Fastenal Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation
Fastenal Classifications & Recommendation:
Fastenal Price Target
| Target Price | $40.80 |
| Price | $43.13 |
| Deviation | 5.40% |
| Number of Estimates | 15 |
| 15 Analysts have issued a price target Fastenal 2026 . The average Fastenal target price is $40.80. This is 5.40% lower than the current stock price. The highest price target is $45.15 4.68% , the lowest is $17.68 59.02% . | |
| A rating was issued by 22 analysts: 8 Analysts recommend Fastenal to buy, 12 to hold and 2 to sell. | |
| Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis. | |
| Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Fastenal stock has an average upside potential 2026 of 5.40% . Most analysts recommend the Fastenal stock at Hold. |
Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2029
18 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Fastenal 2025 . The average Fastenal sales estimate is $8.3b . This is 8.85% higher than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is $8.7b 14.36% , the lowest is $7.8b 2.03% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics:
Revenue Estimates
| 2024 | $7.5b | 2.71% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.3b | 9.78% |
| 2026 | $9.0b | 8.29% |
| 2027 | $9.6b | 6.49% |
| 2028 | $10.3b | 8.20% |
| 2029 | $11.5b | 11.32% |
16 Analysts have issued an Fastenal EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Fastenal EBITDA estimate is $1.9b . This is 9.70% higher than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is $2.0b 15.32% , the lowest is $1.7b 2.02% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:
EBITDA Estimates
| 2024 | $1.7b | 1.21% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.9b | 10.06% |
| 2026 | $2.0b | 8.95% |
| 2027 | $2.2b | 8.07% |
| 2028 | $2.4b | 9.84% |
| 2029 | $2.7b | 12.88% |
EBITDA Margin
| 2024 | 22.34% | 3.82% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.39% | 0.25% |
| 2026 | 22.53% | 0.63% |
| 2027 | 22.86% | 1.46% |
| 2028 | 23.21% | 1.53% |
| 2029 | 23.54% | 1.42% |
20 Fastenal Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Fastenal net profit estimate is $1.3b . This is 10.77% higher than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is $1.4b 18.20% , the lowest is $1.2b 2.51% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:
Net Profit Estimates
| 2024 | $1.2b | 0.38% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.3b | 10.87% |
| 2026 | $1.4b | 9.73% |
| 2027 | $1.5b | 7.13% |
| 2028 | $1.7b | 10.81% |
| 2029 | $1.9b | 14.08% |
Net Margin
| 2024 | 15.25% | 3.01% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15.40% | 1.00% |
| 2026 | 15.60% | 1.30% |
| 2027 | 15.70% | 0.64% |
| 2028 | 16.08% | 2.42% |
| 2029 | 16.48% | 2.49% |
Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2029
20 Analysts have issued a Fastenal forecast for earnings per share. The average Fastenal EPS is $1.11 . This is 11.00% higher than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is $1.19 19.00% , the lowest is $1.03 3.00% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:
Earnings Per Share
| 2024 | $1.00 | 0.99% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.11 | 11.00% |
| 2026 | $1.22 | 9.91% |
| 2027 | $1.31 | 7.38% |
| 2028 | $1.45 | 10.69% |
| 2029 | $1.65 | 13.79% |
P/E ratio
| Current | 43.13 | 38.64% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 38.79 | 10.06% |
| 2026 | 35.35 | 8.87% |
| 2027 | 33.00 | 6.65% |
| 2028 | 29.78 | 9.76% |
| 2029 | 26.10 | 12.36% |
Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Fastenal stock is valued at an EV/Sales of 5.97 and an P/S ratio of 5.97 .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:
EV/Sales
| Current | 6.50 | 33.47% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.97 | 8.17% |
| 2026 | 5.51 | 7.66% |
| 2027 | 5.18 | 6.09% |
| 2028 | 4.78 | 7.58% |
| 2029 | 4.30 | 10.17% |
P/S ratio
| Current | 6.50 | 33.41% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.97 | 8.13% |
| 2026 | 5.52 | 7.66% |
| 2027 | 5.18 | 6.09% |
| 2028 | 4.79 | 7.58% |
| 2029 | 4.30 | 10.17% |
Current Fastenal Upgrades & Downgrades
| Analyst | Rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| JP Morgan |
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Unchanged | May 27 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley |
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
Unchanged | May 23 2025 |
| Morgan Stanley |
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
Unchanged | May 22 2025 |
| Stephens & Co. |
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
Unchanged | Apr 15 2025 |
| Baird |
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Unchanged | Apr 14 2025 |
| William Blair |
Market Perform
➜
Outperform
|
Upgrade | Mar 10 2025 |
| Stifel |
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Unchanged | Jan 21 2025 |
| Analyst Rating | Date |
|---|---|
|
Unchanged
JP Morgan:
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
May 27 2025 |
|
Unchanged
Morgan Stanley:
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
May 23 2025 |
|
Unchanged
Morgan Stanley:
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
May 22 2025 |
|
Unchanged
Stephens & Co.:
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
Apr 15 2025 |
|
Unchanged
Baird:
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Apr 14 2025 |
|
Upgrade
William Blair:
Market Perform
➜
Outperform
|
Mar 10 2025 |
|
Unchanged
Stifel:
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Jan 21 2025 |
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