Theravance Biopharma Inc Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = $884.18m | Revenue (TTM) = $104.31m
Market Cap = $884.18m | Estimated Revenue = $119.20m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = $529.32m | Revenue (TTM) = $104.31m
Enterprise Value = $529.32m | Forward Revenue = $119.20m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF)
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF shows how many years it would take for a company to "pay back" its enterprise value using its free cash flow.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It focuses on real cash generation, ignoring accounting noise — ideal for assessing profitability and value based on liquidity, not earnings.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF may signal undervaluation and strong cash generation.
- A high EV/FCF might reflect weak recent cash flow or aggressive growth expectations.
- Best suited for stable, mature businesses with predictable free cash flows.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow shows how much actual cash remains after a company covers its operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s real financial strength – regardless of accounting profits. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow means the company generates real, usable cash – independent of reported net income.
- It’s often the most reliable base for sustainable dividends and buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be an early warning sign – even when profits appear stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free cash flow margin
📈 What is it?
The free cash flow (FCF) margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as actual free cash after covering all operating expenses and capital expenditures.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This margin reflects the true liquidity generated by the business – independent of accounting rules or depreciation. It’s especially relevant for dividends, buybacks, and reinvestment decisions.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high FCF margin means a company consistently generates strong cash flow.
- It’s a positive signal for financial stability and shareholder returns.
- The long-term trend is key – a declining margin may indicate rising investments or weakening operating efficiency.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Turnover per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Theravance Biopharma Inc Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
11 Analysts have issued a Theravance Biopharma Inc forecast:
Analyst Opinions
11 Analysts have issued a Theravance Biopharma Inc forecast:
Theravance Biopharma Inc Events
Past Events
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DEC
8
Special Call - Theravance Biopharma, Inc.
9 months ago
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NOV
10
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
10 months ago
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StocksGuide Free
Theravance Biopharma Inc — Special Call - Theravance Biopharma, Inc.
1. Management Discussion
Good morning and welcome to the Theravance Biopharma KOL event. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded, and a replay will be made available on the Theravance website following the conclusion of the event.
I'd now like to turn the call over to Rick Winningham, Chief Executive Officer at Theravance Biopharma. Please go ahead, Rick.
Good morning, and thank you for joining us. We're excited to host this KOL event focused on ampreloxetine, a medicine with an orphan drug designation targeted to treat a rare neurologic disease, neurogenic orthostatic hypotension in patients with multiple system atrophy. Ampreloxetine is finishing a pivotal Phase III study called CYPRESS, we'll refer to it during the course of the call, with data expected in the first quarter of 2026.
Today's call is to describe the significant unmet need in symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension or nOH and again, patients with multiple system atrophy, or MSA, and to show why we believe ampreloxetine has the potential to change the treatment landscape as it once-daily oral medicine with the durable treatment effect creating value for patients and shareholders. If you get the next slide, please. Before we begin, let me note that we'll be making forward-looking statements today involving risks and uncertainties related to our development pipeline, the expected benefits of our product candidate and anticipated timing of clinical trials and regulatory filings and our expected financial results. You can find further information concerning the factors that could cause results to differ materially from these forward-looking statements in our filings with the SEC.
Next slide, please. Now turning to today's agenda. I'll begin with a brief overview of the company and highlight ampreloxetine and the exciting opportunity we see for this medicine to make a meaningful difference in a disease with a clear unmet medical need currently treated -- treatment concentrated in centers of excellence and specialized neurology groups.
After my opening remarks, we'll move to Dr. Horacio Kaufmann, a highly distinguished leader in movement disorders, who will discuss the substantial unmet need in nOH and MSA patients and review clinical evidence supporting the potential of ampreloxetine. I want to thank Dr. Kaufmann for not only joining us today, but for his many contributions in the field of dysautonomia over the years. After Dr. Kaufmann, Aine Miller, our Head of Development, will walk through the details of our nearly complete Phase III CYPRESS study and then will conclude with Rhonda Farnum, our Chief Business Officer, who will outline the commercial opportunity we see ahead for ampreloxetine.
Before I hand the presentation over to Dr. Kaufmann, I'd like to take a moment to level set for those who are newer to the Theravance story.
Next slide, please. Theravance today is a commercial stage biotech focused on respiratory and neurological disease. Our value drivers begin with the core fundamentals of the company, where we're operating from a position of financial strength. We ended last quarter with $333 million in cash, no debt and achieved cash flow break-even in the third quarter. In addition, we have $175 million in high probability near-term milestones from both TRELEGY and YUPELRI that we expect to be received over the next 14 months.
Complementing the strong financial profile is YUPELRI, our approved product for COPD, which we co-promote with Viatris in the United States. The brand continues to deliver solid growth, including 15% net sales growth in the most recent quarter and importantly, durable cash flow generation supported by patent protection in the U.S. into 2039. This strong base, a robust balance sheet, high probability milestones and a cash-generating commercial asset creates a foundation for the company. And on top of this foundation, we're developing ampreloxetine, which you'll hear much more about today.
We believe ampreloxetine has the potential to make a transformative impact for the 40,000 MSA patients with nOH in the United States and many more outside the U.S., a community with high unmet medical need. And it's with that context, I'm pleased to introduce Dr. Horacio Kaufmann, one of the world's leading experts in movement disorders, who will walk us through the disease and the unmet need in nOH and MSA patients. Dr. Kaufman?
Rick, thank you very much, and good morning, everybody. My name is Horacio Kaufmann, and I'm a Professor of Neurology and Medicine at New York University, and I direct the dysautonomia center. So for the last 40-something years, I've been seeing many of these patients with severe orthostatic hypotension. So we want to switch a little bit the focus, and I will try to tell you a little bit about the physiology of this problem, right? My focus is, as I told you, on the autonomic nervous system and the neurological disorders that affect it. So I want to remind you, I want to start with a comment, remind you that millions of years of evolution made humans stand in 2 feet in the bipedal position vertically.
And while that is very good to see at the distance, it created a big challenge because the brain is above the heart. So with the brain above the heart, getting the blood supply to the brain from the heart has to operate against gravity. So this is a difficult problem. And in order to get the blood to the brain, we require -- humans require a very quick and sophisticated mechanism through the sympathetic nervous system that constricts the blood vessels, increases the pressure and is able to send the blood to the brain. When that doesn't work, we have a terrible problem. What we have is neurogenic, that means the nerves are not working.
Orthostatic means vertical hypotension low blood pressure. Let me have the first slide. So can I have the next slide because I cannot control them here. Thank you. So neurogenic orthostatic hypotension is a sustained fall in blood pressure upon standing up. It's a chronic and disabling condition. It's not just a little bit of dizziness. It is a big problem that affects life and essentially doesn't allow people to stand up. Now this terrible problem is present in a number of neurological conditions, conditions that either affects the central autonomic nerves or the peripheral autonomic nerves, autonomic or sympathetic nerves, and we'll get back to you with that on a minute.
And it's very common, very prevalent in the synucleinopathies. The synucleinopathies work to define a number of neurological diseases that share the accumulation of the protein synuclein. The most common is Parkinson's disease. And in Parkinson's, these are what you see on the right in the slide are numbers from the U.S. Now around 800,000 people in the U.S. with Parkinson's disease have nOH, nOH is the abbreviation of neurogenic orthostatic hypotension. Dementia with Lewy body is another very common around 600,000 with nOH.
And then multiple system atrophy, the one you're going to hear about today with around 40,000 people in the U.S. and of course, many more in the world. Can you go to the next slide, please? Next slide, please. Okay. So let me -- next, let me show you -- I will show you that mechanism I was referring to. Upon standing up, when you go from a lying to a standing position, gravity pulls blood to -- everything goes down, so pulls blood to the lower part of the body. So there's [indiscernible]. There's a quick reflex. There's a quick mechanism that activates these neurons, the ones you see there in yellow, those are like cables, neurons. It first activate neurons in the brain and those neurons continue the stimuli all the way to the blood vessel.
Can I have the next slide, please? Next -- okay. Here you see central and peripheral. Next slide, please. Next. So when that activity occurs and that stimulation occurs, there's release of norepinephrine that's the neurotransmitter of the nerves next. And those -- next slide, please. And those transmitters bind directly to the blood vessel constrict the blood vessel and increase the blood pressure. Next slide, please. So by constricting the blood vessels, imagine this is the same as a hose. If you compress a hose, the pressure inside the hose increases and the water can go further.
By constricting the blood vessels, the pressure increases and the blood can go all the way to the brain. Can we have the next? Next slide. So when this mechanism does not occur, this response fails and the blood pressure falls. Next slide, please. Okay. So this problem, this inability to adjust blood pressure to changes in posture results in hypoperfusion of vital organs incapacitating symptoms, persistent dizziness, inability to stand, walk, perform activities of daily living and can also result in loss of consciousness, falls and is one of the major reasons for patients not being mobile. So it is crucial to recognize this symptom in order to treat it and be able to decrease symptoms.
Can I have the next slide, please. Next. Okay. So what I'm going to show you here, what you see on the left side of the slide is you have 2 tracings, right? On the lower part is the blood pressure, the continuous blood pressure over time. And in the upper part, each of those boxes are the velocity of blood in the brain. That velocity is the equivalent of the blood flow. So you see on the left, with a little figure with the person flat or in bed, the blood pressure is normal, 120 over 85 and the blood supply to the brain is around 55 centimeters per second, the velocity.
When the patient stands up, the pressure falls quite dramatically, you see from 120, 85 drops to 68, 55 and the blood supply to the brain halves from 55 velocity to 28, the patient feels very dizzy, lightheaded and is almost ready to lose consciousness, quickly sits down. And when sitting down, gravity decreases, blood supply increases and symptoms go down, although he still has them. The next slide, please. Okay. So Parkinson's disease, one that you -- a disease that you -- I'm sure you've heard about that is so common is very similar to multiple system atrophy.
They share a number of features. The fact that it occurs in adults, that is neurodegenerative and that the same protein, which is alpha-synuclein deposits. That is the main similarity, but there are also marked and dramatic differences. Next slide. And if you see -- the next slide, please. If you see here on the right side, multiple system atrophy is a rare disease, as opposed to Parkinson's with 40,000, the survival is much lower. It's a rapidly progressive disease.
Frequently, almost from the beginning, 80% or higher of patients with MSA will have severe fall in blood pressure. It starts earlier than Parkinson's disease at younger age, and it has a much more severe clinical motor features. Patients are wheelchair bound in a few years. And the main difference, the crucial difference that I want to call your attention to, and that's what I'm going to show you in the next slide, is that the autonomic pathology, the neurons that are affected in Parkinson's versus MSA in that pathway that I showed you before are not the same. And that is very important. I will show you why. Can I have the next slide?
These were those 3 neurons that I will show you, right? One is central on the left here, one that goes from the central from the spinal cord to the periphery, and this is the peripheral one. Next slide. In Parkinson's disease, it is that peripheral neuron, the one that dies, the ones that degenerate because the main accumulation of the toxic synuclein occurs there, what is shown here in blue or gray. Now in multiple system atrophy, next slide, please. In multiple system atrophy, the -- can I have the next slide, please. Next slide, please. Okay. Next slide. Next -- okay. In multiple system atrophy, can you keep going further? One more. Here.
In multiple system atrophy, it is the central neurons that are affected. The peripheral neuron, the one that connects directly to the blood vessel is spared, is still working properly. So if you focus again here, the central is the affected and the peripheral, the one that release norepinephrine is spared. Now this is very important. I will tell you in a minute why. Can I have the next slide? Next slide, please. Okay. Next, keep going. Next slide. Next. This is -- okay. Here, it's -- what I wanted to -- I mentioned to you before is that 80% of those patients with MSA develop nOH. This is -- this produces big disability and early death.
And despite all the available treatments, there are 2 approved drugs, almost 70% of patients remain symptomatic. Can I have the next slide, please? This is the current landscape. And as you see, both fludocortisone and midodrine and droxidopa, those are the 3 drugs used. Fludocortisone is not approved, it's off-label and is not effective. Midodrine and droxidopa are pressure agents. They require dosing 3 times a day. They carry -- they produce supine hypertension in the blood pressure increases when they are supine and the efficacy beyond 2 weeks has not been proven.
Next slide, please. Next. Okay. So what I want to show you now is how ampreloxetine work, this drug that we believe that not only is effective for MSA, is thought and designed and based on an effect on multiple system atrophy. So what you see, this is the slide I want you to remember. What you see on the upper left corner are those 3 neurons I was mentioning before in yellow. At the center of the slide, you see amplify the connection between the neuron and the blood vessel, that peripheral neuron. Can I have the next slide?
Next, when it's activated, when this mechanism is activated, as you remember, there is release of norepinephrine, the transmitter by the last neuron. That norepinephrine can have the next slide, that norepinephrine binds to a receptor directly in the vessel wall. When it binds to the receptor, it produces vasoconstriction. It reduces the caliber of the blood vessel. Now the effect of norepinephrine, next slide, -- the effect of norepinephrine is ended by a mechanism that takes the norepinephrine back to the neuron that release it. And it does it through a transporter like a car that takes the norepinephrine inside the neuron.
Can I have next slide, please. So the norepinephrine that was used goes back inside the neuron and is reprocessed. That's how it ends the activity. Next slide. Next and is degraded. Next. If we block, if you see that red thing on the transporter, that is what ampreloxetine does. It blocks the reuptake of norepinephrine. Next slide. Next. So by blocking it next, Next, by blocking it, it increases the amount of norepinephrine in that synaptic cleft and produces more vasoconstriction. It maintains the action. Next. So by enhancing the vasoconstriction because it doesn't allow it to leave next slide.
Next slide -- I'm sorry, the previous one. Can you go back? Yes. So as you see, this is uniquely suited for MSA because there is sparing of these peripheral neurons as opposed to other diseases. So this is directly designed for a disease that has the peripheral neurons spare. Next slide. Next. So I'm going to show you very briefly because you hear lately, I'm going to show you the Phase III -- the initial Phase III program evaluating ampreloxetine. This has the SEQUOIA and REDWOOD. The SEQUOIA was a randomized controlled trial, parallel design, ampreloxetine or placebo.
After that, patients rolled over to an open-label period, the REDWOOD for 16 weeks where everybody received ampreloxetine. After that, they entered in a randomized withdrawal, what you see here that lasted 6 weeks. This randomized withdrawal made half the patients continue taking ampreloxetine and the other half to placebo in one-on-one randomization. So what we were looking at, this is only multiple system atrophy patients. What we were looking at was worsening, meaning if patients had improved during the open label during the randomized withdrawal, the ones on placebo should worsen if ampreloxetine is effective. Can we have the next slide?
Okay. So what we use was a questionnaire that defines symptoms. Next, can you move to a few next slides? Okay. As I mentioned to you, there are a number of symptoms on standing like fainting, visual changes, trouble concentrating, fatigue, difficulty walking. All those symptoms and activities are rated with a questionnaire called the orthostatic hypotension questionnaire. Each question is answered by the patient with it has no symptoms, 0, worst possible 10. And it answers about symptoms and also about activities of daily living, like ability to walk. So the higher the score, the worse the patient feels and the lower the score, the best the patient feels.
I have the next slide. Okay. So this is a forest plot. What I'm showing you here are everything that is to the left of the less square mean difference favors ampreloxetine to the right favors placebo. So this shows those scales I was mentioning to you, the OHQ, the orthostatic hypotension questionnaire with composite scores that are all the dizziness vision, weakness, fatigue, trouble concentrating, the addition of that gives you the composite score and the activities gives you the orthostatic hypotension daily activity scores.
I want you to -- as you see, the 3 scores favored ampreloxetine, OHSA and OHQ being significant. And then each of the OHSA items, as you see with little -- only one crosses the midline and they all favor ampreloxetine similar with OHDAS with the exception of walking for a long time. So as you see, the greatest difference was in the 6 items of symptoms, the composite score and most individual items also favor ampreloxetine over placebo. Next, please. Next slide. Okay. So I only have 2 or 3 more slides. Let me show you -- this is the composite score over time. So as you see from week 0 to 16, the open label, there is a progressive improvement.
If you see my arrow there, there's a progressing improvement of symptoms in the open label. Here is the randomized withdrawal. What you see in gray is placebo, what you see in blue is ampreloxetine. As you can see, the patients on placebo, there were 20 patients worsened their OHSA worsened markedly. Can I have the next slide? Okay. That was for the composite score. Then this is the same story with the ability to stand for a short time, as you see during the open label, it improves, that improvement is maintained, even slightly improved during the randomized withdrawal and there is marked worsening in patients taking placebo.
Can I have the next, please? So as you see scale score show symptomatic benefit with improvement in standing that was lost after the ampreloxetine was withdrawal. Next slide, please. Okay. Then let me also show you the results of blood pressure because I showed you symptoms and ability to stay standing. This is also quite interesting as you see there is a mild increase in blood pressure during the standing, where we are showing blood pressure standing. This is the systolic blood pressure. In open label, it goes to a level that make symptoms disappear above the level of auto regulation.
But then here, when the drug is withdrawn, what you see in gray is the blood pressure dropping in standing in patients that received placebo. So I can have the next slide, please. Okay. So this is my last slide, and I want to summarize what I told you, right? So on the left, you have, norepinephrine. [indiscernible]. As you see and as expected here in blue is that after 4 weeks of taking ampreloxetine not circulating norepinephrine increased, whereas in those on placebo, it was either the same or even decreased.
Systolic blood pressure standing and diastolic standing increase and increased significantly in those taking ampreloxetine. On the other hand, and this is a very, very important finding because no other drugs, none of the other 2 drugs that we use for nOH, not only they don't work on MSA, they increase blood pressure supine. And as you see here, the blood pressure supine here, 10-minute supine, systolic and diastolic was not different from placebo. So norepinephrine goes up, systolic blood pressure standing and diastolic standing increases, blood pressure supine does not increase.
And then this is the forest plot with the symptoms that I showed you before showing improvement of symptoms in patients taking ampreloxetine. So in summary, can I have the next slide? Next slide. So in conclusion, this prespecified subgroup analysis only in patients with MSA show that ampreloxetine improves symptoms and blood pressure standing and quality of life. As you are aware, we are conducting a trial only in patients with MSA that is nearing completion where we are convinced if this trial is positive and the drug is approved, ampreloxetine will be the first example of a tailored treatment for nOH in this rare and fatal disease, multiple system atrophy.
Thank you very much, and I'd be glad to answer any questions. Thank you. Aine, I forgot that I was with the slides. The next speaker is Aine, and I'm glad to introduce her. Aine [indiscernible]
Thank you, Dr. Kaufmann, for an excellent presentation. My name is Aine Miller, and I'm the Head of Development at Theravance Biopharma. I'm going to start today with a brief look back at the development history of ampreloxetine. And as Dr. Kaufmann just mentioned, ampreloxetine is a highly selective inhibitor of the norepinephrine transporter or NET, which is located on the presynaptic nerves at the neurovascular junction. And at Theravance, we designed ampreloxetine for strong NET selectivity, high potency and with a long half-life that will enable once-daily dosing.
As you've already heard, nOH is caused by impaired norepinephrine release when a patient stands and in MSA, the deficits result from neurodegeneration, but in the central autonomic pathways. And recognizing this unique pathology, our team realized we may have a molecule capable of achieving the level of NET engagement necessary to boost norepinephrine levels. Support blood pressure and vascular perfusion and ultimately improve symptoms of nOH in these patients.
So following results from an early Phase II study, we advanced into an initial Phase III program that included patients with Parkinson's disease, pure autonomic failure and MSA. And while the overall results across this broad population did not meet the primary endpoint in the REDWOOD study, the prespecified analysis in MSA subjects just reviewed by Dr. Kaufmann was very compelling. And it was these findings that guided the design and initiation of our pivotal Phase III CYPRESS study. So next, I'm going to talk a little bit more about CYPRESS and explain the rationale behind the study design and how the insights from REDWOOD shaped our approach and why we believe the program is significantly derisked from a clinical perspective.
And then finally, I'll go on to cover some of our regulatory preparations, including some of the key interactions that we've had with FDA and how we're planning for an expedited NDA submission should CYPRESS deliver positive results. Next slide. Now let's walk through the key design features of the CYPRESS study and where we -- and how they were informed by the benefit that we observed in the previous REDWOOD study in MSA patients. So firstly, we retained the same randomized withdrawal design used in REDWOOD, and this framework allows us to look directly at the effect of withdrawing treatment after patients have demonstrated a response, which is particularly powerful in a rare disease space like MSA.
And in the REDWOOD study, most patients reached the maximal symptomatic benefit from ampreloxetine around week 12. So with this in mind, we optimized CYPRESS by shortening the open-label period and shifting the enrichment criteria to week 8, while maintaining the same enrichment criteria as previously we used in REDWOOD. This allows us to efficiently identify responders while reducing patient burden and study duration. We also extended the randomized withdrawal period by an additional 2 weeks. The goal here is to maximize the potential treatment difference between ampreloxetine and placebo.
And in REDWOOD, we observed a growing separation over time, and we believe extending the withdrawal phase may give us a better opportunity to capture divergence. And then finally, and most importantly, we selected the OHSA composite score as the primary endpoint. And this composite score reflects the full spectrum of nOH symptoms. And as you've seen in REDWOOD, it was a measure that showed the most compelling benefit in patients with MSA. And we believe it's the most clinically meaningful and most sensitive endpoint for detecting treatment effects in this population.
And finally, the trial was designed based on the assumptions from our previous program to achieve approximately 90% power to detect a clinically meaningful treatment difference. Next slide. So as we discussed on the last slide, CYPRESS was very intentionally designed to replicate and build upon the successes we observed in the REDWOOD study, but in a larger population of patients with MSA. We incorporated key learnings from REDWOOD while maintaining alignment across all key clinical criteria previously we used. And then taken together, these elements significantly strengthen our confidence in the probability of success for CYPRESS.
Equally important was our focus on strong execution, and we've partnered with leading MSA centers of excellence and top academic institutions with deep expertise in managing patients with MSA. Our goal has been to ensure the right patients are enrolled at the right sites and that each patient receives the level of support needed to navigate the study. Consistent with REDWOOD, we're again using an external enrollment committee composed of the same experts. And this committee has reviewed every single patient enrolled in CYPRESS and their continued involvement ensures rigorous application of the enrollment criteria while maintaining the same high standards as REDWOOD.
And then finally, because we're managing the study directly, we can also provide real-time operational oversight, and we've been able to maintain very close engagement with all of our sites. We've also invested in targeted site training, and we've been particularly focused on topics such as patient retention, minimizing variability, and supporting high-quality study conduct throughout the study. Next slide. Now I'd like to walk you through some of the key regulatory interactions we've had with FDA on CYPRESS and also the broader ampreloxetine program.
Over the years, our relationship with the agency has been highly collaborative, and that very much continues to be the case. Back in mid-2022, we had a Type C meeting with senior leadership in the Cardiorenal division to discuss our REDWOOD results and the proposed development plan in MSA. The agency noted at the time that the prespecified analysis in MSA patients from REDWOOD could serve as supportive evidence for a full NDA provided we confirmed ampreloxetine's benefit in one additional Phase III trial using the randomized withdrawal design.
Importantly, FDA also aligned with us in the use of the OHSA composite score as a primary endpoint for this confirmatory study. As part of this interaction and subsequent interactions, the agency also emphasized the importance of establishing the clinical meaningfulness of the OH symptom assessment. And in response, we conducted a full anchor analysis across data from SEQUOIA and REDWOOD to determine how changes in the OHSA composite relates to patients' own impressions of severity of change.
These analysis confirmed that the OHSA composite is an appropriate measure of clinical status and identified that around 1 point change, either improvement or worsening as clinically meaningful in patients. And these findings compare favorably to the 1.6 benefit we observed in the MSA cohort of REDWOOD. If we think about beyond the CYPRESS design, we also engaged extensively with FDA across other components of the ampreloxetine registrational package. We believe we have alignment with the agency on the full scope of requirements for a complete NDA.
And importantly, the vast majority of that work is already complete, and that includes nonclinical pharmacology and toxicology, clinical pharmacology and CMC activities. Next slide. So now I'm going to move on to briefly comment on the clinical safety and tolerability information that we've collected just thus far. In completed studies to date, we've dosed over 800 individuals with ampreloxetine from Phase I through to the end of our initial Phase III program. Importantly, we've had over 200 patients with nOH exposed to ampreloxetine, over 100 exposed for greater than 6 months and 60 for a year or more.
Throughout its development, ampreloxetine has demonstrated an acceptable safety and tolerability profile with low side effect burden, no obvious on or off targets and importantly, no signal for worsening of supine [indiscernible] hypertension. And of course, the safety data from CYPRESS will further supplement this safety database. Next slide. Now as we look ahead to the CYPRESS top line readout in the first quarter of next year, I want to provide an outline of the data that will be included. First, for the study population, we'll report patient disposition through both the open-label and randomized withdrawal phases along with baseline demographics, clinical characteristics and OHQ scores. Second, with regard to efficacy, the top line will include the primary endpoint, the OHSA composite score, along with the secondary ODAS measures and exploratory blood pressure data.
We'll also share a forest plot of that OHQ domain and the longitudinal analysis over the duration of the study. The safety data will include adverse events and serious adverse events from both phases of the study. And then finally, with respect to clinical meaningfulness, we'll highlight the meaningful change thresholds for the OHSA composite score to help interpret the magnitude of effect. So overall, the CYPRESS top line will be a comprehensive data package and will replicate critical elements that supported the benefits seen in MSA patients in the REDWOOD study.
Next slide, please. So now that enrollment in the open-label period of CYPRESS is complete, our focus has shifted to managing the remaining patients through the randomized withdrawal phase, data cleaning and then preparing for the planned analysis in quarter 1 of next year. In parallel, we've already proactively advanced drafting the NDA for ampreloxetine. We're leveraging Theravance's experience from the successful YUPELRI NDA filing and approval as well as my own regulatory background.
Throughout this year, we've been working diligently to order the majority of sections supported by completed work. So that once CYPRESS results are available, we can efficiently integrate data and then move quickly towards submission. And assuming the results are supportive, we'll also intend to request a priority review.
With that, I'm pleased to hand over to Rhonda, who is going to walk you through the exciting commercial opportunity ahead for ampreloxetine. Over to you, Rhonda.
Thanks Aine, I'm Rhonda Farnum. I lead the commercial and medical affairs groups at Theravance Biopharma. And I'd like to finish today's presentation by outlining why ampreloxetine is a highly differentiated opportunity in rare neurology. Next slide. Specifically, I will review the size of our addressable patient population, the high adoption potential and the anticipated pricing dynamics for bringing ampreloxetine to the market. We are targeting an orphan neurology population as there are roughly 40,000 patients in the U.S. Care for MSA patients is concentrated among a few hundred autonomic and movement disorder specialists.
This makes commercial reach possible with a lean, efficient infrastructure and that a large field force is unnecessary. As we heard described earlier, patients today are underdiagnosed, undertreated and are living with a severe daily burden. In our research and discussions with MSA specialists, they consistently indicate that the current treatment options do not deliver durable benefit. And if data from CYPRESS are positive, they view ampreloxetine as a potential breakthrough that could address this long-standing clinical gap. Ampreloxetine is FDA approved, it stands to be the first and only therapy to meaningfully improve symptoms of nOH and MSA beyond 3 to 4 weeks.
And since on average, recent orphan therapies command rare disease pricing, we believe a premium value opportunity in line with other rare neurology launches is possible. In short, this is a classic rare disease model, a focused patient population, a clear unmet need and a compelling market opportunity. And when you combine that with rare disease pricing dynamics, the potential becomes very attractive. So let me further elaborate on each of these points and how they support this opportunity potential. Next slide. Starting with the current treatment landscape. Despite the profound burden of nOH and MSA, there is no approved durable disease-specific therapy today.
Existing treatment options, including midodrine or droxidopa may be used for transient symptom relief. Their effects are short-lived and not validated in MSA. They are not designed to address the underlying autonomic dysfunction that drives nOH in this disease. What we hear from treating physicians and see in our market data is consistent. Current therapies provide inconsistent benefit and only 1/3 of MSA patients are actually receiving therapy.
For the majority of patients treated, about half received midodrine, 1/3 received fludocortisone and about 10% received droxidopa in addition to some off-label therapy use. Finally, many patients become refractory or intolerant over time. And as you heard referenced by Dr. Kaufmann, data indicate about 70% of MSA patients remain symptomatic even after receiving these therapies. Contrasting the current landscape with ampreloxetine's potential target product profile, which you see depicted here on the left-hand side of the slide, one can appreciate that ampreloxetine could provide not only a meaningful durability benefit, but also broad symptom relief, require only once-a-day single pill dosing and offer a potentially reduced risk of worsening supine hypertension.
We see ampreloxetine as addressing an unmet need, not as competing in a crowded therapeutic space. Next slide. Having examined today's treatment gaps, let's consider how physicians view the potential of a therapy with ampreloxetine's target product profile for their patients. We've conducted market research with 200 board-certified specialists, all actively treating MSA patients with symptomatic nOH and asking 2 key questions. First, how strongly do you agree that there is a significant unmet need for better nOH treatments in MSA?
And second, assuming a product with ampreloxetine's target product profile was fully approved with coverage similar to current therapies, how likely would you be to prescribe it? 71% of neurologists and 62% of cardiologists strongly agree that there is a significant unmet need for better treatment options. And when asked about the likelihood of prescribing, the majority of physicians had a favorable view of ampreloxetine's blinded target product profile with 90% of neurologists and 80% of cardiologists indicating they are likely to prescribe such a product if available. Physicians are ready -- are already signaling readiness to adopt a new option. This tells us that the clinical problem is well recognized and the demand for a new solution is already there.
When we further explore what drives that prescribing intention, 3 consistent themes emerge, starting with durability of effect. Physicians are looking for a sustained benefit over time, not short-acting symptom relief, followed by ease of use. Once-daily oral dosing would fit seamlessly into clinical practice and into patients and caregivers lives. And equally important, safety and tolerability, a therapy that improves symptoms without adding risk of supine hypertension is highly valued. So while physician enthusiasm is essential for early uptake, successful adoption also depends on the perspective of another critical stakeholder, the payers.
Next slide. As part of our launch preparation, we have conducted blinded interviews with both national and regional payers, including commercial and importantly, Medicare organizations, which are expected to represent the majority of our payer mix. During our early payer research, after seeing the ampreloxetine target product profile and reviewing a brief backgrounder on the disease state, we ask payers to rank their perceptions across 3 key dimensions: disease burden, unmet need and economic impact in which we saw consistent scores on the upper end of a 7-point scale for all 3.
Given the impact on quality of life and risk of complications, payers recognize the high disease burden in nOH due to MSA. These payers also consider nOH due to MSA a high-cost condition that results in falls, hospitalizations and a loss of independence, and they express interest in a novel symptomatic agent that can reduce these events and disability, associated costs and improve outcomes. So with both physicians and payers aligned on need and value, let's focus on the size of the opportunity and how efficiently we believe we can reach it.
Next slide. As I highlighted earlier, in the U.S., approximately 40,000 patients are living with MSA and symptomatic nOH. This figure is supported by detailed claim analyses across multiple data sources and are validated by external coding experts and leading academic institutions such as UCSD and the NIH. We have also gleaned from our data that MSA care is managed primarily within a distinct number of autonomic and movement disorder centers, large neurology practices and academic hospitals. This concentration will allow us to reach the vast majority of treatable patients and their care teams through a highly focused lean commercial footprint, making this a high-impact capital-efficient opportunity to execute.
Next slide. To outline our launch strategy, our plan is focused, efficient and aiming to rapidly establish ampreloxetine as the new standard of care, if approved. And to enable the path to early launch success, we've also studied successful rare disease launches closely to incorporate their learnings and insights into our plan, particularly those in chronic neurology. And the playbook is quite consistent. First, centers of excellence or COEs are the epicenter of adoption. The experience of multidisciplinary teams within these institutions will play a critical role in educating the broader group of MSA treaters.
From experience, we know that peer-to-peer influence accelerates uptake. When respected clinicians see meaningful patient outcomes and share those experiences, practice patterns can change quickly. That's why our strategy is to invest early in opinion leader engagement and peer-to-peer education, ensuring that the physicians within the COEs and who have participated in our ampreloxetine clinical development program become early adopters and advocates for ampreloxetine. As shown earlier, we have already initiated permitted dialogue with payers because we know that early engagement will aid in preventing access friction.
And by engaging earlier, we aim to minimize time to coverage post approval. And finally, as in many therapeutic areas, patient advocacy drives awareness and education and serves as a trusted educational hub for both patients and clinicians. We know that patients and caregivers, particularly in rare disease communities are highly connected, informed and engaged, and they need dedicated support, which can include financial assistance programs, nursing support and disease education.
Our ongoing collaboration with MSA advocacy groups will ensure that these patients and caregivers are aware of diagnosis pathways, trial outcomes and availability following launch. From these insights, we've built ampreloxetine's launch strategy centering on 3 strategic priorities, reflecting on what works in successful rare disease launches, starting with driving urgency among specialists to improve outcomes in nOH due to MSA. Second, establishing the value of ampreloxetine as the only therapy studied and explicitly approved for this indication and equally important, creating a seamless and positive customer experience from diagnosis to access to adherence, which will include high-touch patient support programs.
Next slide. Turning to launch execution. Our approach is designed for precision and influence rather than scale. Let me start with the map you see here. This illustrates the geographic concentration of care for MSA-related and nOH. Through our claims data evaluation, we've identified 550 high-volume neurology accounts across the U.S. and within them, about 90 prescribers, a relatively small number of specialists, primarily autonomic and movement disorder specialists who treat the majority of MSA patients. Many of these physicians are located at the 40 COEs recognized by the leading MSA advocacy groups.
And we plan to build on the strong relationships within our 26 U.S. clinical trial sites within these COEs, which already have an established foundation through the CYPRESS study network and ongoing investigator interactions. What this tells us is that the prescribing universe is highly concentrated and influence-driven. We will plan to target these high-volume accounts with a lean specialized field team, individuals who understand complex neurology, patient support and payer dynamics, all of which will be supported by investment in targeted digital engagement.
Initially for launch, this isn't about scale. It's about the data, the depth of understanding of customer needs and the precision of targeted efforts. Next slide. So turning to the next critical question, what kind of value can a therapy like ampreloxetine command in this market. Looking at how pricing has evolved across the rare disease landscape over the last several years, we see the average annual wholesale acquisition cost per patient per year was approximately $300,000, driven by the combination of small patient numbers, severe disease burden and limited alternatives.
Given ampreloxetine's differentiated mechanism, its potential to become the first and only durable therapy for nOH and MSA and the high unmet clinical and economic burden we've discussed, our pricing expectations are consistent with these established precedents in rare neurology. Furthermore, as seen with recent launches, orphan drug policies have supported a higher willingness to pay threshold in small high-severity populations. Though we are still finalizing our pricing strategy, we anticipate our pricing expectations will align squarely within current norms.
Next slide. So the opportunity actually extends well beyond the U.S. with a sizable ex-U.S. opportunity we plan to pursue through partnership. As you can see here, there is meaningful potential across Europe and Asia, driven by similar factors that make the U.S. opportunity so compelling. The market fundamentals in these regions mirror those in the U.S., a rare high-burden condition with limited treatment options and concentrated care among a relatively small group of specialists. Taken together, these conditions create a receptive market environment and a path to early adoption once efficacy is confirmed.
Importantly, our CYPRESS study includes European study sites, giving us established relationships with key opinion leaders, MSA, COEs and patient advocacy groups across the European market. This advocacy support will be instrumental in accelerating physician awareness and patient identification, which creates a natural bridge to future regulatory and commercial engagement. To my next and final slide. So step back to where I started. I hope that you can see that the components of this opportunity come together in a strategically differentiated way, a concentrated accessible treatment landscape with a well-defined urgent medical and unmet need, a focused, efficient commercial model and a rare disease economic structure that supports innovation where it is most needed.
Most importantly, if approved, ampreloxetine has the potential to provide meaningful benefits to patients living with the daily burden of nOH due to MSA. And taken together, these elements position the commercialization of ampreloxetine to potentially deliver measurable clinical impact while establishing a scalable and sustainable value creation opportunity for the health care system and our investors.
So with that, I will turn the presentation back over to Rick to close. Rick?
Thanks, Rhonda. In closing today's discussion, it reinforces why we believe ampreloxetine represents a truly compelling potential treatment for patients. We're operating in a rare disease neurology market where the commercial potential for a therapy that delivers real durable benefit can be significant. We have a de-risked Phase III program built with FDA alignment and informed directly with what we have learned in our prior Phase III study. That gives us confidence heading into the CYPRESS readout. And if the data are positive, we believe ampreloxetine has a clear path to becoming standard of care for symptomatic nOH and MSA patients, where the unmet medical need is high and the treatment options are extremely limited.
Importantly, this is a market where a lean, highly targeted commercial model can be effective, given the concentration of treating physicians and centers of excellence. And beyond the U.S., the ex-U.S. opportunity, as Rhonda noted, is meaningful with sizable patient populations across Europe and Asia. All of this comes together at a moment when our catalyst is directly ahead of us, Phase III data in the first quarter of 2026. We're excited, we're prepared, and we believe ampreloxetine has the potential to transform care for a community that's gone far too long without a targeted treatment option.
And with that, I'll open it up for questions.
Great. Thank you, Rick. So before we go to audience questions, we'd like to ask Dr. Kaufmann one. So can you talk about the competitive landscape a little bit more and how you would intend to use ampreloxetine if the data is positive? And how many of your patients would you put on it if the study is positive?
Sure -- you want me to answer now or...
Yes, please.
Okay. I can tell you that, as you say, I will be a no-brainer because this is the -- ampreloxetine will be the only drug that is specifically targeting multiple system atrophy as opposed to, let's say, Parkinson's, dementia with Lewy body or even pure autonomic failure. The type of pathology that MSA has indicates that ampreloxetine is targeted and almost designed for this disease. So what is the landscape? The landscape is fludocortisone, which doesn't -- is not approved for this, is still used widely. Acutely, it works chronically is a disaster because it produces supine hypertension and then the complications of renal and cardiac fibrosis, we already know that as a chronic treatment is a problem.
Droxidopa, which is a very interesting drug was not in the analysis per disease, it was not effective in multiple system atrophy, you got approved with the effect on all of them, but on the strength in Parkinson's in multiple system atrophy is not effective. And midodrine has similar limitation and all of them require 3 times a day dosing. So -- but aside from the dosing, which is a problem, but to me, it's not such a big deal, the supine hypertension and the efficacy only for MSA, I think makes ampreloxetine if the trial is positive, I think it is the #1 drug and that everybody will use it for MSA. Every neurologist will use it for MSA. I don't know if I answered your question, I don't see the audience. So I'm a little...
Yes, that was great, Dr. Kaufmann. Yes. So at this time, we are going to take questions from the audience. [Operator Instructions] So our first question comes from Mayank Mamtani at B. Riley.
2. Question Answer
I appreciate all the detail provided today. First for Dr. Kaufmann. In REDWOOD, we see a 1.6 point improvement on the HSA composite, as you highlighted and in CYPRESS, there's a target 1 point change. If you could maybe talk to subcomponents that you highlighted in forest plot that tend to have maybe more variability than less and perhaps less plausibility with the NET inhibition mechanism.
I didn't get exactly your question. You only do...
In the forest plot in the different subcomponents that you have in the forest plot within OHSA, I was just curious, are there subcomponents that have more variability than less in general as you assess these evaluation metrics? And then with the NET inhibition mechanism specifically, is there short versus long-standing, for example, like is there a possibility of certain metrics that is more related to the mechanism versus not, if you could talk to that?
Okay. First, interestingly, the main improvement and as you saw in the forest plot was with the symptoms, with the composite of the symptoms, the OHSA, meaning orthostatic hypotension symptom assessment. It was also very significant with the OHQ. The only one that wasn't as favorable as all the others was walking for a long time, which is understandable also because walking for a long time, it also involves motor problems. So walking for a short time and the lack of symptoms were clearly favored, and we see that in the open label, right? In the open label, and I can tell you what I see in my patients is that the symptoms improve.
I mean, patients do not want to stop taking the drug, right, and the symptoms improve. So I'm pretty confident that the effect appears to be there. Regarding long-term effect, look, all drugs are -- have been approved only for 2 weeks. The duration of the ampreloxetine trial is quite longer, right? I mean the open label gives us 4 months and the effect is persistent. And I think it continues more, right? Am I answering -- is this -- was this your question, Mayank?
Yes. Yes. That durability comment was helpful. And then maybe for the company, on the CYPRESS execution details to the extent you're able to share, would love to hear what proportion of patients have progressed from the initial open label to the randomized withdrawal section? Were there any differences versus REDWOOD? And I guess a commercial question, how does the initial screening rate in CYPRESS provide insight into both the sort of the epidemiology of MSA, nOH and kind of the diagnosis trends that you're seeing that can inform commercial uptake?
Yes. I'll address the first question. but Mayank, what we're seeing, by and large, with CYPRESS is the same type of experience that we have with REDWOOD with regard to patients. Obviously, what we're executing here is a clinical trial over a specific duration, which is in measuring the impact of the study of the medicine at specific times within the study. So it's very different than what you'll see in the real world. And that the methods that we've used are really meant to measure the effect of ampreloxetine in this particular patient population over a specific period of time. And I think what -- back to the initial comment and what we've seen to date in CYPRESS is by and large, what we've seen in the REDWOOD study. Aine, anything to add there?
No, I think you've covered it. I mean I think we're just seeing a consistent pattern across both studies.
And remember, again, Mayank, the open label is 16 weeks, right? Which is pretty long, 7 weeks of the withdrawal. And the ones that continue on ampreloxetine maintain that effect. So here, you have 20-something weeks that no other drug show that.
Yes. So yes, [indiscernible] comment, if you look it's 12 weeks plus 8 in the REDWOOD or in the CYPRESS study, and you've got 16 weeks in the earlier study plus 6. So it's a long duration study, and then we've had almost everyone roll over to the long-term extension study that following the conclusion of the randomized withdrawal. So we've got -- in this study in both studies, REDWOOD and CYPRES, we've kept -- been able to keep patients on study for quite a long period of time.
And then on the commercial question, any learnings from the trial that inform the epidemiology or diagnosis trends that might be changing?
Well, I'll kick off and then I'll turn it over to Rhonda. I think critical for us is we focused the trial on centers of excellence throughout both the United States as well as Europe. And that was so that we could have the -- really the best treaters and the people with the most knowledge of the disease in executing the study, but also to build relationships with these centers of excellence, learn everything that we can from them about the market and what we need to address. So I think this has been very important to building a commercial knowledge at baseline. Rhonda?
Yes. So I think what's important is to appreciate that we have done considerable work to validate the 40,000 patient at the view of the nOH patient population. So really feeling quite clear on what our addressable patient pool looks like. That data are based off of multiple refreshes of claims analyses and requires a diagnosis claim of the G90.3 or the G23.2, ICD-9 Codes or ICD-10 Codes. And then that's followed by a treatment or drug claim. So we feel quite confident in that really substantiating the addressable pool.
What we need to better understand and doing further work beyond that 40,000 is how many more patients out there perhaps are either undiagnosed or underdiagnosed, and we're currently working with opinion leaders to conduct a study to better understand what that pool looks like. But I think looking at how stringent the executive steering committee and rigor behind the study enrollment, I don't see that there's any conflict or misalignment of information of where these patients are and how many there are.
Our next question comes from Debanjana Chatterjee at JonesTrading.
Congrats on the excellent presentation. So I have a couple. The first one is regarding the potential for off-label use. Given the like high unmet need in neurogenic orthostatic hypotension,, do you see any potential for off-label use of ampreloxetine in broader population beyond MSA?
I mean, I think just I'll make a quick comment and then turn it over to Dr. Kaufmann as he runs a major group at NYU. So obviously, our promotional effort will be consistent with the label, which is MSA. I think physicians that's -- those are the messages that we'll take to physicians. And Dr. Kaufmann may be better able to answer sort of how the medical community might react.
Look, it's a great question, Chatterjee. I mean, I can tell you my impression. This is not a scientific answer. My impression is that, yes, yes, that with a drug that is so safe once a day and that proves efficacy in one type of disease is likely that it could be used off label. But as Rick says, the only thing we can do me as a physician and them as a company is to focus on multiple system atrophy. Perhaps -- and here, I'm getting ahead of myself. Perhaps a widespread off-label use would teach us that the drug may be effective on other, which is what happened. But that's -- it is sort of another issue. It's a separate discussion, right?
And do you see any potential for payers implementing step edits if ampreloxetine is approved and commercially available given its premium price?
Rhonda?
Yes. Thanks, Deb, for that question, and we're very focused in that arena. I would anticipate that some payers, and I'm qualifying that, some payers may require step edits through current existing standard of care that as standard of care changes. And as I mentioned earlier, we would anticipate ampreloxetine to become a new standard of care once approved. We would see that evolve over time. Nonetheless, we will ensure that they being clinicians and patients have very robust support programs to aid with any prior authorization, letters of medical necessity. A process will be in place to ensure this is not an access barrier.
And other last one, what gross to net discount assumptions are you modeling for ampreloxetine at launch? And what factors like [indiscernible] like drives these estimates?
Yes. I think we'll probably keep gross to net assumptions to a little bit closer to launch, but Rhonda, do you want to comment on anything else?
Yes, it's a little too early, Deb, to provide that guidance as we get closer and closer to finalizing our pricing, that will be a part of the communication that we'll share at future forums.
Our next question comes from Andrew Kassin at BTIG.
Just a quick question on the OHSA composite score. Could you put the MCID for this composite score in context for us? Do you expect payers are aligned on the expectation for efficacy considering no other safe alternatives exist?
I don't know if it's to me, Andrew, but yes, I think the FDA has taken the OHQ as the parameter, either the item 1 or the OHSA as the main parameter for approval for the previous drugs. So rather than the blood pressure, they want these questionnaires.
Yes. And so -- and just to add to Dr. Kaufmann's comments, obviously, we've now published on the clinically meaningful of a 1-point change in the OHSA composite score. So there is quite a bit of support for a 1-point change being clinically meaningful in the treatment of the condition.
And then just one more on the commercial side. I know we -- you discussed the centers of excellence as a focus. What percentage of patients or proportion of patients would be treated by community neurologists that could be available?
I would still say when I want to make sure we're aligned on when we say community neurologists, there are still specialists within the neurology specialty. So taking that qualification, I would expect about 80% of our targets are in that realm and the 20% are in the COEs or academia.
Our next question comes from Douglas Tsao at H.C. Wainwright.
Just as -- just trying to understand Dr. Kaufmann. Obviously, ampreloxetine is aimed to treat one aspect of the disease in terms of the nOH. But obviously, these patients have been significantly impacted. Can you just talk about the potential to more broadly impact the patient's well-being and their overall sort of conditioning or sort of ability to -- an overall mobility?
Look, Douglas, it's a very important comment, the one you make. And I tell you, MSA, and this is -- these are the patients I see. And although it's a rare disease, it's not rare for me at all because we see a huge -- well, not huge, but a large amount of these patients. In the first -- mortality is high and the disease is rapidly progressive. Now the first 2, 3, 4 years, many times, most of the times, the main limitation for activities of daily living and being able to function properly is this terrible fall in blood pressure that prevents people from standing up. Now the problem of not being able to stand up and walk is a big deal because it starts a Catch-22, a vicious cycle. People cannot stand up. They get deconditioned physically. So the orthostatic hypotension worsens even more.
And then they are completely unable to stand up and move. The in people whose Parkinsonism, meaning the motor problems are very mild or the cerebellar problems are very mild in the first few years. So the importance of realizing that the fall in blood pressure is the main determinant of the disability and immobility and makes things worse is crucial. And by treating that, you can block the vicious cycle and give people a few years of much more functional ability, their quality of life improves dramatically. More so, there are a number of disease-modifying treatments, and it's likely -- and they work on -- or they may work on the motor. So still the treatment of nOH is crucial in these patients.
And so just along as a follow-up. When you think about potential for some disease-modifying therapies that are in development, your perspective would be that they are likely not to address the nOH symptoms and there would continue to likely be still a need for ampreloxetine?
Exactly. Because suppose -- and again, all these are suppositions, Douglas. But suppose that one of the disease-modifying treatments actually slows motor progression but let's say, 10%, 20%. Well, there will be longer time in which the main limiting factor, which is the falling blood pressure should be treated. And if we have something effective for what prevents people from moving, we are getting a big factor out of the equation. Again, in the first few years is the fall in blood pressure that prevents people from doing things, affected patients from doing things.
So our next question comes from Trevor Allred at Oppenheimer.
My first question is for Dr. Kaufmann and it kind of goes along the same line as Doug's question. Can you expound a bit on how, say, a 1- to 2-point OHSA improvement correlates to clinical benefit? What's the change in the patient's daily experience?
Horacio, I think that's direct...
No, no, sure. It got disconnected. I was -- okay. I'm sorry, I reconnected. You were asking me because I got started that it got disconnected, in which way a 1 point change in the OHSA correlates functionally. Was that your question?
Yes, essentially, like how a 1- to 2-point improvement correlates to the daily patient experience?
Okay. Very good. I mean, very important question, and that's what regulators want to know. To answer that is that we did the study that was referred to, and I'll be happy to send it to you, which is the anchoring of the scale. So based on all the previous studies, independent of the treatment, we correlated a change in OHSA with a change in patient global impression. And there is for each 1 point little difference in the OHSA, there's an improvement in the patient global impression of severity.
So in a different scale, 1 point reduction in the OHSA translate in a significant patient recognition of being better. And I'll be happy, Trevor, to send you that paper that was just published.
Yes, that would be great. And I guess a follow-up question for maybe the broader company or Dr. Kaufmann as well. Can you discuss some of the results we've seen in studies with ampreloxetine and how ampreloxetine compares to [indiscernible] as well?
Yes, happy to answer that. It's a very different drug. It's a different drug because of the pharmacokinetics are very different and the pharmacodynamics also, the binding to the receptor is different. On the other hand, the study that was published that we did was with the pediatric dose, right? So the dose was very low. But aside from the dose being low, the drug is significantly different. I mean they share some of the norepinephrine transporter inhibition, but the binding and the troughs are completely different. We were puzzled by that, but they were very different.
Yes. Just to add to that, and this was really work Theravance did in the selection of the 10-milligram dose for nOH is that to stay away really from effect on serotonin because increasing serotonin may have a negative effect on patient -- in patient symptoms and which is why 10 milligrams of ampreloxetine was chosen to really isolate the effect on -- of the medicine on norepinephrine solely so that it wasn't potentially negatively affected by any effect on serotonin.
So our final question comes from Ellen Horste at TD Cowen.
Super helpful in helping us frame expectations and understanding the launch a little bit better. I guess if I could just ask a question that's a little more launch focused. I'm wondering, assuming the trial hits, assuming approval, I understand this should be modeled kind of like a rare disease launch, but do you have any expectation that there should be a bolus of patients? Is there kind of a pent-up demand leading up to the approval based on the concentration of physicians and patients? Just wondering kind of how we can get more granular on modeling this launch.
Rhonda, do you want to take that?
Yes. Thanks, Ellen, for the question. Obviously, we're certainly very focused on understanding the patient pool. As I've outlined, we know that there are existing and patients that are receiving treatment today, given those 40,000 patients are validated by both a diagnosis code and a treatment code. But then also, we know there beyond those patients are patients that are not receiving treatment. As I mentioned earlier, only about 1/3 of patients are receiving treatment. So coupling that with where we see intent to prescribe when we define and outline the example of the blinded target product profile and see those scores unlikely and very likely to prescribe the intention to prescribe and knowing that these individuals have patients, I think, is quite high to ensure that there is a bolus of patients ready.
Ellen, let me just throw once a day and in patients that are not happy with the treatment, there will be a big pent-up demand. I have no doubt on that. If the trial is effective, everybody will ask for the drug.
Great. Thanks for the questions, Ellen. So this concludes our Q&A session. I'll turn it back to Rick for some quick closing remarks.
I'd like to thank all the presenters, thank Dr. Kaufmann in particular, for his time and his work in the field of dysautonomia and the contributions to health care in general. Thank all of you, the listeners for joining us today. As I said, we're very excited about the upcoming the CYPRESS data in the first quarter of 2026 and look forward to sharing it with you just as soon as we get it. And so have a great day and a good holiday season. Please take care.
Theravance Biopharma Inc — Special Call - Theravance Biopharma, Inc.
Theravance Biopharma Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Ladies and gentlemen, good afternoon. I'd like to welcome everyone to the Theravance Biopharma Third Quarter 2025 Conference Call.
[Operator Instructions]
Also, today's conference call is being recorded. And now I'd like to turn the call over to Rick Winningham, Chief Executive Officer. Please go ahead, sir.
Good afternoon, and welcome to Theravance Biopharma's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Results Conference Call.
On Slide 2, you'll find our forward-looking statements disclaimer, which covers certain risk factors, which could cause actual results to differ materially from any forward-looking statements we might make in today's call and which are described further in our filings with the SEC.
Moving to Slide 3. I'm joined today by Rhonda Farnum, Chief Business Officer; Aine Miller, Head of Development; and Aziz Sawaf, Chief Financial Officer.
Turning to Slide 4. Theravance delivered strong results in the third quarter, reflecting continued execution across the business and notable progress toward our strategic objectives.
We achieved several key accomplishments, including solid YUPELRI net sales growth and record brand profitability, leading to the achievement of non-GAAP breakeven, underscoring the strength of our business model and commitment to financial discipline.
In parallel, we continue to advance the pivotal Phase III CYPRESS trial of ampreloxetine towards a data readout in early 2026, a milestone we believe could represent a material value inflection point for the company.
Starting with our commercial business, YUPELRI. Our durable cash-generating asset continues to deliver strong results. Net sales and importantly, profitability for the quarter reached all-time highs, driven by continued demand growth and favorable net pricing.
This performance puts YUPELRI year-to-date sales on track to trigger a $25 million milestone from Viatris.
With ampreloxetine, we are excited as we approach a critical moment for Theravance. We remain on track to deliver top line results from the pivotal Phase III CYPRESS study in the first quarter of 2026.
We believe this readout has the potential to be transformational for both patients and the company as we hope ampreloxetine will become the first precision therapy for symptomatic neurogenic orthostatic hypotension in patients with multiple system atrophy, a rare debilitating disease.
In preparation for the data, we will host a KOL event for investors on December 8 to highlight the significant unmet medical need of these patients and how ampreloxetine aims to address it.
We ended the quarter with approximately $333 million in cash and no debt. And importantly, we remain on track to achieve near-term milestones totaling $75 million in the fourth quarter, $50 million for TRELEGY and $25 million for YUPELRI.
In addition, the strong growth demand trends -- strong growth trends for TRELEGY bode well for the achievement of the $100 million milestone in 2026. Lastly, in October, we launched a new disease education campaign for health care professionals to raise awareness and deepen scientific understanding of nOH associated with MSA.
This initiative reflects our continued commitment to the MSA community and to advancing education on the complex mechanisms underlying nOH and MSA. Theravance today stands on a foundation of financial strength with significant upside opportunity, anchored by a robust balance sheet, continued cash generation from YUPELRI and highly probable near-term milestone payments.
We entered the final quarter of 2025 with confidence and growing excitement for the rapidly approaching transformational potential of the CYPRESS data readout.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Rhonda to provide additional detail on YUPELRI's performance. Rhonda?
Thanks, Rick. If you turn to Slide 6, you'll see that the Theravance Viatris commercial partnership delivered a record quarter for YUPELRI.
Third quarter net sales increased 15% year-over-year to $71.4 million. This was driven by 2 main factors: First, strong demand growth, up 6% year-over-year versus Q3 of 2024; and second, continued net price improvement due to a more favorable channel mix, which is the result of close collaboration with our partners at Viatris as exemplified by effective field sales execution with a focus on fulfillment optimization efforts.
Importantly, following these results, only $54 million of net sales are required in the fourth quarter for us to achieve the $250 million calendar-year sales threshold, required to trigger a $25 million milestone payment from Viatris.
Turning to Slide 7. In addition to our solid net sales growth, YUPELRI continued to experience expanding profit margins, reaching record levels and positive momentum across both hospital and community outpatient channels.
The hospital channel continues to be a key driver of prescribing with hospital volume increasing 29% versus Q3 of 2024, illustrating our team's sustained success in securing formulary wins and implementing therapeutic interchange protocols.
This quarter, YUPELRI share in the long-acting nebulized hospital market reached a new launch to date high of approximately 21%.
Moving forward, our goal is to continue to secure institutional access and further expand the hospital channel as a foundational component of our brand strategy, functioning as a critical entry point for transitioning patients to community outpatient maintenance therapy.
Beyond the encouraging growth trends in Q3 with net sales demand and hospital volume, YUPELRI is positioned for continued expansion with a sizable addressable population remaining in the U.S.
Our aligned strategies with Viatris continue to deliver strong results, specifically the adoption of concomitant use with LABA therapies and switches from handheld-only regimens as well as further diversification of product fulfillment.
We were also excited to share 2 analyses presented at the recent 2025 CHEST meeting. First, we presented new post-hoc analyses from a Phase III safety study showing that patients treated with YUPELRI experienced a lower incidence and severity of moderate to severe exacerbations compared to those taking tiotropium.
The second presentation was a new retrospective cohort study of claims data, which demonstrated that following hospital discharge, patients adherent to YUPELRI, experienced significantly fewer and less severe exacerbations and lower health system costs than nonadherent patients.
These findings reinforce YUPELRI's differentiated clinical profile and highlight its potential to improve both clinical and economic outcomes for appropriate COPD patients, further reinforcing the scientific foundation of YUPELRI.
In summary, YUPELRI's profit margin continues to expand, supported by disciplined execution and patent protection in the U.S. into 2039. As a result, we are confident that YUPELRI will continue to deliver long-term sustainable value for Theravance and its shareholders.
With that, I'll turn the call over to Aine to provide an update on the ampreloxetine development program. Aine?
Thanks, Rhonda. Turning to Slide 9. Before providing an update on the CYPRESS study, I'd like to highlight some recent ampreloxetine publications and presentations.
First, we submitted a manuscript detailing the results of the prior Phase III REDWOOD study in the MSA subgroup, where ampreloxetine demonstrated durable improvement in symptoms of nOH.
I will take the opportunity to provide a quick recap of this data shortly as it reinforces our confidence in ampreloxetine's mechanism of action and its potential to deliver meaningful benefit to patients with MSA, a community that remains underserved by current treatment options.
A preprint version of this manuscript has been posted online to medRxiv. Second, a publication establishing the minimally clinically important difference for the orthostatic hypotension questionnaire was published in a peer-reviewed journal, Clinical Autonomic Research, an important tool to support interpretation of clinical benefit as we head into the Phase III CYPRESS readout.
Additionally, we had a strong presence at the recent International Symposium of Autonomic Nervous System organized by the American Autonomic Society or AAS, where we had 1 platform presentation and 3 posters.
The platform presentation highlighted the results from the prior Phase III REDWOOD study in the MSA subgroup analysis, along with a poster reviewing the impact of ampreloxetine on supine hypertension in the Phase III SEQUOIA study, which showed no worsening of supine hypertension, an important potential differentiator for the product.
The 2 other poster presentations detail the rigorous recruitment and retention methodologies used to address challenges in conducting a trial in rare disease with severely ill patients.
By applying these insights to the CYPRESS study, we were well positioned to successfully address the executional challenges associated with clinical studies in rare and severe neurodegenerative diseases.
As I mentioned earlier, I'd like to recap the results from the subgroup analysis of patients with MSA from the REDWOOD study shown here on Slide 10.
The top graph shows the standing systolic blood pressure throughout the REDWOOD trial, where a pressure effect was observed in the open-label phase of the trial with blood pressure at 3 minutes of standing increasing compared to baseline.
At the end of the randomized withdrawal compared to the open label, blood pressure at 3 minutes of standing dropped in the group withdrawn to placebo while remaining stable in patients that stayed on ampreloxetine.
This increase in standing blood pressure observed with ampreloxetine translated to a meaningful impact on patient symptoms and daily activities.
However, the benefit seen in symptoms and short-term daily living activities shown in the 2 bottom graphs were only maintained in patients who remained on ampreloxetine in the randomized withdrawal portion, but worsened in those withdrawn to placebo.
Moving to Slide 11. We continue to make strong progress towards our pivotal Phase III CYPRESS readout. At this stage, the open-label portion of the study is now complete and a small subset of patients are now completing the randomized withdrawal portion, an important step towards completion of the trial.
The team continues to demonstrate excellent operational execution, and we are highly encouraged by the level of engagement across our study sites and the broader MSA community.
We remain on track to deliver top line results in the first quarter of 2026, and we view this as a significant milestone for Theravance as we advance our efforts to bring ampreloxetine to patients with MSA-related nOH.
We've also made substantial progress on NDA preparation, particularly across the nonclinical, CMC and clinical pharmacology components of the application.
Much of this work has already been completed, positioning us to incorporate the CYPRESS data quickly once available and move efficiently towards an expedited NDA submission should the results be positive. We also intend to request priority review if the data are supportive.
Lastly, in preparation for the upcoming readout, we will host a virtual KOL event for investors on December 8, which will feature Dr. Horacio Kaufmann, Professor and Director of the Dysautonomia Center at NYU, one of the world's leading experts in autonomic disorders.
During this event, Dr. Kaufmann will provide an overview of the unmet need for patients with MSA-related nOH and will highlight why we believe ampreloxetine is uniquely positioned to address this rare and debilitating condition.
In addition, we will review the ongoing CYPRESS study and outline the commercial opportunity for ampreloxetine as a potential new treatment option. We are excited and well prepared as we approach the CYPRESS data readout in the first quarter of 2026. With that, I'll turn the call over to Aziz to walk you through the financials. Aziz?
Thanks, Aine. Turning to Slide 13, I'll start with an update on our TRELEGY milestones.
GSK reported $1 billion in sales for the quarter, ahead of consensus and $2.9 billion year-to-date. Given the $3.4 billion threshold required to trigger the $50 million milestone in 2025, we need only $470 million in Q4 sales to hit this milestone, which is roughly 50% below the current run rate.
Looking ahead, the $100 million milestone in 2026 is also well within reach with a $3.5 billion sales requirement, a level that both current run rate and consensus comfortably exceed.
With TRELEGY continuing to post strong above-expectation performance, we have clear visibility into achieving these milestones, which together represent $150 million in expected cash inflow over the next 15 months, further strengthening our financial position.
Turning to Slide 17, I'll summarize our Q3 financial performance, where we delivered another strong quarter.
Collaboration revenue increased to $20 million, up 19% year-over-year, reflecting YUPELRI's strong operating leverage, which drove record brand level profitability. Operating expenses, excluding share-based comp, were $22 million as R&D costs began to decline following completion of CYPRESS enrollment while we progress towards data readout in the first quarter of next year.
Share-based comp decreased 8% year-over-year, reflecting continued cost discipline. Our GAAP net income was positive in the quarter, aided by a nonrecurring benefit due to a favorable true-up related to taxes from the TRELEGY royalty sale in Q2.
However, driven by YUPELRI's profit contribution and continued expense discipline, we also achieved non-GAAP profit breakeven in the quarter. Given that this metric excludes onetime items such as the income tax benefit, it more accurately reflects the underlying performance of our operations. We ended the quarter with $333 million of cash and no debt.
Lastly, turning to Slide 18, I'll cover our 2025 financial guidance. First, we are reiterating all expense guidance ranges. Second, given that we achieved breakeven on a non-GAAP basis in Q3, again, excluding onetime items, we now expect results to remain broadly consistent in Q4, though there can always be normal quarterly variability. This guidance reflects our continued focus on operating leverage and cost discipline.
Importantly, this outlook excludes the $75 million of milestones expected to be earned in Q4, $25 million for YUPELRI, which will be recognized as revenue and $50 million for TRELEGY, which will be recognized as other income, not revenue.
Note that while we expect these milestones will be earned in Q4, we will receive the cash in Q1 of 2026.
In summary, Q3 was another step forward for Theravance. We delivered record YUPELRI performance, achieved breakeven on a non-GAAP basis and further strengthened our balance sheet, setting the stage for a potentially transformational 2026 with continued financial discipline and a clear focus on value creation.
With that, I'll turn it back to Rick to conclude. Rick?
Thanks, Aziz. To summarize on Slide 19, Theravance enters the final stretch of 2025 with strong momentum, driven by a profitable commercial business, a robust balance sheet and clear visibility into near-term milestones that will further strengthen our financial profile.
YUPELRI continues to be a key driver of that performance with sustained growth and increased profitability, highlighting the durability and long-term value of the franchise.
We remain confident in the execution of the CYPRESS study and in ampreloxetine's potential to become the first precision therapy for patients with MSA who suffer from nOH.
With CYPRESS results expected in the first quarter of 2026, we are now approaching a significant moment for the company. This readout represents a transformational catalyst with meaningful upside potential while our profitable YUPELRI franchise and strong financial position provides downside protection, creating a compelling risk/reward profile as we approach the data.
As we move into 2026, we do so with focus, financial strength and confidence in the opportunities ahead. And with that, we'll open the line for questions. Operator?
[Operator Instructions]
Our first question for today comes from the line of Douglas Tsao from H.C. Wainwright.
2. Question Answer
I guess, Rick, just given sort of the continued outperformance we've seen in TRELEGY and the likelihood of some additional cash coming in, how are you thinking about, right now, you've talked about the special committee being committed to returning capital to shareholders. But how much do you potentially need to sort of keep in-house for the potential launch of ampreloxetine.
Good question, Doug. I think the -- obviously, the financial strength of the company is one of its key elements of value. We continue to view the cash on the balance sheet and the strategic review committee looks at the timing and the optimum amount of returning capital.
And if we do return capital again, how much and when. The -- obviously, ampreloxetine's launch will be a fairly efficient launch in a rare disease, not creating a substantial burden on the P&L, but nonetheless triggering up expenses.
I think for the company and the Board, what we're focused on right now because we are so close is, in fact, the execution of the CYPRESS study through the top line results and getting those top line results and then making future decisions for the company on capital and capital return, et cetera, because of the -- as was stressed in this call, the very important nature of that data.
But importantly, we're in a position of financial strength, giving us terrific opportunities going forward to return capital to shareholders if that's what the Board desires to do.
And I guess as a follow-up, when we think about the company over the last several years, you've obviously sort of narrowed your focus. Obviously, we're sort of almost sort of dual goals of maximizing the opportunity with YUPELRI as well as executing on the ampreloxetine study.
I guess when we think about the company over the long term, are there pipeline assets? I mean there were several assets, which I think some people were interesting, but sort of were put on pause.
And I guess, is that ever sort of come back into the equation, just given you noted the sort of operational or sort of the efficiency in launching ampreloxetine, and that could just bring significant capital into the company and sort of change your position?
I think that's -- again, kind of go back to my central theme, and I think the central theme for the management and the Board, which is the focus on CYPRESS and the focus on ampreloxetine clinical success that sets up a successful launch of the product.
At that point in time, once we get post ampreloxetine and post success, we'll evaluate options.
I think we not only need ampreloxetine success clinically, but a pathway, which we believe we have as long as we hit a clinically meaningful result in the CYPRESS study to approval. And I think as we're going through that, we'll obviously look at the options and the alternatives to maximize shareholder value.
But again, I'd say, right now, given the relatively small organization that we've got, 110% of our focus, as you rightly point out, is on growing YUPELRI, growing YUPELRI in an effective way to drive additional profitability and finishing ampreloxetine clinical study and setting it up for commercial success.
I think once we achieve those objectives, then we have time or intellectual space to work on other things that may increase -- increase shareholder value because I do believe you're right in that ampreloxetine being a rare -- targeting a rare disease, it has the opportunity for a significant value inflection for the company.
And our next question comes from the line of Julian Harrison from BTIG.
Congrats on the quarter. First, I'm curious to what extent that recently published manuscript detailing the MCID for the OHSA composite score informs your expectations for top line CYPRESS data first quarter of next year.
Any other comments on what you think a win on data would be, would be helpful as well. And then the YUPELRI data, CHEST looked fantastic. Thinking about that, I'm wondering if you could talk more about how these results are supportive of YUPELRI new patient starts at the hospital call point.
Rhonda, do you want to take the CHEST presentations, and we'll come back to Aine and myself for ampreloxetine.
Absolutely. Thanks, Julian, for the question, and thanks for recognizing the data that were recently presented. Certainly, having data of this nature relative to both highlighting clinical outcome, which is quite meaningful as well as reduction in health care and health system costs are crucial knowledge points for the brand.
I would say the team is first focused on ensuring we get those new data into manuscript form, and then we'll be able to think about other communications and educational efforts around these data. They certainly help further substantiate what is already an element of how and why we sell into the hospital space.
So they are very nicely kind of putting a bow on top of the package we already use promotionally. So we'll see in the future if these are used in kind of more expanded fashion, if that makes sense.
So that's the exacerbation data, yes, very important. And again, versus tiotropium to add to really the medical education efforts that we've got ongoing with YUPELRI in both the community and the hospital.
And on ampreloxetine, the minimally clinically important difference. And yes, this publication is important to us because effectively, a 1-point difference for us is -- will be in the -- composite score will be this kind of the minimally important difference that we need to see in CYPRESS. We obviously saw that in 170, and Aine can touch on the steps we've taken to make sure 170 is replicated by CYPRESS. So Aine?
Yes. So thanks, Julian. I would encourage you to take a look at the publication. It is available online. There's open access to the article. The article was based on the data that we have previously seen in 170 and 169, looking at changes in the OHSA questionnaire, which is central obviously also to the CYPRESS study.
And really, it was based on an anchoring analysis between changes on the scale to how patients actually felt using other scales that we've included in the study, PGIC and PGIS.
We've proactively built this analysis into the CYPRESS study. And from what we have seen in our previous analysis, and you'll see in this publication, as Rick said, 1 point change on the scale is considered clinically meaningful. And our objective with the CYPRESS study is obviously to replicate the previous benefit that we had seen in the 170 study, where we did see that level of change and believe that's clinically significant.
And obviously, this information is important to the overall outcome of the study and will be part of the regulatory submission.
We've also had FDA review our analysis plan around the study and this anchoring analysis and feel like we're in a really good position as we move into the CYPRESS readout in the first quarter of next year.
And our next question comes from the line of Ellen Horste from TD Cowen.
Congrats on the exciting quarter and the progress in the CYPRESS study. My question is about CYPRESS. So with the open-label portion complete, can you share how many patients have ultimately enrolled in the randomized withdrawal portion?
And if not, can you confirm that this number is sufficient for the powering according to the original trial design?
So as I said in my remarks, we're really encouraged with how the study has progressed and where we've landed in terms of overall enrollment numbers.
While we're not sharing specific enrollment numbers today, I will say that we remain very confident in the operational execution and pleased with where we have landed in terms of accrual, but most importantly, also progression to the randomized withdrawal portion of the study.
We do believe that we have randomized a sufficient number of patients for us to be able to detect a treatment difference between the 2 arms. Just as a reminder, the study design and the analysis plan for the CYPRESS study has been aligned with FDA, and we believe that we have an adequately powered study and we'll be disclosing all the specific numbers in the context of our data readout, which is coming really soon, and we are excited about what's to come in quarter 1, 2026.
And then, Ellen, just the schematics that we've outlined as part of our ongoing investor presentation on the study remains accurate relative to what we needed to achieve and what we are achieving with the study design and execution.
Operator, do we have any further questions? It appears that we do not have any further questions coming in from the operator. So I will just take this opportunity to thank you for joining on our call -- third quarter call.
We're very pleased with the results this year to date. We look forward to a very good fourth quarter and then the exciting first quarter in 2026 headlined by the CYPRESS data. So thank you again very much for joining, and please have a good day.
Theravance Biopharma Inc — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Financial data from Theravance Biopharma Inc
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 104 104 |
35%
35%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | - - |
-
-
|
|
| Gross Profit | - - |
-
-
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 69 69 |
5%
5%
66%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | 26 26 |
36%
36%
25%
|
|
| EBITDA | 11 11 |
131%
131%
11%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 1.55 1.55 |
377%
377%
1%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 9.55 9.55 |
127%
127%
9%
|
|
| Net Profit | 54 54 |
313%
313%
52%
|
|
In millions USD.
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Theravance Biopharma Inc Stock News
Company Profile
Theravance Biopharma, Inc. operates as a biopharmaceutical company. It focuses on the discovery, research, development, and commercialization of organ-selective medicines. Its products include telavancin under the VIBATIV brand, revefenacin under the TD 4208 brand, and neprilysin. The company was founded in July 2013 and is headquartered in George Town, Cayman Islands.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | Cayman Islands |
| CEO | Mr. Winningham |
| Employees | 90 |
| Founded | 2013 |
| Website | www.theravance.com |


