3M Stock

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 3M Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded Tuesday, October 20, 2026.

I would now like to turn the call over to Chinmay Trivedi, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning and Analysis at 3M.

Thank you. Good morning everyone, and welcome to our quarterly earnings conference call. With me today are Bill Brown, 3M's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Anurag Maheshwari, 3M's Chief Financial Officer. Bill and Anurag will make some formal comments, then we will take your questions. Please note that today's earnings release and slide presentation accompanying this call are posted on the homepage of our Investor Relations website at 3m.com.

Please turn to Slide 2 and take a moment to read the forward-looking statements. During today's conference call, we'll be making certain predictive statements that reflect our current views of our 3M's future performance and financial results. These statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Item 1A of our most recent Form 10-Q list some of the most important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from our predictions. Please note, throughout today's presentation, we'll be making references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures can be found in the attachments to today's press release.

With that, please turn to Slide 3, and I will hand the call over to Bill. Bill?

Thank you, Chinmay, and good morning, everyone. We delivered strong performance in Q3, including organic growth of 3.3%, operating margin at 26.2%, up 110 basis points earnings per share of $2.50, up 12% and free cash flow of $1.2 billion. We returned $600 million to shareholders in the quarter, including $400 million in dividends and $200 million of share repurchases. These results include Madison Fire & Rescue, which is now fully consolidated into our financial reporting and reflect a change in acquisition amortization reporting. Our updated guidance for the year incorporates both items and Anurag will provide additional details later in the call.

Based on our Q3 performance and continued strong order trends, we remain confident in achieving organic growth of greater than 3.5% this year. The progress we're delivering reflects the disciplined execution of the strategy we've been implementing over the last 2 years. As we've discussed, our value creation framework is entered around 3 phases: building the foundation, driving transformation and accelerating performance. Our results today are clear evidence that we're making progress across all 3. We're strengthening the foundation of the company and rebuilding critical capabilities to position 3M for long-term success. We've invested in sales force effectiveness and AI-enabled tools. We've sharpened our focus on priority verticals where we can win and improve how we allocate R&D resources.

Operationally, we're delivering on our goals to improve productivity, quality and supply chain performance. In the quarter, we launched 87 new products, up 24%, and we're on track to exceed our target of 350 this year. Year-to-date, five-year new product sales were up 34% versus last year to nearly $3 billion, resulting in new product vitality in the mid-teens from a low of 11% in 2024. Cross-selling is also gaining traction with $140 million in wins booked to date and another $120 million in the pipeline, well ahead of our original $100 million 3-year goal. And in today's higher inflation environment, our price execution has been particularly strong and fully offsets material and oil cause pressures.

Across our manufacturing and supply chain network, productivity improvements, including procurement savings, higher asset utilization from increased throughput and lower downtime and improved quality drove gross margins up 230 basis points year-over-year. Cost of poor quality improved by 40 basis points, and overall equipment effectiveness improved by 20 basis points. We continue to see meaningful opportunities to further simplify and standardize reshape the portfolio, reduce risk and improve enterprise resilience and predictability. We've closed 16 manufacturing sites and distribution centers year-to-date, and are taking action on 10 more over the next 12 months, supporting further gross margin improvement beyond 2027.

In the Madison Fire & Rescue acquisition, which is now combined with our SCBA business and report it as a separate division within SIBG, is off to a good start. The JV delivered high single-digit pro forma growth and operating margins ahead of our deal mode and 3M overall, and integration is well underway to capture synergies across distribution, international expansion and operational performance. And we continue our efforts to address litigation risk and are actively working with a court-appointed mediator for the AFFF personal injury MDL, and more information is available in our quarterly filing.

Moving to Slide 4. I'll provide a bit more color on our end market performance. We continue to see strong momentum in general industrial and safety with second half growth accelerating to high single digits, above our prior expectations. In electronics, we're seeing increasing strength in semiconductors and data centers, which is partially offsetting a weaker consumer electronics market, especially in LCD displays. Auto OE and aftermarket is trending in line with prior expectations, with a modest improvement from down low single digits in the first half to about flat in the second, and with OE a bit softer and aftermarket a bit better. The consumer business, which contributes about 20% of sales, improved sequentially to about flat in the second half as modest improvement in consumer POS spending is partially offset by channel inventory adjustments had a few specific retailers. Net-net, we still see sales accelerating in the second half and our full year above 3.5% organic.

Turning to Slide 5. Over the medium to long term, accelerating innovation across our frontier verticals, including aerospace, data centers and others will be an important driver of growth. Space Materials is a great example how we can take differentiated 3M technologies and extend them into entirely new markets. As shown on the left side of the slide, we're combining our capabilities at films, adhesives and others to solve light, thermal, energy and weight challenges across multiple parts of the spacecraft from the satellite chassis to solar arrays. Our current pipeline supports opportunities from low earth to geosynchronous orbits and across a range of commercial and government customers. In Q3, we launched a lightweight reflective film for a commercial constellation to reduce light scattering toward earth and address light pollution concerns, and we plan to launch another product in Q4 to provide a moisture-resistant barrier for solar panels. We have more than 10 other projects in development or in pre-pipeline stage that will follow in the next few years.

And on the right side of the slide, there's been a lot of interest in Expanded Beam Optics and the opportunity ahead of us. And in light of an 8-K filing and press release last evening, I wanted to take a minute to highlight the progress we're making. As a reminder, EBOs patented ferrules technology enables faster installation, greater durability and higher density optical connections for AI infrastructure. The technology is particularly valuable in scale out and scale across applications, including optical backplanes, where connectors at the back of a server rack can be difficult to access, install and maintain. We previously announced a partnership and deployment with Microsoft and said we were also engaged in proof-of-concept work with 5 additional global hyperscalers, one of whom was Amazon Web Services. Last evening, we filed an 8-K stating we issued a warrant to Amazon to purchase up to 3.2 million shares or approximately 0.6% of 3M common stock based upon the achievement of $6 billion in cumulative sales of optical connectivity and other data center-related products over the next 7 years and other event-based milestones.

We also announced that we signed a contract manufacturing agreement with Genius Electronic Optical Company, or GSEO, and acquired a 4.7% stake in the company in a private placement to cement our strategic partnership. GSEO is a credible and proven supplier of premium consumer device components, and they will help us rapidly advance technology development and scale EBO manufacturing on top of our internal capacity expansion plans. But as we previously said, success in this space requires building a robust ecosystem of partners. We're actively supporting industry standardization through the EBO multi-source agreement, which started with 17 members and is now up to 63. This MSA brings together hyperscalers, connectivity providers and chip designers under a common framework to establish industry standards and certified practitioners. EBO was highlighted by many of these ecosystem partners at last week's Open Compute Project Global Summit, including by one other hyperscaler demonstrating EBO in a next-gen rack design running live traffic and it was headlined in a recent article by semi analysis, a well-respected trade journal.

We believe the combination of industry collaboration through the MSA, growing ecosystem adoption and differentiated 3M know-how, positions us well to benefit as EBO becomes a larger part of next-generation AI infrastructure. Overall, we made meaningful progress in reinvigorating our innovation engine over the last 2 years. Success requires speed and precise execution and we're building a stronger, faster, more innovative and more resilient 3M. As this company-wide effort evolves, I'm confident it will translate into faster growth higher margins and stronger free cash flow over time.

With that, I'll turn it over to Anurag to share the details of the quarter. Anurag?

Thank you, Bill. Turning to Slide 6. We delivered another strong quarter across all financial metrics, solid organic growth, 110 basis points of margin expansion double-digit earnings growth and robust free cash flow, all reflecting execution against our strategic priorities. Starting with the top line. We delivered organic sales growth of 3.3%, driven by general industrial and safety, both of which performed better than expected on successful execution of our commercial excellence initiatives, including pricing. We also saw continued strong double-digit growth in semiconductors and data centers as we gain traction from new product launches and good customer position. Together, these more than offset a weaker consumer electronics market.

Notably, the order trend that we have seen through the year continues and grew high single digits in the quarter led by industrials, safety, data centers, semiconductors and aerospace. This resulted in backlog growth of high teens over last year, positioning us well for the fourth quarter. By geography, U.S. and Canada grew approximately 7%, the highest we have seen since the pandemic. Industrial grew double digits as we executed well on rising cross-selling and sales effectiveness in a constructive market, which more than offset a soft consumer market. Latin America grew high single digits with broad-based growth across all 3 businesses. It was encouraging to see Europe growth for a second consecutive quarter despite a soft auto market.

In Asia, we had positive growth and saw another double-digit quarter in India as we increase penetration in automotive, industrial and a growing consumer market. Overall, we grew in all regions except China, which was down high single digits on weak consumer electronics demand. As Bill mentioned, following the Madison acquisition, starting this quarter, we now exclude the amortization of intangibles from adjusted results to better reflect the underlying performance of the business. Historical recasted financials for '25 and first half '26 are shown on Slide 13. And as you can see, have an impact of about 40 basis points to margin rate and $0.04 to EPS per quarter.

For Q3, adjusted operating margin was 26.2%, up 110 basis points with the 3 business groups up 140 basis points partially offset by 30 basis points from corporate as expected. Operating profit increased $140 million with $260 million from sales growth and productivity, particularly in supply chain partially offset by about $120 million of stranded costs and investments. The $0.27 of EPS growth was driven by $0.22 of operating profit growth and $0.05 of below-the-line items, including a lower share count net of a higher tax rate, resulting in adjusted EPS of $2.50, up 12% year-on-year. Q3 GAAP EPS was $2.63, up 70% year-over-year. This included the impact of costs from ongoing transformation actions, exit of certain PFAS manufacturing assets and gain from change in value of our solvent ownership. Free cash flow was $1.2 billion in the quarter as higher earnings were offset by working capital timing, which we expect to reverse in the fourth quarter.

Turning to the next slide, I will provide a quick overview of our growth performance for each business group. Safety and Industrial delivered another standout quarter with 7% organic sales growth driven by the continued expansion of commercial excellence initiatives and the ramp-up of new products. Electrical Markets division continued to grow double digits as they deepen penetration with key customers in the data center market. Safety, industrial adhesives, abrasives and industrial specialties collectively grew high single digits, driven by targeted commercial initiatives to reduce customer churn, expand sales coverage increased sales effectiveness and drive cross-selling. Repair claims market remains soft. Auto aftermarket grew mid-single digits, driven by the new products and wins with large multi-shop operators. Year-to-date, SIBG sales are up 6.1%, and importantly, orders and backlog are up double digits, giving us good visibility into the fourth quarter.

Turning to Transportation and Electronics. Third quarter sales grew 0.5% due to weaker-than-expected consumer electronics, which was down mid-teens. Outside of consumer electronics, the business grew about 5% across semiconductors, aerospace, commercial branding and auto. In addition to data center and semiconductor, aerospace grew double digits, driven by continued strength in defense, sustained civil aviation bill rates and growing demand for space films. Commercial branding continues its first half momentum, growing mid-single digits, driven by graphics and personal auto demand while auto was down mid-single digits on softer builds. Despite the weak consumer electronics and auto markets for the first 9 months, TEBG sales grew 2.1%, with orders up high single digits and backlog up double digits, supporting acceleration in the fourth quarter. SIBG and TEBG, which together represent 80% of our business delivered about 4% growth in the quarter and 4.5% year-to-date.

Finally, Consumer was flat in the quarter, improving sequentially as the rate of decline in the U.S. moderated while international continued to grow mid-single digits. U.S. point of sale grew over 2% through the quarter, but continued inventory adjustments at a few large retailers resulted in U.S. selling being down low single digit. As retailer inventory stabilize and POS continues to show positive momentum on the back of NPI and retailer-specific programs, we expect the growth trend to improve in the fourth quarter. Overall, we are delivering on our commitment with strong year-to-date results, including organic sales growth of 3.3%, operating margin expansion of 60 basis points to 25.2%, earnings growth of 12% and free cash flow of $3.1 billion. Year-to-date, we returned $4.4 billion to shareholders, including $1.2 billion in dividends and $3.2 billion in share repurchases.

Please turn to Slide 8 for an update on our '26 guidance. Auto momentum, a healthy backlog and easier comparisons give us confidence in organic growth of just over 4% in the fourth quarter, keeping us on track for more than 3.5% for the full year. On the back of strong year-to-date performance, continued momentum and focus on productivity, we are raising our earnings guidance from a range of $8.95 to $9.10 on a new basis to a range of $9.10 to $9.15 or $0.10 above the midpoint, resulting in growth between 11% and 12% for the year. On oil, we now estimate the inflation impact of $185 million, up from the $150 million to $175 million range we communicated in July. We expect to fully offset the increase through disciplined execution of the pricing actions we implemented in the second quarter. While this pass-through is dollar neutral, it dilutes margin rate by about 20 basis points, which we will mitigate through better productivity. For the year, we expect margin of about 24.6% on the new basis in line with our prior expectations. Free cash flow remains at approximately $4.8 billion and adjusted tax rate at about 20%.

Turning to Slide 9. We will provide formal 2027 guidance in January, but our framework to drive profitable growth remains consistent and are confident that we will exceed all of our Investor Day targets. We expect good growth in line with our second half exit rate with more contribution coming from new product launches as we sustain commercial excellence, including pricing discipline. Alongside growth, we will continue to drive productivity largely from supply chain and transformation actions as we more than offset investments and stranded costs, resulting in margin rates exceeding our Investor Day target of 25.4% on the new basis.

For EPS, we expect operational performance to be the primary driver of earnings growth like this year. Nonoperational performance will be influenced by changes in interest rates and FX and while the tax rate should remain stable and share buybacks will continue to be accretive. Finally, we expect robust free cash flow driven by earnings growth and working capital improvements and will continue disciplined capital deployment. Having returned $9.3 billion since the start of 2025, we are well on our way to exceeding the $10 billion target.

Before we open the call for questions, I would like to thank the 3M team for their commitment, resilience and responsiveness to drive value to all our stakeholders. Our performance to date and opportunities ahead provide us with increased confidence in delivering on our updated 2026 guidance and exceeding the commitments we laid out at Investor Day.

With that, let's open the call for questions.

[Operator Instructions] Our first question today comes from the line of Scott Davis with Melius Research.

I want to -- I want to ask about Amazon in a second. But before I do that, you mentioned price several times. And is it easier to get because inflation is so well telegraphed that the customer is extraordinarily well aware of what's going on out there? Or is it the new product introduction side of it that is kind of driving that? And you still seem to be a little bit, I mean, behind PPI. So do you see an acceleration there?

So Scott, good question. I mean, we -- first of all, it is pretty well publicized in the marketplace around what's happening in oil and gas prices and general inflation, I think that's well covered. But I think our ability to drive price right now is partly from the new products. I think importantly, it's from just a significantly better responsiveness, service delivery rates product availability that we're delivering to our customers. And I think that is -- that's a very important part of it. And I wouldn't discount that we're being, I'd say, a bit more aggressive here on price, holding our ground on this one. So -- so I think all of those things come together and what's driving price.

So we'll see ourselves for the year to be slightly above 1.5. We were saying last time about 1.5%. It will be a little bit better than that because oil price continues to come up. Back half of the year will be slightly above 2%, front half was 1%. So we're doing better. We're executing well on price recovering material and oil cost inflation, and we feel pretty good about the trajectory where we're on right now on pricing.

Okay. That's helpful, Bill. Look, it wasn't clear to me in the 8-K, what Amazon is, I mean we know the investment they're making, but are they helping to pay for capacity or take-or-pay contracts, anything that kind of locks them in to derisking a bit of your capacity adds?

So look, it was a very, very important step we've taken here with Amazon. There's no disclosure right now on other parts of the commercial agreement. But it's been in the work for sometime. It's a very important strategic commercial relationship. I do believe it's a validation of the technology. It's an important milestone in this broader relationship that we've had with Amazon. It's very clear in the agreement that it's for optical connectivity, EBO and other data center-related products. They do have faith in our broad material science capabilities for acoustics, vibration, thermal kind of things inside the data centers. And so we're very excited about where we happen to be.

As you note, it's -- there's at least something in the 8-K. It's cumulative $6 billion is where the warrant vests over 7 years. It's an increment. It's not ratable. It will start to ramp towards the back end of next year is what our expectation happens to be and become more meaningful as we get into '28. But as we sit here today, that's as far as I think we'll be able to disclose this as continues to -- what's important right now is we execute well. We scale well here with Amazon. We build out the ecosystem, which they and other hyperscalers believe is very important. So a very important step is combining that with the GSEO announcement where we have solidify the supply side to the ramp up we expect to get to support Amazon another hyperscaler. So collectively, we think it's a very important milestone that we're at today on EBO.

Our next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with UBS.

Bill, the trajectory of organic growth has been good, plus 1% in '24, plus 2% in '25, plus 3.5% at least this year, you're making a lot of progress on pricing and NPI. Now you're maybe leaning into some growth verticals through the sort of creative solutions, which is fantastic. But I guess the question that everybody is asking is, where do you think this ultimately goes to from a through-cycle growth perspective because you've got a consumer business that's a little bit more difficult. T&E is obviously a little bit difficult. Maybe just talk about not just '27, but if you want to talk about '27, great, but sort of where you think structurally you're taking the growth algorithm for this business over the next 1, 2, 3 years?

So I mean, you went through some of the numbers. I appreciate you doing that and recalling the trajectory we're on. It's a pretty broad portfolio. Not everything kind of flows positively every quarter. But you've laid out appropriately the steps that we're taking to drive organic growth in the company, something I think we struggle to do over time. It comes back with back to what we were focused on very originally, it was around reinnovating innovation and driving new products to the marketplace, and we continue to progress that very, very well and is becoming more impactful.

We're clearly driving a lot of commercial excellence activities, improving our capability at the front line, building a better relationship with our channel partners, more cross-selling, better performance, so we have less churn, pricing. I mean all these things come together to kind of make this machine run better, and you went through the numbers. So we will end -- the back half of the year will be close to 4%. Q4 will be touching or just over 4%. As we look into '27, we continue to see growth momentum here. There are some economic tailwinds here on the industrial side. We feel pretty good about that. But more importantly, this is a self-help story. We're showing that we can grow organically even in a choppy macro environment and drive margin expansion quite substantially. So the combination of what we're trying to do, I think, is what's really turning this 3M company around, and I'm very, very excited about where the future holds here.

Okay, Bill. And then, Anurag, if I could just have a follow-up because if we go back to Investor Day, there might be sort of $400 million to $500 million of extra cost that you guys have incurred since Investor Day, whether it's tariffs or oil inputs. And here we are, not only are you offsetting that with price, but there's obviously clearly productivity there because the margin you're raising the margin guidance for longer term next year, can you just talk about productivity because the '27 framing is helpful, but it's a little bit big relative to what you did last year. Are we going to get $500 million, $600 million more of net productivity next year? Do you still expect 35% incremental margins on the growth you expect to achieve, maybe fill in some of that color for us, please?

Okay. Thanks, Amit. And you're absolutely correct. At the Investor Day, what we laid out was that we had about $300 million of branded costs at that point in time. But since then, we've had tariffs of about $280 million. We have oil now, which is $185 million. We obviously were able to offset all of that plus more, which is why we're ahead in terms of our margin expansion so far and will be next year as well. So as Bill mentioned, we're going to exit the year close to about 4% in terms of organic growth. And as we go into next year, that will accelerate because of new products, commercial excellence and pricing, which we've done a very good job this year and continue to kind of sustain that next year and drive for more pricing to offset oil.

So with the volume growth on the margin side, we have good incrementals. Historically, we said it's between 30% to 40%. I think we are more closer to the 40% right now in incrementals given the progress that we made over the past couple of years. I'll combine that with productivity on both supply chain as well as some of the transformation actions we are taking. And it should continue at the same rate as it has over the past couple of years. And while we drive volume with our incrementals productivity, we'll much more than offset the step-up in investments and stranded costs. So we expect good margin expansion as we go into next year and be very confident to be ahead of the 25.4% the new Investor Day target despite all the other headwinds we had. So feeling pretty confident.

Our next question comes from Joe O'Dea with Vertical Research Partners.

I wanted to start on just sizing of EBO. Can you talk a little bit about where you expect the revenue to be this year? How much revenue your current capacity can support? And then with the manufacturing collaboration that you've announced, how much revenue altogether, you think that will be able to support?

So Joe, look, for this year, EBO is in the $40 million range, plus or minus. We've got another quarter to go here. We do expect that to ramp considerably next year likely will double, could be maybe a little bit better than that depending upon progress through the year. Internally, we have doubled our manufacturing capacity. So we'll be north of, say, 10 million ferrules a year. It will be a little bit better than a expected to increase that over time. The contract manufacturing agreement with GSEO, given their size and what they currently do for consumer devices and similar spaces, they could do potentially multiples of that per month. So I believe if we scale them as we know we will over the course of the fourth quarter into early next year that we will see our ability to actually satisfy the market demand. So hopefully, it's not a capacity issue. It becomes more in comfort of hyperscalers, it's developing the ecosystem. And I just want to reiterate one of the key factors here is making sure we have diversity of supply not just from 3M, but other partners here because that's going to be quite important for hyperscalers to sell on to sign on. So I believe with GSEO, we'll be in pretty good shape to scale to the market requirements as we see them now.

And then on just current finance tracking, can you talk a little bit about what you saw over the course of the quarter in due this month with respect to acceleration? Any caution. There's a tremendous amount of focus out there just given kind of all the headlines and any risk that those is for pause. And so just kind of overall macro, how you've seen demand trends over the course of the last several months.

Okay. So look, for us, I mean, our order rates have been pretty good. We -- for the quarter, they were up about 7%. We see good backlog going into the fourth quarter year-to-date. A little bit better than 8%. It's better on the industrial side, but generally good ore trends, good momentum here as we head into the back end of the year. So just from a macro perspective, we continue to see the broader industrial markets improving, especially in the U.S. And I know that part of it is driven by data centers, but it's quite a lot of other factors that go behind that. Auto build rates are likely to be down. They're down modestly in the quarter and likely for the year as well. We see the consumer electronics space worsening a little bit in the back end of the year, more like down mid-teens from the consumer electronics market. Those are the broader pieces. IPI is about where we were before, slightly better globally. U.S., IPI U.S. GDP is slightly better from where we thought in July. So that's getting, I'd say, a little bit better. And those are the key pieces.

The U.S. consumer is sort of still a little bit soft, although what I would say is we continue to see good POS growth, which is sell out for us. It's north of 2% growth on POS, which is pretty good. So I feel it's getting at least more stability in the U.S. consumer behavior, if not maybe a little bit of improvement. So overall, I'd say the industrial is pretty good kind of mixed outside of that.

Our next question comes from Julian Mitchell with JPMorgan.

Maybe I just wanted to follow up on the TEBG revenue outlook because that's where you've seen, I suppose, the most volatility in recent quarters, strong growth Q2 evaporated in Q3. You're talking about a reacceleration in the fourth quarter despite a worsening consumer electronics market backdrop. I think you said down mid-teens. So please sort of flesh out a little bit the confidence in that TEBG acceleration? And is it something where it's just month-to-month that the numbers are kind of swinging around in that business?

Sure. So as we exited the third quarter, Julian, the backlog in TEBG was up quite double digits. So that gives us good visibility as we go into the fourth quarter. You are correct about the consumer electronics being pretty consistent between third and fourth quarter. But where we do see is the good backlog getting converted plus continued strength in the aerospace, defense, the semiconductor and data center, which continues to accelerate in the fourth quarter, plus all the commercial excellence that we are driving in the commercial branding business. This, along with auto, we've had some couple of good wins in auto as well, that kind of coming through. I think gives us confidence that we will accelerate the growth in the fourth quarter from third quarter in TEBG.

And then just my follow-up. I think Anurag and Bill, your tone on the margin expansion is very confident, I think, looking at Slide 9, and you're talking about very likely exceeding that 80 basis points of sort of margin expansion next year that's guided on that Slide 9, and that's even with what's going on with cost inflation and everything else. So I suppose, is the sense that I think right now in the second half, operating margins are growing about 100 basis points year-on-year in the guide. Is your sense that that's a fairly sensible sort of run rate for the time being given inflation and productivity and stranded costs and so forth. There's nothing sort of onetime benefiting the degree of margin expansion you're seeing today?

Correct. There is no onetime benefit in terms of the margin expansion. It's all about controlling our cost base, driving productivity across both supply chain and G&A. Bill had mentioned in his prepared comments about gross margin being up 230 basis points, a really good work around all the buckets being the cost of poor quality, which was better by 40 basis points, driving more productivity and automation in the factories that we have today and even in this environment, driving procurement savings. So I think it's all fundamental drivers in terms of expanding our margins. As we go into next year, you are right, we said we had $300 million of stranded costs. We -- at $100 million last year, $150 million this year, incremental $50 million next year. But just on where we are in the momentum in terms of supply chain and making some structural cost changes, I think we are confident on continuing the productivity into next year as well.

Yes, Julian, I think the thing to keep an eye on is as we keep talking more about transformation and the changes that we're making, a lot this year has been around G&A. There's been investment to transform the G&A functions. It's starting to occur within our supply chain network and data center and distribution center network as well. I talked a little bit about some of the changes there. that's going to be impacting us into '27. And certainly, with the factory consolidation, given they typically be -- would be 3-, 4-, 5-year payback, that will start to become more meaningful in 2028. So when you take a step back and think about all of the work that we've done, we've seen gross margins come up from the low 40s to now touching close to the mid-40s. Again, up to potentially the high 40s over the next 4 or 5 years through some of the transformation that's happening.

Our next question comes from Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

Just a question on Madison Fire. Just are we putting now that it's organic, are we putting any accretion into '26 on that just from a modeling perspective? Do I need to sort of put something in?

Yes. It's EPS neutral to us. I mean, it does grow higher than company average and margins better, but it's -- given the size of the business, it doesn't really move the needle much on the top line, it obviously comes with operating profit, but there's a step-up in interest because of the leverage and NCI. So overall, it's EPS neutral for this year and next year.

And just going back to sort of optical and data centers. The headline numbers, I think, in the 8-K are pretty robust, and you're saying you have multiple other hyperscalers that you're talking to. Just order of magnitude relative to what you have, how big could that be? And could you also remind me overall what was your exposure to data centers last year and what is it this year?

So just on that last part, I mean, data center issue will be about $700 million last year was around $550 million in that range, put outside -- the bigger part would be outsized or electric connections and part of insight around optical connections, copper other parts with inside of the data center, but most of it was on the outside. Yes, there's been a lot of conversations with really all of the other hyperscalers. Obviously, Amazon is quite substantial in that space. So that's a very important one. You recall last quarter, we talked about a strategic partnership we announced with Microsoft, where they'll be using EBO and Azure data centers. These things are continue to evolve. Again, we've got to continue to work the ecosystem build the scale continue to advance the technology because each hyperscaler has some uniqueness in their configuration in architecture. So there's some work that has to happen there. But I think we have very, very good momentum here. I think this was a very important step that we've taken in the last couple of days with Amazon. And I hope in the coming months, others will follow suit.

Our next question comes from Joe Ritchie with Goldman Sachs.

So Bill, I just wanted to follow up on that thread, right? The warrants are a pretty unique structure. I'm just curious like how did that even come about? And then also, I think you just mentioned that you're hoping that potentially some of the other hyperscalers will follow suit? Just any other clarification around that would be helpful.

So at this conference last week, it's the Open Compute Project, which is in San Jose. I was on the West Coast, we had a chance to walk around the show for a few hours, and there are many other hyperscalers and a lot of ecosystem partners that were there. There's a lot of conversation around EBO, how it can be used, how it could be scaled how do we manufacture it, partners that want to be part of it. So it's -- there's just a ton of activity happening there. So it's pretty broad-based. But again, it's evolving. I mean, each quarter, each month, we're taking steps forward here. We have to keep executing and doing all the things that I've been very carefully talking about around scaling and technology development and ecosystem. All of these things are critically important.

For Amazon, look, I think the warrants conversation is really important because it cements what I believe is a very strong strategic partnership we have with Amazon. And it's an agreement, it's a union, if you will, with Amazon, where we both see win-win. We see opportunity to drive shareholder value on both sides. For us, the warrant are going to be accretive to significantly accretive to the company. So we thought that was prudent and the right thing to do. It gets about 0.6% of our shares. So it's not hugely meaningful, but in terms of -- it's very symbolic in terms of the overall relationship we have with Amazon.

That's helpful, Bill. And then I guess just my follow-up question, Anurag, you gave some parts of the framework for 20 to see the expectation for the -- for at least 80 basis points of margin expansion. Is there a volume assumption that you're embedding? I know that you guys typically will kind of like model to the trends? Just any expectations on volumes already for next year? .

Yes. Yes, Joe, absolutely. As I was mentioning when Amit was asking the question that the volume, which typically has been a 30% to 40% incrementals for us is now getting closer to the 40% incremental. So there will be uplift from volume plus productivity, and both of them combined will drive the margin expansion for next year.

Next question comes from Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research.

Great. So just going back to the Amazon agreement. So is this -- is this a framework agreement, Bill, that's structured as a minimum -- the $6 million is very specific. So is that a minimum purchase agreement over that 7-year time frame? And you seem to indicate that next year is more like $100 million. So of revenues from EBO. Should we then expect that to step up to close to $1 billion in 2028? Just trying to sort of frame expectations here.

So look, I think we'll sort of get through the quarter here and then we'll go through next year. Your numbers next year round about, right? I mean it's sort of $80 million, $100 million of EBO. I mean, again, look, we've got to continue to execute and scale here. We're not going to size it beyond that. But when we talked last time, we said the total addressable market here for EBO is around $2 billion in the '28 time period. That -- this year, we'll do, again, $40 million roughly. This is an important initiative for us. We're maturing the technology I think this step with Amazon last quarter with Microsoft, others that are in conversation, gives us a greater right to win in that space.

So I feel better about our ability to go after that market, we believe it will continue to grow over time as people get comfortable with EBO with a contactless sort of connection device as opposed to physical contact point-to-point devices today. So I think it's going to continue to evolve, but I won't comment on anything beyond '27, but I do believe it's going to continue to grow and grow meaningfully. Otherwise, we wouldn't have talked about where we happen to be with Amazon and the size of the contract manufacturing agreement with GSEO. All these are very important to us.

Yes. Yes. $6 million divided by 7 is close to $1 billion. That's why I just thought I'd throw it out there.

There's no volume commitments here. It's a -- we got to earn a right to that. It's going to happen over time. But that's what -- that's the number they put out there is was expected over the course of the next 7 years. So we think that's an important target for us.

Okay. And then just Anurag, maybe for you. The S&I margins were very strong this quarter. Looking at the NCI line, it looks like the contribution from Madison Fire was very strong this quarter. I'm getting to math close to $100 million of EBITDA contribution, which feels too high, but just wondering what kind of margin Madison Fire come in at? And what's the good -- what's the number between '27?

Yes. So Nigel, I would say the number is not that high as you're citing it out to be. The margins are -- we finished the quarter at 26.2% margins. They are a little bit higher than that, I would say. But that does get offset in the NCI line. So overall, it was EPS neutral to us. So the NCI was just a couple of pennies compared to last year. So it was not close to that. And as you model into next year, I would say it's again going to be EPS neutral. There will be incremental $200 million of revenue coming from Madison, you can assume a margin rate higher than the company and the offset will be high interest in NCI.

Next question comes from Steve Tusa with Wells Fargo.

As far as the fourth quarter is concerned, can you maybe -- I know it's couple of these businesses you said are going to accelerate, and that's great color. But maybe just how you're seeing things play out versus normal seasonality, maybe seasonality really is like there is no normal seasonality with the last few years, but how you're thinking about those kind of daily sales trends? And then just lastly on that, the backlog, you mentioned the backlog with maybe just a little more color. I think you gave some in the second quarter.

Yes. So look, Q4 typically is a lighter quarter, but there's nothing unusual about seasonality here in the fourth quarter. We do -- we do see it being up with the 4% would get you to greater than 3.5% for the year. So it's got to be more than 4%. Again, it's off of a bit of an easier compare. The prior year Q2 was a little bit softer as opposed to Q3. We had a tougher compare here in Q3, but it gets a little bit better in Q4. Look, we've had just again, very good order trends. The backlog going into the quarter is up about -- about 18%. So it's high teens percent year-over-year going into the quarter. We have about 25% of the revenue that's in backlog, which is pretty good and a little bit better than we typically see. So -- but again, based on where we see it today, we feel pretty good about coming in north of 4%, more than 3.5% for the year.

And then just one last one on stranded costs. still. Is it still an investment? Is it still $375 million for the year? And does that step up a little bit? I know it was up $0.17 in the quarter. Does that step up a bit in the fourth quarter?

Yes. So I believe when you said $375 million, you meant $225 million of investments and $150 million of stranded costs for the year, Steve. It's probably what you're referring to?

Correct. Yes, correct.

And it is still the same. And in the fourth quarter, you have probably $125 million of that because of the $50 million of stranded costs and $75 million of investment. So no real change from the cadence that we had laid out from the beginning of the year. And that stranded cost next year is $50 million. It goes from $150 million to incremental $50 million.

Our next question comes from Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup.

Bill, can you give a little more of an update on your overall progress in innovation as we start thinking about '27. I think you previously have mentioned your cycle time of innovation target is at least better, but can you use tools such as AI to push greater innovation much faster and with better margin. I think you'll do greater than 350 new products you just said. But you've also said that 3M used to 700, 800 per year. Can you get back to those levels faster than you thought and with greater improvement in design to cost?

So look, first of all, yes, I'm very pleased with what's happening right now in NPI innovation, we're accelerating. I gave some of the numbers here, about 87% in the quarter, about 24%. For the year, we'll be -- we'll get 350 or more. So that would be up 23% year-over-year early last year at the Investor Day, we said we would be 1,000 products over 3 years and we should be above that was what my expectation would be. I think what's important is we've seen the funnel remain very, very healthy. So we're bringing more projects into the funnel into our development pipeline that we're launching. I think that remains very, very encouraging. Cycle time has been pretty good, actually. We are -- we will be down 20%. It will move around a little bit, but I think we've already proven that so far. But as we bring more Class 4s, Class 5s into the funnel, which will drive more incremental growth over time, they're a bit of a longer development cycle. So that could push things a little bit in the other direction, but the cycle time continues to come down. Our on-time launch attainment remains around 80%, 81%. So that's all very, very good.

As you mentioned about AI, look, I do believe that this is going to be a meaningful way for us to accelerate innovation. Again, from 20% compression on cycle time just by bringing AI in, you're ideating faster, you're eliminating some of the steps of developing and making prototypes and labs, getting out to a factory. So instead of doing physical prototypes, you can do virtual modeling and simulation, all those opportunities are happening now. So that could further compress cycle time. And what that means is we should be accelerating the numbers of new product launches without accelerating the cost to go and make that happen. So I'm very encouraged. We're pushing very hard on this. A lot of the effort to date has been codifying this vast treasure trove of information that resides at 3M in terms of all of the patent information, all the technical papers, all the material specs safety sheets, all of this information process informatics that how you make it, it all needs to be codified, that's now being done. And when you have all that and you lay AI on top of that, it can really accelerate our journey of bringing new products to market. So I'm encouraged about the progress we're making here in to your point, I think there's a great opportunity to accelerate that into '27 and beyond.

Helpful, Bill. And maybe just delving a little bit more into consumer. I know you said point of sales has continued to improve, but consumer has been a bit slow to turn. Do you see a more definitive turn coming in that business or can increase self-help drive a more definitive turn? And you mentioned still some select retail destocking. So maybe a little more color on what you're seeing there.

So yes, I mean consumer, we expect will turn slightly positive in the back in the fourth quarter of the year. Of course, we thought Q3 was going to be positive. It didn't happen. But -- but we're on the right trajectory here, it's not necessarily going to be a big driver of growth for the company given its size and where we expected to be in the fourth quarter. But the trends are positive. POS was kind of basically up a little bit in Q1, improve a bit more in Q2 around 2%, 2.2%, a little bit better in Q3. So POS has been pretty good. What happened over the course of this year is the inventory in the channel, especially with a couple of retailers has been pulled down a little bit, about half a week in Q3. It was about a half a week in Q2. We find that to be stabilizing here a little bit going into the fourth quarter. But again, it's hard to predict what some of these retailers are going to do.

But when we take a step back and look at the way the portfolio is evolving, we see it to be slightly better in Q4, but again, not a big meaningful driver for the growth as a company. One of the things that's interesting is, I mean, the international has been pretty good. So even why -- the business is mostly U.S. about 70%, but international for us has been up mid-single digits and the trends there continue to be pretty strong. So I think if you put all together, U.S. can improve and international holds in at mid-single digits, we can actually be positive in the fourth quarter.

We'll go next to Varun Govindaraj with Bernstein. .

Quick one from my end. You've got a leadership change on the R&D side with John retiring and Tushar coming in. How are you sort of driving continuity in the R&D strategy with that change just because these kinds of changes during transformation that curious how you're handling it?

So Brian, thanks for the question. I mean look, John was here for a number of years, close to 30 and was CTO for quite a long time and was a fantastic partner to be in reestablishing, reinvigorating innovation, Tushar has been with the company for 25 years. PhDs got a lot of experience, both running a business as well as developing technology more than 40 patents to his name. And I like the combination. He's been running the ITD business within SIBG for the last number of years, leaning forward on digital tools, I think that combination is going to be very important to us. And having somebody that knows the players internally know the technology importantly knows our customers that combination, I think, will drive good continuity in what we're trying to do on innovation at 3M.

Super helpful. And then just as a quick follow-up. We've talked a lot about EBO sizing, but you've also flagged stuff like the Nextel ceramic fibers, space got a lot of real estate in today's presentation, any rough sense of how accretive that could be either next year or do we sort of expect that to come in more 2028 onwards?

No. I mean, we think '27 will be a step up on that. So it's a couple of different things. We continue to see very good growth in our Electrical Markets division with connectors, meeting voltage connection coming into data centers. That has been a good grower for us all year double digit, and we see that continuing into next year. But there's a lot of other different technologies you point out Nextel, which goes into a couple of different behind-the-meter type solutions outside of data center and we are -- we continue to have momentum there. We're expanding capacity to meet the demand of that space. So I think that could be a step into '27, perhaps even better than that in 2028. So I think very good momentum both inside as well as outside the data center of the room.

Our next question comes from Brandon Knutson with Morgan Stanley.

You guys have been highlighting new product introductions. Can you quantify for us a little bit how much better pricing or margins are on the new products? And how high you think you can get that NPV over time?

So we've really talked much about what we do on pricing. I mean sometimes we need to bring new products, it's creating a new space. So you're really going to have a good vantage point. But I think our ability to drive value-based pricing is becoming a lot better. We see it across a number of different product portfolios. So I would say when we bring in new products to the marketplace, once you start to hit volume ramp we do see margin -- those products generally being margin accretive to the company. So price is an important part of that. .

Great. And then last one on just data center. EBOs, kind of a lot of focus. I know the production capacity has been important there. The GSEO deal will help with that significantly. What else is key to the ecosystem to drive growth here? And then outside of EBO, how do you see your other DC content scaling?

So we provide -- we manufacture a ferrule. The fibers have to be terminated into the ferrule. They have to be put into a connector and then installed in a data center. So all of those pieces are quite important. But hyperscalers have an important -- they design their own architecture, the server design or server manufacturers have views of where they're taking their product line, how they're shifting from copper to optics over time. It's all of those various pieces, you've got to work with that broad set of players to establish EBO and then to grow it. So that's what the MSA is really for. It's developing standards and then certifying players in the space to install EBO. So that needs to happen side-by-side with technology development and scaling.

Our next question comes from Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank.

Maybe I'll just ask one since I know we're at time. Just wanted to dig in a little bit more on consumer electronics and understand what's going there with respect to -- going on there with respect to memory. But I guess, Bill, when you kind of look out into 2027, are there any green shoots that make you feel like maybe this business could turn positive again? Or is that being too optimistic?

So consumer electronics, yes, it was -- we've seen some pressure here in the quarter. We'll see some additional pressure going into Q4 as well in consumer electronics. I mean we do in consumer electronics, we provide films for -- primarily for LCD displays. We do conductives. We do OCA bonding, a lot for phones and tablets, notebooks, et cetera. We're primarily a premium player here. So 70% of our business roughly is with premium device manufacturers. Overall, I'd say we're tracking kind of in line with or maybe slightly better than the market. We've seen pressure in 2 particular areas. One is in LCD displays. That's one area. And the other is with China OEMs, not a very big part of our business, but that market is down quite substantially in the quarter and then for the year. So -- but we're performing very well with premium device manufacturers where performance where thermal management for AI devices, for foldable devices for all these new innovations we're performing very, very well there. And as I look forward, that kind of innovation with those premium manufacturers, I think, will allow us to return to growth going into next year and beyond.

Our next question comes from Brett Linzey with Mizuho.

I wanted to come back to Slide 5. So on the space portfolio. was hoping you could put a finer point on the TAM or anything you can share regarding content opportunity per satellite. And if there's any constellations or customers you're currently spec-ed in on or working on designs?

So we can't talk about the latter part of that, which is who we're getting spec-ed in on. But -- but I was very careful and I said it's a pretty broad space. It's both -- it's LEO and GEO. It's lower thru,geosynchronous orbit. Commercial customers, some government contracts we're working on. But it's a broad opportunity for us. And you can see some of the challenges here. It's around how do you lightweight the satellites build more capability, bring more protection. So there's no light reflecting back to the earth, removing a glass solar panel as they get bigger with the replace it with films that allows it to work to be a lot lighter. So there's a lot of capability here our content is growing in that space. Our innovation, I think, is quite important. But we expect that, that's going to grow over time, which is why we want to keep highlighting it. So we don't only say too much more than that, but it's a great opportunity for us to grow our business.

I appreciate the detail. And then just a quick follow-up on the $185 million of oil inflation. You said fully offset by price. Is there a carryover lag into '27, we should be thinking about or modeling? And then how much of that prices go get versus in the market a little bit more surgical?

Yes. So we should -- we implemented the price increase timely this year, and we started seeing the increase in our cost probably a month earlier than that. So you should see about some we're going into next year, definitely on the oil cost piece. And at the same time, we should see the price carryover. So we will be neutral between price and oil cost for next year. And the strategy was actually to be a little bit more surgical. It wasn't been about a spread across the entire businesses. It was looking at areas where there was either higher cost or where some of the peers were going out with price increases, and that's what the team did. And I think we did a very, very good job by offsetting it. Last year tariff, we did not offset the entire price increase. But over year, we did and the discipline has been really, really good.

Our last question comes from Jeff ReI've with RBC Capital Markets.

I'll keep it to one question. And on the EBO business, if the 4 hyperscalers currently in proof of concept convert is the combined internal plus GSEO manufacturing footprint sufficient? Or should we expect further capacity investments?

No, it should be sufficient. But again, it gets back to this diversity of supply, so we are scaling internally, but we'll never be able to within 3M to be able to accommodate the market demand. GSEO has incredible capacity but likely over time, there'll be -- there may be other players here, other manufacturing sources to just give that satisfaction of diversity of supply. So we're confident we can ramp with GSEO, but there may be others that we have to bring on board over time.

This concludes the question-and-answer portion of our conference call. I will now turn the call back over to Bill Brown for some closing comments.

Okay. So thank you, everybody, and I know we're over a little bit. I appreciate everybody joining the call today. And I want to thank, again, all of the 3Mers for delivering. I know it's a strong quarter of great execution, great value to customers and our shareholders, proud of what we've achieved together and I'm excited for what the future holds at 3M. Thank you all, and have a good day.

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference call. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your line.

So Bill, it's been now, what, almost 2 years?

Yes, a little over.

Since you've been in the job. Notwithstanding a market and a macro that has been somewhat unforgiving, I guess, what would you say have been your -- some of your biggest successes and real learnings over the last 12 months or so?

Well, thanks for having me. It's great to be back. Congratulations on your new role. So again, it's about 2.5 years at 3M, making -- the team is making, I think, great progress building fundamentals, improving how we execute the consistency in how we execute. So the first 2.5 years were really around just a back-to-basics focus on fundamentals approach across operations and all of our supply chain across innovation, across commercial, doing commercial excellence, I think importantly, it also building a culture of accountability and rigor and speed and urgency, things I think go hand-in-hand with good day-to-day execution.

And I think when you look at the progress that's been made over the last 2.5 years or so, we are clearly making progress. We're seeing more sustained organic growth. We're seeing clear step-up in margins. We're seeing an acceleration of new products in the marketplace, more hustle at the front end of our sales force. And we're tracking ahead of our 2027 Investor Day targets, which we set at the beginning of last year when we had our first Investor Day.

So I think all of those pieces, I think, are going very well. I feel very proud for what the team has accomplished, particularly on the culture side, which I think is an important dimension. So I mean, those are things I think have gone pretty well in terms of learnings, lessons, look, I think, 1, focus matters, clearly, clarity and transparency externally and with the team inside of the company is critically important.

And also, as you all know, execution and cultural change happens hand in hand. You can't have 1 without the other. You can't see sustainable performance improvements and execution if you're not adjusting the culture. So again, really good progress on the fundamentals, 2 years in gives us confidence in the trajectory that we're on to now shift more towards how do we transform the organization, take a harder look at our processes, structural costs and all those things, which give us a runway beyond 2027 in terms of margin expansion and organic growth.

So I mean, I think it's been a good 2.5 years. It goes very fast, as you imagine, but good progress. And I think we're all set up for the next 2.5 years.

Great. Maybe let's double-click a little bit more on the execution and operational excellence. You've successfully moved on-time in full delivery above 90% threshold from the low 80s. What do you think is the next frontier for operational productivity as you look forward?

So look, OTIF is 1 or on-time in full is 1 metric. And you're right, we were in low 80s. In which case, it's -- you're really not anywhere near what you're performing to what customers expect. We're now consistently running around 90% parts of the company, the consumer running more consistently mid-90s. We're still not where we need to be. I'm pleased with the progress, but not where we need to be.

We're seeing -- today, from 2.5 years ago, on-time in full is not really a conversation with distributors. It's not necessarily a pain point. We do have opportunities. I think we're holding our own serve here, but it's an opportunity to distinguish ourselves here. But operational excellence goes way beyond just on-time in full. That's 1 metric. It's a very important 1.

It's all these others that I've been talking about with investors since I started around gross and net productivity, around utilization or operating equipment effectiveness, around cost for quality, all of those dimensions go into building a very strong foundation and execution model. That's what really we're focused on, but OTIF is a key part of it.

So again, what's coming next, we see that marching higher, but it's not just on improving on-time in full, but the key is to do that with lower inventory and actually compressing your cycle time at the same time. And if you can do that's like a triple-double. If you do all those 3 together, that's what we're trying to do. Right now, we're focused on OTIF. We're going to bring inventory down and start to neck in some of the lead time to our end customers. I think that's what would distinguish the company going forward.

Right. I guess let's just take this another level. So how does this higher service level really translate directly into lower customer attrition or higher market share on the ground?

Look, it's 1 dimension. I mean, at the end of the day, when we think about our attrition has been running relatively hot. It went up when our service levels went down. It's starting to come down as our service levels are coming up. It's hard to go point to point, what's a point of OTIF to a point on attrition. But at the end of the day, as I said, it was a pain point. It's not so much a pain point today. It is a key factor.

We are doing -- we've done some work using AI tools to develop both predictive and responsive mechanisms, agents to understand when churn might be happening. And instead of letting it happen, but doing something proactively about it, having a closed-loop system. So as you're starting to see indications of customers wanting or desiring to shift their business, our salespeople go and do something, the managers can follow up.

So it's a factor. It's not the only factor, quality, performance, other things actually go into that price becomes a dimension. But OTIF is clearly 1 that drives attrition.

Great. Maybe let's shift forward to the portfolio and the priority verticals you guys have outlined and your R&D pivot. You've aligned 80% of your R&D spending with what you call priority verticals like semiconductors and data centers. How are you measuring the accountability of this R&D spend?

So 1 of the key growth drivers of the company is getting us back to innovation, I call it innovation excellence. And it's really pivoting the company towards a more -- what I call internally -- the factory we call R&D, a mechanized with clear KPIs, focused on developing, launching new products. And you can see that we're making some progress here.

So on-time assessment wasn't measured. We're now running consistently 80%. We're running a more centralized governance of R&D, which allows us to drive more of our spend to these priority verticals, the places where we have a right to win, where technology differentiates, now 80% of our investment across the company is going after these -- into these priority verticals, which I think is an important focus.

The funnel health is good. We're seeing clearly an acceleration in the launch of new products. Three years ago, we launched about 125 products in a given year. That's way down from what was historical where we were in the 700, 800 per year range. Last year, we launched 284. This year, we'll launch more than 350. So it's about triple where we were 3 years ago.

And you can see the effects of that. We're starting to see new product sales, 5-year new product sales start to increase. Our New Product Vitality Index, which we measure on a 5-year sales basis, is coming back up. It was 11%. Now it's mid-teens. At the end, hit 20% or so by the end of next year and continue to rise. Historically, 3M for an innovation-driven material science company, we've historically been around 25%.

So why is that important? Vitality Index is an indication of the freshness of your portfolio. So if you're a salesperson and you're going to see -- going in to see a customer and you're not delivering on-time in full, you're trying to drive price because material costs are going up and you have nothing new to say because you're not innovating, it's a very tough job.

In fact, we're changing that dimension. We are starting to see drop to the bottom line now revenue coming from new product innovation. This is a key focus. It's a longer-term journey. I said it's going to be shifting over time from more upfront, we'll see more benefits from commercial excellence to selling more of what we have. And it's going to pivot over time towards growth coming from new product innovation.

And you can clearly see that in our numbers. This year, we'll do more or less $400 million above the macro. Half of that or more than half is coming from innovation. And as we go into 2027, more will come from innovation. And why is that happening? Because we're shifting from incremental projects, Class 3 projects that we call more to 4s and 5s, which are driving us more into adjacencies or new businesses, and that's where you really get to drive the true net growth.

So that's all we're trying to do is to mechanize this factory we're calling R&D. And in fact, we're seeing good performance. We're measuring very carefully business cases, but holding people accountable to the outputs, the outcomes. Are you getting the growth? Are you getting the margins that come from the investments that investors are all putting into R&D inside the company.

Great. I guess following on that, right, these new businesses and these new growth vectors you guys are isolating, let's touch on data centers. I can't have a conference these days without talking about data centers, it feels like. And so your partnership with Microsoft for expanded beam optics, it's a major milestone, and the TAM is projected to reach $2 billion by '28. What is your strategy for licensing this technology to ensure it becomes the industry standard while maintaining your competitive edge?

So EBO, we started talking about this with investors earlier this year, expanded beam optics. It's a technology that 3M created. We have lots of patents around it that allows a durable, dust-resistant, very easy to install fiber-to-fiber connection inside the data centers. And it's been proven to reduce installation costs by 85%.

And when you're building data centers today, there's hundreds of millions of fibers, individual fiber strands that historically have been put together point-to-point as opposed to an expanded beam technology, which we have. And again, it's dust-resistant. These environments are very dusty. It takes a lot of labor and time to mold and connect to individual fiber strands. And this technology is pretty resilient.

So Microsoft had been in testing for several years and has proven out the case. We announced earlier this year a couple of months ago that we signed a strategic partnership with Microsoft. Part of it is around EBO, and that's a key part of it. They're standardizing on EBO in the Azure data centers. That will expand from there. There's qualification, proofs of concept happening today with 5 other global hyperscalers.

That will come out over time. But as you watch what's happening in data centers, there's a clear shift from copper interconnects, which we also participate in, to optical interconnects. You're going to see that move dramatically over time. So the opportunity for us is quite large, and it's taking hold. Microsoft is the first 1, but there's certainly others.

The key to success is not doing this as a stand-alone company. It's about how you enable the ecosystem. There's no hyperscaler that's going to buy anything individually from any single company. That's just not going to end up happening. So what we're doing is we're putting a lot of time into enabling this ecosystem. We formed an MSA. There's 44 companies in it, the hyperscalers, chip designers, connector companies, other contract manufacturers are in there.

It's really how do you standardize this technology, develop common specifications. And part of that is licensing other folks to actually do the technology to do EBO, which I think is an important element for how you grow this overall ecosystem. So we're scaling it internally. We're going to double our capacity this year for EBO production inside of 3M, but there's just no way that 3M alone can actually satisfy the market demand and the speed at which it's coming at us to deliver against.

So it's requiring us to think very differently about contract manufacturing and people that have been in the market that can scale very, very quickly. We have signed a CM agreement, contract manufacturing agreement, both technology as well as manufacturing. It will scale over time. Every hyperscaler is a little bit different. Their designs are slightly different. Some are 12, some are 16, some are other numbers of fibers per ferrule.

And it's going to change over time, but each 1 takes a little bit of engineering work to go and perfect that. But it's going to scale this year. It's nominal. It's approaching a $2 billion TAM in a year or 2. It's -- but it's proving itself out. And it really starts with enabling this ecosystem. And for us, it's not just selling a ferrule into a data center, it's what other opportunities does it open for us.

There's other things we can do along the fiber path. Part of right now, it's a polymer EBO. It's for certain applications inside of the data center. But as you know, as you go closer to the chip and bring optics to a chip, it requires a different heat resistance and probably a different technology, more ceramic than polymer. And that's actually quite a deep expertise at 3M as well.

So that's the path we're going down. We do have optical and copper connections inside the data center, tons of opportunities around that. So if you read the Microsoft agreement, it is a strategic partnership agreement. It's -- we're a material science partner. What that's allowing us to do there and with other hyperscalers have a different dialogue on how we can bring material science, technologies, expertise of the company to bear to help with these hyperscalers and things way beyond just connecting 2 pieces of fiber.

So that's pretty exciting. It's -- we'll keep updating investors on progress here, but we're off to a good start. We have 100 patents in the space, 50 patents, 50 pending. So we've got good IP protection. But again, the success here is about how do you enable the ecosystem.

Makes sense. I guess let's just double-click on that. What other projects or products are you developing for the data center market today? And when could we expect to see some of these come to market perhaps?

So our data center business today, last year was about $600 million. It is growing, of course, both inside and outside the data center. So the optical and copper interconnect inside the data center are part of it. That's a smaller part outside. We do a lot of terminations and splices to bring medium voltage cable to the data center.

An interesting technology, it's 1 we've been in the market with for a long, long time. It's around the ceramic technology, Nextel fiber. Nextel fiber is very durable. It's heat resistant. It's got structural integrity. And it could be useful and is useful in some behind-the-meter applications like fuel cells. And there's some really interesting developments happening there.

Again, it's having us to step back and think about how do we scale to the demand. We've been producing Nextel for a while, goes into a variety of different applications. But the demand that's coming at us right now outstrips our capacity. So we're having to invest. We're having to think differently about how we run that part of the business.

So this is a -- it's a very interesting opportunity for us. We're not a big player in data centers. So even if things start to move around a little bit, there's maybe some pullback in data center construction. I think we still have a huge opportunity to gain share in that very, very large pool of capital going into that business.

Great. Maybe outside of the growth initiatives and the R&D, let's talk more about the portfolio as you see it today? And how are you identifying some of the drag businesses within your 120 different profit centers?

So at the Investor Day, we laid out our approach here and hasn't really fundamentally changed. Look, we -- there's businesses that I think are very attractive within 3M, where we have -- where they're growing well, where there's high margin potential from where we sit today, where we have a right to win where technology is critical to differentiation.

Those are the kinds of businesses that we want to be in. That's what 3M is all about. We're not a commodity company. We're a material science organization. And we're investing in them. And I think I mentioned a minute ago, it's both organically, so we're shifting our R&D dollars to those priority verticals in a really significant way, which I think is important as we get more bang for the buck on R&D.

We're also investing inorganically in there. That was the Madison Fire & Rescue business we acquired in concert with a private equity partner of ours. We contributed our Scott SCBA business. So very premier fire safety system businesses in a very sticky marketplace with a large TAM. We're growing high single digits, margins above the company average on EBITDA going in.

And on top of that, there's opportunities through complementary cross-selling across the business. It's an area where there could be bolt-on acquisitions over time, working in concert with the private equity firm, great opportunity to continue to drive margin expansion. So there's clear opportunities for us to continue to pivot the portfolio to these areas, which I think are attractive and growing. And again, where technology differentiates.

Of course, on the other side of the spectrum is some businesses that are more commodity-like where we don't really see the ability to invest in technology to differentiate the market -- to differentiate our offering in the marketplace. This year we closed on the precision grinding and finishing business, not very big, but it dragged along 7 factories. It was a business that wasn't performing very well, more commodity-like, and we got out of that business.

But there'll be more over time. There's not a specific time frame for doing this, but we'll look hard at what things should we be pulling out of. At the same time, we're looking at what things should we be moving more into inorganically so you shift and pivot the portfolio. And that's an ongoing portfolio management conversation.

Great. Maybe before we pivot over to near-term operating dynamics, I'll just take a pause to see if there's any questions from the audience. Going once? Going twice. It was a late night for everybody, I guess. All right. Well, let's take a look at the current operating environment. So most recently, you guys just delivered a very solid organic growth quarter with 5.5% or 5.4% organic growth in the second quarter, which was roughly 2x the underlying macro and momentum. So how much of this outgrowth do we think is sustainable and real structural change versus just perhaps a temporary boost from channel inventory harmonics or onetime commercial excellence gains?

So look, I mean, it's -- so you're right, it was like sort of 5%, 5.4% in Q2, so about 3.3% in the first half. It's very strong in SIBG, which is over 8%, our Safety and Industrial business. Even TEBG or Transportation & Electronics was close to 6%. The consumer business was down a little bit, but very good growth. Look, I think it's in large part driven by the work that we have started to push on around commercial excellence, innovation excellence, underscored by better performance on the operation. It's pretty clear inside the company, at the cadence at which we're driving day-to-day rigor execution, orders coming in and getting fulfilled to the factory, out through distribution in a very closed-loop system.

There's a lot of rigor. This is not run for the quarter. It's how do you run through the day, how do you run through the hour. And it's a different op tempo within the company, very, very clear to me. But I think all of these sort of self-help initiatives around driving better sales performance through better innovative products is a key driver of this. So it's good work.

SIBG was almost really across the portfolio, broad-based, good performance. There was 1 part of it that was down. But the other parts were up, even roofing granules is starting to come back to growth, which I think is good. So abrasives, electrical business, safety business, all growing. It felt pretty good performance.

Clearly, there's a macro trend going on here. But the team -- they were the first and the earliest out of the gates inside of 3M on commercial excellence, and you can see the benefits of that. On the transportation business, I think we're benefiting from a good A&D, aerospace and defense momentum, really good momentum in semiconductors, in data centers.

The commercial branding business actually did pretty well. And you could see that we're actually operating better. We're delivering faster. So we're cycling through the backlog quicker, which I think is all good execution in that business. The consumer business was down a little bit, but I was encouraged by the sell-through or the POS that was in the business.

It was around 2.5% in Q2, which is -- which was pretty good given where we were last year. We've had through at least for the first half, we had more weeks where positive POS growth of our products through distribution than all of last year. We see that momentum continuing into Q3. So good balance across the company.

And as I look here into Q3, we're seeing some of that same momentum carry us here into the back half of the year. We said we would be more than 3.5% for the year. First half of the year was 3.3%, which means you're seeing -- we're going to see acceleration second half versus first half. I'm encouraged by some of the trends that are happening here, and I think good execution, principally from some of the things we've been working on around innovation and commercial excellence.

Got you. Maybe let's just double-click on that for a second. The macro trends. I mean, you touched so many different discrete end markets. And from my vantage, pretty much everything outside of AI still seems somewhat rudderless. But I guess what's your perspective on the underlying macro as you kind of look at your various discrete verticals?

Across the business, it's pretty good. I would say there's probably 70% of the company, we believe, don't touch at all data centers, which is good. The other 30%, maybe a little bit to a lot. Like obviously, our data center business is driven strictly from that. But consumer electronics or some relevance to data centers, possibly, but 70% really sits outside of that.

So we're -- a lot of what we're seeing in the macro, I believe, is kind of independent of what's happening right now in data centers. The -- again, we're seeing good trajectory across industrial businesses. The 3 areas that I think we've seen some pressure. We saw it in Q2. We sort of guided to this in the back end of the year.

One is consumer electronics, we knew it was going to be weak. It has been weak. You see memory prices come up, devices are slow, PCs, notebooks, tablets, phones, we know that was going to be down in the back end of the year. We actually outgrew the market in the second quarter. We included electronics, we include semis and data centers, but that actually was pretty decent for us. But consumer electronics remains under some pressure.

Auto is down about 1.5 points on the build rate, IHS build rates. We were up in Q2. We're going to see some of that pressure here in the back end. But luckily, commercial vehicles, which we include in the auto portfolio is actually recovering pretty nicely. We're seeing some growth in that in the back half of the year.

And the third, I talked a lot about consumer. Fortunately, we're seeing good POS trends are positive here for us into the third quarter. We just -- and we think that the weeks of supply or the inventory build that we saw happen in Q2 is normalizing here.

So generally speaking, I think things look pretty decent. Data centers is a factor behind the macro, but there's a lot of parts of the company that are independent of that. We've been growing pretty well geographically. Every region grew in the second quarter, which I think is positive.

Of course, with pressure on consumer electronics, we -- a lot of our supply chain is in China. A lot of our manufacturing is in China. So obviously, with consumer electronics down a little bit, we'll see China softening a little bit in the back half of the year. But generally speaking, things look pretty good.

Great. I mean maybe on the consumer side, as we kind of think about back-to-school and the holiday season ahead, how are we thinking about the inventory in the channel right now vis-a-vis these decent POS trends?

So it's normalizing. I mean there was a couple of retailers in the second quarter for their own specific reasons, were bringing their stock of inventory down. Look, I think what's happening is here the consumer remains cautious, certainly in the spaces that we happen to be in. You can see gas prices are up, interest rates are up. The consumer remains cautious.

And because of that, some of the retailers are also expressing caution. They're waiting to place orders to replenish their shelves. We saw some of that behavior in the second quarter. But that's normalizing here in the back half of the year. Back-to-school is as we had expected. It's a little bit early on the holiday build in. That start tends to start right about now into October.

So we'll see. We'll see what the retailers are doing. But the consumer business is never going to be the outsized grower contributor to the company, but we also don't want it to be a drag. And we do expect the second half will be better than the first in the consumer business.

Great. Well, given today's inflationary backdrop, I can't help but have to ask about price/cost neutrality with oil-linked input costs reaching an estimated $125 million headwind. Can you walk us through some of your design-to-cost initiatives and whether or not your current 50 basis point pricing actions are sufficient to maintain that dollar-for-dollar neutrality?

So the answer is yes. I mean we -- for this year, we'll do about 1.5 points of price. In the first half, it was 1%. We expect about 2% price increase in the back half. So 1.5% for the year. About 50 basis points of that 1.5% is sort of standard material inflation we see every year. There's another 30 basis points or so that was for tariffs that we're pricing ahead of tariffs from last year.

The other 70 basis points was really around price of oil. And for us, as I guided in the second quarter, the oil impact on us is more like $150 million to $175 million. $125 million was earlier this year with oil coming up, more like $150 million to $175 million, we will offset that dollar-for-dollar in that 70 basis points we see in the back end of the year. So we feel good that, that's going to stick.

Price for us as a whole is becoming more of a central part of what we call our commercial excellence initiative, how we govern price. When you're delivering new products, when you're delivering on time, when you're performing to the customers, your ability to drive price is better. And I think internally, our agility on driving price is better.

I think we're more confident. We're pushing it faster this year in responding to oil and oil shock than we did last year responding to a tariff shock. So we're getting better at how we do this. So again, we'll see dollar-for-dollar offset on oil through price. So that's going to be neutral.

What that means is you're going to start -- you're going to see maybe 10, 20 basis points of headwind associated with that on margin, which we're working to offset, but it won't affect earnings because we're offsetting it through price. This is an area I think the company has put a lot of time and it is getting a little bit better.

There's more opportunity to do more on price for sure over time. Certainly, as we drive this innovation engine, our ability to drive price to bring new products to market becomes a little bit better. But we're doing better than we were last year on price cost.

Great. I guess following on that, right, between trade, tariffs, inflation, energy cost differentials globally. Help us think about your footprint rationalization right now. And with your factory count now dropping below 100, and yet management is still commenting that perhaps it's a little bit bigger than required. How do you kind of think about the rationalization of that footprint going forward?

Look, it's the next step in the transformation journey of the company. We have first couple of years around building the foundation. And you can't think about how do you consolidate assets or facilities unless you really understand at a detailed level, what's the utilization of the facilities you have today, which we're -- we have opportunities to improve that, but we know it well. We know it down to the individual asset.

So that is the next phase is how do we think about structural cost takeout inside the company. It's in the factories. It's also in a lot of our back-office activities. As we move the company from a holding company to an operating company, we look across the organization. We see opportunities to drive more process efficiency and structural cost reduction in IT services and HR and in finance, some of our other back-office activities.

And we're moving down the path pretty quickly on that. That's a big part of this year. It will go into next year. But factory consolidation is a 3-, 4-, 5-year journey. The payback on that is in that time frame. We're working on this is not any sort of a big bang approach. It's going to be a very thoughtful, very methodical approach.

So we -- at the end of last year, we were at 110 factories and 84 distribution centers. As we sit here today, it's below 100. There's a number of factories that are in flight or in various parts of analysis. We're executing on many of these. These will happen over time very -- again, very systematically.

But that is -- as we think about it, that is the runway on the margin growth beyond '27. So we're tracking above 25% operating margins by next year. The runway to continue to drive that is going to be a lot of the structural cost takeout, some of which is going to be across our factory network.

Maybe if we could, let's just dive in on that a bit, right? You touched on the transition from 3M being a holding company to more of like an integrated operating company, utilizing a global service delivery model for everything. How should we think about AI integration and what that kind of enables you guys to achieve?

So look, first of all, I mean, the transition from a holding company to an operating company is a fundamental, very important part of the operating model shift, the transformation inside the company. To do what we're trying to do today, we -- you can't get at how do you rationalize facilities, can't think about how do you drive metrics across the network when every country has their own factory, their own distribution network around it, their own supplier network, their own contract manufacturers, even in some places, their own R&D and developing new products.

This is run more across the overall organization. It's hard to think about how do you drive cost per quality across the company if when 1 factory is shipping to another is shipping to another before you go to the end customer and everyone is doing their own same thing.

So this is an opportunity for us to look across the organization, drive consistent KPIs, consistent metrics, think about how do you streamline process. So it's a key part of it. And part of it was 3 years ago when we decided to fold all of the operations, all the supply chain into 1 organization run globally.

We're doing the same thing with how we think about marketing and finance and HR and IT and all the functions inside the company running it more holistically across the organization, which is unlocking tremendous opportunities to take structural cost out, drive standardization and drive efficiency. So this is a fundamental part of this journey we're on.

AI is going to be a key part of this. So as we think about how we drive process efficiency across these supply chains, across these different functions, we can now apply AI tools pretty seamlessly and directly. I think everybody is working on how do you bring AI into back-office activities. I think that's kind of table stakes in many ways. We're doing that. Lots of people are.

As we outsource to a BPO, they're bringing their agents to bear to help us with that. Where I think the unlock using AI inside the company is going to be around the supply chain, but also importantly, on innovation. It will compress the cycle time for how we launch new products. We've already committed to compressing the cycle time by 20%. I see opportunities to go way beyond that.

AI is going to help us create new ideas, new ways of interacting with customers. We launched Ask 3M, which is a selling agent, which allows us to reach lots of companies, lots of small, midsized enterprise, deal with commerce with them directly and eventually connect them, their researchers directly to our researchers and innovate new materials, do it digitally.

You have a digital twin. You can model and simulate. You do not have to do prototypes, allow you to launch products faster. This is going to transform this organization and really actually make us, I think, differentiate. Our moat, if you will, is the data, the intellectual property inside the company. And this is where I think it's going to be a big help for us is really around innovation.

Great. We've got 1 minute left. I want to see if there's any last-minute questions from the audience. Otherwise, Bill, let's finish where we started, right? I asked you at the beginning, what you learned and what were some of your biggest successes in the first 2 years. As you look forward in the next 2 years, what are you most excited about? And what do you want to tell the audience here about the 3M story that perhaps they don't fully appreciate?

Look, I think we've had good momentum here. I think the first couple, 2.5 years have been around foundation building, building the basics, instituting a new culture inside the organization. And so when I step back and think about this, the things -- our value creation framework is now much more in our control. Of course, everybody is subject to the macro, but a lot of things I'm talking about are independent of the macro. This is actually going to -- they're going to hold and continue to kind of move.

The second thing is around the cultural transformation of the company. The companies -- to make these kinds of changes durable, they have to be in the fabric of the organization, how you operate every single day, your processes, your people. It's the culture of the organization.

I think when I step back and think about this, we're executing the fundamentals really well. We're setting ourselves up for a transformation journey to really unlock value through some of the structural cost reductions and make it durable through a lot of the culture changes happening.

And when you put those pieces together, this is a story that's just being told. The opportunities ahead of us are more than I thought coming in. They're greater than we've seen to date. And I think I feel really, really positive about the trajectory the company is on.

Great. Thank you, Bill. Thank you for the 3M team. That's a wrap.

Thank you.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 3M Second Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]

As a reminder, this call is being recorded, Tuesday, July 21, 2026. I would now like to turn the call over to Chinmay Trivedi, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning and Analysis at 3M.

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our quarterly earnings conference call. With me today are Bill Brown, 3M's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Anurag Maheshwari, 3M's Chief Financial Officer. Bill and Anurag will make some formal comments, then we will take your questions.

Please note that today's earnings release and slide presentation accompanying this call are posted on the homepage of our Investor Relations website at 3M.com. Please turn to Slide 2 and take a moment to read the forward-looking statements.

During today's conference call, we'll be making certain predictive statements that reflect our current views of our 3M's future performance and financial results. These statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Item 1A of our most recent Form 10-Q lists some of the most important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from our predictions.

Please note, throughout today's presentation, we'll be making references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures can be found in the attachments to today's press release.

With that, please turn to Slide 3, and I will hand the call off to Bill. Bill?

Thank you, Chinmay, and good morning, everyone. We delivered strong performance in Q2, including organic growth of 5.4%; operating margin of 24.9%, up 40 basis points; earnings per share of $2.40, up 11%; and free cash flow of $1.3 billion with 107% conversion.

We returned $1.4 billion to shareholders in the quarter, including $400 million in dividends and $1 billion of share repurchases. Since 2025, we returned $8.6 billion to shareholders against our commitment to return $10 billion plus through 2027.

Given our strong first half performance, we're raising our guidance for the year for sales, EPS and free cash flow. Our results today exceeded our expectations, demonstrate the progress we're making to build a higher-performing company and continue to give us confidence we're on the right path forward. The strategy we put in place 2 years ago is delivering results, and we're building momentum and executing against our strategic priorities.

Commercial excellence initiatives continue to drive results through improved salesforce effectiveness and stronger account execution, supported by AI-enabled tools that enhance planning, prioritize opportunities and accelerate productivity. Cross-selling continues to outperform expectations with $110 million of opportunities booked and another $120 million in the pipeline, up over 40% quarter-over-quarter, and putting us ahead of the goal we set at our Investor Day.

We're rebuilding the innovation engine at 3M and significantly accelerating our pace of new product introductions. In the quarter, we launched 92 new products, up 44% versus last year, bringing our first half total to 176 launches and putting us on track to deliver more than 350 new products this year. The benefits are showing up in our results, and I'll talk more about our innovation journey in a moment.

Our focus on operational discipline and productivity improvement continues to create value across the enterprise. Cost per quality improved 60 basis points year-over-year, while overall equipment effectiveness improved 140 basis points. As asset utilization improves, we're able to consolidate production into fewer assets, optimize our manufacturing footprint and retire older and less efficient equipment. While overall utilization remains a long-term opportunity, there are pockets in our manufacturing network today where capacity is constrained and short of demand.

One example is our new owned facility, which produces cable accessories for electrical markets, a product that's facing high and increasing demand. Here, the team ran a multi-week sprint that set a disciplined operating cadence against a locked production schedule, improved material flow, eliminated process bottlenecks and focus the team on rapidly resolving the underlying constraints holding back output. As a result, the work center achieved record production levels in June, delivering $13 million of incremental revenue or nearly 50 basis points at the SIBG level. The actions we've taken across commercial execution, innovation and operations are part of a broader transition at 3M from a holding company to a more integrated operating company model.

The next step in the journey is around transformation, simplifying and standardizing core processes, reducing complexity in our factory and distribution network and reshaping our portfolio. Today, many of the activities and support functions like finance, HR and customer service operate independently across regions and business units, creating unnecessary complexity, inefficiency and duplication. We're bringing these activities together into a single global service delivery model and partnering with an external provider to run them at scale using automation and AI. This move will increase agility, accelerate technology adoption and sharpen our focus on the capabilities that are most critical to driving growth and long-term value creation.

We're also continuing to enhance our portfolio. On July 1, we closed on the acquisition of Madison Fire & Rescue, consolidating it with our Scott SCBA business into a new majority-owned joint venture and receiving $700 million in cash as part of the transaction. This JV generates revenue of $800 million, growing at high single digits and with margins above our company average. This is a clear example of how we're reshaping the portfolio towards higher growth, higher-margin businesses, strengthening our priority vertical while keeping our capital allocation discipline.

Another priority vertical is data centers, and I want to touch on an exciting announcement we made last week. We entered a strategic partnership with Microsoft, who will become the first hyperscaler to deploy our patented Expanded Beam Optics or EBO technology in Azure data centers. This is a powerful proof point of how we're applying 3M's innovation to one of the fastest-growing markets in the world. Our connectors install faster, hold up far better to dust and handling and help customers stand up AI capacity more quickly. We're rapidly scaling production capacity both internally and externally, and engaging the broader ecosystem of suppliers, partners and customers to support standardization and industry adoption of EBO technology.

On Slide 4, we show that the positive momentum in Q1 in several growth areas carried into Q2, driving strong performance in the first half across adhesives, abrasives, aerospace, electrical markets and safety. We continue to see a couple of places with pressure, including consumer electronics, auto and auto aftermarket and U.S. consumer spending. We're clearly outgrowing the market in aggregate through better commercial execution, including increased cross-selling and improved customer retention and a faster pace of innovation. Overall, our first half performance positions us well for continued momentum in the second half of the year.

Innovation has always been one of 3M's greatest competitive advantages, and Slide 5 highlights a significant inflection in launches and new product sales beginning about 2 years ago. Our goal is to restore that advantage at an even higher level by combining our unmatched material science capabilities with greater speed and better execution.

Over the past couple of years, we've taken deliberate actions to increase rigor, accountability and focus within our R&D organization, what we've been calling our R&D factory. As a result, we're beginning to see meaningful improvements across the innovation pipeline. We're increasing the pace of innovation and are on track to nearly triple the number of new products introduced this year versus 3 years ago, and launched more than 1,000 products by 2027, while reducing development cycle time by about 20%. We expect performance to continue accelerating as we leverage AI to move more quickly from idea generation to development and production. These efforts are translating into commercial results with 5-year new product sales reaching about $4 billion this year and new product vitality index climbing to the mid-teens this year and 20% next year.

The right side of the slide highlights several next-generation innovations and showcases the breadth of our portfolio and ability to address emerging customer needs. From developing new products for new markets like EBO for data centers to adapting existing technologies to new applications like Nextel high-performance fibers for fuel cells and light reflective films for space satellites. These products demonstrate how we're applying technology to unlock new growth opportunities.

Slide 6 pulls it all together. Over the last couple of years, we've moved from a decline of 4.4% in 2023 to positive growth of 3% on a trailing 12-month basis through the first half of 2026, while at the same time, expanding margins by about 500 basis points. This is 3M Excellence at work and demonstrates that we can both grow the top line and increase margins simultaneously. Our performance is increasingly outpacing underlying end markets with our growth to market multiple improving from roughly in line to 2x and with businesses that declined in 2023 turning solidly positive in '26.

While we're still in the early innings of our journey to create value, the momentum is building. I'm encouraged by the progress we're making and confident in our ability to continue to deliver above-market growth and sustainable margin expansion over the long term.

With that, I'll turn it over to Anurag to share the details of the quarter. Anurag?

Thank you, Bill. Turning to Slide 7. We exceeded expectations across all financial metrics in the quarter, delivered mid-single-digit organic growth, margin expansion, double-digit earnings growth and robust free cash flow, all reflecting strong progress against our strategic priorities. Starting with top line. In an unchanged macro environment, the organic sales growth of 5.4% was driven by successful execution of our commercial excellence initiatives and increasing contribution from new product launches supported by a strong operating tempo.

Coming into the quarter, we had expected sales conversion from the Q1 order strength to accelerate revenue growth to over 3% in the second quarter. With the sustained order momentum in the quarter combined with good supply chain execution, we were able to grow above expectations. This puts the first half organic growth at 3.3%, comfortably outperforming macro.

By geography, we saw broad-based growth across all the 5 regions. China grew double digits with strength in industrial adhesives, safety and auto films as we executed on our key accounts and local NPI strategies leading to share gains. U.S. and Canada industrial businesses grew mid-single digits, partially offset by softness in consumer and auto aftermarket. It was encouraging to see Europe return to growth, up mid-single digits, despite a muted auto market. And in Asia, we saw double-digit growth led by India, a trend that has continued for 7 straight quarters as a result of increased sales coverage in a growing economy.

Q2 adjusted operating margins were 24.9%, up 40 basis points with the business group operating margins up 70 basis points, partially offset by expected corporate headwind of 30 basis points. Operating profit increased $110 million or $0.16, including a $240 million benefit from sales growth and broad-based productivity, partially offset by $30 million of investments and $110 million from tariff impact and stranded cost headwind. We have not received any tariff refunds to date.

The $0.24 of EPS growth in the quarter is driven by $0.16 of operating profit growth and $0.08 primarily from lower share count as we continue to return capital to shareholders. The benefit from tax timing and lower pension costs was offset by a prior year gain on investment. This earnings growth was also reflected in the unadjusted results with Q2 GAAP EPS of $1.78, growing 33% year-over-year. This included the impact of costs from ongoing transformation actions, exit of certain PFAS manufacturing assets and gain from change in value of our Solventum ownership.

Free cash flow was robust at $1.3 billion or 107% conversion as we benefited from strong earnings and working capital management, including 7 days improvement over last year in inventory. We returned $1.4 billion to shareholders via dividends and gross share buybacks. For the half, we generated cash flow of $1.9 billion and returned $3.8 billion to shareholders, including $0.8 billion in dividends and $3 billion in share repurchases.

Turning to the next slide, I will provide a quick overview of our growth performance for each business group. Safety and Industrial delivered a standout quarter with 8.2% organic sales growth driven by the continued expansion of commercial excellence initiatives and the ramp-up of new product launches. We delivered double-digit growth across the 4 industrial businesses: electrical markets, industrial adhesives and tapes, abrasives and industrial specialties. This growth was driven by targeted commercial initiatives to reduce customer churn, strengthen sales coverage and effectiveness and increased cross selling.

Safety grew high single digits on the back of new product launches and continued international expansion. It was encouraging to see roofing granules return to growth and we expect that trend to continue in the back half on a recovering market and easy compares. For the half, SIBG grew 5.7%, demonstrating sustained acceleration over the last 2 years.

Transportation and Electronics sales grew 5.9% in the second quarter from the expected backlog conversion combined with stronger commercial execution and account management. The first half growth of 2.9% reflects strength in approximately half of the business segments, more than offsetting end market weakness in the other half. Semiconductor, aerospace and data center business segments, comprising approximately 20% of sales, grew double digits as we gained traction from new product introductions, and commercial branding and transportation, which is about 1/3 of the business, grew approximately 5%.

On the other hand, auto was flat in a soft market and consumer electronics was down low single digit, performing better than the broader consumer device market. SIBG and TEBG, which together represent 80% of our business, delivered 7% growth in the second quarter and approximately 5% growth for the first half.

Finally, consumer, which makes up the remaining 20% of our sales, was down 2.1% for the quarter and 1.7% for the half. Point of sales growth in the U.S. remained healthy and has been positive in 18 of the 26 weeks year-to-date was a 7 positive weeks in all of last year. However, tightening of inventory levels at several key retailers in the second half of June more than offset this positive momentum.

The second quarter performance caps a strong first half, including organic sales growth of 3.3%, operating margin of 24.3% and earnings growth of 12%, giving us confidence to raise our full year guidance across all the financial metrics on Slide 9. We are raising our organic growth expectations from 3% to greater than 3.5% for the year. This is a result of strong commercial momentum in our industrial businesses supported by increased sales contribution from new product launches, which will more than offset the slight weakness in consumer business.

EPS guidance is increasing from a range of $8.50 to $8.70 to a range of $8.80 to $8.95 or a growth of 9% to 11% year-over-year. This increases both the low and high end of the guidance and reflects about a $0.27 increase at the midpoint. The increase in earnings versus the prior guidance is coming from stronger sales growth, productivity gains and our capital deployment strategy to be $150 million to $175 million, up from $125 million previously. This impact is expected to be fully covered by the price actions we implemented in Q2.

Though oil price cost is dollar neutral, it impacts margin rate by 20 basis points, which we will mitigate through higher volume and better productivity, resulting in operating margin expansion in line with our prior expectations.

Given the higher earnings growth and progress in working capital, we have increased our free cash flow guidance by $100 million to a range of $4.7 billion to $4.9 billion, implying conversion greater than 100%. The updated guidance implies second half organic sales growth of high 3s or better over 2x macro and margin expansion of about 100 basis points from the prior year, resulting in EPS growth of approximately $0.30 at the midpoint. Sequentially, we expect operating profit to follow typical seasonality with similar phasing between the halves while earnings will see an impact from tax timing.

Turning to Slide 10. I want to take a minute to highlight the progress we have made since our Investor Day last year. We are at the halfway point, and with a strong 2025 foundation and the updated '26 guidance, we are tracking ahead of Investor Day commitments across all metrics.

Our growth trajectory continues to accelerate from commercial excellence and innovation and is on track to exceed the $1 billion above macro commitment. Along with growth, we are seeing good operating margin expansion and are tracking ahead of the approximately 25% margin rate by '27.

For earnings, we are trending to a double-digit CAGR, reflecting strong operational improvements coupled with below-the-line efficiency. And on cash, we expect to continue the strong trajectory, exceeding our cumulative cash commitment and $10 billion of return to shareholders.

Overall, we are pleased with the progress we are making and want to thank the team for their relentless focus, determined pace and strong execution to drive long-term value for our shareholders. With that, let's open the call for questions.

[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.

Nice to see the top line here. Bill, I was wondering if you could just even unpack this a little bit more. There is some great detail on these slides. But just kind of looking at the new product launches and the like, closely on track to what you thought, I believe, right, but the revenues are coming in better. So do we have a combination of just upside in new product revenue relative to plan? It sounds like cross-sell is a little bit better. And then maybe what role kind of reduced churn is playing in all this? And I guess really what I want to get to at the end of the question is an algorithm of roughly 2x macro, do you view that as sort of a sustainable model for 3M going forward?

So Jeff, that's a great question. Thank you for that. Yes, we're very confident in where the growth happens to be. We came in stronger than we had expected in the quarter. It really is -- it's a combination of both commercial excellence and innovation excellence, the journey that we've been on for 2 years that is maturing, I think, very rapidly. It's not really macro tail, and the macro on the industrial side looks pretty good, but there are some headwinds in the marketplace. It's mostly just internal performance.

And when you look at just the quarter, a little bit better than we had expected over the last 12 months at 3%, it's clearly trending above the macro, we think it's pretty good, mostly driven in the first half from commercial excellence activities. A lot of the things we've laid out in the past around salesforce effectiveness, better performance at the front end, pricing governance. We're pushing a lot with our channel partners, joint business plans, cross-selling is much better.

And on loyalty, we are getting better on attrition. We've been tracking this very carefully over the last couple of years. We've seen about 200 basis points of improvement in attrition, primarily coming out of our SIBG business, which is -- it would take some time for that to turn, but it's starting to turn. It's still too high, but it's actually making some good improvements here.

As we look to the back end of the year, we do see the innovation engine contributing even more in the back half and, in fact, even greater into 2027 based on just the momentum that we have to be building here. So we feel pretty good. This year, we think we'll be about $450 million above macro in the full year, a little bit better than we thought last quarter, around $340 million, $350 million, and that's largely on the back of good commercial excellence, but the machine churning faster on innovation. So all good signs, and we're very pleased with the performance in the quarter and we expect our momentum to continue.

Great. And then maybe just unrelated follow-up for Anurag. Madison not included in the guide, although it's closed. Is there some peculiarity we need to work through before we dial this in? Just curious on why that wasn't included. And are we looking at a lower tax rate for the year?

Great. Well, thanks for the question, Jeff. No, we just wanted to provide an apple-to-apple guidance from our last earnings call so that we can see how our organic performance has impacted our revenue, EPS and cash. We have a page at the back of the webcast that has the revenue margin and other information on Madison. It does not have a material impact to the EPS guidance range or the numbers, and we will incorporate that in our third quarter call. And just for tax, we still plan to be around 20% for the year.

Our next question comes from the line of Scott Davis with Melius Research.

This Expanded Beam Optical thing seems interesting. But I'm trying to get a sense, I guess, of a couple of things. And one is really materiality and how that scales out, and looks like it was launched with Microsoft as kind of the partner. So is there an opportunity for that to scale across more hyperscalers? And how do you think about that? I'll just leave that as a little bit of an open-ended to help us understand where the upside is in that market.

So Scott, thanks for the question. Yes, it's getting quite a bit of excitement and we're excited internally as well. It's been a technology that's developed several years ago. Just in a nutshell, it's a very durable dust resistant, vibration resistant fiber optic connection technology. We've proven with a hyperscaler or that it can reduce by about 85% to time to revenue, time to install, circuits at a data center. We've got about 100 patents in the space, 50 pending.

So it's very well protected, and we're very excited about this. It's been in testing for several years. With Microsoft, we're very pleased that they have qualified us for -- as a technology for the Azure data centers. That's very encouraging. The revenue this year, it was in the $40 million, $50 million range. We do think it will scale over time, could be 4x or 5x, that or even more over the next several years depending upon our progress here as well as the adoption of optical technologies and data centers that transitions.

A couple of things are happening here. One, as we continue to develop the technology, each hyperscaler has some uniqueness in their architecture. So that's got to be developed. We've got to scale it, both internally and externally. And earlier this year, we announced that we would double our capacity on EBO this year and another doubling over the next year to 18 months. But even that isn't anywhere near the volume demand in the marketplace. So we're also working with various contract manufacturers are pretty developed on one.

The third item of this is that we will not be successful as a sole provider here. This is about enabling an ecosystem of partners. So we formed a multi-supplier agreement. There's 44 players in this agreement. All throughout the ecosystem, there's multiple hyperscalers, chip manufacturers, connector manufacturers. And it's about how do you enable the whole ecosystem.

So all of those things are in place. We're deep in the trials with other hyperscalers. I won't say much more about that. But the TAM this year for EBO technologies is around $1 billion. We think it will grow to $2 billion by 2028, $2 billion. It could be beyond that over time. But again, we've got to be very successful in how we scale this product and make sure we've got good quality, deliver on time, all those basic pieces. But we're very encouraged about the progress that we're on, the results that we're seeing. The team has done a great job here, and we're optimistic about the growth in the space.

Okay. That's helpful. And then just a quick follow-up. I'd kind of given up on China, but it sounds like China could potentially be a growth engine for you guys again. Is that an exaggeration? Or how do you view the short, medium, long term kind of China market today versus maybe when you took over the job?

Yes. Good question, Scott. I mean, look, we've been pretty consistent that China has been a very special market for us. It's performing really well. We've got a great team on the ground. We've organized a little bit differently and uniquely there as well as in India, sort of a hybrid organizational model. We have global business groups, but we stood up a team focused on China, based in China, same thing in India, and we're seeing the results.

In the second quarter, we were double-digit growth. First half, about 8%. A lot of the performance there, keep in mind, again, we're 50-50 between domestic production and export, the domestic economy from an industrial perspective remains pretty solid in China, and we're performing well. A lot of it is localizing NPI, and a lot of it is commercial execution on the ground. The team is doing a fantastic job. We have more than 5,000 people there, 6 factories. And again, we're developing more localized technology. The export is the other 50% of the business. That part of the economy has done pretty well, and we feel pretty good about the results, and we'll continue to press it every quarter as we were in Q3 and the back end of the year. But long term, we like our position in China. We like the team that's executing in China, the strategy, and we're pretty optimistic about the future in China.

Our next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with UBS.

Bill, Anurag, I was just hoping to get a little bit more color on NPI in terms of when you typically expect these new products to sort of really inflect, I'm sure it takes a few quarters or maybe a year or 2? And then anything within the NPI in terms of are these truly new products or increasingly so new products or I know what you call Class 3 products or refresh products, any thought there? And then I think there was this expectation that maybe $600 million of outgrowth next year on year 3 of the plan. Is that still the way to think about the outgrowth from a lot of these actions?

So Amit, a bunch of good questions. First, on the last piece around the outgrowth next year. I mean, look, this year, we originally said we would be $1 billion over the macro, [ 100 ] in '25, [ 300 ] in '26 and [ 600 ] in '27. Clearly, last year, we did a bit better than 100. This year, we'll do more than [ 300, ] around [ 450. ] So that continues to ramp. So we'll come back early next year and talk about next year. But clearly, we're performing better than the macro, and it's both commercial excellence as well as in innovation or NPI.

Look, on NPI, the progress has been fantastic. And the chart that we put into the webcast is a very important one. It shows this very deep inflection, and we're clearly on the right track here. These -- we typically would launch a product with it about -- from the beginning of development to launch, it's running around 250 days, it's down substantially than where it was 2 years ago. By '27, it's kind of around 20% reduction in overall cycle time.

But there's some like nuances in the data here. We're launching more Class 3s, which are shorter in duration. They're more incremental. But the company is pivoting more to what we call Class 4s and Class 5s. And Class 4s are those that move into adjacent markets and Class 5s are completely new products for new markets going into.

So the team is focusing more on the 4s and 5s. You'll see more impact in the back half of the year as those products that we started to work on a few years ago start to launch this year and become meaningful in the back half. They'll be even more meaningful into 2027. But the engine is moving, the momentum is really building. The team is executing I think fantastically well across all these various dimensions. We're launching more, but there's more ideas coming into the front end of the funnel. So the health of the pipeline is very good. So I think this will continue to build momentum in the back half and into next year. So it's what we're known for, material science and driving -- using material science to make differences in the world, and I think we're doing a good job with that.

Okay. That's very helpful, Bill. And just as a quick follow-up. When we started, I remember at the Analyst Day, I mean, the story originally was really about sort of getting the gross margin from the low 40s to the high 40s where you guys used to be. And obviously, with tariffs and all the developments that have happened, you've still been able to move the needle on the operating margin line, much of your credit despite sort of gross margin being sort of stuck in the very low 40s.

Is there an opportunity, do you think, structurally, at least with all that we know now. We can still get back to the high 40% margin on gross margin. If you can just sort of talk about that just given all the structural dynamics that have occurred over the last couple of years.

Look, Amit, on margins, I mean, you see the chart, I mean, up 500 basis points from a couple of years ago. So we are making really strong progress here. And it's both gross margin but also importantly, in SG&A and IT and other kinds of expenses, indirect costs. We've talked about that quite a bit. There was more to squeeze in that area, more cost to take out than we'd anticipated, and we've done a good job.

On gross margins, we're tracking to close to mid-40s right now. I mean the company has done a good job. Productivity is really solid. We had great productivity in the quarter. We continue to build momentum. I give you sort of the metrics around that. We are reducing our cost per quality that came down again. Our operating equipment effectiveness is coming up. We're driving hard on procurement, receiving net savings even after inflation, four-wall spend, we've doubled the number of Kaizen events inside the company.

Look, there's a ton of opportunity here just running the network, the distribution side better than -- as it exists today. The next step really as we transform is simplifying, standardizing, automating more of our processes, both on our SG&A side, and I talked a little bit about that in the prepared remarks, but also on the factory side, the network side. There is plenty of headroom here in front of us. We see ourselves marching ahead and with the ability to hit the high 40s over time.

But the road map is relatively clear. It's along the same lines we've been laying out and talking about over the last couple of years. And as we get into transformation, we'll see margins continue to expand. So we feel good about the performance and optimistic about the future of margins.

We'll go next to the line of Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research.

So quite a different quarter. I think Bill or Anurag, you mentioned last quarter, you started off quite weak and it got better through 1Q. I'm just wondering how the 5.4% looked from April through June? We start off stronger, got weaker? Any color there? And then any updates on how orders and maybe backlog exited the quarter?

Yes. Nigel, it was quite good throughout the course of the quarter. It was more linear than we've typically seen. We, as you said, we ended -- started the quarter with very good backlog. If I look at April and May, it was probably 600 basis points better relative to other first 2 months of prior quarters. So it was quite good as we went into the first 2 months of the quarter. And June, the auto momentum kind of sustained as well because we did add price increases, which came with effect from May 1. But just through the course of the quarter, we saw very good linearity and the team executed very well to post a 5.4% growth.

We did see similar, as I said, auto momentum in the second quarter like the first quarter, which strengthened the industrial side of the business. So our orders were up about 10% for the quarter and backlog about close to 20% up year-over-year. So as we get into Q3, we feel good, we have visibility for Q3 and the second half of the year. Obviously, 75% of our business is book and ship. So we have to monetize as we go along. But so far, the first 2 weeks, orders in backlog look good.

That's great. That's really encouraging. And my next question is really, you mentioned the consumer channel destock in the second half of June. So just wondering how long do you think this destock will happen? Any intel on how [indiscernible] look for 3M products? And then any color on how inventories are looking in SIBG and T&E and selling and the sell-through cover would be help as well.

So inventory levels in SIBG and TEBG are normal. There's no discernible trend one way or another, not a concern. On SIBG, look, I think what was encouraging is to continue to see the point-of-sale growth or sellout growth around 2.5% in the quarter, which was very positive. We felt good about that. It was really isolated to a couple of retailers, and we saw them step back a little bit in the U.S. channel, step back a little bit in terms of weeks of supply. It was about a 1-week delta as we come into July and into Q3, we think this will normalize here, especially as retailers stock for back-to-school season. But we'll keep monitoring it and communicate with investors as we need. But we feel it's going to normalize here to help us in the back half, the consumer to be flat to up slightly is what our expectation would be in the back half of the year.

Our next question comes from the line of Chigusa Katoku with JPMorgan.

Congrats on a great quarter. My first question is on organic growth. So you've raised your organic growth guidance nicely, but it still implies some deceleration in the second half and the strong second quarter levels. I think pricing should come through when you have some EBO delivery scheduled in the back end. So what's driving this? Is this consumer and electronics or the timing of deliveries? Or is this prudence?

Chigusa, thank you. I mean, look, it's a good question. The fact is the second half will be accelerating from the first half. You mentioned specifically Q2, but it does continue to accelerate. There are some positives here. We continue to see good momentum in general industrial, safety, we see semis, data center, A&D remains pretty strong. Anurag communicated about the roofing granules business is not very big, but we see some improvements in the back half on easier comps and we do see some tailwind on pricing. For the year, we'll be about 1.5 points, which implies about 2 points in the back half.

So all those things give us encouragement in the back half. Look, the watch items are, number one, is going to be consumer electronics. The market data indicates a deteriorating production volume of devices, PCs, tablets in the back half of the year, expected to be down high teens is lower than it was in the first half. So that's a watch area.

Auto is stabilizing in general for us, but it's still expected to be down on the build rate year-over-year in the back half. The auto aftermarket business we still think was going to be soft, repair claims is still expected to be down in the back half of the year. And look, the U.S. consumer remains cautious. As I just commented, we do expect flat to up growth in consumer in the back half, but the consumer remains cautious and value focused.

So those are the things that we're more cautious about, but at the end of the day, we had anticipated being above [ 3 ] in Q3. We came in about -- Q2 rather, we came in about [ 5. ] We do expect good momentum going into the back half of the year.

Great. Then as a follow-up, I just was wondering if you could give some -- a little bit more color on what drove the strength in margins this quarter? Is it mix, price cost or productivity? You're pretty much at your 2027 margin target right now in the second quarter. So kind of when should we kind of expect to hear about updated targets?

Okay. Thanks for the question. So we finished the quarter at 24.9% margin, which is the highest we've ever been. And this was 40 basis points higher than we thought where we would be. A large part of it was the volume performance relative to the 3%, we came in over 5%, but there was also a continuation on the productivity side as a combination of both G&A and on the supply chain, which had actually very good productivity for the quarter. So I would say it's broad-based between volume and productivity.

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Snyder with Morgan Stanley.

I wanted to follow up on the data center conversation, specifically the EBO opportunity. I think you said that this could be a $2 billion market by 2028. I'm just kind of curious, what is the competitive environment here just as we try to think about what share of that $2 billion market could accrue to 3M? It feels like a new technology that I would think the company is well positioned from a share perspective. But just any color on that.

Yes, Chris, look, it's a good question. We do play today inside the data center in a couple of ways. We play on sort of copper networking with our TwinAx product sold into data centers. There is a gradual transition from copper to fiber that's happening. It's across the data center, across the racks, it eventually will start to move down to the chip, which today is mostly copper-based solutions. So we've been playing on the copper side and optics is going to become a bigger share over time of networking in the data centers.

Typically, fiber optic connections are point-to-point. It's very difficult to do that. The ends have to be polished, it's specialized labor, it takes time, it takes effort. And when you're thinking about billions of individual [ fiber strands ] being connected in data centers. The market is looking for better solutions here and EBO connections allows them to do this more quickly and seamlessly and more reliably. And I think that's kind of an important differentiator.

As I mentioned earlier, we've got substantial patent protection around the technology, 100 patents today with another 50 that are pending. But we have and we will continue to license other ecosystem players to manufacture that technology, the EBO, Expanded Beam Optics technology because that's required by hyperscalers. There's no one company or supplier that will provide all of the demand for these hyperscalers, whether it be servers or chips or racks or whatever it happens to be, including EBO connectors.

So that's the path that we're on. We've got a small share today. Again, it's in the $40 million, $50 million range of $1 billion. But over time, given our technology and the momentum we think we're building here and our ability to scale, we think our share in that segment will grow materially, and that's what we would expect.

I appreciate that. And then maybe if I could follow up on price cost. I would imagine there was some lag on Q2 price cost, just given how quickly the commodity is inflated. And then when we think about the timing of your price actions in April and May. Can you maybe just kind of talk about price cost in Q2? And is it fair to assume that price cost gets better as we look into the back half, just with the incremental price coming through? And while commodity inflation is still certainly persisting, it does seem like a lot of these petrochemical inputs have eased a bit versus what we saw earlier in the spring.

Yes. Look, it's a great question, Chris. Q2, our price was at 1.6%. So it was about in line with what we had expected in the first half. It was around 1%. We started the year a little bit lighter. We do see that increasing in the back half of the year to be about 2%. As Anurag mentioned in his commentary, the impact for us this year embedded in our years, $150 million to $175 million from oil-based increases, that is up from where we were earlier in the year at [ $125 million. ] So to your point, there is a bit of a lag in that kind of rolling through the system. And we're being adaptable here. We're adjusting as we go. We are trying to offset that dollar for dollar. It will impact margins, but we do expect it will offset the higher price of oil on a dollar-for-dollar basis through pricing.

We're executing a little bit better. We got on it faster this time. Earlier in the quarter, we're being very careful to watch volume here. But at the end of the day, I think we're capturing it. So price cost on oil is sort of neutral. Overall, with the other price increases, it will be slightly positive from where we stand today.

Our next question comes from the line of Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank.

Maybe just on productivity and stranded costs growth investments. Has anything shifted at all in that outlook? And anything major to highlight as we consider the cadence in those items between the first half and the second half?

Yes. Overall, Nicole, I would say nothing has changed significantly in terms of the cadence, what's gotten better as productivity, which I'll come to that in a second. Just on the stranded cost, it's still $150 million for the year, more in the second half versus the first half. And on investments, we said it's going to be $225 million and the investments are spread over growth, productivity and foundation staff of about $225 million, $75 million in the first half, $150 million in the second half.

So I wouldn't say anything has changed in those 2 items. But clearly, on the productivity side, as Bill earlier mentioned on supply chain, it's definitely better than what we have seen through the course of the year.

Okay. Got it, Anurag. And then just -- I think you guys did like $3 billion of buybacks in the first half and the prior guidance was for $2.5 billion, so you've already exceeded that. How are you thinking about buyback cadence, if there is any in the second half of the year?

Listen, we'll continue to be opportunistic and disciplined in this and overall capital allocation framework. As you correctly said, we started the year at $2.5 billion. We found the opportunity to buy more stock. We've done about $3 billion at an average price of about $153 for the first half, and we'll just continue to be opportunistic going forward.

Our next question comes from the line of [indiscernible] with Citi.

I wanted to focus on Safety and Industrial segment. Growth in 2Q was very strong. Maybe if we can dig in a bit deeper on the drivers, like how much is healthy end markets versus your own commercial excellence and innovation initiatives? Not sure if there was any pull forward. Ultimately, like I want to get a sense of second half dynamics. Comps get slightly tough, but do you see a path to sustaining this high single-digit growth?

So just in a nutshell, look, IPI is running around 1.82%. U.S. is a little bit less than that around 1%, just over 1%. So clearly, we're growing well above the macro. And so I believe it's the performance of the organization, both in terms of commercial excellence as well as innovation. Anurag went through some of the underlying drivers across the divisions of SIBG. It was pretty broad-based. It was strong across all of what they're in, except for auto aftermarket was a little bit light, which, again, it's a big business, so they've had to overcome that. But I think the momentum there is pretty good.

As you go in to the back end of the year, there's nothing that indicates the industrial market is getting softer. We feel pretty good. As Anurag said, the orders in Q2 was pretty strong. SIBG was up mid-teens. So the order growth rate there is pretty good. Backlog is up year-over-year. So I think the momentum continues. And again, it really is just the balance of really good commercial actions. Keep in mind, they -- that team jumped on commercial excellence very early in the process, early into 2024 and have made great progress. I commented earlier about attrition come down or churn coming down, which has been great. Working hard on the salesforce, providing sales AI tools, which makes them more effective and efficient. A lot of work on cross-selling that's dropping through the bottom line.

So I would characterize it as a lot of really good back-to-basic hustle that's happening in SIBG, but also in other businesses. So we feel good about the momentum and even with the tough comparison, we think second half will be pretty strong growth as well.

Helpful, Bill. And maybe taking a step back. And any additional color on how we should think of 3Q and 4Q in terms of top line growth and operating margin based on your 2026 guidance? Should we expect like normal seasonality? Not sure if there are like any other dynamics that we need to be aware of.

Sure. Let me take that question. You should see the normal seasonality through the course of the year as well. Our guide is we're going to be over 3.5% for the year. The first half was 3.3%. So clearly, there's going to be acceleration in the second half. You should see a lot more coming from productivity as well, both on supply chain as well as some of the transformation projects that we have undergoing. We see the benefits of that come through and both of them will more than mitigate the pickup in stranded costs and investments that we are going to make to ensure that this is sustainable for the future. So I would say it's normal seasonality with the EPS growing by $0.30 in the back half equal between Q3 and Q4.

Our next question comes from the line of Deane Dray with RBC Capital Markets.

Significant upside in free cash flow, especially compared to your 5-year average. Can you talk about any one-timers? There was a reference to benefit of tax timing, but also nice improvement in days, in inventory days. So is that also sustainable? And do you have some targets that you can share?

Yes, thanks. It is a very strong cash flow, just on the back of very strong operational performance. We obviously have good earnings and the cash conversion cycle continues to do better on the back of lesser inventory. Our inventories improved by 7 days year-over-year. So it's just fundamental good operational performance that's driving the free cash flow.

Great. And you didn't call it out exactly, but can you reference any of the impact on memory chip pricing, availability? And how is that rippling through your consumer electronics?

Well, the consumer electronics was down low single digits in the quarter, and we do expect the market in the back half of the year to be down, I think it was like high teens. And I think that's largely related to memory shortage is a high cost of memory. So I think that's rolling through the marketplace.

In the quarter, we're performing better than the macro, again, down low single digits versus where the market happens to be. We expect to outperform in the back half of the year, but the market is getting weaker because of memory.

Our next question comes from Brett Lindsay with Mizuho.

My question is on utilization and footprint rationalization. There's a bit of a tug of war here, right? You've got the secular and cyclical accelerating, but some other areas are a little bit more cautious. What's your current capacity utilization across the footprint? And as you look at some of the organic growth potentially accelerating here in the back half, how are you balancing rationalization versus expansion? Are you thinking there's further actions as we look into '26 and '27 or are you revisiting some of the plans currently given the improvements?

So look, the way we measure utilizations across about 300 assets across the organization, we continue to increase that, that we're systematically tracking. There's more than half our volume. It's running around 63.5%, 64%. So there's plenty of upside capacity across the overall network in aggregate. And as I mentioned in my remarks, there are certain assets in our network that are constrained. And I mentioned one in particular, in [indiscernible], there's others in [indiscernible] which makes electric connectors, that volume is spiking.

So we've got to find ways to unlock capacity. And a lot of it is kind of basic at how you run the lines and the workflow and material flow. Over time, there might be some capital there. But overall, utilization is an upside opportunity for us. But fundamentally understand the utilization, how it's measured across individual assets across the 100 plants we have in the network allows us to then start to look at how do you consolidate between individual assets, [ cells ] within a factory and factories themselves. That is the unlock what we call transformation that's going to occur over the next 3 to 5 years. It's a longer-term journey. But clearly, as we start to wring out capacity, increase capacity utilization here, we have an opportunity to rationalize the network as well.

Understood. And then just a follow-up on the new product launches. So 92 in the quarter, on pace for the 350 plus. What portion is incremental share or TAM expansion versus replacing or cannibalizing existing SKUs? I guess is there a metric you guys are looking at that looks at net new contribution internally versus gross NPI that might help us bridge some of the opportunity here over the next couple of years?

Yes, Brett, let me -- look, when we talk about growth above the macro, a lot of it is going to be net new growth, and that's sort of what -- we articulated that. But Class 3 for us is running around 75% of the launches. Class 4s and 5s, which is more new adjacent markets or new, if you will, new products for new markets, that's running around 25%. Over time, that go up to 30%, maybe a little bit better than that. It'll be a little bit higher in the industrial side. So we do expect TEBG and SIBG to get to 40% or beyond 40% Class 4s and 5s. But we're still running as a company around 25% today.

And our last question today comes from Laurence Alexander with Jefferies.

Can you give a high-level assessment of the margin profile in the new product mix relative to your core businesses? Used to be that was a significant gap. And I'm curious if the gap is stable, that is as your overall margins are rising, is the margin embedded in the new product pipeline also rising? Or should we think about it more as over time, kind of your lifting -- you're just having a mix shift where the higher mix is what's driving the margin lift, but eventually, the 2 would converge to some equilibrium.

Look, in a nutshell, look, we expect and we do see that margins on new products over time raise the overall margin threshold. As they start a launch, lower volumes, you'll see just absorption or maybe that may not come in at the higher margin, but they do over time because new features can drive better pricing. Also new products can come into the marketplace at lower cost. One of the things the team is really focused on is designing the cost. So we are looking to both bring new features, which help us drive price, but also drive cost down in the designs themselves. And that combination should allow us to unlock and does allow us to unlock margins through new product introductions.

This concludes the question-and-answer portion of our conference call. I will now turn the call back over to Bill Brown for some closing comments.

Well, thanks, everybody, for joining us today. And thanks again to all the 3Mers for really truly delivering another outstanding quarter of great execution and delivering value for our customers and our shareholders. And I want to thank them all for all their efforts. Thank you for joining the call, and have a good day.

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference call. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your line.

All right. Good morning, everyone. I'm Joe O'Dea. I lead the Multis effort at Wells Fargo and very pleased to welcome 3M for our next session and CEO, Bill Brown. Bill, thank you so much for being here this morning.

Thank you.

We're going to get right into the Q&A. Why don't we start on some of the shorter-term side of things and thinking about the demand patterns where with Q1, you outlined Q2 and some acceleration in thinking about organic that could move north of 3, just kind of what you've seen over the course of the quarter so far?

Well, first of all, good morning, everybody. It's great to be here. Thanks for having us. Just overall, our strategy is gaining traction. It's a back to basics, focus on fundamentals approach to rebuild 3M is more resilient, more consistent, higher performing company with better top line growth coming from innovation and commercial excellence, better operational execution at the ground level, driving margin expansion, cash generation and disciplined capital deployment.

That's basically what we laid out a couple of years ago, and we're executing very well on that. We did have a solid Q1. Q1 start earnings per share, up 14% in Q1, saw 30 basis points of margin expansion. We saw double-digit growth in free cash flow. Organic revenue growth came in just over 1%. We saw some pockets of macro pressure. But I think encouragingly, as you referenced, we ended the quarter with very strong orders, up double digit in Q1. Backlog grew year-over-year and sequentially double digit, which was very encouraging for us as we turn the quarter into Q2. And in fact, we're pretty far advanced into Q2. Those orders and that backlog is converting to revenue. We said we'd be above 3% in Q2, we'll be solidly above 3% in Q2. Given the fact that we're pretty far deep into the quarter. So we're very confident about that.

We see momentum continue to build. We saw good progress in Q1 in about 60% of the portfolio that's general industrial or safety that was up mid-single digits, which is very encouraging. We see trends in that area continuing into Q2. We saw 5 months of solid PMI. PMI in May was actually pretty good at 54%. So it's actually encouraging the macro trends. We see that continuing to build couple of places of some pressure in our business, but that's really around consumer electronics, auto, a little less so on the consumer behavior. But generally speaking, orders have been pretty good. They continue into Q2.

As we sit here today, we've built backlog even further. Orders have been -- continue to be solid for the quarter. So they're more resilient. It's all coming from a lot of the work we've done in commercial excellence in innovation, which is building momentum. So the thought of it might have been some prebuy. I think it was -- maybe we overstated that a little bit at the end of Q1. But the fact is commercial excellence has been pretty good. Innovation has been pretty good. The quarter is looking good and we see the back end of the year, it continues to accelerate.

So we feel good from where we're standing again, a very solid Q2 and I think momentum building back into the second half of the year.

And maybe just spend a little bit more time on the prebuy aspect of things because I think that was some focus thinking about the order growth that really accelerated. Good order throughout Q1, but accelerating and so a little bit...

So basically, so what happened is, look, we typically go out with price increase on April 1. And what was happening in the Middle East, we saw oil prices coming up. So we went out with additional price increases on top of what was April 1, and we said, based on our performance, the innovation, on-time delivery, our responsiveness into the channel, we believe our ability to drive prices a lot better. And so we're going to hold the line on that. So we were very careful about that. We communicate that to our channel partners, to our customers.

So naturally, we thought we would see some acceleration of orders. It was probably some of that. But given the momentum we saw in April and May and now into June on orders, there might have been some prebuy. But predominantly, it is innovation-driven, commercial excellence driven and probably less so on the prebuy. More I think the self-help part of it than the prebuy.

That was going to be the follow-up is it does seem like there's a bit of a rising tied behind the short-cycle macro but you would attribute to...

There's clearly some macro strength behind us on the industrial side, on the safety side, a couple of other places, like semis are good. Our data center business has been pretty good. Aerospace and defense has been pretty good. Commercial branding in Q1 was pretty good. So there's good parts of the company that have performed pretty well.

Some of it is macro driven. I think I would put more on just there's a lot more hustle in the sales force in commercial excellence. We're clearly making good strides here on innovation. And I know I'll talk more about that here, but really good progress on driving new products into the marketplace.

So frankly, I put more on the fact that it's a lot of the things that we're doing differently inside the company than necessarily there's a short-cycle macro. That we believe is happening, but I think it's more the self-help side.

And let's touch on the Middle East in terms of the $0.05 to $0.15 of contingency within the guide on oil macro and about what you've observed over the course of the quarter.

Look, so we said we would have $0.05 to $0.15 of contingency, if you will, for macro or oil-based Middle East type effects. Our business in the Middle East is not very big. It's less than 2% of our revenue. So they're not seeing an issue there. We, like other companies have seen some logistical challenges of moving product through the Middle East, not into but through the Middle East. But we're managing through that. We have a big network. It's working very well. That's managing pretty well.

So as we sit here today, we do not see a need to call on that $0.05 to $0.15 of contingency in the year, but that's as we see it today.

Okay, then want to spend a little bit more time on segments and starting with Safety and Industrial and 75% of the segment, we're seeing kind of mid-single-digit plus type of growth and to sort of address it from both a macro side or cyclical side and then a self-help outgrowth side. So just on the cyclical and in terms of things like abrasives and perhaps the business we're seeing the good growth. What's behind that?

Look, Abrasives, the -- other parts of that portfolio have actually been performing very, very well. The Electrical Markets business has been pretty strong. Public safety in that space has been pretty good. So it's actually going, I think, reasonably well. It's -- there's some macro behind it, for sure. But that's the business segment that we really launched our commercial excellence activities in back into the middle towards the end of 2024 when I came on board, so we need to drive organic growth, and that's going to come from launching more products and then selling more of what we have in the market today, which is commercial excellence.

And the team there got on that very, very quickly. There are several dimensions of it. Part of it is sales force effectiveness. It's the coverage, the incentives, the training, the hustle at the front end. We're really seeing that take effect in that SIBG business, for sure. We laid out an agenda to cross-sell, perhaps we were a little conservative in retrospect. We said we would hit $100 million worth of cross-sell opportunities over 3 years.

Last year, we were at $50 million by Q1, we're at $80 million of booked cross-sell opportunities, our pipeline is another $85 million, and we're sort of just 1.5 years or so into that journey. So that's going very well. We said we would reduce the attrition or the churn in the portfolio in SIBG. In fact, it's been running higher than we would have expected or you would expect it. I don't think we're really necessarily focused on that. This is just share a wallet loss because you're not delivering something on time or not being responsive.

But with our OTIF coming up, our new product launches, the sales hustle, we are seeing improvements in attrition rate as well. So you put all those pieces together, with some innovation that's happened across those segments and abrasives and other parts, we are seeing good tailwinds in that particular part of the business.

Do you have any kind of rough approximation for the outgrowth? And so when you see this traction building behind something like commercial excellence and leading in Safety and Industrial in those markets that are growing.

So it's -- on a quarter-by-quarter basis, it's hard to see, but the way I look at this, we were, say, 3% to 4% in the second half of last year, we're 3% to 4% here in the first half, 3.2 in SIBG in the first quarter.

We'll be in that 3% to 4% range. It's going to accelerate. It's accelerated from second half last year to the first half of this year. It's going to accelerate first half in the second half. But call it, 3.5%, 4% in that particular range. Look, IPI has been running around 1.6%, 1.7%. The U.S. is 1.0. So I don't think you debate that at 3 to 4 pick your number there, we're out running the macro, for sure.

So clearly, the goal we set was to drive $1 billion above the macro over 3 years. We're seeing really good progress in that -- across the company, but particularly SIBG.

And then on the electrical markets side of thing 6 straight quarters of really good growth there. Part of that, you've got data center exposure within that, but you've talked about $100 million of revenue that's inside the data center, $500 million that's bringing power to it. Just overall, what your visibility is there? What you think that revenue can get to?

So it's been very, very good. I mean, first of all, EMB, the electro markets business, about a $1.5 billion business, and it is growing very, very strongly going the last 6, 7 quarters, been very good. Part of it is the data center business. So as you pointed out, $600 million worth of business going at data centers.

In SIBG, it's about $0.5 billion that's outside bringing power to the facilities, medium voltage cable splices, terminations, insulation, all the things you need to bring power to a facility. And that's been very good. It's been growing high single digits, low double digits a lot of momentum behind that, a lot of backlog. We feel very good. If anything, it's a production constraint, not a demand constraint for us in that particular business.

The other part of the business is roughly $100 million is growing more than 50% each quarter, which has been really good, is around the data set -- inside the data center business. It's really the combination of what we're doing on Twin X, which is our cap copper cabling, moving to optical fiber, which is our new product called EBO, Expanded Beam Optics. And that transition has been very, very encouraging.

As we sit here today, some of the orders we saw in Q1, some of are longer lead, they delivered the back end of the year. Some of it comes from that particular business. So EBO is an optical interconnect technology. It's a -- once something that's dust resistant, it's resilient, it's durable and reduces the time to revenue for a data center doing all the cabling by about 85%. We've got tons of IP around this, more than 100 individual patents, another 50 patents pending. We -- for a couple of years, we've been in testing with a major hyperscaler. It's been validated by that one.

That went placed an order in Q1. It's part of the order trajectory we saw in Q1. That will deliver in the back end of the year and it's developing a lot of enthusiasm. The addressable market for us around optical connects inside of a data center, again keep in mind, it's -- that business for us is $100 million as we sit here today. The TAM, we believe, at the end of Q1, we saw is over $1 billion, 90 days later, we're thinking it's more like north of $2 billion. As all these hyperscalers, chip designers, developers, are looking more carefully at their architecture inside of data centers, how do you replace bring more optical interconnect.

Because of all the data connectivity and replace copper, that is a trend that's really massive is moving fast and we're scrambling to stay up. We -- a couple -- earlier this year, we announced that we would expand the capacity of our optical fiber business by doubling it. In fact, 90 days later, so we're feeling that might be a little bit short as we speak today.

So a lot of momentum in that business. I think we're at the front end of that, and I'm really encouraged by the trend we're at.

And so that $100 million is what sits in T&E.

That piece sits on our transportation and electronics business. That's correct. So $0.5 billion is power outside SIBG, the other parts inside EBO.

And your market position there. Are you talking about something in the scope of 10% market share and you see opportunities to...

Again, a lot of -- there's other technology. It takes some time to get confidence with the hyperscaler. We wouldn't have the capacity even today. to be able to provide much more than we have today. So it's going to take some time to ramp up that business. But we believe we're very well positioned to gain share in that particular space.

And just last one on SIBG. As we move forward into the back half of the year, the areas that have been growing will naturally have some of the tougher comps, things like roofing granules, easier comps as part of that mid-single-digit growth potential, is there a narrowing of growth spreads across the business?

There will be. I mean we will see better comps on the roofing granules side. We're seeing that already in Q2. I expect we'll see more of that in the back half of the year. Auto aftermarket was a little light. It's probably a little light in the quarter, we'll see easier comps in the back half of that business as well.

So yes, you'll probably see some narrowing of growth across SIBG, but solidly in the mid-single-digit range or better in the back half of the year.

And it's not like the stuff that's really growing those comps become problematic.

I mean I think the momentum is behind us. I mean, yes, there are going to be some more challenging comps in some certain parts of the business, but we think there's momentum behind us. We think it's building that slowing. So I don't see there being much of a headwind on that side yet.

Shifting to transportation and electronics and just the organic growth acceleration opportunity over the course of the year and talk about the setup there and the drivers behind it.

So Q1, we were flattish in that EBG business, but very strong orders. So orders are up double digit. Backlog was up 30% over the course of the quarter. It was very, very strong in that business in terms of the backlog. Again, coming back to somebody I mentioned before on the optical interconnection data center is a part of that, for sure.

When you think about the business, half of the business was growing mid-single digits. So again, semis, data centers. Aerospace and defense in that area has been pretty good, growing at high single digits, low double digits, a very strong commercial branding in that business was pretty solid in Q1. And then half the business was down. It was around consumer electronics and auto. Those are the 2 pieces. As we think about -- as it goes forward, we know we'll accelerate going into Q2 and we'll see some acceleration into the back end of the year.

The businesses in Q1 that were relatively strong, continue to be very strong. And the ones that were weak, the market, the macro isn't necessarily getting any better on consumer electronics or auto, but we're gaining penetration, for example, in consumer electronics, we're penetrating more on the mainstream side, in auto, we're penetrating more where we don't have as much concentration like, for example, in China, OEMs has been a big push.

So we're actually gaining some share in those vertical markets. So we'll see some acceleration at business as we go from the first quarter to second and second quarter into the back end of the year. And keep in mind, too, we're going to start to see both an SIBG and TEBG, more tailwinds on price. So we went out with a price increase on April 1, generally speaking across all of our business. But then on top of that, we went out with oil-based price increases that will start to benefit us a little in Q2, more substantially in the back end of the year.

And if can just unpack a little bit more the premium versus mainstream to understand the mainstream opportunity. And so the revenue mix today heavily toward the premium side, but the time line or the TAM that you have in mainstream.

So look, it's a -- first of all, we're about 70-30 premium to mainstream. We provide bonding solutions, adhesive tapes. We provide connectivity, thermal barriers, other things that go into phones and devices, films, polarizers and it goes into phones, tablets, notebooks, even white screen TVs. So it's a pretty broad business. We see opportunities that take some of the things we've done for premium suppliers. And it's not just the premium device manufacturer, but sometimes the premium device manufacturer is also making mainstream or lower-end devices.

So we're seeing good penetration both with -- those typically that are more mainstream as OEMs as well as mainstream devices within premium suppliers. And sometimes it's defeaturing products we have in the market today. And we're finding an ability to do that and attack parts of that business. Different polarizers we provide for widescreen TVs or small phones.

So good penetration. It's growing over time. It's happening as we speak, and I think that's helping us perform a little bit better than the macro towards the back end of the year.

And then shifting to the consumer side of things and the recovery prospects there and going from sort of Q4, Q1, the challenges and how you see that unfolding going forward?

So on the consumer side, we started out last year, we did 3 quarters of about 0.3% growth. So it was just modestly positive Q4, Q1 was a bit weaker. We see Q2 getting better than Q1. It could be flat to up a little bit. We see it accelerating a little bit in the back end of the year. I think what's encouraging of our consumer business is not very big as 20% of the company. What's encouraging is 11 of the last 13 weeks, we saw a positive POS or point-of-sale growth, which I think is very good. I mean so we're seeing good trends. We're seeing weeks of supply in the channel compress.

So there's not as much channel inventory. We've seen weeks of supply, so flow through the channel is getting a little bit better. That is a business that's benefiting from a lot of the activity that I'm talking about commercial excellence and innovation. We went for a long stretch of time. We weren't bringing any new products into the consumer products market. We just were pulling back. We were pulling back on ad merge on innovation. And we reversed that. And what's happening now, we've -- between '23 and '25, we've doubled the number of new product launches in the consumer side.

If you look at what we'll do in '26 versus '23, it's triple. And when you look at just what we're doing internationally, launching products for the international market, we're up like 7 or 8x. I mean so it's some substantial investments in new product development. And it's things like Brite by Scotch-Brite, which as we sort of say the tagline we bring the joy to scrubbing back into the business.

So it's like there's really good things here. We talked last year about Pro Sharp painter tape is very important. Fill treat the number of varieties or SKUs we have in the Fill treat side. So a lot of new innovations going in consumer. Consumer were performing better or on time in full performance is getting better. We're advertising and promoting better. And we're starting to see that traction happen in the business. It's not going to be a big grower at the back end, but if we can get sequentially a little bit better and start to see positive growth in the consumer business, I think we'll be...

The next topic, which is running the 3M assets better, right? And you talked about this on the second quarter '24 call, gave more detail at the Investor Day. Kind of 3 core priority areas that want to dig into a little bit, starting on the growth side. And so within growth, there's commercial excellence, there's R&D. The R&D efficiency right?

Because the idea is we'll spend the same amount, but we'll get more out of it. So just some of the tools that you're implementing.

So look, this is fundamental relook back to basic fundamentals approach to running the way we do R&D today, as I call it an R&D factory, like a factory with metrics, instrumenting it. So it's a variety of things like are we launching products on time. We weren't measuring on-time attainment. Q1, we were at 83%. Last year was -- in the low 80s. It was -- before that, it was kind of 70%.

So continuing to get a little bit better on launching products on time, which I think is quite important. We are spending a little bit more on R&D. We're shifting our spend more towards our priority verticals. Typically, we would have spent less than 30% of R&D on new product development. We're now running about 40%, which I think has been pretty good. It's -- we're running our business cases a lot more rigorously. We're tracking, are we accomplishing them. We were -- in Q1, we launched 84 products. We're watching the funnel.

So we're bringing more new products into the front end of the funnel. So I think the front of health is quite important. So if you go back to where we were in 2023, we launched 123 products in the marketplace. For 3M, it's not as much as we could do. We used to do 600, 700. It went to 169 last year it was 284. This year, we'll do more than 350, and we're well on our way tracking towards the goal of 1,000 products over the next 3 years by the end of 2027.

So the business is doing really well in this, bringing back innovation into the business. And a lot of it is just the fundamentals of how you're executing day to day. And now we're starting to bring AI technologies into how we innovate, which is very important. We laid out a goal at the Investor Day to reduce the cycle time to launch a product, to launch a new product by 20%. We're already tracking a little bit better than that. And AI is going to help us accelerate even further as we go beyond 2027.

So this is a complete remaking of how we innovate, which is the core capability of 3M is bringing new products to life. So it's reinstrumenting that whole business, bringing what I call kind of a factory mentality to how we run R&D.

And then also on the growth side, you've introduced a target to outgrow the macro about $1 billion '25 to '27. Just remind us where you are on that through '25, '26, what the setup would be '27?

We're tracking beyond that. So we said we would do $100 million, $300 million, $600 million between '25, '26, '27 above the macro. Last year was about $150 million. This year will be more than $300 million. So we're tracking well to achieve that growth of $1 billion over the macro. It's really coming from the segments we've just talked about. A lot of it is the tailwind around general industrial safety, A&D semiconductors or data center business is all giving us tailwind to out-accelerate the macro.

So we feel pretty good about that trajectory. And again, it's not just the new product development. The key piece last year is more around commercial excellence. Because it's taking time to -- as you launch more products till that actually starts to drive the top line, it takes some time. So last year it was more commercial excellence. This year, it's kind of half and half between commercial excellence and innovation-driven growth.

As we get into 2027, it's going to start to be a lot more driven by new product introduction. So it's shifting a little bit the flywheel is moving and we are this year outperforming the macro and we'll continue to do that next year.

And it doesn't sound like doing better earlier on means that you're pulling anything in from...

No, I don't think so. No, no. Look, I mean, at the end of the day, I mean, we said we'd grow $1 billion over the macro this is 1.5 years ago, and a lot's changed since then. The macro, I think is, if anything, it's a little bit tougher than what we had expected at the time, but the company is performing a lot better than I would have expected.

So it's not pulling anything in. It's capturing new opportunities. When we stood up at the Investor Day early last year, I mean we knew we had a product inside the data center with copper is called TwinX. We had developed EBO. It was going to really nascent. It was sort of buried a little bit and simply because of all the investment that's happening inside the data centers, the transition around AI and the amount of data that's flowing through these data centers, they have to move to the optical fiber.

So we've got a great technology as the right spot. So we didn't highlight that last year. It's really evolved in the last 6 to 12 months. So it's a view at different pieces that are really picking up and taking a lot of steam here.

Another priority area is operational efficiency. And so when you outlined that it was -- the target was $1 billion of annualized net productivity. Just walk us through where you are on that cadence.

So by the end of this year, we'll be at least halfway through that. So it's been good progress and it's basic things. It's around procurement savings, logistics savings, modes and flows, cost of for quality has been something I've been talking about quite consistently. We had not been measuring it inside the company very rigorously. So we were measuring it. We were north of 7% of cost of goods. We closed Q1 around 5.5%, 5.6%.

So on a $13 billion cost of goods base, $13.5 billion, it's over $200 million of cost improvement simply because of cost of poor quality. And there's probably another couple of hundred million dollars ahead of us yet. There's a lot of opportunity here.

So it's really just rewiring this. When I think about what we're trying to do around operational excellence, it gets back to this concept that we have about moving from a holding company to an operating company, and it's a multistep journey. And I've been laying this out with it for investors sort of consistently every earnings release and the track and the progress we're making here. I said that's the path we're going to go through. It starts off with just taking all of the factories which are run regionally and have them run centrally.

So then we did that 2.5 years ago and that now we can look at across all of the company, what's happening across the flows, how the factories run together. That's been a very important part of the journey, building these metrics. I talk about utilization or OEE, that's now come up to 62.5%, 300 assets. That's been a very good performance on time and full, cost of poor quality. All these metrics around driving that factory network to be much more efficient, much more stable and it's continuing to evolve.

The next step is around the consolidation of the network, and we're making really good progress on the network consolidation. All of that is getting from sort of low 40s to the mid-40s to now the high 40s in terms of gross margin. That's the goal we have in that business. And this is the trajectory that we have put in place to get there. And each quarter, I go through some of these metrics, which demonstrates the progress we're making quarter-to-quarter.

It's not a linear journey, but the company is making good progress in moving from holding company operating model to more of an integrated operating business.

And so there's momentum behind the outgrowth, but the momentum behind the net productivity because that step-up next year, that would be a larger contribution.

It's going to be a large contribution next year. It's going to continue -- and again, we're going to start to bring in things around the network consolidation. So lots of pieces to this. But yes, it's -- we feel very good about $1 billion over the next -- by the end of '27.

Yes. And then the third priority area was around the portfolio and what you do around capital deployment as well. You've talked about 2% to 3%. There was the precision grinding and finishing business. I think that was maybe 50 bps. Just where you are on the remaining part of that 2% to 3%? Is that something that happens this year?

So it will happen over time. I mean, I'm not going to put a time stamp on it. But look, we said about 10% of the company is more commodity like, meaning we didn't have the right to win in certain segments. Technology wasn't being used to drive differentiation in the space. We'll look at those pieces over time. We said there's 2% to 3% that was more in active discussions or what things we would try to do.

PGF happened to be one. So we sold the precision grinding business, it took with 7 factories, brought our factory count down to now, but just about 100 with the closure that happened as well. So we saw some good activity there. The capital is really -- the portfolio side and generally capital deployment isn't just around the divestitures. There's activity here. I've said to drive -- to grow the company long-term sustainable top line growth we've got to shift the portfolio, and we know we've got to do that. It's both getting out of some things that don't really fit but also starting to get more into things that fit into priority verticals like we've done with the Madison [indiscernible] joint venture, which, by the way, will close on July 1.

So all the regulatory approvals are done. We're going to close that transaction on July 1. It's going to be an important one for us. It's also about organically prioritizing how we spend money inside the company. 80% of what we spend on R&D now goes to the priority verticals I laid out at the beginning of last year. And this also gets at how we do capital deployment.

So there's a broad piece around this. We continue to look at the portfolio. There's no time stamp on this. We'll be smart and disciplined in how we make decisions around the portfolio.

And when you think about the margin opportunity that comes through the net productivity, just in terms of which segments the biggest impact from that and have the most opportunity going forward?

I think it's -- look, it's -- you'll see margin growth across the company. And a lot of the productivity because it's an integrated network, it accrues to all of the businesses across all the portfolio. But everyone's -- each business runs into different market dynamics. I think I step it back. I think the industrial businesses will see more margin growth over time than the consumer.

The consumer business is a little bit lighter in terms of the portfolio across the company in terms of the margin performance. But I'd see more in the industrial side of the business. But again, a lot of the productivity work we're doing accrues to every one of them because it's an integrated network.

On the pricing side of things and more pricing has had to be put in the market, just what you're seeing in terms of that sticking? Or is there any kind of demand impact in pockets of the business?

Yes. So we typically would see pricing to offset material cost inflation. So if it's a 2% inflation environment, I know it's a little bit higher than that, you'd see about 50 basis points of price. As we came into this year, we said we would get about 80 basis points of price in 2026. Some to cover material cost inflation, some to cover some of the tariff impact that was there last year, which is where we're at.

In Q1, we're a little bit lighter on pricing. We didn't -- we're surprised by that. Our pricing increases go out April 1. You'll see that pick up in the balance of the year. And on top of that, we went out with an oil-based price increase. At the earnings release, we sized that $125 million, about 50 basis points of price. So the oil price impact, cost impact was going to be offset dollar for dollar with price. That's 50 basis points. That puts us at 1.3 points of pricing across the company.

Again, similarly to my comment on the margin expansion, you'll see clearly more price in SIBG, than TEBG and better in TEBG than the consumer business is kind of the way I would characterize it. But we are seeing that price taking hold we're very confident of that. It's a different environment today thinking about pricing we were in a couple of years ago.

When you're delivering products on time and you've got hustle in the sales force, you're bringing new products to market. You're executing better, your ability to drive pricing is better than if you're not performing. So I'm confident we'll see pricing take hold in the business, as I've just laid out.

We saw went through an inflationary period in 2022, 2023. So across the multi-industry group, good pricing response such that margins were actually moving up. But where are we in terms of that fatigue from the customer side of things? And so is the right objective these days price dollar for dollar, it does net to -- there's a margin headwind tied to it.

It's -- I mean, we clearly want to offset some of the cost headwinds on inflation, oil, tariffs, I mean, those kinds of things. We're clearly embarking on a journey to offset that. But look, at the end of the day, when you bring in new products to market, you have an opportunity to think differently about price and the value you provide to the channel, and we're thinking pretty hard about that.

I don't think we were maybe as aggressive as we could have been last year on pricing on tariffs. I think we could have -- we could have gone out harder than that. We're getting smarter about this. We're governing pricing a lot better. It's part of our commercial excellence initiatives. But this is an area that it's taking a lot of time and attention for the business.

We're watching sort of the discounting, the rebates, the things that happen sort of the deals, if you will, slot times in the past, because, again, in a holding company structure, pricing was negotiated down at a very local level. And we are seeing instances where you gave price discounts with for volumes of one.

So there's really no volume coming from that. We're correcting all of that. So there's a different governance process on pricing. So when you put all that together and you're launching more products, I think our ability to drive price, it maybe get some margin expansion from prices better today than it would have been 3 or 5 years ago.

And we probably only have time for one more so, but I want to touch on Madison. And so with that combination and talking about high single-digit growth targets, the margin opportunity that you have there, just how bringing the businesses together becomes a...

So this was a good -- this is a very, very important transaction. We're bringing together 2 complementary businesses in a priority vertical, that's a safety vertical. So just by way of background, we're creating a business about $800 million worth of revenue, a little bit better than that. We're combining our Scott SCBA, fire safety business with Madison Fire & Rescue, so suppression tools, fire rescue tools in a joint venture, which will own 51%. We've got a 49% partner in a private equity firm. We'll fully consolidate this.

Again, it's targeting for closure on July 1. So the process of being done very, very well. The businesses together independently, we're performing very well. And together, we think it will be better. So very complementary. It opens up a broader addressable market for us. We have opportunities to leverage channels. Scott very important in the U.S. market but really never took the product internationally. We have an opportunity there because Madison is more -- has a bigger presence in the international markets, particularly in Europe. We have an opportunity to get better at how we drive products through the channel within the U.S. We go through similar distributors, but a lot time not the same one.

So we have an opportunity to do cross-sell and just better commercial execution and how we drive business. This is a space that the market itself is pretty resilient. It's been a high single-digit grower recently. The margins today are at -- or actually they're above a 3MY average. And when I look at cost synergies, the opportunity to take revenue synergies. This is a -- what we'd say it's a quality asset with a lot of upside.

So we feel good about where we're at. I like the transaction. And again, because of the structure, when it does close, we'll be pulling $700 million of cash out back to the parent company from the closure of this deal again July 1.

So it's a great transaction, and it will be reported to the marketplace as a separate division within SIBG. So you'll get visibility into what I'm talking about in terms of the growth performance over time starting really in Q3.

I think that brings us to the end of our time. Bill, thank you very much.

Thank you, thank you, thank you very much.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 3M First Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] As a reminder, this call is being recorded, Tuesday, April 21, 2026.

I would now like to turn the call over to Chinmay Trivedi, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning and Analysis at 3M.

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our first quarter earnings conference call. With me today are Bill Brown, 3M's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Anurag Maheshwari, our Chief Financial Officer. Bill and Anurag will make some formal comments, then we will take your questions. Please note that today's earnings release and slide presentation accompanying this call are posted on the homepage of our Investor Relations website at 3m.com.

Please turn to Slide 2 and take a moment to read the forward-looking statements. During today's conference call, we will be making certain predictive statements that reflect our current views about 3M's future performance and financial results. These statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Item 1A of our most recent Form 10-K lists some of these most important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from our predictions.

Please note, throughout today's presentation, we'll be making references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures can be found in the attachments to today's press release.

With that, please turn to Slide 3, and I will hand the call off to Bill. Bill?

Thank you, Chinmay, and good morning, everyone. We delivered solid operating performance in Q1 with earnings per share of $2.14, up mid-teens versus last year. Operating margin increased 30 basis points to 23.8%, and free cash flow was over $500 million, up double digits.

During the quarter, we returned $2.4 billion to shareholders, including $400 million in dividends and $2 billion of share repurchases. We had a light start to the year on the top line with organic growth of 1.2%, driven by pockets of macro pressure. But we saw encouraging order trends that support our outlook for acceleration in the balance of the year. Looking forward, we remain confident in achieving our full year 2026 guidance despite the volatile environment.

Our performance reflects strong execution on productivity, cost discipline and commercial rigor. We're building a stronger foundation based on commercial, innovation and operational excellence, underpinned by a relentless focus on strengthening our performance culture.

In commercial excellence, we're seeing benefits from improved sales effectiveness and lower customer attrition, and we continue to make progress on cross-selling opportunities. To date, we've closed on approximately $80 million of new business against the 3-year, $100 million target we laid out at Investor Day with a pipeline of $85 million of additional cross-sell opportunities.

We've introduced AI tools to drive growth, reduce churn and automate manual work, including an agent that analyzes our sales and opportunity pipeline data to develop customized coaching plans for sales managers to help reps meet their targets. And we believe digital tools like Ask 3M, a new AI-powered digital assistant that helps customers find solutions to design challenges using 3M products, will allow us to reach a broader population of customers.

Our pace of new product introductions is accelerating with better on-time performance, reduce cycle times and clear governance and accountability across R&D. We launched 84 new products in Q1, up 35% versus last year, and we're on pace to launch 350 in 2026. This will put us ahead of our Investor Day target to launch 1,000 new products through 2027.

We've maintained OTIF service levels above 90%, while at the same time, reduced inventory by 3 days and delivery lead time by 25%, improving our competitiveness with customers. OEE improved over 100 basis points year-on-year as we optimize asset run length, run time and changeovers, creating a stronger foundation for sustained productivity and fixed cost leverage.

And cost of poor quality decreased by approximately 100 basis points versus Q1 last year, driven by more structured root cause analysis, significantly increased Kaizen activity and tighter process controls.

What matters is that these are not isolated wins. They collectively reflect greater execution discipline and constancy of purpose. And that consistency and momentum gives us confidence that we can meet or exceed the medium-term goals we outlined at our Investor Day last year, even in an uncertain macro environment.

While we continue to strengthen our foundation and shift from a holding company to an operating company model, we're beginning a broad-based transformation of the company, simplifying and standardizing processes, reducing complexity, reshaping our portfolio and improving resilience and predictability.

We see substantial opportunities to streamline operations and consolidate facilities. The transformation includes both deliberate footprint actions as well as targeted investments in manufacturing and process technology. For example, transitioning from solvent to solvent-free coating, which brings cost capital and environmental benefits.

Earlier this month, we closed on the previously announced sale of our precision grinding and finishing business within SIBG, which reduced our footprint by 7 factories. And we closed 1 factory and announced 3 other full or partial closures, bringing our total projected manufacturing site count to below 100.

At the same time, we're investing more than $250 million over the next 3 years in standard, easy-to-replicate automation across our plants and distribution centers. By automating material handling in our warehouses, replacing manual slitters with automated systems and automating our current manual visual inspection processes, we are improving safety, reducing labor costs, increasing yield and putting ourselves in a better position to support demand as volumes recover.

To illustrate the opportunity, we have 7,000 material handlers and over 600 operators performing manual visual inspections across our network and about 500 manual slitters. When we automated the slitting operation at our [ Novato ] facility late last year, we achieved a 30% increase in square yards per hour productivity. Over time, this transformation will allow us to accelerate towards a structurally higher growth, higher margin potential portfolio of priority verticals.

Slide 4 provides a more detailed view of growth and orders by end market. When you look across our portfolio, roughly 60% of our businesses showed relative strength in Q1, including general industrial and safety. Importantly, we also saw strong orders in these markets, which gives us visibility and reinforces that the demand environment in these verticals remains healthy. At the same time, we experienced macro and industry-driven softness in about 40% of the portfolio that we've been highlighting as watch areas.

In electronics, we delivered flat year-over-year growth in Q1 versus mid-single digits last year. Our performance in semiconductor and data centers was very strong, while consumer electronics was soft due to industry-wide memory chip issues, which is impacting demand. Electronics orders were up double digits due to significant activity in semis and data centers, which will convert to revenue in Q2 and the second half.

In automotive, the market was soft as expected in the first quarter. Global IHS build rates were down about 3% overall and 10% in China, which pressured volumes. And in Consumer, we continue to see soft U.S. consumer discretionary spending with a few pockets of strength in categories with recent new product introductions. POS trends in the U.S. improved over the course of the quarter and were positive in 7 of the last 8 weeks, providing some encouragement heading into Q2.

Overall, orders were up slightly over 10% in Q1 and backlog grew double digits, both sequentially and year-over-year, giving us momentum into Q2. This strength reflects the combined impact of our new product introductions, continued progress in commercial excellence and orders for longer lead time products, with some additional benefit from pre-buying ahead of recent price actions. It's encouraging to see order strength continue into the first few weeks of April.

Turning to Slide 5. As part of our ongoing focus on portfolio shaping, last month, we announced the acquisition of Madison Fire & Rescue, which will be combined with our Scott Safety business to create a leading global fire and safety business.

The combination of Scott Safety's premium self-contained breathing apparatus with Madison Fire & Rescue's premier portfolio in rescue technology and fire suppression creates an $800 million revenue business, growing at a high single-digit growth rate. This strategic transaction broadens our safety portfolio, one of our priority verticals by expanding our market reach and building scale for future growth. It positions us to maintain above-market growth, enhance margins and drive strong free cash flow generation.

I also want to highlight our growing data center and associated power utility business with current revenue of approximately $600 million, $100 million inside the data center and about $500 million bringing power to the facility. This is a priority vertical space, where we are introducing new products like EBO or Expanded Beam Optics, a high-performance optical connector engineered to improve installation speed, reliability and operational efficiency within data centers.

EBO builds on our existing TwinAx copper connector for high-speed data transmission and positions us well for the copper to fiber transition underway. With hyperscaler validation, a significant order in hand and $1 billion-plus addressable market, we're investing to more than double our capacity to support growing AI demand.

We see additional opportunities here as demand expands to ceramics, silicon photonics and on-chip optical connectors. We have strong IP to support this evolving market and a clear road map to develop new products that further drive growth.

Overall, I'm pleased with our progress this quarter, encouraged by the pace, op tempo and executional rigor of the 3M team. We're on a multiyear journey and progress won't be linear, but we're building the capability to execute consistently, to innovate with purpose and to allocate resources toward the parts of the portfolio that deliver the most value. I'm grateful to the 3M team for their commitment, hard work and focus as we deliver progress every day.

With that, I'll turn it over to Anurag to share the details of the quarter. Anurag?

Thank you, Bill. Turning to Slide 6, we had a good start to the year, performing ahead of expectations on orders, margins, earnings and cash. Starting with top line, we delivered organic sales growth of 1.2%. SIBG showed continued momentum and grew over 3%, slightly better than expectations. TEBG was flat, lighter than expectations due to ongoing weakness in certain end markets like consumer electronics and auto as well as late timing of order intake within the quarter.

In CBG, we did not see the expected recovery in the U.S. consumer market, resulting in organic sales down 1%. Notably, we saw significant strength in orders this quarter driven by progress on commercial excellence and NPI. Overall, orders grew slightly more than 10%, with SIBG and TEBG growing mid-teens, driven by industrial, safety, data center, semiconductor and aerospace.

The auto momentum accelerated through the quarter, resulting in backlog growth of 20% over last year and 35% sequentially, positioning us well for the second quarter. First quarter adjusted operating margins were 23.8%, up 30 basis points year-on-year, driven by strong volume and broad-based productivity, which more than offset approximately $145 million of tariff impact, stranded costs and investments.

Operating income from the 3 business groups was up $85 million with 60 basis points of margin expansion driven by supply chain productivity, including improvements in cost of quality and procurement and logistics and continued focus on structural G&A reduction. Corporate was a 30 basis point headwind from planned wind down of Solventum transition services agreements.

Our sustained operational performance of driving growth and productivity led to EPS improvement of $0.26 or 14% to $2.14. In addition, we benefited from lower share count, timing of tax benefit and FX of selling tariffs, stranded costs and investments.

Adjusted free cash flow was $540 million in the quarter or up 10% from strong earnings growth and improvement in inventory, a decrease of 3 days while maintaining service levels of greater than [ 90% ]. In addition, we returned $2.4 billion to shareholders in the first quarter, including approximately $400 million in dividends, reflecting a 7% increase per share and $2 billion through opportunistic share repurchases.

Turning to Slide 7, I will provide an overview of our business group performance for the first quarter. First, Safety and Industrial had another quarter of 3%-plus growth as we continue to gain traction on commercial excellence initiatives and realized benefits from new product launches.

We delivered mid-single-digit growth across industrial adhesives and tapes, safety, electrical markets and abrasive systems, driven by continued share gains from new product introductions and targeted commercial initiatives to reduce customer churn, strengthen sales coverage and increase cross-selling.

Collectively, this growth more than offset continued weakness in roofing granules as the housing market and consumer sentiment remains soft. Even though auto repair claims were down mid-single digits, it was encouraging to see our auto aftermarket business be flat to slightly up after a couple of years of decline from good execution of the key account strategy.

Turning to Transportation and Electronics. While growth was flat, orders were up low teens, accelerating through the quarter, resulting in backlog up about 30%. Approximately half of the business delivered mid-single digits growth, including double-digit growth in semiconductor and data center, driven by continued market demand and ramp-up of EBO that Bill referenced earlier.

In addition, we saw growth in aerospace and commercial branding from better sales effectiveness. This was offset by the other half of the business, which is exposed to consumer electronics and auto where the market was down.

Finally, Consumer first quarter organic sales were down 1%, driven by weakness in USAC as we did not see the expected pickup in retail traffic in the early part of the quarter. We did see pockets of strength. Scotch-Brite grew approximately 10% on the back of new product launches. We also saw good traction in international markets, especially in China and Asia, but it was not enough to offset the impact of USAC, which makes up a majority of the CBG revenue.

By geography, in China, we again grew mid-single digits despite soft auto and consumer electronics end market as we executed on our key account strategy and launched local NPIs in a relatively strong industrial market. USAC was up slightly with mid-single-digit growth in industrials being offset by softness in Electronics and Consumer. Asia had another quarter of good growth, with India in the high teens as we drove higher sales coverage across the country. EMEA was down about 1% due to market weakness in auto.

Moving to Slide 8. Though the macro remains uncertain, given our good performance in the first quarter, we are reiterating our guidance for the year. Organic sales growth of approximately 3%, earnings per share ranging from $8.50 to $8.70 and free cash flow conversion of greater than 100%.

For sales, the strong backlog combined with continued strength in orders in the first 3 weeks of April gives us confidence that all 3 business groups will accelerate growth in the second quarter and through the balance of the year.

On margins, we had a solid start with the 3 business groups growing 60 basis points despite 100 basis points year-on-year tariff impact. As we lap tariff pressure in the second half, the continued momentum on productivity and volume acceleration gives us confidence in our expectation of approximately 100 basis points margin expansion for business groups this year.

On nonoperational, we expect positive trends driven by a $2 billion share repurchase in the first quarter and lower net interest expense. Overall, we are maintaining our EPS guidance, which includes a contingency, and we will go through the components of the earnings bridge on the next slide.

Given the strong earnings growth and good progress on working capital, particularly inventory and continued CapEx efficiency, we believe our free cash flow will be more than $4.5 billion for the year and greater than 100% conversion.

Slide 9 shows the trend of key earning elements and the current guidance. We are trending $0.05 to $0.15 higher on earnings from momentum on productivity and lower share count and interest expense. We are facing higher input costs due to the recent increase in oil price, but have implemented targeted price increases to mitigate the impact at the current levels.

Given that we are early in the year and we are operating in a volatile macro environment, we think it is prudent to keep a contingency until we have more clarity about the rest of the year. Overall, we are moving with determined pace, and we'll continue to calibrate as the year progresses.

Regarding cadence, we expect sales growth to accelerate in Q2 and the back half of the year. Backlog conversion and continued order strength is expected to support growth momentum in both SIBG and TEBG in the second quarter. We anticipate consumer to improve as point of sale is on an upward trend, resulting in normalized inventory levels. On EPS, given the contingencies for the second half, we expect the first-half EPS to be higher than the second half.

Our 2026 financial outlook puts us on pace to exceed our medium-term financial commitments that we laid out during Investor Day around growth, margin and cash. And on capital allocation, we have already returned over $7 billion of the $10 billion shareholder returns that we had committed to.

Before we open the call for questions, I want to take a minute to thank the team for a strong start to the year and being proactive in this environment to mitigate risk and control the controllable and for their commitment to strengthen the foundation and drive profitable growth.

With that, let's open the call for questions.

[Operator Instructions] And our first question comes from the line of Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.

Bill or Anurag, just trying to dig into the order commentary a little bit more, maybe you could give us a little more perspective on the pre-buy, the size of it, if you could. And I guess the prebuy would imply getting ahead of price increases and the like. So maybe a little bit of color on how much additional price is now embedded in your organic growth forecast.

And just also on these backlog numbers, obviously, the delta sound great, but it's not really a backlog business. So kind of the question, is it law of small numbers on those deltas? Or is there actually significant visibility that you can anchor to as you look into Q2?

Jeff, thank you for the question. I'll start, and maybe I'll pass on to Anurag on the backlog point.

As we said, we had very good orders in the first quarter, up double digits, which was very good. And you're right, we're not really a backlog-driven business, but backlog was very strong coming out of Q1 and continues to build into Q2.

Over the course of the quarter, we saw good order growth in January and February, kind of up mid-single digits. But it accelerated quite a bit in the month of March. So it would be well over the double-digit number that we ascribed for the whole quarter. And it continues into April, which I think is very encouraging.

Now how much is price? I mean the reality is we do a price increase every year on April 1. So it's hard to discern how much was a prebuy. We think there's some of it. We've signaled to investors -- to customers rather that we're going ahead with a price increase on top of what we went out with April 1, associated with the price of oil coming up. So that could cause a little bit of pre-buy, if you will. But again, it's hard to discern exactly how much would that be.

You asked about price for the year. For the year, we had guided before at about 80 basis points. We came in a little bit below that in Q1. We still see -- outside of oil-based increases around 80 basis points. But when you add in oil and the expected price increase from oil, it could be around an extra 50 basis points is what we're thinking at the moment. So price for the year around 1.3 points.

I don't know, Anurag, maybe share a little bit about the backlog.

Yes. Thanks there, Bill. You are right that we are largely a book-and-ship business. We have about 75% of our revenue in a quarter comes from book and ship, but we do get backlog coverage as we enter the quarter. With the numbers that we mentioned, which was about 35% up sequentially to 20% year-over-year, provides us about 400, 500 basis points of additional coverage as we enter into the quarter, which is not insignificant given the growth acceleration that we expect from Q1 and Q2.

So I think it's really good to kind of see that we are starting with a very good backlog coverage for the quarter. Combined with the order momentum that Bill spoke about in the first 3 weeks of April, it gives us really confidence for acceleration of growth through the -- through second quarter.

And typically, we do not talk about orders and sales because of the book and ship because they converge together. But this time, you could see the big spike. And as Bill mentioned, part of it could be the pre-buy, but a lot of it is commercial excellence, NPI and other initiatives that we are driving, which resulted in order acceleration.

Great. And then maybe just a quick follow-up then. Just a comment about then accelerating into the remainder of the year. By that, do you mean each quarter will be a faster growth quarter than the one that preceded it, even though the comps are getting tougher in the back half of the year?

Yes, we see Q2 being better than Q1. And we see the second half being better than the first half, is the way we're currently looking at it, Jeff.

Our next question comes from the line of Scott Davis with Melius Research.

Just to follow up on Jeff's question. Are customer inventories low and there's a little bit of a restock occurring? Or are they balanced? How do you guys kind of see that element right now?

So we track it pretty carefully on the Safety and Industrial business group, the distribution inventory is relatively normal, I'd say maybe a tick below what we typically would see. We would typically see 65, 70 days, and it's a bit below that. On the Consumer side, it's about normalized from where we were last year, around 13 weeks of supply coming into the year was a bit higher, maybe 13.5. But right now, we're around 13.

So on the Consumer side, fairly normal. On the Safety and Industrial side, I'd say normal to maybe a bit light in the channel.

Okay. Helpful. I think you mentioned your factory footprint is down like 10%. Is there another 10%? I mean how do you guys kind of think of where the endpoint on that journey is?

So it's -- we're going to keep talking about this with investors as we go forward. I mean, at the end of last year, with 108, we sold and closed on PG&F, the precision grinding business, which was 7 factories scattered across Europe, one in Asia, a couple in the U.S. So it was not a large business, but a big factory footprint.

So that brought down by 7. We closed 1 in the first quarter. We announced a couple of others. So that will close over the course of this year into next year. So that puts us below 100. The number will be below where we happen to be today. We'll continue to look at that and size it for investors as we go. But clearly, the footprint just under 100 is bigger than we really need today.

Our next question comes from the line of Julian Mitchell with Barclays.

Just wanted to start maybe if you could give any color around the second quarter dynamics in a bit more detail, understand the organic sales growth accelerates year-on-year from the 1% in Q1.

Also, I think Anurag, you said first half EPS more than second half because of the contingency. So I just want to gauge sort of how much sequentially or year-on-year EPS should grow in Q2? And what's the sort of margin embedded in that guide would be?

Sure. Sure, Julian. Let me answer those questions.

So first, just on the revenue growth. As we mentioned because of the good backlog and the auto momentum, we expect organic growth in the second quarter to be higher than 3%, with all the 3 BGs accelerating. SIBG, which was at 3.2%, obviously going higher than that. TEBG, low single digit. And CBG flat to positive. So that's the expectation of the revenue growth acceleration.

Obviously, that's going to come with high flow-throughs. We're going to continue with the productivity that we did in the first quarter will continue to the second quarter. And between volume and productivity, we'll offset all the last quarter of the tariff year-over-year impact for us, a pickup in stranded costs and investments. So you will see operationally for us, it's going to be a solid margin, about 24.5%, and good EPS flow-through coming from that.

On below the line, we will see a couple of pennies of headwinds relative to last year. Last year, in the second quarter, we had a divestment of an investment that we had in India, which was about $0.08 to $0.10. Then you see a little bit of tax, which was favorable in Q1 coming back in Q2. So those are two headwinds.

Of course, they will be offset by the share buyback, which we did in the first quarter, which is going to help us in the second quarter, plus a little bit on the non-op pension side. So you put all of that together, we should grow more than $0.05 in the second quarter, which for the first half would put us at about $0.30-plus of EPS growth, which is more than half if you include the contingency for the full year.

Now the contingency, as I mentioned, we kept it for the second half of the year, depending on how things evolve. If we continue performing the way we do, revenue grows over 3% in the second quarter, which is a good exit rate as we enter into the second half. And if it continues at that a little bit better with good volume flow-through, no tariff headwind, the margins in the second half could be much higher than the first half. Yes.

I appreciate all the color. Just one very quick follow-up. That was very thorough. Maybe on the pre-buy dynamics, credit for calling that out, but trying to understand what you're assuming for how much that sort of reverses because you've got organic sales growth accelerating in Q2. We have maybe some sort of -- I don't know if a prebuy is helping that or the unwind hurts that. Maybe flesh out that prebuy sort of dynamic over the balance of the year.

So Julian, I mean we -- it's hard to discern exactly how much is pre-buy. I mean we get orders coming in, it's quite strong. But we are seeing much better traction on new product introductions, a lot of momentum building on commercial excellence. And keep in mind, part of what was driving Q1 growth, including into early April, are some longer-lead products that will go into semis, more importantly, in data centers, delivering in Q2 in the back end of the year. So you have all these factors in there.

I think when I step back and look at the full year, as we said, we'll see acceleration into Q2 and then in the back half. And all these pieces come together. And any pre-buy that's happened will wash out in Q2, but we do see acceleration in the back half on the back of really core operating fundamentals around NPI and commercial excellence.

Our next question comes from the line of Joe O'Dea with Wells Fargo.

On the $0.05 to $0.15 of contingency tied to oil macro uncertainty, can you just outline kind of roughly how you think about the split on the demand side versus the cost side of that and your planning assumptions? And then really looking for any color on the oil exposure sort of across the business, and what you're thinking about that contingency could flow through if you need to use it?

Okay. Let me start with the contingency, and then I'll -- and then Bill, you can add from there on.

On the $0.05 to $0.15 of contingency that we kept, it's actually across the 2 buckets that you mentioned around here. As I mentioned, in the second quarter, we'll be above 3%, we expect -- which is a good exit rate as we go into the second half.

So if there is a little bit of an impact on the volume piece because of macro, which we are not currently seeing right now or a little bit of the input cost that goes up, so I guess it gets spread between the two, Joe, to be honest.

Our objective right now is to continue driving what we control on the NPI commercial excellence continue to outperform the macro and drive more productivity so that we don't have to use the contingency in the second half.

And Joe, on the oil price, the way we look at it is really two pieces. One is on the supply side. The other is demand. And on the supply side, we have about 45% of our cost of goods is raw materials and about 1/3 of that -- so it's about $6 billion of raw material spend. And about 1/3 of that is its basis in polychem. So it's ethylene, it's propylene, esters, acrylates, all those various things. And we are seeing some upward cost pressure on that.

What we've seen so far and expect is about $125 million of cost increase there, which are offsetting into pricing. As I mentioned earlier on that we expect about a 50 basis point uplift on price coming from that oil-based exposure.

How that affects the overall macro economy? What's going to happen with consumer spending, auto? I mean that's still all unfolding as we speak and depending upon what happens in the Middle East, but that's our current assumption as we speak today.

Got it. And then just on the transportation, electronics commercial excellence program, can you talk about where you are on that trajectory? I think you started to see traction in SIBG last year, and that continues, but just the efforts that are underway. And as we think about the growth acceleration, just any quantification of how you're thinking about commercial excellence contributing to better T&E growth as you move through the year?

Yes. So it's a good question. I mean, they're doing a great job on this. They're falling right behind what we've done in SIBG, which has been very, very successful. I'm very pleased with the traction on the sales force, on pricing discipline, on cross-selling, on churn reduction and looking very hard at attrition with the predictive AI models that we have in place.

And the team at TEBG is doing the same sorts of things. I think the cross-sell opportunity is not going to be as robust, but they move very aggressively on improving on the sales force and better incentives, better targeting. We're close, we're on targets. They're tracking attrition rates, which I think is very good. They have the same predictive models tailored for TEBG into that business. So they're making good progress. It's going to roll out over the balance of the year.

One of the key things we're focused on is making sure we have the right mix and focus of our sales reps versus application engineers. Are they -- do we have the right mix between the two? And are they calling at the right level in the customer, for example, in automotive at the OEE versus the tiers?

So it's a little bit different than what we see in SIBG, but they're working it pretty hard. And I think you're going to see in the back end of the year certainly improvements in TEBG coming from a lot of that commercial excellence work.

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

So on the Transportation and Electronics, to just to dig in a little bit further, also double-digit orders. So it seems like we -- a lot of questions into the quarter about weakness in consumer electronics. So does that mean that we are offsetting consumer electronics into the second half?

Yes, Andrew, it's exactly what's happened and will happen. In fact, when you -- again, when you discern with TEBG, just in Q1, I mean they were flattish, but half of the business was up mid-single digits and half the business was down mid-single digits. And you can really isolate that in the 2 areas, which is auto, auto OEE and commercial vehicles, and consumer electronics.

So we show in our slides that electronics as a whole is flattish. What you see there is you see very strong semiconductor, data center business offsetting a weaker consumer electronics business. As we look at the balance of the year, we see electronics start to get modestly positive. Again, I think CE, or consumer electronics, may soften a little bit. But we are seeing better trajectory and growth in the data center and the semiconductor business.

And Bill, just to follow up on that. At CES, you showcased some pivot in strategy on consumer electronics. You've also talked to your analyst -- your first Analyst Day about the need to rebuild the R&D pipeline, particularly on the electronics side. Can you just talk about how these two internal initiatives impacting your growth and the growth trajectory over the next 12 months, let's say?

Yes, that's a great question. I mean, we're putting a lot of time and effort into making sure we have good new product introductions in consumer electronics, both for the premium segment as well as for the mainstream segment. Wendy has been talking about this quite a bit. We are seeing good traction here.

Unfortunately, the market isn't cooperating with us. We do see a greater downturn in LCD, which is where our strength happens to be. But we do see a lot of innovation in this space. We are gaining some share modestly in the mainstream side.

When you look at content per device, 3 or 4 China OEMs have increased their content per device in the first quarter and the fourth one, we saw a pretty good order for us. So I think we're making some progress here. And this comes on the back of a lot of the NPI work that's happened in TEBG, and there's more to come.

Our next question comes from Andy Kaplowitz with Citi Group.

So can you give us some more color into what you're seeing in Consumer? I know you talked about share gain actions in Consumer. So maybe you can elaborate on what you're doing there? And how much discounting do you have to do to get there? And should Consumer contribute to your margin performance this year? Or could Consumer margin continue to be pressured a bit over the year?

So look, I'm pleased with what's happening in Consumer. The market for us, we're 70% U.S. So it's really focused on the U.S. consumer. We sell a discretionary product. As Anurag mentioned, we had a couple of pockets of strength in the year from new product introductions. I think the team has really gotten back to basics, focusing on priority brands and started to innovate again.

The reality is we went for a lot of years without a lot of new product introductions, a lot of Class 3, so they're incremental, some are Class 4, but really starting to kind of be more aggressive on new product introductions. And I think we're holding our own and in fact, starting to gain back shelf space because we have new product coming into the marketplace.

Yes, it's not a segment that we see upward movement on pricing, we're trying to contain the discounting that happens half the year. Again, the market is a little bit soft. For the year, we expect to see some growth. It will be positive. It won't be a meaningful driver of the overall 3M growth in the year.

But again, we're down 1.3 in Q1, down a little bit more than that in Q4. We were up sort of modestly for the first 9 months of last year at 0.3 points. So I mean, they're hanging right around flat to up a little bit. And when the consumer starts to spend more, we'll have the right products with good innovation, great commercial excellence efforts there, and we'll see that business to return to growth.

Helpful. Then Bill, maybe just a little more thoughts about portfolio management. You obviously opted for a JV structure with the purchase of Madison, despite seemingly leaning into safety as one of your priorities. So maybe a little more color on why you chose the JV structure there.

And then stepping back, can you give us an update on how you're thinking about overall 3M portfolio? I think you've said in the past 2% or 3% of your portfolio is actionable in terms of divestitures, 10% is commodity. Like is that still the right numbers of the company?

Yes. So look, I'm really pleased with the structure and the conclusion of this Madison, Scott and [ SCBA ] joint venture, where we're a 51% owner, it's going to be consolidated. It's a strategic bolt-on acquisition. And what you just referred to as a priority vertical, it is. It does strengthen our SCBA business. It's a great brand. We have been innovating in this space. We talked last year about some new innovations coming on to the marketplace. This also creates some scale by putting this business together for future organic and inorganic opportunities.

Madison and all of its fire and rescue products, have been performing very well. They bring a terrific management team. They're growing double digits. The margins are coming up. So it's -- I think it's a great combination in a space that we like quite a bit.

Bain Capital is our partner on this. They're 49%. We know them well. They are very good at post-merger integration, they bring a lot of operating rigor and good expertise on driving incremental M&A while we focus on other areas around the company.

So when you put all that together, I think it's a strategic opportunity for us. It gives some optionality for do we pull it back or do we suit something else over time. But the reality is it's a terrific deal. It is going to be accretive to our growth, margins, earnings over time. So I feel pretty good about that particular deal.

We closed on PG&F, the Precision Grinding business on April 1. It wasn't very big, but businesses that don't perform sometimes can be difficult to transact on. But I'm very, very pleased that, that one got over the line. We continue to look at the rest of the portfolio.

Yes, we're around 10% of our business is more commodity like. We don't have a clear right to win, not a lot of technology differentiation. We said 2% to 3% was in flight, PG&F was part of that. We continue to evaluate this, and we'll talk to investors as we go on what that shaping happens to be.

But the reality, the investors should see the transaction on Madison with Scott as an important strategic signal for investors around the things that we want to do to reshape our portfolio to be higher -- structurally higher growth and higher margin potential.

Our next question comes from the line of Chigusa Katoku with JPMorgan.

First, can you maybe recalibrate us on the outlook for U.S. IP and electronics you're embedding and your assumptions for the full year? I think it was U.S. IP flat and electronics up mid-single digit last quarter.

Sorry, Chigusa. You're talking about IPI, the macro?

Yes, the U.S. IPI.

Okay. So well, thanks for the question. And I guess, congratulations on the role. Welcome to the call. So just in terms of the macro, as we came into Q1, we saw some of the similar trends we saw in '25 continue. So maybe a couple of comments relative to where we were in January.

Global IPI is still around 2%. It's not moved around very much. USAC or U.S. is up a little bit better. EMEA is down a little bit. China is still mid-single digits. And interestingly, those trends are exactly what we saw in our business through Q1. So U.S. up a little bit, Europe down a little bit, China mid-single digits. So it's pretty much aligned with that.

GDP is still sort of in that same 2.5% range. Auto builds are still floating around between flat to down 1. It's really early in the year. I think that tends to be more of a backward-looking indicator. But right now, it's sort of flat to down a little bit. U.S. retail is flattish.

The place that we're watching a little bit is consumer electronics where the outlook is for a little bit more softness as we get into the back end of the year. But overall, the macro is trending about where we saw it in January and through last year.

Okay. Great. And then on this contingency, I was just wondering what it would take for you to remove this. I think it's prudent that you're including in guidance, but you've been seeing good order trends, you're operationally raising guidance by about [ $0.025 ]. And without this contingency, it would have been a $0.10 raise. So kind of what would it take for this to be removed?

Yes. Thank you for the question, Chigusa. Listen, we'll probably give you an update in our next earnings call on that. As we go through the next couple of months, we're pretty confident with the backlog and auto momentum on the Q2 revenue. We'll see how that plays out as well as we have executed. We have a very good playbook on -- which we adopted from the tariffs last year in terms of working with the customers and pushing out the price increases over there.

So that's an area we will kind of monitor on the yield over there over the next couple of months plus and see where oils are at which levels they are after a few months. And if we continue performing the way we did in Q1, both on the productivity as well as in operational excellence, and come July, we will give you an update on where we stand for the full year.

Our next question comes from the line of Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research.

We covered most of the topics. So I just wanted to -- a couple of quick follow-ons. Just going back to the pre-buy comments, just trying to understand, why you think there may have been a pre-buy? Is it because you're trying to rationalize the strong orders? Or is there something else that you're hearing from customers? So just maybe cover that.

And then on the 50 basis points of additional price, is that in the form of a surcharge? It certainly seems like it's in the surcharge, so that rolls back if oil comes down. And would that hit in 2Q? Or is that more in the back half of the year?

So really, Nigel, thanks for the questions. Look, it's hard to avoid the fact that we're pushing pricing a little bit more aggressively. We know there's an inflationary environment. We know price oil is going to go up. We know the impact on our company. We know perhaps what we did 4, 5 years ago, maybe not moved as quickly on pricing when oil came up, which we're correcting for that. I think we're being a lot more attuned to what's going on in the macro.

And we're enforcing it better. If a shipment goes out beyond a date, that shipment will have a price increase associated with it. I think the customers have seen that and heard that. And then when you put all that together, it gives us a sense that perhaps there's some advanced buying from these price increases that are going out.

So again, we'll know more in the next month, 6 weeks, how much of that might be prebuy, simply because we'll watch the orders through the balance of the year into the balance of the quarter and into May. So that's kind of basically how we're thinking about the prebuy here at the moment.

On pricing, we do see right now about $125 million worth of cost impact, which we've been relating to pricing, and that would translate to about 50 basis points. So that's factored into the guidance of about 3% organic for the year, but that's kind of what we're thinking at the moment on pricing.

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Snyder with Morgan Stanley.

I wanted to also follow up on pricing and I guess a little bit on price cost. When do these surcharges take effect? I would imagine some point in Q2, but any color on when they take effect would be helpful.

And it just seems like with the $120 million of cost inflation that you referenced, Bill, on the 50 bps of price, the plan here is to be, I guess, be neutral on price cost. And I asked because if I remember a year ago, you guys were actually EPS negative on the tariff inflation. Just want to make sure I have that neutral view right.

So Chris, I think we've learned a little bit. Yes, we're moving a lot faster than we did last year on tariffs, tariffs came on. And I think maybe we're a little tentative at front, but I think we ended up offsetting a good part of the tariffs on cost and price. We're trying to be careful on that. So yes, exactly, we will offset cost increases associated with oil through price increases, and that's the assumption that we're making here.

I mean you're right. Historically, we have covered material cost inflation with pricing. So historically, with a 2% material inflation, that would translate into roughly 50 basis points of price. For the year, we are guiding to about 80 basis points, again, a little bit lighter in Q1, but inflation in Q1 came in a little bit lighter as well. So for the year, 80 basis points.

With oil coming in, that's driving an incremental 50 basis points of price, so a total of about 1.3 points roughly for the year on pricing. And that's our current expectation. It's not a surcharge. The price is going out embedded into the pricing of our products. And that's kind of -- and it's depending on the product and the geography, but generally speaking, it was less of a surcharge, more being built into the underlying price.

Yes. And in terms of the rollout in the timeline, we've already started in April in a couple of countries in Asia. And then in the United States, it starts in May 1 and Europe as well. So it is imminent right now with all the letters going out to the customers, knowing when the surcharge is going to impact them, oil price increase is going to impact them. Yes.

Appreciate that. And then maybe if I could follow up, just any color you could provide on how firm or how much flexibility is there on these delivery dates for these orders or what's in the backlog? And then I guess asked because I remember a year ago, there was elongation on those orders, I think, tied to some of the preordering ahead of tariffs. And it seems like there could be some of that again now. So just kind of wondering, trying to gauge that as a potential risk into Q2.

Chris, the delivery is limited to the lead times that we have. So it's not like an order can be placed for 6 or 12 months of delivery. So it's definitely within the time frame that is we always describe. Yes.

Our next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with UBS.

This is [ Neil ] on for Amit. So I know we just got first quarter results, but if I could ask about the growth algorithm into 2027 because the outlook suggests some meaningful improvement in trends exiting this year.

If I just look at new product introductions, for example, I mean, these are accelerating. And if we add maybe 2 points of macro growth to new product introduction, would that math imply that 3M is growing around 4.5% organically next year?

Yes. Thanks for the question, Amit. I'll start and Bill can add from there.

[ Neil ]. [ Neil ] on for Amit.

Yes, I'm sorry. [ Neil ] for Amit. Yes. So I -- we said this year that we will grow about $330 million, $300 million above macro. And as we get into the second half of the year, from the exit rates, you are right, we will be north of 3.5%, which would imply that we would be above where we are in the first half and above where the full year would be. So we do feel very good as we enter into next year with what we are doing on the NPI as well as what we are doing on commercial excellence and how that is translating.

So first is, obviously, we've got to grow in the second quarter about 3%. And if we do grow above the 3.5% in the second half of the year, I think it will give us good momentum to kind of accelerate the growth into 2027. But it's a little bit too early to kind of talk about that, and we'll provide more color as we go through the course of the year.

Our next question comes from the line of Deane Dray with RBC Capital Markets.

I was hoping we can address the point-of-sale momentum. I mean that's a surprising number, up 7 on the last 8 weeks, given the pockets of macro pressure. So just your impression here, is this consumer driven? Is it more on the commercial side at all? Just some context and the momentum into April?

Deane, so it is consumer driven because it's in the consumer business group. I think it's very encouraging for us to see POS up. That's a sell-out 7 of 8 weeks, which I think is really good. It does kind of make us feel a little bit better going into Q2.

And that business, Consumer business stabilizing, perhaps growing a little bit in Q2 and the balance of the year, so those are good trends. I think it reflects the team's very aggressive efforts on driving promotions, getting shelf space, driving NPI, being really aggressive at hustling at the customer interface, good on-time performance still in at 95%, 94.5% range. So just really good work.

Anurag talked a little bit about a couple of pockets that are growing a bit better, but it's pretty broad-based. We see really good trajectory here through the first quarter now going into Q2 on the clubs, which is not surprising, given where consumers happen to be today. But we feel good about the trends and good about the outlook for Q2 so far.

Good to hear. And I'd love to hear a bit more about the Expanded Beam Optics opportunity. There's a lot of focus on this. It's addressing the data transfer bottlenecks in AI processing. So just where do you stand competitively? How quickly can you ramp on this? Is there any question of manufacturing capacity? Because the take rate on this is one of the fastest growing right now in data centers.

Well, Deane, exactly. That's why we're so optimistic about it and why we're talking more about it. And the fact that we've had some really good robust IP protection around the technology. It is expanded beams. So it's not a point-to-point fiber connection to the data center. It's sort of like an easy click between two pieces of multi-fiber device referrals that come together.

And we can put that together at 80% less time with a less strain technician; better reliability, can operate in a dusty environment, which is why it's gotten some good take rate. We've had at least a validation by at least one hyperscaler, a second one is in testing. I expect that will be positive as well.

We had a fairly large order coming in, in Q1 relating to the hyperscaler that has certified it. We are in a ramp-up mode. We will double capacity towards the back end of the year. We're investing quite significantly to expand capacity, relying on other partners in the space. Hyperscalers won't go with a single source of supply. So we've got to make sure we have some dual source, either a couple of factories or us with a contract manufacturer.

So all of this is working. We're working the ecosystem. The pace at which this has happened is very encouraging, and the team is pushing hard. I'm really optimistic about where it's going to go from here. This is a polymer EPO as it moves to ceramics, which is more EBO or fiber to the chip. I think it opens up a lot more opportunities with a lot of other players in the space. So look, it's encouraging, which is why we want to share today with investors.

Our next question comes from the line of Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank.

I'm just going to ask one since we're near the top of the hour, and we've gotten through a lot of the questions on my list. Just on some of the margin puts and takes, so have you guys seen any changes to your full year productivity assumption or stranded costs or growth investments? And I guess was any of that kind of front-loaded into the first quarter? How are we thinking about phasing throughout the year of those 3 items?

Right. Thanks for the question, Nicole. So we said that we have a contingency of $0.05 to $0.15. So let's say, at the midpoint, it's $0.10. About half of that is because of productivity, and most of that was in the first quarter.

So the -- I would say the only two changes that we made from our previous guidance, about $0.05 of that was very good productivity both on the supply chain side as well as the G&A. And a lot of it we saw in the first quarter. And obviously, we try to continue with the momentum that we have.

The second $0.05 at the midpoint, I would say, is because of our active capital deployment where we bought back $2 billion of shares in the first quarter of 2.5 billion, which obviously gives us accretion through the course of the year and active cash management with the cash balance that we have. Those are the big changes.

But we're not changing our productivity guidance, stranded cost guidance at [ $150 million ] tariffs. I mean that all stays the same as it was back in January.

Our final question comes from the line of Laurence Alexander with Jefferies.

Just very quickly, can you just address what your customers are saying about potential supply chain bottlenecks, I guess, particularly in the kind of sulfur, helium, methanol derivative chains? And does that -- are those factored into your contingency that you kind of see ways to work around those shortages if they develop in the back half of the year?

So Laurence, it's a good question. I mean that's probably affecting some of the pre-buy activity perhaps. Look, I think we're all working through this. We're in direct contact with all of our suppliers trying to manage all of our sources of supply, making sure we've got a variety of players that we can go to.

So it's on our minds. So I know it's on theirs, and it's going to affect behavior as we go through the next several months, and we watch what's happening in the Middle East and through the Strait of Hormuz. So we'll keep you updated on that, but it's certainly a factor that's on everyone's mind today for sure. So thank you.

This concludes the question-and-answer portion of our conference call. I will now turn the call back over to Bill Brown for some closing comments.

So I know we're a couple of minutes late, but thank you all for joining today. And I want to thank again all of the 3Mers for their efforts, for their dedication and executing against our priorities, strengthening the foundation, as Anurag say, controlling the controllables, delivering value to our customers and shareholders. So thank you. Thank you all for joining today. Have a good day.

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference call. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your lines.

Okay. Moving right along with Bill Brown, CEO of 3M. Quite a diverse, global business. So maybe some perspective on what's going on out there in the world and how it may impact your business just with the recent developments we've seen in the last couple of weeks, as a start.

So first of all, good morning, everybody. It's great to be here. Let me start by just mentioning that we are -- we continue to execute the foundational priorities that we've laid out for the company going back now almost 2 years. I've been talking about it pretty consistently in all of our earnings releases. It's really about driving commercial excellence and operational excellence, innovation excellence across the company, building our culture.

You see it in both our operational metrics, and I talk about these quite extensively at every earnings release around utilization or what I call OEE, OTIF, cost per quality, the number of products that we're launching. You'll also see progress that we're making in our financial metrics around returning to growth, driving margin expansion. We're really pleased with what we've done there. Generating strong cash, returning a lot of cash to shareowners, tracking above our Investor Day commitments. So overall, I think the company is performing very, very well.

As we go into '26, we see a lot of the same trends that we saw through last year continue on into this year, and I could talk more about that. With this added volatility, Steve, as you were just referencing about what's going on in the Middle East with the elevated price of oil, we certainly are impacted like everybody else around the world. We don't have a very large business in the Middle East. It's kind of like less than 2% of our revenue. We do see shipments and transshipments through a couple of important logistics hubs in the Middle East. So air freight, logistics will be a little bit -- have some friction to it.

We're watching very carefully, with the price of oil being elevated, we certainly use oil-based polymers in our products. And that's going to be -- we'll see how it affects over time. But if the price of oil stays elevated, we're going to take action like we had to do last year and be responsible on pricing. Like we were with tariffs, we're going to do the same thing with oil this year. But it's something that we watch very, very carefully and we'll be responsive on. So again, economic conditions continue almost like they were last year coming into this year.

When I think about the pieces of the company, we watch a number of different things. I talk a lot about IPI and what's happening in the Industrial Production Index. At the beginning of this year at our earnings release, I talked about IPI softening a little bit on a global basis, down around 1.5%. So U.S. coming down, China slowing down a little bit. That's an important factor for us.

Given we have a big presence in the Industrial business, we watch PMIs, other metrics around the world. It's actually encouraging to see PMI be above 50 for a couple of months in a row, which I think is a good trend. As we started this year, we see in our Industrial businesses some of the continued momentum that we were building last year. Order rates for us remain pretty healthy. We're seeing backlog growth in our Industrial side.

So general Industrial and Safety for us is about 60% of our company, so it's a big piece of it. And we see good performance there across abrasives and tapes, our electrical market business, our safety business, all continue to do reasonably well. And a lot of it is, with the backlog, we've got to make sure we convert here as we get into March, mid-March. But that part of the business is doing pretty well.

There's another 40% or just under 40% of the business that's a bit softer. Consumer products is about 20% of the company. And we're seeing the trends just really like we saw last year. It's relatively soft. Consumers are focused on nondiscretionary spending. So we're watching it very, very carefully. It's sort of, again, the same trends we saw last year.

We're watching very carefully what happens in automotive. We knew automotive was going to slow down for us a little bit this year. If you look at IHI build rates -- IHS build rates for this year, it's going to be down -- I think yesterday I saw the new numbers down 0.8 point over the course of the year. Q1 is going to be weak. Q1 in China is down 9%. So we're watching automotive very carefully. It's a little less than 10% of our business, like 8%. So that's an important one to watch.

And the third part about it is broad Electronics, but in particular on Consumer Electronics. Consumer Electronics is about 8% of the company as well, and we're watching very carefully what's happening in the end-demand for memory pricing. So stepping back, you can see about 60% or a little bit more than that, Industrial, doing pretty well; 40%, a little less than that, being a little bit softer as we turn the quarter into '26.

So I guess from a top line perspective, does that kind of put you at the lower end of the range for the first half on organic at least? Or is there like volume's a little weaker, you have a little more price to offset? What's the bottom line there?

Yes. So as we said in the earnings release, we saw we'd be at 3% organic this year, up a little bit from last year, into a bit of a weaker economy. But we saw organic growth rate accelerating through the year. So naturally, it's going to start off a little bit lighter in the first quarter. It will build into the second and it will build into the back half of the year. But 3% organic growth for the full year.

So that's still something achievable even with kind of the mix?

Yes. It's still very early in the year, we're still mid-March. Again, we're watching the order trends. And for us, again, Industrial has been pretty good; it's been pretty resilient. It's actually picking up a little bit as we get into March. So we feel good about Industrial. We just have to watch the other parts that I just mentioned.

Can you just delve into what's happening on the Consumer Electronics front, maybe which areas specifically in your portfolio that you're seeing the most pressure? From this...

Yes. So again, our Electronics business as a whole is about 10%. It's about $2.5 billion. Consumer Electronics is around $2 billion in business. So we sell tapes, bonding solutions into a variety of consumer electronic devices, from phones, tablets, PCs, TVs. We've historically been 70-30, 80-20 premium-to-mainstream, which for us this year is actually working out because the market is the opposite or the inverse of that. The market is more mainstream and low entry devices and less on the premium side.

Why that's important with the memory prices coming up quite dramatically, the premium players have much more robust supply chains, they of course are pricing at a premium, a better ability to deal with memory prices coming in. So that part of the business has been a little bit more resilient. It's not unimpacted, but more resilient.

Of course, we're pushing as well to develop products by cost-engineering or value-engineering some of the premium products we sell into the premium devices, going after the mainstream side. We're making some good penetration into that segment. But overall, that business is likely to be soft.

As we've been pushing on this for the past year or 1.5 years, again, what this is really is taking cost out of premium products going into those higher-end devices. As these midstream mainstream players are starting to see more pressure on their business, they're opening up their BOMs for different ideas. And we're able to provide some different solutions and, hopefully, we can gain a little bit of share in the mainstream side. So premium is under a little bit of pressure, more so in mainstream, but it opens up an opportunity for us to gain share.

So net negative, but you guys are offsetting that with some of your NPI and your...

It's going to be not offset entirely, but we're offsetting some of it, yes.

And are we talking about, in this business -- I know there have been some pretty significant cuts to device shipments, I mean, are we talking about this business being down like double digit or is it more...

We don't think it would be down double digits.

Yes. So it's something between 0 and double digits...

It's going to be down a little bit, but some place in that range.

Like 5...

We're not going to get -- pin myself down. We got a couple of weeks left in the quarter, Steve.

Okay. Sorry. Just trying to be more precise on that front. On the growth side, where are you seeing -- are you still on track for this $1 billion of outgrowth? Remind us of where you are there and where you're seeing...

So we're making very -- look, it's very good progress actually. We outgrew the macro last year by about $150 million. We see ourselves outgrowing the macro this year $300 million or more. Last year, and we laid this out very clearly at our Investor Day last year, we said early on we'll outgrow the macro through commercial excellence and over time the contribution from innovation is going to start to pick up. And that's what's exactly what's happening.

So last year, the outgrowth versus the macro, only about 25% came from NPI or launching new products. More of it came from commercial excellence. This year, it's about half and half, but it's going to tilt more towards innovation-driven outgrowth as we get into 2027.

So the progress has been very good on commercial excellence. This is really just getting back to basics about how the salespeople call on customers, how they price or how we watch attrition or what we call churn and the drivers of that, cross-selling opportunities. We started on this initiative back in late 2024 with SIBG, our Industrial business. It's actually been making very, very good progress. We're seeing that now extend into our Transportation Electronics business, which has been historically more of a spec-ing business, but spec-ing doesn't mean that you go and win the spec and you forget to call on the customer.

So the company, we're actually trying to push very hard on developing and transferring some of that knowledge, some of those skills we're developing in SIBG, over into TEBG. We're seeing some good traction, good progress there as well.

On NPI and driving innovation, the company, we sort of bottomed out back in '22, '23. We launched only 125, 128 products over that 2-year period of time. We start to bring that back up because we're pushing a lot more into driving innovation and launching more products. In 2024, we launched 169; last year, we launched 284; this year, we launched over 350 products. And we're on a good trajectory to launch more than 1,000 new products over the next 3 years, really through 2027.

So we're making good progress in all of that. That is what's going to drive our outgrowth of the macro this year as well as going into next year.

And just remind us of what that number this year. I think it was $150 million last year. What's the number...

It should be just over $300 million.

So you're on track -- you're on track for that.

We are on track, yes.

And any types of products that really -- like specific products that really stand out? I know 3M has like thousands and thousands of SKUs, it's always hard for us to find a couple of things that really stand out. Like I remember optical films back in the day, although that would -- that turned out to be somewhat of an anchor over time. And anything that stands out that you're particularly excited about, maybe something in the data center or something like that?

We're seeing actually really interesting developments and innovation really across all of the priority verticals that we're in. It's not -- there's hardly -- a lot of things you can actually call -- even in Consumer products, we're bringing to market a lot of interesting products, a lot of new ideas. We're launching some more products in that space, which we hadn't done in a long time.

The one area we're actually putting a little more time is in data centers. We've got a new product, which is a new optical interconnect. It's called EBO or Expanded Beam Optics. It's quite interesting. We've got some patent protection around that. We're starting to get some traction with the ecosystem around data centers. We have a foothold, a toehold within a data center through copper-based TwinAx interconnects. That world is moving towards from copper to optical fiber, optical connections.

We've got an interesting business. Not very big today, it's about $100 million, inside the data center. But we've gotten a product that's been validated by at least 1 hyperscaler. It's been in testing. We've just received a pretty significant order. We are looking to scale that up.

Yesterday at OFC, which is their Optical Fiber Conference on the West Coast, we announced that we're more than doubling the capacity of that particular part of our business. We do see a lot of upside. It's a multibillion dollar addressable market for us. But you start and you build over time, and that's the way we're going.

It's a polymer-based electrical -- optical interconnect. The world is going to move to ceramics and on-chip optical connections. We've got a pretty good path on how to develop that over time. So that, I think, is very encouraging. But again, it's just pulling out 1 product out of many, many that teams are innovating on. So I'm sure a lot of people listening in are going to be concerned I didn't raise all these other great things we're working on elsewhere. But that's one I think that's pretty notable.

Right. That sounds pretty interesting. Just on the pricing front. You've mentioned obviously oil-based raw materials. Maybe just talk about price/cost, how we stand today. And are you kind of -- how quickly can you pass some of this through if we do stay higher for longer oil-based stuff?

So pricing has been a big focus area for the company. We typically price to cover material cost inflation. That's sort of the minimum. So on a 2% inflation economy, that's about 50 basis points of price. And that's been where we've been for some time. Last year, we targeted 70 basis points; we came in at 60 over the course of last year. So we were a bit above sort of just covering material cost inflation.

But again, what we're trying to do is cover as part of the tariff impact through pricing. Through the back end of the year going into the fourth quarter, we did see ourselves making some investments in promotions and discounts to gain some shelf space in our Consumer business. We see that continuing here into Q1. So pricing will be a little bit lighter here in Q1. But for the year, we're guiding to about 80 basis points of price this year.

We typically put our price increases out starting on April 1, so they get communicated through the channel in advance of that, so it's already out in the marketplace. So we already are set for price increases on April 1.

But I think we've been pretty nimble on this. We have a couple of more times through the year. We can do something on pricing. We can always go the route of any -- of surcharges to the extent that we see oil prices remaining elevated, impacting our raw material cost, we can push through a surcharge, almost like we -- in fact, exactly like we did last year on tariffs. So we've got an ability to go and do this. And I think we've been pretty nimble here.

We're focusing on how we govern price, making sure that when we do give rebates or discounts or promos, that they're smart and you get the volume benefit from those rebates that we're giving in the marketplace. It sounds kind of obvious, but that's something the team is focused hard on.

And over time, it's really about, through all this innovation that we're doing, how do we better price to value? And it's something that -- it's something we're working on inside the company. It's an opportunity ahead of us. It's not an impact in 2026, but I do think it will be material beyond '26.

When do you think you need to pull the trigger on incremental price? Or are you on April 1 kind of baking in what's happened here on some of the cost inflation? Or is it not at that point yet because everything's so fluid?

It's not at that point yet in the base price, because base price was communicated about 45 days ago, 60 days in advance. But we are looking at surcharges or other things we can put in place relatively quickly.

Okay. On the margin side, you guys have a lot going on. Maybe just talk about the different buckets of margin expansion opportunity, whether that's G&A or productivity in the factories. Maybe just an update on margins?

So the margin story I think is a very, very good one. We said we would hit 25% by 2027, and we'll likely come in a bit above that, which I think is encouraging. Last year, we were up 200 basis points; the year before that, more than 200, it was like 260, 280 basis points before that, the year before that, 2024. So it's been on a good trajectory. This year, we said 70 to 80 basis points. Again, we're tracking well to come in a bit about 25% next year.

So we saw better progress on G&A than we had expected last year. At our Investor Day, we thought, as we looked out, that we would see more opportunities out of cost of goods, driving gross margin expansion. That opportunity is still ahead of us. Through last year, we saw more opportunities in G&A, really looking at our indirect expenses, in IT costs, in just some things that we thought we could pull back on and invest it more appropriately in growth initiatives. So we saw good progress on G&A.

This year, we'll see that tilt more on to the gross margin side, and that's a big opportunity for us in the future. It gets back -- it's really just the basics around how do you get productivity out of our factories and out of our distribution and supply networks. It's something like just really basic kind of operations.

We laid out this transformation agenda that is really looking hard at how do you streamline and simplify our costs, our processes inside the company. We still have G&A activities in 4 service centers around the world. We don't need them in those 4, and we're not in those locations.

When you're moving from a holding company model to an operating company model, in a holding company model, you have all services, all these processes which are driven very distinct and independent down to an individual business unit level. As an operating company, we're pulling all these things together and standardizing them and then outsourcing some things. So a lot of things we're looking at, do we do those activities internally or do them externally? And that's something that's quite important.

On the factory side, look, we have 108 factories. It's more than we need. We have 84 distribution centers. We won't have that many over time. This is something that we're looking quite aggressively at right now. We'll lose about 7 or 8 factories simply because we sold the business last year. There's a few more that are in flight. Earlier this year, we launched -- we announced 2, well, smaller factory closures in the U.S., and 1 is downsizing in Alabama. But there's more that are going to happen here over time. There's automation opportunities that are going to drive this. But we see over time margin expansion continue to grow at the company.

And when you look at this year, obviously, last year blew the numbers away, are there any obvious upside levers this year, whether it's mix or these benefits from maybe the plant closures? Anything this year that gives you more confidence in being above the high end of the range?

There's a lot of things that are within our control. I mean clearly, we've got more opportunities on the G&A side, and we're continuing to take a hard look at that. We're going to keep looking at -- we're going to invest $225 million this year in growth initiatives. We're going to kind of watch that very carefully based on what's happening in the marketplace and throttle up, throttle down based on what we're seeing in our individual numbers. We're seeing good opportunities in productivity.

But what we're doing is we feel confident on 70 to 80 basis points this year; we can get there. But what we're doing is we're building -- there's runway for margin expansion beyond '27. I know investors are hung up on hitting 70 or 75 or 80 or 100 basis points this year. We'll get and we'll achieve the goal that we set out earlier this year. Will we get to above 25% next year? We are confident we can get there. But this isn't an endpoint, it's a step along the way. And we do see continued margin expansion opportunities beyond that.

And it goes beyond simply looking at rooftops or number of our factories or number of distribution centers. There are things that we can do in our facilities and our factories around automation. We have -- we invest substantially in capital, but we have not fully automated those things that we think we can automate. We still have 7,000 material handlers inside the company. We have 800 people in the company that visually inspect films. You can invest in state-of-the-art visual inspection systems. The payback on those is quite interesting and attractive to take out costs.

Those things are all ahead of us. Those are inches. You move those piece by piece by piece. But that's what builds this road map to driving margin expansion over time. We said we can get back to the high 40s on gross margin, and we can do that. And it's through all of these initiatives coming together and bearing fruit. It's not any one of these individuals, but collectively, there's a lot of untapped opportunity inside the company to drive margins.

What's the time frame for that high 40s?

It won't be this year. Look, it will happen over time. I mean it's going to take several years to get there. But again, what I'm laying out is this journey. I've been there for almost 2 years now. You can see the pieces and that things that you could do step by step. We've got a good leadership team that are focused around this. We know what to do. We know the steps to take.

Some of these things, look, at the end of the day, when you're looking at closing a factory, the payback on these things are 3, 4, 5 years. They don't happen overnight. And I think part of that, that's maybe why we didn't do it in the past, they're hard to do. They're risky to do. The payback isn't today or tomorrow or this quarter. But they're fundamental to building this long-term value-creation engine at 3M that we're trying to build. And that's the journey that we happen to be on.

So we'll get there. It will take some time. First, we got to hit our numbers this year, just over 24% operating margin. Last year, it was just over 23%. 2 years ago, it was just over 21%. Next year, it will be just over 25%. You can run the math. It's going to continue to build over time.

So when you get to -- I mean I feel like it was yesterday when you guys gave these long-term targets, but the -- yes, the kind of on to the next thing. Will you give another kind of, do you think, in terms of 3-year targets? Or will you maybe shift to like a margin algorithm? And is that -- is 30% to 40% kind of core incremental how we should think about 3M?

So in terms of the long-term target, we'll think about that towards the back end of this year. Again, it's really just 1 year ago when we had this Investor Day and we laid out 3-year targets. And frankly, the world's changed and our ability to drive margin expansion is different as well. Again, G&A was a much more important contributor last year. And as I mentioned at the earnings release, we're embarking on this transformation initiative inside the company to really think structurally about our processes, our footprint, all these various pieces. So our knowledge of what we want to do is going to be a bit different.

So we're going to make progress this year. We'll update investors maybe towards the back end of this year or early next year on where we see ourselves going. Maybe we'll do another Investor Day. And then we'll think about what's the right way to communicate to investors about the journey that we're on. Is it another set of 3-year targets? Is it margin algorithm? We'll come back on this.

In terms of incrementals, we've been between 30% and 40%, but right now, we're sort of at the top end, maybe a little bit above the top end of that incremental side. So when you look at just taking cost out and the volume that we're driving, this is going to be the driver of margin expansion over time. So the company is performing pretty well on that side.

Do the drivers shift a little bit as this NPI comes into play so that like the mix of that NPI becomes more of a factor, as opposed to just like brute force G&A, it's kind of -- it was G&A, now it's some of this longer-term investment in productivity, and then on top of that, wherever the mix goes?

So look, these are all the factors that are going to drive margin expansion over time. To start, you've got to sort of fuel the fire. You've got to focus on your priority verticals. You got to focus your spend. We're clearly stepping up a little bit on R&D spending, not just in terms of the amount. We're up about 30 basis points of R&D as a percentage of revenue. But more importantly, we're shifting the amount that we're spending on new product development towards new product development. I mean it was -- last -- a couple of years ago, it was 28%, then it was at 32%. Last year, it was 37%. This year, it will be at 40%.

So you think about that, we spend over $1 billion in R&D. That 12 points of shift is over $120 million of money that's going into developing new products from other things. So there's a fuel to the fire.

So a part of that, when you launch products, you bring new things on the market, it gives you an opportunity to reset the cost base or reset the price. And we got to get a little bit better on value-based pricing, but as you bring new products into the marketplace, yes, it should drive incremental margin expansion.

So all of these pieces have to work in tandem. They don't happen all at once. But the story that I'm laying out, the strategy we're embarking on really is a multifaceted piece, and we're making good progress across all these different dimensions. So we're focusing a lot on these priority verticals in places where we think we have an outsized ability to grow, drive margin expansion, be competitive. That's a multiyear journey to push more funding towards those places we think we have the best returns. That's the place we're at.

And those priority verticals, just to remind everyone, aerospace, electronics, home cleaning, AR/VR, data centers, home improvement, auto, energy, industrial automation, safety and semiconductors?

Yes, that's -- you got them all. Yes. I mean these things are going to shift, they're going to like tighten down over time.

That's about 60% of the company.

It's little bit more than that. Yes, exactly.

So how do you think -- I think the challenge for 3M historically was the pyramid discussion, where 3M really targeted kind of the high end of the pyramid and very high-margin stuff. I think you guys are kind of trying to broaden the base a little bit and, at the same time, make more margin out of it, which is a bit harder to do. Am I looking at that the right way or...

In certain parts of the business. Like in Electronics, we do see an opportunity to go after more of the mainstream market. Again, that's where the bigger part of the market happens to be.

I think the company in the past, right or wrong, was run for simply margin expansion, and all of our metrics around that, all of the incentives around that. And if you think about even the restructuring program that we launched a couple of years ago, it was all driven on fast payback, sort of easy -- relatively easy-to-do restructuring. It didn't get at the fundamental things you do to run the asset better. It takes multiple years to go and do that. That's what we're embarking upon now.

So we are running and we're trying to go after a relatively small part of the market with premium brands and higher price. There's a piece of the market out there that we can go at with value-engineered products, not the higher end, but value-engineered products, and develop a position, grow our volumes, which has a really good drop-through inside the company, and hold or expand margins and tap into a bigger part of the market. That's what we're doing in certain parts of the market, certainly in Consumer Electronics.

And just shifting gears a little bit to portfolio, you guys have talked about -- sorry, taking a step back, free cash flow, really strong performance, 100% conversion. Is that a sustainable -- the 100%, is that sustained with all the productivity that you guys are doing? Or should we settle back into more like the 90% to 95% range on conversion?

No. So in Investor Day, we said we'd be at 100% or better going out the next several years. And it really has 3 pieces to that. One is really strong earnings growth with a high cash contribution to that. Really aggressive, disciplined focus on capital spending. We've changed internally our approval thresholds, are reviewing this in a lot more detail. Again, part of this HoldCo and OpCo model is I see a lot more of our capital spending around the world, and we're focused heavily on that.

And the third dimension is improvements in working capital. We do have an opportunity to improve our working capital performance, in particular, inventory. Inventory has been running in the high 90s. We think we got to be running in the mid-70s over time. So each day is, I believe, around $35 million or about that amount of money. So it's opportunities driving inventory. So that's the piece over time.

As we sort of collapse the distribution network, the number of factories, hold our on-time, in-full performance above 90%, pull in our lead times, also bringing down inventory, part of that is going to be better planning systems, we've got to get a lot better inside the company on how we forecast and plan for what we produce, how that goes back to suppliers, on-time performance of suppliers. So all these elements come together. But yes, we can sustain 100% or better on free cash flow performance.

Okay. Just on the portfolio, you've mentioned 10%-ish as being noncore. Where are we in that portfolio and how you're looking on that?

So what we talked about last year is we saw about 10% that were in parts of the business that were more commodity-like, that didn't drive differentiation through new product introductions. I mean, look, the hallmark of 3M is we're an innovation-driven, high-performance company. And those are the kinds of businesses that we want to be in. So we'll move out of these other parts over time. We saw 2% to 3% that were a little bit more actionable. We got out of a piece of that. We'll keep updating investors as we make progress there.

But this structurally shifting the portfolio of the company is going to be an important driver over time for how do you sustainably grow and how do you get into higher-margin potential type of categories. So it's multiple dimensions. One is, just organically, we've got to focus and invest in priority verticals where we think we have a better right to win. Part of it is we've got to get out of businesses that don't perform and are more commodity like. And the third element is getting into business through M&A that are aligned to priority verticals, that actually sustains that journey as well.

So it's all these 3 pieces working together. They don't happen all at once, and portfolio shaping is a work in process, and I'll leave it at that.

Would you take dilution if you -- if somebody came along and wanted a bigger chunk of it?

We don't want it. We don't want dilution. We are very concerned and thinking hard about stranded costs. So we would work very hard internally to do what we have to do to take cost out to avoid dilution. And I'll just leave it at that.

Okay. Just on the liability front. I know in the filings, there's been a bit of an uptick in the MDL numbers. Hard for us to kind of understand really what's going on there. But maybe just an update on the liability front.

So the MDL numbers, so you're referring to the personal injury docket. So the judge in the MDL, this was in August or September of last year, there were a lot of unfiled cases. And for just better case management, the judge vacated the bellwether trial, which was scheduled for October, and encouraged the plaintiffs' attorneys to file all of the unfiled cases, vet them, so that they could be better managed. So that's what's happened.

So the number of cases that have now been filed are like just over 15,000. 15,200. And they're fairly stabilized at that. Each case has multiple claimants or could have multiple claimants in it. But it's been relatively stabilized.

We as the defendants and all of our other defendants and the plaintiffs are all vetting these cases, and the judge will eventually hold hearings and decide how he wants to proceed. And of course, there's mediation. It always happens in these sorts of things. But there's no new bellwether trial on the docket whether -- and if that happens, all depends on progress in the mediation and progress in the vetting.

So that's what's happening. And we'll talk about this all the time as we need to, updating investors and you can read very carefully in our 10-Ks, which are very voluminous, in terms of what's happening in that space.

The other side, look, we're watching very carefully is the AG cases. There's also some of those -- in fact, many of them are in the MDL as well. Those cases are going to lag the personal injury docket. But there's a lot of AGs, state AGs, that have sued us both inside and outside the MDL.

So we're going to take -- we're going to keep looking at these, and if we have an opportunity to take risk off the table, at a price that's reasonable for the company and manageable for the company, with appropriate protections, like we did with New Jersey last year, we'll do that.

So those are the 2 threads that we're watching. One is the PI docket in the MDL, and the other is the AGs, which is mostly in the MDL and sometimes outside of that as well.

So is it unlikely, I mean, the way things are trending, that we're really going to hear much more on this over the next 6 to 9 months? Is it more of kind of a '27 or it's really...

I wouldn't say that. I mean this thing is -- it's fluid. We're watching it. We're in mediation. And it's going to develop over the course of this year. And again, I'll let investors know as we make decisions on this, and report through public channels as well as in our Qs and Ks.

Anything on insurance recoveries that you're more or less optimistic around?

Look, the team has done a great job on this. This is a long game. You can imagine, we've got substantial insurance coverage. The insurers never want to pay, but we want to make sure that they live up to their obligations. And we're really holding their feet to that, I mean, through arbitration, through litigation. At the end of last year, we had already recovered about $750 million through -- across all of the different legal dockets we have. And we continue to work and advance this. This is an important piece of it. So the only thing I'd say today is, as of the end of last year, it's about $750 million recovered.

Do you think the drag on your multiple from liabilities is still a pretty material overhang that is kind of unwarranted?

I think there is some overhang. There's this risk discount, I think, within the company, which is why I'm really focused on this, because I do think it's important for us to bring some closure to these, again, at prices that are reasonable for the company and take risk off the table and protects the company down the path.

What I think tripped us up in the past was we, inside the company, focused way too much time up and down the chain across 62,000 people on litigation. And in fact, it's a very small handful of us that need to manage this. And the other 61,900 people ought to be focusing about the customer and innovating and commercial excellence and all the things that I've talked about. And I think we've made that good pivot. So most of the people are really focused on how do you drive value inside the company and a few of us are thinking about, okay, how do we take risk off the table.

Great. Thanks a lot for the time and making it in.

You bet. Thank you.

Thank you.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 3M Fourth Quarter Earnings Conference Call.

[Operator Instructions]

As a reminder, this call is being recorded Tuesday, January 20, 2026. I would now like to turn the call over to Chinmay Trivedi, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning and Analysis at 3M.

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our quarterly earnings conference call. With me today are Bill Brown, 3M's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Anurag Maheshwari, our Chief Financial Officer. Bill and Anurag will make some formal comments, then we will take your questions. Please note that today's earnings release and slide presentation accompanying this call are posted on the homepage of our Investor Relations website at 3m.com.

Please turn to Slide 2 and take a moment to read the forward-looking statements. During today's conference call, we'll be making certain predictive statements that reflect our current views about 3M's future performance and financial results. These statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Item 1A of our most recent Form 10-Q lists some of the most important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from our predictions.

Please note through our today's presentation, we'll be making references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures can be found in the attachments to today's press release.

With that, please turn to Slide 3, and I will hand the call off to Bill. Bill?

Thank you, Chinmay, and good morning, everyone. We delivered solid results in Q4, including organic growth of 2.2%, operating margin of 21.1%, earnings per share of $1.83 and free cash flow conversion of over 130%. These results capped a strong year with organic sales growth exceeding 2%, outperforming the macro environment and accelerating from 1.2% organic growth in 2024 and negative growth in 2023. This growth was underpinned by the strong commercial excellence foundation we've established and our focus on reinvigorating innovation. We delivered significant margin expansion with a full year adjusted operating margin of 23.4%, up 200 basis points year-on-year at the high end of our guidance range and on top of over 200 basis points expansion in 2024.

Adjusted EPS grew double digits to $8.06 and free cash flow conversion was slightly above 100% for the year. Our 2025 financial results reflect the progress we're making, and we're tracking ahead of the medium-term commitments we made at the Investor Day last year. 2025 was an important year for 3M where we implemented fundamental changes in the company, building a foundation for our future growth through commercial excellence and innovation. We previously described the 3 pillars of commercial excellence: Improved sales effectiveness and pricing governance, stronger collaboration with channel partners, including joint business planning and cross-selling, and increased customer loyalty. And we're making progress across all of them.

We've implemented greater rigor across our sales force and sales management, tightened pricing controls and developed over 600 joint business plans and closed on nearly $50 million of annualized cross-selling wins with a robust pipeline of opportunities. Innovation is the lifeblood of the company, and we successfully launched 284 new products in 2025, up 68% versus 2024, exceeding our initial target and more than double the launches in 2023.

We expect this growth to continue with 350 launches in 2026. These new products are vital for our long-term growth and are already contributing to our top line. Sales from products launched in the last 5 years were up 23% in the full year, exceeding our high-teens target and exit Q4 at 44%, giving us momentum into 2026. Our New Product Vitality Index, or NPVI, a measure of the freshness of our portfolio, ended at 13%, about 2 points above where we started the year. It was also a year where we saw operational excellence become embedded across the enterprise as we drove better service levels for our customers and stronger operating rigor in our factories and across our enterprise functions.

And I've been describing our performance across 3 important metrics: OTIF, OEE and cost of poor quality. OTIF ended the year above 90%, 300 basis points above the prior year and the best we've achieved in decades, and we sustained that rate for 7 months in a row. This improvement is translating into a better customer experience that's helping us win shelf space and reduce churn.

OEE, our asset utilization metric ended the year at about 63%, up over 300 basis points across assets covering 70% of production volume. Cost of poor quality also improved considerably last year and is now at 6% of cost of goods down 100 basis points year-on-year. We're focused on key areas of inefficiency like frequent or ineffective changeovers and late detection and material defects, leading to raw material yield loss, scrap and quality credits issued to customers. We're leveraging Kaizen events, visual inspection systems, automation solutions and AI-enabled models to optimize changeovers to improve quality with a target of 5.4% cost of quality in 2026 and less than 4% over time.

Meanwhile, we continue to deploy capital effectively for our shareholders returning $4.8 billion through dividends and buybacks in the year, progressing well in our commitment to return $10 billion to shareholders as part of our multiyear capital allocation strategy. The key to making this all work in the long run is our relentless focus on building a performance culture and delivering excellence everywhere, every day. This means greater speed and urgency, a deeper sense of accountability, challenging the status quo and finding ways to get better every day in the spirit of continuous improvement.

Our performance is a direct result of the cultural and operational changes we're driving across the enterprise that improve how we develop, produce and deliver products and build a strong foundation for the future.

Slide 4 is a chart we've used for the past few quarters, connecting macro trends to our organic growth. The macro remained soft and largely unchanged from Q3. But due to our strong execution, we've outperformed. General industrial, safety and electronics, collectively about 65% of our business came in better than expected with exceptional year-on-year strength in the second half in electrical markets. Aerospace and self-contained breathing apparatus, all of which were up low double digits. Abrasives, industrial adhesives and tapes and electronics were all up mid-single digits. Abrasives accelerating from low single digits in the first half, ITD holding steady through the year, and electronics not softening as previously anticipated. Auto and auto aftermarket remained soft as expected, while our consumer segment and roofing granules business were weaker than expected.

Despite the macro headwind, organic sales growth accelerated to 2.7% in the second half from 1.5% in the first due to the breadth of our portfolio and our strong execution.

Turning to our outlook on Slide 5. Our team's constancy of purpose and execution rigor allowed us to finish 2025 strong, and we're carrying that momentum forward into 2026. This year, we expect organic sales growth of approximately 3%, adjusted operating margin expansion of 70 to 80 basis points and earnings per share of $8.50 to $8.70 and free cash flow conversion greater than 100%. We're planning for the macro to be similar to 2025, but it's still early to put too much weight on market forecast.

We expect most of our industrial businesses to continue to perform well in '26 with watch items, including the pace and timing of a U.S. consumer recovery. auto build rates especially in geographies where we have higher content and consumer electronics. While we will closely monitor macro trends, we're going to continue to execute our game plan and control the controllables.

Lastly, I want to turn your attention to Slide 6, which is the framework by which will create value for shareholders over time. The 3 phases aren't net to be sequential, but evolve together with shifting emphasis, they build on what we outlined at Investor Day and reflect how we view these elements as interconnected and essential to building a stronger company operationally and financially. It started with a back-to-basics focus on fundamentals approach, which is all about building a sustainable foundation. I've been talking to you about these initiatives and how we track them since I joined 3M 21 months ago, and did so again today. These core elements are focused on commercial and innovation excellence, operational excellence and reinvigorating our culture with accountability and agility creating a solid platform from which to grow.

As we gained confidence in our execution in this foundational stage, we're beginning to shift our emphasis to the next phase of value creation, which is more transformational in nature. Like we previewed at Investor Day, this phase includes reengineering the structural cost base that underpins our supply chain network and business processes, simplifying and standardizing core activities and embedding an AI-first mentality as we shift from a holding company model to an integrated operating company.

We described this program at a high level last quarter as a thoughtful strategic long-term effort pace at the ability of the team to execute well. Transformation also includes proactive steps on risk reduction and effectively managing the litigation docket. Any time we can take care of risk at an appropriate price and with suitable protections, we'll be prepared to act like we did last year with the state of New Jersey. And as our organic machine begins to turn faster, and our risk profile comes down, we'll be prepared to execute on our portfolio management strategy to pivot the company towards higher growth and margin potential priority verticals that help us accelerate value creation for the company. This is a multiyear journey and progress won't be linear. But with a successful 2025 behind us, we're accelerating the transformation of 3M and building the runway for performance beyond 2027.

The 3M team is energized and motivated, and I want to thank them for the dedication and focus on delivering improvement day after day. And with that, I'll turn it over to Anurag to share the details of the quarter. Anurag?

Thank you, Bill. Turning to Slide 7. We had a strong finish to the year across all financial metrics. We delivered another quarter of sales growth above macro continued margin expansion, strong earnings growth and robust cash flow generation.

Starting with top line. In a continued muted environment, we delivered organic sales growth of 2.2% driven by our commercial excellence initiatives and new product launches. The growth was driven by strength in safety, electronics and general industrial, which more than offset the softness in consumer, roofing granules and auto markets. All 3 of our business segments delivered sustained order momentum, which contributed to a higher ending backlog compared to last year, giving us confidence as we go into 2026.

Fourth quarter adjusted operating margins were 21.1%, up 140 basis points and operating profit increased double digits or $125 million driven by continued disciplined operational performance. This included a $275 million benefit from volume growth, broad-based productivity and lower restructuring costs partially offset by approximately $50 million of growth investments and headwind of $100 million from gross tariff impact and stranded costs. Collectively, this contributed $0.17 to earnings, which was partially offset by $0.02 from nonoperational below-the-line items. Our strong operating performance resulted in adjusted EPS of $1.83, an increase of 9% and exceeded the top end of our guidance range.

I also want to mention that we took a $55 million charge in the quarter as we continue to make transformation investments to redesign our manufacturing, distribution and business process services and locations. Similar to last quarter, these charges will be excluded from our adjusted results. Adjusted free cash flow in the quarter was $1.3 billion with a conversion of approximately 130% as we benefited from strong earnings growth and working capital efficiency.

Turning to Slide 8. I will provide an overview of our business group performance for both the fourth quarter and full year 2025. First, in Safety and Industrial, we delivered another quarter of strong organic growth as we continue to gain traction on commercial excellence initiatives and realized benefits from new product launches. Fourth quarter organic sales increased 3.8%, driven by strong performance in safety, which grew high single digits through enhanced channel engagement and new product launches. Industrial adhesives and tapes growth accelerated to high single digits as we continue to win share globally in electronics and general industrial from new product introductions and improved manufacturing throughput.

Abrasives continue to improve, delivering another quarter of mid-single-digit growth, benefiting from sustained focus on sales force effectiveness. Collectively, this strong growth more than offset known weakness in automotive aftermarket and incremental weakness in roofing granules due to the slow housing market and weak consumer sentiment. For the full year, SIBG grew 3.2% with growth accelerating from 2.5% in the first half to 3.9% in the second half on the back of strong execution.

Turning to Transportation and Electronics. Fourth quarter organic sales increased 2.4%, driven by continued momentum in electronics and aerospace. These gains more than offset weakness in auto, which in our organizational structure includes commercial vehicles, which was down high teens in the quarter. Electronics continued to gain share, supported by commercial excellence initiatives and strong demand for our film technologies and optically clear adhesives. We also expanded our presence in the mainstream market by partnering with leading consumer electronic brands to deliver solutions aligned with their portfolio needs.

Aerospace delivered another strong quarter given by growing demand for space materials and continued strength in defense related markets. We have seen sustained growth in this portfolio where sales have doubled over the last 4 years.

For 2025, Transportation and Electronics grew 2%, with second half growth of 3% versus the first half growth of 1%, driven by continued focus on commercial excellence and the ramp-up of new product launches. Finally, consumer fourth quarter organic sales were down 2.2%. For the first 9 months of the year, the business was up 0.3%, and we had expected the fourth quarter to be similar, but weaker consumer sentiment and sluggish retail traffic in the U.S. resulted in lower point-of-sale trends on discretionary categories where we compete. This increased advertising and promotional investments in the U.S. and overall business growth in Asia and Latin America.

As a result of the fourth quarter weakness, CBG revenue declined by 0.3% for the full year. On Slide 9 is a summary of the full year 2025 performance. Overall, a strong fourth quarter capped a successful 2025 with organic sales growth of 2.1%, margin expansion of 200 basis points and EPS increase of 10% and free cash flow slightly above 100%. Sales growth strengthened from 1.5% in the first half to 2.7% in the second exceeding the 2.5% we mentioned in our July earnings call. This momentum underscores the impact of our commercial excellence initiatives, enhanced service levels and successful new product launches positioning us well to accelerate our performance going forward.

By geography, all areas delivered growth in the year. China grew mid-single digit from strength in general industrial and electronics bonding solutions supported by a strong focus on key accounts. This momentum more than offset the fourth quarter shift in smartphone manufacturing from China to other parts of Asia. In the rest of Asia, we grew low single digit led by strong performance in India, which grew mid-teens on account of progress and commercial excellence across all businesses. After a couple of years of decline, Europe grew low single digits due to strength in General Industrial and Safety, which more than offset the weakness in consumer and auto aftermarket. Despite soft consumer and auto aftermarket, the U.S. grew low single digit for the year on the back of commercial excellence initiatives in the general industrial and safety businesses.

Productivity initiatives drove strong margin expansion every quarter in '25 resulting in full year operating margins of 23.4%. Operating profit growth of approximately $650 million at constant currency was driven by $200 million from volume growth and $550 million of net productivity across supply chain and G&A. This was partially offset by $100 million in headwinds driven by $185 million in growth and productivity investments in addition to ongoing stranded cost and tariff impacts with year-on-year lower restructuring costs. The strong operational performance contributed $0.96 of earnings, which was offset by approximately $0.20 of nonoperational items for a total EPS of $8.06. This 10% EPS growth was better than our expectations and above the initial guidance at the start of the year.

And we returned $4.8 billion to shareholders in '25, including $1.6 billion in dividends and $3.2 billion through gross share repurchases. Overall, 2025 laid the foundation for a strong operating culture, grounded in excellence, accountability and a faster operating tempo, enabling us to overcome external factors to drive profitable growth. We have momentum as we enter 2026, and I will walk you through the guidance on Slide 10.

We expect organic sales growth to be approximately 3% and earnings per share ranging from $8.50 to $8.70 and free cash flow conversion of greater than 100%. We expect sales to accelerate for all business groups. SIBG and TEBG grew 2.7% combined in 2025, and we expect this growth rate will accelerate in 2026, supported by ongoing commercial excellence initiatives strong service levels and continued new product introductions, and we expect consumer to return to growth in 2026. The business groups combined will expand margins over $450 million or 100 basis points, including $875 million from volume growth and net productivity across supply chain and G&A. This will be partially offset by headwinds from PFAS rented costs and tariff impacts as well as an increase in growth and productivity investments to $225 million.

This is on top of the incremental investment over the past 2 years, bringing the total investment from 2024 to over $0.5 billion. Corporate and other income will be lower by $50 million to $75 million or 20 to 30 basis points, largely from wind-down of transition services agreements related to Solventum. Overall, we expect total company income to grow by $400 million at the midpoint of our 70 to 80 basis points margin expansion guidance. Adjusted free cash flow conversion is expected to be greater than 100%, driven by strong operating income growth and a focus on working capital management and we plan to deploy capital effectively, including a gross share repurchase of approximately $2.5 billion in 2026.

Slide 11 provides a look at earnings growth drivers which is primarily driven by strong operations consistent with our 2025 performance. Regarding cadence, we expect the rate of sales growth to increase through the year, with margin and EPS equal between the 2 halves. In the first quarter, the sales growth at SIBG and TEBG combined is expected to be higher than 3%. And we will continue to monitor the recovery in our consumer business. Volume, productivity and slight favorability in FX will more than offset the stranded costs, gross tariff impact and increase in investments, resulting in high single-digit year-on-year earnings growth.

Before we open the call for questions, turning to Slide 12, I want to take a minute to highlight the progress we have made so far. We are trending ahead of our Investor Day targets we laid out a year ago. Our organic sales growth is accelerating due to our investment in growth and commitment to commercial excellence and innovation. Our relentless focus on operational excellence is resulting in strong operating margin expansion and sustained earnings growth despite pressures such as soft macro tariffs and stranded costs. We continue to be a consistent generator of cash that allows us to effectively return capital to shareholders while maintaining a healthy balance sheet.

Not too long ago, our growth rates were trailing the macro. And now we are progressing ahead of our medium-term commitments of $1 billion growth over macro and a 25% operating margin by 2027. While we are focused on executing these commitments, we are also broadening our horizons to the out years, ensuring our transformation efforts position the company not only for the short term but for sustained profitable growth well past 2027. This strong performance is a credit to the expertise and the commitment of the 3M team, and I thank them for their hard work and dedication. With that, let's open the call for questions.

[Operator Instructions]

Our first question comes from the line of Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.

I guess two for me, one longer term and one shorter term. Bill, just back to your Slide 6, as you said, all these things are going on to varying degrees simultaneously. But the pivot to priority verticals sort of jumps out to me, obviously, not the first time we've heard that. But I just wonder if you could put into context, how much of that pivot is sort of addition by subtraction versus sort of investment focus growing and bulking up sort of the areas that you view as the priority? And maybe sort of what percent of your current revenue base or business base would you say is in that priority bucket?

So Jeff, great question. So we've been talking about our priority verticals going back a year, actually to February of last year. It's a little bit north of 60%, it's growing, frankly, because of the investments we're making. And I put it in 2 pieces. One, we spent the last 1.5 years focusing a lot of our internal investment dollars on the priority verticals. And now probably 80% of what we spend on R&D is aligned to NPI in the priority verticals. And of course, they are defined as ones that are growing faster where we have good margin potential as well in the business where technology brings differentiation and right to win. And that's been the pivot in the organization.

Over time, as we think about what the portfolio is going to look like for us to get to a much better sustainable organic growth rate for the overall company, we've got to structurally adjust the portfolio, which means some pieces coming out and we've been talking about some of those pieces. We've said before, about 10% of our company would be in places that are more commodity like, and we'll probably -- we'll think about what we want to do with those businesses over time. But as we do that, we'll be pivoting both organically as well as inorganically towards those priority verticals, which is the nature of that chart. It shows that that's an evolution over time. And again, it's not necessarily sequential, but that's kind of the overall flow, how we think about creating value at 3M.

Yes. And then just -- just on the very near term, the flat view on U.S. IPI, it's kind of a tough slog out there, right? But your industrial businesses do seem to be well, right, abrasives and some of the adhesives Electrical businesses. So I guess there's some outgrowth there. But I guess just the nature of my question is just a little more color on how you see the year kind of starting out, Anurag gave a little bit of color, but did we start soft here in January? And do you see things sort of kind of picking up off a low base year as we exited the year.

Yes. So last year, I mean we -- the exit rate was pretty solid and we -- Anurag in his comments talked about the acceleration from about 2% to 3.6% across TEBG and SIBG as we went first half into the second half. Yes, IPI is softening, both in the U.S. as well as in China, those important markets for us, certainly. But we do expect our overall industrial businesses to remain pretty solid. I pointed out a couple of watch areas. One is in auto builds. Auto builds were around 3.8% last year, a little weaker in Q4. A lot of it was China but overall, it will be -- says right now, down 0.3% as much as you can believe the numbers and not so good across the -- all of the regions. So that auto was a little bit softer. We have to watch that. Consumer electronics is looking a little bit more flattish in terms of the overall macro forecast.

Of course, we believe in our business, electronics will continue to grow. We still see that to be overall electronics up mid-single digits for the year. Of course, we were watching very carefully, which happened what happens in the U.S. consumer market. Right now, it feels subdued. We had a very good December, although Q4 came in down 2.2%. So it dropped the year to be negative for consumer, but December, we typically see the third month pretty good, but it was up double digits over the prior year in December. And early in January, again, it's early this year. We're looking okay. So that's sort of the landscape, but I do see that even though IPI is coming down, our commercial excellence initiatives, our NPI initiatives, it's going to allow us to continue to outperform that macro, and we expect that to accelerate in '26 from what we experienced in '25.

Our next question comes from the line of Scott Davis with Melius Research.

I guess, I don't think you mentioned inventory levels, customer inventory levels in the prepared remarks. And just as we exited the 2025, where -- what's your sense of where your customer inventory levels were [ or are ], I guess, now kind of point in reference kind of pre-COVID, post kind of the new normal versus kind of pre-COVID? Just a little color around that, I think, would be helpful.

Sure. Good question. So on the industrial channel, No, it's pretty normal 60-day range, a little bit more than that. But as we would expect it to be, as we were selling out in Q4, we do watch POS out of our channel partners, and they were selling through. So even though we had good sales into the channel, we also saw good sales out of the channel. So pretty good actually on the industrial side, that's good.

On the consumer side, on the CPG side, it was a little bit elevated early in the quarter, but we had very strong growth in December and inventory started to come down and normalize, still a little bit elevated as we exited the year, but not as concerning as we were sort of at the beginning of the quarter. So overall, industrial, pretty good, consumer getting normalized as we speak.

Okay. Fair enough. And then, guys, what is the pricing strategy right now? I mean it kind of -- when just listening to the prepared remarks, it sounds like new products is where you lean in on price or at least try to get a positive mix shift there. But is there also a pricing strategy around getting an annual bump up perhaps that maybe you didn't get historically, but going out with price increases on, on [ January ] 1, particularly where you're going through distribution.

So yes, good question. So for the year, we had expected to be about 70 basis points last year, stepping up first half, second half as we are covering some of the tariff headwind. We saw that in the third quarter. And the fourth quarter was a little bit lighter because of the consumer market and the promos and discounts that we provided there to stimulate that business. So overall, we are a little lighter on pricing last year than we had expected, but still very solid. The place where we get pricing, generally speaking, is in SIBG, and that was solid, that remains strong. We continue to see good pricing movement here going into 2026. We expect it will be about 80 basis points more or less in 2026. A lot of it is SIBG. There's a couple of threads here. One is we do continue to cover material cost inflation. Two, we continue to tighten down our pricing governance, making sure across all of the industrial businesses that when we give pricing discounts, we get the volume we'd expect in giving those discounts. And then third, as you pointed out, Scott, is the pricing we should expect to get when we're launching new products. This is an area of opportunity for us over the medium and longer term. I think we're okay on this, but we could be a lot better. There's pockets where we are very thoughtful in pricing to value, but I would not say that today that that's over all of the NPI we're launching, and I think it's a long-term opportunity for the company.

Our next question comes from the line of Julian Mitchell with Barclays.

Maybe first off, I just wanted to understand the degree to which if any, there was a 6% EPS growth year-on-year in the first half, so not that different from the full year. Just wanted to check that and how you're starting out in the first quarter. Should we expect the consumer business to still be down, for example, and then that picks up steam through the year?

Thanks, Julian. Anurag here. So I would say in terms of EPS growth, we expect the first half and second half to be equal. So as I said in my prepared comments, the EPS will be equal between the first and second half, which implies similar growth rate as well. And if you look at what I said is in the SIBG, TEBG, given the exit rate, we do expect revenue to be over 3% in the first quarter. the CBG is an area we'll watch out. And you probably see that part of the revenue goal through the course of the year, but materially do not expect the rate of growth to be significantly different between the first half and the second half.

And if I look at productivity as well, it's pretty even loaded across the 4 quarters. So I think as we sit here today, we feel that it's a fairly even noted quarterly cadence for both revenue as well as EPS.

That's very helpful. And then just my follow-up would be around that sort of interplay and it's been touched on a couple of times, but between the macro and the self-help initiatives. So when we're thinking about the guidance for a deceleration in IPI in the U.S. this year, but an acceleration somewhat in 3M's own organic growth rate. It is our impression that that's really all self-help initiatives that you mentioned and the outgrowth for the acceleration in the second half of 2025 is your impression that, that was all self-help [indiscernible] as well with nothing from the macro? Just to understand how much you're sort of putting on your own shoulders versus relying on the external environment for this year?

So Julian, thanks for the question. Let me maybe frame it by just talking about a little more granularity, the $1 billion over macro. We talked about over -- at the Investor Day, over the next 3 years and Anurag mentioned. In 2025, our growth came in at 2.1%. We look at the overall macro to be around 1.5 points. That's IPI, GDP, with some sectors that were a bit weaker was where we see it. So we saw ourselves with about 60 basis points of outperformance versus the macro. If you just run the math, that gives you about $150 million. So a little bit better than we had expected to be $100 million over macro last year. And the majority of that, probably 75% of it or more was commercial excellence. Less of that was new product introductions, but we did say that, that would start to even out in an NPI or innovation would take over in that third year. And that's, in fact, what we're seeing in 2026. So we're guiding here at 3%. We expect the macro in 2026 to be a little bit better at 1.5, maybe 1.7 range, something like that. So our outperformance this year versus the macro was more like $300 million or more. And that's roughly half and half between NPI and commercial excellence.

So that's how we see this playing out. And yes, the back half last year did show that. We did outperform the macro. A lot of it was that your phrase, Julian, was carrying it on our shoulders and we expect to see more of that coming into 2026. We're launching more projects, which is very good. We're getting a lot more granular tracking the incremental revenue coming from Class 3s, 4s and 5s, and as we look out into next year, we're pretty confident that those are going to start to move the needle for the company, which is why we feel good about outgrowing the macro here in '26.

Our next question comes from the line of Joe O'Dea with Wells Fargo.

I wanted to start on footprint optimization. If you can give a little color between factories and distribution centers, how you're thinking about targets for footprint reduction or consolidation in 2026, both in terms of kind of number of facilities and as well as op profit impact? And then any color around segments and regions where we would see the biggest impact there?

So look, it's all part of our broader transformation agenda. We're just starting on that as we speak. We did see some announcements at the back end of last year. We announced one small facility last week in our network. We ended the year around about 108 factories. We have several -- about 7 coming out with the sale of precision grinding and finishing so call it about 100 factories that will come down over time. I can't size it for you today. We will be making some investments in '26 to restructure that network. But keep in mind, these things are 3-, 4-, 5-year payback. So we'll start on it, accelerate into '26, accelerate in 27. But this is really about building that margin runway to grow beyond 25% in '27 in terms of operating margin.

So we will consolidate this network. It will be factories and distribution centers. We're making some progress on DCs as well. But I won't be able to size it for you today in terms of the specific numbers, but that's the -- that's the trajectory we're on here.

And then just wanted to touch a little bit more on consumer. If you could elaborate on kind of what you tracked over the course of the quarter, kind of early into this year, sort of a step down in demand trends versus what maybe it was a little bit more transitory and just kind of how that's pacing? And then separately, just with the focus on memory chips out there, I think you said consumer electronics or you expect it to be up mid-single digits, but any impact you're seeing in the markets tied to that?

So on the consumer market, as I mentioned earlier, we -- as we entered -- first of all, for the first 9 months of the year, we were about 30 basis points of growth in each quarter, which was pretty consistent, and that was above what we saw the macro. It was a good time to return to growth. We feel very positive about that. And we had expected that we would see the similar trajectory going into the fourth quarter. That didn't happen. We saw October and November being a little bit light. You sell through the channel was a bit light, POS was light. So inventory started to come up a little bit. We start to see that reverse a little bit in December. So December -- orders were okay, growth was double digit over the prior year December. The holiday season was a little bit muted, I would say, so overall, for Q4, we came in at down 2.2%. And as I said, as we turn the corner into January, it's very, very early. We're only a couple of weeks in. We're trending as we would expect it to be.

So I can't really comment too much about that. We'll say more over time. But that's a consumer again. I would just characterize it as being relatively soft, bumping around flattish as we entered as we ended the fourth quarter. So on electronics, overall, we have -- so it's consumer electronics business, we have -- we provided adhesives, we provide films into that area for foldable devices for de-bondable devices, a lot of NPI going into that space. We are focusing on growing our position in the mainstream market. 3M as a whole in consumer electronics is more like 80-20 or 70-30 premium to mainstream and the market is the opposite of that. We do see an opportunity to grow and penetrate mainstream. Some of that is in China, and we're making good progress. So a lot of the NPI that we're launching, we are penetrating into a lot of China OEMs and Asia OEMs in that mainstream market. And I think we're starting to gain some share there. So that's why we see that business for us when we add in -- in semiconductor, data center, all in electronics to be up mid-single digits here coming into 2026 similar to what we saw last year.

Our next question comes from the line of Steve Tusa with JPMorgan.

Just on the -- on that electronics point. So the reported revenues were down sequentially and also year-over-year. Is there adjust that back to get to that mid-single digit for the fourth quarter? I mean you said it was strong, but what was kind of the organic rate of growth. It's tough to tell from the from the subsegment disclosure?

Yes. We ’d see in the mid-single digits. What we're looking at in the table is with PFAS, and we exclude the PFAS out of the results. So when you exclude that, it's mid-single digits.

Okay. And then when you're expanding into this mainstream area, is there any kind of dilutive impact to margins at all? Or you kind of make up for it in the other end by being more efficient with some of the initiatives you're working on?

No, we're not seeing it being margin dilutive as we innovate here, develop products, design to cost, it's an important push that the team is making is designing more cost-effective product. Now we're not seeing any margin degradation. And so far, it's been good. It's early, but it's the push we're making. And again, a lot of NPI in that space.

Okay. Sorry, one more, just for this year, the $500 million in, I guess, litigation costs in '25. How do you expect that to trend in that adjustment to trend in '26.

It's probably going to be in line with that. I can't really tell you if it's going to be up or down. I mean it depends on what happens in the overall docket, but I would expect it to be pretty similar to that.

Our next question comes from the line of Andrew Obin with Bank of America.

So on SIBG growth in '26, I think last quarter, you had the Slide 5 that showed SIBG growth correlation to improving OTIF, new product introduction. And you sort of can see in the fourth quarter on a 2-year stack, clearly, there is more momentum. So given that comps in the first half are going to be easier than in the second half, but at the same time, we have seemingly good momentum with self-help. Should we see first half stronger growth than second half? Or should the growth be fairly steady year-over-year throughout the year?

So Andrew, it's a very, very good question. We do see really good momentum in SIBG as it went from the first half of the second half. And I could see where you're going, and I'll pass that message on to Chris, I'm sure he's listening as well. The reality is there's good momentum, really good progress on commercial excellence. We're launching more projects there. The only caveat is -- as I talked about earlier, we do see U.S. IPI a little bit softer. We know the roofing business. experienced a trough really in Q4. It was weaker than we'd expect -- quite a bit weaker than we had expected. And that's a -- that's a piece of the SIBG business. I'd expect that weakness will drag into the front half of this year. So there's going to be some offsets. But yes, I mean, largely, I think you're heading in the right direction. I think SIBG is performing really well. We'd expect to continue that trend here in 2026.

And just a follow-up on electronics. You sort of talked about extending into mainstream and the sort of echos strategy from the days of George Buckley the pyramid strategy. Is this just the focus on consumer electronics? Or are you thinking of sort of tweaking it and implementing it beyond consumer electronics, the sort of mainstream strategy.

No, it's -- I'm speaking today basically on consumer electronics. And I think you've commented before that this strategy was embarked upon in the past. Look, this has to be a very thoughtful way of going at this. We have to make sure that all of our infrastructure, our designs, our sourcing, how we manufacture, how we ship, how we price, always geared towards going after that segment, which is quite big, but making sure we do it profitably. So it's a bit of a business model shift as well. So I drive you back to what we're trying to do on our transformation agenda.

A lot of this business model shift is shifting our cost structure, both G&A as well as on the factory side. And if we do that and we bring that cost out, that does allow us to lower the water level of our cost and attack these interesting and growing segments or profit rates that we have today. So that's where we're going. We're pushing ahead in consumer electronics. Could it be -- go beyond that. We'll see. But right now, the comments are specific to consumer electronics.

Nothing wrong with that strategy, our stock outperformed under [ George Buckley].

Our next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with UBS.

Anurag, I guess I wanted to just ask about incremental margins for this year. The implied is sort of in the low 40%, which is not that much above the 30% to 40% kind of core organic on the growth. So I'm just kind of curious what the productivity assumption is, what the offsets are from stranded costs? Maybe I'm double counting, maybe some of that's already included in the 30%, 40%, but if you can unpack that for us, I think that would be helpful. And then on the first quarter, specifically, I know you said high single digits, not to be nitpicky, but are we kind of above $2 per share in 1Q, like any final point would be helpful.

Okay, great. Thanks for the question, Amit. Just firstly, if you look at both volume and productivity in 2026, it's going to be higher than what it was in '25. So in '25, between volume and productivity, we had about $750 million of operating income increase. And that was a 2.1% organic revenue growth with 3% growth, the $200 million of volume will now become closer to $250 million and productivity actually goes up from $550 million to about $600 million. So overall, we're going to see about [ $125 million to $150 million ] increase between volume and productivity in '26 and the productivity is going up on 3 real buckets around there.

First is on supply chain. We expect half of that to come out of supply chain, which is continued cost of poor quality, bringing it down procurement, managing a 4-wall spend in the factory in logistics. There's about $150 million of indirect expenses. We did a good job in '25. We'll continue to do that in '26. And another $150 million in G&A efficiency as we look at our processes of optimization and so on. So overall, I would say that the incrementals between volume -- between productivity and the volume growth is going to be higher. What's offsetting it in '26 or the $0.5 billion, which is being offset in '26. One is a pickup in investments. Last year, we did [ 185 ]. We're going to do an incremental [ 225 ] this year. The stranded cost goes up from $100 million last year to $150 million this year. So I would say those are probably the 2 biggest buckets, which we obviously, we have half a year of tariff as well, which is $140 million.

So you put these 3 together, that's $0.5 billion of it. Obviously, as we go into '27, a couple of them will not recur, but the incrementals overall are pretty good for '26. Now on your first quarter, it is a very specific question that you're asking me. What I would say is that as I spoke about volume and productivity, I said about $875 million to $900 million for the year. The first quarter is almost 25% of that, right? So if you kind of run the numbers through, and there will be a little bit of FX favorability in the first quarter given where we were last year. We run all of that through, it will be high single-digit EPS growth.

Okay. And then just maybe a longer-term question for Bill. You've obviously given us a lot of metrics, whether it's OTIF or OEE. And I'm kind of intrigued by this move to this design to cost approach in the R&D function. NPI is helpful, but it doesn't really capture kind of how the addressable market is changing based on the incremental NPI side. I'd be curious, one, how do you hold the R&D function kind of accountable to this cultural shift? And what can you kind of share with us in terms of the NPI coming out, how effective that is in going after the 80% of the market that you're kind of not there at the moment.

So Amit, good question. I'll just hit it briefly. I think there's 2 pieces of it. One is is the value engineering efforts that we are stepping up dramatically this year on to take cost out of products that are on the market today, which does require additional engineering work, there's qualification work, there's things that have to happen, generally speaking, to get those initiatives taking hold. We also define to drive that back into the overall design mindset in thinking of cost as we start developing products, and that's the push we're making is thinking about it early in the design process, which is the best time to be thinking about that.

How we hold people accountable in R&D or anywhere through the company product leaders, general managers, even me, is the quality of the business cases and making sure that the business cases are developed rigorously from the ground up with a good sense of what the costs happen to be and you start with the design to cause mentality and holding people accountable to the results of what we're investing in based on these business cases where we're going to be pushing the company more this year.

Our next question comes from the line of Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank.

Just wanted to circle back on China. I think you guys have embedded 4% IPI growth in '26 and that compares to like 6% in '25. I know '25 was like a pretty good year for you gone. What you're seeing in the region and where that decel is coming from for next year?

So thanks for the question. China actually had a very good year for us. I had a good couple of years. In '24, they're up double digits. Last year, they're up mid-single digits. It was a little bit lighter in Q4, but only because of as Anurag had mentioned in his prepared remarks, the shift out of China smartphone production when you exclude that, the market -- the China business for us remains mid-single digits. And as we turning the corner to this year, yes, the macro is softening a little bit, is what we're expecting. I think 2 points down year-over-year on IPI, at least as we see it today and the forecast yet, this could go in lots of different ways. But we see that market to be more low to mid-single digits this year, still growing, maybe not as robustly as we saw last year, but still low to mid-single digits. The bottom line is we run China a little bit differently in the company just like we do in India. It's a hybrid model. So we have global business groups and a really strong, dedicated, driven local team. We're driving a lot of localization of R&D, localization of sourcing.

We're attacking the market. We've got 6 factories there, 5,000 people. And it's -- and we've got people lined up to really drive that business. And I think we are performing well. And I would say we're outperforming. And I expect the same thing here in '26.

Bill, that's helpful. And then obviously, you had quite a bit of new noise from a tariff perspective over the weekend. So can you just confirm the tariff headwind that you guys are embedding in 2026 doesn't include any of this potentially new tariffs from Europe? And have you guys tried to quantify what that could mean for your business if they are enacted?

So Nicole, great question. So what we're embedding in our guidance is the carryover effect of the $0.20 of gross impact that we saw last year. That's in and Anurag mentioned, that's mostly in the first half of this year. That's what's in the guidance because that's what's in law. That's what's in practice today and we're moving. Now the pieces that at least the [indiscernible] now talking about relative to Greenland and new different tariffs on Europe, it's about 8 countries, we talk about 10% in February, the 25% midyear or something like that. For us, the trade flows between U.S. and Europe is around $1 billion. We're a net exporter. So we export $700 million into Europe. We import back about $250 million.

If you just run the numbers at 10% and then growing up to 25%, you can get to something in the order of $60 million, $70 million. But that's as -- over the course of the year, we'll see some of that going in inventory. We'll see some of that dragging into 2027. So if that plays out exactly as we expect and the trade flow as I mentioned, it could be a $30 million, $40 million impact this year. But again, we're a long way from that becoming an executive order. So we'll see. We're watching it as everybody else is. That is not yet in our guidance.

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Snyder with Morgan Stanley.

I wanted to ask about consumer. Bill, I think you said December was up double digits. So with the quarter down 2%, I guess, October, November would be down high single. So really sharp positive rate of change there. I guess is there anything to call out with the comps to December, just have a really easy comp because it doesn't seem like you guys expect much of that strength to continue into Q1, maybe 1 month doesn't make a trend, so too early. But any color there would be appreciated.

Yes. We typically -- Chris, we typically see seasonality within the quarter in CBG to be lower in the first couple of months and then higher in the third month. We saw that pattern play out each quarter last year, including in Q4. This 1 was a little bit different. It was a little bit weaker in October, November than we would have expected and then a little bit stronger in December than we would have expected. I think part of it was the team pushing pretty hard, a lot of really good work that the team did in promotional programs with our large retailers who also were striving to drive their growth. And that combination, I think, paid some dividends in December. So we grew a little bit better than expected in December, a little bit weaker in October, November. I wouldn't read too much into the trend so far in the first couple of weeks.

Let's see how the next number of weeks and maybe a couple of months ago. But at least it seems to be holding okay to what we had expected in the first couple of weeks. So I wouldn't read too much into that at this moment, Chris.

I appreciate that. And then if I could follow up on the U.S. IT assumption. You guys are calling for flat in '26 after 1% growth in '25. When we look at the quarterly U.S. industrial production numbers, they seem to be strengthening as '25 went along. You guys are obviously calling for things to soften. Do you see anything out there that is softening? Is there just some conservatism in that assumption?

So you're right. I mean if you look at IPI through the course of last year, what we're seeing backward looking, it did improve sequentially over the course of the year. It was a little bit stronger in the back half than it was in the front half. According to forecast, it looks like it's flattish in 2026. So we're reading those numbers. For us, as I mentioned before, we do expect our industrial business to continue to perform very well. The 2 areas within industrial that we're watching. One is an auto aftermarket. It looks like it's still remaining relatively soft or expected to be range soft on car repair claims, both in U.S. and Europe as well as in the roofing granules business because of the housing market, consumers not looking to replace the rules right now. That business has been a little bit. So fact's very soft in the fourth quarter. We expect some softness in the beginning of this year. But again, I just come back to the -- with the execution of the team and commercial excellence and NPI. I think they're doing a very good job. I expect it will outperform that industrial macro as we get into '26.

Our next question comes from the line of Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup.

So as you said, you originally forecast '25 averaging high-teens growth from that rolling 5-year new products. But you averaged closer to mid-20%. It's obviously one of the metrics leading to your market outgrowth. But what could it average in '26? And does it suggest you get higher than that $300 million or higher, as you just said in terms of market outgrowth?

So we do see a higher in '26 than '25 in terms of market outgrowth. And it's exactly from the progress made on innovation and 5-year new product sales coming up Again, when we look at the '26 numbers, we assess the macro as it affects 3M to be on the order of around 1.7%, that we're projecting growth of the company, organic growth that delta, that outgrowth is over $300 million above the macro. Half of that is coming from new product introductions, both those that were launched at the back end of '25, we had a very good back half as well as those that we expect will launch in 2026.

So I feel really good about the trajectory we're on and the momentum we're building here. This is really, I think, moving the needle with a little market tailwind, we'll see even greater pickup, but I feel good that we'll outgrow the macro next year. This year, '26 as a result of some of the initiatives we have in place on NPI and commercial excellence.

Got it. And then you were able to essentially hold the line, I think all year in '25 in consumer in terms of growing margin nicely despite flat sales. And with the understanding that Q4 organic sales declined, it seemed like you still had a relatively significant degradation in margin performance. So could you give us more color on that? Was it mostly just the increased advertising promos that you talked about? And can you talk about your confidence level and growing consumer margin or at least holding up in '26?

Yes. So good question. It was the promos and discounts that were offered. I think for the whole year, we did very well. We're up 130 basis points. We're down 110 in the fourth quarter. But again, for the year, really good. The team is doing an excellent job of focusing on the priority brands and appropriately investing in admire NPI launches in CBG, we're really good up double year-over-year, and I expect margin growth as we get into '26 as well as they really level out the business. So I feel pretty good about the structure that we have in place in CBG and the strategy that's being executed and with a little bit of consumer recovery, you'll see that coming through in the CBG business this year. So I appreciate that question.

This concludes the question-and-answer portion of our conference call. I will now turn the call back over to Bill Brown for some closing comments.

Well, thank you, everybody, for joining again today. And thanks to all of the 3Mers for their efforts, for their dedication in executing against our priorities and delivering value to both our customers as well as our shareholders. Thank you, and have a good day.

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference call. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your lines.

All right. Good morning, everybody. Welcome to day-2 of the Goldman Sachs Industrials and Materials Conference. My name is Joe Ritchie. I cover the multi-industry sector and also co-run the Industrials and Materials business unit. We're really excited to kick off today with 3M. We have Bill Brown, the Chairman and CEO here.

Before we kick it off, I am required to make certain disclosures and public appearances about Goldman Sachs' relationships, companies that we discuss, disclosures relate to investment banking relationships, compensation received or one or more percent ownership. We are prepared to read aloud disclosures for any issuer upon request. However, these disclosures are available in our most recent reports available to you as clients on our firm's portal. So with that, Bill, thanks for joining us here today.

Great. Thanks for having me.

So let's kick it off. Look, it's been 20 months. Talk a little bit about like how the operational discipline across the business has really changed? What's been the most important structural change that you've driven so far? And what still needs to happen to kind of sustain this going forward?

Right. Well, thanks for having me again. In 20 months, it only feels like 19. So it's been -- time is really flying here. So no, it's -- we're off to, I think, a very good start. We're building momentum. But I'd say, we're still early in the innings, early in our transformation journey at 3M. I think there's 2 fundamental changes, I think, that are happening at 3M. And one, it gets back to what I started talking about my very first earnings release at 3M, and that's the priorities.

I think the thing that we've not changed is around the priorities. So the #1 thing is around focus, it's constancy of purpose, it's consistency. It's staying true to the 3 priorities and the things that we're trying to do inside the company. It's around driving growth, driving operational performance and effectively deploying capital. And every meeting I'm at internally, every all hands I do, we just get back from Asia, we did 3 all hands. I always start with safety and then these 3 priorities. And it's the same thing I do in my earnings releases.

And every quarter, we have a little bit more to say because we're making progress. So we're talking more about the things that we're doing, the impact of the activities. But number one is around constancy of purpose. And I think you can see that in the messaging and in the results for sure. The second is a foundational element around culture that we put out. I've talked about this at our Investor Day back in February. It does seem like eons ago, but back in February. It's around driving rigor and operational execution and speed and urgency and accountability throughout this organization, challenging the status quo.

A lot of people at 3M have been around for a long time. And I'm encouraging people to think about today differently than yesterday and tomorrow differently than today. And that's sort of challenging every single day the things that we do and want to do differently. So those are the, I think, 2 important changes that we made inside the company. And I think what you see is good momentum and progression towards those Investor Day targets that we laid out back in February. We talked about driving growth of $1 billion over the macro. We talked about hitting 25% margins by 2027 and returning $10 billion of cash to shareholders over 3 years. And across all those dimensions, I think we're making good progress, and we're well on our way.

It's great to hear, Bill. And so one of the things you guys have really talked about is this innovation engine. So talk a little bit about how new product vitality is driving better commercial success across 3M?

So this is -- I mean, look, people join 3M to innovate and solve tough problems for customers. It's fundamental to what defines 3M. And I think you know we've lost our way on innovation over some period of time. So it was one of the top priorities to get back to driving growth from innovation. I'm really pleased with how the team is responding to some of the structural changes that we're making today in how we innovate and develop and launch new products.

So I won't go through the numbers in much detail. It's -- I go through this every quarter, but we had launched 196 products in the first 9 months of the year. We're very proud of that. It's up 70% over last year. It's almost in line with where we were. Actually it's more than last year, and it's going to be for the year, about 250, so it will be double where we were 2 years ago. So we're launching a lot of products. So the 250 this year is above the goal we had set for this year, it was around 215. 215 million would have gotten us to 1,000 products over 3 years. That was the goal we set out back at the Investor Day.

And again, we're tracking ahead of that. I think what's important is not just what we're launching, but the backfill of the pipeline because one of the worries that I had was when you're launching more products, and I knew we had some things in the pipeline to go launch that you'd start to dry up in the pipe. And in fact, we're not doing that. We launched 70 products in Q3. We put 130 new projects into the pipeline, and we have 1,000 new ideas sitting out there about to go into a business case development.

So we're actually filling the front end of the pipe at a faster rate than we're launching product which I think it is really important. We are starting to move the curve a little bit on top line growth. Our 5-year new product sales year-to-date is up 16%. For the full year, it will be up 19%. The reason we use 5-year new product sales, that gets to a vitality index. Historically, 3M many years ago was in the 30% range. We dropped to 10%. By the end of this year, we'll be at 12%, get back to 20% by 2027.

But that's how you drive the growth of the business. You got to get back to bringing fresh products to market. So I think it's actually going reasonably well. We're making good progress at instrumenting the organization in driving more rigor and discipline into this factory we call R&D. Our launch attainment is now running north of 80%. Beginning of the year, it was 70%. Last year, it was in the mid-60s. I think before that, I'm not even sure, quite frankly, we were measuring launch attainment. So we're launching products within a 2-week window of when we said we would when it got into the development pipeline, which is really -- extremely important.

We've got a good idea generation process. We're spending a little bit more on R&D, about 30 basis points of sales now more in R&D. But importantly, we're pushing more of the spend in R&D towards new product development. We had historically been around 40% or sometimes north of 40% of R&D spent on new product development. That dropped below 30%. We're running around 35%, 36%, and you'll see that number coming back up.

Now a lot of the products we're launching are going to be replacement products, things that keep the portfolio fresh. So you're not seeing a lot of impact on the top line, but you will over time. Most of what we're launching are things like a new color and a command strip or expanding our size range in Filtrete or a new self-contained breathing apparats, a variety of different products, but they're sort of incremental.

But over time, we'll be launching more products into adjacencies and new products. I think that's when you'll start to see the top line turn because of innovation. But don't get me wrong in this one. It's really important to launch more products. We're getting the rhythm back going, the rigor into the process a lot better. And you will see the top line move because of launches that are happening.

Makes a lot of sense. So product vitality is one part of it. You've also talked about rebuilding your commercial program as well, like early quoting, stronger channel partners. Like how far along are you in that initiative?

Look, this is -- I think we're still early innings on the Commercial eXcellence piece. And I think this is an area that I was a little bit more surprised about when I came to 3M. It's reflective of the historical culture at 3M. We were operating more like a holding company than an operating company, meaning each of our sales forces around the world were run fairly independently and no sharing of best practices, no common systems or processes. And that's starting to change a little bit as we move from a holding company more to an operating company.

And we laid out 3 levers to drive commercial excellence. One is improving the performance at the front line, the frontline execution of the sales force. So are they -- who are they calling on? Are they getting the right training from the manager? Are they meeting with their manager? Did they have Close1 targets? When are the quotas being set? And are they held accountable to those quotas? How is pricing governance happening? And we're seeing opportunities across all of those things.

It's -- you got to imagine, I mean, the sales manager was not meeting with the sales rep more than once a month, a couple of times a quarter. Now we're tracking. It's happening 3 or 4 times a month. It's very regular and reviewing what you're losing, what you're winning? Are you tracking your Close1 targets? Putting rigor into how that sales force is working. I think that's really starting to show some benefit.

The second lever, we do -- we sell a lot through distribution, through channels. So are we improving the effectiveness of those channel partners? This is like going out and talking to them about joint business planning and cross-selling. We set a 3-year goal in SIBG of $100 million of cross-sell revenue by year-3. We're tracking well ahead of that. We gave some of the facts at Q3. We're over $120 million of opportunities. We've closed and won annualized $30 million so far within about 9-month window. So moving along very, very quickly. And we're finding opportunities not just within SIBG, but also between SIBG and the Transportation & Electronics business.

The third is around increasing -- improving customer loyalty. It's reducing attrition or churn. Part of the driver of that is going to be -- we're not delivering things on time in full or quality or new products or pricing was off. But the best way to grow your business is to not lose it, and we were losing too much business. We're not tracking that very rigorously. We use AI tools for both predictive and response to attrition or churn, and we're starting to make some improvements in that.

It started off in SIBG. A year ago, we launched this initiative in our Safety & Industrial business, mostly a channel business, the largest part of the company. They started in the U.S. They rolled it out globally. And you can see the progress that we're making in SIBG. If you go back to the beginning of last year in the first half, we were down 1.6%. We ended up at plus 1.6% in the back half of the year, front end of this year, 2.5%. And of course, you saw growth in Q3 was at 4%.

So we're seeing the pickup. And I think a very important chart that investors should look at is the one we put it into our earnings release at the end of October on SIBG. It maps out 11 quarters of growth at SIBG going back 11 quarters ago, minus 6% to plus 4% in the latest quarter because of improving OTIF. We're launching more products. We're driving commercial excellence, more cross-selling wins, and you can see the direct effect of some of those pieces.

We're now following that through that same process into our Transportation & Electronics business. learning from some of the best practices that we saw in SIBG, we're rolling that through into TEBG. Of course, there's a spec-in business, so it's going to be a little bit nuanced, but there's a lot of the learnings from SIBG can be rolled into TEBG, and we're starting to see some benefits there as well. So look, this is -- it's early innings. We're starting to train up the sales force, driving more rigor into that, holding the salespersons accountable, making sure they're appropriately trained with the right incentives early in the year with the quota we got early in the year, this will make a big difference.

That's super helpful. So maybe let's transition on potentially early thoughts on 2026, right? So you've had Electronics & Aerospace, which has been strong, Auto OEM and Consumer still soft. What are you -- how are you thinking about end market demand as we head into 2026?

So you're right. I mean, Auto has been relatively soft. The build rate has been up, but it's mostly been China, and not the U.S. And I think all regions are expected to be down in the build rate in the fourth quarter. We start off at the beginning of the year in Auto being down mid-single digits. We're flattish in Q3, but we're starting to gain some share here, which I think is really important. And it's important to go out and win with China OEMs, win with the winners. So we're pushing a lot into China.

Electronics has been pretty good. Aerospace & Defense has been pretty decent for us. As you go across the pieces of the portfolio, even at TEBG, our commercial branding and transportation business has been relatively solid, low to mid-single digits. Safety in SIBG started off at the beginning of the year, low single digits, growing mid-single digits in Q3. So getting a little bit better. The abrasives business has been challenged in the last couple of years, sort of low single digits, growing mid-single digits in Q3.

So parts of the portfolio are doing quite well, and there's a few pockets that aren't. As you said, Auto could be -- it's a little bit weak. We'll see what happens going into next year. We know in a few parts of the business and commercial vehicle is not a very big part of the company, very small, actually, $100 million, but it's down quite a bit and getting a little bit worse through the course of the year. Our roofing granules business in SIBG has been under some pressure, start off the beginning of the year, low single digits, was down in Q3, kind of similar trend going into Q4.

So we're seeing some pressure in a couple of parts of the business, but the consumer has been relatively weak all year and not getting much better going into Q4. So that's kind of the trajectory of some of the businesses. We're planning for a macro that looks pretty similar to that in 2026. So that's what we're thinking about. But through Commercial eXcellence and Innovation eXcellence and a lot of the work we're driving in terms of productivity and Operational eXcellence across our factories, we do expect to outgrow the macro going into next year, and we're planning for being able to achieve that.

So what we're looking at is some growth above the macro going into next year. And through productivity, the things that we're doing there drop through on some of the incremental volume, offsetting some tariff carryover going into next year, some stranded costs because of getting out of PFAS, we still have our algorithm in place for driving high single-digit earnings per share growth going into 2026 and beyond, on track to '27 targets.

Super helpful. And just one nuance there. The macro that you're planning for, is that a comment around -- comparable to your full year this year, your exit rate in 2025?

It's pretty much where we're coming out of the year in 2025 as we see transitioning into next year. Look, it's hard to predict what the macro is going to look like in the next 3, 6, 9 months. So what we're doing is we're recognizing that we've got a lot of things that are self-help stories here at 3M and a lot of things we can control. And we're saying regardless of what's happening in the macro, we need to be growing the business next year and growing earnings.

When you're tracking your potential like project funnel to drive productivity going into next year, has that project funnel increased or accelerated? Because I know you had a lot on your plate for this year and the performance has been very good this year. So just curious like how has that productivity funnel really changed over the past 12 months?

So it's been very good, actually. We've -- we came into the year, you'll recall back at the Investor Day, we thought the margin expansion over the next 3 years was going to come more from factory productivity, supply chain excellence and things happening in the gross margin side. We've been driving productivity and gross margin, but it's been offset somewhat by stranded costs and tariffs that have been rolling through the gross margin side.

We're finding more opportunities to take cost out of G&A through end-to-end process redesign, thinking structurally about where we have activities around the world, driving process excellence, reducing indirect costs, including an IT spend. So we're finding more opportunities to drive productivity across the G&A functions. And I think you've seen that so far in our margin results year-to-date. Year-to-date, we're up 220 basis points. For the year, we're guiding between 180 to 200 basis points. And that's tracking ahead of what we said we would get to over the course of the 3-year goal getting to 2027.

If you just go back to where we were at 2024, we ended the year at 21.4% operating margin. That's where we ended. To get to 25% by '27, it's 360 points, 120 on average every year. Of course, it's not going to be linear, and it's not linear this year. Again, we're up 220 year-to-date for the year, 180 to 220, more from G&A activities. And as we're starting to think about this, I think as going into '26, we'll see more coming from our supply chain activities.

We're doing, I think, a reasonably good job in our procurement side in offsetting inflation, including tariff pass-throughs from some suppliers. So we're doing some good work there. Within our 4-wall spend, a good work that's happening, more automation opportunities. One of the areas that we have seen some progress this year, and we'll see some progress over the next several years is improving on quality cost. I've been talking about this for over a year. We went through some details in February on what's driving cost per quality. But it's been running -- as of the end of Q3, it's at 5.7% of cost of goods. You run the math, it's about $800 million. Last year, it was over $900 million. So it's down $100 million year-over-year.

And that 5.7%, we think over time, should hit a goal of being below 4% of cost of goods. So a lot of opportunity ahead of us in terms of driving cost of poor quality down as well. Some will happen through automation, use of AI tools to more effectively change over lines with us going from product A to product B in our factory. So it's a pretty good productivity road map that we have here. And we're now starting to think about what are those ideas that are out there to structurally reduce costs across the company, both in our supply chain.

We know we've got too many factories. Our footprint is pretty large. We're still running north of 100 factories and about 80 distribution centers. Structurally, there's an opportunity to reduce cost. That's going to be sort of happening that drives the horizon beyond 2027. And some ideas of what we need to do to drive G&A function productivity as well. Just as an example, we have 4 shared service centers. They're not in the lowest cost places in the world. There's activities that should be in a shared service center. There should be some better performance driving metrics. We should look at putting them into low-cost countries or outsource some of those activities. And that's what's ahead of us in terms of this transformation agenda that we're now starting to talk more about.

That's great, Bill. Look, we talked a little bit about new product vitality earlier. To what extent is that going to allow you to potentially have structurally higher pricing going forward? And then how are you thinking about pricing as well into 2026 because you have the whole tariff disruption this year? I'd be curious to hear what your expectations are.

So historically, we have priced to offset material cost inflation. I mean that's been our approach. So if you run about 2% material cost inflation on $6 billion of spend, $120 million, that translates into about 50 basis points of price. So that's in the number. That's what we've historically been doing to just offset material cost inflation. This year, we'll see about 70 basis points of price, 50 in the front half of the year, 90 in the back half of the year. The extra 20 for the full year is covering some part of the tariff hit. So that's what's happening.

You'll see that rolling into the first half of next year and annualizing in 2026. Look, we have a couple of ways to improve pricing. And I referenced one a couple of minutes ago, and that's better pricing governance through our sales force effectiveness, Commercial eXcellence initiative. There are too many times we see price discounts given or volume rebates given without getting the volume. So we do special price agreements that don't get any volume coming through, and we're getting much better controls around that.

The second part of it is around trying to drive better pricing and price to value when we're launching more products. When you go for a period of time and you're not launching a lot of products, we're not really focused on value-based pricing. Now that we are launching more products, this is a big focus of the team is how do you capture the value of what we're providing through the price that's being offered on the new product. And I'll give you a good example.

We talk a lot internally about Cubitron 3. It's our abrasive product within SIBG. It's a very interesting, unique design. It's proven to reduce the workload on a welder's arms and the time it takes to grind down a weld. And you can actually translate that into value, and we expect to get paid for that in the price of the abrasive product. And that's how we go to market. That's how we price that product. But it's pretty unique. We need to take that same sort of lessons around how do you price and drive it across all of the different products we're launching into the marketplace. So structurally, what we ought to be doing is driving better pricing over time than simply covering material cost inflation, and that's the objective of the team.

So I'm going to open it up to the audience in a second, but just a follow-on to that -- to what you just said. If you think about those 2 opportunities, which is sales force needs to do a much better job, not pricing down as the year progresses and then secondly, we need to do a better job of pricing our innovative products. Which one is a bigger opportunity for you?

I mean, look, they're both going to be pretty important. I mean, I think it's -- you got to walk before you run these things. I think when you're trying to price to value for new products, since the product coming on the marketplace, we have an opportunity as we're developing a business case, developing our marketing materials to say, look, there's going to be a different price for the new product coming in. So to me, driving price through new product innovation is going to be pretty important and one that we're focused quite a bit on.

Okay. Great. So I'll turn it over to the audience. Any questions from the audience?

A little bit about cash flow. With higher margins and better cycle times, how should we think about conversion versus historical?

So this year will be more than 100% of net income conversion, and we expect it will be greater than and equal to net income going into the next several years. We laid that out for at the Investor Day earlier this year. We generate very good cash inside the company. We have opportunity to do a little bit better on working capital. Inventories are running right now little bit higher than we would want them to be. We think it should be lower than that over time. It was around 100 days roughly at Q3. We should be down around 75 days. Each day is around $35 million.

So we see an opportunity to drive inventory performance. But look, one of the things I didn't really talk much about here is when I talked about churn, it's about delivering products on time and full. We hit the best quarter we've hit in any quarter going back 20 years on time and full at 91.6%, which is great results. And what's happening is people aren't complaining so much around not getting the product on time and full, customers aren't.

And we're taking an excuse away from the sales force as to why we're losing business. It's where we need to be. The number can actually come back up even further over time. But what we now have to do is think about on time and full a little bit differently. So how do you drive that up over time a little bit more? How do you reduce the lead time giving product to a customer and bringing the inventory down at the same time? And that's got to be the focus over the next 1 to 2 years. So cash flow has been good. We'll see continued conversion at or above net income. We'll continue to invest appropriately inside the company, but cash has been pretty good.

Other questions from the audience? It's a good segue from cash flow into capital allocation priorities, right? So you've been active repurchasing your shares this year. Clearly, you're reinvesting in the business. There's probably some M&A ambition as well. Maybe just talk to us about how you're thinking about managing all 3?

So again, cash has been very good. In terms of capital allocation, it's consistent with what we laid out at the Investor Day. Number one, we're going to invest in the organic opportunities inside the company. We have some of those. We've been investing inside the company last year, $150 million of incremental growth investments and this year, about $185 million. We said we would do $600 million in growth and productivity investments over 3 years. So probably a little bit more coming into 2026.

So there's opportunities to invest positively with good returns inside the company. We're going to maintain a strong balance sheet. Right now, we're running around 1x leverage, which I think is important. There's things ahead of us. There's liabilities we're watching very, very carefully. So we're trying to maintain a very strong balance sheet. We still have a piece of the Solventum spin on our books, about 15%. It's worth a little over $2 billion. So that's sitting there as well in terms of helping us with liquidity.

And then we're going to return cash to shareholders. We said at the Investor Day, we would return $10 billion over 3 years. This year, we're already around $4 billion -- $3.9 billion. Of that, $2.7 billion was in share buybacks. Of course, as the stock has come up, we've seen some option exercise inside the company, and we're sort of we're offsetting that as well. But we've been pretty aggressive in returning cash to shareholders.

Again, we're -- this year, it will be north of $4 billion of $10 billion. So we're tracking a little bit ahead of that goal we set over a 3-year time period. On the portfolio, look, we talked about this quite extensively back in February, and we referred to this at every earnings call. We will structurally shift the business over time into higher growth, higher-margin potential businesses, means getting out of some things that we're in today and perhaps getting into some things that can add accretively to the business and can take advantage of the innovation and material science capabilities of the overall company. And we're making some progress there.

We talked about a couple of things that we divested fairly recently of a business in the third quarter. It made strategic in financial sense to shareowners to go and do that. But over time, depending upon what's happening with our own liquidity, we'll look to acquire. But right now, we're thinking hard about the portfolio and the things that don't really make sense to be inside the portfolio.

On that addition by subtraction comment, so clearly, health care is no longer part of the portfolio. Are you -- are there potential options to do sizable things from a divestiture standpoint? Or are you thinking mostly trimming around the margin?

So look, we -- earlier in the year, we said we had 120-plus profit centers. We're going to look at them very individually, and we have. We concluded about 10% of that portfolio probably doesn't fit strategically in the sense of -- it leverages the innovation of the company. It's where we don't have a clear right to win, where it's more commodity like. Of that, 2% to 3% were things that we thought made sense to divest where it would make sense to shareholders. We've got to watch the dilution quite carefully and the stranded costs, and we start to action on that 2% to 3%. Look, we're looking at this daily. I won't say that there's small or big parts of it, but we're taking it in pieces.

Okay. Sounds good. You mentioned Solventum. How are you thinking about the timing of that exit?

So we have 5 years to do it on a tax-free basis. We sold 1/4 of our stakes, about 5% back in August at a pretty good price. We have 15% left. Just to keep in mind, we are a complete passive owner of Solventum. We have 5 years, and we'll monetize it within that 5-year period.

Should we talk about the potential liabilities that are out there? And do you want to give an update?

So there's not much of an update in terms of outside -- what's outside of the SEC filings. There's 3 things that we're tracking. Of course, one is the public water supplier settlement that was executed a couple of years ago. By 2028, we'll be about 80% of the cash through. So we're watching a couple of the opt-outs on PWS. The second area is around the attorneys' generals. There's lawsuits within and outside of the MDL, mostly within the MDL.

You probably saw back in May, we settled with the state of New Jersey. It was very attractive for us. It was a reasonable amount of cash over 25 years with a balloon out in 2050 and very broad liability protections around the state of New Jersey. And other states are looking at that model and perhaps can replicate something like that. So Vermont will be coming up maybe in the next year. There's a little bit of skirmish right now between whether that be handled in the state or federal court. We do know that Illinois is scheduled for next September. That's a little bit further out.

And there's other states that are again, within or outside of the MDL. And the third is around the personal injury cases, the bellwether that was supposed to happen in October was canceled or postponed for the judge to force a lot of the unfiled cases to get filed. That's now happened. We're in a vetting process right now. The number of cases went up to about 14,000 -- just under 14,000. Some have multiple claims within that, and we're going through a vetting process. And we'll have more to say through our SEC filings, but this is an active discussion and one that we're focused on quite aggressively inside the company.

Great. Let's transition over to China. Can you just level set us how big is China for you today? It's interesting how strong it's been as well, not seeing that for a lot of our other industrial companies. So maybe just talk a little bit about like what's driving the strength? Is it end markets, share gains?

Yes. So China, look, it's about 12% of the company. It's been growing very, very strongly for us. Last year, it was low double digits. This year, it was mid-single digits most of the year. Q3 was high single digits. So it's been growing pretty well. We have a very good footprint in China. We have 7 factories. We have close to 5,000 people. And we've got a unique model for 2 countries, one China, one India inside of 3, and we run our businesses globally, including through China and India.

But in China, we have a vertical organization run by a President of China because of some of the unique characteristics of that market, how fast it's moving, the requirement for local development that are moving at the speed and the pace of China OEMs. And that model has been very effective for us. Half the business is domestic and half goes export. It's -- and both are growing. And I would say, we're seeing solid market growth, but more importantly, we're seeing share gain because of the way the business is attacking the opportunities on innovation and commercial excellence.

We were there just a couple of weeks ago, we spent 3 days in China. And the team is doing an unbelievable job in terms of just attacking new parts of the market. Their journey on commercial excellence mirrors what we're trying to do around the world, but on steroids. I mean, they're moving at a very fast pace. They're driving the business very well. I'm pretty optimistic about the future in China. China, it's going to slow down here in the fourth quarter. We knew that. We thought that was going to slow in Q3. It didn't. But we feel it's going to slow down a little bit in Q4. There are some dynamics of things happening in China or moving outside of China.

So there's some dynamics of where electronic components are being manufactured through Asia, but the business is doing well. The innovation is good. There's more things we can do just local for local development. If you're in the automotive supply business and you're not winning with China OEMs, you're going to lose eventually someplace else.

You've got companies like BYD that in 18 months to launching new vehicles. They have 110,000 R&D engineers, and they require you to develop products in 6 to 8 months. That's a cycle time that we don't do. Most companies don't do anywhere in the world to supply to automotive OEMs. We are now doing that in China. We are developing and launching products for BYD and others in that 6-, 7-, 8-month time period. So -- and if you're successful there, you could be successful in other places around the world, and I think we're starting to prove that point.

That's great. So Bill, you mentioned a little bit on China and your expectations for the fourth quarter and that it's kind of in line with your expectations that it was going to slow down. Any other comments that you want to make on how things are trending?

So look, it's pretty much like we said at the end of the third quarter in terms of the overall macro trends. We do see the consumer market to be relatively soft. You can read it in every report, known demand and what's happening with retailers. We've not seen a strong consumer all year. We see consumers being cautious and focused on discounts and promotions and essential items only, and we see that going into the fourth quarter, perhaps into early next year as well.

Consumer is not a big part of the company, but it's an important part, but it has been soft. But even in that sort of soft macro backdrop, we found a way for the first 3 quarters of the year, it's actually 4 quarters in a row growing positively. So Q1, 2 and 3 this year, we grew at 0.3%. And it doesn't sound like a lot, but just making sure we're growing in consumer was quite important. We're launching more products, new products in consumer. We're more aggressive on advertising and merchandising. The strategy we put in place to focus on 4 priority brands is working. That hustle that's happening in the business has been palpable.

The team is doing a great job here, but consumer has been relatively soft. And I talked a bit before about the roofing granules business. This, I think I put this back on consumer behavior in many ways as well. We saw the front end of the year at low single digits. This is mostly replacement demand. Sort of joke internally, it's easier to buy a bucket than replace a roof. And I think it's what people are doing right now. They're not replacing the roofs. It will eventually happen. You have to. But when you have the housing market stuck, you're not replacing roofs, you're not doing things to upgrade your home as you're transitioning from the homeownership. And we're seeing that right now.

Q3 was in that roofing business was relatively weak, and it's as weak as it was in Q4. It will turn back eventually as it has to, but that's been a little bit soft coming into Q4. But generally speaking, it's the same trends that we saw in Q3 continuing into Q4.

Really helpful. Bill, any last comments you want to make to the investors that are listening?

Look, this has been a great journey. We're 18 -- now 20 months, I got to remind that. But look, this is that we're running at a great pace. What I'm finding every single day more and more opportunities to do things better. The one thing to take away, the culture inside the company is changing. This is going to be probably the single biggest factor to drive performance at 3M is changing the culture, driving the hustle and rigor and operational discipline and continuous improvement and driving accountability.

This will be the first year in many years, we're driving differentiation in the pay awards across 3M. It's really important. You get clear objectives and you get paid for performance. And I think that's what's going to happen inside the company. It's important. We're on a great trajectory, and we're going to win.

Bill, congrats on the progress. Thank you for coming.

Thank you. Thank you.

Ladies and gentlemen, thank you for standing by. Welcome to the 3M Third Quarter Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]. As a reminder, this call is being recorded, Tuesday, October 21, 2025.

I would now like to turn the call over to Chinmay Trivedi, Senior Vice President of Investor Relations and Financial Planning and Analysis at 3M.

Thank you. Good morning, everyone, and welcome to our quarterly earnings conference call. With me today are Bill Brown, 3M's Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; and Anurag Maheshwari, our Chief Financial Officer. Bill and Anurag will make some formal comments, then we will take your questions.

Please note that today's earnings release and slide presentation accompanying this call are posted on the homepage of our Investor Relations website at 3m.com.

Please turn to Slide 2 and take a moment to read the forward-looking statements. During today's conference call, we'll be making certain predictive statements that reflect our current views about 3M's future performance and financial results. These statements are based on certain assumptions and expectations of future events that are subject to risks and uncertainties. Item 1A of our most recent Form 10-Q lists some of the most important risk factors that could cause actual results to differ from our predictions.

Please note while today's presentation we'll be making references to certain non-GAAP financial measures. Reconciliations of the non-GAAP measures can be found in the attachments to today's press release.

With that, please turn to Slide 3, and I will hand the call off to Bill. Bill?

Thank you, Chinmay, and good morning, everyone. The 3M team delivered another strong quarter in Q3 with organic sales growth of 3.2% and the fourth consecutive quarter of positive organic growth across all 3 business groups against a macro backdrop that is largely unchanged and generally soft.

Our 3 excellence operating model helped drive operating margins up 170 basis points, earnings per share up 10% to $2.19 and free cash flow of $1.3 billion, a conversion of 111%. Our strong performance through the first 3 quarters of the year enables us to increase our earnings per share guidance to $7.95 to $8.05 and on the back of a strong Q3, we now expect full year organic sales growth to be greater than 2% with adjusted free cash flow conversion remaining above 100%.

Our strategy is working. Our efforts to advance our top 3 priorities are yielding results. Most notable this quarter is our work on commercial excellence. The rigor associated with turning customer opportunities into wins faster is clear. and we are squarely focused on accounts with the highest potential while limiting special pricing actions.

Our cross-selling program continues to outperform our expectations, and we have nearly doubled the pipeline since last quarter and closed on nearly $30 million of new business. To reduce churn, we are leveraging predictive analytics to win back business lost or at risk. And the sales organization is stepping up its performance embracing the up-tempo operating rigor and leveraging new tools and processes to win at the customer interface.

We launched 70 new products in the quarter and 196 year-to-date, both up about 70% versus last year, and we now expect to launch over 250 new products this year, exceeding our goal of 215 and pacing ahead of our Investor Day target of 1,000 new products through 2027. We continue to shift resources towards new product development, align investment to our priority verticals and and drive accountability for on-time launch attainment.

And most importantly, we're beginning to bend the curve on revenue from new products with sales from products launched in the last 5 years, up 30% in Q3 and 16% year-to-date, tracking to be up high teens for the full year.

I wanted to highlight a few specific product launches this year that contributed to our performance this quarter. Earlier this year, we launched ScotchBlue Pro Sharp Painter's Tape, a great example of a Class III product in our consumer business that replaces an existing offering in this space, but with a better performance and cost profile. We're now regaining share, growing high single digits and outperforming in the category.

Another launch in the consumer business expanded our size offering in our filtering business, giving us broader coverage of the market and leading to high single-digit growth in the category in Q3. Last quarter, we launched a new lightweight wire frame self-contained breathing apparatus, which contributed to our high teens growth this quarter in our SCBA business and SIBG. These are just a few examples that individually are not material at the company level, but collectively are beginning to have a positive impact on revenue growth and customer perception that innovation is back at 3M.

Our second priority is driving operational excellence across the enterprise. Our efforts here are driving margin expansion, improving customer service, increasing asset utilization and reducing cost per quality. Our on-time and full metric was 91.6% in the quarter, improving 200 basis points sequentially and 300 basis points over last year. achieving the highest on-time performance we've had in any quarter going back 20-plus years.

We've now been consistently over 90% for 4 months in a row. Improved OTIF shows up tangibly in our financial results as lower service fines, but also intangible through a better customer experience, leading to winning more shelf space and enhancing customer loyalty. Our intention now is a shift to the next stage of operational excellence, sustained or improved OTIF while simultaneously tightening delivery lead times and lowering inventory.

We continue to roll out our operating equipment effectiveness metric, which is now being systematically tracked on 229 of our most important assets, representing about 60% of our production volume, an increase of 32 assets since last quarter.

Year-to-date, OEE is about 63%, up 300 basis points versus last year. This focus on better asset utilization is both reducing change over time and unplanned downtime and increasing run length and run rate, unlocking incremental volume opportunities. For example, in our optical adhesives line at our Jinshan plant in China, we were able to increase utilization from 63% to 81% by optimizing visual defect controls and reducing curing system downtime, freeing up enough capacity to double our share of an electronics customers business.

Quality is another critical aspect of operational excellence and is a company-wide priority. Our cost per quality in the quarter was 5.7%, down 40 basis points sequentially and 150 basis points year-over-year. Our focus on quality has driven yield launch reductions across all 3 business groups as we leverage Kaizen events and AI tools to optimize changeovers, use automation to replace manual visual inspection and deploy design for manufacturing in our new product development efforts to reduce scrap during scale up.

While we're making progress, we have a long runway for improvement toward our target of achieving less than 4% cost of quality as a percentage of cost of goods sold. Our third priority is capital deployment. We returned $900 million to shareholders in Q3, $400 million in dividends and $500 million of share repurchases. Year-to-date, we returned $3.9 billion to shareholders.

Consistent with what we said at Investor Day and since then, we continue to evaluate our portfolio at a profit center level to shift our businesses towards higher growth higher profit potential markets. Addressing this portfolio will not only be accretive to earnings over time, but importantly, we'll free up management time to focus on higher-value opportunities. We previously communicated that 2% to 3% of revenue was under review for being divested.

And in the quarter, we made progress with an agreement to sell our precision grinding and finishing business within our SIBG abrasive division. While this business is small at less than 1% of company sales, it's been a drag on results with over a decade of sales declines and 7 dedicated underutilized factories across the U.S., Europe and China.

As such, we do not expect this divestiture to be dilutive to earnings. This is a good outcome for shareholders, and it's indicative of the portfolio shaping we spoke about at Investor Day that enables us to be a more focused and higher performing enterprise.

On Slide 4, Macro trends remained soft and largely unchanged from Q2. But due to our strong execution, we are outperforming. Looking at our end markets. In Q2, we said general industrial and safety will improve off its low single-digit growth in the first half, and that is what happened despite a surprisingly weak roofing granules market. Electronics was up mid-single digits and flat to the first half and was a bit better than expected.

Consumer was flat as expected, that auto and auto aftermarket were down mid-single digits with performance improving modestly in auto OE and weakening in commercial vehicles. Slide 5 pulls it all together and puts a spotlight on our 3M excellence framework in action in SIBG.

On the right shows 11 quarters of organic growth at SIBG from minus 6% in early 2023 to the most recent quarter at 4.1%, aligned with the key factors driving this improvement. Over this period, new product launches more than doubled. OTIF improved by 12 percentage points, age backlog declined by 13 points. Cross-selling has accelerated and more rigor and management focus was implemented across the sales force. But while progress is evident, we're still in the early innings as we execute on the fundamentals and extend the 3M Excellence framework to other parts of the company. I'm really proud of the team.

Our third quarter performance gives us confidence we're on the right track and reflects the culture of excellence we're building inside the company as we continue to drive the rigor and OpTempo necessary to deliver on our strategic priorities. As we navigate these uncertain times, we're focused on what we control, innovating for our customers, embedding commercial excellence across our businesses, improving service, optimizing capacity, reducing waste and effectively deploying capital. all with a renewed sense of urgency that defines our new performance culture.

And with that, I'll turn it over to Anurag to share the details of the quarter. Anurag?

Thank you, Bill. Turning to Slide 6. We had a strong quarter across all financial metrics. We delivered sales growth acceleration, continued solid mileage expansion, double-digit earnings growth and strong cash flow.

Starting with the top line. In a consistently muted macro environment, we accelerated organic revenue growth from 1.5% in the first half to 3.2% in Q3 driven by successful execution of our commercial excellence initiatives and contribution from NPI underpinned by a strong operating tempo, which resulted in growth above macro.

By geography, our growth was led by China, which was up high single digits, with strength in industrial adhesives films and electronics bonding solutions driven by strong commercial execution that led to share gains. The U.S., where we first focused our commercial excellence initiatives grew nearly 4% in the quarter compared to 1% growth in the first half, with strength in general industrial, safety and demand for filter REIT filters partially offset by market-driven weakness in auto aftermarket and roofing granules.

It was encouraging to see Europe return to growth in the third quarter up low single digits due to strength in personal safety communication solutions, which more than offset the weakness in auto. Q3 daily order trends were up 3% year-on-year with growth across all business groups. Though our sales came in better than expected and aged backlog continues to decline, the strength in orders resulted in a year-over-year increase in backlog, providing 20% to 25% coverage of fourth quarter sales.

Q3 adjusted operating margins were 24.7%, up 170 basis points year-on-year, driven by continued strong operational performance. Operating income grew by approximately $175 million in constant currency, including an approximately $325 million benefit from volume growth, broad-based productivity across supply chain and G&A and lower restructuring costs, partially offset by about $50 million of growth investments as planned and $100 million from tariff impact and stranded costs.

Collectively, this contributed $0.25 to earnings, which was partially offset by $0.04 from FX and nonoperational below-the-line items. Our strong operating performance resulted in adjusted EPS of $2.19, an increase of 10%. Relative to expectations, our operational outperformance was driven by higher volume and productivity as the team continued to execute our strategic priorities.

I also want to mention 2 items highlighted in our press release issued this morning that are excluded from adjusted results. First, we recorded a pretax charge of $161 million related to the agreement to sell our precision grinding and finishing business.

Second, we took a $14 million charge as we begin to invest in the long-term transformation efforts to redesign our manufacturing, distribution and business process services and locations. This initiative is different from the traditional restructuring programs we have previously undertaken like the recently concluded enterprise program, which focused on short-term actions for quicker paybacks.

Accordingly, the charges related to these actions will be excluded from adjusted results going forward. Adjusted free cash flow in the quarter was $1.3 billion with conversion of 111% as we benefited from strong earnings and capital expenditure efficiency.

I will provide a quick overview of our growth performance for each business group on Slide 7. We started commercial excellence initiatives in Safety and Industrial and as a result, we are seeing early gains with organic sales up 4.1% in Q3 and 3.1% year-to-date.

Growth in SIBG was led by electrical markets, up low teens as we prioritized service performance and capitalize on growth in construction of data centers. Industrial adhesives and tapes add another quarter of mid-single-digit growth as they continue to win share in bonding solutions for electronics auto and appliances from new product introduction and better order conversion.

Both personal safety and abrasives accelerated to mid-single-digit growth, up from low single digits in the first half driven by increased sales effectiveness and new product introductions. Collectively, this strong growth more than offset known weakness in automotive aftermarket and emerging weakness in roofing rentals from the slow housing market and weak consumer sentiment.

Overall, our focus on commercial and innovation excellence helped SIBG grow 4.1% for the quarter the highest growth since 2018 ex-COVID.

Transportation and Electronics adjusted sales accelerated from 1% in the first half to 3.6% in Q3 and bringing year-to-date organic growth to 1.9%. While there was some discrete timing between Q3 and Q4 in our transportation safety business due to a large pavement marking project, the main drivers of growth were double-digit growth in aerospace, continued momentum in the electronics business and automotive being flattish after a down first half.

In electronics, we're expanding from the premium segment into the mainstream with new product introductions and better sales coverage. This quarter, we won content with a major mainstream player to supply optically clear adhesives for smartphones and lower sparkle film for notebooks. In our auto business, the weak commercial vehicle sales were offset by growth due to spec-in wins and increased penetration with Chinese OEMs.

Finally, in a relatively weak consumer market, our consumer business has demonstrated the ability to grow 4 quarters in a row, including 0.3% organic growth in each of the last 3 quarters. Though consumer sentiment remains soft, we experienced strong demand for filtered filters, Scotch Tapes and McGuire's products supported by new product introductions, continued service improvements and increased advertising and merchandising investment.

Overall, we are delivering on our commitments with strong year-to-date results, including organic growth of 2.1%, operating margin expansion of 220 basis points to 24.2%, earnings growth of 11% and free cash flow generation of $3.1 billion. We also returned $3.9 billion to shareholders, including $1.2 billion in dividends and $2.7 billion in share repurchases.

Please turn to Slide 8 for an update on our '25 guidance. Our year-to-date sales growth of 2.1% gives us confidence we will deliver growth of over 2% for the year. Our focus on productivity has enabled us to deliver strong margins every quarter. And on the back of this performance, we are updating our margin expansion expectations to 180 to 200 basis points for the year. As a result, we are raising our earnings per share guidance for the year from a range of $7.75 to $8 to a range of $7.95 to $8.05 representing an approximately $0.12 increase at the midpoint or 10% growth for the year.

We continue to expect free cash flow conversion of greater than 100% with absolute free cash flow dollars being higher reflecting the increase in earnings.

Please turn to Slide 9. This updated 2025 guidance is ahead of the initial guidance set at the beginning of the year and positions us well to achieve the financial commitments we made at our Investor Day earlier this year. For 2026, we will provide formal guidance on our Q4 earnings call in January, but our framework remains consistent with what we communicated at our Investor Day in February, growth above macro, continued margin expansion and earnings growth and strong free cash flow generation.

While the macroeconomic outlook is uncertain, we will outperform by scaling commercial excellence across all business units and leveraging new product launches. Alongside growth, we will improve productivity in our supply chain and G&A to more than offset investments, stranded costs and anticipated tariff impacts, resulting in margin expansion in 2026.

For EPS, we expect operational performance to be the primary driver of earnings growth similar to this year. Nonoperational performance will be influenced by changes in interest rates and FX while tax rates should remain stable and share buybacks will continue to be accretive.

Finally, we continue to expect to deliver cash flow conversion that exceeds 100%.

Before we open the call for questions, I would like to acknowledge and thank the 3M team for their strong commitment to operational and commercial excellence and focus on delivering improvement day after day. Our performance to date and opportunities ahead of us provides us with increased confidence in delivering on our updated 2025 guidance and commitments we laid out at the Investor Day.

With that, let's open the line for questions.

[Operator Instructions]. Our first question comes from the line of Scott Davis with Melius Research.

You started kind of the prepared remarks around new products. So I wanted to lean in on that a little bit because -- every CEO at 3M has talked about new products, but you seem to be delivering and actually getting results. What -- without spending a whole heck of a lot more, really, what do you think -- what are you attributed to? Is it -- have you changed kind of the culture of compensation? I mean, I don't know, just open-ended questions, so I'll leave it there.

So good question, Scott. So I'm really pleased with the progress we're making on new product introductions. And I think what I've seen over the last 18 months or so is much greater pace and rigor urgency that I think we've seen in some time.

We're tapping into a lot of latent ideas, urgency, desire from the team's product developers, application engineers, business leaders to get back to what's important at 3M, and that's innovating. And we're really trying to support that. Investments coming up a little bit. We're putting some different metrics in place certainly, we're watching new product introductions and they're turning around relatively quickly.

Keep in mind, a lot of these 80% of these are sort of incremental line extensions, what we call Class III, but that will build over time and become more important. I'm really pleased to see the funnel you remain relatively healthy. So while we launched 70 products, we had 130 products coming into the front end of the funnel. So it's actually very, very positive.

And the number of ideas that the teams are coming up with are now close to 1,000. So we're tapping into this desire to innovate, bring new solutions to customers. And the whole team is really responding very well to this. We're increasing our speed eliminating non-value-added type activities. We are moving up a little bit on spend. I think in the quarter, it's up by 30 basis points, but it's not substantial. We are shifting more of our R&D dollars towards new product development. A couple of years ago, we dipped below 30%. Now it's running 35%, 36%. That should grow a little bit over time.

But overall, I think the team is refining very, very well. starting to bend the curve on revenue. You see some of the numbers coming in Q3. We'll see more in Q4. But this is something that's going to sort of accelerate as we get into '26 and '27. Keep in mind, we said we grow $1 billion over the macro. Half of that will be in new product introductions. But a lot of that's going to come in '26 and '27 because it takes time to move the needle on that or the growth early on will come from commercial excellence. So Scott is a great question. The team is doing a fabulous job, and we're just getting started.

That makes sense. And the natural follow-up really is that historically, new products have been -- you say Class III, that's the first time I've heard that reference on the 3M call. But clearly more focused on maintaining or driving margin in the new product flow versus kind of what I would call kind of new product categories, which was more of the legacy. If you go back to the '80s and the '90s, that was more of the the 3M way was create new categories.

Do you have a -- again, it may be hard to tease this out, but do you have a sense of what kind of an upside do we have can 3M actually be above -- historically, it's been kind of 2%, 3% growth company. Can it be a 4%, 5%, 6% because you're actually back to creating new categories again and driving that top line above kind of that traditional Class III, as you call it, new product innovation.

So Scott, so about 80% of the launches are a Class III means 20% in Class IV, Class V, which are adjacent markets or bringing new products into new markets. And we've seen a couple of this year that are quite interesting, particularly in our electrical market. It was a cable prep system, which is which is a Class IV, Class V product, that's really growing very nicely.

Look, as the team really pushes on this. I do think there's incremental ideas that we're working on Clearly, we're seeing a bit better growth in the macro here in the quarter. The macro is running in the 1% to 2% range. So posting 3.2 in the quarter is pretty good. This will grow over time. And again, it's -- we're not going to be at 50-50 Class III versus Class IVs and Class Vs, but you'll see more 4s and 5s come in into the pipeline into next year and into 2027. Very helpful.

Our next question comes from the line of Jeff Sprague with Vertical Research.

I wanted to touch on kind of the beginning of this maybe new restructuring journey that you're on. Bill, I know even from the day you started maybe before you started, you had sort of a vision of what should happen with this footprint, and now you've had a lot of time to be inside and really kicked the tires. I just wonder if you could give us a sense of is this the beginning of a 2 or 3-year very large project. Have you even really mapped this out yet. And sort of like what should we expect as we get into maybe 2026 as it relates to the new restructuring actions.

So thanks, Jeff. Look, Anurag talked about in his remarks that it's unlike the prior restructuring effort, this enterprise-wide restructuring effort that was more focused on short-term actions, quick payback. This -- what we're embarking on now is a more longer-term, more thoughtful redesign of our manufacturing network, our distribution network, our business process services, as we've embarked on our operational excellence journey, as we've seen over the course of this year, we're seeing more opportunities in G&A than I would have guessed earlier in the year. And if we didn't really say much about this in February at the Investor Day because we've learned a lot since then.

So this will be a structured improvement program over time. It won't be a big bang. It will be maybe more of a series of actions that I think will happen over time, more aligned to the long-term growth agenda of the company more aligned to what the team can go and do. We'll evolve this in a thoughtful way so we don't disrupt the business, disrupt the momentum we're building on new product introductions and driving operational efficiency.

So this is something that we're going to continue to work on. We don't size it today. We'll give updates to investors over time. It will not be a big bang. We'll shape more next quarter. This quarter, it was $14 million next quarter. It will be in that same range, about $15 million. As we get to early next year, we'll sort of frame it up for 2026. But this is something that will happen over time.

We'll provide some updates on what we want to do. But this is all about how do you grow and accelerate our margin expansion journey beyond 25% by '27, that's not where we're going to stop. A lot of the ideas we're seeing here today are going to be important ways of both returning earnings to owners as well as reinvesting back in the business. And if anything, I'm seeing more opportunities today than we saw 6, 8 months ago when we had the Investor Day.

Great. And then maybe just back on the growth real quick. So it sounds like the upside to the top line view here I know you can't probably perfectly parse it apart, but really isn't a better macro outlook. There's a bunch of pluses and minuses in the macro, but you would point to just more traction on the new product-related actions. And maybe just as part of answering that, Bill, you made a comment about special pricing actions, limiting them -- did you get the price in Q3 you were talking about? Or you decided you didn't need it because the volumes were better. I didn't quite understand what you were going towards what that question.

So let me comment on 2 pieces. One, on just the growth in the quarter, we're really pleased at 3.2%. We had guided, if you will, to 2.5% in the back half -- we said it would be similar in Q3 and Q4. And obviously, we did quite a bit better than 2.5%. So of that 70 basis point improvement, at least 50 basis points is what we would consider to be self-help. It's both commercial excellence and NPI.

The other 20 basis points is sort of net discrete items that shifted from Q4 into Q3, as Anurag talked about in his script. But relative to the macro, look, IPI is running around 2%. We see our blended macro around 1%, so in that 1% to 2%, we're seeing 150 basis points more or less of outperformance versus the macro. And I think at least 100 basis points of that is commercial excellence and new product introduction. So I think it's very good performance on the team, doing what we said we would do over the last year, 1.5 years.

Now on pricing, just to be clear, we are achieving what we said we would do on pricing, which was generate 70 basis points of price for the year, 50 basis points in the first half, about 90 in the back half, so 70 for the year. We typically get about 50 basis points of price to offset material cost inflation that has been running around 2%, maybe a tick above that. the incremental 20 basis points is to cover a piece of the tariffs.

Keep in mind, the net tariff impact for the company is around $0.10, gross is $0.20. So that $0.10 delta split 50-50 between price actions and costs. So hopefully, that answered the question. In short, it's we're getting price almost exactly as we said we would do at the Q2 earnings release.

Our next question comes from the line of Amit Mehrotra with UBS.

Anurag on the 2026 revenue, I mean I really appreciate you kind of engaging with us this early at least on 2026. You have this long-term margin target, maybe not so long term anymore in terms of 25% by 2027. It feels like if I just take the moving parts, 3% growth, 35% incrementals. You've obviously got a net productivity piece. You get pretty close to that number in 2026, unless there's something wrong with my math. Maybe you can just help us think about those moving pieces and maybe if you can kind of pull forward that target for margins.

Sure. Thanks for the question, Amit. So the internal of that page was twofold. One was obviously to see how we are performing versus the Investor Day targets that we laid out in February of this year in the spirit of transparency and how we are performing. And second was to give a little bit more of a framework for 2026, but the formal guidance will come out in January.

So first, just as you noted, if you look at the first 9 months of our performance, it's been really good across margin expansion, EPS and even free cash flow conversion. We thought we were going to be 100% free cash flow conversion at the beginning of the Investor Day, but now we're going to be over 100%. So what we laid out at Investor Day was that we'll get to 25% by 2027.

And last year, we finished at 21.4%. So that means 360 basis points over 3 years. If you look at our guidance this year, it's about 180 to 200 basis points. So really, really good work that we've done in terms of our margin expansion, clearly, productivity across supply chain, across G&A has really been good through the first 9 months of the year. So where we sit today, we actually feel very good about the 25% target that we set out for '27. We're moving absolutely in the right direction around there. And come in January, we'll probably provide a refresh on where we stand on our 3-year targets.

So as we get into '26, Amit, I think what we are going to see is continued outperformance versus the macro what we laid out in Investor Day was $1 billion over 3 years, $100 million this year, $300 million next year and $600 million a year after a cumulative $1 billion. Just at our second half performance, you'll see that we have about $100 million for this year. And next year, we see a line of sight because of commercial excellence in PI to get there.

On the margin side, supply chain. We've done some good work this year in a couple of times, but there's still other areas in terms of the factory spend, whether we see more opportunities, we kind of drive that harder and G&A will continue. So I think overall, you will see next year again to be a strong operating performance here. And from where we sit today, we feel pretty good about where we laid out the Investor Day targets and provide more of a refresh in January.

Okay. Great. And then, Bill, I just wanted to ask a question on the divestitures. I know you talked about the 2%, 3%. But if I remember correctly, that 2%, 3% was kind of part of this 10% of the 120 profit centers, umbrella that you thought maybe would be better in the hands of other people. Are you -- do you feel like you can execute more towards that 10%? Or are we still in that 2% to 3% kind of envelope? And how do you kind of -- I know this most recent divestiture is not dilutive to earnings, as you talked about, but just curious about how you balance the divestitures or the magnitude of divestitures with maybe the EPS impact to the company.

So Amit, look, let me be really clear about this. The process is ongoing. We're going to remain disciplined. You referenced appropriately the comments we made back at the Investor Day and in several forums, since then about how we're thinking about the portfolio, we have 120 profit centers. We've analyzed them to identify those businesses, which we believe have high growth, high march potential, our technology-driven businesses that are consistent with the 3M sort of heritage and DNA, we have a strong right to win versus others that aren't.

And we concluded that about 10% of that portfolio are in more commodity areas where they may no longer be a strong fit for the company where we don't have a clear right to win in this material science, technology-driven business. We're only going to be selling businesses where there's clear value to shareowners above what it would be as value to selling it to somebody else as opposed to what we would have by running it on our own.

And certainly, we're taking into account as we think through that, the lost earnings, the stranded cost dilution that the management time and effort and focus that happens on small businesses that don't perform well. We did one in the quarter here, and it was important to get that over the line. I'll just take you back to my comments in the script, we're less than 1% of the revenue. and 7 factories. So you can imagine what the profitability of the business happens to be.

And there's other opportunities like that. We'll analyze them individually will be very smart and we'll be very disciplined about this. And this will be -- it's a process that will unfold over time. And that's the process we're embarking on to build A3M that's a higher performance higher growth, higher margin potential overall entity and not every business we're in today will be part of that journey going forward on it.

Our next question comes from the line of Steve Tusa with JPMorgan.

Just on this fourth quarter, I mean, you did the 2019. I think your implied is like less than $180 million in the fourth quarter. I mean, I know there's some seasonality there, but I don't recall that kind of drop drop.

I think you mentioned there was some discrete item pull forward into the third. But then you mentioned that backlog provides actually some pretty good coverage for the fourth. I think the 25% coverage was a positive comment, maybe it wasn't. Could you maybe just provide a little more color on why the more than seasonal drop-off from 3Q to 4Q?

Sure, Steve. Thanks for the question. It's actually quite typical between the Q3 and Q4 from a volume and margin perspective, volume is typically $250 million lower between the quarter because of mainly the consumer back-to-school in the third quarter and in the industrial side. So that's pretty typical.

We also have factory shutdowns in the fourth quarter. So there's an impact on absorption. So I would say that's pretty typical step down in Q3 and Q4. This year, clearly, there is a little bit of a step-up in investments and in tariffs between the third and the fourth quarter.

The investments we thought were going to be $175 million for the year. we're stepping it up to $185 million, most of it in the fourth quarter, pretty encouraged by what we're seeing on the revenue side and where the investment is coming through is definitely more sales force training as we are scaling up the commercial excellence, hiring more salespeople for coverage in other parts of the world are hiring engineers, as Bill noted earlier. So definitely, there's a little bit of a step up on the investment side and tariff a little bit more in the fourth quarter. So I think it's quite typical.

If you look year-over-year, which is the more appropriate comparison, we do believe that we will grow above macro again in the fourth quarter. It's going to be -- if you look at the first 20 days of the month, and from the backlog coverage, you look at orders, you look at revenue, I think we are on a pretty good trend over year, and the revenue growth will pick up, and you've got good incrementals from them. We'll continue to drive on the productivity side as well. over there.

We clearly driven quite well in the 9 months of the year. We'll do more on productivity and G&A. And all of this will more than offset the pickup in investment in tariffs, in stranded costs. And at the midpoint of the guidance, we would be 100 basis points of margin expansion.

Now if we continue to perform the way we have in terms of either higher volume like in the third quarter or more on the margin side, we could be at the higher end of the guidance range, which would imply a margin expansion of 150 basis points in the fourth quarter for us.

Okay. And then just lastly, on this $1 billion of revenue, how much did you book this year of the $1 billion, do you think?

About -- you mean the growth above macro $1 billion?

Yes.

It would be close to $100 million by the time we finished the year.

Right. So that should be like substantially more next year from a over macro perspective for the full year in '26?

SP-2 Absolutely. I mean I'll go back to what we said at Investor Day, it would be about $300 million. So a $200 million incremental step-up next year.

Yes. But you said next year is a bigger year, right, for that $1 billion like it's going to take a higher share. Okay. No, that's great.

Our next question comes from the line of Nicole DeBlase with Deutsche Bank.

Maybe just a few questions on some of the business trends you saw this quarter. So I think came in ahead of expectations. Can you talk a little bit about the drivers of that? And maybe if there was any sort of timing differential between 3Q and 4Q versus what you expected and thoughts on 4Q?

So just on the macro, we laid out a chart in the webcast about what's happening in the macro. It remains relatively soft, pretty unchanged from what we had seen 90 days ago or so. We did see a little bit softening in roofing granules. Anurag mentioned that in his prepared remarks. It's really the housing market is a little bit soft consumer spending is a little bit soft or they're not replacing roofs as much, which has definitely softened in the last 90 days.

Commercial vehicles is down. It was down -- I think it's going to be north of 20% here in the back half of the year. and that has weakened in Class V to VIII in North America from admissions, trends and tariffs and some other things that are happening there. We are seeing some better trends. I mean auto looks just slightly a bit better -- we do -- we actually were flattish in the quarter in a market that was up a little bit. Auto builds come up just a little bit year-over-year. So that's okay.

On electronics, we were up mid-single digits in the front half of the year, mid-single digits in Q3. Trends there are pretty good for us. It's about 10% of our sales looks pretty good. Last year, it was low double digits. So we're doing pretty well in the electronics segment. As you know, we provide adhesives and films, polarizer some other things into notebooks, tablets, PCs, cell phones, we've seen good penetration of the mainstream market.

We're typically a premium provider, and we're starting to see good penetration into mainstream, which is probably 80% of the market. lot of good NPI going into that -- in that business. So we're pretty pleased with the trends on electronics, and it's just a little bit better than we had thought 90 days ago, frankly.

Got it. That's really helpful. And then just from a geographic perspective, encouraging to see the acceleration in China and Europe. Any key standouts there in either region that really drove that improvement?

So U.S. was encouraging at coming up from the first half. I think first half was up 1%. Q3 was up 3.7%, almost 4%, which is pretty good. we're encouraged that Europe has accelerated a little bit. It was down in the first half about 1 point. It's up about 2 points in the quarter, which is good. China is quite interesting. You might recall, we grew about -- I think around double digits, low double digits last year.

In the first half of the year, we're up mid-single digits. Q3 was up high single digits, around 8%. So it's -- it was better than we had expected. We had expected a softening in the back half. And in fact, it accelerated a little bit in Q3, now it might weaken a little bit in Q4 but still be up. And so we're very encouraged with the trends here.

Remember, it's -- for us, it's a little 10%, 12% of the company. It's about 50-50 domestic and export. And the China exports in September were up about 8%. So China continues to be pretty resilient in lots of ways, but we've got a great team there. There's a lot of self-help that's going on. We changed our organizational model in China as well as in India. And we're seeing just better performance because we're driving operational excellence is driving commercial effectiveness, a whole lot better than we might have done in the past. So part of the growth that we're seeing in China is just, I would say, self-help along with the market, but I think a lot of it self-help.

Our next question comes from the line of Nigel Coe with Wolfe Research.

I just want to go back to sort of the point that Jeff was get into on the NPI. I think you mentioned 15% growth year-to-date from new products, Bill, and 19% in the quarter. I might have got those numbers wrong. But it does suggest that pretty much all your growth is coming from new product. Number one, is that correct?

And then secondly, is it too early to judge how the margin contribution is tracking for this NPI?

So Nigel, look, just to be clear, the numbers, we track -- what I talked about was new product sales on a 5-year basis. So going back, everything launched in the last 5 years. So some rolls on in the quarter and 5 years ago, the Q3 would have rolled off. And what we're seeing is -- because that's actually what we use that as a measure for vitality. So we measure the 5-year new product revenue as a percentage of the total revenue at points in time, we were in the high 20s, 30% vitality, maybe even a bit above that.

We started the year at about 10%. We'll end at 12%, will go to 20% by 27. That's what we watch, and we want -- that will convert into revenue each quarter that starts to build. So in the first quarter, that 5-year new product sales was up 3% in Q2 is up 15%, so for the first half, it was up 9%. In Q3, it was up 30%, which now takes year-to-date up to 16%. For the year, we'll be up high teens, and that's going to continue to build that's on a 5-year basis.

Some of that revenue is converting here in the quarter. I would say most of the outsized growth above macro in the quarter came out of commercial effectiveness, commercial efficiency, not much NPI. But again, as Anurag has pointed out before, that will build over time. So early on, we'll see more commercial excellence. And then eventually, we'll start to see NPI rolling in.

But the reality is as we launch more products, it's very clear that it's changing the discussion with our customers. Even if it's a typical replacement or there's some cannibalization, it's allowing a different conversation with the customer. We're gaining shelf space, and that's really encouraging to our customers, and we're winning business simply because we're launching more products.

Okay. That's very clear. And then Anurag, maybe on 2026. Can you maybe just give us a bit more definition on some of the margin puts and takes as it relates to the tariff roll forwards, stranded costs and then some of the productivity savings?

And then maybe a ticky one on the EPS. You talked about high single-digit growth per year planning for '26 and '27. I'm just wondering if you have confidence that that's a decent place order for '26.

Okay. Thanks, Nigel. Just on the margin hedgewinds and tailwinds for next year, it's going to be no different from what it is this year. In fact, on the volume side, as we just add a discussion, the outperformance versus macro should accelerate next year. So you should see higher volume growth, more incrementals coming -- flowing through from that next year versus this year.

On the supply chain side, we said that we'll do $1 billion of productivity over the next 3 years. We did good this year, but they'll be also finding more opportunities, which I mentioned earlier, if you look at the factory spend that we have, which is close to in logistics. So you're going to see a little bit more on the productivity side next year. G&A, we're off the blocks really well this year.

We're in fact finding more opportunities. We did some good work on IT side, on the indirect expense. And as we move into next year and the year after, we're also going to look at what does the strategy for IT mean for us. And for shared services as well as on the indirect, there's more that we can do facility management and MRO and so on. So you're going to see good tailwinds on that next year as well. So I would say, higher on the volume side, supply chain continuing and G&A continuing the way it is.

On the EPS side, we will give you more color next year. what -- as I said, the intent of that page was when we started the year for '25, we said we will be mid- to high single-digit EPS, right now at the guidance, we're going to be high -- close to double-digit EPS, 10% at the midpoint of our guidance for this year. So we're definitely off at a very strong start right now, but we'll probably give you more color on what the EPS for '26 '27 looks like next year.

Our next question comes from the line of Julian Mitchell with Barclays.

Maybe just wanted to try and understand on the margin front. I think in the sort of TE business group. Margins were fairly sort of -- it was down slightly in the third quarter, I think, despite a lot of the productivity sort of measures underway. So maybe sort of help us understand any sort of drivers within that?

And then when we're looking out over the next 12 months, is the assumption that most of the segments should see sort of similar margin expansion into next year? Or is there anything particularly moving around on mix or a calibration of investment spend?

So I'll add it really quickly here, Julian. Look, both SIBG and CBG margins were up about 200 basis points in the quarter. TEBG was down about $20 million it's a large portfolio of businesses, mix really matters in that area, but also that's the business that's going to be most impacted by PFAS stranded costs. So that was the biggest part of the headwind. And we'll talk more as we go forward as to the margin trajectory in each of the businesses, but that's really what went on here in the quarter.

And then more broadly, I suppose we'll see in the 10-Q out in a day or 2, the sort of updates on the litigation or legal front, but we've had some questions from investors around the movement in claims recently on personal injury in the last couple of months. Just wondered if you could sort of flesh out anything that you have seen there in your own tracking of that type of thing and what the next steps are on that personal injury front.

Yes. So exactly. So Julian, you're mentioning the injury claims on the personal injury, the claims on personal injury. There's really 3 broad areas that we're focusing as we try to manage risk here, and we're doing -- we're working relative to mitigate risk and manage risk as we go forward.

Certainly, the public water supplier piece is -- we settled that a couple of years ago, $12.5 billion. Very few opt-outs. We've talked before about some of the AG cases. State of New Jersey was last quarter. Vermont will happen over time. We'll see Illinois sort of in September of next year. some of within some outside of the MDL. So we continue to drive that. And you specifically mentioned about the third one, which is personal injury. There was an October trial date for the bellwether.

The judge decided to remove that date to allow unfiled cases to be filed. This is about how we want to manage the cases in the docket as we go through this piece. It's all about and now we're at how we vet some of these filed cases is happening right now. You'll note in the 10-Q that there have been more cases. It's just under 14,000 each each case has multiple claims, and we're now in the process of vetting all of that. And we'll talk to investors through SEC filings and these calls as we go forward as we learn more.

Our next question comes from the line of Andy Kaplowitz with Citigroup.

Bill, as you continue to shape your portfolio, I think you already talked about potential divestitures -- maybe can you talk about how you're thinking about getting 3M as exposed as you can, just some of the mega trends that are out there -- for instance, you cited strong demand in your electrical markets within Safety and Industrial, which I think is levered to data centers. So how are you thinking about the overall portfolio in that sense.

Well, that's exactly how we're identifying the priority verticals that we're focused on. And a good part of the company is aligned to the priority verticals. You specifically mentioned data centers. We're exposed to data centers, both inside the data center as well as outside that business for us is on the order of about $600 million, 100 inside the data center and $0.5 billion outside, which is connecting power to the data centers through terminations, through splices or a variety of other things. So that business is growing pretty well. It's probably mid-teens.

So we've got really good exposure that not as much as we would like, but certainly, it's growing over time. But that's how we came up with the thinking around the priority verticals was we aligned our technologies versus mega trends in the marketplace and capabilities of the company, and that's how we came up with a strategy we laid out back at the Investor Day in February.

Helpful. And then I think margin was the highest we've seen in quite a while in consumer -- can you talk about the puts and takes in that segment? I know you said it might be harder to get price within consumer, but are you actually getting any price versus cost in consumer? Or was it just good that you saw driving Q3 margins?

It's really good execution. It's really not pricing. It's the strategy that the CBG team has laid out to focus on priority brands, they're beyond the portfolio, SKU rationalization, their focus. They're launching a lot of new products. I mean they're up more than double year-to-date and in the quarter. So their NPI is really good.

The commercial excellence is really good. We're pushing more ad merchant to that space. So the team is performing exceptionally well. It's pure execution. And I would say 0.3% in the quarter. They've grown positively in the last 4 quarters, it's 0.3% in Q1, Q2. So it's a pretty consistent story in what I would say is a relatively weak consumer market. So purely execution, they're doing a great job.

Our next question comes from the line of Chris Snyder with Morgan Stanley.

I appreciate you squeezing me in. Maybe only one just because we're running up on time. I wanted to ask about China. First half mid-singles, Q3 high single, so accelerating. I think it's a real disconnect versus what we're seeing elsewhere from others around China. So I guess my question is, what do you see for China into Q4 and next year? And do you think there's any risk that maybe that business is running a little bit hot to the extent there's maybe an overproduction in China ahead of some of the tariff negotiation deadline windows.

So thanks for the question, Chris. Look, I'm really, really pleased with what the team is doing in China. It doesn't feel to me like it's overheating at least from our perspective. I think -- what we're seeing is a more resilient economy. But I think much more importantly is just the execution by the team. As I mentioned earlier in the call, about half of the business is going after the domestic market. there's some stimulus going into the market, but the execution of our local China team to go after and attack new opportunities is quite substantial.

And half the market is on the export side, and we continue to perform really well in that space as well. One of the key growth theme for our TEBG business in China is going after China OEMs. And to capture those opportunities, you have to innovate. You have to innovate at a pace that's consistent with the pace at which these OEMs are launching vehicles in a year or in 18 months or even less than that.

And in the quarter, we saw our ability to launch a new product offering into China to capture share with a China OEM in 10 months. So we're seeing a lot more hustle, a lot more speed more eagerness. So I'm really pleased with what's happening in China. We thought it would soften it did not. It actually accelerated we think it might soften a little bit in Q4. I don't know what's actually going to happen because the team is pushing pretty hard.

But I'm encouraged by the trends, our position there, the footprint, the team, the leadership, and I think we're doing a great job.

Our next question comes from the line of Deane Dray with RBC Capital.

I'll also keep it to 1 question. Just circling back on the divestiture and the review of potential noncore businesses. So can you talk about the timing -- is this -- is it front-loaded? Do you want to try to get it done in the next couple of quarters? Or will it be an annual review? And then related, are you restricted in any way by the courts on potentially larger exits spin-offs or is that it for spin-offs?

So on the second one, there's no restriction. And on the former one, look, we're going to be very thoughtful, very methodical. We're going to execute transactions as we're able to do it effectively driving value for owners. It's a portfolio management is not something you think about once a year or once in the strategic plan, but it's an ongoing effort.

We clearly identified a piece of the company that doesn't appear to fit, and we're executing against that while also and really importantly, building the muscle inside the company on how we execute through the basics, the fundamentals, which is the strategy we laid out in the middle of last year. It's a focus on fundamentals, operational excellence, commercial excellence innovation excellence. And that's really what we're spending a lot of our time on.

As we think about how the portfolio should move as we pivot the business into these higher-growth verticals aligned to the question came up earlier around mega trends in our priority verticals. So this is the path we're on. And again, we'll be thoughtful and very methodical.

Our next question comes from the line of Joe O'Dea with Wells Fargo.

I'll keep it to one as well. But I just wanted to circle back on commercial excellence and clearly some traction that you're seeing there. But trying to understand the time line? And if you could put it in the perspective of kind of what inning you're in, in Safety and Industrial?

And then talk about how long it's taken to get to that $100 million pipeline? Because really, what I'm trying to understand is I think your earlier days on T&E and don't know where you are on consumer, but trying to think about how repeatable what you're doing in Safety and Industrial is in these other segments and the time line to see traction there?

Joe, thank you for the question. It's a great one. We're really proud of what the team is doing in commercial excellence. We have great, great momentum here, and we did start mostly in SIBG, and within SIBG, was starting in U.S. They then went to Europe and Asia, it's the rest of world. And then Wendy and the TEBG team as a fast followers, learning from those lessons are drafting right behind them, again, starting in the U.S., then going internationally. Karina has our effort going on in CBG. It's actually building, I think, terrific momentum. It's in 3 areas, the pillars we call them.

One is commercial management. It's how we improve our processes and capacity at the front end. It's standard tools, it's improving our sales force. It's it's basic execution between our sales reps, sales manager and how they execute at the customer interface. Part of it is a second, which is channel effectiveness, is all about how we engage with the customers joint business planning. And that's what gave rise to these great ideas on cross-selling and the pipeline that we have that's over $100 million of of cross-sell opportunities, which we now have captured $30 million on an annualized basis. That number is going to be bigger than what Chris laid out at the beginning of this year at Investor Day. And we're actually seeing even opportunities to cross-sell between TEBG and SIBG and consumer. So it's actually quite good.

And the third is how we improve loyalty to reduce churn. This is a great opportunity. The best way to grow is to not lose. We are reducing our attrition that comes through better quality and better on-time and full performance. So this is gaining traction. We're clearly in our early innings and this will build over time for sure. So I'm really pleased with the progress up on our commercial effectiveness work.

Okay. Well, I think we -- I think that brings us to the end of the call. I wanted to thank again all the 3Mers for their continued drive towards excellence, improving every day. executing against our priorities and delivering value to shareholders and to customers. And thank you very much, and thank you all for joining the call today.

Ladies and gentlemen, that does conclude today's conference call. We thank you for your participation and ask that you please disconnect your lines.