$18.63
3.16% today
Nasdaq, Aug 22, 10:00 pm CET

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp Classifications & Recommendation:

Buy
10%
Hold
52%
Sell
38%

Grocery Outlet Holding Corp Price Target

Target Price $16.83
Price $18.63
Deviation
Number of Estimates 15
15 Analysts have issued a price target Grocery Outlet Holding Corp 2026 . The average Grocery Outlet Holding Corp target price is $16.83. This is lower than the current stock price. The highest price target is , the lowest is .
A rating was issued by 21 analysts: 2 Analysts recommend Grocery Outlet Holding Corp to buy, 11 to hold and 8 to sell.
Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis.
Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp stock has an average upside potential 2026 of . Most analysts recommend the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp stock at Hold.

Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Revenue Billion $ 4.37 4.87
10.13% 11.29%
EBITDA Margin 3.84% 5.57%
24.56% 45.20%
Net Margin 0.90% 1.54%
54.88% 70.56%

16 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Grocery Outlet Holding Corp 2025 . The average Grocery Outlet Holding Corp sales estimate is

$4.9b
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. This is
7.84% higher
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than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is
$5.0b 11.25%
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, the lowest is
$4.6b 1.37%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics:

Revenue Estimates

2024 $4.4b 10.13%
2025
$4.9b 11.29%
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2026
$5.2b 6.13%
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2027
$5.6b 7.53%
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2028
$6.3b 13.62%
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2029
$7.0b 10.40%
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16 Analysts have issued an Grocery Outlet Holding Corp EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Grocery Outlet Holding Corp EBITDA estimate is

$271m
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. This is
31.90% higher
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than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is
$284m 37.98%
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, the lowest is
$252m 22.58%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:

EBITDA Estimates

2024 $168m 16.91%
2025
$271m 61.60%
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2026
$303m 11.86%
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2027
$324m 6.91%
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2028
$365m 12.76%
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2029
$398m 8.85%
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EBITDA Margin

2024 3.84% 24.56%
2025
5.57% 45.20%
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2026
5.87% 5.39%
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2027
5.84% 0.51%
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2028
5.79% 0.86%
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2029
5.71% 1.38%
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16 Grocery Outlet Holding Corp Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Grocery Outlet Holding Corp net profit estimate is

$74.9m
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. This is
840.33% higher
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than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is
$83.4m 948.12%
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, the lowest is
$68.3m 757.54%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:

Net Profit Estimates

2024 $39.5m 50.31%
2025
$74.9m 89.64%
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2026
$88.4m 18.12%
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2027
$95.8m 8.38%
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2028
$122m 27.59%
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2029
$136m 11.57%
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Net Margin

2024 0.90% 54.88%
2025
1.54% 70.56%
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2026
1.71% 11.04%
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2027
1.73% 1.17%
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2028
1.94% 12.14%
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2029
1.96% 1.03%
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Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2029

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Quarter Annually
Dec '24 2025
Estimates
Earnings Per Share $ 0.40 0.76
49.37% 90.00%
P/E 23.67
EV/Sales 0.45

16 Analysts have issued a Grocery Outlet Holding Corp forecast for earnings per share. The average Grocery Outlet Holding Corp EPS is

$0.76
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. This is
985.71% higher
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than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is
$0.85 1,114.29%
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, the lowest is
$0.70 900.00%
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.

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

Earnings Per Share

2024 $0.40 49.37%
2025
$0.76 90.00%
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2026
$0.90 18.42%
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2027
$0.98 8.89%
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2028
$1.25 27.55%
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2029
$1.39 11.20%
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P/E ratio

Current 258.00 638.71%
2025
23.67 90.83%
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2026
20.04 15.34%
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2027
18.49 7.73%
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2028
14.49 21.63%
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2029
12.99 10.35%
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Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Grocery Outlet Holding Corp stock is valued at an EV/Sales of

and an P/S ratio of .

This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:

EV/Sales

Current 0.49 5.77%
2025
0.45 8.10%
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2026
0.42 5.77%
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2027
0.39 7.02%
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2028
0.35 11.96%
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2029
0.31 9.44%
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P/S ratio

Current 0.39 11.61%
2025
0.36 7.26%
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2026
0.34 5.77%
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2027
0.32 7.02%
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2028
0.28 11.97%
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2029
0.25 9.43%
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Current Grocery Outlet Holding Corp Upgrades & Downgrades

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Analyst Rating Action Date
Morgan Stanley
Locked
Locked
Locked Aug 06 2025
Telsey Advisory Group
Locked
Locked
Locked Aug 06 2025
Telsey Advisory Group
Locked
Locked
Locked Jul 29 2025
Wells Fargo
Locked
Locked
Locked May 07 2025
UBS
Locked
Locked
Locked May 07 2025
Telsey Advisory Group
Locked
Locked
Locked Apr 30 2025
Jefferies
Locked
Locked
Locked Apr 16 2025
Analyst Rating Date
Locked
Morgan Stanley:
Locked
Locked
Aug 06 2025
Locked
Telsey Advisory Group:
Locked
Locked
Aug 06 2025
Locked
Telsey Advisory Group:
Locked
Locked
Jul 29 2025
Locked
Wells Fargo:
Locked
Locked
May 07 2025
Locked
UBS:
Locked
Locked
May 07 2025
Locked
Telsey Advisory Group:
Locked
Locked
Apr 30 2025
Locked
Jefferies:
Locked
Locked
Apr 16 2025

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