Liberty Global Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = $3.51b | Revenue (TTM) = $4.88b
Market Cap = $3.51b | Estimated Revenue = $5.09b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = $9.44b | Revenue (TTM) = $4.88b
Enterprise Value = $9.44b | Forward Revenue = $5.09b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Liberty Global Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
19 Analysts have issued a Liberty Global forecast:
Analyst Opinions
19 Analysts have issued a Liberty Global forecast:
Liberty Global Events
Past Events
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JUL
24
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
about 2 months ago
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MAY
1
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
5 months ago
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MAR
24
NSR/BCG Global Connectivity Leaders Conference- London
6 months ago
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FEB
18
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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NOV
12
Morgan Stanley 25th European Technology
10 months ago
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OCT
30
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
11 months ago
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StocksGuide Free
Liberty Global — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Liberty Global's Second Quarter 2026 Investor Call. This call and the associated webcast are the property of Liberty Global and any redistribution, retransmission or rebroadcast of this call or webcast in any form without the express written consent of Liberty Global is strictly prohibited. [Operator Instructions] Today's formal presentation materials can be found under the Investor Relations section of Liberty Global's website at libertyglobal.com. [Operator Instructions] Page 2 of the slides details the company's safe harbor statement regarding forward-looking statements.
Today's presentation may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including the company's expectations with respect to its outlook and future growth prospects and other information and statements that are not historical fact. These forward-looking statements involve certain risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements. These risks include those detailed in Liberty Global's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recently filed Forms 10-Q and 10-K as amended. Liberty Global disclaims any obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements to reflect any change in its expectations or in the conditions on which any such statement is based.
I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Mike Fries.
All right. Welcome, everyone. Thanks for joining us. We've got plenty to share with you today, so I'm just going to jump right in and then hand it over to Charlie. Of course, we've got the whole team here with me, so get your questions ready. And we are speaking from slides today.
I'm going to kick it off on Slide 5. I really like to start with this graphic. I think it demonstrates pretty clearly how we operate, how we allocate capital and how we create value at Liberty Global. Our story is, of course, anchored by world-class telecom assets in Europe that generate $22 billion of revenue and $8 billion of EBITDA in the aggregate. You know that. And while each of these markets has its own unique operating characteristics, Europe as a whole, in my opinion, is catching a bit of a tailwind, right? Deregulation, sovereignty, the benefits of AI, they're colliding to change the narrative, and I think we'll benefit from those trends.
Now you know I'm going to say next, despite the size and scale and growth prospects of our businesses, we believe our stock today reflects no value for these assets. And I'll show you how I get to that conclusion in a moment. That belief is what is driving us to unlock the intrinsic value of our Telecom businesses. And fortunately for us, unlike many of our peers, we're lucky to have both the financial and structural flexibility to achieve transactions like the spinoff of Sunrise, which by any measure, created meaningful value for all of us. And as we'll discuss in a moment, we're making outstanding progress on our plans to do the exact same thing in the Benelux with the Ziggo Group next year.
At the same time, as we reshape Liberty Global, we have pivoted resources towards our Liberty Growth portfolio, where we have demonstrated again and again our ability to create significant value in media, sports, infrastructure and tech. The recent sale of our stake in EdgeConneX, which we talked about in this press release and in the slides, where we took out $0.75 billion, 4x our investment over about 10 years, is just the latest example of that.
And finally, we have reshaped our corporate or central structure to be both more agile, more efficient and more focused on these 2 core platforms. As a reminder, we are generating today hundreds of millions of annual revenue into Liberty Global, the corporate group from tech, financial and management services that we provide to both our Telecom and Growth operating companies.
And when you factor in the recent restructuring of our operating model and reduction of our headcount, we've effectively brought down our net corporate costs by nearly 75% over the last 2 years. And we believe we're on our way to a breakeven position as early as next year. So that's the broad picture.
So let me jump into the 3 key highlights, I think, are most critical for you to know about this quarter. That's on the next slide. Number one, it was a strong quarter commercially, and particularly in the Netherlands, where VodafoneZiggo continues to execute brilliantly, in fact, on its turnaround plan. This was our best consumer broadband performance in 6 years. I'll talk about that. And as Charlie will outline, we're confirming all of our 2026 guidance across the board.
Second, our plan to spin off the newly formed Ziggo Group, which, of course, consists of our Dutch and Belgian operations is right on track. I'll go through this in some detail. But importantly, our fiber sharing arrangement with Proximus that will result in a single fixed network across 75% of Flanders was approved by the Belgian regulator yesterday. This is a big milestone for both our operational and balance sheet initiatives in this market. And I'm pleased to report that we will be closing on the acquisition of Vodafone and their 50% interest in the Dutch business at the end of this month.
Then lastly, we have, the only way to describe it, overachieved in our plans to monetize assets and generate cash from our Liberty Growth portfolio. Year-to-date, we've raised $1.2 billion, well in excess of what we might have indicated, including $900 million from disposals of Liberty Growth and $340 million from an asset-backed loan on our Wyre stake in Belgium. I think it's important to point out that this $1.2 billion is above and beyond the EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.4 billion we intend to raise from asset sales in Belgium and Holland to reduce debt in those markets. As a result, we're increasing our year-end corporate cash forecast, pro forma for the Vodafone acquisition from $1.5 billion to $2 billion. So essentially, we will end the year exactly where we started the year from a cash point of view.
Now the next slide goes deeper on our announced plans to spin off the newly formed Ziggo Group. The key takeaway here is that we are making substantial progress on all the key buildings blocks required to achieve this major milestone for shareholders. You'll see on the left side, where we are on the 3 strategic and financial pillars that underpin the listing of Ziggo Group and the tangible progress we've made across each of them. As I mentioned, we have all the approvals we need and are on track to close on Vodafone's 50% stake in the Netherlands by the end of the month. This is obviously foundational for the creation of the Ziggo Group, and it unlocks multiple other benefits, including the realization of financial and cross-market synergies.
The completion of our NetCo-ServCo split in Belgium into Wyre and Telenet was another landmark achievement. This gave us 4 key things, right, a fully financed fiber build-out that is off the Ziggo Group balance sheet; secondly, the rationalization of the fiber market in Flanders through our cooperation agreement with Proximus, I just referenced.
Third, the opportunity to raise capital and reduce debt through the sale of a portion of our Wyre stake and the rebalancing of debt between Wyre and Telenet, which will result in a less levered Telenet with a declining CapEx profile that goes into our Ziggo Group structure.
And then finally, we've, of course, announced Stephen van Rooyen as the CEO of Ziggo Group and Jany Fruytier as the incoming CFO. And you should know we are making significant progress to round out the balance of the team, which we'll let you know about in September. Final piece of good news here, we have already increased in our own minds, we haven't publicly increased it, but internally increased our estimate of the synergies from this transaction and expect to be meaningfully higher than the EUR 1 billion NPV we announced previously. So stay tuned for more details on that. As a result of this progress, we are a bit more ambitious on the timing of the spin-off, and we're currently saying mid-'27 versus H2 '27. Now let's see how things transpire here. Could be even faster, let's see.
And as we said in the past, the equity story is built around 2 things: reducing leverage to 4.5x and driving free cash flow to EUR 500 million in the 2028 time frame. The bridge to EUR 500 million of free cash we talked about on our last call, and of course, the deleveraging is further supported by asset sales of the EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.4 billion, as I just mentioned, all of which are underway, and we're making substantial progress on and you'll probably learn about before our next call.
On the right-hand side of the slide is the money shot here, as I say. So I'll take a moment to walk through these valuation metrics. They break down into 3 main components. On the bottom right, you'll see our current stock price, roughly $11 in the orange bar. We believe this represents a 20% discount to the fair market value of our cash and our Liberty Growth assets alone, and those are valued by independent appraisers, of course. Perhaps even more importantly, what I'm going to say here, it implies essentially 0 equity value attributed to our Liberty Telecom operations. And we don't need to debate that conclusion. Everyone's sum of the parts may look a bit different. It's not the main point of the slide.
Moving up the scale, about 19 months ago, we spun off Sunrise, which we now believe represents $12 for Liberty Global share. That's the red bar. Sunrise, as you know, is traded on the Swiss Exchange between around 10.5% and 13.5% free cash flow yield or roughly 8x EBITDA and has really unlocked substantial value. And we believe over time, on a fully distributed basis, the Ziggo Group itself should trade on the Euronext at a value of up to $14 per Liberty share, assuming we reach or can confidently guide towards the EUR 500 million free cash flow target and the 4.5x leverage and the market applies similar free cash flow yields to Sunrise. So that's what we're playing for here. It means that from an $18 stock, when we announced the Sunrise spin-off, we have a clear opportunity to create $37 to $40 of value for shareholders. And you should assume we are squarely focused on just that, delivering that value, and we're making great progress on that goal every day.
Now our confidence in that goal or the Ziggo Group is bolstered, of course, by the great turnaround story at VodafoneZiggo, which we highlight on the next slide, essentially just going to go right to the chart on the right-hand side of that slide. You can see in the second quarter last year 2025, we lost 26,000 broadband subs and 5,000 mobile subs. And quite frankly, that was after quite a long period of declining performance through a combination of commercial strategies, including new pricing structures, new broadband bundles, new converged propositions, new premium sports content.
And importantly, a strong campaign promoting the quality of our broadband network. Stephen and the team have delivered quarter after quarter of improved results since then, culminating in our first positive broadband quarter in Q2 since, I think, Q4 2022. And as I said, the best performance in 6 years. And that goes along with 32,000 new postpaid mobile subs, so great progress on the operating performance there.
The next slide shows you that performance. And I've just discussed it, so I'll just jump to the ARPU stats here for VodafoneZiggo. Fixed ARPU was stable, both sequentially and year-over-year, around EUR 56, and that's despite new front book pricing and can attribute that to both price indexation and some moves around content. We saw more or less the same outcome in mobile ARPUs, which were largely flat sequentially at EUR 17.60 and down 2% year-over-year. On the bottom, you'll see operating results for Telenet in Belgium, which continued its recent commercial turnaround with improved broadband and mobile net adds versus last year. So lots of commercial drivers at work here, including new campaigns, promoting our base brand and a revamped FMC offering, allowing customers to tailor really their own packages like an a la carte menu, which is well received and broadband mobile ARPUs are both up sequentially in Belgium and stable year-over-year.
Now moving to the U.K. Before I jump into the operating results for VMO2, let me just spend a minute highlighting where we see this business today and the core drivers of value tomorrow. First of all, it's important to remember that Virgin Media O2 is the only scaled challenger in the U.K., one of Europe's largest markets, with the #1 mobile network by connections and the #2 and most reliable broadband network according to recently released research, which we agree with. By the way, our fixed network currently reaches just under 19 million homes, nearly half of which are already fiber today.
Now you can add to that incredibly strong brands like Virgin Media O2, giffgaff, which support over GBP 10 billion of revenue -- annual revenue and facilitate regularly the launch of new services like O2 satellite, which we were the first to do or broadband with giffgaff or Volt, our new FMC product and a host of other commercial initiatives. So that's a strong foundation we have in the U.K.
Now as we speak about every quarter, this is a highly competitive market. It's becoming a street fight in the consumer retail sector, particularly with altnets and MVNOs, which means we have to continue getting sharper, becoming more agile and more innovative, and I like the moves we're making to achieve that. I've listed just a few of them on the right-hand side here. First and foremost, we've just hired Lyssa McGowan, our new CEO of Consumer, now has the entire Consumer division reporting to her. She spent 10 years at Sky launching broadband, mobile and Sky Glass and in 2 weeks is already making a difference in our commercial strategy. So stay tuned for her keen eye and her strategic perspective on our Consumer business.
We have great potential in wholesale. First, in mobile, where we generate today over $800 million of extremely profitable revenue, and we'll shortly launch Monzo to our list of MVNO customers and then fixed wholesale, where we are striving every day to capitalize on our scale and our growing fiber footprint, which the Netomnia acquisition will only advance once that's approved. Now Lutz and the team are well underway with their AI-driven efficiency and growth programs. I'll talk about that in a minute.
You're already aware of our commitment to advancing our networks. For example, our 5G reach is now 88%. And even before fiber, we have 1 gig broadband available across the market. Now these commitments will pay dividends, both in our B2C and B2B business.
Finally, just a word on our capital structure in the U.K., and Charlie is going to address this more specifically.
The most important message I want you to hear from me is that both Liberty and Telefónica are completely aligned on our commitment to this business long term. While we appreciate that leverage today exceeds our original targets and as a result of slower growth in our decision to reinvest more in our networks, I would urge you to remember that we have many tools at our disposal if necessary, both organic and inorganic to drive greater free cash flow, stronger operating performance and lower leverage over time. So more on that with Charlie in Q&A, if you like.
Now turning to VMO2's quarterly operating results. On the next slide, you can see that while our broadband and mobile net losses were better than a year ago, we are still encountering significant competitive activity and increased churn. We believe that the initiatives I just referenced and discussed on the prior slide as well as the new consumer management team and structure will address these challenges. Meanwhile, mobile ARPUs are up sequentially and flat year-over-year as we focus on retention efforts there, primarily maintaining value over volume. And fixed ARPUs were flat sequentially, but down 4.6% year-over-year, and that's largely in line with overall pricing in the market. Now Lutz is on, and of course, we can dig into these results further during the Q&A.
Turning to Virgin Media Ireland, you'll see that broadband net adds have been steady over the last 5 quarters, and that's supported principally by our wholesale fiber business, a good example of what we can do with wholesale. It's worth mentioning that our fiber rollout is on track to be substantially complete at the end of the year, and we'll be expanding our retail footprint off footprint, both of which will help our business moving forward, particularly the reduction in fiber CapEx. Fixed ARPUs have been very steady at EUR 61 and mobile postpaid net adds remain positive, and those are supported by EUR 15 offer and retention strategies.
Now I'll end with just a bit of commentary on AI. And I think the headline is the message here, right? The telco sector, in my view, is ready-made to realize AI benefits, which over time should be transformational for us and our peers. For starters, we sit on the assets, the very assets AI needs most to succeed. What am I referring to largely large amounts of data that can't be replicated, massive cost structures like call centers, field ops and networks that are built for automation, millions of daily touch points with consumers and the infrastructure like connectivity and data centers that support the distribution layer for AI.
And not surprisingly, we are looking to benefit from the very same opportunities that our peers are attacking, namely driving margins through cost efficiencies, driving customer revenue growth through hyperpersonalization, driving demand for our infrastructure, including power, space and cooling and driving interest in our stock as investors rotate into sectors that are net beneficiaries of AI and not candidates for disruption. And we've learned a lot of lessons like everybody, right? A big one for me has been finding the right balance between building and buying solutions. Increasingly, we're finding that partners. Many of them, listed here on this slide, are able to help us integrate faster, launch sooner and scale much more effectively.
On the top right of the slide, we've shown some examples of what we're doing today and the results we're generating and things like reaching 65% of our VMO2 customer base with our personalization engine, generating 75% cost containment rates through our agentic AI pilots in the Netherlands, reducing fraud, optimizing CapEx and lowering truck rolls and technician costs. And to be candid, these initiatives, have to be honest, are table stakes for every telco. Don't get me wrong. I'm proud of it. We're proud of it. On balance, we're realizing strong, marginal improvements to our economics, our customer interactions and our network quality. And as we've said publicly here, we expect to generate annual savings in the hundreds of millions.
But everyone on this call knows, certainly I know we are just scratching the surface here. Based on some work we did with McKinsey and Google, we analyze some of our core operating expenses across the group to assess both the proportion of that cost, which could be addressed by AI over time and what some more ambitious savings targets might look like. And you can see this on the bottom right of the chart, show savings of between 20% and 40%, even as high as 70% in things like customer care. And we're not providing guidance here. These are just indications of what we think could and should be achievable over time.
These are not fanciful numbers in my view. They look more realistic to me every day. Why is that? A lot of things are working in our favor here. On one hand, of course, we're implementing our own AI solutions with sophisticated and scaled partners to drive benefits. But equally important, on the other hand, we're seeing our largest suppliers, typically software and outsourcing partners, looking for early renewals in exchange for passing along to us the significant AI savings they themselves are realizing and must realize to stay relevant. So we're getting it on both ends. Obviously, as we develop these initiatives more fully, we'll share more detail. And remember, this example just covers OpEx, right? There are significant revenue and CapEx benefits to be realized as well.
And then finally, on my last slide, we're not only taking advantage of AI in our Telecom and Growth businesses, we're also prioritizing opportunities to invest in AI companies through our existing tech portfolio as part of Liberty Growth. Now we discussed this on and off in the past, but let me get into a bit more detail here. As a reminder, we've had a pretty good track record investing in tech. Typically companies in their scale-up phase and where we see some strategic value to our existing businesses. Good examples would be Plume or Aviatrix or Samba TV.
Our track record has been good. Since inception, we've invested a total of $700 million into our tech portfolio and taken out around $600 million through distributions and exits. So we're funding our investments with proceeds. And with about $100 million in today, we're sitting on a market valuation of $400 million, so we're in a good spot. Now recently, we pivoted to AI-driven investments where it makes sense. I'm not talking about OpenAI or SpaceX. Good examples will be ElevenLabs. Maybe some of you know this company, a leader in voice AI with advanced automated customer service solutions that we're actually using today. Expo and cybersecurity and Scan AI in data and automation are 2 good examples of companies directly addressing the operational backbone of a telco. So we're enhancing network security, optimizing processes and driving efficiency there.
Arrcus is optimizing the next generation of network infrastructure, a perfect fit for the rest of our infrastructure businesses like AtlasEdge. And if you look at these businesses and you look them up, you'll see that we're typically investing with the smartest VC firms and tech companies. We're not alone here. We're partnering with smart money on these things. And going forward, we'll remain focused on AI infrastructure, models, in voice and video, cybersecurity, AI applications, in things like customer care, sales and financing, all things that we think could be useful to us and also very successful.
And lastly, I'll just point out that our infrastructure vertical within Liberty Growth is playing the AI space as well through our data center investments in AtlasEdge, of course. We have hundreds of millions committed there and our alternative energy investments. So we're taking a 360-degree view of the AI opportunity, which we believe is the best way to innovate and transform our business over the long term. I think it's going to be one hell of a ride.
I'm excited about the stuff we're doing and happy to get into any questions you may have. In the meantime, Charlie, over to you.
Thanks, Mike. Turning to our Q2 financial highlights. Our OpCo performance continues to track against 2026 guidance, as I'll get into starting on the next slide. We closed the quarter with $2.4 billion of corporate cash, supported by proceeds from our EdgeConneX disposal and additional corporate liquidity provided by a new Wyre stake asset-backed loan. And we've completed $4.1 billion of financing year-to-date, including the imminent separation of the Telenet and Wyre capital structures following the recent approval of the fiber sharing agreement.
The next slide sets out the Q2 financial results for our Benelux companies. And as a reminder, we now present Telenet's financial performance, excluding Wyre to provide greater clarity given the full separation of the 2 companies and their capital structures, which, as Mike just presented, is set to happen following BCA approval of the fiber sharing agreement in Belgium.
Turning to the financials. Revenue trends of VodafoneZiggo sequentially improved during the quarter, supported by fixed customer volumes returning to growth in line with the How We Win plan. Whilst repricing remains a headwind today, we anticipate that impact to reduce as we move into 2027.
Adjusted EBITDA declined in line with our guidance, reflecting the in-year impact of the How We Win plan and some one-off investments in network resilience, which we identified when we gave guidance. Cost reduction initiatives remain firmly on track and continue to support our expectation of returning the business to EBITDA growth from 2027. Adjusted EBITDA less P&E additions were lower year-on-year, primarily reflecting higher CapEx in the quarter related to the network resilience investments. At Telenet, revenue continued to be impacted by our strategic decision not to renew Belgian football rights for a season and a one-off adjustment related to a VAT dispute, partly offset by higher revenue from the new Wyre management services agreement.
EBITDA growth was driven by the Wyre management services agreement and lower Wyre wholesale fees. Looking ahead, we will see adjusted EBITDA impacted by the return of costs associated with the new Jupiler Pro League contract in the second half.
Turning to the U.K. and Ireland. Virgin Media O2 service revenue was broadly in line with our expectations. Competitive intensity in the fixed market remained elevated, whilst the O2 business continued to rationalize parts of its portfolio to support long-term growth, resulting in a reduction in headline revenues. This was partially offset by wholesale revenue growth in our market-leading MVNO business.
There was also an improvement in mobile service revenue trends sequentially. Adjusted EBITDA declined by 2.9%, driven by lower revenue, but supported by further cost efficiency measures. At Virgin Media Ireland, service revenues modestly declined, impacted by continued competition in the consumer fixed markets. But because of this, adjusted EBITDA declined by 4.7%.
Turning to the next slide. We remain committed to our disciplined capital allocation model, rotating capital into high-growth investments and strategic opportunities that drive long-term value creation. Capital intensity at our key OpCos remains elevated, but all within guidance ranges for the full year.
Virgin Media O2 continues to see elevated CapEx, driven by higher investments in mobile capacity, including spectrum integration from Vodafone, the ongoing fiber upgrade program and IT digital spend to put us in better position in terms of seamless FMC offerings. VodafoneZiggo CapEx was driven by network upgrades, including the DOCSIS 4.0 digitization efforts and one-off investments in network resilience and service reliability in 2026. CapEx has meaningfully stepped down at Telenet as the 5G network upgrades are now largely complete and as we complete much of our investment in our digital platforms. We expect this to continue to trend down further next year. And Virgin Media Ireland CapEx continues to step down in 2026 as we largely complete the fiber upgrade of around 1 million premises. We expect Ireland to be free cash flow positive because of this in Q4 for the first time since the beginning of the upgrade program.
Moving to the Liberty Growth walk on the top right. The fair market value of our Growth portfolio decreased to $2.9 billion in Q2. This was mainly driven by the successful sale of EdgeConneX, which I'll detail more on the next slide, and UPC Slovakia, partially offset by modest investments in Formula E, nexfibre and AI-owned tech pillar within the Growth portfolio. The key fair market value adjustments were an increased value for EdgeConneX on sale and an increase in the Lionsgate stock price.
Turning to our cash walk on the bottom right, we ended the quarter with a consolidated cash balance of $2.4 billion. This was mainly driven by the proceeds received from EdgeConneX and UPC Slovakia transactions. And this excludes the $340 million of additional liquidity provided by our loan facility backed by our Wyre stake, half of which resides outside the Ziggo Group according to the terms of the Vodafone transaction.
Next, I want to spend a moment on EdgeConneX, which was an excellent outcome for our Growth portfolio and a clear demonstration of our strategy working as intended. We first invested back in 2015, taking a minority stake in what was then a relatively early-stage data center business. Over the following 11 years, we funded its growth consistently and rationally with around $177 million of gross equity in total. We supported a company that has scaled without overcommitting capital. And today, EdgeConneX is a truly global platform with over 50 data centers across more than 40 markets and 4 continents, spanning the full spectrum of edge and hyperscale developments. Our exit strategy reflected the same discipline that characterized our investment approach.
We monetized the position in stages, crystallizing value while maintaining upside exposure. We achieved a full exit in Q2 2026 with $604 million of proceeds from the final stake on top of $122 million from earlier sales. And the headline numbers speak for themselves. $177 million invested, $726 million of total proceeds and roughly a 30% IRR and a 4x multiple of money. Now beyond the financial terms, the outcome of our EdgeConneX investment validates our right to play in digital infrastructure and data centers. We now have more than 10 years of hands-on experience in this space, and we're applying that playbook to our AtlasEdge investment.
Moving to the treasury slide. We've been proactively dealing with our 2028 and 2029 maturities. And overall, we have successfully refinanced more than $4 billion across our credit silos year-to-date. In Belgium, we are now formally separating the capital structures between Telenet and Wyre following BCA approval of Wyre's fiber sharing agreement with Proximus. Wyre now can draw down the $5 billion fully underwritten facility to repay $2.3 billion intercompany loan with Telenet and a $0.4 billion Wyre dividend as part of the wider debt rebalancing. Telenet will use the proceeds received to repay $2.5 billion of 2028 maturities.
At VodafoneZiggo, we were able to refinance $1.3 billion, leaving us with no 2028 maturities and reducing 2029 maturities. We remain opportunistic here ahead of the spin-off. And as Mike noted, are on track to execute a number of deleveraging steps pre-spin.
At Virgin Media O2, we remain opportunistic in the debt market as we look to continue to push out our 2029 maturities, but we acknowledge recent trading levels. Now as Mike discussed, we are committed to a stable long-term capital structure of VMO2. We and Telefónica recognize that leverage is above our 4 to 5x target and that credit spreads are currently elevated, but we both believe that we are making the investments today that will deliver EBITDA growth to deleverage that company back towards our target range.
We're investing CapEx at 22% of sales. It's actually 25% of sales if you exclude hardware sales, which is significantly above the average through the cycle for a telecom company to support this strategy, including significant near-term investments in the mobile and fixed networks to improve customer experience and competitiveness as well as in digital IT transformation to realize the cost reduction opportunities presented by AI.
The small dividend projected to be paid to the shareholders will be reinvested into the Netomnia transaction, which is a key transaction for Virgin O2 to keep investing in its fiber plan, which we believe will further strengthen the product offering for VMO2 and help establish a credible second fiber network to compete with BT and unlock wholesale revenues.
Both shareholders continue to look at inorganic opportunities to further strengthen the competitive position and financial performance of Virgin Media O2 as we did with both O2 Daisy and the Netomnia transactions. Both shareholders recognize the importance of credit providers, which is why they're making these investments and acquisitions to support the long-term future of the company. Now we remain on track to deliver against this strategy, and we'll update investors as we always do in February of next year.
And finally, turning to our full year guidance for 2026. We are reconfirming all guidance metrics of VMO2, VodafoneZiggo and Telenet as well as our guidance for corporate adjusted EBITDA. And in addition, we're upgrading our full year corporate cash target from $1.5 billion to $2 billion, supported by the EdgeConneX proceeds and Wyre asset-backed loan.
And that concludes our prepared remarks for Q2, and over to you for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question will go to the line of Joshua Mills with BNP Paribas.
2. Question Answer
So I just want to ask firstly on the U.K. ARPU trends. I think in the past, you've talked about the issues faced from declining legacy revenue, things like voice and TV. And today, you're talking more about the declines being related to front book price competition. So it sounds to us like it's no longer just a legacy issue. It's more related to market conditions as they stand today. So my question on this ARPU trend is, firstly, is that a fair characterization? And if so, do you think, look, that we're at trough ARPU declines and trough service revenue declines at the moment? Or could things continue to get worse in the second half given the level of competition we see in the market?
And then secondly, on the volume side of the equation for the U.K., in the past, when you've had these kind of sub losses in markets like the Netherlands and Switzerland, you took the quite bold step to rebate customers aggressively, proactively on to cheaper tariffs to try and stabilize the base. It looks from today's strong results on VodafoneZiggo net adds, so that's had a good effect. So is it something you consider doing in the U.K. as well? Or do you think that you're going to remain happy with the level of subscriber losses in the near term as long as you don't take too much of a hit on ARPU?
Go ahead, Lutz.
Yes. So thank you for the question. So I mean, when we did the guidance for the year '26, we expected to be -- the market to be very competitive. And remember, I said that 70% of the service revenue guidance of minus 3% and minus 5% will come from fixed consumer, which exactly is now kicking in. So that's number one.
Number two, to your point, is the market more competitive? Yes, it is. So just one number. And compared to Q2 '25, the average selling price is down 4% in the market. So I think your observation is right. Now where is this 4.6% coming from? The biggest driver for it is our own prevention. And I think what we are not doing is radically recontracting customers and forget about the ARPU.
We have -- remember, we have built a very sophisticated retention machine, where we know down to every 60 homes what customers want and offer them that. And we have now built the same prevention machine. So the biggest driver for the ARPU down is prevention already, but in a very targeted way. And so we have now more than 80% of our customers on contracts with significant remaining term. And so we will keep doing exactly that in the future.
And is this now rock bottom or not? That is hard to say because I don't know how the market will evolve. Market is very hot. And there are some new promotions announced from Openreach. Ofcom has to accept them. If they will kick in from October this year, the market will be even more competitive. If not, I would expect the same competitive level and then our prevention will help us a bit more in the future, but it is hard to predict. I hope that helps.
Our next question will go to the line of Robert Grindle with Deutsche Bank.
So well done on getting the BCA approval. I think it's taken a bit longer than you thought, but probably been prepping away in the meantime. What's the time line from here on the fiber collaboration and the separation of Telenet? And alongside that, the monetization of Wyre, would you hope the monetization announcement is a 2026 one? Or is that in next year now because things have gone a bit more slowly?
Thanks, Robert. It has taken a while to get to this point. But as I tried to articulate in my remarks, it's a building block. It's a foundational piece of the building block. And now that's opening up a lot of key next steps. You mentioned one, I mean, Telenet is already split out. Wyre and Telenet have been really separate businesses for a while. It's the second quarter. I believe we've actually reported on them separately. So that's happened. What the BCA approval allows us to do is essentially rebalance the debt stack on each of those 2 entities and proceed importantly with the sale of a stake in Wyre, which is well underway.
We've got actually, I think, 6 to 8 people doing the work, have hired advisers, and we will be diligently proceeding with that transaction through year-end. And it's possible that even as soon as year-end, but perhaps Q1, we will have concluded that transaction. But that's well underway. And it's one of many things that the BCA approval unlocks, all of which, in our view, are very positive and helping accelerate our timing on the ultimate Ziggo Group spin.
The banking process will take place next week. And they will access the $4.35 billion of Wyre financing, just for clarity, with Wyre dividend.
Our next question will go to the line of Polo Tang with UBS.
Just about VodafoneZiggo and broadband. Can you clarify when you will be able to start offering broadband in the DELTA Fiber footprint? Also, what do you think has had the biggest impact in terms of helping stabilize the VodafoneZiggo broadband base? So was it the ESPN content offers? Was it pushing harder on recontracting customers? Was there a notable tailwind in terms of the Odido data breach? Or was it something else? And do you think that you can see improving or positive net adds going forward? Or is stable a more likely outcome?
I don't know if Stephen was on and then off. Stephen, let me know if you're on.
Yes. Mike, I'm on.
Yes. Welcome to take those.
Yes. Great. Polo, thanks for the question. Let me deal with the DELTA question first. We're planning to roll out in the DELTA footprint that we are operating in the second half of the year. We're not far from that now. So we expect to see that turn up in our numbers in the fourth quarter.
And then in terms of stabilizing, look, as you've seen progressively over the last 6 quarters, it's not one thing that we've done. It's a sequence of a number of things we've done, including bringing our front book pricing in line with the marketplace, investing in the core proposition, increasing our speeds. We're the only ones offering 2 gigabit across most of the country today, differentiating both with WiFi guarantee and now laterally with the ESPN bundle and changing our marketing, focusing more on connectivity and competing harder than we had previously.
So I think it's a combination of things that I think have helped us get to this point. As a result, I think it's fair to say that we are pursuing sustainability of that growth. So in terms of providing guidance going forward because we put in, I think, a number of pillars that will help us continue to build the momentum that we've seen. Our expectation is to continue to grow through the second half of the year.
Our next question will go to the line of Nick Lyall with Berenberg.
I hope you can hear me. Just a quick question again on the U.K. to follow up on Josh's, please. What makes you think this isn't a long-term decline for the U.K.? I'm just interested, your pricing is quite a bit above BTs and substantially above the altnets. So I take the Lutz's point that he's got a lot of customers locked in for now. But why should you be able to sustain this pricing point? What helps you get there? Is it rolling out fiber and completing the fiber footprint or something else? Or is this a problem maybe for the longer term that ARPUs just keep on slipping for many quarters?
And just the second point, Charlie, can you just clarify on what you said about inorganic options in the U.K.? That sounded like you're thinking about potentially buying assets, not selling to reduce debt. Have I got that the right way around? Or have I misunderstood that?
Charlie, do you want to get the first one?
Yes. Just I think on the -- I think the point we're trying to make is both Telefónica and us are firmly behind this company. We're very committed. We're investing at very elevated levels to secure the long-term competitiveness of the business. And we have been ready to do inorganic moves, whether it's buying and indeed selling. As you know, we've sold things, for example, CTIL. So it's not to be specific about whether we're buying or selling. It's more to say, look, we are right behind this company. And we think the company is in the right direction, performing to the plan we set it for this year. And I look forward to giving the update to everybody in February on the next phase of financial development.
I'd just add to that, that the Netomnia deal would be an example of an inorganic transaction that we think on balance is beneficial to VMO2 from both a credit and equity perspective for all the reasons we've articulated along the way. So inorganic could include really everything that's not simply driving cost reduction or revenue growth or free cash flow in the operating business. So it's a wide definition.
Lutz, do you want to address the first question? Lutz you might be on mute.
Sorry for that. Yes, my answer to your question is the following. We have very -- 3 very strong brands, right? And it's not only Virgin Media, it's also O2 and giffgaff. And ultimately, we will be able to sell any product with any of these 3 brands. And we have also -- and we have just launched giffgaff broadband, and we are starting to gain traction there.
So high level, 3 brands addressing different target groups. And on average, every second household is a customer of ours, but they have only on average 1.3 products for us, while we have very strong mobile connectivity, very strong broadband connectivity, very strong video products for different segments. So therefore, even if you get fiber very cheap, I think the combination across everything to get this in a very good value for money with good service. This is our strategy, and you will be progressing us in that way. And we have to be prepared that the competitiveness stays like it is today.
I think also the flip side of that equation is, of course, what things I was mentioning around driving transformation in our operating model, our operating costs and ultimately a declining CapEx profile. So we're focused, as you should be on the profitability of these businesses, the ability to generate free cash over the long term. We've just been describing revenue. Certainly, that's a big piece of it, and Lutz didn't mention the business side, enterprise as well as wholesale. So there's many levers to drive the top line.
But far more levers to drive profitability between there and free cash. And a significant part of the company's time, effort, energy and shareholders is to ensure that we are optimizing the P&L of the business. So lots of levers to pull to drive what we think is the most important metric, and that's long-term free cash flow, only one of which is revenue, and I think Lutz has addressed that pretty well.
Our next question will go to the line of Ulrich Rathe with Bernstein, Societe Generale Group.
I wanted to ask on the quantification of the AI cost benefits. That was quite interesting. I thought, Mike, the question I would have is how confident are you that you can hold on to these kind of benefits? Point being, cost benefits that are available to the industry have kind of diffused away. You mentioned McKinsey is involved and those kind of companies are a mechanism for diffusion, one of them, but there are others. So what are the reasons why such cost benefits are ultimately good for the bottom line in the longer term? That would be interesting here as well.
Yes. If you mean good for the bottom line or if you mean sustainable, I think you asked both questions. Look, I'll repeat what I said on the call, which is that it's coming at us from both directions, sort of self-induced organic -- organically driven efficiencies, improvements, all the things that we know AI can do, you're reading about it every day, we're on that. And the list of projects is way too long to put on a slide. But every company in the group, both in the growth and the telecom portfolio is implementing today solutions that are making them more efficient, faster, better, more profitable. And that's happening organically as we speak.
I'm really thinking through and addressing the longer-term impact because the trend is only going one way, right? Models are getting smarter. More and more companies are arriving on the scene, taking advantage of that intelligence, driving solutions at scale for companies like ours and others. And we don't see anything on the horizon that would change that trajectory. If you just extrapolate from where intelligence is moving and how costs are evolving in that space for beneficiaries like us, it's just going to get faster and cheaper.
And as we apply that logic to more and more of our business, we just see nothing but upside. I mean we're only 20%, 25% in the cloud and repeat that. 75% to 80% of our business is still on-prem. So there are so many things in our industry, and we're not different than any other telco, has yet to implement and take advantage of that. I think it's almost irresponsible not to be that ambitious. And I'm pounding the table every day with my team to tell me why we can't be that ambitious. And it's nice to have third parties who are along that -- on that ride with us, whether they're consultants or technology companies. I think that's -- you have to be thinking that broadly, and I think that aggressively over the next, let's say, 2 to 3 years, it's moving that fast. And so that's how we're approaching it.
It's great to do the things we're doing. I'm proud of our industry, and I'm proud of my team, but it's just the start. There has to be a rethink of our operating models, how we're managing our businesses, talent and all the technology and software required to drive these kinds of step-change improvements. So I think it's real. I think it's sustainable, and we're anxiously working to deliver it.
Our next question will go to the line of Matthew Harrigan with StoneX.
On the industrial kind of blocking and tackling AI, kind of answered about 80% of question, but I assume you don't have the issues with token costs, which are surprising some people in terms of what is being charged now. There's even some talk of a bit of a bait-and-switch. And talking with some of your U.S. peers, I think they feel like there's a touch of discernible benefit in '27 on a net basis. And then after that, you really get an inflection point. I mean do you think you're going to see a decided inflection point in '28, '29, late decade? Or is this just kind of a gradual process?
And then lastly, you talked on costs, which are very quantifiable and predictable on the revenue side. I assume that was also addressed by McKinsey and Google, but you'd rather kind of keep that close comodo because it's a little harder to realize and you don't want to go too aggressive on that FX.
Yes. And I'll ask Enrique to jump in here, too. Look, on the revenue side and the CapEx side, those numbers generally are not as high as the ones we put on the slide, but they're still tangible and significant and worth pursuing. And you should assume that -- you should not assume that because they didn't -- weren't on the slide, we're not looking at those things very aggressively. And many of which we're already putting into action, right? So in Lutz's case, his personalization engine is driving churn reduction, driving next best offers, driving all kinds of revenue benefits just today as we speak.
So we intend and are doing that across the board. But we figured one piece at a time. I think it is gradual. I don't think it's in 1 quarter, all of a sudden, everything hits. It will be gradual. And I think for us, that's the only way to do it. Why is it? Because as you hear from others in the industry, it's not simply the technology. It's not simply a great partner. It's also your organization, your talent, your operating model. No point in having all this great stuff and you're not able to implement it. You don't have the people, the structures to implement it. So it is a journey, but it's -- everybody is on it. We're on it, and we're on it from an end-to-end, really.
And then I don't know, Enrique, do you want to talk more about the economics of AI tokens and how we see that progressing?
Absolutely. Thank you. First of all, like anybody else in the industry, we're watching the evolution of both token costs and the resulting benefits pretty closely. And I can say categorically, we don't see a major issue with the increase in some cases of token costs because we've been, I think, pretty disciplined in making sure that we're applying those tokens against business cases that do bring those net benefits. And so I do believe that this will be a continuing story, but I see a significant net benefit even though like anybody else, we do see an increase in the usage of tokens and the related costs.
Our next question will go to the line of James Ratzer with New Street Research.
So I had a question, please, around kind of Virgin Media O2 business. If I look at kind of your partner, Telefónica, they've seen declining revenues in Germany. And just 2 days ago, they announced a major cost restructuring program. And obviously, Telefónica has just helped to appoint a new CFO at Virgin Media O2. So I'm wondering whether you see the scope to take similar action at Virgin Media O2 and to kind of take on a more radical approach to cost reductions as we've seen your partner also announced in Germany.
And you talked about kind of looking to support the business. And at the same time, you've just raised your cash target at the TopCo now to $2 billion. Would you consider injecting any of that cash back into Virgin Media O2 to help it with its deleveraging?
Thanks, James. Listen, premature to discuss capital allocation. We think the business is obviously generating free cash today, and we think can generate significantly more free cash tomorrow.
On your cost reduction question, certainly, that is something we are looking at as well. We're in the business planning phase right now. This is when Lutz and the team are sitting down and doing the work on our long-range plan. And of course, when we mentioned organic and inorganic tools to continue to drive free cash flow and reduce leverage, that is, as you state, a very realistic one. And so you should assume that those are the kind of things we'll be looking at as we should.
And I don't know if Charlie if you want to add anything to that?
No. I mean, I think, look, the business is on track with the plan that they set out at the beginning of the year. They've reconfirmed guidance. We're going through a planning exercise. We do understand leverage is outside the range. We take it seriously. But give us the time to continue to work through -- with the management the right next steps, which could involve cost reductions, and we'll come back to you in February.
Could you -- I mean do you see kind of scope there...
Our next question will go to the line of David Wright with Bank of America.
I hope you can hear me. Mine is a little around the accounting change in VMO2. It just seems a little unintuitive to me to be amortizing the commissions, extending the amortization period as you are accruing increasing sort of net losses and higher churn. That seems like quite the opposite thing you would do. So I'm wondering why you've chosen to do that and on what basis?
And I guess the second point would be, is it just a one-off impact? Or should we now be seeing this sort of run over a period to sort of support the EBITDA line?
And I guess my sort of final question was, does this adjustment sit within the EBITDA guidance? Or is it outside the EBITDA guidance? Was it anticipated when you gave the EBITDA guidance? That would be really interesting to me.
And then, Charlie, I sort of have to ask, you kind of mentioned this full year VMO2 sort of, I don't want to say revisit, but sort of full year update. And it seems like that could be sort of a more significant event. Should we think about it that way? Or are you just talking about sort of general business planning as usual?
Charlie, both for you.
Yes, yes. First of all, also the second question, that is the usual update in February, I don't want to make a big deal about it. It's more just to say we obviously give guidance every year. We give guidance for this year, we're on track. And as we always do, it will be regular. So there's nothing particularly sinister or magical about next February.
In terms of accounting, look, the magic of accounting estimates, we are always revising accounting estimates. It's always based on facts. It's always aligned with our auditor, and it's always based on our real life experience. So maybe it seems all in the context of the market competition, but these actually are the facts, and this is the right way we believe to account for it. And it's not just us. It's obviously run through with the auditor.
It has some impact on EBITDA. Was that anticipated in the original guidance? Probably not. But to that -- on the other hand, it's not that material number. It's worth pointing out the key metric we're looking at here is free cash flow, and it's obviously a noncash item, but I do agree it has a short-term benefit on EBITDA. But in the years past, it's worked against us. So we consider this in the sort of swings and roundabouts of accounting.
But just on the...
Sorry, one thing I can add -- can I add? I think I can help you to answer what is -- when you do a lot of prevention, you bring customers into a new 24-month contract length, and that is impacting accounting the way up, right? So if you add these 2 things together, I think what is maybe on the surface, counterintuitive makes a lot of sense. So a lot of new recontracting, you pay commissions for that. And you, of course, then, right, accrue them over the new contract or lifetime of the customer. Just one thing. So it all makes sense.
And then the other what, right, Charlie said, concrete numbers, right? Last year, we had tons [indiscernible] working for us. We don't have this. This makes even a higher amount. And now this goes the other way. So it's always small items, big companies like ours, but it's not explicit outside the guidance. It's a more smaller thing.
And with that, we will conclude the Q&A session. I would now like to pass the conference back over to you, Mr. Mike Fries, for any closing remarks.
Great. I'll keep it brief. Thanks for joining us. We always appreciate that. Lots of information to digest. You know where to find us if you have questions. Be a busy summer for us, as you can imagine, across the group, particularly in Benelux. So stay tuned for announcements there, and stay well. Speak soon. Thanks very much.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes Liberty Global's Second Quarter 2026 Investor Call. As a reminder, a replay of the call will be available in the Investor Relations section of Liberty Global's website. There, you can also find a copy of today's presentation materials.
Liberty Global — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Liberty Global — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Liberty Global's First Quarter 2026 Investor Call. This call and the associated webcast are the property of Liberty Global and any redistribution, retransmission or rebroadcast of this call or webcast in any form without the expressed written consent of Liberty Global is strictly prohibited. [Operator Instructions] Today's formal presentation materials can be found under the Investor Relations section of Liberty Global's website at libertyglobal.com. [Operator Instructions]
Page 2 of the slides details the company's safe harbor statement regarding forward-looking statements. Today's presentation may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including the company's expectations with respect to its outlook and future growth prospects and other information and statements that are not historical fact. These forward-looking statements involve certain risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements. These risks include those detailed in Liberty Global's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recently filed forms 10-Q and 10-K as amended. Liberty Global disclaims any obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements to reflect any change in its expectations or in the conditions on which any such statement is based.
I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Mike Fries.
All right. Thanks, operator. Hello, everyone. I appreciate you joining the call today. As usual, Charlie and I will handle the prepared remarks and the presentation, and then I have my core leadership team on the call with me and on standby for Q&A as needed. We've got a lot of ground to cover, so I'm just going to jump right in on the first slide, which provides some key takeaways from the quarter.
To begin with, we delivered strong operational performance and we'll go through it all in a moment. But one big headline here. This was our fourth straight quarter of steady broadband improvement across each of our big 3 markets with fixed to mobile ARPUs remaining largely stable. Now Charlie will walk through how this translates into our financial results, but the punch line is, we will be confirming all of our 2026 guidance today. There are lots of reasons for this commercial momentum, including our multi-brand strategies, our network investments, AI implementations around personalization and churn and call centers. And we'll talk about all that a bit today, but really what we'll do in our second quarter call is do a deeper dive on our AI initiatives. So stay tuned for that.
Equally important for this audience is the fact that we are making real progress on the value unlock initiatives announced this past February. The acquisition of Vodafone's 50% stake in our Dutch JV is on track to close this summer, and we see no obstacles to getting that deal done on time. And that, of course, is just one of the main building blocks underlying our strategy to spin off our Benelux assets in the second half of the next year. And I'll walk you through each of those building blocks in just a moment, as well as the value we could and should create for you all by spinning off the Ziggo Group.
Quickly on Netomnia, that transaction in the U.K. is now officially in the regulatory process. And while the noise from 1 or 2 competitors has escalated recently, we're pretty confident this deal will be approved. It's a very positive development for the U.K. fiber market, which is in desperate need of rationalization, as you all know, and it's a great outcome for VMO2 for all the reasons we reviewed on the last call.
And then finally, you won't be surprised to hear that we are highly focused on capital allocation at the corporate level. Over the last 2 years, we brought our net corporate costs down by 75%. We talked about that on the last call. And we've articulated what we believe is a clear investment strategy around telecom and growth, and we've strengthened our balance sheet. After funding the 1.2 billion needed to close the Vodafone transaction and are now executing on around 700 million of asset sales from our growth portfolio, we should end the year with around 1.5 billion of corporate cash. And as noted here on the slide, through April, we've generated around 300 million in proceeds. So we're sort of on our way.
And finally, just one quick remark on the broader telecom environment in Europe. As you would know, the sector has performed well in the last 12 months or so. That's driven in part by improved operational performance, reduced CapEx and general rotation out of software and into industrials. You're all familiar with those trends. I would add to the list, what appears to be an improving regulatory climate in Europe. When it comes to telecom broadly and more specifically when it comes to consolidation. We await the formal release of the EU merger guidelines, for example, but these changes are expected to redefine the rules, and that's going to be a big positive together with an increasing commitment to sovereignty to our sector in the broader telecom industry. So I'm sure you're aware of that, but important to note.
Now moving on to the next slide, let me start by saying that there will come a point in time when I don't need to put this chart in the deck. But for now, I think it's helpful. To summarize our operating structure, specifically our 3 core pillars of value creation: Liberty Telecom, Liberty Growth and then the central, Liberty Global itself. And to highlight the strategies we're executing to create and deliver that value.
Liberty Growth, on the far right, houses our portfolio of media infra-end tech investments totaling 3.4 billion today. And here, we're focused on rotating capital, investing in high-growth sectors with scale and tailwinds. We'll try to spotlight a few of those in each quarter and today, we'll lay out the thesis for the experience economy.
In the center system, Liberty Global itself, with 1.9 billion of cash and a team with decades of experience operating and investing in these businesses. And as we reported last quarter, we've restructured our operating model and reduced net corporate costs by 75% since 2024 to around 50 million this year. And these 2 asset pools alone, by the way, our cash and the market value of our growth investments, exceed the current price of our stock by around 30%.
Which means, of course, that everything in our core, Liberty Telecom business on the left, [indiscernible] 22 billion of revenue, 8 billion of EBITDA and [ 4 ] incredible converged telecom champions are receiving no value at all in our stock. In fact, negative value, if you give us credit for our substantial reduction in corporate costs. Now as we set over and over and over, our primary goal here in telecom is to drive commercial momentum and importantly, to unlock value for shareholders. And that was the impetus behind our Sunrise spin-off, which you all know about, and which we believe has worked extremely well for investors. And that's why in the last call, we described the information of the Ziggo Group, combination of our Benelux assets in Holland and Belgium, and our intention to spin off our interest tax free to shareholders in the second half of 2027.
So where are we on that specific initiative? I referenced earlier the building blocks that form the foundation of our expected value unlock for the Ziggo Group. And you can see, the most significant ones outlined on the left-hand side of the next slide. Let me just say that each of these steps, each of these blocks, if you will, are centered around strategic catalysts, free cash flow growth and deleveraging. And they each represent a foundational element of the value creation plan here. This is the primary blueprint we've been executing. Of course, with dozens of overlays and work streams, but it should give you greater confidence and awareness of our plans here.
Let's start with Belgium. The first step was, of course, separating Telenet from its fixed network, which is now a 2/3, 1/3 JV called Wyre. This restructuring accomplishes or accomplished 4 key things. First, it isolates a significant fiber CapEx and debt capital needed to upgrade the HFC network in Flanders into an off-balance sheet vehicle.
Second, it precipitated a comprehensive network cooperation agreement, which in Wyre and Telenet on one hand and Proximus and its fiber asset, Fiberklaar, on the other hand, which I'm pleased to say was just signed yesterday and will result in a single network ours or theirs and about 75% of Flanders, that's a great, great outcome.
Third, it creates a cleaner, more consumer and B2B focused Telenet, ServCo, with a significant free cash flow turnaround story, supported by declining mobile CapEx and mostly AI-driven OpEx reductions.
And then fourth, it facilitates a reduction in Telenet's leverage from both a rebalancing of debt between Wyre and Telenet and the sale of a portion of our stake in Wyre, at a premium, by the way, which will be used to repay debt at Telenet. Some really critical steps to getting where we want to be.
Moving to the Netherlands, for me, the first strategic catalyst here was bringing in a new management team, one that could set the tone for a return to growth and for winning results in the Dutch market, and Stephen and his team have delivered exactly that.
And the second strategic catalyst was, of course, reaching an agreement with Vodafone to buy their 50% stake in our Dutch JV. This deal, as I just said, is scheduled to close in less than 3 months. Now not only is that deal accretive from a financial point of view, but it strategically unlocks about EUR 1 billion in synergies we referenced, and provides the structural elements necessary to complete a tax-free spin-off next year. Each of these steps accelerates our commitment to reducing leverage at Vodafone Ziggo, which will accomplish through asset sales, a return to EBITDA and free cash flow growth and synergies.
Now on the top right of this slide, you can see a side-by-side of Sunrise and the combined Ziggo Group. If you look at 2025, the Ziggo Group is bigger. It's about 2 to 2.5x larger in revenue and EBITDA and a bit more profitable. But importantly, you'll see that in 2028, we're estimating free cash flow of around EUR 500 million and leverage of 4.5x, which presents a comparable financial profile to Sunrise when we spun it off in Q4 '24.
On the chart on the bottom right provides an illustrative bridge to the EUR 500 million of free cash flow, which is estimated to be EUR 120 million this year. And the biggest component of that, as you can see, are the nonrecurring nature of some costs this year in Holland, combined synergies, Telenet's mobile CapEx reduction and organic EBITDA growth.
We think the Ziggo Group represents a compelling equity story and it's anchored around 4 selling points. Number one, this is a strong regional business with 2 of Europe's most rational telecom markets that are best-in-class brands.
Number two, we have clear network strategies here, with declining CapEx as 5G investments subside and fiber costs are moved off balance sheet in Belgium, and a cost-efficient DOCSIS 4.0 rollout in Holland. So declining CapEx and great visibility to the network strategy.
Number three, rising free cash flow and declining leverage, and that's supported by organic growth, synergies and EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.4 billion of local asset sales have already described, towers, property, et cetera.
And then number four, a commitment to pay dividends from free cash flow as we've done with Sunrise. So we have lots of work to do. But this plan and this path forward is clear for us, and we look forward to updating you each quarter on our progress.
Now what does it all add up to? I'm sure many of you are wondering what sort of value creation do we think is achievable here? The chart on the next slide is actually simpler than it looks, but it moves left to right, and it demonstrates how we have and how we intend to create value through this unlocked strategy.
Let's start on the far left. The day we announced our intention to spin off Sunrise in February 2024, our stock closed at $18. Of course, 9 months later, we completed the spin-off, and using Sunrise's current stock price, we feel we delivered a tax-free dividend that's valued today at $13 per Liberty share. So together with our $12 stock, you get to $25 or about a 40% value appreciation in the last 14 months or so. So far so good.
About 2 months ago, we announced the second step in our value unlock strategy to -- with our intention to consolidate Benelux and spin off the Ziggo Group in the second half of next year. So what might that be worth? And these numbers are illustrative, lawyers maybe say that, of course. But if we -- if you move to the right on the third column, I think you'll see the answer. We believe a publicly listed Ziggo group, if it were to trade at, let's say, the same implicit valuation of Sunrise today, an essentially an 11.5% free cash flow yield could be worth up to $14 per Liberty share based upon the 2028 free cash flow estimate of EUR 500 million that we just discussed. Without debating the point, we believe this could be conservative. As you would know, many of our peers, KPN, Swisscom, Orange [indiscernible], they trade at free cash flow yields of 5% to 7%, albeit with different leverage profiles.
So let's stick with the 11.5% free cash flow yield. The primary question then is where will Liberty itself trade post spin? Remember, we believe that the entire Liberty Telecom Group has negative value on our stock today of around $4 per share. And despite our announced intentions regarding Ziggo, with our cash and growth assets worth $16 and our stock at 12, that's the only conclusion we can reach.
Now to arrive at $14 post the Ziggo Group spin, we simply added our pro forma cash balance after the Vodafone deal and asset sales, together with the value of our remaining growth assets, including our residual stake in Wyre, and we get to $14. By the way, these numbers assume that the market continues to assign no equity value, that's 0 equity value to our remaining telecom businesses in the U.K. and Ireland. Of course, we think there's substantial equity value in these businesses, but we don't need to agree on that to get to these numbers.
So to recap. If you follow the light blue boxes, from February [ 24 ], the day we announced our plans to spin off Sunrise, to today, we created $7 on what was an $18 stock. So that's 40%. And we believe for those who had held on to the Liberty stock and the Sunrise stock, that number gets to 41 with the Ziggo Group spin.
If you do the same thing with the dark blue boxes, for those who bought their shares after the Sunrise spin-off, we think we can take $12 today to as much as $28 by the second half of next year when we spin the Ziggo Group. Now while there are no sure things in life, and plenty to do between now and then, trust me, the building blocks we think are in place, and we feel good about the plans and these estimates here.
Now one of the reasons for that good feeling is the progress Stephen and his team have made over the last 5 quarters. This next slide summarizes some of those initiatives and some of the progress beginning early last year when we repositioned broadband pricing, changed the operating model or rejuvenated our campaigns, even expanded our footprint through the deal of Delta Fiber. As a result of that, we saw steady improvements right away in broadband, where we've been losing over 30,000 subscribers every quarter. Those changes continued into '26 when we rejuvenated the Ziggo brand with a new campaign, the everything network, that was supported by our [indiscernible], by the way, which we just extended. We also launched broadband into our no-frills [ flanker ] brand, bringing a simple and value-driven connectivity product to that critical segment.
You can see at the bottom right, the broadband net adds have been moving in the right direction for 4 straight quarters. In fact, our first quarter result was the best in 3 years, driven by all the initiatives I just referenced, pricing adjustments, new campaigns, product expansion, network improvements. And by the way, we have the largest reach of 2 gig broadband services in the country. And we just launched field trials with DOCSIS 4.0 in anticipation of launching 4 and 8 gig products later this year. So operationally, VodafoneZiggo is in great shape and improving, exactly what you want to see as we plan for a public listing next year.
The next few slides summarize Q1 operating performance across our 4 markets. I'm going to do this quickly since the CEOs are on the call, and they can provide color if needed. I think the main headline here is that we continue to see good broadband trends pretty much across the board and stable fixed and mobile ARPUs.
Starting with VodafoneZiggo, like I just talked about, our broadband performance improved for the fourth consecutive quarter and postpaid mobile net adds also improved sequentially. We continue to invest in our fixed to mobile markets in Holland, with both the Vodafone and Ziggo Networks receiving outstanding awards in the [ Ooma ] test, with ARPUs of nearly EUR 57 in fixed and EUR 18 in mobile staying steady, that's been a good outcome.
Turning to Belgium, Telenet delivered its highest quarterly broadband result in 10 years, driven by successful cross-sell campaigns and strong performance with our base, our flanker brand there. Postpaid mobile results remain subdued in Belgium as the market is pretty competitive. And here too, our base brand is outperforming, while both mobile ARPU at EUR 16 and fixed ARPU at EUR 63 remained largely stable, ahead of upcoming price adjustments in Q2.
Now turning to the U.K. on the next slide. Despite a market that remains highly competitive, Virgin Media O2 delivered a third straight quarter of broadband improvement, with just 6,000 losses compared to 43,000 losses a year ago. And this was supported by strong commercial and retention initiatives and of course, lower churn. Importantly, despite pressure on the overall market pricing, here, our fixed ARPU remained relatively stable at [ GBP 46.50 ], supported by more and more personalized and AI-driven pricing. And within the Netomnia deal working its way through the regulatory process, we continue our fiber-to-the-home expansion with 8.7 million fiber homes available today.
In U.K. mobile, we launched O2 satellite. You might have seen that making us the first operator in the U.K. to switch on direct device satellite connectivity. In addition, our mobile network transformation is progressing with new RAN upgrade agreements and the transfer of the second tranche of spectrum from VodafoneThree, that's usually important to us. O2 now has the largest 5G stand-alone footprint in the U.K. Net postpaid losses of [ 60,000 ] were materially better than last quarter as churn from the Q4 price adjustment, we've talked about that, subsided, and ARPU of around GBP 17 was broadly stable.
In Ireland, lastly, we continue to execute strategically, with growth in wholesale and off-net traffic more than compensating for retail pressure. On net, fixed retail ARPU of EUR 61 remained stable despite no price rise in '25. And importantly, our fiber rollout, this is critical, remains on track to be substantially complete in 2026, with nearly 20% of the retail base now taking a fiber product, and that will also drive free cash flow in 2027 and beyond.
Now just one slide on our limited growth portfolio currently valued at $3.4 billion and centered around 4 key verticals you know and love: infrastructure and energy, technology and AI, services and, of course, media and sports. Our strategy here has been consistent for some time. We are exiting positions that are no longer strategic in using that capital to both invest in new opportunities as they arise and as needed, provide capital for transactions that will unlock value in our telecom assets. That second point is really important. Historically, we've divested investment positions totaling something like 1.6 billion since 2019, and we've targeted another 700 million in sale proceeds this year, which, as I said, 300 million is already accounted for.
Now a few comments on sports and live events. Of course, we're already invested heavily here through Formula E, but we also believe there are significant structural tailwinds that warrant us evaluating additional opportunities, and we're doing that. These points are probably well known to all of you, I'm sure, but there's clearly a generational shift, from physical goods to experiences, that's live events, sports, travel and entertainment. And many of these markets are fragmented and most are protected from AI disruption. So it's an interesting space.
It's also a clear momentum in the sector, right? Just look at sports, global revenue and sports growing well in excess of GDP over the last 10 years, and by almost everybody's estimation, poised to increase and accelerate from here. What's our right to play, you might be asking, well, we know how to consolidated fragmented industries, both in telecom, but also we've been doing that for decades and recently with all 3 media before exiting at a premium. We've got strong relationships across these sectors. Really, the deal flow is the easy part.
And when you factor in our expertise in things like treasury, operations and technology, it's a pretty strong combination. And we have a good track record in sports, specifically with Formula E, the fastest-growing motor sport globally and 1 of only 8 global sports leagues, which is a great segue to my last slide. I always get excited when I talk about Formula E, sometimes too excited. But I think this moment is perhaps our biggest yet.
Like over the last 10 years, and you've been following this, we have constantly innovated, investing significant energy and time in the car, the technology and the racing. Well, the wait is over. Last week at the Power Car Circuit in France formally unleashed the next-generation race car, GEN4, we call it, and the motor sports world is still reverberating.
First of all, you have to see it in person. Yes, it is a beast, but it's a beautiful, beautiful racecar. The step-up in power performance is incredible. 600 kilowatts of power represents a 71% increase in base output over the current GEN3 Evocar. The acceleration is insane, 0 to 100 kilometers in 1.8 second. That's meaningfully faster than an F1 car, and top speeds in excess of 335 kilometers an hour, nearly 210 miles per hour. And we estimate -- it's an estimate at this point that lap times will decrease 10 seconds on average from the current generation car. That's a lifetime in racing.
It's also the first single seater race car with active all-wheel drive all the time, which will provide incredible acceleration in torque, kind of it turns. And of course, it meets all of our expectations from a sustainability point of view to make for at least 20% recyclable materials. It's 98.5% recycle itself, and allows us to continue claiming that our race-related carbon footprint for the entire championship will fit into one F1 team, by the way.
Speaking of F1, yes, we might have taken a few shots at them since the GEN4 launch. Might be deserved also, you're obviously aware of the issues they're dealing with currently and that they're going through with the hybrid engine. And it just reinforces our view that going halfway on anything does not make history, and we love the position that we're in technologically, competitively from an entertainment and motor sports point of view.
But hey, just don't take my word for it. In the next slide, you can see -- go ahead and scan social media, the motor sports press, there is widespread consensus. I know I'm quoting. This GEN4 car is a "monster." It's quoted, ushering in the most extreme era of electric cars, and it's expected to change perceptions of Formula E forever. Even Max gives it a thumbs up, as you can see on the bottom right. So I'm super excited about GEN4 car and Formula E.
And with that, Charlie, I'll turn it over to you.
Thanks, Mike. My first slide sets out the Q1 financial results for our Benelux companies. Now as you can see on this slide, we're now presenting Wyre's financial performance for the first time separate to Telenet to give investors clarity on their respective financials before we complete the full separation of the 2 companies and their capital structures later this year.
VodafoneZiggo reported a revenue decline of 1.8% in Q1, driven by a lower customer base and ongoing repricing impact. Now this was partially offset by the price indexation and higher revenue from Ziggo Sports, and adjusted EBITDA declined 6.4%, driven by higher marketing costs and some incremental investments in network resilience and service reliability in line with our guidance in March.
At Telenet, revenue was broadly stable in Q1, reflecting our strategic decision not to renew Belgium football rights, which was partly offset by a strong broadband performance, which was driven by effective cross-selling into the video customer base. Adjusted EBITDA grew 8.9%, driven by lower content costs following the exit from the football broadcasting rights.
And at Wyre, revenue declined by 1%, impacted by the implementation of a new pricing model, which was partially offset by strength in wholesale growth. Adjusted EBITDA declined by 4.6%, and this was driven by an investment in build capability as we start to accelerate Wyre's fiber build-out capability.
Turning to the U.K. and Ireland, Virgin Media O2 delivered a total service revenue decline of 3% on a guidance basis. Now this was impacted by competitive pressure in the consumer fixed market and lower B2B revenue as the newly rebranded O2 business rationalizes its product portfolio to support its long-term growth in the mobile segment. This was partially offset by wholesale revenue growth, which was supported by growth in MVNO revenue, and adjusted EBITDA declined by 3.4% as a result of the lower total service revenues and a noncash provision for legal matters recorded in the quarter. This was partially offset by cost reduction initiatives.
At Virgin Media Ireland, revenues declined by 1.4% in Q1, impacted by intense competition in the consumer fixed and mobile markets as well as a decline in advertising revenues at VM TV. This was partially offset by a strong wholesale performance. Meanwhile, adjusted EBITDA declined by 7.1%, driven by these top line pressures, and was also impacted by a one-off benefit in Q1 last year.
Turning to the next slide. We remain committed to our disciplined capital allocation model as we retake capital into higher growth investments and strategic transactions. Starting on the top left, Telenet reported EUR 10 million of free cash flow during the quarter and is expected to deliver at least EUR 20 million of free cash flow for the full year. Additionally, Liberty Corporate delivered adjusted EBITDA of negative $2 million, putting us firmly on track to achieve our full year 2026 guidance of negative $50 million.
Turning to the bottom left. CapEx has meaningfully stepped down at Telenet in Q1 on a guidance basis, driven by the 5G upgrade nearing completion at the end of 2025 and lower spend on digital platforms. Capital intensity remains elevated at the other OpCos, reflecting investments in our fixed networks and also 5G upgrades.
Moving to the Liberty Growth walk in the top right. The fair market value of our growth portfolio remained broadly stable versus 2025 year-end at $3.4 billion. This was driven by modest investments in AtlasEdge, Egg Power, Nexfibre and EdgeConneX, offset by the partial disposals of our ITB and some of our EdgeConneX stake as well as a positive fair market value adjustment at EdgeConneX, along with the recent decision to move Liberty Blume out of our Corporate & Services segment and into the growth portfolio.
Turning to our cash walk on the bottom right. We ended the quarter with a consolidated cash balance of 1.9 billion. Q1 distributable free cash flow was impacted by high CapEx levels related to the fiber-to-the-home rollouts at Wyre and Virgin Media Ireland. In addition to working capital movements at Telenet, now it's worth noting, we continue to anticipate that Wyre will draw on its stand-alone facility following BCA approval, and will fully repay the short-term funding provided by Liberty Global consolidated cash by Telenet. As a reminder, we are aiming to end 2026 with around $1.5 billion of corporate cash despite the expected outflows associated with the incremental Vodafone stake and also, to a lesser extent, the Netomnia acquisition.
And finally, turning to our full year guidance targets for 2026. We are reconfirming all guidance metrics of VMO2, VodafoneZiggo and Telenet as well as our guidance for corporate costs.
Now that concludes our prepared remarks for Q1, and I'd like to hand over to the operator for Q&A.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Carl Murdock-Smith with Citigroup.
2. Question Answer
That's great. Three questions, please. Firstly, I wanted to ask on Virgin Media O2 about the wholesale service revenue growth. In the release, you said that, that included GBP 15 million of fixed reenablement and installation income. Am I right in saying that, that increase was due to a change in accounting treatment, meaning that it's now recognized as revenue whereas previously it wasn't? I recognize that it's low margin, but that has provided almost a 1% boost to service revenue overall in Q1. So my question is, did you know about that change in treatment when you issued the guidance in February? Or does it provide potential upside to the revenue guide of 3% to 5% decline, particularly as you've come in at the very high end of that range in Q1.
And then secondly, I just wondered if you could expand slightly on the O2 satellite news and your kind of level of excitement around that, How much customer interest are you anticipating? And more broadly, just what is your view on the role of satellite in telecom as a complement or competitor going forward?
Like question I go over to Lutz first, but let me just say that as we look at the satellite space, generally, we think, of course, satellite broadband, Starlink Broadband, has a role to play on the planet. There will be plenty of people who will utilize that broadband service and need that broadband service. We believe the direct advice mobile opportunity is far more limited by technology, by market access, but we do like the idea of having a satellite service attached to our mobile network. We think it adds just another level of service and commitment to customers. And of course, the U.K. is the first market to where we have done that.
So Lutz, I'll turn over to you for satellite and then someone, Charlie, I guess, will answer the wholesale question. Lutz?
Yes, Carl. So we are very satisfied with the launch of [ auto ] satellite, not disclosing numbers. But the fact that we have at the moment, not the iPhone available. We will have it available in a week from now. And we have already quite a high demand is leading us to the assumption that this is really a reliable service, an interesting and attractive service for customers.
And also in combination with our improved mobile network, our 5G stand-alone coverage, we are really creating the right perception for customers, which means we have the most reliable mobile network from everybody in terms of coverage and data speed. And so therefore, we are very happy with that.
Charlie, you want to adjust the wholesale revenue?
Just on the wholesale revenue. I mean I think it was basically in budget, and that is a very difficult business to forecast by its very nature because it's -- but I think it was a pretty strong quarter. But do you have anything to add on that?
I mean I can give some color, right? I mean this -- I think Carl, you're right, it was not -- we didn't account it the same way before. The reason for that was not to beef up our service revenue. As you see, right, we are coming currently more at the upper end of the guidance. The reason for that is that will be a growing and a continuous service revenue stream because we will more and more connect customers, either from other networks or from other ISPs.
So therefore, when you look at that way, I think that makes a change makes sense. But as you said yourself, right, we are coming in at the upper end of our guidance. And you could track that number a little bit. It is [ 0.7% ] of it, if you want to accrue for it, but it won't change anything in the guidance. And I mean we wouldn't change it. It's only one quarter, but so far, we are happy with what we have.
Our next question comes from the line of Polo Tang with UBS.
I have 2. The first one is just on U.K. competitive dynamics for Lutz. So can you maybe talk through how the recent price rises in April have landed because the percentage increase is quite large, and I think it's double digit for most subscribers. So I'm just wondering if there's been any change in terms of churn? Separately, your postpaid mobile losses are continuing. So how optimistic are you that this can stabilize for the year?
Second question is just a broader question on use of cash going forward. So you've talked a lot in this -- in the prepared remarks about ventures and the focus on sports and media. I think press reports suggested you were considering buying a European NBA franchise. So are you pivoting the group more towards media and sports? Or is the plan still to break up the group and return cash to shareholders? So any color on that would be great.
Sure. I'll start with that, Polo. They're not mutually exclusive, that's point one. Point two is our primary commitment, and I think it should be clear, but I'll repeat it here, is to create value for shareholders, and we believe, as I've said a few different times, the biggest opportunity to do that is to highlight and find ways to illuminate value in our telecom business. So that is our priority. That is number one.
And as I mentioned a moment ago, in my remarks, when we look at the use of capital, that factors in squarely to that to the strategy. So as I said, we will use capital and rotate capital into growth opportunities should they be presented to us, but also into the telecom business, if it helps to unlock value for shareholders, and then I think it went on to say that second one is an important point. So that's the first part of the answer.
I'd say secondly, we are opportunistically looking at and being presented with sort of opportunities. Sorry, somebody has got this -- somebody's ringing. Anyway, with opportunities in the sports space and in the media space generally. And there's a reason why the portfolio was 3.4 billion large because we have been very active as an investor. And maybe it's been quiet and we don't spend as much time on our earnings calls doing it, but it's -- it's arguably the biggest component of our stock price today are the investments that we've assembled strategically and purposely over the last, let's say, 5 to 7 years. And we're divesting ourselves of a huge chunk of those investments. And rightly so because we need cash to do the things we've been talking about today. And then we will opportunistically look at new investments if they make sense. But don't get me wrong. We are committed to the unlock strategy, and that is priority #1.
Lutz, do you want to talk about the competitive nature of the U.K.?
Yes. Polo, so in mobile, you see in our numbers that we have been tracking in service revenue around 3%, but this is before the price rise, right? The reason for the net losses in Q1 was the higher price rise we decided for. Now we are seeing this landing very well. We have the first month of the second quarter behind us, Polo. And our explanation for that is that those who didn't want to pay it left. And therefore, that has materialized. Now we don't see any spike in churn. And obviously, we also have to wait for the May, but findings here are so far so good.
On the fixed side, the competitive situation is also unchanged, I would say. So all steps are very aggressive as we are now and also, other competitors have to follow. But here, remember, I said at the last call, we have to optimize our prevention machine as we used to do it with the retention machine, which we have done now. So therefore, we are quite proud about the fact that we have almost stabilized -- managed to stabilize our financial -- our fixed customer base in Q1. And we expect something like that in the future. And yes, it comes at the cost of some ARPU, which is 1.6%. But in the scheme of things, that is a balanced approach.
And let me finish with -- remind you, when we've given the guidance, right, 70%, 80% of the service revenue decline is attributed to our expectation on the fixed consumer service revenue market. And that means that we are planning for a recovery in mobile service revenue, Polo, and we are going to see this as we speak from the price [ rise ] in Q2.
Our next question comes from the line of Robert Grindle with Deutsche Bank.
Yes. I see the progress on the long-form agreement with Proximus. But approval for the collaboration is still outstanding. What happens if you're delayed for another 6 to 9 months? Do you progress the build as planned? Or is the project pushed back? And I think Charlie said the Wyre revenues were impacted by a new pricing model. Could the Wyre Telenet [ Servco ] financial change from here? Should there be a change in the wholesale rates associated with any approval or this financial basis you've given us now be effectively unchanged?
Robert, we got [ John Porter ] on the line, who's worked tirelessly on this Proximus transaction to an outstanding result -- outstanding result for Telenet and for us. Do you want to speak to the regulatory process from here, John?
Sure. Well, we've been in lockstep with the Competition Authority and the BIPT over the last 2 years. They are right up to date on every aspect of the transaction between ourselves and Proximus. We have very positive inclination from them and believe that they will expedite the final review of the transaction. There is then a necessary 30-day review at the European Commission. That is not an approval process. It's just a chance for them to reflect on the transaction and see if it has broader implications.
So our -- we are cautiously optimistic that we will complete this transaction over the next, say, 6 to 8 weeks. And it's a virtual impossibility that it would go longer than that because I think we all down tools. But I think that we are -- the main critical path has been achieved between ourselves and Proximus, and everybody is ready to get going.
And let me just step in on the -- I'll just say, we're separating the 2 companies. There is a little bit of tweaking. For example, there is a bit of movement on the wholesale rate to Telenet, and there's also some management fees that are being reevaluated. So I think we'll get a more stable view on the numbers in Q2, but I would say it's pretty good news for the ServCo.
I'd also say on the financing side, just a real shout out to my treasury team, the 4.35 billion of underwritten financing that's clearly in place and we could draw, has now been fully syndicated, which is a great success, very successfully syndicated. With the completion of the BCA approval, we'll be drawing that down and indeed paying some of the money that we decided was more efficient to bridge from our balance sheet rather than draw revolvers to do so. So I think it's all around good news for the eventual Ziggo Group spin because I think the Telenet part of the equation is very much on track for the free cash flow target we set them in 2028.
Our next question comes from the line of Joshua Mills with BNP Paribas.
Two from my side. One is just going back to Slide 6, where you lay out the strategic plan for the new Ziggo Group. My question is around the leverage. So there's a lot of moving parts here. Can you just remind us what the pro forma leverage position of this business would be today if you put it together? How much you're expecting to bring in from the Wyre stake sale and then the other asset sales to make up the EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.4 billion. I just want to understand the assumptions underpinning that. And what are you at today and then how you get down to the 4.5x? That would be the first question.
And then the second question is just around the Dutch business. We've seen continued improvement in the broadband performance. Can you give a bit more color as to what's driving that on the customer side on perception? Is it people happier with price? Is it that they have noticed to change the network quality? Any detail you have would be great. And as a final add-on, your competitors have highlighted potential benefits from the data breach at [ Dido ]. I think in the Q1 and probably rolling into Q2, Q3 net add trends there. How much of an impact have you seen from that on your own business in Q1 and Q2?
Thanks, Joshua. Okay, Stephen will prepare answers to the Dutch questions.
On the asset sales, the EUR 1.2 billion to EUR 1.4 billion, those consist primarily of towers and technical facilities, et cetera, and it does -- and we're not really providing a breakdown of those numbers today because we're an active sale process. So we're not going to provide expectations or estimates of where we think guided. But we think that's the range of total combined asset sales, which would be used to pay down debt.
Charlie, do you want to address the pro forma leverage? It really depends on what point in time you look for that number and what's happening to the Wyre state. Do you want address that, Charlie?
Yes. I mean it's actually a very complicated question because clearly, the Belgian assets that are going to go into the Ziggo Group do not include -- because there will be a full separation of the Wyre assets, with the 4.35 billion of underwritten and now syndicated debt, we will therefore be paying down debt at Telenet or Telenet circa but Telenet will be what we'll call it going forward. And it remains that because of the investment profile, but Ziggo is relatively higher basis.
So there's a lot of moving parts in answering that question. I would just reconfirm what Mike said is we're very confident in a path to get down to the around 4.5x by 2028. It does depend on some asset sales, but we feel pretty good about those being delivered. And with those asset sales, and that indeed continuing organic EBITDA growth, particularly in Holland, I think we should be there or thereabouts on target.
Very happy to take it off-line to get some of the details because there's a lot of moving parts about why...
Yes. But it's in the low to mid 5s -- combined year. The combined group is going to be in the low to mid-5s. Telenet itself will be in the mid-4s, VodafoneZiggo will be higher, and then we'll start layering in the various deleveraging steps, additional steps as well. So there's a clear path, but perhaps next call, Josh, we'll give you a little bit more detail. But that is the general trend.
That's great. And this isn't assuming any injection of cash from the -- sorry, there's no assumption...
No cash from corporate, but I think it is important to note that we are putting our money where our mouth is. There's no distributions to Liberty Global in terms of equity distributions. We're reinvesting the free cash flow of Holland back in the business this year and indeed in Belgium. It is a commitment to our bondholders and also to the fact that we are very confident in this growth profile.
Do you want to answer the question?
Yes. And in terms of the operational performance of the broadband business -- yes, can you hear me? Yes. So in terms of the operational performance of the broadband business over the last 12 months, if you follow the story, we've done a number of very clear interventions. The first is we've got our pricing right for the broadband products that we're selling. We were mispriced in the marketplace. We fixed that a year ago. When we talk about the back book repricing, we're pleased with the progress we've made on that. You haven't seen that in the ARPU, so we've managed that, I think, pretty well.
Second thing we've done is we've gotten top of churn. We've been much more proactive in how we manage our customer base, which I think has had an effect on bringing churn down. We're now down 3 points year-on-year. We've invested more in marketing by repositioning the business. The business was underspending on marketing and was out of sync with how, in my view, connectivity should be sold. We've invested, as you saw in upgrading the speeds of the network. So you've seen us launch -- were the only 2 -- we're the only national 2 gigabit service. So we've taken speed as a headwind off the table for us.
And then more generally, I think we've done a pretty good job of just tightening how we take the business to market. And you've seen that flow through sequentially each quarter as each of these initiatives have landed. And we have a series of initiatives coming through the rest of 2026, which we anticipate to continue to help us with the momentum behind the story.
The [indiscernible] question, Stephen?
Great. I'm sorry, I missed the [indiscernible] question. Can you repeat that?
The question was are you seeing benefit from their cyber attack.
Yes. It happened late in the quarter, it happened around week 10. So we saw some impact from that, but it's -- we didn't see a lot of it in the quarter because of the size of their mobile base, we felt a bit more of it in the mobile base. But nothing that I think is material in the Q1 results because it only represented a handful of weeks.
Great. And then the -- I mean, I was more talking about the Q2 results. Obviously, it happened later in the first quarter, but are you seeing any impact so far in Q2?
No. We're happy with our progress on Q2 so far, but it's quite early. But I've to come back to you when we do the Q2 results in a couple of months.
Our next question comes from the line of James Ratzer with New Street Research.
Yes. I had 2 really both around Belgium. So in Telenet, you obviously had a very good quarter in terms of broadband net adds. And I'd love if you can just give a bit more color behind what's driving that. Is that now growth out of footprint in [ Wallonia ]? Is that coming on your kind of base brand within Flanders? Or is it something else? Be interested to kind of get just a bit more color on the drivers there of broadband subs growth.
And then secondly, just going back to the point that was raised earlier about Wyre revenue growth, which was down year-on-year in Q1. Is that a kind of one-off for this quarter? Charlie, you were mentioning around pricing, and it goes back to growth in the following quarters. So I'd just love to understand a bit more about the kind of dynamics there between kind of P and Q because I've been thinking that with kind of pricing there, we should see Wyre as a top line growth company.
[ John ], do you want to take the Belgium question?
Yes, I can take it. So on the first -- on the broadband, the BAU has been strong, particularly in the base brand, and their growth is about 50-50 between the Telenet footprint and growth in the South. So we are steadily growing and that growth in the south is increasing incrementally.
There is a -- what will be a year-long enhancement of that growth as we migrate out of [ DVBC ] and into full IP for our video distribution. So we are the last operator in the market to have DVBC, where you don't require Internet to get television, but we are shutting that down over the next year. So we're expecting to see continued strong growth. But as you can see in the last -- the quarter ending '25 and the quarter -- the first quarter of the year, very strong, and those are the main drivers.
On the Wyre revenue. There -- we implemented a wholesale deal, a new wholesale deal on the HFC, which is making essentially structuring the higher-speed tiers to be more accessible. The wholesale price is going down a little bit. And that's what you're seeing flowing through. That is -- will be part of the overarching deal done with Proximus, and we'll be able to give you more detail on that down the road. But the drop will not continue to drop, but it is the new HFC wholesale pricing.
So from those new prices, do prices then rise with inflation from the slightly lower level looking into 2027, '28?
There is an inflationary component to both the fiber wholesale and the HFC wholesale.
Our next question comes from the line of Matthew Harrigan with StoneX.
This is very much a conjectural question rather than kind of blocking tackling valuation anomalies. But you made a quick reference to more benign regulatory environment in your markets. But what's even more interesting on a macro basis is the emphasis on your industrial base and defense. And clearly, your telecom is a vital pivot in defense. Is there any possibilities for your telecom business or I guess, particularly your venture portfolio and that -- and I'm sure Charlie and [indiscernible] to be manufacturing drones, but it still feels like something that could be interesting tailwind, particularly since you're involved in so many areas and verticals.
Matthew, listen, the whole sovereignty debate -- it's no longer a debate, it's a verifiable conviction -- is net positive for us in the telecom space. Now we will all benefit equally, but every telecom player will benefit from the European Union and countries within the European Union's focus with their own cybersecurity, their own data protection, their own data centers, their own AI infrastructure.
So inevitably, whether it's AtlasEdge or investment in EdgeConneX on the infrastructure side in our [indiscernible] grow portfolio, whether it's our OpCos themselves and their ability to provide services and B2B services and connectivity to governments and others. I think it's a net positive for telcos in Europe, which is why I mentioned it along with the motioning regulatory framework, which I think will also be a net positive. We may or may not be part of any of that consolidation, but we know that consolidation itself brings benefits to customers as well as operators and investors. So I think it's a real positive step.
In terms of defense itself, we're not unlike perhaps some of our peers who are more closely aligned with the government. We are not involved in any specific defense type investment opportunities or infrastructure. But if we were approached, we would certainly consider it if it was consistent with our overall strategy. I don't see us veering off, if you will, into that. Does that answer your question, Matt?
[indiscernible] absolutely.
Our next question comes from the line of Ulrich Rathe with Bernstein Society General Group.
Two questions. First one is Mike, you talked about the improving regulatory climate with regards to consolidation. Other management teams in the sector have flagged mixed signals that perceived to come out of Europe. So could you talk through what specifically you have in mind there? What insights or news you have to share on but you base, there's more positive assessment.
And the second question is on the 1 billion synergies that you talked about in Ziggo, can you talk about the sort of rough makeup of that in terms of operational and other sources of synergies?
On the synergies point, I don't know if we've been specific, so I'm going to pause, but it typically -- you would be -- you wouldn't be surprised to learn that it's consisting of 3 or 4 key line items. There's a financial synergy that's more, I would say, a free cash flow type synergy from -- that we haven't -- well, from taxes, essentially, there's operating costs that we think are achievable and create more efficiencies around this procurement and CapEx type synergies. So it's not going to be -- and when we get closer to legal day 1, we'll clearly provide more detail to you. Right now, we're still in the midst of closing the deal. But there's lots of things we can be doing and we'll be doing in those 2 operations and within and among them to create those synergies. And if I had to put my team on the spot right now, they'd say that's probably a low number.
On the regulatory side, we did just get the EU merger guidelines released, and they are quite positive, at least in comparison to the kind of posture and position that your opinion would take previously when it came to in-market consolidation, right? I mean they're looking at a much more, I guess, modern and pragmatic approach, and they're seeing that benefits could certainly accrue from mergers versus just always seeing the negative in those mergers. There's always been a structural bias against scale. And now they're saying, well, actually, scale could increase investment, it could increase innovation. And it's actually spelled out in the document that was released recently.
So that to us is when it's in writing. If it's just a speech, I don't give it much credit. But when they put it in writing, as they have with these new EU merger guidelines, that is a -- that is a positive step. Now it needs to be put to the test, and there will be plenty of deals I will put it to the test soon, I imagine. But never before, have they written down in black and white, the sort of statements that we're reading today in terms of -- which are consistent with the arguments we've been making, the consolidation in market is the first step to repair in the European telecom space.
Our last question comes from the line of David Wright with Bank of America.
Okay. Yes, last question. So a couple, please. Just on the -- I guess it's for Ziggo. DOCSIS 4.0, I think you may have said, Mike, that there are some trials ongoing. If we could just get some estimates of maybe the sort of trajectory of commercial launch for DOC 4.0 in Holland? When do you expect the first sort of significant retail launch, et cetera? And is it something that you think you could even price a little as you move into the real sort of negatives of speed?
And then the second question, maybe a little more conceptual. We're observing a lot of discussion around the kind of InfraCo, Servco split, and you guys have obviously sort of embraced that. And there's obviously a clear sort of capital allocation justification and the ability to separate the 2 businesses that are quite structurally different. But I just wondered, does having a separate InfraCo make a more agile Servco in terms of just day-to-day operations? Is the business just more able to respond and sort of change shape in the sort of digital age? It's a little more conceptual. Mike, if you have anything to add on that, I'd appreciate it.
Sure, sure. Stephen, jump in here if I get it wrong, but I believe our 4 and 8 gig trials are the latter part of the year, maybe even late Q3, Q4. But what we did was get the field trials underway to demonstrate that it works. It works well. The technology we're using is really state-of-the-art even in relation to the U.S. operators. But as we get closer to going public in the latter part of this year, then we'll have more information, but it's happening. And we think it's going to be a big positive for the market and for our business for sure.
On the ServCo side, look, I mean, Belgium is the test. What does it do when you end up taking the fixed network, you still own the mobile network, but taking a fixed network and putting it into a separate entity, I think, and John will agree, I'm sure it forces you to be more efficient, more agile and your margins change. All of a sudden, there's a wholesale fee in your P&L that you have to account for.
In principle, Telenet will continue to be a very competitive brand and a very competitive B2C company and B2B company. It's -- with respect to its network, its fixed network, it will be renting instead of owning that network. But the relationship that's developed with Wyre is highly integrated, highly -- with mutual benefits, both directions. And so we're on balance, I think, and this is the only place we've done it, it really is Belgium.
I think on balance, and John can chime in. I think it does create a bit more energy in that ServCo, a bit more focused on margins and in competition, with a little less to worry about in a slightly better CapEx profile. That CapEx profile frees up free cash. Telenet will generate significant free cash here shortly as it has, and what if you got to reinvest that free cash, whether it's deleveraging or in actually new products and services. But anything more to add to that, John?
Yes, a bit. I mean the CapEx we are spending, we are now concentrating on customer experience. I mean we pivoted our strategy, obviously, away from network and product differentiation because we have to into customer experience. And the timing is right because, of course, with a lot of AI initiatives around the company and a new greenfield CRM platform, the focus is well and truly on straight through digital journeys for our customers, which delivers better experience and a better bottom line. So it's been -- I think -- certainly, your hypothesis is valid.
Listen, we appreciate everybody joining us on the call. Been a good -- Thanks, David. It's been a good start to the year. I hope you agree and really encouraged by the progress that we're making in. And trust me, we are laser-focused on value creation and value unlock, starting, of course, in the Benelux where we're not only performing well, but the strategic road map, and as I pointed out, the building blocks are all in place. So we'll keep you abreast and updated on those things. And we'll speak to you soon. Thanks, everybody. Have a good weekend.
Thank you. That will conclude today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect your lines.
Liberty Global — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Liberty Global — NSR/BCG Global Connectivity Leaders Conference- London
1. Question Answer
Mike, thank you for joining us.
Thanks for having me.
You were here last year. It was very inspiring. So excited to have you again. I thought it was.
It's inspiring for being reinvited.
Yes, exactly. It has to be inspiring. I mean you're also a man who needs no introduction, but I do want to make one point upfront to sort of, let's say, scope the discussion a little bit. In your role as Chairman and CEO of Liberty Global. Yes, you run one of Europe's largest telco operators. But you're also a, let's call it, majority owner, but also activist investor in infra technology firms like AtlasEdge, in media companies, in tech companies like Formula E, ElevenLabs, Univision. So you have an incredibly broad view of the market as a whole, tech, media, telco. And I'd love to get a bit more into the sort of beyond telco space with you today as well.
Great. Sounds good. I don't think this is all, but I'll speak loudly.
But let's start with telco. We were here last year. We started off by talking about pressure on margins, pressure on shareholder returns. And I think sentiment has indeed improved on the industry as a whole. But I said it this morning in sort of the opening words, I think the complexity, one has to navigate as a telco leader has also increased. But with that come massive opportunities, challenges and opportunities, AI, how do you scale it, maximizing ROI on your infrastructure investments, deepening your customer relationships. Where do you see the biggest opportunities to drive meaningful growth for the next, say, 2, 3 years for integrated telcos? And where is Liberty sort of playing in that space?
Yes. Well, we're playing where everybody is playing, let's start with that. It is still a challenging industry. Let's be clear. You're following it on every day, you're working with us on various projects. We're still too fragmented. Regulators are still too overregulated, that's clear. So there's a handful of things that I think still create headwinds in our sector.
Having said that, I think the narrative is starting to change. And you can see that in the stock prices, right? Stocks are up 20% year-to-date, 70% in the last 2 years. So the sector is starting to catch a tailwind, which it needs and deserves in my opinion. Why does it deserve that? A couple of reasons. Unlike our friends hyperscalers, CapEx is starting to decline, and we're seeing the end of that tunnel.
They're just going into the tunnel. It's a little bit of Karma, I think, actually. And we're coming out of that tunnel, and that's a positive thing for free cash flow for the basic economics of our business. So that's number one. I think regulators, you look at the CMA here and the structural changes that they've made are starting to back off a little bit, the Digital Networks Act in Europe. The are starting to show some potential for less regulation, which is super critical.
I think AI is going to be transformational. If anybody is telling you different, they're not being straight with you. In addition to this rotation from sort of software to hardware companies, these old school businesses like ours are all of a sudden in favor because we can't be disrupted by AI, we can only benefit from AI. And the benefit will be substantial. I'm sure we'll talk about that. So there are some things that I think are positive.
Our stock even up maybe 30% last couple of years, 40% if you add in Sunrise. And we're leaning into all the things you described. We're leaning into brands. So I'm sure you've heard a lot about brands here in this conference. Multiple brands, you have to have multiple brands. We're leaning into our networks. You have to keep investing in our networks. We're leaning into differentiation because I think it's impossible to compete if you can't sell yourself as unique and differentiated.
And we're leaning into, as I said, AI, which is, I think, one of those accelerants that we'll dig into, I'm sure, as time goes by and as we talk today, but it's probably underestimated. I don't know what kind of work you're doing, James, about AI, but we can talk about where I see it, but it's probably underestimated as a benefit.
And let's pick that up now, actually, AI. So it's reshaping how consumers interact with telcos, what's possible? How do you think about it? And maybe taking sort of a 1-year versus a 3- or 5-year lens. You said it's transformational. What does that mean for you?
Our industry is sort of the poster child for AI. Why is that? We have massive inefficiencies. We have massive software dependencies. I think we're only 20% on the cloud in our workflow in workloads. So we're poster child for all of the things that are percolating. And we're doing quite a bit. I mean, you would have heard from all of the telcos up here the same thing. So we're really excited about call centers.
Yes, we are. We're super excited about optimizing network design, reducing consumption of power, anticipating outages. 90% of our employees are using AI every day. That's all great stuff. But I'll tell you, it's super marginal stuff. I've said this before. It's going to add up to hundreds of millions, and we want that. We'll take that. But the capability gap that exists today, the OpenAI CFO in Davos the other day was saying, it's 10x. Meaning, we're only utilizing 1/10 of what this technology can do for us. I sat with another big tech CEO, and I said to him, you may have heard this as well, but I got $14 billion of OpEx. I'd like it to be $7 billion. I want to take $14 billion to $7 billion. That's transformation. Even you begin on [ Apples-to-Apples ].
I would like that. Yes.
It can be done. It will be done. There will be a few areas of our business that we will take massive chunks out of the cost. It will be beneficial for sales, for revenue, for retention, for churn, all those things as well. But I think the real benefits will be in how we operate our business, how -- and to me, that's the exciting bit. We're working on that every day. That's a big part of what we're doing.
Fantastic. And then I mean, given we're talking about, I suppose, kind of AI and everything that can happen here and the benefits for you, there are also potentially say benefits for some of your kind of challengers and maybe kind of new entrants that are potentially coming into the sector. We've seen some of the kind of fintech players come in now and kind of MVNO role, maybe kind of Revolut here within the U.K.
So I mean, when you think about the competitive advantages you have as a business, how do you see yourself kind of defending yourself against maybe some of these AI new entrants that could be coming into the industry?
Well, look, we know the MVNO space well. We're the largest MVNO provider in this market with Tessco, gifcap and Sky. And Revolut is an awesome digital neobank, but they're an old school MVNO. And they're feeling the pressure and the challenge with that. There's nothing digital or AI about their mobile launch. In fact, there are no AI native mobile companies I'm aware of. So I'm not saying it won't happen someday.
But Revolut launching in our market is about as far from an AI-driven launch as you're going to find. It's just old school MVNO, and they're having integration challenges. It's a highly defensive move, trying to maintain a sub base. I mean, I get while they're doing it, but it's not offensive. It's not AI native. It's just a brand, a great brand, by the way.
So they're taking advantage of that brand, and that's great. And we'll compete and do what we need to do and find other folks to join our networks as MVNOs if that's exciting to them. What do we -- what advantages do we have? Number one, we own the network. So our ability to pace innovation to anticipate innovation, to drive innovation that benefits us is first and foremost.
And MVNO doesn't have that. That's point one. Secondly, we have a huge customer base. And our customers, we have -- we can work with them. We know what they need, we can evolve with them technologically, commercially, and that's a huge advantage. And I think we're using AI in an offensive way, not a defensive way. We're using it to drive revenue, to reduce, to increase margin. These are things that I think we have unique capability to do. So there's plenty of advantages. There will be new entrants. That's the nature of our sector. But I don't see them having any advantage over us, at least when it comes to AI.
So you just talked there about innovation. And I suppose one area where you've just recently been very innovative is the Virgin partnership deal with Starlink. So how do you see kind of LEO networks fitting into your overall world of connectivity?
Well, I think, first of all, let's just take Starlink. It's a tale of 2 technologies. There is the broadband business, which is a business, 10 million subs, 160 countries, 10,000 satellites, he's going to go. It's a decent product. It's expensive in this country. And it has applications, maritime, aerospace, rural, mobile backhaul. And in certain constructs, you can even get more speed out of it.
So it's a real product, and it's going to be around for a long time. However, I think he's playing a different game. He's playing the game of a small number multiplied by a big number, i.e., 7 billion people is a big number. So he doesn't need a lot of penetration for that business to work. And that's great. I think it's -- is it a replacement for what we're doing in the center of London? No. Will there be an application for that? Absolutely.
So I think that's -- and that is what it is. The direct-to-device business, very different, highly dependent to get the O2 satellite product that we launched, which you referenced, we had to low him spectrum. There's no -- he does not have spectrum in every country. To do the direct-to-device business, you need to borrow spectrum from an MNO like us. And it's an edge case. We go to 94% coverage, we charge you GBP 3. It's a safety security thing, and it has a real market moment, but it's not a disruptor.
I think the physics of the satellites when it comes to devices will never reach a point where it's going to -- I think he said the same thing publicly, and I can't believe what he says. I have the time, but he has said it. So it's -- and even in the U.S., where they have 45 megahertz of spectrum, I think they're getting -- I think 2% to 4% penetration is all they can actually realize. So the direct-to-device business is heavily dependent on spectrum. He has it in the U.S. He has it only if you load it to them in this market, he might acquire other, but it needs a lot more than he's going to get to be a replacement product.
So I hear you about on could satellite on the broadband side challenge what you have here in urban London. No. But how much of like when you look at your cable networks around Europe, do you see exposure maybe in any of the suburban areas where it could become more of a threat? Or do you think just because of where your networks are physically located, you are better protected against that kind of broadband threat?
We're generally not in rural markets. There aren't a lot of fixed operators who are prioritizing rural markets. So I'd say from that point of view, we're seeing not very much of it. I read today is GBP 75 for 400 megabits. I mean it's a lot of dough and you got the kit and it doesn't work in all cases and it's weather dependent and et cetera, et cetera.
So I think it's going to struggle to replace fiber and HFC, but there is a market for it for people who either live on the edge. And I think in that case, it's a great business model. He's going to make a lot of money.
What about other wireless technologies? I mean at 4:00 today, we've got Christian, the CTO from A1 Telecom Austria speaking, and that's a market where FWA has been kind of quite a success. What are you seeing kind of in the, let's say, in the Netherlands with Odido starting to push FWA a bit, Vodafone here in the U.K. talking about it. Do you see that starting to kind of encroach on your business at all?
Not yet. I mean, listen, I think the fixed wireless access has a lot of buzz in the U.S. But in the U.S., remember, there's no wholesale access. So if I want to launch a product, I'm not going to get on Verizon's network or AT&T's network or Comcast network, I'm not allowed on it. They also have more spectrum in the U.S. That's a big benefit for them to be able to launch a viable product and not eat into their mobile product.
And ARPUs are very high. So you have all the conditions, I think, to make fixed wireless a product in America. You don't have those conditions here, sadly. ARPUs are very low. It's a very -- largely a denser market, at least in the core markets that we operate in. Spectrum, we're not spectrum rich, we're spectrum poor, and to use that spectrum for fixed wireless access is going to impact your 5G, 4G business. I think in the markets we're in, 1%, 2% penetration is what we see today. I don't think it's a winner long term. It's -- we've got bigger fish to fry when it comes to competition.
Got it. Clear. So let's pivot a little bit and talk about just kind of capital strategies. Obviously, since we were here a year ago, you've made some big changes. The Sunrise deal is now kind of well and truly successfully behind us, but you've announced the Ziggo kind of spin-off as the next big step. Trying to think now kind of step beyond that, I mean, how does that inform your thinking on what the next chapter could be in the Liberty structure? I mean, do you see more spins to come? Interesting about how you think about your portfolio development over time?
We were kind of backed into this is how I would look at it. Now there's a Liberty tradition of spinning businesses off. If they're not being valued fairly in a conglomerate structure, give them to your shareholders and let them value them. That's what we did with Sunrise. Nobody in the research community at $9 a share on the Sunrise stock in our stock, nobody. When we put $4 of cash in and spun it out, you now have a $13 dividend, tax-free. That's value creation. If you're a shareholder, that's value creation.
I could argue like many of my peers, well, but if I own it and I can synergize it and all these benefits, not true. There are no benefits. So in the end, giving it a life of its own is a way to deliver value to shareholders. That is a model that's worked for 25 years in John's world and it is working well for us. We spun out Latin America. Sunrise, will there be more? Yes. And will Ziggo Group be an asset that we look to build and unleash and unlock? Absolutely.
Will it work? I'm certain of it. Why? It has a lot of the same characteristics as some of these are rational markets, largely reasonable competition. We have 100 people building fiber in Holland. We're only going to have one person building fiber in Belgium, either us or Proximus, so rational as can be. We've got, I think, real strong brands in these markets, and we have a prospect or a chance to generate real cash flow, real free cash flow to pay dividends.
And by the way, Sunrise was a public company. We took it private. We brought it out to the market. People love it. Ziggo was a public company. You may remember, we took it private, built this great group. We're going to bring it back. And so it has a history. People understand the company as a public company. And I think investors have made it clear. If you can give us a clean story with dividends today and tomorrow and in a market that's largely rational, that's worth something.
Now you know what it's worth in my stock today, negative $4. I don't need it to be worth $14. Just give me $1 or $2 or $3. Negative $4 is where I think I'm getting in my stock, and you've said I deserve it, by the way. I read your stuff on the way. So I knew I was getting a dressing down. I wasn't quite sure. It took this long to get there.
The truth is I don't -- to get from negative $4, give me $5, give me $6, give me $10. My point is there's something there in these businesses. We will delever them. They will generate free cash. And I think that is an opportunity for investors if you own our shares. And the buyback we did has paid off. We spent $14 billion and $15 billion buying back stock. If you own 1% of Liberty, you own 2.5% of Sunrise today, and that will accrue to investors who have been hanging around our stock as well. when Ziggo Group goes public. So I'm encouraged by it.
So you mentioned that there could be other spins to come. I mean, how do we think about that practically? Is that a kind of -- I mean obviously, the big asset you own is Virgin Media O2. So is that something you have in mind? But is that possible whilst you're only a 50% shareholder in the asset? Or does that need to change?
Well, if you want it, we could spin our 50%.
We kind of okay. Yes.
That's not a great move, but we could do it. We would need Telefonica's cooperation to spin the company to our respective shareholders. So we'll see. I think this is the longest pole in the tent. We have work to do in this market structurally, commercially. And I think ultimately, we will sort this one out, too.
Can I just loop back to the Ziggo Group point because you announced some significant [ golden ] synergies potential for the group. We know that on both sides, Netherlands and Belgium, there have been also a concerted effort on AI and operations and commercial. Can you talk a little bit more around your view on the synergies with the group?
So what we said publicly is we think we can get to $500 million of free cash in this group. We're at -- I think we made it public, $120 million this year is our guidance. So how do we get another $380 million of free cash? Synergies will be substantial, bigger than we probably -- not probably bigger than we realized initially. There will be CapEx declines, especially in Belgium, where their mobile upgrade is essentially done this year.
So that will have a huge impact. And then there's EBITDA growth, some one-offs that will unwind and just performing better in Holland because we took it -- we took the EBITDA down to reestablish a competitive profile. That comes back. So it's not that hard to get from $120 million to $500 million by 2028, and we think maybe even sooner.
And the synergies are what you'd expect. There are financial synergies, I'll just leave it at that. There are operational synergies, tech supplier, procurement. So there -- we think the synergy story when we fully develop that will be substantial. We expect to close the deal in July in terms of buying Vodafone and we'll be -- day 1, we'll be working on that.
And have you given us part of that? I mean a big part of kind of Sunrise deal was also then the kind of dividend story as part of the spin. Have you given any thoughts yet as to what you can say around a dividend on the Ziggo Group spin?
You should expect that if we're going to spin that asset, it will include a dividend. In the Sunrise case, we're 70% of free cash. That might be a good metric. And to me, that's definitely part of the story.
And that's within then the 4.5x kind of leverage as well?
We get to 4.5x by -- we're selling assets, right? We're selling a stake in our Belgian fiber company, where we have towers in Holland, we haven't monetized property, we haven't monetized. There'll be free cash flow to delever. There's a handful of things that will drive deleveraging for us.
So if you were -- hopefully, you also read in the taxi over if you're reading my research that I was hugely applauding the NetOmnia transaction as a kind of think of very...
Yes, you were.
Generally, we're going the right direction. But anyway, so that looked like, I think, a great deal. I think it was a kind of accretive deal for value for you at the Liberty Global level. I mean, is that a kind of template you see that there is scope for further altnet consolidation here going forward?
I hope so. I hope so. I think there's been commentary around the price, how do we reconcile the price. We're paying GBP 600 per fiber home. I think that's 1/3 of what CityFibre has invested per fiber home. So it feels a good price to me. And it's a great deal for VMO2. I think you had questioned that, is this a value transfer somehow to nexfibre? I don't believe so. VMO2 is getting $1 billion of cash to delever. They're getting 500,000 customers to integrate into their platform. They're getting CapEx avoidance on 4 million homes. They're getting a stake in nexfibre, new nexfibre, and they're getting the ability and the control over the monetization of a 20 million fiber home footprint.
That's their job. That's a pretty good outcome for VMO2. And it's a great outcome for the market. We're unlocking new capital into the market. There's no question, this is smart and necessary in this fragmented altnet space. And anybody who complains, I think it's sour grades really because CityFibre was trying to do the same deal. So I'm not sure how it's a different outcome really for nexfibre versus Cityfibre.
And it should be a Phase 1 approval. That's clear in my mind. The government has talked about transforming regulation in this country, working at pace, not stifling innovation and growth. This is a test case for that. There's no theory of harm here that stands up. And I can tell you, all the counterfactuals are bad. Maybe we stopped building fiber, nexfibre stopped building fiber.
Only counterfactual that's certain is BT gets stronger as far as I'm concerned. So who's going to build a scale-based competitor to BT Openreach who's going to do that? Who has the capital, the wherewithal of the customers? I don't think there's anybody else. So the government should see this as a net positive for sure.
Right. That means -- I mean, you've said that kind of nexfibre results is going to 8 million homes. I mean from what you were just saying there, is that more of a kind of stepping stone and longer term, you would hope and have ambitions it could then scale up further.
Nexfibre is at 8 million and including the 4 million homes that get transferred over from VMO2 in terms of the traffic from [indiscernible] and VMO2 is left with 12 million homes. Together, there will be a branded wholesale provider on those 20 million homes, 2 separate companies owning the 20 million, but a single brand promoting and marketing that footprint.
Okay. Small pivot. Liberty growth. You said at the beginning, we would go there a little bit. You've taken a majority control of Formula E. It's a very cool proposition. I think, with the new cars, especially, super exciting. With Atlas Edge, you're sort of in the middle of the sovereign infrastructure debate in Europe. Where will this portfolio go? What is your plan to drive value there? I think last year, we also -- you put a bit of cold water on the point of synergies with the core, which makes sense. I think that probably hasn't changed. But where is the value in your eyes over the next few years?
Yes. Well, we have 3 verticals. It's about a $3.4 billion portfolio today, infrastructure, tech and media content. They're all intriguing. I think we have a great track record in all 3 of them. Tech is kind of funds itself or in start-ups, venture capital. This is real tech, and there is some synergy with what we're doing, ElevenLabs, you mentioned that. What we have to decide in tech is, is this something we do for the next 10 years? Or do we partner? Do we capitalize it?
It's $400 million, $500 million of great stuff. They kind of eat what they kill, meaning when they sell, they can invest, but they're not using our capital. How's the best way to monetize value that business? In the infrastructure side, as you mentioned, with AtlasEdge and EdgeConneX, the stuff we're doing in energy, it's right down the middle of what we do. There's lots of opportunity for now, anyhow, it feels like lots of opportunity to build data centers and metro fiber and energy suppliers.
So that's a business we have to decide how much capital we can afford to really drive that business. It's -- fortunately, we're sitting on high returns. I think in the EdgeConneX case, maybe we've got $100 million in it's worth $5 million or $6 million we've taken money out. In the case of AtlasEdge, a little more in it, but it's also been a 20%, 30% IRR.
So infrastructure is something we're good at. We understand really well, and we have to decide how do we capitalize that and grow that and stay present in that. In the middle is the trickier bit. A lot of the content assets we own are things we've owned for a long time. We exited all 3 media for GBP 1 million. We're starting to sell our ITV stake. You're reading that. We love these companies, but there is no -- we're not so sure where we fit, owning 10% of a company or being in the production business.
So there, we're much more interested in what we would call the experience economy. Formula E is a perfect example. sports platform, 1 of 8 global sports leagues on the planet, and we own it. And I think it's got great tailwinds, great potential, great opportunity. We'd like to do more of those if we can. And we'll see if we can. There's no guarantee that we'll find something or that we're -- it's the right thing for us.
But this portfolio, according to some analysts is $10 a share on a $12 stock. For me to say, I don't really want to talk about it or for an analyst or an investor to say, that stuff over there, I really wish you weren't doing it. It's $10 of my $12. I need to manage it, grow it, exit it, monetize it. So it's definitely worthy of conversation. And what we do going forward to build it out will be -- we'll see, but it will only be smart stuff. I think I don't think anything.
And what about Liberty Services? I mean, with Liberty Tech, you're in the services products business and Liberty Bloom especially...
Liberty Tech is very much an inside thing. We have about $500 million of revenue we collect from our OpCos, even Sunrise. By the way, when we spin Sunrise, when we spun Sunrise, they still have a very strong contractual relationship on technology. We do their treasury work. There's a strong strategic relationship.
Andre is still part of my core management team. He comes to my offsites. So we're spinning them, but they're still very much in the fold in the family. So I think it's -- I was tracking your question, but...
The value story behind Liberty Services, including Bloom Services because I think...
The Bloom side of it is about $100 million of financial services. And there, we've decided maybe they can do that for other people, some third parties, and so we'll see how that unfolds.
And leverage some of the domain knowledge you have in the industry, which I think is super interesting.
Yes.
Okay. So maybe closing thoughts. I'm sort of looking at the clock. We have about 2 or 3 minutes left. You're a telco operator in Europe, majority of your investments are in Europe. What gives you the greatest confidence in the European telco and tech sector? And what needs to change for you to make most of that?
I don't think you can do that in 2.5 years. the European telco and tech sector needs to kick in the pants if you're comparing it to the U.S. or China and everybody who operates in it knows that. I was just at the Mobile World Congress and basically, we go there to complain to regulators about how difficult things are.
And I think it can be better, and I think it will be better. I think this digital sovereignty point initially bothered me a lot. A year ago, I was talking about it, most people what is that? But it bothers me a bit to less so today because I see it as an opportunity for us and our infrastructure to be part of those solutions. So that's exciting. I think this is where we started.
There are tailwinds in our industry, but there are things we need to do better, right? What do we need to do better? We need to move fast. The pace, you're seeing it, you know it, the pace at which technology is evolving, AI is evolving, disruption is evolving is like nothing we've ever seen before. So the old school telco mindset, I got a few quarters to figure this out or I can launch this in 9 months or give me 18 months.
That's gone. We have to start thinking differently. And to do that, we need different talent. Let's be clear. We need different talent. I'm not really hiring a lot of people from other telcos. I'm hiring them from big tech, hiring them from other sectors. We definitely need that. And I think we have to find a way to remove these dependencies. We're highly dependent regulators for sure.
We've got to remove that. But also a massive software company. And there's no reason why software is trading off. We're spending a lot of time to figure out how to get off the stack to chop the stack, burn the stack because we spend massive amounts of money with these companies. And it is old school money. And in this world, as fast as AI is moving and the speed at which it's developing, we can take advantage, there will be better, faster, cheaper ways to do the very same things that will result in significant reduction of cost. And if we can remove those dependencies carefully, appropriately quickly, I think you're going to see a seismic shift in our economics.
Great. Thank you, Mike. Thanks for joining us.
I don't think inspiring was the wrong word.
I don't think so.
Yes.
Liberty Global — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Liberty Global's Fourth Quarter 2025 Investor Call. This call and the associated webcast are the property of Liberty Global, and any redistribution, retransmission or rebroadcast of this call or webcast in any form without the expressed written consent of Liberty Global is strictly prohibited. [Operator Instructions] Today's formal presentation materials can be found under the Investor Relations section of Liberty Global's website at libertyglobal.com.
[Operator Instructions] Page 2 of the slides details the company's safe harbor statement regarding forward-looking statements. Today's presentation may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995 including the company's expectations with respect with outlook and future growth prospects and other information and statements that are not historical facts. These forward-looking statements involve certain risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements.
These risks include those detailed in Liberty Global's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recently filed Forms 10-Q and 10-K as amended. Liberty Global disclaims any obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements to reflect any change in its expectations or in the conditions on which any such statement is based.
I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Mike Fries.
Hello, everyone, and thanks for joining us today. As you would have seen by now, in addition to our results, we announced 2 significant transactions earlier today, which, of course, we'll address in our prepared remarks. As a result, I think this call may run over 60 minutes. I hope you can stick with us because there's quite a bit to talk about here. We've broken this down into our typical quarterly results presentation, which Charlie and I will breeze through, as we usually do. perhaps a little faster than normal. And then we'll move into more of a strategic update like we did 2 years ago at this time. I also think it might be a good call to follow the slides that we're broadcasting, especially the second half.
But let me jump right in on Slide 4. And certainly, by now, you are all familiar with how we organize and manage our business today. As illustrated here, everything falls into 1 of 3 operating verticals. Liberty Telecom comprises our 4 national FMC champions that generate $22 billion of revenue and $8 billion of EBITDA on an aggregate basis and where our primary goals are to drive commercial momentum and importantly, unlock equity value for shareholders. Much more on that in a moment.
Liberty Global on the far right houses our portfolio of media, infra and tech investments totaling $3.4 billion today. And here, we're focused on rotating capital, right, and investing in high-growth sectors with scale and tailwinds. And of course, in the center, sits Liberty Global itself with $2.2 billion of cash and a team with decades of experience operating and investing in these businesses.
Now I'll come back to this slide and the strategic update. But first, let me provide some highlights on each of these for 2025. So it has clearly been a busy year for us on all 3 fronts. And as Slide 5 points out, we feel like we've delivered on our core strategic priorities. There's a lot of detail here, so I'm just going to hit a few of the high points. We'll talk about our telecom company results in the next couple of slides, but we're pleased with the momentum that our commercial and network strategies are delivering, especially in the second half of the year, supported in parts by the benefits we realized in MII, all of our 3 large OpCos hit their guidance targets last year.
When it comes to unlocking value in telecom, a key goal for us, as you know, you've no doubt seen our announcements on the U.K. fiber transaction and our acquisition of Vodafone's interest in the Netherlands. We'll dig into both those deals shortly, but this is exactly what we said we would do.on our call last year and the year before. At Liberty Global, we've totally reshaped our operating model, having reduced our net corporate spend by 75% in the last 12 months.
Needless to say excited to see how this new guidance leads its way into analysts, some of the parts calculations. And we continue to allocate capital to the highest return. As you know, we did reduce the buyback last year from 10% to 5% of shares partially, to be honest, in anticipation of some of these varied transactions. And so far this year, we're not actively in the market, but we always remain opportunistic on our stock and we'll keep you abreast of our plans throughout the course of the year versus guiding to them.
With respect to our cash balance pro forma for the transactions announced today and for what we expect to realize in further asset sales, we should end the year with $1.5 billion of cash, and Charlie will get into that in a bit more detail in a moment. And then finally, our growth portfolio remains highly concentrated with 5 assets comprising 70% of the $3.4 billion in value. We couldn't be more excited about Formula E, the progress we're making on the Gen 4 car, our racing calendar, and of course, our sponsors and we have renewed focus on the Experian economy. I'm not going to get into much detail here, but by this, we mean live events, sports, et cetera.
We probably looked at 100 deals in the space. We've done real work in about 40, and we've only closed a handful of very small transactions. So that can give you some comfort that while we're excited about this sector, we're staying very disciplined as we look to rotate capital. Now the next 2 slides summarize Q4 operating performance for our telecom businesses. In the U.K., Lutania have implemented a number of things that helped improve broadband performance throughout the year. Initiatives like bundling Netflix and being recognized as a top U.K. broadband provider. Those things drove a strong Q4 as well as stable ARPUs.
Postpaid mobile results were impacted, however, by the increases that they took in October. Hopefully, we'll see improved performance in '26, especially as 5G coverage continues to grow and pricing pressure settles. In Ireland, combination of fiber wholesale activations, improved network performance, actually, they are also ranked the best provider in the market. And off-net expansion, supported net growth in the fixed base with stable ARPUs. Mobile in Ireland continued to grow steadily and remember, we're an MVNO there, helped in part by a senior offer launched in June.
In the Netherlands, Vodafone Ziggo's How We Win plan is driving substantial improvements in the broadband base, becoming the largest provider of 2 gigabit broadband speeds in the market and recent recognition as the best TV provider help make Q4 the single best resulting services in nearly 3 years with steady improvement over the last 6 months carrying into 2026. Postpaid mobile growth in Holland continued to be supported by nearly universal 5G coverage and a strong flanker brand. And then finally, Telenet had its highest quarterly broadband result in 3 years, helped by fixed mobile convergence in the South and a strong Black Friday period.
And similar to other markets we operate in, ARPUs were fixed in mobile are very stable. Now if it wasn't enough information for you, we will be discussing 3 out of these 4 markets in our strategic update later in the call, including a lot more commentary on their performance and outlook.
So in the meantime, Charlie, over to you.
Thanks, Mike. Now turning to our Q4 financial highlights. Our operating companies in the U.K., the Netherlands and Belgium delivered on their full year guidance metrics despite challenging market conditions. VMO2 delivered a revenue decline of 5.9% on a reported basis, which was impacted by lower Nexfibre construction revenues due to a slowdown in the fiber build and also sustained competitive pressure in both the fixed and mobile market in the U.K. .
On a guidance basis, excluding Nexfibre construction and O2 Daisy, we delivered modest growth for the full year. Adjusted EBITDA declined by 2.4% on a reported basis, primarily driven by lower Nexfibre construction profitability. Excluding this, adjusted EBITDA fell by 1% in Q4, but we still achieved growth overall for the full year of positive 1%. Moving to VodafoneZiggo, we saw a revenue decline of 2.3% in Q4 driven by fixed churn and reduced low-margin IoT revenues. This is partially offset by the annual price adjustment and higher Ziggo Sport revenues.
Adjusted EBITDA declined 3.4% in Q4 driven by this lower revenue and higher costs related to commercial initiatives. The full year figures were in line with the guidance in Q1 for the new How We Win strategy. At Telenet, we saw a revenue decline of 1.3%, driven by our strategic decision to not renew the Belgium football broadcasting rights and lower programming revenues. Adjusted EBITDA declined by 9.9%, driven by elevated labor and marketing costs as well as higher professional services and outsourced labor spend.
Turning to our treasury update. We've been extremely proactive through 2025 and nearly for 2026 and extending our 2028 and 2029 maturities. And we successfully refinanced $15 billion across our credit silos. And both VMO2 and VodafoneZiggo, we have fully refinanced all 2028 maturities, boring successful term loan refinancings, senior secured note issuances and private taps within these credit silos.
In Belgium, as we announced in Q3, we have EUR 4.35 billion of committed financing at Wyre which is contingent on BCA regulatory approval of our fiber sharing agreement. A portion of the proceeds around EUR 2.34 billion are allocated to repay the intercompany loan with Telenet and will be used to rebalance leverage at Telenet. We intend to further repay some of the 2028 debt at Telenet with the proceeds from our partial Wyre stake sale, which is expected to complete this year.
All of this proactive refinancing activity has significantly reduced our 2028 maturities and maintained our average tenor of around 5 years at broadly comparable credit spreads to our historic levels.
Turning to the next slide. We remain committed to our disciplined capital allocation model as we rotate capital into high-growth investments and strategic transactions. Starting in the top left, we successfully delivered against all free cash flow guidance metrics for the year across our OpCos and JVs. And additionally, following our corporate reshaping program, Liberty Services and Corporate closed 2025 ahead of guidance at negative $130 million of adjusted EBITDA, which is around $20 million better than our $150 million target.
Moving to the Liberty Growth walk on the bottom left. The fair market value of our growth portfolio remained broadly stable versus Q3 at $3.4 billion. This was driven by modest investments in Nexfibre, AtlasEdge and EdgeConneX, offset by the partial disposal of our ITV stake and the full exit of our Enfabrica stake as well as positive fair market value adjustments of Formula E and UPC Slovakia, which has been held in the growth portfolio until the sale process completes later this year.
Turning to our cash walk on the top right, we ended the year with a consolidated cash balance of $2.2 billion. During the quarter, we received $162 million of upstream cash and JV dividends and $140 million net cash proceeds from disposals in our growth portfolio, including $180 million from the partial ITV stake sale. We spent $34 million in our buyback program during the quarter, repurchasing a total of $0.05 of our outstanding shares during the year.
Moving to the bottom right, we are aiming to end 2026 with around $1.5 billion of corporate cash. After deducting for the cash outflows related to the M&A transactions Mike will touch on in a moment, we intend to replenish our corporate cash with a combination of dividends and cash upstream from our operating businesses as well as noncore asset disposals from our growth portfolio.
Turning to Liberty Growth in Media & Sports. Our strategy remains to invest live sports and entertainment platforms with growing global fan basis. Formula E is our leading example of this, and Season 12 has started strongly ahead of the launch of the Gen4 car. Our data center assets, EdgeConneX and AtlasEdge continue to show strong top line revenue growth, supporting a $1 billion-plus year-end valuation. And our energy transition assets also made big steps forward in 2025.
Egg Power secured GBP 400 million of senior debt to help fund over 400 megawatts equivalent of wind and solar power projects, and Believ, our destination charging business has now built 2,500 public charging sockets, which are averaging around GBP 1,500 EBITDA per socket with a further 23,000 awarded to them by U.K. local authorities. And they're currently bidding on a large number of additional sockets, which are being awarded. INSTECH focuses on AI. We made a strategic investment in 11 labs, and we're also moving our in-house AI investments into the growth pillar given their potential to sell services to third-party customers outside the Liberty family.
We've also established a new services pillar, and have transferred Liberty Blume into it from Jan 2026. Now Liberty Blume develops tech-enabled back-office solutions for Liberty Global companies as well as third parties. It delivered over 20% revenue growth in 2025, achieving over GBP 100 million of revenue with an order book of nearly GBP 400 million. The initial value has been set at GBP 100 million, and we've hired a new CEO to accelerate growth.
Starting January 2026, we're also introducing an annual management fee of 1.5% of assets under management, paid by Liberty Growth to Liberty Services. This fee will be funded by distributions from the growth portfolio, including disposals and will be used to fund direct and allocated operating costs such as treasury and related legal services, and these are all directly attributable to the growth portfolio.
Turning to our guidance for 2026, we're providing guidance by operating company. For Virgin Media, O2 from Q1 2026, we will move to new disclosure, which better reflects the 3 key operating verticals following the creation of O2 Daisy. Now these are consumer, business and wholesale. There's a pro forma information in the stand-alone VMO2 release, which explains this further alongside updated KPI disclosures. On this basis, the VMO2 revenue guidance is now set on total service revenues which we expect to decline by 3% to 5%. Now this is adjusted for the impact of the Daisy transaction, which is driven by continued promotional intensity as well as planned streamlining of the B2B product portfolio following the creation of O2 Daisy.
Adjusted EBITDA is also expected to decline by 3% to 5%, also against the comparable period adjusted for the Daisy impact, driven by lower revenue and lower gross margin due to the changing customer mix. Stable property and equipment additions of GBP 2.2 billion, excluding right-of-use additions due to continued investment in 5G and fiber to the home and adjusted free cash flow of around GBP 200 million for the year supporting cash distributions to shareholders of the same amount. For VodafoneZiggo, we expect stable to low single-digit decline in revenue driven by a lower fixed base and the flow-through of the front book pricing impact, albeit with support from continued price indexation and fixed and mobile.
Mid- to high single-digit decline in adjusted EBITDA driven by OpEx investments into network resilience and service reliability. Property and equipment additions to revenue is expected to be around 23% to 25% driven by continued 5G and DOCSIS 4.0 investments as well as a CapEx component of investments into network resilience and service reliability.
As to give more detail on this additional investment, we expect EUR 100 million of incremental investment of OpEx and CapEx into network resilience and service reliability during 2026. Now this will reduce to GBP 50 million OpEx impact in 2027, 2028. And we're expecting adjusted free cash flow to be around EUR 100 million with no shareholder distributions planned for the year.
For Telenet, we're introducing new full year 2026 guidance based on IFRS financials, excluding Wyre, we expect stable revenue growth, reflecting a stable operating environment and the annual price indexation under Belgium regulations, low single-digit growth in adjusted EBITDAaL, supported by OpEx savings from significant digital and IT investments and continued lower programming costs.
Property and equipment additions to revenue of around 20% as investments in 5G and digital upgrades stepped down and positive adjusted free cash flow of around EUR 20 million. And finally, for Liberty Corporate, we expect around $50 million negative adjusted EBITDA driven by the annualization of the cost savings from the corporate reshaping that took place in 2025 and the implementation of the new 1.5% management fee from the growth portfolio.
Thanks, Charlie. Great job. And now we're going to switch gears to what I think I hope is the most important part of today's call. And that, of course, is an update on the key transactions we've just announced and how they significantly advance our plans to deliver value to shareholders. .
I'll start by revisiting the first slide that I showed you today, and that's the 3 core pillars of our operating structure, Liberty Telecom, Liberty Growth and Liberty Global. We'll go back to the strategies for each of these. I think you've got them by now. But what I have done on this slide is present a very rudimentary sum of the parts valuation exercise for these 3 pillars at the bottom of the slide that shows that the Liberty Growth portfolio today, accepting the fair market value that Deloitte has prepared is worth roughly $10 per Liberty Global share.
Our corporate cash of $2.2 billion, even after a reasonable reduction of the value for the $50 million of corporate spend this year is roughly $6 per Liberty share, which means that with an $11 stock price today, there's at least $5 per share of negative value being ascribed to our Liberty Telecom businesses. And of course, there are multiple ways of arriving at these figures. Some people start by valuing Liberty Telecom and then applying discounts to cash and Liberty Growth and Corporate, but I like this approach.
Cash is cash, and we believe the growth assets are valued fairly and appropriately. More importantly, we're rapidly turning those growth assets into cash. We've already exited something that $1.6 billion in the last 6 years. So whether it's negative 5 or 0, you can see why we have focused a lot of time and attention on creating and delivering value in our telecom portfolio. Of course, the Sunrise spin-off just 14 months ago was step 1. That transaction delivered what is today, roughly $13 per share of value to Liberty Global Investors, far more than anyone expected at the time what the implied value was for that business at the time. And that's why we can say our stock price on a combined basis is up meaningfully over the last 2 years.
Now moving to the next slide. Here's another thing that gives us some confidence in the value of our telecom business. The European telecom sector has been experiencing a broad-based rally this year with the Euro Telco Index up 16% year-to-date. And just about every major incumbent telco and you know all the names, up even more than that, 20%, 25%. So what's happening here?
We see 3 key tailwinds impacting the sector. First, of course, is an improving regulatory environment. This is not to say that we're totally satisfied with where things stand. You know us better than that. But if you look at the U.K. and the changes they've made to the CMA or if you look at the recently published draft of the EU's Digital Networks Act, we believe there's a good chance regulators continue to loosen rules around consolidation and spectrum policies, especially in the age of AI, where telecom continues to be perceived rightly as critical infrastructure for consumers, for businesses and for governments.
Secondly, just as we are seeing in our own operations like Telenet, where 5G CapEx is largely behind us now or Ireland, where our fiber build is coming to an end, there is light at the end of the CapEx tunnel. And when you combine declining CapEx intensity, with Telecom's high margins and stable revenues, you've got a strong recipe for improving free cash flow.
And then finally, there is the AI thesis. It's hard to find an industry more ready to benefit from AI-driven efficiencies, customer improvements, network automation than the telecom sector. In addition, as AI permeates every aspect of our lives, our role, telco's role as foundational connectivity and data transport providers, I think, continues to increase.
And then lastly, there appears to be, and this is an area you're experts in more than me, but there appears to be a rotation going on here. Investors growing a bit sour on how capital light software-driven industries and rotating capital into more infrastructure-based or defensive sectors where AI is a net-net positive and quite frankly, unlikely to be as disruptive over time. I think the impact of AI, if you ask me on our industry will be positively transformational. I recently asked the CEO of one of the big tech companies. Look, how do I go from spending $14 billion a year on OpEx to $7 billion. That's what I want to do.
You said bring me your P&L and we'll go through it. The point is we're just scratching the surface today. I think the upside for us from AI is massive, and it's massive for our entire industry. Now so with that as background, on this call, last year and the year before, we laid out 2 very specific goals related to our telecom businesses, and they're summarized here on Slide 16. The first was to prepare each of our Benelux operating companies, this was last year, for the next phase of value creation. And I'd say we achieved that goal, bringing in Stephen van Rooyen as CEO has been a game changer for VodafoneZiggo. And of course, today, we're announcing the acquisition of Vodafone's 50% stake in VodafoneZiggo in order to advance our plans to spin off a new company that combines our Dutch and Belgian operations. More on that, of course, in a second.
In the U.K., we committed last year to advance our plans to monetize our fixed network infrastructure for both financial and strategic reasons. Now early last year, we pivoted away from a pure NetCo, as you know, but together with Telefonica, we continue to evaluate accretive ways to grow and finance fiber infrastructure in the U.K. Today, of course, we announced the acquisition of U.K.'s second largest AltNet creating what will ultimately be an 8 million home fiber platform with the opportunity to further consolidate a fragmented market. So let's get into these deals.
Beginning with the Vodafone acquisition on Slide 17, after what can only be described as a very successful and I mean, seriously mean rewarding partnership with Vodafone in the Netherlands. We're pleased to announce an agreement to acquire their 50% stake in exchange for EUR 1 billion of cash plus a 10% equity interest in a new company called Ziggo Group, which will own 100% of VodafoneZiggo and 100% of Telenet in Belgium.
Now there's 3 primary reasons for doing this -- 3 primary benefits from this deal. To begin with, we believe the net present value both operational synergies and incremental service revenues from this transaction and combination total about EUR 1 billion alone. And of course, pretty much all that accrues to us. Second, we think the combination of Holland and Belgium is a financial winner. As the chart on my right shows together, the 2 operations serve 7 million mobile subs and over 5 million broadband subs with total revenue of EUR 6.6 billion and over EUR 2.5 billion of EBITDA. Combination also creates a clear road map to reduce leverage to what we're estimating will be about 4.5x through a combination of synergies and improving operational performance.
In fact, we think we'll generate $500 million of free cash flow by 2028. And then third most importantly, we are announcing today our intention to list Ziggo on the Euronext exchange in 2027 and to simultaneously spin off our 90% interest delivered to Liberty Global shareholders as we did in Switzerland. Interestingly, similar to Sunrise, there is a strong epistory here. Belgium and Holland are rational markets, just like Switzerland. We have a clear network strategy in each country like we had in Switzerland. Our plan to reduce leverage are front and center and actionable like they were and are in Switzerland. And the financial profile should support both free cash flow and dividends in the future.
Interestingly, this is more anecdotal, just as Sunrise, it was one of a very successful public company that we took private and then relisted, Ziggo was also a very successful public company that we took private. So we will be reintroducing Ziggo to the public markets as we did with Sunrise. Now just a quick update on Slide 18 of VodafoneZiggo's recent performance. There's no question that Stephen's How We Win plan is driving clear operational turnaround, a combination of OpEx savings, repositioned broadband pricing, speed upgrades and a multi-brand strategy are delivering materially lower churn.
You can see that on the bottom right of this slide where Q4 '25 was the best broadband performance, I think, in 10 quarters and things continue to look good into 2026. We've also provided a medium term outlook for VodafoneZiggo on Slide 19 and while 2025 EBITDA was in line with our plan, 2026 guidance, as Charlie indicated, shows a decline impact and in part by our large one-off investment we're making in network resilience and service reliability. In 2028, however, we expect EBITDA growth to rebound. We're not giving you actual numbers here, but we are confident in that trajectory.
That EBITDA growth, combined with a very stable cash envelope should generate the meaningful free cash flow I just referenced. And as Charlie indicated, leverage will peak in 2026, but should decline thereafter, both organically, that's, of course, from EBITDA growth and through asset sales like our tower portfolio, the proceeds of which we intend to use to reduce debt.
And then a quick strategic update on Telenet on Slide 20. We can't underestimate the importance of the steps we've taken over the last 24 months in Belgium to both rationalize the market structure and create a clear operating road map for both of our businesses there. As you know, this is the first time we've completely carved out a fixed NetCo, which we call Wyre, and have even gone one step further by entering into a network sharing arrangement with the incumbent telco Proximus that will create arguably the most attractive fiber wholesale market in Europe.
And to facilitate the carve-out, we secured EUR 4.35 billion of new capital to both fund the Wyre build and reduce leverage at Telenet. And to discuss, we're in the process of selling a stake in Wyre with the proceeds earmarked for further deleveraging in Telenet. Goal here is to bring Telenet's midterm leverage down to the 4x level. And Telenet, as part of the new Ziggo Group, I think represents a very strong equity story itself with outstanding retail brands, significant B2B growth, an upgraded 5G network and long-term access to fiber.
Perhaps even more importantly, though, with CapEx declining significantly this year, Telenet's free cash flow is at that inflection point and poised for continued growth. Now let's switch gears to the U.K. and our announcement today to use our fiber JV -- Nexfibre to acquire Substantial Group, which consists of the Netomnia fiber network and a 500,000 subscriber broadband customer base for a total enterprise value of GBP 2 billion and a net payment of GBP 1.1 billion at closing.
Now I'll walk through the various transaction steps on the next slide, but the goal here is simple. The first goal is to create the second largest fiber network after BT Openreach. When you combine Netomnia's 3.5 billion fiber homes with Nextfibre's existing 2.6 million fiber homes, and then you add 2.1 million VMO2 homes that wouldn't be made available to Nextfibre for upgrade, the platform will ultimately reach 8 million fiber homes by 2027.
As I'll outline in a moment, there are significant benefits to VMO2 stakeholders. This is a fantastic outcome for VMO2. It's also a strong vote of confidence in the U.K. generally. We want the U.K. government to know that we, together with our partners are willing to commit significant capital to the U.K. based upon their pro-growth policies.
Now this next slide is one that you'll probably want to print out and tuck away somewhere. As I said, this is a complicated transaction, they often are, and this is an attempt to simplify it as best we can. On the left-hand side, you'll see the money and asset flows. The green numbers, when you take a look at the slide, if you're looking at it now, the green numbers simply show the cash and how it moves from and to the various parties here, approximately GBP 1 billion of equity will be injected into Nexfibre, the acquisition vehicle, and that's our 50-50 JV with InfraVia, of course. And this will consist of GBP 850 million of cash from InfraVia, and $150 million from Liberty and Telefonica.
So the first point to make is that Liberty Global directly will be responsible for GBP 75 million of cash in order to complete this transaction. The $1 billion together with the new debt facility, I think it's about $2.7 billion, we'll fully fund both this transaction and the longer-term strategic plans for Nexfibre 2.0. Now once capitalized, Nexfibre distributes a little over $2 billion of cash, GBP 950 million to Substantial Group for the Netomnia fiber assets and GBP 1.1 billion to VMO2, of course, VMO2 will use that capital to both acquire the broadband subscribers for $150 million and reduced leverage.
The vast majority of the GBP 1.1 billion going to VMO2 is in exchange for a significant commitment to utilize the Nexfibre network on a wholesale basis. That's how these deals work. Specifically, VMO2 will provide access to 2.1 million of its own homes that will agree to pay Nextfibre wholesale access fee on those homes once they're upgraded to fiber. And additionally, VMO2 will pay wholesale access fees day 1 on another 2.5 million homes that overlap Nextfibre's footprint.
So there's substantial value being contributed to the Nexfibre 2.0 plan by VMO2, and that's why it's being paid. Now as I mentioned, the benefits to VMO2 are substantial. To begin with VMO2 gets cash to reduce leverage. This is necessary, of course, given the increased wholesale fees paid out to Nexfibre. Second, it will end up with 500,000 additional broadband customers. Third, there will be substantial CapEx avoidance here, both in terms of the cost to build and the cost to connect millions of premises that would no longer be the responsibility of VMO2. We think the NPV of that is around GBP 800 million. Fourth, VMO2 will be able to continue providing construction and managed services to Nexfibre in exchange for revenue and positive EBITDA. And the NPV of that contract, we think, is around GBP 400 million.
And then finally, in addition to having access to the second largest fiber footprint in the U.K., VMO2 will also receive a direct stake in Nexfibre 2.0. Now looking ahead, I think this transaction also opens up the market for further consolidation, something that we have talked about for a long time and may just be on the horizon. One quick slide here, providing additional context on VMO2's operational outlook as I promised. On the left-hand side of Slide 23, we make the point that despite a highly competitive market, VMO2 has delivered pretty good financial results, especially in comparison to its peers.
While revenue has been largely flat over the last 4 fiscal years, and you know that, EBITDA has grown annually at around 1.5%. During the same time frame, VMO2 has generated GBP 2.6 billion of cumulative free cash flow and distributed GBP 5.2 billion to Liberty and Telefonica in the form of dividends. We are happy shareholders here. That's clear. Now the rest of the slide identifies the main drivers of growth moving forward and why we're confident in the VMO2 story, including 3 powerful brands, Virgin Media, O2 and Giffgaff that reach every segment and help drive fixed mobile convergence. There's also synergies in B2B growth on the recently completed O2 Daisy merger, strong wholesale position as the #1 MVNO provider and now a key partner in the second largest fiber footprint.
I mean Lutz and the team, we believe we have a pretty good head start in AI-driven innovation and efficiency as well. And on top of that, there's the opportunity to drive growth off-net to the 10 million homes we don't reach today. So a lot of really good things happening in the U.K. market for us.
Finally, this is the key takeaways here on the final slide, what we'd like you to bring home, if you will, from the second half of this call, right? Number one, we think the telecom sector broadly and equity values in Europe more specifically are poised for continued depreciation in the eyes of investors. Tailwinds from consolidation, stable cash flows and what appears to be a rotation into stocks that will be net beneficiaries of AI as opposed to roadkill are drivers here.
Hopefully, by now, you're convinced that we are serious about delivering value to shareholders. The Sunrise spin-off was always step 1. We told you that. And the transactions we announced today, in particular, the Vodafone stake acquisition and our intention to list and spin off the new Ziggo Group will be step 2. In the meantime, we worked extremely hard to reshape our corporate operating model. This is not just a cost-saving exercise, even though it did save considerable costs. We believe that our structure today is fit for purpose, both to continue operating and investing in the TMT sector that we've done over the last 20-plus years, but also to provide our unique form of expertise to existing and future affiliates.
Now why we were only marginally successful in convincing analysts to look at our corporate cost differently, we have been spectacularly successful at reducing those net corporate costs as I said, by 75%, that is going to accrue to the benefit of our stock price. And we're excited about our growth platform. We have a great track record here, and we're focused on the right centers, where we have a clear right to play, as they say, and where there are tailwinds and scale opportunities that I think we're uniquely qualified to pursue. So stay tuned to see what we there.
And then finally, in our world, capital allocation is everything. Now where you choose to invest your capital, especially in a capital-intensive business, has never mattered more. We've always run our telecom businesses as if we're going to own them forever. And even in that context, they generally have not required any cash from us to achieve their strategic and operating objectives. We will invest in a telecom business when it unlocks value for shareholders. We've said that many times. Like we did with Sunrise, delevering the company pre-spin and like we're doing with the acquisition of Vodafone stake in Holland.
We have been significant buyers of our own stock, $15 billion over the last 9 years to be exact, reducing the number of shares outstanding by 63% and ensuring that those who stuck around with us end up with a bigger piece of the pie. You owned 1% of our company in 2017, who ended up with over 2.5% of Sunrise, for example.
And finally, we do believe there will be opportunities in tech, infrastructure, energy, media, sports and live entertainment. These are areas where we have significant deal flow, great partnerships lined up, $10 per share of value and importantly, strategic flexibility to deliver that value to shareholders.
So hopefully, that update was helpful for you, especially on the recent announcements of the 2 deals this morning. So with that, operator, we'll get to questions.
[Operator Instructions] The first question will go to the line of Robert Grindle with Deutsche Bank.
2. Question Answer
My head is spinning with all the news you guys have provided. So I'll ask one question about the U.K. deal. 8 million Nexfibre homes post deal completion and the 2.1 million HFC home upgrade. Do you think that definitively unlocks the U.K. wholesale opportunity in a major way. Do you think you have to wait to get to the full 8 million? Or are you on a course before you get to that point to get more wholesale business in.
I'll take a crack at it, Robert. Thanks for the question. And Lutz or others can chime in here. But the 8 million will be achieved relatively quickly, end of '27 probably. So that's a good fiber number for Nexfibre 2.0, both as you say, from the 3 -- the contribution of the 3 entities. And VMO2 will be a significant whole buy partner for that 8 million home footprint. And remember that Lutz and VMO2 continue to upgrade their network. So there'll be another 12 million homes on the VMO2 network that continue to be upgraded.
So we believe you're looking at what is effectively a 20 million home footprint in the end, the vast majority of which will be fiber. So obviously, first order of business is to grow and manage our own customer base on that 20 million home network, but also very much so to provide wholesale opportunity for the market, which is much needed for reasons that you understand very well. Does that answer your question?
It does. Mike, is there a time line on getting the rest of the VMO2 network upgraded?
Well, I don't know if we've disclosed that time line. Lutz, if you want to reference that, let me know if we disclose that or no. .
I would add only that we have already upgraded 5 million homes to fiber out of the 13 we are having. So you -- Robert, you can add these 5 million to the 8 million. So you have very quickly an access to 13 million fiber homes. And the second part, right, I think we always said that we will enter the consumer wholesale market. And obviously, the more homes and fiber we are able to offer, the more interested it is. Further guidance on how quickly we will upgrade the remaining homes we haven't given, and we don't want to.
Our next question will go to the line of Josh Mills with BNP Paribas.
Maybe I'll ask my question is on the VodafoneZiggo transaction. I think you're still talking about a stable CapEx envelope over the guidance period. But now that you're creating this new Ziggo group with more scale, does it change your appetite or opportunity to invest more on the cable to fiber upgrade strategy? Is there any synergies there you can take for your learnings in the Telenet business and bring them over to the Netherlands, it would be very helpful. .
And then secondly, I think on Slide 17, where you talk about the clear road map of bringing Ziggo Group leverage to 4.5x. Is that all organic deleveraging? Or would you be willing to inject cash into this business prior to a spin-off as you did with Sunrise.
Great questions. Listen, I think on the network strategy for Holland and Belgium, those plans are set. So we have made a definitive the assessment of the OpEx strategy and network strategy for a fixed business in VodafoneZiggo's market, and we are going with DOCSIS 4. The team has already done a great job of getting 2 gig rolled out nationwide with the largest 2 gig provider and they'll be at 4-giga and 8-gig right around the corner. So there is no strategy or plan to build fiber in the Netherlands, and we don't believe it's necessary either from a commercial and certainly not attractive from a capital point of view.
So the CapEx profile does not change as a result of this or any announcements that we're making today. On the leverage, I think the -- as we mentioned, there's 2 very clear sources of deleveraging. One is organic growth. the second -- or 3, I guess, the second is free cash flow and paying down debt as we're doing Sunrise. And then 3 is asset sales. So in the case of Holland, we have PropCo and TowerCo. In the case of Belgium, we have the Wyre stake. So there will be asset sales. With those proceeds used to delever, there will be growth in EBITDA organic and there will be free cash to organically delever. And that is the plan. At this stage, we don't anticipate putting any capital or cash into the Ziggo Group to get the plans launched in 2027. And Charlie, do you want to add anything to that?
No. I absolutely endorse what it is. I mean you remember there are some premature financial synergies that we get, which obviously give us strong free cash flow. I should clarify that, that $500 million is the annual target. It's not a cumulative target. I also think that with this, the team has performed and his team, by the way, performance fantastically. And as they give this EBITDA turnaround, I think you can do the math and figure out how that can treat to getting towards this 4.5% target, which we think works based on what we saw and summarized. .
The next question will go to the line of Matthew Harrigan with StoneX.
Since I'm the last American left in the draw again. When I talk to your U.S. peers on AI, they don't expect to see too much quantifiable benefit this year, but pretty substantially but by '28. Is that something that you layer into your numbers somewhat. And clearly, the market is not remotely assigning the value of the ventures plus cat, so they're not going to give you anything for having your telecom OpEx. But what are your thoughts on really seeing that discernible in the numbers? And when you look at AI, is that some -- I mean clearly, a lot of the value in your network has been appropriated by Silicon Valley and other tech companies. But when AI really sticks in, are you going to see 85% of the benefit on the cost side? Or do you expect to see some revenue enhancements that actively attached to you as well? And it's a fairly big question, but obviously, people are -- it will be very transformative if you can have your OpEx even if it's in 8 to 10 years.
Yes. Look, I'll address that generally and I'll ask Enrique to step in and provide a bit more color. But 3 things are really driving for any telco, driving the benefits from AI, right? Beginning with customer acquisition -- and very thin, which we're all seeing marginal improvements from the investment in our call centers and things like that. The second is frag credit, things like that, that can really drive down OpEx and inefficiencies. And then as you mentioned, in the network and operations. And I don't know, wealthily, those are each going to contribute 1/3, let's say, of the monstrable benefits we expect to see in the next, let's say, 1 to 3 years. And they're not small numbers.
They will be real benefits. And I think the nice thing that I'm seeing in the space is that whereas a year ago on this call, I would have said that we're inventing a lot of these applications right now, we're getting bombarded with start-ups and third-parties in Silicon Valley companies that are doing a much better job in many instances of creating these solutions for us. And so the pace of integration and implementation, I think, is speeding up, and it's real.
So as I said in my remarks, I don't think there's an industry better positioned to benefit from marginal improvement in CapEx, OpEx and revenue from AI, but I would emphasize the word marginal there. That's really all we're doing at this stage as an industry is finding marginal benefits. I think the real home run is to think more broadly and bigger about how we kind of disrupt our own supply chain, our own software stacks, our own operating models and to do that could be material.
I'll let Enrique chime in if you want, if you're on, Enrique.
Yes. I mean, I think maybe the first thing I'll emphasize, Mike, is, as you said, it is real. We have gone from a year ago, exploring AI to now seeing real benefits being delivered today and even more importantly, over the next 12 to 24 months, pretty material improvements, I would say, maybe most of the industry is seeing a lot of benefits on the call center and the support part of the business first. We see that going to operations. But we're really getting excited about what we're starting to see as innovation more on the revenue side. And I think we're going to see '26, at the end of '26, we're going to look back and look at those revenue opportunities as the year where they became real. .
Mike, can I just have a quick plug. Sorry, I was going to say can I have a quick plug at sort of Liberty point of view. Look, the other aspect of this is back-office services. which is not as big as what Mike and Enrique said in the front of is the middle office, but the back office still is material for a telco, and it's about $1 billion, $1.5 billion by some definitions of spend for us. And what Blume is finding out is there's lots of tech enablement with AI tools to significantly reduce their accounting or payments or procurement of these special products, et cetera, et cetera. .
And we're finding actually these are opportunities where we're getting massive savings by reducing heads, but we're able to scale our existing heads to grow revenues. And that's really what's driving that 20% revenue growth that we see in Blume. And actually, we see that continuing for many years.
Our next question will go to the line of Polo Tang with UBS.
It's really about VMO2 guidance. It was weaker than expected with a minus 3% to minus 5% decline in EBITDA, I think consensus on the same basis was probably going for about minus 1%. Can you help us understand how much of the decline relates to the rationalization in B2B that may be specific to VMO2? And separately, how much of the decline reflects weakness in the broader U.K. markets? And can you maybe just give us some color in terms of what you're seeing in terms of U.K. competitive dynamics in both mobile and broadband.
And I also have a quick clarification in terms of the Netomnia Nexfibre deal because VMO2 is receiving in EUR 1.1 billion of cash from Nexfibre. But can you clarify what VMO2 is giving up? So specifically, what is the minimum commitment on the 4.6 million fiber footprint? And can you give some sense in terms of what the wholesale rate is per subscriber?
Yes. Thanks, Polo. I'll let Lutz address your first question around VMO2 guidance and what we're seeing in the market. And then Andrea, you can work up a good answer to the question around VMO2's commitments. I don't know how specific we're being about that as we sit here now, Polo, but I'll let Andrea address that. Guys?
Yes. Polo, so you can broadly contribute 30% to the B2B restatement of numbers, including Daisy. And 70% is attributed to a cautious view on the fixed consumer market. So it's not mobile, it is fixed consumer. As we all know, competition is very high as we speak. Yes, as Mike alluded to, I think we had a pretty good Q4 with very low fixed net add losses and a pretty stable ARPU. But so far, right, the market is even more competitive. There's a fixed telecom access ready outstanding from Ofcom. And therefore, we have factored this in a cautious guidance. The reason why you see a similar number on EBITDA is simply that we are also paying more and more wholesale fees to Nexfibre, and that is, to some extent, up some of our efficiencies.
But just to be clear, and Charlie, you keep me honest here. The guidance we've provided today for VMO2 does not pro forma into that guidance the transaction with Substantial Group. So we'll have -- this is all happening real time. .
We're going to have to amend it.
Yes.
Completely excludes it also. I think, Mike, why I said Nexfibre is we have a growing customer base in the existing Nexfibre coverage.
I know why you said it. I just wanted to clarify it. Andrea?
Polo, I think there were 3 questions there. One was, are we giving any sort of -- is there any sort of minimum penetration commitments. Now there's an adjustment at closing depending upon how many subsets are transferred over, that's very manageable, but going forward is their minimum commitments. There's also no migration commitments. The transaction is being designed to give Lutz full flexibility in terms of managing the migration from HFC to fiber, which we obviously thought very important in the overall market context. .
I think your second question was just a clarification on what VMO2 was getting. I think if you break it down, VMO2 is getting $1.1 billion in cash and is getting a -- is getting a 15% stake in Nexfibre. In return for that, it's going to spend GBP 150 million to buy approximately 500,000 subscribers at closing, we think is the estimate that the Substantial Group will have. And it's also committing its traffic on 4.6 million homes, 2.4 million in the overlapping Netomnia area and then 2.1 million are in these new homes that we're contributing into Nexfibre 2.0, which has been carefully selected to make it a contiguous complete network. So it's not going to be a sort of Swiss cheese. And I think what was the -- there was a third point, I'm sorry, I'm just...
Third question is, are we providing any detail on wholesale rates and things of that nature. And the answer is no.
No. Yes. Thank you, Mike. Yes, thank you. We're not today, but it's a competitive wholesale rate. .
Our next question will go to the line of Ulrich Rathe with Bernstein Societe Generale Group.
On the Belgium deal, you mentioned a synergy figure there. Could you talk a little bit about what kind of synergies these are because this is a cross-border deal where the story in European telecoms has always been that it's harder to create synergies. And specifically on the synergies, would the financial synergies that Charlie sort of alluded to be included in that EUR 1 billion figure. And if I may just add a clarification, there was some Bloomberg sort of headlines about Telenet deferring a refinancing because of difficult markets. Could you comment on that, if that is appropriate at this time.
Charlie?
Yes. Let me just comment on the Telenet refinancing. I think we felt that the market fully understood the number of steps we were taking in Belgium, which we essentially were to pay down debt to 4.5x on Telenet through the Wyre sale and the fact that we docked in the refinancing to separate out Wyre at the EUR 4.35 billion, we thought have been well understood. I think it probably was in hindsight too much for the credit market to digest in one go. And that's fine.
I mean it was an opportunistic transaction as we always do. We thought that by halving the amount of available Belgium debt, there'll be a lot more demand than we felt. And it was a pretty choppy market. If you may recall, it was a softer market that we had a few a few weeks ago. So I think the discretion is the better part of -- and Nick and I felt that the right thing to do is take a pause. We will let these transactions settle. We'll prove out the various steps.
And at the right time, we'll go away and do what we usually do, which is in the $500 million to $1 billion tranches refinanced. But we still have plenty of time, I think, as we tried to show in the results call, we actually don't have any material debt maturities, particularly include our revolver until 2029 in turn, but we're very confident and hopefully the credit markets will support this, that as these steps unfold, we can essentially reprice the debt and extend the maturity.
And it's interesting, actually, the debt still trades at a very tight level despite this transaction last week, which perhaps is a bit bewildering. Look, I think in terms of the synergies, I think I slightly disagree, I think there are cross-border synergies. Enrique has proved that with the incredible work he's been doing on technology. I mean there's an awful lot of scale benefits and national technology doesn't really have a difference market to market. And I think also, as you rightly point out, the ability to drive financial synergies will come because we are able to use the platform that we will create in VodafoneZiggo and Telenet to really drive the technology across the broader footprint, which obviously has some benefits to us.
So I think we feel pretty good about the synergies. And actually, to be honest with you, we might have undercooked them because we were obviously operating on a clean team basis in this transaction. So stay tuned. Let's see what we can come up with.
Yes. Our track record on synergies is pretty good. And I would agree with Charlie's comment that we've probably undercooked them, especially on the OpEx and potential revenue side. Does that answer all your questions, Ulrich? .
Yes. I was just wondering, so are the financial synergies included? Or is the EUR 1 billion just the operational bit.
They are included.
They are included, yes.
Our next question goes from the line of David Wright with Bank of America.
Again, so much to absorb here. I guess when we're thinking about the Ziggo spin, Mike, it's a strong equity story similar to Sunrise, but that does ignore what I think you flagged at the time, which was Sunrise was a very clear and strong dividend payer, obviously, in a very low rate market, and we've seen that dividend growth just today in the Sunrise share price work so well. There's no dividend story here in Ziggo.
And I guess my other question is, what's the sort of run rate of synergy you guys sort of need to hit in the short term to really commit to the spin. Is that date really in stone there? And I guess my sort of associated question is, I think the VodZiggo guidance was also quite a lot weaker than most of the forecast alongside VMO2. I'm just wondering, is there a sense as you sort of restack this business that you're -- I don't want to use the phrase kitchen sinking, but you are guiding to find a level you can absolutely deliver on and maybe put a little bit more investment into 2026 to grow from.
Yes, David, that's a lot of good questions there. That's I'll try to address and Stephen can jump in here as well. With respect to timing, I mean, we were purposely general about timing. We believe 2027, as we especially get into the second half of that -- of next year, we are going to be able to see or forecast the kind of storyline here that the market will want to see. That does reflect and has comparisons to Sunrise, namely a deleveraging story from free cash flow, EBITDA growth and asset sales.
Secondly, the ability to project or forecast a free cash flow number. We gave you a number today, EUR 500 million. That's 50% more free cash flow than Sunrise generates. It's not coming this year or next year, but we're going to be -- we believe we'll be able to forecast that kind of free cash flow story when it's time to get to the market. And I think the growth -- we've talked quite a bit about How We Win plan and how it -- we even showed you some visuals on the slides about how '26 is an investment year for 2027 and 2028, we start to see a rebound.
So it's our view that all those things when they come together, will tell a compelling equity story. But here's the other thing to point out, which is unlike, say, Oddo, we're not listing this company through an initial public offering. We're not waiting to build a book. We're not looking for a minimum price. We're not going to raise primary capital. So those -- we don't have any of those strikes against us. We're listing the shares and spinning them off to shareholders exactly as we did with Sunrise and the market will find a value, we believe, a healthy good value well above the negative $5 we're getting in our stock today.
That's all you got to believe. That's it. You've got to believe that there's good equity value in this story that in the hands of our shareholders, that equity value will trade well on Euronext exchange with a compelling operating and brand-driven storyline and it will be less than 0. It will be more than 0. That's all you got to believe. And so I think we have lots of flexibility here, tons of freedom to plan how and when and what we do, which is -- which to me is very exciting.
Stephen, do you want to add anything to that on the Vodafone side?
Well, I think the only component I'd add to it as you said. Can you hear me, Mike?
Got you.
So look, as you said, I think the core of it is that we have an unfolding story of business improvement. So the underlying value of the core VodafoneZiggo business, I think, will come through as we get through the investment in 2026 and into 2027. We've shown a track record so far in the last 12 months, and we've got high confidence given what we're seeing today and given the plans we have ahead of us that 2026 will be another step forward in the plan.
And as you say, 2027 will show those return on investments, and we'll accelerate out of that. So I think the core business, if you value the core business, will look slightly different in 12 months from now.
Our next question is the line of James Ratzer with New Street Research.
So I was interested in following up on the slide you had to discuss the kind of Netomnia Virgin transaction in a bit more detail on Slide 22. So you've got a very kind of helpful chart there showing all the cash movements. Could you just run me through also what the debt movements are because Netomnia, I think, will have around maybe a bit over GBP 1 billion of debt on closing. Does that all go to Nexfibre? Or does some of it go to VMO2? And then of the subscribers or the homes, sorry, you've got the 2.5 million homes where VMO2 is going to pay committed wholesale fees on closing. How many subscribers does VMO2 have in that footprint, please?
And then secondly, on the 2.1 million homes that then Nexfibre will be upgrading, what's VMO2's customer volume in that footprint? And to give us an idea of kind of Lutz's incentive to migrate customers over to FTTH, can you let us know, please how many customers today within VMO2 have been upgraded from HFC to FTTH, where VMO2 has done that upgrade itself as a result of the overlay.
Thanks, James. Charlie, you hit the debt question, please?
Yes. So first of all, there's no incremental debt going on to VMO2. I'm not sure how much we're disclosing, but I would underline that Nexfibre will have a fully financed business plan to get to 8 million fiber homes, with a combination of existing debt, but also the undrawn facilities. So this is a fully financed cash flow positive AltNet, which I don't think we can say about all of them. And I think in terms of the details of the numbers, look, let's take that offline because I'm not sure what we've agreed to disclose or not disclose. But that is the key message, fully financed and no debt into VMO2.
And on the 4.6 million homes, Andrea, keep me honest, I think you could -- we're not disclosing the number of customers today, but you can read across from our broad penetration rates to those areas. It's going to roughly equal our current penetration rates. I think it's a safe bet. Lutz, do you want to address the fiber question? .
Yes. So far, we have a very low number on fiber in our existing Virgin Media, O2 cable coverage, right? Majority of our customers in fiber are coming from the fiber network Nexfibre owns. And so we still -- no customer is leaving us because of technology. Also, we are able to acquire exactly the same number of customers in the cable network as well as in fiber. So therefore, commercially, we don't have, at the moment, an incentive to put customers on fiber. And therefore, we have a low number for now.
Yes. But in this, you should assume in the deal we just announced, there will be some incentives. For example, cost to connect, wholesale rates, but we're not disclosing those details today. .
That will conclude the formal question-and-answer session. I would now like to turn the call over to you, Mr. Fries, for closing remarks.
Sure. Thanks for sticking with us, guys. Sorry, we went a little bit over. We had a lot, as you said, to disclose. I just want to say quickly, thank you to everybody on the call today from my team because this has been a Herculean effort and just about everybody on this call is involved in the transactions and of course, delivering these results. So thank you to each of you for the great work and terrific, terrific outcomes.
And look at the deals we think were announced today, I'm excited about. I think they unlock both value, but also give us a tactical runway to control our destiny here, specifically in the Benelux region, but also, I think, increasingly in the U.K. market. So they're the right kind of deals. It's exactly what we told you we would do a year ago. I think you can trust us when we tell you we where we're focused, what we're focused on and how we intend to create value. So I appreciate you joining us. I know there'll be a lot of questions and follow-up, you know where to find us. So thank you, everybody.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes Liberty Global's Fourth Quarter 2025 Investor Call. As a reminder, a replay of the call will be available in the Investor Relations section of Liberty Global's website. There, you can also find a copy of today's presentation materials.
Liberty Global — Morgan Stanley 25th European Technology
1. Question Answer
Okay. Good morning, everyone. Let's begin the next session. My name is Terence Tsui. I'm an equity analyst at Morgan Stanley, and I'm very pleased to be on the stage with Liberty Global and the company's CEO and Co-Founder, Mike Fries.
Mike, welcome. Really good to see you in Barcelona. Thank you for supporting this conference.
Year after year.
So let's get right to it. Lots has changed at Liberty Global over the past years. You've now established 3 core platforms in Liberty Telecom, Liberty Growth and Liberty Services and Corporate. Please, can you walk us through the strategic goals in each of these core pillars? And what you've -- and the progress you've achieved over the year?
Sure. Great to be here, as usual. We are like all the telco folks you'll listen to this week, in that we maintain very strenuously that we're undervalued on pretty much any metric, whether it's a net asset value, discounted cash flows, some of the parts. We're unlike the other telcos, though, in that I think we have really 3 unique pillars to create value. We have, of course, the telecom assets, which you know and love and so do we. We've been doing this for 3 decades, buying and building telcos, broadband, mobile, throughout Europe.
I think at one point, we're in 20 different countries across Europe, typically exiting at really good values and prices and remain today in a pretty sizable platform, $22 billion of revenue for core markets. And these are great assets. I mean, these are businesses that we'll talk about, I'm sure, have a lot of opportunity, probably getting 0 value in our stock today for those assets given that we're levered 5.5x and people are putting pretty low multiples these days on those cash flows for whatever reason, we can argue that.
Then we have a Liberty Growth platform, which is relatively unique. It's probably $8 to $9 a share. We're an $11 stock. So $8 to $9 a share just in our media-sports infrastructure assets, which we can talk about. And then we have embedded in our business, like a lot of telcos, we're carving out some service platforms. So we have one in particular called Blume, which we can discuss. But these tech and financial services platforms generate over $600 million a year of revenue and positive OFCF. So that, in our view, is another pillar of opportunity and growth.
And then lastly, we are heavily focused on our corporate spend. There's a reason for that. Again, $10, $11 stock a year ago, not even a year ago, 6 months ago. The average analyst put a negative $10 a share, negative $10 a share on our corporate, negative $10 on a $10 stock. Well, we got the message. We started the year with guidance of $200 million. We lowered it in Q2 to $175 million. We lowered it in Q3 to $150 million. We told you next year it will be $100 million. So at a minimum, our stock should be at $5.
If you're being honest, and straight with your math, it should be up by $5 just on that announcement in our Q3 call alone. We talk about how we've done it and what that means. So in each of those 3 pillars, we know there are opportunities to unlock value, and we are focused on them in each instance, and we can talk about them through the course of this conversation, I suppose.
Yes. Thanks very much, Mike, and that's very interesting. And lots of topics to follow up on. If I can begin with a discussion around the opportunity to separate some of your operating businesses, you've said that's important to help unlock the conglomerate discount in your stock. Please, can you update us on how you managed to create value at Sunrise, some of the progress that you've initiated this year as well? And what could you see coming up in the future?
Sure, sure. So for those -- I'm sure most people have followed it, our Swiss operation spun out in November of last year. We announced it in February '24. We spun it out tax-free in November, trading today at about 8x EBITDA, 8% dividend yield. Interestingly, when we spun it out, it was roughly 20% of our proportionate telecom EBITDA, 20%. The market cap is bigger than our market cap today. So that's a pretty good value unlock, but it says more about what remains in the business, in my opinion, than anything else.
What are the things that made that work, 4 things really. Number one, it's a great market, a highly rational market in Switzerland. Number two, we delevered the business from 6x to 4.5x. JPMorgan was adamant. UBS was adamant. Nobody is interested in 4.5x levered companies. Well, it turns out they are. Stock is trading brilliantly in the Swiss -- on the Swiss Exchange. Third, we had a very clear network strategy, a hybrid network strategy, where half the market was covered with 2-gig broadband on HFC. The 100% of the market was covered on a fiber whole buy by deal with Swisscom. So we had an excellent network strategy, 5G behind us, CapEx at 50% of revs.
And then lastly, we are generating great free cash. And that free cash, we're dividending 70% of it out. And we just raised the dividend for this year. So a progressive dividend strategy. By the way, the dividend is tax free if you're a Swiss institution. So it's not an 8% dividend yield. It's a 12% or 13% dividend yield because the dividend itself, because it's a return of capital in Switzerland, is tax-free. So that transaction obviously made it clear to us that there's real value in these businesses under the right circumstances. So we will look to rinse and repeat where we can in some markets. We can talk about those. Not every market is going to fit that mold, but much of what we operate today does fit that mold.
Okay. And you also mentioned some ECM opportunities in the Benelux.
Yes.
I wonder if we can explore that in a bit more detail. Do you see any potential for any cross-border synergies?
Well, let's start with Belgium. I mean, let's look at Belgium and line it up to Switzerland. For starters, Belgium is a pretty rational market, 3 operators today. There's a fourth entrant, Digi, but struggling. So we have a market in Belgium with 3 core operators. We have really good share, really good brands, strong, almost incumbency type position in that market.
Secondly, we've already fixed the network story in Belgium. We have carved out our fixed network. We are building fiber off balance sheet, fully financed. And that netco is a source of deleveraging, so we just announced $4.35 billion underwritten commitment that will fund the fiber build in Belgium as well as delever the netco -- the servco, pardon me, Telenet itself, because when you divide these things, the netco has different margins, different characteristics or more leverage on the netco, less leverage on the servco.
So -- and the third thing we're doing is going to sell down a stake of that netco called Wyre, which will take Telenet leverage probably down to 4.5x. So you've got a rational market. You've got a rational fiber market. We've announced this deal with Proximus, where each of us will basically agree not to overbuild each other. And we'll have 100% wholebuy -- wholesale market share in some portions of the country. They'll have it elsewhere. So highly rational fixed network market, fully financed off balance sheet, a source of capital to delever the servco, feels to us like that asset. And by the way, an inflection point coming on free cash flow as the mobile CapEx has declined. So all the ducks are lining up, so to speak, on that asset.
In terms of the Dutch asset, listen, we have a partner there going on, I think, 9 years. I was thinking about that this morning, 9 years. At 63 years in dog years, it's a long time. But we're good partners, and we -- the business is doing well. We'll talk about it, I guess. Whether or not we bring that together, merge things together, hard to say. But we can do any -- whatever we want with our 50% for the most part. So if we said, hey, we're going to spin off Telenet. We think it's right. It was a public company. KPN trades at 9x and a 5% dividend yield. It's a good comp.
We could put our portion of Vodafone to go into that trade if we tracked it. Spinning might require some approvals. But nonetheless, there's lots of optionality. The nice thing about our portfolio is we have dozens of tools in the toolbox, because of how we're structured, because of our tax position. We can spin track list really efficiently across the board in multiple combinations. So stay tuned. I think we said -- I said on the call, decisions are pending there. I think that's right. We'll make some decisions relatively quickly.
Great. That's very clear and lots to look forward to. Let's stay on the Liberty Telecom and talk about 2025 business performance so far and some of the growth initiatives that you've implemented. What are you pleased about? And what work still needs to be done?
Well, look, we're in a competitive market across the board. What's impacting that competitive position? Listen, we've got MVNOs that are getting quite aggressive, almost everywhere, flanker brands, budget brands, no matter where we operate and any operator up here, they're not telling you this or not telling you the truth. Wherever we operate, MVNOs are getting more aggressive. In some cases, like the U.K., we have altnets that are also getting quite aggressive with pricing.
So if you take the U.K. as an example, which is a bit of an outlier for us, I'd say it's highly competitive in the U.K. today, you've got MVNOs. Now, we have a flanker brand, too. So we're getting our fair share with giffgaff, but nonetheless, pricing on mobile -- even though our ARPU is up, pricing on mobile is tough. And, of course, broadband net adds are also tough because altnets are quite aggressive.
What are we doing about that in the U.K.? We've launched Netflix across all of our broadband and entertainment bundles the most part. We're doing a much better job proactively recontracting people dealing with this One Touch Switch challenge. We're doubling speeds where we can. We're, I think, doing a great job on retention. So there's a lot of tools that we're using in that marketplace to grow, doing reasonably well on postpaid.
I think we're flat in the third quarter if you exclude B2B on postpaid, but we lost mobile sub -- broadband subs in the third quarter. Now, fewer than we did in Q1 and Q2. So trajectory is good, but it's a competitive marketplace. And all the markets are, I think -- can be characterized similarly. We can all cut costs. We're doing that really well. We can reduce CapEx. We're all doing that really well. The topline is where you need to put your attention. What can we do? What can we each of us do? What can the industry do to drive top line growth in a competitive environment?
Okay. And that's kind of a nice segue to looking at the regulatory and the antitrust environment. Investors have hoped for a more favorable regulatory environment throughout the year. Can you highlight some of the changes that you've seen? And what you think still needs to be done?
Well, I think we're -- I think if you look at that, I've been up here many, many years, I would say this feels like a good moment. We're not there yet, but the Draghi report, combined with, well, say, what's happening in the U.K. around merger control, I think there's a nice tailwind here on regulatory, but it's not done. What do I mean? The EU has done nothing really about the Draghi report. You saw the letter that all the mobile operators sent out. We signed that letter. Really done very little to be honest around spectrum, merger controls, prioritizing growth. These are things that they haven't really done anything tangible. The Digital Networks Act hasn't come out. It's been delayed.
So I think we have to raise the temperature in Brussels. This is -- we are critical infrastructure. You've had your foot on our neck for 20 years. AI infrastructure is really cool too, but none of it works unless it all works. And so I think that message is getting through. I hope it is getting through. Some markets, like the U.K., where they've made significant changes at the CMA, and -- that's positive. So I think in principle, this consolidation message, and I know my peers talk about it all the time as well, this in-market consolidation message is starting to resonate. And I'm hopeful that we'll see more of that.
And in the U.K. specifically, there's a lot of noise around the upcoming budget, future tax changes. From a Liberty Global perspective, what are you pushing towards in the U.K.?
Well, fewer taxes. That's pretty straightforward. Look, if you want to tax the big tech guys on their AI infrastructure, have at it, but stay away from the small tech guys. We're small tech, right? We are trying to build fiber, build 5G, give the market a shot and the idea that they would tax us in that process, anybody in that process, altnets, incumbents, competitors, is crazy. So let's hope that's not in the budget. Let's hope that -- we're already paying taxes that I think are excessive, so let's hope that's not the case.
Okay. Let's drill in a bit more detail into some of the countries. Let's touch on the Netherlands, new management team at the start of the year. You've guided to mid- to high-single-digit decline in EBITDA for 2025. How do you envisage the turnaround taking place?
Well, it's already happening, right? I mean, we talk about it on our quarterly calls. You can see it in the numbers. Q3 was better than Q2. October was better than September. This week was better than last week. The trend has kind of been reversed. So Stephen has done a great job in getting the business turned around. That's number one. And how has he done that? Well, it's straightforward stuff, invest in the brands, number one, Vodafone is a good brand in that market, invest in it. We have done that, get the front book back to where it needs to be, and that's -- it happened pretty aggressively. We've launched 2 gig pretty much everywhere in that market, committed to DOCSIS 4.0 in that market.
So I think we've got the tools, and we've got the methods in place to drive continued improved performance there. I'm not going to give you guidance on what that's going to look like, except that we're patient. Why are we patient? Because it's also a 3-player market that's highly rational. Talking about KPN trades at 9x EBITDA, a great comp there. We are going to generate free cash. We do generate free cash, and we will continue to generate good free cash in this market. So we're patient in the Dutch market.
I think Stephen is doing a great job. I think the turnaround is working. He's created a winning spirit, sort of an edge that the company needed. We've got content differentiation. We've got a lot of real advantages to push in the Dutch market, and we're starting to do that, and the numbers are showing that.
Yes. And then on the U.K., you mentioned it's highly competitive. Do you think this level of competitive intensity can be sustained in the medium term?
It all depends. I mean, Simon is here from CityFibre. He will disagree with me, but most -- or maybe not, most altnets are going to struggle in this market and need to be either consolidated or shut down. Not all of them, but certainly most. So there's a lot of noise in the fixed marketplace today. And whether that's sustainable, I think, is a big question mark. We've got 4 big brands in that market, 3 networks plus altnets, plus 4 real brands, right, us, Vodafone 3, BT and Sky. Sky is sizable. They don't own network, but they've got a lot of customers. So there's 4 brands kind of punching it out. And then MVNOs and altnets on either side, grabbing share. So it's a highly competitive market.
As I said, I think it's an outlier for us in terms of the level and intensity of competition. But as I mentioned, we've got the right things, in that Lutz and the team are doing the right things. And there are some green shoots in terms of quarter-by-quarter and where we see the business going long term. It's growing. EBITDA is growing. There's no question about that. We think we can modulate CapEx.
We've got a fiber strategy. It's largely off balance sheet, but we have a fiber strategy, both on balance sheet and off balance sheet, that's reasonable. We're building -- upgrading fiber at GBP 100 a home. And that's like Latin American numbers, and we operate in Latin America. I know those numbers. So we're upgrading at very low prices at very low costs. And we reached almost 6 million, 7 million fiber homes today of our footprint are already fiber. So we're on that journey, and I think we're on it cost effectively. That's the key.
And then this highly competitive market, how do you balance price versus volume?
It's value. It's value. I mean, look at our ARPU in mobile is up, ARPU in fixed is stable, so we're prioritizing value over volume. That should be clear, and it's the right thing to do. Now, we have multiple brands. So we have giffgaff. We have Virgin Media. We have O2. So we have multiple brands. We have a multi-brand strategy like everybody in the telco business today. So we're attacking every segment, but I think we're trying to drive value.
Okay. And then switching back to Belgium. So you mentioned some of the strengths of Telenet compared to the competition. How do you see the competitive landscape evolving over time? I didn't think Digi have had that big an impact so far this year, but they could be a bit stronger next year. How things are looking like?
I mean, Telenet has a lot of advantages in the mobile space, the best 5G network. We've got a kind of real greenfield opportunity in the South, so I think -- and 3 quarters of improved performance. So Telenet is on a good run. Digi has struggled, but we don't count these guys out, ever, ever. And those who operate in Spain can speak to that. You can't count these guys out, and we don't. Now, they've had a tough time of it, and this is not Spain or Portugal. This is a different market, Belgium, for all kinds of reasons. But I think one thing for sure that we've done, which has been a real positive, is at least we've rationalized the infrastructure side of the market.
It will be one thing to have 3 competitors, maybe a fourth, and also massive disruption and chaos in infrastructure. But what we've agreed with Proximus, which is now being market tested, is essentially a rational approach to fiber build. We build here, you use our networks, everybody uses our network. You build there, we'll use your network, everybody uses your network, a very rational approach to spending because it's an expensive build in Belgium. And that, I think, will lead to a more rational market long term.
Okay. Very clear. I'm just going to pause for a short moment to see if there's any questions from the audience on Liberty Telecom or I switch to the other core pillars. Anyone got a question about the U.K., Holland, Belgium or Ireland? Okay. Let's turn to Liberty Growth. So actually, let's just begin with an overview of this division, let's familiarize investors.
Sure. Well, it's a -- okay, I'm sure most of you have some basic appreciation for it. It's about $3.5 billion of assets, principally in media, in digital infrastructure and tech. This is stuff we've been doing for quite a while, building over time. And so that's $8 to $9 a share, something like that, that sits in this business. We can talk about each one of those if you want. But it's -- so we're looking for scale-based opportunities. We think we have real capability to do that in many instances. It's also a source of cash for us. And we've talked about what our goals are in terms of re-rotating capital out of this bundle of assets into opportunities to unlock value, whether it's in telecom or elsewhere.
I think 6 investments in that group account for 80% of the value. So if anyone is interested in doing the work, here's the good news, you don't have to look at 70 things. You have to look at 6 assets that account for 80% of that value. Two of those are in infrastructure, digital infrastructure. We were very early as a telco, I think, to the data center game. Now, we're not in it as big as we would like to be in it, but we definitely saw early on that data centers and this need for this infrastructure will be growing and important. So we have 2 businesses there.
We have a small stake in a global data center company called EdgeConneX. We invested 10 years ago in this business. I think our IRR so far is 30%. We've got a net $150 million in it today. It's worth $600. And if anybody wants to buy it, come see me afterwards, we would monetize it just because it's a 5% stake, but it's real value creation. So if anybody is wondering like what are you doing with all these things? What makes you think you know what you're doing? Just look at that one, put in $150 million, it's worth $600 million. We've already taken $50 million out. We built it.
We started another one, more of a homegrown play called AtlasEdge, where we seeded some property assets in together with DigitalBridge. And we are a Tier 2 data center player looking to get to about 200 megawatts, something like that. And maybe about $350 million in that, we market conservatively at $500 million. And this piece of the ecosystem is pretty vibrant right now. So we're in a good spot with those 2 businesses. But that's over $1 billion of value that another $3 a share, we don't get credit for. So what will we do with that? Watch. We'll exit, we'll use the cash. We'll maybe create a digital infrastructure spin-off of some sort, combine other assets. So it's a real opportunity for us.
The tech space is traditional venture capital, where we've got about $400 million net in today in AI, cyber, cloud, real smart investments. And then, the media space is mostly sports. But out of that $3.4 billion, we've exited about $300 million this year. There's another $1 billion we can exit there. So it's a source of cash to do some of the things I described earlier in the telecom platform that's yet to be utilized. I'm not giving you a time frame on the $1 billion. I'm simply saying that we think as we look at the portfolio, a lot of these things that don't fit or we had for a long time, we can turn into cash. So it's a source of cash, it's a source of growth. Many of these things are big assets, Formula E. These are big assets that are worth hundreds of millions or billions and will over time be what we're talking about up here. So I'm pretty sure of that.
Yes. And you've got the target of $500 million to $750 million in noncore disposals within that. Can you just highlight some of the progress that you've done, like on ITV, for instance?
You had to go there. Well, we said $500 million to $750 million. We've done $300 million exits this year. In every call, I'm saying we're going to be patient. We're going to be smart. We felt a little pressure. We sold half of our ITV stake, and then, the Sky rumor. So it's a good example of we shouldn't -- on things like this, it's not guidance, it's sort of an aspiration. And so we'll see. We don't have the need, but we're sitting on $2.2 billion of cash by year-end. Assuming no more asset sales, we will have $2.2 billion of cash at year-end, arguably no use of proceeds today. We can talk about the various things we'd like to do, but we're sitting on quite a bit of cash as we sit here, $5, $6 of cash or more. And we've got to figure out what we're going to do with that, but we can replenish that cash, and we'll continue to do it in a smart way at the right time.
And then a word on Formula E.
Okay. Get me started. Listen, I think you zoom out, no question that Formula One and certainly a lot of other sports have thrived post-COVID. This experience, economy is -- in our view, I think many people share this view, is really strong and vibrant and probably going nowhere but up. It's difficult to own anything in sports that's global, that has global reach. And we think motorsports, in particular, is pretty exciting.
Now, add on top of that, we're starting our 12th season, so it's early days. But if you look at it, what makes it interesting? Why are we reaching this tipping point that's got me excited? It's awareness, it's excitement, but it's speed. This car is doing -- I mean, we're all Formula One experts now, so I'm not going to pretend I know more than anybody else. But Formula One car inches faster changes, sometimes it's slower depending on the season. This car is doing this. When we first started, the thing was lucky to go 140 miles an hour. We are testing the Gen 4 car now. You can go online, check it out. It's awesome looking, well over 200 miles an hour, 0 to 60 in 1.8 seconds. It is physics.
I don't care if you ever buy electric vehicle or if you give a cred about electric vehicles, electric motors kick-a**, and they are going nowhere but up. And I'm excited to see Gen 5, Gen 6. We put some slicks on this thing. So the racing is what's got me excited. The speed of the racing. We got to do a better job of getting noisy, being noisy, getting celebrity, you see, well, that's all going to happen. We're in our 12th season. But to me, we pretty much break even. So it generates $0.25 billion of revenue, breaks even. We're not putting a lot of money into it in this season. But it's exciting. And so -- we're racing in China, in Tokyo, in Brazil, in Mexico, in the U.S., in Europe. It's got all the ingredients to be, I think -- and I talk to people in and around F1 all the time, right? And they don't disagree. It's got all the ingredients to be, I think, super important in motorsports. Put the sustainability stuff aside, it is a net zero since day 0. That's awesome, but it's fast. And that's what's got me excited.
Very clear. Let's turn to Liberty Services and Corporate. So this is an area where you had the improved EBITDA guidance actually throughout the year. So what savings have you made in this area? How sustainable are these?
Well, as I said, we started the year saying we're going to spend $200 million net corporate spend. Again, remember, at our topco, we have no debt. We just have people and expertise and relationships with our opcos and service agreements and these types of things. So we said we would spend $200 million. That's now down to $150 million for the full year, just in-year reduction of spend. And that run rates to $100 million next year. So it's in the bag, sort of $200 million to $100 million. This is what we are getting a $10 ding on our stock book. How did we do that? Got more efficient in some of our tech service platforms, but mostly headcount reduction.
So we've reduced the headcount at the topco by 40% by year-end year-over-year. We went to 4 days a week and gave people an option to voluntarily leave and 20% did, which is by book, just fine. And then, we had another 20% of involuntary departures. So we were much leaner. We reshaped the operating model, and we go into '26, spending 50% less at that corporate. And we think there's opportunities to bring that down further, not necessarily with further headcount, but that's always in the possibility, but also reallocating some of that corporate to certain of these growth assets where we're providing services, getting better at how we're charging the opcos for services. So there's ways of generating incremental revenue to the topco. That would bring that down -- that number down further. I might give you an estimate of what that might be, but meaningfully less.
That's upside, that's definitely not in our stock. And maybe we have to prove it to get there, but we already demonstrated $200 million to $150 million and run rate is $100 million next year. So at some point, a couple of analysts have started doing the work. The rest will do it when they get around to it. But that's a pretty significant adjustment in the corporate operating model that I think is -- we have room to grow, room to do more.
And then the value creation opportunities in this unit around Liberty Blume?
Well, I think Blume is interesting. I mean, everybody -- I don't know how many of our peers have done this, but Blume is -- essentially was a department that we've carved out, right? Service carve-outs are happening right and left. In this case, we do about GBP 100 million of revenue, mostly to the opcos. Back-office solutions is about 2/3 of that, procurement, insurance, energy management, not really sexy stuff. But we generate a margin on this. So we decided to pull this out, call it, Liberty Blume.
And now we've got Virgin, Atlantic, Zayo, Canal+. We're starting to build a third-party revenue stream. We'll partner with people in this space. We've made acquisitions. So it's a separate unit. It's got its own brand, its own team, its own P&L. We'll probably create a segment around it. And these types of businesses trade at much higher multiples than we trade at. And if some -- if it's doing GBP 100 million of revenue today and that goes to GBP 200 million or GBP 300 million, and they stick with their reasonable margin, $1 billion business.
So as far as we're concerned, all the pressure is on the management team. You want to go give this a shot, we will carve it out and give it a shot. So it's -- but it feels like it could be something substantial. Again, when you're trading at $10 a share, $1 here, $4 there, it all adds up. And these are things not really -- nobody is doing the work on this. Fair enough. We're doing the work on it. And in time, we'll demonstrate the value.
And then turning to share buybacks. I mean, consistently bought back shares. I think you're trending towards 5% of shares being bought back since the start of the year. Given the share price where it is, is there scope to do more do you think over time?
Listen, I mean, just a little bit of history for those who may not know it. I think in the last 8 or 9 years, we went from 900 million shares to 335 million shares by the end of the year. So that's 65% reduction, something like that, in our share count since 2017. By the way, it cost us $15 billion. So I think we've done a substantial amount of shrink on a relatively small company to begin with. If you own 1% of Liberty Global in 2017, when we spun off Sunrise, you owned 2.5% of Sunrise. That's a good trade. So it's worked, right? I mean, you already multiplied your ownership stake through our buybacks.
And, well, buy back, as you said, trending towards 5%. We'll do that next year, too. Let's see. But we have multiple uses of capital. I've talked about a few of them, deleveraging to unlock value, potentially some things in the growth area, buybacks. So we'll be opportunistic about it, and we'll give you a heads-up in February, where we're trending and what we're seeing. But I think we want to -- the value unlocks, like Sunrise, these are the things that are really going to move the stock. So you're saying you should walk out of this room and say, I should buy the stock.
Okay, we're a telco, we're doing all the same things everybody is doing, trying to drive revenue, be efficient, use AI, et cetera, et cetera, et cetera. But I think it's -- what makes us unique is this commitment to unlocking value. We're not resting. We're not -- I'm not an empire builder. This commitment to unlocking value is an urgency that I have that John shares, that our Board shares. And we will be using all the things we have at our disposal to do that. And we've talked about a lot of them today, that will be value creation right there. And this is something we know how to do.
Okay. Very clear. Let's just pause once again to see any questions from the audience, anything has come up. [ Shawn ] at the front. Please, can we have a microphone brought to the front?
We can repeat the question, I guess.
I was hoping you could comment on John Malone's kind of movement to less involved on your Board and kind of across the portfolio of all the Liberty companies. Does that change anything functionally? What's kind of your thought process there? And then, for the first time in a long time, European cable and telco is in a better position than U.S. Maybe, how would you assess the competitive landscape kind of across the globe? And how it affects Liberty Global specifically?
Sure. Let me start with John. I think I've worked with him half my life, this guy. And I won't ever work with anybody as impactful, as unique as him. Now, here's the good news. I'm still working with him. He may not be on the Board Jan 1 and have a Board vote, but he's my first phone call. So I would not overestimate the news. I wouldn't now address the impact of the news. I think he's going to be 85. He's certainly looking to be less tied down, and he wants to have time to do lots of things, but he has tons of energy, and he's definitely focused as a significant shareholder on what we're doing, on what everybody in his ecosystem is doing.
And we've had a relationship for 25, 30 years that we will continue to have one, and he's my go-to. So I wouldn't overestimate the change there. He's always given us the bandwidth and the freedom to do the things we want to do. He's been a great coach, a great mentor, a great cheerleader, and he'll always be that for us. So I think it's -- I guess, it's an interesting news, it's important news. But I think from my point of view, we're -- it's business as usual.
In terms of Europe versus U.S., I couldn't agree more. I think the U.S. has hit a rough patch, at least in the fixed space, partially because I don't think the CapEx window looks as interesting. In Europe, what's clear is 5G nearly done, depending on the market. Fiber and/or upgrade fixed networks, nearly done depending on the market. So there's light at the end of the tunnel. And that light at the end of the tunnel means one thing, free cash flow. You can drive free cash, you're seeing it in our peers and to some extent in our markets. If you can drive free cash, pay dividends or you allocate capital effectively, there's a value creation story there.
There's this -- also this tailwind that the U.S. doesn't have, this idea that, quite frankly, not only is this critical infrastructure to consumers, it's critical infrastructure to governments. With AI, we can talk about that all day long, but this notion of sovereignty in Europe is quite strong. And governments are looking at their players, incumbents and otherwise and saying, wow, this is really -- we got to get this right. This is not something to mess around with. Yes, we need cheap products and consumers have to be happy, but this is much more. It's a bigger game we're playing now with $1 trillion -- coming up with $1 trillion of annual spend on AI infrastructure, all the changes that are going to happen, good and bad in this space.
So I think Europe has some tailwinds that the U.S. doesn't have. It has this CapEx window, I think, starting to look better. There's light at the end of the tunnel. It has, I think, as we talked about, some regulatory support, political support for investments and consolidation, which is critical. We've already lowered prices. I mean, 85% of our customers in the U.K. are already at the front book price. So we don't have this massive back book to front book erosion that the U.S. might encounter if it continues on that path. Pricing has been established here. It's cheap. Let's just be clear. It is dirt cheap to do -- to have mobile and broadband in Europe compared to the U.S. or almost anywhere else.
So we've been there, have done that. It's behind us. So I think there's lots of things to be positive about. And quite frankly, you don't need a big move in multiples. Let's be clear. Give me half a turn, give me a turn. It's like $8. Give me half a turn, just half a turn. Walk out here and say, you know what, I like Mike, I'm going to give him half a turn today. You watch my stock go up 50%. I don't need complete reinvention of the business model. You just need sentiment to be more aligned with what we think is reality. So that -- you don't have that in the U.S., I don't think right now. And so a good place to invest. Yes.
Another question here, please.
You guys have always been great at clearly leverage, tax. Is it inconceivable that Liberty needs to be a listed stock?
Does it need to be or it needs to be?
Well, in your view, to do everything you want to do, does it need to be listed?
Not necessarily. Not necessarily. No, I don't think so. Now, there are advantages when you have public shareholders who you can spin things off to tax-free, that's an advantage, right? The shareholders who hung on to Sunrise did well and got the stock tax-free in a dividend -- sorry, in a corporate dividend to them. So there are some advantages, and then, there are disadvantages. I got to get up on stage like this and whine and whinge. But I think in the end, it doesn't change what we do. It does open up the aperture a bit for value unlock opportunities, although we could take something public just as easily as we spin it, and there's opportunities to do that. And then, you can -- so I think there's -- you can achieve a lot of the things we achieve on a private basis. There's -- permanent capital is a positive thing.
The reason why private equity shops want to go public. There's this idea of having permanent capital gives you longer-term horizons. When you rent money and you rent assets, you have a different approach. I'm renting money and I'm renting the asset because the money has got to go back to somebody in 5 years. And quite frankly, I got to sell the asset to give it back to them. That kind of -- that's a difficult -- it's doable, of course, but at a public company, you don't have to think that way.
You mean a rights offering, something like that? I think it would be going quite a ways back, Rick. I'm going to test your memory here. It would be -- yes, maybe so 10 years ago, if we did it then. But we did a couple ways back. Listen, this is John's favorite tool. He loves these things, rights offerings because he's always in. And if you're not in, he'll happily buy your rights. I'll happily buy your rights. So depending on how you structure it. But we're sitting on over $2 billion of cash. And I just told you, I think I can raise another $1 billion from my portfolio.
So let's say we've got $3 billion of cash. Cash isn't my biggest issue. It's putting that cash to work to unlock value and whether that's delevering an asset in Belgium to get it out to the public and I've traded 7, 8x and not 5, whether that's other businesses within the growth portfolio that are needle-mover businesses, not small thing or whether that's buying stock. So I've got some uses of capital, but I don't think cash is the biggest concern as we sit here. But yes, those are the right questions that you're asking.
Very good. And if I was to follow up on that and just thinking very long time, maybe into next decade, assuming that you are still a public company, and you've completed all of the value unlock and various spinoffs in Liberty Telecom, how do you see your equity story? What will Liberty Global be in the very long term?
Well, look, that's the existential question. To me, it's less relevant than how much wealth have I created for these people? I don't really care what it looks like to be honest with you. As long as getting to that point has resulted in more things like Sunrise, more value-creation moments, that we'll figure that part out. That isn't what drives me or John, if it disappears because it doesn't need to be around anymore, that's okay. I'll find out something else to do. It's more about we delevering value, returning value. That's really what it's about for me and for him and for you. So I'm not as stressed about the existential endgame and what it all looks like. I'm much more focused on today, tomorrow and next year, how are we delivering on the promise to create value for shareholders who have been in the stock a long time or those who have just gotten it and believe that there's an opportunity for real upside here.
Okay. And I wanted to end with a question about Dr. John Malone. That's been partly asked. But I wanted to ask you about the highlights working with him.
Goodness. I mean, I don't know if you've read the book, you should read it. It's pretty interesting. It's definitely, to steal a line from Hamilton, it brings you in the room. There are some red threads in there that I think are absolutely right. The people that he's done business with in his life, myself included, I think, are what has been the highlight for him. There's a lot about Rupert and Barry and Ted Turner and other people that he's worked closely with or mentored. So a lot of really good lessons in there.
He talks about his first mentor who said to him, "Okay, just focus on one question. What's the worst thing that could happen? And if you can live with that, take the risk". What's the worst thing that could happen? If the worst thing that could happen is acceptable, then you absolutely take the risk. He learned that at mid-20s or something like that. You have to adapt. He has one chapter called Adapt or Die, and he's right. If you look at how -- we're a case study in that. When I started this business, we were 100% cable television. Now, that's less than 15% of my revenue. We're 50% mobile, B2B, broadband is the third. So I mean, we're very much about adapting, and he certainly makes that case clear.
I'll tell you an interesting bit, though, which I tell people, we did this book launch for him. I was on stage with Barry Diller and David Zaslav with John. And it occurred to me as I was arriving for that, he sold TCI in -- when he was about 60 years old in 1999-2000 for $58 billion. And it was an okay deal because the AT&T stock didn't work up or whatever, it was the first big thing. Almost everything he's done that you know about, he's done since the age of 60. So I don't know how old you are, it looks like some of you are young out there. But it's certainly encouraging for a 62-year-old like me, he's 84 and still going at it and most of what he's done in the last 24 years. This guy has endless, endless energy. And so I would encourage you to read the book. I've got lots of copies. If you want one, give your e-mail, give your business card to Rick or Michael or Louis, and we'll get you a copy. But anyway, it's fantastic to work with him.
Okay. Thank you very much, Mike.
Thank you.
Great to have you.
Nice to see you, all.
Liberty Global — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good morning, ladies and gentlemen, and thank you for standing by. Welcome to Liberty Global's Third Quarter 2025 Investor Call. This call and the associated webcast are the property of Liberty Global, and any redistribution, retransmission or rebroadcast of this call or webcast in any form without the express written consent of Liberty Global is strictly prohibited. [Operator Instructions]
Today's formal presentation materials can be found under the Investor Relations section of Liberty Global's website at libertyglobal.com. [Operator Instructions]
Page 2 of the slides details the company's safe harbor statement regarding forward-looking statements. Today's presentation may include forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995, including the company's expectations with respect to its outlook and future growth prospects and other information and statements that are not historical fact.
These forward-looking statements involve certain risks that could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied by these statements. These risks include those detailed in Liberty Global's filings with the Securities and Exchange Commission, including its most recently filed Forms 10-Q and 10-K as amended.
Liberty Global disclaims any obligation to update any of these forward-looking statements to reflect any change in its expectations or in the conditions on which any such statement is based.
I would now like to turn the call over to Mr. Mike Fries.
All right. Welcome, everyone, and thanks for dialing in to our Q3 results call today. After Charlie and I run through our prepared remarks, we'll open it up for what we hope is a lively Q&A. And as usual, I've got my core leadership team on the call with me. And before I jump into the presentation, I just want to acknowledge and be sure that everybody has seen the press release we put out yesterday regarding John Malone, who has decided to step off the Board and move to a Chairman Emeritus role at the end of the year. Of course, he's making a similar move at Liberty Media.
I won't repeat all the key messages that we put in the public statement, you can read that, and I encourage you to do that, except perhaps to emphasize how important, impactful and enjoyable my relationship with John has been over the last 25 to 30 years and how pleased I am that as he implies in the release, he intends to stay very engaged with me and the Board as we execute our strategic plans. And knowing John as I do, he will surely do just that. Of course, I'm happy to take any questions on this as well at the end.
Now getting back to our results, let me kick it off with some key highlights from the quarter. If you're going to breeze through these slides later, these first 2 are perhaps the most critical in my opinion. I believe everyone is familiar with how we're organized today in order to create greater transparency around strategy, capital allocation and value creation, everything we do falls into 1 of 3 core platforms at Liberty Global. These include, of course, Liberty Telecom, where we're focused on driving commercial momentum in our broadband and mobile businesses and most importantly, finding ways to unlock the intrinsic value of these companies for the benefit of shareholders, and I'll get into that a bit more in the next slide.
Of course, that starts with operating performance. And as you'll see, despite intense competition, we had a strong third quarter with sequential improvement in broadband net adds across all 4 markets, for example. Importantly, our networks are proving to be critical sources of both competitive differentiation like our 5G expansion in the U.K. that's being fueled by the recent spectrum purchases and value creation, like our agreement with Proximus to rationalize fixed networks in Belgium, which I'll cover off in just a moment.
Now a theme you will hear a few times today is lowering leverage and strengthening our balance sheet at Liberty Telecom. And Charlie and his team have worked tirelessly this year to strengthen the balance sheet, beginning with refinancing over $9 billion of 2028 maturities, particularly in the U.K. and NL at very reasonable credit spreads. And that includes the debt financing we just announced that funds the fiber rollout in Belgium while deleveraging Telenet, our serveco in the market, and Charlie will dig into that.
Now turning to Liberty Growth, which includes our investments in media, infrastructure and tech that today totaled $3.4 billion and by the way, provide a source of capital to drive future value creation. This is a highly concentrated portfolio where the top 6 investments comprise over 80% of the value. We're still targeting $500 million to $750 million of noncore asset sales from the portfolio.
And as I mentioned on our last call, we're not going to rush this and price bad deals in the process, but we have generated proceeds of $300 million year-to-date when you include the partial sale of our ITV stake last week. So we are well on our way. Of course, one of the bigger portfolio companies is Formula E, which heads into season 12 in December with significant tailwinds, including double-digit growth in revenue, fans and viewers last year, a knockout calendar of 18 races and the public reveal of the Gen 4 car, which debuts a year from now and doubles the max power of what is rapidly becoming the coolest car in racing.
And we'll highlight in just a few slides our data center investments. With the boom in AI infrastructure, we believe we have a tiger by the tail, as I say, with over $1 billion in assets today and growing. And finally, the quarter brought some great progress at Liberty Services, where we manage large and profitable tech and financial platforms and at our corporate level, where we are in the midst of reshaping the operating model.
I think the big news here is that we are improving for the second time this year our guidance for net corporate costs in 2025. We started the year forecasting around $200 million of net corporate cost. In the second quarter, we improved that to $175 million, and now we're improving it further to $150 million for this year. Perhaps even more importantly, we see visibility in 2026 to just $100 million of net corporate costs.
Now this is a hot button for us as most analysts reduced their target price for our stock by, I think, $8 to $10 per share, just related to that $200 million net corporate spend. These announcements today should dramatically improve our valuation narrative, and you can bet we'll be pounding the table on it starting right after this call. I think Charlie will also address it.
Lastly, on this slide, we note that we're forecasting $2.2 billion of cash at the holding company at year-end, assuming just the $300 million of asset sales year-to-date. Now the next slide provides an update on our strategic plan to unlock value for shareholders. And I guess this is the key takeaway today. First, let me reiterate what we laid out on our second quarter call back in August.
Following the continued success of the Sunrise spin-off about a year ago, we remain committed to pursuing similar transactions that would further unlock value for shareholders. This may include the separation of one or a combination of core operating businesses you see on this slide actually through a spin-off, tracking stock, listing or similar equity capital markets transaction.
I imagine many of you still own or follow Sunrise. The stock has performed well and trades around 8x EBITDA with an 8% dividend yield today. And looking back on that deal, I think 4 key factors laid the groundwork for its success. Number one, Switzerland is a largely rational telecom market. Number two, Sunrise had a less levered balance sheet, thanks to our capital contribution at around 4.5x on the date of the spin-off. Number three, Sunrise has a clear network strategy and CapEx profile. And number four, Sunrise has a solid free cash flow story that supports a progressive dividend policy. That was the formula.
Strong balance sheet, a rational market and a predictable path to stable or growing free cash flow. I won't surprise you to learn that this looks a lot like the things we are working on in the Benelux. For example, at VodafoneZiggo, we've installed a new team with a winning plan that is built around generating long-term free cash flow in a largely 3-player market. We have now refinanced something like 80% of the 2028 maturities with the remainder targeted for this quarter or early next year.
In Belgium, we are even further along. Our recently announced agreement with Proximus, which is currently being market tested by the regulator, rationalizes the build-out and wholesale monetization of fiber in a large part of Flanders with really only one network in 65% of the market. On the back of this, we just announced a EUR 4.35 billion financing for our netco there, which we call Wyre, which fully funds the build-out of fiber and allows us to reduce leverage at the Telenet servco, including all 2028 maturities.
Even more exciting, we're in the early marketing stages of selling a significant stake in Wyre. This is an increasingly common value creation strategy in Europe, as you know, with the proceeds used to further deleverage our Telenet servco to about 4.5x. That's going to take a quarter or 2 to finalize all of these steps, but we're feeling more and more encouraged about the possibilities in this region for a value unlock in the time frame that we articulated.
Now of course, we continue to work on other ideas, which we'll update you on in time. And as I said last quarter, all of the operating businesses or assets you see on this slide and some that aren't even shown can be singled out or combined with one another to achieve a value unlock transaction. So stay tuned.
Now as I said, a key enabler of that strategic road map is ensuring that our operating companies are driving commercial momentum in what are increasingly competitive markets, right? And the long-term goal here is generating meaningful free cash flow. Now towards that end, each OpCo has been implementing a series of commercial initiatives and network improvements that are starting to impact results positively.
This next slide summarizes a handful of those initiatives, which provide important context for the results that follow. Starting in the U.K., where Lutz and the team have been busy across a number of fronts, including the recent rollout of our new pay TV and broadband bundles, which now include Netflix for free that further differentiates us from the competition, in particular, AltNets. VMO2 is also redefining the flanker brand segment with the introduction of Giffgaff broadband services that complement Giffgaff mobile leadership.
And we're rapidly transforming the O2 mobile network using the recently acquired spectrum to launch our first 5G gigabyte, plus we announced the U.K.'s first direct-to-cell satellite service with Starlink for what we call rural hotspot. So a lot happening in the U.K.
Stephen and the VodafoneZiggo team have completely reversed trend in the Dutch market, delivering the lowest broadband churn we've seen since early 2023 and positive mobile net adds in the quarter. Lots of things are working right here, including being the first to roll out 2 gigabit speeds nationwide with upgrades underway for a DOCSIS 4.8 gig launch next year.
We're also investing in the Vodafone brand on the back of the iPhone 17 launch. So the how we will win plan that Stephen has developed is quickly becoming the why we are winning plan, which is exactly what we needed in this otherwise rational telecom market. John Porter and the Telenet team have gone from strength to strength in Belgium in the last 3 quarters, supported by doubling of broadband speeds for nearly 1 million customers, their rollout in the South and a multi-brand strategy in mobile.
And the fiber upgrade in Ireland is proceeding at pace with over 650,000 premises built now, and Tony and the Virgin team are ramping up our wholesale business with Vodafone and Sky and expanding their own reach to new off-footprint territories with fiber. And just to put a marker out there, with CapEx set to fall by 50% in the coming 2 years, we're planning for significant free cash flow out of the Irish business as well.
Now the results on the following slide illustrate this improvement. Don't get me wrong, we are in a dog fight everywhere, but we are fighting right back and differentiating our products and services, attacking vulnerable competitors and driving better results each quarter. In fact, 3 out of our 4 markets, we've demonstrated improved sequential fixed and mobile subscriber results throughout the year and in Holland over the last 2 quarters.
Again, at VMO2, our fixed churn initiatives, things like proactive management of the base and one-touch switching activity are gaining traction and improving broadband performance in a very competitive market. Meanwhile, postpaid mobile subscriber performance has consistently improved quarter-after-quarter this year, including ARPU growth supported by pre to postpaid migrations and our loyalty plans.
VodafoneZiggo reported its third straight quarterly improvement in broadband losses with another strong ARPU result and postpaid mobile adds were positive again, driven by the initiative described just a moment ago. Telenet maintained positive broadband net add momentum for the second quarter running, driven by successful cross-sell campaigns, including back-to-school, while fixed ARPU growth was supported by price adjustments that they implemented during the second quarter.
Postpaid net adds in Belgium were negative despite a strong performance on the base brand, while mobile postpaid ARPU continues to show pressure from the competitive environment. And in Ireland, Virgin Media's broadband base was largely flat with aggressive fiber offers in the market driving higher churn and impacting fixed ARPU.
Postpaid net adds on the other hand, remained strong, and that's supported by a EUR 15 for life offer launched in May, boosting gross adds. So Charlie will walk through our financial results that are tied to these numbers in just a moment.
Let me first turn to Liberty Growth. And by now, you're hopefully more familiar with the components of our portfolio, which, as I mentioned, increased in value to $3.4 billion at Q3. That's around $10 per share. As you can see here, 45% of the value or about $1.5 billion consists of premium media, sports and live events businesses, which we and most everyone else these days see as great long-term investment strategies.
Another 40% is in digital infrastructure, which I'll dig into a bit more on the next slide. And then most of the balance resides in our tech portfolio, which consists largely of venture capital investments in companies, many that are leading the way in AI, cloud and cybersecurity. Now while it might appear like a complicated and diversified mix of investments from the outside, as I said earlier, it's important to remember that 6 of these deals comprise over 80% of the portfolio's value today. You can see them listed at the bottom of the page. Things like a controlling interest in Formula E, which I spoke about, and our remaining 5% of ITV, for example, and the 2 largest assets in our digital infrastructure vertical, which I'm going to highlight on the next slide.
Now both of these infrastructure investments are substantial, adding up to over $1 billion of value for us today, and they performed extremely well, especially in the current environment where the development of AI infrastructure seems to have exploded. We're thrilled to own a minority interest in Edgeconnex. It's a global data center platform controlled by EQT and focused on hyperscalers across over 60 Tier 1 markets in 20 countries around the world.
And we first invested in this company back in 2015. It was much smaller, and we have a net $150 million invested today. And the good news is that we've already taken $50 million off the table and our residual stake is conservatively valued at over $500 million. That equates to a 30% IRR over the last decade. On the right, you'll see our 50-50 JV called AtlasEdge, which is a regional data center provider focused on Tier 2 markets. The company has strong positions in Germany, Austria and Iberia and is seeking to expand capacity to 180 megawatts.
We have a net investment here of about $345 million, and we've had our interest valued by third parties at around $600 million today. Again, both of these companies find themselves in the middle of multiple AI infrastructure and data sovereignty projects, and we are focused on driving continued growth right now in what is an increasingly hot space.
So I look forward to your questions on all of this, but let me first turn it over to Charlie to walk through Liberty Services and our numbers. Charlie?
Thanks, Mike. Turning now to Liberty Services and Corporate. On the left-hand side of the slide is an overview of our central services, which focus on 3 core activities: our corporate group provides strategic management and advisory services in operating and managing financial and human capital as well as technology strategies and investment. Liberty Tech focuses on the delivery of scaled tech solutions, particularly in entertainment and connectivity platforms as well as cybersecurity for our telecoms companies.
And Liberty Blume develops and provides tech-enabled back-office solutions, not just to companies within the Liberty Global family, but also increasingly to third parties. We are reinvesting these tech-enabled efficiencies within Liberty Blume to drive 20% plus organic revenue growth in 2025.
During the third quarter, we undertook a significant reshaping exercise around both Liberty Corporate and Liberty Tech to drive cost efficiencies going forward and make both organizations more agile and well positioned for the future. Starting with Liberty Corporate, we undertook both voluntary and involuntary redundancy schemes, which have reduced headcount by around 40%, with 90% of those leaving by year-end. And in Liberty Tech, we can continue to leverage our successful Infosys partnership with 4 years of proven track record to help secure additional efficiencies and simplification savings.
We expect both the corporate and Liberty Tech initiatives to drive around $100 million of annualized cost savings. Bringing all this together, you will recall that we began the year guiding to less than $200 million of negative adjusted EBITDA, and we've already upgraded this to around $175 million of EBITDA at Q2. Now we're pleased to reduce this further for 2025 to around $150 million of negative adjusted EBITDA, supported by the in-year benefits of our corporate reshaping programs.
Now perhaps more importantly, turning to the fully annualized impact. Once we see the benefits of this reshaping annualized from 2026, we expect our corporate adjusted EBITDA to broadly halve to around $100 million. And from there, we still see scope for further improvement as we evolve our operating model through additional third-party revenues, advisory fees and management services agreements alongside the scope for further cost optimization.
So to put this in context, at the beginning of the year and the average analyst sum of the parts valuation, there was around $10 per share negative impact based on the capitalization of these corporate costs, which was typically at around 12x to 14x enterprise value to operating free cash flow.
We now expect the run rate of negative corporate costs to essentially halve versus the start of the year going forward, which would drive a significant reduction around half of this discount in our analyst valuation. And we would also argue that an EBITDA multiple more in line with the telco comparables, which is much lower, is the right way to value these costs, which would further reduce the impact.
Moving to the treasury slide. We've been extremely proactive year-to-date and through Q3 in dealing with our 2028 maturities in what has been a favorable overall high-yield market, in particular in the bond market. Overall, we've successfully refinanced close to $6 billion across our credit silos year-to-date, and this actually increases to $9 billion if you include the underwritten Wyre financing that Mike has already discussed.
At Virgin Media O2, using existing benchmark financings, we were able to complete mainly private tap transactions amounting to $1.4 billion, bringing to total refinancing year-to-date at Virgin Media O2 to over $3 billion, which leaves us only with around $100 million of outstanding 2028 maturities. VodafoneZiggo, we issued just under $1 billion of senior secured notes during Q3, leaving us with around $500 million of outstanding 2028 maturities. And at Telenet, we've already completed $600 million of financings year-to-date and have recently secured a EUR 4.35 billion underwritten facility for Wyre.
Now this will allow us to significantly refinance Telenet overall and formally separate the Wyre and Telenet servco capital structures and in the process, repay all the 2028 maturities. Now all of this proactive refinancing activity has significantly reduced our 2028 maturities and has actually maintained our average life of our debt at close to 5 years and broadly comparable credit spreads versus our historic levels.
Turning to the next slide. We remain committed to our capital allocation model and strategy to both replenish our cash balance while also rotating capital into higher growth investments and strategic transactions. Starting with cash generation, we continue to see free cash flow in line with our expectations as set out for the year across our opcos and JVs. As has been the case in previous years, we expect the JV dividends to be largely paid in Q4 given the free cash flow phasing of Virgin Media O2 and VodafoneZiggo.
Across all the OpCos, CapEx remains elevated, primarily driven by extensive 5G rollouts in the U.K., Belgium and Holland. And also fiber investment is ramping in Belgium, and we continue to invest in Virgin Media O2's fiber up and Virgin Media Islands fiber-to-the-home program. And this is along with our DOCSIS upgrade path in Holland.
Turning to our cash walk on the bottom right. Our consolidated cash balance was $1.8 billion at the end of Q3 with an additional $180 million received since then with a partial ITV stake disposal in October. During Q3, we saw modest investments into Liberty Growth of $77 million, which was primarily Formula E and AtlasEdge and spent $56 million on our buyback program. We're currently tracking towards a buyback of around 5% of shares outstanding for 2025.
Moving to the Liberty Growth walk. The fair market value of our Liberty Growth portfolio remained stable versus Q2 at $3.4 billion. This was primarily driven by the investments in Formula E and AtlasEdge, offset by the partial disposal of our Airalo stake and a small fair market value reduction in our Liberty Tech portfolio.
Turning to the key financials on the next slide. Virgin Media O2 delivered a modest revenue decline of 1%, excluding the impact of handset sales, nexfibre construction revenues and 2 months of Daisy contribution. This was driven by declines in our B2B revenues, which were offset by growth in our consumer businesses. Adjusted EBITDA at Virgin Media O2 continued to grow at 2.7%, supported by cost discipline and lower cost to capture year-on-year.
Moving to VodafoneZiggo. We saw a revenue decline of 4%, largely driven by the decline in ongoing repricing of our fixed customer base. Adjusted EBITDA was impacted by the revenue declines and commercial initiatives supporting the new strategic plan. Telenet revenue and adjusted EBITDA growth were both impacted by a positive deferred revenue benefit in the prior year of $18 million. In addition, revenue growth was also impacted by the decision not to renew Belgium sports rights, which was more than offset by associated lower programming costs.
Turning to our guidance slide. We're updating 2 items of guidance. Firstly, Virgin Media O2 revenue guidance, where we are confirming growth in the consumer and wholesale revenues. But given the Daisy transaction, which completed during the third quarter and the creation of O2 Daisy, we're currently reviewing the impact of Daisy on B2B reporting, but can confirm our previous guided M&A impact from Daisy of around GBP 125 million of revenue in 2025.
And secondly, as discussed previously, we're improving our Liberty Global Services and Corporate adjusted EBITDA guide to $150 million in 2025. All other OpCo guidance remains unchanged. Now that concludes our prepared remarks for Q3, and I'd like to hand over to the operator for the questions and answers.
[Operator Instructions]
The first question comes from the line of Maurice Patrick with Barclays.
2. Question Answer
Congrats Mike, on the new role. Just maybe a question given the topical FC article this morning around [indiscernible] in the U.K. I wouldn't expect you to comment on that transaction. But maybe a good opportunity, Mike, ahead of Telefonica's CMD next week to talk a little bit about your outlook and view on investments in the U.K., specifically around the fiber side, whether you -- the NetCo sale plan could still be resurrected,our view around buy versus build and the cost. You've always said you'd consider buying if the cost was comparable to your own build cost. How your thoughts are evolving there would be very helpful.
Sure. And we're not sure what Telefonica will be addressing next week, obviously. We'll all find out. But I think we've been consistent on the fiber point, at least through the course of this year, which is that we'll continue to upgrade our own fiber, and we're now reaching Lutz and his team have access to 8 million fiber homes through a combination of our own upgrade of the Virgin Media network and, of course, the next fiber footprint.
So we continue to, at least with our own homes at the Virgin Media side, continue to upgrade fiber and increase the footprint and the reach of that technology. That's point one. Point two is we've always stated and if you -- we are actually now deal down with the up deal we did about a year or so ago, we've always stated that the market requires rationalization that AltNets, most of them will find it difficult to continue doing what they're doing in the manner in which they're doing it, and we're supportive of opportunities to consolidate and rationalize the fixed network environment, period.
So I'm not commenting, as you suggested, on any particular deal. I would simply say, if you look at our history, where we used nexfibre in the case of up to begin the process of rationalizing, we're open-minded and open for business, if you will, for opportunities that would achieve just that. So I think it's still a bit of a moving target everywhere, but we're hopeful that in the next 6 months, things will start to settle, and we may or may not be part of those transactions that precipitate that settling.
The next question is from the line of Polo Tang with UBS.
I've got a question about the Dutch market and the improvement in terms of broadband that you're seeing there. So can you maybe just talk about competitive dynamics, both in the broadband market, but also in terms of mobile? And how confident are you that you can stabilize the broadband base in 2026? And will this come at the expense of further declines in terms of ARPU? And can you maybe also comment in terms of whether FWA is having any impact on the broadband market?
Sure. That's a great question for you, Stephen.
Yes. Thank you, Mike. So like 3 questions. Can you hear me.
Yes.
Yes, can you hear me? So I think 3 questions. So first is stabilizing broadband adds. We see the market is pretty competitive, although rational. We've set out a plan, which we've spoken to you about at length over the last 12 months, which is working. The heart of the plan is to get us back to broadband growth. That will take us, I think, the balance of next year, but that's what we're pushing towards. It's an uncertain journey because we can't predict what the competition will do, but certainly, we are pushing our plan forward.
The heart of that plan is bringing down churn. You'll have seen and we are pleased with how much we've been able to deal with the churn in our base, and we'll continue to push on with that through the next year.
In mobile, I think it actually was. I think there's a lot of activity like most European markets in the value segment. We're well positioned there with hollandsnieuwe, which has done pretty well for us. We think that there's more we can do in that space, and we'll continue to pursue that through 2026.
And then on fixed wireless, look, I think it's a variable in the marketplace. It's probably a question more for Odido than for us. We're focusing on our plan, reducing our broadband losses, getting our broadband back to growth, and we've accommodated for that within our plan. So I don't really have much to say about what's happening on fixed wireless there.
The next question is from the line of Joshua Mills with BNP Paribas.
My question is on the U.K. market and the competitiveness we're seeing. So wondering if you could give us a bit more color on what you're seeing on the ground. I note that the ARPU development this quarter for fixed line was negative, which may be expected, but perhaps disappointing following the 7.5% price increase in April.
And then on B2B, I understand that there's some moving parts with the Daisy acquisition. But could you just give us an idea of what the underlying B2B growth would have been this quarter and whether that's running ahead, below, in line with expectations, that would be great.
Lutz, why don't you take the broadband and ARPU question and Charlie, you can address the B2B question.
Yes. I mean the market is -- the broadband market is very competitive as we speak. On one hand side, you see offers already around GBP 20 for 1 gig from AltNets in the market per month. And then Openreach came with 2 promotions. I don't know if you're aware, but for copper to fiber migrated customer, you are paying to Openreach for the next 24 months, GBP 16 for 1 gig. So this one promotion, the other one is you don't pay anything when you migrate a fixed wireless access customer onto the fiber network of Openreach, which leads to the fact that you see a very price-driven market.
You see in the affiliate market, which is the most price-sensitive market prices from Sky also in Vodafone around GBP 21 for 1 gig. How are we doing in this? I think we are doing pretty well here because as you all know, we have the highest ARPU in the market. We have the customers who have the demand for the highest speed in the market.
And yes, on one hand side, to now lower churn of our customers, we have offered prevention offers with some dip on ARPU. And also, obviously, we have to get our fair share of acquisition, which leads to lower ARPU. But in the scheme of things, losing only 28,000 customers and having only a dip of 1% of ARPU, we personally think it's pretty good outcome within a pretty competitive market. But let's wait for the announcements of our competitors.
Charlie, do you want to address the B2B.
Yes. So look, as you know, we closed those O2 Daisy in the quarter, we've got a lot of work to do to try and reconcile accounting policies, the revised plans because things like a clean room. So what we've been trying to do is say, look, the businesses that remain outside that perimeter, we still expect to see growth and have had growth year-to-date.
The business that we've actually contributed into O2 Daisy, which is our fixed and mobile B2B connectivity business, that has declined this year. You're right. We haven't actually broken that out and how we take that offline. But I think what we need to do is now we've got this not a joint venture, but a partnership. But in the Q4 results, we'll give you the separate financials and obviously explain how the impact of that business is and how we think it's going to grow in the future as we finalize the integration plans.
The next question is from the line of Robert Grindle with Deutsche Bank.
Congratulations, John, as well as Mike for his new position. I'd like to pick up on the central costs and valuation point, if I may. I suppose that's for Charlie. What would you say the costs are to drive the EUR 100 million annualized savings at the center? Do you reckon it's like a 1-year payback period or longer? Is there any stock impact at all from all these redundancies and any CapEx which goes to offset the savings? Or is effectively the EUR 100 million a straight drop through?
Sorry, it's a pretty good payback. I mean it's de minimis CapEx. Yes, sorry, it's a pretty good payback. There's de minimis CapEx, which is one of the reasons why I think an EBITDA multiple is perhaps a more appropriate way to look at it. If you do take the view that these are costs necessary to run a telco and we just scale them across the portfolio and indeed across our growth assets. So I think whether it's the telco multiple, what that is, but it's certainly along those lines in my mind. In terms of the cost to achieve it, there is some degree of restructuring, but broadly speaking, pays back within, I would say, less than 12 months. So very little frictional cost.
The next question is from the line of Nick Lyall with Berenberg.
Just a very quick one, please, Mike. On Slide 4, I'm just interested why you picked the Benelux markets first and maybe not VMO 2 in the U.K. market. Is it simply just because of size? Or are there any one of those 4 criteria that you just don't think it ticks the box on yet and maybe others are far closer to? Could you just maybe describe why that might be, please?
Sure. Yes, I think we're -- we want to trend towards a Sunrise type framework everywhere we operate. And I think there is a pathway to do that everywhere we operate. We seem to be making and are making meaningful progress in the Benelux for all kinds of reasons, both Dutch market and the Belgian market are highly rational markets, closer to Switzerland than anything else, I would say. They have their own unique peculiarities around competition, but largely rational 3-player markets.
We've been able to attack the balance sheet, specifically in Belgium, where we've successfully created a netco and the servco there and have done the -- are in the process of executing the classic move of putting more debt on the netco as it builds out. It's a higher quality credit. I'm not allowed to tell you what the credit rating is of this EUR 4.35 billion financing, but it's the first time we've ever seen one. I can promise you that.
And using the proceeds and the financing capabilities of a netco to delever the servco, which is the remaining core commercial business. And those combination of steps have been in the works for quite some time. And now we did and have attempted to do similar things in the U.K. as somebody mentioned just a moment ago and not suggesting we can't get to the same place in the U.K. at some point.
But it does appear like, in particular, in Belgium, we are on our way to executing on those 4 key measures. And so that, to us, is worthy of highlighting and letting you know we're busy, very busy in this part of the platform and the portfolio and that if we made a commitment to make some decisions around these things, and I think more likely than not, we'll be making some decisions around this part of our business in the relatively near term, certainly within the time frame that we've outlined. We hope in all of these markets. Ireland, I mentioned, is going to have a massive reduction in CapEx. It's going to start generating free cash, but it's small.
But certainly, Virgin Media Ireland looks and will tick the box on many of these particular metrics. The U.K. is -- look at a trophy business for us, certainly something we are committed to for the long term and is an increasingly important investment. And we are by no means suggesting that we can't achieve similar results or benefits in the U.K. We're simply saying there, we have a partner, and we have to align with our partner on the best next move.
We have a market that's a bit fragmented today. And as we discussed a moment ago, it's going to require some form of rationalization. And so these are things that we work on with our partner. So I'm not suggesting for a second, we can't achieve similar things in the other assets or markets identified on that slide. I'm simply saying we're making good progress here. We'd like you to know about it.
The next question is from the line of David Wright with Bank of America.
Congratulations, Mike, on the new role. It's obviously quite a significant event to see John stepping away after such a significant impact on the industry. A couple of questions, please.
And the first is just on the U.K. guidance and maybe my colleagues are better at this than me, but I'm trying to understand whether there seems to be a change in perimeter here. And I'm looking at the numbers, I'm inclined to think that the same perimeter with the shift in B2B could have forced you to possibly push the revenue guidance lower. This is like-for-like without Daisy. It does feel like you could have had to push the revenue guidance lower. I'm just wondering if that's the case. I'm just struggling to reconcile that.
And then the second question I had, it's just your language you used before, Mike, which I just found a little surprising, which was you sort of said we'll have to see what Telefonica wants to do. Now I might have expected you to sort of say we'll announce our plans jointly next week. Does Telefonica have any sort of strategic rights or priority around the U.K. business in the shareholder agreement? Maybe I've just read this incorrectly, that might be the case. I appreciate that.
No, David, I'm glad you asked that question. Yes. I appreciate that second question because as I spoke those words, I occurred to me those probably didn't come out very clearly. No, first of all, no, this is a 50-50 joint venture. We make decisions jointly, and I have a very good dialogue and working relationship with Mark, we are 100% aligned on everything that's happening in the U.K. So that is not what I intended to say. There was a reference to their Capital Markets Day and I'm just pointing out that we're not part of that. They have a lot of things to talk about to the market, and they will surely talk about those.
But we don't expect any surprises, if you will, around the U.K. market. We're aligned and talk every week about what we're going to do together. So thank you for asking that. I'm glad I could clarify that.
On the guidance, listen, I'll let Charlie dig into it. The way I see it is we're providing greater transparency at a time where it's probably needed for analysts to understand what's growing and what's not and what are we getting our arms around. So Charlie, do you want to address that?
Yes. So look, I'm sorry if it's confusing. And you're right. The difficulty is that we've now got this company called O2 Daisy, and we own 70% of it. 30% of it we don't own. And therefore, at some point, hopefully very soon at the end of Q4, we're going to give you the key financials of that. And as we align that company, it is tricky because there's different accounting policies, as I'm sure you'd d and blah blah. So we're trying to do is confirm what we can't tell you.
So we can tell you that the businesses, excluding the ones that went in there are growing and we expect to grow. And we have told you that to date, the B2B connectivity business, mobile and fixed that we have put into O2 Daisy is in decline. Now if that means you would interpret that as the combination of O2 Daisy would have meant that the business would have not been growing, maybe that's right. But it's somewhat academic because we've got to work through what the O2 Daisy combination is going to develop. And the whole idea was the 2 companies are very synergistic and not just in costs, there's a material cost saving there but also with some revenue growth. So I mean, I apologize if that's not clear enough and having to take it offline, but certainly how we see it.
Super, Charlie. Could I just add a quick one? Are there any puts and calls around that 30%? Or is that just the ownership at Infinite right now?
Charlie, do you want me to take that. It's Andrea.
Yes. Yes, Andrea. Sorry, yes, you should answer.
Yes. No, there are no puts and calls, David.
The next question is from the line of Ulrich Rathe with Bernstein Societe Generale Group.
My question is about the refinancing, obviously very impressive. Question to Charlie. Are all of these financings, can you confirm fully swapped in the usual policies that you used to have in terms of into the local currencies of the operating units and also in terms of fixed rate swaps? Because I do think -- I do remember you did some refinancings where you actually didn't implement these older policies. So just wanted to confirm that the refis now are back to the old policies?
Yes. To be honest, I don't think we've changed our policies. The bonds, we've all swapped at our fixed rate at the rate we issued at, which in some cases is actually higher. So just to confirm the 2 questions. One is all currencies are matched. So everything in the U.K. is sterling. We're not taking dollar or euro risk. So that's a tick on all the policies.
On the interest rates, all bonds are fixed by nature. And on any bank debt, we haven't done a ton of bank debt because the bond market has been so strong, to be honest. We have maintained the swaps. Remember, the swaps are independent of the original bank financings. So we are monetizing or riding those low interest rates until '28, '29, '30. But thereafter, we would have to come in at higher rates, and we are gradually pushing out those hedges. So we are maintaining a pretty good 3-, 4-, 5-year sort of fixed profile depending on which market it is. I hope that sort of answers the question.
The next question is from the line of James Ratzer with New Street Research.
I was going to ask one question. I mean tough to keep it to one. But on Virgin Media, in their release, they are saying they're planning to bring to 4x to 5x in the medium term. I was wondering if you can kind of talk us through the plans to get there. I mean does that require some inorganic steps like a kind of dividend removal, you in Telefonica injecting capital into VMO2? Or do you expect to get there organically through EBITDA growth?
James, that was a little hard to hear. I want to be sure we got the question right. I think you're asking about leverage expectations at VMO2 staying within the 4x to 5x range. And I think that is our objective, and I think that is achieved in a number of ways. But one you didn't mention, which is organic EBITDA growth, which Lutz and the team have been able to deliver consistently.
So organically, the business should delever over time. I don't think we're in a position today to talk about dividends or asset sales or things of that nature, although we do have tower -- residual tower interests that could be used in that regard, and we're always open-minded about it. But getting within the range that we've maintained historically is always our underlying goal. Charlie, I don't think there's much to add to that, but go ahead if you think there is.
No, no, I think that's absolutely right. Look, listen, we are 4x to 5x levered. We're definitely through that in the U.K. So some good synergies potentially from the O2 Daisy deal, which we've talked quite a bit about today. And as Mike said, we expect some organic growth, and let's see how we go.
The next question is from the line of Matthew Harrigan with The Benchmark Company.
I'll just ask one question right out of the blocks. I mean I think when you look at the U.S. and the U.K., it's kind of competing dysfunction on the political side. But that look was recently quoted on Starmer's infrastructure tax. And I don't think there'll be any implications this year, but what might be the longer-term implications? I was on the comcast Q&A, so I apologize if you talked about this in the main discussion, but I'd rather suspect you didn't get to the topic.
Matt, you're asking -- that's a big question, politics in Europe vis-a-vis our business. I mean, I'll step back a minute to say that I think we are approaching -- hopefully approaching a bit of an inflection point here where our industry, for example, the mobile industry just put a letter out to Von der Leyen, I think, 2 days ago, 3 days ago, making it clear to her that change is critical, necessary, needed if Europe is to maintain any sort of path to leadership in digital, industrially, really any category productivity.
So we continue to make our case as an industry, as a sector that we're not just critical infrastructure. We are necessary for pretty much every aspect of growth and productivity that regulators and politicians are searching for. So maybe get off our throats. And that is, I think, being received positively.
In the U.K., in particular, I think the government has had a growth initiative, a growth-minded approach to regulation. Recent changes at the CMA, for example, the Competition Commission there are positive in that they seem to be reflecting a much more growth-minded approach to M&A and to industry consolidation.
So I think there's green shoots across the markets we operate in. There are still pain points, broadband taxes and things of this nature that are unnecessary, and we continue to fight those on a regular basis. But I think more broadly, I would say it's more of a tailwind these days than not. And whether it's sovereignty, where governments are realizing that their -- the critical infrastructure of telco is part of the solution for broader sovereignty and independence or whether it's just good economics that you need healthy telecom infrastructure to compete in the global marketplace. All of those things, I think, are coming together a bit, and I'm more encouraged now than I've been in a long time.
This will conclude the question-and-answer portion of today's call. And I would like to hand back to Mr. Mike Fries for any additional remarks.
Great. Well, thanks, everybody. I appreciate you joining as always, and we look forward to getting back on the phone for our year-end call probably in the February time frame, hopefully, with updates on the strategic road map on how we're driving commercial momentum and more importantly, also how we're reshaping or continuing to reshape our corporate operating model. So I appreciate your listening in today, and we'll speak to you all very soon. Take care.
Ladies and gentlemen, this concludes Liberty Global's Third Quarter 2025 Investor Call. As a reminder, a replay of the call will be available in the Investor Relations section of Liberty Global's website. There, you can also find a copy of today's presentation materials.
Liberty Global — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Financial data from Liberty Global
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 4,885 4,885 |
12%
12%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 2,497 2,497 |
54%
54%
51%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 2,388 2,388 |
9%
9%
49%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 1,249 1,249 |
44%
44%
26%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | - - |
-
-
|
|
| EBITDA | 1,139 1,139 |
15%
15%
23%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 1,083 1,083 |
10%
10%
22%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 56 56 |
860%
860%
1%
|
|
| Net Profit | -3,035 -3,035 |
9%
9%
-62%
|
|
In millions USD.
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Liberty Global Stock News
Company Profile
Liberty Global Plc is an international television and broadband company, which engages in the provision of broadband communications services. It operates through the following geographical segments: U.K. and Ireland; Belgium; Switzerland; Central and Eastern Europe; and Central and Corporate. Its products include broadband, WiFi, connectivity products, TV platforms, and TV content. The company was founded in 2004 and is headquartered in London, the United Kingdom.
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| Head office | United States |
| CEO | Mr. Fries |
| Employees | 6,636 |
| Founded | 2022 |
| Website | www.libertyglobal.com |


