U.S. equity markets climbed to fresh record highs in the Christmas-shortened trading week, buoyed by surprisingly solid GDP data, positive holiday spending trends, and a pullback in global interest rates. The delayed GDP report released this week showed a modest reacceleration in U.S. economic growth in the third-quarter to the strongest pace in two years alongside a cooler-than-expected inflat...
U.S. equity markets posted mixed performance as surprisingly cool inflation data and soft employment data were tempered by a hawkish pushback from Fed officials and skeptics clinging to inflation fears. The critical CPI report showed inflation easing to four-year lows, a heavily criticized report that may, ironically, be the most accurate inflation reading in several years due to collection lim...
American Tower is an even better buy here, thanks to the improved margin of safety from the recent sell-off and the rich upside potential/expanded dividend yields. AMT's resilient telecom tower business, multi-year tenant leases, and high renewal rates underpin a strong moat and predictable cash flow. The data center segment delivered +14.1% YoY revenue growth and expanding margins, exemplifyin...
Some end-of-year Big Picture thoughts, including on the demographic destiny of falling population growth and the headwinds to economic growth that come with it. Why tariff-driven inflation is unlikely to generate anything more than a short-term bump followed by continued disinflation. Why the huge amount of cash on the sidelines could progressively become a tailwind to other types of financial ...
REITs remain attractively valued, with many trading at near 10-year high dividend yields. AFFO yield plus AFFO growth is utilized as a scoring system in this article. ARE leads in value but faces risks from declining occupancy and potential AFFO contraction. Others in the top 5 include VICI, IRM, EQIX and PSA.
REITs endured a brutal three-plus-year stretch since March 2022, underperforming the S&P 500 by an unprecedented 70 percentage points, far worse than the Global Financial Crisis. Extreme underperformance has left REITs historically cheap despite solid property-level fundamentals, but this valuation discount carries a cost: elevated capital costs, suppressed transaction activity, and limited ext...
U.S. equity markets posted mixed performance after an unusually divided Federal Reserve delivered a third-straight rate cut, but signaled a likely "pause" in the easing cycle. Perhaps the last rate cut under the "Powell Fed," the FOMC voted 9-3 to lower the federal funds rate to 3.75%, with two votes to keep rates unchanged. Markets saw hawkish undertones in the updated Economic Projections and...
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