HKD3.47
0.00% today
Hong Kong, Apr 03, 10:00 am CET
ISIN
CNE1000007Z2
Symbol
0390

China Railway Group Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

China Railway Group Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
71%
Hold
29%

China Railway Group Price Target

Target Price HKD4.99
Price HKD3.48
Potential
Number of Estimates 4
4 Analysts have issued a price target China Railway Group 2026 . The average China Railway Group target price is HKD4.99. This is higher than the current stock price. The highest price target is , the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 7 analysts: 5 Analysts recommend China Railway Group to buy, 2 to hold and 0 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the China Railway Group stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the China Railway Group stock at Purchase.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 & 2027

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Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion HKD 1,258.04 1,281.89
9.89% 1.90%
EBITDA Margin 5.22% 5.42%
3.53% 3.90%
Net Margin 2.30% 3.12%
8.43% 35.66%

10 Analysts have issued a sales forecast China Railway Group 2025 . The average China Railway Group sales estimate is

HKD1.3t
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. This is
1.89% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
HKD1.5t 16.75%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.2t 3.37%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 HKD1.3t 9.89%
2025
HKD1.3t 1.90%
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2026
HKD1.3t 2.97%
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2027
HKD1.3t 0.99%
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6 Analysts have issued an China Railway Group EBITDA forecast 2025. The average China Railway Group EBITDA estimate is

HKD69.5b
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. This is
5.93% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
HKD80.5b 22.67%
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, the lowest is
HKD60.8b 7.34%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 HKD65.6b 6.70%
2025
HKD69.5b 5.93%
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2026
HKD75.0b 7.82%
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2027
HKD76.8b 2.45%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 5.22% 3.53%
2025
5.42% 3.90%
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2026
5.68% 4.80%
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2027
5.76% 1.41%
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1 Analyst has issued a net profit forecast China Railway Group 2025 . The average China Railway Group net profit estimate is

HKD40.0b
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. This is
38.35% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
HKD40.0b 38.35%
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, the lowest is
HKD40.0b 38.35%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 HKD28.9b 17.48%
2025
HKD40.0b 38.35%
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2026
HKD43.4b 8.53%
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Net Margin

2024 2.30% 8.43%
2025
3.12% 35.66%
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2026
3.29% 5.45%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 & 2027

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Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share HKD 1.18 1.63
17.48% 38.14%
P/E 2.13
EV/Sales 0.43

1 Analysts have issued a China Railway Group forecast for earnings per share. The average China Railway Group EPS is

HKD1.63
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. This is
38.14% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is
HKD1.63 38.14%
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, the lowest is
HKD1.63 38.14%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 HKD1.18 17.48%
2025
HKD1.63 38.14%
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2026
HKD1.77 8.59%
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P/E ratio

Current 2.94 8.09%
2025
2.13 27.55%
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2026
1.96 7.98%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the China Railway Group stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 0.44 25.71%
2025
0.43 2.36%
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2026
0.42 2.89%
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2027
0.41 0.98%
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P/S ratio

Current 0.07 0.44%
2025
0.07 1.77%
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2026
0.06 3.00%
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2027
0.06 0.93%
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