Sempra Energy Stock

Good day, and welcome to Sempra's Second Quarter Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Louise Bick. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and welcome to Sempra's second quarter 2026 earnings call. A live webcast of this teleconference and slide presentation are available on our website under the Events and Presentations section. We have several members of our management team with us today, including Jeff Martin, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Karen Sedgwick, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Justin Bird, Executive Vice President of Sempra and Chief Executive Officer of Sempra Infrastructure. Caroline Winn, Executive Vice President of Sempra; Allen Nye, Chief Executive Officer of Oncor; [ Diane Wills, ] Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer; and other members of our senior management team.

Before starting, I'd like to remind everyone that we'll be discussing forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements we make today. The factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially are discussed in the company's most recent 10-Q filed with the SEC. Earnings per common share amounts in our presentation are shown on a diluted basis, and we'll be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the presentation slides that accompany this call for a reconciliation to GAAP measures. We also encourage you to review our 10-Q for the quarter ended June 30, 2026.

I'd also like to mention that forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of today, August 6, 2026, and it's important to note that the company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements in the future. Finally, we've established a new corporate update page within the Sempra Investors website to post industrial updates, while complying with our disclosure obligations under SEC Regulation FD. We encourage you to subscribe to the e-mail alerts so you remained informed of any developments.

With that, please turn to Slide 3, and let me hand the call over to Jeff.

Thank you for joining us today. Our operating businesses are executing well, and our employees are aligned around our mission of building America's leading utility growth business. The strength of our execution can be seen in year-to-date financial results with double-digit gains in adjusted EPS and positive contributions from all three growth segments. Karen will cover our financial results in more detail later on the call, but on this first slide, I thought it would be helpful to cover our key priorities for the third quarter.

The first is the pending sale of a 45% equity stake in SI Partners. The transaction is expected to close later in the quarter and directly supports our corporate strategy by simplifying our business model, recycling capital into our regulated utilities displacing the need for common equity in our current base capital plan and deconsolidating close to $9 billion of debt from Sempra's balance sheet. Second, our capital recycling program also extends to Mexico, for Sempra Infrastructure is making solid progress on the sale of Ecogas. They recently received a critical regulatory approval, which puts the transaction on track to close later this month. Finally, in addition to the update, Sempra Infrastructure provided last week, they remain focused on the commissioning process at ECA LNG Phase 1, which remains a key priority as they continue to move that project toward full commercial operations. Sempra Infrastructure is also pleased with the continued progress at Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 and 2, which remain on time and on budget.

Please turn to the next slide. Texas is continuing to experience unprecedented growth in electricity demand as evidenced by ERCOT's new all-time peak load of 91 gigawatts that was reached last month. Importantly, with forecast of significant low growth in the future, Oncor is well positioned to participate in what we believe is a multi-decade investment opportunity focused on modernizing and extending the electric grid. Oncor's current capital plan accounts for major investment drivers such as new high-voltage transmission projects and other system upgrades. You'll recall that Oncor is executing on a 5-year base capital plan of $47.5 billion, with $10 billion of incremental capital opportunities through 2030. Through the first half of the year, Oncor has made a lot of progress in firming up these incremental opportunities, specifically the $4 billion of North and Central Texas transmission upgrades that were recently endorsed by ERCOT.

Oncor's other incremental capital opportunities include an additional $3 billion of non-Permian basin reliability plan projects endorsed by ERCOT in 2025 and $3 billion of investment that forms a part of the system resiliency plan filing that Oncor is expected to make next year. As we look ahead, we also expect a new set of capital opportunities. As an example, this slide highlights that any additional investments to serve load from the batch zero process fall outside of Oncor's $10 billion incremental capital opportunity.

Please turn to the next slide where we'll discuss preliminary expectations related to ERCOT's batch zero process. The PUCT recently approved ERCOT's batch zero process, which establishes a system-wide approach for selecting and sequencing large load customer interconnection requests. Although the time line for the batch process is uncertain, 44 gigawatts of large load requests are expected to be eligible as base or studied load in Oncor's transmission system. By classification, this includes 27 gigawatts of base load defined as not requiring additional interconnection studies or allocation and 17 gigawatts of studied load, which will be evaluated and assigned through a new system-wide reliability analysis. To put the magnitude of these figures in context, 44 gigawatts of additional demand would represent a 140% increase to Oncor's current system peak load of 31 gigawatts. Importantly, this projected load meets all the PUCT eligibility requirements. Oncor holds nearly $6 billion in collateral from large load customers, including over $2 billion for the 44 gigawatt of batch zero submissions shown here.

Of the 44 gigawatts, it's important to note that approximately 8 gigawatts is already connected to the system and continuing to ramp toward full utilization. This demonstrates that demand growth in Texas is not just a projection, but is actively occurring on Encore's network. ERCOT will now study how the projects included in the batch 0 process impact the existing transmission system and provide the initial results of that study. If ERCOT were to determine additional transmission is required to be built by Oncor, the capital expenditures for those projects would be incremental to Oncor's base capital plan and incremental CapEx opportunities.

Looking ahead, Oncor expects to update its 5-year plan on our fourth quarter call, because ERCOT's current time line for identifying additional transmission projects is expected to extend beyond February of next year, we don't expect the roll forward plan to include new capital investments associated with batch zero. The key takeaway here is that we have a growing confidence in Oncor's execution of its base capital plan and incremental capital opportunities and believe there is increasing momentum behind Oncor's long-term growth separate and apart from how data center growth materializes in the state.

Now please turn to the next slide where Karen will walk through our financial results.

Thanks, Jeff. Earlier today, Sempra reported second quarter 2026 GAAP earnings of $796 million or $1.21 per share. This compares to second quarter 2025 GAAP earnings of $461 million or $0.71 per share. On an adjusted basis, second quarter earnings were $762 million or $1.16 per share. This is a notable increase compared to our second quarter 2025 earnings of $583 million or $0.89 per share. As Jeff noted, we're very pleased with our performance in the first half of the year, and think we're well positioned to deliver another year of strong financial results.

Please turn to the next slide. Next, let's go over the second quarter of 2026 adjusted earnings variances compared to the same period last year. At Sempra Texas, we had $138 million of higher equity earnings from new base rates, including interim rates, the UTM, higher invested capital and customer growth, partially offset by higher depreciation, interest expense and O&M. Due to the timing of Oncor's comprehensive base rate settlement approved in April 2026, our second quarter earnings includes a favorable impact of approximately $50 million related to the first quarter of 2026. This amount reflects the difference between the newly approved rates and the rates previously in effect during that period.

Turning to Sempra California. We had $24 million of increased earnings, primarily from higher CPUC base operating margin, net of operating expenses and higher electric transmission margin, partially offset by lower AFUDC equity. Sempra California also had $11 million of lower earnings from higher net interest expense and other, partially offset by higher income tax benefits. At Sempra Infrastructure earnings increased by $26 million, primarily from lower depreciation due to assets held for sale, lower O&M and other, partially offset by higher income tax expense. At Sempra Parent, results were effectively in line with the prior period.

Please turn to the next slide. With strong year-to-date results and progress against our key initiatives, we're affirming our full year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30, and 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70. We're also affirming our projected long-term EPS growth rate of 7% to 9%. As we look ahead, our focus remains on execution, including closing the SI Partners transaction, strengthening the balance sheet post close and continuing to advance our record $65 billion capital plan. This capital plan is centered on utility growth with investments increasingly directed towards Sempra Texas. The growth we see there is supported by robust economic activity, increasing electricity demand and the need to modernize and expand the electricity network across the state.

I'd also note that with considering our improving confidence in Oncor's $10 billion of incremental capital opportunities, we see Texas continuing to become an even larger part of our business, with a goal for it to comprise over 60% of Sempra's total rate base in 2030. Taken together, this investment outlook supports our confidence in Sempra's long-term growth. With one of the highest predicted long-term EPS growth rates in the sector, we think Sempra continues to offer investors a compelling mix of current yield, durable earnings growth and long-term capital appreciation.

Now let's open it up for your questions.

[Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from Shar Pourreza from Wells Fargo.

It's actually Constantine here for Shar. Just starting off in Texas, the obvious question around the data center pause, rhetoric or not. Do you see a threat of pushing for generation or even behind the meter solutions instead of transmission build, how does that impact time lines here, especially as you highlight the batch zero opportunities going into next year?

Thanks, Constantine. I'll address the data center focus first. I think one of the key things that we wanted to approach this call was in the message that our long-term view at Oncor has improved over the last quarter. So we continue to think there's a great opportunity here for our base capital plan to move forward as well as upside capital. And one of the key points in our prepared materials was anything related to the batch process would really be upside beyond that. One of the things I think that we're focused on in this environment is that public policy and a lot of the recent discussions have been focused on protecting Texas families from the new costs associated with expanding the grid to meet new load customers, as you indicated, data centers. And I think in this area, the governor and the PUC both have shown a lot of leadership and I think that's important. I would also not Constantine that Sempra were signatories to the President's Ratepayer Protection Plan. And together with Oncor, we're supportive of the framework that the PUCT is now moving forward with. And I think this is very important relative to your question. And that's to ensure that data centers, number one, cover the full cost of interconnection. And number two, the lower residential bills by having a portion of their tariff allocated to rate payer subsidies. And you're seeing this model play out across other jurisdictions as well. So overall, I think broader stakeholder involvement in the process sets the foundation for a more durable framework. And I think this is a very important point for our stakeholders. The process that's underway now in Austin, receiving more input and more inclusivity of the process, that's designed to create a more durable framework for participants in the market like Oncor to deploy capital in content. When you put that together, with the improving regulatory compact that we received through the UTM legislation last year and the improvements in the recent base rate review that's obviously key drivers in the improved financial performance you're seeing at Oncor.

Excellent. Maybe just a quick follow-up there. So the quick return to normal kind of help the Oncor CapEx update at year-end. Any way to think about that upside to the upside kind of converting closer to plan by that time frame?

I mean I think one of the things that were kind of sitting the message here is that there's a lot of flexibility in that base capital plan around how [ Don Clevenger and Allen ] move capital around. And obviously, there's been some positive steps to firm up the $10 billion of incremental opportunity. So I think that investors can take away from this call that we expect that the roll forward capital plan at Oncor will go up. And I would expect that there's a fair amount of flexibility about how they sequence projects. I think the near-term focus of the team and Allen want to make sure that we're really engaged in the ongoing process, particularly I think that will also be helpful to them, firming up their plans this fall, and we expect to come back to you on the fourth quarter call with a robust discussion around Oncor. And clearly, and Karen made this point, this is becoming a much bigger part of Sempra. And I think as you think about the KKR transaction Constantine, putting that in context, it's all about our pivot to become a pure-play utility and allocate capital to the markets where we think investors will assign the highest value. And certainly, we believe that's Texas. I think the story in Texas continues to get better. Some of these near-term issues need to be dealt with, and that's obviously going to be a priority for Allen's team.

Excellent. And maybe just a quick housekeeping item on the earlier announced [ ECA ] delays. How are you thinking about some of the near-term offset going into year-end? And any sequential read-through of the USI transaction, or are those two separate tracks?

Yes. Thank you for that question. And we put out a press release just over a week ago that gave kind of a comprehensive update on Sempra Infrastructure. I think there's a couple of key points here to your question. First off, the two very large projects at [ Purate, ] both Phase 1 and Phase 2 are on time and on budget. They're proceeding very well. Obviously, anytime you have a commissioning process like you have at [ ECA, ] there's a fair amount of complexity to that. I continue to feel quite constructive about the work that's underway to commission that project. But Justin, you'll recall Justin is the CEO of Sempra Infrastructure, Constantine. It would be helpful if you can provide some additional details about what you found in the root calls analysis? And how you think about the time line going forward this fall.

Yes. Hi, Constantine. So as you recall, after we exported the first cargo out of [ ECA ] in July, we shut down the plant for planned maintenance and inspections. And during that time, we discovered damage to equipment connected to the plant's mixed refrigerant compressors and we are working with our EPC contractor and the OEM, the original equipment vendor on the root cause and our mediation plan. Given where we are, we expect the project to reach substantial completion into the fourth quarter of 2026 with sales under our long-term sale and purchase agreements commencing shortly thereafter. So we don't anticipate additional delay after that at [ ECA. ] And again, [ ECA ] is not the -- sorry, the substantial completion of [ ECA ] is not a condition precedent under the SI transaction.

[Operator Instructions] And our next question will come from Steve Fleishman from Wolfe.

The -- maybe you could just talk to some of the recent political commentary on the 765 kV approval process and thoughts on any risk of that changing, or just where does that -- where do you think that goes from here? Any color on that?

Sure. Let me take -- make a couple of points here. As I mentioned this on to Constantine's question, Steve, but we continue to think the long-term picture at Oncor is intact and improving. Obviously, to your point, there's been some important recent developments. And I'll make two quick points here. I think the theme is we remain constructive. The most important thing that we're hearing out of [ Austin ] is to make sure that we're spending enough time to fully integrate the voices and concerns from landowners, and we want to make sure, obviously, that, that process is inclusive. That's been a clear directive from the governor's office, and I think that's also something that PUCT is working hard to ensure happens. The key theme that I think you're hearing people focus on, Steve, is, if it takes a little bit more time in the process stage to get to what we think is a durable framework that allows us to invest capital with more certainty. We think this process will be time well spent. I would also note that recent Senate hearings, it's very clear that there's two priorities being focused on. One is protecting landowner interest. And secondly, also making sure that Texas has the infrastructure needed to support its continued growth. And I think you saw some of that echoed by the lieutenant governor. And obviously, we want to make sure that the PUCT process, and Allen and his team will participate. I know it's been a very high focus for Allen is making sure that we're being inclusive of all the different voices that have a stake in the outcome here. And if I could, Allen, maybe you could provide a little bit more commentary on where you see the 765 process going from here?

Yes, sure, Jeff. Thanks, Steve. I think the way we're thinking about the 765 issue right now is, obviously, there was a hearing on the 29 that lasted like 15 hours, followed by the statements issued by Chairman [indiscernible] and Lieutenant Governor [ Mattrick. ] And as Jeff said, overall, there's kind of 2 key themes that we're seeing. One, I think, state leaders, something appropriately responding to the landowner concerns. And two, I believe clear affirmation that Texas needs a reliable grid and more investment. So that's a balance that we've been working hard on to strike across all four of our Permian import projects. Just to give you some examples, we mail noticed over 12,000 landowners more than required by the PUC rules. We may have noticed over 11 -- I'm sorry, 1,000 elected officials. We filed 529 unique routes. We added 110 link segments in direct response to public feedback, and we had 16 days of hearings. At this point, the -- so State Office of Administrative Hearings, judges have issued PFDs in 3 of our 4 dockets. We expect the fourth to come sometime in mid-August, those post orders now go to the PUC. The PDC can accept them, they can deny them, they can modify them, or they can request more evidence. We're hopeful that given the significant reliability needs in the Permian, the PDC can reach a timely resolution of those dockets. But whatever they decide, we're committed to, and we look forward to working collaboratively with our regulators, the impacted landowners. Obviously, our state officials to advance a reliable grid that meets the needs of Texas and our customers while protecting landowner rights. So as Jeff said, we remain constructive.

Okay. And one follow-up or I guess an unrelated follow-up. Just any sense on how things are developing on the California wildfire liability legislation and related, obviously, issues and just your confidence on something constructive getting done there.

Yes. Thanks for asking that question, Steve. I mean I think one of the things that really resonates with me is the central focus for policymakers in the state, I think, are focused on the right thing. The key theme here is livability. And I think people recognize when you think about the white paper from the utilities, the feedback from the CPUC the report that was provided by the earthquake Authority. I think it really recognizes, Steve, that the status quo doesn't work, and if we're going to get at this issue of livability, you've got to be willing to address a larger ecosystem of related considerations. And I'll offer a few to you, one of which is there's a big focus in this legislative session on ensuring that housing is more accessible and more affordable that we take steps to create a more vibrant insurance marketplace that there are steps taken an active considerations to put new safeguards in place to mitigate risk to our families and kind of addressing that entire ecosystem, I think there's a lot of focus on making sure that providers of utility services remain financially strong. So the focus, Steve, here needs to be on good public policy for the state of California and getting at the heart of the livability issue. And if you look at some of the reports that have come out from both Moody's and S&P, they clearly are focused on making sure that some type of legislation comes out that avoids utilities move into a higher rate environment and continues to allow California to be economically competitive.

So I would conclude by saying I think Governor [ Newsom ] and the leadership of both houses deserve a ton of credit. They're very much actively working on this issue. This is clearly, Steve, not an easy task, but I continue to believe that the right people are focused on the right set of issues, and I continue to believe that we'll see solid progress during this legislative session. I'll stop there and see if you want to ask additional questions.

Our next question will come from David Arcaro from Morgan Stanley.

One thing I wanted to get a little bit of elaboration on was your large load pipeline in ERCOT, let me see. So I guess, as I'm just thinking about -- you've updated the the overall interconnection queue here to 298 gigawatts at Oncor. I think last quarter, you had mentioned 127 gigawatts of advanced pipeline. And now you've got the, obviously, drilling down further into the batch zero at 44 gigawatts. So I guess I'm just looking for a little bit of help to understand the relationship there. Is there still a very big advanced pipeline of realistic data centers, when could those come in? And how do you kind of frame that up in the context of batch zero?

Thank you for the question. I'll make a couple of comments and pass it to Allen. But the way I would think about it is all across the United States, it doesn't matter whether you're in PJM, or you're in the call is you're in ERCOT. We, as a nation, are struggling with ways to address issues around being short or net short dispatchable generation. We're addressing ways that we can see large load customers come on to the system and ways that we can meet that growth and make sure that we can allocate costs to protect the residential consumer. So frame this, David, as a starting point, is a national issue. What I think is exciting is there is a clear signal that Texas is open for business. One of the things that there's strong alignment on across the legislature and the executive branch is they want to continue to advance the Texas Miracle. And that comes back to the batch process that's being led by ERCOT. Think about a situation where you've got close to 500 gigawatts of generation on the sideline, waiting to come on the system and similarly over 400 gigawatts of large load customers. That batch process is intended to sequence generation with large loads. So over time, it will be a sequencing effect that's intended to balance what we think is going to be remarkable load growth. Now here's the issue, getting the process right is really important, it's complex. And you've seen a lot of different voices participate in the process. I think the long-term story for Oncor will continue to get better. This state is focused on the right issues. And I heard someone I had a conversation recently with the CEO of the U.S. Chamber, who made a comment, David, that really resonated with me, is you may not be able to solve all the problems in this country with higher economic growth, but you can't solve any problems without it. And I think Texas recognizes that. And I think there's a lot of goodwill being spent, making sure that we have the right framework to allow folks to invest the capital needed to meet the needs of stakeholders. If you could, Allen, you mind walking through kind of where you're at with your queue and how you see it unfolding.

Yes. Sure, Jeff. Thanks, David. I think you got the numbers right. I mean we had 44 gigawatts in our service territory that's presently in the batch zero process. You referenced the [ 127.5 ] from the last call. The relationship between those two numbers, the [ 127.5 ] was what we had in our RTP submission versus the 44 in the batch zero. The delta there is that the batch zero rules were finalized in June. There are different set of rules than the RTP submission rules. Batch required things like finalization of studies, posting financial security of 50,000 megawatt, attestations of site control and contracting resources, things like that. So that's the difference between the 127.5 and the 44. Regarding your question about, is there are a lot still out there, obviously, you also referenced the 298. Total overall queue, I think, we were at 283 last time. And then I will break you to think in our earnings release, we talked about some of our growth numbers. But the answer to your question is yes, is there more out there. Total active requests year-to-date for transmission POIs is up 15%. LC&I minus data centers, new requests are up 8% quarter over same quarter last year and active were up about 22% quarter '26 -- second quarter '26 versus second quarter '25. So we continue to have really strong growth, really strong interest. And yes, there is more out there.

Excellent, yes. I appreciate that. And then relatedly, I just wanted to clarify the additional batch zero capital investment opportunities in terms of when you could frame that up and quantify it. Is that something that comes after April of 2027 next year? Is it something we could get midyear in terms of the timing just as ERCOT goes through the batch process?

Thank you, David. I think you got the time line correct. We obviously will look to update Sempra's roll forward 5-year plan as well as Oncor's on the Q4 call. And I think in my prepared remarks, we talked about the fact that we think that visibility into additional capital that we required to support the batch process as it moves forward in the information we get after that. I think we'll have to revisit how we can continue to be as transparent as possible following Q4, but we're excited to bring those additional numbers to you at the right time.

And our next question comes from Nicholas Campanella from Barclays.

I just wanted to ask if we could be a little bit more clear just on the batch process, just the actual next steps. To my understanding, there's a good cause exception requested the PUCT, and do you guys think that, that gets acknowledged and then we just kind of keep moving along with the prior schedule? Or are we kind of on pause until we get past November election and any thoughts from Oncor if we could see additional legislation in the next session around those two would be helpful.

Yes. I'll make a couple of comments, and Allen, I appreciate if you do as well. I think one of the things we've made clear on this call, and I know you're on top of this, Nick, but is we've laid out a path here, we think we feel good about the base capital plan at Oncor. We've got improving confidence in the additional capital opportunities. And certainly, we think there will be a big backlog of new capital opportunities that fall outside of both of those two first buckets. As this goes forward, I mean we're seeing strong leadership, I think, from Governor Abbott. The PUCT has obviously taken up the issue as well. And I think as it goes forward, we'll have more visibility to it in the next few months. But Allen, maybe talk about what your expectations are for the process being firmed up and whether you think there'll be potential legislation would be helpful.

Yes, you bet. Hi, Nick. I think the way we're thinking about it is, obviously, Governor Abbott issued his letter on August 3, calling for the comprehensive verification and audit of all the data centers before they can interconnect. The immediate impact is I think exactly the way you described it, ERCOT previously was going to notify TDSPs on August 7 of the loads that could potentially be in batch zero and now ERCOT apparently intends to consult with the PUC on next step and seek approval for a good cause exception related to the batch zero time line process at the August 20 PUC open meeting. So you've really been focused on August 20 as being the next big event where we may learn more about what's going to go on. The only other thing I would say is, it's also our perspective that these projects that we're going to make it into batch zero were always subject to a validation process to ensure that they met the criteria of the new rules. And with the comprehensive audit moving to the front end, effectively reordering the prior process, we think it will benefit the process by allowing more participation on the front end and lead potentially to a more durable framework on the back end. That's probably what we know right now.

Yes, I think that's a really good point, too, is the way this is being structured, it's almost like a reordering of existing process. And I think it's designed, I think, thoughtfully by the governor, to make sure that there's more input on the front end. So if we get to a more durable framework on the back end, Nick, I think that's a win for everyone in the process.

That makes a lot of sense. And thanks for sharing those thoughts. And then I guess just coming back to the questions on California legislation. I know that there's been a wide discussion that this is a wider than -- more than utilities type problem for the state, right? And everyone has to bring something to the table. Just how do we kind of think about you guys are drawing the line on maybe trading things like future contributions to Phase 2 fund.

Sure. I'll make a couple of comments here and then I'll pass it to Caroline Winn, Nick, who runs California. But in my earlier remarks on today's call, I think it was really important that for Sempra, and other participants in the market to frame us correctly. And I think for us to see successful legislation, it really goes through making sure it's focused primarily on public policy and improved livability, right? So as you think about the utility side of it, I think this is less about pushing for a "utility Bela bill." This is more about making sure that everyone's joined around the exercise of improving the environment for California families. And I think an output from that will be there's a lot of benefit to California families when load serving entities are financially healthy. So I think that will be important. In terms of the legislation itself, we have been active. We're working through all the various constituencies. I've been very pleased with the leadership of the state, and I really feel great about the role that [ Governor Newsom ] is playing. I think it's a little bit premature for us to front-run the process without having the text of a bill, Nick, in front of us. So I think it's important not to pass judgment there. And we look at the totality of the bill and the benefits to the entire list of stakeholders before we weigh in on any bright lines around what we might be expecting. But Caroline, I know you've done a lot of work in this area. Could you add some additional color for Nick's benefit?

Sure, happy to. Hi, Nick. We are encouraged by not only the ongoing dialogue, but importantly, the range of solutions that are being discussed. And I'm pleased with the broad recognition that California would benefit from a more durable wildfire framework. That said, I'll agree with Jeff, that it's premature to assess any specific proposal until there's actual bill language for us to evaluate and clear understanding of how it would operate as part of the broader package. But count on us to continue to engage constructively over the last three weeks of session, but we don't want to get ahead of the process. And I'll just end with this, that our focus remains unchanged, that we're going to operate the system safely will execute on our wildfire mitigation plans, maintain financial discipline and invest in the system in a way that supports customers communities and long-term shareholder value. We'll evaluate any legislation against those principles, and we'll be able to communicate our assessment at the appropriate time.

Thanks, Caroline. And Nick, I'll just conclude, and I made the comment before that a lot of people have sought us out and asked for their views on this. And I think the thing I keep coming back to is, and I think I've been pretty clear, I'm constructive. I actually think we're going to get some solid legislation in this session, and I'm really pleased with the leadership that we're hearing from key folks. I don't want to get ahead of the process. Caroline is absolutely right. There's a long way to go. We want to see the text language. It's a very complicated exercise. But the reason I'm constructive is, I think it's the right thing for the state. I think it's the right thing for livability. I think it's the right thing to improve affordability. And when you line it up around what's right from a public policy standpoint, then it becomes just a good old-fashioned leadership challenge, and I'm pleased with the people that are stepping forward to address it in Sacramento.

And our next question will come from Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Jefferies.

Sorry to disappoint, but [indiscernible] for joining today [indiscernible] taking the time to.

No worries. Thank you.

Just -- I know a lot has been asked for it. Just on the the good old transmission side of the business kind of the earlier-stage projects. Any view on timing changes on some of these certificate of convenience and necessity approvals just related to what's going on, or would you describe things as on track?

Yes. I would try -- I would describe things as on track, and I'll pass it to Allen. But let me just make a quick point you may find helpful, Paul. Oncor's base capital plan is $47.5 billion. They only have about $5 billion of that base capital program that's focused on 765 import pathways related to the Permian. I think Allen and Don have enough flexibility in their capital program to adjust the timing and sequencing of those projects that they need to. We continue to feel good about Oncor's 5-year capital plan and look forward to looking -- coming back in Q4 to update you on how we might grow that going forward. But Allen, on the specific issue of where you're at with CCNs, you feel like things are on track, and we will add additional color for Paul's benefit.

Yes. I don't have much to add. I'll simply say, I take [ Chairman Warner ] and [ Lieutenant Governor Patrick's ] statements very seriously. We intend to work with landowners and work through this process. Just right now, it's so recent. I don't have really a very good understanding or belief about what's going to happen, what time lines could change or what I think we're just wait and see.

Okay. No, understood. And then one follow-up on the batch zero. You mentioned the 8 gigawatts of kind of load that's already process. If you could elaborate that a little bit. Does that require capital to go? Is that kind of in that upside to the upside capital bucket as well? If you could help on that 8 gigawatt scope?

Yes. I think when you think about that 44 gigawatts that we've identified in today's call, the reason we called out that 8 gigawatts is that's projects that have moved forward, and they're already interconnected. So all it's pointing to is, the customers that have been interconnected, their overall utilization is not at the 8 gigawatt level. They're already connected and their load is expected to increase over time to 8 gigawatts. And the reason that's important, and I think we called this out, it shows that, that load growth is not just a prospective opportunity. It's something that's coming on to Oncor system currently.

And our next question will come from Richard Sunderland from Truist Securities.

Sticking with some of the Oncor upside CapEx seems very clear on the batch zero sequencing relative to your 4Q update. Do you speak to other opportunities that could fall into the upside bucket on that 4Q update presumably, there's things like the SRP that would remain in there. But just trying to think about other things that might translate into upside that aren't currently being discussed right now.

Thank you for the question, Richard. We outlined how we thought about the upside opportunity for Oncor on our Q4 call. That might be something that you go back and reference. But in our current materials, if you look at Slide 4, we're talking about the $47.5 billion base capital plan that we announced 4 months ago. And you can see that we've articulated the three buckets that form what we've referred to as the $10 billion incremental capital opportunity. That's $4 billion associated with these recently endorsed DSW projects billion associated with non-Permian 765 projects. And then you referenced it correctly, they do expect to make a system resiliency and filing next year. They've earmarked about $3 billion of capital for that. That number can move around a little bit. And to your point, there may be other opportunities that come to us before we announce this next February. But I think we're quite constructive on those two buckets together, the $47.5 million and also this $10 billion opportunity. And I think, Richard, one of the key things we've taken a lot of questions on since our last call, with how this batch process fit into our current plan. And I think it's been a real clear takeaway for us that the batch process is clearly an incremental opportunity beyond the $47.5 billion and beyond the $10 billion of aside capital they have, the challenge will be, as that process unfolds, we don't think we'll have a lot more definition on the batch-related capital until later in 2027.

Got it. I'll just, I guess, ask the question in a different way. So is the $10 billion that you currently call out is on for upside, kind of what you're working with? And then some of that presumably translates into base on that 4Q update and then the remainder stays as upside, or do you see other opportunities and programs that may backfill whatever moves in the base?

Well, I appreciate the clarification. Let me go back a little bit because I think that the past is prologue here. If you go back and look at where we were in February of 2025, at the 100% level, Oncor had a $36 billion capital program and had about $12 billion of upside opportunities. Through the year, they continue to work on that pipeline by the time they got to February of this year, they took the $36 billion and the $12 billion and announced a brand-new base capital plan of $47.5 billion. And then Richard, they re-upped that opportunity bucket back to $10 billion. And I think that is probably something like that is what we expect. We expect to see all or portions of the $10 billion get rolled into the $47.5 billion. And I'm quite confident that Don and Allen will come back with a very large upside beyond that. That's what we'll cover on the February call.

And our next question will come from Anthony Crowdell from Mizuho.

Just I guess one high-level question on Texas and then 1 on the balance sheet. Just -- Steve had talked earlier about the 765 maybe delays in some of the news we're hearing there. We're talking about delays in the batch zero process. Is it the same issue there of nimbyism? Just -- it seems the timing of both of them happening or the news we've seen in the last three weeks have just reached a peak. Is it the same issue that's going on in ERCOT?

Look, I think I'll look at it, Anthony, like that all across this country, there's a variety of elections taking place in November. There's a big focus on affordability. It doesn't matter whether you're a Republican or a Democrat or an independent. We're looking for ways to release pressure on American families. I think Texas is not immune from that. Obviously, there's a process going forward where we're doing things at scale, Anthony, that have never been done before. And if it's going to happen, it's going to happen in the state of Texas. So I think there's an uncommon electricity demand growth opportunity. And I think there's an uncommon associated capital opportunity. And I think a lot of people of goodwill are at the table in [ Austin, ] trying to make sure that we've got the right process. And I think Allen has struck the right tone. What we want to do is make sure that we're supportive of the process. We're there to make sure that we can address some of the needs of stakeholders. And if the outcome is, it takes a little bit longer to make the process better for everybody, and we end up with a durable framework I think it's great for the state of Texas and make in the long run. We continue to have an increasingly bullish view for Oncor.

Great. And then I could pivot, Slide 11, you talk about Moody's, you're BAA2 with a negative outlook if my memory serves me correct, they went to a negative outlook back in January of 2025. Just curious if there's any timing on when they revisit it or any data points they're looking for to change out negative outlook.

Yes. Thank you for that question. Obviously, the key issue for us at this point is working very closely with Justin and his team to close the KKR transaction which is on schedule for this quarter. And Karen, perhaps, you could talk about the value of that transaction also from a credit standpoint.

Sure. And thanks, Anthony. Yes, so the priority right now is getting the KKR transaction closed. And you'll recall, as part of our strategy, we worked closely with the rating agencies to improve the strength of our balance sheet. So it's going to help us improve our funding capacity really help us pay down some parent debt. So with the closing of the SI transaction, later this quarter, we expect to deconsolidate over [ $10 billion ] worth of debt off the balance sheet and seen improvement in those outlooks. And specifically, you asked about Moody's for that -- it's not only closing the SI transaction, deconsolidating, but they also were tracking the progress at the SI Projects. And in particular, they look for certain milestones, the one -- one of the ones they've chosen that's important as the pipe installation, which again Justin mentioned we're on track there. So we expect that to be where they want it close to the end of the year. So I think it will probably be early next year before they make the changes. But to be clear, we are meet with the rating agencies regularly, we're on track for what they expect us to do, and we're guided about being able to shore up the balance sheet. And on top of that, Jeff and I have talked about having an opportunity to really improve the balance sheet going forward and having cushion there of at least 50 to 150 basis points on average above those thresholds with those thresholds improving. So excited where this will take us.

So I think that's a great point. I mean I think what you're seeing us do here, Anthony, is we've got an improving equity story. We're posting strong financial results both for the quarter and for the first half of the year, and we have definitely a proving credit story and balance sheet story. So we're looking to pull all that together in the second half of the year and obviously meet the expectations of our stakeholders on the credit side.

And we do have time for one last question today. And our last question will come from Carly Davenport from Goldman Sachs.

I just had one follow-up on some of the commentary earlier on the call on California. Just as you think about the potential outcomes here, if you don't see any legislation move forward session. Is there anything that you could see changing about your GRC filing or any other parts of your investment strategy in California that we should be keeping in mind?

Yes. Thank you, Carly. I would go back to some of the information we released in February. You recall that at the enterprise level, we're growing our utility platform at the enterprise level at about 11% annually. If you folded in the additional upside at Oncor, that number would be closer to 13%. As part of that portfolio of growth, California is now growing a little slower. We're growing rate base in California at about 5%. And I think we've got the right approach there in terms of making sure we meet the needs of the state in terms of safety and reliability, and there's a nod to affordability with that. I know this is a question that's come up both for Edison and [ PG&E ] or in a little bit different situation as I think we've got the opportunity to continue to execute our current capital plan. In terms of the legislation itself, I don't want to start speaking to hypotheticals without having the text in front of us. I remain constructive on legislation in state. And I think we've got our capital plan dialed in about the appropriate level of the future.

That concludes today's question-and-answer session. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference back to Jeff Martin for any additional closing remarks.

Well, let me conclude by thanking everyone for joining today. We certainly appreciate you making the time to join. Before signing off, I'd like to take a moment to congratulate Karen on her appointment as the incoming CEO of the Southern California Gas Company. And also Justin for his appointment is Sempra's incoming Chief Financial Officer. These are important rotational moves that reflect Sempra's long tradition of leadership development across our organization and we expect these rotations to become effective around the close of the SI Partners transaction, which we're targeting later this quarter.

Finally, we hope to see many of you next week at the upcoming Citi Conference in Las Vegas. If there are any other follow-up items, please reach out to our IR team with your questions. This concludes our call.

Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Good day, and welcome to Sempra's First Quarter Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Louise Bick. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and welcome to Sempra's First Quarter 2026 Earnings Call. A live webcast of this teleconference and slide presentation are available on our website under the Events and Presentations section. We have several members of our management team with us today, including Jeff Martin, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Karen Sedgwick, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Justin Bird, Executive Vice President of Sempra and Chief Executive Officer of Sempra Infrastructure. Caroline Winn, Executive Vice President of Sempra; Allen Nye, Chief Executive Officer of Oncor; Dyan Wold, Vice President, Controller and Chief Accounting Officer; and other members of our senior management team.

Before starting, I'd like to remind everyone that we'll be discussing forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements we make today. The factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially are discussed in the company's most recent 10-Q filed with the SEC. Earnings per common share amounts in our presentation are shown on a diluted basis and we'll be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures.

Please refer to the presentation slides that accompany this call for a reconciliation to GAAP measures. We also encourage you to review our 10-Q for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. I'd also like to mention that forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of today, May 7, 2026, and it's important to note that the company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements in the future. With that, please turn to Slide 3, and let me hand the call over to Jeff.

Thank you all for joining us today. We're pleased with our first quarter financial results and the progress we've made against our 2026 value creation initiatives. Let me start by walking through the key developments from the quarter. Recall, our first initiative is to invest approximately $13 billion in T&D energy infrastructure while also emphasizing improved financial returns. 2026 has started on a positive note with Sempra deploying $3 billion of investment capital in the first quarter, which keeps us on track to meet our annual target.

As for improving returns, Oncor received approval from the PUCT for the settlement of its base rate review. This decision comes with higher authorized equity layer at 43.5%, higher return on equity at 9.75% and higher cost of debt set at 4.94%. Additionally, Oncor is permitted to surcharge the difference between the new billing rates and Oncor's current rates for the period January 1 to June 1, 2026. Based on the final order received last month, the surcharge we made through a separate filing with recovery expected over the remainder of the year. Ultimately, this outcome is expected to better align rates with Oncor's current cost structure and support improved financial strength and credit metrics during a period of elevated capital investment that helps support Texas' growing energy needs. For more information on the improved decision, please refer to Slide 11 in the appendix.

I also want to note that Oncor submitted its inaugural UTM filing last month to incorporate $4.4 billion of T&D assets that were placed into service since January 1, 2025, into rates. Importantly, the UTM helps meaningfully reduce regulatory lag by allowing recovery on these assets and going forward, can be filed every 365 days. We anticipate a final order and updated rates in the second half of 2026. In combination of the rate case approval and periodic UTM filings put Oncor in a better position to earn closer to its authorized ROE across the plan period.

In California, SDG&E filed an uncontested offer of settlement in its TO6 proceeding with FERC which establishes the authorized framework for SDG&E's cost to own, operate and maintain high voltage transmission infrastructure. Similar to improving financial returns in Oncor the offer of settlement is important because it would also increase SDG&E's authorized base return on equity to 10.28% with a hypothetical capital structure of 54% equity, among other items. The terms of the settlement remains subject to FERC approval, which is expected to occur in the second half of this year. Importantly, if approved, the settlement terms would be retroactive to June 1, 2025.

Now turning to Sempra Infrastructure. We declared COD at Cimarron wind during the quarter. At ECA LNG Phase 1, we introduced feed gas from the GRO pipeline into the facility and began the start-up process. We continue to expect to produce first LNG next month, and we're targeting substantial completion this summer. At that point, we'll begin recognizing LNG revenues with long-term contracted sales and full commercial operations commencing shortly thereafter. Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 and Phase 2 construction projects continue to progress on time and on budget.

Another one of our top priorities for the year is to close the SI Partners transaction and use the associated proceeds to reinvest in our utility businesses. We're making progress toward completing the transaction and have recently received key approvals from FERC and antitrust regulators. We expect to close the transaction in the second or third quarter of 2026. We also remain focused on simplifying Sempra's business model to concentrate our future investments on our utilities, which we previously projected would grow rate base at roughly 11% annually through 2030. That's why we're continuing to advance our capital recycling program. Consistent with this initiative, the previously announced EcoGas sale remains on track to also close in the second or third quarter of this year.

As you know, we also have a relentless focus on modernizing operations to support improving our cost structure and building out our execution capabilities. In that regard, Oncor continues to make strides diversifying its supply chain, while reducing execution risk. Currently, they're growing their supply base across multiple sourcing categories, securing labor and materials, expanding logistics and warehousing capacity and strengthening physical security.

Lastly, we continue to prioritize community safety, affordability and operational excellence across the enterprise. As an example, during January's Winter Storm Fern, SoCalGas' natural gas storage facilities helped both SoCalGas and SDG&E customers avoid approximately $120 million in higher potential energy cost by withdrawing natural gas purchase months earlier. The effective use of these assets highlights the clear value of natural gas storage and how it can be used successfully to support customer affordability.

Additionally, the California Earthquake Authority published its natural catastrophe resiliency study in April. It outlines several potential pathways to improve affordability in the state and improve community safety. We're encouraged by the report and we'll closely monitor developments informed by the study's findings as the year progresses.

Now please turn to the next slide where Karen will walk through our financial results.

Thank you, Jeff. Earlier today, Sempra reported first quarter 2026 GAAP earnings of $1.37 billion or $1.58 per share. This compares to first quarter 2025 GAAP earnings of $906 million or $1.39 per share. On an adjusted basis, first quarter earnings were $991 million or $1.51 per share. This is an increase to our first quarter 2025 earnings of $942 million or $1.44 per share. I'd also note that the positive financial impact for the first quarter of Oncor's base rate review will be primarily recognized in the second quarter given the PUCT order wasn't issued until April. We're pleased with our financial results for the quarter and look forward to building on them for the remainder of the year.

Please turn to the next slide. Variances in the first quarter of 2026 adjusted earnings compared to the same period last year can be summarized as follows: at Sempra Texas, we had $25 million of higher equity earnings from the UTM, higher invested capital and customer growth, partially offset by higher interest expense, depreciation and O&M. Turning to Sempra California. We had $44 million of increased earnings, primarily from higher CPUC base operating margin, net of operating expenses. Sempra California also had $48 million of lower income tax benefits and higher net interest expense. At Sempra Infrastructure, earnings increased by $34 million, primarily from lower depreciation due to the classification as held for sale, partially offset by other items. At Sempra Parent, we had $6 million of higher losses from higher net interest expense and net investment losses, partially offset by other items.

Please turn to the next slide. With solid first quarter results and progress against our key initiatives, we're affirming our full year 2026 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30 and 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70. We're also affirming our projected long-term EPS growth rate of 7% to 9%. We remain focused on achieving the key milestones we've laid out for the remainder of the year, including closing the SI Partners transaction and recycling that capital back into our utilities, continuing to simplify the business with the completion of the Ecogas sale and strengthening the balance sheet post close through parent debt paydown and the deconsolidation of SI Partners as well as working with the rating agencies as we continue to improve our credit profile.

In addition, we're executing on a record $65 billion capital plan that supports strong projected rate base growth across the plan period. Also, a central feature of our capital plan is that we're investing more in Texas. We expect to derive a majority of our rate base by the end of the decade. What's more we have improving visibility into approximately $9 billion of incremental capital opportunities beyond the base plan, which is also primarily concentrated in Texas. In short, Sempra is well positioned to achieve our projected long-term EPS growth rate of 7% to 9%, which is one of the highest at the utility sector. We look forward to building on our early momentum and continuing to execute our corporate strategy which aims to provide investors with a compelling mix of current yield, durable earnings growth and long-term capital appreciation.

Now I'd like to open it up for your questions.

[Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from Shahriar Pourreza from Wells Fargo.

It's actually Constantine on for Shahriar. Maybe starting off on the progress at Oncor with the 127 gigawatts of qualifying load. Do you view the quality is comparable to the prior 39 kind of high confidence number? And do you envision any rule changes that could move that number lower? Just maybe talking about how you envision to have a time line for converting that into CapEx? Is that within the 5-year plan or mostly outside?

Yes. Well, let me try to address this from a couple of different perspectives. I think that number is quite solid. You'll recall, just over a quarter ago, it was closer to 38 gigawatts. I think Allen and his team have made substantial progress in confirming and meeting the requirements for that to move into the RTP. Why don't I do this? I'll provide a little bit of high-level commentary, and then I'll pass it to Allen to update us on where they're at in the Batch Zero process as well as the regional transmission plan and see if that will answer your question.

My starting point here Constantine is, I think the terminology I've heard a lot in our industry is the United States really is in the middle of an arms race. And it's a race to build the infrastructure that we're talking about, artificial intelligence and continue to improve America standing as a technology leader in the world. And when you think about it, and we study all the other states in the country. Texas truly is ground zero for this opportunity. And that's why I think there will be substantial opportunities to grow Oncor's plan beyond the base plan, beyond the incremental $10 billion of CapEx well into the middle part of the next decade. That's also why we and our Oncor friends are following the ERCOT Batch Zero process so closely as well as the regional transmission plan. So Allen, would you mind giving a little bit of a procedural update about where we're at with Batch Zero and your views on RTP?

Yes, sure, Jeff. So I think as we all know, ERCOT has been developing the process for Batch Zero through the stakeholder workshops that recently concluded. Protocol revisions are now proceeding through ERCOT committees to get to Board approval, hopefully, on June 1, followed by PUC approval. The time line, as we understand it right now, is we'll finalize the inclusion criteria in July of '26, batch study which occur between July '26 through January '27. Load commitment period beginning probably for 30 days beginning in February of 2027, followed by a refinement study from March to May of '27 and then RPG submission in June of '27. That's what we know about the schedule right now. It's obviously subject to changes as we've seen. We're obviously very involved and will continue to be throughout the process and I think it's good, Jeff, that you take it to me for both these issues because they do overlap to a certain degree.

In fact, there's some discussion as recently as about 30 minutes ago at the open meeting in Austin this morning about RTP in the batch process. But with regards to the 2026 regional transmission plan, I said on previous calls that we had, what I said was high confidence, you mentioned -- with regards to 38 gigawatts and I also said that it would likely increase by our April 1 filing for the regional transmission plan. As you've seen, our total [ Q ] right now for large load is 289 gigawatts, of which 271 gigawatts are data center related. For our Oncor's 2026 RTP filing, we did submit 122 gigawatts of load, and that's load 75 megawatts or higher. We also submitted 5.2 gigawatts of medium-sized load, which is load between greater than 25 megawatts but lower than 75 megawatts.

Together, that constitutes what's known as substantiated load pursuant to the ERCOT compliance plan. To your question about the quality of the variance, the quality between the 38 and the 127, they're effectively the same in this regard. The 127 that we submitted as part of the RTP meets all the requirements of SB 6 as they were at the time. So we feel very good about those numbers. How they can change? I mean there's literally a discussion this morning. about what the commission is going to do with regards to batch and RTP. So we'll have to see. But that's where we are right now on large load.

And Allen, I would just follow up with Constantine and summarize a couple of things that I think are most important for investors. Recall that Oncor is growing earnings at 30% annually through the midpoint of its 2027 guidance. Second, I would remind you that they've got a $47.5 billion capital plan that's solid. It doesn't turn on whether there's more or less large data center or large load customers coming on the grid. Number three, as I indicated earlier, they've identified this $10 billion of incremental CapEx. And Allen and Don and the team have been working quite aggressively to try to firm that up. And I'm confident that we'll be able to give you an update on that incremental CapEx bucket later this year.

And finally, we keep using this term of 127 gigawatts of large load customers. The bottom line is it's going to lead to higher levels of capital spending in Texas. And interestingly, internally, Constantine, we refer to this as the incremental to the incremental. In other words, it's beyond our incremental capital program or what we refer to as I squared. And we expect the I squared will show up in continued levels of record capital spending at Oncor well through the middle part of the next decade.

Really appreciate it. Really staggering numbers here. And maybe in a little bit more detail, kind of ERCOT has been moving forward with some of the local transmission upgrades supporting kind of near-term. I think they announced more than $2 billion of projects already awarded. And is that upside to the current plan? Is that a part of that $10 billion opportunity? And maybe more holistically, how are you tracking versus that $10 billion number? And maybe just the trigger for the next update?

Sure. So you're 100% correct. I think about 2 weeks ago, and I referenced this on a prior call, in addition to batch and RTP, we have also been pursuing some projects that we had at ERCOT that were just going through the regular RPG process. And so we had 4 gigawatts that we refer to as South Dallas, 4 gigawatts, and we had about 10 gigawatts elsewhere throughout the system. And approximately 2 weeks ago, I don't remember if it was Thursday or Friday, ERCOT did release those 4 gigawatts of South Dallas projects, and they had an estimated cost around those of around $2.9 billion. Given that those are -- they're not all in South Dallas, there are some other projects that they released as well. But given that the majority of them are in South Dallas, where we serve, the majority of those projects would be ours. Costs associated with those projects are presently in what is our incremental opportunities bucket.

And I think this is an important point, Constantine, because one of the things I indicated in my first response is they're working aggressively right now to firm up that $10 billion bucket. This is a great example of progress they made just 2 weeks ago. And certainly, I'd like to be in a position later this summer, perhaps on the Q2 call to provide more visibility to how this is firming up. Now remember, there's all -- you've got to get CCNs, you've got to get rights away. There's things out there.

But we have a process by which what we put into the base capital plan is firm and rock solid. And I think Allen is making a great point. We've made tremendous progress on the $10 billion of incremental capital just in the last 90 days. I think there's some more things we can do between now and our Q2 call in August, and we look forward to coming back to the Street and update you.

Our next question will come from Steve Fleishman from Wolfe.

Sorry, a less exciting question. Just the Sempra Infrastructure closing, what steps do you still have to achieve to close that?

Sure. We said a few things in our prepared remarks in terms of some of the progress we made. And maybe, Justin, why don't you recap the progress we've made since the announcement and what remaining items are that we'll resolve here in short order.

Yes. Thank you, Jeff, and hello, Steve. So as Jeff said in the prepared remarks, we do remain on track for closing in the second or third quarter of this year. Thus far, we've gotten FERC approval, competition approval from Korea. We've reached the end of the HSR period. We've received antitrust approvals in Mexico, and we have received the majority of our third-party consents. We are currently working with the Cameron partners and the Japanese export credit agencies who financed Cameron to get their consents. And Steve, at the same time, our teams are working on finalizing the pre-transition and transition services with those closing activities remaining on track. So I'd say our relationship with KKR remains strong. We're working closely with them to close the transaction in Q2 or Q3. And I think we're in great shape, Steve.

Okay. Good. And then just a follow-up on that. When you -- I think Karen mentioned just the rating agencies and completing their review after Sempra Infrastructure potentially, is that the key milestone? Or are there other things that the rating agencies are looking at related to the negative outlook maybe going away?

Sure. Karen, please go ahead.

Yes. So Steve, that's the main catalyst for some changes in our threshold from the rating agencies. So we've spoken with all of them, and they've all talked about improving our thresholds once the deal is done. But I don't expect that to be immediate. So it's not just that. For example, Moody's also wants to see some further progress on our construction projects. So they're tracking pipe installation and those things. So I anticipate our thresholds improving post close of the project, but probably closer to the end of the year once we reach some of those construction milestones end of the year or early '27.

So the way I think about it, Steve, is I probably think about closing plus 6 months, and that will give us time to pay down some parent debt. Obviously, a big part of it is deconsolidating Sempra Infrastructure from our financials and obviously improving the overall credit profile of the company. And that will go into what Karen is referring to as an adjustment in terms of downgrade thresholds.

Okay. And then I guess just one last question on the, I guess, your confidence on moving to California on getting changes to the wildfire liability law this session?

Yes. This is something, Steve, that I've been personally involved in with Caroline Winn. One of the things I've said on prior calls is the right people that are supposed to be addressing the issues are around the table. The right issues are being discussed. And I think one of the things from my perspective, and I'll pass it to Caroline for some additional commentary is I can see this legislative session kind of orienting around how we, as a state, improve the livability of the state for its citizens. I think, obviously, there's a continued prioritization from the governor's office in growing the economy. I think this session, you'll see a big focus on the affordability of housing, the availability of insurance, reduction in sales taxes in some areas. And I certainly think what you're asking about SB 254 falls in that category as well.

We were pleased, Steve, with the CEA laying out different paths to reduce wildfire risk and set up improved recovery mechanisms. But I have reasonable confidence that we'll get something done in this legislative session. I don't think it's going to cross a couple of years. I think there's a lot of momentum to get something done that will be helpful to our industry. And perhaps, Karen you can -- Caroline, you can provide some commentary on what your priorities are at this session.

Sure. Maybe I'll just highlight 3 areas of the report that I think were very helpful. One is that the wildfire risk is really framed appropriately as a whole of society problem, not just the utility problem. I think the second piece is that there's a clear acknowledgment that the current framework isn't durable nor adequate. And maybe three, that there is significant cost of inaction. So as Jeff mentioned, the report includes a menu of different options that provides, I think, a solid base of facts that will inform the legislature. And from our perspective, we're really focused on these 3 priorities. One, we need to put wildfire victims first. Two, we need to implement a more coordinated statewide approach to risk mitigation; and three, as Jeff mentioned, we need to make meaningful progress within this legislative session.

And ultimately, this is about improving California's wildfire framework. It's about keeping our communities that we serve safer. It's about making California more affordable to live in and ensuring that recovery is faster and fairer when wildfires do occur. And just as I end here, we are seeing that the governor and the legislative leadership are moving. And to that point, they'll start informational hearings next week. So I do think that there is a lot of activity and alignment on this issue.

The only other thing I would add, Steve, to Caroline's comment is I think what's different is you don't want to go to the legislature and be talking about bespoke issues. I think what's really important right now is the state conversation is around a dialogue of improving the livability of the state. And what you and I are talking about on this call with 254 is just one element of that. So I think the focus is on the right issues. And I think that we've got a lot more people aligned around action. And I think the CEA report is certainly helpful in that regard.

Our next question will come from David Arcaro from Morgan Stanley.

Circling back to the Texas landscape, we heard earlier today from an IPP in Texas anyway who was more cautious really on, I guess, the physical ability for all that data center capacity to come online. So I guess I'm curious your confidence level, what you're seeing on the ground, the physical progress and any maybe limiting factors that you see realistically for the low growth outlook?

Let me make a couple of comments, and I'll pass it to Allen. I think there's something, David, that's unique about Sempra and the Oncor story and you'll be reading and following different earnings calls where people are having challenges with the RTO or people are talking about leaving markets. I think what we're talking about is we've got a base capital plan that's largely indifferent to whether these things happen or don't happen. So we have an industry-leading story that is largely unrelated to the number of data centers that come online. And the great news is Sempra is an opportunity where you can have leading growth and the data center story as it matures, becomes significant upside beyond our capital plan. So I just want to keep putting that out there.

This is a plan based upon Texas' economic activity and the need to build this super highway of high-voltage transmission, and that informs roughly 70% of Oncor's existing base plan. So they have a solid plan in this area. And I do believe they have an improving view of how many data centers will come online. And you're making a great point, having the right matching of generation capacity that will be choreographed with that growth will be important. And maybe, Allen, you can talk about what you're seeing on the ground and whether you see continued progress on the generation side.

Yes, sure. Thanks, Jeff. Yes, it's a very reasonable question. The numbers, especially ours alone, but when you look at ERCOT as an aggregate are very, very large. And I think that's why it's important that ERCOT and the PUC are going through the exercises that they are right now with the batch process and how they're handling the '26 RTP. It's going to -- we're going to need as a state to coordinate and phase this very well. And there's going to have to be a lot, to Jeff's point, more transmission built to serve any significant amount of this load. There's going to be -- there is sufficient excess generation right now.

I think there's 164 gigawatts installed, and I know that's nameplate versus 85.5 gigawatt peak. But we have as a state about, I think, 450 gigawatts or so of generation somewhere in the ERCOT queue right now. So I think we have that Oncor, I think, over 164 gigawatts trying to connect to us in some manner right now. And I think as I've discussed things with people on the generation side, I think they're looking for price signals to put more steel in the ground, and this could certainly cause that.

What's interesting, Allen, is the choreography between the RTP process, the batch process, you're really trying to make sure that you match up load with capital investment in transmission and you start unlocking that 450 gigawatt queue of generation. So there's kind of a loading order here, David. And certainly, we continue to think that Oncor's capital plan is really positioned on what we think is the anchor investment that unlocks this, which is high-voltage transmission.

Great. Helpful color as we try to figure out what's going on the ground in Texas. And then maybe shifting over to California. We're close here heading into the GRC period, and I know you're filing coming soon. But I was wondering, any preview of just your maybe priorities and how you're positioning the GRC filings, what we should expect to see there?

Yes. Caroline and her team have been doing work on this for probably well over a year. We're expecting to make our filing later in Q2. And Caroline, it might be helpful to talk about kind of what your priorities are to David's question as we put the GRC together.

Sure yes. Just as a reminder, our last rate case was filed in 2022, and we received our final decision in December of '24. So as Jeff mentioned, we will be filing next month, and we'll be taking into consideration really lessons learned from prior GRCs as well as others in the state. And you can expect our filing to focus on 3 key areas. One is continued necessary investments in safety and reliability, also technology innovation and lastly, modernization of our services and our infrastructure to support customer needs. But maybe I'd also like to note that we've done some really great work on the affordability of our services recently with modernizing our organization structure and rightsizing our business. And we're really focused on efforts that will support our ability to make critical investments while also improving the affordability of our services.

Our next question will come from Aidan Kelly from JPMorgan.

Just one question on my end. Now with the Texas base rate case wrapped could you just remind us of the expectations for ROE improvement by year as far as what you contemplate in the plan? And then just high level, how should we be thinking about the key components in your UTM filing?

Yes. I'm sorry Aidan, you came across just a little bit garbled. Would you mind repeating your question for us, please?

Yes. Sorry about that. Just wanted to ask on the ROE improvement by year in Texas as far as what you contemplated in the plan and then just the UTM filing, thoughts there on the key components.

Yes. So I would just start by saying that you'll recall that just over 18 months ago, we had been forecasting earned ROEs at Oncor just below 8%. There was a lot of work done by Allen and his team to create the right legislative environment and the right stakeholders to support the UTM process, which was designed to reduce that regulatory lag, which was even more important in a period of much higher growth and capital deployment. And behind that, the base rate review obviously increased both the ROE, the equity layer and the expected cost of debt. And those 2 things in combination, what we've said publicly is it is expected to move their earned ROE on average much closer to their new authorized ROE of 9.75%. But other than that, would you like to make any other comments, Allen, in terms of the schedule for the UTM?

Yes, sure. I'm glad to address UTM. It's going well. We made our filing on April 22. We got a revised procedural schedule actually yesterday, which would call for testimony to the parties, intervener staff Oncor to be filed in July with a potential hearing on August 20. We expect a final order and new rates to go into effect during the second half of 2026. And we have the opportunity to get interim rates on or about October 4, if we don't have an order before then. So we're constructive on the schedule, and we'll look forward to and we'll work with the parties moving forward. And just as a reminder, we can file once every 365 days.

Aidan, the only thing I would add is these developments were very, very important to Sempra, right? We knew there was going to be growth in the state. We knew that Oncor had an increased opportunity to deploy a lot more capital. But as we started to see these developments take place, that's why under Justin's leadership and Karen's leadership, we took the opportunity to load the balance sheet. So the timing, I think Steve Fleishman referenced this, the timing of getting the KKR transaction closed, the improvement in financial returns, which, by the way, was the #1 priority for our value creation initiatives last year, and it's the #1 priority this year. That progress and improved expectation of returns in Texas has really unlocked what I think is a significant leg of capital. And obviously, you're seeing that show up in the earnings growth.

Our next question comes from Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Jefferies.

This is actually Andrew on for Julien. Just 2 questions on my front. One, Texas, on the execution piece, I think the disclosure was very helpful that you guys have contracted slot for your base plan through 2028. Can you maybe kind of talk a bit more about the progress in securing that for the remainder of your base plan as well as kind of more specifically for your upside plan? Are you looking to kind of secure those slots throughout the rest of the year? Or are you kind of waiting for more visibility on those opportunities itself?

Well, Andrew, thank you for joining the call, and I would refer you and our listeners to Slide 13. And I think what we wanted to do here is lay out something that Allen has been leading at Oncor since the COVID days, which was they've got the opportunity in Texas to deploy economies of scale in terms of how they resource their business I think Slide 13 does a good job of showing their progress to date. But Allen, if you could, maybe talk about like the work you've done to support the base plan and why you think we're in good shape with the Board's support for you to keep contracting forward.

Yes, you bet. Thanks, Jeff. We're in excellent shape. As I've said on prior calls, we have what we need for the first 3 years of the base plan. The outer 2 years, we have line of sight to. We effectively have understandings or agreements that are not conceptualized in paper yet or not executed for those same suppliers to provide what we need in the outer years. And there's just some of our suppliers who will only execute 3-year contracts with us. But we have what we need for the first 3, and we believe we're in excellent shape for the outer 2 years for the base plan.

To Jeff's point, we're constantly working on supply chain, diversifying, securing slots and his point to what the Board support that we've had is several years ago -- 5 years ago, the Board gave us authority to start looking at securing things outside of what we were planning for. And so we've been doing that for a number of years now. That's how we got in the good position we are right now with regards to the 765 equipment that we have ordered or acquired. So we are always looking beyond the 5-year horizon, looking into our incremental buckets to see what we need. And the Board has given us the ability to go ahead and secure those slots or products that we need for those plants.

And Andrew, I would just add that over a long period of time, there's been discussions in the industry about the value of scale. And I think in this case, Oncor really is a case study in that. I think not only has it been proactive planning over the last 5 years, they're really in a position, I think, that has created a competitive advantage for them in the industry to be so far along in their supply chain management. But thank you for joining our call.

Yes. That was very helpful. Maybe one quick one on LNG as well, obviously, given the backdrop that we're in. Can you maybe talk a bit about how you're thinking about LNG as a long-term component of your business strategy versus historically more of a source of capital? Has that changed over time? And how has the conversation been with potential offtakers for your backlog projects?

Well, let me make a couple of comments, if you would, Justin, kind of on the macro environment, and I can pass it to you to talk about conversations you're having with current bilateral customers as well as potentially where you're at in some of your project status. But look, you may recall, Andrew, that it was back in 2018 that there were a lot of people that were challenging Sempra on its perspectives on LNG. And we came out front in the industry and said, look, we firmly believe there's going to be a second wave of LNG opportunity. And we really tried to build a business where we put the Mexican platform together with our LNG platform. And obviously, we've marked the value of that business multiple times now, including most recently in the KKR transaction. But I can tell you that the LNG trade today, which is about 60 million tons per annum or about 60 Bcf actually annually, really is attempting to balance supply and demand, both in Asia and Europe.

And when you see the stress that the global energy markets are in today, it really points to markets that have a competitive advantage and fundamentals. And the fundamentals we're talking about is the United States, which has deep capital markets, ample natural gas reserves, probably most importantly, low price volatility in the rule of law. So it's times like this that America's competitive advantage shows up. We're very bullish on the LNG trade long term because over time, and this came out recently from some comments from the IEA, buyers will continue to pay a premium for taking risk off from their supply market. And I think the United States, this is being demonstrated with the issues that Qatar is facing. The United States will continue to not only be the largest exporter of LNG, I think they're going to take market share. And Justin, you might want to talk about how that's informing some of the conversations with buyers and then maybe cap it off with just a quick recap of where you're at with your projects.

Sure. Thanks, Jeff. So as Jeff mentioned, the fundamentals of the market really matter when there's stress. And we think this is a key reason why the U.S. and frankly, our LNG portfolio with access to both the Pacific and Atlantic Coast continue to be well positioned from a supply perspective. In the short term, these items are translating into positive momentum around our additional volumes at Port Arthur LNG 2 and additional LNG development opportunities around our expansion projects. We are actively engaged in discussions for the remaining offtake at PA LNG Phase 2 and are constructive on securing our remaining volumes under long-term contracts with prices that will bolster SI's economic returns. So we and along with our SI partners and our Cameron partners are very bullish on the prospects of LNG -- U.S. LNG, our dual-coast LNG portfolio. And we really think there's an opportunity to supply the market with the demand that's going to be there.

Following on, on kind of the project status, let me just give you an update on some of the SI projects. At ECA, as Karen mentioned, we've achieved mechanical completion, but we're excited to have recently introduced first gas into the system, which began the start-up process and pre-commissioning activities. We continue to expect to produce LNG next month, which supports our target of achieving substantial completion this summer. Once we reach substantial completion, we'll begin recognizing revenues from LNG cargoes. And once the commissioning process is complete, long-term contracted sales and full commercial operations will begin. Overall, the project is moving along, and we look forward to an upcoming project milestones.

The only other thing I would add, Andrew, is we've revised our corporate strategy, right? We've made the decision this is going to be a pure-play utility business. So to the heart of your question, we would expect to be reducing our capital allocation to the LNG space. As one example, in addition to our $65 billion capital plan, we've circled about $9 billion of upside. Almost all of that's in Texas, about $1 billion of that could come from the LNG side. But I just want to be really clear, we think the opportunity for U.S. LNG is expanding. We think the opportunity for Sempra Infrastructure is also expanding. But Sempra's corporate strategy is going to a lower risk profile focused on our U.S. utilities with a big emphasis on Texas. And by the end of this decade, we expect to have almost 60% of our rate base in the state of Texas.

And we have time for one last question today. And our last question will come from Carly Davenport from Goldman Sachs.

Just one from me, and it's a follow-up to an earlier question on -- we're hearing more about emerging labor constraints, and I know you guys laid out the supply chain diversification in Texas. But could you talk a little bit more about the labor side specifically beyond 2028 and then how you think about kind of labor availability as you contemplate upside opportunities to the capital plan?

Yes. As you were framing that question, you think about we have this high-class problem where we have all this tremendous growth, which is fantastic. And you're really on point, supply chain becomes more and more important as you try to derisk your capital plan. And Allen, perhaps you could talk about some of the great work that Jim Greer did and now Ellen Buck, the work you're doing with contractors.

Yes. Carly, I think one of the really important features of our supply chain with regards to labor is this. We have so much to build, and we have so much in our pipeline. that it's very attractive to labor to come work for us and be able to know you're going to be working in one place for the next multiple years as opposed to having to move your family or jump from region to region to do the work. Is it tight? Certainly, it is. Have we had a tremendous response from our partners? We have. And we feel very good at where we are. We have increased the number of contract labor that we -- over the years significantly. We've almost tripled it. It's helped us in a number of ways. But one of the features I think is very important is our backlog or our future flow of work is very attractive to people in the field to come work for us for an extended period of time.

Thank you. That concludes today's question-and-answer session. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference back to Jeff Martin for any additional closing remarks.

Well, as we close, I'd like to thank everyone for joining us today. We appreciate you making time to participate, and we're very excited to be getting on the road to meet with a lot of investors. We look forward to seeing many of you in Arizona at AGA. We also have investor trips planned to San Francisco, Los Angeles and Boston over the next 3 or 4 weeks. If there are any follow-up items, please don't hesitate to reach out to our IR team with your questions. And this concludes our call.

Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Good day, and welcome to Sempra's Fourth Quarter Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Louise Bick. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and welcome to Sempra's Fourth Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. A live webcast of this teleconference and slide presentation are available on our website under the Events and Presentations section. We have several members of our management team with us today, including Jeff Martin, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Karen Sedgwick, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Justin Bird, Executive Vice President of Sempra and Chief Executive Officer of Sempra Infrastructure; Caroline Winn, Executive Vice President of Sempra; Allen Nye, Chief Executive Officer of Oncor; and other members of our senior management team.

Before starting, I'd like to remind everyone that we'll be discussing forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements we make today. The factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially are discussed in the company's most recent 10-K filed with the SEC.

Earnings per common share amounts in the presentation are shown on a diluted basis, and we'll be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the presentation slides that accompany this call for a reconciliation to GAAP measures. We also encourage you to review our 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2025. I'd also like to mention that forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of today, February 26, 2026, and it's important to note that the company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements in the future.

With that, please turn to Slide 5, and let me hand the call over to Jeff.

Thank you all for joining us today. Our success in 2025 reflects how well we performed against our priorities. In that regard, we introduced 5 value creation initiatives last year designed to simplify Sempra's business model mitigate risk and improve financial strength. The first value creation initiative was to prioritize utility investments with improved returns.

During the year, we deployed $13 billion in CapEx and Sempra California increased CPUC base operating margin and Oncor, improved capital efficiency through the implementation of the unified tracker mechanism. Together, these factors contributed to separate achieving record adjusted EPS of $4.69 at the high end of our 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range while establishing a strong foundation for continued growth through 2030.

We continue to see compelling investment opportunities in Oncor service territory with historic levels of transmission expansion continuing to advance. In order to support this build-out, we're excited to introduce a new record capital plan of $65 billion for 2026 to 2030 representing a 17% increase to last year's plan. Karen will speak to this later in the call, including details about $9 billion of upside opportunities that we're tracking within the plan period.

The second initiative was to highlight value in our LNG franchise. In September, we announced the sale of a 45% stake in SI Partners for $10 billion implying over a $22 billion equity value. We're pleased to recognize the significant value created on behalf of our shareholders at an attractive multiple. And we continue to expect to close that transaction in the second or third quarter of 2026, subject to closing conditions.

Sempra Infrastructure also made progress during the year on several LNG projects by declaring FID on Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 and reaching mechanical completion at ECA LNG Phase 1. Also, Port Arthur LNG Phase 2 construction continues to proceed on schedule, and we're excited by the prospect of all of these projects driving the growth profile of that business well into the next decade.

Our third priority was to simplify the business and reduce portfolio risk, including the sale of noncore assets in Mexico. In December, SI Partners entered into an agreement to sell EcoGas for the equivalent of approximately USD 500 million. We believe the implied 12.7% EBITDA multiple provides further support for the overall value of Sempra Infrastructure's portfolio, and we look forward to completing that sale in the second or third quarter of 2026, subject to closing conditions.

Our fourth initiative was to execute Fit for 2025, which focused on reducing our cost structure to meet our future business needs and included modernizing our workforce to improve organizational efficiency. We have more work to do in this area, and it will continue to be a focus in 2026.

Lastly, we wanted to elevate community safety and operational excellence across the enterprise, which culminated in California legislature passing SB 254, which strengthened the long-term stability of the state's wildfire fund and called for further reductions to wildfire risk exposures through the natural catastrophe resiliency study to be published in April 2026 and SDG&E being recognized as best in the West in electric customer reliability for the 20th consecutive year.

Now please turn to the next slide where Karen will walk through our financial results.

Thank you, Jeff. Earlier today, Sempra reported fourth quarter 2025 GAAP earnings of $352 million or $0.54 per share. This compares to fourth quarter 2024 GAAP earnings of $665 million or $1.04 per share. The full year 2025 GAAP earnings were $1.796 billion or $2.75 per share. This compares to 2024 GAAP earnings of $2.87 billion or $4.42 per share. On an adjusted basis, fourth quarter 2025 earnings were $841 million or $1.28 per share. This compares to our fourth quarter 2024 earnings of $960 million or $1.50 per share.

Full year 2025 adjusted earnings were $3.66 billion or $4.69 per share. This compares favorably to our previous full year 2024 adjusted earnings of $2.969 billion or $4.65 per share. We're pleased with our execution as adjusted EPS for the year came in at the high end of our previously announced 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range.

Please turn to the next slide. Variances in the full year 2025 adjusted earnings compared to the same period last year can be summarized as follows: at Sempra, Texas, we had $80 million of higher equity earnings from the UTM, higher invested capital and customer growth, partially offset by higher interest expense, depreciation and O&M.

Turning to Sempra, California. We had $213 million, primarily from lower income tax benefits and higher net interest expense. As a reminder, fourth quarter 2024 and full year 2024 results were impacted by the recognition of 2 years' worth of income tax benefits from last year's GRC final decision. Sempra California also had $148 million of higher CPUC base operating margin, net of operating expenses, regulatory disallowances and a lower cost of capital.

At Sempra Infrastructure, we had $123 million primarily from higher asset and supply optimization. Higher transportation results and lower depreciation on assets held for sale, which were partially offset by lower income tax benefits. At Sempra parent, the $41 million of higher losses is from higher net interest expense, partially offset by higher income tax benefit, higher investment gains and other.

Please turn to Slide 9. To start, I'd like to extend our appreciation to our current shareholders for supporting our mission and as we look to build upon the momentum established in 2025, Jeff has laid out a series of priorities for 2026. And I'm pleased to note that we've already hit several important milestones. Oncor has successfully reached a comprehensive settlement in its base rate review. The settlement contemplates improvements to the authorized equity layer, ROE and cost of debt. If approved by the PUCT, this outcome will better align Encore's cost structure to the current environment and is also expected to improve Oncor's financial strength and credit metrics during this period of exceptionally high growth.

A final order is expected in the first half of this year. And importantly, Oncor expects to earn very close to its authorized ROE over the 2026 to 2030 time frame. At Sempra infrastructure, Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 remains on schedule for achieving COD at or near the end of 2027. And finally, in California, I'd like to note, we continue to be engaged in efforts to improve public policy to support SB 254 follow-on legislative efforts.

We look forward to updating you on these priorities on our next earnings call. With that, please turn to the next slide. We're excited to announce our 2026 to 2030 capital plan totaling $65 billion, an increase of $9 billion over last year's plan. In support of our mission, 95% of Sempra's overall capital program is targeted for utility investments. The capital plan is primarily driven by strong growth at Sempra Texas most notably from the acceleration of the Permian Basin reliability plan. And as the remaining 765 kV strategic transmission expansion plan continues to advance, we've taken a conservative approach in developing Oncor base plan by only adding major transmission projects with existing regulatory approvals and those that are part of the Permian plan.

As a reminder, Oncor is expected to build more than half of the total of ERCOT's estimated $32 billion to $35 billion in required transmission investment. Consequently, nearly 70% of Oncor's planned CapEx is dedicated towards transmission. Also within the plan period, we're tracking significant incremental capital opportunities at Oncor, currently estimated at $10 billion or $8 billion based on Sempra's proportionate ownership share. This upside opportunity primarily includes the non-Permian plan portion of the 765 kV step.

Additional transmission upgrades currently pending ERCOT approval and potential system resiliency plan updates. Further, Oncor accounted for certain LC&I interconnections in the incremental CapEx category. Even though these projects may not have currently met all development milestones to be included in our base capital plan, there's a high likelihood these projects come into the plan in the future. Keep in mind, too, that Oncor service territory has some of the highest concentration of AI-related and data center growth, which represents additional potential investment opportunities.

Please turn to the next slide. Driven by our expanded capital program, we project overall rate base to increase from $57 billion in 2025 to $97 billion in 2030, an impressive 11% 5-year CAGR. Our disciplined capital allocation strategy is designed to produce attractive returns with improving cash flows and distributions to help efficiently fund the exceptional growth we're seeing in Texas. Sempra Texas rate base is projected to grow at a remarkable 18% CAGR over the plan period. While California rate base is projected to grow more modestly as we continue to prudently invest in improvements to safety and reliability.

In combination, these investments will help grow our overall regulated footprint as we expect Sempra Texas to surpass Sempra, California as the majority of our rate base by 2030. Please turn to the next slide. With over $50 billion provided by operational cash flows and expected transaction proceeds, we've eliminated the need for new common equity issuances to fund the base capital plan. Due largely to our accomplishments in 2025, operating cash flows have increased by about $5 billion from last year's plan and are expected to be the predominant funding source for our capital campaign.

As always, we'll continue to seek the most efficient and lowest cost financing available to fund the capital plan and other future growth, and we're well positioned in that regard. For example, we anticipate an additional $2.2 billion of cash generated from the Sempra Infrastructure Partners transaction beyond the 2030 planning period.

We'll also retain a 25% residual stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners, with an implied equity value of approximately $5.5 billion, which provides further flexibility. Across the plan period, we remain dedicated to providing investors with an attractive total return complemented by a growing dividend while retaining funding flexibility over the longer term to support our strong expected earnings growth.

Please turn to the next slide. We're committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet and investment-grade credit ratings and the pending SI Partners transaction remains a key driver in helping us meet our goals in this area. After closing, we expect regulated earnings to comprise approximately 95% of our business in 2027 and beyond as we transition to a more pure-play utility holding company.

We also have the opportunity to deconsolidate SI Partners debt and have held constructive discussions with the rating agencies about the potential to lower downgrade thresholds once we complete our capital recycling program. After we close the transaction, we're targeting at least 50 to 150 basis points of cushion on average above our FFO to debt thresholds over the plan period.

Please turn to the next slide. Simplifying our portfolio and concentrating our focus on utility investments continues to strengthen our visibility into future financial performance. The growth we see through 2030 and beyond really stems from the work and accomplishments from this past year. As Jeff highlighted earlier, those efforts are driving meaningful improvements across the businesses, including improving financial returns, growing earnings and cash flows, recycling capital to fund our record capital plan, while also strengthening the balance sheet.

In combination, these improvements have positioned us to launch a record capital plan without the need for common equity issuances and gives us the increasing confidence to be able to provide a robust 2030 earnings per share outlook.

Today, Sempra is affirming our full year 2026 adjusted earnings per share guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30. Introducing our full year 2027 EPS guidance range of $5.10 to $5.70 and issuing a 2030 EPS outlook of $6.70 to $7.50. With today's update, we believe we have one of the highest projected growth rates in the sector, and our 2030 outlook shows that our strong long-term growth expectations continue through the end of the decade.

For additional context on our guidance, please refer to Slide 17. And now I'm going to hand it back to Jeff to wrap up on our next slide.

Thank you, Karen. Allow me to conclude our prepared remarks today by outlining Sempra's value proposition and key investment highlights. First, we're launching a record $65 billion capital plan that projects 11% annualized growth in rate base across the plan period with visibility into another $9 billion of potential upside opportunities. Second, we're aiming to provide investors improved returns at lower risk in markets with constructive regulation, targeting long-term 95% regulated utilities earnings.

Third, our capital allocation is increasingly directed toward Texas, where we expect to drive nearly 60% of our rate base by the end of the decade. Fourth, we've been successful in creating a clear path to fortress in our balance sheet and improving our credit metrics.

With the efficient sourcing of capital, we now have no need for common equity issuances to fund the base capital plan. And finally, we're committed to returning capital to shareholders and are targeting annual dividend growth of 2% to 4% over the plan period.

To summarize, we believe Sempra offers investors an attractive combination of current yield durable earnings growth and long-term capital appreciation. We're pleased with our 2025 performance and view it as a foundational year that sets us up for long-term success. Now I'd like to open the line for your questions.

Thank you. This concludes the prepared remarks. We will now open the line to take your questions.

[Operator Instructions]

And our first question will come from Shahriar Pourreza from Wells Fargo.

Maybe just starting off on the 23 guide that you introduced today. The range obviously seems to indicate about that 7% to 9% you reiterated today from the 26 base. Can you just help us -- can you just help maybe elaborate what moves you into the top half of that 2030 range, does that variability include any of the $9 billion upside opportunities that you continue to highlight? Or could that be accretive to, let's just say, the $750 million you've got out there?

Sure. I appreciate the question, Shar. You'll recall that we set an expectation of our future growth last year of having a long-term growth rate of about 7% to 9%. And I think couple of the key takeaways from the call today is with all the accomplishments I noted in my prepared remarks back in 2025, now seeing the quality and the certainty of our future earnings and cash flows improve. In large measure, that's what's given us increased confidence to be more transparent about our expectations for 2030, and that's why we were confident today to go ahead and issue the outlook that you're referencing.

The larger items that can impact the long-term outlook are regulatory matters, I think we've talked about this before, but our 2028 GRC in California. This is something we've been working on in terms of regulatory strategy over the last 6 months. and Caroline and her team should be in a great position to make that filing in May of this year.

Second, we'll be working hard to do exactly what you just referenced, which is in the roll forward capital plan, make sure that we're really addressing that $9 billion of future upside I think there's been some calls or questions earlier today about whether that $9 billion is in the plan or outside the plan to be very clear is certainly outside the plan. And 1 thing that I think that would be a helpful guidance for you, Shar, is recall, at this time last year, we had about a $12 billion upside opportunity that we noted, and we were able to move roughly $9 billion or $10 billion of that into the current plan.

So I think we've got a track record of identifying stuff that's doable. We feel very good about that $9 billion, and that's the type of capital that can move us well into the upper end of that 2030 guidance. In terms of key takeaways from my perspective about the outlook, quality and certainty of future earnings and cash flows have improved and however we want to evaluate our expected growth. It's trending in line or above our long-term guidance of 7% to 9%.

Got it. That's perfect. And then just maybe diving a little bit deeper on California. I guess what's embedded in the earnings growth in '27 just given the smaller contribution versus prior years? Is there incremental ROE lag that you continue to anticipate? And does a potential reconsideration of attrition year revenues potentially drive that higher. It just seems like, Jeff, just California continues to be somewhat further deemphasized as you think about capital allocation within the company. So just give a little bit of a sense on that mix.

Yes. A couple of things here. It's really what you're seeing is that really reflects the impact of the approved attrition from the last GRC as you move from 2026 into 2027. It's also why Caroline and her team are really working aggressively about improving efficiencies and modernizing that business, and that's good for affordability too, right?

So I think we have opportunities there to continue to drive value in California. She also has a basket of regulatory items that she'll be pursuing both this year into 2027, which could have an impact. So we feel like there's continued opportunity, both share in 2026 and 2027 for improvements. But I think we're comfortable with the guidance we have out there for Sempra California at this point.

Got it. Super helpful. Congrats on the execution today. It's pretty noteworthy. Appreciate it.

Thanks a lot for joining our call.

Our next question comes from Steve Fleishman from Wolfe.

So just maybe I appreciate giving '26, '27, 2030. But because there was definitely shaping in 26 higher lower growth prior year. Could you give us some sense of just the shaping of the 28% to 30%. Is it a little more linear, just given that it's driven by the rate base growth and the UTM? Or just any color on that if possible.

Yes, Steve, I appreciate the question. I'll give you a couple of thoughts here. Over time, we try to get a lot of input from the investment community and from the sell side about how we can be more transparent about what we think we can accomplish in the future. And this includes surveying the other 31 companies in the S&P 500 Utility Index. So as you know, because you follow the sector, some folks have 1-year guidance. Some people have 2-year guidance. A few companies have 3-year guidance. Some companies pull their guidance when you're facing a rate case. And I think what we wanted to do is -- there was a lot of really helpful improvements in 2025, right?

We've improved our capital plan. We've improved our capital efficiency. We've improved and have a clear path to improving our balance sheet and I think what's taking place is we're moving from a set of cash flows that we're slightly higher beta, Steve, the cash flows now, which are more certain and it's really a tribute to the work that Allen and Don Clevenger are done in Texas over the last 12 months. So this has allowed us to give a lot more visibility into 2030.

And on top of that, obviously, you can look at all the interim growth rates that you might expect we're still kind of guiding to this longer term beyond the plan period, 7% to 9% growth. So look, it's never going to be a straight line, as we talked about before. but this is a very robust growth story. It's backed up by what I think is a solid dividend story. And I think you're going to continue to see us find new ways to deploy capital and to officially finance it.

Okay. And then my other question is the $9 billion of upside at Oncor, Texas, maybe I think you gave the pieces there. Could you maybe give a little sense of time line when we'll know the likelihood of that happening? And maybe any color just on growth.

This is an interesting question because that kind of goes to your prior question. If you look at the way we've laid out in our slide presentation, the bar chart for our base capital plan, Steve, if you look at where that $9 billion of upside capital can layer in it's really a '28, '29 and '30 story. So I think we feel very good about the shape of '26 and '27 in that capital plan but the upside opportunity that you're acquiring about really layers in nicely around growth in 2029 and '30.

And certainly, Steve, that could shape really the longer-term growth profile as you think about a CAGR through 2030. What I would do on your current question is refer you to Slide 22 and perhaps found it would be helpful, if you don't mind, for context, go ahead and highlight what you've pushed into your base capital plan. And to Steve's point, how you think about spending in the upside case.

Yes, you bet. Thanks for the question, Steve. So -- starting from the top, I think you all know our prior plan was $36 million in base capital and $12 billion in incremental opportunities. What we announced today was $47.5 million in base capital plan and $10 billion in additional incremental opportunities. So there's about $11.5 billion increase to the base plan as is shown on the slide, that both Jeff and Karen have referenced, divided into 4 main categories: Permian plan projects at about $6 billion new transmission projects, about $2 billion distribution upgrades, about $2 billion and the Delaware Basin transmission project is about $1 billion.

Now with regards to the incremental bucket, we think we have a really high-quality group of potential projects here that total up to about $10 billion. And I'll give you a little more color on these opportunities that are listed on Slide 22. But for the first one, the ERCOT non-Permian projects and the 765 step plan -- that's about a $3 billion opportunity. Additional transmission upgrades, the reference is the second bullet. Those are transmission upgrades that are presently in the stakeholder process or for which we are waiting ERCOT approval. That is about another $2.5 billion.

The system resiliency plan updates for '28 to '30 is approximately $2.7 billion. And then the additional LC&I interconnections is approximately $1.2 billion. So we feel very solid about our base plan. We think it's heavily derisked. It's primarily transmission that's either gone through the ERCOT or the PUC process. About 70% of that base is transmission. It's not contingent on things like data center development and we have a high degree of confidence in the base number.

With regards to incremental, we think and we believe that part of potentially all is very realistic or possible in the next 5 years. So some of the things that could drive the shift from the incremental bucket to the base plan. I think it's consistent with what Jeff said in kind of the outer years of the plan are things such as ERCOT releasing additional transmission projects that we've applied for or in a regional transmission plan if we were to achieve CCNs for some of these projects that are listed in the incremental bucket, especially for non-Permian Basin, 765 or projects. That could shift from incremental to base.

We're targeting an SRP filing in 2027. So when we make that filing, some of those dollars can obviously move into base and then things like the batch Zero process that's ongoing at ERCOT and the PUC right now or ERCOT's regional transmission plan, if there's additional projects for us that are presently incremental, those would move potentially some dollars into the base as well. That's kind of where we are. We feel very good about both the base and incremental.

I would add, Steve, to your question is I made reference to Slide 10 before that you can graphically see that with a lot of confidence across our management team and Allen outlined, I think we have the opportunity to go back and do exactly what we did last year is that this opportunity capital into the plan, primarily in '28, '29 and '30. And obviously, you can see that's going to have a fairly dramatic improvement to the projected long-term growth rate.

Our next question comes from Nicholas Campanella from Barclays.

And appreciate all the updates. I just wanted to follow up on 1 of the prior answers, just trying to understand the $9 billion of capital putting you into kind of the upper end of the guidance of -- I think that would be $750 million. Just what's kind of the offset that's keeping you at the high end of the range? Or is that just being conservative? Because I do recognize on the prior fourth quarter call, we kind of talked about trending and striving to be above the 7% to 9% then you had the $0.20 of Encore accretion, the UTM, a very large capital acceleration at Encore. So I guess just what does that kind of offset that's not really like accelerating you beyond that $750 high on.

Yes. Well, it's obviously a high-class problem when I'm answering questions like this, Nick, so I certainly appreciate you teeing that up. But I would say that really been dramatic year-over-year, and this is really a credit to the work that's taking place in our planning group and Karen is that we've been able to increase our projection of internally generated cash flows by just over $5 billion. That's a really big deal.

We're continuing to improve the credit quality in California, which is important. And even though we've moderated the growth a little bit in California, you've seen continued increase in the growth at Encore, and we're projecting, obviously, not only higher cash flows and earnings there but a lot higher rate base growth at the 18% level across the 5-year plan. So to your point, I feel very good about what Alan just outlined. We have a real opportunity to flex up into the higher end of that 2030 outlook -- we're pleased to be able to be 1 of the few companies in our sector that have that type of certainty of future performance, and we're pleased to announce it on today's call.

But is you've seen the improvement from last year, what a difference a year mix, right? We've been really working hard to be able to give this type of visibility to our shareholders. And I think to your point, we're going to try to do it again this year. And I think Karen laid out the '26 value creation initiatives. The only caveat I would share with you to the heart of your question is, -- we want to get to settlement finalized in Texas. We're confident we can do that.

And secondly, we have a very big transaction at Sempra Infrastructure and we want to get that done. So as we continue to take execution risk off the table, we'll look for opportunities to continue to update about how we think about the future.

I appreciate it. And then just you said in your prepared, and I think this is kind of the mantra of how you're operating as always, but you're always going to seek the lowest cost financing to fund CapEx. So just thoughts on the remaining 25% in terms of maybe using something to fund the $9 billion or other strategic actions to limit common equity or otherwise?

I appreciate that, Nick. And obviously, central theme here is we're continuing to build a great business. And to do that, we've got a robust growth story, and I think we've got a solid financing plan in place for the base capital plan. I think the heart of your question is, how do we think about continuing to officially finance these upside opportunities like some of the ones that Allen talked about today. I think we're in great shape. I'd start with this. Remember, it always starts with improving your operating cash flows, we talked about making this a priority over the last 12 months. And obviously, I've referenced this $5 billion of projected new internally generated cash flows, which is absolutely instrumental in our current capital plan.

Second, it's important to remember that we have 2.2 billion of additional proceeds that are owed to us as part of the Sempra Infrastructure transaction that currently fall outside of the plan period. So that's something that's important for investors to track.

And finally, we have a demonstrated track record. We've actually got a slide in the appendix to our materials about being committed to capital recycling. Recall, too, that we still have a 25% interest in Sempra Infrastructure. So as you referenced, that too remains a potential funding opportunity. And as I outlined these opportunities, remember, -- we've said this many times in the past, we're going to compete capital. And as these large capital programs come forward, utility company by utility company, people continue to be focused on the capital program but it's just as important that you're focused on sourcing capital efficiently.

And that's really been the big story for us over the last 12 months. I think the key takeaway for us is we'll work hard in this fall planning process with Karen's team to make sure as we roll the plan forward as we've done in the past, we'll continue to bring forward what we think is going to be a best-in-class efficient financing plan.

Our next question will come from Julien Dumoulin Smith from Jefferies.

Jeff, what a difference the year makes incredible outcome here. on, I got to say -- thank you. Absolutely, absolutely. Let me come back to what Nick was passing on a second ago. When you think about the moving pieces in the 710 midpoint here for 30 he was pressing on the sell-down of SIP. What else really would move the right? You talked about the $9 billion. We talked about the SIP. What else would really drive you within that range here? And if I can lead you in a certain direction here, how do you think about California in that vein, whether that's a strategic decision or frankly, whether that's just finding other avenues to accelerate in as much as it hasn't really changed here year-over-year for the the CapEx plan for instance?

Well, let me go back to about 12 months ago, we were facing an opportunity for a rate case in Texas that had 4 or 5 years of uncertainty for us. We were in the beginning of the rate case in California. And now 12 months later, think about this, with the settlement that we have in hand in Texas and with the efforts to kind of finalize that this spring, we're going to have certainty from the regulatory side with that new 2024 test year all the way through 2030 with no expectation of filing a new rate case there probably until the the April, May time frame of 2030. Likewise, in California, we've got this year and next year certainty from the last rate case.

So as you think about 2030, we've got to do a good job of executing on the 2028 GRC. So what you really think about is let's get the settlement approved in Texas. Let's get the SI transaction closed -- let's spend tomato rating agencies and make sure we're really thoughtful about fortressing our balance sheet -- and then we've got a great strategy in place to improve in California. So if some of those risk factors to execution come off the table. You should expect this management team to look for opportunities to provide more visibility. And let me come back to a point that you're making around California.

California has really high equity layers over the last 2 decades, Julien, it's been a top decile regulatory environment. I think there's a lot of positives going on in California today. This really is probably another re-rating opportunity for all the investor-owned utilities in the state. What we have going on, right, with the study bill right now, I think, is quite positive. And the other thing you got to remember is we have very high FFO to debt and by moderating the growth a little bit, we're still going to meet all of our safety and reliability needs and the cash flow generation from California is really important.

So at no time in our history, as California and Texas been more complementary, and it's happening at just the right time. Texas has the leading growth story in the country. It was the leading growth story last year, and it's even better now. And one of the things she should count on, Julian, is we're going to work really hard to continue to improve that growth story.

So I think Sempra as a whole, has a great plan in place. And I think the key takeaway from me as a CEO is we're really earnest about building a better business.

Excellent. Jeff, let me put that to a final point. do you think you'd come back subsequent to getting this settlement resolved, some degree of California visibility with the next step here, whether it's Track 3 or the next study phase and do something of an Analyst Day or a full look? Or do you think, look, you've given us an incredible FY '30 to begin with enough for now. I just want to understand on how you're thinking about cadence of updates, et cetera.

Well, look, there's no question that we have the opportunity today relative to the last 12 months to provide more visibility and more transparency. And we think that's always good for the investment community. And I think one of the themes that we've been pursuing in the last 12 months is this continued effort to simplify your business, Julien.

And I think you and I have had this conversation through the years that when you can simplify your business, take a risk and challenges away from your investors that always leads to a rerating story. So if there's an opportunity for us to come back and maybe have an Analyst Day, I think that's really a great idea. We'll take that on board and that's something we'll think about as we move through the year.

Our next question comes from David Arcaro from Morgan Stanley.

Maybe digging into the data center pipeline, the LCN pipeline in Texas. I was wondering have you seen slippages challenges in all of those data centers just physically getting built online. We've been hearing more about supply chain challenges with labor, certain equipment, transformers, et cetera. Curious what you're seeing on the ground and what can actually get built?

Yes. I think we've got a slide that Al as teams put together at Slide 23, which I'll ask Alan to comment on the second. But let me do a couple of things before I pass it to Allen. As we've laid out the $65 billion base capital plan 1 of the points we've made on the call, David, is it's really centered around highlighting how much growth we're seeing in Texas. And what's really remarkable to me, having been in this industry for close to 30 years, it's really built on the back of transmission.

So transmission is the key enabler for generation to come on the system as well as large load customers and to serve residential class. And I think what I've never seen before, -- and this is probably 1 of the most valuable pieces of infrastructure in the energy value chain is Oncor's capital plan is about 70% geared to transmission. So the large load growth is important. I know as we go from one earnings call to another earnings call, there's a big focus on data centers.

The great news is we're going to try to serve that growth, but that's really upside to our current plan. Let me stop there, Allen, and see if you could give a little bit more color on what you're seeing relative to Slide 23 and how you're thinking about making sure that we serve not just the data centers but many of the other large customers that are really in the siding to your system.

Yes. Thanks, Jeff. Thanks, David. So I'll tell you as a guy who talks to many, many data center developers in and around our system. I've said for many quarters now. The Oncor last quarter, it was at 226 gigawatts with 210 gigawatts of data. This quarter is at $273 million with 255 in data. So the first part of the answer is data centers are continuing to show up, looking for service on our system. -- the variance in the quality or the likelihood of those data centers varies by party. -- and I've explained this on calls many times.

You have ones that are very serious and are likely to make and you have ones that are significantly less serious than our chasing the gold rush. And there's many factors that go into the likelihood. I can't predict whether or not they'll make, but you can generally tell where the serious parties are. We are trying to work the data center and the large load customer angle a number of ways.

Obviously, we are working very heavily in the batch Zero process. ERCOT is working very hard to come up with cross criteria in the process. They're going through the stakeholder process now with the idea that they'll try to get something to the Board by June. There's actually a workshop this morning. I think it's too early to tell the outcome, obviously, of what's going to happen there. So more to come on batch 0 as that develops.

But we at Oncor are working multiple avenues and not just the batch Zero process, and I'll give you a few examples. We have a number of projects right now that have been pending at ERCOT for a while. -- and we continue to work those projects through the ERCOT process independent of the badge Zero process that's being developed right now.

So a couple of examples. We have a South Dallas project that's nearing completion at ERCOT, we believe, that would provide for 4 gigawatts of load serving capacity in the Dallas -- South Dallas area. And that would all be brownfield projects. It could be completed relatively quickly once approved. So that's potential opportunity there. We have -- in addition to the South Dallas project, we have about projects related to about 10 additional gigs, elsewhere on our system, that all those projects are presently moving through the RPG process.

In addition, another avenue that we're working on. We are presently developing a list of loads 2026, RTP projection, TDUs are due to file by April 1. Customers would need to meet a number of RTP 26 criteria that align generally with the SP 6 requirements for customers to, one, demonstrate financial commitment; two, provide proof of site control; three, fund or Cat study cost upfront, for disclosed intended generation sources; and five, identify any other active projects that could impact system reliability.

So as we sit here today, we have at least 38 gigawatts that meet these standards, but we are continuing to actively work with our customers between now and April and I strongly believe we'll have more than 38 gigawatts by the time we get to April 1, reminding you, obviously, that my entire -- our entire system right now is a current peak of about 3 gigawatts.

Finally, we are, as been mentioned on this call and many times before, constructing more than half of the Permian Basin reliability plan and the STEP 765 plan. And those transmission projects would obviously provide for additional load additions on our system as well.

Yes. So we spent a lot of focus on batch zero. It's very important. We'll continue to be heavily involved, but we're working multiple avenues to try and address the need of our large load customers and we'll continue to do so.

Thank you, Allen. The only thing I would add, David, is as you follow the opportunity for data centers and large load customers all across the country here about different jurisdictions where these things are going forward. We're very confident at Sempra that the largest opportunity in the United States for data centers, centers on Texas. And in the Texas region, the largest opportunity sits in the footprint at Oncor.

And you can see that on Slide 23, where they now have upwards of 273 gigawatts that are kind of in the queue. So we remain optimistic that this AI process moving forward, the commitment to data centers is very important all across the country, and we're going to be very aggressive supporting the governor and the economic agenda in Texas to make sure we can be accommodative of all customers through the lens of also making sure that we can manage costs for our residential and other customer classes.

Really helpful context. Separately, I was just curious if you could touch on how do your credit metrics maybe trend through the plan here through 2030, other peaks and troughs that you need to manage as you go?

Sure. I mean, obviously, this was an issue that was front and center last year. We've got a lot of work that we've done in the last 12 months to make sure that we've got a clear path to not only a stronger balance sheet. I think you can see in one of our slides, we've talked about guiding toward improving our holdco to total debt ratios, driving down our debt-to-equity ratio to 49% or below. And Karen, you've done a lot of work on the balance sheet. You want to provide a quick update generally about how we're thinking about it.

Sure. Absolutely. Thanks, Jeff. Yes. maintaining the balance sheet really is a priority for us together with those investment-grade credit ratings. -- the SI partner transaction is key to this. So the proceeds are going to support our balance sheet, eliminate the need for common equity in our base plan. After closing, we're aiming for our regulated earnings to comprise approximately 95% of our total earnings composition, as a reminder, that's really important with the rating agencies.

So in addition to that, we're going to be able to deconsolidate Sempra Infrastructure's debt. And we've had really constructive discussions with the rating agencies about what this means for our downgrade threshold. So will be meeting with them and getting updates from them. So over the last 12 months, we've also improved our cash flows for our fiber plan by $5 billion.

So again, adding to those credit metrics. So our target of 50 to 150 basis points, we feel really good about that. And I think we'll find to that later this fall when we closed the SI transaction have an opportunity to go meet with the rating agencies go through all of that. I think the key takeaway here is over the period, I feel really good about where they are. They're not going to fluctuate there to fluctuate a little bit, but there's not a lot. It's pretty solid once we get past of this transaction, and it's only going to get better when we start improving those cash flows.

And David, the only thing I'd say, and I've made this comment earlier in the call, our focus right now is making sure we get a great outcome for the base rate review in Texas, which we're expecting the spring -- we're also focused with just in help in making sure that we successfully closed that SI transaction.

And then over the next 3, 4, 5 months, there'll be a lot of work done closely with the rating agencies. We've made this a priority. And I think Karen's team -- we want to make sure that we gave a little bit of guidance about how much cushion we want to put on the balance sheet. But this will be an evolving conversation where we can provide more details to you as we get further along in our planned execution.

Our next question will come from Anthony Crowdell from Mizuho.

Just 2 quick ones, more housekeeping. On Slide 12, that $6 billion chart. You talk about the $2.2 billion of cash expected after the plan period. Do you have to do some bridge financing or something to meet the needs through 2030? How do you hand that? And I have a follow-up.

Yes. Currently, in the current base capital plan, we've got our financing lined up. So we're not going to need to basically go into that type of financing approach. There are opportunities, obviously, and I think as people think about Anthony, future capital increases, those are the type of things we look at as you get into that 2032, '23 time frame, you have the opportunity to monetize that $2.2 billion.

One other thing I would mention is when there are capital recycling opportunities in our company or even at SI, those proceeds could be helpful in returning more capital of SI earlier in the plan instead of waiting to that 2032, 2033 time frame.

Great. And you may have answered this with Steve's question earlier. Slide 10, you talked about $9 billion of CapEx opportunities. And then Slide 21, on Texas you -- or Slide 22, I'm sorry, you took about $10 billion of CapEx opportunities. It's just some of the Oncor opportunities outside the 5-year land?

No, it's just -- I'm sorry for that confusion. It's just our relative ownership, right? They're talking about their 100% opportunity. And when you see it on Slide 10, that's really our 80.25% interest of what they're projecting.

And our next question will come from Carly Davenport from Goldman Sachs.

Maybe just a follow-up on Allen's comments before on batch Zero and large load in ERCOT. I guess are there any outcomes that you could see from that process or even from large load forecast provisions that could pose downside risk to the ERCOT mandated transmission spend that you have in the current plan?

Yes. I'll pass it to Allen in a second, but I would -- here's the way I would frame it for you. And I tried to address this a little bit earlier, Carly, -- but I think what we've tried to build is kind of this bulletproof base capital plan, right? We've got a plan to spend $65 billion. We put a lot of thought into making sure that we efficiently finance it by competing capital sources inside of Sempra.

And I think we're pretty much shielded from those types of outcomes primarily because of 70% Allen's capital is allocated toward transmission, which is really a remarkable percentage. And even as you think about Carly affordability, remember, -- he's roughly 37% of the marketplace. So every dollar spent in transmission only goes to his customer base at the $0.30 level. So Allen, I think, tried to explain that as he thinks about his growth this batch 0 process is 1 of 4 or 5 legs on the stool that he's managing. But Allen, maybe you can provide just a little more color in your mind about how concerned you are about the batch process and whether you think there's downside.

Yes. Thanks, Jeff. Thanks, Carly. Very simply, I would just say this. The upside downside related to BatchZero is under category 4 of the incremental capital opportunities on Page 22 in the deck.

So what comes out of Badge Zero or other ERCOT transmission plans are not presently included in what we have in the base plan.

Okay. That's really clear. And then maybe just 1 -- maybe just one other clarification on Texas. Does the current plan contemplate not going back in for a rate case until 2030? I'm just curious if there are any items that could change that you believe could drive you to go in sooner?

Yes. Look, I think the goal here is we're focused on getting the current settlement approved -- and by moving to a 2024 test year, it really updates our overall cost. And by the way, importantly, Karl, because that really covers that gap where there's a big -- a lot of inflation between 21% and 24%.

So our expectation would be that the next base rate review filing would not be until spring of 2030. But obviously, they've always got the opportunity to go back in early if they need to. But we feel great about putting a lot more regulatory certainty around this capital program. So we feel great about it and getting that settlement approved here in the spring.

And we have time for one last question today. And our last question will come from Aidan Kelly from JPMorgan.

Aidan, we appreciate you joining the call and really appreciate your recent initiation of coverage.

Today. Just wanted to come back to the Texas load pipeline again. I'm curious if you could share any thoughts on what sort of commitments are being made there. I guess, any insight on the amount that are like LOAs versus not?

Yes. Well, look, a couple of things I'll highlight before I pass it to Allen. But on Slide 23, it kind of highlights the pipeline of folks that are trying to attach to the system. Number two, there is a process that Allen follows about making sure that they have either security deposits placed for high certainty load and he's got various mechanisms, which I'll ask him to describe in a second.

But one of the things that intrigued me, which came out on today's call is you're talking about Encore system peaking at 31 gigawatts and Allen's high confidence of go-forward attachments to a system of over 38 gigawatts. And I think that number will prove to be on the light side. So the overall demand growth that's expected to take place in the high certainty category is really encouraging you. But maybe, Alan, you can talk about the really, I think, unique steps you've taken to firm up who's in the high certainty category in the kind of the interim contracting process you've entered into.

Yes, sure, Jeff. So this has evolved over time. If you go back to last year, I was reporting on what we call high confidence load -- at that time, I think we had about 9 gigawatts of formerly signed facilities extension agreements, and I think we had another 27.5% or so of what we included at that time in an officer letter, which ERCOT is no longer doing, they've switched the process now.

We did initially also go down the path of entering interim FEA or interim facility extension agreements. Those required about a $6.5 million collateral from the customer. All these processes are overlapping now into what's going on in batch Zero and the development of the list of loads for the ERCOT 2026 regional transmission project or projection rather and the factors that are included for load going into that April 1 filing are the 5 factors that I list before that add up to the approximate 38 gigawatts that we have as of today. Again, it will be higher by April 1.

I don't know if that answers the question, but I think that's what we've got. We have one more factor, I'll tell you I think when I got this job, we had about $200 million worth of collateral that we were holding from customers in 2018. Today, the collateral that we have from not only these large load customers but also from other customers, but it's around $3.5 billion as we sit here today, which gives you a magnitude of the interest of the parties that we're dealing with.

Thank you that concludes today's question-and-answer session. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference back to Jeff Martin for any additional closing remarks.

Well, look, I'd like to thank everyone for joining us today. We certainly appreciate you making the time to participate I would also want to highlight that this is a very exciting time for our company and meeting with investors remains a top priority for our management team, and that's exactly why we expect to be particularly active in March and April, and throughout this year with trips planned at various conferences, including in the next 45 days, trips to the Midwest, Northeastern Europe.

If there are any follow-up items, please reach out to our IR team with your questions. very much appreciate your participation, and this concludes our call.

Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.

Good day, and welcome to Sempra's Third Quarter Earnings Call. Today's conference is being recorded. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference over to Louise Bick. Please go ahead.

Good morning, and welcome to Sempra's Third Quarter 2025 Earnings Call. A live webcast of this teleconference and slide presentation are available on our website under the Events and Presentations section.

We have several members of our management team with us today, including Jeff Martin, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer; Karen Sedgwick, Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer; Justin Bird, Executive Vice President of Sempra and Chief Executive Officer of Sempra Infrastructure; Caroline Winn, Executive Vice President of Sempra; Allen Nye, Chief Executive Officer of Oncor; and other members of our senior management team.

Before starting, I'd like to remind everyone that we'll be discussing forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. Actual results may differ materially from those projected in any forward-looking statements we make today. The factors that could cause our actual results to differ materially are discussed in the company's most recent 10-K and 10-Q filed with the SEC.

Earnings per common share amounts in our presentation are shown on a diluted basis, and we'll be discussing certain non-GAAP financial measures. Please refer to the presentation slides that accompany this call for a reconciliation to GAAP measures. We'll also encourage you to review our 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2025.

I'd also like to mention that forward-looking statements contained in this presentation speak only as of today, November 5, 2025, and it's important to note that the company does not assume any obligation to update or revise any of these forward-looking statements in the future.

With that, please turn to Slide 4, and let me hand the call over to Jeff.

Thank you all for joining us today. Before discussing today's financial results, I want to spend a moment reviewing how we've positioned our portfolio to deliver significant value to our owners through the end of the decade.

Today, our company is situated at the intersection of several important secular trends, including the ongoing electrification of America's energy systems, AI deployment and the growing need to deliver energy safely and reliably. In order to capitalize on these trends, we've worked closely with our Board of Directors to update our corporate strategy to focus on lower risk and higher value transmission and distribution investments, growing our position as a leader in large economic markets, shifting our capital allocation to fund the growing needs of our U.S. utilities and doing so with a sharp focus on Texas, which is a market that we believe offers the best long-term value proposition for our owners.

Next, let me turn to our financial results. Earlier this morning, we reported third quarter 2025 adjusted EPS of $1.11, which compares favorably with the prior period's results of $0.89. Also, with the strength of our year-to-date results, we're affirming full year 2025 adjusted EPS guidance range of $4.30 to $4.70 while also affirming our 2026 EPS guidance range of $4.80 to $5.30. And finally, we're affirming our projected long-term EPS growth rate as shown on this slide.

Please turn to the next slide, where I'll provide an update on our 2025 value creation initiatives. You'll recall that earlier this year, we announced a company-wide campaign focused on 5 initiatives to create value for owners. First, we set a goal of investing approximately $13 billion this year with the vast majority being allocated to our U.S. utilities.

Through the first 3 quarters, I'm pleased to report that we've successfully deployed nearly $9 billion of capital and remain on track to meet or exceed our year-end goal of $13 billion. Moreover, at Sempra Texas, we're benefiting from improving returns, primarily attributable to increased capital efficiency at Oncor, which is associated with the newly implemented unified tracker mechanism.

Moving to the second initiative. We're pleased with our recent announcement to sell a 45% stake in Sempra Infrastructure Partners for $10 billion. We view that transaction as a major catalyst in unlocking Sempra Infrastructure's franchise value while also benefiting Sempra in numerous ways, including: number one, improving our business growth profile as the mix of regulated earnings significantly increases; number two, unlocking reinvestment capital for our U.S. utilities; number three, adding an average of $0.20 to EPS accretion over the 5-year period starting in 2027; and number four, fortifying our balance sheet, deconsolidating Sempra Infrastructure Partners' debt and paving the way for improved credit metrics.

In parallel, the ongoing sales process for Ecogas continues to generate a lot of interest from a number of prospective buyers, and we're expecting to receive final bids before the end of the year. Both transactions are expected to close by the middle of 2026.

The last initiative shown here at the bottom of the slide is aimed at improving community safety and driving operational excellence across the organization. This includes efforts to improve the regulatory environment with a view toward reducing enterprise risk. A great example is California SB 254, which strengthened the long-term stability of the state's wildfire fund while also improving claims liquidity.

The key takeaway on this slide is that progress on these initiatives is translated into improved financial and operational results, and I cannot be more proud of our employees who have embraced our commitment to both modernize and scale our organization, improve our cost structure and better serve all of Sempra's stakeholders.

Please turn to the next slide where Karen will walk through business updates.

Thanks, Jeff. At Sempra, California, SB 254 was enacted, which is a significant derisking event for the California electric utilities. Jeff mentioned it earlier that the bill calls for an even split of funding between the California IOUs and their customers with no upfront contributions. Importantly, SDG&E share of the various contributions is a modest 4.3% for what amounts to just under $13 million per year through 2045, with additional future contingent contributions being required only if needed.

Continuation account also strengthens the cap on reimbursement in the event of a finding of imprudence. It's also important to note that any contributions made by IOU shareholders to the continuation account may be also counted as prepaid credits against potential reimbursement amounts in the future.

Taken together, we believe these measures, which are outlined on Slide 15 in the appendix, significantly strengthened the financial safeguards for electric utilities, an important achievement for all of California.

As we approach year-end, we're tracking several regulatory matters in California that we hope to wrap up, including Track 2 of the GRC, the T06 proceeding at FERC and the CPUC's cost of capital proceeding.

Moving to Sempra Infrastructure. We previously announced a definitive sales agreement that's expected to reduce our ownership percentage to 25% will be accretive to EPS forecast and credit. And following the close of the transaction, we expect to maintain a solid cushion above our FFO to debt thresholds.

Among other benefits, a lower equity stake will also improve our regulated earnings mix, while allowing Sempra to deconsolidate Sempra Infrastructure's debt from our GAAP financials.

In our LNG business, Port Arthur LNG Phase 1 continues to make notable headway with Train 1 expected to reach COD in 2027. We're on schedule and on budget with over 1/3 of piping installation complete on Train 1. Recently, we also completed the Tank A Roof Air Raise, which is another important milestone for the project.

Earlier in the quarter, you'll recall that we also reached FID at Port Arthur Phase 2 and issued a full notice to proceed under our fixed-price EPC contract with Bechtel. This is important because it gives us the opportunity to leverage continuous construction at the site and reduce project risk. To date, we placed all high-value orders for long lead plant equipment and also completed the project's first permanent piles for Tank C and Train 3.

I'll also add that the value proposition of Sempra Infrastructure's LNG franchise continues to grow. As the European Council recently backed the EU's proposal to end deliveries of pipeline gas and LNG from Russia by the end of 2027.

Moving to ECA LNG Phase 1. The project is over 95% complete and pre-commissioning activities are ongoing. Certain systems have moved into the commissioning phase, and we're currently working on repairing an auxiliary turbine designed to increase efficiency. Based on progress at the site, we continue to expect first LNG production in the spring 2026 with commissioning cargoes expected to commence thereafter.

At Cimarron Wind construction continues to advance with the overall project being approximately 95% complete. And just last week, Cimarron achieved initial synchronization of approximately 1/3 of the turbines that are now online and operational. And importantly, the project remains on target to achieve COD in the first half of 2026.

Finally, at Sempra Texas. Oncor's base rate review continues to make considerable progress. In September, a settlement on interim rates was approved that allows Oncor to apply the final approved rates back to January 1, 2026, if the case is not finalized by that date. And through October, Oncor has evaluated interpreter arguments, submitted rebuttal testimony and is actively engaged in settlement discussions with all parties.

Next, the procedural schedule calls for a hearing on the merits to begin the week of November 17. With completion of the base rate review and an updated 2024 test year, together with the opportunity to improve capital efficiency with the UTM, Oncor will be better positioned to support customer growth across its service territory.

And at the end of September, we continue to see strong growth in Oncor's core markets. Oncor's active LC and IQ has increased over 10% from the prior quarter. Further, premise count increased by 16,000 and Oncor also built, rebuilt or upgraded nearly 660 circuit miles of T&D lines during the quarter.

As customer growth continues to accelerate, in the transmission expansion plans advance, Oncor anticipates a substantial increase to its 2026 to 2030 capital plan.

Please turn to the next slide. Turning to the Texas 765 transmission expansion. We believe this remains a key growth driver that's underappreciated by the market. ERCOT estimates $32 billion to $35 billion to complete the full build-out. And as a reminder, we estimate Oncor's portion of these projects will surpass 50% of the total investment with Permian projects expected to come online by the end of 2030 and non-Permian projects being completed in the 2030 to 2034 time frame.

As a result, Oncor is now forecasting an increase of over 30% to its projected 2026 to 2030 capital plan. And though we're still early in our fall planning process, Oncor continues to see substantial upside opportunities to its updated base plan forecast. That's why at Sempra, we're prioritizing the Texas market within our portfolio and assuming a constructive rate case outcome you should expect us to allocate a significantly greater share of investment capital to Sempra Texas in our roll forward plan.

Please turn to the next slide, where I'll review the third quarter financial results. Earlier today, Sempra reported third quarter 2025 GAAP earnings of $77 million or $0.12 per share. This compares to third quarter 2024 GAAP earnings of $638 million or $1 per share. Note that third quarter 2025 GAAP earnings include a $514 million tax expense related to classifying Sempra Infrastructure Partners as held for sale, which is nonrecurring in nature.

On an adjusted basis, we're pleased with our strong year-to-date execution, as third quarter 2025 earnings were $728 million or $1.11 per share. This compares favorably to our third quarter 2024 adjusted earnings of $566 million or $0.89 per share. We believe this sets us up well for the remainder of the year as well as next year where we're anticipating strong year-over-year growth from the midpoint of our 2025 guidance.

We're continuing to expect several regulatory decisions in the next several months and don't want to get ahead of the CPUC. Ultimately, the resolution of these matters will be helpful in determining where our full year financial results come in.

Please turn to the next slide. Variances in the third quarter 2025 adjusted earnings as compared to the same period last year can be summarized as follows: At Sempra, California, we had $76 million primarily from higher income tax benefits, partially offset by higher net interest expense. This included $32 million associated with the election to accelerate deductions for self-developed software expenses authorized under OB3 as well as return to provision impacts and timing of flow-through tax benefits in the quarter.

We're also pleased that Sempra California had $47 million from higher CPUC based operating margin, net of operating expenses, partially offset by lower cost of capital.

Turning to Sempra Texas. We had $45 million of higher equity earnings from higher invested capital, Oncor system resiliency plan and unified tracker mechanism, partially offset by higher operating and interest expenses.

At Sempra Infrastructure, we had $26 million, primarily from higher asset optimization, partially offset by lower transportation results, lower tax benefits and others. At the parent, the $32 million decrease is primarily due to higher net interest expense, lower investment gains and others, partially offset by higher income tax benefits from OB3.

Please turn to the next slide. To conclude our prepared remarks, we continue to execute on our 2025 value creation initiatives and also have delivered solid third quarter and year-to-date financial results. Further, the Sempra Infrastructure Partners transaction is a significant positive catalyst for our company and reinforces our mission of building America's leading utility growth business.

To accomplish that, we're targeting strong rate base growth in Texas and California with a view towards posting improved and more durable earnings and cash flows in the future. And as we've indicated, we think there are significant incremental capital investment opportunities to do just that over both the near and long term, which is why we feel confident in announcing that Oncor's roll forward capital plan is expected to increase by at least 30% over its current $36 billion base capital plan.

Looking forward, we expect to officially announce Sempra's 2026 to 2030 capital plan on our fourth quarter call in February, subject to the completion of Oncor's pending base rate review.

Thank you for joining us, and I'd now like to open up the line for your questions.

[Operator Instructions] And our first question will come from Nick Campanella from Barclays.

So look, you've done a lot to derisk the balance sheet with the transaction that you announced 5 weeks ago. Obviously, you're talking about this higher CapEx outlook at Oncor. Just with the proceeds that are kind of coming in on a staggered basis, '26 and '27, just how are you kind of viewing balance sheet capacity for this increase? And is it fair to say there should be no equity through '27? Or just how are you kind of thinking about that?

Yes. Thank you, Nick. Let me take the equity question first, and then I'll pass it over to Karen to give more color on the balance sheet. But I would just start on the equity side and just say we're in great shape on this front, right? As you indicated, the proceeds from the SI transaction are expected to eliminate 100% of the common equity that was previously in the 2025 to 2029 financing plan.

It also sets us up well as we look to roll the plan forward to 2030, which we expect to discuss in February. But with the proceeds that you talked about being staggered and coming into us in 2026 and 2027, I think one of the key takeaways is we're in a great position to fortify our balance sheet, which Karen will talk about momentarily.

We have more work to be done this fall, but Karen and I are committed to maintaining a strong balance sheet to efficiently fund growth. And as we have in the past, Nick, we'll use all the tools we have available to grow the business in a thoughtful way.

Now let me turn to the balance sheet briefly. One of the things our management team does from time to time is we spend time discussing how we create a competitive advantage in every market cycle. And in today's market cycle, one of the things that we've identified with our Board of Directors is the importance of maintaining balance sheet strength, and that was a central part of the thesis that was behind the SI transaction and why we're taking a series of steps over the next 12 months to fortress our balance sheet to support the strong growth in our utilities.

That is one of the key takeaways today. We're seeing remarkable growth in our utilities, particularly in Texas, and we expect that not just to end Nick in 2030, but to extend well into the middle part of the next decade. And that's why privilege and the balance sheet is so important. And with that, Karen, perhaps she could talk about how you're thinking about next steps.

Sure. Thanks, Nick. Yes, I think you're looking about it as correct, Nick. We've been working closely with the rating agencies. They're giving us time to complete the SI transaction. And as we update our 5-year plan, we'll look to incorporate the benefits of that transaction. So as a reminder, we expect to get EPS accretion there, deconsolidate SI's debt and improvements to our overall credit.

And I'll remind you that we expect to receive improved credit profiles from each of the agencies. So this includes improving our view of our risk profile, our business risk and improved downgrade thresholds. So as I mentioned in our prepared remarks, that we plan to build a solid cushion on our balance sheet, and we'll provide more specifics when we roll out the financial plan next year. But in the interim, we feel really good about where we are and the strategy we've laid out.

Thank you, Karen.

And then maybe just switching gears to Texas. Just I see the schedule here going through April '26. Hearings are about 1.5 weeks out. Just since we're past testimonies now, is settlement less likely? Is this something that you're kind of still actively working towards? Can you talk to that quickly?

Sure. Allen and his team are doing a great job. I think, for the overall audience, I'd refer everyone to Slide 13 for the procedural references that Nick is referring to. And Allen, perhaps it might be best if you would just briefly talk about where you're at in the proceeding and what you think the next steps are.

Yes. Thanks, Jeff. Where we are, I think, is accurately portrayed on Slide 13, as you all both mentioned, interveners and staff both filed their testimony now. Staff testimony didn't get us all the way to where we need to be, but we thought it was very constructive.

We did file our rebuttal last Friday. We continue to engage in settlement discussions with the parties. And we will continue to engage in settlement discussions with the parties. At the same time, we've got a hearing set for the first -- for November 17, the week of, and we're preparing to go to hearing that week, if necessary. We're really confident in the strength of our case.

I'll remind you that we do have an order on interim rates, which becomes effective January 1, 2026. So we'll continue to talk. We'll continue to see what we can get done on the settlement front. And if we're successful, we'll obviously let everyone know. And if we have to go to hearing, we'll be ready to go. We expect an order, as you said, at the second quarter '26.

Thank you, Allen. Appreciate it, Nick.

Our next question will come from Jude Jordan from Wells Fargo.

This is actually Shar on for Jude.

Hey, Shar. Congratulations on the new assignment.

Appreciate it. Appreciate the support there. Just real quick on the SIP transaction. Can -- I guess, where do we stand on the leakage there? I mean, I know, obviously, you've got accretion numbers. You're looking at sort of a tax-efficient way to do this. I think you're still assuming around 20%. So what's the status there, I guess?

Yes. I think that that's a good number. We're still looking at that. Obviously, there's some complexity there given the assets we have in Mexico, the international implications, both state and federal, but 20% is still a good number for you to guide yourself to.

Okay. Perfect, Jeff. And then just, I guess, the 30% increase, just curious what's included in there? How much of that is awarded 765 kV versus base system needs increasing? And how does that increase kind of stack up against that $12 billion of prior upsides you called out in 4Q? So just any visibility there would be great.

Sure. Shar, I really appreciate this question because I think it's been one where there's been a lot of ambiguity and a lot of questions we've taken as part of the call. We tried to discuss this in our prepared remarks, but let me go through and provide a couple of reminders, I think, that will be helpful to the listening audience.

When Oncor rolled out through 2025 to 2029 capital plan last February, we indicated a base plan of $36 billion, and you're exactly right, there was a defined set of upsides there of about $12 billion. With the updates we've had over the last several months, both from ERCOT as well as the PUCT on the 765 kV transmission expansion and early indications within the fall planning process, Oncor is very comfortable increasing their expectations for the base capital plan to increase by about 30%.

And here's the key distinction. That's primarily being driven by the state's acceleration of the Permian plan that now needs to be completed early. It has to be done now, Shar, by 2030. The other key thing to note is that Oncor also has line of sight to additional upside. You remember the upside was previously about $12 billion we're now targeting something that's substantially similar.

So Shar, when you put that together, the base plan increase and expected upside, Oncor will have a $55 billion to $60 billion capital opportunity through 2030. And I might just add for context that in our 2025 to 2029 plan for Sempra, we currently sit at $56 billion. So if you just take the midpoint of that expectation, the roll forward base plan and upside is bigger than Sempra's current 5-year plan.

So the key takeaway from this call is, yes, we've had great financial results, I feel great about 2025 and the pull-through in the 2026. But we've made a commitment to back Texas, right? And to do that, with our Board of Directors, we launched a capital recycling program because we wanted to load our balance sheet, so we were in a position to officially fund the growth we're seeing in the future.

And I think Allen and his team have come forward with some very solid numbers, and we look forward to giving you more specifics on that in February.

Our next question will come from David Arcaro from Morgan Stanley.

Well, I guess I was curious now on the as you look at that Oncor load growth pipeline continues to chuck a lot and grow quarter-by-quarter. I guess I was just wondering if you could characterize. Like what is the maximum amount of new load that you could connect, if we're thinking about kind of the 2030 time frame? Are you full on data center activity? I mean how much could that actually increase as you look at the pipeline in order to feather it in or weave it in to even further enhance the load growth from here?

Yes. Let me do a couple of things here, and I'll provide some color, Allen, and I'll pass it to you to kind of walk through kind of summing up the numbers. But let me just start with what we've discussed in the past, David.

We've indicated that the state of Texas has a coincident peak of about 86 gigawatts, okay? That's a historical record. Today, Oncor system peaks at about 31 gigawatts. And on the last quarterly call, Oncor indicated that they had line of sight at least to approximately 39 gigawatts. So between now and the end of the decade, they are very comfortable that they're going to double their load. What's interesting about the CapEx increase that they're now forecasting, it's really less about that, it's more about the acceleration of the transmission plan.

So the key takeaway is you don't need to associate Oncor's growth as it's been announced today, with what might or might not happen relative to load growth. It is principally being driven by the state's desire to accelerate supporting the oil and gas industry and getting an expanded transmission grid in place in the western part of Texas.

Now that being said, the team has done a great job of tracking what those new opportunities are. And the way to think about your question as Allen goes through it is what we're going to talk about in terms of potential load growth and how much to your language can be feathered onto the system, it's really driving our growing confidence in this story continuing well into the middle part of the next decade.

So with that, Allen, maybe you could kind of talk about the different buckets of where you see growth are. And really, to David's point, where this quarter-over-quarter growth is coming from?

Yes. Thanks, Jeff. Thanks, David. Growth remains incredibly strong. I think you've heard that multiple times this morning from kind of this load growth on the transmission side, these large industrial commercial customers. I think as Karen said, we have over 600 active requests now, that's up 60% since the same time last year, third quarter over third quarter.

210 gigawatts of data now versus 186 last quarter, an increase of about 13% and 16 gigawatts of other non-data LC&I customers. What's different this time and what Jeff was alluding to is we typically go through a process with these customers where we come up with a high confidence load number. And I talked about this the last couple of quarters.

But we've had, as Jeff said, around 39 gigawatts of what we call high confidence load and that's made up of, in the past, 9 gigawatts of signed FEAs or interconnection agreements and 29 gigawatts that we submit an officer letter to ERCOT if those customers meet kind of 6 criteria that we lay out for them.

And -- but we don't sign those FEAs until studies are complete and ERCOT has approved the interconnection. In order to try and get more visibility into this massive queue that we're talking about, we've kind of done something different over the last few months. And that is in addition to doing just a typical FEA process, or interconnection agreement process, we've instituted what we call the interim FEA process.

And the interim FEA process is not a full FEA, the studies aren't done, ERCOT has not approved the interconnection, but what these interim FEAs do is the customers collateralize them. They give us about $6.5 million when we sign these things. The customer also provides us additional information that allows us to then begin or proceed with the studies we need to do that ultimately need to be approved by ERCOT.

Very, very strong uptake; very, very strong interest in this interim FEA process. To date, we've signed up about 19 gigawatts pursuant to this interim FEA process. And I can tell you that interest in signing these is very high. The number will change by the next time we talk about it.

Now a couple of caveats. It's not clear how ERCOT will view these interim FEAs versus the FEAs themselves. And obviously, with the SB6 rule-makings going on, it may alter the criteria that we ultimately need to use for this process. But I can tell you that in addition to the numbers I've already told you, I think I mentioned on past calls that when I got this job, we had about $200 million of collateral that we were holding and that had moved up to about $2 billion as of last quarter related to these activities.

As of now, that collateral that we hold is up around $2.7 billion. That gives you a general indication of the uptake on this new process that we're using.

Excellent. Yes, makes sense. And then pivoting maybe a little bit. With strong earnings this quarter and now year-to-date, curious if you could comment how that positions you in terms of achieving the 2025 guidance? And maybe as you look forward to 2026, are you seeing opportunities for expenses to be pulled forward or other initiatives to give you a head start on that 2026 earnings outlook?

Yes, David, thank you for that question. I mentioned this in my prepared remarks. I'm just so pleased with the work of our team, and we spent a lot of time trying to make sure that we've got a common set of business objectives across our 22,000 employees and that's certainly showing up in the strong financial performance we've seen thus far for the year.

So for 2025, I'd mentioned, we're tracking several regulatory matters, and we're pleased to be running well ahead of our financial plan for the year. That's why earlier today, David, we were comfortable affirming our 2025 guidance. And I would also mention that we believe we can finish in the upper half of that range.

Turning to 2026. We also affirmed that guidance. Obviously, it's going to be a stub year because we expect to close the SI transaction sometime between Q2 and Q3. But I would just mention, we're in the middle of our fall planning process right now and still tracking several key items.

Obviously, the SI closing with KKR as well as the base rate review that Allen just updated you folks on a few minutes ago. So our goal at this point is to review both 2026 and 2027 guidance with The Street at our February call, together with rounding out our full year results for 2025.

So I think the summary point here is I'm really excited about the progress we've made in 2025. We feel great about 2026, and we're excited to get back in front of folks in February and provide guidance for 2027.

Our next question will come from Carly Davenport from Goldman Sachs.

Maybe just on the transmission expansion in Texas that you've referenced. One of your peers came out this morning with plans to expand manufacturing for transformers and breakers. Just kind of curious what you're seeing from an equipment and supply chain standpoint and how you feel about execution on growing capital plan?

Yes. I mean I really want to give credit to Allen and his team here and Allen, I'll let you talk about it in a second. But going back to the pre-COVID days and being part of the boardroom, and seeing Allen layout kind of this 11-point plan for growing that business, the supply chain has been front and center. In fact, Carly, in September, we took the Sempra Board of Directors to Dallas. And the #1 issue we wanted to talk about was their ability to deliver on their growth plans and the strength of their supply chain. We also had the benefit, Carly, to have Governor Abbott kind of join the Sempra Board in a private 3-hour dinner, as we continue to due diligence the growth case in Texas.

And one of the things we did was we took the entire Board on a field visit to their Midlothian supply center. And this is an Amazon-like supply center. Hopefully, we can start hosting some investors there in the future, but they have a hub-and-spoke model across North Texas and that Midlothian center, which is about 45 minutes from Downtown Dallas, really is a state-of-the-art 21st century digitally driven warehouse center that not only supports their supply chain across the 5-year plan, it is the center of their storm recovery system.

So we came away from that incredibly impressed with the work that's gone into it. And now, Allen, maybe you can provide a little bit more detail around what you've done to feel good about delivering on your 5-year plan.

Yes, thanks for the question, Carly. I think Jeff did a pretty good job describing it. We started about 8 years ago fortuitously redoing our supply chain, redoing our logistics, adding the Midlothian facility, expanding the number of vendors for each type of product that we need and that has paid incredible dividends for us moving forward.

I've said on past earnings calls that we had with regards to the prior plan, our current plan, everything we need to accomplish that 5-year plan. Nothing about that has changed. Look, every day, you got to stay vigilant on it. Our people work very hard to stay very close to our vendors and our suppliers. You got to deal with challenges.

It doesn't mean I have every piece of equipment in a laydown yard somewhere, but it means I've gotten in some way line of sight either a contract or a commitment or an agreement for everything we need. We'll stay vigilant all that. We'll keep working on it, but we're extremely confident. We made a commitment to the state to complete the Permian plant by 2030, and we have every intention of doing so, together with all the other activities we have on our system.

Allen, you did -- one of the things you guys did, which I thought was really helpful was how you went out in the marketplace, both in Asia and Europe to taking care of the 765 equipment well before it became something that crystallized for the state. Can you briefly update the audience on that?

Yes, we did exactly what Jeff is talking about. I mean we've been very blessed in that our Board and our shareholders have given us authority in advance of actually approval of plans, of financial plans, 5-year plans and 1-year plans, to go out and make commitments in order to be in a position to actually execute and we did exactly what Jeff is talking about with regards to the 765 step plan.

Great. Super helpful. And then maybe just shifting gears a bit on -- just on California, curious as sort of the Phase 2 process kicks off, how you sort of envision Sempra's involvement there and perhaps any perspective that you'd share on the potential -- what potential solutions could look like?

Sure. I would just start by saying that Sempra has been very engaged in Sacramento on trying to find ways to improve public policy to support public safety. I got to give a lot of credit, Carly, to Governor Newsom, he has been out front and kind of leading this effort. He's made it a priority. It goes well beyond just serving electric customers.

It's about making sure that the state of California continues to take steps that are progressive and thoughtful to reduce risk from a public safety standpoint. We have Caroline Winn with us today. She heads up, you may recall, both San Diego Gas Electric and SoCalGas and she has been front and center on the next steps on the study bill. And perhaps Caroline, you could share your thoughts on the study bill.

Yes, be happy to. Earlier this week, the utility submitted a series of abstracts. The way to think about the abstracts is their problem identification statements that really frame the issues and it will inform the white papers due next month. Maybe I'll just note 4 areas of focus.

One, we believe a shared risk model through new cost-sharing approaches needs to be looked at. Number two, new insurance and funding structures. Number three, enhancing the process for paying claims quickly and fairly for wildfire victims and fourth, maintaining affordability and accountability.

Now these abstracts will form the foundation of, as I mentioned, the joint white papers next month, December 12, and will help inform the comprehensive report prepared by the California Earthquake Authority next April. I think the key takeaway here is that we believe that wildfire resiliency must be a shared responsibility between utilities, insurers, government and communities, and we're constructive on the effort to identify new models that will address wildfire risk across the state for decades to come.

Thank you, Caroline. The only thing I would add, Carly, to is and I tell folks this, but California is the fourth largest economy in the world, right? This is the home of technology and innovation. And this is just really a leadership opportunity here at the state level. And I think from Sempra's perspective, we're prepared to roll our sleeves up and do our part. But we're comfortable that we'll find a way between now and the next legislative session to take the next step to continue to derisk the state.

Our next question will come from Sophie Karp from KBCM.

On California, I guess, as you continue to emphasize Texas more in your capital plan and you see a lot of growth there. Could there be a more decisive step to deemphasize California or maybe through some strategic options for your California utilities?

Well, look, I think -- and you're asking a great question. One of the things we've done with our Board of Directors is take a step back and say, where can we allocate capital over the next 5 years to create the most equity value, the most long-term value for our shareholders by 2030?

And I think our analysis points to making sure that we load capital in areas where we have the best risk/reward. And right now, we think that's Texas. But look, these things change from time to time. One of the things we're working on in the Texas market. As you recall, they have a relatively thin equity layer compared to other jurisdictions. And California is actually a very good complement because it allows Oncor to have -- its principal shareholder have a strong balance sheet, which we think is important to support its growth.

We continue to have the largest natural gas utility in the Western Hemisphere, is here in California and that tends to have a 23% or 24% FFO to debt quality. It's a very important for overall credit stack within Sempra. We're a leader in our electric business here in California. So we're going to be thoughtful about allocating capital to make sure we minimize bill impacts.

We have found religion, and we're working very, very hard to take cost out of the system in California to make sure that as we grow the business, it minimizes impacts on customers. But look, we have a strong leadership position in the State of California and very few companies in the United States have the leadership position we have in Americas 2 biggest economies.

So California will always be an important part of Sempra, but it's really a very nice complement from the diversity of the investments here and the credit quality matched up with what we're trying to grow in Texas.

And we have time for one last question today. And our last question will come from Julien Dumoulin-Smith from Jefferies LLC.

Saved the best for last. There we go. I appreciate it. Let me try to wrap this up. So a couple of questions here. First on Oncor, well kudos. If I heard you right, $55 billion to $60 billion, well in excess of 30%. What's your confidence on being able to earn the ROEs at that level, just given that cadence of spend is pretty historic? I get the recent legislation.

And then related just coming back to where we started the call on equity needs. At what point do you start to think about equity as being part of this? Because I would suspect that we're going to talk about this in a renewed fashion, just given the magnitude that we're discussing here, if you don't mind.

Well, let's do a couple of things. I'm going to start with talking about the $55 billion to $60 billion. Just remember, that's the roll forward of the base capital plan of $36 billion, and we're going to increase that by about 30%, Julien, and you can do the back envelope that's between $10 billion and $11 billion.

And we're expecting a comparable number that will remain there in the upside. The upside we talked about before is still there. It's a very similar number. And that's how I got to this potential capital deployment, which we think is a real opportunity, by the way, between $55 billion and $60 billion. We're very excited about it. And the great news was, as I indicated earlier, we planned for this, right? We led a capital recycling program to fortress our balance sheet so we can fund this thing efficiently.

Turning to your second question, which was on the ROE topic. You recall that they currently have an authorized ROE of 9.7%. And Julien, they have been under-earning that for 2 principal reasons over the last several years. Number one, there was this regulatory lag. The majority of that is resolved as part of the unified tracker mechanism.

You've heard us reference several times today, we're starting to see material improvement in capital efficiency. So part of that under earning is being taken away by the UTM. And then secondly, part of that under-earning is associated with having a 2021 test year.

Obviously, when the base rate review is resolved, their new test year will be 2024. So the state because it has a backwards test year, you don't really expect them to earn at the 9.7% level. And certainly, they're not authorized to ever earn over that like we are in California. But I think you're going to see a material improvement when we resolve both of those matters. And that's one of the reasons Sempra has been more willing to aggressively fund this business as part of our long-term plan.

And then I think if I could tackle your third implied question, which was on capital and balance sheet. Look, there's nothing wrong with issuing equity, right? If you're thoughtful about using all the tools in your toolbox, if you look at Sempra, you recall from prior presentations, we've raised $15 billion from equity sales at Sempra Infrastructure since 2021.

We're not reticent to find the most cost-effective way to fund growth. And at the same time, Julien, the great secret at Sempra is since 2017, we've gone from about $14 billion of rate base to a number that's over $60 billion and we're going to drive that well over $90 billion or $100 billion by the end of the decade.

We are growing a remarkable utility within Sempra. So we will use equity as we need it. But the great news is we took equity off the table in the prior plan. We're going to load the balance sheet. We're going to maintain cushion. And what we're going to expect to do is as we go forward in that plan depending upon how our capital rolls out, we would certainly issue equity if we thought it was necessary. But remember, we're going to compete that against all the other options we have inside of Sempra. And if you followed us for a long period of time, I think that's been our track record.

That's excellent. And let me put a capper on this. I mean it's been a phenomenal year, Jeff, in terms of turnaround here. I mean, truly, the 7% to 9%, right? You put this all together. Clearly, this wasn't contemplated when you articulated that 7% to 9% earlier. How do you think about the various pieces that go into this, right? Clearly, there's a little bit of equity offset or some other permutation that will dilute the upside here. But what are the other puts and takes? Because otherwise, it seems pretty meaningful relative to what you said previously.

Yes. Well, you remember, I talked about that 7% to 9%. We didn't put it in writing at the time, but I said it orally on the February call or the Q4 call. I think one of the things we've discussed as a management team before this call, Julien, is we remain bullish on our growth prospects. And that's why we came out today and obviously reaffirmed the long-term growth rate. But I would also kind of highlight some of the points you're making in terms of puts and takes.

Let's start with Oncor. I talked about seeing improved capital efficiency there, and that's having a positive impact on their returns. And obviously, we're going to increase our capital program.

Go over to Sempra infrastructure. We've improved the runway, Julien, of their growth by basically taking FID on Port Arthur Phase 2. One of the things that Justin feels really great about is, he's got 5 or 6 very significant construction projects that give us great EBITDA growth through the end of the decade. And now with Port Arthur Phase 2, you've got great visibility into the early part of next decade.

And then we've talked about, and Karen did a good job in her prepared remarks, talking about the KKR transaction. Obviously, we think it's going to be accretive to credit and EPS, while allowing us to deconsolidate debt at SI. And again, it goes back to balance sheet. We see our balance sheet as a strategic resource to grow this business in the future.

So I think our takeaway would be: The team has done a great job, as you highlighted kindly, by the way, this year of stacking a series of positive catalysts in front of our company. And to your point, it really gives us more support for what we think is a great long-term outlook.

Excellent. Well, maybe with that, we'll leave it. Very curious to see what you guys have to say. Take care all the best, and we'll talk to you sooner now.

Thanks a lot, Julien.

Thank you. That concludes today's question-and-answer session. At this time, I'd like to turn the conference back to Jeff Martin for any additional closing remarks.

Well, I'd like to just start by thanking everyone for joining us today. I know there were a number of competing calls this morning, so we appreciate everyone making the time to join us. I think it's a final point, many of you likely saw Oncor's recent 8-K announcing the retirement of Jim Greer.

We want to make sure we take a moment and recognize his many years of service and major contributions to the growth and success of Oncor. In his role of COO, Jim Greer made a lasting mark on the State of Texas. I also think congratulations is in order for Ellen Buck, who will be succeeding Jim.

Ellen is an absolutely outstanding leader, and we look forward to supporting her future success. And finally, I'd like to congratulate our friend, Don Clevenger, on a well-deserved promotion to Executive Vice President as he continues in his role of Oncor's CFO. If there are any follow-up items, please reach out to our IR team with your questions, and we look forward to seeing many of you at EEI in Florida next week. This concludes our call.

Thank you for your participation. You may now disconnect.