Occidental Petroleum Stock price
Compare with Peer Group
📊 Peer Group
📈 What is it?
The peer group consists of the companies with the most similar business model. They serve as a benchmark for putting a stock into context.
🧮 How is it selected?
Based on similarity of business model, meaning companies from the same industry with comparable products and a similar customer base. That's the only way to compare apples to apples.
🏛️ Why does it matter?
Whether a stock is cheap or expensive is best judged by comparison. A P/E of 18 or an EV/FCF of 20 can look cheap or expensive depending on the yardstick. The peer group gives you the most accurate one: companies with a similar business model that operate under the same conditions.
🎯 What does it mean for investors?
When a metric sits below the peer average, the stock is valued more cheaply relative to its competitors, and above the average more expensively. A discount to the peer group can be an opportunity, but it can also have a reason (for example lower growth). The comparison is a starting point, not a verdict.
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Invest better with AI
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👉 More detailed insights
👉 Exclusive perspectives on opportunities & risks
👉 Clear answers to your questions
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👉 More detailed insights
👉 Exclusive perspectives on opportunities & risks
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Is Occidental Petroleum a Top Scorer Stock based on the Dividend, High-Growth-Investing or Leverman Strategy?
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Key metrics
📘 Market Capitalization
📈 What is it?
Market capitalization shows how much a company is currently worth on the stock market.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps classify companies by size (Large, Mid, Small Cap) and indicates their market presence and relative stability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Large-cap companies tend to be more stable, often pay dividends, but may grow more slowly.
- Smaller firms may offer higher growth potential but come with more volatility.
- Market capitalization is a useful indicator of company size — but not a measure of whether a stock is undervalued or overvalued.
📘 Enterprise Value (EV)
📈 What is it?
Enterprise Value represents the total cost to acquire a company — including its debt and excluding its cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(= Market Cap + Net Debt)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV gives a more complete picture of a company's value than market cap alone and is used in key valuation ratios like EV/FCF or EV/Sales.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Enterprise Value shows the true cost of buying a company, including all financial obligations.
- It is more accurate than just looking at market cap, especially when comparing companies with different levels of debt or cash.
- Professional investors prefer EV-based multiples because they better reflect the company’s full financial footprint.
📘 Net Debt
📈 What is it?
Net Debt shows how much debt remains after subtracting a company’s available cash reserves.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It indicates how dependent a company is on borrowed money and how easily it can service its debt in the short term.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low or negative net debt signals financial strength and flexibility.
- Companies with strong cash positions are better positioned in crises.
- High net debt increases financial risk — especially in environments with rising interest rates or economic downturns.
📘 Cash
📈 What is it?
Cash represents all liquid assets a company can access immediately — including cash, bank deposits, and short-term investments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It reflects a company’s financial flexibility and resilience — enabling investments, buybacks, or buffer in downturns.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A strong cash position means greater room for maneuver and crisis resistance.
- Cash-rich companies can invest, pay down debt, or repurchase shares.
- But excess idle cash might indicate a lack of growth opportunities.
📘 Shares Outstanding
📈 What is it?
Shares outstanding represent the total number of a company’s shares currently held by investors — excluding treasury stock.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s the basis for key metrics like Earnings Per Share (EPS), Market Capitalization, or the Price/Earnings ratio (P/E).
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Fewer shares in circulation typically increase earnings per share — making each share more valuable.
- Share buybacks reduce the number of shares and boost per-share metrics.
- Issuing new shares does the opposite — diluting shareholder value and lowering per-share figures.
📘 Price-to-Earnings Ratio (P/E)
📈 What is it?
The P/E ratio shows how many times a company's earnings per share are reflected in its current share price — in other words, how "expensive" the stock appears relative to its profits.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The P/E ratio is one of the most widely used valuation metrics. It helps investors assess whether a stock appears cheap or expensive compared to its earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
📊 P/E (TTM) = Based on earnings from the last 12 months (Trailing Twelve Months):🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/E may indicate undervaluation — or signal underlying issues.
- A high P/E may reflect strong growth expectations — or an overvalued stock.
📘 Price-to-Sales Ratio (P/S)
📈 What is it?
The P/S ratio shows how much investors are paying for $1 of the company’s revenue – regardless of profitability.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/S is especially useful for evaluating growth companies or businesses not yet profitable. It reflects how the market values the company’s sales.
🧮 Calculation
Market Cap = $58.06b | Revenue (TTM) = $21.67b
Market Cap = $58.06b | Estimated Revenue = $26.55b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low P/S may indicate undervaluation — or low profitability.
- A high P/S can reflect strong growth expectations — or excessive optimism.
- Especially helpful when evaluating companies where profits are low, volatile, or negative.
📘 Enterprise Value to Sales (EV/Sales)
📈 What is it?
EV/Sales shows how much investors are paying for $1 of revenue — considering not just equity, but also debt and cash. It’s the capital structure–adjusted version of the P/S ratio.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It’s ideal for comparing companies with different levels of debt. It reflects a company's true cost relative to its revenue.
🧮 Calculation
Enterprise Value = $67.65b | Revenue (TTM) = $21.67b
Enterprise Value = $67.65b | Forward Revenue = $26.55b
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EV/Sales allows for capital structure–neutral company comparisons.
- A lower ratio may indicate undervaluation; a higher one may signal strong growth expectations or overvaluation.
- Especially helpful when evaluating high-growth companies with low or negative earnings.
📘 Enterprise Value to Free Cash Flow (EV/FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
EV/FCF compares a company’s enterprise value with its free cash flow. The metric therefore shows the multiple of current free cash flow at which a company is valued. EV/FCF ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted version.
🧮 How is it calculated?
EV/FCF ex SBC = Enterprise Value ÷ (Free Cash Flow (TTM) − SBC)
🏛️ Why is it important?
EV/FCF provides a valuation based on free cash flow and therefore complements earnings-based valuation metrics such as the P/E ratio. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and provides a more conservative view from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low EV/FCF means that enterprise value is low relative to current free cash flow. The reasons should always be considered in the context of the company and its industry.
- A high EV/FCF means that enterprise value is high relative to current free cash flow. This can, for example, reflect high growth expectations or temporarily weak cash generation.
- When SBC is positive and adjusted free cash flow remains positive, EV/FCF ex SBC is generally higher than the standard EV/FCF.
- The metric is particularly useful for companies with relatively stable and predictable cash flows.
- If free cash flow is negative or very low, EV/FCF has limited usefulness and should not be interpreted like a standard valuation multiple.
📘 Price-to-Book Ratio (P/B)
📈 What is it?
The P/B ratio compares a company’s market value to its book value — showing how much investors are paying for each dollar of net assets.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
P/B is commonly used for asset-heavy industries like banks or industrials. It helps assess whether a stock is trading above or below its net asset value.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A P/B below 1 may signal undervaluation — or weak profitability.
- A P/B above 1 implies the market expects future value creation (e.g., brand, IP, growth).
- Best used for companies with tangible assets and strong balance sheets.
📘 Dividend per Share (DPS)
📈 What is it?
Dividend per Share shows how much cash a company pays out to shareholders for each share they own – usually on an annual or quarterly basis.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
DPS is the absolute value of the payout per share – crucial for income-focused investors and dividend strategies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable or growing DPS often signals a strong, shareholder-friendly business.
- DPS alone doesn’t tell you how attractive the payout is – the stock price also matters (→ see Dividend Yield).
- Long-term dividend growth is often a hallmark of high-quality companies – like the dividend aristocrats.
📘 Dividend Yield
📈 What is it?
Dividend yield shows how large a company’s dividend is in relation to its current share price.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It allows investors to compare dividend payouts across stocks, regardless of price or payout size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A stable yield can reflect reliable distributions.
- Comparing 1Y and 5Y yield shows whether dividend growth keeps pace with stock price appreciation.
- A low yield isn’t always negative – it can signal strong past performance or growth focus.
📘 Dividend Growth
📈 What is it?
Dividend growth shows how much a company has increased its dividend per share over time.
🧮 How is it calculated?
5Y: Compound Annual Growth Rate (CAGR)
🏛️ Why is it important?
Consistently rising dividends are often a sign of financial strength and shareholder orientation – especially relevant for long-term investors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stable dividend growth is a sign of sustainable earning power.
- High dividend growth can significantly boost your total return:
- If a company pays $1 in dividends and increases it by 15% annually over 5 years, you’ll receive $2 per share in year 5 – twice as much as at the start!
📘 Payout Ratio
📈 What is it?
The payout ratio shows what percentage of a company’s earnings (per share) is distributed to shareholders as dividends.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess whether the dividend is sustainable – especially in relation to the company’s profitability.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low payout ratio means the company retains more earnings for reinvestment – typical for growth companies.
- A moderate payout (e.g. 25–50%) indicates a healthy balance between returns and reinvestment.
- High payout ratios may seem attractive but can carry risk if earnings decline.
📘 Consecutive Dividend Increases
📈 What is it?
This metric shows how many consecutive years a company has raised its dividend per share – without any cuts or pauses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
(Special dividends are not considered.)
🏛️ Why is it important?
A long track record of increases reflects financial strength, consistency, and shareholder commitment.
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A long dividend increase streak builds confidence – especially in volatile markets.
- Such companies are seen as reliable and income-friendly investments.
- The longer the streak, the stronger the company’s dividend discipline.
📘 Revenue
📈 What is it?
Revenue shows how much a company earns in total from selling its products and services – the gross income before any costs are deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Revenue is one of the key figures to assess a company’s size, market position, and growth potential.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing revenue indicates rising demand and can be an early signal of future earnings growth.
- Comparing actual and expected revenue reveals trends in the market environment and analyst sentiment.
- Note: Strong revenue alone isn’t enough – margins and profitability matter just as much.
📘 EBITDA
📈 What is it?
EBITDA stands for “Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization.” It reflects a company’s operating profit before the effects of financing, taxes, and accounting depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBITDA is widely used to evaluate a company’s operating performance – especially across capital-intensive sectors or international comparisons.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high or growing EBITDA indicates strong operational profitability – independent of taxes, interest, or accounting methods.
- It’s especially useful for comparing companies across sectors or geographies.
- Important: EBITDA is not a net income figure – it excludes key costs like depreciation and interest.
📘 EBIT
📈 What is it?
EBIT stands for “Earnings Before Interest and Taxes.” It reflects a company’s operating profit after depreciation, but before interest and tax expenses.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT is a core profitability metric that shows how well the company performs in its main business operations – independent of capital structure and tax environment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT indicates strong profitability from the company’s core business – before financial and tax effects.
- It allows better comparison between companies with different debt levels or tax structures.
- Compared to EBITDA, EBIT already accounts for depreciation and reflects capital intensity more clearly.
📘 Net Income
📈 What is it?
Net income is the company’s total profit – the amount left after all expenses, taxes, interest, and depreciation have been deducted.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the most comprehensive measure of a company’s profitability – showing how much actual profit remains after all business and financing costs.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growing net income indicates that the company is managing all of its costs efficiently.
- It directly influences valuation metrics like P/E ratio and the company’s dividend capacity.
- Over time, net income trends reveal how resilient and profitable the business model really is.
📘 Free Cash Flow (FCF) | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow shows how much cash remains after a company has covered its operating and capital expenditures. FCF ex SBC additionally deducts stock-based compensation (SBC) to adjust the cash flow for the effect of non-cash SBC.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow ex SBC = Operating Cash Flow − SBC − Capital Expenditures (CAPEX)
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF reflects a company’s actual financial strength – independent of reported accounting earnings. It shows how much flexibility a company has for dividends, share buybacks, or debt reduction. FCF ex SBC also deducts stock-based compensation and shows how much cash generation remains after SBC.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High free cash flow indicates that a company has strong financial strength – independent of reported earnings.
- It is often a solid basis for sustainable dividends and share buybacks.
- Declining FCF can be a warning sign, even if reported earnings remain stable.
📘 Revenue Growth
📈 What is it?
Revenue growth shows how much a company’s sales have changed compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on forward projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected revenue ÷ Revenue in prior year − 1) × 100
Forward growth is based on analyst estimates for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Rising revenue signals growing demand, business expansion, and market share gains – especially important for growth-oriented companies.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Growth is the engine of long-term value creation – especially in tech and growth sectors.
- What matters is not just current growth, but its sustainability.
- Forward projections reflect whether analysts expect continued momentum – or a slowdown.
📘 EBITDA Growth
📈 What is it?
EBITDA growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization) has increased or decreased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBITDA ÷ EBITDA from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Growing EBITDA indicates improving operational profitability – regardless of financing or accounting effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Strong EBITDA growth signals operational efficiency and scalability – especially during growth phases.
- EBITDA growth can be an early indicator of margin and earnings expansion – but should be assessed alongside revenue and EBIT.
📘 EBIT Growth
📈 What is it?
EBIT growth shows how much a company’s operating profit (after depreciation, but before interest and taxes) has increased compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected EBIT ÷ EBIT from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate is based on analyst projections for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EBIT growth is a direct indicator of a company’s business performance – taking into account capital intensity through depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Rising EBIT signals improving operating profitability – even after accounting for depreciation.
- It’s especially important for evaluating companies with significant capital expenditures.
- Combined with revenue and EBITDA growth, EBIT growth provides a well-rounded view of operational progress.
📘 Net Income Growth
📈 What is it?
Net income growth shows how much a company’s bottom-line profit has increased or decreased compared to the previous year – both on a trailing basis (TTM) and based on analyst projections.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Forward = (Expected net income ÷ Net income from prior year − 1) × 100
The forward estimate reflects analysts’ expectations for the current fiscal year.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net income is the ultimate measure of profitability. Growing net income signals stronger efficiency, cost control, and sustainable earnings power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Stronger net income boosts valuation, dividend potential, and investor confidence.
- If profits stall while revenue grows, it may signal margin pressure.
📘 Free Cash Flow Growth
📈 What is it?
Free cash flow (FCF) growth shows how a company’s available cash – after covering operating expenses and capital expenditures – has changed compared to the previous year.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Free cash flow reflects real financial strength. Growing FCF indicates more flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, and reinvestment.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Declining FCF may point to rising investments, increasing costs, or weaker operating performance.
- Especially for dividend investors, FCF growth is critical – since dividends are paid from actual available cash.
- A negative trend isn't always bad, but it deserves closer attention.
📘 Gross Margin
📈 What is it?
Gross margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains after deducting the direct costs of goods sold (like materials and production). It represents the company’s “raw profit” before fixed costs, taxes, and interest.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Or simply: Gross Margin = Gross Profit ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
Gross margin indicates how efficiently a company can produce or procure what it sells. It is a key measure of product-level profitability and pricing power.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high gross margin suggests strong pricing power and efficient production.
- Falling margins may signal rising input costs or competitive pressure.
- Compared to peers, gross margin offers insights into the quality of a business model.
📘 EBITDA Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBITDA margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as operating profit before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization.It reflects operating efficiency without being distorted by financing or accounting factors.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBITDA margin reveals how much operating income a company generates per dollar of revenue – independent of capital structure and tax effects.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBITDA margin reflects strong core profitability – before accounting distortions.
- It allows for effective comparisons across companies and sectors.
- A stable or growing margin signals efficient cost control and business scalability.
📘 EBIT Margin
📈 What is it?
The EBIT margin shows what percentage of revenue remains as operating profit after depreciation but before interest and taxes.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
The EBIT margin reflects a company’s core profitability while accounting for capital intensity (e.g. machinery, infrastructure). It’s especially useful for comparing businesses with different levels of depreciation.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high EBIT margin shows that the company remains efficient even after factoring in depreciation.
- It’s especially relevant for capital-intensive industries.
- Stable or rising EBIT margins over time are a strong indicator of pricing power and business quality.
📘 Net Margin
📈 What is it?
Net margin shows how much of a company’s revenue remains as bottom-line profit after deducting all costs, interest, taxes, and depreciation.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
Net margin reflects a company’s overall efficiency – across operations, financing, and taxation. It shows how much actual profit is generated from each dollar of revenue.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high net margin means the company is not only strong operationally but also manages financing and taxes efficiently.
- Peer comparisons reveal business quality and competitiveness.
- Declining margins despite revenue growth can be a red flag for rising costs or inefficiencies.
📘 Free Cash Flow Margin | ex SBC
📈 What is it?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how much free cash flow a company generates relative to its revenue. In simplified terms, free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures. The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for stock-based compensation (SBC). While SBC does not represent a direct cash outflow, issuing shares as compensation can dilute existing shareholders. Therefore, SBC is deducted from free cash flow in this adjusted metric.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC = (Free Cash Flow − SBC) ÷ Revenue × 100
🏛️ Why is it important?
The Free Cash Flow Margin shows how efficiently a company converts its revenue into free cash flow. Strong free cash flow can provide financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or further investments. The ex SBC version additionally accounts for the economic impact of stock-based compensation and therefore provides a more conservative view of cash generation from a shareholder perspective.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high Free Cash Flow Margin shows that a company converts a high proportion of its revenue into free cash flow.
- This can provide greater financial flexibility for dividends, share buybacks, debt repayment, or investments.
- The Free Cash Flow Margin ex SBC additionally accounts for potential shareholder dilution from stock-based compensation.
- The long-term trend is particularly important. Declining margins can, for example, result from higher investments, changes in working capital, or weaker operating performance.
📘 Equity Ratio
📈 What is it?
The equity ratio indicates what portion of a company’s total assets is financed by shareholders’ equity – in other words, how much it relies on its own capital.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
A high equity ratio reflects financial strength and stability, especially during downturns. It’s a key indicator of a company’s solvency and long-term risk profile.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Companies with high equity ratios are generally more resilient and less dependent on external debt.
- Low equity ratios can signal higher risk or aggressive financial strategies.
- Important: Always assess the equity ratio in combination with the return on equity (ROE). This shows not just how stable the company is – but also how efficiently it uses shareholder capital.
📘 Return on Equity (ROE)
📈 What is it?
Return on equity (ROE) shows how efficiently a company uses its shareholders’ equity to generate profit. In other words: how much net income is earned per dollar of equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROE is a core profitability metric. It helps investors understand whether a company delivers attractive returns on the capital provided by its shareholders.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROE indicates that the company is using its capital efficiently and profitably.
- It’s especially meaningful for capital-intensive businesses or firms with high equity bases.
- Important: A very high ROE can also result from high debt levels – always interpret it alongside the equity ratio to assess financial health.
📘 Return on Capital Employed (ROCE)
📈 What is it?
ROCE measures how efficiently a company generates profits from its total capital – including both equity and interest-bearing debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It evaluates the return on all capital employed, regardless of how it’s financed.
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROCE is ideal for comparing companies with different financing structures. It shows how well management uses capital to create value for both shareholders and creditors.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROCE means the company uses its capital efficiently – regardless of whether it's funded by debt or equity.
- The higher the ROCE compared to peers, the more value the company creates with its invested capital.
- Especially relevant for capital-intensive sectors like industrials, energy, or infrastructure.
📘 Return on Invested Capital (ROIC)
📈 What is it?
ROIC measures how efficiently a company generates returns from the capital invested in its core operations – regardless of whether the capital comes from equity or debt.
🧮 How is it calculated?
- NOPAT = Net Operating Profit After Taxes
- Invested Capital = Operating assets minus non-interest-bearing liabilities
🏛️ Why is it important?
ROIC is one of the most accurate indicators of capital efficiency. Unlike return on equity, it is not distorted by leverage and shows how much value is created for all capital providers.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high ROIC shows how effectively a company uses the capital that is truly invested in its core operations.
- Unlike ROCE, ROIC focuses only on the capital that is actively used to run the business – and that requires a return (i.e. interest-bearing).
- Especially useful when comparing companies with large amounts of excess cash or non-interest-bearing liabilities – giving a more realistic picture of capital efficiency.
📘 Leverage Ratio (Debt-to-Equity)
📈 What is it?
The leverage ratio indicates how much a company relies on interest-bearing debt (such as loans and bonds) relative to its shareholders’ equity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
This ratio helps assess a company’s financial structure and risk profile. High leverage can enhance returns – but also increases exposure to interest rate changes and financial stress.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A low leverage ratio signals financial strength and independence.
- A higher ratio can improve returns in good times but increases risk during downturns or rising interest rate periods.
- 👉 Always interpret in the context of industry, capital intensity, and interest rate environment.
📘 Earnings per share (EPS)
📈 What is it?
Earnings per Share (EPS) shows how much profit is attributable to a single share – and is one of the most important metrics for evaluating a company's performance.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The diluted share count reflects potential new shares that could be issued through options, convertible bonds, or other rights.
🏛️ Why is it important?
EPS is the basis for many key valuation metrics like P/E ratio, PEG ratio, or payout ratio. It enables comparisons of profitability across companies, regardless of their size.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- EPS captures per-share profitability and is especially useful for comparisons over time or with analyst estimates.
- Rising EPS may signal consistent growth or share buybacks.
- Important: Always use diluted EPS for more realistic valuations – especially in companies with stock-based compensation.
📘 Free cash flow per share (FCF per share)
📈 What is it?
Free Cash Flow per Share shows how much free cash flow a company generates per outstanding share – after investments, but before dividends or debt repayments.
🧮 How is it calculated?
Free cash flow is calculated as operating cash flow minus capital expenditures (CapEx).
🏛️ Why is it important?
FCF per Share reveals how much real cash is available per share – useful for dividends, buybacks, or reducing debt. Unlike net income, free cash flow is harder to manipulate and often seen as a more reliable metric.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- High FCF per share signals strong financial flexibility.
- It shows how much capital the company can effectively reinvest or return to shareholders.
- Particularly relevant for dividend payers and capital-efficient businesses.
📘 Short interest
📈 What is it?
Short interest indicates how many shares of a company are currently sold short – that is, borrowed and sold by investors who expect the price to decline.
🧮 How is it calculated?
It reflects the percentage of a company’s shares that are being shorted relative to the total shares available.
🏛️ Why is it important?
Short interest serves as a sentiment indicator: A high value may signal skepticism or bearish expectations – but also increases the potential for a short squeeze if prices rise unexpectedly.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- Low short interest usually indicates market confidence in the company.
- High short interest can be a warning sign – or an opportunity if sentiment shifts.
- Especially relevant in volatile markets or ahead of key earnings releases.
📘 Employees
📈 What is it?
The employee count shows how many people a company employs worldwide – offering insights into its size, structure, and business model.
🧮 How is it calculated?
🏛️ Why is it important?
It helps assess operational scale, labor intensity, and cost structure. Combined with revenue and profit, it enables key metrics like revenue per employee or productivity.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high headcount can signal operational complexity – but also significant growth capacity.
- Revenue per employee is a key indicator of efficiency.
- Especially useful for comparing tech, industrial, or service-heavy companies.
📘 Revenue per employee
📈 What is it?
Revenue per employee indicates how much revenue a company generates on average per employee – a key measure of efficiency and productivity.
🧮 How is it calculated?
The employee count is typically taken from the most recent annual report.
🏛️ Why is it important?
This metric helps compare business models – especially between labor-intensive and technology-driven companies. A high value suggests automation, operational efficiency, or strong value creation per head.
🧮 Calculation
🎯 What does this mean for investors?
- A high revenue per employee indicates a scalable and margin-strong business model.
- A low figure may reflect labor-intensive operations or lower value-add.
- Especially helpful when comparing tech companies to industrial or service sectors.
Occidental Petroleum Stock Analysis
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Occidental Petroleum Events
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Q2 2026 Earnings Call
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StocksGuide Free
Occidental Petroleum — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to Occidental's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note, this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Babatunde Cole, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
All right. Thank you, Gary, and good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in Occidental's Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. On the call with us today are Richard Jackson, President and Chief Executive Officer; Sunil Mathew, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; and Ken Dillon, Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations.
This afternoon, we will refer to slides available on the Investors section of our website. The presentation includes a cautionary statement on Slide 2 regarding forward-looking statements that will be made on this call this afternoon. We'll also reference a few non-GAAP financial measures today. Reconciliations to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure can be found in the schedules to our earnings release and on our website.
I will now turn the call over to Richard.
Okay. Thank you, Babatunde, and thank you all for joining us today. Last quarter, as I started into my new role, I shared our focus looking forward was on execution and delivery from our advantaged resource position. The last few months have been productive, and we continue to deliver strong 2026 results. We were also able to advance our plans for sustainable cash flow growth, and I look forward to sharing updates on both with you today.
To start, I want to frame simply how we think about our approach to value. For us, creating value is measured by our ability to increase both the return on and the return of capital through the cycle. To ensure we are centered on fundamentals to deliver this value, we are focused on four priorities: executing from a strong balance sheet, organically improving our resources, continuing to drive cost efficiencies and generating differentiated cash flow. This year, we are making strong progress on each. We have already reduced our principal debt to $11.8 billion. Our accelerated debt reduction lowers our go-forward annualized interest by approximately $630 million compared to 2025 interest payments. This structural savings helped enable an additional 8% increase to the quarterly dividend this year as approved by our Board and announced yesterday. We also remain on track with our 2026 cost savings targets, while operational efficiencies delivered another production beat in the second quarter.
Taken together, we expect to deliver more than the targeted $1.2 billion of free cash flow improvement for this year before the impact of higher oil prices. Looking ahead, we see a clear pathway to add over $4 billion of annual sustainable cash flow by 2030. This represents an approximate 95% annualized growth compared to 2025. Importantly, this increase is driven by durable improvements across the business, including lower cost, lower sustaining capital and a stronger balance sheet. Additionally, we can deliver this cash flow without increasing production and can expect approximately 85% to be achieved at even much lower prices.
While production growth is not required, our quality resources and execution efficiency provide opportunities for measured growth that could further improve cash flow. Our ability to deliver on this plan is grounded in organic development. We believe our advantaged resources, advanced resource recovery capability and a value-based development approach are three areas that provide a differentiated capability to achieve our value plans. Today, our resources totaled 16.5 billion BOE and are well understood and balanced, providing more than a 30-year low-cost development runway across conventional and unconventional assets. Approximately 88% of our resources are domestic and are complemented by a select set of international assets with strong partnerships, resilient free cash flow and future upside opportunities.
Advanced recovery is another area that plays a central role in our plans. Over the last few years, Oxy has continued to build a differentiated capability to improve resource recovery and unlock more value from the subsurface with demonstrated results. Today, we're applying those capabilities across conventional and unconventional assets to support additional low-cost resource recovery and lower future decline rates. In our plans, we are advancing opportunities across unconventional, enhanced oil recovery and Gulf of America waterflood developments and in exploration opportunities where our advanced recovery capabilities can add value.
As important as our approach to development, we have continued to refine our integrated value-based approach that combines subsurface characterization, technology, infrastructure and operational considerations into long-term field development plans. By combining these important elements, we're able to optimize designs and sequencings to improve recovery and full cycle returns. Our approach is unique by basin, asset area and often individual well, which has led to our top-tier capital efficiency in our U.S. unconventional developments. And we see similar improvements with this approach across all of our operations. Additionally, we seek to integrate advancing technologies and partnerships around our key areas of CO2, power, water and AI to further improve our results. Together, these advantages position us well to deliver our $4 billion in incremental sustainable cash flow by 2030. As we look to the future, we believe these will further differentiate our ability to drive value.
Now to go further into the specifics of our sustainable cash flow growth. We note four areas of improvement with several milestones to mark our progress. First, we will continue to improve capital efficiency and reduce costs across the business. Over the last several years, our teams have consistently reduced costs to deliver more than $2 billion in savings since 2023. We are on track for this year's targets and expect to further extend our savings by 2030. We have clear initiatives underway with new milestones, including U.S. onshore new well cost reductions, lower domestic LOE and transportation costs and improving workforce efficiency through simplification and technology deployment.
Second, we expect lower sustaining capital by $900 million through continued improvements in capital efficiency and from a lower total Oxy base decline. This base decline improvement is driven by our advanced recovery projects, which are expected to support a decline rate reduction from approximately 25% to 20% by 2030.
Third, we will continue to see the benefit from corporate savings as we further strengthen the balance sheet. Continued debt reduction is expected to lower principal debt to a $10 billion milestone and reduce annual interest expense by roughly $740 million compared to last year. Additional savings from the redemption of our preferred equity also contribute to our corporate savings milestone.
Finally, we will see a reduction in Low Carbon Ventures capital spending. With Stratos moving from development to operations, approximately $400 million of LCV capital will fully roll off beginning next year. At Stratos, we're making good progress on the nontechnology-related repair and commissioning of Trains 3 and 4. Based on our current outlook, we expect full plant commissioning to begin around the end of the year as we transition to operations in 2027.
Altogether, our team has done an outstanding job building our sustainable cash flow improvement plan. They have taken a bottoms-up approach, identifying and now executing many detailed projects and initiatives to drive our organic improvement. We see this as a new baseline with opportunities to add and accelerate value as we go beyond our milestones. Additionally, continued portfolio optimization, measured and efficiency-led growth and stronger oil and gas prices can all further increase our cash flow beyond the baseline that we are sharing today.
In addition to our significant cash flow inflection, we know it's important to execute from clear and disciplined allocation priorities. We recognize market and operational conditions will continue to evolve and believe these priorities with the right considerations enable us to improve value through cycles. We begin with a clear set of foundational priorities that are designed to support a stronger business and return of capital capability. Beyond that, we have subsequent opportunities to further add value. These include debt reduction, the redemption of our preferred equity, opportunistic share repurchases and disciplined investment and opportunities that can improve sustainable cash flow and returns. As we consider future reinvestment for growth, we appreciate we have a deep inventory of advantaged, well-understood resources for low-cost development. However, when we invest for growth, we want to be thoughtful.
Simply put, it must be measured, efficiency-led and clearly value additive. There are multiple considerations to help guide our decisions to deliver and improve our baseline plans. Ultimately, our plans are set to build a fundamentally stronger business where we can sustain production at lower oil prices with a sustainable and growing dividend. At higher prices, we have opportunities to add further value, both for the business and our shareholders.
I'll now turn briefly to second quarter highlights. Our teams have delivered another strong quarter operationally and financially. Production exceeded the high end of guidance, reflecting strong operational performance across our assets. In midstream and marketing, adjusted pretax income exceeded the segment's previous record performance. We also generated approximately $3 billion of free cash flow during the quarter, our highest level since the third quarter of 2022. Across the business, execution remains strong to deliver in 2026 and to progress our new plans. Through a relentless focus on efficiency, we're continuing to outperform. The consistency of these results continue to reflect the quality of our team and the strength of our assets.
I'll now turn the call over to Sunil to discuss the financials.
Thank you, Richard. In the second quarter, we generated adjusted earnings of $2.40 per diluted share and reported earnings of $2.75 per diluted share. The difference was largely driven by mark-to-market gains in marketing and crude hedges along with a dilution gain in equity investment income. Strong operational execution and cost discipline, combined with higher commodity prices resulted in approximately $3 billion of free cash flow before working capital. This is our highest quarterly free cash flow since the third quarter of 2022, which included OxyChem. We ended the quarter with approximately $4.2 billion of unrestricted cash, giving us additional flexibility as we continue to advance our cash flow priorities.
As Richard discussed, Oxy continued its track record of strong operational performance. Total production for the quarter averaged 1.43 million BOE per day, exceeding the midpoint of guidance by 23,000 BOE per day. Domestic outperformance was driven by strong base and new well performance in the Permian and higher uptime in the Gulf of America, which more than offset lower international volumes due to Middle East disruptions. We also continue to execute on our cost efficiency targets. Domestic lease operating expense was $7.80 per BOE, a 6% improvement versus guidance, supported by higher production across our domestic assets and maintenance schedule optimization in the Gulf of America. Midstream and marketing outperformed in the quarter, setting a new quarterly record with adjusted earnings of approximately $960 million, which was more than double the midpoint of guidance. This was driven by gas marketing optimization, stronger crude marketing margins due to timing of cargo sales and fluctuations in commodity prices and higher sulfur prices at Al Hosn, partially offset by lower sulfur sales. These results demonstrate the value of our midstream portfolio and capabilities, particularly in periods of price volatility.
Next, let's turn to the balance sheet. We have continued to make significant progress on deleveraging. Since our last call, we reduced principal debt by $1.5 billion to $11.8 billion, the lowest level since the second quarter of 2019. This brings our go-forward annual interest run rate to approximately $760 million, which is approximately $630 million lower than our interest payment in 2025. Net principal debt is now $7.6 billion, reflecting the $4.2 billion of cash we have built. This progress highlights the strength and durability of our free cash flow and our continued commitment to disciplined capital allocation. Near-term debt maturities remain low with only $414 million due through the end of 2029. This provides meaningful support through periods of market volatility and gives us flexibility as we continue to strengthen the balance sheet and prepare for the preferred redemption in 2029.
Our continued progress on deleveraging and structural cost improvements has strengthened the balance sheet and improved financial flexibility, supporting the Board's approval to raise the quarterly dividend by 8% to $0.28 per share. As previously shared, our immediate cash flow priority remains to reduce principal debt to $10 billion. After we achieved the $10 billion principal debt milestone, our focus will be to further reduce net debt. We will balance additional principal debt reduction with building cash ahead of the preferred equity redemption in August 2029, taking into account the macro environment. Share repurchase actions will remain opportunistic and any continuous share buyback program will be a lower priority until the redemption of the preferred. Any increase in reinvestment would be measured and efficiency led, supported by clear macro conditions.
Richard spoke earlier about the work underway to improve cash flow and the sustainability of that progress. By 2030, we expect to deliver $4 billion of annual sustainable cash flow improvement relative to 2025. In oil and gas, this will be driven primarily by cost efficiencies and reduced sustaining capital resulting from a lower decline rate. The oil and gas efficiencies targeted beyond 2026 largely reflect our ongoing expansion of cost savings initiatives. The remaining cash flow improvement will come from midstream savings, a reduction in LCV capital and corporate cost savings. These are largely structural improvements across the business that should expand margins, strengthen resilience and further differentiate Oxy's ability to generate durable leading cash flow over time. Importantly, approximately 85% of the improvements are expected to be delivered even at lower prices, reflecting the durability of the underlying operational improvements rather than reliance on higher oil prices.
Turning to guidance. We expect the second half of the year to reflect continued operational momentum. For the third quarter, we expect production to range between 1.4 million and 1.44 million BOE per day, supported by the strength of our U.S. onshore program and continued execution across the portfolio. In the Permian, production is expected to increase adjusted for a nonrecurring second quarter production uplift, supported by higher activity and resilient base performance. In the Rockies, third quarter volumes are expected to decline as a result of activity timing. And in the Gulf of America, a planned shift in maintenance timing, along with the weather contingency is expected to impact third quarter production. Internationally, we anticipate normalized volumes while recognizing the situation in the Middle East is fluid. For the full year, we are raising total company production guidance. A stronger outlook for new well and base performance across our domestic assets is expected to offset marginally lower international volumes.
For domestic lease operating expense, we expect third quarter cost to be $8.75 per BOE, reflecting the planned shift in maintenance activity and weather contingency in the Gulf of America. For the full year, we are maintaining domestic lease operating expense guidance of $8.10 per BOE with efficiency gains and disciplined cost management, helping to offset increasing CO2 cost pressure related to higher oil prices. In midstream and marketing, we expect third quarter income to decline as the Waha to Gulf Coast natural gas spread narrows. While the narrowing spread reduces midstream income, the impact is expected to be largely offset by stronger upstream gas realizations.
Given the segment's strong year-to-date performance, we have increased full year guidance by $300 million. We remain well positioned to capture commercial opportunities as market conditions develop. On capital, the program remains aligned with our full year plan with weighting towards the first half of the year. We are maintaining our full year capital guidance range of $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion. Looking to 2027, as we mentioned in the previous calls, our starting point for capital spending is expected to be $5.9 billion. That level includes mid-cycle projects that help reduce base decline and sustaining capital over time. At that level of investment, you can assume relatively flat production in line with 2026.
In summary, we believe Oxy remains extremely well positioned to deliver durable value and through-the-cycle returns. In a highly dynamic macro environment, our outlook is supported by a stronger balance sheet, a more efficient cost structure and a portfolio that gives us flexibility across price environments. Our U.S. onshore assets provide short-cycle optionality, while our lower decline mid-cycle investments in the rest of our portfolio support cash flow durability over time. We will continue to allocate capital with discipline, prioritize debt reduction and preserve the ability to return additional capital as we make progress on our cash flow priorities.
I will now turn the call back over to Richard.
Thank you, Sunil. Before we open it up for questions, I'd like to thank our employees around the world for their dedication and their commitment to excellence. Special thanks to our Middle East teams and our partners for their resilience and teamwork as we continue to support each other across the region. The work we're doing across the business is making Oxy stronger. The benefits of a stronger balance sheet, improving cost efficiency and lowering sustaining capital continue to build a significant value inflection ahead of us. I'm encouraged by the progress we've made and believe our best results lie ahead as we execute our plans.
With that, let's open it up for questions. And as a reminder, we have Ken and Babatunde here with us today for Q&A.
We'll now begin the question-and-answer session. [Operator Instructions] Please limit questions to one primary question and one follow up. If you have further questions you may re-enter the question queue. [Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Nitin Kumar with Mizuho.
2. Question Answer
Certainly, a big day for Oxy with this cash flow improvement plan. I want to focus on Slide 6 and two aspects. First, could you talk through the ratability and progression of the cash flow inflection? Some of the initiatives that you mentioned are already in flight. So just wondering how we should think about how quickly you could get to the end goal. And then the second piece was just you briefly mentioned the oil and gas efficiencies, but if you could maybe unpack that a little bit more.
Yes. I appreciate the question. I'm going to start to just frame a little bit and then Sunil is prepared to go into some of the details and timing as this -- I know that's important. I think I just wanted to say in the top, this -- the way we're looking at it, the sustainable cash flow, we think it's important. It really drives the fundamentals of the business. If you think about the levers we have, you increase cash from operations, driving the cost efficiency, the productivity of what we do and then really then the focus on the sustaining capital, both from a new well cost and then as we're highlighting and believe not only our assets, but our capabilities drive those advanced recovery, that really delivers the available cash to then couple with good cash flow priorities to drive value.
So -- but as we think about it going forward, we feel like this is a durable framework that we continue. Hopefully, we're being clear in terms of the cash flow priorities. But as Sunil said, it really is focused for through the cycle. This capability really drives sustainable production dividend, which we were able to make this increase this quarter. And at higher prices, it's being thoughtful about where we allocate the cash.
Maybe the last point I'll say before we get to the timing is just we recognize too, a bit of this is free cash flow focused. We are able to make these incremental mid-cycle, low-decline investments, but this preference towards allocating cash to net debt was an important thing to get out. And so again, driven by structural improvements, driven by things like oil and gas efficiencies and the teams are really lined up to get behind it and drive these results.
But turn it over to timing for Sunil.
Thanks, Richard. Nitin, so in terms of timing, as Richard said, we are currently on track to achieve the greater than $1.2 billion of cash flow improvement in 2026 relative to 2025, which we had outlined earlier this year. Now looking at 2027 sustainable cash flow improvement relative to 2026, a couple of items to highlight. One is on the midstream side, there is the roll-off of Stratos capital. That's around $200 million. And then on the corporate side, it's mostly around interest expense savings. So once we get our principal debt down to $10 billion, our go-forward interest rate is approximately around $650 million. And so from an interest savings point of view relative to 2025, that's around $740 million, of which we expect to recognize around $400 million in 2025 and the additional $340 million in 2020 -- sorry, the $400 million in 2026 and the remaining $340 million in 2027. So that is purely a function of timing as to when we do the debt repayments.
But the other thing I want to also mention is we have assumed a $10 billion principal to debt is just a milestone. And that's what we've assumed in terms of the expected interest savings for this cash flow improvement. But we are likely to lean towards more principal debt reduction if the macro is supportive to reduce that net debt.
And then talking about oil and gas, like Richard said, it's largely a continuation of our operating efficiencies we have seen in 2026, both on the CapEx and OpEx side. The teams are still working through the 2027 plan and incorporating some of the expected benefits. So I don't have a -- I cannot give a specific number at this point. But considering the roll-off of LCV capital, the expected interest savings once we get our principal debt down to $10 billion and some of the expected oil and gas savings, you can think -- it's going to be around $700 million to $800 million in 2027 relative to 2026. So, between '26 and '27, it's going to be around $2 billion, which is approximately or close to 50% of the $4 billion savings. And as you think beyond 2027, there is $700 million of the preferred redemption in August 2029, and that leaves around $1.3 billion, which we expect to achieve between '28 and '29.
Great. So it sounds like it's a pretty ratable program, perhaps a little bit front-end loaded if you take out the preferred redemption. As my follow-up, I just want to -- I like the term efficiency-led growth that you and Richard mentioned. Could you help us unpack that a little bit? The macro environment is obviously very supportive right now. And with this improved cash flow, you have a better ability to lean into growth. How are you thinking about growth right now for '27 and maybe longer term?
Yes. No, I appreciate that follow-up. Again, a bit biased to free cash flow in the near term just to achieve -- feel like that allocation gives us the most direct path to value. But efficiency-led growth means a few things. I mean, one, we continue to drive efficiency this year in terms of outperforming. We were -- in the U.S., our production has fully offset the disruptions of our production in the Middle East. And so we want to continue to challenge our teams to do that.
And then we wanted to list considerations on that Slide 6, too. Just think through a few things. I mean, clearly, returns, you got to start there if you think about reinvestment. But things like cost efficiency, we want to continue to see the cost efficiency that we've seen and that we're now outlooking. And so we'll be thoughtful that any additional activity changes, whether that's growth or not, is maintaining that capital efficiency.
The free cash flow timing is important, especially in the near term. So as we think about constructing the short cycle and mid-cycle projects, we want to see those work together. Decline rate is important. And so again, the timing of the cash flow also comes with the decline rate. And so balancing that so that we're hitting that milestone important.
We continue to advance technology, things like our unconventional EOR. So you want to time those sort of investments to fit that. And then just macro, looking -- obviously, got a lot of volatility at the moment and making sure, especially as we're making more mid-cycle type investments, we want to be very thoughtful that we have a firm understanding of what those scenarios look like.
So all of those mean something. We've also run internal scenarios and maybe Sunil can provide a little color there.
Yes. I mean as Richard mentioned in his prepared remarks, this was a true bottoms-up submission in terms of our long-term plan. And we looked at multiple scenarios. What we've outlined today is sort of a sustaining CapEx scenario, which is without any production growth. But we also looked at a moderate growth scenario where looking at a production CAGR of around 2%. And what we saw was with the balanced investment between short-cycle and mid-cycle investments, our free cash flow improvement is actually better than what we have outlined today by the time we got to 2030. So like Richard said, this is our baseline plan, and we're looking at options as to how we can accelerate and improve on our baseline plan.
The next question is from Doug Leggate with Wolfe Research.
Richard, you and Sunil have worked together for a very, very long time. It's really fascinating to see what you've come up with as a leadership team here. And I've got two specific questions, if I may.
The first one is Sunil made a very clear statement, I think, that buybacks will take a secondary place to the preferred redemption. The implication then is that your net debt will continue to drop, you'll have to build cash to redeem the pref. Is that the right interpretation of that comment is my first question.
And then my second question, if I may, is a big part of your free cash flow inflection aside from the pref is the decline in sustaining capital. I just wonder if you could walk through some of the moving parts. I'm thinking, obviously, you've got steam flood, you've got the EOR, but you've also got the CO2 huff and puff in the unconventional. Just walk us through how you get that sustaining capital down as low as you're planning.
Great. I'm going to start briefly because I think we may share this answer. And yes, it is good work with Sunil for a long time. But certainly, from a cash flow priority, I think you're seeing it right, preferences, net debt. Again, I feel like at this time, that allocation provides the clearest path to increase value. We're excited about the sustainable cash flow. We think it's a tremendous inflection in terms of value for Oxy, but we want to be smart in terms of how we progress that. Decline rate is a part of it, and we are -- as we've restored balance sheet, been able to make some of these incremental investments in the projects you're describing.
But let me talk -- flip it to Sunil, and then we'll combine on some of these projects that are making that up.
Doug, let me just get into a bit more detail in terms of how we are thinking about cash flow priorities. So, as we said, one of our foundational cash flow priorities is to have a sustainable and growing dividend. So it starts with having a strong balance sheet. Our principal debt is currently at around $11.8 billion, which is the lowest we've had since second quarter of 2019, and we are well on track to achieve the $10 billion principal debt milestone.
In terms of leverage metrics, last year, our debt-to-EBITDA based on the actual price of $65 WTI was around 1.9. And once we get our principal debt down to $10 billion, our debt-to-EBITDA normalized for $65 WTI is almost going to be half of that. So then the question is what next? And like I mentioned in my prepared remarks, once we get to the $10 billion principal debt, we will -- our focus is to further reduce net debt. We will balance the additional principal debt reduction and building cash based on the macro and the timing related to the preferred redemption in August 2029. But like I mentioned earlier, we are likely to lean towards more principal debt reduction if the macro is supportive. But considering the current volatility in oil prices, we do not want to give a new milestone at this point.
And share repurchases will be opportunistic, like you said, and you highlighted, any large continuous share repurchase program will be lower priority until the redemption of the preferred in August 29. So, in terms of dividend, we announced an 8% dividend increase this quarter, and we will be measured in terms of how we think about dividend growth, ensuring that we can support it through the cycle through a combination of strong balance sheet and increasing sustainable cash flow.
So the progress on both of these will determine how we think about dividend growth. And accordingly, we will recommend to our Board. So this -- I think, hopefully, this will provide more color and clarity around how we think about cash flow priorities.
Yes. Maybe real quick, Ken and I can -- just a couple of notes on the decline rate. You want to start, Ken?
Yes. Afternoon, Doug. As you know, Oxy is an industry leader in water flooding. We injected water prior to CO2 in all the large Permian EOR fields, also internationally with great success right through to today in Oman, where we use it to reduce declines from 19% to around 7% once complete, extending field lives. Typically, water flooding can add more than 15% oil in place in fields that you already operate with very low F&D. We're now applying these technologies to Goa. On Mountain waterflood remains on track for injection in the second half of next year '28. Marlin King water dump flood was completed in the last quarter and is already on stream. We would expect a response in Q1 next year. And longer term, we completed our CO2 EOR pilot in Oman, and that's been successful.
Yes. So the only thing I would add is I think in total, the waterfloods in Gulf of America, obviously, progress in our EOR projects, certainly in the Permian, but even globally, will contribute. The other thing I'd just quickly say, base performance. I think we've continued to beat on base performance, uptime record. So that's been a big piece of it.
Then the last thing, and this was really an acceleration, but it's a great project we're looking forward to sharing more with. On the Central Basin platform and our EOR assets, we've been able to deploy some workover rigs to do sidetracks in some of our tighter conventional rock using all the things that we've learned through unconventional being able to do some fracs there, we're seeing great results. And so that's been good kind of low-cost adds for production this year. But what that also does is derisk quite a few opportunities on the Central Basin platform. And you can think about it similar to kind of Midland Basin shallow wells or more conventional Midland Basin at similar cost.
So we're excited about that opportunity, but those come at a lower decline rate too, especially when we put CO2 to it where we can increase the recovery and lower the decline. So just wanted to get that in there as well.
The next question is from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs.
Really great disclosure, Richard. First question is just on sustainable cost savings beyond reduction in interest expenses. Can you talk about how you're going to approach taking cost out of the business in a way that is sustainable.
Yes. I appreciate that. I mean that is a really important aspect of what we're trying to do here. The teams, like I said, we'd like to highlight the track record, but more to go. And so as Sunil said, some things continue from this year to next. Our drilling efficiency continues to get better. We're almost 50% better in terms of well delivery per rig. I think we showed some rig reductions in the Permian as a reflection of that efficiency. Simulfrac continues to expand. I think we've increased the outlook on that. So some of these things are what we've been talking about.
I'd say the upside, so this is one we could go further at Ken and I and Sunil and our team are really working to take a global perspective in terms of cost and efficiency. We do a great job across our assets, but we feel like there are some areas that we can continue to scale, work together. And so while we highlight the U.S. well cost and even the domestic LOE, we think there's opportunity beyond that. So I'm really excited about that to get back to working with the teams on that sort of thing.
The other thing, just lastly, we want to be intentional with our work choice milestone. This is the baseline. The teams are obviously working hard to deliver more. And so while this is a start, we're going to be working all options to accelerate value.
I think Sunil had one to add.
Yes, just want to -- Richard mentioned about the efficiency and we have seen so far in '26. So a data point around that based on the efficiencies we have seen so far in Permian, the plan is to drop three rigs in Q4. And -- but we're actually expecting to have 15 more wells online in Permian. And from a production point of view, once we adjust for the transaction we did in Permian EOR, the full year guidance is actually 7,000 more than the original guidance that we had given in the first -- the fourth quarter call. So it again comes back to doing more with less. So this is just another indication of the continued and the relentless focus on operating efficiency.
And then the follow-up is just on LCV. And how does it fit in the multiyear plan? Obviously, Stratus has been a little choppy in the start-up. But as you think of -- and the market conditions are changing, but it's very interesting technology. So just how does it fit into the go-forward strategy?
Yes. CCUS, I'm going to broaden it a little bit just to kind of talk through carbon capture technologies still add value as we look forward or can add value. We've made significant progress for us within LCV advancing several of these technologies, including DAC. The core purpose was focused on CO2, power and emissions. And those are really how you add value to our core business.
We're seeing emerging opportunities in that today in the Permian. As you think about power generation, data center build-out, one outcome is the ability to capture CO2 off of those facilities. And so we're excited and have positioned ourselves, I think, to do that. And so CO2 and power are 30% of the operating cost of an EOR barrel. And so when we look forward, and we're excited about the economics and from a corporate perspective, what things like lower decline do for us, but we do want to address that supply and the cost and carbon capture can play a role.
But where we stand today, we felt like we're at meaningful milestone. DACs coming online as we look forward, the other projects and technologies that we've been working with are at similar milestones. And so we're really at a point where partners in the market need to help pull us forward. And that's been our plan. And so the teams are very focused to make that happen. But with success as development goes forward, we really will be focused on bringing in partners to help us move that forward. So I appreciate the question. Team is working hard on DAC. I know we'll have more updates as we go, but appreciate the opportunity to address that.
The next question is from Betty Jiang with Barclays.
I want to ask about CapEx again. When I look at the sustaining CapEx that's going from $5.4 billion to $4.5 billion, it seems clear based on your comments so far that it will be a pretty gradual step down over the next few years. And then if I compare that $4.5 billion at the endpoint from like the $5.9 billion that you're saying for next year, that's at the top, that's a big range. on how much CapEx can come down. So my question is, what's the quantum of growth capital that you're willing to spend above and beyond the sustaining capital, assuming a mid-cycle price environment, maybe just how you're pacing this investment in both short cycle and longer cycle projects.
Betty, so let's talk about the 2027 CapEx. Like I mentioned, our starting point is $5.9 billion. And the way we define sustaining capital, it excludes multiyear projects, exploration and the growth projects. So for next year, if you back out exploration, we back out the waterflood project in Gulf of America, we're going to see the peak spending related to the Horn Mountain project next year. And also in terms of EOR spending in Permian and some additional spending in international, you're looking at a sustaining capital of around $5 billion to $5.1 billion next year.
So what we are doing is we are continuing to invest in mid-cycle projects that is going to help with our base decline and ultimately reduce our sustaining capital. So as you take it forward to 2030, this is what is going to help us to get to that $4.5 billion. It's a combination of lower decline that helps reduce our sustaining capital. And then we are also expecting more in terms of well cost efficiency improvement. We have said we are targeting 12% by 2030. This year alone, we are at 7%. So it's a combination of these two that's going to get us to the $4.5 billion of sustaining capital in 2030.
Yes. And maybe the only thing to add, I mean, like Sunil said, we've looked at even outlook with that sort of reinvestment. Our free cash at the end with reinvestment exceeds the $4 billion that we're talking about from a sustainable cash flow. So while we think it's important to think about it in the sustainable cash flow lens, the free cash flow outlook needs to improve over time to support that.
Got it. No, that's helpful. My follow-up is on operations on the Rockies asset. It's always one that's a bit difficult to project and a lot of moving pieces. This year, you're investing more in the PRB, which is oilier and I think the program might envision more PRB investment going forward as well. Can you just talk through sort of cadence for the Rockies and just how you think about Rockies contributing within this longer-term framework?
Betty, it's Babatunde. Great question on the Powder River. So I think the Powder in general is becoming a lot more important to our U.S. oil growth story, right? So what we're seeing is a result of just not just strong asset quality, but also quality execution improvements by our teams. So the benefits we're seeing are stronger well performance, continued development of our oily basin position in the basin, but also the same operational efficiencies that Sunil mentioned, we're achieving across these assets also. So just a couple of things to point out on the Powder River Basin.
From a well productivity standpoint, we're about 41% above the industry average using a 6-month oil productivity basis. Well cost is down about 10% this year. We're expecting to be down about 10% this year. So it is benefiting from the same improvements we're seeing across all our other basins. So I think from a cadence standpoint, what you're seeing is the DJ Basin activity moderate a little bit and the Powder River activity shifting into the Powder River. So from a margin standpoint, we're getting oilier, and we're replacing that with some higher-margin production. So we'll disclose more as we move through our cash flow improvement plan, but this is one of the examples of the higher-margin additions that we plan to make as we move through the cash flow framework.
The next question is from Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan.
Richard, I was wondering if you could comment on the application of these advanced recovery techniques in unconventional reservoirs. How -- maybe describe how Oxy is applying it to shale, what you're seeing from a resource recovery standpoint? And how is this helping to mitigate your decline rate?
Yes. I appreciate that question. We obviously have a long history with CO2 EOR and conventional reservoirs. And we've had these pilots now ongoing in the Permian, both Midland and Delaware Basin for 10 years. And while different, the results have been similar. We've seen consistent more than 45% uplift in terms of EUR. So if you're thinking about 10% average recovery in an unconventional well, now you're talking getting up to 15%. We think ultimately, as we continue to cycle CO2, that can get up to 20%.
And so we're doing a lot of things. The industry, I think we're all working on different technologies to help support increased EUR. We're seeing strong results in surfactants and other things. I would say two things that maybe make us a little bit different. One, we're very customized in the way we approach this. So all these techniques are a bit different by basin. Two, we are thinking EOR. So even in surfactant, things like surfactant and CO2 can work together to further improve the results. And so for us, this is a growing story. I think the Central Basin Platform horizontals that are tight conventional are an early opportunity to think about how do these reservoirs perform.
But then as we go into the end of this decade and certainly into next, we've got these commercial projects. We've got three that are underway. They'll come online later '28, '29. We'll start to see those benefits in the decline rate. And then at our option, we're able to then continue to develop those into the next decade. So I appreciate that question. I think that really does differentiate our position, differentiates our focus. And again, we talk about things we do all over the world, but that's a really meaningful one as we think about the next decade.
Great. My follow-up is maybe for Sunil. Sunil, can you talk about some of the puts and takes around the midstream and marketing expectations for second half? Obviously, that's been a key driver of upside on a year-to-date basis. But how do you see that evolving? And perhaps you can give your views on sulfur pricing in Al Hosn, the gas optimization with Waha now getting a little bit better and just thoughts on crude marketing.
Arun, so if you look at our -- what we've assumed for our third quarter guidance, the biggest change, as you've mentioned, is on the gas marketing side. We have seen a significant narrowing of the spread between Waha and Gulf Coast with additional Permian takeaway capacity now coming online. But like I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we expect the impact of the narrower spread on the midstream income to be largely offset by upstream with the domestic income with the Permian gas price realization improvement. And just a data point on that, with the larger Waha to Gulf Coast spread in Q2, our upstream domestic realized gas price in Q2 was around $2.50 worse than the first quarter. I mean, I think in the second quarter, our realized gas price was negative $1.50. So it was almost a $2.50 swing compared to the first quarter. And what we see is with the spread normalizing, we should see the domestic upstream realized gas price also to normalize.
And then with respect to Al Hosn and sulfur, what we have assumed is we have definitely seen the spot prices move higher in the third quarter. but sulfur from the Middle East is largely exported and the region actually supplies almost half of the global seaborne exports. So considering the situation, the current situation in the Middle East, we see a significant volatility with respect to freight costs, and that could potentially impact our third quarter realization and also some potential delay or disruption to our sales. So we have incorporated some of these factors into the third quarter guidance.
And what I would say is with respect to the second half compared to what we thought where we would be when we provided the guidance in the last quarter, that the spread has actually become even more narrower because there's almost 3 Bcf of capacity that has already come online and potentially another 2 Bcf coming online by the end of the fourth quarter. So with the capacity utilization coming in below 100%, even if there were some planned outages, we're not going to see the same kind of dislocation that we have seen in the last couple of quarters. You could see it for a short period, but we don't believe it's going to sustain for a long time.
The next question is from Sam Margolin with Wells Fargo.
Yes. Maybe just a follow-up on midstream because even though your gas position is kind of spread dependent in that business, obviously, you're very well positioned just given the upside potential that, that segment has in any given quarter, right? You're strategically very well positioned. So do you think there's an opportunity to maybe rebase that business in any way, just given what's going on with in-basin gas demand? In the Permian, what we're hearing about local sinks and just by virtue of the fact of where your assets are located, they seem to be in a good place.
Yes. I think a couple of points. I agree. I think we've been well positioned in our midstream investments that we've had over time and then even these contracts have played out well for us. I think the main purpose for midstream for us is to ensure delivery of our product. We've had some upside where we can market beyond our equity. But I think we'll continue to look at the landscape you described, participate, but the real purpose is to really deliver the value, and I think we'll stay centered on that, especially within our kind of capital allocation priorities.
Understood. Okay. And then maybe sticking with the Permian. The year started with a pretty significant change in your development model in the asset. But I'm looking at Slide 27, you've maintained all of your leadership in terms of well performance and productivity. Can you just talk a little bit about how you've managed to kind of make this change and focus on different zones while still sort of sustaining all those productivity goals that you had in the past?
Yes. No, I appreciate that. The well productivity is core to what we do. You can talk about advanced recovery, it starts with unconventional wells continuing to perform. We have a great set of primary benches that play out for a long time. And so the focus of doing that continues. Our well performance has continued to be steady even and improve. We look at it both against ourselves and against our peers, and I think we do well in every basin that we operate.
We do try to derisk secondary benches as we proceed in our development. And so -- and that's back to the second point I mentioned today around development efficiency, being able to refill that midstream infrastructure, being able to take advantage of development areas, that's the most capital-efficient way to approach development. And so we point to a lot of capital intensity number. So if you think about decline rate, now you've got to replace barrels, what is the cost. And so we look at how many millions of dollars per thousands of BOE that you've got to do to replace that. And for us, in the U.S. onshore, it's been less than 20 for quite a few years, which is we look at it as the right measure to think about how to do that efficiently.
So Babatunde may have a couple of other kind of highlights on some of the recent developments.
Yes, definitely. Yes. Thanks, Sam. Yes. No, we're seeing strong repeatable well performance across multiple areas. And really, that's what gives us confidence to expand to where we are today. So I guess a couple of supporting proof points. When you look at the Delaware specifically, our secondary bench development, we're about 40% higher than the industry average 2024 to 2026.
So a lot of that is due to just the work the teams are doing on the subsurface, how do we identify these high-quality targets, how do we frac it -- similar on the six-month oil stat we're about 21% higher than the industry benchmark. So we've increased our second bench development activity in the Delaware from about less than 10 to mid-40s so far. And it just really gives us confidence. It's a part of our long-term growth framework and this cash flow framework, and we've been able to derisk those -- that inventory and provide that growing confidence in the performance go forward.
This concludes our question-and-answer session. I would like to turn the conference back over to Richard Jackson for any closing remarks.
Yes. Just thank you all for your questions today. I really appreciate the opportunity to walk through this new disclosure with you. We're very excited about the delivery opportunity. We look forward to sharing more with you as we progress. And thank you, and have a great day.
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
Occidental Petroleum — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Occidental Petroleum — Q2 2026 Earnings Call
Strong Q2: Oxy delivered ~$3B free cash flow, raised the dividend, cut debt and unveiled a $4B sustainable cash-flow plan to 2030.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Adjusted EPS: $2.40 per diluted share (adjusted for non-GAAP items)
- Reported EPS: $2.75 per diluted share
- Free Cash Flow: ≈ $3.0B in Q2 (highest since Q3 2022)
- Production: 1.43M BOE/d (BOE = barrel of oil equivalent), 23k BOE/d above guidance midpoint
- Midstream: Midstream & marketing adjusted pretax income ≈ $960M (record quarter)
🎯 What Management Says
- Value focus: Prioritizing "return of and on capital" via debt reduction, cost efficiency and organic resource recovery rather than rapid production growth
- Sustainable plan: Targeting +$4B annual sustainable cash-flow improvement by 2030 driven by lower sustaining capital, cost savings, midstream gains and LCV capex roll-off
- Resilience: Management says ~85% of improvements are durable at lower oil prices and much of the upside doesn't require higher production
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Q3 production: 1.40–1.44M BOE/d; full-year production guidance raised
- Costs & CapEx: Domestic lease operating expense guidance maintained at $8.10/BOE full-year (Q3 ~$8.75/BOE); full-year capital guidance $5.5–5.9B with 2027 starting point ~$5.9B
- Midstream: Full-year midstream/marketing guidance increased by $300M; Q3 income expected lower as Waha–Gulf spread narrows but upstream realizations should offset
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Timing of $4B:>$1.2B improvement expected in 2026; Sunil estimates ~$700–800M incremental improvement in 2027 versus 2026, with preferred-redemption (~$700M) in 2029 helping reach remaining savings
- Capital allocation: Priority is reducing principal debt to $10B, then net debt; opportunistic buybacks are secondary until preferred redemption in Aug 2029; dividend growth to be measured
- Decline & recovery tech: Drivers of lower sustaining CapEx include waterfloods, CO2 enhanced oil recovery and unconventional pilots that management says boost recovery and reduce base decline
⚡ Bottom Line
- Bottom Line: Q2 confirmed stronger cash generation, a firmer balance sheet and a clear, ratable plan to expand sustainable free cash flow by $4B by 2030; near-term priorities are debt reduction and disciplined reinvestment, while risks remain commodity volatility and regional disruptions (e.g., Middle East/sulfur market).
Occidental Petroleum — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to Occidental's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Babatunde Cole, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Betsy, and good afternoon, everyone. Thank you for participating in Occidental's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Conference Call. On the call with us today are Vicki Hollub, President and Chief Executive Officer; Sunil Mathew, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Richard Jackson, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; and Ken Dillon, Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations.
This afternoon, we will refer to slides available on the Investors section of our website. The presentation includes a cautionary statement on Slide 2 regarding forward-looking statements that will be made on the call this afternoon. We will also reference a few non-GAAP financial measures today. Reconciliations to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure can be found in the schedules to our earnings release and on our website.
I will now turn the call over to Vicki.
Thank you, Babatunde, and good afternoon, everyone. I want to take a moment to acknowledge the ongoing challenges and uncertainty in the Middle East.
First and foremost, I want to thank our frontline employees in the region for their professionalism and focus under very difficult conditions. Their safety remains our top priority. And thankfully, our teams continue to operate safely with no adverse impacts to our personnel. Also I want to recognize the continued support of our partners and host governments in the UAE, Oman and Qatar. Their collaboration and shared focus on safety and asset integrity remain critical as conditions continue to evolve.
Recent developments have driven sharp price movements and increased volatility across global markets. These dynamics underscore how quickly supply expectations and trade flows can change and why reliability, resilience and financial strength matter. While volatility can influence near-term prices, long-term value is created by companies that execute consistently across cycles while protecting their people and assets.
During this period, Oxy executed as we planned. More importantly, we demonstrated that the strategy we have built over more than a decade can perform well through disruption. Over the past 10 years, we have fundamentally transformed Oxy's portfolio to emphasize quality, balance and durability.
From the beginning, we operated with clear conviction that the world will continue to need oil for decades to come and that the Permian would play a critical role in meeting that demand. That conviction shaped a strategy grounded in subsurface capability and operational excellence to lower full cycle cost across the portfolio.
As we sharpen that focus, we exited noncore assets and redirected capital to competitive positions where our technical capabilities could create the greatest value. We invested consistently in our people, knowing that subsurface expertise and disciplined execution will be key differentiators for Oxy over the long term.
As part of that deliberate work, we shifted to a substantially more domestic portfolio. Today, 83% of our current production and 88% of our total oil and gas resources are in the United States, concentrating our operations in a more stable operating environment. Recent global events reinforce the importance of those decisions.
Through this transformation, we built both scale and depth. Since 2015, we more than doubled production going from 650,000 BOE per day to over 1.4 million per day. We also more than doubled our reserves and resources, increasing reserves from 2.2 billion to 4.6 billion barrels of oil equivalent and total resources from 8 billion BOE to approximately 16.5 billion. These resources are high quality and low cost with a runway of more than 30 years.
At the same time, we diversified and balanced our mix of assets in the portfolio with roughly half of our resources in short-cycle unconventional assets and the other half anchored in lower decline assets across EOR, the Gulf of America, Oman, Abu Dhabi and Algeria. This balance positions us to reduce our base decline to below 20% by the end of the decade and support lower sustaining capital over time.
Subsurface and technical excellence have also been core to our success. Over the past decade, we have invested in data acquisition, reservoir characterization and development design to build a superior understanding of the subsurface. This enables us to optimize development plans by basin, section and formation rather than rely on a one-size-fits-all approach.
Our teams have delivered and the data backs it up. Quarter after quarter, we have achieved industry-leading unconventional well performance across every basin in which we operate. Since 2016, we have maintained a reserve replacement ratio above 100%.
This capability continues to expand and improve our resource base, unlocking new opportunities across EOR, the Gulf of America and our international assets. Looking ahead, this capability will only get stronger as we combine our data and technical foundation with advanced analytics and AI to further optimize development and performance.
Today, with the portfolio, resource base and capabilities we've built, Oxy is positioned to deliver even greater value for decades to come. In the first quarter of this year, we remain disciplined in our capital allocation, maintaining a steady development program aligned with our 2026 plan. And we continue to prioritize balance sheet strength to preserve flexibility and support sustainable shareholder returns. Our first quarter results reflect that progress.
Now I want to take a minute to reflect on the leadership succession plan we announced last week. As I'm sure you saw, I will be retiring as President and CEO of Occidental on June 1. And with the approval of the Board of Directors, Richard Jackson will succeed me as President and CEO. I will continue to serve on Oxy's Board, and Richard will join the Board as well on June 1.
I've worked with Richard for almost 20 years and have always been impressed with his drive for excellence, his integrity and ethics. He brings deep experience across our business and a strong track record of execution, making him a great choice for the next phase of our strategy, which includes the development of our extensive portfolio. The Board and I have full confidence in his leadership as he carries forward the strong performance and foundation we've built at Oxy.
As Oxy enters this next phase, I also have great confidence in our innovative leadership team and our employees who will continue to excel at what we do best, and that is oil and gas development and operations. This is our forte. Oxy's future is in excellent hands.
With that, I'll now turn the call over to Richard to discuss our forward trajectory in more detail.
Thank you, Vicki. I appreciate being able to speak with you all today, and I'm grateful for the opportunity in front of us at Oxy. It's a privilege to be part of our team, and I'm looking forward to my new role to help support and drive value delivery. I want to start by acknowledging the strong foundation that Vicki's leadership has built over the last decade.
It has been a remarkable transformation of resources and capability across Oxy. Her vision of transformation, combined with a strong drive to deliver has positioned us where we are today. More personally, all of us at Oxy recognize and appreciate the impact Vicki has had on our team and on each of us individually. Her passion to develop our team and her people-first approach is something that will endure and shape how we grow together in the future.
As we look forward, our focus now is on execution and delivery. As Vicki noted, we have a 30-plus year resource base that is high quality, rightsized and balanced. We believe each of these are important to help drive our results across any cycle. We're operating from a well-understood resource position with significant value upside and are now set for organic development to achieve our objectives.
Our focus starts with continuing to improve our advantaged resource base through sustained improvements in new well performance and base production. Today, we are a leader in U.S. unconventional well performance where much of our future resource development will occur.
In 2025, we were top tier in every basin where we operate, delivering at least 10% better new well performance than industry average on a 6-month oil per lateral foot basis. We continue to see opportunity for further new well performance improvement across our global assets.
Base production is also a key contributor to our results where we have improved uptime in all operating areas. I want to give special recognition to our Gulf of America team whose focus on maintenance and platform reliability has led to strong base production performance with a record topside uptime of 98% in Q1.
Beyond well performance, we will continue to improve our resources through advanced recovery across 4 differentiated capabilities: U.S. unconventional secondary bench development, expansion of EOR across the portfolio, low-cost development and waterflood projects in the Gulf of America and focused exploration strategy in both our GoA and our international operating areas.
These are all areas where our subsurface capabilities and approach are delivering results and where we have significant opportunities to unlock more value. Another key focus will be continuing to deliver cost efficiencies. Since 2023, we've delivered $2 billion in annual cost savings through operational efficiencies. And in 2026, we are on track for an additional $500 million in oil and gas cost savings across new well and facility costs, operating costs and transportation.
Looking ahead, in the near term, we see a clear pathway to grow free cash flow and value at any price with significant upside opportunities. Our value improvement starts with executing from a strong balance sheet, continuing to organically improve our resources and further driving cost efficiencies.
2026 is an important first step as we are targeting more than $1.2 billion of incremental free cash flow relative to 2025 before the positive impacts of higher prices. As a next step, we are developing plans to deliver significant additional cash flow by 2029 through continued oil and gas cost efficiency and lower decline rates, improvements from midstream and LCV and lower corporate costs driven from lower debt interest and workforce efficiency.
Our forward plan gives us a clear pathway to grow value through any cycle. At lower prices, we will be able to sustain production and grow the dividend. At higher prices, we have the opportunity to further accelerate value by adding measured reinvestment and share repurchases aligned with our disciplined cash flow priorities.
We will also remain leveraged to higher oil price, enabling us to generate substantial incremental cash during these times. Simply put, advantaged resources, lower costs and lower decline rates drive lower sustaining capital and durable free cash flow to grow value in any cycle.
Now let me turn to our first quarter results and progress. In our Middle East operations, our core focus has been on the safety of our people and operations. We want to thank our teams and partners as we continue to work through the events in the region. Sunil will talk through these impacts as he covers guidance for the second quarter and total year.
We exceeded the high end of guidance in both our Oil and Gas and Midstream and Marketing segments in the first quarter. We delivered 1.426 million BOE per day production, a 21,000 BOE per day beat against the midpoint of guidance, largely driven by strong new well performance and uptime across our domestic portfolio.
We also made strong progress on our U.S. onshore oil and gas cost savings this quarter, where we are delivering top-tier capital efficiency. We're building on the successful improvements we have made over the last few years, and we're on track to deliver approximately 7% new well cost improvement in our 2026 plan.
Additionally, last month, we announced the Bandit discovery in the Gulf of America. This is the third GoA exploration discovery we've had in the last 3 years, highlighting our subsurface capability and success of our infrastructure adjacent capital-efficient exploration approach.
I also want to provide an update on STRATOS. The construction of Phase 2 is now complete. This is the second 250,000 tons per year of capacity. It includes the final 2 air contactor trains and updated pellet reactors based on the new design.
We also completed commissioning of the Phase 1 unit operations, which includes operating air contactors and the central processing facility. During commissioning, the technology and process unit operations performed as expected.
After these Phase 1 commissioning activities, we identified an issue related to nonprocess components of the facility unrelated to the technology. We are currently evaluating the repair time line and assessing the impact on the operation schedule and we'll provide an update next quarter. While still early in our assessment for repair, we do not expect this to impact Oxy's capital range for the year.
I want to close again by thanking Vicki for her leadership and commitment to Oxy. Many of us have grown and developed together over the years, and the team and capability we've built is one of the strengths I'm most proud to be a part of.
We've made important progress, but we also recognize there's more to do. Our focus will be on consistent execution of our priorities to deliver enhanced durable value for our shareholders, employees and partners.
I'll now turn the call over to Sunil to review the financials.
Thank you, Richard. In the first quarter of 2026, we generated adjusted earnings of $1.06 per diluted share and reported earnings of $3.13 per diluted share. The difference was largely driven by the gain on the OxyChem sale, partially offset by the impact of derivative losses and early debt retirement premiums.
Strong operational execution, along with higher commodity prices enabled us to generate approximately $1.7 billion of free cash flow before working capital in the first quarter, and we exited the quarter with more than $3.8 billion of unrestricted cash. Even with oil prices roughly in line with the first quarter of 2025, we generated approximately 52% higher free cash flow from continuing operations, demonstrating our continued focus on cost and operational efficiency.
We had higher first quarter working capital use, driven primarily by higher receivables associated with stronger oil prices in March. This was in addition to normal first quarter items, including semiannual interest payments, annual property taxes and compensation plan payments.
As Vicki and Richard highlighted, our Oil and Gas and Midstream segments delivered exceptional results and exceeded our original expectations. Our production averaged 1.43 million BOE per day in the quarter, exceeding the high end of guidance. Strong base and new well performance in the Permian and Rockies, along with strong uptime in the Gulf of America, drove domestic outperformance, exceeding the midpoint of guidance by 33,000 BOE per day.
This was partially offset by lower international production due to Middle East disruptions and PSC impacts due to higher oil prices. We also continue to deliver on our cost efficiency targets. Domestic lease operating expense outperformed at $7.85 per BOE, a 5% improvement compared to our first quarter guidance due to maintenance schedule optimization in the Gulf of America and higher production.
Our Midstream segment outperformed in the first quarter, generating positive earnings on an adjusted basis of approximately $400 million above the midpoint of guidance. This was driven by gas marketing optimization and higher sulfur prices at Al Hosn, partially offset by lower sulfur sales.
We also benefited from higher crude marketing margins due to timing impacts of cargo sales and fluctuations in commodity prices, which are offset in mark-to-market. While the duration of these impacts remain uncertain, our performance highlights the ability of our midstream business to capture value during periods of volatility.
We have continued to make significant progress on our deleveraging. We reduced principal debt below the $14.3 billion level announced on our last call. And today, our principal debt stands at $13.3 billion. This brings our go-forward run rate on interest payments to $845 million per year, which is approximately $550 million lower than our interest payment in 2025. This progress reflects the strength and durability of our free cash flow and our continued commitment to disciplined capital allocation.
Our near-term cash flow priority is to reduce principal debt to $10 billion. Reaching this milestone will further strengthen the balance sheet and enhance our financial flexibility across cycles. As discussed on our fourth quarter call, near-term debt maturities remain low with $415 million due through the end of 2029. This provides meaningful support through periods of market volatility.
In the current environment, higher oil prices are generating incremental cash flow that continues to support this deleveraging path. After we achieve the $10 billion principal debt milestone, we will reassess our cash flow priorities based on the macro environment, including the appropriate balance between building cash on the balance sheet ahead of preferred equity redemption in August 2029, additional principal debt reduction and opportunistic share repurchases.
Any increase in reinvestment would be driven by clear macro conditions and supported by continued cost and operating efficiency. Until these conditions are met, we intend to remain disciplined and balanced in how we deploy incremental cash flow. We are well positioned to increase reinvestment from a highly advantaged resource base at the appropriate time.
Let me briefly comment on hedging. We have not historically been active in hedging as we believe we create shareholders over the long term by maintaining exposure to commodity prices. That said, we have selectively hedged under specific circumstances. In February, prior to the conflict escalation in the Middle East, we put in place a modest amount of oil hedges using costless collars. At that time, we saw increased downside oil price risk and an opportunity to take measured action to preserve operational momentum and support our 2026 capital plan with a steady development program and without using the balance sheet.
We hedged 100,000 barrels of oil per day from March through December 2026 with a floor of $55 WTI and a volume-weighted average ceiling of approximately $76 WTI. This was primarily an operational decision and not a change in our hedging strategy. As volatility increased and prices moved higher, we stopped adding new hedges and do not intend to do more.
Looking ahead to the second quarter, we expect performance to remain strong, reflecting disciplined execution and durable efficiency gains across our domestic portfolio. Our forward outlook incorporates a few discrete impacts driven primarily by 2 factors. First, in the Middle East, modest operational constraints at Al Hosn are expected to impact volumes. These began in mid-March and are anticipated to normalize before the end of the second quarter. In addition, higher prices under PSC terms will result in lower net production.
Second, we executed transactions to further optimize our EOR portfolio, increasing working interest in our core operated floods while divesting scattered noncore fields and associated facilities. While this lowers our EOR production modestly, these actions are free cash flow accretive, shifting the portfolio toward higher-margin oilier production and meaningfully lower operating costs. Overall, this improves both the quality and durability of our EOR asset base.
Strong U.S. onshore execution is expected to partially offset the impact of our EOR portfolio optimization. In the Permian, unconventional production is expected to increase in the second quarter, supported by higher activity and resilient base performance. In the Rockies, second quarter volumes are expected to be roughly flat, excluding prior period adjustments. In the Gulf of America, second quarter volumes are expected to decline modestly, reflecting planned facility maintenance and the beginning of tropical weather season.
As a result of the Middle East disruptions and strategic EOR actions, we are adjusting the midpoint of full year production guidance to 1.44 million BOE per day. We are maintaining our previous guidance for domestic lease operating expense as increasing CO2 cost pressure related to higher oil prices is offset by the benefits of the EOR optimization transactions.
Turning to Midstream. We expect earnings to remain strong in the second quarter, driven by gas marketing optimization opportunities given the wide Waha-to-Gulf Coast natural gas spread seen quarter-to-date. Our guidance assumes impacts to sulfur sales in the quarter due to disruption in logistics from the ongoing Middle East conflict. We expect sales to normalize in the second half of the year, recognizing conditions in the region can change quickly.
Given strong performance year-to-date, we are raising the midpoint of full year midstream guidance to $1.1 billion, an increase of approximately $800 million from the full year guidance provided in our last call. We continue to expect the Waha-to-Gulf Coast spread to narrow later this year as additional pipeline capacity comes online, and we believe we remain well positioned to capture marketing optimization opportunities as they emerge.
Capital spending in the first quarter was in line with our 2026 plan with activity weighted towards the first half of the year. We are maintaining our full year capital guidance range of $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion with the second quarter capital expected to be higher than the first quarter.
Even in a highly dynamic macro environment, our outlook remains strong. Our short-cycle U.S. onshore portfolio continues to be a key competitive advantage with low breakevens, enabling efficient stable activity while providing significant capital flexibility in extreme price scenarios. We complement our U.S. unconventional onshore investments with selective lower decline mid-cycle investments that reduce our sustaining capital and strengthen cash flow durability across price environments.
Together with continued balance sheet progress and disciplined capital allocation, we are well positioned for the future, delivering strong, consistent operational results providing resilience through volatility and the ability to opportunistically return capital.
I will now turn the call back to Vicki.
Thank you, Sunil. Since becoming CEO in 2016, I have worked with our Board and management team to operate with integrity and discipline, and we have invested in technical capabilities that differentiate Oxy, and we built a portfolio designed to endure. The progress we've made reflects that focus and above all, the expertise and commitment of our people.
I again want to thank our leadership team and our employees throughout the company for their performance over the past 10 years. They consistently exceeded my expectations with incredible passion, perseverance and loyalty. I also want to thank our Board for their strong guidance and support.
And in addition, I want our owners to know that I very much appreciated your trust and long-term perspective. I found our one-on-one meetings to be very valuable and informative. It's been a privilege to spend my 45-year career at Oxy and to lead this company alongside such talented and dedicated employees.
With that, we'll be happy to take your questions as Babatunde and Ken will also join us today for the Q&A, and we're ready now to begin.
[Operator Instructions] The first question today comes from Doug Leggate with Wolfe Research.
2. Question Answer
Vicki, it's been fun watching you reposition the company. I'm sure you're not going to miss us, but we're all going to miss you. So congratulations and good luck to you.
Now, Richard, you are taking the seat, obviously. And I think the obvious question to ask is, if anything, how do you see things for Oxy strategically? I don't know if you're able to give your top priorities. But as CEO, what does the strategy look like under Richard Jackson's tenure? I've got a follow-up, please.
Yes. Great to be with you, Doug. Appreciate to answer this. I think I'll start with a couple of perspectives. I think near term, there are several things that we're very focused on in terms of delivery. And I think that's a key thing that I'll continue to repeat.
I think, first of all, execution of our current program, '26 as we go into '27 is critical. We came out this year very proud of the program that we put together, I think, really highlights the efficiency that we have in the program and the quality of the resources that we've been talking about. So I certainly want to spend time with our teams, making sure that we have those put together partners as we extend those opportunities to our global operations. So focusing on near-term execution is critical.
I'd say the second piece maybe gets a bit more strategic. There's a couple of elements. I think one thing we've been working on, and we mentioned it in our script, is talking about free cash flow improvement near term. So as we go, certainly, this year was a big step with the free cash flow that we identified, but over the next several years.
We feel like there's some very clear drivers that at any price, we'll be able to significantly improve our cash flow outlook, continuing cost efficiency, one we're talking more about, which is our low decline of our production that's coming forward, having the opportunity this year to invest in things like the GoA waterfloods and even EOR is significantly contributing to lower decline as we go over the next few years.
And then improvements in our midstream and LCV and then, of course, debt interest as we continue to make great progress on deleveraging. So being very clear on that free cash flow plan important. And then that turns into a value plan. And so I think for us, it's simple as we think about driving value. How do we drive sustainable cash flow up, both free cash flow or we think about it a lot internally, cash from operations.
And then those things that I described drive our sustaining capital down. And so when we do that, we're really built to generate significant cash flow at any price. Lower prices, we can continue to grow our dividend. At higher prices, we get the opportunity to further grow our dividend, but also reinvest in this high-quality resource base that we have and then look at opportunistic share repurchases.
So I think being aligned on those plans, articulating what those clear drivers are, and then we really want to engage and help our investors understand when and how these improvements show up.
The last thing I'll say, while I've got the opportunity is obviously our people. I mentioned, obviously, the role that Vicki has played over the last 10 years, but we have great people. And I think these are always opportunities to work, look at growth, succession planning, how do we continue to develop.
And then we've been doing quite a bit of work on workforce efficiency, whether that's technologies like AI or simply relooking at our processes and priorities to make sure we're focused on this delivery that I'm describing. So those are the big ones that we'll be focused on initially. But again, look forward to delivering in the near term as well.
Congratulations to you as well, Richard. It's been fun watching you evolve as well. Maybe my follow-up, if you don't mind, I don't want to be too critical, but I'm looking at Slide 20 on the deck. And Sunil, you talked about getting to the $10 billion principal debt milestone. Obviously, your net debt is sitting a little over $11 billion, at least it was before you paid down the May bonds.
But the next line item on Slide 20 says ongoing net debt reduction. And I really want to understand what that means. Are you prepared to take this balance sheet to a level that essentially prepositions to redeem the prefs when they come due? I mean, that would essentially mean 0 net debt. What are you signaling?
Doug, just to put things in context, let me first walk through the progress we have made with respect to deleveraging in the last 6 months. So at the end of Q3 last year, our principal debt was at approximately $20.8 billion. And since December last year, we have paid down $7.5 billion. And today, our principal debt is at $13.3 billion, which is below the target we set in Q4 last year of $14.3 billion.
So we want to further strengthen our balance sheet. So our near-term focus in terms of cash flow priority is to reduce principal debt to $10 billion. Now once we get to that $10 billion of principal debt, we will reassess based on the macro, and we have multiple options.
So one is build cash on the balance sheet to redeem the preferred in August of 2029, when we can redeem the preferred without the $4 per share return of capital trigger. So like you mentioned, that is the option of reducing that debt and being ready to redeem the preferred in August of 2029. So that is one option we have.
The other option is reduce principal debt beyond the $10 billion. And the third is opportunistic share repurchases if there is a major dislocation between share price and oil price. So -- we don't have a specific net debt target, but ultimately, it's going to depend on the macro, and we will take the appropriate action at that point based on what we believe maximizes shareholder value.
And a couple of other options are, I mean, as we also think about potential reinvestment opportunities, once we have a clear clarity on the macro and supported by continued cost and operating efficiency, that is something we would consider because of the portfolio that we have and our operational performance.
And the last thing I want to highlight is, Richard mentioned about having a sustainable and growing dividend even at low oil price. So if you think about it, in 2029, after we have redeemed the preferred and even if you were to assume no principal debt reduction after $10 billion, the cash flow improvement between preferred dividend and interest payment will be approximately $1.2 billion better compared to 2025.
So if you look at our current common dividend payment, it's approximately $1 billion. So what that means or implies is a significant opportunity to have a sustainable and growing dividend even at lower oil price.
The next question comes from Nitin Kumar with Mizuho.
Vicki, first of all, congratulations on the milestone and thanks for your support over the years. Richard, you've been very clear about this new $10 billion target, and that's the first priority. A lot of your peers have formulaic return of cash programs in place. You're still talking about opportunistic buybacks. What is the hesitation in adopting something like that? And is it because you feel the macro is still volatile? Or is there any other reasons for not adopting something like that?
Yes. Thank you for that. We -- you're right. We have preferred not to have a formula-based approach to sort of our returns. I think for us, the cash flow priorities lay out how we think about and then as I walk through the value proposition, how we turn what we do into shareholder value. And so having flexibility through uncertainties has given us advantages to be able to move to do that.
And so what I can say with clarity is that what doesn't change are the fundamentals of driving the cost efficiency into our program. If you think about how do we create additional cash, capital efficiency, lower operating expense and lower decline. That's where we fundamentally are focused.
In terms of our cash flow priorities, I think bigger picture, I think dividend, as Sunil was mentioning, is where we go. If we think about share repurchases, we do want to be able to create those opportunities. But as we look to the future and especially after we build an even stronger balance sheet, continuous share repurchases through the cycles gives us opportunity, and it even helps our dividend growth as we're able to do that on a consistent basis. So for us, a lot of what we do really focuses to the opportunity to grow the dividend and -- as we put these pieces together. So hopefully, that helps.
No, that's great. And then just you talked about discipline and maybe staying the course on at least '26 and maybe not chasing growth. One of your peers talked about increased non-operated activity in the Delaware Basin. Anything that you're seeing on the ground, you have a big position and a big operation there in terms of others chasing growth?
I think we're managing that. That was one of the uncertainties we had early in terms of our capital range for the year. And so our teams have been continuing to work that and haven't seen anything that's put us out of our plan. What I do think that the teams have done even after the EOR optimization that we talked about, the core components of our production were strong with over 9,000 barrels a day on the total year that we improved.
And so even in the Permian, for us, we're growing. GoA, we're growing. As we've been able to think through the current price environment within our plan, within our spend, we are seeing time-to-market optimization. We're seeing opportunities in our operating expense categories, both in GoA and EOR to accelerate. And so these are the type of things that we're seeing. I'm sure others are having some of those opportunities, but we -- those have been the controllables that we've been really focused on staying within the plan for the year.
The next question comes from Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan.
Vicki, yes, I also wanted to express my best to you as you move into the next chapter. And Richard, congratulations to you as well. My question is, you guys are targeting for principal debt to reach a $10 billion number, call it, this year, just given the improvement in strip pricing. I was wondering how you're thinking about capital allocation post reaching this objective.
Richard, you mentioned the potential to shift into some measurement -- measured reinvestment, pardon me, to deliver kind of a modicum of growth. And I was wondering -- walk us through how that pivot into a little bit more reinvestment could look like for Oxy. Is this a '26 opportunity or more longer dated? And talk to us about between short cycle and long cycle, where your thought process is?
Yes. I appreciate that. Like I said, this year, we know delivery is critical, always is, but we really wanted to demonstrate the capital efficiency that we had in the program. And certainly, the milestone of $10 billion, what we're able to deliver this year is helping. As we think about reinvestment conditions, a few things. I think Sunil laid it out as well, but I'll add maybe a couple of additional points.
I think the macro being more clear is important. Obviously, the dollar we spend today doesn't turn into production or at least peak production until next year. And so that, in addition to the efficiencies that we're delivering this year are largely built on what I call development efficiencies.
So more wells per pad, longer laterals, more simul-frac. These take integrated development planning to put those together. And so while we are always looking to improve the program and optimize, these are things that are more difficult to change without impacting that efficiency. So clear macro support before we make add is important.
I would say the other one is decline rate. We like what we're doing this year in terms of the investment into EOR and the GoA waterfloods, Being able to go from mid-20s towards 20 or less over the next few years in terms of decline rate reduces our sustaining capital hundreds of millions of dollars, which gives us more headroom for return on capital. And so at low prices, that's an important one to establish.
And then I would just say, when we do feel like reinvestment comes, we want to provide clear outcomes. What's the returns? What's the cash flow timing? What's the decline rate? We want to be able to demonstrate that everything we do improves this value proposition that we talk about. So when I say measured, it's kind of just taking that approach.
With that said, we do have an amazing resource base, and it is very balanced. And so we have the opportunity, and we know that to accelerate value over the long term, whether we're sustaining production or growing production, that reinvestment, getting that right, as you're describing, is really important. And so I do think going forward, our idea is to be more balanced in terms of how we not only put it together for returns, but also decline rate.
And Sunil, yes.
Yes, Arun, I just want to add, in the last quarter, we did mention that for 2027, you can use $5.9 billion as a starting point for the sustaining capital. So the assumptions behind that $5.9 billion was U.S. onshore capital was assumed to be flat compared to this year, and the growth is largely going to be driven by capital efficiency, like what we've been demonstrating for the last few years.
And Richard mentioned about the balance between unconventional and the conventional to manage the base decline and reduce sustaining capital. So in Gulf of America next year, related to the Horn Mountain waterflood projects, we'll be drilling 2 injectors. So you're going to see some increase in Gulf of America next year.
Exploration, we typically participate in 3 wells with around 30% working interest. This year, we had actually reduced activity in exploration. So that might go back to on an average of around $150 million, which is what we have done over the last few years.
And then you have the roll-off of the LCV capital. So $5.9 billion would be a starting point in terms of sustaining capital. And like Richard said, any increase in reinvestment is largely going to be driven by the macro, but we are well positioned to do it at the appropriate time.
That's super clear. For my follow-up, Richard, I cover some of the North American service companies as well, and they are talking about being able to push some price on rigs, frac and consumables. You did reiterate your CapEx range at $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion for the full year. I was wondering if you could talk about some of these inflationary pressures? And does it change kind of where you expect to land within that range?
Yes. No, I appreciate that. I'll start, but invite Ken to help a little bit too from his perspective. I would say highlighting, I guess, new well cost, the 7%, that's largely driven by efficiencies today. So we've seen some ups and downs in terms of pricing, but are largely holding flat.
The thing I would say with our service partners, we've done for a long time, but I think we've just continued to get better at this, too. And that's really finding how do we work together for performance. And so much of what you'll see us do is try to find ways to address their needs in terms of utilization or even pricing but make sure that our performance is being delivered. And so we're obviously more levered to the cost of the well.
And so we've done quite a bit to work with them to -- while we largely hold flat to continue to drive our costs down. So things like diesel and other things certainly are playing a role, but not a major role. So to directly answer to your question, we do not see that as an impact on our range. And in fact, our cost improvement is intact through efficiencies. But let me ask Ken to add.
Yes. Sorry about that. Middle East, we've seen supply chain as a huge success during this period. Everyone's worked really well. So we've not any shortages, impacts on production due to material deliveries or costs. All of our vendors have really stuck with us. And we've seen what Richard said there. We've seen increases in some areas offset by other areas. We still see vendors really interested in market share as opposed to individual line item wins. And I think given our scale and mass in each of our locations, that's really paying off for us, especially as we concentrate activities on one pad, for example, utilization becomes really clear for the vendors. So overall, a very good story by supply chain, I think.
The next question comes from Betty Jiang with Barclays.
I want to share my congratulations to Vicki and Richard as well. My first question is probably a bigger picture one. Your Slide 3, I think, really laid out what Oxy was focused on in the last 10 years versus where the next 10 years could look like. You already have built the foundation for the portfolio today. So a question for Richard, where do you think is the biggest opportunity to extract value from the current portfolio from here in the next phase in this execution phase? The free cash flow expansion, we can clearly see, but where are you most excited about, whether that's the resource expansion or from the cost efficiency side?
Great. Really appreciate that question. There's a lot I could say there, but I'll try to narrow it down, a lot to be excited about. I think a few things. I think our advanced recovery that we're being doing, whether that's in, again, the Gulf of America with the waterfloods, CO2 EOR. We talk about our conventional opportunities, but now our unconventional, even internationally.
I think when we look at our resource base over the next 10 years, that is going to be a distinct advantage. And this has been building for some time. I think I got to work with Vicki the first time we were in EOR. And so this has just been exciting for us to see that mature. And we really believe that the time is now that translates back to lower sustaining capital and more value for our shareholders. So excited about that part as well.
I think operations excellence continues. I think we have got a great team that understands how to put things together, not only for CapEx, but as we think about operating expense and base production. I think one of the best things we've demonstrated over the last year, if you go back and look at our production beats was production uptime in the base production. And the people that work on that are some of the best, I think, in the world that we have.
I also think workforce efficiency. I think we have a talented group. And we -- as we look forward, being able to continue to be innovative, deploy technology, I think AI is taking on a larger and larger role across all disciplines in the company is a big part of that. And then one thing that maybe doesn't change is partnership. I think we've done a great job in our core operating areas internationally, being able to find ways to create win-win, things like our exploration program.
I think Oman, I love the -- I think it's such a great example of what we mean about how we're different in exploration, being able to take things more difficult, new reservoirs and really grow them to scale, and we're able to do that near existing facilities. So all of these things coming together at the end of the day to drive that value proposition that we're talking about. But it certainly starts with the resources, and we're in an outstanding position today.
No, that sounds great. And maybe digging a bit more into the base optimization. I really appreciate that there's a lot of focus on mitigating that decline. Can we just get an update on the unconventional EOR projects? What do you need to see to scale these projects? And what are some of the limiting factors longer term?
Yes, great. I mean we have the 3 commercial projects that we had talked about that we were starting. Most of that this year is kind of getting the early construction and the long lead items moving, mainly compression. Those again are expected to be online in 2028. But we have continued in some demo work. We've had continued demo in the Midland Basin around actually Barnett, which we're really happy about, our primary production, but we're now excited about what we can do with CO2 EOR there and seeing very good results on a first cycle. So I'd say the proof points continued on CO2 EOR.
The other one that's happening maybe in EOR that a little bit different than what we've talked about in the past. We've had some great success with some sidetracks in San Andres on the edge of the Central Basin Platform and in the Central Basin platform. We feel like this is one of the things we've been able to optimize in the program to actually add production this year.
One of the advantages of the divestment and acquisition or optimization in EOR is we're concentrated now our working interest where some of these opportunities lie. So I think EOR, I think we disclosed or planning to disclose today, we're about 100,000 barrels a day, but we really see that we're concentrated with the right low-cost structure with all of these advantages that we can take into both our conventional and unconventional assets.
The next question comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs.
Congratulations, Vicki. And congratulations, Richard, as well. Maybe, I think, Vicki, give you an opportunity to share your perspective. The last 10 years have been very volatile for the energy sector, but any perspective on the decade ahead and what leaves you optimistic? And what are the biggest concerns that you think we as an investment community should be spending time on?
Well, I think that volatility is just -- it's going to be with our industry forever. It's always been volatile. It will continue to be. It seems more volatile now because we just see the numbers as they change daily. A lot of things have happened in the history of our industry going all the way back to the Suez crisis, Yom Kippur, Iranian Revolution, Iran, Iraq war back in the '70s, the price wars, the -- now I think it -- when the oil price -- real oil prices changed dramatically was when PDVSA strike in Venezuela, Iraq war, Asian growth and a weaker dollar. That's when WTI prices started being driven up.
But through all the volatility, there are some things that are pretty consistent. So if you look at January -- from January 1974 to today, WTI averaged $76 in real prices averaged $76.32. And if you go back and you look at this century, let's say, forget about the last century, look at this century from 2001 to now, the average real price was $81.67. And if you take out the 9 years in this century that prices were above $100, that takes prices down still to a pretty healthy level at $66.76. But we tend to remember the bad prices and the bad times versus the times when things were okay. And that's why we've built our portfolio to last through the cycles and no matter what cycle to be able to add value and create value for our shareholders now and going forward into the future.
Because 2 big things are really important. First, the pricing that I talked about. I think that if you're built to last and make it with cash flow generation through the cycles and a dividend that you can support in the years where the prices are lower, you got to make sure you're prepared to pay the dividend through the cycles. Then the other thing that's really important to think about is that in the U.S., we expect that between 2027 and 2030, the U.S. is going to hit a plateau. So price -- the production then will start to decline.
And where we sit today is with a better inventory than I believe any company with respect to our U.S. base. And so we'll be prepared in the U.S. to be able to help with that -- help offset the decline that's happening because we not only have great assets in the United States, we have the ability, as Richard just described, to apply EOR to get more oil out of the reservoirs that we have. And we're not going to do that just in the United States, we'll be doing it in our international operations as well.
And internationally, we're in 3 places that -- where we have great relationships with the government. We've been there longer term in Oman and Abu Dhabi than Algeria, but the ability to do more there, too. And now that resources are becoming a real issue for some companies because of the fact that 80% of the current oil reserves in the world are held by NOCs or governments.
And so trying to get reserves if you don't have a strong and large inventory today is getting more and more challenging and needing to go international to locations where we decided as a part of this transformation, not to go to, you can get better contracts in bad places, but that doesn't end up with usually with a better result.
And so we're really happy that we believe that for decades to come, oil is going to be needed, that peak supply will occur before peak demand, not just for the United States, but for the world. And we're perfectly positioned with where we are today, the capabilities in the portfolio to be a part of helping to address that.
Yes. Great perspective, Vicki. And then the follow-up is, and I think you responded to this last quarter, you're now long inventory through M&A and good reserve replacement. And so the probability of needing to do large M&A has really diminished. Richard, I'd just love your perspective on that as well. Is that a viewpoint that the leadership team shares and it's really an organic story. So both of you guys, love your perspective.
Yes. I just want to say we did not go through what we went through to build this portfolio to let it sit there for 30 years. So Richard, to you.
Yes, we're very focused on organic development. So I think what's been done has been -- put us in an outstanding place. Our responsibility now is to extract value from it. And I think we are laser-focused on all the fundamentals that come through capital efficiency, operating efficiency, the subsurface work to continue to do that. And so there'll be opportunities around assets to continue to improve. Those type of things always occur, whether it's trades or other things.
But couldn't be more excited about the balance and I'd like to call it rightsized resource base that we have. Working to deliver the most value, and we look at a lot of scenarios. I like to do scenarios. We are put together to deliver the most value. And so that is clearly what we're focused on and just excited to do that and appreciative -- very appreciative of what we have to work with.
And thank you, Neil, for the question and helping us to clarify that.
And with that, I think we're done with the Q&A, and thank you all for joining us and for your questions, and have a great day.
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
Occidental Petroleum — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Occidental Petroleum — Q1 2026 Earnings Call
Oxy lays out a durable, cash-flow–focused plan with a leadership transition in sight.
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- Adjusted EPS $1.06; GAAP EPS $3.13 (gain on OxyChem sale partly offset by derivative losses and debt premium)
- Free cash flow ~$1.7B before working capital; unrestricted cash >$3.8B; FCF up ~52% vs 2025 continuing operations
- Production 1.43 MMBOE/d; above high end of guidance, ~33k boe/d above midpoint
- Debt & leverage principal debt $13.3B; target $10B; new run rate interest ~$845M/yr (down about $550M vs 2025)
- Capex & milestones 2026 capex guidance $5.5–$5.9B; 7% new-well cost improvement; Bandit discovery; STRATOS Phase 2 complete
🎯 What Management Says
- Execution & value delivery focus on delivering the 2026 plan, improving cost efficiency, reducing decline, and generating durable free cash flow that supports shareholder value at any price.
- Balance sheet & returns continue deleveraging toward $10B, preserve flexibility, and prioritize dividend growth with potential opportunistic buybacks when appropriate.
- Leadership continuity leadership transition: Vicki retires on June 1; Richard Jackson to become CEO; Board supports a stable, long-term path.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Near-term outlook modest Middle East constraints at Al Hosn; PSC-driven net production down; GoA EOR optimization improves cash flow despite modest volume shifts
- Full-year production guidance midpoint raised to 1.44 MMBOE/d
- Midstream guidance raised to a $1.1B midpoint for 2026; capital guidance kept at $5.5–$5.9B
❓ Analyst Q&A
- Strategy & priorities emphasis on near-term execution, free cash flow expansion, and measured reinvestment; maintain transparency on timing and returns.
- Debt plan pursuit of $10B debt, options to redeem preferred in 2029 or pursue buybacks; capital allocation flexible with macro conditions.
- Capital allocation vs. M&A preference for organic growth and value-led moves; opportunistic actions considered but not a formula-based program.
⚡ Bottom Line
Oxy reinforces a rightsized, US-centric portfolio with strong cash flow, ongoing deleveraging, and disciplined capital allocation, while transitioning leadership and preserving dividends as a core shareholder return over the cycle.
Occidental Petroleum — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to Occidental's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note this event is being recorded.
I would now like to turn the conference over to Jordan Tanner, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead.
Thank you, Drew. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in Occidental's fourth quarter 2025 earnings conference call. On the call with us today are Vicki Hollub, President and Chief Executive Officer; Sunil Matthew, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Richard Jackson, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; and Ken Dillon, Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations.
This afternoon, we will refer to slides available on the Investors section of our website. The presentation includes a cautionary statement on Slide 2 regarding forward-looking statements that will be made on the call this afternoon. We'll also reference a few non-GAAP financial measures today. Reconciliations to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure can be found in the schedules to our earnings release and on our website.
I'll now turn the call over to Vicki.
Thank you, Jordan, and good afternoon, everyone. 2025 was an exceptional year for Oxy, made possible by the focus, discipline and commitment of our people. Our teams worked safely, executed consistently and delivered outstanding operational performance all while driving meaningful cost reductions and efficiency improvements and increasing our financial flexibility. We took decisive actions to strengthen the company and position Oxy for long-term value creation. The sale of OxyChem made possible by the quality of our portfolio was a deliberate step to strengthen our balance sheet and enable us to deliver greater value from our high-return oil and gas assets. As a result, the portfolio we have today is the strongest Oxy has ever had. Built around high margin, lower decline and long-lasting conventional assets, we developed a world-class unconventional portfolio and achieved the technical excellence to maximize and expand its value. Now with our operational excellence and our differentiated enhanced oil recovery expertise we are perfectly positioned to drive sustainable free cash flow growth and deliver long-term value to our shareholders for decades to come.
This afternoon, I will walk through our 2025 financial and operational performance, the actions we took to strengthen Oxy and our priorities and capital plans for 2026. Richard will then cover our operations in more detail, and Sunil will review our fourth quarter results and outlook for the year ahead. Starting with our financial performance. 2025 demonstrated the resilience of our business. Even with oil prices down around 14% from 2024, we generated $4.3 billion in free cash flow before working capital. On a normalized basis and excluding OxyChem, we increased cash flow from operations by 27% year-over-year. This improvement came from exceptional execution in multiple areas, including reduced operating costs, increased capital efficiency and strong production performance. Debt reduction continued to remain a top priority in 2025. We repaid $4 billion in debt from multiple sources. And with the completion of OxyChem sale earlier this year, our principal debt now stands at $15 billion, about $3 billion lower than before the CrownRock acquisition. Just this morning, we announced a tender offer that is expected to further reduce principal debt to $14.3 billion, reaching that target we set when we announced the OxyChem transaction. This progress reflects disciplined capital allocation and a sustained focus on strengthening the balance sheet. It gives us the flexibility to invest in our best opportunities and continue delivering value to our shareholders.
Now I'll discuss our operational achievements. Operational execution was a clear differentiator for us in 2025. We set a new annual production record of 1.4 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding the high end of our guidance while spending $300 million less in oil and gas capital than originally planned. We reduced annual operating expenses by $275 million and achieved our lowest lease operating expense per barrel of oil equivalent since 2021. Reserves to replacement remains critical to the sustainability of our business. Every year, we strive to add at least as many reserves as we produce. This is getting tougher across the industry, but once again, our teams delivered. In 2025, we achieved a 107% organic reserves replacement ratio and the 98% all their reserves replacement ratio at a finding and development cost below our DD&A rate. Including the 2.5 billion barrels of resource we shared last quarter, our total resource base now stands at 16.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent, providing more than 30 years of low-cost opportunity. Importantly, 84% of our total resource base breaks even below $50 per barrel.
Our leadership in enhanced oil recovery and advanced recovery techniques continues to extend resource life and improved capital efficiency. Midstream also delivered strong results with adjusted pretax income, surpassing the midpoint of guidance by more than $500 million, driven by gas marketing optimization in the Permian and higher sulfur prices at Al Hosn. More importantly, our employees achieved record safety performance across our global operations in 2025. In the fourth quarter, we launched our Remote Operations Command Center in the Gulf of America, which complements our Rockies and Permian remote operations command centers. These utilize advanced AI and remote monitoring and have further enhanced our safety, reliability and operational efficiency. In 2025, our strategic actions improved our balance sheet and showcased our team's innovation and operational expertise. With the sale of OxyChem, our 10-year journey to build the best and most diverse oil and gas portfolio is complete, yielding a larger, higher-quality resource base, now at 16.5 billion BOE, up from $8 billion BOE in 2015, and increasing production from 668,000 BOE per day in 2015 to 1.43 million barrels of oil equivalent per day in this year.
U.S. assets now provide 83% of our production compared to 50% in 2015, while our international assets remain high quality and high performing with upside potential. Our mix of conventional and unconventional assets provides a complementary balance that offers investment flexibility and downside production through the cycles. We no longer require transformative acquisitions. Instead, our teams are focused on what they do best and that is execution, including cost reduction, capital efficiency and well performance, resulting in higher production, better margins and greater financial flexibility.
I'm confident that our teams will continue to innovate in all these areas into the future. While we are pleased with this pivotal achievement, we are not yet satisfied there's still more work to be done. So looking ahead, our priorities for 2026 will build on the progress we made last year. First, we plan to maintain our production base through safe, reliable operations because safety and operational excellence are foundational to everything we do. Second, delivering a sustainable and growing dividend remains central to our strategy, including the 8% increase to our quarterly dividend announced yesterday. Third, we will continue to strengthen our financial position and remain opportunistic in terms of share repurchases and further net debt reductions. Our value proposition is rooted in investing in high-return oil and gas projects that generate strong cash flow today, while advancing mid-cycle projects to reduce sustaining capital requirements over time. We're also progressing integrated technologies in CO2, power and midstream to drive resource recovery and long-term value, bringing StRATOS online this year is an important step in this strategy.
Turning to our capital plan. We're entering 2026 from a physician strength. We expect capital spending to range from $5.5 billion to $5.9 billion, representing a $550 million reduction from 2025, excluding OxyChem. This reflects a leaner, more efficient Oxy and continued capital discipline. Even with lower spend, we expect production to average approximately 1.45 million barrels of oil equivalent per day. Approximately 70% of our oil and gas capital will be directed to our U.S. onshore portfolio, providing flexibility to respond to commodity price improvements, while maximizing near-term cash flow.
I'll now turn the call over to Richard to discuss operations in more detail.
Okay. Thank you, Vicki. 2025 was a standout year for Oxy, and I'm proud to share the progress we've made across our operations. Last year, our focus on cost efficiency and well performance continue to deliver positive results. As Vicki noted, our teams delivered record annual production of 1.434 million BOE per day production while reducing total spending by $575 million, including a 7% beat in domestic operating expenses. In U.S. onshore, our new well capital costs were down 15% compared to 2024 with Permian unconventional costs down 16% and the Rockies down 13%. These new well cost improvements are part of our ongoing track record of oil and gas cost efficiencies. Since 2023, we've achieved approximately $2 billion in annual oil and gas cost savings across our capital and operating expense categories. At the same time, last year across all U.S. onshore basins, our new wells performed more than 10% better than the industry, measured on a 6-month cumulative oil per foot basis. We also achieved record production from our Holston and record uptimes in Algeria, Gulf of America, Al Hosn and our U.S. onshore EOR facilities, adding strong base production delivery to our production [ beef. ]
I want to recognize our teams for the relentless drive to improve cost efficiency and performance while also delivering record safety results across our operations. As we look towards 2026, our operational priorities continue to center on three key focus areas: Extending and improving our low-cost resource base, further driving cost efficiency, and generating resilient free cash flow at any price. Last quarter, we highlighted the significant resource opportunities ahead of us, including our 16.5 billion BOE and 30-plus years of low-cost development runway. This included our advanced recovery opportunities like unconventional EOR that position Oxy for the future. Today, I want to expand on our cost efficiency progress, which is central to our 2026 plan.
The significant cost efficiencies and strong well performance we achieved in our oil and gas operations have positioned us to deliver another $500 million of cost savings in 2026 with $300 million from capital and $200 million from operating and transportation costs. This includes about 7% lower well costs, 5% less facility cost and a 4% reduction in domestic operating expenses. These structural savings are a result of a focused cross-functional effort from our teams over the last several years.
Moving forward, we aim to deliver further efficiency gains with our ongoing focus on enhancing cash flow from operations and lowering sustaining capital. These efficiencies, combined with changes in our program allocation have enabled us to reduce our 2026 capital plan by $550 million compared to 2025 without chemicals. This includes $300 million capital reduction for oil and gas and a $250 million reduction in LCV as STRATOS construction winds down. On StRATOS, we've made great progress. Phase 1 is in the final stage of startup and is expected online in Q2. Phase 2, which incorporates the learnings from our R&D and Phase 1 construction activities will also begin commissioning in Q2, with operational ramp-up continuing through the rest of the year. Last quarter, we discussed the potential to reallocate up to $400 million of capital to U.S. onshore operations as capital rolled off in other areas. However, further cost savings and higher productivity from both base and new wells eliminated the need for this reallocation.
Ultimately, these efficiencies further enabled us to reduce U.S. onshore capital by $400 million compared to 2025, while still delivering a 1% production growth. This year, we plan to invest in key mid-cycle projects, including Gulf of America waterflood projects and unconventional EOR, where we've increased capital by $200 million from 2025. We view mid-cycle projects as an important part of our strategy to improve and extend resources lower total company decline rate and ultimately lower our sustaining capital.
In [ Goa, ] we are beginning our Horn Mountain waterflood project, which has potential to provide significant incremental recovery with initial uplift to begin in late 2027. We believe our pipeline of [ Goa ] waterflood projects, combined with our ongoing focus on production reliability can meaningfully lower our base decline rate and operating expenses. Importantly, our agile operations and 2026 plans provide flexibility to deliver resilient free cash flow even in a lower oil price environment. We have the ability to continue to adjust spend and activity across capital and operating expenses while delivering mid-cycle investments as needed to preserve near-term cash flow and position Oxy for reinvestment only when market fundamentals are clear.
In closing, our operational strength and financial progress in 2025 has positioned us for a strong year in 2026. We we've proven that our execution, relentless cost focus and operational agility can deliver outstanding results even in a dynamic market. Our teams have set new benchmarks in safety, efficiency, and well performance, and we're carrying that momentum into 2026. I'm confident that by maintaining our focus on improving resources and cost efficiency, we will continue to deliver durable results and enable a stronger, more resilient Oxy that will create lasting value. Thank you.
Now I'll turn it over to Sunil.
Thank you, Richard. In the fourth quarter, we delivered strong operational and financial results. We generated an adjusted profit of $0.31 per diluted share and a reported loss of $0.07 per diluted share. The difference was largely driven by charges and transaction costs related to the sale of OxyChem. Our sustained focus on cost efficiencies and operational improvements enabled us to generate approximately $1 billion in free cash flow despite lower realized oil prices. As Vicki and Richard shared, we had an excellent quarter operationally and strengthened our financial position. Production exceeded the midpoint of guidance by 21,000 BOE per day, driven by strong U.S. onshore performance. We also achieved our lowest quarterly domestic operating expense since 2021 at $7.77 per BOE.
Momentum across our oil and gas portfolio is accelerating, demonstrated by our exceptional operational performance throughout 2025. We remain highly confident in our ability to unlock further value for our shareholders, driven by our disciplined capital allocation and strong operational performance. Our Midstream segment delivered outstanding results with adjusted pretax income in the fourth quarter, exceeding guidance by $172 million. This was largely driven by our team success in optimizing transportation around unplanned maintenance on third-party pipelines out of the Permian as well as higher sulfur prices at Al Hosn. As shared last quarter, OxyChem and legacy environmental liabilities are reported under discontinued operations. Our strategic actions and targeted focus on efficiencies further lowered our cost structure and enhanced our financial flexibility. The successful completion of the OxyChem sale at the start of the year, accelerated our deleveraging, strengthened our balance sheet and enabled us to reduce principal debt to approximately $15 billion. Over the last 20 months, we have repaid $13.9 billion in debt. As a result, our leverage metrics have improved significantly, and our near-term debt maturity profile is fairly minimal with approximately $450 million due over the next 4 years.
In addition, this morning, we launched a $700 million debt tender offer that is expected to reduce principal debt to $14.3 billion, a reduction of over 40% since year-end 2024. As a result of our disciplined execution and ongoing focus on cost efficiencies we have driven our sustaining capital requirement lower. We are taking purposeful steps to enhance our cost structure and financial resilience as demonstrated by the operational efficiency gains realized in 2025 and expected savings for 2026. We expect to improve free cash flow by more than $1.2 billion in 2026. This is largely driven by expected annual operational savings of $500 million in oil and gas and $400 million in midstreaming savings, partially driven by improved crude transportation costs. In addition, we expect to realize approximately $365 million in interest savings in 2026 compared to 2025. These initiatives will continue to strengthen our cost structure, supporting resilient free cash flow in a lower price environment.
Our improved financial strength, lower sustaining CapEx and and lower cost structure support our 8% dividend increase. Our cash flow priorities remain disciplined with a clear commitment to delivering long-term value for our shareholders. As I shared before, as we build cash on our balance sheet, we will be opportunistic in terms of share repurchase and of further net debt reductions. We believe this balanced and opportunistic approach will serve us better as we prepare to resume redemption of the preferred equity in August 2029 when it becomes callable without a $4 per share return of capital trigger and at a lower reduction premium. As Vicki and Richard highlighted, our commitment to cost improvements and prudent capital allocation in 2026 allows us to further reduce costs while maintaining relatively flat production. Total capital for the year is expected to range between $5.5 billion and $5.9 billion weighted to the first half. The midpoint represents an 8% reduction from 2025, excluding OxyChem, primarily driven by efficiency gains and optimization of activity levels.
Our capital plan is structured to maintain flexibility and support long-term value creation, enabling us to adapt to oil price uncertainty. We continue to prioritize short-cycle, high-return assets to maximize near-term cash flow, while investing in mid-cycle projects to balance base decline. Approximately 70% of our capital program remains focused on U.S. onshore assets, preserving significant flexibility to respond to market changes. Related to 2025, spend in U.S. onshore is expected to decrease by $400 million, reflecting ongoing efficiency gains and a reduction in Permian activity levels. We plan to increase investment in the Gulf of America, permit EOR and international by approximately $200 million, supporting our long-term base decline rates through mid-cycle investments. Investment in these projects will support future sustaining capital improvements. We have reduced our exploration budget by approximately $100 million with lower spend in the Gulf of America.
Investment in low carbon ventures will be approximately $250 million lower year-over-year with STRATOS anticipated completion of both phases this year. As Richard mentioned, we expect 2026 production to grow approximately 1%, averaging 1.45 million BOE per day, even at lower capital levels. First quarter volumes will be lower, reflecting reduced fourth quarter activity and working interest in U.S. onshore, the impact of winter storm firm and planned turnarounds that will impact Gulf of America production in the first half of the year. Production is expected to increase in the second quarter, driven by stronger Permian volumes positioning us for strong full year performance. In Midstream, we anticipate slightly lower earnings in 2026 as gas transportation optimization opportunities narrow with increased Permian gas takeaway capacity and in the back half of the year. However, improvements in crude marketing out of the Permian, including the benefit from revised transportation contracts at lower rates are expected to partially offset this impact. We expect a higher working capital used during the first quarter, which is typical for this time of the year, driven by property tax, compensation plan payments and higher interest payments.
In summary, our disciplined capital allocation, strong asset base and operational performance continue to drive resilient performance and enhance capital efficiency. The advancement of our key portfolio initiatives and sustained cost efficiencies have reinforced Oxy's flexibility and financial resilience. As we continue to strengthen our financial position, we are confident in our ability to create long-term value for our shareholders as we move forward in 2026 and beyond.
I will now turn the call back over to Vicki.
Thank you, Sunil. In closing, 2025 was a year of strong execution and disciplined decision-making. We delivered lasting efficiency gains and higher productivity, reinforcing the capabilities and talent of our workforce. And we strengthened our balance sheet and enhanced our financial flexibility, setting the stage for strong shareholder return in the years ahead.
Before we move to Q&A, I'd like to share that Jordan Tanner, who has led our Investor Relations team for the past three years, will be taking on a leadership role in the Gulf of America, helping to advance our portfolio of exciting development opportunities. Jordan has done an outstanding job sharing our story, helping communicate our strategy and results and supporting our leadership team. We've also gotten a lot of positive feedback from many of you about Jordan and his ability to tell our story. We greatly appreciate Jordan's contributions and look forward to his continued impact in his new leadership role.
I'm also pleased to announce that Babatunde will become Vice President of Investor Relations reporting to Sunil. Babatunde brings deep operational and leadership experience, most recently as President and General Manager of our Delaware Basin business unit. In that role, he was instrumental in driving operational excellence and accelerating the growth of our unconventional development in the basin. Babatunde has 20 years of industry experience working in reservoir engineering and production operations. Please join me in thanking Jordan and welcoming Babatunde.
We'll now open the call for your questions.
[Operator Instructions] The first question comes from Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan.
2. Question Answer
Vicki, I was wondering if you could maybe walk through some of the moving pieces of the much lower CapEx guide relative to the soft guide that you provided on the third quarter call, you did come out about $800 million lower than that -- a soft guide that you provided last quarter. And maybe you could just walk through kind of the moving pieces. Richard mentioned about $300 million of savings from efficiency gains plus you're reducing exploration CapEx by $100 million. So that's about half of the delta. But maybe just walk through the other changes and perhaps what's happening with activity under the revised program.
Yes. I want to point out, Arun, that we always start our capital planning in around June of each year. So we go through about three processes before we get to the point where we actually make a recommendation to the Board. And part of what happened is our teams are just getting better. Our teams came up with these ideas on what we should do and what were the best projects, but as they continue to optimize those projects, it was pretty amazing to see the cost that they were able to cut out, the efficiencies that they were able to to find. So a lot of it is just the teams doing exceptional work. And again, I have to say that we've gotten to the point where the process that Richard and the team in the U.S. and that, Ken, the offshore team and the international groups they're incredibly innovative, and they have processes that they've put together ways to look at things that differentiates us from others. I like to call it the saving process for oil and gas, it works. And it's working for our teams. And Richard, you can -- you -- I think both of you can share a little bit of the details about the specifics around what did change.
Yes, perfect. Thanks, Vicki. Thanks, Arun. I'll try to walk through a few of the pieces and fit the Vicki's good description there. We're certainly excited about the 2026 plan. It really is a continuation of strong performance from '25. So let me just walk through a few of the pieces. As you look at oil and gas, a few moving parts that I'll walk through, but about $300 million of reduced oil and gas, and that's really mostly structural cost savings and a bit of reallocation, and I'll walk through that and then get into the structural piece. And then as we look at total Oxy that $250 million lower LCV. So that was kind of the big picture. But diving into the oil and gas within that $300 million, the key driver of the program is really a negative or minus $400 million of U.S. unconventional capital. And that's against last year's capital. As I mentioned in the prepared remarks, we had kind of worked through this in total and had worked ourselves out of the reallocation, but it really was those efficiencies that drove another $400 million. And then we are down $100 million year-on-year on exploration as we continue to optimize that program. And then going up in our mid-cycle $200 million, and that's really focused on Gulf of America and the waterflood project, and our -- a bit in our international and our unconventional EOR. So then just let me spend the last minute on introducing this structural cost savings. So in our U.S. unconventional, about 70% of that $400 million reduction is a continuation of well cost. So we talked about and certainly highlight the $2 billion the team achieved from '23 to '25. This is an additional 7% of well cost, an additional 5% on facilities and construction. And these are really -- at a high level, we can get in through the call, but these are really development efficiencies. These are more wells per pad, a bit longer laterals, but from an activity standpoint, we're actually able to achieve this with lower activity. So we have 2.5 lower rigs to frac cores. And that's all being done through operations efficiency, but the other really important part is the production improvement. And so base production had a significant beat in the fourth quarter that rolls into 2026. And then our new wells continue to deliver not only the primary benches but the secondary benches, and I know we have a slide highlighting that continued improvement. So I just wanted to walk through that at a high level, but certainly want to spend time on these structural cost savings because we think that they're important for this year, but we'll be able to expand those as we go into the future.
And then similarly for International, we have many examples of sustainable savings. For example, our drilling performance has improved so much in Algeria. We dropped a rig from our plan this year. and we can still achieve the year's program as originally planned. And [ Goa ] and the Horn Mountain waterfloods that Richard alluded to, facilities team really did a great job of reducing capital by leveraging to the maximum of the existing systems top sites and then only augmenting the existing sea water system with new filters and pumps, while doing that, we're able to keep the original injection date, so a really good team performance.
2
Great. My follow-up is just on the Horn Mountain waterflood project. We expect the initial rate next year, do you think that a project like this should be able to support kind of a sustaining production profile for the Gulf as we look out the next several years in that low 130 MBOE per day kind of range?
Yes. Great question. I think the way I'd put it is we're really entering a new year in [ Goa, ] one with lower declines due to the water flood. So this water flood, the King dump flood, the future water floods are also improving reliability due to our ongoing initiatives and then lower OpEx per barrel long term. And we have a large inventory of development wells and additional wedge layers, including some really interesting opportunities. So it feels like we're entering [ Goa ] 2.0. In terms of declines in walk-down, thank Horn Mountain as part of it. So it will move from a 20% to sub-10% decline by 2030 and improving to below 5% in subsequent years. King will be down to low single-digit decline. And I think our portfolio level go average decline is projected to decrease to 12% with the potential to get below 7% as the additional water floods are bid online. And these are substantial reserves associated with them in very low F&D. So I think long term, we have a really good runway and can sustain production for a very, very long time.
The next question comes from Nitin Kumar with Mizuho.
I want to start off on Slide 24. You mentioned the 16.5 million BOE and the $38 breakeven what catches my eye is the sub-30 bucket, how much of that is unconventional because we hear a lot about shale inventory depth and exhaustion, you're showing a big piece is quite economic. So what's driving that?
Let me begin again, yes, so what's happening there is in the U.S. unconventional is the continued improvement of the inventory, starting with primary -- the primary intervals, which were amazing. The secondary benches are providing now as much value as their primary benches did. And then all the things that Richard's mentioned has lowered costs for the resource business to down to the less than 50. And this is specifically talking about the Resources business, not the entire portfolio, but the rest of the portfolio is pretty competitive with U.S. unconventional. And you can see that the U.S. unconventional is pretty much almost half of the total. So in [ Goa, ] and in the other areas, we are doing things that are lower -- continuing to lower those costs as well. So it's -- the whole resource is the average resource is about at a $38 per barrel breakeven.
Great. Sorry about the delayed -- I wasn't sure if it was on my end or not. As my follow-up, Sunil, maybe for you, you mentioned the opportunistic approach to buybacks. A lot of your peers have provided formula or percentages and things like that. Could you help us understand why the reluctance to go down that path, you have a lot of room on the cash return side?
Hi, Nitin. So first, let me start with the progress we have made on deleveraging, just to put things in context. So when we announced the OxyChem transaction last year, we said that we'll be using $6.5 billion of the proceeds to pay down debt, and our near-term principal debt target was $14.3 billion. We also said that we'll be initially focused on paying down the debt maturing in the next 3 to 4 years. So where are we today with respect to debt. Our principal debt is currently at $15 billion and on track to get to the $14.3 billion with the $700 million tender that we announced this morning. So we have $450 million of debt maturing between $26 million and $29 million, and that was $5.5 billion for the same period at the end of Q3 2025. So I just want to highlight that first, we have delivered on the deleveraging goals that we outlined late last year. So how do we -- looking forward, we would like to first get our principal debt to $10 billion, but we're not setting a time frame to get to this target as we want to have some flexibility. And we expect to have a better view of the macro in the second half of this year. And at that point, I think we will be better positioned to make the appropriate decisions on how we balance between cash build and our return of capital opportunities for 2026 and beyond. The other thing I want to highlight, which Vicki had mentioned in our prepared remarks, our foundational or top return of capital priority is to have a sustainable and growing dividend. So consistent with that, we increased our quarterly dividend by 8%. And we expect to continue making progress with lowering our sustaining capital through operational efficiency and also investing in the mid-cycle projects like [indiscernible] America and Permian EOR. Now this should also help with a sustainable and growing dividend. So I just want to conclude by saying, as I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we believe that this balanced and opportunistic approach will serve us better as we prepare to resume redemption of the preferred equity in August 2029. And we always get the question, what is special about August 2029, it is, at that point, it is callable without the $4 per share return of capital trigger and at a lower redemption premium.
The next question comes from Betty Jiang with Barclays.
Congrats on the efficiencies, cost savings that you're being able to achieve in 2025 and reflecting 2026 guidance. A big question that we're guiding just what does it mean for 2027. I know I'm not asking for '27 outlook, but how much of the saving is sustainable to '27? Is there anything getting deferred from '26 into 2027? Sunil, I think you mentioned that CapEx will be far and weighted, but perhaps like activity is back-end weighted. So we're just trying to figure out if production will be growing 4Q to 4Q and really just how that all flows into 2027.
Okay. So let me start first with the 2027 capital. Again, this is too early to provide any soft guidance, but I just want to give you some thoughts on how we are thinking about the next year's capital. So if you start with U.S. onshore, you can assume this year's capital as sustaining capital. But like Richard said, as we have demonstrated over the last few years, we've been able to reduce the sustaining capital through cost efficiency and strong well performance. So we expect to maintain this momentum into next year. So we could see a modest growth with this year's capital depending on the efficiency and new well performance. In Gulf of America, there will be an increase related to the waterflood project because both the injection wells for the unmounted project will be drilled next year. International, you can assume it to be flat compared to this year. And on exploration, for the last few years, on an average, we have been spending around $200 million per year. This year is lower because we don't have a new program starting in Gulf of America. And LCV, with the completion of STRATOS this year, capital should be coming in lower into 2027. So what I would say is, overall, this year's capital range will be a good starting point as sustaining capital and depending on the exploration capital and potentially some reallocation between the assets. And the last thing I would say is if we do have a modest production growth with sustaining capital, it is primarily due to a combination of savings, not just limited to CapEx, but other categories too and well productivity and capital reallocation that will be driving this modest production growth. And now I'll let Richard talk about the -- particularly in production.
Yes, great. Yes, two things I'd like to take the opportunity to just walk through. One is the structural savings to just think about how that rolls into 2027. Again, it's largely structural, anything sort of year-on-year beyond that has really been optimization of our mid-cycle projects, but let me walk through that and then the production. So from a structural standpoint, again, going back to 2023 to '25, significant improvement over 28% well cost in our U.S. onshore. I'd characterize that as -- and as you followed our story, very focused on specific operational activities, drilling, completion, facilities. And so we had a lot highlight [indiscernible] over that period of time. For example, we're drilling more wells per rig per year. So twice the number of wells per rig. And so you could see that in our gross and net rig activity that we've been able to do. So as we go forward, it's a lot more development, what I call development efficiency. So a few highlights. Wells per pad across our U.S. position has gone from 3 to 4 to 4 to 6. Our lateral length is improving 10%. And then a big part on the completion side, we've been able to really scale simul-frac. And so with these larger wells, on a pad, we've gone from 10% to near 40% across our U.S. position going in simul-frac. So again, just give some kind of underpin the structural piece of that. From an optimization standpoint on our mid-cycle projects, as we went year-on-year exploration is a piece of that. We continue to look at how do we optimize that program and make sure it fits on a multiyear perspective. But the Horn Mountain project, waterflood project that Ken described, the team continued to work through that through the last several months and optimize the schedule and the cost profile. And so that was a big piece of things. So it wasn't a deferral. The injection begins. We expect the uplift in late 2027. And that would be the same for our EOR projects. We've got an uptick in capital there, both unconventional and opportunities in our conventional EOR. So I just wanted to reemphasize the point of it being optimization, not deferrals. Lastly, on production, just a couple of things to point to. Permian does grow, as you mentioned, it's about 4% year-on-year. And so there is a profile during the year to continue to grow there. And then in Rockies, while down year-on-year, it's really a transition year as we go into Powder River Basin. And so what you'll see is actually pretty stable wells online through the year. There was a bit of a opportunity in the DJ. We're moving to a greenfield project we call Bronco that has more wells per pad. We're actually deploying simul-frac in our Rockies operations. So this will kind of provide a steady outlook, but you're transitioning the Powder River Basin. And so that production from the beginning of the year to the end, has a pretty good growth trajectory. So it's almost double from first quarter to fourth quarter. So those are some of the moving parts as you look at our activity slide and try to put the pieces together. So hopefully, that helps.
Really helpful. Follow-up on the Rockies. I think the program just really stood out this year with a fairly flattish capital, actually, the D&C is lower as a percentage. But while [ pills ] are up quite a bit, almost 45%. So maybe going forward, there's a lot of moving pieces. And as you said, going into PRB, will it be a good baseline to think about going forward, will the PRB typically higher costs as well. So maybe just unpack the dynamics there?
Yes. Just a couple of points to that. I think, again, you'll see sort of the DJ trajectory trending down just a bit year-on-year. Now one thing to point out, if you look year-on-year, we had a non-op divestment last year. So that was a portion of the year-on-year change. But even just trajectory, DJ, declines a bit but stabilizes at the end of the year, PRB goes up. Again, I would look at the wells online and even if you go into DUC counts, those stayed very steady through the year. It just transitions. The dynamic I'd point you to is oil cut and Powder River Basin is higher. And so on a BOE basis, that may change a bit, but that oil cut is going to pick up in the Powder River Basin. We've seen tremendous well performance. We talk about the secondary benches in the Permian, but both the Nio and Turner have had, for us, record production over the last year. That's really given us that confidence. And to back up, it's just very similar to the way we work Delaware and Midland Basin. We like that scale across the basins to really optimize operations, but they do balance themselves between gas and the oil production. So we'll continue to help with that is that [Audio gap] we're excited about that PRB program going forward.
The next question comes from Doug Leggate with Wolfe Research.
I wonder if I could ask a couple of questions. First 1 is on the sustaining capital updated guidance of $4.1 billion, that's obviously at $40 oil. Obviously, we're early from that, what would that number look like, however you want to define it, let's say, I don't know, today's price or $70, how would be a [indiscernible]. And then my follow-up is, obviously, LCV has still got some residual capital this year. Does that go away in 2027? And can you give us some idea whether or not we are we're starting to think about removing the drag on the midstream business. Does that -- is that thing now at least contributing to cash flow? And I'll leave it there.
Hi, Doug, Sunil here. So let me first start with the sustaining capital. So if you look at the midpoint of our CapEx guidance for this year, it's $5.7 billion. And the way we define sustaining capital is to keep production flat, like you said, in a $40 environment And excludes multiyear projects and mid-cycle projects that does not support production in the near term. So from $5.7 billion, you back out LCV and exploration of $300 million, you're at $5.4 billion. And then if you backed out the $200 million of mid-cycle project, you are at $5.2 billion and going from $5.2 billion to $4.1 billion at $40, that is primarily deflation around 20% deflation. That is what we assume going from $55 to $40. And another thing which I would like to highlight is, in 2025, our sustaining capital was $4.5 billion. That was to support 1.42 million BOE per day. And so if you adjust that for OxyChem, it's around $4.2 billion. And for 2026, what we're seeing is sustaining capital is $4.1 billion, but it's also supporting an additional production of 35,000. So what that tells you is that with the increased production, the sustaining capital should have been higher, but all the operational efficiency that the teams have been able to focus on, and what like Vicki and Richard highlighted, that is what has helped us reduce our sustaining capital down to $4.1 billion. And like I mentioned earlier, our top priority in terms of return of capital is to have a sustainable and growing dividend and lowering our sustaining capital is key to have a sustainable and growing dividend. So now I'll let Richard talk about LCV.
Yes. I'll start that. I appreciate the question, Doug. STRATOS a couple of things that kind of pin yourself. STRATOS ramps up this year as we've discussed. So we'll begin to roll off capital for sure. So as we look into next year, that's about another $100 million of capital that will roll off. One thing to think about in terms of that business, is as we think about the future opportunities, both for DAC and even success we've had in our sequestration hubs, as those have been put together, we really think partnership helps move that forward. So if you're thinking about it from a capital perspective, we anticipate being able to bring in partners because of the economics and the derisking that's occurring across both of those opportunities today. And so I just wanted to mention that because I think that's one aspect that we need to think about as we go forward. From a STRATOS standpoint, again, we'll ramp up this year. There'll be injection, really going into next year, and we'll hit more steady operations, which will then lead to more steady revenue in the mid- to later part of next year, and we think we can really start to point to a levelized EBITDA. We told, and Sunil can help me, make any other connections. But I think we've talked about a $90 million to $130 million range kind of levelizing as we get into late 2028. Now I'll tell you from an operational perspective, Ken and I are both optimistic that we're going to continue to find opportunities do like we do another project like Al Hosn debottleneck and add capacity. And so while that's a good run rate that we've used and communicated operationally, we're working on how do you reduce cost and add capacity. And -- so anyway, that's sort of the milestones that we're looking at in that program going forward.
The next question comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs.
Congratulations to everyone on the new roles and Jordan, great job in the time you were in the seat. I guess the first question actually is for you, Richard, as -- have you stepped into the CRO's seat late last year, but just some initial observations of things that you think Oxy has been doing really well from an operations standpoint? And where do you think there is room for improvement just because you have some fresh eyes in the new seat.
Yes, appreciate the question. But lucky to work for Oxy for some time. So some of these I've got to observe for a while or be a part of. But I will say the new perspective in the job a couple of things. One, the resource base that we have today is outstanding. That's been continued to improve really over the last 10 or 15 years, both as we've narrowed our focus, but also through organic efforts. And that's why we're excited to talk about all the subsurface work that we've done and the well performance, how it's played out. And so that part has been reinforced as I look across the portfolio. I would say projects like the Gulf of America waterfloods. When we think about the opportunity of EOR in Gulf of America and the contribution they can have to reduce our cost structure, lower decline, add to that sustaining capital very exciting part of the portfolio. We're just now in a position to really take advantage of. Things like the Gulf of America working on production reliability has been impressive. So I think from a resource perspective, good from operational efficiency, I love our teams, that's where I grew up with it. And so I just have a lot of confidence in not only what we're doing today but going forward. I'd say the last thing I would note that I think we're starting to see some momentum on and Vicki mentioned it in our prepared remarks, is really coming together on some of the technology. And so we talk about technology around CO2, power and water. But the other one is things like the digital technology or AI. I can tell you in the Rockies, through this last winter storm, we have been able to deploy this remote operations center. So in the U.S. -- let me just back up, in the U.S., about 40% of our production, we call routeless meaning that it's covered under a remote center where we resolve or understand issues before we send a person to go check it. And so in the Rockies during this winter storm, we were able to resolve about 300 issues a day remotely. And so that's not only more efficient for cost and production, but it's also safer. And so like many of us talk today, but I think we're seeing it especially in the ranks of our operations, the ability to use this technology, things like AI to deploy our people in a more effective way are really exciting. So on top of all the drilling completion things I get excited talking about, I really do believe that's going to be a good part of our future.
And then the follow-up for you, Vicki, is your perspective on the macro, you always have great color on how you see the world, be curious on how you're thinking about the setup for 2026 for oil this year where many of us came into the year a little bit more cautious. And obviously, geopolitical volatility is creating some upside risk here in the near term. So your perspective on that? And do you think the industry is going to respond to potentially higher prices in the near term are folks watching the back end of the curve, and where there's been less movement. So your perspective would be great.
I think that we're still a little bit cautious about 2026 because we feel strongly that you have to look at the fundamentals. And there are going to be these scenarios where prices get driven up by things that are happening geopolitically. We don't believe those are sustainable, and we believe that could be resolved within days or it could go on for months. We don't know, but we're prepared to assume that the fundamentals don't support where prices are right now. But we do believe that toward the end of the year and into next year that the fundamentals will start to shift a bit because when you look at what's happening in our industry, and this -- we're a big believer in trying to make sure that every year, we replace the production that we produce, so our reserves replacement ratio is important to us. But if you look at the industry, the industries around the world worldwide, the industry reserve replacement ratio right now is about less than 25%. So I think that means that the macro has got to become better for oil sooner rather than later. The -- when you look at the exploration that's happening along the western side of of Africa, the eastern side of South America. While those reservoirs are good, and they're going to be -- they're going to add value to the shareholders of the companies that are developing those. And by the way, we do have a blocking guy on that ultimately we hope to develop too, is that those reservoirs are great for the company and for the shareholders, but they're not even hardly a blip on the radar for world supply. For example, if you have like a Guyana, the original forecast, I don't know what it is now, but it was for 12 billion barrels of oil to be recovered, that barely replaces 1/3 of what the world demands for use today. So the world uses $30 billion. And so these reservoirs, while good individually for companies they're not going to be what we need for world supply going forward. So our view of the macro is that ultimately, we believe by 2027, we're going to get much closer to being in balance with respect to supply and demand. And I would say the other thing that's happening is a lot of companies have declining resources. And there are very few oil and gas companies today that can consistently maintain a better than 100% reserve replacement ratio. And those companies have to become a shrinking business, or they have to figure out what do they do about that. Some are going international when they've never been. Some are going to need to do M&A. We're doing all of that. We've done our M&A. So we're done with M&A. We've -- we're already international, and we have experience there, and we're in three of the best countries that you can be in internationally with respect to the government and our partners. And then the third thing that needs to happen is we need to get more oil out of the reservoirs that the world has today. And we're the best at doing that. I believe we have the CO2 enhanced oil recovery expertise. So we are the company that can get the most out of the reservoirs we have here and internationally. So it's really important to recognize that what we've built here is something very unique and very important for our industry and for the energy independence of the United States as we start to apply our enhanced oil recovery in a bigger way for us in the Permian and then in other basins, to help extend the energy independence of the U.S. So this is significant what the teams have accomplished here at Oxy, and we're proud of it. And we know we've got work to do, and we'll be doing that, and we'll get better every year because that's just -- that's just what our teams do. That's what they're committed to do.
So with that, we're over time, and I'll let you all go. And thank you for participating in our call today.
The conference has now concluded. Thank you for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect.
Occidental Petroleum — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
Occidental Petroleum — Q4 2025 Earnings Call
📊 Quarter at a Glance
- FCF: $4.3B free cash flow before working capital in 2025, up 27% YoY on a normalized basis excluding OxyChem.
- Production: 2025 output 1.434 MMBOE/d; 2026 guide ~1.45 MMBOE/d.
- Q4 EPS: Adjusted $0.31 per diluted share; GAAP loss $0.07 due to OxyChem-related charges.
- Leverage: Repaid $4B debt in 2025; principal debt ~$15B; tender offer to reduce to $14.3B.
- Capital & Dividend: 8% dividend increase; 2026 capex guidance $5.5–$5.9B (≈$550M lower ex-OxyChem); 70% US onshore; 84% of resource base break-even below $50.
🎯 What Management Says
- Strategic focus: Strengthen balance sheet, pursue high-return assets, and drive durable free cash flow; OxyChem sale enhances value realization.
- Capital allocation: Safe operations, growing dividend, opportunistic buybacks, and debt reduction; STRATOS Phase 1 online in 2026.
- Tech & ops: Remote operations centers and enhanced oil recovery/CO2 initiatives to lift efficiency and resilience.
🔭 Outlook & Guidance
- Production: Roughly 1.45 MMBOE/d in 2026.
- Capex: $5.5–$5.9B in 2026; front-loaded to support near-term cash flow.
- Spend mix: ~70% US onshore; GoA waterflood and mid-cycle projects emphasized.
- Cash flow: Resilient free cash flow; ~365M in interest savings in 2026; leverage improves.
❓ Analyst Q&A
- CapEx delta: Management cited about $300M structural savings, plus $100M lower exploration and $200M mid-cycle adjustments behind the reduced 2026 capex vs prior guide.
- Horn Mountain: Waterflood expected to reduce base declines and sustain Gulf output; first uplift late 2027 with broader EOR upside.
- Debt/Returns: Ongoing deleveraging; $700M tender to reach $14.3B; dividend remains a priority with balanced buyback as macro allows.
⚡ Bottom Line
Oxy fortified its balance sheet, raised the dividend, and guided to durable free cash flow and modest production growth. With disciplined capital allocation, higher returns via the dividend and selective buybacks, and a larger, high-quality resource base, shareholders should benefit from steadier cash flow and value creation through mid-cycle investments.
Occidental Petroleum — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
1. Management Discussion
Good afternoon, and welcome to Occidental's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. [Operator Instructions] Please note that today's event is being recorded. I would now like to turn the conference over to Jordan Tanner, Vice President of Investor Relations. Please go ahead. .
Thank you, Rocco. Good afternoon, everyone, and thank you for participating in Occidental's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. On the call with us today are Vicki Hollub, President and Chief Executive Officer; Sunil Mathew, Senior Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Richard Jackson, Senior Vice President and Chief Operating Officer; and Tim Dillon, Senior Vice President and President, International Oil and Gas Operations.
This afternoon, we will refer to slides available on the Investors section of our website. The presentation includes a cautionary statement on Slide 2 regarding forward-looking statements that will be made on the call this afternoon. We'll also reference a few non-GAAP financial measures today. Reconciliations to the nearest corresponding GAAP measure can be found in the schedules to our earnings release and on our website.
I'll now turn the call over to Vicki.
Thank you, Jordan, and good afternoon, everyone. I want to take a moment to recognize Veterans Day and express our deep gratitude to all veterans and their families for their service. Today, I will address our recently announced sale of OxyChem outlined a strategic rationale and highlight our third quarter performance. Richard will provide details on our oil and gas operations and Sunil will review our third quarter financials, fourth quarter guidance and considerations for the year ahead.
The sale of OxyChem is a pivotal step in our transformation. The decision was driven by the scale, quality and diversity of the oil and gas portfolio we have built over the last decade. Since 2015, we have more than doubled our total resource potential and our production going from a total resource of 8 billion barrels of oil equivalent to 16.5 billion barrels of oil equivalent and from production of 650,000 BOE per day to over 1.4 million BOE per day. We now have a higher quality portfolio with Oxy's lowest-ever geopolitical risk as we have shifted the percentage of our oil and gas production from 50% domestic to 83% domestic.
And our portfolio has a development runway of 30-plus years that includes high return, short cycle, higher decline, unconventional assets complemented by a solid return, lower decline, mid-cycle development opportunities in our conventional oil and gas assets. Our substantial oil and gas runway, along with our demonstrated expertise in maximizing resource recovery created the foundation for accelerating value to our shareholders through the divestiture of OxyChem. The proceeds will be used to immediately strengthen our balance sheet, allowing us to significantly deleverage and achieve our principal debt target of less than $15 billion. This will reinforce our financial resilience and agility to navigate changing market conditions.
With greater financial flexibility, we can broaden our return of capital program and accelerate shareholder returns. This will enhance our approach to delivering value to our shareholders by increasing cash returns and continuing to rebalance enterprise value through net debt reduction. Our strengthened financial foundation will enable us to accelerate the development of our industry-leading oil and gas portfolio by focusing capital on our Permian unconventional assets, including unconventional [ CO2 floods ], along with our Gulf of America waterfloods and in the future, our [ Bakia ] gas and condensate discovery in Oman. We're excited about all the opportunities ahead to apply our subsurface expertise for greater resource recovery and the opportunities to advance our various low-decline enhanced oil recovery projects, particularly our CO2 EOR projects.
Now turning to the third quarter. Our teams delivered another strong quarter of operational performance, generating $3.2 billion in operating cash flow and $1.5 billion of free cash flow before working capital. Notably, we exceeded last year's third quarter operating cash flow despite WTI prices that were more than $10 per barrel lower in the third quarter of this year. Our team's continued focus on cost management and efficiency improvements also led to our lowest quarterly lease operating expense per barrel across our full Oil and Gas segment since 2021.
Ongoing improvement in portfolio and operational performance underscores the quality of our resources and the exceptional caliber of our teams who continue to bring [indiscernible] value by delivering more with less. In the third quarter, our oil and gas business produced approximately 1.47 million barrels of oil equivalent per day, exceeding the high end of our guidance range. The Permian Basin contributed 800,000 BOE per day, which is the highest quarterly Permian production in Oxy's history.
The Rockies also posted outstanding results, thanks to strong new well performance and stable base operations. Additionally, our Gulf of America assets outperformed the high end of guidance, benefiting from favorable weather and achieving the highest uptime in our operating history. Our Midstream & Marketing segment delivered another incredible quarter, generating positive adjusted earnings and surpassing the high end of guidance. Our team's expertly navigated market volatility to maximize margins through strategic gas marketing, helping to offset challenging gas price realizations.
Higher sulfur prices in Al Hosn further contributed to the quarter's results. As shown in our third quarter results, we remain focused on generating free cash flow at lower oil prices and maintaining flexibility in our capital and development programs to support near- and long-term value creation. Richard will now provide more details on our third quarter operational highlights and how we are positioned to generate stronger returns and higher free cash flow.
Thank you, Vicki. I appreciate the opportunity to share the progress we are making in our operations and how we are positioning our plans going into 2026. In all parts of our oil and gas business, we are making significant advancements through a focus on 3 key areas: resource improvement, cost efficiency and operating ability to generate free cash flow across a range of oil price scenarios. .
Today, I will focus on our Permian operations where there have been several meaningful updates across these 3 areas. I look forward to sharing more from our other teams in future calls. First, let me begin by highlighting our strong third quarter results. As Vicki noted, domestic production exceeded guidance with strong contributions from all business units in the Permian, Rockies and Gulf of America. This strong performance and record results were achieved while sustaining our outlook for lower capital and improved operating costs for the year.
Compared to our original 2025 guidance, we have reduced capital expenditures by $300 million and operating costs by $170 million. We appreciate our team's continued efforts to exceed expectations. Importantly, this performance is part of our continued track record of cost efficiency. We recently highlighted that since 2023, we have realized $2 billion in annualized cost savings across our U.S. onshore operations driven by continuous operational improvements in drilling, completions and operating expense categories as well as a value-focused supply chain management approach.
We are seeing similar improvements across all of our operating teams and look forward to these efficiencies continuing into 2026. Building more on Vicki's introductory comments, we have made important progress in our organic oil and gas resource improvement across the portfolio. Today, I will focus on the Permian as it plays an essential role in our near and long-term results. We have recently expanded our Permian resource base by 2.5 billion BOE, which now represents approximately 70% of Oxy's total resources of approximately 16.5 billion BOE.
We achieved this organic resource expansion through subsurface characterization and the application of advanced recovery and technologies. Our deep Permian resources, both low cost and provides operational flexibility to support free cash flow across a wide range of oil price scenarios. When combined with our ongoing cost efficiencies and technical recovery advancement, this places the Permian as a core value driver for Oxy's feature.
To start in the Delaware Basin, we continue to be a leader in new well performance across both our primary and secondary benches. Importantly, our secondary bench wells outperformed the industry average by 10% when compared to all benches, primary and secondary in the basin. In addition to improving productivity, these secondary benches also enable us to efficiently utilize existing infrastructure that was built to support our primary development.
As a result, we have extended our resources through increased secondary bench development while lowering our overall development costs, leading to a 16% lower capital intensity since 2022. Additionally, over the last few years, we have significantly transformed our position and performance in the Midland Basin. Today, these development projects are incredibly competitive in our Oxy portfolio. This process began with a basin-wide subsurface characterization initiative and targeted development program to more fully understand the resource potential in the basin. We then strengthened our acreage position and achieve the scale needed for operational efficiencies through the CrownRock acquisition.
Today, the combined Oxy and legacy CrownRock teams are delivering industry-leading low cost and performance. driven by both continued operational improvements and refined subsurface designs.
Since 2023, our new wells have shown a 22% increase in 6-month cumulative oil production per 1,000 feet, while the industry average has declined about 5% over the same period. We have also reduced well costs by 38% since 2023. These step changes have created an expanded deep bench opportunity, allowing us to organically add top-tier Barnett resources across 115,000 acres in our Midland and Central Basin platform operating areas.
Again, we highlight that our new well performance in the Barnett is outperforming the industry average by 18% since 2020. Another resource opportunity and key differentiator for Oxy is the expansion of enhanced oil recovery into our unconventional shale. As a leader in conventional CO2 EOR, we are leveraging our decades-long investment and expertise into these assets. Since 2017, we have advanced unconventional EOR in our Permian U.S. Permian and Rockies business units completing multiple demonstrations where we have achieved positive and consistent results.
These projects have delivered over 45% oil uplift, but we believe with continued optimization, our commercial projects have the capability to deliver up to 100% production uplift. We are now moving into commercial development with 3 initial projects and a current pipeline of 30 more ready for development. These mid-cycle projects offer low decline rates and competitive returns.
Our unique and sizable Permian Basin CO2 infrastructure gives us an advantage as we scale these developments over time. Today, this represents a resource opportunity of over 2 billion BOE. We also continue to advance our existing conventional EOR assets with approximately 2 billion BOEs of undeveloped resources with low development costs. These mid-cycle projects are also meaningful as part of our future resources. Recent improvements in cost structure, including $80 million of our 2025 domestic operating cost reductions continue to improve the returns and investment priority within our portfolio.
Beyond CO2 EOR, we are progressing a suite of complementary recovery technologies, including infill drilling, precision well placement and spacing, next-generation frac and other methods of EOR. We believe our ability to organically expand our low-cost resource base through subsurface characterization, continued cost efficiency and advanced recovery technologies give us a competitive advantage to deliver long-term value.
As we look ahead to 2026, we continue to actively manage our operational scenarios for a disciplined approach for resilient free cash flow, even if in challenging oil price environment. Our approach begins with a focus on operational and cost efficiency over activity reductions to preserve future free cash flow and to maintain optimized activity across our assets. A key part of this approach is working closely with our service company partners to capture supply chain savings, improving value for both parties.
Beyond that, we selectively defer multiyear facilities and construction projects, allowing us to invest opportunistically in these projects when conditions are more favorable. We also regularly review and optimize our operating expense activities to enable us to scale and time activities for maximum free cash flow. Finally, we evaluate capital and development activity adjustments, always with a focus on achieving the most efficient capital to cash flow outcome.
At much lower oil prices, capital flexibility becomes critical, and we remain committed to investing wisely, preserving optionality and delivering value through efficient execution. As we enter 2026, we are targeting a $55 to $60 WTI plan, with flexibility to adapt to market conditions, while continuing to improve cost efficiency to deliver our free cash flow needs without impacting operational performance.
Looking ahead, we have a deep portfolio of short cycle, high return and mid-cycle low-decline assets that can deliver strong cash flow. We are focused on sustaining momentum by driving cost efficiency, advancing recovery technologies and optimizing our operations.
Lastly, I'd like to thank all of our teams for their continued performance and especially safety as we looked at in the year strong. I also look forward to working closer with many of you for the first time or again in my new role. Thank you for your time today, and I'll now turn the call over to Sunil for the financial discussion.
Thank you, Richard. In the third quarter, we generated a reported profit of $0.65 per diluted share. Strong operational performance and a continued focus on capital efficiency enabled us to generate approximately $1.5 billion in free cash flow before working capital. We had a negative working capital change, primarily driven by the timing of semiannual interest payments on our debt and payments within our Oil and Gas segment.
During the quarter, we repaid $1.3 billion of debt, bringing our total year-to-date debt repayment to $3.6 billion and reducing Occidental's principal debt balance to $20.8 billion. Our strong financial performance can largely be attributed to higher volumes across our U.S. portfolio, which more than offset slightly lower than expected production from our international assets.
New well and base production outperformance in the Permian and Rockies as well as higher uptime and favorable weather in the Gulf of America enabled us to exceed the high end of guidance across all of our domestic oil and gas assets. This production outperformance and a continued focus on delivering operational cost efficiencies led to lower domestic lease operating expenses in the quarter notably outperforming guidance at $8.11 per BOE.
Part of the outperformance also reflected the timing of certain offshore production engineering activities, which shifted into the fourth quarter. In the midstream and marketing segment, we continue to capture value through optimizing our gas marketing positions out of the Permian Basin and higher sulfur pricing in Al Hosn. Both were significant catalysts in the segment, generating positive earnings on an adjusted basis of $153 million, above the midpoint of guidance.
Looking ahead, we are increasing our full year guidance for our oil and gas and midstream and marketing segments as a result of our strong third quarter outperformance and improved expectations for the fourth quarter. In oil and gas, we are raising our fourth quarter total company production guidance from last quarter's implied guidance to a midpoint of 1.46 million BOE per day. This is driven by the expectation for continued strong performance across all 3 domestic assets, which should more than offset impacts from a scheduled turnaround at Al Hosn also in the fourth quarter.
Other midstream and marketing pretax income guidance assumes that our teams will capture gas marketing optimization benefits from the wider Permian to Gulf Coast spread observed already in the fourth quarter. We expect full year pretax income from the segment to come in approximately $400 million above our original guidance, largely due to those gas marketing opportunities and stronger-than-anticipated sulfur pricing from Al Hosn.
Due to continued softness in the global chlorovinyls market, our third quarter OxyChem pretax income came in below guidance at $197 million. We are guiding to $140 million for the next full quarter. Beginning in the fourth quarter, OxyChem will be classified as discontinued operations. We are in the process of evaluating the potential impact of OxyChem's classification on our fourth quarter adjusted effective tax rate, and we will provide a further update early next year.
Total company capital spend, net of noncontrolling interest of approximately $1.7 billion was in line with our expectations for the third quarter, and we expect to remain within our previously guided range for 2025 capital. As Vicki said, the OxyChem transaction marks a significant milestone for our company. Asset will strengthen our financial position and enhance our ability to return capital to our shareholders.
The all-cash nature of this transaction will enable us to accelerate our debt reduction efforts and achieve our post CrownRock principal debt target of less than $15 billion. Of the roughly $8 billion in transaction net proceeds, we plan to use approximately $6.5 billion to reduce debt. Our initial focus is on the $4 billion of debt maturing in the next 3 years. This includes $1.3 billion of term loans maturing in 2026, which we can call at par and for the remaining $2.7 billion, we may largely use make-whole provisions to ensure certainty.
Beyond that, we will be opportunistic taking into consideration redemption prices and the impact on our maturity profile. This will meaningfully improve our credit metrics and is expected to lower our annual interest expense by more than $350 million, while providing a very manageable near-term debt maturity schedule. The remaining $1.5 billion in net proceeds will go to cash on the balance sheet. By significantly lowering our debt burden and building cash on hand, we will create a stronger, more resilient balance sheet.
With the achievement of our first CrownRock principal debt target, Oxy will be positioned to broaden our return of capital program and adopt a more flexible framework for delivering value to our shareholders. We will be opportunistic with the share repurchase program. Our decisions and priorities will be driven by a range of factors, including the macro conditions, commodity prices, market valuations relative to Oxy's intrinsic value, cash on the balance sheet and the time line to August 2029. We plan to resume the redemption of the preferred in August 2029, when the preferred equity becomes callable with a lower redemption premium and does not have the $4 per share return of capital trigger.
Now I would like to share how we're approaching our capital program for 2026. Last quarter, we discussed the potential to allocate capital to mid-cycle conventional oil assets. We are planning to increase investment in the Gulf of America waterflood projects and in Oman, given both projects high oil weighting and favorable base decline rates, combined with the enhanced economics in Oman, following our [indiscernible] contract extension.
Approximately an additional $250 million could be allocated to these areas as capital rolls off in our LCD portfolio. Considering the recent commodity price volatility and oil market outlook, we are evaluating multiple capital scenarios across our U.S. onshore portfolio. With the OxyChem sale, our U.S. onshore capital will comprise an even greater proportion of the total company investment program, which provides flexibility should the macro environment deteriorate.
As Richard mentioned, we have an incredible runway of high-quality oil and gas opportunities and sustained momentum in delivering value through greater capital efficiency. We plan to reallocate up to $400 million to these short-cycle high-return projects, primarily in the Permian. Any additional allocation of capital next year will be undertaken in a thoughtful manner with an eye to the oil market given oversupply concerns. The quantum of that reallocation will depend on the macroeconomic environment, and we plan to share more on our 2026 capital budget during our fourth quarter call pending Board approval. I will now turn the call over to Vicki for closing remarks.
Thank you, Sunil. As we highlighted, the OxyChem sale represents more than just a business decision and marks the final major milestone in the strategic transformation that we've been pursuing for years. With this step, we are accelerating opportunities to extend our advantaged low-cost resource position and leveraging integrated technologies to deliver differentiated recovery and superior value. .
We are confident that these actions will further strengthen our competitive position. With that, we'll now open the call for questions. And as Jordan mentioned, Ken Dillon is joining us today for the Q&A session.
[Operator Instructions] And today's first question comes from Doug Leggate with Wolfe Research.
2. Question Answer
Vicki -- maybe the first question is for Sunil actually is on the capital guidance that you just talked about there, the soft outlook. If I'm doing the math correctly, so you dropped about $300 million from the beginning of this year, so it was [ $7.2 billion ]. But [ $900 million ] was chemicals, as I understand it, for next year, and I believe this year it was [ 450 ] on DAC. So that's about [ $1.35 billion ] I'm trying to kind of get to the range for next year. So if you add back the $650 million you talked about, are we in the ballpark to think that spending next year should be down about $700 million on your -- based on your remarks, Sunil?
Yes. So Doug, you're right on the way you're approaching it. Like you said, midpoint for CapEx guidance for this year, $7.2 billion. Chemicals is $900 million. So back out of that, you're at $6.3 billion. Like I mentioned, we are going to increase CapEx in the Gulf of America waterflood projects and Oman, which is around $250 million, which will be largely offset by the roll-off of capital in our low carbon venture portfolio. So you're back to the $6.3 billion.
And with respect to U.S. onshore, like I mentioned in my prepared remarks, we are looking at potentially investing up to $400 million. So you start with $6.3 billion and it could be somewhere between $6.3 billion to $6.7 billion, depending on the macro environment.
And the other thing I would highlight is, like I said, with this increased spending in U.S. onshore, a proportion of U.S. onshore CapEx as a percentage of the total CapEx will increase. What that means is a lot more flexibility if the macro is going to become more unfavorable. And so that is one important thing. And I think like Richard said in his prepared remarks, the way we think about capital allocation for U.S. onshore, if you were to adjust our capital program. I mean first, we look at our efficiency, both operating efficiency and what we are seeing in the market; second is potentially how we can defer some of our facility spending.
And the last thing would be in terms of activity. So I think -- from a capital point of view, we are looking at somewhere between $6.3 billion to $6.7 billion, with a larger proportion of U.S. onshore CapEx where we have a lot more flexibility.
The Street is obviously very smart, Sunil, because it's sitting at $6.5 billion right now. So that's really helpful. My follow-up, if I may, is for Richard, I'll take advantage and also wish him congratulations for your new role, Richard, I'm thinking a Permian field trip might be in the offering, but we'll take that one offline. My question is, you did say you've added 2.5 billion barrels of resource mostly in the Permian, you've obviously got, it looks like sector-leading drilling per lateral foot cost now and clearly, the breakevens in the Barnett are coming down. So my question is, you haven't given us a resource -- drilling backlog or a breakeven for those sustaining capital for the portfolio. So I wonder if you could address those -- where does this leave your drilling inventory? And what would you say is the sustaining capital breakeven at this point for the portfolio?
Doug, this is Richard. Great to hear from you and appreciate that for sure. I always enjoy our Permian visits. Let me start just sort of addressing generally why resources. I think -- for a long time, we've been trying to characterize our strong unconventional resource base. And the way to do that was to talk about drilling inventory and think about breakevens against that. I think as we look forward, as we're explaining today, we're so much more than that.
We have our big opportunities on our conventional assets and just felt like moving to more of a resource explanation was a better representation of what we are and the value that we have. If we sort of break down that 2.5 billion barrel Permian add, most of that -- much of that is coming from continued unconventional shale improvements. And in our view, this is technology. This is using our subsurface characterization to continue to fine-tune our designs, especially around the secondary benches, which we felt like was important to point out in this highlight.
It includes things like the Barnett, where we had an existing position. Much of that Barnett resource runs into our Central Basin platform we've operated in our enhanced oil recovery business for a long time. And so much of that continues, and that would be a direct translation to the drilling inventory that we've disclosed previously. But the other piece is the EOR. And we highlight the unconventional EOR today, but also across our conventional position. And so in total, we just felt like that was the right way to think about it.
In terms of the Barnett, obviously, a big piece of that becoming competitive in our portfolio is the drilling cost improvement and just very pleased with the progress by the teams in the Midland Basin for what they've been able to do. But we're seeing that across all of our basins. I think we highlighted in one of the slides about a 14% total reduction in well cost across all of our unconventional drilling same in the Rockies.
So in general, that's improving our resource base. And so I think going forward to the breakeven, we'll continue to characterize that resource base with a breakeven. I think we've talked about our projects for the year, our annual program are all less than $40 breakeven. And so on a project basis, we expect that to continue. And like we've shown in the past, it's always improving the resource, expanding it, yes, but improving is the most important component of it and cost is a big part of that.
And our next question today is from Arun Jayaram with JPMorgan.
Yes. My first question is maybe on Slide 16, perhaps for Richard. I just wondered if you could maybe give us more details on the demonstration pilot. It looks like in this example, you're highlighting CO2 injection around 3 years after initial production from the well. But I was wondering if you could just talk about the applicability of this on older wells that may have been completed 6, 7 years ago? And maybe just a little bit about the math around the $2 billion BOE resource opportunity, that would be helpful.
Yes. Great. I appreciate that question a lot. The example we're highlighting on that slide in the Midland Basin, it was with CO2. These wells were originally online in about mid-2015. So your question is perfect. While they apply to historic wells like we're showing here, they also apply to recent vintage as well, and I'll walk through that math in a second.
But just a little bit on that pilot. Again, that's about a 45% uplift. We had 5 injection cycles that were completed over those 3 years, we stopped and saw this 45% uplift. If we modeled out continued cycles of CO2 injection, this is where we get to the 60% and even 100% production uplift. And so that's where that comes from. If we look at the 2 billion barrel, if you think about recovery factors in the 8% to 12% with unconventional. If you look at this 45% to 100% uplift, now you're talking about reaching recovery factors in the 15% to 20%.
So that is likely a little bit more for the oil and perhaps a little bit less for the gas in an oil reservoir. But if you look across the derisked unconventional acreage where we have this opportunity, that's how we began to account for the 2 billion barrels of unconventional EOR. As I mentioned in -- we've got 3 projects that we'll be working into commercial development over the next couple of years. Those are really spread between New Mexico, Texas, Delaware and the Midland Basin. So again, it's sort of an approach that can be applied to multiple areas. And then based on these technical work, we have another 30 development-ready projects across these basins that will be ready to develop.
And so again, as we think about the role of mid-cycle low decline cash flow, in our outlook, we believe these can be very meaningful as we look forward into future years.
Great. That's helpful. My follow-up is, Sunil mentioned that you could redirect $250 million of capital from the reduction in LCV capital back into the Gulf of America for waterfloods in Oman. I was wondering if you could provide some thoughts on the -- what you believe these waterflood projects can do to your productive capacity in the Gulf of America. Maybe just thoughts on Gulf output as we think about 2026.
Good afternoon. We now have 2 water flood projects FID'd in GOA. These will result in improved recoveries of nearly 150 million BOE and significant reductions in decline rates over time. Potentially, these could lead to GOA declines going from 20% today to 10% in 2030 and 7% by 2035. And so a significant impact on the base. First up is at the King Field, which is a tieback to Marlin. There will be a dump flood, which requires very limited facilities that will be on stream in Q2 next year. This will lead to a potential extension in field life of around 10 years.
At Horn Mountain, we've used the latest OBN seismic with our in-house developed tools to place the first injector, 2 will be drilled in Q1 2027. And in parallel, facilities will be installed in Horn Mountain, leading to a target injection date of Q2 2027 and an expected response date during late summer 2027. We've been ready to go for some time and all the long-lead items have now been placed. Returns expected to be in the 40% to 50% range for these projects.
So overall, last time I talked about improving well performance this time talking about lower decline. And as you can see, we've had improved reliability, both on rotating equipment and general facilities. We were aided by weather a bit, including, I would say, being able to get through a lot of fabric maintenance work in this time period. So overall, still working on next year's plan. Part of that is tying the construction activities for the water [indiscernible] the planned maintenance required offshore so that we only take the platforms down once in a staggered turnaround.
And our next question today comes from Neil Mehta with Goldman Sachs.
Yes. This is an important time for STRATOS as you guys are ramping this project up and so as the rubber hits the road, I just wanted to understand what the gating items are and early thoughts around start-up activities. .
Yes, overall, the STRATOS Phase 1 start-up is proceeding well. Since we last talked, we've commissioned the central processing unit with water. Another major milestone was achieved, that was starting up the process compression facilities, which are required for CO2 injection. [ Siemens ] Energy team, I have to say, including the CEO and the execs have been incredibly supportive of the project. This is a large complex machine, which basically started up first time. We've now started loading the first films of pellets and chemicals and continue to start up the other unit operations. So the next are the centrifuges. And then after that, it's the calciner and these are the 2 remaining operations before we export the CO2.
We continue to optimize each of the units during startup as we always do. And while that does cost us some time now, it will pay tremendous dividends going forward. Priorities are to learn for long-term capture efficiency and uptime. So overall, we expect to be circulating KOH this quarter and injecting CO2 in Q1. .
Okay. And I had a couple of questions around just return of capital as the follow-up. And so I think following the OxyChem sale, while I think investors definitely recognize the value in improving the balance sheet, some of the concerns that we heard was about the legacy liability. So I guess this will be the first time you'll have an opportunity to maybe address that and help people get comfortable around that.
And then -- while I know that you can't knock out the preferreds until August 2029, is there an opportunity to opportunistically repurchase shares before then to help alleviate some of those concerns. I just want to give you an opportunity to address both of those.
Okay. With respect to the return of capital, we definitely want to take out the -- all that we can, the $6.5 billion of debt first. And then beyond that, we are going to opportunistically buy back shares and it has to make sense. It's a value calculation for us to determine whether to do that or whether it's best to take down some more debt or put more into the business.
But one thing with respect to the use of cash, I want to make very clear to everybody, and that is that that we're not going to aggressively put lots of extra barrels into an oversupplied market. So when we're talking about the possibilities here on the call, I want you to understand that we definitely have plans to be very flexible in that. And I think Richard may have an opportunity later to share more on what that's going to look like.
But we are going to stay within our means in terms of using the cash that we have but not taking down too much cash off the balance sheet. We'll try to maintain about $3 billion to $4 billion on the balance sheet as we go forward. And the legacy liabilities with respect to OxyChem, the bulk of those liabilities are outside the operating areas that were purchased. And there's very little cash being spent or any necessary activities beyond what's already happening within those assets -- operating assets ever bought, everything else is outside.
It made no sense to -- for those liabilities to go. And what they're costing us right now is somewhere in the neighborhood of $20 million or so on an annual basis. The liability that's the largest, of course, is the [indiscernible] But that it's going to be spread over 20 to 30 years. So this is going to take a lot of time to develop that and to work that. And so this really has minimal impact on us to maintain these. It's really not material to what we do. And the repo -- the Berkshire, you want to talk about the Berkshire Sunil?
Sure. So Neil, like again, I mentioned in my prepared remarks, now that we've got our debt target below our goal of less than $15 billion and as Vicki outlined, we're going to be opportunistic with respect to share repurchase. It's going to be driven by the macro conditions, where our stock price is trading, cash and balance sheet because our ultimate goal is to start or resume the redemption of the preferred once we get to August 2029.
So what you're likely to see is as we get towards August of '29, we're going to start building up cash on our balance sheet. So there is no formula as such in terms of share repurchase, but we're just going to be opportunistic considering or keeping in mind that by August 2029, we want to build cash on balance sheet.
And our next question today comes from Paul Cheng with Scotia Bank.
One, can I just clarify that you in your 2026 CapEx, you're saying that you're going to redirect, say, $250 million from the LCV into the government in Omen. So is that mean that LCV we're not going to spend any money at all. And also, I think for Richard, can you talk about the $400 million that on the quick payback onshore project, what kind of production contribution which you expect for 2026?
The second question is exploration. With your resource seems like you're finding more ways to get resource from the onshore market. So is that means that exploration will remain sort of like not the most important aspect for your program over the next several years.
So Paul, with respect to LCV CapEx for next year, we think it's going to be around $100 million as we roll off capital with the completion of STRATOS.
Yes. I'll pick up a bit of the scenarios with a potential $400 million that Sunil talked about. I mentioned in my remarks a sort of a target initial plan of 55 to 60. And what that means is really, if you think about continuing activity this year, that would be up to that $400 million that Sunil talked about, so actually flat in terms of resources that we would go from this year into next year. .
In terms of what that makeup for next year might look like for EOR, it's actually -- it's light. It's about $100 million between EOR and unconventionally ore. And so it's fairly light next year. And it's actually pretty capital efficient as we look in the out years because we're not drilling wells, we're using CO2 in terms of the recovery. But I also want to highlight, we work scenarios below the $55 plan. And that's one of the advantages of the allocation of capital into the U.S. onshore. We have plans that go below $50 to be able to adjust to really carry Oxy in total in terms of cash flow to meet a breakeven and obviously cover our uses of cash.
So we have that mapped out. We've done it in the past. That's why we wanted to go into some detail on the thought process of how we react to lower oil prices. Obviously, we like to work through efficiency first. But we do have that activity, flexibility in our operations, especially in the U.S. to adjust in lower oil price scenarios.
And then following up our -- we've already started deferring some exploration from next year into the following years. And in Oman, these are not really big exploration. These are step-out wells, very close to our existing facilities, which can be brought online incredibly quickly. .
And our next question today comes from James West at Melius Research.
So Vicki, maybe a bigger picture question for you. A lot of moving parts the last several years with Oxy, lots of changes in the portfolio. You've been busy is the key here. With the OxyChem sale, are we going into now a quieter period, maybe a harvesting type of a period?
Absolutely. And I'm thankful to be at this point, finally, Yes, we've gone through -- there was a lot, as you said, going on, but this is where we wanted to be, and this is where we needed to be. So we've done everything that we set out to do with respect to being mostly a U.S. company and with very high-quality, high-margin assets and assets that can sustain over the long term. And we think that our portfolio is so much differentiated from anybody else because we not only have the high return, but high decline shale is complemented and will be complemented in the future by the conventional assets and conventional EOR, along with unconventional EOR.
And when we look at where our portfolio stands today, the -- our production, where we've -- our total development 45% conventional and 55% is unconventional. Going into the future, we have a ratio of -- it looks like about the total 16.5 billion that we have in resource, about 65% is unconventional, 35% conventional. But the beauty of the unconventional is what Richard talked about, and that is the the fact that in the unconventional, we're going to be able to do -- use CO2 for enhanced oil recovery in the unconventional.
It's going to recover, we believe up to the same amount as primary production. So we'll get 100% of what we got before. So we're doubling our total recovery from the unconventional. So that will be actually a low decline as well over time. So we think that versus a pure shale player or versus those that have assets that are difficult to manage internationally and in foreign countries, we think that we're much better positioned with this portfolio. So yes, we're done with anything that's any big acquisitions or anything like that.
And our next question today comes from Matt Portillo of TPH.
Maybe just a question to start out on the DJ. You highlighted in Q3, strong well performance drove upside to your production figures. I was curious if you could just maybe comment on in the Rockies, if you've changed anything on the completion or spacing design? Or what's really driving the outperformance there?
Yes. Thanks. A big part of that B really the last couple of quarters has been our base production. And so a lot of work we've talked about in the past, we've been doing around artificial lift, even using some analytics to improve our efficiency on that. So that was the biggest part of it. We have had better new well performance as well. I wouldn't call it major changes. We just continue to tweak sort of our subsurface designs and flow back. The base actually the production operations that support the base also help our new well production. And so a lot of that [ new well B ] is just better uptime on some of our processing facilities.
Great. And then maybe just a follow-up on the inventory. I was wondering if you might be able to comment on your views around your DJ inventory and how you might be able to flex capital and kind of a lower commodity price environment just thinking through kind of the remaining locations left and obviously, some of the upside that you've highlighted here in the Permian, how you can flex capital between those 2 basins?
Yes, that's great. Yes. We've been largely working in the DJ around an optimized activity set. We've added a couple of rigs and 1 frac core. And so that's been a big piece of it, continuing to show efficiencies like I said on well cost earlier. I think in the Rockies, as we look to the future, excited about the Powder River Basin.
We continue to make progress there. We sort of have been working similar to the way I described the Midland Basin where we -- first, we're sort of proving out the productivity of the wells, really in the '23, '24 time frame. And then in '25, we've had a partial rig year where we flex the rig up to the Powder River Basin. We've had really drilling record after drilling record up there. We've improved about more than 25% versus the last year in terms of drilling performance.
So that was a big part of it. And so now really as we look to '26 and beyond, we have that opportunity to flex from the Rockies to the Powder River Basin. And so again, I don't really see an increase in capital, just more optimization in terms of that portfolio for the Rockies with that.
And our next question today comes from Neal Dingmann at William Blair.
My question is just on the low Permian well cost that you all showed for maybe through Richard. Is the larger projects contribute to that? Or what was the main driver of that exceptionally low cost?
Yes. Great question. We've been on this mission in the last couple of years to really relook at both the operational efficiency of our operations and working, like I mentioned earlier around our contracts and service contracts. And so it's really been a bit of both. I'd say the scale in the Midland Basin certainly helped. We were able to combine really the best of best from Oxy and our CrownRock -- legacy Crownrock team and really just worked on that piece of it, but the scale certainly helps.
So I do agree with that. But from an efficiency -- from a contract standpoint, I think we were also entering a period where we made sure we were getting the right contracts for the right type of work. And so we've done a lot of work on that. We're fairly short right now in terms of contract term. And so we're working hard with our partners there to kind of think about how it looks going into 2026 and making sure we got those 2 pieces put together correctly.
Great point. And then just a follow-up, Richard. You talked a lot on the [indiscernible] EOR today. and the amount of possible recoveries there. I'm curious, what type of returns? I assume the returns around some of that incremental upside would be very positive, I would think, correct?
Yes. We highlighted a 25% to 35% kind of where we're at today. And so if we're able to increase the uplift like we're talking about, those are only going to get better. So the goal, obviously, is to be competitive in our portfolio. And so the teams will be working on that. And that -- again, that's the beauty of the portfolio that we have. It's not so much the expansion, but it's the competition. to make sure that we're putting capital we're best placed with the returns that we want. .
And our final question today is from Leo Mariani with ROTH.
Really appreciate all the details on '26. You certainly talked about the range of capital, $6.3 billion, $6.7 billion, very helpful. Could you give us just some high-level indications of what would you kind of expect production to do in that range? Is that kind of a maintenance range for production, maybe at the lower end and maybe you see a modest amount of growth at the high end. What can you kind of tell us about kind of associated production?
So in terms of production, you would be looking something closer to flat to potentially up to 2% growth.
Okay. That's very helpful. And I guess, any specific areas that largely kind of unconventional that kind of provides the growth for next year? Is that kind of the flex piece is really that $400 million, which I guess is mostly unconventional Permian?
That's right. So the growth will be largely driven by unconventional Permian.
Right. And as I mentioned, the flex down, we'll go after efficiency first to maintain activity, but in position to be able to cut activity as required based on the macro. .
And that concludes our question-and-answer session. I'd like to turn the conference back over to Vicki Hollub for any closing remarks. .
Before we close, I want to express sincere appreciation to the entire OxyChem team for their steadfast commitment to safety and operational excellence. Their achievements have contributed significant value of the years, and we're confident that OxyChem will continue to thrive under new ownership. So thank you all for your questions and for joining our call today.
Thank you. Today's conference has now concluded, and we thank you all for attending today's presentation. You may now disconnect your lines, and have a wonderful day.
Occidental Petroleum — Q3 2025 Earnings Call
Financial data from Occidental Petroleum
Revenue
Revenue is the sum of all sales generated by a company, e.g. for its products or services.
Revenue (TTM) metric explainedDirect Costs
Direct costs are the costs incurred directly in connection with the manufacture of the product or service.
Gross Profit
Gross Profit indicates how much of the revenue remains in the company after deducting direct production costs. If the percentage share of sales is calculated, this is referred to as the gross margin.
Gross Profit metric explainedSelling and Administrative Expenses
Selling, general and administrative expenses (SG&A) include all expenses for marketing and sales as well as the general administration of the company.
Research and Development Expense
Research and development costs (R&D) provide information on how much the company invests in the research and development of its products. The costs are particularly interesting as a percentage of revenue and in comparison to direct competitors.
EBITDA
EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation and Amortization) is the company's earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. The EBITDA margin is calculated as a percentage of sales.
Depreciation and Amortization
Depreciation represents reductions in the value of the company's assets (e.g. due to wear and tear on machinery).
EBIT (Operating Income)
EBIT (Earnings Before Interest and Taxes) is the company's profit before interest and taxes, also known as the operating income. The EBIT Margin is calculated as a percentage of sales at
.
Net Profit
Net Profit represents the profit or loss after deduction of all costs.
Net Profit metric explainedStocksGuide Premium
| Jun '26 |
+/-
%
|
||
| Revenue | 21,671 21,671 |
2%
2%
100%
|
|
| - Direct Costs | 4,814 4,814 |
23%
23%
22%
|
|
| Gross Profit | 16,857 16,857 |
12%
12%
78%
|
|
| - Selling and Administrative Expenses | 2,040 2,040 |
0%
0%
9%
|
|
| - Research and Development Expense | 258 258 |
2%
2%
1%
|
|
| EBITDA | 13,204 13,204 |
13%
13%
61%
|
|
| - Depreciation and Amortization | 7,321 7,321 |
1%
1%
34%
|
|
| EBIT (Operating Income) EBIT | 5,883 5,883 |
33%
33%
27%
|
|
| Net Profit | 6,532 6,532 |
287%
287%
30%
|
|
In millions USD.
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Occidental Petroleum Stock News
Company Profile
Occidental Petroleum Corp. engages in the exploration and production of oil and natural gas. It operates through the following segments: Oil and Gas, Chemical, and Midstream and Marketing. The Oil and Gas segment explores for, develops and produces oil and condensate, natural gas liquids and natural gas. The Chemical segment manufactures and markets basic chemicals and vinyls. The Midstream and Marketing segment purchases, markets, gathers, processes, transports and stores oil, condensate, natural gas liquids, natural gas, carbon dioxide, and power. The company was founded in 1920 and is headquartered in Houston, TX.
StocksGuide Premium
| Head office | United States |
| CEO | Ms. Hollub |
| Employees | 10,412 |
| Founded | 1920 |
| Website | www.oxy.com |


