Fastenal Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation
Fastenal Classifications & Recommendation:
Fastenal Price Target
| Target Price | $77.67 |
| Price | $80.64 |
| Deviation | 3.69% |
| Number of Estimates | 9 |
| 9 Analysts have issued a price target Fastenal 2026 . The average Fastenal target price is $77.67. This is 3.69% lower than the current stock price. The highest price target is $86.00 6.65% , the lowest is $70.00 13.19% . | |
| A rating was issued by 18 analysts: 3 Analysts recommend Fastenal to buy, 12 to hold and 3 to sell. | |
| Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis. | |
| Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Fastenal stock has an average upside potential 2026 of 3.69% . Most analysts recommend the Fastenal stock at Hold. |
Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2028
13 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Fastenal 2025 . The average Fastenal sales estimate is $8.1b . This is 6.28% higher than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is $8.5b 11.43% , the lowest is $8.0b 4.58% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics:
Revenue Estimates
| 2024 | $7.5b | 2.71% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.1b | 7.19% |
| 2026 | $8.8b | 8.38% |
| 2027 | $9.3b | 6.14% |
| 2028 | $10.0b | 6.95% |
12 Analysts have issued an Fastenal EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Fastenal EBITDA estimate is $1.8b . This is 7.16% higher than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is $1.9b 9.94% , the lowest is $1.8b 4.09% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:
EBITDA Estimates
| 2024 | $1.7b | 1.21% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.8b | 7.51% |
| 2026 | $2.0b | 8.76% |
| 2027 | $2.1b | 7.81% |
| 2028 | $2.3b | 8.96% |
EBITDA Margin
| 2024 | 22.34% | 3.82% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.40% | 0.29% |
| 2026 | 22.48% | 0.36% |
| 2027 | 22.83% | 1.56% |
| 2028 | 23.26% | 1.88% |
15 Fastenal Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Fastenal net profit estimate is $1.2b . This is 7.90% higher than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is $1.3b 15.42% , the lowest is $1.2b 4.48% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:
Net Profit Estimates
| 2024 | $1.1b | 0.99% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.2b | 8.44% |
| 2026 | $1.4b | 9.51% |
| 2027 | $1.5b | 6.87% |
| 2028 | $1.6b | 9.53% |
Net Margin
| 2024 | 15.20% | 3.61% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15.38% | 1.16% |
| 2026 | 15.54% | 1.04% |
| 2027 | 15.65% | 0.71% |
| 2028 | 16.02% | 2.36% |
Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2028
15 Analysts have issued a Fastenal forecast for earnings per share. The average Fastenal EPS is $2.17 . This is 7.96% higher than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is $2.32 15.42% , the lowest is $2.10 4.48% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:
Earnings Per Share
| 2024 | $2.00 | 0.99% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2.17 | 8.50% |
| 2026 | $2.37 | 9.22% |
| 2027 | $2.54 | 7.17% |
| 2028 | $2.78 | 9.45% |
P/E ratio
| Current | 40.25 | 5.87% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37.18 | 7.63% |
| 2026 | 33.95 | 8.69% |
| 2027 | 31.77 | 6.42% |
| 2028 | 29.01 | 8.69% |
Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Fastenal stock is valued at an EV/Sales of 5.75 and an P/S ratio of 5.72 .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:
EV/Sales
| Current | 6.11 | 1.66% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.75 | 5.90% |
| 2026 | 5.31 | 7.73% |
| 2027 | 5.00 | 5.78% |
| 2028 | 4.67 | 6.50% |
P/S ratio
| Current | 6.08 | 1.77% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.72 | 5.91% |
| 2026 | 5.28 | 7.73% |
| 2027 | 4.97 | 5.78% |
| 2028 | 4.65 | 6.50% |
Current Fastenal Upgrades & Downgrades
| Analyst | Rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| William Blair |
Market Perform
➜
Outperform
|
Upgrade | Mar 10 2025 |
| Stifel |
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Unchanged | Jan 21 2025 |
| Stifel |
Buy
➜
Hold
|
Downgrade | Dec 11 2024 |
| Jefferies |
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Unchanged | Dec 06 2024 |
| Baird |
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Unchanged | Oct 14 2024 |
| JP Morgan |
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Unchanged | Oct 14 2024 |
| Morgan Stanley |
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
Unchanged | Oct 14 2024 |
| Analyst Rating | Date |
|---|---|
|
Upgrade
William Blair:
Market Perform
➜
Outperform
|
Mar 10 2025 |
|
Unchanged
Stifel:
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Jan 21 2025 |
|
Downgrade
Stifel:
Buy
➜
Hold
|
Dec 11 2024 |
|
Unchanged
Jefferies:
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Dec 06 2024 |
|
Unchanged
Baird:
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Oct 14 2024 |
|
Unchanged
JP Morgan:
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Oct 14 2024 |
|
Unchanged
Morgan Stanley:
Equal-Weight
➜
Equal-Weight
|
Oct 14 2024 |
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