Black Stone Minerals LP Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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👉 More detailed insights
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👉 Clear answers to your questions
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👉 More detailed insights
👉 Exclusive perspectives on opportunities & risks
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Is Black Stone Minerals LP a Top Scorer Stock based on the Dividend, High-Growth-Investing or Leverman Strategy?
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = $3.10b | Revenue (TTM) = $459.50m
Market Cap = $3.10b | Estimated Revenue = $464.40m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = $3.29b | Revenue (TTM) = $459.50m
Enterprise Value = $3.29b | Forward Revenue = $464.40m
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF compares a company’s enterprise value with its free cash flow. The metric therefore shows the multiple of current free cash flow at which a company is valued. EV/FCF ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted version.
🧮 How is it calculated?
EV/FCF ex SBC = Enterprise Value ÷ (Free Cash Flow (TTM) − SBC)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV/FCF provides a valuation based on free cash flow and therefore complements earnings-based valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and provides a more conservative view from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF means that enterprise value is low relative to current free cash flow. The reasons should always be considered in the context of the company and its industry.
- A high EV/FCF means that enterprise value is high relative to current free cash flow. This can, for example, reflect high growth expectations or temporarily weak cash generation.
- When SBC is positive and adjusted free cash flow remains positive, EV/FCF ex SBC is generally higher than the standard EV/FCF.
- The metric is particularly useful for companies with relatively stable and predictable cash flows.
- If free cash flow is negative or very low, EV/FCF has limited usefulness and should not be interpreted like a standard valuation multiple.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow shows how much cash remains after a company has covered its operating and capital expenditures. FCF ex SBC additionally deducts stock-based compensation (SBC) to adjust the cash flow for the effect of non-cash SBC.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow ex SBC = Operating Cash Flow − SBC − Capital Expenditures (CAPEX)
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s actual financial strength – independent of reported accounting earnings. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction. FCF ex SBC also deducts stock-based compensation and shows how much cash generation remains after SBC.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow indicates that a company has strong financial strength – independent of reported earnings.
- It is often a solid basis for sustainable dividends and share buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be a warning sign, even if reported earnings remain stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net Margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free Cash Flow Margin | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how much free cash flow a company generates relative to its revenue. In simplified terms, free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted metric.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC = (Free Cash Flow − SBC) ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how efficiently a company converts its revenue into free cash flow. Strong free cash flow can provide financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or further investments. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and therefore provides a more conservative view of cash generation from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high Free Cash Flow Margin shows that a company converts a high proportion of its revenue into free cash flow.
- This can provide greater financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or investments.
- The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for potential shareholder dilution from stock-based compensation.
- The long-term trend is particularly important. Declining margins can, for example, result from higher investments, changes in working capital, or weaker operating performance.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 SBC | in % Revenue
📈 What is it?
SBC (Stock-Based Compensation) refers to equity-based compensation granted by a company to its employees and executives. The percentage shows SBC relative to revenue.
🧮 How is it calculated?
SBC as % of Revenue = (SBC ÷ Revenue) × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Stock-based compensation is a real cost factor for shareholders. It can increase the number of shares outstanding and therefore dilute existing shareholders. The percentage of revenue shows how heavily a company relies on equity-based compensation and how significant this form of compensation is relative to the size of the business.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A lower figure is generally positive: Stock-based compensation is relatively small compared with the company's revenue.
- A high figure can indicate greater reliance on stock-based compensation and a higher potential risk of dilution. However, it is also important to consider whether the company offsets dilution through share buybacks.
- The trend over time should also be considered. A high but declining percentage presents a different picture from a persistently high or increasing percentage.
- A single-digit SBC-to-revenue ratio is not unusual among many growth-oriented and technology companies.
📘 SBC as % of FCF
📈 What is it?
SBC (Stock-Based Compensation) refers to equity-based compensation granted by a company to its employees and executives. The percentage shows SBC relative to free cash flow (FCF).
🧮 How is it calculated?
SBC as % of FCF = (SBC ÷ Free Cash Flow) × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Stock-based compensation is a real cost factor for shareholders. It can increase the number of shares outstanding and therefore dilute existing shareholders. The percentage of free cash flow shows how significant SBC is relative to the cash generated by the company. Since SBC is non-cash compensation, it is typically not deducted as a cash outflow when calculating FCF.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A lower value is generally favorable. Stock-based compensation is relatively small compared with the company's cash generation.
- A high value means that SBC represents a significant portion of the company's reported free cash flow, even though SBC itself is non-cash.
- The higher the value, the more significant SBC can be as an economic cost to shareholders, particularly when it results in share dilution.
📘 SBC Growth 1Y
📈 What is it?
SBC Growth 1Y shows how much a company's stock-based compensation has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
SBC Growth shows whether stock-based compensation is becoming more or less significant for shareholders. If SBC increases significantly, it can lead to greater shareholder dilution over time. At the same time, SBC is a non-cash expense that reduces earnings on the income statement but is added back in the cash flow statement.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high positive value is generally negative, as rising SBC can increase the burden on shareholders, particularly through potential dilution.
- What matters is whether the development of SBC is sustainable over the long term. Some level of SBC is common among many growth and technology companies.
📘 Share Count Growth 1Y
📈 What is it?
Share Count Growth 1Y shows how much the number of shares outstanding has increased or decreased over a one-year period.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The number of shares determines how many shares the company's earnings and assets are distributed across. If the share count decreases, existing shareholders' relative ownership increases. If it increases, existing shareholders are diluted. The metric therefore makes dilution and share buybacks directly visible.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A negative value is generally positive, as the number of shares outstanding is decreasing.
- A positive value indicates dilution of existing shareholders.
- A declining share count is not automatically positive: It also matters at what price the shares are repurchased and how the buybacks are financed.
📘 Shareholder Yield
📈 What is it?
Shareholder Yield measures how much capital a company returns to shareholders or uses to reduce debt relative to its market capitalization. It goes beyond dividend yield by also including share buybacks and debt reduction.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Dividend yield only tells part of the story. Companies can also return capital through share buybacks, while reducing debt can strengthen the balance sheet. Shareholder Yield combines all three components into one metric, giving investors a broader view of how a company uses its capital.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A higher Shareholder Yield generally indicates more capital being returned to shareholders or used to reduce debt.
- The mix matters: dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction can affect shareholders in different ways.
- Share buybacks are most beneficial when shares are repurchased at attractive valuations.
- Investors should also consider whether dividends, buybacks, and debt reduction are sustainable over time.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Revenue per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Black Stone Minerals LP Stock Analysis
Analyst Opinions
8 Analysts have issued a Black Stone Minerals LP forecast:
Analyst Opinions
8 Analysts have issued a Black Stone Minerals LP forecast:
Black Stone Minerals LP Events
Past Events
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AUG
4
Q2 2026 Earnings Call
about 2 months ago
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MAY
5
Q1 2026 Earnings Call
5 months ago
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FEB
24
Q4 2025 Earnings Call
7 months ago
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NOV
4
Q3 2025 Earnings Call
11 months ago
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SEP
17
Shareholder/Analyst Call - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
about one year ago
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StocksGuide Free
Black Stone Minerals LP — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to the Black Stone Minerals Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand the conference over to Natalie Liddell, Vice President, Corporate Planning. Natalie, please go ahead.
Good morning. Thank you for joining us either by phone or online for Black Stone Minerals Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded and will be available on our website along with the earnings release, which was issued last night. Before we start, I'd like to advise you that we will be making forward-looking statements during this call about our plans, expectations and assumptions regarding our future performance. These statements involve risks that may cause our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements. For a discussion of these risks, you should refer to the cautionary information about forward-looking statements in our press release from yesterday and the Risk Factors section of our 2025 10-K.
We may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. Reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and other information about these non-GAAP metrics are described in our earnings press release from yesterday, which can be found on our website at www.blackstoneminerals.com. Joining me on the call from the company are Taylor DeWalch, Co-CEO and President; Fowler Carter, Co-CEO and President; Steve Putman, Senior Vice President and General Counsel; and Chris Bonner, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. I'll now turn the call over to Taylor.
Thanks, Natalie. Good morning, and thank you for joining us. We made meaningful progress during the second quarter as we continue to execute our differentiated strategy. We advanced development activity across our Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion position, remained active with mineral acquisitions and continued creating value across our broader portfolio through leasing, marketing and asset management efforts. We also announced a 7% increase in our quarterly distribution, reflecting the strength of our business and our commitment to delivering sustainable returns to unitholders.
More broadly, activity across our core areas is moving in the right direction. Adamas continues to execute on its development program. Revenant progressed activity during the quarter, and Caturus has now begun operations on acreage covered by its agreement. We also see increasing operator activity throughout the Haynesville. At the same time, strong oil production from the Permian and Bakken, coupled with higher oil pricing contributed meaningfully to our results during the quarter and further highlights the benefit of Black Stone's diversified portfolio.
As we've stated previously, we believe 2026 represents an important inflection point for the partnership. While production dipped from the first quarter, we are encouraged by the activity underway across our acreage and remain focused on converting that activity into sustainable production, cash flow and long-term value creation for our unitholders. With that, I'll turn it over to Fowler to discuss our commercial and operational activity.
Thanks, Taylor. We continue to make progress across our commercial initiatives during the second quarter while further strengthening our position in the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion area. Our acquisition program remained active with about $40 million of mineral and royalty acquisitions completed during the quarter. Since launching our acquisition program nearly 3 years ago, we have deployed almost $300 million, primarily focused on acreage within or adjacent to our core development areas.
We continue to see opportunities that complement our existing position and increase our exposure to future development activity. Beyond acquisitions, our leasing and asset management efforts generated meaningful value during the first half of the year. Strong leasing activity produced approximately $13 million of lease bonus and other income, significantly exceeding our expectations at the start of this year. We also benefited from an initiative launched late last year to review deduct-free lease provisions, resulting in approximately $6.5 million of refunds collected to date.
These efforts highlight the value of actively managing our mineral and royalty portfolio. As Taylor mentioned earlier, development across our Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion position continued to advance during the quarter. Adamas operated two rigs on our acreage at quarter end and turned four wells to sales in July. We expect another eight wells to come online during the remainder of 2026, and Adamas plans to drill 17 wells under the new program year that began in July.
Revenant continued its development program during the quarter and spud two additional wells despite a reduction in its first year drilling commitment following the previously disclosed well control incident. Activity is also beginning to emerge under our agreement with Caturus, which currently has a pilot well underway in Cherokee County and expects to commence development drilling during the second half of 2026.
In addition, we continue to have fruitful discussions with a prospective operator regarding a new development that could further expand our contracted development footprint across the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion area. On a broader basis, activity across the Haynesville increased during the quarter. We continue to see operators evaluating and pursuing opportunities throughout the play and the number of active rigs on our Haynesville and Shelby Trough acreage increased significantly during the quarter. We remain encouraged by the level of industry interest across our acreage footprint and the opportunities we see to further expand development activity over time.
Strong results from Expand's Bobby Yancey well in Houston County and drilling activity in Anderson County further support our subsurface thesis of the connection between the Shelby Trough and Western Haynesville and reinforce the long-term development potential of our Haynesville expansion acreage. Outside of the Shelby Trough, Blue Arrow continues to advance development in the Southern Delaware Basin. Three wells were turned to sales during the quarter with the remaining 22 wells in the program expected online during the second half of 2026 and into 2027.
We also saw strong contributions from our Permian and Bakken acreage during the quarter, benefiting from solid production and higher oil prices. Overall, we are pleased with the progress across our commercial initiatives and believe the activity we are seeing today continues to support our longer-term production growth outlook. With that, I'll turn it over to Chris to cover the financial results.
Thanks, Taylor, and good morning. Mineral royalty production during the quarter averaged 32.5 MBoe per day, while total production averaged 33.5 MBoe per day. Production declined from the first quarter, primarily due to lower natural gas mineral and royalty volumes in the Haynesville. As Taylor mentioned, production trends do not always move in a straight line as development activity progresses and wells come online at different points throughout the year, and we remain confident in the overall trajectory of the business towards growing production and distributions.
Commodity prices remained supportive during the quarter, particularly for oil. Our average realized price, excluding the impact of derivative settlements, increased 7% from last quarter to $37.82 per Boe. Higher oil pricing and production helped offset the impact of lower gas volumes and contributed to strong cash flow generation during the period. As a result, net income for the quarter was approximately $106 million, adjusted EBITDA totaled $91 million and distributable cash flow was $80 million. Oil and condensate accounted for 65% of our oil and gas revenues.
As previously announced, we declared a distribution of $0.32 per unit for the quarter or $1.28 on an annualized basis. Strong production from our oil-weighted assets and improved commodity pricing supported our results, allowing us to increase the distribution while maintaining 1.18x coverage for the quarter. This balanced approach supports both continued investment in accretive growth opportunities and our goal of delivering sustainable distribution growth over time.
As Taylor and Fowler discussed, we continue to see encouraging results across our core acreage from development programs in the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion area to opportunities across the broader portfolio. We believe our diversified asset base, disciplined commercial strategy, growing development footprint and strategic position near Gulf Coast demand centers support our ability to deliver sustainable long-term value for unitholders. With that, we'll open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Tim Rezvan with KeyBanc.
2. Question Answer
This is Jon on for Tim. So we were surprised to see the distribution increase this quarter, but you showed you had a lot of coverage on that $0.32 distribution. Just given Black Stone's tradition of trying to maintain a fixed distribution, what's driving your confidence in being able to fund that bigger payout going forward? Is it visibility on stronger oil volumes that we saw? Is it your outlook on gas activity ramping? Or is it something else?
Jon, this is Taylor. Yes, I think you hit the nail on the head. I think it's a little bit of all of the above. Certainly, I think that -- we do try to increase distributions when we have confidence that we're going to be able to maintain that distribution, and that's where we sit today. When we look out to the forecast, we're certainly excited about the kind of coming ramp in production that we've alluded to via our development agreements as long as the strong results to date this year from our oil assets. So I'd say it's a little bit of both and certainly have confidence in the 7% increase this quarter.
Okay. Just to tail off that, and you discussed this a little in your prepared remarks. Can you just give an update on where you stand with any future Haynesville agreements? Are you -- you sound like you're looking to formally bring in any other operators as Adamas, Revenant and Caturus are kind of in the steady state?
Yes, I'll just touch on that real quickly. I mean we've talked about in the past that we're marketing some additional acreage that we're excited about in the Shelby Trough continuing to expand on the success we've had to date with operators. That marketing has gone really well, and we're getting close to being able to disclose more information as it relates to formally signing up another agreement with another Haynesville operator.
Okay. That's great. And sorry, if I could just sneak one more in. Just on leverage, it's inched up from 0 in 2024 to a little bit over half a turn now with $300 million of preferred still on the balance sheet. Just looking at the next window to address the preferreds coming in a little over a year. How are you thinking about the capital structure longer term, just given the payments on those preferreds?
Sure. And maybe more broadly, just thinking about how we allocate our capital, we've certainly been spending most of our time and resources thinking about the expanding Shelby Trough, and we're excited about our bolt-on acquisition program that we've been executing on for a while now. So we still look at it as we've got a peer-leading leverage that's a place that we'd like to be. As we look out to the future, certainly taking into consideration the agreement that we have with Apollo right now on the preferred. But as we get into the next open window, we're certainly continuing to evaluate kind of uses of our capital and how the preferred fits into that.
And I would just add that we're continuing to advance our acquisition program in the Shelby Trough. So that's where we've been using our debt recently. And as that progresses and we look into next year, we'll evaluate our options with the preferred and what makes the most sense.
[Operator Instructions] Your next question comes from the line of John Annis with Texas Capital.
For my first one maybe starting with production. Can you walk us through the drivers of the stronger-than-expected oil volumes and the decline in Haynesville gas volumes during the quarter? And how you're thinking about the production trajectory carrying into the second half?
Yes, I can start with that. So looking at the oil production, we have seen some price-driven activity, particularly operators turning DUCs to sales. And so we certainly have benefited from that. On the gas side, our gas has -- we have some higher interest positions within the Shelby Trough. And so depending on the timing of when some of those wells come on, that makes our production a bit lumpy. We've also just seen variability in activity. But with the recent increase in rig counts on us, we are confident that, that activity is going to turn into higher production. And then as our development programs advance under our contracted agreements. We're also encouraged by our medium- to long-term outlook on gas there.
Yes. I might just add -- thanks, Chris. I might just add in too, John, that when you look at our portfolio, it's great to be in a place where we've got the diversity of oil and gas assets. And I think we've seen that play into the first part of this year and the strong results and also the significant leasing that's been going on across the Permian, the Bakken and elsewhere. I mean one place to really be thinking about it is the Woodford Barnett as that's getting more attention. We've certainly seen more leasing there on us.
And I think as we're really driving a lot of resource expansion in the Haynesville and certainly spending a lot of time focusing on development agreements there. It's worth noting that we're participating in resource expansion in some of the other plays. And I think that's benefiting us in leasing dollars today, but ultimately, production and activity down the line.
I appreciate all that color. Maybe for my follow-up, we've seen a significant increase in activity across your 3 County Shelby Trough area, which I think stands at roughly 19 rigs today. What do you think is driving that acceleration despite the softer gas type? And how much of that activity reflects operators maybe delineating acreage today to support future development commitments?
Yes, John, good question. I mean I think it's a little bit of both. I think there are some operators that are certainly seeing some nice returns in the current environment as well as the incentives to delineate and certainly stick to their commitments under our development agreements. So we've seen the same. I think there's clearly an industry pull towards the Shelby Trough as inventory is dwindling in the legacy Haynesville, and I think that's a dynamic we're going to continue to see.
Certainly, we're excited about the trajectory of the activity and where that puts us kind of as we go over the next couple of years, but really into '29 and '30 as the industry is looking for natural gas inventory to supply the coming wave of demand. And we think we're really well positioned for that where our assets sit in proximity to the Gulf Coast, of course, as well as increasing power demand.
So I do think there's just a continued increase of activity towards the Shelby Trough and the expanding Haynesville, and our acreage is really well positioned to grab that market share and take advantage of it.
We have reached the end of our question-and-answer session. I will now turn the call back to Taylor for closing remarks.
Thanks, everybody, for joining us this morning. As we've talked about, we're really excited to continue our solid execution of our differentiated strategy across our diverse portfolio. We continue to really stay confident in our trajectory and trying to return as much value to our unitholders as we can. So we look forward to speaking with all of you again next quarter. Thanks.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
Black Stone Minerals LP — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Black Stone raised its quarterly distribution 7% while citing advancing Shelby Trough/Haynesville development and a near-term production ramp later in 2026.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Production: Mineral royalty 32.5 MBoe/d, total 33.5 MBoe/d; production declined vs Q1 as Haynesville gas volumes fell.
- Realized Price: $37.82/BoE (ex-derivatives), up ~7% QoQ, oil/condensate ~65% of oil & gas revenue.
- Profit: Net income ~ $106M for the quarter.
- Cash Flow: Adjusted EBITDA $91M; Distributable Cash Flow $80M.
- Distribution: Declared $0.32/unit ($1.28 annualized) with 1.18x coverage.
🎯 What Management Says
- Core focus: Prioritizing Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion acreage to capture long-term gas demand near Gulf Coast demand centers.
- Active portfolio work: ~$40M of mineral/royalty acquisitions in Q2 and ~$300M deployed since program launch; leasing and lease-review initiatives drove ~$13M lease income plus $6.5M refunds.
- Operator programs: Adamas, Revenant and Caturus progressing—Adamas running rigs and turning wells to sales; expecting more wells online through H2 2026.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Wells/timing: Adamas turned four wells in July, expects eight more online in 2026 and plans 17 new wells in the program year; Revenant and Caturus activity to add more volumes in H2.
- Distribution outlook: Management raised the distribution and cited confidence in maintaining it based on oil strength and anticipated gas ramp; current coverage 1.18x.
- Risks/capital: Production is lumpy by timing; ~$300M preferred remains on the balance sheet and leverage has risen to a bit over 0.5x, with management evaluating refinance/use options next window.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Distribution sustainability: Management pointed to stronger oil volumes, expected Haynesville ramp and contracted development activity as the basis for confidence in the payout increase.
- New Haynesville deals: Marketing of additional Shelby Trough acreage is progressing well; company said it is close to formally signing another operator agreement.
- Capital structure: Analysts probed preferreds and modestly higher leverage; management said recent debt funded bolt-on acquisitions and they will evaluate options before the next capital window.
⚡ Bottom Line
Execution is advancing: Black Stone is converting acreage exposure into near-term wells, generated strong cash flow from oil-weighted assets, and raised distributions while keeping modest coverage. Main watch items are timing/lumpiness of gas production and the plan for the $300M preferred as leverage increases.
Black Stone Minerals LP — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Hello, everyone. Thank you for joining us, and welcome to Blackstone Minerals First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] I will now hand the conference over to Natalie Liddell, Vice President, Corporate Planning. Natalie, please go ahead.
Thank you. Good morning to everyone. Thank you for joining us for Blackstone Minerals first quarter 2026 earnings conference call. Today's call is being recorded and will be available on our website along with the earnings release, which was issued last night. Before we start, I'd like to advise you that we will be making forward-looking statements during this call about our plans, expectations and assumptions regarding our future performance. These statements involve risks that may cause our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements. For a discussion of these risks, you should refer to the cautionary information about forward-looking statements in our press release from yesterday and the Risk Factors section of our 2025 10-K.
We may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. Reconciliation of these measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and other information about these non-GAAP metrics are described in our earnings press release from yesterday, which can be found on our website at www.blackstoneminerals.com. Joining me on the call from the company are Tom Carter, Executive Chairman; Taylor DeWalch, Co-CEO and President; Fowler Carter, Co-CEO and President; Steve Putman, Senior Vice President and General Counsel; and Chris Bonner, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer. I'll now turn the call over to Taylor.
Thanks, Natalie. Good morning, everybody, and thank you for joining us. As detailed in our earnings release last night, we delivered a strong first quarter, highlighted by higher production across our mineral position. Outperformance was driven by increased natural gas activity in the Louisiana Haynesville and Shelby Trough, along with strong oil production in the Permian. Looking ahead, we view 2026 as a year of production growth compared to 2025 as development across our core areas continues to ramp, and we maintain our production guidance outlined in February. Our multiple development agreements in the Haynesville and Bossier expansion play are progressing well, and we remain positioned for meaningful production growth over time.
We are seeing continued delineation and also increased activity across the broader Shelby Trough, which reinforces confidence in our long-term inventory profile and growth outlook. This outlook is bolstered by our constructive view on the long-term natural gas backdrop. We are witnessing the industry react to the structural demand growth, which is supported by accelerating LNG export growth, increasing power demand, including data center-driven load growth and continued strength in U.S. industrial activity. These demand drivers continue to highlight the Gulf Coast as a key market for natural gas, where we maintain a significant acreage position and development agreements with direct proximity to premium demand centers. Additionally, we continue to closely monitor the potential long-term implications of supply disruptions in the Middle East and how that could add incremental demand for secure U.S. molecules.
We believe each of these drivers, coupled with premier natural gas assets in close proximity to the Gulf Coast and infrastructure projects to transport those molecules positions us well to benefit from the structural demand over time and provide significant value to our unitholders. With that, I'll turn it over to Power to walk through additional details on the commercial front.
Thanks, Taylor. Well, it was a great quarter, and we executed across our commercial initiatives, building on the momentum established last year, including continued activity under our Haynesville expansion acquisition program. During the quarter, we acquired an additional $12 million of mineral and royalty acreage. This brings total development -- excuse me, total deployment under the program since its inception in '23 to more than $250 million, further strengthening our positioning across the Haynesville and expanding Shelby Trough area. Operators under our development agreements in the Shelby Trough continued to advance multiple programs during the period. Adamas spud 4 wells during the quarter and turned online 7 wells. This included the Congo wells in Southern San Augustin County, which continued to push the historical extent of the Shelby Trough and delivered strong initial results, reaching 30 MMcf per day.
Additionally, [ Catalyze ] is preparing for their initial activity to begin in June with a pilot hole and several commitment wells. Revenant also spud 2 wells during the quarter. And as mentioned in the press release last night, one of those wells experienced a loss of well control incident. We are assessing the potential impact on their first year development program. More broadly, we have continued to see an increase inactivity within the legacy Shelby Trough area and the emerging Haynesville/Bossier expansion resource play, connecting the Shelby Trough to the Western Haynesville.
Currently, there are 13 active rigs across Angelina, Nacogdoches and San Augustine counties under Adamas, Apex, ExCo and Rockliff. Expand is also actively drilling in the Southern Anderson County area, while Comstock continues drilling throughout the Western Haynesville. Across the broader portfolio, we also saw strong leasing activity and remain encouraged by continued interest in the Permian. Building on that activity, we progressed the opportunity highlighted last quarter in our Shelby Trough expansion area, which includes another approximately 300,000 gross mineral acres. We are currently marketing this project to experienced Haynesville operators to secure an additional development agreement, which we believe would be comparable in scale to our other programs and provide meaningful incremental production growth over time. With that, I will turn the call over to Chris to cover the financial results.
Thanks, Fowler, and good morning. As highlighted earlier, we saw strong production in the first quarter with mineral and royalty production of 35.9 MBoe per day, which is up 16% from the prior quarter. Total production was 37.0 MBoe per day. The period was also marked by significant commodity price volatility. Natural gas pricing was impacted by extreme weather-driven swings, including Winter Storm Fern, which created regional pricing dislocations and temporarily pressured our realizations relative to Henry Hub in February before conditions moderated in March. Oil pricing meanwhile reflected broader geopolitical developments that intensified later in the quarter to remain ongoing. As we navigate this environment, we are actively managing our hedge position as part of our broader risk management approach and monitoring pricing and operator activity across the portfolio.
Turning to the quarter's financial results. Net income was $13.3 million for the quarter with adjusted EBITDA of $87 million. 54% of our oil and gas revenue in the quarter came from natural gas and natural gas liquids. As previously announced, we declared a distribution of $0.30 for the quarter or $1.20 on an annualized basis. Distributable cash flow for the quarter was $76.5 million, which represents 1.2x coverage for the period. In the first quarter, we continued to execute across the business, positioning the partnership well for the balance of 2026 and remain confident that our diversified portfolio across multiple basins, together with our commercial strategy and the extended Shelby Trough supports our ability to deliver sustainable long-term value for unitholders. With that, we'll open it up for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question comes from the line of Tim Rezvan with KeyBanc Capital Markets.
2. Question Answer
For my first question, I was hoping you could provide maybe a little more context on what exactly the outcome is with the loss of well control incident from one of a resident's wells. Does that well, you get like abandoned? Or is there still a hope of salvaging it? And then when you talked about assessing the potential impact, can you talk about what that means? Does that mean some sort of like deferral or delay? Just any more context would be helpful.
Tim, this is Fowler. I'll tackle that. Right now, it just happened. So the truth is we don't know. There is an investigation currently ongoing. Right now, I'd say there is potential for going back into that well and there may be potential for not going back into that well. We just don't know yet. It is too early to tell. And that's really it, man. I'm really sorry, I can't give you more color. But as we get information back, we will be updating folks.
Okay. Okay. I guess we'll stay tuned on that. And then as a follow-up, you had a very strong start to the year on the production front, and you laid out a pretty granular kind of cadence for your partnerships and their activity. So I know you're not a company that adjust guidance on a quarterly basis and you sort of reiterated it. But can you give us a little more color on maybe what the shape of 2026 production will look like? This is revenue potentially temper your enthusiasm on the outlook? I'm just trying to get a little more color on that.
Sorry. I wouldn't say our enthusiasm is tempered in any way, shape or form. But again, since this just happened, we are actively discussing these things and what that profile will look like this year. And as you said, Tim, we don't adjust guidance quarter-to-quarter, but we will get back to you once we have something firmly in place and can understand the situation more clearly. Without putting anything of real substance out there, it might be a bit of a speed bump. But over, I'm going to say, a 2-year period, you won't see any difference.
Yes. Tim, this is Taylor. I'll just add to that a little bit. I think when we look back at our original guidance, which contemplated quite a bit of production growth kind of throughout the year, even if it was flat compared to 2025, certainly, starting out the year with a pretty nice production number helps. And as we think about the rest of the year, I would go back to kind of what we thought from just a production growth standpoint, given we're getting these development programs off the ground and excited about what that means for production, especially as it looks to the end of 2026 and going into 2027. I think the other piece of the equation that we're really trying to understand right now is kind of operators' reaction to pricing right now with kind of geopolitical events going on in the commodity strip. So I think more to come on that. Certainly, trying to guide within a pretty volatile environment can be difficult, but we're excited about where we think we're headed for the rest of the year.
[Operator Instructions] Our next question comes from the line of Derrick Whitfield with Texas Capital.
With the change in ownership at Aethon and now Adamas Energy, could you speak to what changes, if any, you're seeing in behavior around the desire to grow?
Derrick, this is Taylor. I'll jump in first and just say, I think that given our contractual commitments there, we certainly have at least some expectations on their cadence of operations and excited about them continue to move forward in developing the area. I think to be determined on excess growth beyond the commitments, that's a conversation we're having, and we'll continue to kind of update as that becomes available. But overall, excited about the transaction and the team and continuing to move forward with our contract.
Great. And then with respect to the well control incident, and it feels like the market today is treating this as an issue that impacts a swap of your acreage. As I understand this is more isolated in nature, is that a fair characterization?
Yes. Yes. Thanks, Derek. What I would say is when you look at that area and where the well is, it's fully surrounded by development by the likes of Adamas, ExCo and historically others. So I think that the area is pretty well delineated from a subsurface standpoint. And we certainly look forward to kind of further development in that overall area.
Great. And maybe just one last, if I could. So as you guys think about the broader expansion from Shelby Trough to Western Haynesville, could you speak to midstream egress for this region and if it's adequate to meet the needs of where you think growth is headed?
Good question. There's certainly plenty of -- there's quite a bit of infrastructure out there. But as you think about the area growing by potentially several more gross Bcf a day over the coming years, there's a number of other midstream projects that I think are in the queue and probably more to come on exactly what those projects look like. But I'd say there's existing plus additional infrastructure kind of underway.
There are no further questions at this time. I will now turn the call back to Taylor for closing remarks.
Thanks so much. Once again, thanks, everybody, for joining us this morning. It was a great quarter and look forward to the rest of 2026. Talk to you all again soon. Thanks.
This concludes today's call. Thank you for attending. You may now disconnect.
Black Stone Minerals LP — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Q1 2026 shows solid production growth driven by gas-rich wells and ongoing development; guidance remains intact.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Production: Mineral & royalty 35.9 MBoe/d; total production 37.0 MBoe/d (up 16% QoQ).
- Adjusted EBITDA: $87M.
- Net income: $13.3M.
- Distributable cash flow: $76.5M (1.2x coverage).
- Dividend: $0.30/quarter ($1.20 annualized).
🎯 What Management Says
- Growth trajectory: 2026 viewed as a year of production growth as core-area development ramps; guidance unchanged from February.
- Development progress: Haynesville and Bossier expansion programs advancing; Shelby Trough expansion adds meaningful long‑term upside.
- Demand backdrop: Long‑term natural gas demand supported by LNG exports, Gulf Coast demand, and industrial activity, underpinning value for unitholders.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Guidance: Maintains February guidance; production growth expected through 2026; no quarterly adjustments planned.
- Near-term risk: Loss‑of‑well‑control incident under investigation; potential near-term speed bump but no material change to multi‑year plan anticipated.
- Macro tailwinds: LNG export growth and Gulf Coast infrastructure support long‑term value realization.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Well-control incident: Ongoing investigation; outcome unknown and could range from re-entry to abandonment; updates forthcoming.
- 2026 production trajectory: Guidance reaffirmed; color on the year will come as development programs progress and pricing remains volatile.
- Midstream capacity: Infrastructure exists with additional projects in queue to support Shelby Haynesville expansion; management cited ample egress potential.
⚡ Bottom Line
The quarter reinforces a constructive 2026 production story with a steady dividend and a gas‑heavy, Gulf Coast‑adjacent asset mix. While the well‑control incident adds near‑term uncertainty, management does not expect a material change to the longer‑term growth path driven by Haynesville/Bossier and Shelby Trough expansions and rising LNG‑related demand.
Black Stone Minerals LP — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by, and welcome to the Black Stone Minerals Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
I'd now like to turn the call over to Natalie Liddell, Vice President, Corporate Planning.
You may begin.
Thank you. Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining us for the Black Stone Minerals Fourth Quarter and Full Year 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded and will be available on our website along with the earnings release, which was issued last night.
Before we start, I'd like to advise you that we will be making forward-looking statements during this call about our plans, expectations and assumptions regarding our future performance. These statements involve risks that may cause our forward-looking -- our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements. For a discussion of these risks, you should refer to the cautionary information about forward-looking statements in our press release from yesterday and the Risk Factors section in our 2025 10-K. We may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. Reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and other information about these non-GAAP metrics are described in our earnings press release from yesterday, which can be found on our website at www.blackstoneminerals.com.
Joining me on the call from the company are Tom Carter, Executive Chairman; Taylor DeWalch, Co-CEO and President; Fowler Carter, Co-CEO and President; Steve Putman, Senior Vice President and General Counsel; Chris Bonner, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer.
I'll now turn the call over to Fowler.
Thank you, Natalie. Good morning, everyone, and thank you for joining us on our fourth quarter earnings call. If you look at our earnings release from last night, you'll see that we had a great 2025 despite headwinds from production and oil prices. During the year, we achieved significant commercial milestones that will benefit our future production for years to come. We successfully signed development agreements with Revenant Energy and Caturus Energy. These deals place approximately 500,000 gross acres into development with minimum drilling commitments ramping up to 37 gross wells per year by 2031 from those programs and including Aethon, a total of 50 gross wells over the same period. Aethon also recently brought several new wells online in the Shelby Trough at about 25 to 30 MMcf a day with another 5 wells expected to come online in the first quarter.
An additional 18 wells are expected to be drilled throughout 2026. Also in 2026, we expect that Revenant will spud more than its minimum 6-well commitment and Caturus plans to drill its initial wells, including a pilot well. We are also seeing increased activity from others in the Shelby Trough as the industry moves towards available inventory to meet the growing natural gas demand. In addition to these developments, we are building another new opportunity in our Haynesville expansion area that we believe will add significant inventory and scale to the current development. Based on existing subsurface analysis, we believe we can continue to expand the Shelby Trough and Haynesville Basin towards the Western Haynesville.
With our continued focus of increasing production from existing assets and driving long-term value for our unitholders, we have also entered into an LOI with a reputable operator with experience in the Haynesville on a meaningful amount of acreage in the Gulf Coast region outside of our recent focus areas. Our acquisition program remains on track as well. Since launching the program in '23, we've invested about $240 million to add accretive mineral and royalty acreage across the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion area. We remain confident that the combination of these commercial initiatives will lead to significant growth and value for our unitholders.
With that, I will hand the call over to Taylor.
Thanks, Fowler. Good morning, everyone. Adding on to Fowler's commentary, we're excited about the increased activity and the ramp in production that we expect throughout 2026. We ended 2025 and begin 2026 at about [ 32,000 BOE ] per day, but we see that materially growing throughout 2026. So while production guidance is roughly flat year-over-year, we see solid growth from fourth quarter 2025 to fourth quarter 2026. Our fall investor presentation showed that 2026 is anticipated to be just the beginning of new activity in the Shelby Trough. We expect significant increases in natural gas production and distributions for BSM unitholders over the coming years. Because we have one substantial industry-leading inventory on our acreage in the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion and two, advantageous proximity to the Gulf Coast and key demand centers, we are optimistic about the long-term growth for our unitholders.
The team has done a phenomenal job the last several years delineating and marketing the Haynesville expansion area and securing the development agreements. We are now preparing to manage the growth in activity through these development agreements with our operating partners. As noted in our release last night, we are strategically increasing G&A in 2026 to support this increase in activity. We remain focused on disciplined capital management and our comprehensive commercial strategy, including grassroots acquisitions, high interest development agreements, new development opportunities and proactive asset management across all basins. Those efforts support our goal of delivering near-term and long-term value for Black Stone's unitholders.
With that, I'll handle the call over to Chris to walk through the financial details for the quarter and full year.
Thanks, Taylor, and good morning, everyone. In the fourth quarter, mineral and royalty production was [ 30,900 ] BOE per day, a decrease of 11% from the prior quarter. Total production for the quarter was [ 32,100 ] BOE per day, and we completed the year at the high end of the updated guidance. As discussed in the release last night, our updated guidance last year reflected lower natural gas directed drilling activity and volume levels in the Shelby Trough over the last couple of years. We expect 2026 to be a turning point with new and increased development in the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion areas, along with high interest projects in the Permian Basin and ongoing development across our broader assets. We continue to monitor increasing activity levels in the Haynesville and commodity price dynamics as we look towards 2026 production and distribution.
The partnership is also in the process of shooting two substantial 3D seismic surveys in the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion area, covering about 360,000 gross acres. While initiating and funding these surveys is not typical for Black Stone, we believe it allows us to control the timing, pace and focus of the data, highlighting our minerals and supporting their development under our contracted agreements. Most of the remaining costs for these surveys are expected to be incurred in 2026 with completion targeted for early 2027. They are subject to partial reimbursement with reported costs reflecting Black Stone's share while the partnership retains full ownership of the data. Over time, the proprietary nature of these surveys may provide opportunities to license the data to industry, potentially generating additional revenue.
Together with these supplemental seismic purchases, these assets are expected to enhance subsurface evaluation, further unlock the value of our mineral and royalty acreage and accelerate development of that acreage. To better reflect how we view these investments, we've updated the presentation of adjusted EBITDA and distributable cash flow to exclude seismic acquisition costs. Turning to the quarter's financial results. Net income was $72.2 million for the fourth quarter with adjusted EBITDA of $76.7 million. 51% of oil and gas revenue in the quarter came from oil and condensate production. As previously announced, we declared a distribution of $0.30 per unit for the quarter or $1.20 on an annualized basis.
Distributable cash flow for the quarter was $66.8 million, which represents 1.05x coverage for the period. As Fowler and Taylor mentioned earlier, the partnership's outlook remains strong, anchored by long-term contracted development in our high-interest Shelby Trough acreage as well as our core legacy assets across the U.S. With growing demand from LNG and electric power generation, the outlook for natural gas is increasingly constructive over the next decade. Our significant assets near Gulf Coast LNG facilities position Black Stone to benefit from the substantial call on gas supply, which we expect to increase over the coming years.
In conclusion, we had a successful 2025 on many fronts, setting the partnership up for a great 2026 and beyond. We remain confident that our existing acreage positions across numerous basins, coupled with our commercial strategy and the expanded Shelby Trough will provide a strong foundation to deliver sustainable long-term value for unitholders.
With that, I'd like to open up the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Your first question today comes from the line of Derrick Whitfield from Texas Capital.
2. Question Answer
Regarding guidance for the year, while I realize some of this is beyond your control, how should we think about the cadence of production from 4Q levels throughout 2026 based on the known developments?
Yes, Derrick, this is Taylor, and I'll start out with that. I mean I think when we look back to 2025 kind of midyear and then along with kind of our investor presentation, we really pointed to where we thought production was headed based on the last couple of years kind of activity in the Shelby Trough and the decreased activity there. And so where we end 2025 is where we think we're going to start 2026, which is what we've kind of alluded to in the release last night and mentioned in our script this morning. And then I think that where that puts us for the full year is reflected kind of in the guidance. So again, we think we're going to be increasing materially throughout the course of 2026. And most of that is attributable to kind of new development agreements as well as Permian production and those high interest developments out West.
And Taylor, would you expect it to kind of stall out at the kind of Q1 -- maybe Q4 level for Q1 and then kind of step up each quarter progressively? Or would there be more lumpiness than what I just suggested?
No, I think that's right. You'll see it start to step up. We've -- as we've mentioned, we've got some wells coming on here in the beginning of the year, specifically related to Aethon and then we see activity increasing throughout the year.
Great. And for my follow-up, in your commentary, you referenced efforts to build new opportunities to further expand your asset base and add new development agreements in both the Shelby Trough and Haynesville expansion area. I guess looking ahead, how would you characterize the pipeline of potential new development agreements? Are these conversations primarily with new operators in the basin or extensions with existing operators? And how should we think about the cadence and acreage scope of incremental agreements over the next 12 to 18 months?
Derrick, I would tell you that we certainly don't discriminate against existing partners or newcomers. We welcome all parties. And while we enjoy the partnerships that are established, we are happy to continue to diversify our new developments with new partners or strengthen existing contracts with established partners.
Your next question comes from the line of Tim Rezvan from KeyBanc Capital Markets.
Changing gears to the Permian. We saw comments in the release about leasing outside of the Coterra development area. We also saw guidance for liquids down a bit in 2026 versus our expectations. So can you talk about kind of what you're pursuing in the Permian and kind of how -- just kind of the scale and the priority of that given everything that's going on in the Haynesville?
Sure, Tim. This is Taylor, and I'll start there. I think we're excited to see activity in the Permian kind of in two different folds, if you will. We've got high interest activity from Coterra, and then we mentioned another large-scale kind of high interest development that's happening in the Southern Delaware. So that's a bit more proactive asset management, if you will, along with quite a bit of leasing throughout 2025 that we think points to increased activity across '26 and '27. I think if you look at the timing of some of this and when we see those volumes coming on, certainly, we'll see some of the Coterra wells continue to come on over the course of '26.
Some of the other activity, I think, really is probably later on in '26 and more materially in 2027. So I think you'll start to see those volumes a little bit later on. But no, we're excited about what's going on. Certainly excited about some of the other folks in the industry and their excitement around the Barnett, which we've also seen leasing pick up. So I think there's a lot to be excited about in the Permian right now.
Yes. The only thing I'd add there is -- so we know about these high interest developments that we can model. When we're looking at where pricing is right now in the Permian, we're being thoughtful on just the broader development there and not wanting to get ahead of ourselves when it comes to forecasting the broader Permian volumes.
Okay. Okay. I appreciate the context. My next question, if we look at the Henry Hub strip this year, it's below $3.50 for a lot of the year into kind of the winter. And you've talked about sort of maybe a flattish start to the year growing. Do you feel comfortable you can fund your $0.30 distribution through distributable cash flow without sort of leaning on liquidity for the next -- I mean, 1Q will be a big aberration we know with $5 Henry Hub. But as we look to the summer, how confident are you that you can sort of fund that without leaning on liquidity?
Yes. Good question. And maybe I'll start off and Chris, if you want to jump in. But I think it really just sort of following up on what Chris just said, we've taken a stance on being really thoughtful about where we see commodity prices and activity levels and where we think that we've got some pretty solid development that's going to happen, and we're confident in that development based on our agreements and our minimum commitments there. So along with the sort of ongoing activity and wells coming online. So I would say that we're confident that we can continue to fund the distribution and grow throughout the year based on those minimums.
Yes. I would just concur with that assessment and then also note that we do have strong hedges in place for natural gas throughout the year.
Okay. Okay. I just wanted to push on that. And if I could sneak one more in. I appreciate the prepared comments on the seismic, we saw that adjustment with your adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter. Should we assume that, that $30 million of exploration expense is all seismic? Is there a cadence to that? Is that a onetime expense? And do you expect to continue to kind of adjust that out for adjusted EBITDA?
Yes, I can answer that. So it is expense throughout the year. We do expect more of it to hit when the shoot is actually taking place in the middle of the year. And it is the majority of the seismic that we forecasted. It's about 90-plus percent of the total. And we do expect the majority of the costs related to these two specific shoots to be completed in early '27, but primarily expensed in '26. And we don't anticipate additional significant seismic costs within this development area.
Yes. I might just add on too and just take that question a little bit further, Tim. The seismic shoot is certainly something, I think, pretty unique for a company like us to do. But I think when you look back at the last couple of years, we have taken a stance of putting subsurface analysis and geology first, and we're pretty convicted in the Rock in the Shelby Trough and the Haynesville expansion. And I think these seismic shoots are just another data point for us to further that story and really build the foundation for our operators to come in and start to develop.
And I think as Chris also mentioned in his prepared remarks, these are proprietary shoots. So we own them and look forward to, at some point, also potentially turning those licenses to industry and generating revenue off of them. So a couple of different ways we're thinking about the seismic. But excited to get those shot later this year and just keep on developing the Shelby Trough and the Haynesville expansion.
And there being no further questions, I will now turn the call back over to Taylor DeWalch for some final closing comments.
Thank you all for joining us this morning and look forward to speaking with you all again next quarter.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.
Black Stone Minerals LP — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Thank you for standing by. My name is Van and I will be your conference operator today. At this time, I would like to welcome everyone to Black Stone Minerals Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions]
I will now turn the call over to Mark Meaux, Director of Finance. You may now begin, sir.
Thank you. Good morning to everyone. Thank you for joining us either by phone or online for Black Stone Minerals Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. Today's call is being recorded and will be available on our website along with the earnings release, which was issued last night.
Before we start, I'd like to advise you that we will be making forward-looking statements during this call about our plans, expectations and assumptions regarding our future performance. These statements involve risks that may cause our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements. For a discussion of these risks, you should refer to the cautionary information about forward-looking statements in our press release from yesterday and the Risk Factors section of our 2024 10-K.
We may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. Reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and other information about these non-GAAP metrics are described in our earnings press release from yesterday, which can be found on our website at www.blackstoneminerals.com.
Joining me on the call from the company are Tom Carter, Chairman, CEO and President; Taylor DeWalch, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; Steve Putman, Senior Vice President and General Counsel; Fowler Carter, Senior Vice President, Corporate Development; and Chris Bonner, Vice President and Chief Accounting Officer. I'll now turn the call over to Tom.
Thank you very much, Mark. Good morning, and thank you all for joining us on the third quarter earnings call. Before we discuss our financial and operating results, I'd like to congratulate Fowler Carter, Taylor DeWalch; and Chris Bonner on their announced upcoming promotions. I'm excited for and confident in their leadership as we look to the continued growth and success of Black Stone for many years to come.
Looking forward to my new role as Executive Chair as well and will continue to provide strategic guidance to the management and lead the board. Thank you to all of our employees who continue to work very hard day in and day out to drive Black Stone's success and position us for an exciting future.
We continue to pursue acquisitions through the Haynesville expansion around Shelby Trough, and we're looking forward to Revenant's development getting underway in early 2026. We also continue to work towards solidifying another development agreement covering 220,000 gross acres in between Aethon's development in the Shelby Trough and expand's development in the Western Haynesville.
Unscripted, I also add, we are working on yet another package that we hope to assemble and market in the not-too-distant future. The recently announced expand energy horizontal well and successful pilot well in addition to the ongoing development throughout the Western Haynesville provide even further confidence in the Haynesville expansion play and long runway of inventory.
As mentioned previously, we expect these development agreements to ultimately drive over 50 wells drilled in the expanded Shelby trial per year providing significant gas growth for the partnership and a constructive outlook for demand in the region. And this is in conjunction with ongoing great opportunities coming up in other areas in our properties. We remain focused on the significant growth opportunity that result in the increasing production and distribution outlook for years ahead.
With that, I'll hand it over to Fowler to walk through the operational updates.
Thank you, Tom, [indiscernible], and good morning to everyone. During the quarter, we progressed our commercial initiatives across the expanded Shelby Trough, including working with Revenant Energy on their inaugural development program beginning early next year. Our marketing efforts on an additional 220,000 gross acres is progressing well with a framework agreement that would add the equivalent of 12 additional wells annually to our acreage by 2030.
We expect these new developments, coupled with our existing agreements to more than double the current annual drilling rate in the expanded Shelby Trough in the next 5 years. There is also the opportunity for our operating partners to exceed their annual well commitments, and we are excited about the multiple decades of development inventory in this play.
Our grass-roots acquisition program also continues to progress well. We added $20 million in mineral and royalty acquisitions during the quarter bringing our total acquisitions since September 2023 to roughly $193 million. We have line of sight to an additional accretive acquisition opportunities in the near term which we expect to enhance our existing asset position in the Shelby Trough and to add long-term value for our unitholders. While 2025 development activity has slowed across the U.S., we are optimistic looking ahead to 2026 given our existing and pending development agreements across our high-interest acreage in the Shelby Trough.
Turning to the Permian. The large project we were monitoring remains on track to add meaningful oil volumes to our production base. We are also tracking several new projects on our high-interest acreage there that are expected to add additional liquids volumes in the next 12 to 18 months. We believe that these projects, in addition to our agreements in the Shelby Trough, provide Black Stone a path to increase production and, in turn, higher distributions.
With all of that, I'll turn it over to Taylor to walk through the financial details of the quarter.
Thanks, Fowler, and good morning, everyone. We had a successful third quarter with mineral and royalty production of 34,700 BOE per, an increase of 5% over the prior quarter. The increase in production quarter-over-quarter was driven by strong volumes in the Permian Basin. Total production volumes were 36, 300 BOE per day. While we currently sit here at the high end of the range, production guidance for 2025 is unchanged at 33,000 to 35,000 BOE per day. We continue to monitor activity levels and commodity price dynamics as we look towards the fourth quarter of 2025 and full year 2026 production and distributions.
Net income was $91.7 million for the third quarter with adjusted EBITDA at $86.3 million. 57% oil and gas revenue in the quarter came from oil and condensate production. As previously announced, we declared a distribution of $0.30 per unit for the quarter, or $1.20 on an annualized basis. Distributable cash flow for the quarter was $76.8 million, which represents 1.21x coverage for the period. The excess coverage was used to partially fund acquisitions and maintain a solid financial and leverage position.
As Tom mentioned earlier, the partnership's outlook remains strong, anchored by long-term contract development in our high-interest Shelby Trough acreage as well as our core legacy assets across the U.S. In addition, with increasing demand from LNG and power, the outlook for natural gas is increasingly constructive over the next decade. With significant assets in close proximity to LNG facilities, Black Stone is in a prime position to benefit from the looming call on gas supply.
In conclusion, we had a solid quarter, bolstered by strong oil volumes from our Permian assets which ultimately produced robust coverage of the announced distribution. Going forward, we remain confident that our existing acreage positions, coupled with our commercial strategy and the expanded Shelby Trough will provide a strong foundation to deliver sustainable long-term value for unitholders.
With that, we'd like to open the call for questions.
[Operator Instructions] Our first question comes from the line of John Annis from Texas Capital.
2. Question Answer
Congratulations to everyone on their new roles. For my first question, on the acreage currently being marketed in the KLX area, I think on the September update call, you mentioned that you were on the 1 yard line with getting a deal across. I was hoping if you could provide a quick update on where those discussions currently sit?
And secondly, if you've seen any increased interest in potential commitment to the development following expand's entry into the Western Haynesville. And then maybe just building off of Tom's remarks that you're also working on assembling another package. Is there any additional color that you could share at this time?
Well, I'll start with the 1 yard line comment. We were at the 1 yard line and now we're at the half yard line. So it's progressed, and we expect to hopefully have that wrapped up here in the next couple of weeks. But we'll let you all know how that goes, and we'll announce that information accordingly.
Remind me your second part of your question before we go on to the expanded area that [indiscernible] mentioned.
Yes. Just if you've been seeing any increased interest in potential commitments just following expands announcement and their entry into the Western Haynesville?
We say interest remains robust across this whole area and increased commitments. What I'm comfortable saying about that is that our operating partners have the ability to flex up above and beyond their minimum annual commitments. And so you can certainly see some relative outperformance there.
Terrific. Is there any color that you could offer on the package that you're working on assembling that you mentioned in the prepared remarks?
I'm going to let [indiscernible] take that one because he's really excited about it.
If you look at the Shelby Trough in the Western Haynesville and now the expand well, the Yancey well, which is about 20% to 30% further to the east than any of the wells that have been drilled so far moving back into almost North Central Houston County. And then you go into Trinity County, Cherokee County, Angelina County, Polk County, Tyler County, San Augustine County, Sabine County. There is so much inventory potential out there that really hasn't even been scratched yet, and folks keep putting blocks together. And we've done a lot of homework on the subsurface all the way across to the Western Haynesville and everything that keeps happening thus far has been positive to more positive than what one could expect.
We see some very, very interesting geologic things happening as you move further west from the traditional Shelby Trough, where there is significant expansion between the base of the Knowles Lime and the top of the Cotton Valley if I'm saying that -- Smackover -- excuse me, Cotton Valley also. Smackover and that phenomenon is what's been driving moving Eastward into the Western Haynesville.
So I think I said this last time, these packages of shale that are commercial are thicker in that expanded area. And we have existing acreage that we think is deeper than the traditional work that's been done in the Shelby Trough, but that is not inconsistent with what's been going on in the Western Haynesville. And it's in our inventory, and we're working it hard and looking forward to taking it out to capital development in the future.
I appreciate all the color. For my follow-up, with the strong volume growth this quarter, how should we think about volumes trending in the fourth quarter and into 2026 with the wells that are expected to be turned in line from Aethon and the Permian development project? And then maybe more broadly, just how would you compare what you're seeing in terms of gas-directed activity across your acreage relative to earlier in the year.
Yes. Thanks, John. So like I said in my prepared remarks, I mean, we didn't update full year guidance at this point. So we're still being pretty thoughtful about the activity that's going on across our assets, whether it's Aethon or larger developments out in the Permian, I'd say where we start to get excited is to see Aethon volumes coming online and then kind of throughout the fourth quarter into the beginning of next year, along with the large development in the Permian, which is Coterra and seeing their wells start to come online recently, but more completely as we think about kind of the beginning of next year.
So overall, I think it's going to be an interesting several months kind of winter season to watch activity levels, especially in the natural gas-focused basins and to see how that plays into full year '26 volumes.
I would add also, recently, we put out a multiyear forecast, which is somewhat unusual for a publicly-traded company. And I would just encourage the marketplace to not focus so much on the next 6 to 12 months, but to focus on the next 5 years because as I said earlier, this is a massive reservoir, and it takes time to spool it up -- and evaluate it and spool it up. And we really are excited about the slow, methodic, thoughtful, early stages of some of these new transactions that we've done.
But every one of those with success will grow in well counts by two to threefold as well as layering new projects in there. I just -- when you talk about share value and share activity, that's a real good question because I don't know how much the average person wants to get out in front of the market. But if what we're seeing is valid and as I said before, if the natural gas markets are as everybody seems to think they're going to be, i.e., less volatile and more secure in the future. The time to buy our shares is now not 2 years from now.
Our next question comes from the line of Tim Rezvan from KeyBanc Capital Markets.
Congrats everybody on the new roles and Tom, on your transition. Some of my questions were addressed by the prior analysts. But I wanted to ask, you mentioned more Permian production coming. As a 2-stream reporter, we've noticed that your natural gas differentials have weakened. I'm guessing that's due to exposure to Waha.
And as you think about -- I know the Haynesville is sort of the longer-term story, but a lot of producers are getting beaten up by the challenges at Waha that may not resolve until 2027. So can you talk about anything you're doing? I know you've been plain vanilla hedges in the past. Do you intend to just sort of ride this out? Or is there anything you can do because gas is still over 70% of your production. Just curious on that.
Yes. Thanks, Tim. This is Taylor. I'd say, like you said, I mean, our hedging strategy remains consistent the way that we've been thinking about it. And I think when you think about our natural gas volumes so much of that is coming from the Haynesville and from the Shelby Trough, where we've got good exposure to Henry Hub, I think relative to -- as you mentioned, kind of some of the dynamics that are going on with Waha and the Permian.
I think when we think about Waha and we think about just general Permian production, really what gets us excited is to see the ongoing development on high-interest acreage and then ongoing development across the full suite of assets. I guess we touched on in the investor presentation in September, we're really well aligned with the top operators in the Permian. And so we continue to see robust activity from those folks.
And then also just going back to some of these a little bit more bespoke high interest development that we have in the Permian. So excited to see those volumes come online. So overall, continuing to maintain our consistent strategy as we're thinking about pricing and activity levels.
Okay. So from a modeling perspective, do you think that on a 2-stream basis being at a discount to the benchmark Henry Hub is that going to be the reality over the next year if Waha sort of stays where it is? That's what I'm trying to get at.
Yes. I mean that's -- like I said, that's what we're thinking about it, and that's what we've got a robust hedge strategy.
[Operator Instructions]
All right. If there are no more questions, we sure thank you all for joining us today, and we look forward to speaking with you soon.
Ladies and gentlemen, that concludes today's call. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.
Black Stone Minerals LP — Shareholder/Analyst Call - Black Stone Minerals, L.P.
1. Management Discussion
Hello, and welcome to the Black Stone Minerals September 2025 Investor Presentation. [Operator Instructions] I would now like to turn the conference over to Mark Meaux, Director of Finance. You may begin.
Thank you. Good morning to everyone. Thank you for joining us either by phone or online for the Black Stone Minerals September 2025 Investor Presentation. Today's call is being recorded and will be available on our website along with the presentation that was posted last night.
Before we start, I'd like to advise you that we will be making forward-looking statements during this call about our plans, expectations and assumptions regarding our future performance. These statements involve risks that may cause our actual results to differ materially from the results expressed or implied in our forward-looking statements.
For a discussion of these risks, you should refer to the cautionary information about forward-looking statements in our presentation and to the Risk Factors section of our 2024 10-K.
We may refer to certain non-GAAP financial measures that we believe are useful in evaluating our performance. Reconciliation of those measures to the most directly comparable GAAP measure and other information about these non-GAAP metrics are described in the appendix of our presentation distributed yesterday, which can be found on our website at www.blackstoneminerals.com.
Joining me on the call from the company are Tom Carter, Chairman, CEO and President; Taylor DeWalch, Senior Vice President, Chief Financial Officer and Treasurer; Steve Putman, Senior Vice President and General Counsel; Fowler Carter, Senior Vice President, Corporate Development; Chris Bonner, Vice President, Chief Accounting Officer; Travis Frazier, Director, Corporate Development; and Natalie Liddell, Director, Corporate Planning. I'll now turn the call over to Tom.
Thanks, Mark. Good morning to you all, and thank you for joining us on this investor presentation, which is a somewhat new or revitalized effort by us. And we are excited to share with you some of our excitement about the future of our company.
We seem to have -- we're going to go a little bit beyond the relatively short-term focus that generally public -- which public companies generally focus on and look at a bit of a more long-term nature because we think we're pretty comfortable that we find ourselves in a relatively unique position of having some really stable core assets in key areas as well as a very substantial inventory of growth assets that we own at this time without a whole lot of necessity for additional capital expenditures that very well could see our production and distributions substantially increase over the next 5 to 10 years. And I know that's a long time in public company land, but we wanted to share some of this with you. And with that, I will turn it over to Taylor.
Thanks, Tom. Just to reiterate, echo what Tom said, really appreciate everyone joining us this morning. We're excited to walk through our detailed strategic growth initiatives and really excited about where that takes us on a great trajectory for our unitholders.
Turning to Slide 4. This really starts with the pillars of our strategy being embedded organic growth and extensive asset development and inventory across the major basins, which we're going to go into in quite a bit of detail throughout these slides. We've talked about it quite a bit recently and more so in the recent quarters. But the Black Stone team has spent considerable time in the last couple of years really delineating and acquiring acreage in the expanding Shelby Trough and putting it into play with operators via these contractual development agreements, as well as staying focused on activity across all of the assets and really across all of our vast leased and unleased mineral footprint to see where there's opportunities across the Lower 48.
And I just want to take a minute to really commend the Black Stone team on all these efforts that lead to production doubling over the next 5 to 10 years, resulting in just tremendous growth that we see for the Black Stone unitholders and notably while maintaining very conservative and peer-leading leverage. I think those are some of the key tenets that we want to hit on today.
So as outlined, like I said, on Slide 4, it starts with a firm technical understanding of the subsurface, which our team has spent quite a bit of time on, moving to targeted acquisitions of undeveloped minerals at very competitive prices, and then partnering with these operators on development agreement to provide that certainty on long-term development on high interest acreage and then providing that line of sight to annual well commitments as a baseline as we're thinking about our forecast and excited to really spell that out later in the slides as we've done.
And so in addition to those organic growth efforts and primarily focused in the expanding Shelby Trough as well as some opportunities that we're looking at, not quite ready to go into as much detail today, but we've also got substantial embedded inventory that Tom was speaking to across the major basins. And really want to touch on where that inventory exists and how we're aligned with some of the top operators and their plans in those major basins.
I think that really provides a diverse foundation for the company as we're thinking about this long-term trajectory for our unitholders, balanced with both gas growth and oil growth, ultimately leading to growing distributions to greater than $2 a unit over the next 5 to 10 years and just continuing to prioritize that long-term value for all of our unitholders.
So with that, if we flip to Slide 5. We really remain focused on our assets across the Lower 48, which is colored in red and blue on the map here. And today, we're going to focus on some of the core basins being the Haynesville and the expanding Shelby Trough, the Permian, both in the Midland and the Delaware and then also the Williston, all of which we continue to monitor all of our inventory there and see how that's going to inform our long-term strategy.
Again, because of our expansion efforts, along with that substantial inventory, we look at about 20-plus years of inventory life, which we think just continues to provide that foundation for a lot of growth for decades to come. So next, we'll walk through this strategy a bit more numerically. So like we said, today, we sit at about 33,000 to 35,000 Boe a day with sub 0.3x leverage. We talked about that at second quarter earnings. I want to expand on that. And as we mentioned, the team has delineated a focus area of approximately 700,000 gross acres in existing and to-be-contracted areas that along with some of the incremental bolt-ons leads to production doubling to 60-plus MBoe per day out in 2035, while maintaining very conservative leverage because of the acquisition strategy.
So in addition to, like we've said, the expanding Shelby Trough, looking at just all of our inventory across the basins really built the foundation for this. Within the Shelby Trough, specifically speaking of that inventory, we see greater than 2,000 gross wells that have been unlocked and strategically positioned really with the current and coming sources of natural gas demand.
So we're pairing both the inventory with the gas demand that is both here and growing. That boost in production leads a significant uplift in revenue and distributions over the next 5 to 10 years, as mentioned, leading to $2-plus per unit from about $1.20 per unit LQA right now.
I want to speak to the acquisition strategy for just a minute. Notably, this strategy is much different than the historical BSM acquisition strategy or other marketed acquisitions. In the past, Black Stone spent upwards of $800 million to produce about a 5% CAGR pre-COVID while also participating in working interest investments, which led to over a 1x leverage.
The philosophy now is to bolt on to existing assets with the subsurface technical analysis and maintain a conservative leverage ratio because we're only utilizing about half the capital needed previously while substantially increasing production volumes to the tune of about a 10% CAGR.
So taking existing assets that Black Stone has held for a while now, bolting on some incremental assets and then placing those with an operator to provide substantial production growth.
So ultimately, Black Stone has line of sight to double production, maintain low leverage, partner with operators on high interest development agreements that provide more certainty on activity levels and maintain a diverse substantial set of inventory across all the major basins. With that, I'll hand it over to Fowler.
Thanks, Taylor. So here, you can see that our assets are well positioned to take full advantage of the LNG and growing power demand story. Our significant footprint in the Haynesville/Bossier with close proximity to export terminals as well as data and industrial centers that coupled with vintage and newly minted development agreements that Taylor just mentioned with folks like Aethon, Revenant and others supports the 10% CAGR on production that you can see there at the bottom, while keeping debt and EBITDA metrics attractively low.
Next slide, please. So active management and organic growth. So we own approximately 40% blended across 20 million gross acres of which 2 million of that is currently under leasehold or contracted otherwise. These acres account for our current cash flow and substantial inventory, as you can see in the pie chart right there.
The remaining balance or roughly 5.4 million net acres is where our organic growth opportunities like HEX, KLX and some other ones that are in the pipeline will come from. They are the end result of a lot of hard work by our land, technical, legal, commercial teams, and that combined work is what is going to get us to identify market and ultimately partner with operators and non-ops to delineate and further develop all these new areas.
Next slide, please. So this slide highlights the visibility of our inventory pipeline. We average about 10% exposure to the Lower 48 rig count or 1 out of every 10 rigs at any given time being on BSM assets. This ultimately leads to a total of about 1,244 WIPs on our acreage over the last 5 quarters. A breakdown of that is 744 DUCs and 500 permits, all with -- a lot of those with marquee operators. And those are kind of just the highlights on that, and we can take more deep dive questions at the end of the presentation, if anybody wants to dive deep on that later.
And now I'm going to hand it off to Natalie and Travis to talk more about the Haynesville and other plays.
Thanks, Fowler. Page 10 highlights the importance of the Haynesville and Middle Bossier as the cornerstone of our portfolio. From an activity perspective, there have been 2 trends that have materially shaped the direction of development over the past 5 years in the basin.
First, while the core of the play has historically been in DeSoto, Red River and Bossier Parishes, full-scale development has expanded into Shelby Trough and Western Haynesville, unlocking hundreds of locations with attractive breakevens.
And then second, heavy M&A has consolidated the basin into a few gas-focused independents, namely Comstock, Aethon, Expand, TGNR and Apex. Each is pushing the limits of technical design with long laterals, refracs, specialty wellbores, steadily expanding the economic footprint in both the NFC and Shelby Trough.
While the legacy core inventory is largely exhausted, the Shelby Trough now represents the engine of future growth in the basin, accounting for over 50% of remaining locations in the play and positioning the Haynesville as a durable long-term driver of Black Stone's portfolio. And importantly, the Haynesville is now directly tied to LNG export growth, linking its long-term economics to global gas demand. And as the Haynesville is shifting from a regional gas play into a global supply source, Black Stone's material position in the Haynesville extension area will be a contributing force behind that shift.
So Travis, I'll turn it over to you to get more into the specifics of the HEX play.
That's perfect. Thank you, Natalie. As we go to Slide 11, you can see a little bit more of a zoom in on the acreage position and really the substantial progress that we've done expanding upon our previously substantial legacy position.
And really, as you look into this map on the southern side of the Shelby Trough and into the HEX position, you can see a substantial inventory of what Taylor pointed out, about 2,000-plus Haynesville and Bossier locations located within that Southern Shelby and HEX area. And really, this is all a product of a lot of the hard work from the technical team and really delineating using our geologists, engineers and so forth of really honing in on what we perceive to be a large asset for operators going forward.
As you look into this, as Taylor also mentioned, the contracts and the relationships that we have with operators, the high-density nature of this position really points to our ability to bring in operators that have -- that we can provide a good element of control for them and be able to provide them good line of sight to an expanding inventory count that everybody in the industry is looking for.
And as everybody has mentioned, obviously, clearly, the growing LNG story is something that everybody is looking forward to expanding their positions within, and we feel like we're a premier mineral company here to provide that feedstock for LNG providers.
As we move over to Slide 12, you can see a lot of the offset wells that we continue to focus on and helping delineate the acreage position that we currently have, you'll see on the right -- on the bottom right side, really good well results that are holding in quite well with strong EURs. Those well results have helped solidify our position here and continue to expand upon the growing density of our acreage position. And one thing that you'll point out -- that I'll point out is as you see the Shelby Trough going into HEX and then over into the Western Haynesville, we firmly believe that there is a connection and, call it, a river or so that goes into the Western Haynesville, and so that pilot well that we point out here is another marker for us in helping to substantiate that belief through our science and geology work going forward.
So everybody continues to push the extent of the plays, and that's another point that you see within the Western Haynesville also with this pilot and other activities from operators.
Go to the next slide, please. And really, so on Slide 13, a key core element of how we think about the Haynesville and a lot of our assets is this element of control in high-density acres. As we look through the existing agreements that we have, as we call out, with both Aethon and Revenant and KLX over here.
The idea is to really hone in on large swaths of acreage that we have delineated internally through all of our technical teams and so forth to provide an operator a significant amount of running room as everybody is continuing to clamor for locations. We identify the acreage that is of interest and prospective.
We go in using our grassroots acquisition team to go and acquire as much as we can through a substantial amount of landman. And through that, by getting these large swaths of acreage, we're able to provide an operator like I said, a significant amount of running room and which is highly attractive to them at a low cost for them. And so that provides efficiencies on the front end and allows them to plan accordingly.
And so with those agreements, providing some flexibility for them to ramp up, and you'll see in this chart on the bottom, the idea is for them to build into this position and grow into a good line of sight for us to be able to see well commitments on a growing scale out into the future, which provides us a lot of visibility into our own production growth and the operators the ability to efficiently and effectively build into their position, which is a good core tenet of our relationships with both parties.
With that, I'm going to turn it right back to Natalie to dive into some of our other core assets.
Yes. So shifting gears a little bit to the remainder of our portfolio on Page 14. The Permian Basin is not just a premier oil basin, it's Black Stone's strategic hedge. It diversifies us away from gas concentration, stabilizes cash flows across cycles and ensures we remain positioned to capture upside across both oil and gas markets.
This is the busiest U.S. basin by rig count with consistent development through cycles due to core Permian breakevens that are among the lowest onshore at $35 to $45 a barrel. Wells are primarily oil weighted, but they deliver meaningful associated gas, and this dual commodity exposure gives us balance.
Oil drives durable returns and associated gas creates upside as U.S. LNG export demand grows over the next decade. Our runway in the Midland Basin clusters along the core from Martin through Midland County and up into Upton Reagan County with 75% of our remaining inventory concentrated in the Central North and Southwest subplays.
Meaningful development in areas with the basin's highest location, NPV and deepest stacked pay underpins the reliability of our oil-weighted forecast in this area. The post-M&A consolidation wave, namely Exxon Pioneer and Diamondback Endeavor has created highly capital disciplined operators capable of drilling increasingly long laterals, efficient multi-zone co-development and the appetite to consistently keep pads turning and tills flowing through cycles.
Rigs on Black Stone acreage started the year elevated and drifted modestly lower into the midyear, but the mix stays stable. Exxon and Diamondback carry the bulk of the rigs and other operators still in the remainder. Black Stone saw an average of 17 rigs a month on our acreage between these 2 operators in the first half of 2025.
So what we're seeing is that the scale operators are still setting the operational cadence even as the basin trims rigs for efficiency. And for us, that means multiyear visibility where we overlapped with Exxon and Diamondback because operator scale plus runway equals reliability for us.
And then moving to Page 15, the Delaware Basin. Our position clusters around the core Loving County fairway, the Central West and the South extensional areas with smaller pockets in the North, Western margin and Eastern margin. Our estimated inventory depth of close to 4,000 in gross locations translates to well over 10 years of inventory at current rig rates.
The core of our inventory is held by a handful of scaled publics, ConocoPhillips across much of the Northern Central fairway. We have sizable contiguous blocks of Coterra and Devon around the Western Stateline, Occidental through the Central Southern trend and slightly scattered exposure to Chevron and a handful of others throughout the basin.
Operationally, we've seen a modest step down in rigs since January, but the mix is stable, and we expect development to continue around current rates for the remainder of the year because even with lower headline rig total than we see in the Exxon and Diamondback pairing in the Midland Basin, the scale operators are similarly steady in cadence for the Delaware.
Again, operator scale plus continuity and inventory equals reliability for us. So overlap with these operators means multiyear visibility into pad turns until. On Page 16, moving over to the Williston is a late life relative to the Permian or Haynesville. So this is our steady low decline oil play, limited runway but reliable cash flows. And this is where we think concentrating our focus on sections under top-quality operators is the best way to protect pace and realize value for our shareholders.
Because inventory depth is thinner and most core acreage has already been drilled, forward growth is structurally more limited and more dependent on efficiencies for excess. So Chord, Continental, Chevron and Conoco are scaling to 3- to 4-mile laterals, optimizing cube development to lower dollar per foot cost and beginning refracs and brownfield work in Middle Bakken and Three Forks to extend runway and add barrels without large step-outs.
For Black Stone, this means runway is selective, but not gone. A significant portion of our remaining units are in the best neighborhoods, but development cadence will be operator and program driven rather than basin net wide growth. Cash flows are durable but price sensitive in the Williston.
As the mix shifts outside the Tier 1 areas, breakevens rise and the Bakken becomes slightly less reliable for us in a lower price environment. Although 60% of our estimated remaining inventory is held by Continental, Chord, Chevron and Conoco, and those 4 operators largely controlling the cadence of development in the basin make us hopeful that our expected returns are somewhat protected against the downturn. In a mature basin like this, we believe that reliability matters more than the headline rig count. And now I'm going to hand it back over to Taylor.
Great. Thanks, Natalie, and thanks, Travis, for walking through the different basins and different assets. So all of that really culminates again, in just a substantial growth through inventory development and the growth initiatives in the expanding Shelby Trough as outlined on Slide 17.
On the left, we have the production growth going again from 33,000 to 35,000 a day to over 60,000. And as we see outlined in 2035, a substantial amount of that is from the efforts in Shelby Trough, HEX and the just general Haynesville expansion area through those contracts.
As Natalie was pointing out, though, it really comes back to the diversity of our assets and we're thinking about our revenue and our forecasted revenue, both on a gas and oil basis. I think that, that's what really differentiates Black Stone and the diversity of the assets and just that foundation of oil and gas mix as we think about growing into the future.
So going from about $425 million in revenue in 2025 to $650 million plus with both oil and gas playing a critical role in that growth. So important to our unitholders, as we outlined on Slide 18, is the consistency of capital return via distributions, and we've maintained that philosophy for a long time through various cycles.
Of course, right in the middle of the chart, COVID was exceptionally difficult. But otherwise, we've prioritized transparency and consistency in our mindset of capital return. This is no different on a go-forward basis where limited debt and production growth leads to beneficial distribution growth for the long term for our unitholders.
Of course, where we are right now, we think is just a springboard for where we're headed in the future for distributions. On Slide 19, speaking again to debt, this limited debt has been a theme for a while for us. Earlier, I spoke to the changing philosophy in our acquisition program and the implications on our debt. Currently, our elected commitment amount on the borrowing base is $375 million. And in second quarter, we had just $99 million borrowed.
We prioritize limited debt to give BSM the maximum flexibility and prioritize capital returns to our unitholders. And as we said, we continue to think about that for the long term throughout this forecast and our strategy.
Finally, on Slide 20, another consistent theme for us has been our hedging philosophy. We think that this kind of maintaining a strategy of 6% to 7% of volumes 1.5 years to 2 years out, really ensures that steady cash flow and limits the volatility in the commodities to provide that consistency of returns to our unitholders that they certainly appreciate. So here, we've outlined both our current oil and gas position through '26 and into 2027. So with that, I will hand it over to Fowler.
Thanks, Taylor. All right. Well, to reiterate and just drive home all the points here that the team has made. Black Stone remains dedicated to growing our long-term unitholder value and distributions and doing that through active asset management and organic growth initiatives, all of which are underpinned by substantial inventory and growing natural gas demand. All that culminating to ultimately a doubling of production and $2 or better per unit distribution over the next 10 years. And that's it. Any questions?
[Operator Instructions]
Your first question comes from Tim Rezvan with KeyBanc Capital Markets.
2. Question Answer
Thank you for the presentation out there. It's really insightful. I guess I have a few here. But as my first one, maybe for Tom, this presentation is a little bit change in tone. You've generally been pretty tight lipped about details and your strategy. So I was just curious kind of why put this out now? Is this a signal that sort of this acquisition program, about $160 million is sort of wrapping up? Just trying to kind of get some context on why the push for doing this now as opposed to with earnings or at a later date.
Well, that's a good question. And I will answer that by saying our acquisition program continues. I don't want to be too specific about where. But if you look at the maps on the HEX area, the areas that have a little bit less yellow in them, we hope to increase our density there, but we're still going to stay well below 1x debt to EBITDA in doing this, and we think we have a competitive advantage out there, and we will keep growing to a certain extent.
But at the same time, we have enough critical mass in these areas to be able to have inked and are in the process of inking additional exploration agreements with folks that are capable, well-capitalized operators to drill a lot of wells on a regular basis in order -- in a drill-to-earn capacity, okay, which is different than giving somebody a 100,000-acre lease with a 5-year primary term and maybe they drill some wells and maybe they don't.
We are -- we've seen -- all of us that have been in the industry over time have seen great expectations come and fall down and not be realized, and that could certainly still happen in the world we live in today, but I would tell you that I think that the reliability and the stability of the gas market as we see it going forward for the next 10-plus years is as -- seems to have as little volatility potential in it as I've seen in the past, and so we see ourselves having a very strong liquids base in the Permian and in the Williston and other areas.
And we see ourselves being fortunate enough to have quite a position in a rapidly expanding, at least currently Haynesville/Bossier play in the Shelby Trough going over into the Western Haynesville. And once again, I want to capture this at about, call it, 200,000 acres in that area that we have under control, that we have science on and we know where wells are being drilled and are going to be drilled, that is -- that's -- you can drill 50 wells a year for 20 years to fully delineate that area, and I'm not talking about going out in the middle of nowhere.
These are development wells and the industry is filling in. And so we find ourselves -- I mean, obviously, the Marcellus has quite a bit of inventory, but they've got other headwinds up there. And going into a global AI natural gas-fired electrical plants, I saw where Entergy got approved for 2 plants, one in Cleveland, Texas and one in Port Arthur, Texas recently, those are right next to our Shelby Trough acreage, and if there is a time when natural gas is going to be reliable, this is it.
And we've got -- I don't know that there's an inventory for a mineral company that matches what we've got out there. And we now have three or more defined development agreements. So we just felt like what this looks like long term, we wanted to let the industry know about it.
We get questions from existing investors and new investors all the time, and we think we have found ourselves in a unique spot. Clearly, the Achilles heel on this program is natural gas prices, but if natural gas prices are $1.40 between now and 2040, we're going to have bigger problems as a global economy than just getting these wells drilled. I don't -- what would cause that? It would be massive contraction in a global economy. And so we're putting the chips all on the table.
I appreciate that.
I hope that answered your question.
That did. It's good to know you're still blocking up, but you have the core. On a related topic, you talked about the KLX being the third agreement, but you also say in the presentation that you're currently marketing that package. You have one well, looks like scheduled for 2026. Can you talk about -- are you on the one yard line of getting a deal announced? You seem highly confident that, that program will be going to 2026. So can you just talk about where you are with KLX?
I think you said it right. We're on the one yard line, but University of Texas was on the one yard line against Ohio State and didn't get in the end zone, so we -- that doesn't mean we're going to get in the end zone, but we sure think we are, and right after this call, there's going to be quite a lot of discussion about placing that ball in the end zone in a very discrete short period of time.
And I told the team a little bit jokingly that when we get that one closed, we've only got to do five more before Christmas, for any of you out there that are investors, that is not a statement that you should put a lot of stock in. It was more of a -- everybody has been running hard and working hard here, and I was pulling their chain. But we're not done yet.
If you look at that map, at Trinity County, we have hundreds of thousands of acres already owned in Trinity County, which is underlined by the same play that is going on in HEX and the Kirk Lake, KLX. It's just deeper, and we've got -- we'll take a short breather when we get KLX closed, but then we'll start our manic acquisition program over again.
Okay. If I could just sneak a third one in, and then I'll turn it back. Pretty intriguing this Bobby Yancey pilot that was drilled in Houston County. It looks like a vertical well, and there's some scuttle but if it's a true operator name or if that's an alias being used by a larger operator. Can you talk about why you're optimistic? Was that well fracked? Is your optimism just based on logs that you pulled? And can you give any color on who maybe drilled that vertical pilot?
I'll tell you what we see in that deal. We think Expand is the actual capital behind that. I mean that's industry knowledge. It's not anything we know, and we have talked to people who have specific knowledge about that well, and we've tried to get them to tell us about it, and they've said, they're under confidentiality and they're not going to do that, but they are -- they speak pretty -- in my experience, I've never seen a tight hole that's a dry hole be tight very long, and in addition to that, Expand and others have bought 70,000 to 80,000 acres of oil and gas leases around that well going back to the East, approaching the western end of our KLX project.
And so -- and we've reviewed a tremendous amount of 3D data out there as well as 2D data, and we see the same technical footprint going from Angelina County through Houston County, through Cherokee County, all the way over into the Western Haynesville. We also see expansion in the section between the Knowles Lime and the -- you're probably getting more than you wanted to hear here and the Smackover, which is the interval that is of interest with the Haynesville and Bossier in it.
And it expands as you go west by as much as 2 to 2.5 fold. And if you look at some of the subsurface control points that are available in the Western Haynesville, the Bossier section is up to 800-plus feet thick as opposed to 150 feet thick in the core Shelby Trough. And that's reserves. And you can drain probably 100-plus vertical feet with 1 wellbore. So every one of those wells may be the equivalent of 4 or 5 wells. So there's a lot of upside and there's a lot of known knowns as we move from the East to the West.
I would also add that it's long been a technical thesis that this depositional environment that created the Haynesville expanded all the way over to Freestone County, but it took quite a long time for operational efficiencies to be able to drill laterals at that depth, and so now that the inventory in the Haynesville is being exhausted, operators have the capability to drill longer, deeper wells in these temperatures, at a more cost-efficient rate, and we're seeing that delineation at this point in time.
Our exploration agreements that are in place work kind of like this. As you ramp up from, say, 10 wells a year to 25 wells a year, there's plenty of drilling for multiple years to come that is development drilling off of existing production in the Shelby Trough, like next door to stuff in Angelina County that's already under in production and moving slightly west, there's tons of inventory there, and in order to be able to harvest that inventory, we are embedding in our agreements requirements for large step-out wells to test the unknown area or the less known areas and backfill.
And so -- and if these guys quit drilling these wells, what happens? They just give us all the inventory back, and we'll try to place it with somebody else. So once again, we're optimistic that we've got a lot of economic inventory at $3.50 to $4 gas, and we're also subscribing to the theory that the LNG and AI and electric -- gas-powered electrical generation will cause the next 10 to 15 years of the gas market to not be perfect, but more reliable than it's been over the past 15 years.
[Operator Instructions]
Your next question comes from Derrick Whitfield of Texas Capital.
With respect to your 2030 outlook, could you speak to what broad assumptions underpin this 50% growth through 2030?
Absolutely. This is Taylor. I think the most significant assumption that I would point you to is the Shelby Trough gross spuds ramp in activity. We really look to those contractual agreements to ramp through the next 5 years or so, which provides a significant amount of that gas production growth that leads to the 2030 and 2035 outcomes.
Terrific. And maybe just leaning in on the Haynesville extensional areas, what degree of productivity and spacing are you guys assuming in the HEX area?
We're looking at it. I mean, if you look at the well results that we outlined on the Shelby Trough and as we're thinking about the Haynesville expansion, we certainly think that, that's indicative of what the rock can do, along with some of the spacing that we're seeing out there right now going a little bit wider than has been recently tested and something in the neighborhood of maybe 4 to 6 wells per 1,000 acre unit.
And I think those EURs that are in the 2 to 2.5 Bcf per 1,000 foot range, I think those are a solid assumption. I think that there's absolute room for upside above that as we think about the general productivity trend continues to follow the dip downwards, and with pressure and increasing depth, we have seen productivity increase.
So we're certainly interested to see, as we -- as Tom was alluding to, kind of further delineate some of the pieces of Haynesville expansion. We could certainly see additional both productivity and wells per unit as we're thinking about the thickness of the rock, but those are how it's kind of laid out today.
Great. And probably more from a technical perspective and subsurface perspective, could you guys speak to how the geology changes from Shelby Trough through to Western Haynesville? And then as an add-on to that, is Trinity -- the acreage you have in Trinity perceived to be part of this fairway?
Depends on who you ask on the Trinity stuff.
If you ask me, I say yes. This is Fowler Carter. It absolutely is part of this, but we still have to prove that up, and we're working on that piece right now.
The section, as I said, between the upper Knowles Lime or the equivalent of that in the Western Haynesville, it's a different geologic feature and the Smackover thickens dramatically as you go from west to east across Robertson and Leon County, and we are seeing the same thing as you go west into Western -- Eastern Angelina, Houston, Trinity, Cherokee counties.
And we have pilot wells that are going to be drilled out there that are required, multiple of those. We also have pilot wells that are required to be drilled deeper in the more traditional HEX area to 17,000 and 18,000 feet in Angelina County. There's something that you've probably heard us talk about a lot.
There's a well that was drilled deep in Angelina County back in the '80s or '90s by Mobil, and it's called the Mobil Julian Johnson well, and it was long before the Haynesville/Bossier shale play was around, but that well penetrated both the Haynesville and the Bossier, and it has some of the best-looking rocks in it, that have been seen.
There's some really good engineers around town that know the Haynesville play very well and have said that's the best looking rocks in the play, and it's at 17,000 to 18,000 feet, which is the same depth as the Bobby Yancey well. So we know it can be drilled in those pressures, and porosities that are on that well, meaningfully higher than they are in the core Shelby Trough is a great combination of attributes for potentially very strong productivity.
And at the same time, we've been able to acquire acreage in Nacogdoches County that heretofore had not been developed because it was very difficult to -- for industry to put it together. We put it together, and it's going to get drilled very soon, and it's right smack dab in the middle of the core stuff that's been drilled in San Augustine County and Angelina County and to the north by Exco in Nacogdoches County, and there's just quite a number of wells to be drilled in there as well as other areas that are more traditional. So there's a lot of inventory.
I think from a geologic perspective, too, the reason we included that Smackover Shelf and Sabine Island on the map are that the Shelby Trough is really the most restricted geological environment during deposition, and so that's why you have kind of the thinnest Haynesville and Bossier in that area.
But areas closer to the core DeSoto and Harrison and Caddo, you get thicker section because you had more sediment coming in. And then as you move over to Freestone County, Leon County off of the high on that side, you also had just a lot more sediment coming into that area of the basin. It was more -- less restricted. And so you'll see similarly a lot more just growth thickness across Leon and Houston than the Shelby Trough proper.
This concludes the question-and-answer session. I'll turn the call to Tom Carter for closing remarks.
Well, again, thank you all for joining us today, and we were excited and are excited to share our view on what's going on at Black Stone in a little bit more fulsome and long-term way. We feel like we've reached a point in critical mass of the attributes of what we've been talking about to where we could share it with you, and we're glad to do that. And we thank you for joining us today.
This concludes today's conference call. Thank you for joining. You may now disconnect.
Financial data from Black Stone Minerals LP
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 460 460 |
5%
5%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 44 44 |
15%
15%
10%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 415 415 |
8%
8%
90%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 59 59 |
10%
10%
13%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | 21 21 |
122%
122%
5%
|
|
| EBITDA | 333 333 |
4%
4%
73%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 38 38 |
7%
7%
8%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 296 296 |
6%
6%
64%
|
|
| Net Profit | 254 254 |
3%
3%
55%
|
|
In millions USD.
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Black Stone Minerals LP Stock News
Company Profile
Black Stone Minerals LP is an exploration company. The firm engages in the exploration of oil and natural gas minerals. It focuses in the operation of Louisiana-Mississippi Salt Basins, Western Gulf, Permian Basin, Palo Duro Basin, East Texas Basin, Anadarko Basin, Appalachian Basin, Arkoma Basin, Bend Arch-Fort Worth, and Southwestern Wyoming. The company was founded in 1876 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | United States |
| CEO | Mr. Dewalch |
| Founded | 1876 |
| Website | www.blackstoneminerals.com |


