Argentina's stock market has outperformed, with the Global X MSCI Argentina ETF tripling since January 2022, driven by pro-capitalist policies. YPF SA ADR has surged 180% since November 2023, but I'm downgrading it from a buy to a hold due to valuation concerns. Despite strong operational performance, YPF faces potential downside risks, including geopolitical instability, lower oil prices, and ...
YPF is the main oil & gas producing company in Argentina and the company that maintains the largest market share in the Vaca Muerta exploitation. EBITDA in 3Q2024 reached $1,366 million, which is equivalent to an increase of 13% compared to 2Q2024. The total amount invested by the company during 3Q2024 was $1,353 million, 13% above the balance of 2Q2024.
I upgrade YPF to a buy from hold with a US$41 price target due to rapid price normalization and growth in Vaca Muerta shale. YPF's ability to align crude and downstream product prices with global levels has improved margins, enabling aggressive shale production expansion and potential crude exports. Estimates point to significant growth potential, with EBITDA margins expanding and exports impac...
YPF Sociedad Anonima is a value stock trading at the top of its 52-week range but remains undervalued with a P/E ratio of 5.41. YPF's main business is in Argentina, with regional interests in South America, including potential growth in LNG exports. Despite a current ratio under 1.0, YPF's strong profitability and a price/book ratio of 0.85 make it an attractive value pick.
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