Fastenal Target price 2025 - Analyst rating & recommendation
Fastenal Classifications & Recommendation:
Fastenal Price Target
| Target Price | $78.22 |
| Price | $81.30 |
| Deviation | 3.79% |
| Number of Estimates | 9 |
| 9 Analysts have issued a price target Fastenal 2026 . The average Fastenal target price is $78.22. This is 3.79% lower than the current stock price. The highest price target is $86.00 5.78% , the lowest is $70.00 13.90% . | |
| A rating was issued by 18 analysts: 3 Analysts recommend Fastenal to buy, 12 to hold and 3 to sell. | |
| Analysts don't have a crystal ball either, but they do represent the opinion of the market quite well. You should not take the price potential and the ratings as a recommendation to act. Rather, they serve as an additional building block for your own opinion or stock analysis. | |
| Analyst Estimates: Analysts believe that the Fastenal stock has an average upside potential 2026 of 3.79% . Most analysts recommend the Fastenal stock at Hold. |
Sales and Margin forecast 2025, 2026 to 2028
13 Analysts have issued a sales forecast Fastenal 2025 . The average Fastenal sales estimate is $8.1b . This is 6.87% higher than the revenue of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest sales forecast is $8.5b 11.43% , the lowest is $8.0b 4.59% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics:
Revenue Estimates
| 2024 | $7.5b | 2.71% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $8.1b | 7.78% |
| 2026 | $8.8b | 8.49% |
| 2027 | $9.4b | 6.14% |
| 2028 | $10.0b | 6.87% |
12 Analysts have issued an Fastenal EBITDA forecast 2025. The average Fastenal EBITDA estimate is $1.8b . This is 7.79% higher than the EBITDA of the last 12 months(TTM). The highest EBITDA forecast is $1.9b 9.94% , the lowest is $1.8b 4.09% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future EBITDA Margins:
EBITDA Estimates
| 2024 | $1.7b | 1.21% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.8b | 8.14% |
| 2026 | $2.0b | 9.10% |
| 2027 | $2.1b | 7.60% |
| 2028 | $2.3b | 7.21% |
EBITDA Margin
| 2024 | 22.34% | 3.82% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 22.41% | 0.34% |
| 2026 | 22.54% | 0.58% |
| 2027 | 22.85% | 1.38% |
| 2028 | 22.92% | 0.31% |
15 Fastenal Analysts have issued a net profit forecast 2025. The average Fastenal net profit estimate is $1.3b . This is 8.46% higher than the net profit for the last 12 months(TTM). The highest net profit forecast is $1.3b 15.42% , the lowest is $1.2b 4.48% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future Net Margins:
Net Profit Estimates
| 2024 | $1.1b | 0.99% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $1.3b | 9.00% |
| 2026 | $1.4b | 9.73% |
| 2027 | $1.5b | 7.00% |
| 2028 | $1.6b | 7.04% |
Net Margin
| 2024 | 15.20% | 3.61% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 15.38% | 1.16% |
| 2026 | 15.55% | 1.11% |
| 2027 | 15.68% | 0.84% |
| 2028 | 15.70% | 0.13% |
Earnings per share, P/E ratio and EV/sales Estimates 2025, 2026 to 2028
15 Analysts have issued a Fastenal forecast for earnings per share. The average Fastenal EPS is $2.18 . This is 8.46% higher than earnings per share in the financial year 2024. The highest EPS forecast is $2.32 15.42% , the lowest is $2.10 4.48% .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:
Earnings Per Share
| 2024 | $2.00 | 0.99% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | $2.18 | 9.00% |
| 2026 | $2.39 | 9.63% |
| 2027 | $2.56 | 7.11% |
| 2028 | $2.74 | 7.03% |
P/E ratio
| Current | 40.55 | 16.29% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 37.29 | 8.04% |
| 2026 | 33.98 | 8.88% |
| 2027 | 31.76 | 6.53% |
| 2028 | 29.67 | 6.58% |
Based on analysts' sales estimates for 2025, the Fastenal stock is valued at an EV/Sales of 5.76 and an P/S ratio of 5.73 .
This results in the following potential growth metrics and future valuations:
EV/Sales
| Current | 6.16 | 12.00% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.76 | 6.41% |
| 2026 | 5.31 | 7.83% |
| 2027 | 5.01 | 5.78% |
| 2028 | 4.68 | 6.43% |
P/S ratio
| Current | 6.13 | 12.15% |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 5.73 | 6.43% |
| 2026 | 5.28 | 7.83% |
| 2027 | 4.98 | 5.78% |
| 2028 | 4.66 | 6.43% |
Current Fastenal Upgrades & Downgrades
| Analyst | Rating | Action | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Baird |
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Unchanged | Apr 14 2025 |
| William Blair |
Market Perform
➜
Outperform
|
Upgrade | Mar 10 2025 |
| Stifel |
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Unchanged | Jan 21 2025 |
| Stifel |
Buy
➜
Hold
|
Downgrade | Dec 11 2024 |
| Jefferies |
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Unchanged | Dec 06 2024 |
| Baird |
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Unchanged | Oct 14 2024 |
| JP Morgan |
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Unchanged | Oct 14 2024 |
| Analyst Rating | Date |
|---|---|
|
Unchanged
Baird:
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Apr 14 2025 |
|
Upgrade
William Blair:
Market Perform
➜
Outperform
|
Mar 10 2025 |
|
Unchanged
Stifel:
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Jan 21 2025 |
|
Downgrade
Stifel:
Buy
➜
Hold
|
Dec 11 2024 |
|
Unchanged
Jefferies:
Hold
➜
Hold
|
Dec 06 2024 |
|
Unchanged
Baird:
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Oct 14 2024 |
|
Unchanged
JP Morgan:
Neutral
➜
Neutral
|
Oct 14 2024 |
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