JPY4,427.00
0.00% today
Tokyo, May 28, 08:02 am CET
ISIN
JP3726800000
Symbol
2914
Index
Industry

Japan Tobacco Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Japan Tobacco Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
50%
Hold
42%
Sell
8%

Japan Tobacco Price Target

Target Price JPY4,538.46
Price JPY4,439.00
Potential
Number of Estimates 10
10 Analysts have issued a price target Japan Tobacco 2026 . The average Japan Tobacco target price is JPY4,538.46. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is
JPY5,400.00 21.65%
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, the lowest is
JPY3,284.60 26.01%
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.
A rating was issued by 12 analysts: 6 Analysts recommend Japan Tobacco to buy, 5 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Japan Tobacco stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Japan Tobacco stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion JPY 3,149.76 3,343.44
10.86% 6.15%
EBITDA Margin 13.69% 27.63%
49.56% 101.78%
Net Margin 5.69% 15.30%
66.48% 168.86%

9 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Japan Tobacco 2025 . The average Japan Tobacco sales estimate is

JPY3.3t
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. This is
3.31% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
JPY3.4t 5.46%
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, the lowest is
JPY3.3t 0.42%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 JPY3.1t 10.86%
2025
JPY3.3t 6.15%
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2026
JPY3.5t 3.70%
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2027
JPY3.6t 4.90%
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2028
JPY3.9t 8.55%
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2029
JPY4.2t 5.55%
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8 Analysts have issued an Japan Tobacco EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Japan Tobacco EBITDA estimate is

JPY924b
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. This is
74.94% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
JPY1.0t 95.20%
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, the lowest is
JPY868b 64.42%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 JPY431b 44.08%
2025
JPY924b 114.16%
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2026
JPY974b 5.44%
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2027
JPY1.2t 19.07%
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2028
JPY1.1t 7.29%
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2029
JPY1.1t 6.12%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 13.69% 49.56%
2025
27.63% 101.78%
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2026
28.09% 1.66%
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2027
31.89% 13.53%
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2028
27.23% 14.61%
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2029
27.38% 0.55%
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4 Japan Tobacco Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Japan Tobacco net profit estimate is

JPY512b
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. This is
185.05% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
JPY572b 218.57%
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, the lowest is
JPY481b 167.96%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 JPY179b 62.84%
2025
JPY512b 185.40%
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2026
JPY546b 6.82%
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2027
JPY605b 10.76%
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Net Margin

2024 5.69% 66.48%
2025
15.30% 168.86%
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2026
15.76% 3.01%
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2027
16.64% 5.58%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share JPY 100.94 288.12
62.85% 185.44%
P/E 15.37
EV/Sales 2.58

4 Analysts have issued a Japan Tobacco forecast for earnings per share. The average Japan Tobacco EPS is

JPY288.12
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. This is
185.10% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is
JPY322.00 218.62%
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, the lowest is
JPY270.84 168.00%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 JPY100.94 62.85%
2025
JPY288.12 185.44%
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2026
JPY307.78 6.82%
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2027
JPY340.88 10.75%
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P/E ratio

Current 43.81 173.99%
2025
15.37 64.91%
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2026
14.38 6.44%
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2027
12.99 9.67%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Japan Tobacco stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 2.66 15.02%
2025
2.58 3.12%
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2026
2.49 3.57%
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2027
2.37 4.67%
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2028
2.18 7.87%
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2029
2.07 5.26%
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P/S ratio

Current 2.43 20.56%
2025
2.35 3.20%
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2026
2.27 3.57%
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2027
2.16 4.67%
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2028
1.99 7.87%
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2029
1.89 5.26%
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