Knorr-Bremse Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = €16.75b | Revenue (TTM) = €7.94b
Market Cap = €16.75b | Estimated Revenue = €8.39b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = €18.60b | Revenue (TTM) = €7.94b
Enterprise Value = €18.60b | Forward Revenue = €8.39b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Knorr-Bremse Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
21 Analysts have issued a Knorr-Bremse forecast:
Analyst Opinions
21 Analysts have issued a Knorr-Bremse forecast:
Knorr-Bremse Events
Past Events
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JUL
30
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
about 2 months ago
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MAY
6
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
4 months ago
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FEB
19
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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OCT
29
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
11 months ago
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StocksGuide Free
Knorr-Bremse — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Knorr-Bremse's Conference Call for the Second Quarter 2026 Results. This conference is being recorded. [Operator Instructions]. Let me now turn the floor over to your host, Andreas Spitzauer, Head of Investor Relations.
Thank you, operator. Good afternoon as well as good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I hope all of you are very fine. My name is Andreas Spitzauer, Head of Investor Relations. I want to welcome you to Knorr-Bremse's presentation for the second quarter results of 2026 and our midterm update.
Today, Marcus Llistosella, our CEO; and Frank Weber, our CFO, will present the results of Knorr-Bremse, followed by a Q&A session. The conference call will be recorded and is available on our home page in the Investor Relations section. It is now my pleasure to hand over to Marcus Llistosella. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Mr. Spitzauer. The past quarter was very strong for Ben. By the way, I assume that most of you in the call, I will see tomorrow anyway. So it's a little bit redundant. Hopefully, we can share them the time with some additional questions and discussions. Both rail and truck contributed to the good performance. Organic growth accelerated in RVS, while CVS benefited from the successful execution of the transformation measures as shown by organic revenue growth and increase in profitability.
Given the first half year results of '26 and the positive outlook for year-end, we increased our full year 26 guidance. We have also successfully signed the agreement for the sale of our HVAC, as always told, and expect the closing of the deal by the end of this year. With this transaction, we have completed exactly our sellout program what we declared in Boost. And in total, we have sold companies with a combined revenue of approximately EUR 750 million, as also predicted.
Looking ahead, Boost has transformed Knorr-Bremse into a stronger, more resilient and more profitable company. I think this is very open and very clearly to be decided. Building on this robust foundation, we are launching our Growth Beyond program now, the next strategic chapter focused on accelerating margin accretive growth while safeguarding the efficiency that we gained via Boost. Finally, we will present the financial targets that define our path towards 2030.
Before turning to our performance, let me briefly touch on the market environment on Page 4. As all of you are aware, the overall picture remains supportive of Knorr-Bremse.
In rail, demand continues to be robust. Order books across the industry remain at extremely high levels, well supported by strong passenger business and activities in signaling despite mixed freight markets.
In truck, we are increasingly seeing signs that the market is finding its footing. Whatever that means in Europe, the market sentiment is rather supportive when it comes to Western Europe, where we generate most of our revenues. China continues to develop well, and they recover in North America that we anticipate this taking shape. While truck production rates were still mixed in the first 6 months, the underlying demand and the orders picked up nicely. For '26, we expect continued positive demand for aftermarket and our estimates regarding truck production rates are fully in line with our OEM customers.
Looking ahead, we continue to expect a supportive rate environment and further normalization in truck, especially in North America, which represents a very solid base for our guidance. On Page 5, order intake increased year-on-year, reaching a solid level of more than EUR 2.2 billion. Group revenues amounted to EUR 2.1 billion, representing organic growth of more than 6% year-on-year.
The operating EBIT margin was particularly pleasing in the past quarter, which increased by 110 basis points year-on-year to 14.2%. This number is the highest quarterly figure in the last 5.5 years, and we reached our current midterm margin target with the result.
It not only reflects supportive markets, but even more the structural improvements we have implemented across the group over the past years which we always kept you updated. Free cash flow amounted to EUR 62 million, a remarkable improvement year-over-year. All in all, we delivered a very strong group performance, combining good growth with another significant step-up in profitability.
With that, I would like to hand over to Frank.
Thanks, Marc. And let's move to Page 6. CapEx amounted to EUR 70 million, representing 3.3% of revenues. We continue to invest in a disciplined manner, balancing productivity improvements, maintenance requirements and targeted growth opportunities. Net working capital improved to EUR 1.43 billion. At the same time, scope of days improved significantly to 63 days, demonstrating the sustainable focus on working capital management across the group that we perceive.
Free cash flow developed very strongly and reached EUR 262 million in the first -- in the second quarter and EUR 294 million in the first half year. This increase primarily reflects higher earnings, but also slightly improved working capital. Net working capital, the reported figure includes a positive one-off effect of around EUR 20 million related to the reimbursement of previously paid tariffs in the U.S.
Return on capital employed increased further to 23.8%, up 250 basis points year-over-year. This reflects the higher profitability driven by our business activities as well as the benefits from our asset-light strategy. We remain firmly committed to disciplined capital allocation while continuing to invest selectively in margin-accretive growth.
Let's take a closer look at the RVS performance on Page 6. Order intake in RVS decreased by 12% and reached around EUR 1.14 billion in the second quarter, resulting in a book-to-bill at 0.96. Rail demand remains healthy and continues to be supported by strong underlying market fundamentals. As we regularly emphasize, rail is a project-driven business with inherently uneven ordering patterns, making quarterly order intake figures less meaningful than in other industries.
For the current quarter, we expect that RVS should be able to post good order intakes being on a similar level quarter-over-quarter or slightly higher with a book-to-bill ratio of around 1. Order backlog increased by 6%, reaching nearly a new record level with more than EUR 5.9 billion. The high order backlog and its good quality provide a strong foundation for '26 and beyond.
While quarterly order intake can fluctuate significantly in Rail, the continued growth in our record order backlog is the best indicator for the sustained strength of the business and the future revenue visibility. Let's move to Page 8. Revenues increased by 7% to EUR 1.18 billion in the second quarter.
On an organic basis, growth was around 5%, reflected the anticipated acceleration. The OE and aftermarket business contributed to this positive development. Absolute aftermarket revenues increased slightly to EUR 628 million, well supported by Europe and North America, which led to a revenue share of 53% in the past quarters. OE revenues grew by 24% to EUR 557 million, supported by strong project execution and continued healthy demand in all the regions. From a regional perspective, Europe remained the key growth driver with all major regions contributing positively.
In Europe, revenues increased strongly, supported by both OE and aftermarket activities. The region continues to benefit from favorable market dynamics and strong project execution. North America returned to growth, driven by both OE and aftermarket business. The APAC region also delivered solid growth with contributions from business segments. China was lower year-over-year as expected and due to tougher comps.
Operating EBIT margin increased by 100 basis points to 17.5%, driven by operating leverage and continued benefits from our boost efficiency measures. In a nutshell, RVS delivered another very strong quarter with higher organic growth and order backlog almost on record level and higher profitability as well.
In the current quarter, we expect that revenues should develop on a similar level to the second quarter and profitability should see a slight increase quarter-over-quarter. For the full year, the operating margin of RVS should reach around 17.5%.
Let's continue with the Truck division on Page 9. In a still challenging market environment, order intake reached EUR 1.06 billion, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.11. This underlines the solid demand driven by all regions globally currently. Regionally, Europe was significantly better, also supported by low comps in the previous quarter. In North America, order intake was very significantly higher, driven by the improved market situation.
In APAC, order intake increased nicely as well, supported by China. Order intake in the current quarter should be around EUR 1 billion. Our order book at almost EUR 2 billion at the end of June was 12% above last year's level. Let's move to Page 10, which demonstrates the impact of disciplined execution and the tangible benefits of the measures we have implemented. Revenues increased to EUR 959 million in the second quarter, a nice step-up year-over-year with an organic increase of 8%. Both businesses contributed to growth.
OE revenues increased by 5%, while aftermarket grew even stronger and was up by 12%. It is particularly encouraging and worth noting that the OE and aftermarket business grew in all regions and in China during the past quarter. Also worth mentioning is that North America delivered a particularly encouraging performance. Revenues grew by 6% despite still challenging truck production levels, demonstrating our ability to outperform the underlying market trends.
Operating EBIT increased significantly to EUR 114 million, and the EBIT margin improved to 11.8%, up 150 basis points compared to the prior year quarter. The continuous improvement in profitability reflects the successful transformation of CVS and the ongoing benefits from our Boost initiatives, operational discipline and a favorable business mix. Therefore, higher organic revenues should support the bottom line even more by operating leverage due to the lower cost base.
In a nutshell, CVS delivered another strong and resilient quarter, combining margin accretive growth with further margin expansion despite still challenging truck production rates in the second quarter of '26. In the current quarter, revenue should be flat and profitability is to be expected slightly increasing quarter-over-quarter. Unchanged is our assumption for the full year. We expect organic revenues to grow low to mid-single digit compared to '25. And as a result, our Truck division then should be able to reach an operating margin EBIT of around 12%.
With that, I hand over to Marc again.
Thank you, Frank. Let's move to Page 7. We increased our outlook for '26 given the good performance in the first half of the year and the positive outlook for the end of the year. Our guidance is generally based on the expectations. The geopolitical and economic conditions remain largely stable under the assumption that the crisis in the Middle East does not escalate or continue for a longer period, particularly regarding supply chain disruption.
We now expect the following: revenues between EUR 8.1 billion to EUR 8.3 billion, operating profit between EUR 14 million and EUR 14.5 million, free cash flow of EUR 750 million to EUR 850 million we expect rather the upper end of the range.
Let's continue with the second part of our presentation on Chart 13. Before talking about growth beyond, let's briefly reflect on what and where we started the transformation of Knor-Bmse. -- early 2023, you asked what we will do. And we did a deep dive analysis of our company, challenge every aspect and topic. While our market positions, technologies and end of markets were strong, we identified a significant untapped potential, especially in the field of efficiency. This led to the Boost program.
We set clear priorities, made difficult decisions and focused relentlessly on execution. As a result, we streamlined the portfolio, improved productivity, strengthened capital allocation, significantly increased profitability by 300 points, cash generation and capital efficiency.
Most importantly, we did not just announce the program, we made it. We made commitments and we delivered. Page 14. This is what we achieved since 2023 with Boost. We implemented a broad set of measures. We streamlined our portfolio, adjusted organizational structures and further increased our manufacturing footprint in best countries.
At the same time, we revitalized our high-performance culture and focused the organization on value creation, which includes the increased share of ROCE and free cash flow with our bonus systems. Major financial key figures defined under Boost have significantly improved. Importantly, Boost does not end here. The management discipline and steering mechanism that have been driven so far will remain, especially when it comes to headcount and capital.
Page 14. A significant part of the structural improvements comes from optimizing our portfolio. We started in '23 of cleaning and fixing the start of our portfolio rotation. We sold 5 companies, which together generated annual revenues of roughly EUR 750 million. At the same time, however, we also significantly reduced our fixed costs and cut the number of employees substantially from 33,000 to 30,500, including HVAC. Without HVAC, we are now at 29,200 people. In addition, we have also implemented other structural measures such as increasing the share of best cost countries.
Overall, [ Sen ] it and fix it improved our operating EBIT margin by more than 200 basis points, in fact, certainly a remarkable achievement by the entire KB team. Moving to Page 16, which illustrates the journey we have been on since our IPO. In recent years, Knorr-Bremse has demonstrated that we can manage global crisis, in some cases, problems we have created ourselves. However, it was the stability of today's management team, our clear strategic plan and its rigorous implementation that restored our company to the former strengths for which we were recognized during our IPO from the capital markets.
Restoring the economic strengths we had many years ago was, therefore, our duty. At the same time, our targets go beyond former levels. We see significant opportunities to create additional value for organic growth, further portfolio rotation and where it makes strategic and financial sense through disciplined inorganic growth. Our vision is clear. We want Knorr-Bremse to be recognized as a top-notch modern, high-quality capital goods company, combining market leadership, operational excellence, innovation and attractive shareholder returns. Ultimately, shareholder value creation remains the guiding principle behind everything we do.
Slide 17. Let me explain how we want to steer our company going forward. First and foremost, Knorr-Bremse is already much more than just a brakes company. Over the past years, we have increasingly managed the business from a portfolio perspective. Today, we operate across several attractive technology and service domains, each with different growth profiles, profitability levels and strategic opportunities. This is the so-called JV universe. This chart visualize the businesses as Galaxy. It reflects the way we look at our portfolio and how we allocate resources across the company.
As part of the greenfield strategy within Boost, we conducted extensive deep dive assessment across a much broader set of potential markets and business areas -- the 6 galaxies shown here represent the fields where we see the most attractive combination of market growth, technology leadership and value creation potential. Each business unit has its own strategy and financial targets. However, all of them share the same foundation, customer focus, technological leadership, globalization, operational excellence, entrepreneurship and a high-performance culture.
As important element of our future portfolio strategy will center on the concept of smart capital allocation that is directing organic and nonorganic investments towards those businesses opportunities that offer the most attractive returns. At the same time, we safeguard our existing leadership positions in every business in which we operate. Our ambition is to be a technology innovation and market leader. Ultimately, growth beyond about actively shaping our portfolio towards the most attractive growth and margin opportunities while maintaining the financial discipline that we established through Boost.
Let me illustrate our portfolio thinking on Page 18 with one concrete example, Energy Technologies. Energy is a particularly attractive field because it builds on capabilities that have already existed with Knorr-Bremse for many, many years. We have been active in energy-related applications for more than 50 years. Our expertise ranges from energy management systems and rail vehicles to power and grid applications, where Cisco, a sub-brand of our house, has established itself as a respected Tier 1 supplier to rail and leading energy OEMs, especially in Europe.
As part of our greenfield analysis, we looked far beyond our traditional business boundaries, assessing different markets and technologies. This analysis confirmed energy technology is one of the most attractive growth areas within our current and future portfolio, combining strong structural growth, attractive margin potential and continued opportunities arising from electrification and energy infrastructure investments.
Let me now show what this means in practice on Page 19. We have already taken an important first step by merging our interest internal business units active in the energy sector, Microelectrica and Cilisco into a single business unit. In other words, we have created a new Galaxy within the Knorr-Bremse universe. Going forward, we see substantial opportunities to expand this platform both organically and selectively through disciplined M&A.
Organically, we plan to accelerate growth through targeted investments in R&D and CapEx, allowing us to move further along the value chain and broaden our technological offering, both vertically and horizontally. In addition, we're actively evaluating selected M&A opportunities to further strengthen our product portfolio and gradually move towards a more comprehensive business and system approach. We believe this business represents an excellent example of the type of growth.
We are seeking margin-accreting growth in an attractive market supported by long-term trends such as electrification, grid modernization, energy transition, particularly in Europe and North America, our core markets with our experiences. Our ambition is clear to build a larger technology-leading N technology platform while maintaining attractive margins and creating sustainable shareholder value.
On Slide 20, let me briefly connect the dots regarding the growth beyond. This -- and the reality is our current traditional markets alone will not entirely fulfill the growth ambitions we have. Growth Beyond is our answer to do and to face this challenge. Growth Beyond is our strategy to take Knorr-Bremse to the next level.
The objective is clear to create sustainable shareholder value for margin accretive growth while preserving the operational excellence and financial discipline we have reached so far. We know where we want to grow. We know where and which technology fields and business areas we want to prioritize. This is not a high-level vision. Growth Beyond is supported by detailed road maps, clear responsibilities, measured targets and dedicated governance structures across the organization.
Boost improved the quality of our business, Growth Beyond will now accelerate Knorr-Bremse's margin accretive growth dramatically. Growth Beyond is built on our 4 pillars: accretive growth, cost efficiency, one team and artificial intelligence as an enabler and facilitator across all activities. Our ambition is clear. We want to accelerate market outperformance via profitable growth. At the same time, we will continue to strengthen our technology and innovation leadership while pursuing selective value-accretive acquisitions and disciplined portfolio rotation.
A key principle remains unchanged. Capital follows returns. We will allocate resources to those businesses and opportunities that create the greatest value for our customers and specifically shareholders.
Page 22. Our targets are ambitious for 2030, but they are firmly grounded in the market opportunities and the chances across our portfolio companies. We aim to reach organically, only organically around EUR 10 billion in, an operating EBIT margin of around 16%, and we want to achieve a cash conversion rate of more than 90%. This is and repeat, only our organic plan.
Importantly, the revenue targets reflects organic growth only, and value-creating M&A activity is on top. Ultimately, our goal is clear to build an even stronger, high-quality capital goods company and create sustainable shareholder value over the long term.
Frank, our CFO, will provide you now with more financials.
Thanks, Marc, again. Let me now briefly outline the Fostered financial strategy of Growth Beyond. At its core, our objective remains unchanged to deliver sustainable and profitable growth while continuously increasing shareholder value. Our Growth Beyond strategy program, however, the continued value increase of KP shares should be driven much more by margin accretive growth and operating leverage.
We expect revenue growth to be well supported by our attractive product portfolio, technology leadership positions, long-term customer relationships and attractive markets. Consequently, we see further potential to expand profitability through operating leverage, well safeguarded by ongoing efficiency improvements and active portfolio rotation. Hand-in-hand with this goes with continued focus on excellent cash generation and capital efficiency, achieving a cash conversion ratio of above 90% and the ROCE of more than 25% are therefore, the key objectives of our financial framework.
At the same time, these KPIs have high shares within our KB bonus system across the board. M&A remains an interesting add-on of our growth beyond strategy. We will continue to pursue a disciplined and transparent approach, focusing on transactions that are strategically sound, financially attractive, value accretive at acceptable multiples in the sector.
Finally, sustainability remains an integral part of how we manage the company and create long-term value. Moving to Page 24. Back in '23, as Marc said, we set ambitious growth targets for our company. Looking at where we stand today, I believe the overall conclusion is clear. We largely delivered what we promised despite significant stronger headwinds than originally anticipated.
The biggest challenge clearly came from the truck market. At the same -- at the time of the strategy update in '23 July, we conservatively expected the market to grow by only 1%, whereas both Europe and North America ultimately turned materially negative with roughly minus 5%. We also faced significant headwinds in FX, which cost us about EUR 500 million in revenue from '22 actuals to '26 expectations.
Against this backdrop, CVS did not fully achieve its organic growth ambition. However, the organic revenue growth of rail was stronger than expected with 8% significantly outperforming underlying market growth of around 3% to 4%. In short, despite weak truck markets and FX headwinds, we can confidently say promised and delivered regarding the growth and profitability of the group.
The achievement is even more encouraging when it comes to profitability. In Q2, the group operating EBIT margin exceeded 14% after 5 years again, and we are confident regarding the expected level for the full year, visible via the increased guidance.
Importantly, this margin improvement is primarily self-help driven. Portfolio optimization, rigorous cost management and headcount reduction have been key contributors to this improvement. We are pleased with the development of ROCE, which is a central management metric and is directly embedded in our long-term compensation system, LTI. And finally, cash generation remains a key strength of Knorr-Bremse.
Our cash conversion has improved significantly over the past years and demonstrates the discipline with which we manage our operations. That's why we also increased the target level to above 90% cash generation. The bottom line is simple. Profitability, ROCE and cash conversion have all developed in line with or above the ambitions we communicated in '23. Another clear example I think, of walking the talk.
Let me briefly touch on Rail Vehicle Systems in general on Page 25. RVS is already a very strong and robust business. It's attractive market exposure provides a high level of recurring revenues, resilience and visibility, while long-term megatrends like green mobility and public infrastructure investments continue to support market developments globally. It is particularly encouraging that RVS has not only delivered strong growth in recent years, but has constantly outperformed its underlying markets. Looking ahead, we see further opportunities to continue this outperformance.
The growth beyond analysis identified several highly attractive growth platforms like aftermarket, railways side, meaning our signaling business, smart electronics, like Mark mentioned, power and grid, the freight segment and last but not least, opportunities to grow in China again. I will come to that later. Together, these initiatives provide clear visibility for around about 7% plus revenue growth, joined by margin growth over the coming years.
In short, RVS combines the characteristics of a high-quality cap goods company already today and is pretty close to the club of '25 regarding revenue growth and EBIT margin. With a target EBIT margin of around 20% in 2030 and an average annual revenue growth of around 7% plus until then, our Rail division will become a member of this club in the future.
Let me now turn to China on Page 26, which remains a strategically important market for our Rail business. At our strategy update in '23, we assumed that our rail revenues in China Mainland would only reach around EUR 600 million by '26 and gradually increase thereafter. Looking at where we stand today, we are ahead of our assumptions. This improvement is based on many different things, a supportive market development, good ridership developments, the strategy change of how we approach the market is important to mention the fact that our technology is still ahead of our local competition, our strong customer relationships also in export and last but not least, the constant launch of our attractive innovations by our Rail division.
We see good opportunities in key segments such as high-speed and aftermarket, but are highly -- both are highly accretive for Knorr-Bremse. As a result, we now expect '26 revenues to be meaningfully above our original assumptions. Looking ahead, -- we are, therefore, more optimistic for 2030 with around EUR 900 million of revenues to be achievable with still accretive margins. We also see promising opportunities in freight applications, more or less for the first time and other new business segments where our position has improved quite considerably.
In short, the turnaround in China has been achieved, and we should be back to growth in China. Let me now turn to CVS on Page 27. CVS will remain a bit more in the boost mode going forward, where the division has achieved significant success in the field of efficiency. Truck has been transformed very successfully over the last years, but we continue to see further opportunities to improve efficiency, productivity and profitability. This is a helpful prerequisite due to an expected prebuy effect in '29 driven by the introduction of Euro 7 a year later in Europe, the truck market in 2030 is expected to be only at a rather similar level as in '26. But CVS is not dependent on market growth alone.
Growth will be supported by our expanding aftermarket business and continued content per vehicle increases. Due to the slower-than-expected adoption of e-mobility growth, our content per vehicle is lower today than anticipated before. But the long-term opportunity driven by the electrification of trucks remains fully intact.
In addition, autonomous driving and software content will allow us to sell more and higher-value products per vehicle long term as penetration rates would go up. In the aftermarket segments, we expect good growth momentum driven by Cojali and our CVS service platform opportunities via Travis that is currently being expanded. This gives us confidence that CVS can continuously outperform its underlying markets while further strengthening its earnings profile.
Moving to Page 28. Our capital allocation framework was established many years ago and remains unchanged. Our priority is the organic growth of our business and attractive dividend for our shareholders. Consistently with growth beyond, we want to drive innovation and technology leadership of Knorr-Bremse to support our organic growth with an R&D ratio of around 6% of revenues and a CapEx ratio of 4% to 5%. In addition, the dividend should be growing with a payout ratio of around 50% of our net income. As a floor, the dividend should be at least stable in absolute terms year-over-year.
Our second priority is M&A, which I will outline in more detail in the next chart. In the third phase are share buybacks and special dividends. Moving to Page 29 and coming to our nonorganic growth. Our M&A strategy and its criteria have not changed. We have followed the same strategic focus and financial guardrails for many years now, and they remain fully in place.
We continue to focus on attractive businesses in the field of capital goods with strong growth and attractive margin profiles where Knorr-Bremse can be clearly the best owner. Our priorities are clear.
First, we look at opportunities within rail and truck with rail generally offering more attractive market opportunities and higher financial returns.
Second, we consider adjacent areas such as signaling and truck aftermarket.
Thirdly, we evaluate selected new fields where we already have capabilities and market access such as energy technology.
Most important, every transaction must pass our strict financial guardrails. -- value creation, profitability, cash generation and capital efficiency are nonnegotiable entry criteria for the KB Club. In short, we are willing to do more M&A, but if it creates value at acceptable acquisition multiples in the respective sector. It is important to mention that Knorr-Bremse is not in a forced position, and we can do most of it ourselves. However, M&A can play a crucial role in significantly accelerating development processes to boost growth and capitalize on future opportunities.
Moving to Page 30. Marc has already provided a deep dive into Energy Technologies, which is one good example. Across Knorr-Bremse, we have several attractive segments and business fields where we see growth opportunities doubling down via organic and inorganic investments. Our portfolio management approach is straightforward. We will continue to invest in businesses that combine higher growth rates and higher margins while managing more mature businesses with a strong focus on cash generation and returns.
Excellent capital allocation, therefore, remains an important lever within growth beyond. In simple terms, capital follows returns and returns drive the value creation.
Moving to Page 31 to walk you through our revenue bridge towards 2030. Based on our current assumptions, we expect group revenues to grow organically -- we expect group revenues to grow organically from slightly above EUR 8 billion in '26 to around EUR 10 billion by 2030. Please keep in mind that in '26, our HVAC business is still fully included with approximately EUR 360 million because we expect to close the deal only by year-end '26 due to antitrust regulations.
The main contributor regarding growth remains rail, supported by good market growth, aftermarket expansion and our growth beyond initiatives. TVS is expected to outperform the underlying truck market through aftermarket expansion and higher content per vehicle. Importantly, these figures reflect our organic growth ambition only, excluding HVAC. Any value-accretive M&A would come on top. Overall, this gives us a clear path reaching around EUR 10 billion of revenue by 2030 with a mid-single-digit organic growth rate every year for the group.
Let me now turn to our profitability targets on Page 32. Based on our initiatives under Boost and Growth Beyond, we should be able to expand margins further in both divisions. In Rail, we target an operating EBIT margin of around 20% latest in 2030, driven by continued margin accretive growth, operating leverage and further efficiency improvements.
In CVS, the opportunity ranges from approximately 12% to 14%, depending on the respective market developments, predominantly in Europe and North America, of course, also China plays a certain role, which together account for roughly 80% to 90% of our divisional revenues. For this reason, we use different market scenarios in our planning assumptions.
Importantly, most of the improvements are driven by measures within our own control, operational excellence, portfolio optimization, fixed cost efficiency, disciplined investment management and footprint optimization, including the potential -- including potential one-off effects on net income further down the road maybe.
Taken together, this provides a clear path towards an operating EBIT margin of around 16% at the group level by 2030.
Let me now turn to the overall group view on Page 33. Our financial ambitions and the bridge that takes us there. Starting from operating EBIT margin of 14% to 14.5% in '26, we have a clear plan to reach around 16% in 2030, around 200 basis points from growth and resulting operating leverage, around 100 basis points from operating excellence, continued efficiency improvements, white collar optimization and disciplined capital allocation, partially offset by around about 100 basis points for investments into the future growth footprint and AI capabilities.
We target mid-single-digit organic growth, which should lead to around EUR 10 billion in revenues, again, without HVAC. -- a ROCE of above 25% 5 percentage points higher than our current target and a sustainable cash conversion rate above 90%, also 5 percentage points above our current cash conversion target. And just as with our revenue ambitions, any M&A would be additional to these targets.
Let me close with a simple vision for Knorr-Bremse from a financial point of view. Compared to where we started in '22, it's our goal that Knorr-Bremse will become more railish, more resilient, a highly profitable cash machine and ready for the future regarding our investments in technology. In addition, we will add potentials from our future growth field expectations, meaning we expect a larger share of revenue, stronger returns on invested capital and higher cash generation.
At the same time, we will not stop investing into our future. We will continue to invest in absolute terms in innovation and growth opportunities than our competitors. But in future, we will do so even with a more targeted and smarter way.
With that, back to Marc.
Thanks, Frank. Moving to the last page of today. Let me close with the most important message. 3 years ago, I was an unknown person to you. The management team was new. We told you that Knorr-Bremse had to become more efficient, more profitable and more focused. And so what we delivered. Today, we're telling you the next aim for Knorr-Bremse that the next phase is about margin accretive growth, smart capital allocation, increasing our exposure to attractive markets and technologies. The formula is quite simple.
We preserve the efficiency gains and the mindset of Boost. We allocate capital to the most attractive opportunities. We expand our presence in businesses with stronger growth and higher margins.
And by doing so, we create sustainable shareholder value. Our 2030 targets are clear, and they are not based on hope. They are also built on a solid track record of execution and believe the belief in us and our strengths. The numbers shown today are our base. They are the fact, the evidence and also assurance to you that our ambitions, which are going beyond are reachable.
Thank you very much for your attention. Thanks for your loyalty. Thanks for staying with us, and we will now answer your questions.
[Operator Instructions]. We already have quite a few questions. The first question is from Sven Weier from UBS.
2. Question Answer
Question is around CVS target setting for '26 and 2030. I mean on '26, you guide low to mid-single-digit organic, but with your Q3 guidance that you've just given, we're rather running in the high single digits. So why are you still so cautious?
And also on 2030, when we look back in history, the peak margin in CVS was 16%. And undoubtedly, you've now streamlined the company much more than it was 10 years ago. So I was just wondering what are still the missing levers to get back there? Are there some measures that you are consciously not doing to improve margins?
Thank you very much, Sven, for that question. First of all, I think we need to mention that we have no limitations in terms of our capacity in North America. And regarding whatever the market ultimately turns out to be, we will be harvesting the potentials. Yes, I agree that we might be a bit less -- a bit more conservative when it comes to truck production rate expectations in the second half of the year. We see roughly heavy-duty trucks, Class 8 trucks at levels of 260,000 units, whereas some other competitors in ACT see it on the level of 270,000 or even 275,000.
We would be happy if the market would go that direction. From today's point of view, we have seen a good truck production month of June. All the other months, as you very much know, and also all the institutes are telling you this, we are significantly down in truck production rates in the North American market in January, February, March, April and May. And it's a bit of hope in there in all expectations out there.
So we think with 260,000, we are on the right side of things and happy to go further and also deliver operating leverage if the market allows. Expect that from us, clearly. Long term, yes, of course, we have had in times where there was not yet investments being done, especially R&D in R&D engineers in a significant amount for autonomous driving for electrification, some maybe 10 years ago, there was 1, 2 years where truck also was able to reach 15% of return 10 years ago, 10 years of inflation against that, of course, a lot of efficiency work.
But we have, in the meantime, spent a lot and fostered the company around technology drivers. So we have invested a lot in the meantime in software engineers, R&D engineers in order to cope with the -- what's coming up with the demand that's coming up on electrification and autonomous driving. We -- on the revenue side, we don't see it at all. As you all know, a lot of measures, maybe except for China, where you have significant electrification penetration rates in the market already.
But in the other markets, you don't see it. So in the revenue, you don't see the numbers, but in the cost, you have it. And that's a bit of a burden for very innovative companies clearly. And we will harvest on those technologies going into the future whenever the penetration rates go up.
Is there also an element, I mean, as you mentioned, you didn't reach the 13.5% target for this year. So that this time, you consciously did a more conservative truck margin setting for the guidance?
As you see, to some extent, this is pretty clear. We have back in the days, also been trying to do a bit conservative expectation for the market itself. Also, that didn't come to reality. It was plus 1%, what we assumed. The markets came in with minus 5% ultimately and even worse the 2 years before, we were disastrous in Europe, as you know, in '24 and in the U.S. in '25. So that definitely didn't help. And we are a bit, I would say, yes, on the conservative side, knowing or having the empirical evidence of last year -- last time's guidance. Yes, you're right.
And the next question is from Gael de-Bray, Deutsche Bank.
You said that M&A would come on top of your EUR 10 billion revenue objective. So what do you consider is your firepower for acquisitions? And then since CVS is obviously expected to remain a drag to the group's overall performance in terms of both margins and growth. I mean, do you even need to be exposed to that business? I mean, why not fully allocating capital to RVS?
Thanks, Gael. First of all, the firepower depends, of course, what's your appetite for risk in regards to the ratings. We have always said, and this has not changed that we always have our red line when it comes to investment-grade levels. And I will not -- for whatever you ask for the theoretical just to get us all on the same page, you ask for the theoretical firepower that we have, we would never ever doubt the red line of investment grade, we would always keep a buffer in regards to the investment-grade level. That's pretty clear.
And with that, you can calculate also to scale, you are very smart. You can calculate the numbers by yourself, but we have EUR 5 billion easily of firepower, but that's only the theoretical mentioning.
We have no plan at this time on hand that we would need that amount of money, but that's the theoretical firepower that we have going down to a BBB+ level or what have you, theoretical example.
Truck track, of course, I told you also many times here that there is a company foundation that is built on synergies between the 2 businesses of truck and rail when it comes to braking systems, technology-wise, system-wise and approach-wise, and whenever we would be seeing as a management team that this level of synergy going forward would not be enough, we would definitely consider other options.
But this is the foundation that this company is built upon. We have never been limiting a rail growth path, a rail investment or whatever investment into rail opportunities because we would have needed the money for truck. So there was never ever a compromise in the development of the 2 divisions or the group being made.
And also another triggering point in future could be, of course, if that limitation would come up and we would have to limit the one or the other division, then you have to make up your minds. But we see the fundamentals of this company intact with the synergy base that we have. And this is, for the time being, the situation that we have. So at this point in time, no need to think about the split of the 2 divisions.
Agreed. And if I may, just one more. Slide 15, I think it was, you showed the progress in terms of productivity realized over the past few years. Do you have any specific target on the revenue per employee that you could share with us for CVS and RVS by 2030?
Look, revenue per FTE is an important KPI for us that we look at, but it's definitely not the major KPI because you always have to see this KPI in combination with the other profitability KPIs and the revenue per FTE KPI is one KPI to look at. Imagine a company that has a fantastic revenue and high efficiency on the personnel side, but doesn't earn a single penny of EBIT, then you can have the most fantastic revenue per FTE in the world, but you don't earn a penny. So it's within our guidance of achieving certain margins, we want to also increase definitely revenue per FTE, and we want to go definitely beyond EUR 300,000 levels. That's clear. But a clear target is only senseful if you combine it with other strategic KPIs that you strive for. But definitely beyond 300,000 very clearly.
[Operator Instructions]. The next question is from Vivek Midha from Citi.
Hope you can hear me well. My question is to clarify around Boost versus the new program. So if I look on Slide 15, it says that you're most of the way through fix program, about 90% complete.
If I look at Slide 30, it looks like there's still about 10% of the whole portfolio, which you see needing to be optimized on growth plus margin. So it does look like there are further parts of the portfolio, which, as you've looked at the business over the last few years, you believe you need to fix further. So could you maybe give us more color on perhaps what those are or how you think about...
Okay. So I just ask Andreas quickly because I couldn't hear it properly the question. So the question was more focused on the low 10% that you mentioned here. I mean this is clear. We always said that we had a part of the Boost program, which was called fix it and sell it as we discussed about it. And we are ahead of the curve when it comes also to the fix it initiative, but we are not perfectly yet done. We still have tiny bits and pieces in the business portfolio where we still need further improvements.
And this low is, of course, relative to what we -- or how we rate the others in terms of the absolute performance, I would not say they are really low in terms of negative or what have you, but they are lower than the others. And there, I told you 3 years ago that we do basically benchmarking to other companies in the respective sectors or business fields. And those business who are not yet on benchmark levels, we continuously drive towards benchmark levels.
Next question is from Akash Gupta, JPMorgan.
My question is on CVS segment. In the past, there was an emphasis on moving to advanced driving assistance systems or ADAS to help boost your medium-term growth prospect. Clearly, development on this side in the industry has been slower than what was anticipated over 5 or 10 years ago. So I wanted to ask like you are guiding for minus 2% content per vehicle growth on Slide #31, but maybe you can help us with the moving parts, what's going in favor, what is not going in favor? And is there any opportunity to surprise on that minus 2% because that looks a bit conservative.
Okay. The first part, I forgot the minus 2% I'm not which minus 2 you mean actually, but maybe come to that in a second. Yes, I mean, it's pretty clear. I mean, just to -- of course, I cannot tell you and I will not tell you all the product ideas we are having at Knorr-Bremse for an autonomous world of the future or for electrified truck. Some of the examples that we also want to market, we will show you at the respective fairs also the IAA coming up. But you can be assured that I'm not telling a secret here, if you're the world market leader in brake systems and in steering systems that you want to have a fair share in redundancy systems around those going into the future that come with autonomous trucks in the future. That is definitely not a surprise.
And therefore, we see value as one example, and you ask, for example, how to look at things, that is definitely a growth area for us and revenues are just not there yet as market penetration, except for some mining yards or maybe for some harbors yet are not really in play. And so those are areas where we really expect to grow and add content per vehicle or e-compressors when electrification becomes a broader phenomena, those are product fields where we expect quite some growth in content per vehicle, which was just not there yet as every OEM pushed out the stuff into the further years.
Next question comes from Ben uglow, Oxcap Analytics.
I wanted to dig a little bit into the energy technology examples that you put out on, I guess, slides, I think it's 18 and 19. It's pretty interesting. I want to make sure I kind of understand the strategy. And I'll try and roll a few questions into one, if I can. You've combined Micro Electrica and Zalisco under one roof. I wanted to know, is that a sort of formal combination? Are you changing kind of the actual setup and reporting lines? Or is that just on paper?
Secondly, the areas that you've talked about, things -- well, I guess, instrument transformers, that is very much what I would call a specialist market.
When you talk about expanding, are you thinking about other areas, distribution, switching, even larger transformers? How are you thinking about that business? And then finally, I think -- I don't know if I've understood it right. Are you saying that you're targeting EUR 500 million in 2030 or more than EUR 500 million? I guess the question is, there are lots of small assets out there. There are big assets as well. And what is the game plan here? So those are my questions.
D Ben, good to hear you again. Let me start with the latter part of your question, maybe if you allow and the more technical aspects and reporting lines thing, I will hand over to Marc. He's very deep into those topics, of course. So of course, we are, as you know, having currently around EUR 250 million of revenues in those 2 businesses. We told you so already the margins as of today are already pretty accretive to the group's levels.
And we are targeting, you're fully right, an organic growth towards EUR 500 million. So we intend to double over the next 4 years our revenues in that field from an organic growth perspective, absolutely right. And we hope to and will maintain the margins on an accretive level for the group. That's the first answer.
And maybe, Mark, if you won't mind something in regards to -- maybe I can also add before Marc joins in. Yes, clearly, we are changing the reporting lines when it comes to the substructures in rail, but we will not take that business out of the Rail division. It's part of the Rail division. And also on the path towards the EUR 500 million, it will remain in the Rail division. So on the top level of the reporting lines, it will stay in RBS because there was born and has been grown since.
I see we will come tomorrow to this point.
Next question from Meihan Yang.
Okay. So I just want to ask a little bit of your China RVS upgrade. Do you factor any of the potential market share gain that you have been previously guiding on the high-speed railway? And also, just can you give us a bit more color on this quarter's sequential decline in the RVS orders? Was it related to any of the OEM project delay or any of lumpy orders that slipped through to the second half?
Thank you very much. Let me also here start with the latter. I mean that's -- I mean, I'm sometimes even making a joke because Andreas is warning me each and every quarter to say something about the lumpiness of the rail business. There is nothing spectacular in terms of pushout. You have the one or the other pushouts on a quarterly basis that we see since now 5, 6 years, so to say, also in this quarter, nothing really spectacular. We have had great quarter numbers with more than EUR 1.2 billion or above EUR 1.2 billion of order intake in order to achieve our growth path into the future towards 2030, we would need, I would say, around EUR 1.1 billion, EUR 1.1 billion plus of order intake in the respective quarters given the order backlog that we have already today.
So there is nothing at all to worry about. nothing spectacular happened, also not a huge order being pushed out. So that's just the usual things that happen. It's just the regular lumpiness. Nothing to worry at all, so to say, in that regard.
Coming to the first part of your question, we have never, never, at least not me, never ever guided that we will increase market shares in the high-speed segment. We have said we are around 25% to 30%, and this is what we intend to keep. Yes, with the new situation where we are now seeing a more so to say, chances overhang in China for us. There would be, for the first time now going into the future, a chance to increase that market share again. That's a great development that we are seeing. And that is to a very large extent, also driven by the great relationship that we have built up with CRRC when it comes to the export business. We are their foundation, so to say, to win orders in the Western world market. And it's great to see such a great relationship with CRRC. And that could be now going into the future, be a chance for us to increase there the market share and get more back to the system competence and the system market penetration that we once had and we have lost over the years. So that's, I think, that example.
But now towards '26, we don't see any increase of market share in high speed. But going forward, this would be the situation or that's what we're striving for. Before the next question comes, what we found out colleagues, by the way, is that there is a data mesh up in the Visible Alpha consensus data by one of the banks, there is totally incorrect data in, which is pushing the consensus up for 2030. I'm not saying the names, of course, needless to say.
But if you look into it, there are only 5 or 6 analysts in Visible Alpha out of the 17 that are covering us, 5 to 6 only and is totally wrong and has us with EUR 12 billion and 18.5% margin. I just want to point that out everybody around this table here. Everybody knowing us is -- knows that this can only be an error. So the consensus is wrong in Visible Alpha. It's and this is confirmed by the bank, just to let you know.
Now William Mackie from Kepler Cheuvreux.
I would like to ask a question about capital allocation, both historic and forward-looking. I guess, historic, the first question relates somewhat to the results in that you've taken a write-down on NeXT IoT, which perhaps signals underperformance in the business or perhaps there is not a realization of the digitalization strategy you were expecting, so to speak to that. And also, the numbers I can see from Durgon, the acquisition you've just made appear to have been slightly lower than the assumptions at the time of the deal. So it's about capital allocation historically and how we should think about those deals in reference to your statements of 14% plus margins and accretion to the group.
And then forward-looking, I think you guide for a return on capital employed of 25%, but you require your M&A to be above a return on capital employed of 20%. So I just wanted to bridge the gap. Are you seeing that you should be able to make up the longer-term returns profile on the back of much stronger performance from the core business? Or do you look to significantly improve anything you acquire going forward?
Yes. Thanks, Will. And that's your job to dig into the more on a piece of paper, more nasty things than highlight the great ones. So I will remind you a bit of our acquisitions in Cojali with a stand-alone EBIT margin of 40%, the acquisition of the signaling business, which is in the meantime, 1.5 years after we bought it at an EBIT margin of around 20%. We intended to get 16% out or 16% plus, maybe hopefully, day out of it. So both fantastic acquisitions, and we also delivered here on what we expected and what we promised. Also, and now I try to draw the bridge towards your questions.
Signaling, when we did the due diligence for signaling, we also found out that we need to, at first, in the first 9 months of the business, we need to lay off more than 120 people, which we did. Nevertheless, we said that we will be achieving profitability of above 16%. And by the way, we always in the capital allocation principles, we always said in the financial guidance, we basically said we expect those -- so we don't buy anything that has less than 14% of return within the first 2 years. that this company belongs to us. That was always what we said, and we repeat that here once again.
Now during the bridge to Duagon, also here in the Duagon due diligence, it was pretty clear for us, fantastic company, fantastic growth expectations going into the future, exactly from a system and product point of view, what we want to have half of the business for signaling, half of the business electronics, exactly what we wanted to have. And we also saw here that we have to do significant restructuring. Contrary, as another example, contrary to the signaling business also in the due diligence, we identified that not all and not everybody in the top management of this company is worth being part of the top management team in Knorr-Bremse in the future.
And this is what we are currently doing at Duagon. We are cleaning that stuff up -- and here, you have 3 business areas. You have a Swiss business, you have a Spain business, engineering services basically and you have a German business. And guess who? One part of the business is not where it should be, and that's where we are currently focusing. -- not a surprise at all. We had in the first quarter 10%.
Second was basically 0 that you're rightfully pointing towards. but it will get better, and we will come to those levels that we have anticipated, but we do the restructuring and the stuff that needs to be done, same like we did in signaling and now we are 4%, 5% better in profitability in signaling, and you will see that happen with Dagon as well. We will come to that level that we promised. Nex, we always said these financial grails for M&A are totally valid if we are not talking about start-ups.
Look at the old documents, we have clearly written that in. Nex was a start-up minority share that we bought some 5 years ago, I'm not sure. And this is -- this was not at this margin level. And technology, we try to conquer with that minority investment, which in the meantime, we were also able to develop ourselves and don't need really the perfect collaboration with Nexot anymore as we are also at, I would say, on eye level, at least when it comes to those kind of sensor and data technology of Nex. And given that there is, for us, not that USP anymore like it used to be in the past, and that's why we have been very carefully as we are been writing that minority stake off. That's the only thing.
The last question is from Bank of America.
I have one on your midterm organic sales growth in trucks. So you are guiding for 4% by 2030 with -- you're implying 3% content growth and are assuming around 0% to 1% volume growth despite I think we remain well below mid-cycle across different regions. So does this reflect your typical conservatism? Or is there any reason you are more skeptical today on new market recovery?
Yes. There is, of course, one -- and I had this in my speaker because it was important to me. I mean, for midterm guidance, you have to pick a certain year. We have picked 2030. We didn't want to pick '29 because it sounds a bit awkward. But 2030, we picked.
So we also make up the best of our knowledge when it comes to the market in 2030. And unfortunately, there is, so to say, this Euro 7 introduction, which will, to our expectations, cause quite a significant prebuy in '28 and '29 in Europe and the truck market in 2030 in Europe will be rather weak.
And that is the reason why maybe this 1% number appears to be pretty low, but that is especially driven by that expectation of Europe due to Euro 7 introduction. That's, I think, the only reason. Of course, on the other side, we are never assumed as the organization in the capital market to have the most aggressive market use. But the Europe effect is the biggest.
Yes. Thank you very much for your participation, and we look forward seeing you tomorrow, and have a great afternoon. Thank you, and bye-bye.
Looking forward. Thank you.
Knorr-Bremse — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Knorr-Bremse — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Strong Q2: upgraded 2026 guidance, completed Boost divestitures and launched "Growth Beyond" to push margin‑accretive organic growth.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Revenue: EUR 2.1bn (organic +6% YoY)
- Order intake: >EUR 2.2bn (solid YoY increase)
- EBIT margin: 14.2% (+110 basis points YoY; operating EBIT = operating earnings before interest and taxes)
- Free cash flow: EUR 262m in Q2 and EUR 294m H1 (strong YoY improvement)
- Working capital: EUR 1.43bn; 63 days
🎯 What Management Says
- Strategy: Launching "Growth Beyond" to shift from efficiency (Boost) to margin‑accretive organic growth, targeted roadmaps and AI enablement.
- Portfolio: Boost divestments completed (≈EUR 750m revenue sold, HVAC sale closing by year‑end) to focus resources on higher‑return businesses.
- Targets: 2030 organic roadmap: ~EUR 10bn revenue, ~16% group operating EBIT margin, ROCE >25%, cash conversion >90% (organic only; M&A on top).
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- 2026 guidance: Revenues EUR 8.1–8.3bn; operating EBIT margin ~14.0–14.5%; free cash flow EUR 750–850m (company expects upper end).
- Division guidance: Rail Vehicle Systems (RVS) FY margin ~17.5%; Commercial/Truck (CVS) organic revenues low‑ to mid‑single digit, FY EBIT margin ~12%.
- Risks: Geopolitical escalation (Middle East), FX headwinds, truck production uncertainty (North America) and Euro‑7 timing effects on 2029/2030 European volumes.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- CVS conservatism: Management defended cautious truck assumptions (Class‑8 at ~260k units vs peers' 270–275k); said guidance errs conservative after prior misses.
- M&A firepower: Theoretical buying capacity cited (~EUR 5bn) but management will preserve investment‑grade and deploy capital only to value‑accretive targets; strong preference to keep rail/truck synergies.
- Execution & cleanup: Energy tech roll‑up aims to double to ~EUR 500m organically by 2030; Duagon integration and a Nex startup write‑down were explained as restructuring/minority‑investment outcomes to be fixed.
⚡ Bottom Line
- Takeaway: Knorr‑Bremse delivered strong revenue and margin progress, upgraded 2026 guidance, closed the Boost sell‑off and set clear 2030 financial targets — shareholders get improved profitability, robust cash generation and a disciplined capital plan, with execution risk tied mainly to truck market cycles, FX and geopolitics.
Knorr-Bremse — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, ladies and gentlemen, and welcome to Knorr-Bremse's Conference Call for the Q1 2026 results. [Operator Instructions]
Let me now turn the floor over to the Head of Investor Relations, Andreas Spitzauer.
Thank you, operator. Good afternoon as well as good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I hope all of you are very fine. My name is Andreas Spitzauer, Head of Investor Relations, and I want to welcome you to Knorr-Bremse's presentation for the first quarter results of 2026.
Today, Marc Llistosella, our CEO; and Frank Weber, our CFO, will present the results of Knorr-Bremse, followed by a Q&A session. The conference call will be recorded and is available on our homepage in the Investor Relations portion. It is now my pleasure to hand over to Marc Llistosella. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Andreas. Ladies and gentlemen, warm welcome to our Capital Market call for the first quarter '26 results. We will keep it short today as it's a busy reporting day and our very good financial figures largely speak for themselves.
So let's start with the key takeaways for today on Page #2. At a time when global headlines are increasingly shaped by volatility, fragmentation and lack of long-term thinking, we see it as our responsibility to steer Knorr-Bremse with discipline and resilience. While the broader geopolitical environment remains fragile and unpredictable, we are focused on what we can control and on making prudent decisions in an environment where prudence has become the exception rather than the rule.
Overall, we made a very strong start into 2026. In fact, this marks our best first quarter in the past 5 years. Now we are there where we should have been for a long time, and this should be a starting point for an even brighter future.
In RVS, we recorded good order intake, which led to a record order backlog. The top and bottom line figures were broadly in line with our expectations, reflecting good customer demand and solid execution.
In CVS, margin recovery took off as always promised, driven by pricing discipline as well as stringent cost and efficiency measures. In addition, operational improvements and a more balanced market environment contributed to this achievement.
The results once again demonstrate the strength and resilience of our business model, which provides robustness even among ongoing geopolitical uncertainties. Given the ongoing crisis in the Middle East, let me briefly comment on this topic. Direct exposure of our business so far is rather limited.
Revenues from the Middle East account for less than 1% of the group revenues, and we have almost no direct supply from this region. That said, we continue to closely monitor potential effects, in particular with regards to our global supply chains.
While no major disruptions are currently visible, this remains an area of active attention. Both divisions have set up task forces to react fast if necessary. Overall, our business model has proven to be resilient in crisis. This is supported by a high revenue share from the aftermarket, well above 50% in RVS and close to 35% in CVS as well as high level of local production and local sourcing across major regions.
Both divisions also have a strong record when it comes to managing crises. Last but not least, we confirm the guidance for the full year 2026. On Slide 3, let me turn now to the market or coming to the market environment, starting with Rail on Page #3.
Overall demand in Rail remains robust. Orders books at our OEM customers continue to be very high and passengers business remains stronger than freight. In APAC, we saw a slight decline year-on-year, mainly driven by tough competition.
At the same time, demand increased in India and across the rest of Asia Pacific. In North America, passenger demand remained stable, while freight continues to be at low levels. Looking ahead to full year '26, the global rail market should stay robust, which then could lead to a book-to-bill ratio of 1 or slightly above.
In Europe, order intake should remain strong. In APAC, China is expected to decline year-on-year, which is only market-driven after some pent-up demand was met. On the other side, India should develop positively on a full year basis. In North America, passenger development is positive to partially compensate the still weak freight environment, resulting in a more balanced outlook.
Turning to the Truck market. Market developments in the first quarter were fully in line with expectations. Total truck production rates continue to show first signs of recovery. Europe was significantly higher year-on-year, while North America remained significantly lower, but with visible turnaround in demand.
In APAC, China was again significantly higher year-on-year. For '26, we expect continued positive demand for aftermarket and estimating regarding the truck production rates are fully in line with our OEM customers. This means truck production rate in Europe should be flattish. Price is slightly increasing.
North America is expected to be slightly higher. China should be flat year-over-year with a strong development in the first half of the year. Overall, global truck production rates are expected to be flat to slightly up year-over-year. But please keep in mind that it is too early to fully assess the full impact of the middle crisis -- Middle East crisis.
Over the past year, we have taken decisive actions to structurally adjust our cost base and further strengthen our resilience for both divisions, but even more for CVS. These measures, together with our robust pricing discipline and resilient aftermarket business, put us in a strong position, and we look forward to demonstrating the full earning potential of CVS as markets recover.
Slide 4. Let's now turn to the first quarter financials of '26. Order intake declined only slightly year-on-year, reaching a solid level of more than EUR 2.2 billion. Group revenues amounted to almost EUR 2 billion, representing an organic growth of 2% year-on-year with a strong contribution from CVS. From a regional point of view, APAC region, but also North America contributed to the revenue increase, while Europe reported a slight decline.
The operating EBIT margin was particularly pleasing in the first quarter. It improved across both divisions, supported by a strong aftermarket business, but also by positive operating leverage and the good execution of efficiency measures within our BOOST program.
As a result, operating EBIT margin increased by 140 basis points year-on-year and thus recorded its highest first quarter figure in 5 years. As I said, this is only back to normal from now on, we have to start through. Free cash flow amounted to EUR 32 million. This is very positive, well supported by good cash management and the increase of our profitability.
With these words, I would like now to hand over to Frank. He will provide us with even more details.
Thanks, Marc. And let's move to Page 5. Of course, we continue to invest in a disciplined manner. Capital expenditure increased moderately year-over-year to EUR 62 million, reflecting focused investments in maintenance and some growth opportunities.
Net working capital decreased to EUR 1.46 billion at the end of quarter 1. However, this number is influenced by the first-time inclusion of our recent duagon acquisition and the removal of our HVAC business classified as assets held for sale.
Scope of days, respectively, could be reduced by 4 days. Free cash flow amounted to a very solid EUR 32 million compared to EUR 15 million in the prior year quarter. Despite this very good start into '26, it is worth mentioning that quarter 1 is structurally always the weakest quarter in terms of free cash flow generation.
Against this backdrop, free cash flow is expected to develop solidly over the course of the year with its peak in quarter 4. At the same time, our return on capital employed could be nicely increased to 21% as well, driven foremost by a higher EBIT contribution. It clearly demonstrates the benefits of our portfolio rotation program and our BOOST efficiency measures.
Overall, we remain firmly committed to disciplined capital allocation while continuing to invest selectively into margin accretive growth. Let's take a closer look at the RVS performance on Page 6. Order intake in RVS remains resilient and reached EUR 1.26 billion in the first quarter, resulting in a book-to-bill clearly above 1 at almost 1.2 again. Rail demand overall remains strong on a high level and should continue throughout the whole year.
Based on the expected tenders in the market, we assume that order intake in the half year 1 will be stronger than in half year 2. For the current quarter, we also expect that RVS should be able to post a strong order intake being on a similar level compared with the quarter 1 figure. As usual, my reminder on Rail's order intake dynamics for you.
Please keep in mind that this is a lumpy project business, and it does not fit well into quarterly reporting structures. Order backlog increased by 7%, reaching a new record level with more than EUR 5.9 billion. The high order backlog and its good quality provides a solid foundation for '26 and beyond.
Let's move to Page 7. Quarter 1 revenues amounted to EUR 1.06 billion, a stable development year-over-year. In organic terms, revenues increased by 1% year-over-year. This level of growth was as planned, and it should accelerate in the quarters ahead. Our aftermarket business decreased foremost due to FX headwinds and normalization of pent-up demand in China.
In organic terms, it was almost flat year-over-year. The revenue share from aftermarket was solidly at 53%. On the other hand, the OE business increased by 6%, well supported by the European business, which led to a revenue share of 47% in the past quarter.
From a regional point of view, organic revenue growth in Europe and APAC fully compensated for the slowdown in North and South America. In Europe, good OE business more than made up for the slightly declining aftermarket revenues. North America recorded flat OE business, but had to face declining aftermarket business due to a tougher market environment as well as FX headwinds.
The APAC region saw an OE decline, while aftermarket was almost flat year-over-year. China posted, as expected, lower revenues in OE and aftermarket business solely FX headwind and market-driven after pent-up demand has been met. Operating EBIT margin recorded an increase of 90 basis points to 16.5% driven by operating leverage and even more benefits from our BOOST efficiency measures.
In a nutshell, our last quarter overall developed as expected. As a reminder, quarter 1 is always a weak quarter due to Chinese New Year and the typical aftermarket business weaker in North America. In the current quarter, we expect that revenues and profitability should see a solid increase quarter-over-quarter. And for the full year '26, the operating margin of RVS is expected to be around 17.5%.
Let's continue with the Truck division on Page 8. In a still challenging market environment, order intake reached EUR 964 million in the first quarter, resulting in a book-to-bill ratio of 1.1. This underlines solid demand, particularly driven by Europe following an exceptionally strong prior year quarter.
Regionally, Europe delivered solid order intake, albeit lower year-on-year due to the high comps in '25. In North America, order intake was impacted by significant FX headwinds. On an organic basis, orders were nearly stable, which was driven by declining inventories on the dealer side. In APAC, order intake increased significantly, mainly driven by China.
Order intake in the current quarter should be on a comparable level quarter-over-quarter. Our order book at almost EUR 1.9 billion at the end of March is only 2% below the previous year's level and slightly up organically.
Let's move on to Page 9, which really highlights how hard our teams have been working on and how measures and discipline can ultimately pay off. In the first quarter, revenues reached EUR 878 million. Organically, this corresponds to a growth of 3.6%, which is a very strong result given the challenging market environment, especially in North America.
On a reported basis, OE and aftermarket business declined 1% and 3%, respectively, for CVS in the past quarter year-over-year. Thereof, the OE business in CVS decreased, especially in North America, whereas Europe was almost -- was almost able to post a strong increase.
The APAC region was on a reported figures lower, but organically nicely up. Our aftermarket business was performing well in a demanding market environment and almost stable year-over-year. In the European market, our organic revenues have experienced a 6% increase, benefiting from solid demand in this region. Revenues in North America declined organically by only minus 3%, which was much better than the double-digit drop in truck production rate year-over-year.
Even more importantly, CVS delivered a very strong rebound in profitability. Operating EBIT increased significantly to EUR 101 million, and the EBIT margin improved to 11.5%, up 200 basis points compared with the prior year period. This represents a step-up change in earnings performance.
Our margin improvement is supported by several factors: the continued impact of our BOOST efficiency program, our positive operating leverage, the favorable regional mix and the higher aftermarket share.
To sum it up, these elements clearly demonstrate that CVS is structurally stronger today and much better positioned and as we lowered its breakeven point. In the current quarter, revenues should be flat and profitability is expected to be flat to slightly up quarter-over-quarter. On a full year basis, we expect organic revenues to grow low to mid-single digit compared with the reported figure for '25. As a result, CVS then should be able to reach an operating EBIT margin towards 12%.
With that, I hand over to Marc again.
Thank you, Frank. Now have a look on the guidance for the year 2026. We just confirm our outlook, our guidance generally based on the expectation that geopolitically and economically conditions remain largely stable.
Under the assumption that the crisis in the Middle East does not escalate or continue for a longer period, particularly with regard to supply chain disruptions, Knorr-Bremse continues to expect the revenues for the current year in the range of EUR 8 billion to EUR 8.3 billion, an operating margin of at least 14% and a free cash flow between EUR 750 million and EUR 850 million. These figures are based on the assumption that exchange rates will remain largely stable, and that means on the levels of February 2026.
With that, I would like to thank you for your attention so far, and we are now available for your questions from now on. Thank you.
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Gael de-Bray from Deutsche Bank.
2. Question Answer
Relatively slow start to the year that you had. I'm just wondering what was behind that? I mean, beyond maybe the comps in China. I mean did you have any supply chain issues in the quarter? Or was it just a phasing effect?
And I'm also wondering if the recent issues at one of your key customers in Europe, if their slower ramp-up has been or could become an issue for you as well at some point?
Thanks, Gael, for your question. I assume that you refer basically to RVS starting to the year because in the beginning, we couldn't hear you properly. So I'm referring a bit to RVS. I mean you know that in each and every country, we are positioned. We know the market to 100%.
We know basically give and take 100% of all the tenders that are out there, some pushouts here and there, but nothing spectacular. So that's just a market situation that we are facing and that is just the pattern of the project tenders in the market.
Nothing specific there, especially also not with the customer that you just pointed out. And if you -- I think you do it much more intense than I do, listen to what they have been saying, it's more or less a cost issue that they have than just a revenue syndrome.
So we don't see anything spectacular in that regard. We expect that our growth will accelerate going into the next quarters, and this is how we see it currently. So nothing erratic, spectacular.
So in terms of the acceleration you expect to see in Q2, I mean, what does that mean exactly sort of mid-single digit, you think you're going to be back to in the second quarter on an organic basis?
That's our direction. You know that for the full year, we have pointed towards roughly mid-single-digit kind of number. And if the first quarter is below, we should be in that ballpark, right?
Okay. And the second question from me is around the HVAC business. I mean, why is it taking so long to finalize the transaction?
Two things basically, Gael. I mean, first of all, we are as a general kind of disclaimer, we are not in a hurry. We, of course, have a plan how to have the final negotiations. It's an exclusivity that we are now in with a buyer. And we have to, first of all, make sure that we get a fair deal together, which includes a fair price. So we are in the final steps of the negotiation.
And secondly, and this is taking a bit of time on the buyer side, it's also about the proper financing, and we have to ensure as well that the business we sell doesn't end up ultimately in insufficient hands when it comes to the financing of that business going into the future, and that is a bit the situation, I would say, the last 2 things that we are currently discussing.
Okay. Understood. And then the margin guidance for RVS of 17.5%, I mean, does it include the deconsolidation of the HVAC business at some point during the year, maybe either Q3 or Q4?
Again, like we said in February, talking about the full year guidance, we said we could be slightly above that number if for a quite significant time of the year, a deconsolidation of HVAC would happen.
We would be maybe slightly below 17.5% if it wouldn't happen. So I would say, give and take, midpoint of both premises is kind of 17.5%. Maybe it's 17.65% in the best case and 17.35% or something like that in a case where HVAC would stick with us. So give and take, 17.5%, we feel pretty comfortable to get to that number.
The next question comes from Sven Weier from UBS.
The first one is around the strategy update in July because you just talked about that you focus on the things that you have under control, especially in the BOOST program. So I mean, I was just wondering, should we expect like a BOOST 2 program here that should accompany the midterm margin improvement? Or will you much more on the last -- than in the last program rely more on the top line growth? That's the first one.
Thank you for that question. It's a good question. And you're right. In July, we will introduce a new program. You can guess that this has to do more with growth and with cost cuttings. But one thing is very important, and that's also for internal communication. BOOST is not over. It will not be over for the next 5 years to come because BOOST is becoming attitude.
And even I'm very proud of what the team has reached, there is a lot of potential to be done in the next years to come when it comes to cost and efficiency. It's not done. It's good. It's good on the way, but it's not done. But now the question is where are we growing, how we attract also investors, how do we attract also top talents to come because only restructuring is not enough.
And this is why we decided now, now the ship is leaner. We are more agile and now we can go for the next, I would say, targets to aim. And that's exactly what we do. We expect also an inorganic but also an organic growth potential. And this is why we already started from January this year on the next program, which will be then officially announced.
It has something with growth, yes, and it has something with beyond. And that's exactly what we do. And we have to tell you then latest in July, by end of July, what do we mean with that, where do we want to go, what kind of potentials we see.
But one thing is also for sure, we are going only for areas which are really contributing to us and not making us slower. So everything what is not an add-on will not be considered. It has to be an add-on in terms of technology, in terms of profitability and in terms of speed.
Very clear. And the second question from me also relates to what you just said on the inorganic part because I think from a capital market point of view, your entry into signaling kind of makes sense, but also especially if there's a chance that there are kind of follow-on transactions that make this part of the business a more significant value driver.
And I would say probably the same on the electronics side. So would you say -- I mean, would you agree with that, that it only makes sense to enter certain segments if there's also the potential for follow-ups and to make this a real business that moves the needle?
Because I think that's what we're all curious about. I mean, is there still things in the pipeline, for example, on signaling that you can kind of assure us that kind of follow-up transactions are generally possible.
You understand better than everybody else. If I would now be more specific, I would ruin my own prices, and that's exactly what I won't do. So also in your favor, in all our favors, I will be not so specific, but whatever you said, I can't disagree.
The next question comes from Daniela Costa from Goldman Sachs.
It's actually Meihan here. I just have 2 questions. So firstly, on China. Maybe just to confirm, like you said on the opening remarks that you're seeing a tough competition in APAC. Is that mainly in China that you're seeing more aggressive step-up from local players?
And if you could give us an update on the progress of China high-speed rail tendering for next generation? And does the change in the regional outlook in China reflect a more cautious view about the future opportunity to regain some market share in China? And I'll ask my follow-up.
Meihan, I think, first of all, I think it was Gael or Sven, I think it was Gael, who mentioned about tough comps in China and not a tough competition. So we didn't highlight and we don't see any competitive edge somehow rising or increasing.
I think it's just a misunderstanding. Please correct me if I'm wrong because we don't see anything in that regard. The situation there has not changed. And second part, Marc wants to take. So I hand over to...
I try to be as honest and clear with you as possible. In the past, especially until 2024, we were a little bit in a defense mode. And in 2024, we asked our Chinese colleagues and also the local management, is this now what we have to expect from China so that we can only defend our position and try to make -- you call it the golden tail or something like that, that's for the afterservice business, we have a very good position. And for the next years, we will be still there.
And we had a very, very good discussion. And by end of 2024, the local management said, can we stop speaking about defense? Can we just go on offense? And we said, okay, what do you need for offense? And they said very clearly, we have to be more agile in China.
We have to be more closer to the customer. We have to get a little bit more independent from Munich because whatever you develop, it's nice, but eventually, it's not as quick enough as we need it here in China. And we need to have -- we have to take a little bit more risks.
And for the last 1.5 years, this is exactly what we do. And that means I spoke about it that we are -- since years, I think 8 years, we are now considered for the high-speed trains again, which we were not.
We are seen as agile. We are more and more asked. We are more and more involved in international tenders when Chinese companies are going to be considered. And that shows us that being in China, try to be more Chinese, try to be more aggressive, and that is what we mean with competition. We have to take the competition from China.
We have to take it home. We have to see that our cycles in development are taking too long. It's not only rail, it's also truck. And we have to be aware we should not shy away from it. We should not take a position of defense. We should take a position of offense.
And that's exactly what we do. We empower China more than ever. We hire people in China, especially when it comes to engineering. We give them more degrees of freedom. They can make more calls by themselves. They don't -- they are light, but they can do a lot of things by themselves.
We are also interested and for the last months, it is going very, very well in this direction to cooperate with young Chinese companies when it comes to electronics and software programming and engineering. And that makes me and us very, very optimistic when we speak about China because we have a complete shift of paradigms.
We are no longer the old European German company defending their territory. We are becoming more agile and we can hopefully utilize and leverage this kind of learnings also for the rest of the world.
Got it. Very helpful. And my second question is just on aftermarket service for CVS as you are trying to expand more into the aftermarket for trucks market, would this mean any competition for the truck OEMs of your customers? Or would it just be still more focusing on the second-handed owners of the trucks?
It's less the substitution more complementary because our customers are brand exclusive. We are not brand exclusive. And in service, brand exclusivity is good for the first 2, 3 years, as you rightly said.
But after 3 years, brand exclusivity is more a negative thing. So what we're building is we build an ecosystem where we do not discriminate any brand. We do not differentiate any brand. We do not differentiate between captive owned workshops and non-captive owned workshops.
So I think the independent workshops in China and in Europe, they are very, very liberal in terms of taking support from whoever is most capable to support you. And exactly this openness is here one of the key success factors. The more you're in one brand, the less you can cover the market.
And the next question comes from Vivek Midha from Citibank.
Hope you can hear me well. My first question is around the margin in CVS, a really good print, 11.5%, up slightly sequentially from the fourth quarter of 2025. And I'm looking ahead to the full year, you talked about moving the margin towards 12%. And among your assumptions is still slightly higher truck production in North America.
Now some market participants and observers have been talking about even better than that potentially. So could you maybe talk about the sensitivities of your assumptions on CVS margin in the coming quarters and year to assumptions around the truck production rate?
Thanks, Vivek, for taking basically every word serious that we are saying. Yes, indeed, I mean, even once you start into the year in a quarter with 11.5% in order to reach then 12% for the full year requires you to reach more than 12% in some of the quarters.
And that's why we've been there a bit, so to say, expecting growth in profitability over the quarters to come and to end up definitely towards the end of the year with a margin that is above 12%. That's one clear statement. Second clear statement is, of course, I mean, yes, the expectations and the work that's going around in regards to North America has been quite more on the bullish side since several months now.
If you look at the sheer truck production rates in the months of January, February, okay, there was some bad weather here and there, but they haven't been so great, even below 20,000 units a month. And we basically, as Marc also said in the beginning and which is basically the cornerstone of BOOST, we try to deal with what we can influence, and we can influence our cost structure and our market presence in a given market.
And if that market becomes a bit better, like you said, like with some of the -- what the other OEMs are saying, then we're happy to take the operating leverage. The operating leverage that you can expect from us is on top to everything that we indicate some 20% to 25% EBIT conversion out of what's the market holding up for us in the future that we don't see yet. So that's how I would see the situation, Vivek.
There's something to add, which I think for you is more important, not more important, but also is equally important. We have managed ourselves with truck in the year '23 and '24 in a breakeven territory of 71%, 72%. And now we have managed ourselves back in a territory with 65%, 66%. So we improved our cost situation by 600 basis points.
So the breakeven is now giving us the comfort that we finally can leverage a slight increase of revenue because when you compare the numbers of '25 to '26, the revenue is nearly stable, yes. Okay, you can say adjustment of the exchange rate, blah, blah, blah.
But at the end of the day, we are reaching finally what we always aimed with a stable revenue, we can finally leverage our improved cost position. And that is also very important because finally, we reached it, and you remember it because I said it again and again, per employee, we have reached in the first quarter 2026, EUR 300,000 per employee.
And you remember, in '23, we started at 250, 260 with trucks. And this improvement is now giving us -- this is confirming what we are doing. This is what we do. And we have to do the same with Rail. And I'm very honest, in Rail, we are not at this position currently. We have a lower breakeven, yes.
That is always -- this is the rail-ish character of the business. This is more in the range of 60%, never in the range of 70%. But when it comes to personnel expenses, this ratio is much, much more -- it's much higher. So in Truck, we have reached a personnel expense ratio of below 20%. We were at 22%, 23% 2 years ago.
And that is that the productivity, not only of the capital, we have always this capital, return on capital employed, return on equity, so capital numbers, scope of days. But the question more and more is not only the capital, it's all what do you get from your employees.
And there is the first time, I'm very proud of that. We reached the EUR 300,000. We finally reached it, and we reached it 1 year earlier than we thought. And immediately, you see it on the margin. If you can keep this EUR 300,000 for the rest of the year, then it is clear whatever happens in America, North America or even other markets will immediately have an impact on our EBIT margin. And that is what we always aim for. So far, we were really in a defense mode. Now we can finally leverage what we do.
That's clear. My second question is around duagon. It's now closed. It's in the numbers. I was curious, what are your impressions of the business, now it's closed? Are you as confident on the growth in margin trajectory? And as a bit of housekeeping, I noticed that the M&A contribution to the RVS EBIT was about EUR 3 million. It would be just helpful if you could break out how much integration cost you had in the quarter, just so we can look at the underlying margin at duagon.
Yes. Thanks, Vivek. Yes, you're right, we are showing the numbers of duagon basically in the M&A bridge. And we are in the midst of the PMI process. What we see is what we thought we would get, and that's perfectly fine. We know that not every part of the business of duagon is perfect.
Some are excellent, some are okay-ish. And we are working on those parts where they are not excellent yet. The integration, as I said, is ongoing. integration costs in the third quarter (sic) [ first quarter ], I would say, are minor, yes, included, but minor.
And also, they have a similar seasonality like we also have in the business. So also there, first quarter is usually the weakest. So we expect also their acceleration of results when it comes to the further quarters ahead. We -- you know that we have outlined our financial guardrails for M&A acquisitions, and we had those already when we did the duagon deal.
So expect we still -- and we still expect that we can come with that business to an EBIT margin of 16%, but not in the first quarter or second quarter, but they would -- they should be growing over the time following a certain seasonality.
You can come already with the signaling business in America, which we bought.
Signaling, as you know, we have also completely fulfilled the expectations on the -- not only the growth, but also the profitability side on the signaling business in North America. We have done more than 18% of return in the last year for the signaling business. So we don't expect there to have really any issue on the duagon side.
Next questioner is Akash Gupta from JPMorgan.
My first one is on RVS. And here, if we look at your aftermarket revenues, the share was 52.5% in Q1, down from 55.4%. And despite this weak mix by having higher equipment or project revenues, you still managed to improve your margin by 90 basis points. So maybe can you talk about the drivers behind higher profitability despite lower services, which were down year-on-year? So that's first one.
And second one is on CVS. You mentioned that your North American revenues were down 3% against truck production rate down double digit in Q1. And I appreciate there may be some price increases in aftermarket growth dynamics. But can you say how does your overall volumes on new production compared to TPR? And are you gaining any market share in North American market?
I think they are still on mute.
I didn't do anything. Sorry, I was already answering and then I was told I'm on mute there. Akash, let me start with RVS maybe first. Obviously, we have gained also revenue in Europe, our stronghold. It's the biggest market for us, and we have a positive product mix effect out of the European products compared to some other products that we see, for example, in the classical North American business.
So definitely, it's a product mix effect that we have then out of the sheer volume, so to say, excluding FX, we have also operating leverage, of course. And as Marc also said, let's not forget, even though we talk more often about truck, we have also improved the cost position on the rail side, even maybe if it's not that obvious because we usually talk about other drivers of the RVS business, but also the guys in RVS have improved their cost position.
So that's pretty clear. And those 3 ingredients basically led to that situation that we have improved the margin.
And again, just another highlight because Marc also asked me to point out on signaling as an example here, another mix effect in a certain market is, for example, that we improved the profitability even significantly when it comes to the signaling business in North America despite the fact that some freight business is minus year-over-year or quarter-over-quarter.
CVS, indeed a bit of a tricky situation, I would say, when it comes to the market, a bit of, I would say, rather good demand or at hindsight, some great expectations in regards to how the market would be going.
Ultimately, it was -- the market was not that favorable. The market itself in North America, and you are referring a bit, so to say, to the content per vehicle kind of logic. The market has been really weak, extremely weak. We have been producing or the truck market had only a production of 54,000 trucks, heavy-duty trucks, Class 8 and the production number in the first quarter of '25 was 73,000 trucks. So the market was down from 73,000 units to 54,000 units, keep those numbers in mind.
At the same time, our organic revenue in truck in North America only declined by minus 3%. Do I say now with that, that the whole delta between minus 20-something percent on the market side and revenue of minus 3% only is all content per vehicle.
No, of course, there is also some other aspects in like you mentioned, we did some price increases. Yes, of course. But that's the situation. So we have shown good content per vehicle there. We have shown, yes, some price increases, but not only on the aftermarket side, also on the OE side.
Keep in mind, for example, tariff charge-throughs to some of the customers, which didn't occur in the first quarter of '25. All those ingredients together led to that great situation or that great resilience, I would call it, in North America.
So maybe your market share, can we say it's more stable and not changing a lot?
Yes. Yes, absolutely.
And the last question comes from Alex Jones from Bank of America.
If I can start on CVS as well. You indicated sales sort of flat into this quarter, but with orders solid in Q1, the order trajectory in Q2 sounds good and OEMs have talked about increasing production rates, especially in North America, but also to some extent in Europe. Is there anything holding back a pickup in sales in Q2 in that business?
We are just to confirm orders. We would have also taken in the first quarter orders above EUR 1 billion. So we have not limited ourselves just a joke aside, sorry for that.
But I mean, I hear all this enthusiasm that's outspoken. And we, of course, also hear from the customers they have just placed the orders, there's nothing that's hindering us nor the systems nor our production capacity.
We are ready as far as the market is. And as we all know, also some of the arguments would be around some EPA pre-buy happening in the second half of the year, which we believe as well in order to do so, given a certain lead time that you would have on the OEM side should be kind of now or never, that orders would be coming in, and that's why we're also pretty conservatively optimistic, let's put it this way, what's coming in the second quarter and the third quarter ahead of us. Nothing holding us back.
And then the second one, just cognizant of your comments around the Middle East at the start and potentially a little bit more inflation in the system. Could you just remind us on the rail side of the business and clearly, you have longer-term orders there, how you manage cost inflation on orders that are currently in the backlog?
Yes. So generally, we have altogether in this world learned a lot about the timing when high inflation came back in '22. And we have, let's say, gone through thoroughly all the contracts on the CVS as well as on the RVS side, all contracts with the customers for respective projects, and we have tightened them.
We have more price sliding clauses than we had before. We have more, so to say, material scope in the respective price sliding clauses than we had before those days. Basically, in the old days, it was the usual suspects of raw materials like cast, iron, steel, aluminum and all that stuff.
And we have broadened that range of what we could charge through after a certain time. We have also reduced the lead time of when we would be able to charge things back a bit. So we are in a better position than we have been some 3 years ago, and that's why there would always be a certain time lag, but we have bettered our situation quite significantly since that days, and that what makes us pretty comfortable going into the future with those effects.
That concludes the Q&A. I hand back to Knorr-Bremse for closing words.
Thanks a lot for all the questions. And if you have further questions, please reach out to the Investor Relations team, and we wish you a great afternoon. Thanks and bye.
Knorr-Bremse — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Knorr-Bremse — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Knorr-Bremse starts 2026 with momentum: solid sales, margin lift, and a strong backlog.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Order intake: EUR >2.2B; roughly flat vs. prior year; book-to-bill about 1.2
- Revenue: EUR ~2.0B; organic growth +2% YoY
- Margin: operating margin +140 bps YoY; highest Q1 in 5 years
- Free cash flow: EUR 32M; solid cash management
- Backlog: RVS backlog > EUR 5.9B; up about 7% YoY
🎯 What Management Says
- BOOST & growth: BOOST remains core; a new growth-focused program will be announced by end-July, pairing organic and inorganic growth; BOOST becomes an attitude, not finished
- China strategy: shift from defense to offense; more agile, closer to customers, greater local autonomy and collaboration with domestic tech
- Capital allocation: disciplined, selective M&A; ongoing integration of recent acquisitions; focus on add-on technologies and profitability
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Outlook: 2026 revenue guidance EUR 8.0–8.3B; operating margin at least 14%; free cash flow EUR 750–850M; middle East risk and supply-chain disruption cited as key risks
- RVS margin target: around 17.5% for the year; potential upside if HVAC deconsolidates; FX assumptions largely stable vs February 2026
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Q2 momentum: management expects organic growth to accelerate into Q2/Q3, aiming for mid-single-digit full-year growth
- HVAC deconsolidation: timing could slightly shift RVS margin; a significant deconsolidation could edge the margin higher or lower around the 17.5% target
- BOOST 2 & growth plan: July program will address growth and value creation; inorganic options under consideration; only add-ons that boost profitability and speed are pursued
⚡ Bottom Line
Solid start to 2026 with margin expansion, a record backlog, and solid cash generation. Guidance is reaffirmed, with potential upside from HVAC deconsolidation and a new growth-focused program on the horizon; main risks remain Middle East developments and supply-chain volatility.
Knorr-Bremse — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon as well as good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I hope all of you are very fine. My name is Andreas Spitzauer, Head of Investor Relations, and I want to welcome you to Knorr-Bremse's presentation for the full year preliminary results of 2025. Today, Marc Llistosella, our CEO; and Frank Weber, our CFO, will present the results followed by a Q&A session. The event will be recorded and is available on our homepage in the Investor Relations section afterwards.
It is now my pleasure to hand over to Marc Llistosella. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Andreas. Ladies and gentlemen, I'm pleased that you are participating in the capital market call on our preliminary results for 2025. The most important news first. Despite geopolitical uncertainties, we were once again able to steer Knorr-Bremse successfully through a challenging year. Thanks for the stringent execution of our BOOST measures and the dedication and expertise of our colleagues worldwide; we strengthened existing businesses, developed new areas of growth during demanding times.
Let's go to Page #2. We are reporting strong financial results today. Fiscal year 2025 clearly demonstrates Knorr-Bremse's excellence and resilience once again. With our BOOST strategy, we have delivered what we have announced. Phase 1 is almost completed, creating a more stronger and cleaner cost base. This now enables us to clearly shift the focus towards accelerating margin accretive growth. BOOST Phase 2 centers on growth and expansion while maintaining strict cost discipline. This means BOOST and the regained efficiency are not over as management culture is here to stay and a permanent part of how we run and steer our business.
Our Rail Division delivered strong margin accretive growth and reached its midterm target margin 1 year earlier. We promised the numbers and we see it already 1 year ahead. RVS now represents around 55% of total group revenues so we've become more railish as indicated in the past. At the same time, CVS showed disciplined cost management, solid performance despite a tough truck market backdrop. A great achievement by our truck colleagues. In total, we achieved our full year '25 guidance and have issued a solid '26 outlook in line with our existing midterm targets from the past. We will provide an update on new midterm targets together with the release of our quarter 2 results end of July this year.
Ladies and gentlemen, let us now take a quick look at our guidance for last year on Page 3. We were able to achieve all of our targets; including revenues, EBIT margin and free cash flow. The strong order book, the strong cash conversion rate and the low leverage underpin these results and confirm our strong resilience. We are in top financial shape ready to continue with our BOOST strategy from a position of strength. I'm very pleased that we are able to present such convincing results today. They are a clear proof that our collective efforts over the past years have paid off.
Let me continue with more details of our BOOST program on Page 4. When we launched BOOST in the summer of 2023, our ambition was clear: to make Knorr-Bremse faster, more efficient and structurally stronger again. Two years later, the benefits of the program have become clearly visible in our financial results. The consistent execution of sell-it and fix-it measures have delivered tangible margin expansion driven by a lower breakeven. BOOST is firmly anchored in value creation. Every initiative is designed to contribute to profitability, which remains our top priority.
With the brownfield part very well advanced, we are now transitioning into the next stage of BOOST. In 2026 and beyond, the focus of the whole management team will clearly shift towards greenfield initiatives, accelerating margin accretive growth and expansion while maintaining the operational discipline we have built. As a result, we expect the company to continue benefiting strongly from BOOST in '26 both through sustained efficiency gains and an increasing contribution from margin accretive growth initiatives.
Let me now turn to our sell-it program on Page 5. Overall, we are close to complete all key actions. The sales process for our HVAC business is advanced and we are fully committed to sell the business if we can realize a fair value. Therefore, we prefer a long-term and sustainable solution instead of a hasty action. We are not a forced seller and we will never be. HVAC is classified as an asset held for sale on the balance sheet. The sell-it program is only 1 side of the coin. Over the past years, we have so far divested businesses and units with revenues of more than EUR 400 million and an average EBIT margin of well below 5%.
Once the HVAC business is sold, it will make up to EUR 750 million in total as promised and as said in 2023. On the other side, we have added businesses with revenues of roughly EUR 600 million, generating margins of 15% or above. This is our definition of portfolio optimization, respectively, portfolio rotation. In other words, we have deliberately exited lower margin activities and reinvested capital into higher quality, more profitable growth platforms. Our motivation behind this strategy is very clear and remains a top priority, creating shareholder value by continuously improving the quality, profitability and growth profile of Knorr-Bremse.
Let me now turn to fix-it and our efficiency measures on Page 6. Over the past years, we have made very solid progress in improving key financials. For me and the whole management team, keeping fixed costs under tight control remains and is very important. This is not a one-off exercise. It is a permanent discipline for us. We are permanently monitoring our fix-it businesses and drive them into improved performance. The breakeven, respectively, the control of our fixed cost is particularly important to me. In the past, it suffered from revenue headwinds in countries like China, Russia and it was impacted by high inflation.
This is, therefore, very important to us as a management team to regain this financial flexibility and strength. So far, we have already been able to improve the breakeven by 4 percent points or 400 basis points. In our internal business reviews, I therefore explicitly challenged the operating units on cost structures and efficiency. Frank in parallel places a strong focus on cash flow generation. This combination has proven to be very effective. Our persistence has clearly paid off. Over the last 3 years, we have reduced headcount by more than 2,400 people, of which only 1/4 was achieved through divestments and the majority through real reduction measures with particularly strong progress in the CVS division so far.
In addition, the migration of operating activities to lower-cost countries in our major regions such as Hungary, Poland and India is already well advanced. Importantly, cost optimization goes far beyond administrative functions. We are systematically adjusting our operational footprint across engineering, production, R&D, service activities and purchase in order to achieve an optimized strategic global footprint. At the same time, we have established global shared service hubs in all major regions and are doubling down on those. These hubs are already delivering tangible benefits.
Overall, fix-it has made a meaningful contribution to margin expansion, cash flow improvement and return on capital employed enhancement of 20.2% -- at 22.8% of Knorr-Bremse. And let me be very clear, fix-it is not finished. Efficiency and cost discipline will remain an integral part of how we run Knorr-Bremse going forward. Let me briefly outline the strategic logic behind how we intend to develop Knorr-Bremse in the coming years. The main focus of our greenfield strategy is to drive revenue growth and margin expansion beyond historical levels.
Our portfolio strategy remains clearly anchored in rail and truck combined with opportunities in adjacent and other existing growth areas. The rail industry provides very attractive profit pools. As a result, future organic and inorganic investments will take place more in rail going further. Wayside signaling is an interesting segment strengthening our sustainable margin accretive growth. In truck, mobility as a service via our CVS service platform represents another greenfield pillar. Here, we are evolving towards a technology-enabled solution partner and we are systematically expanding digital and service-based aftermarket solutions, a market that is just emerging in trucks.
In energy technologies, we are building on our existing nucleus to explore attractive opportunities in intelligent grid solutions and the field of energy distribution not in a rush, but step-by-step and accretive. Beyond our core, we are selectively analyzing and developing additional growth fields like dampers and electronics business. Green technologies are still at a very early stage for Knorr-Bremse, for example, supporting our existing but small Reman business.
Overall, our ambition is to put Knorr-Bremse on several strong profit pools to reduce cyclicality and grow profitability. Let me be very clear. To be part of Knorr-Bremse, every business must meet its target margin. This discipline is central to create long-term shareholder value, an important part of our financial guardrails regarding M&A.
Let me now turn to signaling on Page 8. Signaling itself is clearly a success story for Knorr-Bremse so far. We acquired a good asset and made it even stronger. KB Signaling is well integrated and it is a market leader in an attractive segment, which can be seen in the favorable growth prospects. Over the past year, our focus was deliberately on cleaning up the project portfolio of KB Signaling. This led to a slight decline in revenues, but significantly improved the quality and risk profile of the business. At the same time, we reduced the cost base through targeted staffing optimization. With this groundwork completed, our focus is now firmly on profitable growth.
We aim to defend and further strengthen our market leadership in the United States and to expand into markets that have adopted U.S. rail standards such as Australia and South America. In Europe, we have extended our signaling footprint through the acquisition of duagon, strengthening our electronics and system capabilities. Beyond organic growth, we also remain open to selective nonorganic investments to further expand our European activities in signaling. Overall, our objective is clear to build a global high-quality wayside signaling portfolio and to fully capture the attractive growth potential of this market.
Moving please to Page 9. Let me now turn to energy, which at first glance may appear less obvious for a company noted and rooted in rail and truck braking systems. However, there are 2 very clear reasons why this field is highly relevant and interesting for Knorr-Bremse. First, energy is not new to us. For Zelisko, we have been active as a Tier 1 supplier in the European and American energy distribution market for more than 50 years. Together with Microelettrica in Milan, we already generate meaningful revenues in this segment today and the business is both growing and highly profitable.
Second, the European energy market is currently undergoing profound changes. Investments in grid modernization, intelligent power distribution and network management are increasing and demand for smart reliable solutions is high. Given our long-term standing, customer relationships and technical expertise; we see a clear opportunity to benefit from this development. Currently, we are screening this market globally and are interested in opportunistic moves. We are responding to increasing demand and concrete requests from our existing customers in the areas we are already in. Our approach is, therefore, deliberate and disciplined.
We intend to expand our positioning in energy technologies step-by-step through organic investments and being open to selective M&A opportunities, always fully aligned with our strict financial guardrails. In this way, energy represents a value-accretive extension of our portfolio by reducing cyclicality and cyclical dependency and support sustainable margin accretive growth over time. Our CVS service platform addresses the truck aftermarket for primarily digital solutions, a segment that is structurally outgrowing the OE market and offers a more attractive margin profile. We call it the truck aftermarket ecosystem.
We are already well positioned with Cojali providing a strong base in diagnostics, data and workshop solutions. Cojali generates annual revenues of more than EUR 130 million with a very, very attractive EBIT margin. We are now accelerating our expansion in truck services with TRAVIS at the core of the CVS service platform. We are bundling services that are essential for fleet operators, but which are not part of their core transportation businesses. Over time this will include services such as repair, parking, charging enabled by TRAVIS as an asset-light data-driven platform.
Together with TRAVIS [indiscernible], we are at the start of being a digital solution partner in the truck aftermarket, strengthening the CVS ecosystem and expanding Cojali's opportunities. Overall, this is a strong strategic fit for our Truck Division; high growth, attractive margin, asset light, scalability and a higher share of revenues less depending on cycles. And this is exactly what BOOST Greenfield stands for: building new growth platforms in structurally attractive markets that enhance the quality, resilience and growth profile of Knorr-Bremse's portfolio.
2025 was a good year for Knorr-Bremse. Let me briefly highlight the key points. In Rail, we secured several important contracts. Siemens Mobility awarded us an order covering braking systems and for the first time a coupling system for 90 lightweight trains for the Munich SVA. In China, we contributed to growth with CRRC, supplying equipment for more than 1,000 metro cars in major cities as well as technologies for around 150 trains complemented by export orders, including braking systems for over 100 locomotives for Kazakhstan.
We also entered India first high-speed rail project for an equipment initially with BEML initially equipping 2 prototype trains. Beyond that, with the opening of our new artificial intelligence center in Chennai, we are continuing our global digitalization strategy and also strengthening our presence in India. Just a few days ago, we laid the foundation stone for a new site there, which will be built over the next 1.5 years. In the future, we will bundle engineering production capacities here for both divisions together with a capacity of more than 3,500 people long term.
Digitalization in rail freight was another highlight. In the U.K., we signed a long-term agreement with VTG Rail U.K. for the supply of at least 2,000 freight control sentinel wagon sets; improving safety, availability, efficiency and infrastructure use. In simple words, we make freight trains smart. We make them smart for the first time and after more than 100 years. In Truck, we extended a major contract with a leading OEM for 200,000 electronic leveling control system while continuing to expand our digital aftermarket business. The extension of Nico Lange and my personal contract are further strong signals of continuity and stability.
It reflects the confidence in the leadership team together with all my colleagues, a strong collaboration across the organization and a shared commitment to long-term value creation. Together, this provides a solid foundation for Knorr-Bremse continued success and a very promising future. Deliberately leverage the benefits of artificial intelligence, we are now further advancing our AI transformation together with strong partners like Amazon Web Services. Our objective is to build a new operating model for the company over the long term powered by high-performance AI agents. This is an exciting initiative for which we are shaping the digital future of Knorr-Bremse, enabling us to become faster, more agile and more efficient.
Let us now take a look at the current market situation for rail and truck as well as our market expectations for the current year. Starting with rail. The overall picture remains very robust and continues to be our least concern within the group. Underlying demand is strong across all regions supported by high order books at OEMs and our customers. There has been no material change in market fundamentals and we expect a full year book-to-bill ratio around 1 or slightly higher. In Europe, demand remains solid with passenger rail continuing to outperform freight, which is still somewhat softer.
Same picture for North America where the passenger business continues to more than compensate for the still subdued freight environment. The APAC region continues to develop at a high and stable level. After good growth driven by increased ridership and pent-up demand, the Chinese rail market should normalize this year. On the other hand, we are quite convinced and we get clear indications to be part of a new rail platform in China in the future.
Turning to the truck markets. The market picture overall has improved compared to 3 months ago although regional differences remain pronounced. In North America while the market is still at a low level, we are now seeing first signs of stabilization. Orders activities and customer sentiment have improved sequentially suggesting that the market may be starting to bottom out. For 2026, we expect slightly increasing demand year-over-year. That said, uncertainties remain and we continue to assume a gradual recovery rather than a sharp rebound with half year 2 expected to develop better than half year 1 in North America. The European truck production rate should continue its positive momentum seen in '25 and it should slightly grow in '26.
I would now like to hand over to Frank, who will outline the preliminary financial figures for you.
Thanks, Marc. A big welcome also from my side. I would say let's first turn to Chart 13 to discuss the financials for the full year at first. Knorr-Bremse generated total revenues of almost EUR 8 billion, a strong figure and slightly up in organic terms. On a divisional level, RVS more than compensated for the tough truck market development especially in North America this year. From a regional point of view, Europe and APAC contributed to the organic revenue increase while North America reported a decline. The improvement in our operating EBIT margin was driven by a strong contribution from Rail supported by an attractive regional mix and good aftermarket in general.
Together with our operating leverage and structural initiatives from the BOOST efficiency program, this led to a 70 basis points increase in the group operating margin to 13%. Rail achieved its midterm target ahead of schedule with 16.5% while CVS successfully fought against the very challenging truck market and achieved a resilient and stable EBIT margin of 10.4% despite the weak market situation in our stronghold North America. Order intake and backlog also achieved great results, 6% and 8% up year-over-year on organic level.
These developments once more demonstrate KB's outstanding position in both markets and provide a great backbone for future growth. The very strong cash flow is again one of the major highlights of '25. We were able to generate EUR 790 million in free cash flow, a new record on operating level, which resulted in an improved cash conversion rate of 131%. Looking at these superior full year results, I would like to also thank all our colleagues, business partners and customers for their great collaboration and dedication in '25. Let's continue this year and support KB to become even stronger.
Let's now focus on our balance sheet on Chart 14. A core pillar of our financial policy is and remains the fostering of our superior financial profile. This strong financial foundation has proven its value over recent years and continues to provide a high degree of flexibility. This enabled us to achieve our strategic objectives and operational needs while managing -- at the same time, managing the cycles of the market dynamics. A robust equity base continues to be a key priority for us. At year-end '25, Knorr-Bremse reported an equity of almost EUR 3.2 billion corresponding to an increase and very solid equity ratio of 36%.
Our liquidity decreased to around EUR 1.7 billion solely driven by the repayment of our last year's bond maturity of EUR 750 million. Looking at the real operational effect, liquidity increased by nearly 15%. Our net debt, therefore, declined by 31% to a very healthy EUR 627 million. This was strongly driven by the repayment of the beforementioned bond translating into a strong and comfortable net debt-to-EBITDA ratio just below 0.5. As a result, KB's credit ratings of A3 and A- remain at a very solid level with stable outlooks underscoring the resilience and strength of our financial balance sheet.
Let's move to Chart 15. CapEx amounted to EUR 319 million corresponding to 4.1% of revenues. In absolute terms, capital expenditures declined by EUR 30 million year-over-year. This development is fully in line with our strategy to optimize CapEx spending to a level of 4% to 5%. Net working capital in operating terms declined by EUR 85 million year-over-year with an annual reduction of more than 3 days resulting in a once again improved net working capital efficiency year-over-year. This sustained progress reflects the continued success of our collect program, delivering improvements across all key net working capital drivers, especially inventories and trade receivables.
Importantly, these efficiency gains were achieved while maintaining the highest level of supply reliability for our customers, which is our clear priority. Since end of last year, we have accounted HVAC under IFRS as asset held for sale. Driven by higher EBIT and continued improvements in capital efficiency, ROCE increased by 200 basis points to 22.8%. This demonstrates disciplined asset input and utilization while simultaneously increasing our profitability in absolute terms.
I would like to provide more details regarding our free cash flow on Chart 16. We improved the free cash flow sequentially last year reaching EUR 471 million in the last quarter alone. Overall, the free cash flow came in at EUR 790 million on a full year level, a new record and the best operating figure in 120 years of KB. The increase was supported by stronger EBIT generation, disciplined capital expenditures and the successful execution of our persistently lowering net working capital. As a result, we delivered broad-based improvement across all the key drivers.
The cash conversion rate remained at a superb level reflecting our ability to effectively translate earnings into cash once more. In '25, it reached 131% in operating terms, which is an extraordinary figure even well above last year's level. If you include the one-off effects of around EUR 80 million for the severance packages in '25, the cash conversion rate would have even been at 138%.
Let's move to Chart 17. We continued our way to strengthen KB's sustainability performance to identify efficiency potentials and increase resilience in our operations and supply chain. Our sustainability strategy continues to deliver measurable progress across all dimensions. Since 2018, we have reduced Scope 1 and 2 CO2 emissions by 79%, keeping us fully on track to achieve our 2030 climate target of 75% reduction. Despite market-driven revenue headwinds, our emission intensity has slightly improved year-over-year while self-produced renewable power increased by 41%, further strengthening our energy resilience.
From both a regulatory and financial standpoint, EU taxonomy aligned revenues show a slight increase primarily driven by comparatively higher RVS business. This progress is supported by a very strong external validation, including the first allocation and impact report for our green bond, the leading ESG ratings and multiple sustainability awards we achieved.
Let's turn to Chart 18 to discuss the financial highlights of the fourth quarter. Order intake was strong with almost EUR 2 billion with a strong organic growth of almost 6%, which was well supported by trucks. A book-to-bill ratio of 1 again is important and good support for our future capacity utilization. Our revenues almost amounted to EUR 2 billion with a strong organic growth of more than 6% driven by both divisions. Operating EBIT margin increased to 13.5%, which is a very strong improvement year-over-year. Both divisions contributed to this development. As already outlined, free cash flow improved to EUR 471 million and followed the typical seasonal pattern over the course of the year, which we also expect for '26.
Let's take a closer look at the RVS performance on Chart 19, therefore. In terms of order intake, RVS again recorded more than EUR 1 billion, but showing a decline of 10% year-over-year which was driven by all regions except for China and needless to say, including significant FX headwinds. In quarter 4, we had expected a larger order in North America in the mid-double-digit million euro range, which was shifted into '26. Global rail demand is very strong and will continue, but sometimes as regularly mentioned, does not really fit into quarterly reporting. In general, we expect order intake in '26 to be in the range of EUR 1 billion to EUR 1.2 billion each quarter.
For the year as a whole, the book-to-bill ratio should be around 1 or slightly above 1 after also consistently recording a value well above 1 in recent years. As in '25, we expect order intake to be stronger in the first half of the year than in the second half. In the fourth quarter, the book-to-bill ratio stood at 0.91. Order book at year-end with almost EUR 5.6 billion came close to our existing record level. Organically, the backlog grew by around 9% year-over-year. This high order backlog underpins strong visibility and provides a solid basis for growth well into 2026 and beyond.
Let's move to Chart 20. Quarter 4 revenues from RVS amounted to nearly EUR 1.1 billion, which is an increase of 3% year-over-year. Especially pleasing was the growth in organic terms accelerated now to more than 7%. Our aftermarket business was almost flat year-over-year with all regions except Europe showing declines. OE business on the other side grew nicely year-over-year by almost EUR 30 million. From a regional point of view, revenue growth was fueled by Europe while APAC remained stable and North America and China very slightly declined. In Europe, aftermarket business and OE sales grew nicely. North America recorded almost stable aftermarket business, but a decrease in OE business.
The APAC region saw a stable development with OE overcompensating slightly lower aftermarket figures. China also saw flat OE revenues while aftermarket business slightly declined after some catch-up demand has been satisfied. Please keep in mind that we have had very strong China business in '24 and '25, which benefited from a meaningful increase in ridership. As a result, we expect that our China business could slightly normalize in '26, but still being well above our long-term expectation that we shared with you in the past.
Operating EBIT margin recorded an increase of 140 basis points to 17% driven by operating leverage and our efficiency measures within BOOST. In addition, we worked off all remaining legacy projects meaning the inflation burdened order backlog. In quarter 1, normally a rather weaker market quarter due to the seasonality of aftermarket business and the impact by Chinese New Year, we expect the profitability of RVS should be slightly up year-over-year. For the full year '26, the operating margin of RVS should be only slightly below 17.5% including HVAC. Therefore, and as in '25, we expect the operating EBIT margin in the second to fourth quarter of this year to be higher than in the current quarter.
Let's continue with our Truck Division on Chart 21. Order intake in CVS amounted to EUR 977 million representing an increase of around 10% year-over-year and around 20% compared to the third quarter. The very strong year-over-year organic growth of 20% was partly offset by M&A and FX headwinds. From a regional point of view, Europe was very strong and also the APAC region posted growing orders. In contrast, North America recorded significant declines due to market and FX factors. The strong development quarter-over-quarter in all regions is quite promising.
Especially in North America, we feel reassured that we have seen the bottom. Nevertheless, we still expect no sharp increase in market demand from this level. Our book-to-bill reached 1.1 in the past quarter and therefore, the order book with almost EUR 1.8 billion at the end of December remains on a good level. Order intake in the current quarter should be good as well and only slightly lower quarter-over-quarter. Nevertheless, the start into '26 was very solid so far.
Let's move on to Chart 22. Revenues decreased nominally by 4% to EUR 881 million. A rather good organic growth of over 5% could unfortunately not fully compensate for the headwinds driven by M&A and FX. Against the backdrop of a continuously challenging U.S. market, especially in the U.S. this development reflects a very resilient and solid operational performance by our Truck Division. Our OE business decreased by around EUR 30 million compared to the prior year. This was driven by a significant decline in North America as anticipated while Europe showed good growth and the APAC region recorded solid momentum as well.
The aftermarket business, on the other hand, was overall robust and saw a more or less stable development driven by Europe and China despite FX headwinds. North America was down by 10%, but slightly up in organic terms. Turning to the bottom line. Our operating EBIT amounted to EUR 99 million in the past quarter representing a strong increase of 14% year-over-year. Consequently, the operating EBIT margin improved by 180 basis points to 11.3%. This margin expansion was driven by a quick and consistent adjustment of workforce and the continued reduction of structural cost as well as the support of our accretive aftermarket business.
Looking ahead to '26, we anticipate organic revenue growth in the range of low to mid-single digit versus '25 driven by a slightly positive development of truck production rates in our major regions, Europe and North America. Based on the related operating leverage by the already lowered and continuously further optimized cost base, we expect to improve the operating EBIT margin towards 12%. We also believe that the profitability of CVS should improve step by step throughout '26. In the current quarter, we expect a slightly lower operating EBIT margin quarter-over-quarter, which will increase in the quarters ahead.
With that, I hand over to Marc again.
Thanks, Frank. So let's have a look at our guidance for '26 on the next page. Based on the assumptions outlined on the right side of the chart, we expect the following for full year '26. Revenues in the range of EUR 8 billion to EUR 8.3 billion, an EBIT margin of 14% and a free cash flow between EUR 750 million and EUR 850 million. We will give you an update of our new midterm targets with the publication of our quarter 2 results on the 30th of July.
Ladies and gentlemen, as you can see, we continue to deliver and especially what we have told you and what we have announced. KB is well on track to all strengths and beyond. Be assured that we are setting the path for further growth and value creation. In '26, we want to enter into the next area of KB, which clearly focuses on sustainable and margin accretive growth.
Thanks a lot for your attention. Looking forward to your questions.
We will start the Q&A session shortly. In case you would like to ask questions, please dial in via the provided telephone number. Mute the webcast and ask the question via telephone. Please limit yourself to 2 questions. All other participants can stay in this webcast in the listen-only mode.
[Operator Instructions] And the first question comes from Gael de-Bray from Deutsche Bank.
2. Question Answer
Two questions, please. Maybe 1 at a time. So firstly on your growth initiatives, what makes you think that you can win in the electrification market? I mean the grid and electrification markets are characterized by well-established very large players with extensive distribution network. So what's your positioning exactly? Are you a sub-supplier for the likes of ABB and Schneider or do you compete directly against these guys? And I'm also curious to understand if your focus area is just around the grid side or whether you also see opportunities to supply data center customers as well?
I think I take this. So saying about energy market, for us there's 2 vectors of potential growth. The one is that we go in the supply of components like instruments, transformers, like protection relays, circuit breakers. That's where we are very, very interested in because these are Tier 1 and Tier 2 suppliers to the Project TRS. Number two, are we aiming to get into direct competition with Schneider, Siemens or others of this size? No, that's exactly where we are not because the market has such a size, roughly EUR 480 billion, that's our definition of the market where we see absolutely a massive growth area especially when it comes to key components.
These key components, some of them we have already. We have never focused on them, but we see now that there is a massive growth in our internal units already. So we see here a growth between 25% and 30%. And this is where we say there is granularity in the market currently and we see a massive potential that we can be a creator of a new market structure. That means we accept absolutely the big guys. We will not get in competition with them. Furthermore, we are more interested to be a competent partner for this kind of customers, which so far are seen in the fragmented granularity of market. This is our strategy.
And number two, when we speak about the next vector, then we see also midsized projects and there we see Project TRS, which could be interesting for us. You know better than me that we have seen in the recent past someone -- some American went public and this is exactly where we are interested to step into.
Okay. And the second question is around the communication of the new midterm targets. I mean any color around this, maybe around the time horizon that you've said? Is it 2030? And I suspect we will hear from you around growth and margins, but any view on maybe the targeted net debt-to-EBITDA at this stage would be useful. Maybe a theoretical maximum debt-to-EBITDA level that you don't intend to exceed.
Gael, I take this one. As we outlined and Marc outlined precisely, we will shed definitely more light on that on the 30th of July. We are prepared to take it. It will be not hugely surprising for you that we are striving for more at Knorr-Bremse. I will not take any figures now in my mouth. We occasionally drop the one or the other elements of what we are pursuing going into the future. We will also not give you a 5 to 10 years midterm guidance range, but rather focus towards -- like you always knew it from us, towards the next 2, 3 years kind of. That's the way we are thinking. And as I said for some businesses, we have already here and there shared with you in the quarterly call some expectations what we can think of the businesses to achieve in the future. But let us wait for July, please. Let us first bring home all the targets that we have still at hand to be achieved.
And the next question comes from Sven Weier from UBS.
First one is also a follow-up on the new midterm targets. I mean in a way, don't we know some of the targets already; the 19% in rail, 13.5% in trucks. Now you said this is like on a 2-, 3-year view. So is the focus then end of July more around the expected growth that you see because the margins we kind of know already?
We have not fully talked about CVS for example and we have, as you rightfully said, not really talked about the clear time horizon for RVS and whether the 19% will be there. Let's see, maybe it's even a bit more. So let's see what we are talking about then in July. But of course for sure, there is some further need to discuss on our strategic revenue path going into the future and how we operationalize ultimately our greenfield ideas that Marc outlined nicely regarding the business areas and we can also shed some more light on this or we will definitely shed some more light on this. So I would say you're rather right. It will be a bit more focused on the revenue side, maybe how to generate accretive growth for this company, but also the margins of course.
And the other question I had was just on the greenfield side. First one there being on the CVS side because obviously recently we heard a lot about the truck fleet management powered by AI, that the load of the truck fleets could be much, much better in the future. And I just wonder with the products you have there, I mean would you have any inroads into that helping the truck fleets on that end or is that not going to be your focus?
Yes, it's less product in terms of hard assets, it's more services. And what now is the time is -- and this is why TRAVIS is so important because their customer leads are important. As you know, the captives are trying their best to cover the new areas. The problem with most of the fleets, they don't want to be only covered by 1 captive. They want to have a brand independent approach. And for us, this is a the chance to step in and this is where we stepped in already. We have with our PleaseFix a massive real connection to hundreds, close to thousands of independent dealerships where there is no brand dedication and which is for us very important because that's what the customer wants.
So we follow the customer and they want to have a free choice of services and exactly this is where we step in. So it's more a service. It's more a transaction-based service than it is a form of asset transfer. This is the product, this is the part. This is not where we see our trade going on. What we see is that I sometimes refer to it like Amazon for trucks. It doesn't depend what you buy, it depends where you buy it. It doesn't depend what kind of service you ask for, it depends only on which platform. And the time of this platform is only one thing; size, speed, agility and services.
And this is why we think it's a game of speed. The faster and the quicker you have a network connected on this platform, the more it is very hard to reach your position. So here, speed is the name of the game. This is why we were very happy with TRAVIS. It's a Dutch company as you know, very agile, very aggressive and this is what we need. And everywhere where we as Knorr-Bremse, a little bit located by ourselves in terms of an old German company, we need different ingredients of entrepreneurship.
Cojali is another good example because their form of business is not brand dedicated. It's not 1 brand they serve. They serve everything what is in the market. So it's a very, very indiscriminative approach to the market, which I think and we think that's where the growth will be. That's where the margins will be. And that is we have to take the place because if we don't be quick and fast, others could be tempted to do so. So far we are in a relatively good position and we want to keep this position and we want to build it up.
And on the energy side, did you say that you have data center exposure or not because I didn't fully capture that on Gael's question?
The data center exposure from our side is relatively limited, but we are already supplying Project TRS who are equipping data center. So what we will -- currently not in a position to give data center the full-fledged program, but what we do already is that we provide with the ingredients, with the components, with the systems which you need to give this kind of service to data center. And this market we see also absolutely not only in America, we see it also in Europe and we see it also in Asia. And as I said, currently the market of component suppliers is extremely granularized. So we have a lot of little ones, small size, midsize providers of components and that's exactly our chance. We could scale it and we will scale it.
And the next question comes from Meihan Yang from Goldman Sachs.
Just the first one, you mentioned there was an order shift into 2026 on the RVS side. Could you give us a bit more color on this and do you expect it to be signed in 1Q '26 or any color would be helpful.
I would say it's just an example of how things go usually on a regular basis in quarters. When it comes to the bigger project business of RVS, sometimes orders are outspoken or signed kind of sometimes it doesn't happen on a last-minute notice. So it's just a EUR 50 million to EUR 100 million order in North America. It's the regular thing that you would expect. It's not signaling. So it's just happening and with that, we would be pretty close to EUR 1.1 billion and that's what we wanted to indicate with this message kind of that's how things go when it comes to quarterly reporting. But it's not a spectacular kind of all of a sudden order that's coming. It's something that's pushed out from one quarter to another and that's an example. Nothing more I think to add.
Got it. And on the second question, you talk about how you could expand the aftermarket services to your customers from AI. On your internal operating leverage, is there anything that you're seeing big benefits -- like for example you're doing your R&D or your software development much more quicker and do you see any benefits coming through in '26 already?
I think you're on the right track when you say especially in software engineering, we can accelerate massively and this is exactly what we are going to do. You remember when I said that the output per person, the output per employee has to be improved and increased. For 22 years, the output per person in this company was stable and it was not improving in terms of output and this is exactly where we are focusing for the next 3 to 4 years. We have a clear target and that includes purchasing, that includes accounting, that includes controlling, that includes HR, that includes every form of legal and compliance.
It includes every functionality, which can be seen as repetitive. 80% to 90% of the software coatings are repetitive. So we have to focus with our people, human people. We have to focus on the 10%, 15%, which are really creative. The rest has to be done by AI or I would call it by algorithms because that is not the differentiating part. So we focus on the differentiating part where we put our engineerings in and everything what is repetitive is being more and more handled by algorithms and we call it the agents. And this kind of agents when the first impact is, we are starting now.
We have started already a project in accounting and controlling. We see here effects, real effects not just a vision or so, we see real effects of 30% to 40%. That means you can say 30% to 40% of more output per person or in reduced workforce. That's the call and that is why we say so far we have a very clear plan that the output per person has to reach in, I would say, visible time 300,000. And either we grow or if we don't grow, we have to shrink our workforce. With shrinking workforce, that means we have the breakeven in mind and with that, we have the personnel expenses in mind.
And you know that our personnel expenses, especially in rail, they are now in a reach of EUR 1.2 billion. There we are not happy, I tell you this very clear because the output has to be improved. In truck, we are already on a much better way because we are here in the range of EUR 700 million coming from EUR 800 million. So we reduced our personnel expenses around EUR 100 million within 1 year in CVS. This is a potential where we have to leverage everywhere not only with trucks. And now the question is how do we get it? We get it by standardization of processes, we get it also by automation of processes and we get it also by using agents more and more in some areas.
And the next question comes from Ben Uglow from Oxcap Analytics.
I had a couple. The first was just about the kind of qualitative view, the sentiment around the CVS outlook, particularly for North America. I guess some of the truck OEMs that have reported seem to have been a little bit more optimistic, mid- to high single-digit growth in truck production rates. What I kind of wanted to know was do you see anything fundamentally different from them or are you just being sort of naturally conservative? That was my first question.
So thanks for the question. We are naturally more conservative. Why? Because you know better than me what happened in the years '21, '22. We were eventually a little bit erratic with our predictions and since that, we are more conservative and we are only claiming what we can really achieve. That's number one. Number two is for us, the best indicator for the truck American market in North America is PACCAR. PACCAR is known to be the most agile one when it comes to layoffs. It's the most agile one when it comes to production capacities. PACCAR is Champions League, absolutely Champions League when it comes to reacting to the market's ups and downs. We see that there is some upside.
But I would say the results what we have in truck -- and it's just a mathematical calculation. We have managed to make in the fourth quarter 11.5% in a market which was still very sluggish. Now you can imagine what happens when the market is going up and you know also that we are generating roughly USD 1.3 billion to USD 1.5 billion in America alone with Bendix. So it's one of our biggest markets and it's one of the most profitable market. So that is for us the significant upside which we see, but we stay conservative. We say everything what we have predicted so far is based on the cost by slightly stable market size. So if the market goes up, you know exactly what that means. There's a potential and this is what we are not claiming, but we are preparing.
Understood. And then coming back, I guess we're all excited about this energy technologies business that, frankly, I certainly didn't know existed. Can you talk a little bit more about Zelisko and the production setup? I mean presumably you've got 1 large facility or something like that. Are you expanding capacity? What are you doing organically to build that business? And I guess my follow-up question is if you think about M&A in that segment, are we talking about sort of bolt-ons, i.e., EUR 50 million, EUR 100 million type transactions or are you more ambitious in your thoughts there, i.e., there are certain assets available, which are bigger. But the question is is that what you're sort of signaling or not?
Ben, you're very curious, I have to admit that. Very smart questions, exactly the same questions which we have discussed for the last 7, 8 months. I try to do my best not to spoil our own story because otherwise everybody would know where we go and what we do. We are not -- I make it simple from the beginning. We are not shying away from a bigger ticket, number one. Number two, as long as we don't have the perfect big ticket in sight, we are going step by step. And as I said, the granularity of this market is very interesting and we see here a lot of opportunities of, let me say, smaller size tickets.
The problem is -- not the problem. The opportunity is that with 2 or 3 assets, you can already have a very, very really good market position worldwide. So for us, it's very important to do both. We are not choosing left or right. We're not saying the big bang is the only thing what we search. We go absolutely both ways. The one is we go components for components, markets increase, market share increase wherever possible. This is permanent. This could include also smaller-sized businesses, what you said, EUR 50 million to EUR 100 million tickets.
But parallel to that, we are ready and we are scaling ourselves up to have expertise in this regard so that we could imagine also a bigger ticket. So this was #3 and #2 of your question. Number one of your question was what is the current size and where are you located? We are located in Vienna, we are located in Milano and we have now a massive aggressive turn that we go to Americas with our existing business partners. That means Zelisko and Microelettrica. Zelisko is now your question is and I think it was also a little bit of a critical hint what you gave. We didn't know that it is existing.
The funny thing is 3 years ago nobody took care of this business so much. It was a little bit like a bifung in Germany, to say and this company was staying very, very solid alone, but very profitable, very small with EUR 50 million. Now within exactly 2.5 years, they doubled their revenue to EUR 100 million to EUR 110 million. Their profitability is in the range of 18% to 20%. So it's a very, very promising business and the competence is also enlarged and increasing. So we have the nucleus.
The same with Microelettrica. The business is doing quite, quite well. We have already organic growth areas not only for Europe, but also for America. But as we are not that patient and I think you are also not that patient, we say organic growth would take us too long. This is why we are very open for inorganic growth in this area.
The next question comes from William Mackie from Kepler Cheuvreux.
My first one goes to the Rail business and quite similar or aligned with Gael's question around energy. I mean signaling is clearly another target for your greenfield. But when we look at the signaling industry, it's typically dominated by the likes of Siemens, Alstom or Hitachi that treat signaling as the brain of the train and a core part of their expertise. So when you look at growing within that marketplace with a focus on profitability, what structural evidence is there that a component-led player can actually capture premium margins within the signaling industry?
Okay. With signaling, superior margins, we stepped in. It was an occasional opportunistic step and we did it. And now, excuse me, I would love to do that. I have a list of 5 assets which we have in mind; 2 of them would be very significant, 3 of them would be additional. Of course you understand that I can't give it to you. But the second of your question -- the first was more where do you see yourselves competing with Siemens, competing with ABB, competing with others, Hitachi. Yes, you're right. This is eventually not what we want.
We want to be a brand independent offerer of services and the market is really interested because before we step into the market, we always ask is there a market for us? So we ask potential customers, we ask competitors, is there an area or are we just a me-too into an existing market where you differentiate yourself with pricing or whatever. This is never going to happen with us. We are not interested in a price war. We are not interested in competing with something which is not differentiating. So we see differentiators. We see different sizes.
We see sizes which eventually for the big players are insignificant because the big players are now overrun by demand and also in energy and that gives us a massive opportunity. It's a time -- a window of opportunity for the next 3 years to go. In the next 3 years this kind of games will be decided and after that, it will be very, very hard to get into. So this is why we decided in signaling and also in energy to be very quick now. We need to make our mind. We have to be very clear what is an asset which is helping us and what is an asset which eventually is not helping us at all.
The profitability of these 2 markets and especially in signaling is different. We have here very, very profitable market players and we have very average market players. This is where we have to focus on the ones which we manage to improve and this is why we always refer to this accretive growth. It can be that in 1 year we excuse you. In the second year, we don't excuse you any longer. In the third year, you have to be at our level otherwise it is a wrong move to do. And before we acquire any asset and if we touch any asset, this growth and accretive EBIT margin plan has to be secured. If it's not secured, we don't touch it. It's very clear.
And to your question, what is the evidence of your success? The evidence of our success is whatever we said the last 3 years happened, whatever we said happened. And the evidence in the future is never given by any evidence of the past. It is also the -- yes, you can only say it's the players and it's a probability and it's a logic. If the logic is clear, then it is very unprobable the logic will be broken. If the logic is not clear, then I'm with you, then you need evidence. Future has no evidence. It has only a track record. And our track record -- and this is why it was so important that Frank and the whole team, we have now delivered everything by the number, by the number.
Remember when we came in 2023; you were shattered, you were absolutely out of trust, you were not believing anything because everything what we said was perceived as an excuse. Now for the last 3 years, we delivered every number what we have promised. Even when markets were tough in CVS last year, we delivered the double-digit number. We delivered it. We never deviated from our targeted numbers and that's exactly what we do in the future. What we have done the last 3 years will follow the next 3 to 5 years. That's what we stand for. This is what we go for and this is exactly the logic which we follow.
My second question and there's a short follow-up relates to CVS. And when we think about the fact that the future is based -- is going to be different, you've done a lot to demonstrate the cost flexibility of the business. You've highlighted the opportunity to drive out some of the structural costs in the business and you've allocated capital to enhance the profit profile of the business as a whole. So with those structural factors in mind, how should we start to think about the through cycle ability for CVS to generate returns? Should we look at the past and think actually you could achieve more as you develop around the service activities and structurally change the mix?
As we have a historical meeting where more questions addressed to the CEO, he just pointed at me so I take this one. Yes, I mean very well described. So that's why we believe we have created or will be having created a cost structure in CVS towards the end of the year of '26 where the truck business can run in a rather weaker market environment on an operating margin basis of around 12% kind of. And if the markets get then overall a bit more normal than the weak situation, then they should be able to come along with close to 13% maybe. And if the markets are even good, they can come to the 13%, 14% of margin.
That's what we believe in and that's, by the way, also the way how we on a daily basis kind of steer the truck business according to those kind of 3 inherent scenarios. And please keep in mind that the 13.5% we took already in our mouth some time ago when we had the expectation originally that markets could be quite nice, not strong, super strong, but quite nice and we still stick to that. This is what's possible with the truck business given that cost measurements that we have been taking over time. That's the way to think about the truck ambition going into the future depending on a certain market specification; weak, normal and good markets. That's the way we think.
If I can ask one short follow-up related to the new business operating model. When you described the application of AI, it was with many references to indirect functions in the business. What type of direct value-creating functions such as R&D or operational performance do you see the opportunities in as you develop a new business model?
So in this context, AI is not a cost cut. It's an accelerator. It's faster. It's quicker. In our case, it's relatively simple. We have here more than 6,000 engineers. These engineers are occupied with repetitive work, which from our point of view is not the most substantial added value work they could do. The more we get them liberated from this repetitive work, the more output they will generate and that's exactly where we see AI. At the current level of AI, there is where we see. I'm pretty sure you have seen what happened the last 5 days. We spoke about large language models and we spoke about Claude and we spoke about a lot. And now we see OpenClaw coming into the game, relatively cheap, relatively interesting.
So it is a completely disruptive approach when it comes to AI. This we have not still incorporated. But what we do, and this is why it's so important that we go to a greenfield approach like GenAI, we let it go. We let it just try it out because one thing is for sure. If you use an algorithm for your existing business, you are limiting already the opportunities for the algorithms. If you let the algorithm do things which normally are not foreseen to be done, not only repetitive work, but eventually also generating work, accelerating work, that is something where you sometimes need a new environment and a new spirit.
And this is why we have chosen Chennai because there we have absolutely -- we are ensured also that these guys and these girls who are working in there have a completely different view on it. They make it happen instead of excusing and telling us why it does not work and they will be more risk taking. So what we will not do is that in our current processes especially when it comes to safety and security relevant assets, we will not step into it directly with AI. But in terms of services, in terms of new ideas, new services and especially new applications, which eventually are not that safety relevant, we can see whether the algorithm can accelerate us and give us also new solutions. So that is where we go. We don't go full fledged now in AI and say blindly that's it. We utilize it as a tool and when the tool gets better, it has the right environment to accelerate and to leverage.
The next question comes from Akash Gupta from JPMorgan.
Most of my question has been asked. Just 1 left and that is on China. Can you talk about what are you seeing in China? I think when we look at your Q4 orders, you had some growth in both of the segments. But in general when we look at for the year 2026, what have you embedded in your outlook? And particularly in rail, how do you see the business overall between high-speed and metro and services?
Akash, I would say nothing is rocking the boat here in very general regards to China. We still see quite better numbers than we have initially guided you with for China some kind of 2 years, 3 years ago. We should be slightly weaker maybe in absolute terms in revenues than in the year '25. That's the only thing. We see a bit of weaker metro demand. It's market driven. It's not market share driven. It's solely market driven, maybe a bit less metros in the year '26 to be built than in the year '25. So maybe even below 4,000 metros overall.
So I would say a small or below EUR 50 million year-over-year reduction in China could happen, maybe EUR 30 million less next year compared to '25. So nothing spectacular, but it's 1 aspect of the business developing into '26. High speed: number of high-speed trains always a bit unclear, but we expect a similar amount, maybe 10 less also, like we had in '25; but similar amount, stable market share for us. Metros is the point maybe a bit less. That's all.
There's one thing which is not based on our recent years. Eventually you know that for the last 8 years, we were excluded -- 9 years, we were excluded for the newest latest platform of high-speed trains as a system component supplier. So we lost our position from -- in 2014, '15, we were the one, the one which were equipping the high-speed trains in China. For the last 8, 9 years we were not discriminated, but we were set back. So we were excluded in the latest new forms. Since September last year, there is a massive shift that Knorr-Bremse is reconsidered to be a potential system component supplier to the Chinese CRRC in terms of high-speed trains.
So that is something which it was hard work, it was very, very hard to reach that and it is an opportunity for us to compete currently with the best and that is in China for high-speed trains. And if we are perceived as a full-fledged provider of services for the high-speed train, that would be and that is exactly what we were fighting. And since September, we have indications that we are back in the game which we were out for 8 years. And that makes us very, very proud because it was hard work to get there back and there's a potential that not only for metros, you know it better than me, but also for high-speed trains, we could get back to be seriously a contender in this business.
No order yet, Akash.
And we have 1 last question from Alexander from BofA.
Maybe I can follow up, first of all, on that last question. You talked about the exciting opportunity for the latest generation of high-speed trains. Could you give any idea of the sort of magnitude that could add to your Chinese rail business in due course if that comes through?
Yes, it's more repetition than immediately in orders because when I came here on board in 2023, everybody told me the story is over and the party is over and we have a defense to make and it is like a long tail, which we have to defend. If this comes true and if we are really a contender and if we will succeed, this story is no longer valid. It's a game changer. I can't give you the numbers in terms of quantities for the next 2 or 3 years, but it would be a completely repositioning of Knorr-Bremse in the Chinese environment. And you know we have done a lot for the last 2, 3 years to be seen more and more as a contender, as a market player who takes the Chinese specifics very, very serious.
And sorry to tell you and you know it; you can Google it, you can search it; more than 65% of high-speed train in the world is China. So China is the place to be and high speed is the grail of the rail industry. Everything else is very important. Nothing to say about it, but that's the grail. That's the S-Class, that's the top. And if you're out of that, if you're no longer a serious contender in these kind of tenders, then you have a reputational issue and this reputational issue of course for a world market leader as us. We want to stay not only there. We want to be back in the game.
That is what we tried the last 2, 3 years. You haven't seen it in the numbers because the numbers which we have seen in rail, sorry to say, that was we were providing the services of the past and we did it well and we did it very, very well. In metro, we are very absolutely competitive. We are very good. We are good. But the grail of the rail industry is the high-speed trains in China. If there you make it, you have an excellent position for the future.
Understood. And then maybe if I can squeeze in 1 more on M&A. You've talked about it several times as a sort of key part of the greenfield strategy. Could you share a little bit about the pipeline you're seeing there and whether valuations appear acceptable? And linked to that, remind us of the sort of financial thresholds you're using to assess those deals in terms of return on capital or otherwise?
Yes. I mean I've told you several times that we have a very healthy balance sheet and we are not shying away from net debt-to-EBITDA ratios of 1, absolutely no issue. And if good or great market or business opportunities would come along, we could even go higher with a clear path to bring margin accretive revenues to this company and to help us profitably grow into the future. So that's definitely something we will -- we have our clear financial guardrails. We are searching basically only for businesses that fulfill those criteria. We have businesses with 14% of return on sales. Given ourselves as a hurdle rate we said should be on the cash side accretive and return on capital employed above 20%. All those 3 will be measured rightfully, as Marc said, after we have a clear plan that within at least 2, 3 years, those businesses should be able to achieve this. If there is no clear visible plan for us, recognizable, we wouldn't touch it. So that's pretty clear. I would say, a clear set of criteria.
And to add on this and to finalize it, there is 1 thing and I think you're all aware of the club of the 25%. Growth and EBIT margin together has to exceed the number of 25%, capital goods. That's the Champions League. We are currently not in this Champions League. Rail is close, truck is not. And our aim is that the whole company, including truck, rail and whatever, is a significant part of this Champions League Top 25% club. That's our aim. That is not a forecast for the 30th of July. This is what we aim. This is what we want. This is where we have been in the past. We haven't been there for the last 5, 6 years, but now our aim is to get back on this Champions Club League. We will not be the top of that not at the beginning, but we have an aim. There we want to get back.
Okay. Thank you very much for your questions. We wish you a great springtime and happy to talk to you next time most likely in May. Thank you very much.
Knorr-Bremse — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Knorr-Bremse — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Welcome to Knorr-Bremse's conference call for the Financial Results of the Third Quarter 2025. [Operator Instructions] Let me now turn the floor over to your host, Andreas Spitzauer, Head of Investor Relations.
Thank you, operator. Good afternoon as well as good morning, ladies and gentlemen. I hope all of you are very fine. My name is Andreas Spitzauer, Head of Investor Relations. I want to welcome you to Knorr-Bremse's presentation for the third quarter results of 2025.
Today, Marc Llistosella, our CEO; and Frank Weber, our CFO, will present the results of Knorr-Bremse, followed by a Q&A session. Once again, the conference call will be recorded and is available on our homepage, www.knorr-bremse.com in the Investor Relations section.
It is now my pleasure to hand over to Marc Llistosella. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Andreas. Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to our Capital Market call for the third quarter '25. Let's start with the key takeaways for today on Page 2. We are reporting a strong quarter today. In uncertain times, we continue to focus on our earnings by using our financial flexibility, keeping strict cost control, plus staying close to customers and driving our service business. Knorr-Bremse benefits from dominant market position in both divisions, a diversified revenue generation and ongoing stringent execution.
RVS is in strong shape. It posted strong organic growth and continuously increased its profitability quarter-over-quarter by the implementation of BOOST. In addition, RVS performance underlines the great potential of the rail industry in total. As a consequence, we are expanding this successful division with the acquisition of duagon.
Coming to CVS, one thing is clear. The development of profitability is the most important indicator of our success and our truck colleagues delivered. Despite an extremely challenging North American truck market, CVS managed a slight margin expansion, an extraordinary achievement, which is based on the benefits of our cost and efficiency measures, well supported by a more resilient aftermarket business.
The BOOST program overall remains the centerpiece of our strategy and is fully on track. Regarding our BROWNFIELD measures, we are well on track of the sale of the last assets we have in the SELL-IT program. These assets within rail generates roughly EUR 300 million in revenues and is clearly dilutive.
Looking at Greenfield, our clear path of additional growth and accretive business expansion for Knorr-Bremse. In the field of subscription-based and data-driven services, we recently acquired Travis Road Services. Together with Cojali’s highly attractive services, we want to strengthen the less cyclical activities in the Truck segment, striving for a leading position in Europe and later beyond. Last but least, we confirm our operating guidance for 2025.
Let's now have a closer look at our Duagon acquisition on Chart 3. Duagon itself, a Swiss-based company, is a leading supplier of electronics and software solutions for safety-related applications in rail being active in Europe, North America, China and India. We are convinced that Duagon is an excellent strategic fit for Knorr-Bremse's existing portfolio. Beyond strengthening the RVS segment, the acquisition also unlocks substantial synergies in electronics. For example, in braking and door systems where we are already global experts.
Furthermore, the products will enhance the global operations of 2 key KB business units, Selectron and KB Signaling. As trains and rail world networks become increasingly digitalized, the acquisition enables both the Railway Electronics and Signaling technology units to fully capitalize on the rapidly growing market.
For KB Signaling, which is expanding its North American business globally, Duagon offers additional opportunities for international growth. The accretive transaction reinforces KB2's Boost strategy and marks another milestone on its transformation journey. By integrating Duagon, Knorr-Bremse strengthened its position in high-growth digital markets and increases the revenue share of the RVS segment overall currently from 55% to even beyond, driving sustainable value creation.
The acquisition fulfills all of the M&A guardrails, which were given by ourselves, which we set more than 2 years ago and follow for the time being. We welcome all new colleagues to the team and look forward to a successful future.
Let's now have a look at the market situation for trail and rail and truck. Overall, the demand in rail is our least problem within the KB Group. Underlying demand remains robust across all regions as evidenced by a strong order intake and record order books for RVS and its customers. We expect this momentum to continue in the coming quarters, resulting in a full year book-to-bill ratio well above 1. The only exception in this is the freight market, which continues to face some challenges. Also here, we see a low concentration on the North American market.
The market development in China itself remains pleasing on a high level this year, which is quite supportive for our profitability as well. Truck markets show a mixed picture. As you're all aware of and as you have already heard from our customers and peers, truck production rate in Europe moved higher in the past quarter, but currently, we are observing a slight softening in market momentum, including some postponement into next year, which also corresponds to the perceptions of our truck OEMs.
The North American market is in a very challenging time. Truck production rates declined significantly in the third quarter and a near time recovery appears unlikely. Therefore, we lowered our expectations regarding truck production rate for the second half of this year as the usual autumn recovery has also been significantly weaker this year compared to the previous years.
Our North American customers are still taking single days off and slowing down production lines in their factories so far. They are acting rationally and only adjusting their workforce as they know that markets can catch up quickly, especially in North America once a recovery starts. As a result, we have reduced our North American workforce by around 15-plus percent in the recent months, help yourself, then helps you got. At the same time, we are using the current situation to consistently implement our structural measures.
The better than originally expected development in Europe cannot compensate fully the weaker-than-expected development in North America. Nevertheless, every crisis presents opportunities. We should benefit via operating leverage from a lower fixed cost base when the crisis in North America comes to an end, which it will happen.
With that, I will hand over to Frank, who will give you -- walk through the financials in detail.
Yes. Thanks, Mark, and hello, everybody. Thanks for joining us today. Please turn to Slide 5, and let's have a look at the good financials of the third quarter.
Order intake achieved a strong result at almost EUR 2 billion. The market-driven decline in truck was overcompensated by the strong rail order intake and led to a more than 5% organic growth. Knorr-Bremse generated revenues of EUR 1.9 billion organically with nearly 3%, a slightly higher figure year-over-year. Our operating EBIT margin was positively impacted by both divisions, driven in particular by our portfolio adjustment, the strong aftermarket performance, our operating leverage and the respective cost measures and of course, by KB Signaling.
As a result, the operating EBIT margin improved by 100 basis points year-over-year. With a 13.3% operating EBIT margin, we delivered the best profitability within the last 16 quarters for Knorr-Bremse. Our free cash flow in quarter 3 amounted to EUR 159 million and converted once again into more than 100%. We are proud of our global teams maneuvering KB so successfully through a rather challenging '25.
Let's move to Slide 6. CapEx amounted to EUR 78 million, which represents in relation to revenues 4.2%. Spending in absolute numbers decreased by EUR 2 million. This development is fully in line with our strategy to optimize CapEx spending following our lowered target range of CapEx to revenues of 4% to 5%. We expect some higher CapEx spending in the running quarter as usual.
A pleasing development saw once again our net working capital, which decreased significantly year-over-year, respectively, by 7 days versus prior year. Including KB Signaling, we are at the level of EUR 1.6 billion and 72 days of efficiency. The continuous improvement in net working capital is based on the ongoing success of our Collect program, including improvement basically in all major net working capital ingredients, especially the lower level of inventory supported the improvement of working capital by more than EUR 160 million year-over-year. Free cash flow amounted to EUR 159 million. This is only a slightly lower figure compared to the prior year, driven by the unfavorable development of FX.
On a 9-month view, free cash flow even increased by more than EUR 70 million. Quarter 4 will be the strongest quarter, as always, following our usual seasonal pattern. Cash conversion rate in the third quarter amounted to a strong 104%. Despite the acquisition-driven higher capital employed, our ROCE nicely increased from 18.6% to 21%, which is an increase of 240 basis points. ROCE remains a high key priority for us, and we expect to further grow it in the future, primarily driven by a higher profitability.
Let's take a closer look at the RVS performance on Slide 7. RVS once again delivered a very strong quarter in terms of order intake, reaching nearly EUR 1.2 billion. This corresponds to an organic growth of 6%, driven by solid operations and contributions from KB Signaling. Global Rain demand overall remains strong. For the current quarter, we expect that RVS should be able to post an order intake between EUR 1 billion to EUR 1.1 billion.
Our book-to-bill ratio stood at 1.12, which means RVS book-to-bill ratio at or above 1 for 16 quarters in a row. As a consequence, order backlog increased by around 8% and 12% even organically, reaching again a new record level with almost EUR 5.7 billion. The high order backlog and the good quality of it provides a strong basis for the rest of the year as well as beyond.
Let's move to Slide 8. Revenues in quarter 3 amounted to EUR 1.05 billion, an increase of almost 6% year-over-year following a bit of a weaker organic growth in quarter 1 and quarter 2 and even despite significant FX headwinds. Our aftermarket business developed also very nicely in Europe, North America and APAC.
From a regional point of view, revenue growth was fueled by Europe and North America. In Europe, both OE and aftermarket business grew nicely. In North America, it increased aftermarket and OE business despite FX headwinds. The APAC region saw a very stable aftermarket development, while OE slightly declined. China only slightly decreased year-over-year in both OE and aftermarket. We are pleased about that stable development in China, especially in high-speed local business and the aftermarket. There are still no signs of a better metro market.
We improved our operating EBIT margin by 100 basis points to 17.0%, which is already beyond our midterm guidance for next year. This superb improvement is driven by the positive aftermarket development, operating leverage, our BOOST measures as well as the positive contribution of the Signaling business. In the current quarter, we expect a book-to-bill ratio of around 1. The EBIT margin of RVS should be flat quarter-over-quarter. On a full year level, the operating margin is expected to be at around 16.5%.
Let's continue with the Truck division on Chart 9. Order intake in CVS amounted to EUR 783 million below our initial expectations at the beginning of the quarter due to the missing pickup in the North American truck market after the summer break. On the other side, organically, orders increased by 4%. On a year-over-year organic level, this growth was driven by Europe and the APAC region, which recorded slight organic growth, while North America was significantly down, hit by the sharp downturn in the U.S. market.
Order intake in the current quarter should be rather flat quarter-over-quarter, supported by Europe and the APAC region. The North American market remains very difficult to fully assess at this point in time, but we expect no improvement of the market dynamics until year-end. Book-to-bill reached 0.94 in the past quarter. Our order book of more than EUR 1.7 billion at the end of September is 7% below the previous year's level, but at the same time, it is only 2% organically lower.
Let's move on to our CVS division on Chart 10. Revenues declined to EUR 833 million, which represents minus 9% year-over-year. This development is solely driven by the divestments of GT and Sheppard as well as the negative translationary FX impact from the U.S. dollar and the renminbi, especially.
In organic terms, the development was stable, which represents a solid performance in such a challenging environment. OE business in CVS decreased as expected in North America and South America, predominantly driven by lower truck production rates and FX. Europe recorded good and the APAC region even significant growth. Our aftermarket business performed much better than OE in the past quarter. The OE business grew in Europe and China, but the strong market decrease in North America could not be compensated by aftermarket growth.
In addition to the sale of Sheppard and the strong euro exchange rate compared to the U.S. dollar, the low truck production rate had a particular negative impact on our performance, especially in the U.S. In the current quarter, we expect that CVS total revenues should be flat to very slightly increasing compared to the third quarter.
Coming to the bottom line. Operating EBIT of CVS amounted to EUR 87 million in the past quarter, down around 4% year-over-year. Given the massive market headwinds and unfavorable FX, a very resilient number. The profitability was impacted by lower OE volumes and an unfavorable regional mix, which could be more than compensated by benefits from our Boost measures, a higher aftermarket revenue share, solid contributions from our portfolio adjustments as well as a recovery from tariff burdens.
As a result, we were able to increase our operating EBIT margin by 50 basis points year-over-year to 10.5% in such a tough environment. For quarter 4, profitability should slightly improve quarter-over-quarter, well supported by cost measures and a good aftermarket development with a foundation of stable markets in Europe and North America. Overall, we are confident to further fight ongoing market challenges with our long-term BOOST program as well as our short-term measures in North America, our robust pricing and our resilient aftermarket business. On a full year basis, CVS should be able to reach an operating EBIT margin around the same level as last year.
With that, I hand over to Marc again.
Thank you, Frank. So let's have a look on our guidance for 2025 on Slide 11. To make it very short and crisp, basically confirm all KPIs of our guidance shown on the chart, just another 3 months to go. Please bear in mind, however, that due to the stronger euro and the weaker truck market in North America, the lower end of our revenue guidance is more likely to be achieved. Our countermeasures are having a positive effect on the other side on the EBIT margin outlook, meaning that the midpoint represents a very, very realistic expectation.
Free cash flow is also being affected by the stronger euro, but we are also comfortable to reach the midpoint at least of the guidance. Having said so, we are ready for the next year to go. We had a very, very busy year 2025. And we are very confident that with our self-healing activities, which had impact -- an impact of a reduction of workforce, for example, only in trucks from 15,000 over the last 18 months to now 12,000 people, we are ready for the lift of next year. And the 10% to 10.5%, which we are aiming for the year 2025 compared to the results of the years in '23 and '24 have a much higher value because we are ready to go for the next year based on a much better fixed cost base. Thank you very much.
[Operator Instructions]
And the first question comes from Sven Weier, UBS.
2. Question Answer
It's Sven from UBS. The first question is around -- in the past couple of years, you've always given kind of indications for the year ahead. You didn't do this time. Is the reason because you feel quite happy with where consensus sits? Or do you refer that simply to lack of visibility that you have, especially on the truck side? That's the first question.
Thank you very much, Sven. So in the past years, there have been mixed feedbacks to us giving an outlook already in October for the next year. Some were saying, why are they doing this? And others have been highly appreciating it. So this time around, we decided not to do it. Why? Because as you rightfully said, we are totally fine with where the consensus currently sits for next year, I would say. This is it. And of course, markets are also a bit of less predictable these days, especially when it comes to the truck market, I would say, and especially the region of North America. But that's the answer to it, Sven.
Yes. And it's fair to say that when I look at current consensus, probably the risk is more on the downside on truck, but maybe on the upside on rail. So that could be a bit of a wash from today's point of view at least
Yes. Nothing to add, Sven.
The follow-up, if I may, is just on truck margins, right? I mean you will be around 10.5%. And I guess it's probably fair to say that reaching the 13.5% next year is really tough to say the least, but we know that, of course. I just wonder, I mean, how prepared and how far are you ready to go to reach that target within the foreseeable future, let's say, in terms of additional measures that you take? I mean, you talked about this in the past, right, where I think there are still some very obvious areas such as R&D, but still seems extremely high for the truck business and the way it performs at the moment. But at the same time, it also seems a bit of a no-go zone for me. So are there any sacred cows in terms of your willingness to achieve the target?
Yeah, thanks, Sven. Let me put this a bit into a broader perspective. When we gave the midterm guidance some 3 years ago, obviously the market assumptions, even though we were not at all anyhow aggressive looking at the market, because we always wanted to make it kind of a self-help story at all, were significantly different, especially when it comes to the U.S., but also when it comes to Europe. The market expectations back then were based on 22 levels. And so that was the starting point to it.
We feel totally fine with a long-term view on truck that the margin of 13.5% is definitely not out of reach and is a targeted number that we have on the plate if the market turns out to be more favorable than it is today. Given the current situation, look at the quarter 3 alone, U.S. is minus 28% in truck production rate. We only declined 13% in revenues. I think a great sign of resilience.
And with all those measures that also Marc mentioned
With our adjustment of the current fixed cost structure that we are doing under BOOST plus the footprint reallocation going into the strategic future, where we are also touching quite a lot of global footprint facilities, we are right on track, I think, with a weaker market to achieve around 12% of return. So as a first step, I would see us moving up from this 10.5% levels with a disastrous market, with better fixed cost structure into a world of the 12-ish, and then strategically into above 13% return level.
I also mentioned to you many times, Sven, that maybe the 15% that we had in the all-time high, one or two years at CVS is maybe not achievable anymore, but the 13.5% is strategically a perfect fit for the profitability target of this company.
And R&D, let me remind us all, is not a no-touch area for us. We had a certain range of products that hit the market recently and are still going to hit the market, so we have a certain time where we have high R&D spendings, but we have also told you that going into the future we see our 6% to 7% range of R&D for the group, rather to go down to the lower end of that range towards the 6-ish number over time.
So we're heavily working on prioritizing our R&D, but we will not be penny-wise pound-foolish, and spoil our future by cutting some of the R&D costs in innovation and customization for our customers.
And did I understand this correctly, Frank, that with the measures that you have put in place now and even without the market really recovering, you could go from 10.5% to 12% and then the rest will come from a market recovery? That's the fair summary?
This is, in a nutshell, a fair summary.
The next question is from Akash Gupta, JPMorgan.
Thanks for your time. I have a couple of questions on M&A that you announced in the last couple of quarters. The first one is on this Travis Road Services, which is quite an exciting area to expand into. The question I have is that can you talk about the synergies with the rest of the portfolio, and can this allow you to accelerate your aftermarket spare parts revenue or directionally to acquire this company was purely based on an ecosystem that you have within you with expertise that may help growing this business? So that's the first one.
Going into the services in a stagnating market, as the truck industry is, is also following the digitalization of the industry. And the more we are setting up now a platform, which is now fulfilling most of the end customers' requirements, is for us a massive access point to future and current profit sources. This market is completely different in their business ecologic and also in the logic.
Here, managing mobility as a service is more and more in the up run to do. So the insurance of making assets working and the truck is an asset nothing more, nothing less. That is something where we are more investigating in the future. With our first step in 2022 with Cojali, we stepped into this business. Why did we do that? It was one part of that was, of course, to ensure that our parts will be then delivered to the customer. But this is a multi-brand. In fact, the brand is not relevant. It's a service to end customers. And that makes us a much, much wider scope and gives us a wider access to profit sources, which currently were not reachable.
So to make it very short, whether this is going to break path from Knorr-Bremse or not, for this kind of businesses and services, it's not that relevant. It's a side effect. The more effect is, as you know, in platforms, the more you can cover with a platform, especially if it is directed to the customer, the more you have a control, the more you have access to profit sources, which so far were not reachable for us.
What I mean with that, we are now currently having, with this acquisition, a real decisive part in our chain of pearls. The chain of pearls is 12 to 14 buckets. And now we are covering, with this acquisition, 12 of the 14 buckets. There's one more to come, and that's exactly what we are now targeting in the next 2 months to come. And then we would be the only one in the market who is covering it from A to Z, from number #1 to number #14, which is extremely exciting because that gives us a completely different picture on the Truck business.
And my follow-up is on acquisition of Duagon's electronics business. I think one thing which caught my eye was that you are giving 2026 revenues and margin. Normally, either we get this year's expectation or previous year reported. So maybe if you can talk about what sort of growth we are expecting in this business, and if the business doesn't reach to EUR 175 million revenues next year, would there be an implication on selling prices? And the background of this question is that in Knorr, we have seen in the past that the company bought assets with some projection that didn't materialize. So just what sort of safety net do you have this time around?
I would ask you for one thing in terms of fairness, Mr. Gupta. You take the acquisitions before 2022 and you take the acquisitions after 2022. So when you give me any evidence of failing on our predictions in any form of acquisition which we have done after 2022, I'm very happy to discuss it with you. For the acquisitions before 2022, I cannot take any form of responsibility. Of course, I can explain to you endlessly that a lot of these investments were not leading anywhere but to, I would say, dilutive business.
In Cojali, we bought a company which is completely exceeding. We bought it to a company value of roughly EUR 400 million. Now we have an estimate of over EUR 1 billion. That is a fact, and then we can give you the numbers for that.
The next acquisition, which we did one KB Signaling in the rail business, and this business was coming out so far extremely positive. It came out extremely positive in EBIT margin, and it came out also extremely positive in terms of revenue. So all our predictions were even overrun.
Now the last acquisition was Duagon and also the Travis. And in the Duagon, we are very, very comfortable that we are not -- we are targeting the 16% because this business is also very, how you say, taking into place what we are already having with Selectron and also KB Signaling, it's a perfect fit. It's additional. It's not a new adventure. In fact, it's like a mosaic that we are parting now putting the -- all the pieces together to a one picture.
So having said so, we are very, very absolutely convinced that with Duagon, we have another asset in the class of KB signaling, what we did last year. And we are very confident that the numbers which we have foreseen are absolutely realistic. I would even say they are conservative. You can see the business is already generating a very, very reasonable, very healthy profit line. And then coming to your question, which was a little bit provocative, when you compare it with all the acquisitions done before 2022, none of these businesses had a real profitability proven in the past.
In Duagon, we have a profitability record, and we have also a return record, which is proven. Now it is on us to make it and to lift it. And a growth record...
And they also have a growth record, which we expect to be close to double digit.
I think for Akash, it's more important the profitability than only the growth. Growth without profit is meaning this. And that, I think, is the main difference. The past was very, very much driven by growth, growth, growth. And the question of profitability was like it will come. This is completely different to 2022. We are first ensuring that every form of acquisition has to be accretive, either immediately like KB signaling or very short-term minded. That means within 12 to 24 months. Anything else is not touched.
And the next question is from Vivek Midha of Citi.
Hope you can hear me well. My first question is on CVS. It's in a similar vein to Sven's question, but just looking to better understand the mechanics. You mentioned 15% reduction in the North American CVS workforce and also broadly lowering the fixed cost base in that division. So should we think about these layoffs as permanent layoffs? I'm interested in understanding how much impact there's been from structural cost savings versus more temporary measures such as furloughs. In order to understand how the margins can improve when the volumes come back.
Yes. Of course, there's always a flexibility that we keep in the plants, looking at the normal market times of around, I would say, around 10% in some countries, even more kind of flex workers, temp workers, what have you, basically in the field of blue collar, not so much on the white collar side, but on the blue collar side, of course, in order to breathe through certain market conditions, that's clear.
So the 15% that also Marc mentioned does include, to some extent, also the blue collars, of course, directly affected and indirect workers in the plant areas. But the thing is that also on the white collar side, we did more than 10% of cost reductions, and that's directly impacting the fixed cost, and that's why this is sustainable and is lowering the breakeven point quite significantly for that business going into the future.
So it's a mixture of both, but it has a sustainable effect because the white collar had -- white collar reduction had a similar dimension like the blue collar reductions.
I would like to add to Frank's comments. The company is always quoted to have 32,500 people employed. This is not the case. We have currently 30,520 people employed. The target is very clear. Whatever happens to the revenues, whatever happens to anything else, this number has to go down because what -- for the last 22 years, the revenue per employee was not moving up. I have never seen this in my life, and this is exactly why we're addressing it. It has to move up in terms of truck above EUR 300,000, and it has to move up to EUR 250,000 to EUR 260,000 for RVS.
There is a difference in the structure. This is explaining why there is a difference. So far, we are below these numbers. And that means as long as we have not reached these numbers, there will be no longer substantial buildup of workforce, whatever the revenue is bringing or not. So we have a very clear target and very clear line. We want to reduce, number one, the breakeven. This is very clear. This is not for discussion, whether the market is up or down, the breakeven has to be target, number one.
In the last years, we had a breakeven in derailment, I would say, for the last 24 months, we are really pressurizing down this kind of breakeven. What is the most part of this breakeven by 60% to 70% is the personnel expenses. The personnel expenses were highest in 2024. Even the numbers were fine, but this was not even noticed by others. We have noticed it. So we have to bring down the personnel expenses significantly in truck. We had reached a number which was close to 22%. Now by the last month, we're in the reach of 19%. And the target is to be below 20%.
In terms of RVS, we have reached a number of exceeding 27.5% personnel expenses cost, and that has to be brought down to 25%. With that, we will improve significantly our breakeven. And with that, we will be more and more independent from the ups and downs of the market. And as you rightly described it, the self-healing has to be done and has to be proceeded.
So to your question, do we have to then expect when the market is going up to see significant upscaling of workforce? The answer is a clear no way. Number two on this is we are now starting an AI campaign and initiative where exactly the white collars are addressed yes, and we want to do repetitive work more and more by digital AI agents. And that's exactly what we started with our initiative where we have now settled the first start in Chennai, where we are focusing AI experts to bring us substantial and also long-term lasting solutions to make sure that for repetitive work, we are not hiring people.
So in short words, no, we are not estimating to have higher people. Second, we are breaking down absolutely our breakeven, and we have very clear targets and very clear KPIs how to lead that.
Fully understood. My second question is a bit of a mid to long-term question around RVS. So you've done a 17% margin in the third quarter and guiding for a similar margin in the fourth quarter. That's above your midterm target for the division. So my question very broad is where next do you see for the division over the midterm and long term? I appreciate you maybe want to give a fuller answer to this at some point in the future, but interested in some early thoughts.
Yes. Thanks, Vivek. I mean I refer a bit, of course, to the question or the answer to the question of Sven. We are totally fine with the consensus as it stands for next year. There, the margin is on that level or even slightly above the 17%. This is, I think, a number that's totally fine for the Rail division. This is, as we also said quite a few times, not the end. We have plenty of measures in place, some already started to implement with also strategic, as I said before, footprint reorganizations so that margin beyond the 17% -- 17%, 18% is reachable for the Rail division, we are aiming strategically to go towards 19%. Somehow, this is the idea of the business, and that should post a very great profitable growth for this business.
Now it's out. You also said so before, I think, last year.
The next question comes from William Mackie from Kepler Cheuvreux.
So my first question, Marc, to you really is to go back to the M&A that you've undertaken around service and the efforts to expand specifically in CVS. I just wonder if you can talk a little to how the development of competitive tension evolves as you push into the aftermarket in the heavy truck industry, that's somewhere, I guess, many of the OEMs, as you well know from your past lives, are also looking to expand and capture value.
So how does that balance evolve in your mind between the existing installed base, supporting it, capturing the data and leveraging that for your benefit rather than -- and avoiding too much competition with your OEMs? And then the more simple question is that you have an exceptionally strong balance sheet and great cash performance. Looking forward, you've talked to capital allocation and guardrails, but just a little bit more flavor on how you see the pipeline evolving and where you can enhance your string of pearls to strengthen the business?
Okay. I'll come with number 2 first. because it's not limited to CVS when I speak about potential acquisition candidates in the near future. As you can imagine, we started with Brownfields, yes, Boost was mainly Brownfield, help yourself, then you will be helped. That's what we have done. We are on our way. By the way, Boost is not finished by next year. Boost is a continuous improvement process and program now, which will last for years to come. And this is why I made so much emphasize on the breakeven on the personnel expenses on the ratios. This has to go through now with everybody.
So coming to the Pearls, the platform business itself has one very important criteria. It has to be brand independent. The more you are captive, the more you limit your brand, you limit also your platform and your reach. And what we do now together with Cojali and Travis and also with the other things to come, by the way, all of them will not exceed the range what you have seen so far. So there will be midsized to small size cap, but there it is more to capture and to occupy the place than to say, "Oh, I have already the biggest in this area.
And here, the problem or the competition for the captives like our customers, they are very, very centered about and around their brand. For them, it is nearly impossible to have a multi-brand approach. The multi-brand approach makes us independent. And this is why I said it's not important only to sell our pets and our brake disks via this channel. For us, it's more important to see the movement of everything what is going in this domain.
And here, we have an access now where we are, especially for the second life cycle of trucks. After 3 years, the warranty is over. And then 70% to 75% of our customers are leaving the captive service facilities. And this is not only in Europe, this is also in America. So they are going to independent dealerships. And these independent dealerships have one big strength. Their strength is they are flexible, they are agile and especially they're not brand dependent. And this is where we are stepping in.
So we are not really going into competition with our customers and clients in the first 3 years, we are going more for the last 7 years, which the trucks normally last in Europe or in America, it's 8 years more. So together, it's between 11 and 12 years before it will be getting to markets which eventually are a little bit different. So this kind of span we are then addressing -- this kind of span we are addressing. And there we know by ourselves that the use take, the take quota for original parts, spare parts is getting significantly lower than in the first 3 years. And this market is highly interesting, highly competitive. But what we're aiming here is to be like a spider in the net. Whatever you move, we notice and hopefully, we will participate.
And I must say it's a very good -- I'm very proud of the team because they came up with that over the last 2.5 years, and they have now formed something like ally a platform strategy, which could make us very, very, very profitable in this regard because in this kind of services and platform, you have completely different propositions on profitability.
My follow-up relates to the CVS business. Congratulations on the continual evidence of the strong muscle memory and cutting costs at Knorr-Bremse in CVS in the face of weaker markets. I noticed the gross margins were relatively flat year-on-year actually. My question goes to the general pricing environment for CVS, perhaps specifically in North America. In a market where you've seen falling volumes, how effective have the teams been in passing through prices to mitigate cost-related headwinds from tariffs or other factors or just to be able to maintain the underlying gross profitability?
So the American team is very close to the market. The American team is, by the way, even more agile when it comes to swing so to lay off people is much, much faster. It's much more efficient than we see it in Europe, especially in Germany. They are closer to the customer, much closer. And in America, we have a customer which is also very, very much involved into aftersales business and that is in this regard specifically per car. So what we see is that we are very close in cooperation with our customers here. They understand when we have to increase the prices, and they understand also the pressure we are running through and going through.
One thing is for sure, the American, North American truck market is by far the most profitable market in the world. Yes. The American market is a protected market that has to be very clearly mentioned. You don't see there a lot of Asians really coming in. And the market itself is very settled, saturated and also allocated. So you have players, you don't have new players. So here, it's very clear that it is a very mature market with extremely interesting margins.
The European market is more competitive with much lower margins to have, yes. The margins here are roughly in average below 400 basis points below, not only for the OES, but also for the OEMs. The truck market in Asia is completely different, highly competitive, very low margin and very difficult to have a leading position to be defended because there's always a new player who is attacking you.
So our focus in terms of profitability is very, very clear in the North American market. It's very, very clear also the European market. And for expansion in terms of growth and also in technology and trying out, that is the Asian market itself. You know it also by the content per vehicle, which is a fraction in China to North America, it's a fraction. So everything what in America and Europe is coming up with digitalization and any form of redundant systems, safety systems, that is the market where we are in. So it is playing in our favor because here, we can't be replaced quite easily. Here, we are not just a commodity. Here, we are a differentiating factor.
So that is what plays in our cards in these 2 markets and which makes us very, very learning in the Asian market. So long story short, the team is very ready to go with that. They're very qualified. We are very technical, instrumented and technical-based salespeople. So that means they're not just salespeople on the commercial side, but mainly also on the technical side. We have a good differentiation to our competitors, and we are seen also as a leading force here when it comes to marketable market innovations.
And the next question is from Ben Uglow of Oxcap.
I had a couple. First of all, on the RVS margin improvement, the 1 percentage point. I mean, historically, that is a very big number, a big gain. And I guess my question is, Frank, maybe could you give us a bit more detail of what's in that 1 percentage point? How much of this is simply just due to OE and aftermarket type mix? And is there any significant regional variation in there, i.e., have we seen one region doing better? And the reason, obviously, why I mentioned this is in the past, your China margins were higher, et cetera. So I just wanted to understand the basis of that improvement.
Good to hear you again, Ben. Thank you. I missed the beginning, maybe 100 basis points you talk about rail, right? The quality of...
Yes.
Clear, I mean, I would say regional difference is China is stable as expected, rather a bit of operating leverage, so to say, with a bit of headwinds on the FX side. So it's not China driving it. Europe has gained growth and operating leverage and North America supported by signaling. So this is from a regional view it.
So all that in Europe and North America basically being a bit of a weakness on the rail freight side in North America, which goes hand-in-hand with what we see in the truck market in North America. So that's it, I would -- how I see it from a regional point of view. Of course, aftermarket share, which is the big when it comes to the sales channel mix has supported us in that improvement of profitability. We are now running at a level of around 55% of aftermarket share globally, which is an improvement compared to last year. So that is a good driver.
And the third element is the continuous boost measures that we are implementing more and more. Those 3 drivers are basically the bit of positive America, Europe, aftermarket and the cost measures.
Understood. That's helpful. And then -- and I guess a question for Marc. Trying to sort of understand what's going on in the North American truck market at the moment is extremely difficult. And a lot of companies are making all kinds of different statements, I would say. In terms of your customer conversations, in terms of your kind of day-to-day dialogue with truck OEMs, how would you characterize those conversations over the last sort of couple of months? Is it just getting better -- sorry, is it just getting worse? Or are things even changing at the margin? The reason why I ask this is different companies are talking about a better line of sight on tariffs. Some companies even talking about EPA 2027. So I wanted to know from your point of view, how are those conversations?
What we see is a normalization. Most of our customers are very conservative, as you can imagine. They supported the current government massively. Some of them even paid. And there -- then after the enthusiastic in the first 4 months of this year, there came a certain form of irritation for another 4 months till August. And now we are in a phase of frustration and frustration in the sense of standby. Nobody wants to move, nobody wants to make a mistake. For example, this morning, we have been informed that Mr. Xi Jinping and Mr. Trump came to conclusion when it comes to rare earth. This came for all of us a little bit by surprise. The markets developed already this week based on that.
On Saturday, we had the first signals that they come. Exactly 10 days before, we had in the press and also the Capital Markets was predicting a massive friction between the superpowers. And this kind of erratic or nonpredictable movements lead in truck industry to stand by. They won't cut, they won't increase. They will just wait. The consumer confidence will be for them eventually more important. The container traffic will be -- freight movement will be more important.
Currently, we see not only the trucks hammered by that, but also the freight trains. We see that it is -- this is an impact on both industries, not only on the one industry. And we would say the worst is behind us because uncertainty is even worse than bad news. You know this better than me. The uncertainty is now, I would say, the fork is clearing up. And with that, we could imagine, but we are not paying on that. Don't get me wrong. We are prepared for it, but we're not paying on that, that we can eventually see in the next quarters to come a massive release and a massive improvement on the sentiment.
And we are very confident to see this message because someone wants to be in the midterms. We know the midterms next year in November, and we know it's -- the economy is stupid, and we know this has to run and everybody will do everything to make it run in America. And now we are a little bit more confident than we have been eventually in August.
Just a minor addition from my side, Ben, also looking at the interest rates, I think the light signals currently being set, talking to the fleet customers directly, our sales guys, of course, on a daily basis. They are also saying, okay, whatever the kind of fleet age might be, and whatever the right theoretical point towards a new buy of a truck would be, if I don't have the money, it's too costly for me to borrow money. And I think this is also the right signals that the Fed is maybe currently sending towards any recovery.
The next question is from Gael de-Bray, Deutsche Bank.
I have two questions, please, two of them relating to RVS. The first one is on the share of aftermarket, which apparently dropped in Q3 pretty substantially compared to H1, 50% or so in Q3 versus 57% in the first half. So it appears that there's been a big sequential decrease in aftermarket revenues for RVS in Q3. So I guess my question is what's been driving this?
And then the second question is around the growth dynamics in broader terms for RVS. I mean RVS has enjoyed very strong commercial dynamics with orders continuously surprising on the upside over the past few quarters, even over the past couple of years now. However, at the same time, RVS revenue growth has come a bit short of expectations this year with Q3 -- I mean, this was again the case this quarter. So could you elaborate on the lead times and whether one could expect to see finally some acceleration in organic revenue growth next year?
Yes, you're welcome. So first, let me start with the aftermarket. I mean the bigger chunk was there in the first and second quarter, driven by also some signaling replacements and aftermarket growth momentum that we have seen. And if I'm not mistaken, it was you, Gael, who asked me the questions at the quarter 2 call, why the signaling business is so strong in profitability.
So it was rather a bit of exceptionally high in quarter 1 and quarter 2, that aftermarket share driven by the signaling business and where I said already in July, it will come down quite naturally, not sustainably, but naturally come down in the second half of the year '25. That is the reason. So number one question, KB Signaling, major driver to it with exceptional situation quarter 1, quarter 2.
Second question, rail demand going forward, as Marc also said right in the beginning, is the least issue that we are currently seeing. We have in plenty of jurisdictions support programs out there, fueling the demand quite sustainably. EUR 1 trillion package in the U.S. the bipartisan infrastructure law. We have the German stimulus program. We have Brazil investing EUR 15 billion; Italy, EUR 25 billion over the years to come, Egypt, Turkey, what have you. So all these, so to say, programs leading to a fueling of the market growth that we kind of see between 2% to 3% as a basis should be going up with all those programs above those numbers.
And we are totally fine, so to say, to reach our 5% to 7%, let me put it this way, CAGR of organic growth for the rail business over the years to come. And by the way, this is not a different number from what we said some 3 years ago as the situation in rail is noncyclical. We said back then it's 6% to 7% over several years. One year, it's 10%. The next, it's maybe 4%, then it's 7%. So something around that is what we see the lead time.
Second element of your second question is very different. I mean, it depends on the product itself that we are selling ultimately a brake system, you would have at least when the design phase is finalized, you have a lead time of 12 to 18 months for more sophisticated product like a brake system, brake control unit. When it comes to a door system, it's after the design phase kind of 6 to 9, maybe 12 months, 6 to 12, let's put it this way. And towards a more simple product, HVAC system, it's 3 to 6 months. So it takes always the design phase of the train, then add these additional lead times, this is what we are looking at on a regular basis.
Sometimes you have also project pushouts from one of the other customers. This is then a bit of irregularity in the market. But in a normal market, I would say those are the lead times. And with that order book that we are having, we're so pleased, so to say that we couldn't even afford much more order intake in order to get them all, so to say, produced within the next 12 months. We are, I would say, fully booked basically.
And the last question is from Tore Fangmann from Bank of America.
Just one last from my side. When we look into the truck market, I think a few of the OEMs have now opened the books for '26 from September onwards. Could you just give us any indication on how your discussions with the truck OEMs are going right now? And any first idea of how this could mean into like the start of Q1 and the Q2 of '26?
Thanks, Tore. Nothing spectacular, I would say, sometimes it's what I recall since quite some time that after summer break, internal news in big corporations flow a bit hesitant at first and then towards October, November, basically, the sales guys come up with a good or with a rather bad news, so to say, towards their supervisors. This is what we usually say. That's why we also said a bit, we see a bit of a softening in Europe because some orders in the EDI system, then you just -- if you only have 2 more months to go, you rather shift into the new year into January and February, you realize you can't get them done in December anymore.
So Christmas is coming like a surprise kind of and then you shift a bit orders into January, February, but that's the usual thing that happens basically each and every year. We don't see anything special this time around. I think we have to, in North America, see what -- how many days around Thanksgiving, the plants on the customer side will be closed down and what they do with the Christmas break. But as we also said, we expect a rather flattish market quarter 4 compared to quarter 3, maybe tiny little bit less truck production rate there. But nothing spectacular in the discussions with our customers. And what we see is what Paccar and Volvo announced, I think, is pretty straightforward. Nothing more to add on our side.
Yes. Just to add from my -- for the Capital Markets, relevant whether we perform or not. And we are performing exactly to what we predicted. We performed in '24 to our predictions and announcements. We perform now to our predictions and announcement in '25. And now give me a reason why should you not believe that we are performing exactly as we planned it for 2026 with 14-plus percent EBIT margin. I wouldn't see it because the pattern certainly gives my words more gravity than anything else. So I don't see the doubt. Whether the truck is with currently 44% of revenue share, whether this is now coming up or not, as I said at the beginning, I don't believe independence of market. I believe in your own abilities to play with the market. So that it's more important whether your costs are under control than whether the market is going up by 2% or going down by 3%.
It is our absolute obligation that for next year, the 14% has to be achieved. And we are doing everything on the cost situation and our -- what we can address. What we can't address, we can't address, we can hope. For markets, you can only hope. For costs, you can do. And what we do is we do what we do. And for the last, whatever it was, 16 months, we did it and we did it as predicted. We did it as announced and now you can say, yes, what makes us think that in the next 11 quarters or 12 quarters, you will do what you announced.
Sorry to say, I can only offer you the past. For the last 12 quarters, we did always and overfulfilled what we announced. And I can give you absolutely our understanding and our obligation is to do the same in the next year and the same is in the fourth quarter. Whether the market is bad or good, sorry to say, with this, we will not have an excuse, then we have to overcompensate. If left is going wrong and right is going right, we have to overcompensate it because overall, the result is 13% we wanted to reach in 2025. This is what to go for, 14% plus. That is the target for '26. That's what to go for. Whether the market is good or bad, no excuse, we have to reach it. Thank you.
Okay. Thank you very much for your time. If you have further questions, please reach out. And yes, we wish you a great afternoon. Thanks a lot.
Thank you colleagues.
Knorr-Bremse — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Financial data from Knorr-Bremse
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 7,940 7,940 |
1%
1%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 3,546 3,546 |
1%
1%
45%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 4,394 4,394 |
3%
3%
55%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 2,093 2,093 |
1%
1%
26%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 1,399 1,399 |
11%
11%
18%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 403 403 |
3%
3%
5%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 996 996 |
15%
15%
13%
|
|
| Net Profit | 585 585 |
39%
39%
7%
|
|
In millions EUR.
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Knorr-Bremse Stock News
Company Profile
Knorr-Bremse AG engages in the manufacture and sale of braking systems for rail and commercial vehicles. It operates through the Rail Vehicle Systems and Commercial Vehicle Systems segments. The Rail Vehicle Systems segment supplies products and services for local public transport vehicles, such as metros, light rail vehicles (LRV), freight cars, locomotives, regional and high-speed trains, and monorails. Its product portfolio includes auxiliary power supply systems, control components, windscreen wiper systems, platform screen doors, friction material, driver advisory systems, traction systems, and train control and monitoring systems. The Commercial Vehicle Systems segment offers brake systems and vehicle dynamics solutions including driver assistance and automated driving, brake control, brake system, steering, and electronic leveling control; energy supply and distribution systems such as air compressors and air treatment; and fuel efficiency products including engine components and transmission sub-systems. The company was founded by Georg Knorr in 1905 and is headquartered in Munich, Germany.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | Germany |
| CEO | Mr. Llistosella |
| Employees | 26,629 |
| Founded | 1905 |
| Website | www.knorr-bremse.com |


