$31.07
5.93% today
NYSE, Aug 12, 07:46 pm CET
ISIN
US0138721065
Symbol
AA

Alcoa Corp. Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Alcoa Corp. Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
62%
Hold
33%
Sell
5%

Alcoa Corp. Price Target

Target Price $34.68
Price $29.33
Potential
Number of Estimates 15
15 Analysts have issued a price target Alcoa Corp. 2026 . The average Alcoa Corp. target price is $34.68. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is , the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 21 analysts: 13 Analysts recommend Alcoa Corp. to buy, 7 to hold and 1 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Alcoa Corp. stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Alcoa Corp. stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2032

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Quarter Annually
Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion $ 11.90 12.89
12.74% 8.34%
EBITDA Margin 12.77% 14.77%
184.86% 15.66%
Net Margin 0.50% 7.13%
108.18% 1,313.52%

16 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Alcoa Corp. 2025 . The average Alcoa Corp. sales estimate is

$12.9b
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. This is
0.86% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
$13.5b 5.34%
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, the lowest is
$11.8b 7.45%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 $11.9b 12.74%
2025
$12.9b 8.34%
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2026
$12.8b 0.78%
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2027
$13.2b 3.08%
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2028
$15.4b 16.71%
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2029
$11.6b 24.74%
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2030
$12.1b 4.55%
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2031
$12.7b 4.55%
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2032
$13.2b 4.54%
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15 Analysts have issued an Alcoa Corp. EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Alcoa Corp. EBITDA estimate is

$1.9b
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. This is
14.39% lower
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
$2.2b 3.06%
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, the lowest is
$1.3b 40.60%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 $1.5b 221.14%
2025
$1.9b 25.35%
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2026
$1.8b 6.41%
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2027
$2.0b 12.07%
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2028
$2.0b 1.45%
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2029
$1.5b 23.07%
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2030
$1.6b 4.56%
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2031
$1.7b 4.49%
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2032
$1.7b 4.53%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 12.77% 184.86%
2025
14.77% 15.66%
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2026
13.94% 5.62%
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2027
15.15% 8.68%
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2028
12.79% 15.58%
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2029
13.08% 2.27%
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2030
13.08% 0.00%
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2031
13.07% 0.08%
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2032
13.07% 0.00%
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14 Alcoa Corp. Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Alcoa Corp. net profit estimate is

$918m
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. This is
8.53% lower
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
$1.1b 13.45%
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, the lowest is
$639m 36.31%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 $60.0m 109.22%
2025
$918m 1,430.57%
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2026
$761m 17.12%
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2027
$933m 22.59%
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2028
$775m 16.97%
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2029
$595m 23.24%
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2030
$622m 4.53%
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2031
$650m 4.59%
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2032
$680m 4.59%
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Net Margin

2024 0.50% 108.18%
2025
7.13% 1,313.52%
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2026
5.95% 16.55%
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2027
7.08% 18.99%
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2028
5.04% 28.81%
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2029
5.14% 1.98%
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2030
5.14% 0.00%
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2031
5.14% 0.00%
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2032
5.14% 0.00%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2032

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Quarter Annually
Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share $ 0.28 3.55
107.65% 1,167.86%
P/E 8.27
EV/Sales 0.68

14 Analysts have issued a Alcoa Corp. forecast for earnings per share. The average Alcoa Corp. EPS is

$3.55
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. This is
8.03% lower
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is
$4.40 13.99%
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, the lowest is
$2.47 36.01%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 $0.28 107.65%
2025
$3.55 1,167.86%
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2026
$2.94 17.18%
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2027
$3.60 22.45%
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2028
$2.99 16.94%
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2029
$2.30 23.08%
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2030
$2.40 4.35%
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2031
$2.51 4.58%
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2032
$2.63 4.78%
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P/E ratio

Current 7.60 175.34%
2025
8.27 8.84%
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2026
9.98 20.68%
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2027
8.14 18.44%
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2028
9.80 20.39%
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2029
12.77 30.31%
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2030
12.22 4.31%
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2031
11.68 4.42%
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2032
11.17 4.37%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Alcoa Corp. stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 0.68 20.00%
2025
0.68 0.29%
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2026
0.68 0.78%
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2027
0.66 3.00%
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2028
0.57 14.32%
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2029
0.75 32.88%
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2030
0.72 4.35%
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2031
0.69 4.36%
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2032
0.66 4.35%
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P/S ratio

Current 0.59 19.44%
2025
0.59 0.84%
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2026
0.59 0.78%
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2027
0.58 3.00%
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2028
0.49 14.32%
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2029
0.66 32.88%
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2030
0.63 4.36%
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2031
0.60 4.35%
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2032
0.57 4.33%
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Current Alcoa Corp. Upgrades & Downgrades

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Analyst Rating Action Date
Morgan Stanley
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 18 2025
JP Morgan
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 17 2025
B of A Securities
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 17 2025
B. Riley Securities
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 15 2025
Citigroup
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 08 2025
B. Riley Securities
Locked
Locked
Locked Jun 24 2025
JP Morgan
Locked
Locked
Locked Jun 18 2025
Analyst Rating Date
Locked
Morgan Stanley:
Locked
Locked
Jul 18 2025
Locked
JP Morgan:
Locked
Locked
Jul 17 2025
Locked
B of A Securities:
Locked
Locked
Jul 17 2025
Locked
B. Riley Securities:
Locked
Locked
Jul 15 2025
Locked
Citigroup:
Locked
Locked
Jul 08 2025
Locked
B. Riley Securities:
Locked
Locked
Jun 24 2025
Locked
JP Morgan:
Locked
Locked
Jun 18 2025

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