 basis points, fully recovering the lower profitability reported in the past 3 years. This margin recovery was not driven by cost cutting, but by structural improvements in gross margin, better sales mix, operational efficiency and sourcing initiatives.
Adjusted net income amounted to EUR 57.4 million, growing 1.3% versus the previous year. The EBITDA improvement was partially offset by higher depreciation and higher financial expenses, largely driven by the exchange rate impact, both realized and unrealized, already visible in H1 of 2025. The effective tax rate improved to below 32% versus last year. And finally, net debt stood at EUR 100.5 million, broadly in line with last year despite EUR 19 million in dividends and EUR 13.1 million in share buyback program. This thanks to a strong cash generation capability.
Financial leverage further decreased to 0.64x net debt to adjusted EBITDA from 0.68 in the previous year, confirming the strength of our balance sheet. Overall, 2025 demonstrates a clear structural improvement in profitability and financial discipline, at the same time, consolidating the strong increase in sales reported over the last years.
Moving to the profitability by business unit. Make-up delivered outstanding performance. Adjusted EBITDA increased from EUR 83 million to EUR 107 million, up 29%. The EBITDA margin expanded by 293 basis points to 16.3%. Growth was consistent across all quarters with second half margins reaching 18%. This reflects operational efficiencies, stronger Prestige mix and lower share of full service sales. Skincare also improved profitability. Adjusted EBITDA increased to EUR 27 million, up 7% year-on-year, with EBITDA margin reaching 16.8%. The improvement was driven by Prestige customers in EMEA and Asia. Hair & Body, as anticipated, experienced a decline. EBITDA decreased to EUR 21.9 million down EUR 13 million year-on-year, reflecting lower revenues and reduced the fixed cost absorption after an exceptionally strong 2024.
Consequently, at group level, adjusted EBITDA increased to EUR 156 million, with margin expansion across Make-up and Skincare more than offsetting the Hair & Body normalization. This confirms that our core business Make-up is structurally strengthening its profitability profile.
Moving now to cash flow and balance sheet. Operating cash flow reached EUR 73.5 million, up EUR 16.4 million versus last year, which represents a strong increase. The improvement was driven by higher EBITDA by EUR 12.6 million and by a very effective trade working capital management following the evolution of the sales. The above results includes a CapEx increase to nearly EUR 75 million representing now 7.2% of our sales and EUR 4 million higher CapEx versus previous year, reflecting the group's expansion projects, particularly in Asia. Cash flow before dividends and buyback was positive at EUR 29.4 million, significantly up year-on-year plus 43%.
The group managed to absorb EUR 32.1 million of shareholder remuneration in the share buyback program while keeping net debt broadly stable versus the previous year at EUR 100.5 million. Leverage ratio further improved to 0.64x net debt to EBITDA, excluding IFRS 16, net debt stands at EUR 62.2 million. Cash conversion reached 47% after CapEx and approximately 95% before CapEx, confirming the strong cash generation capability of the business. I would like to also highlight the ROIC improvement to 14.3% from 13.3% last year.
Overall, we combined profitability growth, strategic investments and shareholder remuneration, while maintaining a very solid financial structure in a difficult market environment. Back now to our CEO, Renato Semerari.
Thank you, Paola. So looking forward now, we entered the year with confidence about the beauty come back to its historical growth base. Our view was comforted by the good results of Q4 in China and some early signs of recovery in U.S. Also, in November, December, we registered our new record of orders intake signaling that consumption and reorders are picking up again. We hope that last weekend news won't put new clouds on the overall economy and on beauty, but we are quite confident about the year 2026.
As far as Intercos is concerned, after a year focused on profitability recovery, we entered 2026, determined to get back to a more solid growth pace despite currency headwinds. Leveraging our innovation superiority. We want to keep consolidating our leadership in Make-up and get back to growth on Skincare. We expect growth to be skewed to the second part of the year, starting quarter 2, 2026.
So in terms of outlook for the year, we expect a growth of about plus 5%, plus 6% despite the currency headwinds.
I think that with this, we have closed our remarks and we are ready to get your questions. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Andrei Condrea of UBS.
2. Question Answer
[Foreign Language] Two for me, please. So obviously, on 2026 sales, you're guiding for an increase of 5% to 6% in reported terms, but in constant FX, how much do you expect that growth to be? And you've mentioned that you want Skincare to return to growth. What about the other categories? How do you see them accelerating through the year? And tied to that, you expect growth to be weighted towards the second half as well as Q2. For Q1, does that mean that it will likely be flat, maybe slightly positive?
And my second question on EBITDA, I've noticed you've not guided on it. But just in terms of moving parts, you're not going to see as big of a benefit from lower full-service sales. We've got efficiencies still coming through the business. Is it fair to assume your margin will be at least flat? [Foreign Language]
Thank you, Andrei. Yes, 2026 guidance we're giving is around 5%, 6% growth. That would mean at constant rates will be in the range of 7% -- so it's about 1 point something to translate in constant rates. Obviously, we'll need to see because there's moving parts. But when we look at our forecast and looking at the bank forecast, this should be the gap between current and constant rates.
In terms of growth, I told that we want to come back to growth in Skincare. But I also said that we want to consolidate our leadership in Make-up. So we want to have growth also in Make-up, and we want to have it above the market, which will likely be in the region of plus 4% if things go as we expect. We believe Hair & Body will be more or less in line with this year, maybe some slight improvements, but it won't be the major driver of growth also for 2026. We expect Q1 to be certainly softer than the other quarters. We had the peak of order intake, which marked a bit of change of direction in terms of reorders.
Something I didn't mention during my remarks is the fact that in 2025, our sales of new projects was positive. We suffered more in terms of reorders. So the fact that we peaked in terms of order intake at the very end of the fiscal '25 means that we will have an impact starting Q2 of 2026.
As you said, and that's the last point, I think you touched upon in terms of marginality for 2026, yes, we expect it to be slightly improving, but it's not certainly going to be anything like this year, which, to be honest, we did better than we had expected at the beginning. So we think that we will consolidate our marginality of this year and get back to growth in top line. I hope I've answered all your questions.
The next question is from Aron Adamski of Goldman Sachs.
Renato, Paola, Andrea. I have 2. First, on inventories. What is your assessment of the current inventory levels at the customer level? And do you expect to see any destocking through the year? And if that is the case, which categories could be more impacted by that? My second question is on your balance sheet, which gives you a decent amount of capital allocation and flexibility. Could you update us on your current M&A priorities by geography and maybe category? And if you could, what is the current M&A landscape out there right now? And maybe just a third last small question, what level of finance costs and tax rate do you forecast for 2026?
Thank you very much, Aron. Inventory of our customers. Well, that is -- as you well know, it's a moving target in the sense that if consumption goes up, then they will need to go up as well in their inventory because everybody measures it in terms of weeks on end. We don't think there is a phenomenon of high stocks at the moment. We're coming out of I would say, at least 18 months of softer than usual market. So I think that everybody has adjusted its inventory to the current situation. So I'm rather expecting help from that element in the second half of the year. If consumption, as I expect, comes up in the coming months, then they should adjust upwards their inventory policy.
So I don't expect negatives from that standpoint, I rather expect some good news in the second half of the year. Second question is related to our capability, possibility to do M&A, given our solid financial situation. Well, I've said it more than once, our #1 objective in terms of M&A is Skincare in U.S. and even more Skincare with an OTC, so SPF focus. We suffered this year in U.S. in Skincare. Otherwise, we would have been positive also in Skincare in 2025. Because not having a manufacturing site for Skincare in the U.S., the tariff game made us be not competitive or not competitive enough to serve U.S. customers out of Europe or Asia. So that remains our #1 objective.
We are proactively scouting, see if -- we have a list of -- a very precise list actually of targets, we would like to study and possibly acquire. Unfortunately, for the moment, it doesn't look there are many sellers, to be honest, because most of those who were bought by private equity are willing to wait a bit longer to get the results that we're expecting with their exit. Everybody is paying a little bit the softness of the market. So the results are not up to what the expectations were. And therefore, they are holding their shares for a bit longer. I hope again that in the second semester of the year, there will be new openings, and we will be certainly very active on that front. For the tax rate, I will past to -- I don't like paying taxes in general, but I know that we have to. So I pass it to Paola and Andrea.
As we said, we closed the year 2025 slightly below 32% at 31.9%. So the plan for next is to stay definitely below that. So most likely further improvement. So I would say around 31%, something like this.
I hope we've answered your questions, Aron.
Yes. That's very clear. And can I just ask a very quick follow-up on guidance. On the first question, can you give us a sense of what sort of beauty market growth rate underpins your sales forecast? Because it sounds to be a little bit above what we are hearing compared to what the current beauty market run rate is right now. So I was just trying to bridge some of that very strong growth versus where we are seeing beauty markets right now.
And you're right, Aron. The -- we are willing to grow faster than the market. The market will likely be around 4%. We want to grow a bit higher than the market and especially on the innovation-focused categories, we want to be ahead of market. So that's why our guidance is higher than what you have in terms of outlook for the market.
The next question is from Tom Randall of Jefferies.
I've just got one, if that's okay, and it's on the Make-up kind of recovery that we're seeing. So you mentioned it's Make-up outperforming within your portfolio. Are we seeing kind of a step-up in innovation and the cadence of innovation and launches from your clients? And is that skewing towards Prestige kind of innovation briefs?
Tom, thanks for your question. Well, you're right. I mean -- and it's very typical whenever you have the market being softer, the brands need to rely on innovation to gain market share and sustain top line. Let's always remember this is a market where brands enjoy, I would say, a healthy over 70% gross margin. So pushing top line is, by far, the #1 priority for brands. So whenever the market is lower, actually, the more the market is soft, the more brands look for innovation to sustain sales. And this is true across the board. It's valid for Mass but it's -- and for Prestige.
For what Intercos is concerned, Prestige has been the hero for us in 2025. We expect and we want it to be the case also for 2026. This is our nature. We tend to sell innovative products that are first and foremost, appealing to Prestige brands, while usually Mass brands tend to rely on what has been successful in Prestige before launching and going ahead. So in Make-up, we have always been slightly skewed to prestige. And this year, it's not a let's say, an exception to this. To the contrary, this year, we grew much better in Prestige than in Mass. Did I answer your question, Tom?
That's very helpful.
[Operator Instructions] Gentlemen, there are no more questions registered at this time.
Thank you very much. Thank you.
Thank you. Bye.
Bye-bye.
Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for joining. The conference is now over. You may disconnect your telephones. Thank you.
Intercos — 2025 Earnings Call
Intercos improved margins and cash generation while reported sales were flat; guiding to ~5–6% revenue growth in 2026 with risks from FX and tariffs.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: EUR 1.047bn (‑1.7% reported, +0.3% at constant currency)
- Value-added sales: +1.5% at constant rates (value-added = net sales minus packaging costs)
- Adjusted EBITDA: EUR 156m (+8.8% YoY)
- EBITDA margin: 14.9% (+143 basis points); on value-added sales 19.2% (+165 bps)
- Net debt: EUR 100.5m, leverage 0.64x net debt/EBITDA; cash conversion 47% after CapEx
🎯 What Management Says
- Profitability focus: deliberately reduced low-margin packaging sales and prioritized innovation-led business units to restore margins lost during prior top-line expansion
- Portfolio strategy: consolidate leadership in Make‑up, recover Skincare growth, and allocate CapEx to plant expansions (notably in Asia)
- M&A priority: target U.S. Skincare assets—ideally with manufacturing/OTC SPF—to remove tariff disadvantage; active scouting but few sellers currently
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Revenue guidance: +5–6% reported for 2026; management estimates roughly +7% at constant currency and expects growth skewed to H2 (Q2 start)
- Margins & risks: expect slight margin improvement but not a repeat of FY25’s step-change; main risks are currency headwinds, geopolitical uncertainty and U.S. tariffs affecting Skincare
❓ Analyst Q&A
- FX translation: management said the reported vs constant gap is ~1 percentage point, implying guidance ~+7% at constant rates
- Margin trajectory: margins should be stable to slightly up in 2026; FY25 outperformance unlikely to recur
- Inventory & M&A: no material customer destocking seen; management expects possible restocking if consumption recovers and remains actively pursuing U.S. skincare targets though deal flow is limited
⚡ Bottom Line
- Takeaway: Intercos traded modest reported revenue pressure for a meaningful structural margin recovery and stronger cash flow; the plan is cautious growth in 2026, targeted M&A to fix U.S. Skincare exposure, but FX and tariffs remain key downside risks for investors.
Intercos — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good evening. This is the Chorus Call conference operator. Welcome, and thank you for joining the Intercos 9 Months 2025 Financial Results Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
At this time, I would like to turn the conference over to Mr. Renato Semerari, CEO of Intercos. Please go ahead, sir.
Thank you very much. Good evening, everybody, and thanks for joining our call. In a global market that has continued to display softer-than-normal trends, especially in volume terms and especially in the U.S. market, Intercos kept focusing on restoring profitability after 3 years of exceptional top line expansion with a CAGR of plus 16.5%, but with a margin dilution that was apparent in these 3 years.
This focus, if you move to my second slide, brought Intercos to achieve a 12% EBITDA growth in fiscal '25 year-to-date, resulting in a 143 basis points margin improvement. The macro blocks that led us to these results are a slightly positive volume component, a significant profitability improvement mainly due to productivity gains and a deliberate rebalancing of our sales mix that we will discuss in more details later.
And third, a negative ForEx exchange impact. All in all, we closed the 9 months with EUR 116 million and a 14.7% EBITDA margin.
Looking at results in a bit more details, in the year-to-date, sales were up by plus 2.9% at constant rates, thanks to the strong performance of our core color business, which was up 9%. Overall stability of Skincare and a market decline on the other hand of contract manufacturing and, therefore, our Hair & Body business unit.
Adjusted EBITDA growing double digit, as we just said, with all quarters of the year up substantially, thanks to a better BU mix. So with Make-up now over again the 60% bar and Hair & Body down, a lower weight of pack in sales, and this is a very important component, especially in the third quarter, a better mix within the BUs with Prestige growing faster than mass and productivity gains across the board.
Net debt, the leverage was stable versus last year at 0.86x EBITDA with an absolute value increase mainly driven by CapEx linked to our plant expansion plan, dividends and the share buyback program that we announced a few months back. In the third quarter of this year, sales were down by 2.7% at constant rates, mainly, if not exclusively tracing by decline of pack components of our top line, which, as I said earlier, was a deliberate choice and direction we took at the beginning of the year.
The EBITDA, despite the top line decline, was up 5.4% with an acceleration of the margin expansion at plus 161 basis points to 15.9% margin. This is our third quarter in a row of marked margin expansion.
Moving up the details of the sales component and starting with the view by business unit, Make-up is our best-performing business unit in the year with a plus 9% growth and over 60% of our sales. Multinationals are the key growth driver, both in Asia and in Europe. Prestige performing better than mass. In the third quarter, sales drop was essentially driven by foreign exchange and pack with also to keep in mind that last year base was pretty high since we grew 15% in the third quarter of last year.
Skincare in the year-to-date still shows a slight decline of minus 3%, all driven by the first quarter results. Asia and EMEA are both growing, while U.S. is suffering, also driven by tariff affecting particularly Switzerland, which, as you know, is affected by a 39% duty in coming to U.S. In the third quarter, we had a slight positive result, plus 2% despite the last base we had last year at plus 12%.
Hair & Body in the year-to-date shows a double-digit decline, mostly driven by fragrance and mostly driven again by the packaging component and a high base of last year. As you know, we had a very, very high growth across 2024.
Now looking at the picture by region, overall, the year-to-date shows and points to Asia as our key growth driver, plus 9% in 2025, while EMEA and U.S. are quite stable. Looking region by region, Europe a very consistent trend, pointing at stability, both in year-to-date and third quarter are at minus 1%. This is made up by Make-up and Skincare growing, but offset by the Hair & Body performance, which, as you know, is -- has a quite high impact on this region. Multinationals and especially the Prestige brands of multinationals are the best performers, both in the year-to-date and in the quarter.
Americas, a slight positive in the year-to-date, plus 1% despite the double-digit decline of the third quarter. Make-up is growing with Skincare offsetting here, again, ForEx has an important impact. But the overall soft performance of the market and our clients over the first semester had obviously an impact on reorders.
As for Asia, high single-digit growth in the year despite the very high base of last year at plus 29%. Both China and Korea keep displaying strong trends in the year. In the third quarter, which was highly impacted by negative currency trends, we recorded a slight decline on a high base of last year, which was 30% up in the quarter. And this was driven by a softer trend in Korea, while China kept growing at high single-digit rates.
Moving to the cluster of clients. 2025 is characterized by a consolidation of the emerging brands, mostly due to the performance of Hair & Body.
Multinationals in the year-to-date are growing at double-digit pace and regaining 50% weight on our total sales. Make-up is obviously the main driver of this comeback with strong results in all regions. Prestige was clearly the best performer. And also in third quarter, multinationals displayed growth.
Emerging brands, as said, saw a consolidation, which was mainly driven by Hair & Body and affected both in EMEA, especially EMEA, but also U.S. Asia saw conversely steady growth in both Make-up and Skincare for this cluster of clients. As for retailers, in the year-to-date, retailers displayed high single-digit growth after a difficult 2024. Hair & Body was good for this group of clients, although in the third quarter, we had negative results, mainly driven by new projects seasonality.
To conclude, in a year which has confirmed an overall softness of the market and that we believe is going to get back to normalized growth rates in 2026, Intercos has decided to focus efforts in restoring the marginality level lost during the past 3 years of accelerated top line expansion. Also, the team is executing the plan that is instrumental to the group future growth, both in terms of innovation with an acceleration of blue sky innovation led by the think tank, which is a multifunctional team devoted to this kind of disruptive innovation.
Manufacturing expansion that, as you know, has seen the expansion of our Korean and Chinese plants in 2024 as well as in terms of organization design. This is probably new to you, but we have decided and implemented new reporting lines for regional R&D meant to increase the autonomy and, therefore, improve our speed in responding to the regional emerging trends. In the meantime, we confirm our confidence in matching the current fiscal year '25 EBITDA consensus.
That's all on my side. I'm available for any questions you may have.
[Operator Instructions] The first question is from Anna Frontani from Berenberg.
2. Question Answer
I have 3 questions. The first one is on sales growth. If you are comfortable with 2025 sales growth of 3% to 4% at constant FX.
Second question. You've shifted the focus from top line expansion to profitability. I wonder how sustainable are the current margin levels once volumes will recover in 2026?
And the third question is on the U.S. Because you mentioned a rebound in '26, do you have a specific timing in mind? Should we expect a rebound more in the first half or maybe in the second half?
Thank you, Anna. So no, I don't think that we will match the 3%, 4% growth in the year at constant rates. I expect that there will be stable or a slight positive at the end of the year. And this is driven by the packaging component element that I mentioned to you earlier. So we took decisions at the beginning of the year that coupled with a market that is softer than we had expected because we were expecting a second semester rebound, which didn't happen, I think is going to bring us overall in a stability kind of position in terms of top line. This is what I think or what we believe we're going to be landing for the year.
The second point, the sustainability of margins, yes, I do believe that these moves are sustainable because of all the work that is now showing in terms of productivity, because of the push that we have deliberately made towards clients and brands and initiatives that are at higher margin level. There is always some volatility that is related to the sales mix of different clients. But all in all, we have made a shift in our portfolio of clients and products that should show sustainability over time. We're basically going back to the profitability levels we had back in 2019, which we think it's a very sustainable base on which to build further improvements going forward, to be honest.
The third question is the most difficult one because no one has a crystal ball, obviously. I do personally expect that the progressive decrease of interest rates in the U.S. will have an impact on consumption. I think it will be more visible in the second half of the year than in the first half of the year, although I personally hope that we will start seeing some effects already in the second quarter. But that's my guess. So take it with a certain level of cautiousness, I would say. But this is what I would expect. U.S. now is showing a flattish market since 2 years. Usually, in the normal trend of the past, you would see that after 2 years, you should see a rebound. So we hope this is going to come. I hope I've answered all your questions.
Yes, you did. I just have a clarification on the first one to ask you. So we can expect flat sales growth for 2025, which factors in a negative FX contribution?
We're going to be landing at the same level of last year, all in all. This is what -- obviously, the currency impact, the more you go on in the year, the worst it has got. So there is a higher impact progressively. But all in all, I think we're going to end up flat versus last year in sales terms.
The next question is from Andrei Condrea of UBS.
Two from me, please. First of all, if we look towards 2026, obviously, you spoke already about the U.S. But could you share some more color as to what makes you so confident about the other regions, China, Korea and the emerging markets? And secondly, could you offer a bit more color on the changes you're making in terms of your local operations with the increased autonomy and improved innovation speed?
Thank you very much for your questions. Well, in terms of trends, China has shown quite good recovery numbers post the June '18 event, which was negative versus a year ago. In the year-to-date, China is a plus 3.9%, which isn't yet at the level we were expecting, but it's definitely better than last year.
Now the big question is what is going to happen in the double-11 event, which is the most important of the year. What we know is that the promotional sprint has started earlier than usual this year, and this helped the market to record a plus 8% growth in the last 4 weeks. But the jury is out. We obviously hope to see a good all in all double-11 season, which would signal that China is getting out of the woods and that there will be a much better 2026.
Emerging markets, they are doing well. We are doing fantastically well in India and in Brazil as well. But reality is that their impact on the total results of the company and in general of the beauty market is still quite limited. So they do not have the size altogether to make a swing on the total results yet of the company. But I'm very positive about especially India. I'm also positive about Southeast Asia, but those are still quite marginal in the global scheme.
Korea is a bit of a different story. Korea local market is not that big either. It's a very competitive market. We are seeing a very violent reaction from our competition, given the growth we've had in the past 3 years. So they are really dumping on many fronts on prices to recover a bit of the lost shares -- the shares they've lost in the recent past. Korea is more a factor of how much -- the country is going to be exporting into U.S. and Europe. We know that Korean brands are having a good development in U.S. and also partially in Europe. This is more Skincare-driven, so it's not having a big impact on us so far. But all in all, Korea, we keep being quite bullish on the growth we can have, mostly driven by the share gains we can still achieve in that country. But all in all, as you know, Asia is mostly dependent on what is going to happen in China. So that is the market everybody is looking at.
The second point is quite important. So what we have noticed is that the era of extreme globalization is over. I think that this is not a big discovery. It's visible across the board. And we had a way of working that wasn't really allowing us to be as fast as we could be in catching local trends. We've always been very good in all what is blue sky research and coming up with new technologies that then get applied across the board. We've been very good in catching some global trends and responding well and fast to those. But then there are -- and we've seen more and more local trends that are important in just one region, and we've not been fast enough to jump on those. And we have noticed it, especially in the Western world, which was more dependent from our corporate R&D, so the central teams, while, for instance, for China that we had decided to keep more autonomy in -- for the local labs. They were more reactive and faster.
So what we decided is to shift the reporting of the local R&Ds to the local CEOs so that R&D sales and marketing can be faster and more reactive or actually more proactive in responding to these local trends. So we think that this will -- coupled with all the goodies we have in terms of more fundamental innovation, which is going to be led as in the past, but this proximity of decision-making in the regions will allow us to be faster and more proactive for what local trends are concerned. So this is something that we have announced a few weeks ago, and we think it's going to give us results already starting next year. I hope I've explained it a bit better. Otherwise, if I've not been clear, please ask again.
The next question is from Francesco Brilli of Intermonte.
I've a couple of questions from my side. The first one is on 2026 guidance behind your confidence on a more normalized and rebound in volume growth and revenue growth. So do you have just the confidence on trends on different markets? Or is based also on internal activities, new launches or commitments from clients on new technologies? So you have something that make you confident on a rebound in 2026? Or it's just a projection on market trends? That's the first question.
And the second one is on the APAC normalization in third quarter. I appreciate that the ForEx impact is hitting, but it would have been up low single digit at constant FX. So we were used in the last few quarters to see a much higher growth. I was wondering if something happened there, something changes or it's just a mix of comp base and ForEx impact.
Okay. Francesco, the guidance for '26, obviously, the guidance we're going to give it at our next earnings call. We are going through the budgeting process as we speak. So at the end of it, I will have much clearer ideas. But all in all, there are 2 components. One is that we see -- we believe and based on the -- on historical data that 2026 should see a rebound of the market. And I've also seen a number of clients that are all pointing and believing in the same direction. So this is obviously very important because it impacts more or less 70% of our sales, which are reorders. So if sell-out is lacking, then this 70% suffers.
But the second is also driven by the level of interest, especially in big multinationals about the innovations we are showing to them and the level of interest on new technologies, and formulas we are showing them is pretty encouraging. This year, already, we have a weight of new products that is beyond the usual 30%. So we are already seeing more, let's say, interest in outsourcing innovation to us. And we think based on all the signals we have and the interest from clients that this is going to continue in 2026. So both are pointing in a good direction. Then how much that will materialize, we'll have clear view in a few weeks.
As for the second, which is the APAC normalization, well, I've always said that when you have very, very fast growth, there is a moment where there is consolidation. That's -- I couldn't say it's biology, but it's quite normal. This normalization is coming from ForEx exchanges that is clearly well out of our control. but it's also driven by -- in the quarter -- in the last quarter in Korea because we are coming out of years of exponential growth in Korea and we had a quarter that was softer because of clients dynamics, launches dynamics, a number of things that it's bound to happen sooner or later. What is important, it's the trajectory, which remains very positive. And for the region, all in all, I must say that I'm very happy about the results we're getting this year as well. So I do not see any alarming sign, to be honest. I hope I've answered your question, Francesco.
[Operator Instructions] The next question is from Paola Carboni of Equita.
I have a few questions. The first one is a similar question about China. So if I got it right, you mentioned high single-digit growth. So it's a progressive slowdown here, although clearly outperforming the market. But I'm just wondering here whether are you seeing again a bit of catch-up from multinationals compared to Chinese brands on that market and how this is possibly affecting your performance in the region?
Then another question is about the new organization for the R&D responsibility and so with greater local autonomy. I'm just wondering whether this might impact your profitability in any way, like, for example, a business of scale in your innovation -- economies of scale in your innovation process?
And third question, sorry, is instead on the sales mix. If you can share with us your thoughts about the possible landing point of the mix between full service and free issue because we started the year saying that it wouldn't change too much versus last year, whilst apparently, given the very strong performance of EBITDA margin we are seeing, it's probably going towards an improving trend compared to -- an improving mix compared to 2024. I'm wondering if this is correct? And where do you think we should be end of this year and possibly also next year? So to what extent are you committing on this direction even further?
Okay. Thank you for your questions, Paola. Yes, China continued growing high single digit. In reality there, you do not see the results of what's happening with multinationals versus the local brands. I remind you that in the numbers you're seeing, you're only seeing what we sell to the local clients because multinationals are tracked where the -- and are placed where the headquarter of the multinational is.
No, no, Renato, that's clear to me. It's just that because, I mean, as much as for Korea, your growth used to be much stronger last year. So I'm just wondering whether such a slowdown is possibly correlated to multinational picking up a little bit again in the region versus local brands that you are working with?
No. I mean -- thank you. I just wanted to be clear not to confuse others. Maybe I realize that sometimes it's not easy to remember that point. No, all in all, I wouldn't say so. So we see multinationals starting to do better. L'Oréal is doing reasonably well in China. Lauder, you've seen the results. They are clearly saying that they're getting a bit out of the woods and the crisis they had with the local market in China. But all in all, local brands are still doing better than international brands in total. So we do not see a rebalancing of the positions. Then you will always have one brand doing better than the other and things like that. And it will depend also a lot again on what happens with the double-11 activity and the level of promotional push that the brands will put in play.
I think that there will be a moment where the swing of market shares from international brands and Chinese brands will slow down in terms of gains for the local brands. I do not see any reverse, at least not in the short midterm. So I think that the part of the market that has been gained by the local brands will remain in the hands of these local brands for a while. Obviously, if the market picks up, that is going to benefit to the volumes of everybody in proportion to the shares they own. But I do not see -- sorry, international brands overall taking share back from local brands. Again, it's what we sense, so we might be wrong, but this is what we're getting as signals from the market. The second point, I hope I've answered your first question, Paola.
Yes, very clearly.
Thank you. The second point about the new organization of R&D. It's not going to have an impact on profitability in any material way in the sense that it's not that we are building an organization that wasn't existing, we are only shifting the decision power more regionally than centrally for, let's say, the nondisruptive innovation, which is new technologies or new things like that. So there won't be an impact of that kind. There won't be an impact in terms of critical mass that we have behind our innovation.
Again, most of our investments in innovation are in the advanced innovation, the blue sky innovation, which is going to stay led by the central teams. What we want is a faster decision process and adoption of formulations that are kind of already somewhere in our portfolio's adaptation to local trends in a faster way. So the answer is no. I do not expect any impact from this new organization on profitability per se. I expect only a faster speed to market for those local trends instead of getting them approved by a central team that will debate because they do not leave and do not see the market reality on a daily basis. This decision is going to be taken locally where sales, R&D and marketing are sitting together, talking to clients together on a daily basis, they can react faster and better. That's it.
The last question you had, sales mix, full service and free issue, it's true that what we said at the beginning of the year is that we saw the shift from free issue to full service had stopped. In the last quarter, we are seeing a rebalancing of the proportion getting a bit closer to what historically we were used to. It's -- again, it's the result of a specific push in certain cases. It's within the same clients. We have agreed not to buy packaging any longer for them. So it's going a bit back in the past.
Now to -- as I said earlier, and you can make the math for yourself, the decline of the third quarter at constant rate is all linked to packaging. So there is a change for the better. Admittedly, last year, in the last quarters, third quarter and -- and in the second half in general. So third quarter and fourth quarter, there was a particular spike in the component of packaging in our sales. So this is coming back to a healthier level.
So all in all, you can assume that the level of pack in terms of weight on the sales is going to remain the same that you have seen more or less in the first half of this year, which is the opposite of what happened last year when the weight of packaging in the second half increased quite significantly.
Okay. And so just as a follow-up to that, your guidance of simply confirming consensus EBITDA might possibly turn a bit conservative given that you have already gained more than EUR 10 million in the first 9 months. So do you have any specific concern on Q4, why should we not have any increase in absolute EBITDA in Q4 then?
I wish you were right. And I would love to surprise you with some positives. We need to see -- I think that all in all, if it is not consensus, it won't be materially different, to be honest. So we'll see. And obviously, the better we do, the happier we are.
The next question is from Mikheil Omanadze from BNP Paribas Exane.
So my first one would be on the recently announced partnership between L'Oréal and Kering. Do you think there could be any implications from this partnership for Intercos? Is there potential for some incremental business for you?
And the second one is a follow-up question. And apologies, I know you've been asked about this already, but just to be absolutely certain in terms of full year expectations, when you refer to stable sales, you meant stable absolute sales, i.e., the same absolute sales as we achieved in 2024, i.e., EUR 1,065 million. That's what you are referring to and not growth, not flat constant FX growth. Am I correct?
Thank you for your question. First question, L'Oréal-Kering partnership implication. Well, in reality, Kering is not an organization we are dealing with because their brands are licensed to Coty nowadays. The most important one, actually, the only important one for us is Gucci. And you've seen that the Coty contract expires in 2028. So there won't be any immediate change.
Now what I expect long term, and I see it as a positive for us as well is the fact that L'Oréal has -- and I wish this was not recorded. L'Oréal has better muscles than Coty in pushing brands, especially Make-up. They have a machine that is #1 in the world. Otherwise, they wouldn't be the #1 player in the world. So I do expect them to push these brands better and faster, and this should be a positive for us. As you know, we are very good partners with L'Oréal already. So I do not see any possible negative from this move.
Also, the fact that, if I remember well, they are getting the license for the Kering brands to 2050 where I will be retired at that point, if I'm alive. It means that L'Oréal will have all the latitude to invest behind these brands and harvest the fruit of these investments before their licenses get back into discussion. So I see it positively. It won't have an impact in short term because there is not going to be a short-term change for us because Coty is going to stay there until 2028.
And the second question, the answer is yes. It's current exchange rates. We think we're going to be landing in line with the EUR 1.60 billion something of last year. So answer is yes.
[Operator Instructions] The next question is a follow-up of Paola Carboni of Equita.
Yes, it's me again, sorry. I wanted to hear from you about what's happening in the U.S. You have referred to the fact that possibly the price increase your clients are implementing to offset tariffs might have been impacting to some extent, volumes. Did I got it right? What's the, let's say, price effect you are seeing? And to what extent do you believe this might really be a hinder to volume in the next few quarters for the U.S. market?
Thank you, Paola. Yes, in terms of pricing, what we are seeing is that the overall price per unit in U.S. have moved from 1.6% in the first quarter of this year to 4.4% in the third quarter of the year and in the last 4 weeks at 6%. This is -- it's not called anymore Nielsen IRI. It's a different name of company. These are retail data. So there is a move in pricing, which is pretty evident.
Now will this impact in a significant way volumes? Personally, I don't think there is going to be a major change in trends. The reality is that volume trends have been soft since 2 years, as I said before. So I don't think it's going to help. But I think that the move on interest rate is going to be more important than these price increases. Then we need to see what is going to happen. It's going to get worse or not. I don't know. But in general, the market -- sorry, the U.S. consumer has always proven a high sensibility rate to interest rates, which is linked to the fact that they are all they're getting debts very young in their lives since they had to pay tuitions to university and so on. So when interest rates go down, it makes an impact on their available income, and they go into consumption pretty fast.
So I think and I hope I'm right. That moves is going to be more important and more than offsetting the price increases we are seeing, which are most probably related to these duties dynamics. Then you may have different behaviors from different -- for different brands. Obviously, the brands that are more, let's say, relying on price competitiveness may be affected, but it all depends on how the relative moves of pricing are going to happen.
Mr. Renato Semerari, there are no more questions registered at this time.
Thank you very much.
Thank you. Good evening to everybody. Bye.
Intercos — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Intercos shows margin recovery and double-digit YTD EBITDA growth while sales land roughly flat; FY25 EBITDA consensus confirmed.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Sales (YTD): roughly flat at current FX; +2.9% at constant rates for the nine months, driven by Make‑up.
- Adjusted EBITDA: €116m for 9M25, +12% YoY (adjusted earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortization).
- EBITDA margin: 14.7% YTD, +143 basis points; Q3 margin 15.9% (+161 bps in Q3).
- Q3 sales: down 2.7% at constant rates, mainly due to deliberate reduction in packaging (free‑issue) sales and FX headwinds.
- Leverage: Net debt/EBITDA 0.86x; increase in absolute debt due to CapEx, dividends and buyback.
🎯 What Management Says
- Profitability pivot: deliberate shift from rapid top‑line growth to margin restoration via productivity, mix improvements and fewer low‑margin packaging sales.
- Portfolio mix: Make‑up (>60% of sales) and Prestige are the main growth drivers; Hair & Body/contract manufacturing is down after a high base.
- Operational moves: manufacturing expansion in Korea/China and regional R&D reporting moved to local CEOs to speed local product adaptation.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- FY25 target: company confirms it expects to match current FY25 EBITDA consensus.
- Revenue path: management expects to end 2025 roughly flat versus 2024 in absolute euros (currency drag noted).
- Risks & timing: main risks are FX volatility, continued softness in U.S. volumes and packaging mix; U.S. demand recovery is expected more in H2 of 2026 if interest rates decline.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Margin sustainability: management insists margin gains are durable, supported by productivity and a higher‑margin client/product mix, targeting a return to 2019 margin levels.
- Sales trajectory: management pushed back on 3–4% FY growth forecasts — expects flat or slightly positive sales in 2025 due to deliberate pack mix decisions and softer market.
- R&D reorg & China/Asia: regional R&D autonomy aims to speed local launches without materially increasing costs; China’s Double‑11 results and Korea competitiveness remain key drivers for 2026 upside.
⚡ Bottom Line
For shareholders: Intercos is trading slower top‑line growth for immediate margin recovery and confirms FY25 EBITDA consensus. The strategy reduces short‑term revenue but improves profitability and keeps leverage low; upside depends on FX, U.S. consumption and a China/Asia rebound in 2026.
Financial data from Intercos
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 1,035 1,035 |
5%
5%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 819 819 |
6%
6%
79%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 216 216 |
0%
0%
21%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 70 70 |
6%
6%
7%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | 32 32 |
4%
4%
3%
|
|
| EBITDA | 125 125 |
2%
2%
12%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 24 24 |
13%
13%
2%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 101 101 |
0%
0%
10%
|
|
| Net Profit | 57 57 |
21%
21%
6%
|
|
In millions EUR.
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Intercos Stock News
Company Profile
Intercos SpA engages in the creation, production, and marketing of cosmetic products as well as skincare, hair, and body treatments for the main national and international brands, emerging brands, and active retailers in the beauty market. The company is headquartered in Agrate Brianza, Monza E Brianza and currently employs 4,193 full-time employees. The company went IPO on 2021-11-02. The firm is active in the production of cosmetics. The firm also operates in the skincare market, through the Swiss company CRB. The firm's products portfolio encompasses two lines, such as make up and skin care, which include various color cosmetics, such as powders, delivery systems and pencils, lipsticks, foundations and nails care, among others. In addition, the Company offers products for face care, body care, sun care, hair care, organic and actives. The firm is also engaged in the research and development in laboratories, as well as customizes skincare product. The company operates globally.
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| Head office | Italy |
| CEO | Dr. Semerari |
| Employees | 3,988 |
| Website | www.intercos.com |


