British American Tobacco (BTI) no longer offers compelling long-term growth, prompting a full exit after strong capital gains. BTI's New Categories segment underperformed expectations, widening the gap with Philip Morris (PM), which leads in smokeless products innovation. BTI's capital allocation choices, such as increased buybacks over growth investment, signal short-term focus and limit organ...
Based on the earnings outlook and tax rate projection from its 2025 interim report, British American Tobacco now resembles an equity bond yielding ~12%. To make it more attractive, I also see significant coupon growth potential in the years to come. My growth rate projection is ~5% annually (vs. 6%+ from consensus) based on its strong ROCE and capital allocation flexibility.
This article is part of our monthly series where we highlight five large-cap, relatively safe, dividend-paying companies offering significant discounts to their historical norms. We go over our filtering process to select just five conservative DGI stocks from more than 7,500 companies that are traded on U.S. exchanges, including OTC networks. In addition to the primary list that yields 3.56%, ...
BTI remains attractively valued, despite a recent 80% rally off 2024 lows and a modest pullback. Shares offer a 6.1% dividend yield, supported by strong free cash flow. glo Hilo rollout accelerates, with premium pricing and early data in Japan and Poland. Velo Plus gains momentum in the U.S. nicotine pouch market, with over 17% market share, challenging the market leader ZYN.
British American Tobacco is downgraded to a "Hold" after a 46% return, with shares now near fair value. BTI's U.S. operations delivered strong results, offsetting overseas weakness, and management guides toward the upper end of 2025 revenue growth. Valuation justifies a modest P/E premium, but technicals suggest a potential pullback to the $48-$49 range could offer a compelling entry point.
British American Tobacco has transitioned from deep value to fair value as a number of catalysts through 2024/2025 ignite the share price. BTI's smokeless portfolio, especially Velo nicotine pouches, is benefiting from global trends, with the nicotine pouch market projected to grow at a 29% CAGR. At current prices, BTI offers a forward dividend yield of 6.3% plus moderate buybacks, but valuatio...
British American Tobacco remains undervalued, trading at under 12x 2025 earnings and yielding 5.79%, with strong free cash flow generation. BTI's Q2 2025 results showed YoY growth in revenue and profitability, driven by price increases and expansion in smokeless products, now 18.2% of revenue. BTI's strategic transformation focuses on innovation, cost efficiencies, and deleveraging, projecting ...
Interest rates are one of the most important drivers of asset valuations, directly impacting discount rates and valuations. So, as the Fed lowers rates, yield compression occurs, making it harder to find safe, high-yield investments - now even above 8%. In the current environment, reliable yields of 6% to 8% are still achievable (at scale), while yields above 10% are mostly speculative.
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